Sharp rejection from the session high at 1.40235 during NY hours dumped USDCAD to 1.3951, in line with the CAD-soft, stretched-overbought read. Since then it has consolidated 1.3951–1.3988 and crept back to 1.3973 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral with no extreme.
Support: 1.3961, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39880 reopens the 1.40000 area
Failure to hold 1.39510 confirms a lower-low and continuation lower
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
23:46 UTC
Pullback, now ranging · RSI 57 · price 1.39726
Consolidation under session high after NY sell-off.
USD/CAD rejected the 1.40235 intraday high during NY hours and sold off sharply into 1.39510 on a safe-haven-driven USD bid. Asia session is now consolidating between that swing low and the 1.39736 session high, RSI(14) near 57 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.3951, 1.39637
Resistance: 1.39736, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39736 session high reopens the path toward the 1.40003 round number
Loss of 1.39510 swing low confirms a lower low
Oil and Middle East headlines could shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
23:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.3971
Range 1.3953-1.3972 after NY rejection.
USD/CAD pushed to a session high at 1.40235 in NY hours on the safe-haven USD bid, then a sharp rejection dropped it to 1.3953. Price now ranges 1.3953-1.3972 in thin Asian trade, retesting the range top.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3930, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3972, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3972 range top opens the path back toward the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.3953 confirms a lower low toward 1.3930
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
23:31 UTC
Rally rejected, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.3971
Range after lower high off session peak.
NY session rallied to 1.4023 before a sharp rejection dumped the pair to 1.3951; price has since consolidated through the thin Asian session, hovering at the six-month high near 1.3969. USD held firm on hot headline PPI and safe-haven Iran flows while the loonie stays soft post-BoC, but the immediate read is a 1.3951–1.3972 range with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.3972, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3972 reopens the path toward the 1.4023 prior high
Loss of 1.3951 session low confirms a lower-low into the range
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM Michigan Sentiment could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.39636
Lower high after NY selloff, intraday range.
NY session rejected 1.4023 and sold off ~30 pips through 1.40003 into 1.3951, marking a clear lower high. Asia is now ranging thin between the session low at 1.3951 and the range high at 1.39709, RSI(14) mid-40s with price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3951, 1.39572
Resistance: 1.39709, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the range high at 1.39709 reopens the 1.40003 round number
Loss of the session low at 1.3951 extends the NY selloff
Oil and Middle East headlines remain the primary CAD driver into the next session
23:16 UTC
Pullback after rejection, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.39636
Rejected from session high, consolidating in lower range.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh YTD high at 1.40235 in the NY session then sold off sharply to 1.3951 as the move unwound from overbought. Price is now consolidating between 1.3951 and 1.3971 through the thin Asia session, holding just under EMA20.
Support: 1.3951, 1.39572
Resistance: 1.3971, 1.4002, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39710 reopens the 1.40020/1.40235 highs
Loss of 1.39510 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD flows into the next sessions
23:02 UTC
Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 46 · price 1.39618
Consolidating below 1.3970 after sweep of 1.40.
USDCAD pushed through 1.40 into NY to print a 1.40235 high, then sold off sharply ~70 pips on an oil-driven loonie wobble and capped at 1.3970 on the recovery. Late-Asia trade is thin and rangebound between 1.3953 and 1.3970, price now drifting at 1.39618 below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3970 reopens the 1.40000 / day-high zone
Failure to hold 1.3953 confirms a lower low toward the 1.39316 range low
UoM Michigan Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
23:02 UTC
Pullback after rejection, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.39618
Sold off from session high, ranging 1.3951–1.3970.
NY session pushed to 1.40235 then was sharply rejected, dumping to 1.3951 on a single bearish candle as the loonie tracked USD safe-haven flows. Pair is now consolidating 1.3951–1.3970 into thin Asia hours, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.39572, 1.3951, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.3970 reopens the 1.3983 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3951 confirms a lower low toward 1.3932
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
22:46 UTC
Pulled back from highs, ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.39638
Rejection at 1.4023, lower highs into range.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40235 swing high and sold sharply through NY, the loonie tracking the oil/safe-haven flows noted in the digest. Price has since stalled, ranging roughly 1.3951–1.3970 with RSI back near neutral; sellers capped the bounce at 1.3970.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.39700 reopens the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39530 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 1.3951 session low
No high-impact USD/CAD data scheduled; oil and Middle East headlines remain the exogenous driver
22:46 UTC
Pulled back from highs, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.39638
Rally rejected at 1.4023, now ranging lower.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 during NY hours then sold off hard to 1.3951 as an intraday oil slump faded and the safe-haven bid eased. Price is now consolidating in a 1.3951–1.3971 band, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3971, 1.3980, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3971 re-opens the path toward 1.3980/1.4023
Failure to hold 1.3951 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3900
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.39676
Range after sharp reversal off session high.
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.40235 then reversed hard, dropping to 1.3971 on a high-volume bar and extending to 1.3951 as an intraday oil slump and USD flows whipsawed the loonie. Price is now ranging 1.3951–1.3971 in thin late-session trade, recovering back toward the range top.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3937
Resistance: 1.3971, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3971 reopens the path toward 1.3980 / 1.40000
Loss of 1.3951 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3937 asian range
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower high after 1.4023 rejection, basing above 1.3953.
USDCAD spiked to a six-month high at 1.4023 on the Middle East safe-haven bid before a sharp NY rejection dumped it to 1.3953. Price has clawed back into Asia hours and is now capped at the 1.3970 session high, RSI cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3951, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3970 reopens the 1.40000 round number and 1.4023 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.39316
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD safe-haven flows
Sold off from session high, now consolidating above the low.
NY session pushed to a 1.40235 session high then rejected hard, dumping to the 1.3953 session low before grinding back to 1.397 into thin Asia-hours flow. Price now hovers just under the 1.3982 swing high after retracing roughly a quarter of the selloff; the 1.400 round level caps above.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.40009, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3982 swing high reopens the path to the 1.40009 round level and 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3953 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Pulled back from session high, ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.39701
Range after rejection of 1.4023.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.40235 session high during NY hours and dumped to 1.3951 on a single 30-pip sell bar as USD safe-haven flows and the soft-CAD tone offset, then settled into a 1.3951-1.3987 range. Thin late-session trade has lifted price back to 1.3970, holding above EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3987, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39870 reopens the 1.4000 round level
Failure to hold 1.39510 confirms a lower low
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan Sentiment could shift USD flows
22:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the high, now basing · RSI 46 · price 1.39654
Rejection from 1.4020s, lower lows into 1.3951, consolidating.
USDCAD was rejected from the 1.4020s in NY afternoon and dropped sharply to 1.3953, the move tied to fading the safe-haven USD spike. Price is now basing in thin late-session trade between 1.3951 and 1.3967, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3951, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39675, 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39675 swing high reopens 1.39830
Loss of 1.39510 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.39316
UoM Michigan Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD safe-haven flows
22:01 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.39654
Lower high off 1.4023, ranging near lows.
USD/CAD spiked to 1.4023 then was rejected and sold off sharply to 1.3951 during NY hours as the loonie tracked oil and safe-haven USD flows. Price now consolidates between the 1.3951 session low and the 1.3970 pivot in thin Asia-session liquidity, holding below EMA20.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.3980, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.3980 prior high invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 1.3951 session low opens room lower
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD bid
21:46 UTC
Rejection from highs, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.39659
Sharp reversal off 1.40235, basing near 1.3965.
NY pushed USDCAD to a session high 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dragged it to 1.3953, the loonie finding a bid as the rally stalled near the six-month peak. Price is now consolidating around 1.3965 in thin late-session trade, RSI back to neutral after cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3983 bounce high reopens the 1.40003 round number
Loss of 1.3953 swing low confirms continuation of the reversal toward 1.39316
Move is exogenous to oil/safe-haven USD flows — fresh Middle East headlines could shift this read
21:46 UTC
Pullback after rally, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.39659
Rejection at session high, holding above recent low.
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.40235 then was sharply rejected, slicing back through 1.40000 to a 1.39510 low as an intraday move undercut the rally. Price is now consolidating near 1.39650, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the up-move, with thin late-session volume into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3957
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39510 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40000 reopens the 1.40235 session high
Oil/Mideast headlines are the live exogenous driver for CAD overnight
21:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.3965
Lower high printed after rejection of 1.4023.
USD/CAD spiked to a session high at 1.4023 during NY hours then sold off sharply, undercutting the 1.4000 round number; price now consolidates near 1.3965 around the 61.8% fib of the intraday rally. RSI(14) sits mid-range at 43 and demand stepped in twice at 1.3951.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 reopens the 1.4023 session high
Loss of 1.3951 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3900 weekly low
Middle East / oil headlines drive USD safe-haven flows and could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.3965
Rejection at 1.4023, lower range building.
NY session pushed to a six-month high at 1.4023 then sharply rejected, dropping to 1.3972 and grinding down into a 1.3951 session low as the intraday oil slump weighed on CAD. Price is now consolidating around 1.3965, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the prior rally with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4000, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3951 confirms a lower low, opening 1.3900 weekly low
Reclaim of 1.3988/1.4000 reopens the 1.4023 session high
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD safe-haven flows
21:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.39588
Lower highs off 1.4023, holding above 1.3951.
NY session pushed USDCAD through 1.40 to a 1.4023 high before a sharp rejection dumped the pair to 1.3951, fitting the overbought/safe-haven backdrop. Price is now stabilizing in the 1.3950–1.3970 band; a deep retrace of the intraday up-leg with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3937
Resistance: 1.39675, 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3951 session low opens the path toward the 1.3937 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.3983 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
Oil and Iran headlines remain the primary near-term driver for CAD
USDCAD rejected the 1.40235 session high during NY hours and sold off sharply, breaking the 1.3983 support with a 29-pip impulse candle as the USD/oil safe-haven mix unwound. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.3951 session low, RSI(14) recovering from the decline; the broken 1.3983 shelf is the nearest resistance overhead.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39675, 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39830 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39510 confirms a fresh lower-low
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session rejected the 1.40235 session high, then a sharp selloff drove price to 1.39715 and on to the 1.3953 session low. A modest recovery into late NY has lifted price back to 1.39651, but it remains capped under the 1.398 prior shelf with RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39715
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.398 prior shelf negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.3953 session low opens fresh downside
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC and oil/Iran headlines could shift this read
NY session ran to a session high of 1.40235 on the USD safe-haven bid, then a sharp rejection dropped the pair back below 1.398 and on toward the session low at 1.3953. Buyers stepped in at 1.3953 and price is recovering to 1.39651, still capped below the 1.3983 swing high.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3957
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3983 would negate the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.3953 session low confirms continuation lower
Iran headlines / safe-haven USD flows can move this in thin late-session hours
20:46 UTC
Pullback from session high, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.39665
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4023, bounce into 61.8% fib.
NY session topped at 1.40235 then sold off sharply to 1.3953 on the USD/oil safe-haven whipsaw; price is now recovering and sits right on the 61.8% fib of the 1.39316–1.40235 advance near 1.39665. Sequence of lower highs intact while 1.398 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.398 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.3953 opens fresh session lows
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
20:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday top · RSI 44 · price 1.39665
Lower high off 1.4023, bouncing from 1.3953.
NY session rejected the 1.4023 session high and sold off ~70 pips into 1.3953, where buyers stepped in. Price is grinding back toward the 1.398 swing high in late NY hours with RSI(14) recovering from sub-40, still below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39715
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.398 reopens the path toward 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower-low
Iran/oil headlines could shift the safe-haven USD tone in the next bars
20:31 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, momentum easing · RSI 41 · price 1.39607
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.4023 peak.
USD/CAD topped at 1.4023 during NY then broke down sharply through 1.40009, extending to a 1.3953 swing low as the oil-driven CAD softness paused and USD safe-haven flows wobbled. Price is consolidating just above the swing low near 1.3961, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still below 50; sellers capped the bounce under the broken 1.39830 swing.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.40009, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39530 confirms a fresh lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.39830 prior swing would neutralise the downtrend read
Iran/oil headlines or USD safe-haven flows could shift this read intraday
20:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.39607
Lower highs, lower lows since peak.
NY afternoon turned the pair lower from the session high at 1.40235, with a sharp range break candle near 17:30 UTC dragging price off the 1.40 shelf as safe-haven USD flows faded against a softer oil tape. Sequence is lower highs, lower lows; price now grinding near 1.3960 after holding the 1.3953 session low, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3953 confirms a lower low, opens path toward the 1.3900 weekly low
M15 close back above 1.3983 pullback area would stall the downtrend read
20:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend after failed push to highs · RSI 39 · price 1.39578
Lower highs since 1.40235 peak, testing session low.
NY session swept above the 1.40 round number to a fresh high at 1.40235 then reversed hard, with a 294-pip down-bar mid-session as the safe-haven USD bid faded into oil whipsaw. Price has since chained lower highs and is grinding back into the 1.3953 session low; RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3953 session low opens 1.39316
M15 close back above 1.3980 negates the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could reset the USD tone
20:16 UTC
Pulled back from highs, short-term down · RSI 38 · price 1.39578
Lower highs after rejection of 1.4024.
USDCAD spiked above 1.40000 to a session high of 1.40235 during NY hours, then reversed hard back below the figure on the safe-haven USD/oil whipsaw, printing lower highs into 1.39530. RSI(14) cooled into the high-30s and price now sits at session lows.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.39530 confirms a lower-low extension
A reclaim of 1.40000 negates the false-break read
UoM Michigan Sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
20:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.39589
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.4023 rejection.
NY session rejected the 1.4023 session high (double top near 1.4020) and broke down hard, sweeping to 1.39715 before a bounce to 1.39878 capped. Price is now grinding back toward the session low at 1.3953 with RSI(14) near 40, in line with the broad USD-into-FOMC, soft-CAD context.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39715
Resistance: 1.39878, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3953 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.39878 negates the lower-high chain
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh high at 1.40235 on the safe-haven USD bid before a sharp reversal cut through 1.39800 down to 1.39530. Price is bouncing modestly off that session low with RSI(14) near 39; the 1.39800 pivot now caps the recovery.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39800 negates the pullback and reopens 1.40000
Failure to hold 1.39530 exposes 1.39316
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
19:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum lower · RSI 40 · price 1.39599
Rejected at session high, grinding back toward session low.
NY session pushed to a 1.40235 session high then rejected hard, dumping ~300 pips on a single bar amid safe-haven USD whipsaw and an oil slump. Price has since carved lower highs, now pressing the 1.39530 session low with RSI(14) near 40 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39878, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39530 session low confirms continuation toward 1.39316 swing low
Reclaim of 1.39878 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Iran headlines / oil swings can re-spike USD/CAD intraday
USDCAD ran to a 1.4023 session high in NY morning then sharply reversed ~30 pips on the 17:30 UTC bar, with safe-haven USD flows into FOMC failing to hold the highs. Price is now carving lower highs into late NY, last 1.3960, with the 1.3953 session low the immediate floor and RSI(14) cooling near 37.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3953 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Reclaim of 1.398 bounce high neutralises the reversal read
Iran headlines / safe-haven USD flows could shift this read intrabar
19:31 UTC
Short-term downtrend after rejection · RSI 38 · price 1.3956
Lower highs, lower lows off session high.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh 1.4023 session high during NY hours then rolled over hard, printing lower highs and lower lows into 1.3956 with price back below EMA20/50. The intraday fade trimmed the dollar's safe-haven push off the six-month high; RSI(14) sits soft near 38, no longer oversold.
Support: 1.3934, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3980 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.3934 swing low opens the 1.3900 weekly low
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 1.3956
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4024.
NY session spiked to a fresh session high at 1.40235 then was rejected hard, the down bar through 1.4000 reversing the entire London-NY rally on safe-haven USD flow. Price now grinding lower into 1.3956, RSI cooling toward oversold and printing lower highs since the 1.4024 top.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3987, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3950 round number opens the 1.3900 weekly low
Reclaim of 1.3987 bounce high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
19:16 UTC
Intraday reversal lower off the high · RSI 41 · price 1.39656
Rejection at 1.4017, two-leg drop into prior demand.
Late NY session: USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.4017/1.4023 then reversed in two sharp legs to 1.39634, with safe-haven USD and oil flows two-way ahead of FOMC. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of the prior rally (~1.3967), hovering just above the 1.39634 swing low.
Support: 1.39634, 1.39715, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39634 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.39891 prior high needed to ease downside pressure
Next-week FOMC is the dominant USD catalyst
19:16 UTC
Intraday reversal lower · RSI 36 · price 1.39656
Rejection at 1.4023, sharp leg down.
NY session printed a double top around 1.402 and sold off hard, slicing through 1.398 to a session low at 1.39634 — the move erased the entire prior rally as broad USD safe-haven flows wobbled. RSI(14) at 36 reflects the momentum flush; ATR is elevated near 92 pips on the impulsive drop.
Support: 1.39634, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39634 opens the 1.39316 swing low, then 1.3900 weekly low
Reclaim of 1.39800 needed to neutralise the rejection
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.40235 during NY hours then got slammed in a single bar down to 1.39715 as the safe-haven USD bid wobbled on oil headlines. Price now consolidates 1.39740–1.39880 with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s; the rally structure is broken short-term.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3974
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4013, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39880 then 1.40130 broken sup needed to reopen the session high
Failure to hold 1.39715 session low confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Lower high after rejection, consolidating below 1.4000.
USD/CAD ran to a session high of 1.40235 then a single-bar selloff sliced to 1.39715 during NY hours as oil whipsawed and safe-haven USD flows shifted. Price is now consolidating 1.39715-1.39880 beneath the 1.4000 round number, with RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range after the rejection.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4001, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39715 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.39316 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40010 round number reopens the 1.40235 session high
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
Pulled back from 1.4023 high, sweep of lows then recovery.
NY session pushed to a 1.40235 high before a sharp selloff swept the lows to 1.39715, with price now recovering to ~1.398. The drop unwound the safe-haven USD rally; price is consolidating below the 1.40000 round number with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39312
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 reopens 1.40125/1.40235 highs
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a lower low
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled after rejection · RSI 47 · price 1.39803
Rally rejected at highs, consolidating mid-range.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dropped it to 1.39715, with safe-haven USD bid and a soft oil tape keeping CAD pressured. Price is now consolidating around 1.398, roughly the 50% retrace of the up-move, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39312, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39880 reopens the path to the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3900 weekly low
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the near-term driver for CAD
18:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.39833
Fresh high rejected, consolidating below.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh six-month high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 1.39715 on safe-haven USD/oil flows. It's since consolidating around 1.3983, holding above session support but capped below the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 psych reopens the path to the 1.40235 session high
Loss of 1.39715 session low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.39690 6mo pivot
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.39715. It's now consolidating near 1.3983 below EMA20, RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s after the selloff.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3943, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40235 session high
Loss of 1.39715 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3900 weekly low
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Fresh cycle high then rejection, lower high forming.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 on safe-haven USD demand, then sharply rejected, dropping to 1.39715 before a partial bounce to 1.39814. Price now sits back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s after the overstretched push.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39773
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.40235 cycle high
Failure to hold the 1.39715 session low confirms a lower low
Next week's FOMC is the dominant catalyst for this read
USD/CAD ran to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 during NY hours then was sharply rejected, a single bar dumping back to 1.39715 on safe-haven USD/oil cross dynamics. RSI(14) cooled from overbought into the mid-40s; price now mid-range around 1.3981 after a partial bounce.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40015, 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39715 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40015 negates the rejection
Oil / US-Iran headlines remain the intraday driver
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, sharp pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 1.39814
Fresh cycle high then rejection back into range.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection drove price down to 1.39715, as renewed safe-haven USD/oil flows whipsawed the pair. Price has recovered to 1.39814, sitting near the 50% retrace of the prior leg up; RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s from the recent push.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3976, 1.3960
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40150 reopens the 1.40235 high
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.39600
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session ran USDCAD to a fresh ~1.4023 cycle high before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 1.39715, the safe-haven USD bid and CAD softness unwinding into the close. RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s as price now sits mid-range below a broken 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39776
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 negates the rejection read
Failure to hold 1.39715 opens a deeper retrace of the up-leg
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDCAD pushed to a fresh six-month high at 1.40235 during NY hours before a sharp single-bar rejection dropped it ~25 pips to 1.39715, with the move now pinned near the 50% fib of the 1.39316–1.40235 leg. RSI(14) cooled from overbought to ~33 as safe-haven USD demand eased; price sits back below EMA20.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39667, 1.3955
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40130 reopens the 1.40235 session high
Loss of 1.39715 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.39667
UoM Michigan sentiment (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
NY session pushed to a 1.40235 session high before a sharp rejection drove price back below the 1.4000 round number, sweeping the level and unwinding the spike on the heaviest volume of the window. The move fits the safe-haven USD bid against a soft CAD, with RSI(14) cooling off after the leg up; price now holds above the 1.39715 swing low.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3955
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40167 session high
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a lower-low
UoM sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 on safe-haven USD demand and a hot US PPI print, before the latest bar rejected and slipped back under the 1.4000 round number. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the leg stalls; the 1.3975 swing low marks the first support below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3975, 1.3957
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 resumes the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.3975 confirms a deeper pullback
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session pulled back from the 1.40235 session high after a strong London-NY rally fed by safe-haven USD demand and a hot US PPI print. Price slipped under EMA20 to 1.39934 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral; the 1.40000 round number is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3974, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40125 reopens the 1.40235 session high
Loss of 1.39740 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
No high-impact CAD events in window; oil and USD flows drive next bars
USD/CAD ran to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 through the NY session on the firm-USD/hot-PPI theme, then pulled back to consolidate around 1.4005–1.4011 holding the 1.4000 round number. Rally well clear of the 1.3969/1.3975 six-month pivot; RSI cooling from the highs with price coiling under the session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39971
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 resumes the uptrend
Failure to hold 1.40000 opens 1.39900
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Higher highs into fresh cycle high, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 before sellers capped and price slid back to 1.40003, now consolidating around 1.4010. Move is backed by a firm USD (hot 1.1% MoM PPI, safe-haven Iran flows) and a soft post-BoC CAD; RSI has cooled off the spike but holds above 50.
Support: 1.40003, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 session high extends the leg
Failure to hold 1.40003 pullback low opens a deeper retrace toward 1.39743 swing low
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after fresh high · RSI 56 · price 1.40063
Consolidation below session high.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235 on the hot US PPI print and safe-haven USD bid, then rejected back to 1.40003. Price is now consolidating in the 1.40003–1.40127 band, RSI(14) cooled from overbought toward mid-50s as the post-BoC dovish hold leaves CAD without support.
Support: 1.40003, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 opens the path toward the 1.4140 area
Loss of 1.40003 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive NY rally.
USDCAD ran a steady NY-session uptrend to a fresh cycle high at 1.40235, fuelled by safe-haven USD demand and the hot US PPI print, then pulled back and is now consolidating around 1.4005. Rejection at 1.40235 capped the move; the 1.40000 level is holding as near-term support into the late session.
Support: 1.40003, 1.39743, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 cycle high opens the path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.40003 recent low risks a deeper pullback to 1.39743
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session drove USDCAD up from ~1.3975 to a session high of 1.40235 on a firm safe-haven USD bid and soft CAD, clearing the six-month high zone. Price pulled back but held the 1.40000 round number, now consolidating 1.40000-1.40090 with RSI off its highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39979, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 session high opens the path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold the 1.40000 round number exposes the 1.39979 swing low
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Fresh high then pullback, consolidating above 1.4000.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh ~1.40235 six-month high on safe-haven USD demand and an intraday oil slump weighing on CAD, then pulled back to 1.4000. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.4000–1.4009 band with RSI cooling from the highs; the 1.4000 round level is holding so far.
Support: 1.40003, 1.4000, 1.39754
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40235 resumes the leg higher toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.40000 opens a deeper retrace to the 1.39754 swing low
US-Iran headline risk could shift this read intrabar
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh high at 1.40235 then rejected back to the 1.4000 figure as CAD stayed soft on the oil slump and a safe-haven USD bid. Price is now consolidating just above the round number, RSI(14) easing back to the low-60s after the spike.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3978, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 round number opens the path to 1.39780 swing low
Break above 1.40235 fresh high resumes the intraday uptrend
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could shift the USD safe-haven flow
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.40000 round number to a session high of 1.40235 on the US safe-haven bid and soft CAD/oil tone. Price rejected the high, dipped to retest 1.40000, and is now consolidating near 1.40080 with RSI cooling off its peak.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39979, 1.39813
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.40000 round number negates the breakout and exposes the 1.39979 pullback low
Close above 1.40235 session high extends the uptrend
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could shift the USD safe-haven flow driving this move
NY session pushed USD/CAD through the 1.40000 round number to a session high at 1.40235, extending the oil-led CAD softness toward six-month highs. Price has since pulled back to consolidate near 1.4005 with RSI(14) cooling from its highs; the 1.40000 level is now being tested as support.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39979, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout read
Close above 1.40235 opens the path toward the 1.4140 Nov high
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
Fresh high above 1.4000, shallow pullback holding.
NY session drove USDCAD above the 1.4000 round number to a fresh high of 1.40235 on the oil slump and US safe-haven bid, before sellers rejected and price eased back to 1.40000. RSI(14) has cooled from its peak but price is holding above the round number, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39979, 1.39732
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 round number and the 1.39979 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
Reclaim of 1.40235 session high reopens the path higher
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
Higher highs into 1.4023, pullback holding 1.4000.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4000 round number to a fresh high at 1.40235 on broad USD strength and the oil slump, then faded back to hold 1.40000. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.40000-1.40075 band with RSI cooling off its highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39813, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40000 round number reopens 1.39813
Break of 1.40235 session high resumes the uptrend
Loss of the rising session-low trendline flags momentum stall
NY session drove USD/CAD through the 1.40000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40235, supported by the oil slump and safe-haven USD bid. Price rejected 1.40235 and pulled back to 1.40000, which has held so far; RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.40003, 1.4000, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 opens 1.39743 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40235 session high resumes the breakout
Oil and US-Iran ceasefire headlines drive the next leg
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4000 round number to a session high at 1.40235 on broad USD safe-haven bid and an oil slump weighing on CAD, then rejected back to 1.4003. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as price holds just above the round-number breakout.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 invalidates the breakout read
Reclaim of 1.40235 reopens the path higher
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD above the 1.4000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40235 on broad USD strength and oil weakness, then pulled back to retest 1.4000. RSI(14) has cooled off its highs as price holds just above the breakout level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39979, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.39979 negates the breakout and retest
Break above 1.40235 session high opens the path higher
Light CAD calendar — direction tied to USD and oil headlines
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.39975 YTD high and the 1.40 psych level on broad USD safe-haven bid, topping at 1.40235 before pulling back to hold 1.40. RSI(14) cooling from the highs but still firm; breakout structure intact while 1.40 holds.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3982, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40235, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout and reopens 1.39820
Reclaim of 1.40235 extends the leg higher
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations could shift USD tone
Higher highs into 1.40 break, pullback in progress.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.40000 round number to a session high at 1.40235 before sellers rejected it back to the figure, USD firm on safe-haven flows while CAD stays soft. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price pins the 1.40000 handle; the broader intraday move from 1.39730 remains intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3973
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 1.40000 round number opens 1.39800 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40235 session high extends the breakout
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan Sentiment could shift the USD read
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.3998
Higher highs into fresh YTD high, late pullback.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.3970 YTD high and the 1.4000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40235 on broad USD safe-haven demand and a soft Loonie, before a sharp rejection dropped price back to 1.3998. RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the 1.3975 breakout zone is the immediate retest level.
Support: 1.39743, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.39743 keeps the breakout intact
M15 close back below 1.3970 negates the YTD-high break
Reclaim of 1.4000 round number reopens 1.40235 session high
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 61 · price 1.3998
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4000 round number to a 1.40235 session high on the broad USD safe-haven bid, then sellers rejected and price slipped back to 1.3998. RSI cooling from overbought as the breakout retests the 1.4000 handle.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4024
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 ytd high would invalidate the breakout read
Reclaim and hold above 1.4000 round number keeps the path toward 1.4024 session high open
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 74 · price 1.4016
Chain of higher highs/lows, fresh session highs.
NY session drove a clean break above the 1.4000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40235, with the loonie pressing six-month lows on broad USD strength and the oil slump. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but normal in this kind of one-way run; 1.4000 now acts as the broken level being watched for retest.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39813, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 would negate the round-number break
Failure to hold 1.39813 reopens the 1.39316 swing low
Fri Michigan Sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.4016
Fresh highs, HH/HL intact.
NY session extended the USDCAD rally to a fresh high at 1.40235, breaking the 1.4000 round number on the USD safe-haven bid and soft CAD/oil. RSI(14) running hot near 74 as price prints clean higher highs; 1.4000 now acts as the first reference below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3974
Resistance: 1.40235
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 would break the round number and put 1.39800 swing low back in play
Sustained acceleration above 1.40235 session high keeps the uptrend extending
RSI above 74 — short-term hot but normal in this trend; divergence at new highs would flag fading momentum
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 75 · price 1.40138
HH/HL chain, fresh breakout above 1.3970.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3970 YTD high and the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) hot near 75 on the oil slump and firm post-CPI/PPI USD. Price is printing fresh session highs at 1.40167 with no signs of exhaustion yet.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.40167
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 psych would mark the first failed breakout retest
A close back below 1.3970 prior high invalidates the breakout
RSI sustained above 80 on M15 flags short-term stretch
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.40138
Fresh 6-month highs, HH/HL intact.
USDCAD broke cleanly above the 1.3969 YTD high and the 1.40000 round number during NY hours, printing fresh 6-month highs at 1.40167 on the oil slump and firm post-CPI USD. RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the rally extends; pullbacks have held the 1.39800 swing area.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.40167, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 round number would signal momentum stalling
Sustained push through 1.40167 session high opens the path to 1.41400
Oil rebound through ~$95 WTI could squeeze the pair off these highs
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, fresh breakout.
USDCAD broke above the 1.3970 YTD high during NY hours and tagged 1.40167, with the firm USD and slumping oil behind the leg. Last bar pulled back to 1.40063, RSI cooling from short-term hot but structure of higher highs intact above the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3982, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40167
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.40000 round number would signal the breakout stalling
A close above 1.40167 session high extends the run toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.39743 swing low breaks the rising support
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.40063
Series of higher highs, fresh multi-month high.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3970 multi-month high as the oil slump and firm USD pressured the loonie; price printed a fresh high at 1.40167 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The 1.3969 level flipped to support after the break, and price is holding above the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3980, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.40167
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 round number would question the breakout extension
Failure to hold 1.39690 prior high signals breakout retest failure
RSI above 74 with no new high would flag stalling momentum
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, breakout above YTD high.
NY session drove USD/CAD through the 1.3970 YTD high and on to a 1.40125 session high, clearing the 1.4000 psych mark, with the leg fed by a firm safe-haven USD and soft CAD/oil backdrop. RSI(14) near 79 is hot but typical of an impulsive run; price holds well above both EMAs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.40125
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 and a slip back under 1.3970 would negate the breakout and invalidate the higher-high read
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 78 · price 1.4011
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, fresh breakout.
USDCAD ran through the 1.3970 six-month high and the 1.4000 psych mark into the NY session, USD bid on safe-haven flows and higher-for-longer Fed pricing. Steep, near-vertical advance to 1.40125 with RSI(14) hot near 78; momentum strong but stretched.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3970, 1.39743
Resistance: 1.40125, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4000 would negate the breakout and bring 1.3970 retest into play
Close above 1.40125 session high opens path toward 1.4140
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, fresh session highs.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.3970 YTD high and the 1.4000 round number to fresh 6-month highs, RSI(14) running hot near 74. The leg has held an unbroken higher-high/higher-low chain since the 1.39316 London low, underpinned by a firm USD safe-haven bid and soft CAD on the oil slump.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39813, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.40035
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40000 keeps the breakout intact and opens the 1.4140 path
Failure back below 1.3970 negates the round-number break
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, breakout above prior YTD high.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.40000 psychological mark and the prior YTD high near 1.3970, extending a clean uptrend off the 1.3931 London low as the loonie stayed pressured by softer oil. RSI(14) is hot near 76 and price sits at session highs with no rejection yet.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3970, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4005
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.39700 breakout level would void the breakout read
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD bid
Failure to hold 1.40000 round number reopens 1.3940 swing low
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.39943
Rising HH/HL into session highs.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.3970 YTD high to fresh highs near 1.4000, with USD bid into FOMC and a soft CAD on the oil slump. RSI(14) running hot around 72 as price stalls just under the 1.4000 psych mark.
Support: 1.3982, 1.39743, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39992, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 opens path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.39700 negates the breakout read
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and broke the 1.3970 6-month high, now pressing the 1.4000 round number with RSI(14) near 72. The advance is steady and one-directional off the 1.3970 retest, oil weakness and a firm USD underpinning the move.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3957, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.39992
What it said to watch
A clean break and hold above 1.4000 opens the path toward 1.4140
Loss of 1.3970 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3957
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD pricing
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh highs near 1.39965, clearing the 1.3970 YTD area as an oil slump pressured CAD. RSI(14) running hot near 74 after the late push, with price stalling just under the 1.40000 round number.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39965, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 psych opens further upside
Failure to hold 1.39800 intraday base signals momentum fading
PPI/jobless-claims fallout still in play this session
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.3970 prior high and printing fresh session highs at 1.39965 as an intraday oil slump kept the Loonie pressured. RSI(14) near 72 shows the move is extended into the 1.40000 psych cap.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3970, 1.3955
Resistance: 1.39965, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Tag of 1.40000 psych — area to watch for rejection or break
Loss of 1.39800 swing low would break the higher-high chain
Oil rebound could ease CAD pressure and fade the move
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 74 · price 1.39958
Higher highs, higher lows into 1.4000.
USDCAD ground to fresh session highs at 1.39965, pressing the 1.4000 psych cap, with the Loonie pinned by the oil-led CAD weakness flagged in the macro read. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but normal for this kind of one-way drift; the rally off 1.39316 has printed a clean chain of higher lows with the 1.39800 pivot most recently respected.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3974, 1.3960
Resistance: 1.39965, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 extends the breakout; rejection there caps the session high
Loss of 1.39740 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US PPI / jobless claims (12:30 GMT) and oil headlines are the live intraday triggers
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 74 · price 1.39958
Higher highs, higher lows into fresh session highs.
NY session rally pushed USD/CAD to fresh highs near 1.3996 as the intraday oil slump pressured the Loonie, clearing the prior 1.3970 YTD high. Price now presses the 1.4000 psych cap with RSI(14) elevated near 73 — hot but consistent with the trend.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39743, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.4000
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4000 psych extends the run toward the next round figure
Failure to hold 1.39800 swing signals momentum stalling
US PPI / jobless claims fallout could shift this read intraday
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 1.39854
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh highs.
USDCAD pushed through the 1.3970 YTD-high zone into the NY session as the Oil-pressured Loonie kept the pair bid, tagging a session high at 1.39891 before easing. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but typical in this leg; 1.3970 now flips to first support beneath the broken high.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39743, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39891
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39743 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
US PPI / jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could shift the intraday read
Failure to reclaim 1.39891 leaves the session high as a cap
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.39854
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USD/CAD ground steadily higher through the London-NY session, clearing the 1.3970 YTD high as the Oil slump pressured CAD. Price stalled into the 1.3989 session high after the 12:30 GMT US PPI/claims release, with the 1.4000 psych level just above; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.39743, 1.3973, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3989 session high opens the path to the 1.4000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.3974 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
PPI/jobless claims reaction still developing — could extend or fade the leg
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.39849
Higher highs, breakout above prior ceiling.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 1.3969 prior ceiling on a USD bid and printing a session high at 1.39891. RSI(14) near 71 flags short-term heat but momentum stays intact while price holds above the 1.39743 swing low.
Support: 1.39743, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.39690 negates the breakout and signals a failed push
1.40000 psych level — area to watch for rejection or extension
PPI/claims just released into the window could reprice the USD leg
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 70 · price 1.39849
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 1.3969 prior ceiling and tagging a session high at 1.3989 as the USD steadied post-PPI. RSI(14) near 70 and price is consolidating just under the high after the push; the uptrend's higher-low chain holds above 1.3973.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3989 opens the path to the 1.4000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.3969 prior ceiling would negate the breakout
Fresh US data / Fedspeak repricing the USD leg could shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.3979
Higher highs, holding above broken YTD high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.3969 YTD high and stalling at 1.3983; the move is USD-driven as the dollar steadies post-CPI. Price is now consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) easing back toward the mid-60s.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3969, 1.3943
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.3969 retest level would negate the breakout read
M15 close above 1.3983 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
US PPI/claims just released — surprises can shift the USD leg
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, breaking above the 1.3969 prior ceiling and printing a session high at 1.3983. RSI(14) near 63 and price consolidating just below the high suggests momentum is cooling after the run.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3955, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3983
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3955
Sustained close above 1.3983 extends the session high
US PPI / jobless claims could shift the USD leg in the next hours
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.3979
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.3969 YTD high and tagging a session high at 1.3983 before easing to 1.3979. RSI(14) near 63, cooling off the highs as the rally flattens; the prior ceiling at 1.3969 now sits as the first reference below.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3969, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3983
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read in the next bar period
Loss of 1.3969 on a close re-enters the prior range and negates the breakout
Close above 1.3983 extends the session high sequence
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 1.3979
Higher highs and higher lows, above prior YTD high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.3969 YTD-high zone and posting a session high at 1.3983 before stalling. RSI(14) near 64 leaves room before overbought; the move is USD-led as traders position ahead of US PPI.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3943, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.3974 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.3983 opens the path toward 1.4000
NY session drove USD/CAD through the 1.3969 prior high to a session high of 1.39831, then eased to 1.3977 with RSI cooling off the highs — a USD-driven move as the dollar consolidates near its YTD zone post-CPI. Breakout above the prior high holds for now, with shallow pullbacks finding bids near 1.3973.
Support: 1.39732, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.39801
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 GMT (~30m) could materially shift this read
Higher highs into fresh session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.3969 YTD-high zone and printing a session high at 1.39831 as the USD steadied post-CPI. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.3973–1.3983 range, RSI cooling from session highs toward 61; the move is USD-led rather than CAD strength.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3955, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.3969
What it said to watch
PPI release 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.39730 voids the consolidation and exposes 1.39550
Hold above 1.39690 keeps the broken YTD-high zone as support
Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback holding.
NY hours drove USD/CAD through the 1.3969 YTD high to a 1.3983 session top, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Pullback held 1.3973 with the broken ceiling now acting as support; move is USD-driven ahead of US PPI.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 GMT (~45m) could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3940
NY hours extended the London rally, tagging a session high at 1.39831 above the 1.3969 prior-ceiling, a USD-driven move as the dollar paused pre-PPI. Price has since eased to consolidate around 1.39770 with RSI cooling from the climb; the 1.39730 swing low has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3960, 1.3945
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.3990
What it said to watch
US PPI / jobless claims at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close below 1.39730 breaks the rising-low chain and opens 1.39600
A push through 1.39831 reopens the 1.39900 round number
NY session drove a clean HH/HL grind off 1.39316 to a session high at 1.39831, with the 1.39550 prior high flipping to support on the breakout. Price is now easing to 1.39735 with RSI cooling from its highs ahead of US PPI.
Support: 1.39733, 1.3955, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
US PPI ~1h away (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.39733 swing low opens a deeper pullback toward 1.39550 prior high
Reclaim of 1.39831 session high resumes the uptrend
Higher highs/lows, pulling back from session high.
NY session extended the grind higher, breaking above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling to a session high at 1.39831 before easing back to 1.39735. The pullback is holding above the broken 1.3969 level, which now sits as support; RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 invalidates the breakout retest
US PPI ~1h away could materially shift the USD leg
Acceptance above 1.39831 opens continuation of the uptrend
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 1.3974
Higher highs into session high, pulling back.
London-NY rally pushed USDCAD through the 1.3969 YTD high to a 1.3983 session high, the move USD-led as the buck firms post-CPI. Price now consolidating at 1.3974 with RSI cooling off its highs; the broken 1.3969 level is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3983
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout and puts price back in the prior range
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 1.3974
Higher highs into session high, minor pullback.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.3969 YTD high to a 1.39831 session high, a USD-driven grind as CAD stays structurally soft post dovish BoC hold. Price now retesting the 1.3969 breakout level with RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout and reopens 1.3940
US PPI ~2h away (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg
NY session drove a steady climb that broke above the 1.3969 prior ceiling, tagging a session high at 1.3983 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Momentum is fading into the last few bars as USD pauses ahead of PPI.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
US PPI ~2h away could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout
Failure to hold 1.3973 confirms a near-term lower-high
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 1.39785
HH/HL chain, broke prior YTD high.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.3969 YTD high in a steady USD-driven grind, printing a session high at 1.39831 with RSI(14) around 71. The advance is one-directional with shallow pullbacks; pair consolidating just under the high into the final hour.
Support: 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39831
What it said to watch
US PPI in ~2h could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.3969 reopens the prior range and negates the breakout
RSI above 71 leaves limited room before short-term overbought stall
Chain of higher highs/lows, pressing session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours, clearing the 1.3969 prior high and printing a session high at 1.39831 as the USD leg firmed pre-PPI. RSI(14) near 73 shows momentum hot but not yet stretched; price hugging the highs into the 1.40000 psych level.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3969, 1.39568
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.4000
What it said to watch
US PPI in ~2h could materially shift this USD-driven read
Close above 1.40000 psych extends the uptrend
Failure to hold 1.39690 prior high signals a lower-high
USDCAD ran a steady NY-session uptrend, clearing the 1.3969 prior ceiling and pressing the session high at 1.39831, RSI(14) hot near 72. The leg is USD-led ahead of US PPI; pullbacks have held the 1.39730 swing low so far.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39549, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.4000
What it said to watch
US PPI in ~2h could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.39730 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.39831 opens the 1.40000 psych level
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London into the NY run-up, taking out the prior session high and printing a fresh high at 1.39831 with RSI(14) hot near 75. The move is USD-driven into US PPI rather than CAD weakness; higher lows intact above 1.39730.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39352
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.3990
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.39730 breaks the higher-low chain
RSI near 75 leaves limited room before stalling at the 1.39900 area
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 74 · price 1.39821
Clean HH/HL chain off 1.3904 low.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, posting a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.3904 low to a session high at 1.39823, RSI(14) running hot near 74. Move is USD-led retracement stalling rather than CAD strength; price is pressing the session high with the 1.4000 psych level above.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39549, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.39823, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39730 pullback low breaks the HH/HL chain
M15 close above 1.39823 opens the path to the 1.4000 psych level
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3969 prior ceiling, with USDCAD printing fresh highs at 1.39823 as the USD steadied post-CPI. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with a trending leg; a stair-step of higher lows from 1.39316 remains intact.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39823
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39730 breaks the higher-low chain
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 73 · price 1.39782
Rising HH/HL chain, breakout above prior high.
NY session pushed USD/CAD through the 1.3969 YTD high to a session high at 1.39801, USD staying firm post-CPI ahead of PPI. Momentum is one-directional with RSI(14) hot near 73; the prior ceiling at 1.3969 now acts as the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3950, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39801, 1.4000
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below 1.3969 turns the breakout into a failed retest
Hold above 1.39801 opens the path toward 1.4000
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.39782
Higher highs, higher lows; fresh session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.3969 prior high and printing a session high at 1.39801 as the USD held firm post-CPI. The move is USD-led with RSI(14) near 72 — hot but not extreme — and price riding above both EMAs. Pullbacks into 1.39733 have been shallow so far.
Support: 1.39733, 1.39648, 1.3969
Resistance: 1.39801
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39801 extends the session high break
Loss of 1.39690 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
USDCAD pushed through the 1.3969 YTD ceiling during the London session, printing a session high at 1.3980 with RSI(14) hot near 72. Move sits with the firm USD tone; the prior ceiling now acts as the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3955, 1.3935
Resistance: 1.39801, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.39690 on retest negates the breakout
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.39801 opens the path toward 1.4000
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.39758
Rising HH/HL, broke above 1.3969 ceiling.
London session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, tagging 1.3980 with RSI(14) running hot near 72. Price is pulling back into the broken level — 1.3969 now flips to support, with no follow-through above 1.3980 yet.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3943
Resistance: 1.39801
What it said to watch
Hold of broken 1.3969 ceiling keeps the breakout intact; loss of it signals a false break
US PPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) could materially move this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 79 · price 1.39776
Higher highs/higher lows, breakout above range.
NY session ran a clean breakout above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, USD/CAD pressing fresh highs at 1.39801 on the firmer dollar tone. RSI(14) near 79 is overbought but normal in this kind of trending push; 1.3969 now flips to first support on any retest.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3957, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.39801
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3969 negates the breakout and signals a retest failure
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.39776
Higher highs into fresh breakout.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, with a clean chain of higher highs as the firm USD tone post-CPI carried through. RSI(14) running hot near 74 into the 1.3980 session high; the prior ceiling at 1.3969 now flips to first support on any retest.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3935, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39801
What it said to watch
A hold above 1.3969 on a pullback keeps the breakout intact
Loss of 1.3935 swing low would mark the first lower-low and stall the run
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially extend or reverse this move
USDCAD ground higher through the London session and cleared the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, now printing 1.3978 with RSI(14) near 79 — short-term hot. CAD stays soft after the dovish BoC hold; the breakout above 1.3969 holds for now with no retest yet.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3942, 1.3900
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.3969 reverts to a false break of the ceiling
Loss of 1.3942 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, with USD broadly firm into PPI. RSI(14) near 74 — hot but consistent with the run; session high printed at 1.39801.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3955, 1.3943
Resistance: 1.39801, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3969 keeps the breakout intact; failure back below reopens 1.3955
1.40000 psych level is the next overhead area to watch for rejection or break
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 77 · price 1.39757
Breakout, fresh session highs.
Price pushed through the 1.3969 YTD ceiling during NY hours, printing fresh session highs at 1.3976 as USD firmed into PPI. RSI(14) near 77 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; 1.3969 now flips to a retest reference.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3969 on a close back inside fails the breakout
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.3980 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
USDCAD broke the 1.3969 YTD ceiling during London hours and printed fresh highs into 1.3976, RSI(14) running hot near 76. The grind higher fits the dovish-BoC backdrop, with no domestic data to offset; breakout level now flips to first support.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3969 on a close negates the breakout and signals a false break
US PPI + claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove a clean break above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, USDCAD printing 1.3973 with RSI(14) hot near 79 and ATR tight around 5 pips. The advance off the 1.3935 base has held a rising low chain; 1.3969 now flips to a retest reference.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3940, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.3969 on a pullback negates the breakout and reopens 1.3940
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, CAD soft after the dovish BoC hold; price printed 1.3973 with RSI(14) hot near 76. The last 12 bars are an uninterrupted HH/HL chain — no pullback yet to test the broken level.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3935, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3969 on a retest would reframe the break as a false break
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
RSI(14) above 76 leaves the move extended into the round-number 1.4000 zone
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing into resistance · RSI 74 · price 1.39677
Higher highs, testing YTD ceiling.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.3935–1.3940 range and pressing the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, with CAD soft after Wednesday's dovish BoC hold. RSI(14) near 74 — hot but normal in this leg; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.3950 on the climb.
Support: 1.39501, 1.39383, 1.3935
Resistance: 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3969 opens the path toward the 1.4140 area
Rejection at 1.3969 puts the 1.39383 breakout zone back in focus
Oil/Middle East headlines remain the main CAD swing factor
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing into ceiling · RSI 75 · price 1.39677
Higher highs into 1.3969 YTD ceiling.
NY session staged a clean run from the 1.39316 session low up to the 1.3969 YTD ceiling, USD/CAD now stalling one tick below it with RSI(14) hot near 74. CAD remains soft post-dovish BoC hold; price sits right at the immediate resistance that has capped the pair this week.
Support: 1.39549, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3969, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3969 opens the path toward the 1.4140 Nov high
Rejection at 1.3969 with a drop back under 1.39549 stalls the rally
Oil/WTI headlines remain the main CAD offset to this grind higher
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 75 · price 1.39674
Higher highs, pressing six-month high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.3955 breakout up into the 1.3969 six-month high, RSI(14) hot near 74 with CAD soft after the dovish BoC hold. Price stalling right at the highs after a clean rally from the prior swing low at 1.3940.
Support: 1.3955, 1.3940, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3969, 1.4140
What it said to watch
A close above 1.3969 opens the path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.3955 reopens the 1.3940 swing low and 1.3900 EMA
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
London session pushed USDCAD up in a clean leg from 1.39316 toward the 1.3969 six-month high, RSI(14) hot near 73 on the back of a firm USD after hot May CPI. Demand stepped in repeatedly through the late Asia-London transition and the breakout above 1.39549 has held.
Support: 1.39549, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3969, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3969 opens the grind toward 1.4140
US PPI 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.39549 breakout area would stall the upmove
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing range high · RSI 73 · price 1.39628
HH/HL chain into six-month high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, stacking higher highs from the 1.39316 session low toward the 1.3969 six-month high, with RSI(14) near 72 and price extended above EMA20/50. CAD remains soft post-BoC hold; the rally is testing the top of the recent range.
Support: 1.3955, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3969
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.3969 opens path toward 1.4140
Failure to clear 1.3969 and loss of 1.3955 signals rejection at the range high
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London open, USD firm after hot May CPI cemented higher-for-longer pricing, and the pair is now testing the session high at 1.39636 just below the 1.3969 six-month high. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but typical of this kind of trend leg; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.39501 on the way up.
Support: 1.39501, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39636, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3969 opens the path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.39501 marks the first lower-low of this leg
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing range highs · RSI 73 · price 1.39617
HH/HL chain, breakout intact.
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, pressing toward the 1.3969 six-month high with RSI(14) hot near 73. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.3930 and the mid-session range broke clean to the upside; backdrop is a firm USD above 100 DXY after the hot May CPI print.
Support: 1.39419, 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3969 six-month high opens the path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold the 1.39419 breakout level questions the move
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing range high · RSI 74 · price 1.39617
Higher highs into 1.3969.
London session drove a clean leg from 1.3935 up to 1.3962, now grinding into the 1.3969 six-month high with USD firm on hot CPI. RSI(14) running hot near 73 as the move extends without a meaningful pullback yet.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3969 opens a grind toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.3950 risks a fade back toward the 1.39316 session low
London session pushed USDCAD out of the 1.3935-1.3950 range to a session high at 1.39593, USD firm into today's PPI. RSI(14) near 73, short-term hot but consistent with the trend; 1.39450 breakout base now the nearest reference below.
Support: 1.3945, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39593, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39593 opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.39450 returns price into the prior range
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke its London-session range higher over the last two hours, printing a fresh session high near 1.3959 with RSI(14) running hot around 70. CAD stays soft post-BoC hold while the dollar holds firm; price now grinds toward the 1.3969 six-month high.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3939, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39593, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3969 six-month high opens grind toward 1.4140
Loss of 1.3950 recent base returns price into the prior range
Higher highs into session high, fresh push above 1.3955.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the prior 1.3935-1.3950 consolidation and posting a fresh session high at 1.39593 with RSI(14) running hot near 73. CAD stays soft post-BoC hold; the move is approaching the 1.3969 six-month high.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39316, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39593, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Break of 1.39593 opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39400 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.39574
Higher highs into London, new session high.
USDCAD broke out of the 1.3935-1.3940 consolidation during London hours, printing a fresh session high at 1.3959 with RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme. CAD stays soft post-BoC hold while DXY holds 100.00; price now grinds toward the 1.3969 six-month high.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39593, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Break of 1.3969 six-month high opens a grind higher
Loss of 1.3940 prior range would negate the breakout
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.3956, breaking above the 1.3950 shelf after a long grind near 1.3937; CAD stays soft post-BoC. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but normal in a trend, with the 1.3969 six-month high the next overhead level.
Support: 1.3945, 1.39316
Resistance: 1.39562, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3969 six-month high opens path toward 1.4140
Failure to hold 1.3945 breakout shelf returns price into the prior range
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 72 · price 1.39559
Higher highs, breaking range top.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.39562 in late-London trade, RSI(14) running near 71 as USD holds firm post-CPI and CAD stays pinned near YTD lows. The grind cleared the 1.39500 pivot cleanly; momentum hot but not yet stretched into extreme territory ahead of the 1.39690 six-month high.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39562, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.39690 opens the path toward the broader range objective
Loss of 1.39500 reopens the 1.39316 swing low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London opened with a clean break above the 1.39300–1.39400 range that capped through Asia, tagging a fresh session high at 1.39513 with USD firm near two-month highs. RSI(14) ~67, elevated but short of extreme; price is grinding up off the NY low at 1.39038.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39513, 1.3969
What it said to watch
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break above 1.39690 6mo high opens the next leg higher
Loss of 1.39400 prior high would put the breakout back inside range
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.39499
Higher lows, pressing session high.
Asia and early-London hours pushed USDCAD up to a fresh session high of 1.39513, breaking the 1.39500 area with RSI(14) running hot near 70. CAD stays soft after the neutral-dovish BoC hold, with spot grinding toward the 1.3969 six-month high; buyers have defended the rising 1.39316 sequence repeatedly.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39513, 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39513 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.39316 breaks the higher-low sequence
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke out of the tight 1.3935-1.3950 range that held through the Asian session, pushing to a session high of 1.3951 into the London morning as USD stays firm near two-month highs. RSI(14) near 71 with price now eyeing the 1.3969 six-month high; the 1.3940 prior range top is the first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.3940, 1.3932, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3951, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3969 six-month high opens the grind toward 1.4140
Loss of 1.3940 prior range puts the breakout in doubt, exposing 1.3932 swing low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 1.3950
Rising lows, breaking prior session high.
London session pushed USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.3950, clearing the prior 1.39499 high as the broader USD bid holds near two-month highs. RSI(14) running hot near 71 on the break; rising-low structure intact from the 1.39038 session low.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39509, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39316 would break the rising-low sequence
Acceptance above 1.39509 opens the 1.3969 six-month high
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.39316 swing low and broke back above 1.3942 on the last two bars, pressing the 1.39499 session high with RSI(14) in the mid-60s. CAD stays soft post-BoC hold; the six-month high at 1.3969 is the upside reference, with rising lows intact through the Asia-into-London transition.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 breaks the rising-low chain
US PPI + claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Recovering, grinding toward range top · RSI 63 · price 1.39469
Range with rising lows into resistance.
USDCAD recovered from the session-low flush to 1.39044 and has spent the last several hours grinding inside 1.39316–1.39499, with the latest bar pushing back toward the range top. RSI(14) near 63 and price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.39499 range high caps for now ahead of the 1.3969 six-month high.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.39316 reopens the session low at 1.39044
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, now consolidating · RSI 58 · price 1.3943
Range near session highs after rebound.
USDCAD spiked down to 1.3904 during NY hours around the US CPI print, then recovered and is consolidating tightly between 1.3932 and 1.3950 into the London open. RSI(14) neutral-firm near 58 and ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips — no setup in play within the range.
Support: 1.3932, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 session high reopens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3932 range low exposes the 1.3904 swing low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this compression
06:02 UTC
Range, micro-uptrend off lows · RSI 60 · price 1.3943
Consolidating below session highs after NY-session drop recovered.
USDCAD is grinding up through the Asia session from the 1.3932 swing low toward 1.3945, holding inside a 1.3932–1.3950 range after the NY-session flush to 1.3899 was bought back. RSI(14) near 60 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — quiet, range-bound development ahead of London.
Support: 1.3932, 1.3915, 1.3899
Resistance: 1.3945, 1.3950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 invalidates the range top and opens 1.3969
Failure to hold 1.3932 reopens the downside toward 1.3899
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this quiet range
Asian session grinding in a tight 1.3935-1.3940 band after recovering off the 1.39038 spike low, with CAD still soft following the neutral BoC hold. RSI neutral near 53, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.3945, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39450 reopens the 1.39499 session high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low reopens the downside toward 1.39038
US PPI + Initial Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
05:46 UTC
Range, drifting flat · RSI 53 · price 1.39392
Consolidation near session highs.
Pre-London, USDCAD is consolidating in a tight band between 1.39316 and the 1.39499 session high after recovering from the 1.39038 dip. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed around 5-6 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward range highs
Break below 1.39316 exposes the 1.39038 session low
US PPI + Initial Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Rangebound after recovery · RSI 47 · price 1.3937
Coiling in 1.3931-1.3950 band.
A sharp NY-session drop to 1.3899 yesterday was fully retraced, with price climbing back to 1.3950 before coiling in a tight 1.3931-1.3950 band through the Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has compressed near 5 pips — no directional structure in play, price drifting just under the recent high.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3950 range high opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3931 range low exposes the 1.3900 prior low
US PPI + Initial Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
05:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.3937
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.3931-1.3950 range during a quiet Asia session, coiling just under 1.3940 after recovering off the 1.3904 low. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3904
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3940
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 high
Loss of 1.3931 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.3904
US PPI + Initial Claims at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
05:16 UTC
Range, drifting mid-range · RSI 46 · price 1.3935
Consolidation between 1.3931 and 1.3950 after recovery off 1.3899.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3931-1.3950 after recovering from the 1.3899 low printed during yesterday's US CPI reaction. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and price is hugging the EMA20/50 cluster, no setup in play through the late Asia session.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3931 swing low exposes the 1.3900 area
US PPI + Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
05:16 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 46 · price 1.3935
Consolidation 1.3930–1.3950 after recovery off session low.
USDCAD coiling in a tight 1.3930–1.3950 band through the Asia session after recovering off the 1.3899 session low. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range; no directional follow-through and the 1.3950 session high still caps.
Support: 1.3932, 1.3899
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 opens a test of the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.3932 exposes the 1.3899 session low
US PPI + Initial Claims at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
Consolidating below recent session high after recovery from 1.3904.
USDCAD is grinding sideways near 1.3938 in the Asia session, holding the upper half of the 1.3904–1.3950 range carved out overnight after the BoC hold. Price recovered the 1.3904 flush back toward the session high, with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressing — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.3904
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low confirms a lower-low back toward 1.3904
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
05:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 52 · price 1.39383
Tight consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.3937–1.3940 band through the Asia-into-London handover, holding the upper half of the bounce from the 1.39044 session low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with no momentum extreme; price has not retested either the 1.39499 session high or the 1.39316 swing low.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.3945, 1.39499
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the six-month high near 1.3969
Loss of 1.39316 reopens the 1.39044 session low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Asia session, USDCAD is consolidating just under the 1.39400 intraday cap after recovering the London selloff that bottomed at 1.38989. Twin rejections at the 1.39499 session high have boxed price in; RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to roughly 3 pips, a tight range with no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39237, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low reopens the 1.38989 spike low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
04:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.39374
Consolidating in Asian session after recovery off 1.3899.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3931–1.3950 through the Asian session after recovering from the 1.3899 swing low set earlier. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed; price is pinned to its EMAs with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Break below 1.3931 exposes the 1.3900 swing low
US PPI / jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Quiet Asia session, USDCAD ranging tightly 1.3935–1.3940 after recovering from the 1.3904 spike low during the prior session. RSI(14) neutral near 55; broader 1.3932–1.3950 band intact with the 1.3969 six-month high still untested above.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the 1.3969 pivot
Loss of 1.39316 swing low breaks the recovery structure
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
04:31 UTC
Range after recovery off session low · RSI 51 · price 1.39383
Balancing between 1.3931 and 1.3950 in Asia.
USDCAD sold off to a session low at 1.3904 during London-NY hours before buyers reclaimed the move back to 1.3950. Asia hours now consolidating around 1.3938, mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3904
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3950 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3931 reopens the 1.3904 session low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCAD is consolidating in a tight 1.3931–1.3950 band through the Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 52, after a sharp NY-session flush to 1.3899 was fully recovered. Price sits right on the EMA20 with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3900, 1.3899
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high pivot
Loss of 1.3931 session low exposes the 1.3900 round number
USDCAD chopping in a 1.3900–1.3950 range after a sharp dip to 1.39038 during London hours and a recovery into the prior 1.3949 area. Price now drifting around 1.3938 in thin Asia liquidity, RSI neutral near 53; the 1.3969 six-month high remains the pivot overhead.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3950 puts the 1.3969 six-month high back in play
Loss of 1.39316 reopens the 1.39038 session low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
04:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.39386
Ranging after rebound from 1.3904.
USDCAD washed out to 1.3904 mid-window then recovered to the 1.3950 session high, and is now ranging 1.3932–1.3950 through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 53; price coiling just under the 1.3950 cap with the 1.3969 six-month high still the macro pivot above.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 reactivates the move back toward the 1.3904 session low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDCAD is consolidating near 1.3939 in early Asia hours after pulling back off the 1.3950 overnight high; price ranges roughly 1.39316–1.39499 with RSI(14) flat near 53. No directional setup in play — the broader context has spot sitting below the 1.3969 six-month pivot post dovish-hold BoC.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens a retest of the 1.3969 pivot
Failure to hold 1.39316 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.39354
Range-bound between 1.3930 and 1.3950.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3930–1.3950 after a London/NY dip to 1.3904 was bought back; the 1.3950 session high has capped twice. Price is now drifting lower in the Asia session, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no momentum either way.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.3904
Reclaim of 1.3950 brings the 1.3969 six-month high into play
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
03:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.39354
Consolidation after recovery off the dip.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3932–1.3950 through the Asia session after a sharp London-NY dip to 1.38989 found buyers and the pair recovered to the 1.39499 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with price hugging the EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39181, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the session high and the 1.3969 six-month high above it
Loss of 1.39316 swing low exposes the 1.39181 prior low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
03:31 UTC
Range, drifting mid · RSI 52 · price 1.39375
Consolidating after recovery off session low.
Asia session is grinding sideways between 1.39312 and the 1.39499 session high after the London-NY recovery off the 1.38990 low. RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR cooled to ~28 pips with the last bar barely ticking — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39312, 1.3899
Resistance: 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39312 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.38990
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
03:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.39375
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD swept the session low to 1.38989 before recovering the full leg to 1.39499, and has since coiled into a tight 1.39316–1.39448 range through the Asian session. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with price pinned around the EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39448, 1.39499
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39448 reopens the 1.39499 session high
Loss of 1.39316 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.38989
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
03:16 UTC
Range, minor recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.39391
Consolidation, rising lows into Asia.
Asian session grinding in a 1.3932–1.3945 range after the NY-session flush to 1.39038 was fully bought back. Rising intraday lows since 1.39316 keep price hugging EMA20, RSI neutral near 54 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 session high reopens the path toward the 1.3969 pivot
Loss of 1.39316 swing low reopens downside toward the 1.39038 session low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
Range after recovery off session low, higher lows building.
USDCAD recovered from the London-NY spike low at 1.38989 and is consolidating around 1.3940 in thin Asia hours, holding below the 1.39499 session high. Higher lows have built off 1.39316 but RSI(14) sits flat near 54, no momentum extension yet.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39183, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 breaks the rising-low sequence
US PPI/claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.39381
Range-bound mid-band after bounce from 1.3899.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3932–1.3950 after recovering from the 1.3899 London low. Price sits mid-band into the close, RSI(14) neutral near 52; range top at 1.3950 still capping, 1.39316 swing low holding underneath.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low reopens the 1.3904–1.3900 area
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
03:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 1.39381
Consolidation inside intraday range.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in thin Asian-session liquidity, hugging the lower half of the 1.3932–1.3950 range after the London drop to 1.39038 was fully recovered. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range — no momentum, consolidating sub-1.3969 in line with the post-BoC tone.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.3945, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39450 reopens the session high at 1.39499
Loss of 1.39316 puts the 1.39038 session low back in play
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the range
02:46 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.39364
Ranging mid-band after recovery off 1.3899.
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.3932-1.3950 through a quiet Asian session, holding well above the 1.3899 low swept during yesterday's London-NY hours on the soft US core CPI print. RSI sits neutral and volume has thinned into the session; price idling between the two EMAs with no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 reopens the 1.3899 session low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
02:46 UTC
Ranging, mid-range drift · RSI 49 · price 1.39364
Consolidation between 1.3931 and 1.3950.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3899 session low and tagged 1.3950 before fading back to mid-range near 1.3936, RSI(14) flat around 49. Asian session is rotating inside 1.3931–1.3950 with no clean break either side; the 1.3969 six-month high stays the upside pivot.
Support: 1.39316, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3931 swing low reverts price toward 1.3899
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
Consolidation off session high, holding above intraday support.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.39038 spike low back to the 1.39499 session high, then drifted lower through the Asian session to 1.39377. Price now sits mid-range below EMA20; the 1.39316 swing low capped the pullback while the 1.39499 session high capped the bounce.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.39038 spike low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Choppy, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 1.39377
Range-bound after intraday flush and recovery.
USDCAD flushed to 1.3904 during the prior session then recovered to print a 1.3950 high before easing into the 1.3930s; price now grinds in a 1.3932–1.3950 band. No high-impact CAD data nearby — direction tracks oil and US PPI later today.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 reasserts the downside toward 1.3904
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift the dollar leg
02:16 UTC
Ranging, mild downtick · RSI 47 · price 1.39355
Consolidation under session high.
Ranging through the Asian session between 1.39316 and the 1.3950 session high after the CPI-driven dip to 1.38989 was bought back. RSI(14) neutral near 46 with price pinned to its EMAs — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39316, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39500 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 exposes the 1.38989 window low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.39355
Consolidation under 1.3950 after rejection.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3932-1.3950 after rejection at the 1.3950 swing high during the London-NY session, with price now drifting lower into Asia and sitting below EMA20/50. The 1.3969 six-month high remains the pivot overhead; RSI(14) near 43 reflects the soft intraday tone.
Support: 1.39316, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 swing high opens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39316 swing low confirms a lower low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Ranging, recent downtick · RSI 42 · price 1.39325
Consolidation under session high, lower high printed.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.3905-1.3950 after a dovish-hold BoC, with rejection at the 1.3950 session high pulling price back to 1.3932 into the Asia session. Momentum has cooled, RSI(14) near 42, and price sits below both intraday EMAs after the recent lower high.
Support: 1.3931, 1.3905
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.3969 6mo high
Loss of 1.3931 swing low exposes the 1.3905 session low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 42 · price 1.39325
Drifting off intraday highs, below EMAs.
NY hours swept down to 1.38989 yesterday before a recovery into the 1.394-1.39499 zone, which has since capped. Asia session is drifting lower, price slipping back under EMA20/50 and now resting on the 1.39312 recent low with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.39312, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39312 opens the path back toward 1.38989
Reclaim of 1.394 negates the pullback read
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovery fading, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.39337
Rallied off session low, rejected sub-1.3950, retracing.
USDCAD recovered the full London-NY slide back toward 1.39499 but stalled there and rolled over; CAD found a firmer footing as soft US core CPI failed to extend the USD bid after the BoC hold. Asia hours are fading the move, now sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the recovery around 1.3930, RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39448
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39316 swing low opens a deeper retrace toward the session low
Reclaim of the 1.39499 session high resumes the recovery leg
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 42 · price 1.39337
Rangebound ~1.3930-1.3950, near lower edge.
Asia session has USDCAD drifting back toward the session low at 1.39316 after a rejection from 1.39499 during the prior NY hours, where soft US core CPI capped the dollar. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price slipping below EMA20 — choppy, no clean setup, just a fade within the 1.3930-1.3950 band.
Support: 1.39316, 1.39038
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3945
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39316 opens the path toward 1.39040 day low
Reclaim of 1.39450 needed to retest 1.39499 recent high
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Range, rolling over off highs · RSI 42 · price 1.39316
Recovered then faded back to session lows.
USDCAD slid through the NY session to 1.38989 as soft US core CPI capped the dollar, then recovered into 1.39499 before rolling over. Asian hours have faded it back to 1.39316, slipping under the 1.39400 prior support on thin volume.
Support: 1.39253, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39499
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39253 opens the path toward the 1.38989 session low
Reclaim of 1.39400 negates the fade back into the upper range
01:31 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39316
Ranging 1.3924–1.3950 after recovery off session low.
USDCAD rejected the 1.3950 session high and rolled back toward the middle of the day's range, now 1.39316 with RSI(14) sub-42. Pair remains boxed between 1.3924 and 1.3950 through the Asia session after recovering off the 1.3899 low; BoC hold and soft US core CPI kept the loonie firm and capped the upside.
Support: 1.39237, 1.3904
Resistance: 1.3945, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39237 reopens the 1.3904 session low
Reclaim of 1.39450 puts the 1.3950 session high back in play
US PPI + jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Ranging, recent leg lower into Asia · RSI 41 · price 1.39325
Range between 1.3900 and 1.3950, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.38989 dip back to the 1.39499 range top, where price was rejected before easing through the Asia session. Thin late-Asia liquidity (single-digit volume bars) with price now drifting back to 1.3932, below EMA20/50 and mid-range.
Support: 1.3918, 1.3904, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39499
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39180 opens the path to the session low at 1.39040
Close above 1.39499 breaks the range top
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Range, rolling over from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39325
Rejection at 1.3950, sliding back into range.
Price was capped twice at the 1.3950 session high and has rolled back to 1.39325 during Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling near 42. The 1.39038 range low from the earlier flush remains the downside reference; structure is a contained range with supply at 1.3950.
Support: 1.3904, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.3950
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3904 opens path toward 1.3900
Reclaim of 1.3950 negates the rejection
US PPI + jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 44 · price 1.39391
Consolidation after NY recovery off 1.3899.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.3920–1.3950 through the Asia session after NY bought the dip from the 1.3899 swing low, a move tied to the softer US core CPI capping the dollar. Price is grinding back toward the range floor with RSI(14) neutral near 43 and ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 1.3920, 1.3900, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Break below 1.3920 puts the 1.3900 psych level and 1.3899 swing low back in play
01:02 UTC
Range after recovery, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39391
Consolidation between 1.3928 and 1.3950.
USDCAD bounced off 1.38989 during NY hours after the soft US core CPI print capped the dollar, then recovered to 1.39499 twice without breaking. Asia session is holding a tight range, now slipping back to 1.39391 below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 1.3928, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.39529
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 invalidates the double-top read, opening 1.3953 then the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.39280 swing low exposes the 1.3900 session low
US PPI + claims later today could break this Asian range
00:46 UTC
Ranging after recovery, flat · RSI 48 · price 1.39418
Tight Asia range below session high.
USDCAD is consolidating in a tight 1.3940-1.3950 band through the Asia session after recovering the sharp dip to 1.38989 that printed during prior NY hours on the soft US core CPI miss. Price is hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 48 — no momentum either way, and the 1.3969 six-month high still caps overhead.
Support: 1.39391, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3954
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Break below 1.39391 exposes the 1.38989 swing low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:46 UTC
Range after intraday recovery · RSI 50 · price 1.39418
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3899 dip and is now grinding sideways in a tight 1.3940–1.3950 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 50. The soft US core CPI and the priced-in BoC hold left the pair capped below the 1.39499 session high with the 1.3969 six-month high overhead.
Support: 1.39391, 1.39044
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the 1.3969 six-month high
Failure to hold 1.39391 exposes the 1.39044 swing low
US PPI + jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:31 UTC
Ranging after recovery, drifting · RSI 47 · price 1.39419
Consolidation inside 1.3940-1.3950.
Asia session is thin and range-bound, with USDCAD drifting around 1.3942 after recovering from the 1.3899 dip back into the 1.3940-1.3950 band. CAD firmed modestly after the soft US core CPI failed to lift the dollar, pulling the pair off the 1.3969 six-month high. No setup in play; price coiling under session-high resistance.
Support: 1.3939, 1.3899
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the path to the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.3939 swing low risks a slide back toward the 1.3899 session low
US PPI later today could break the range once liquidity returns
00:31 UTC
Recovered, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.39419
Range near session highs after V-recovery.
USDCAD sank to 1.38989 during NY hours then carved a rounded recovery back to the 1.39499 session high; price now drifts in a tight 1.39390-1.39499 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with momentum flat after the bounce.
Support: 1.3939, 1.3929, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 session high opens the path toward the 1.39690 six-month high
Loss of 1.39390 swing low reopens the 1.39290 swing low
No high-impact USD/CAD data imminent; oil headlines drive the next leg
USDCAD slid to a session low of 1.38989 during NY hours as soft US core CPI denied the dollar bid, then clawed back through the Asia session on rising lows. Now coiling between 1.39391 and the 1.39499 range top, RSI mid-range near 53 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.39391, 1.39181, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the 1.3969 6-mo high
Failure to hold 1.39391 reopens the 1.39181 prior low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD slid to a session low of 1.38989 during NY hours as soft US core CPI clipped the dollar bid, then ground back into the 1.3942–1.3950 zone on a chain of higher lows. Price is now consolidating below the 1.39499 session high in thin Asian-session trade, RSI flattening near mid-range.
Support: 1.3939, 1.3929, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39499 session high opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of rising support / 1.39290 swing low confirms a lower low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating near range top after intraday rebound.
NY session swept down to 1.38989 around 13:30 UTC as soft US core CPI failed to extend the USD bid, then price recovered steadily into the London-NY transition. Now ranging 1.39391–1.39499 through thin Asia hours, RSI near neutral with price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 1.39391, 1.39222, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 reopens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39391 reasserts the downside and exposes 1.39222
PPI + Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.39437
Intraday range after V-recovery.
USDCAD sold off to 1.38990 during NY hours then V-recovered to 1.39499 as soft US core CPI failed to extend the dollar bid. Now ranging 1.39390-1.39499 in thin Asia hours, RSI neutral near 52.
Support: 1.3939, 1.39253, 1.38989
Resistance: 1.39499, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39499 opens the path toward the 1.3969 six-month high
Loss of 1.39390 exposes the 1.39253 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read