USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.39925
Tight consolidation below 1.4000 after pullback from session high.
USDCAD coiled in a thin Asian-session range around 1.3992, holding just under the 1.4000 figure after rejecting the 1.4018 session high. Volume has thinned to a trickle into the late session; price retraced roughly a third of the prior drop to the 1.3980 low and stalled.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Break of 1.3980 confirms a lower low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:45 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39925
Tight consolidation under 1.4000.
Late Asia session sees ultra-tight coiling around 1.3992 on thin volume after the rally rejected at 1.4018 and dipped to 1.3980. The 1.4000 round number is capping while RSI sits flat near 49; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.3980 confirms a lower low toward 1.3931
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39925
Consolidation near range highs after pullback off 1.4018.
USDCAD is flatlining around 1.3992 in thin early-Asia trade after fading from 1.4018 and basing at the 1.3980 swing low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to a few pips; soft oil and a patient BoC keep the pair pinned just under the 1.4002 YTD-high congestion. No setup in play — ranging between 1.3980 and 1.4002.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 ytd high opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Loss of 1.39800 swing low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales and Wed FOMC are the dominant near-term catalysts for this read
23:30 UTC
Pullback stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39925
Consolidation under 1.4000 after rejection.
NY rejected the 1.4018 prior high and swept down to 1.39797 before recovering; price has since gone flat near 1.3992 on thin late-session volume. Tight 1.39880–1.39930 coil with RSI neutral.
Support: 1.39882, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.40180 prior high
Loss of 1.39797 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
23:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39927
Ranging 1.3980-1.4018, holding mid-range.
USDCAD compressing around 1.3993 in thin late-Asia trade after rejecting the 1.4018 session high and basing twice near 1.3980. Pair is pinned near 7-month highs with soft oil keeping CAD on the back foot; RSI(14) flat near 46, no setup in play.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40023, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40023 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant cross-driver into this read
23:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.39927
Consolidating after pullback from session high.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40180 session high mid-window then sold off to 1.39797, and has since coiled into a tight 1.3988–1.4002 band through the quiet Asian session on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, ATR compressed to ~6 pips with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39880 range floor exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales are the dominant near-term catalysts
23:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.39927
Intraday range, mid-band.
USDCAD probed the 1.4018 session/YTD-high zone during London then was rejected, sliding to 1.3980 before settling into a tight 1.3980–1.4002 range; RSI(14) is flat near 50. Late-window volumes are thin into the Asia start, no setup in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path back to the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3980 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this read
23:01 UTC
Range after pullback from highs · RSI 49 · price 1.39927
Consolidating 1.3989-1.4000 in low-volume Asia hours.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4018 session high during NY, swept down to 1.39797 then recovered, and is now coiling tight around 1.3992 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) is balanced near 50; no setup in play while 1.3989-1.4000 holds.
Support: 1.3989, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40023, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40023 reopens the path to the 1.4018 session high and 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.3989 range floor exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
22:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.39925
Intraday range below 1.4000 after rejection of session high.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.40180 session high mid-window and sold off to the 1.39800 session low before reclaiming the 1.40000 round number, now consolidating just under it near 1.3992. RSI(14) neutral around 48 with thin late-session volume; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 session high and 1.40200 ytd high
Failure to hold the 1.39880 swing low exposes the 1.39800 session low
Fed decision + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
22:45 UTC
Range after pullback from highs · RSI 48 · price 1.39925
Consolidating mid-range, no clear swing direction.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4018 session high to 1.3980 and has since gone quiet, drifting around 1.3990 through low-volume Asian hours. RSI(14) is flat near 48 with price pinned to EMA20/50 — no setup in play, just chop between 1.3980 and 1.4002.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the 1.4018/1.4020 highs
Break of 1.3980 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant cross-driver and can override this range read
22:31 UTC
Range, drifting near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.39922
Consolidation after sell-off from 1.4018.
USDCAD failed at the 1.4018 range high during NY hours and sold off to 1.39797 before stabilising around 1.3990 into the late session. Now coiling in a tight 1.3988–1.4000 band, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips as liquidity thins.
Support: 1.3985, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.4018 range high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a fresh session low
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower into close · RSI 47 · price 1.39922
Ranging 1.3980-1.4018, hovering mid.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3980-1.4018 with thin late-session flow; the pair faded from the 1.4018 range high and bottomed at 1.39797 before stabilising around 1.3990, price sitting just under EMA20/50. No setup in play ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.3999, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39990 reopens the 1.40180 range high and 1.40200 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39880 targets the 1.39797 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Ranging between 1.3988 and 1.4002 after NY-session dip.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39797 session low set during NY hours and is ranging between 1.39880 and 1.40020 through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price hugging EMA20; 1.40020 capped the bounce while buyers stepped in around 1.39880.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.40180 prior high
Close below 1.39797 confirms a lower low
FOMC decision Wed could materially shift this read
22:15 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.39924
Consolidating in lower half of session range.
USDCAD slid from the 1.40180 session high to a 1.39797 swing low during NY hours, then base-built and is now flat near 1.39924 in a quiet, thin Asian range. RSI(14) neutral around 48; price pinned just under 1.4000 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.39882, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40023, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40023 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low
Fed decision/SEP Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD rejected the 1.40154 swing high and sold off to a 1.39797 swing low before recovering and stalling around 1.3990. Thin late-session bars now chop between the 1.39880 session low and the 1.40023 session high with RSI mid-range; no momentum either way.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.40023, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40023 reopens the 1.40154 swing high and the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39880 session low exposes 1.39797 swing low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Pullback off highs, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.39924
Range after rejection of 1.4018 high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4018 session high mid-window and swept down to 1.39797 before stabilising; it now ranges 1.3988–1.4002 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Late-session volume has thinned and price sits around the 38.2% retrace of that drop, capped by the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the path to the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3988 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in play
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39897
Range after rejection from session high.
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.3980–1.4002 after the 1.4018 session high was rejected mid-window, with price now coiling near 1.3990 on thin late-NY volume. CAD stays pinned near YTD highs as soft oil keeps the commodity currency heavy; RSI(14) sits neutral near 46.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.4018 prior high
Close below 1.39797 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and can reset this range
21:45 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.39897
Range-bound between 1.3980 and 1.4018.
USDCAD chopped within 1.3980–1.4018 across the session, with a sharp drop sweeping below the floor to 1.39797 before recovering to ~1.4000. Price now sits mid-range near 1.39897 on thin post-NY-close volume, RSI flat near 47.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3980 range floor confirms a lower-low toward 1.3931
Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Ranging, no directional momentum · RSI 50 · price 1.39937
Range between session low and 1.4018, price mid-range.
USDCAD is chopping around 1.3994 in the Asia session after fading from the 1.4018 session high earlier; 1.4000 round number capping on the way back up. Buyers stepped in near 1.3980 to hold the session low, leaving the pair boxed inside a tight range with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3980 session low exposes 1.3931 key support
FOMC and US Retail Sales ahead could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.39937
Intraday range, high rejected, low bought.
USDCAD has ranged 1.3980-1.4016 through the NY session, with the 1.4016 high rejected and the dip to 1.3980 bought back toward the 1.4000 psych level. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, price pinned around EMA20 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40162 session high
Loss of 1.39800 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and can override this read
21:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 50 · price 1.39937
Balanced range, mid-range now.
USDCAD chopping through the Asia session between the 1.39797 session low and the 1.40180 session high, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price drifted off the 1.4016 top after London-NY, sold to 1.39797, and has since recovered into the middle of the range around 1.3994 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3993
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 opens the 1.4020 YTD high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and could override this range read
21:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39937
Consolidating after pullback off session high.
USDCAD slipped from the 1.4018 session high to 1.39797 during NY hours, then recovered and has been consolidating around 1.3994 below the 1.4000 psych level. Soft US housing data and a firm dollar into FOMC leave the pair pinned near YTD-high congestion with RSI neutral near 48.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.40023, 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40023 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and can override this range
21:02 UTC
Ranging near YTD high · RSI 48 · price 1.3994
Consolidation below 1.4020, capped highs.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3980–1.4002 through the NY-Asia transition, a fourth up-day stalling just below the 1.4020 YTD high as USD holds firm into the FOMC. The latest push to 1.4002 was rejected and price slipped back to 1.3940, RSI(14) near neutral.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 ytd high opens 1.4030+
Failure to hold 1.3980 range low exposes 1.3931 prior low
FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) is the defining catalyst for this pair
21:02 UTC
Rangebound, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.3994
Ranging inside 1.40 congestion.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in the 1.3979-1.4016 zone with USD firm into the FOMC; a sharp dip to 1.3984 mid-window was bought back and price now sits near 1.3994 with flat RSI. Session high at 1.4016 capped the move below the 1.4020 ytd high, and the structure shows no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3979, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4016, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens 1.4030 zone
Loss of 1.3979 session low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC could materially shift this read
Rangebound below 1.40000 after sweep of session low.
USDCAD swept the London low at 1.39797 then ground back toward the 1.40000 round number through NY hours, stalling on two pokes at 1.39991/1.40000. RSI(14) mid-range near 54; price is hemmed between 1.39900 support and the 1.40000 cap with no clean break either way.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.40180 session high
Failure to hold 1.39900 reopens the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales then FOMC (~16-22h out) are the day-ahead catalysts that can reset this range
20:46 UTC
Range after NY pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.39959
Consolidating mid-range below 1.4000.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40162 session high during NY hours and slid to 1.39797, now consolidating around 1.3996 just under the 1.4000 psych level. RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR ~26 pips; no clean intraday setup with the pair pinning into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the path to the 1.40162 session high
Failure to hold 1.39797 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the defining catalysts
20:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 1.39958
Range between 1.3980 and 1.4018.
USDCAD chopped through the NY session, pushing to a 1.40180 session high before sliding to a 1.39797 swing low and recovering back to the 1.40000 round number. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53; price is grinding inside a 1.3980–1.4018 band with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 round number opens a retest of the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39900 minor pivot exposes the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:30 UTC
Ranging near YTD highs · RSI 50 · price 1.39958
Consolidation after rejection at 1.4018.
NY session spiked to 1.4018 then sold off to 1.39797 as the USD steadied into the Fed; price now ranging 1.3984-1.4000 around the round number with RSI flat near 50. The earlier session high at 1.4018 was rejected and remains the cap.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 reopens the 1.4020 YTD high
Failure to hold 1.39844 confirms a lower-low toward session low
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
Late NY: USDCAD recovered from the 1.3984 swing low back toward the 1.4000 psych level, still capped beneath the 1.4018 session high. Price has chopped inside a 1.3984–1.4018 band all session; no clean break in play with ATR compressing to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.3984, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4018 opens the path toward the YTD high ~1.4020+
Failure to hold 1.3984 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.3931
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, testing round number · RSI 58 · price 1.39988
Range, holding above 1.3980 base.
USDCAD bounced off a 1.398 double bottom and is pressing the 1.40000 round number, with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Pair has held the upper half of the 1.3980–1.4018 range as the USD steadied into the Fed.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.40000 opens the 1.40180 session high
Failure to hold 1.39797 confirms a lower low
Fed decision midweek could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range, drifting back to highs · RSI 54 · price 1.39988
Intraday range, mid-to-upper.
USDCAD ranged through the NY session, fading from the 1.40162 session high to a 1.39797 swing low before grinding back to the 1.40000 round number into the close. Sits near a 50% retrace of that move with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40162 session high
Loss of 1.39900 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in play
Fed decision ~22h out is the dominant macro gate for this pair
USDCAD is ranging 1.3979–1.4018 with the 1.4000 round number capping; lows at 1.39844 were swept mid-session before buyers stepped back in. Price is pressing 1.4000 again into the Fed, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.3985, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and can reset this range
M15 close above 1.40180 opens a path toward the YTD high zone
Failure to hold 1.39790 confirms a lower-low
19:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off the day high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.39907
Ranging after a sweep of the session low.
USDCAD slid off the 1.40180 day high during NY hours, swept down to 1.39797 and recovered, with the soft US data backdrop capping the dollar bid. Price is now ranging tightly between 1.39900 and 1.39950, RSI(14) neutral near 47 — no setup in play ahead of tomorrow's Fed.
Support: 1.3983, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4002
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39953 reopens the 1.40020 round number
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low on this session
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst and could override this range read
NY session faded the 1.4018 session high and slid to a 1.39797 low before recovering to the 1.399 area, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price now sits below EMA20/50, ranging between 1.398 support and the 1.400 psych cap with no clean break in play.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower-low extension
US Retail Sales and FOMC (Wed) are the defining catalysts that could reshape this read
19:31 UTC
Range, drifting after pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.39908
Consolidating below NY highs after a sweep of the session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4018 day high during NY hours and swept the session low at 1.39797 before buyers stepped in, recovering to a tight consolidation around 1.3991. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and the pair is hugging EMA20 with EMA50 capping overhead at the 1.3995 swing high.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.3995, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39950 swing high reopens the 1.4018 day high
Failure to hold 1.39797 session low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Range, lower high after NY rejection · RSI 49 · price 1.39908
Consolidating after sell-off from session high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4018 session high during NY hours and slid to 1.39797 before stabilising; price now coiling around 1.3990, RSI(14) flat near 49. Pair holds the lower half of the day's range as it pares the move into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.3995, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3995 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC decision tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst
19:16 UTC
Range after NY pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.39918
Faded from highs, basing near 1.3992.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40180 day high during NY hours and swept down to 1.39800 before recovering. Price is now consolidating around 1.3992 below EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 49 with no directional impulse — ranging between 1.39800 and 1.39950.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39845
Resistance: 1.3995, 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39950 reopens the 1.40000 round number and 1.40180 day high
Failure to hold 1.39800 session low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) then FOMC are the next catalysts that could break this range
19:16 UTC
Range after rejection from session high · RSI 50 · price 1.39918
Balancing between 1.3980 and 1.4018 after a failed push to YTD highs.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40180 session high and slid to 1.39797 before recovering into balance around 1.3992, now mid-range and flat on RSI(14). Soft oil and a firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC keep the pair pinned near 7-month highs, but momentum has stalled inside the 1.3980–1.4018 band.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3984
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 then 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Failure to hold 1.39797 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.39840 break
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the defining catalyst for this read
19:01 UTC
Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.39918
Consolidation after rejection at session high.
USDCAD rallied through London to a session high at 1.40180, then sold back to 1.39797 during NY hours before steadying with demand stepping in near 1.39844. Now consolidating tight near 1.3992, RSI(14) neutral; the 1.39953 swing high is capping the bounce.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.40075, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 swing high reopens the 1.40075 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39797 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Ranging after pullback from session high · RSI 49 · price 1.39918
Consolidation 1.3984–1.3995 below 1.4016 high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4016 session high and swept the lows to 1.3980 before stabilising; price now grinds in a tight 1.3984–1.3995 range with RSI(14) flat near 49. Late-session volume thin and ATR compressing to ~10 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4002, 1.40162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.4016 session high
Break of 1.39844 swing low exposes 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair
18:46 UTC
Pullback after rejection from highs · RSI 51 · price 1.39919
Sold off from 1.4016 double top, swept session low, now consolidating.
USDCAD was rejected twice near 1.4016 during NY hours, then sold to a session low of 1.39797 before recovering into a 1.3990–1.3995 consolidation. RSI(14) is flat near 51 with price hugging EMA20 and below EMA50; the late grind reflects soft oil and a firm USD into the Fed.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000, 1.4016
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.4016 double top
Loss of 1.39797 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
NY session rejected the 1.4018 session high and sold down to a 1.3980 swing low before buyers stepped in twice near 1.3980-1.3984. Price is grinding back to ~1.3992, mid-way into the down-leg retracement with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40020 round number reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39797 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC tomorrow could reset this read
18:31 UTC
Pulled back off session high, recovering · RSI 52 · price 1.39942
Rejected 1.4018, dipped to 1.39800, micro higher lows.
NY session rejected the 1.4018 area twice before selling off to a 1.39800 swing low. Price has clawed back to 1.39942 on micro higher lows but stalls just under the 1.40000 round number; RSI(14) flat near mid-range.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39800 swing low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to the 1.40020 YTD high and was rejected, selling off to a 1.39797 session low near 16:00 UTC before recovering to 1.3994 — right on the 38.2% fib of that drop. RSI(14) back to neutral around 52; price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50. FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst overhanging the 1.40000 round-number cap.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the YTD high test
Failure to hold the 1.39797 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
18:16 UTC
Pullback after rejection at YTD high · RSI 50 · price 1.39934
Lower high in, retracing off session low.
USDCAD was rejected twice at 1.4018 (double top) into the NY session and sold off to a 1.39800 session low before bouncing back near 1.3993, a roughly 38% retrace of that drop. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — recovery is corrective so far, with the 1.4005 prior range cap overhead.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40050 prior range puts the 1.40180 double top back in play
Loss of 1.39800 session low confirms continuation of the leg lower
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) then FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant near-term catalysts for this read
18:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 1.39934
Range after rejection from 1.4018.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4018 session high and slid through the day, sweeping the 1.39844 swing low before recovering to ~1.3993. Price now sits back at EMA20 with RSI mid-range; descending highs cap the topside while soft oil keeps CAD heavy.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40154 swing high reopens the 1.40180 ytd high
Loss of 1.39844 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.3931 range low
US Retail Sales and FOMC (~24h out) are the dominant catalysts ahead
18:01 UTC
Pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 52 · price 1.39934
Rejected at YTD highs, recovering off session low.
USDCAD pushed to the 1.40180 YTD-area high then sold off ~38 pips into the session low at 1.39797 as soft oil and a firmer USD kept the pair heavy near range tops. Price has since clawed back toward 1.39950; sitting back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3983
Resistance: 1.3999, 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39990/1.40050 reopens the 1.40180 YTD high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts that can reshape this read
Rejected at 1.4018, dipped to 1.3980, retracing higher.
NY session faded the 1.4018 session high and sold off to a 1.39797 swing low, before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 1.39934. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral mid-50s as the micro-bounce holds above the 1.3980 low.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39797 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the bounce
Reclaim of the 1.40020 round number reopens the 1.4018 session high
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant near-term catalysts for this read
NY session faded the 1.40180 YTD high, with a sharp break through 1.39988 dragging price to a 1.39797 swing low. Now coiling tight around 1.39855 below EMA20/50, RSI cooling near 43. Move sits ahead of tomorrow's FOMC, the dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.39944, 1.4007, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a lower low, opening 1.3970
Reclaim of 1.39944 negates the lower-high read
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Intraday downturn off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39855
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4018.
NY session rolled over from the 1.40180 session high, sweeping down through 1.40000 to a swing low at 1.39797 before steadying near 1.39855; RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. Soft oil keeps CAD heavy but the pair is holding just above the swing low ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.40180 session high
17:02 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.39855
Lower highs since 1.4018 rejection, near session lows.
NY session rejected the 1.4015 session high and sold off to 1.39797, with USD holding firm into the FOMC. Price now consolidating around 1.3985 just above the lows, RSI(14) recovering from the dip into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40154
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3931
Reclaim of 1.4002 invalidates the lower-high read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.39855
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4015.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.4015 session high during NY hours and sold through the 1.40000 round number to a 1.39797 swing low, with WTI weakness and a firm USD into the Fed keeping the pair heavy. Price is now consolidating around 1.3985 below EMA20/50; RSI(14) near 41 after cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40154
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40154 session high
Failure to hold 1.39797 swing low confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.4018 session high through London close and is now pressing the session low at 1.398, RSI(14) cooling toward 33. A chain of lower highs printed across the NY afternoon as soft oil keeps CAD heavy.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3975
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39900 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.39797 confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair
16:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 37 · price 1.39824
Lower highs, lower lows after 1.4018 rejection.
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4018 session high, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows into 1.39797. RSI(14) near 37 and price below both EMAs; the move follows soft US data and falling oil, with USD steady ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.39944, 1.4007, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.3940
Reclaim of 1.39944 negates the intraday downside read
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Pullback off intraday highs · RSI 38 · price 1.39845
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4015.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4015 area through NY hours and sold off to 1.3980, RSI(14) sub-40. A sequence of lower highs has formed since, with bounces capped near 1.3994 and the 1.3980 session low the immediate floor.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3940, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.3994, 1.4005, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3980 opens 1.3940/1.3931 support
Reclaim of 1.4005 congestion negates the pullback
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
16:31 UTC
Pullback off intraday highs · RSI 40 · price 1.39845
Rolling over from session top, lower highs.
USDCAD topped near 1.40180 during the NY session and rolled over, sliding back toward 1.398 with RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. A sharp down bar broke recent intraday structure and price now probes the 1.39797 session low; reclaim of 1.40000 would negate the pullback.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40000 negates the pullback read
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off highs · RSI 41 · price 1.39824
Rejection at 1.4018, lower highs into 1.398.
NY session rejected the 1.4018 session high twice and rolled over, with price grinding down to a 1.39797 session low as the USD eased off intraday highs. RSI(14) near 40 reflects the fade; price sits below EMA20/EMA50 after the pullback.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3994, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Break below 1.39797 session low opens the 1.3994 prior swing then 1.3931
Reclaim of 1.4018 session high re-exposes the 1.402 ytd high
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts and could reshape this read
16:16 UTC
Intraday rollover off highs · RSI 39 · price 1.39824
Double top, breaking down toward session low.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4018 area twice during NY hours forming a double top, then sold off through 1.4000 to a session low of 1.3980. Price now stalling at 1.3982 with RSI(14) near 38, below both EMAs after the breakdown.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40154, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.3980 session low opens lower lows
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Pullback from session highs · RSI 41 · price 1.39824
Rejected at 1.4018, lower highs into a leg down.
USDCAD twice stalled near the 1.4018 session high before sliding through 1.4000 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price now probing the 1.39797 session low after a clean down-leg; demand stepped in around 1.39850 on the way down.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40000 negates the down-leg read
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair
16:01 UTC
Short-term downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 34 · price 1.39824
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection of 1.4018.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4018 NY session high and broke the prior 1.4002 support, which now caps. Price is grinding the 1.39797 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s; 1.3994 bounce high marks the first lid above.
Support: 1.39797
Resistance: 1.3994, 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39797 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.3994 negates the breakdown read
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant near-term catalysts
15:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.39901
Lower highs since 1.4018, swept 1.3984.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4018 session high and ground lower through NY hours, printing a sharp drop that swept 1.39844 before buyers stepped back in toward 1.399. RSI(14) cooling near 42, price now below EMA20/50 with the 1.40020 round number capping.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3978
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40135, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40020 reopens the 1.40135/1.4018 highs
Failure to hold 1.39844 confirms a lower low toward 1.3978
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts
15:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolled over · RSI 44 · price 1.39901
Pullback from session highs, lower high printed.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4015/1.4018 session high during NY hours and sold off sharply to 1.39844 before stabilising near 1.3990. RSI(14) cooled into the low-40s as the intraday rally unwound; price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39844 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3931
Reclaim of 1.40150 session high reinstates the intraday up-leg
FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) plus US Retail Sales is the dominant catalyst for the next sessions
Rejected at session highs, broke back below 1.3990.
USD/CAD twice rejected the 1.4018 session high during NY hours, then sold off through the 1.40020 level and 1.3990 round figure to print a session low at 1.39844, RSI(14) cooling to ~41. USD held firm into the Fed but the pair has handed back the day's advance and now trades mid-range around 1.3989.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40020 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39844 exposes 1.3931 prior support
FOMC decision/dot plot this week could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.39889
Rejected at session high, pulling back.
USDCAD twice rejected the 1.40150 session high during NY hours and slid back under the 1.40000 round number, with the latest bar sweeping 1.39844 before recovering to 1.39889. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as the intraday uptrend loses momentum; pair sits mid-range ahead of the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39775
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.40150 session high
Failure to hold 1.39844 confirms a lower low toward 1.39775
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~2.5h out) can override this read
15:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 37 · price 1.39859
Rejected at 1.4018 range top, downside break of 1.3990.
NY session rolled over from the 1.4018 range top, twice rejected near 1.4015 before the last bar sliced through 1.3990 support with a sharp drop to 1.39844. RSI(14) cooling near 37 as the pair backs off seven-month highs; the USD bid into FOMC is being faded intraday.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3973
Resistance: 1.3999, 1.4015, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3990 negates the downside range break
Failure to hold 1.39844 opens 1.39730
FOMC decision + dot plot ~3h out could materially shift this read
Lower high after 1.4018, breaking back below the figure.
USDCAD was rejected twice at the 1.4015/1.4018 session-high congestion and sold off through the figure to a 1.39844 session low, the pair leaking off YTD-high territory as the USD steadies into the Fed. RSI(14) cooling near 39 and price now sits below EMA20/50; 1.40000 round number is the immediate cap on any bounce.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3980, 1.39733
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 negates the pullback read
Close below 1.39800 exposes the 1.39733 swing low
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
Rejected at 1.4015, broke down through 1.3990 congestion.
NY session faded the 1.40154 session high and sold sharply, breaking the 1.3990 congestion to print a 1.39844 session low; RSI(14) cooling near 40. Falling oil and a firm USD into the Fed kept CAD on the back foot, but the move stalled into the 1.39800 swing-low area.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40154
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39844 session low confirms a lower low, exposing 1.3931
Reclaim of 1.40000 round number negates the downside break
FOMC dot plot this week is the key USD cross-driver
15:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 1.39859
Rejection off session high, lower high printed.
USDCAD twice rejected the 1.4015/1.4018 session high through NY hours, then dropped sharply to 1.39844 on the latest bar with RSI(14) cooling toward 37. Pair sits back below intraday EMAs as the four-day grind into the Fed loses traction.
Support: 1.39844, 1.3973
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.40050 re-opens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39844 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.39730 window low
FOMC decision/dot plot later today can override this intraday read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near 1.40 · RSI 49 · price 1.40011
Congestion below YTD high.
USDCAD is grinding inside the 1.3995–1.4018 congestion zone just under the 1.4020 YTD high, with WTI weakness keeping CAD heavy. The session high at 1.4018 capped two attempts during NY hours and price has eased back to 1.4001; RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.3995, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Loss of 1.3995 swing low exposes the 1.39698 session low
FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) plus US Retail Sales could reset this range
USDCAD capped at the 1.4015 session high during NY hours and rejected, slipping back to retest 1.3995 as the USD firmed into the FOMC. Soft oil keeps CAD heavy but the pair is congesting just under the 1.4020 YTD high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.39948, 1.39918, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40154 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39948 exposes the 1.39918 swing low
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Rejection at 1.4018 congestion, pullback toward session mid.
NY session repeatedly tagged the 1.4018 YTD-high congestion and was rejected, with price now back below EMA20 around 1.3997 as soft oil keeps CAD heavy. Move has cooled into the middle of the day's 1.3970–1.4018 range; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Loss of 1.39918 swing low exposes the 1.3970 day low
FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.39969
Congestion below YTD high, pullback off session top.
NY session rejected the 1.40154 session high and slid back to 1.39969, with the 1.40020 round level capping the bounce. RSI(14) has cooled toward mid-40s after the run into the 1.4018 YTD high; price now sits below the 20/50 EMAs.
Support: 1.3993, 1.39842
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40154, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39930 swing low opens 1.39842
Reclaim of 1.40020 round level reopens the 1.40154 session high
FOMC tomorrow is the main cross-driver and could reset this read
NY session pushed USDCAD up to 1.4018 against the 1.4020 YTD-high zone before rejecting back to the 1.4000 round number, RSI(14) cooling to ~49. CAD stays heavy on the oil slide but the pair is capped just under the multi-month ceiling; price is now chopping in the 1.3993–1.4018 band.
Support: 1.3993, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Failure to hold 1.3993 swing low confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD rejected the 1.40154 session high during NY hours and slid back to test the 1.4000 round number, closing right on it. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the pair grinds inside congestion just under the 1.4020 YTD high; oil softness and a firm USD into Wednesday's FOMC keep it pinned at the highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39956, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40154 reopens the 1.40180/1.4020 highs
Loss of 1.4000 exposes 1.39956 then 1.39918 swing lows
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Congestion below session highs near 1.4015/1.4018.
NY session pushed up to 1.40154 and was rejected, sliding back to the 1.4000 round number where price is steadying. USD/CAD remains parked in the 1.40 congestion just under the YTD-high zone with oil-driven CAD softness in the backdrop; RSI(14) is neutral after the pullback.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 reopens the prior-high zone
Loss of 1.40000 round number exposes the 1.39918 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejected at 1.40150, easing back to the 1.40 handle.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40150 session high and slid back to the 1.40 round number, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral near 46. Pair has churned in a 1.39920–1.40180 band through the NY session, holding above prior swing lows as oil-driven CAD weakness keeps it pinned near YTD highs.
Support: 1.3999, 1.3992
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 reopens the path toward the YTD high zone
Loss of 1.39920 swing low signals a deeper pullback off the highs
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) then FOMC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into YTD high · RSI 57 · price 1.40112
Higher highs, pressing prior session high.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours with USD firm into the Fed and soft oil keeping CAD heavy, posting a session high at 1.40180 just below the 1.4020 YTD ceiling. Price is consolidating around 1.40110 after a shallow pullback to 1.40000 was bought back, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918, 1.39956
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 ytd high opens path toward the 1.40300 zone
Failure to hold 1.40000 round number exposes the 1.39918 swing low
FOMC + US retail sales Wed are the next macro gates for this pair
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into YTD high · RSI 57 · price 1.40112
Higher highs/higher lows, capped near 1.4018.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward the 1.4020 YTD high, CAD on the back foot as soft oil weighs. Price dipped to 1.39918 mid-session then recovered to retest 1.40150; the 1.4018 ceiling still caps with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 opens the path toward 1.4030+
Failure to hold 1.40000 reopens the 1.39918 swing low
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the next cross-drivers for this pair
USD/CAD ground higher through NY hours, USD firm into the FOMC and soft oil weighing on CAD, with price pressing the 1.40180 session high and the 1.4020 YTD ceiling. After a dip to 1.39918 buyers rebuilt the move back to 1.40150; now consolidating just below resistance.
Support: 1.40005, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 opens the YTD-high break toward 1.4030
Loss of 1.40005 swing low signals the up-leg stalling
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, recovering the 1.40 round level after a dip to 1.39918 and now stalling just under the 1.4018 session high. Soft oil on the US-Iran deal keeps CAD pinned near 7-month lows; RSI(14) at 60 leaves room before extremes.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 opens the path toward 1.4030/1.4090
Failure to hold 1.40000 reopens the 1.39918 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session has clawed USDCAD back toward the 1.40180 session high after a London-NY dip to 1.39918, with the USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC and soft oil keeping CAD heavy. RSI(14) in the low-60s, momentum constructive but not stretched; price holding above the 1.40000 round number on the rebound.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.40180 opens the 1.40200 ytd high
Loss of 1.40000 round number would expose the 1.39918 swing low
FOMC Wed (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver for this read
NY session has ground USDCAD back up to 1.4014 after a mid-session dip to 1.3992, holding above the 1.4000 round number and rebuilding higher lows. Price is back at the session high band and just under the 1.4018/1.4020 YTD-high congestion that capped earlier, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path toward the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens 1.3992 swing low
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 61 · price 1.40137
Higher lows, pressing YTD high.
NY-hours grind higher, USDCAD recovering off the 1.3992 swing low to retest the 1.4018 session high and the 1.4020 YTD ceiling. USD stays firm into the FOMC backdrop with oil soft; RSI(14) near 61, no extreme.
Support: 1.3992, 1.39956, 1.40044
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Failure to hold 1.3992 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC tomorrow can materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into YTD high · RSI 62 · price 1.40137
Higher lows, pressing session resistance.
USDCAD recovered the 1.3992 pullback low during NY hours and is grinding back to the 1.4018 session high, with the 1.4020 YTD high just overhead. Soft oil on the US-Iran deal keeps CAD pinned; RSI(14) near 62, room before stretched.
Support: 1.3992, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens 1.4030/1.4090
Failure to hold 1.3992 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground back up through the NY session, recovering from the 1.3992 swing low to 1.40145 and retesting the 1.40180 swing high. RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched; the 1.4020 YTD high caps just above as buyers lean into the four-day advance.
Support: 1.40044, 1.39918, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39918 breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC and US Retail Sales tomorrow are the binary catalysts for this pair
12:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 62 · price 1.40145
Higher lows, recovering toward session high.
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.4010 area into NY hours, retesting the session high at 1.4018 after a pullback to 1.39918 held during midday. RSI(14) near 62, no extreme; price still parked just under the YTD-high congestion as the Greenback consolidates ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40180 opens the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39918 swing low reopens 1.40000 round and below
FOMC and Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.40116
Higher lows into YTD-high resistance.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4018 during NY hours then pulled back to the 1.4000 round number, where buyers stepped in twice and lifted price back to 1.40116. Pair is coiling just under the 1.4020 YTD high after a four-session climb; momentum neutral with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3992, 1.3993
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.4025 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens 1.3992 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the binary catalysts for the next leg
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into YTD high · RSI 60 · price 1.40116
Higher lows, coiling under 1.4018 session high.
NY session has USDCAD coiling just under the 1.4018 session high after dipping to 1.40005 mid-session and recovering. Price is parked sub-1.40 YTD highs into the Fed; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme, momentum constructive but capped at the 1.4020 ceiling.
Support: 1.40005, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the YTD-high break toward 1.4040 congestion
Loss of 1.39918 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed are the binary catalysts that reshape this read
USDCAD churning sub-1.40 just below the 1.4018 session high into the Fed, after a soft-data US backdrop and falling oil kept CAD pinned. NY session bought the dip to 1.3992 back toward 1.4007; RSI(14) mid-range, range top intact.
Support: 1.39918, 1.3990, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.3992 session low exposes 1.3970
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.4018, pullback held near 1.4000.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.4018 — a fourth up-day stalling in the sub-1.40 congestion. Pullback to 1.4000 was bought and price has recovered to 1.4006, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40005, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4018/1.4025 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 swing low reopens 1.3993
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Recovering after dip, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 1.40065
Intraday range 1.3970-1.4018, holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.4018 in the London-NY overlap then faded, now holding just above the 1.4000 round number with RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price is back above EMA20/50 after the dip to 1.39918, but capped under the 1.4018 session high — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4018 opens the path to the 1.4025 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens 1.39918 swing low
US Retail Sales/Housing Starts (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 57 · price 1.40065
Consolidating below 1.40180 session high.
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.40000 round number into NY hours, recovering from a pullback to 1.39918 after the session high at 1.40180 was rejected. CAD stays heavy on soft oil; price grinds just under the YTD-high zone ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39918
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40180 opens the 1.40200 ytd high
Failure to hold the 1.40000 round number re-exposes the 1.39918 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 50 · price 1.40002
Rejection at session high, consolidating below 1.4020.
NY session drove USDCAD to the session/YTD high at 1.4018 before rejection pulled it back to 1.3992, where buyers stabilised it at the 1.40 psych level. CAD stays soft on falling oil while USD holds firm into the FOMC week; RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with ATR a tight ~5 pips.
Support: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
USDCAD pulled back from the session high at 1.4018 to 1.3992 then recovered into the 1.40 psych level during NY morning hours, staying parked sub-1.40 into the Fed. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52; price is grinding either side of EMA20 with no clean directional break.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3992 confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 48 · price 1.39986
Rejected YTD high, retraced into range.
USDCAD pushed to the 1.4018 YTD high in NY hours then twin-peaked and rejected, with the pair parked sub-1.40 into the Fed. Price retraced ~60% of the up-leg into the 1.3992 swing low and is now recovering toward 1.4000; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.39918, 1.3982, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40050 pivot reopens the 1.4018 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39918 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed through 1.40 into a session high at 1.4018 during NY hours, then faded back toward 1.3992 with oil-soft CAD offered but USD longs crowded into the Fed. Now consolidating around 1.3999 below EMA20, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the rejection.
Support: 1.39918, 1.4000, 1.3975
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high reopens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39918 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
11:16 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39963
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4018.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.4018 during the NY session then rolled over, sliding back to 1.3996 with RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. CAD steadied off soft oil pressure as the broader market parks sub-1.40 into the Fed; the recent low at 1.39918 is the level being tested on this pullback.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39704
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Break below 1.39918 extends the pullback toward the 1.39704 session low
A close back above 1.4018 reopens the session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY transition saw a rejection at the 1.4018 session high, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, and price has since slipped back under the 1.4000 round number. Pullback found a floor at 1.3992; RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the four-session USD climb pauses.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3992 opens 1.3970 session low
reclaim of 1.4000 reopens the 1.4018 session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
11:01 UTC
Pullback after rejection near YTD high · RSI 43 · price 1.39963
Lower highs off 1.4018, holding above 1.3992.
London push tagged the session high at 1.4018 — just shy of the 1.4020 YTD top — then faded back to 1.3996 as the four-day USD/CAD rally stalled sub-1.40. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s and price is back under EMA20/50, building a chain of lower highs off 1.4018.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.40051, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 YTD high opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.39918 session low exposes 1.39698
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.39963
Session high rejected, retracing.
USDCAD ran into a session high at 1.4018 during the London-NY transition and rolled over, now back at 1.39963 below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to ~42. CAD has been soft into Wednesday's FOMC, but the pullback is holding the 1.3992 micro-low so far.
Support: 1.39918, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3992 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.3970
Reclaim of 1.4018 reopens the session high
Wed FOMC + US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39972
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4018.
USD/CAD rejected the 1.4018 session high twice through London hours and rolled back to 1.3994, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s and price slipping under EMA20/EMA50. The 1.40 figure is capping a soft CAD that sits near 7-month lows, with USD bid into the FOMC week.
Support: 1.3994, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.4005 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3994 exposes the 1.3981 swing low
US Housing Starts/Building Permits at 12:30 UTC could nudge this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.4018 during NY hours, stalling just under the 1.4020 YTD high, then rolled back below 1.4000 into the London session as RSI cooled to the low 40s. Price now testing the 1.3994 session low after a four-session grind higher; sub-1.40 congestion holding.
Support: 1.39938, 1.3988, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4005
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39938 confirms a lower low and deeper retrace
Break above 1.40180 reopens the 1.4020 YTD high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the next USD catalysts
London session pushed USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.40180, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, before rejection set in. Price has since faded back through the 1.40000 round number to 1.39967, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s as the four-day climb pauses.
Support: 1.39956, 1.3988
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39956 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Close back above 1.40000 keeps the 1.40180 session high in reach
US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could nudge the read into NY hours
Rejected at 1.4018, pulling back toward session lows.
NY session pushed to 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, then faded as the four-session climb ran out of steam; RSI(14) cooling near 43. Price has since slipped under EMA20/50 and is probing the 1.39956 swing low, with soft oil and a patient BoC keeping CAD on the back foot.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.4018 around the London open before fading, with oil weakness and a firm USD keeping the pair pinned sub-1.40. Price now consolidates near 1.4003 just below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral around 46; the 1.40005 pullback low is holding for now.
Support: 1.40005, 1.39936
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4018/1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40005 exposes 1.3990 area
US Housing Starts (~12:30 GMT) could shift the intraday read
USDCAD pushed to a 1.40180 session high during the NY session before fading back to consolidate around 1.4003, USD holding firm sub-1.40 into the Fed with oil keeping CAD heavy. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range; price now coiling between 1.4000 and the 1.4018/1.4020 cap.
Support: 1.40005, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40005 confirms a lower low toward 1.3995
US Housing Starts/Permits (12:30 GMT) could shift the read
Rallied to YTD-high zone, now consolidating above 1.4000.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.4018 — just under the 1.4020 YTD high — during the London session, then faded to consolidate just above the 1.4000 round number with RSI(14) cooling to neutral. Demand held the 1.3998 swing low while price drifted back below EMA20; falling oil and a firm USD keep the pair pinned near YTD highs. Wednesday's Fed decision is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39983
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold the 1.4000 round number exposes the 1.3998 swing low
FOMC decision/dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
Session high rejected, pulling back to round number.
USDCAD ground higher through London to a session high at 1.40180 then faded, now hovering just above the 1.40000 round number as RSI(14) cools to the mid-40s. Price has stalled sub the 1.4020 YTD high, holding a tight sub-1.40 congestion into the European-NY transition.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3993
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 opens the 1.40200 ytd high and 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of the 1.40000 round number exposes the 1.39930 swing low
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 1.40025
Higher highs into 1.4018, now consolidating above 1.4000.
USDCAD ran to a fresh session high at 1.4018 during early London hours before fading back to the 1.4000 round number, with oil weakness keeping CAD soft into the Fed. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price slipped back below EMA20; the up-move's structure of higher lows is intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 opens the 1.4020 YTD high and 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 round number exposes the 1.3995 swing low
FOMC Wed (dot plot) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
09:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling near YTD high · RSI 45 · price 1.40025
Pullback after rejection at 1.4018, holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD pressed a fourth-day grind into the YTD high, peaking at 1.4018 during London hours before fading back to 1.4002 as oil weakness keeps CAD heavy. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s and price slipped below EMA20; buyers are defending the 1.4000 round number, with the 1.4018-1.4025 cap unbroken.
Support: 1.40005, 1.3993, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4025 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3993/1.3931 area
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the next material USD-side catalysts
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.40033
Rally to session high stalled, pulling back sub-1.4020.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.40180 during the London session before fading to 1.40005, now hovering at 1.40033 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The grind higher fits a soft CAD on falling oil and a firm USD into Wednesday's Fed, but the move is stalling just under the 1.4020 YTD high.
Support: 1.40005, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40005 confirms a lower low and opens 1.39893
Reclaim of 1.40180 reopens the 1.4020 ytd high
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
USDCAD climbed through the Asian range and London open to print 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, before fading back to 1.4003 as the fourth up-day stalls. Falling oil keeps CAD soft, but supply capped the move at the prior high and RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range. Price now hovers at the 38.2% retrace of the session advance with 1.4000 holding as the floor.
Support: 1.40005, 1.3999, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3995 swing low
Fed decision Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst
USDCAD climbed steadily through the Asian and early-European hours to a session high of 1.40180, stalling just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high before fading. Price has pulled back ~16 pips to 1.40025 into London hours, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral as the run from 1.39684 unwinds.
Support: 1.40014, 1.39942, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40250 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40014 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed (dots/SEP) is the dominant swing factor this week
London hours pushed USDCAD through 1.40 to a session high of 1.40180, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, before fading back to retest the round number with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is parked sub-1.40 into Wednesday's Fed, holding above the 1.40014 session low so far.
Support: 1.40014, 1.4000, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 / 1.40014 session low would confirm the breakout failing back into prior range
A reclaim and close above 1.40180 reopens the path to the 1.4020 YTD high
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran up through the London session to a 1.4018 session high, stalling just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high before pulling back to 1.4002, with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The four-session grind higher is consolidating below resistance as the market parks ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.40022, 1.3985, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3985 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the up leg
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
London pushed USDCAD to a fresh YTD high at 1.4018 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to the 1.4000 psych line as RSI(14) cools toward mid-range. Four-day grind into 1.40 stalling here; FOMC Wednesday is the key catalyst.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39949, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych exposes 1.3995 swing low
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into YTD high, shallow pullback holding.
London session drove a clean break above 1.4000 to a session/YTD high at 1.4018, with CAD kept soft by falling oil into the Fed. Price has since eased to 1.4007, holding the 1.4002 swing low and the round number; RSI(14) cooling back near 54 after the push.
Support: 1.40022, 1.4000, 1.39942
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.4000 round number exposes 1.39942 prior pivot
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dot plot is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
USDCAD pushed through the 1.40 round number in the NY session and tagged a session high at 1.40180 before fading. The pullback held the 1.40 handle on retest and price is consolidating near 1.40075 as London trades into the Fed; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.40022, 1.4000, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40180 reopens the 1.40250 ytd high
Loss of the 1.40 round number on a close exposes 1.39893
FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.40085
Higher highs into 1.4018, shallow pullback holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD broke the 1.4000 figure during the London session and tagged 1.4018 before easing back to retest the breakout zone, with RSI(14) cooling from the high into the mid-50s. Price is holding above 1.4002 as the four-session grind toward the YTD high continues; the move sits in line with soft oil and a steady USD into the FOMC week.
Support: 1.40022, 1.39935
Resistance: 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4002 reopens 1.3993
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg of this read
08:30 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 52 · price 1.40085
HH/HL chain, stalled at session high.
USDCAD ground higher all session into the 1.4018 session high before rejection set in, with the pair now consolidating around 1.4008 as RSI cools to the low 50s. Oil weakness and a soft USD off 10-day lows kept price parked just under the 1.4020 YTD high; pullback found a floor at 1.40022.
Support: 1.40022, 1.3995, 1.3988
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40022 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
US Retail Sales and FOMC later this week are the main risk to this read
Higher highs into session high, now pulling back below 1.40.
London session pushed through the 1.40000 round number to a session high of 1.40180, near the 1.40200 YTD high, before sellers capped the move and price slid back to 1.40033. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and price has dipped under EMA20 as the breakout retraces toward prior-high support at 1.39960.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3996, 1.3973
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.39960 prior high negates the breakout and reopens the swing low at 1.39730
Reclaim of 1.40180 session high exposes the 1.40200 ytd high
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.40033
Higher highs into 1.4018, now correcting.
London session pushed USD/CAD to a session high of 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, before rejecting and unwinding ~15 pips to 1.4003 as the prior risk-on/soft-oil bid stalled. Price is now sitting on the 50% retrace of the latest leg; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral from overbought.
Support: 1.40037, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40037 confirms the pullback and exposes 1.3989
Reclaim of 1.4018 reopens the 1.4020 YTD high
US Retail Sales (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.40033
Higher highs into 1.4018, retracing off session high.
London-hours rally pushed to a session high at 1.40180 before rejection, now retracing to 1.40033 back below EMA20 as the 1.40 ceiling caps — consistent with CAD pinned near multi-month lows on soft oil. RSI(14) cooling toward neutral after the pullback; demand near 1.40037 is the first marker.
Support: 1.40037, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4014
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40037 opens 1.39950 swing low
M15 close back above 1.40180 reasserts the session high
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 51 · price 1.40033
Higher highs/higher lows, corrective dip in play.
London session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, before rejecting and fading back to 1.4003 with RSI cooling toward neutral. The grind up tracks soft oil weighing on CAD; price now sits on the 1.4000 round number after the first clean pullback of the window.
Support: 1.40022, 1.4000, 1.3993
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4018 reopens the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4000 confirms a deeper corrective leg toward 1.3993
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could shift the intraday read
Higher highs into YTD-high test, now pulling back.
London session drove USDCAD up to a 1.4018 test of the YTD-high zone before sellers capped it, weak oil/soft CAD keeping the pair pinned in the 1.40–1.41 congestion. Price has eased back to 1.4005 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the rising-low chain off 1.3990 is still intact for now.
Support: 1.40045, 1.3993, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40180 opens the 1.4025 ytd-high zone
Close below 1.39930 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.40052
HH/HL chain stalling below 1.4020 ytd high.
London session pushed USDCAD up to 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 ytd high, before rejecting and pulling back to 1.4005 — CAD pressured by the ~4% oil drop on the Hormuz reopening. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s as price slipped below EMA20; the 1.4000 round number is the immediate pivot, with the prior swing low at 1.39893 below it.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 round number exposes the 1.39893 swing low
M15 close above 1.4018 session high reopens the 1.4020 ytd high
US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDCAD pushed through the 1.40 round number during NY hours and tagged a session high at 1.4018 before pulling back to 1.4009, RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The Hormuz-reopening oil drop keeps CAD heavy, with the 1.4020 YTD high still capping just overhead.
Support: 1.40045, 1.39985, 1.39935
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40200 opens path toward the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.40045 session low exposes the 1.39985 round number
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD ceiling, as the post-deal oil slide kept CAD pinned. Last three bars rejected the high and pulled back to 1.4009 with RSI cooling from overbought; the 1.4000 round number is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3987, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.4000 round number confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.3987
London session pushed USDCAD through the 1.40 round number to a session high of 1.40180 as a soft-oil read kept CAD heavy, RSI(14) cooling toward 60 on the pullback. Price is now consolidating above the breakout level, with the 1.40067 swing low holding so far.
Support: 1.40067, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout and reopens 1.39950
Break above 1.40180 opens the path to the 1.40200 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.40067 confirms a lower-low into the range
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD broke through the 1.4000 psych level during the London session and tagged the session high at 1.40180 before easing back to retest above 1.40067, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. CAD remains pressured by softer oil after the Hormuz reopening, with the 1.4020 YTD high still in sight.
Support: 1.40067, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40000 psych would invalidate the breakout read
Loss of 1.40067 swing low opens a deeper pullback
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
London session pushed USD/CAD through the 1.40 round number to a session high of 1.4018, with CAD pinned near seven-month lows on softer oil. Price is now consolidating just above the breakout level, RSI(14) easing from the highs but holding constructive.
Support: 1.40067, 1.4000, 1.39942
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 psych invalidates the breakout read
1.4020 ytd high — area to watch for rejection or break
US Retail Sales + FOMC (Wed) and Canada Retail Sales (Fri) could materially shift this read
Higher highs into YTD-high zone, shallow pullback.
USD/CAD pushed through the 1.40 round number during the London session and tagged a session high at 1.40180 before easing to 1.40114, with USD broadly heavier post-Hormuz reopening but holding bid into the Fed. Structure is a clean chain of higher highs; the current pullback is testing the 1.40067 swing low and the 1.40 figure.
Support: 1.40067, 1.4000, 1.39943
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40000 round number keeps the higher-high chain intact
Loss of 1.40067 swing low opens a deeper fade toward 1.39943
Break of 1.40180 session high extends the run toward the 1.4025 area
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 63 · price 1.40146
Higher highs into 1.40 congestion.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian and early London hours, breaking the 1.4000 psych level and printing a session high at 1.4018, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high as soft Oil keeps CAD pinned. Price now consolidating between 1.4008 and 1.4018 with RSI elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.3994
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 ytd high opens room toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion top
Failure to hold the 1.4000 round number negates the breakout
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
London session drove USDCAD through the 1.40 psych level to a session high at 1.40180, extending a steady chain of higher lows as soft oil keeps CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 65 — firm but not extreme — with the 1.4008 area holding on the last pullback.
Support: 1.40084, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40000 psych would negate the breakout read
Sustained push through 1.40180 session high opens the 1.4025 ytd resist area
US Housing Starts 12:30 UTC and oil headlines could shift this read
06:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 69 · price 1.40173
Rising HH/HL, breakout above 1.40.
USDCAD broke the 1.40 round number during the London session, printing a session high at 1.40162 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned near seven-month lows. Price holds the breakout with RSI(14) near 69, the 1.4020 YTD high the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40162
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 ytd high opens room toward 1.4140 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40000 round number negates the breakout
Wed FOMC and US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
USDCAD pushed through the 1.4000 round number during London hours, breaking the prior congestion as soft Oil keeps CAD pinned, and now prints into the 1.4018 session high just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high. RSI(14) near 71 flags short-term heat as price tests the top of the move.
Support: 1.4005, 1.4000, 1.3987
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above 1.4020 ytd high opens room higher within the trend
Failure to hold 1.4005 breakout would mark a return into the prior range
Overbought RSI near the 1.40-1.41 ceiling flags pullback risk
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 65 · price 1.40154
Higher highs above 1.40 round number, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD broke above the 1.40 round number into the London transition, tagging 1.40162 before stalling, with RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme. CAD stays pinned by soft oil; price is now consolidating just below the YTD-high zone at 1.4020.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3987, 1.39663
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40162 opens the 1.4020 ytd high
Close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout and exposes 1.39870
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD broke 1.4000 in early London and tagged 1.40162, the highest of the window, on soft-oil/weak-CAD flow. Price is now coiling just under the session high with RSI(14) near 70 — short-term hot but normal in trend; the 1.4020 YTD-high zone is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.39663
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4000 would negate the breakout and re-open the prior range
Acceptance above 1.40200 YTD high opens room into 1.40–1.41 congestion
US Retail Sales + FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts beyond this window
London session pushed USDCAD through the 1.40 round number, tagging a session high at 1.40162 before stalling, with CAD soft on lower oil after the US-Iran Hormuz reopening. Price is now consolidating just below the high, RSI(14) elevated near 66 but cooling.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens 1.39950
Close above 1.40162 exposes the 1.4020 ytd high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.40154
Higher highs above 1.40 psych.
USDCAD broke the 1.40 psych level during the London session and is pressing the 1.40162 session high, RSI(14) hot near 71. The advance tracks soft US data and a patient BoC; the 1.4020 YTD high sits just overhead.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout
1.40200 ytd high — area to watch for rejection or break
US Retail Sales / FOMC Wed could reset this read
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.40115
Higher highs, breaking 1.40.
USDCAD broke the 1.40 round number during Asia hours and printed a fresh session high at 1.40162, pressing toward the 1.4020 YTD ceiling as soft Oil keeps CAD heavy. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price holding above the breakout level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39939, 1.39789
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Reclaim back below 1.40000 would invalidate the breakout read
Rejection at 1.40162 / 1.4020 caps the move into the 1.40–1.41 congestion
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session, breaking the 1.40 round number and printing a session high at 1.40162 as soft oil kept CAD pinned. Price has eased back to 1.40115, RSI cooling from elevated levels but holding above the breakout level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3989, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 ytd high opens scope toward 1.4140 congestion
Failure to hold 1.40000 negates the breakout and exposes the 1.39890 swing low
BoC-pricing and oil headlines could shift CAD tone intraday
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, breakout above 1.40.
USDCAD broke above the 1.40 round number into the London open and tagged a session high of 1.40162, just shy of the 1.4020 YTD high, with RSI(14) running hot near 71 as soft Oil keeps CAD pinned. Price is consolidating the last impulse around 1.4011 after the sharpest leg of the window.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39939, 1.39789
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 reopens the 1.39939 swing low and negates the breakout
A close above 1.40200 extends the move toward the 1.40–1.41 congestion
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 67 · price 1.40109
Higher highs into fresh session highs.
USDCAD pushed through the 1.40 psych level into the Asia session, printing a session high at 1.40162 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned near YTD lows. Price stalled and ticked back to 1.40109, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; the 1.40 round level is now the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40000 keeps the breakout structure intact
Reclaim below 1.39950 signals a failed break and return to range
Break of 1.40162 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 71 · price 1.40104
Higher highs, breakout above 1.40.
USDCAD broke above the 1.40 round number into early London, printing a session high at 1.40162 as oil weakness keeps CAD pinned despite a softer dollar. RSI(14) elevated near 71; the 1.4020 YTD high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39949, 1.39789
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40162 opens the path toward the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold the 1.40 round number reopens downside toward 1.39949
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
05:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 67 · price 1.40104
Rising HH/HL, breakout above 1.40.
Early London pushed USD/CAD through the 1.40 psych level, tagging a 1.40162 session high as soft Oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme — with the 1.4020 YTD high the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39907, 1.39663
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40 psych invalidates the breakout read
A break above 1.4020 ytd high opens the path higher
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.40104
Higher highs into 1.40 break.
USDCAD broke the 1.40 round number during Asian hours, tagging a 1.40162 session high before easing to 1.40104, RSI(14) near 71. Price now sits just under the 1.4020 YTD high, the cap flagged in the broader 1.40–1.41 congestion.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.39789
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Tag of 1.40200 ytd high — area to watch for rejection or break
M15 close back below 1.40000 negates the breakout read
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh break of 1.40.
Price pushed through the 1.40 psych level during early London, tagging a session high at 1.40162 and putting the 1.4020 YTD high in range as Oil weakness keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme — with the move so far holding above the breakout zone.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3998, 1.3988
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
A close above 1.40200 ytd high opens the path higher
Slip back below 1.40000 psych negates the breakout, exposing 1.39880
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 78 · price 1.40133
Higher highs into 1.40 break.
USDCAD broke the 1.40 round number during Asia hours on soft oil keeping CAD pinned, printing a session high at 1.40162 with the 1.4020 YTD high now in sight. RSI(14) near 78 flags the push as stretched into resistance.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.3987
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.40200 ytd high opens the path toward the 1.4025 supply
Loss of the 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.39870 swing low
Stretched RSI raises odds of a pullback into the broken 1.40 level
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session and accelerated into pre-London, breaking the 1.40 psych level to print a session high of 1.40162 as soft Oil keeps CAD pinned near seven-month lows. RSI(14) is hot near 78, with the 1.4020 YTD high the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3993, 1.39735
Resistance: 1.40162, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 1.40200 opens the path toward the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Loss of the 1.4000 psych level signals a pullback within the uptrend
Stretched RSI flags exhaustion risk into the YTD high
04:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.40054
Higher highs, breakout above 1.4000.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window and just cracked the 1.4000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40055, RSI(14) hot near 71. CAD stayed pressured as soft oil weighed, but the 1.4020 YTD high sits just above as the next resistance.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39893, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.40055, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.3995 would negate the 1.4000 breakout
1.4020 ytd high — area to watch for rejection or break
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.40054
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the Asian session and cleared the 1.4000 round number, printing a fresh session high at 1.40055 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Move tracks soft Oil keeping CAD pinned; the 1.4020 YTD high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3973, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.40055, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold below 1.4000 would stall the breakout and risk a corrective pullback
Rejection at 1.4020 ytd high — area to watch for a stall into London
Loss of 1.39730 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
Asian session grind higher stalled at the 1.40000 round number, with the last several bars compressing into 2-3 pip ranges just beneath it. RSI(14) near 64, no extreme; CAD remains pinned near multi-month lows on soft oil. Rising-low structure intact but momentum is fading into the psych ceiling.
Support: 1.39907, 1.39845, 1.39735
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.40020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39907 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
Asia session grinding higher toward the 1.4000 psych level after a steady ascent off 1.3950, with USD broadly soft on fading Iran-deal safe-haven demand. Price is stalling just below the round number, momentum cooling as bars compress into the figure.
Support: 1.3993, 1.3982, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39930 breaks the rising sequence
Oil headlines remain the key CAD swing risk into the week
USDCAD ground higher through Asian hours, pressing the 1.40000 round number with the 1.4020 YTD high just above; soft Oil keeps CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme and ATR is thin (~3 pips) in low-volume Asian trade — price is stalling rather than breaking.
Support: 1.3993, 1.3985, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 round number opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold the 1.39930 swing low signals a corrective pullback
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, stalling under round number.
USDCAD ground higher through the window and is now pinned just under the 1.40000 psych level, the last few bars flattening into a tight consolidation. Move tracks soft Oil weighing on CAD; RSI(14) ~67, hot but not extreme, with the 1.40 round number and 1.40020 YTD high capping.
Support: 1.3992, 1.3974, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 opens the path to the 1.40–1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39920 base sets up a pullback toward the 1.39740 swing low
Rejection at the 1.40000 round number would confirm supply capping here
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into round number · RSI 64 · price 1.39977
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling sub-1.4000.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session in a tight rising channel, capped just under the 1.4000 psych level after tagging 1.39997. CAD remains soft on lower oil; momentum is steady with RSI(14) mid-60s and intraday ranges compressing to ~3-4 pips.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
loss of 1.39880 session base breaks the rising channel
US Retail Sales / FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.39977
Higher highs and higher lows into 1.40.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window, printing fresh highs at 1.39998 and pressing into the 1.40 round number as soft oil keeps CAD heavy. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched, leaving the 1.40 psych level and 1.4020 YTD high as the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.3992, 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39700 breaks the rising structure
1.40 round number — area to watch for rejection or break
USDCAD ground higher through Asia hours, posting a session high at 1.39997 just under the 1.4000 psych level as softer Oil keeps CAD pinned near YTD lows. RSI(14) ~64 and elevated but not extreme; price stalling into round-number resistance with the 1.4020 YTD high overhead.
Support: 1.3989, 1.39789, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39890 recent base would break the rising sequence
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
03:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.39973
Stair-step HH/HL into 1.40 psych.
USDCAD has ground steadily higher through the Asia session, printing higher lows into the 1.40000 psych level as softer oil keeps CAD pinned near seven-month lows. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; price stalling just shy of the round number with thin overnight volume.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of the 1.39880 recent base breaks the ascending support and the HH/HL chain
Canada Retail Sales (Fri) and FOMC are the week's catalysts that could shift this read
Asia-session grind higher stalled just shy of the 1.40000 psych level, with the prior swing high at 1.39997 capping the move. ATR compressed to ~3 pips on thin liquidity; RSI mid-60s, no extreme. Broader CAD softness from cheaper oil underpins the bid, but price is consolidating below round-number resistance.
Support: 1.3989, 1.39714
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of the 1.39890 recent low breaks the ascending support
Retail Sales / FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Grind higher into prior session high, chain of higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into a thin Asia session, posting a session high at 1.39997 with the 1.4020 YTD high in sight as the US-Iran Hormuz deal pressured oil and CAD. Price is coiling just under 1.3997 on fading liquidity; higher lows intact above 1.3988.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39997, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39997 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.3988 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves; Retail Sales / FOMC later this week the bigger catalysts
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 63 · price 1.39951
Rising lows, capped below 1.40 psych.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia hours, stalling just shy of the 1.40000 round number with the session high at 1.39997, as soft oil keeps CAD pinned near multi-month lows. RSI(14) near 63 with ATR around 3.6 pips — a slow, low-range creep rather than an impulsive push.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39880 session low breaks the rising-low chain
Wed Retail Sales + FOMC are the week's catalysts and could reshape this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.39951
Higher highs/higher lows into 1.40.
Asia session has ground steadily higher, with price stalling just under the 1.40000 round number after tagging 1.39997. CAD stays heavy on the oil collapse from the US-Iran Hormuz deal, with the 1.4020 YTD high in sight; RSI(14) elevated near 63 but not extreme and ATR is thin at ~3 pips.
Support: 1.3989, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39790 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
02:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.39961
Rising lows, fresh session highs.
Steady Asia-session grind higher off the 1.3950 low, with USDCAD pressing the 1.40000 psych level as CAD stays soft on the oil collapse following the US-Iran Hormuz deal. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; higher-low chain intact and ATR is thin at ~5 pips in quiet pre-London trade.
Support: 1.39823, 1.39663, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 YTD high
Failure to hold rising support near 1.3982 breaks the higher-low chain
Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
02:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.40 · RSI 64 · price 1.39961
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session in a tight ascending channel, printing 1.39997 just below the 1.40 round number as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) at 64 is firm but not extreme; the round-number ceiling has capped the high with the 1.4020 YTD peak the next marker above.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3979, 1.3970
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
A close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39790 breaks the ascending support and the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri and FOMC mid-week could shift this read
Asia session has ground steadily higher off the 1.39507 swing low, printing higher lows into the 1.4020 YTD high with price now at 1.39978. The grind tracks soft USD broadly while weaker WTI caps CAD, leaving the pair pressing the top of the 1.40-1.41 congestion. RSI elevated near 65 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.39953
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40020 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion noted in context
Failure to hold 1.39880 breaks the rising structure
Retail Sales / FOMC (Wed) could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.39978
Higher highs / higher lows, nearing YTD high.
USDCAD ground higher through a thin Asia session to a fresh session high at 1.39978, with the 1.40000 psych level and 1.4020 YTD high directly overhead. The grind reflects soft oil weighing on CAD despite a broadly weaker USD; RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before overbought.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39880 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Liquidity thin pre-London; moves can extend on light volume
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.3996
Higher highs into 1.40 congestion, Asia coiling.
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY to 1.3996 and is now coiling in a tight Asia range just under the 1.4000 round number, with the 1.4020 YTD high overhead. RSI(14) near 61 and ATR sub-5 pips flag stalling momentum into the figure; soft oil keeps CAD pinned but risk-on USD weakness has capped the advance.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high extends the up-leg toward 1.40-1.41 congestion
Loss of 1.3950 swing low breaks the rising structure toward 1.3931 pivot
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed 12:30/18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, stalling near session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the session to a fresh session high at 1.3996, with thin late-Asia volume keeping ranges tight. Price is coiling just beneath the 1.4020 YTD high as soft oil supports the bid while a broadly weaker USD caps follow-through.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3970, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.3996, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3990 session base risks a slide toward 1.3970 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.3996
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, coiling near highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, printing a fresh session high at 1.3996 with WTI weakness keeping CAD pinned near YTD lows. Price is coiling just under 1.3996 with the 1.4020 YTD high overhead; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39962, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39962 session high opens the path toward the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39880 recent base would break the higher-low chain
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.3996
Higher lows into YTD-high congestion.
Quiet Asian session ground USDCAD up to 1.3996 on thin volume, parked just under the 1.4000 psych level and the 1.4020 YTD high. Higher lows since the 1.3950 dip held; soft WTI keeps CAD pinned while the broad USD stays heavy, leaving the pair coiled below resistance.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3950
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3973 breaks the rising-low sequence
Asian session grinding sideways in a tight 1.3988–1.3995 band on thin volume after recovering off the 1.3951 London low. RSI(14) flat near neutral and ATR compressed to ~8 pips; the 1.40020 YTD high sits just overhead as the key ceiling.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path to the 1.40020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39880 session low breaks the consolidation lower toward 1.39735
Liquidity returns at London open and may break the Asian range
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY and is now consolidating in a tight band just under the 1.39953 session high, with thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) is mid-range and momentum has flattened; oil weakness keeps CAD heavy while broad USD softness caps the topside.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39880 signals deeper pullback toward 1.39790
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 61 · price 1.39937
Higher lows, capped under 1.3995.
Asia session grinding higher into the 1.3995 session high, capped just under the 1.4000 psych level after repeated rejections there. RSI(14) neutral near 60 on thin late-session volume; buyers have held the rising support off the 1.39698 session low.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3980, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 psych opens the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold the 1.3988 swing low breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
01:30 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 59 · price 1.39937
Higher highs into 1.3995, now ranging.
NY session ground higher to a 1.39953 session high; Asia is now holding a tight 1.3988-1.3995 band on thin volume with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The 1.40000 round number sits just overhead as the next ceiling.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3978, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.4020 YTD high
Loss of 1.39880 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.39780
FOMC + Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher off the London low at 1.39507 to a session high of 1.39953, then stalled in a tight Asian-session range below the 1.40000 psych ceiling on very thin volume. The grind reflects a soft USD at 10-day lows offset by weak oil capping CAD; ATR has compressed to ~4 pips as price coils near highs.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3980, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39953 / 1.40000 extends the move toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion ceiling
Loss of 1.39880 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.39800
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY span and stalled into the Asia session, capped at the 1.39953 session high just below the 1.4000 round number. Rising lows hold near 1.3982, RSI(14) cooling around 58 as the current bar drifts in a tight range. CAD remains soft despite a broadly weaker USD; oil weakness is offsetting the dollar's slide.
Support: 1.39823, 1.3978, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path to the 1.4000 round number
Break of rising support near 1.3982 would end the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY and is now coiling in a tight 1.3988-1.3995 band during Asia hours, capped repeatedly at the 1.39953 session high. The grind reflects a soft USD pinned near 10-day lows after the US-Iran deal, with CAD upside limited by the same oil-driven backdrop; RSI(14) near 59 shows momentum cooling without rolling over.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3979, 1.3966
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39880 swing low shifts the read back toward 1.39790
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after a graded climb.
USDCAD ground higher through the window off the 1.39507 session low, with CAD pressured by the WTI slump after the US-Iran Hormuz deal. Price is now coiling 1.3988-1.3995 in thin Asian-hours trade, stalling just shy of the 1.40000 psych ceiling flagged as the 1.40-1.41 congestion zone; RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 22 pips.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39880 then 1.39735 would break the rising-low chain
Retail Sales (Wed 12:30) and FOMC later in the week are the next macro risks
Price ground higher through the European/NY hours to a session high at 1.39953 and is now stalling just under the 1.40000 ceiling in thin Asian-session trade, with USD broadly soft on fading safe-haven demand. Momentum is cooling as range compresses to a few pips per bar near the top.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion zone
Failure to hold 1.39880 invalidates the consolidation and exposes 1.39698
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.40, now consolidating near top.
USDCAD ground higher through the window and is stalling just under the 1.40000 round number during thin Asian hours, with volume collapsing on the final bars. RSI(14) elevated near 62 but not extreme; price holding a series of higher lows off 1.39698.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3973
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.39953
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion zone
Failure to hold 1.39880 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the prior session and is now coiling just under the 1.39953 session high, a few pips shy of the 1.40 psych level that caps the broader range. Thin Asia-hours volume and an RSI(14) near 60 show momentum flattening at the top; soft oil keeps CAD pinned while a weaker USD limits upside follow-through.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39735, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path toward the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39880 puts the 1.39735 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Grinding higher, tight consolidation under session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY toward the 1.40 ceiling and is now coiling tightly between 1.3989 and 1.3995 through low-volume Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs near 60. The broadly soft USD and fading safe-haven bid are offset by weak oil, leaving price pinned just under the session high at 1.39953 and the 1.4000 round number.
Support: 1.3984, 1.3970, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path into the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39840 breaks the intraday rising structure
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
Grinding near session highs after rising-low sequence.
USDCAD ground higher through the window toward the 1.40 ceiling, with the Asia session now coiling in a tight 1.3988–1.3995 range on thin volume just under the 1.39953 session high. Move fits the CAD-soft/USDCAD-toward-congestion theme; momentum has flattened, RSI(14) mid-range despite price sitting near the top.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path toward the 1.4000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39880 session base reopens 1.39698 swing low
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY and is now coiling in a tight 1.3988–1.3995 band on thin Asian-session volume, pressing the 1.40 ceiling the digest flags as congestion. RSI(14) near 57 — cooled off the highs with the advance stalling but holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Loss of 1.3988 exposes the 1.39698 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground up through the NY session to a 1.39953 session high and is now coiling just below it on thin Asian-hours volume. The 1.40 round number caps overhead as the broadly softer dollar (US-Iran deal, oil crash) meets a stalling intraday push. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39698, 1.39501
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40 opens room into the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3988 puts the 1.39698 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the session off the 1.39507 low to tag 1.39953, then coiled tightly between 1.3988 and 1.3995 on thin Asian-hours volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) has flattened near 60 as the advance stalls below 1.4000, consistent with the softer USD / weak-oil tug-of-war keeping the pair pinned under the figure.
Support: 1.3988, 1.3973, 1.39507
Resistance: 1.39953, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39953 opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39880 risks a slip back toward the 1.39730 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read