USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.3995 and is now consolidating around 1.3992 on thin Asia-session volume, capped just under the 1.4000 psych level. Weak oil after the US-Iran deal is underpinning the pair despite a broadly softer dollar; the 1.40-1.41 congestion ceiling is the obvious overhead zone.
Support: 1.3983, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 psych opens the path into 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39830 swing low risks a slide toward the 1.39700 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.3995, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the European/NY sessions and stalled just under 1.3995, with the late Asia bars flattening on thin volume against the 1.40000 psych level. USD softness on the US-Iran deal is offset by weak oil capping CAD, leaving price coiled near the session high with RSI moderating.
Support: 1.3984, 1.39735, 1.39516
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39840 consolidation exposes the 1.39735 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.39953 session high, capped just below the 1.40000 psych level as the weak-oil/soft-CAD theme offsets a broadly softer USD. Now flat near 1.3992 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) mid-60s with no fresh extreme.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 psych opens the path higher
Failure to hold the 1.39700 swing low breaks the rising support
Grinding higher into 1.40 ceiling, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY toward the 1.40 round number, now stalling in thin Asia-session trade just below the 1.39953 high as the broadly soft USD met capped CAD on weak oil. Price is consolidating in a tight band on fading volume, RSI mid-60s.
Support: 1.3984, 1.39735
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens room toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion zone
Loss of 1.39840 swing low breaks the rising sequence
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, grind into 1.40 · RSI 62 · price 1.39929
Higher lows, coiling under session high.
Thin Asia-session grind has USDCAD pinned just under the 1.39953 session high and the 1.40000 psych ceiling, RSI(14) mid-60s. Higher lows have built off the 1.39507 NY low with demand holding the 1.39810 intraday low; the 1.40 round number is the level capping price as the broadly soft USD theme meets weak oil weighing on CAD.
Support: 1.3981, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 psych opens room toward the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39810 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 1.39953 session high keeps price ranging beneath 1.40
Price has ground higher through London/NY into a tight Asian-session consolidation around 1.3993, just shy of the 1.39953 session high and the 1.40 ceiling. Volume has thinned out hard on the latest bars and RSI is cooling near 62 — the climb toward 1.40 is stalling rather than reversing.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens a test of the 1.40 ceiling
Loss of 1.39880 base exposes the 1.39735 swing low
WTI direction post-Hormuz deal remains the dominant CAD driver
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into round number · RSI 61 · price 1.39929
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling sub-1.4000.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, posting a chain of higher lows from 1.3950 and capping at the 1.39953 session high just shy of the 1.4000 psych level. Momentum has flattened on thin post-NY-close liquidity, with the last bars idling around 1.3993 — consistent with the broadly soft USD and weak-oil backdrop pinning price inside the 1.40 congestion.
Support: 1.3979, 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 1.40000 psych level extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.39790 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Thin Asian liquidity can exaggerate moves into the next session
USDCAD ground higher through the session to print a 1.39953 session high, now coiling on thin overnight Asian-hours volume just under the 1.40000 round number. The US-Iran deal that sank oil is keeping CAD soft, but the grind is stalling as the psych level caps. RSI(14) eased to mid-60s with the last bars contracting to a few pips of range.
Support: 1.3983, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
A clean break and hold above 1.40000 round number extends the uptrend; rejection there keeps the coil intact
Loss of 1.39830 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Thin liquidity into Asia open can amplify any move off these levels
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 64 · price 1.39928
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a fresh high at 1.39953, stalling just under the 1.40 psych level as weak oil keeps CAD pinned. Latest bars are flat and thin (low Asia volume) with RSI(14) elevated near 64; price holding above its rising support line off the 1.39501 session low.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session toward the 1.4000 ceiling, printing a session high at 1.39953 as soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme; the final push came on thin late-session volume.
Support: 1.39823, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 opens the 1.4025 barrier
Loss of 1.39823 higher low breaks the rising support
USDCAD ground higher through the window into the session high at 1.39936, holding a chain of higher lows off 1.39501 even as oil-driven USD softness dominates elsewhere — CAD weakness keeps this pair bid toward the 1.40 congestion. RSI(14) near 63, hot but not extreme; volume thinned into the late session.
Support: 1.3978, 1.3966, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 round number opens the path higher into the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39780 breaks the rising support and threatens the higher-low chain
22:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 63 · price 1.39934
Higher highs, higher lows toward round number.
USDCAD ground higher through the session, stacking higher lows into the 1.40 round-number ceiling after the US-Iran deal kept USD soft and oil capped CAD. Price stalled at the 1.39936 session high on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) easing back from the low-60s.
Support: 1.39845, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 extends the uptrend toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39845 then 1.39735 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could reset this read entirely
22:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 1.39878
Higher highs and higher lows, rising channel.
USDCAD has ground higher through the window from the 1.39507 session low to a 1.39936 high, holding above EMA20/50 as USD recovers a little ground toward the 1.40 ceiling despite this week's oil-driven softness. Volume thinned into the Asia open and price is consolidating just under the session high; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room either way.
Support: 1.3982, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39820 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Reaction at 1.40000 psych level — area to watch for rejection or break
FOMC Wed is the dominant risk that could reset this intraday read
22:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 57 · price 1.39878
Higher highs/higher lows, capped sub-1.3994.
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY to a session high at 1.39936 and is now consolidating just below it on thin Asia-hours volume. The US-Iran ceasefire that crushed oil keeps CAD soft even as broad USD weakness caps follow-through; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme into the 1.40000 psych ceiling.
Support: 1.3983, 1.39735, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of the 1.39830 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed (dots/Warsh) is the dominant risk to this read
Higher highs into session top, consolidating below 1.3994.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to 1.3994 as safe-haven USD demand faded and the pair stalled below the 1.40 handle. Price is now drifting in thin late-session liquidity just under the highs, RSI(14) cooling near 60 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.3982, 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Break above 1.39936 opens a test of the 1.4000 psych level
Loss of 1.39820 range floor exposes the 1.39700 swing low
Chain of higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3950 base.
USDCAD ground higher through the window toward the 1.40 congestion, posting a session high at 1.39936 before easing to 1.39878; the soft-USD/weak-oil backdrop has kept the pair pinned just below the round number. Late bars are thin (Asia hours) with price holding above a rising support shelf near 1.39820. RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.3982, 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Break of rising support near 1.39820 puts the 1.39698 swing low back in play
Wed Retail Sales + FOMC dot plot (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.3986
Rising lows, stalling at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session from the 1.3950 base to a session high at 1.39936, then stalled near 1.3986 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) cooling from the push, with price holding above EMA20/50 as the 1.40 psych level caps. The grind tracks soft-USD flows as the US-Iran deal pressures oil but caps CAD's recovery.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3955, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.4000 psych level
Loss of 1.3970 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
Wed FOMC + Retail Sales could materially shift this read
21:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.3986
Higher highs into session high, now flat.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.3950 low to a session high at 1.3994, with the US-Iran ceasefire pressuring oil and capping CAD's recovery. Price now stalled near 1.3986 on thin late-session volume; the rising sequence of higher lows holds but momentum has flattened just below 1.40.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3950, 1.3934
Resistance: 1.3994, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3994 opens the path to the 1.4000 psych level
Loss of 1.3971 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed and oil direction post-Hormuz deal could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 61 · price 1.39856
Higher highs, higher lows toward session high.
USDCAD climbed through the NY session toward 1.40 after slipping to ~1.3970 earlier as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand. Price stalled at the 1.39936 session high and is consolidating just below it on thinning late-session volume; RSI(14) holding mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.3979, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39790 confirms a pullback toward the 1.39698 swing low
Thin late-session liquidity may distort the next few bars
21:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 63 · price 1.39856
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.39507.
NY session ground higher into the 1.39936 session high, stalling just under the 1.40000 psych level with RSI in the low 60s. USDCAD held bid sub-1.40 as soft oil weighs on CAD even with the broadly weaker USD; buyers stepped in at 1.39789 to keep the rising structure intact.
Support: 1.39789, 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39936 opens the path to 1.40000 psych
Failure to hold 1.39789 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session from 1.3951 to a session high of 1.3994, holding above EMA20/50 as soft oil kept the Loonie pinned despite a broadly weaker USD. Price is now consolidating just under 1.3994 into a thin, low-volume close, RSI cooling from earlier highs.
Support: 1.39789, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.4000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39789 breaks the rising intraday support
Wed FOMC (>8h out) could materially reset this read
21:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.39856
HH/HL chain into 1.40 ceiling.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session toward the 1.40 ceiling, posting a session high at 1.3994 as soft US data (Empire State, IP miss) kept the dollar heavy but oil weakness capped CAD. Price is consolidating just below 1.3990 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.3982, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3994/1.40000 opens the path into the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39820 exposes the 1.39735 ny swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through NY into a session high at 1.39936, then stalled in a tight 1.3980–1.3994 consolidation just under the 1.40000 ceiling, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Pair stays heavy near the 1.40 cap as soft USD from the US-Iran ceasefire offsets weak-oil pressure on CAD.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the next leg into 1.40–1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39698 breaks the ascending higher-low structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst this week
USDCAD has ground up from the 1.3951 session low to retest the 1.39936 high, supported by weak oil offsetting the softer USD backdrop. Price is coiling just under the high with ATR compressed near 4-5 pips, RSI holding mid-60s — no extreme.
Support: 1.3981, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39810 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising base
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session from the 1.3951 low to a 1.3994 session high before easing to 1.3988, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range. The climb back toward the 1.40 ceiling runs against the softer-USD/weak-oil backdrop, leaving price pinned just under the session high.
Support: 1.3984, 1.3970, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3994, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3994 opens the path toward 1.4000 psych
Failure to hold 1.3970 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst ahead
20:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 61 · price 1.3988
Higher lows, consolidating near session high.
NY session ground higher off the 1.3951 low, posting a session high at 1.39936 before stalling under the 1.40 round number. Price now coiling in a tight 1.3984–1.3994 band with RSI(14) easing from the high-60s; the 1.40 ceiling flagged in context remains untested.
Support: 1.39845, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39845 exposes the 1.39698 swing low
WTI follow-through post-Hormuz deal could keep USDCAD heavy
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.39893
Higher lows since the 1.39507 base, pressing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours, posting a session high at 1.39935 after recovering off the 1.39507 low; the US-Iran ceasefire and softer oil left the pair heavy earlier but buyers kept defending higher lows. RSI(14) near 63, elevated but not extreme, with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39935, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39935 opens the path toward the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39800 reopens the 1.39698 swing low
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.39893
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3970 base.
Late NY session: USDCAD ground higher through the afternoon, posting a session high at 1.39936 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. Price holds above EMA20/50 in a steady ascending channel, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme yet, stalling just under 1.39936 ahead of the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39800 breaks the rising structure toward the 1.39698 spike low
Wed FOMC + dot plot is the dominant USD catalyst that could reshape this read
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.39926
Higher highs into session high, approaching 1.40.
USDCAD ground higher through late NY to a fresh session high at 1.39936, holding a chain of higher lows above 1.39800 since the recovery off the 1.39698 dip. RSI(14) near 67, short-term firm but not stretched, with the 1.40000 psych level capping just overhead as oil weakness keeps CAD soft.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.39936 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39800 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.39698
NY session has ground USDCAD higher off the 1.39518 session low into the 1.40 psychological ceiling, with USD broadly soft on the US-Iran ceasefire draining safe-haven demand but oil weakness capping CAD. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.39800; RSI(14) near 61, room before stretched.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698, 1.39518
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.39936
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40000 opens room past session high 1.39936
Failure to hold 1.39800 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Wed FOMC + Retail Sales are the dominant USD catalysts ahead
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 1.39926
Higher lows, retesting session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the late NY session, retesting the prior high near 1.3992 with the US-Iran ceasefire and softer oil keeping the pair bid. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; the 1.4000 psych ceiling caps just overhead while higher lows hold the structure.
Support: 1.3982, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39935, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens room toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39820 consolidation would break the rising-low sequence
WTI direction post-Hormuz deal remains the dominant CAD driver
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours toward the 1.40000 round number, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched. Price recovered the 1.3970 dip and is retesting the 1.39936 session high; USD stays soft on the US-Iran ceasefire draining haven bid, but 1.40 caps the move.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39936, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.39700 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the climb
NY session has USDCAD grinding higher off 1.39698 along a chain of rising lows, capping just under the 1.39891 session high after the 1.39922 spike was rejected. The pair stays heavy below 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire and oil slump leave USD soft, but the relief-driven bounce keeps it bid intraday.
Support: 1.39806, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of the 1.39806 rising lows would break the intraday ascent
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can reset this read
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session off the 1.39698 swing low, tagging a session high at 1.39891 before easing back to 1.39833. RSI(14) is mid-range and price holds above both EMAs, but the move stalled just under the 1.39922 prior high as a soft USD/weak oil tug-of-war keeps it pinned below 1.40.
Support: 1.39806, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39891, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens room back toward the 1.40 ceiling
Loss of 1.39806 intraday low exposes the 1.39698 swing low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into prior high · RSI 64 · price 1.39886
Higher lows since 1.39507, testing 1.3992 supply.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, retracing the drop off 1.39922 and now retesting that prior high with price at 1.39886. Soft oil keeps CAD heavy, but the move is stalling just under the 1.40 round number with RSI cooling off mid-60s.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path toward the 1.40 round number
Failure to hold 1.39800 reopens the 1.39698 session low
Rejection at 1.3992 prior high would confirm a double top
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.39886
Higher lows since the 1.3950 base, testing range top.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3951 session low and is grinding back toward the 1.3992 session high during NY hours, despite the soft-USD/weak-oil backdrop. Higher lows are intact since the 1.3970 pivot; RSI(14) firm near 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3992 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Loss of the 1.3970 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39507 session low and has coiled into a tight 1.3980–1.3988 range over the last few NY hours, with softer oil and a heavy USD keeping the pair pinned sub-1.40. The 1.39922 swing high was rejected once; price holds just under the 1.39882 session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the path toward 1.40000
Loss of 1.39698 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery structure
Sustained WTI weakness keeps the pair heavy near 1.40
19:16 UTC
Recovery, grinding into session high · RSI 60 · price 1.39847
Consolidation near upper range after reclaim.
USDCAD ground back to the session high near 1.39880 after reclaiming the 1.39698–1.39800 zone, with the pair pinned just under 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire and the oil slide leave USD soft but CAD capped. Last hours are tight consolidation 1.39800–1.39880, ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 extends the recovery toward 1.40
Loss of 1.39800 reopens 1.39698 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
19:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.39847
Range-bound near session high after sweep low.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.3980–1.3987 band just below the 1.39922 session high after recovering from the NY low at 1.3950. The pair stays heavy under 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire drains the safe-haven USD bid, though the parallel oil slump is capping CAD's recovery. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path toward the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39698 reopens the 1.3950 range low
FOMC and Retail Sales (Wed) are the dominant USD catalysts ahead
Recovery off intraday low, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground back to 1.3985 through the NY session after the early dip to 1.3951, with the US-Iran ceasefire and oil slump keeping the pair heavy below 1.40. Price is consolidating just under the 1.39882 session high; RSI(14) near 57, ATR(14) only ~5 pips signals compressed intraday range.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39735, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 swing high opens room back toward 1.40
Loss of 1.39735 swing low reopens the 1.39698 intraday low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst this week
18:46 UTC
Recovered off dip, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.39845
Tight consolidation under session high.
USDCAD is coiling around 1.3985 after recovering the spike-low at 1.39698, with the US-Iran ceasefire keeping the dollar soft broadly. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR ~5 pips — a tight 1.3980–1.3988 range with no clean break in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39735, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39880 reopens the day high at 1.39922
Loss of 1.39800 exposes 1.39735 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main catalyst for this pair
18:46 UTC
Recovered off dip, flat near session high · RSI 56 · price 1.39845
Consolidating below 1.39882 after rebound from 1.3970.
USD/CAD slipped back from above 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand, then M15 rebounded from the 1.3970 dip and is consolidating just under the session high at 1.39882. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no fresh momentum into the close.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39735, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39882 opens the path to the 1.39922 swing high
Failure to hold 1.398 range floor reopens the 1.39735/1.3970 lows
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 then got rejected, slipping back as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand. Price now coils in a tight 1.3980–1.3985 band into the NY afternoon, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.39698
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3985 reopens the 1.39922 session high
Loss of 1.39698 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 in the NY session then sharply rejected to 1.39698 as the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven USD demand and capped CAD via weaker oil. Price has since stabilised, coiling in a tight 1.3980-1.3985 band into late NY hours with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.39735, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39735 session low exposes the 1.39698 spike low
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.39817
Ranging 1.3970–1.3992, holding upper third.
USD/CAD slipped from above 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand, then carved a range between the 1.39698 session low and 1.39922 high. Price is grinding in the upper third near 1.3982 with RSI mid-range; the sharp 1.39922 rejection earlier remains the session cap.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39698, 1.3966
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path back toward 1.40
Loss of 1.39698 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the week's catalysts and could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Rangebound after rejection from highs · RSI 52 · price 1.39817
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 then sold off to 1.39698 as the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven USD demand, before retracing back up. Late NY hours now show consolidation between 1.3980 and the 1.39882 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the path toward the 1.40 ceiling
USD/CAD slipped off the 1.40 area as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand, then spiked to 1.39922 in NY hours and was rejected, dipping to 1.39698 before recovering. Price is now consolidating tightly around 1.39817 in the upper half of the intraday range with RSI flat near 54.
Support: 1.39775, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the path to 1.40
Failure to hold 1.39698 breaks the rising intraday support
FOMC Wed and Retail Sales could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Recovered, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.39817
Rangebound below 1.3992 after rejection.
USDCAD spiked to 1.3992 then sold off hard to 1.3970 before recovering, with price now coiling around 1.3982 as the US-Iran ceasefire keeps a lid on safe-haven USD demand. ATR near 7 pips and RSI mid-range — no momentum extreme into the consolidation under the session high.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3992 reopens the 1.40 psych test
Loss of 1.3973 exposes the 1.3970 spike low
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
NY session probed 1.3992 then printed a sharp rejection wick down to 1.3970, with the dollar broadly soft as the US-Iran ceasefire drains haven demand — though weak oil keeps CAD capped too. Price has since recovered back to 1.3982 and is consolidating just under the session high; RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.39735, 1.39698, 1.3957
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 session high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.39698 spike low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Recovering after NY spike-reversal, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.39819
Consolidating below 1.3990 after rejection.
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 around the NY session before a sharp rejection back to 1.39698, with the US-Iran ceasefire cooling safe-haven USD demand. Price has since recovered and is consolidating in the 1.3980-1.3985 zone, RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.39735, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 reopens the 1.40 ceiling test
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Jun 17 is the week's main catalyst for this read
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.39922 then was swept down to 1.39698 in a single bar as the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven USD demand and pressed WTI lower. Price has since recovered to consolidate near 1.3982, holding above EMA20/50 but capped under the session high.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Recovered off London low, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.39507 London low back toward 1.39922, where supply capped via a sharp 212-pip spike rejection, and is now consolidating around 1.3982 as the US-Iran ceasefire drains the safe-haven USD bid while weak oil caps CAD. RSI(14) near 57, holding above both EMAs but flattening as the session high is respected.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.39922
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 reopens the path higher into the 1.40 area
Failure to hold 1.39730 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.39507
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC plus Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging 1.3970–1.3992 through the NY session after slipping back from above 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand. The 1.3992 session high capped the latest push and price is hovering mid-range near 1.3981, RSI neutral around 53.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39700 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.39558
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Recovering, near session highs · RSI 56 · price 1.39811
Higher lows off 1.39507, capped at 1.39922.
Price recovered from the 1.39698 dip back toward the 1.39922 session high, rejected there, and is now consolidating around 1.39811 in NY afternoon. USD eased broadly after the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven demand, though weak oil caps the CAD side, keeping price pinned below 1.40.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39698 reopens the 1.39507 session low
Consolidating below session high after a spike-down.
USDCAD slipped from above 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire cooled safe-haven USD demand; a sharp wick down to 1.39698 was bought back. Price now grinds between the 1.39698 swing low and the 1.39882 session high, sitting near the midpoint of that spike.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39518
Resistance: 1.39882, 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39882 reopens the path toward 1.39922
Loss of 1.39698 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.39518
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered the session-low spike to 1.39507 and rallied to 1.39922, where it stalled below the 1.40 ceiling. Into the NY afternoon it's drifting in a 1.3970-1.3990 range, RSI(14) neutral near 53, as the US-Iran ceasefire keeps USD soft but weak oil caps CAD's recovery.
Support: 1.39698, 1.3957, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39698 swing low reopens 1.39570
FOMC Wed is the week's main catalyst and can reset this range
USDCAD has clawed back from the 1.3951 session low toward 1.3985 as the soft USD tone capped follow-through but oil weakness limits the CAD bounce. A spike to 1.3992 was rejected and price is now consolidating just below it, riding a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range at 59, no extreme.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39698 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.39507
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered from the session low at 1.39501 back toward the 1.39922 session high, with the broad USD soft tone after the US-Iran deal capping any sustained push above 1.40. Price was rejected at 1.39922 and is now consolidating in the upper half of the range near 1.39850.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39698 reopens the session low at 1.39501
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to 1.39922 before a sharp rejection back to 1.39698, with price now recovered to 1.3985 just under the 1.40 ceiling. Soft USD into FOMC kept a lid below the figure, but the recent dip-buying built a chain of higher lows off 1.39698.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39922 puts the 1.40000 psych level in play
Loss of 1.39698 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rebound from 1.3970 sweep back toward session high.
NY session swept the 1.3970 area then bid back toward the session high at 1.39922; USD/CAD is grinding off lows after the US-Iran deal capped the dollar but weak oil limits CAD's recovery. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.39698, 1.3975
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39750 puts the 1.39698 session low back in play
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
16:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend, choppy · RSI 54 · price 1.39849
Higher lows into rejected session high.
NY session pushed to 1.39922 then saw a sharp rejection back to 1.39698 before recovering to 1.39849. The grind higher off the 1.39507 session low holds, with USD pinned near 10-day lows after the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand. Demand stepping in around the rising support keeps the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.39882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the session high break
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low and breaks rising support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:15 UTC
Range, near top · RSI 58 · price 1.39849
Intraday range 1.3950–1.3992, current bar pressing upper edge.
NY session has USDCAD grinding back toward the session high at 1.39922 after a sharp spike-reversal there rejected price down to 1.39698. The pair is rotating inside a 1.3950–1.3992 range, with the US-Iran Hormuz deal pressing oil lower and capping any CAD recovery; RSI mid-range with room either way.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39698 reopens the session low at 1.39507
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Ranging, grinding toward range top · RSI 61 · price 1.39849
Range 1.3950-1.3992, rising lows under resistance.
NY session grinding back toward the session high at 1.39922 after a sharp rejection there earlier; USD soft at 10-day lows as the US-Iran deal drains haven premium. Range 1.3950-1.3992 still intact with rising intraday lows.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.39882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 breaks the session high and exits the range
Failure to hold 1.39698 reopens the 1.39507 range low
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
Rebound off session low, capped under session high.
USDCAD ground back up from the 1.39507 NY session low to tag 1.39922 before a sharp spike-and-fade left a rejection wick; price now consolidates near 1.39849. Broad USD softness at 10-day lows on the US-Iran deal is capping upside while weak oil limits CAD's recovery.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39922 opens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39698 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Range, rejected at session high · RSI 51 · price 1.39799
Intraday range, sharp rejection from 1.3992.
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 during NY hours then was sharply rejected back to 1.39698 as the US-Iran deal kept USD soft near 10-day lows, recovering to 1.39799. Price is back inside the 1.3970–1.3990 range with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39558, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.39922 reopens the 1.40 psych level
Loss of 1.39698 session low exposes 1.39558 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD spiked to 1.39922 then was sharply rejected, dumping to 1.39698 before recovering to 1.39799 — a false break of the session high as USD trades soft on the US-Iran deal cooling safe-haven demand. Price now mid-range, no clean structure in play.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39518
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Price spiked to 1.39922 during NY hours then sharply rejected back to 1.39735, a clean false break of the session high. USD remains soft near 10-day lows after the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand, but the failed push leaves USDCAD ranging 1.39700–1.39920.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low toward 1.39501
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging 1.3950–1.3992, sweep of session high reversed.
Price spiked to a session high at 1.39922 then was sharply rejected back to 1.39735, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral after the wick. The leg up tracks a softer USD as the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand, but the failure at 1.3992 keeps action boxed inside the 1.3950–1.3992 range.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.39825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 invalidates the rejection and reopens the 1.40 area
Higher highs into session high, last push rejected.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.39922 before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.39735, price now back at 1.39776. The push higher leans on soft USD at 10-day lows post US-Iran deal, but weak oil is capping any CAD recovery — leaving price churning in the 1.3970/1.3990 zone.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.39861
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.39922 reopens the upside
Loss of 1.39698 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, sharp reversal off 1.3992.
NY session ran up to a session high of 1.39922 then was sharply rejected, the spike sweeping the highs before snapping back to 1.39776 within one bar. USD is soft at 10-day lows after the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand and pressured oil, leaving USDCAD pinned near the 1.40 ceiling. Intraday structure stays constructive while 1.39698 holds.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39575
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.3986
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 reopens the path toward the 1.40 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC plus Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to 1.39922 then was rejected hard back to 1.39698 in a single bar, sweeping the session high before sellers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.39776 with RSI(14) back near neutral; pair remains capped under 1.39922 as the soft-USD/weak-oil backdrop keeps it pinned in the 1.3950–1.3992 range.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 invalidates the rejection read
Loss of 1.39698 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Range, recent high rejected · RSI 52 · price 1.39776
Ranging 1.3950–1.3990, NY push to highs rejected.
NY session spiked to 1.39922 and was sharply rejected back to 1.39735, the candle wicking off the 1.40 ceiling as soft-USD flows met capped CAD upside. Price has drifted within 1.3950–1.3990 all session; the failed poke at the highs leaves the range intact.
Support: 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39922, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39922 opens the path toward the 1.40 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39698 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.39507 low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, building a clean higher-high/higher-low chain off the 1.39507 low and breaking recent swings to print 1.39861 — the window high. Move comes despite a soft USD backdrop after the US-Iran deal, as weak oil keeps CAD pinned; RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme, with the 1.39894 prior high and 1.40 ceiling now in range.
Support: 1.39729, 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39894, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39894 opens the path to the 1.40000 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.39729 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.39861
Higher highs and higher lows since the 1.3950 low.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.39507 session low and is grinding higher through NY hours, clearing the 1.39835 session high with RSI(14) near 66. Price is now probing the 1.39894 prior high as the soft-USD tone from the US-Iran deal keeps the pair below the 1.40 ceiling.
Support: 1.39704, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39894, 1.39835
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39894 opens the path back toward 1.40
Failure to hold 1.39704 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground back toward the session high at 1.39835 after the US-Iran deal cooled safe-haven USD demand and pinned the pair below 1.40. Series of higher lows from 1.39501 holds, RSI(14) near 60 with price stalling just under the 1.39835 cap.
Support: 1.3973, 1.39663, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39663 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered from the 1.3950 session low through NY hours and is re-testing the 1.39835 session high, RSI(14) around 61. The grind tracks a softer USD on the US-Iran deal while weak oil caps CAD, leaving price pinned below the 1.40 ceiling.
Support: 1.39729, 1.39518, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39882, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.39882 prior high and 1.40000 psych
Failure to hold 1.39729 swing low reopens the 1.39518 session low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD has clawed back from the 1.3951 swing low to retest the 1.3983 session high, holding a chain of higher lows as USD sits at 10-day lows post US-Iran deal while soft oil caps CAD. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, price above both EMAs but stalling just under the 1.3983 ceiling.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.39882 prior high
Loss of 1.39700 pivot exposes the 1.39507 swing low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD grinding sideways near 1.3978, holding just under the 1.39835 session high after the US-Iran Hormuz deal cooled safe-haven USD demand and pinned the pair below 1.40. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.3966-1.3970 through NY hours; RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39894, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39894 opens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39660 exposes the 1.39507 session low
WTI direction post-Hormuz deal is the dominant CAD driver this week
USDCAD has ground back up from the 1.39507 session low to retest the 1.39835 session high, now holding around 1.39782 as RSI cools from the mid-50s. The bid follows broad USD softness after the US-Iran deal drained safe-haven demand, though falling oil is capping CAD's recovery. Price is stalling into the session high — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39881, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path toward 1.39881 and the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39660 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC and US Retail Sales mid-week could materially shift this read
NY session: USDCAD has clawed back off the 1.39507 session low to retest the 1.39835 session high, now hovering ~1.39782 with RSI mid-range. Move fits a soft USD at 10-day lows after the US-Iran deal, while weak oil keeps a cap on CAD strength — leaving price boxed inside 1.39700–1.39835.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39894
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path to 1.39894
Failure to hold 1.39700 reopens 1.39507 session low
USDCAD recovered from the 1.39507 session low to tag 1.39835 during NY hours, now coiling around 1.3979 as USD trades sub-1.40 with the US-Iran ceasefire draining the safe-haven bid. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; session high at 1.39835 caps for now.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych barrier
Failure to hold 1.39663 reopens the 1.39507 session low
USDCAD is grinding back toward the 1.39835 session high after basing at 1.39501, with USD soft at 10-day lows as the US-Iran ceasefire drained the haven bid — though weak oil keeps capping CAD. Price holds inside a 1.3950–1.3984 range, RSI(14) around 60 with no extreme.
Support: 1.3970, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.4000
What it said to watch
A close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.40 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 1.397 reopens the 1.39501 session low
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.39728
Ranging between session high and low.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3950–1.3983 through the NY session after a rejection at 1.3983, pulling back to 1.3973 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Pair holding well below 1.40 as the US-Iran ceasefire drains the dollar's haven bid and pressures oil-linked CAD both ways.
Support: 1.3966, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.3989
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3983 reopens 1.3989 and the 1.40 area
Loss of 1.3966 exposes the 1.3950 session low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:30 UTC
Rangebound, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.39728
Consolidating below 1.3984 session high.
USDCAD chopping in a 1.3966–1.3984 band through the NY session, holding back below 1.40 after the US-Iran ceasefire cooled USD haven demand and sank oil. RSI(14) flat near 48, no directional momentum in play.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39894
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path back to 1.39894
Loss of 1.39663 exposes the 1.39507 session low
WTI direction post-Hormuz deal remains the dominant CAD driver
USDCAD pushed to the session high at 1.39835 in the NY morning then faded back to 1.39739, RSI(14) neutral near 52. Pair stays pinned sub-1.40 with soft oil capping CAD while a fading safe-haven USD bid holds the topside in check.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39663 swing low exposes 1.39507 session low
US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC and FOMC Wed could shift this read
13:15 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.39739
Ranging, holding above rising lows.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39501 session low and pushed to 1.39835 before stalling; broad USD softness on the US-Iran deal is offset by weaker oil capping the loonie. Now mid-range near 1.39739 with RSI(14) neutral — no setup in play between 1.39660 and 1.39835.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.3988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 reopens the path toward 1.39880
Loss of 1.39660 puts the 1.39501 session low back in play
US Industrial Production (13:15 UTC) and FOMC Wed could shift this read
USDCAD is rotating inside a 1.3966-1.3984 range through the NY session, price back to mid after a rejection at the 1.39835 session high. Move reflects a soft USD as the US-Iran deal drains safe-haven demand, offset by weak oil capping the loonie. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no extension in play.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the prior 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39663 swing low exposes 1.39507 session low
US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC could nudge this read
NY session has USDCAD chopping between 1.3966 and the 1.3984 session high after a bounce off the 1.3951 low. Price reclaimed the EMA20/50 cluster but stalled into 1.3984, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no clear momentum either way.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 breaks the session high and reopens 1.3984+ congestion
Loss of 1.39660 puts the 1.39507 session low back in play
Oil direction post-Hormuz remains the primary CAD driver
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, paused near session high · RSI 56 · price 1.39775
Higher lows off 1.3950, capped sub-1.3984.
USDCAD recovered through the NY session from the 1.3950 low to a 1.39835 session high before stalling, with price now easing back to 1.39775. The pair is grinding off lows near YTD territory as a fading safe-haven USD bid and softer oil leave the loonie capped inside the 1.40-1.41 congestion. RSI(14) mid-range at ~56, no extreme.
Support: 1.3966, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39881
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39835 reopens the 1.39881 prior high
Loss of 1.39660 breaks the higher-low chain off the session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Industrial Production today 13:15 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows since 1.3950, pausing under session high.
NY session ground higher off the 1.39507 session low to a 1.39825 high before stalling near 1.39775. USD broadly offered as the US-Iran deal drains safe-haven demand, but soft oil is capping CAD's upside; RSI cooling from the push, no fresh extension yet.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39825, 1.39893
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39825 reopens the path to the 1.39893 prior high
Loss of 1.39663 breaks the higher-low chain
US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC could shift the intraday read
12:30 UTC
Recovering off lows, sub-1.40 · RSI 61 · price 1.39793
Range with rising lows after 1.395 base.
USDCAD bounced off a double bottom near 1.395 during NY hours and pressed back toward the session high at 1.39835, with RSI(14) neutral around 60. Pair stays pinned sub-1.40 as the US-Iran de-escalation drains USD haven demand while soft oil caps CAD.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39660 reopens the 1.39507 session low
Empire State / Industrial Production data could shift this read
NY session has USDCAD grinding back up from the 1.39507 session low to test the 1.39825 session high, with broad USD softness from the US-Iran deal capped by the pair holding sub-1.40. Higher lows intact since the 1.3950 trough, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39825, 1.39894
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39825 opens the path to 1.39894
Loss of 1.39660 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.39507
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
NY session is grinding higher off the 1.39507 session low, with a chain of higher lows lifting price back to session-high resistance at 1.39835. Move tracks broad USD softness after the US-Iran de-escalation drained the haven bid; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39881
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39835 opens the 1.39881 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3966 returns price toward the 1.39507 session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the next directional leg
USDCAD has clawed back from the 1.3950 session low in two stair-stepping legs and is now retesting the 1.39835 session high, with RSI(14) firm near 63 but not yet stretched. The grind reflects a soft USD on the US-Iran de-escalation offset by equally soft oil keeping the loonie capped. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.39660 during the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39894
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens the path to the 1.39894 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39660 reopens the 1.39501 session low
US Empire State Mfg / Industrial Production due today could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.39814
Higher lows into session high.
USDCAD clawed back from the 1.39507 session low through London hours and is now pressing the 1.39835 session high, RSI(14) lifting near 62. The pair remains boxed in the 1.39507–1.39835 range with sub-1.40 capping, consistent with the faded safe-haven USD bid after the US-Iran de-escalation.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39835, 1.39805
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39835 opens room beyond the session high
Failure to hold 1.39660 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC dots and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Recovering within range · RSI 61 · price 1.39814
Range, climbing off the lows toward session high.
USDCAD held the 1.3950 range low and ground higher through the London-NY transition, now pressing the 1.3985 session high with RSI(14) near 61. Broad USD weakness on the US-Iran de-escalation has kept the pair pinned sub-1.40 rather than extending lower.
Support: 1.3966, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.3989
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39850 opens the path to the 1.39890 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39660 reopens the 1.39510 range low
FOMC dots and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 1.39769
Consolidation under 1.3980 after bounce from 1.3950.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39507 low back to 1.39805 and is now consolidating in a tight 1.39660–1.39805 band, RSI mid-range. Move fits the broad USD softness from the US-Iran deal draining haven demand, though weak oil keeps CAD capped.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3988
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 reopens the 1.39880 prior high
Loss of 1.39660 puts the 1.39507 session low back in play
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3950 session low through NY hours and is grinding back toward 1.3980, with broad USD softness from the Iran de-escalation capping the topside. Price ranges 1.3950-1.3980 on rising intraday lows, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path to 1.39880
Loss of 1.39660 reopens the 1.39501 session low
FOMC dots Wed is the key catalyst that could reshape this read
11:30 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.39724
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39507 NY session low to 1.39805 as a soft USD backdrop (Iran de-escalation, fading haven bid) kept the pair heavy, then settled into a 1.3966–1.3980 range. Price now sits mid-range at 1.39724 with RSI(14) neutral near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39663, 1.39507, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3978
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 reopens the upper end of the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39663 puts the 1.39507 session low back in focus
FOMC dots and US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
USDCAD swept down to 1.39507 then recovered into the 1.3970s, with the US-Iran de-escalation draining USD haven bid keeping the pair pinned near YTD lows. Now drifting mid-range between 1.39640 and the 1.39805 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 50 — no clear setup in play.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3985
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 session high reopens the upside toward 1.39850
Loss of 1.39640 swing low exposes the 1.39507 session low
Oil direction post Strait-of-Hormuz deal remains the primary CAD driver
11:15 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.39695
Consolidation after bounce off 1.3950.
USDCAD ranging 1.3964–1.3980 after recovering off the 1.39501 session low, with the broad USD soft on the fading Iran safe-haven bid. RSI(14) mid-40s and price slipping back below EMA20 into early NY hours; range holding, no clean direction.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3984
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3964 / 50% fib opens the path back to the 1.39501 session low
Reclaim of 1.39805 needed to resume the intraday upside
US Empire State / Industrial Production (12:30–13:15 UTC) could inject volatility
USDCAD rebounded from the session low at 1.39501 and is now consolidating in a 1.39640-1.39805 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 46. USD stayed soft after the US-Iran deal sapped haven demand, but the pair is holding sub-1.40 with price drifting back toward the lower half of the range.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39789
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39640 reopens the 1.39501 session low
Break and hold above 1.39805 extends the recovery
FOMC and US Retail Sales mid-week are the dominant USD catalysts
11:01 UTC
Range after recovery, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.39695
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39507 session low to print 1.39805 before stalling, and has since drifted into a tight range around 1.3970 with RSI cooling to mid-40s. Repeated rejections near 1.3978 keep the session high capping price while broad USD stays soft on fading safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39805
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39660 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.39507
Reclaim and close above 1.39785 puts the session high back in play
11:01 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39695
Ranging after bounce off session low.
USDCAD bounced from the session low at 1.39501 to 1.39805 as USD softened on the US-Iran deal, then settled into a tight 1.3964–1.3980 range, last 1.39695. Soft oil is capping the Loonie's recovery, leaving price drifting just under EMA20 with RSI near 46.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 reopens the path to 1.39880
Loss of 1.39640 puts the session low at 1.39501 back in play
Oil direction post Strait-of-Hormuz deal remains the primary CAD driver
10:46 UTC
Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.3971
Consolidation under 1.3978 after bounce off 1.3950.
USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.3950–1.3978 band through the London session, capped well below the 1.40 ceiling as the broad-USD slide on fading safe-haven flows stalls. Buyers stepped in at 1.3950 and the recovery to 1.3978 has since flattened, RSI(14) idling near 49 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.3990, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3978 reopens the path toward 1.3990
Loss of 1.3950 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3900 weekly low
Wed FOMC + Retail Sales are the dominant USD catalysts ahead
10:45 UTC
Sideways, range-bound after recovery · RSI 48 · price 1.3971
Ranging 1.3950–1.3980 post dip-and-recover.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39507 swing low back to 1.39805 as the USD stayed soft on fading Iran safe-haven flows, then settled into a tight 1.3970 consolidation. RSI(14) neutral near 47, price pinned at EMA20 with no clean directional break.
Support: 1.39507, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 reopens the path toward the 1.40000 ceiling
Loss of 1.39507 confirms a lower-low and shifts the range
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
Consolidating after recovery off 1.3950 session low.
USDCAD slid to a 1.3950 session low then recovered to 1.39805 as a broadly softer USD met the 1.40 ceiling; price now coils around 1.3972 between 1.3968 support and the 1.39805 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme, structure ranging.
Support: 1.3968, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3985, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path to 1.3985 and the 1.40 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.3968 reopens the 1.3950 session low
Wed FOMC dot plot / Retail Sales is the dominant USD catalyst this week
USDCAD swept the session low at 1.39501 during NY hours then recovered to cap at 1.39805, with broad USD softness keeping the pair near YTD lows under the 1.40 ceiling. Price now chops in the 1.39690-1.39805 zone, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 opens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39640 reopens the 1.39501 session low
Wed FOMC dot plot + Retail Sales is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
USDCAD recovered from a session low at 1.3950 during London hours as broad USD softened on the US-Iran deal draining haven demand, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.3970–1.3977 band. RSI(14) is flat near 50 with price hugging EMA20/50; the 1.40 ceiling continues to cap, the pair pinned near YTD lows.
Support: 1.39558, 1.39501, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39785 opens the path back toward the 1.40 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.39501 reopens the 1.3900 weekly low
Range read intact while contained between 1.3950 and 1.3978
10:16 UTC
Ranging after intraday recovery · RSI 50 · price 1.39722
Consolidating below 1.3980 session high.
USDCAD bounced off the 1.39507 session low, ran to 1.39805 and has since stalled, chopping in a tight 1.3970–1.3978 band into the London-NY transition. Price is pinned near the ~1.3970 broad-USD gauge as the haven unwind keeps a lid on the dollar; RSI(14) sits flat near 50, no momentum edge in play.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 reopens the path to 1.40000
Loss of 1.39640 puts the 1.39507 session low back in focus
FOMC/Retail Sales Wed could materially reset this read
10:01 UTC
Rangebound, drifting after bounce · RSI 47 · price 1.39722
Range, holding above session low.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3965–1.3980 through London midday after recovering off the 1.3950 session low, with USD broadly soft on the fading Iran safe-haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and ATR is compressed at ~6 pips, signalling no momentum in play.
Support: 1.3965, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3990
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3965 confirms a lower low toward 1.3950
Close above 1.3980 reopens 1.3990 session range top
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD dipped to the session low at 1.39501 then recovered to 1.39805 before stalling, now chopping in a tight 1.3968–1.3978 range around 1.3972. With the pair pinned under the 1.40 congestion ceiling and CAD capped by soft oil, RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39640 reopens the session low at 1.39501
M15 close above 1.39805 puts the 1.40 psych level in range
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD mover
USDCAD swept the 1.3950 low then recovered to ~1.3972 as the dollar stays soft on the US-Iran peace deal, though weaker oil caps CAD upside. Price now consolidating just above EMA20 between 1.3968 and the 1.3980 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.39681, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40 ceiling
Loss of 1.3950 sweep low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC dots and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off to a 1.39501 session low during the London session as a softer USD held the pair pinned near 1.3970, then recovered through the European morning and is now consolidating between 1.39680 and 1.39785. RSI(14) is back to neutral around 54; ATR sits near 6 pips.
Support: 1.3968, 1.39558, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39805, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 reopens the 1.39847 pre-drop high
Loss of 1.39680 puts the 1.39501 session low back in play
FOMC dots and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.39719
Intraday range, holding above session low.
USDCAD recovered from the NY session low at 1.39500 back to ~1.3972, with sellers capping the bounce around 1.39790. Price is ranging mid-band as broad USD weakness on the fading safe-haven bid is offset by soft oil weighing on CAD; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3964
Resistance: 1.3979, 1.3988, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39790 opens the path toward the 1.40 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 1.39500 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
FOMC dots and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.39719
Ranging after V-shaped bounce.
USDCAD flushed to 1.3950 then V-recovered to 1.3980 as the broad USD stayed soft post US-Iran deal; buyers stepped in at the session low. Price now drifts at 1.3972, mid-range and stalling just under the session high, RSI near 48.
Support: 1.3960, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 reopens the path to the 1.40 ceiling
Loss of 1.39600 puts the 1.3950 session low back in play
FOMC dots / Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.39735
Double bottom near 1.3950, rising into session high.
USDCAD swept down to a 1.3950 double bottom early in the session then recovered as broad USD softened on fading haven demand post US-Iran deal. Price now consolidates around 1.3974 just under the 1.3980 session high, RSI neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3968, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3988
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path toward 1.3988
Loss of 1.39680 reopens the 1.3950 double bottom
Empire State (12:30 UTC) and Industrial Production (13:15 UTC) could shift USD tone
USDCAD slid to a 1.3950 session low then recovered through the London session to 1.3980 as the USD softened on fading safe-haven demand. Price is now consolidating around 1.3974, holding just under the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.39608, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39882
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path toward 1.39882
Failure to hold 1.39608 reopens the 1.39501 session low
FOMC projections Wed could materially shift this read
Monday open gapped lower and slid to 1.39501 as the USD softened on the US-Iran Hormuz deal; price recovered through London to tag 1.39805 and is now consolidating around 1.3974. RSI back to mid-range after the bounce, ATR near 27 pips.
Support: 1.39685, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path to the 1.40000 ceiling
Loss of 1.39685 reopens the 1.39501 swing low
US Empire State at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
Intraday range 1.3950–1.3980 after sharp drop and bounce.
USDCAD slid to 1.39501 early in the session as the US-Iran Hormuz deal drained USD safe-haven demand, then recovered to 1.39805 before stalling near 1.39735. Now ranging mid-band; the 1.40 ceiling caps upside while oil weakness keeps a floor under the pair.
Support: 1.3969, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 reopens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39690 reactivates the 1.39501 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and oil direction post-Hormuz deal are the dominant drivers
Double bottom near 1.3950, higher lows into London.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.3950 overnight and climbed through the London open to tag 1.39805 before easing back to 1.39712, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. The bounce tracks the broad USD retreat on fading haven flows, though soft oil keeps a lid on the loonie.
Support: 1.3965, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 swing high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.39650 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 1.3950, capped under session high.
London session clawed back from the 1.39501 session low to 1.39805 before stalling, with USDCAD now consolidating near 1.39712 and RSI(14) mid-range. The pair remains pinned beneath the 1.40 ceiling as a softer USD on the fading Iran haven bid offsets weak oil.
Support: 1.39608, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39608 reopens the 1.39501 session low
FOMC dots Wed could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Short-term recovery off the lows · RSI 58 · price 1.39733
Higher lows since the 1.3950 base.
Price flushed to 1.39501 early in the session, where it printed a double bottom, then buyers recovered the move through London with USD broadly softer on the Iran deal unwind. Now consolidating just under the 1.39805 session high, RSI(14) mid-range around 58.
Support: 1.39575, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3989
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 session high opens the path toward 1.39890
Failure to hold 1.39575 swing low reopens the 1.39501 session low
FOMC dots Wed could materially shift the broad USD read
USD/CAD recovered from the session low at 1.39507 up to 1.39805 through the London-NY transition, now easing to 1.39733 with RSI(14) mid-range. Sellers capped the bounce at 1.398 just shy of the week-open level; CAD stays soft on weak oil while USD trades two-way ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.39573, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39847, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 opens the path to week open 1.39847 and the 1.40 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39573 reopens the 1.39507 session low
FOMC Wed could materially shift the broader USD read
London hours swept the 1.3950 session low then reclaimed it, grinding back to the 1.39805 session high before stalling at 1.39765. RSI(14) recovered to ~60 with rising lows intact; broad USD bid and soft oil remain the backdrop into NY.
Support: 1.3957, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.3988
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39570 consolidation reopens the 1.39501 session low
A close above 1.39805 session high extends toward the 1.39880 prior high
08:15 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 60 · price 1.39765
Rebound from 1.3951 toward session high 1.3980.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.3951 then ground back up to retest the session high near 1.3980, with RSI(14) holding mid-range. Move fits the soft-oil CAD backdrop even as the broader USD eased on the Iran-deal haven unwind; price is pressing the 1.3980 cap.
Support: 1.39573, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39894
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 opens the path toward the 1.3989 prior high
Loss of 1.3957 reopens the 1.3951 session low
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the key risk that could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Recovering off swing low, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 1.39765
Higher lows after sweep of 1.39507.
USDCAD swept the 1.39507 swing low early London and recovered steadily back to test the session high at 1.39805, RSI(14) firm near 62. Price holds above both EMAs with a chain of higher lows; demand stepping in around 1.39650.
Support: 1.3965, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39882
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39805 opens the path toward 1.39882 prior high
Loss of 1.39650 reopens the 1.39507 swing low
Oil moves and broad USD remain the primary driver into the week's risk events
08:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 58 · price 1.39765
Higher lows since 1.39501, testing session high.
USDCAD clawed back from the 1.39501 session low through the London open, building higher lows and stalling just under the 1.39805 session high, RSI(14) ~58. CAD stays soft near YTD highs as firm USD and weak oil dominate; no fresh setup until the session high gives way.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39501, 1.39573
Resistance: 1.39805, 1.39889
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39805 opens the path to the 1.39889 prior high
Loss of 1.39640 reverses the recovery toward the 1.39501 session low
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 1.39748
Bounce from 1.395 base into prior range.
USD/CAD slid to a session low of 1.39507 then printed a double base near 1.395 before rallying ~28 pips into the London session, with energy weakness keeping the pair pinned near YTD highs. Now consolidating just under the 1.39785 session high, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.3960, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39785 session high opens the 1.39847 gap open level
Failure to hold 1.39600 reopens the 1.39507 session low
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.39748
Higher lows building after 1.3951 spike low.
Post-gap selling drove USDCAD to a 1.3951 session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward 1.3978 in a chain of higher lows through London hours. RSI(14) firm near 60, with CAD offered on the soft-oil backdrop into year-to-date highs around 1.40.
Support: 1.39573, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39847, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39785 opens the path to 1.39847 post-gap high
Loss of 1.39573 swing low reopens the 1.3951 session low
07:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 61 · price 1.39755
Double bottom then bounce, retesting session high.
Pair bounced off the session low at 1.39500 — a double bottom — and pushed back to 1.39785 through the London hours, RSI(14) recovering near 60. Sticky US PPI and soft oil keep the broader bid toward 1.40 intact.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3957
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39785 opens the path back toward 1.39847
Loss of 1.39500 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
07:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum turning up · RSI 58 · price 1.39755
Bounce from 1.3950, higher lows forming.
USDCAD sold off to a 1.3950 session low on the London open before buyers stepped in twice and drove a sharp recovery back through 1.3970. RSI(14) lifting from the bounce; the 1.39785 session high caps the move for now, with broader flows still tilted toward the 1.40 YTD highs.
Support: 1.3960, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39785, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39785 opens the path to 1.39847
Failure to hold 1.39600 reopens the 1.3950 session low
London session bounced off the 1.39501 session low twice (double bottom) and reclaimed 1.397, with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. USD/CAD remains near YTD highs but is consolidating after fading the 1.398 prints; demand stepped in around 1.395.
Support: 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39778, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39778 opens the path back to 1.39847
Loss of 1.39501 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) and Retail Sales are the week's key USD risks
London session slid to a session low at 1.3950 twice before buyers recovered the move back to 1.39780, with price now consolidating near 1.39725. Broadly firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC and soft oil keep USD/CAD pinned near YTD highs; RSI(14) cooling from the bounce, no fresh extreme.
Support: 1.3950
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39780 reopens 1.39847
Loss of 1.3950 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed (18:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
London session: USDCAD double-tapped 1.3950 and recovered to 1.3978 before easing back to 1.3972, with the broad USD bid and soft CAD keeping the pair near YTD highs. RSI(14) around 56 after lifting off the lows; price reclaimed both short EMAs.
Support: 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39778, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39778 opens the path to 1.39842
Loss of 1.39501 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant USD risk into mid-week
07:01 UTC
Down then bouncing, range mid · RSI 55 · price 1.39725
Double-bottom bounce off 1.3950, easing.
London morning: USDCAD probed the session low at 1.3950 twice and buyers stepped in, driving a sharp 28-pip recovery to 1.39778 before easing back to 1.397. Pair sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral after the bounce, USD broadly firm on the higher-for-longer Fed read.
Support: 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39778, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39500 confirms a lower low and negates the double-bottom
Reclaim of 1.39778 reopens the path to the 1.39847 day high
FOMC/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid from the 1.3985 session high to a 1.3950 low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom, then snapped back to 1.3973 — roughly the 66% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s off the lows; price now testing the 1.3973–1.3982 supply zone.
Support: 1.39501
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.39810 reopens the path to the 1.39847 session high
Loss of 1.39501 confirms a fresh lower low
US-Iran/oil headlines remain the primary near-term driver for CAD
06:46 UTC
Consolidation after pullback, recovering · RSI 56 · price 1.3973
Dip to session low at 1.3950 bought back.
London morning saw USDCAD dip to 1.3950 then snap back to 1.3973, with buyers stepping in at the session low. Pair grinding just under the 1.3990 round number near YTD highs; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s after the bounce.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3960
Resistance: 1.3976, 1.3990
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3950 confirms a lower low
Break above 1.3990 round number opens the 1.40 area
Wed Retail Sales + FOMC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Pullback from highs, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.39684
Lower lows into 1.3950, sharp recovery.
London open flushed USDCAD to 1.39501 before a sharp single-bar rejection lifted price back to 1.39722, settling near 1.39684. The drop unwound part of the grind toward the 1.40 area flagged on softer oil; the 1.3973 swing high now caps the rebound.
Support: 1.39501, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.3973, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39730 reopens the 1.39842 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39501 confirms a lower low
FOMC/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground lower through the session from 1.398 to a 1.3950 swing low, where buyers stepped in twice before a sharp candle reclaimed 1.397 into the close. CAD stays heavy on soft oil and hot US PPI, but RSI(14) has recovered off its lows as the down leg stalls.
Support: 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39722, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3950 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.39847 negates the down leg
Oil and broad USD remain the primary drivers into the session
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.39603
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low at 1.3950.
USDCAD drifted lower through the early London session, printing a fresh low at 1.3950 before a modest bounce to 1.3960, consistent with the broad-USD wobble after soft US PPI/CPI offset. Price holds below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 42; chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.39501, 1.3945
Resistance: 1.39655, 1.3974, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39655 and the EMA20 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.3950 session low opens the path toward 1.3945
Pair still sits below the 1.40 area highs — broad-USD direction remains the driver
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 42 · price 1.39603
Lower highs into a swept session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian into early-London hours, sweeping the session low at 1.39507 before bouncing to 1.39603, with the broad bid favouring USD on the higher-for-longer Fed read. Chain of lower highs from 1.39847 still intact; RSI(14) near 42 reflects the recovery off the low rather than a trend turn.
Support: 1.39507, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39657, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39657 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.39507 confirms continuation of the downleg
USD remains the primary driver into Empire State / Industrial Production data later today
USD/CAD ground lower through Asia into the London session, printing a fresh leg-low at 1.39501 as the pair pulls back from YTD highs near 1.40 on a softer-oil/CAD backdrop. A modest bounce to 1.39603 followed, but price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — lower-high chain still intact.
Support: 1.39501, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.3965, 1.3973
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39650 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39501 confirms another lower low
Oil and broad-USD headlines remain the primary driver into NY
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 40 · price 1.39603
Lower highs into session low, weak bounce.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, sweeping to a session low of 1.39501 before a shallow bounce to 1.39603. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, sitting just under the 1.39650 minor swing that capped the rebound.
Support: 1.39501, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3965, 1.39704
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39650 then 1.39704 would break the lower-high sequence
M15 close below 1.39501 extends the downtrend toward the 1.39400 psych level
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session into early London, printing a fresh local low at 1.39501 and extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 32, soft but not yet at extremes. The intraday slide is a pullback within the broader push toward YTD highs near 1.40, with oil weakness and a firm USD the backdrop.
Support: 1.39501, 1.3945
Resistance: 1.39608, 1.39672, 1.39762
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.39608 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39501 confirms continuation lower
US Empire State 12:30 UTC / Industrial Production 13:15 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking below 1.3960 to fresh session lows at 1.3950 as the recent pullback off the 1.40 area extended. RSI(14) near 32 reflects short-term pressure but is not yet at an extreme; price sits below both EMAs with no sign of stabilisation.
Support: 1.39501, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3965, 1.3976
What it said to watch
A reclaim above 1.39650 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.39500 opens the path toward the 1.3940 area
US Empire State / Industrial Production later today could shift the USD leg
USDCAD ground lower through the Asian session, posting a fresh low at 1.39507 on the latest bar after a clean chain of lower highs from 1.39762. CAD stays heavy on soft oil and a firm USD; RSI(14) cooling near the low-30s with price pinned below both EMAs.
Support: 1.39507, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39737
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39737 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.39507 opens the path toward the 1.3900 weekly low
USDCAD reopened with a weekend gap lower and has ground down through the London session to fresh lows at 1.39507, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet stretched. Soft oil and a back-foot CAD theme keep the pair heavy, with each bounce capped under 1.39654.
Support: 1.39507, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39654
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39654 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.39500 psych extends the session downtrend
Empire State / Industrial Production (12:30/13:15 UTC) could shift this read
Monday open gapped lower and swept to 1.39544 before buyers lifted it to the 1.39762 swing high; price has since drifted back toward session lows at 1.39592 under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) soft near 41. Despite the daily push to YTD highs on soft oil, this Asian-session window is corrective.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39592
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 1.39762 swing high negates the down-drift
Empire State / Industrial Production later today could shift the USD read
05:16 UTC
Intraday drift lower · RSI 38 · price 1.39592
Lower highs, grinding back to session low.
Quiet Asia session grinding lower toward the session low at 1.39558 after the early sell-off off 1.39762, with USD broadly firm and oil-driven CAD weakness keeping the pair near YTD highs. RSI(14) near 37 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; lower highs intact as the pullback from the bounce extends.
Lower highs since the open, drifting toward session low.
The week opened with a small gap lower and a sharp slide to the 1.39544 session low, where buyers stabilised it. Price has since carved lower highs through the Asia session and is grinding back toward 1.39592 with RSI(14) in the low-40s; CAD stays heavy on soft oil and a firm USD into the FOMC week.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39672, 1.39762
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a fresh session low
Reclaim of 1.39762 bounce high negates the lower-high sequence
US Empire State / Industrial Production later today could shift USD tone
Lower highs after gap-down open, probing session low.
Monday opened with a small gap-down then a sharp drop to the session low at 1.39544 during Asia hours. Price recovered to 1.39762 but has since faded in a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) sub-40 as it grinds back toward the lows near 1.39592.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39654, 1.39762
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.3900
Reclaim above 1.39762 session high invalidates the fade
Lower highs after sharp drop, drifting toward session low.
Thin Asian session grinding lower after the open dropped from 1.39847 to a 1.39544 session low; the bounce stalled at 1.39762 and price is drifting back down at 1.39638. Sequence of lower highs intact, RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR thin at ~9 pips.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39544 session low confirms continuation lower
M15 close back above 1.39762 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC and Warsh dots (Jun 17, 18:00 UTC) is the dominant USD risk ahead
04:45 UTC
Downside drift within range · RSI 44 · price 1.39638
Consolidation after weekend gap down.
USDCAD opened the week with a gap lower from 1.3985, sliding to 1.39544 before settling into a 1.3954–1.3976 range through Asia. Price now drifts back toward the session low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 1.39762 needed to negate the downside drift
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the primary CAD driver into London
04:31 UTC
Consolidating after post-weekend drop · RSI 42 · price 1.39657
Range above 1.3956 session low.
USDCAD gapped lower into the new week and flushed to 1.39558 before recovering to 1.39762; price has since drifted back to 1.3966 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 and price holds below EMA20/50, leaving the pair ranging between 1.3956 and 1.3976 with no clean setup.
Support: 1.3959, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39558 opens further downside toward 1.3950
Reclaim of 1.39762 needed to extend the post-gap recovery
FOMC and Warsh dots later this week the binary risk for USD
Week opened with a gap-down and a sweep to 1.39544 before buyers lifted it back to 1.39762; CAD stayed heavy on soft oil and a hot US PPI print. Price has since drifted back to mid-range near 1.39657, RSI(14) flat around 43 and sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39842
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.39500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.39762 session high reasserts the recovery toward 1.39842
Pair stays oil/broad-USD driven into Wed Retail Sales and FOMC
USDCAD gapped lower into the new week's Asia session and flushed to 1.39544 before buyers stepped in toward the 1.39762 swing high. Since then price has carved lower highs and drifted back to 1.39662, around the 50% retrace of that bounce, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3960
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower low and breaks the session low
Reclaim of 1.39762 swing high negates the fade and reopens the gap-open at 1.39847
Monday Asia opened with a gap-down and a quick slide to 1.39544 before a partial recovery toward 1.39762. Price has since drifted lower and sits at 1.39662 under EMA20/50, holding a chain of lower highs into early session.
Support: 1.3964, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.39762 negates the lower-high sequence
Quiet Asia session. After the Sunday gap, price dropped sharply to a session low at 1.39544 then recovered, stalling at the 1.39762 swing high before fading back to the 50% retrace near 1.39662. RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed around 5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3959, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.3973, 1.39762
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.39762 swing high needed to resume the recovery
Lower highs after early-week drop and partial recovery.
USDCAD opened the week with a gap-down and sharp flush to 1.39544 as soft oil and a firm USD kept CAD heavy near YTD highs. Price recovered to 1.39730 but has carved lower highs since, now grinding back toward the session low at 1.39662; RSI(14) hovering mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3959
Resistance: 1.3973
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39730 negates the lower-highs read
Break below 1.39544 confirms continuation of the early-week drop
Move stays driven by oil and broad USD ahead of FOMC mid-week
03:46 UTC
Short-term down, consolidating after gap drop · RSI 43 · price 1.39679
Range 1.3955–1.3976 after open flush, lower highs forming.
USDCAD gapped lower into the new week and flushed to 1.39544 at the open before recovering to 1.39762. Price has since stalled into lower highs and is drifting back to the 38.2% retrace near 1.39679, sitting under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.3960, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 swing low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.39762 session high invalidates the lower-high read
Sunday open gapped lower and flushed to 1.39558 in early Asia hours, then recovered into a 1.3956–1.3976 range. Price is now fading from 1.39762 toward range lows with RSI(14) mid-40s and no momentum.
Support: 1.39558, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.39762 needed to re-challenge the pre-gap 1.39847
Week opened with a sharp flush to 1.39544 before buyers reclaimed back to 1.39762; price now fading to mid-range around 1.39683 in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 44, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.3959, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.39762 needed to resume the recovery
Asia liquidity thin — range likely holds until London open
03:30 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 44 · price 1.39683
Ranging after recovery off session low.
USDCAD gapped lower into the new week and dumped to 1.39544 early, then recovered to 1.39762 before drifting back to 1.39683. Now ranging between the session low and recovery high in the Asia session, RSI(14) mid-40s with price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39592
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.39762 puts the 1.39847 pre-drop high back in play
Oil headlines / broad USD remain primary drivers near the 1.40 area
03:16 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.39689
Range after gap-down recovery.
Monday Asia opened with a gap-down sweep to 1.39544, then recovered to 1.39762 before drifting back toward 1.39690. Now ranging between the 1.39590 swing low and the 1.39762 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 45 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3959, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 1.39762 reopens 1.39847 pre-gap high
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the primary intraday driver for CAD
03:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39689
Post-gap recovery fading mid-range.
Sunday reopen gapped lower and sold off to a session low at 1.39544, with buyers stepping in there to recover toward the 1.39762 session high. Price is now fading back through mid-range in quiet Asia hours, holding above the 1.39590 range floor; soft oil and a firm USD remain the backdrop.
Support: 1.3959, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.39762 reopens the 1.39842 prior high
Loss of 1.39590 range floor exposes the session low
03:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 46 · price 1.39689
Post-gap range, holding above 1.3957.
Weekend re-open swept down to 1.39544 before buyers recovered the pair into a 1.3957–1.3976 range; thin Asia-session flow has it drifting back toward the lower half near 1.3969. No setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.3957, 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3957 reopens the 1.39544 session low
Reclaim of 1.3976 range high needed to challenge 1.3985
03:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.39689
Session low swept then recovered, now fading.
Asia session opened with a sharp drop sweeping to 1.39558 before buyers recovered price to the 1.39762 session high. Pair has since faded back to 1.39689, sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43 — no clean directional setup, ranging 1.39685–1.39762.
Support: 1.39685, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39762
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39685 reopens the 1.39558 swept low
Reclaim of 1.39762 session high needed to resume the recovery
Monday open gapped lower and swept down to 1.39544 before buyers reclaimed into a tight 1.39700-1.39762 range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips; no directional setup in play with price pinned mid-range.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39762 session high reopens path to 1.39847 pre-gap level
Failure to hold 1.39544 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC (Wed) and broad USD tone remain the larger swing factor for this pair
Week opened with a gap lower and a flush to 1.39544 in early Asia hours, then a recovery into a 1.3960–1.3976 consolidation. RSI(14) back near neutral after the dip; price holds above EMA20 but is capped under the 1.39762 session high. CAD stays heavy on soft oil and the higher-for-longer USD theme.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39565
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39762 reopens the 1.39847 gap-fill area
Loss of 1.39544 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the primary CAD driver
02:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 1.3975
Weekend gap lower, bounce into prior range.
USDCAD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open and dropped to 1.3955 as oil-driven CAD flow met a firm USD; a double bottom near 1.3955 has since recovered the pair to 1.3975. Price is now retracing the drop, capped under the 1.3988 pre-gap high with the 1.40 psych level above.
Support: 1.39558, 1.39616
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3988 reopens the path to the 1.40 psych level
Loss of 1.3955 session low confirms a lower-low and voids the recovery
02:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.3975
Higher lows since 1.3954 base.
Monday open gapped lower and sold off sharply to 1.3954, where buyers stepped in twice to form a base. Price has since ground back up to the session high at 1.3976, retracing roughly two-thirds of the drop with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 1.3957, 1.3954
Resistance: 1.3976, 1.3985
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3976 session high opens the path to 1.3985
Failure to hold 1.3957 reopens the 1.3954 session low
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the primary CAD driver into the session
02:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 1.39731
Drop, sweep of low, recovering into range.
USDCAD gapped lower at the Monday open and flushed to 1.39558, sweeping the low before buyers reclaimed into a 1.39558–1.39762 range; CAD got no lift as energy weakness and a firm USD dominate. Price now presses the 1.39762 session high with RSI(14) near 58, still shy of the 1.39842 gap area.
Support: 1.39558, 1.39616
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39762 opens the path back toward the 1.39842 gap area
Loss of 1.39616 reopens the 1.39558 session low
02:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 54 · price 1.39731
Higher lows after early-week flush to 1.3956.
Week opened with a sharp flush from 1.3984 to 1.3956 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.3956, forming a double bottom. Price has since ground back to 1.3973 on a higher-low chain; the 1.39762 session high is the immediate cap, with EMA50 also overhead.
Support: 1.39613, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39762 opens the path back toward the 1.39842 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39613 swing low reopens the 1.39558 session low
Oil and US-Iran headlines remain the primary CAD driver into the new week
Asia/Sunday open gapped lower and flushed to 1.39544; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.3956, lifting price back to 1.397 as the soft-oil, firm-USD backdrop keeps the pair near YTD highs. Now ranging 1.3956–1.3976 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and thin early-Asia liquidity.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39894
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39762 opens the path back toward prior high 1.39894
Loss of 1.39544 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Liquidity stays thin until London open
02:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 57 · price 1.39731
Double bottom near 1.3955, retracing the drop.
Monday open gapped lower and sold off to 1.3954 in early Asia, where a double bottom formed and buyers stepped in twice. Price has since recovered to 1.3973, stalling right at the 61.8% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) back near mid-range.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39762 session high opens the path back to 1.39847
Failure to hold 1.3955 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
USDCAD remains driven by oil and broad USD into the week
01:46 UTC
Recovering after gap-down sell-off · RSI 57 · price 1.39709
Higher lows off 1.3954, base building.
Monday reopen gapped lower and dumped to 1.3954, where buyers stepped in twice during the Asia session as soft oil and hot US PPI kept USD/CAD near YTD highs. Price has since clawed back to 1.3971, building higher lows; the 1.39762 swing high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39842
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39762 opens the path to the gap high at 1.39842
Failure to hold 1.39544 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD catalyst
01:45 UTC
Recovering after gap-down sell-off · RSI 48 · price 1.39709
Drove to 1.3954 low, bouncing in lower half of session range.
USDCAD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open and sold off to 1.39544 before basing and recovering to 1.39762; price now sits mid-range at 1.39709, roughly half the drop retraced. Soft oil and hot US PPI underpin the broader bid into 1.40 congestion, but this session is consolidating after the gap fill failed.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39592
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39762 reopens the gap level at 1.39847
Loss of 1.39544 confirms a fresh session low
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves on either side
01:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 1.39732
Gap down then range, pushing higher.
Monday opened with a gap lower from 1.39847 that swept to a 1.39544 session low before buyers recovered the pair through the Asia session. Price has since ground back up to a 1.39762 session high and is consolidating just under it; RSI(14) near 58 with room before extremes.
Support: 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39762 session high opens the path toward the 1.39847 gap level
Failure to hold 1.39558 session low reopens downside
Liquidity thin in early Asia hours — moves may be choppy
01:31 UTC
Recovering after sweep, momentum building · RSI 57 · price 1.39732
Swept week low, climbing off consolidation.
USDCAD gapped down at the week open and swept the 1.3954 low before holding through Asian hours; price has since recovered to the 1.3976 session high. The Loonie stays under broad pressure with USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC, and the intraday structure is a clean recovery off the sweep low.
Support: 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39762, 1.39847, 1.3990
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39847 week open reopens the path toward the 1.39900 ytd area
Failure to hold 1.39558 sweep low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst this week
Thin Sunday/Asia open gapped lower and sold off to a 1.3955 session low, where three taps held before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered through 1.3965 with the last bar pushing to 1.3972; momentum is constructive but volume is light into a quiet open.
Support: 1.3960, 1.3955
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.3996
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3985 session high reopens the path to 1.3996 ytd high and 1.40 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3960 swing low reopens the 1.3955 session low
FOMC Wednesday remains the week's dominant USDCAD catalyst
01:16 UTC
Recovering off week-open low · RSI 57 · price 1.3972
Weekend gap down, base building.
USDCAD gapped lower into the Asia open and flushed to 1.3954, then buyers stepped in around 1.3956 twice and lifted the pair back to 1.3972. Recovery has retraced roughly 60% of the open drop; prior high at 1.3984 caps, with the 1.40 psych zone above marking the YTD congestion band.
Support: 1.3956, 1.3954
Resistance: 1.3984, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3984 prior high would extend the recovery toward 1.40 psych
Loss of the 1.3956 session low / 1.3954 swing low re-opens the week-open flush
01:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 1.3972
Gap-down open, basing then grinding higher.
Asia session opened with a gap lower from Friday's ~1.3985, sliding to 1.3954 before stabilising as USD/CAD pulls back from YTD highs near 1.3990. Price has since ranged 1.3956–1.3972 and is now testing the range top with RSI(14) recovering through midline.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39757, 1.39847, 1.3990
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3975 opens the path toward the gap open at 1.3985
Failure to hold 1.3958 reopens the 1.3954 session low
01:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 1.3972
Gap down then base, higher lows.
USDCAD gapped lower from Friday's 1.3988 close and slid to 1.3954 early Monday, with twin touches near 1.3955 forming a base before buyers lifted price back to 1.3972. RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s; demand held the session low while 1.3976 swing high caps for now.
Support: 1.3954
Resistance: 1.3976, 1.3985
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3985 friday close fills the weekend gap
Loss of 1.3954 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC + Warsh Wed is the dominant USD catalyst this week
00:46 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.39613
Range break lower, now basing.
Session opened with a gap-down and a sharp slide to 1.39544, breaking below the prior session range. Price has since recovered into a 1.3955-1.3965 consolidation, RSI(14) lifting off the lows; demand stepping in repeatedly around the session low.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39655
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 opens fresh session lows toward the 1.39500 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.39655 swing high needed to negate the down leg
FOMC mid-week is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
00:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 42 · price 1.39613
Post-gap selloff, now ranging above session low.
New session opened near 1.39847 and sold off sharply to 1.39544, recouping part of the drop to range between 1.39544 and 1.39655. Soft oil and hot US PPI underpin the broader USD/CAD bid, but this leg has retraced lower; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39655, 1.39749, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39655 opens the path back toward 1.39749
Failure to hold 1.39544 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 39 · price 1.39584
Lower high then lower low, basing above session low.
New session opened with a sharp ~30 pip drop from 1.3985 to the session low at 1.39544, in line with the soft USD print at one-week lows on Iran-deal risk-on. Price now consolidating 1.39544–1.39655, RSI(14) near 39 with bounces capped at the bounce high.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39655, 1.39847
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.3950 round number
Reclaim of 1.39655 bounce high needed to neutralise the down move
00:30 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating · RSI 40 · price 1.39584
Sharp drop into week open, now ranging above session low.
New week opened with a small gap down and a sharp slide from 1.39847 to the 1.39544 session low, after USD softened on Iran-deal risk-on. Price now consolidates between 1.3955 and 1.3965 with RSI(14) near 40; the 1.39655 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.39544
Resistance: 1.39655, 1.39847
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39544 confirms a lower-low and extends the drop
Reclaim of 1.39655 swing high challenges the consolidation
00:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend off Monday open · RSI 43 · price 1.39623
Broke Friday range, low at 1.3954, now consolidating.
USDCAD opened the new week lower and sold through 1.39750, printing a session low at 1.39544 as a soft USD near one-week lows weighed. Price has since stabilised, consolidating between 1.3955 and 1.3966 with RSI mid-range; thin holiday-open liquidity is evident in the last bars.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.39655, 1.39749
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39655 then 1.39749 would unwind the Monday breakdown
Failure to hold 1.39544 confirms a fresh lower low
Liquidity remains thin into Asia open — moves prone to whipsaw
00:15 UTC
Down off the open, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.39623
Gap lower then tight range.
Weekend reopen gapped lower and swept down to 1.39544, then settled into a tight 1.39558–1.39656 range through early Asia. RSI mid-40s and ATR near 8 pips — no directional impulse since the open drop.
Support: 1.39544, 1.39558
Resistance: 1.39656, 1.39749
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39544 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.39749 begins to fill the open gap
Range holding 1.39558–1.39656 keeps the read flat
00:01 UTC
Pulled back off highs, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.39623
Session sell-off then base near 1.3960.
Monday Asia open sold USDCAD from 1.39842 down to a session low at 1.39544, slipping off YTD-high territory as the softer dollar tone weighed. Price is now consolidating around 1.3962 with RSI mid-range; 1.39750 caps the recovery.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3959
Resistance: 1.3975, 1.39842
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39750 reopens the path back toward 1.39842
Failure to hold 1.39544 confirms a lower-low extension
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold into London
New week opened with a sharp leg lower, breaking 1.3975 and sweeping down to 1.39544 in early Asia hours. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3959–1.3965 band just above the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush.
Support: 1.39544, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.3975
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.3975 would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.39544 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed (Warsh debut) is the dominant USD risk this week