NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:03 UTC
Range after a week rally, testing range top · RSI 62 · price 0.57004
0.5668–0.5710 range since Wednesday, higher low held Thursday.
The rally from Tuesday's 0.5655 open topped at the 0.5710 week high in Thursday's Asia session. The soft NZ Q3 CPI miss then drove a rejection and a slide to 0.5668 into NY hours, about 76% of the move retraced. Friday's NY session lifted price back above EMA(20) to retest the 0.5704 cap, which also capped Wednesday and Thursday, with RSI(14) near 62 and falling Treasury yields offsetting the PMI-driven dollar bid.
Support: 0.56944, 0.56831, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.57044, 0.57102
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the range top and the lower-highs line
Slip back below ema20 (~0.5694) and the 0.5683 swing low returns price to mid-range
Failure to hold the 0.5668 thursday low breaks the higher-lows trendline
RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC and FOMC later that day could materially shift this read
19:04 UTC
Sideways after midweek rally, recovering into range top · RSI 59 · price 0.56998
0.5668–0.5710 range since Wednesday, lower high and higher low compressing.
The rally from the 0.5655 area stalled at the 0.5710 month high in early Thursday trade after the soft NZ Q3 CPI, and Thursday's NY session slide found the thu low at 0.5668. Friday's London low at 0.5683 held, and NY hours lifted price to the 0.5704 fri high despite the US PMI beat. Price sits above the EMA(20) near 0.5695 with RSI(14) near 59, but the lower high under 0.5710 keeps this a compressing range rather than a trend.
Support: 0.5695, 0.5683, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5704, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 month high breaks the range top and the lower-high sequence
Loss of the EMA(20) at 0.5695 and then the 0.5683 London low breaks the higher-low line back toward the 0.5668 Thu low
Repeated failure at the 0.5704 Fri high would leave a lower high under 0.5710
RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC and Fed decision later that day could materially shift this read; weekend gap risk at the open
18:03 UTC
Range under 0.5710, momentum mixed · RSI 60 · price 0.56978
Lower high at 0.5704 below 0.5710; higher low at 0.5683 above 0.5668.
The week rally topped at the 0.5710 week high in Thursday's Asia session as the soft Q3 CPI miss stalled momentum. The slide through London and NY then bottomed at the 0.5668 thursday low, an ~85% retrace of the week rally fib. Friday's NY session lifted price to a 0.5704 friday high despite USD-supportive PMI and sentiment beats, a lower high under 0.5710, while the 0.5683 friday low holds as a higher low; price sits above the ema20 near 0.5694 with RSI(14) near 60, compressed between the lower highs and higher lows lines.
Support: 0.5694, 0.5683, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5704, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the lower highs line and the range top
Failure to hold the 0.5683 friday low breaks the higher lows line and reopens the 0.5668 thursday low
Sustained trade back below the ema20 near 0.5694 would put the 0.5704 friday high on record as a rejection
RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC; a hold or a one-and-done hike could materially shift this read
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC adds USD-side event risk to the same day
17:04 UTC
Range-bound after early-week rally, pressing range top · RSI 55 · price 0.56977
0.5668–0.5710 range since Wednesday; higher lows below, lower high at range top.
The Monday–Tuesday rally from 0.5660 peaked at the 0.5710 week high in Thursday's early Asia session, just after the soft NZ Q3 CPI print. Price then unwound through London and NY to a 0.5668 range low, near the 78.6% level of the week rally fib. Friday built higher lows at 0.5671 and 0.5683. The NY session then drove a push to the 0.5704 Friday high despite firm US PMIs, as Treasury yields slipped. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the mid-50s, testing the range top beneath a lower high.
Support: 0.5693, 0.5683, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5704, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the range top and the lower-highs sequence
Failure at the 0.5704 Friday high keeps the lower-highs structure intact inside the range
A drop back below EMA(20) near 0.5693 returns price to mid-range
Loss of the 0.5683 higher low reopens the 0.5668 range low
RBNZ decision (Wed Oct 28, 01:00 UTC) and the Fed decision later that day could materially shift this read
0.5668–0.5710 range since Wednesday, price retesting the range top.
The week's rally from 0.5655 topped at the 0.5710 week high just after Wednesday night's soft Q3 CPI (3.7% vs 3.8% f/c). Thursday's NY session then retraced about 76% of the move to the 0.5668 Thursday low, and higher lows have formed since. Friday's lift off the 0.5683 higher low at the London-NY transition put price back above EMA(20) near 0.5693, with RSI(14) at 67, into the 0.5704 Wednesday highs that have capped price since Wednesday's NY session.
Support: 0.5693, 0.5683, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5704, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the range top that has held since Wednesday
Failure to hold the 0.5683 higher low and the rising trendline from the Thursday low shifts focus back to 0.5668
Repeated rejection at the 0.5704 Wednesday highs with RSI(14) rolling off 67 keeps the range read intact
RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC (f/c hike to 3.00%) and Fed Oct 28 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read next week
15:03 UTC
Recovering within post-CPI range, pressing range top · RSI 59 · price 0.56994
0.5668–0.5710 range since Thursday, higher lows on Friday.
The pair climbed from the 0.5655 area early in the week and set a week high at 0.5710 in Thursday's Asia session. The soft NZ Q3 CPI stalled that advance, and the pair slid to the post-CPI low at 0.5668 into Thursday's NY session. Friday has built higher lows off that base, and NY hours lifted price back above EMA(20) despite firm US PMI and Michigan data, retesting the 0.5700 round number at roughly 75% of the post-CPI drop with RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.5690, 0.5683, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the post-CPI range top
A third rejection at the 0.5700 round number keeps the 0.5668–0.5710 range intact
Loss of the Friday higher lows trendline and the 0.5683 friday low returns focus to the 0.5668 post-cpi low
EMA(20) near 0.5690 is the first area where pullbacks have been finding a floor
RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC (hike to 3.00% f/c) and FOMC later that day could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Range after week high, higher lows rebuilding · RSI 57 · price 0.56948
0.5668–0.5710 range since CPI; lower highs converging with rising lows.
The advance from Monday's 0.5659 low peaked at the 0.5710 week high just after Wednesday's soft Q3 CPI. That push proved a false break, reversing to a Thursday low at 0.5668 through Asia and London as oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields weighed. Since then, lower highs off the week high have been converging with rising lows from Thursday and Friday's low at 0.5683, and the NY-open bounce has price back above EMA(20) and testing the 0.5700 round number with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56678, 0.56587
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57102
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5700 round number and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold Friday's low at 0.5683 breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the Thursday low at 0.5668
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, alongside the flash PMI reaction, could shift the USD side of this read
A break of the Monday low at 0.5659 would undo the whole advance; the RBNZ decision on Oct 28 at 01:00 UTC is the main range-break risk
Failed break of 0.5700, compressing between higher lows and lower highs.
The climb from Monday's low at 0.5659 was driven mainly in the London and NY sessions. It topped at the 0.5710 week high in Thursday's Asia session, then unwound to 0.5668 through London into the NY open after the soft NZ Q3 CPI stalled the advance. Since then, higher lows at 0.5668 and 0.5684 have met lower highs capped under the 0.5700 round number, narrowing the range. The latest bar is back above EMA(20) near 0.5688, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) contracting to about 7 pips.
Support: 0.5688, 0.5668, 0.5659
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An H1 close above the 0.5700 round number and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.5688 and the higher-lows line puts the Thursday low at 0.5668 back in focus
A break below the 0.5668 Thursday low undercuts the Monday–Thursday rally structure and exposes the Monday low at 0.5659
0.5668–0.5710 range, lower high at 0.5699 under week high.
NZDUSD climbed from the Monday low near 0.5659 to a week high at 0.5710 in Thursday's Asia session. The soft Q3 CPI stalled that advance, with a rejection at the high, and selling through London and NY on oil-driven risk-off took price back to the Thursday low at 0.5668. Friday's Asian rebound stopped at 0.5699, a lower high, and London has faded to 0.5684, the 50% retracement of the rally, below EMA(20) near 0.5687 with RSI(14) near 45 and the fib 61.8% at 0.5678 just beneath.
Support: 0.56784, 0.56678, 0.56587
Resistance: 0.56865, 0.56992, 0.57102
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An H1 close above the Friday high at 0.5699 breaks the lower-highs line and opens the path back to the 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold the fib 61.8% at 0.5678 and then the Thursday low at 0.5668 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the Monday low near 0.5659
The RBNZ decision on Oct 28 keeps the 0.5650–0.5710 range as the reference into next week
Lower high at 0.5699 under the 0.5710 week high; higher low at 0.5668 holds above the 0.5655 base.
NZD/USD climbed from Monday's 0.5655 week low to a 0.5710 week high in early Asia Thursday. The soft Q3 CPI miss stalled the advance, and Thursday's London–NY selling broke the rally line to a 0.5668 Thu low, roughly a 76% retracement. Friday's Asian rebound capped at a 0.5699 lower high, and the London session has faded it back to the 50% fib of the rally near 0.5682, with price just under EMA(20) at 0.5687 and RSI(14) at 45.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5668, 0.5655
Resistance: 0.5687, 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.5668 Thu low exposes the 0.5655 week low, the base of this week's rally
Recovery above EMA(20) and the 0.5699 lower high would break the lower-highs sequence and reopen the 0.5710 week high
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
RBNZ decision on Oct 28 keeps the 0.5655–0.5710 range in focus into next week
10:03 UTC
Range after Mon–Thu rally, lower high forming · RSI 51 · price 0.56857
0.5668–0.5710 range; lower high at 0.5699 below the 0.5710 week high.
The rally from Monday's 0.5659 week low ran to a 0.5710 week high just after Wednesday's soft Q3 CPI. That spike above Wednesday's 0.5704 failed, and Thursday's sell-off, amid oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields, retraced about 78.6% of the move to the 0.5668 thu low. Friday's Asia-session bounce stalled at 0.5699, a lower high, and price has slipped back under EMA(20) at 0.5687 with RSI(14) near 51, mid-range between the thu low and the week high.
Support: 0.5683, 0.5668, 0.5659
Resistance: 0.5687, 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the 0.5699 lower high and the lower-high trendline reopens the 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold the 0.5683 day low exposes the 0.5668 thu low; below that, the 0.5659 week low and the base of the rally
Repeated closes back above EMA(20) at 0.5687 would ease the lower-high read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBNZ decision on Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for the range boundaries
Lower high at 0.5699 under the 0.5710 week high, inside a 0.5668–0.5710 range.
NZDUSD climbed from the rally base near 0.5659 on Monday to a week high at 0.5710 in Thursday's Asia session. The soft Q3 CPI miss then produced a rejection there and a slide into NY hours to the Thursday low at 0.5668. Friday's Asia rebound stalled at a lower high of 0.5699, and London has pushed price back below EMA(20) near 0.5687, to the 50% retracement of the Monday–Thursday rally, with RSI(14) flat near 47.
Support: 0.56678, 0.56587
Resistance: 0.5687, 0.56992, 0.57102
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.5668 Thursday low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.5659 rally base
Reclaim of EMA(20) and the lower highs line through 0.5699 puts the 0.5710 week high back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
RBNZ decision on Oct 28 remains the larger NZD catalyst beyond this window
08:03 UTC
Rally stalled, rotating in a range · RSI 54 · price 0.56885
Lower high at 0.5699 under the 0.5710 week high; 0.5668–0.5710 range.
The rally from Monday's 0.5659 week low peaked at the 0.5710 week high early Thursday in Asia, after the NZ CPI miss. Price then saw rejection and faded through London into the NY open to a 0.5668 Thu low as the hike narrative was trimmed. Friday's Asia rebound stalled at a 0.5699 lower high, and price now sits near the 50% retracement of the Thu decline, pinned on EMA(20) near 0.5688 with RSI(14) flat around 54.
Support: 0.5688, 0.5668, 0.5659
Resistance: 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5699 lower high reopens the 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.5688 and the Friday higher low at 0.5679 exposes the 0.5668 Thu low, then the 0.5659 week low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, during NY hours, could materially shift this read
Positioning into the Oct 28 RBNZ decision could widen the 0.5668–0.5710 range
0.5668–0.5710 range; lower high at 0.5699 under month high.
The rally from Monday's 0.5652 week low ran into the 0.5710 month high early in Thursday's Asia session. That came after the Q3 CPI miss (3.7% vs 3.8%) caused only a brief dip, and the pair then bled through Asia and London to a 0.5668 Thu low near the NY open. Friday's Asia session recovered to 0.5699, a lower high capped just under 0.5700, as a soft USD limited the downside. Price now sits on a flat EMA(20)/EMA(50) cluster near 0.5687, which coincides with the 38.2% retracement of the week rally. RSI(14) is mid-50s, consistent with consolidation inside the 0.5668–0.5710 range.
Support: 0.5687, 0.5668, 0.5652
Resistance: 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 month high breaks the lower-highs line and resumes the week's uptrend
Repeated rejection at 0.5699/0.5700 keeps the lower high intact and the range read in place
H1 close below the 0.5668 Thu low takes out the rally trendline area and exposes the 0.5652 week low
Sustained trade back under the ema20 at 0.5687 shifts the pair toward the 50–61.8% zone of the week rally fib (0.5681/0.5674)
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift USD and this read
RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the dominant event risk for the range into next week
06:03 UTC
Uptrend since Monday, momentum stalled below week high · RSI 56 · price 0.56914
Pullback inside weekly advance; lower high under 0.5710, higher low at 0.5668.
NZDUSD climbed from Monday's 0.5652 week low to a 0.5710 week high in Thursday's Asia session. The softer Q3 CPI print knocked it back, and the London-NY slide through the 61.8% retracement of the week rally found a higher low at 0.5668 Thu low, in line with the rising lows. Friday's Asian rebound reclaimed EMA(20) near 0.5688 but stalled at a 0.5699 Asia high, a lower high under 0.5710, with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s.
Support: 0.5688, 0.5668, 0.5652
Resistance: 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high invalidates the lower highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.5668 Thu low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.5652 week low
Sustained trade back below EMA(20) at 0.5688 would put the Thursday pullback back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the key event risk for next week's structure
05:04 UTC
Uptrend since Monday, consolidating below week high · RSI 56 · price 0.56895
Lower high at 0.5699 under 0.5710 week high; Thu low 0.5668 holding.
NZDUSD climbed from Monday's 0.5652 week low to a 0.5710 week high early in Thursday's Asia session. The soft Q3 CPI print stopped the rally there, and London and NY hours sold the pair back to the 0.5668 Thu low, a pullback that briefly overran the 61.8% of the Mon-Thu rally fib. Friday's Asia high at 0.5699 met rejection and formed a lower high, leaving price sitting on the ema20 near 0.5687 with RSI(14) around 56, consolidating between 0.5668 and 0.5710 inside the week's uptrend.
Support: 0.5687, 0.5668, 0.5652
Resistance: 0.5699, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the lower-highs line and resumes the uptrend read
Loss of the 0.5668 Thu low breaks the rising support from Monday and exposes the 0.5652 week low
Repeated rejection at the 0.5699 asia high with closes below the ema20 tilts the consolidation lower
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; RBNZ on Oct 28 is the larger event risk
04:03 UTC
Uptrend from Monday low, ranging below the week high · RSI 63 · price 0.56973
Rising lows since Monday; 0.5668–0.5710 range since Wednesday, price back at upper half.
The pair climbed from Monday's 0.5652 week low to a 0.5710 week high in early Thursday Asia, just after the soft NZ Q3 CPI print. That spike faded through Thursday's London session to a 0.5668 thursday low, roughly a 70% retracement of the week's advance. Price has since rebuilt above EMA(20) and EMA(50) through Thursday NY and Friday Asia. It is now pressing the 0.5700 round number with RSI(14) in the low 60s, and the latest high sits below the week high, so a series of lower highs is intact for now.
Support: 0.5686, 0.5668, 0.5652
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high breaks the lower highs line and ends the range read
Rejection at the 0.5700 round number with a close back below ema20 near 0.5686 keeps the 0.5668–0.5710 range intact
Failure to hold the 0.5668 thursday low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.5652 week low
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD side of this read
03:04 UTC
Uptrend, recovering from deep pullback · RSI 57 · price 0.56949
Higher highs into 0.5710, pullback held rising trendline.
Highs stepped up each day from Monday's 0.5652 week low to Thursday's Asia-session week high at 0.5710. The soft Q3 CPI print hit at Wednesday's close, and Thursday's London-to-NY selloff then retraced roughly 70% of the week's advance to the 0.5668 Thursday low, where demand stepped in on the rising trendline. Friday's Asia session has reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50) up to a 0.5698 Asia high, with RSI(14) back near 57 as a heavy USD offsets the CPI miss.
Support: 0.56865, 0.56678, 0.56516
Resistance: 0.5698, 0.57044, 0.57102
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5710 week high extends the higher-high sequence; stalling at 0.5698-0.5704 (Asia high / Wed high) leaves a lower high
Return below EMA(20) near 0.5687 reopens the Thursday low at 0.5668
H1 close below the 0.5668 Thursday low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.5652 week low
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the dominant event risk for the week ahead
Lower highs from 0.5710 week high; Thursday NY low holding, price at 38.2% retrace.
The week rally ran from Monday's 0.5652 week low to 0.5710 in Thursday's Asia session, where the soft Q3 CPI print produced a rejection. The pullback extended through London and into NY to the 0.5668 thu low, beyond the 61.8% of the week rally. Price has since rebuilt above EMA(20) at 0.5684 and sits at the 38.2% retrace near 0.5688, with the fri high at 0.5694 extending the lower-highs sequence from the week high.
Support: 0.5684, 0.5668, 0.5652
Resistance: 0.5694, 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.5694 fri high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the path to the 0.5700 psych level and 0.5710 week high
Failure to hold EMA(20) near 0.5684 puts the 0.5668 thu low back in focus
Break below the 0.5668 thu low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.5652 week low
US S&P Global PMIs and UoM sentiment Fri 13:45-14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next binary catalyst for NZD