A sharp NY-session breakout on post-FOMC USD strength drove USDCAD to a session high at 1.41224 before rejection. The pullback held the 1.4095 range low and price now consolidates just under the 1.4100 psych level in thin Asian hours, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4048, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path to 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.4095 range low exposes 1.4048 prior high then the 1.4025 breakout
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.40998
Impulsive break higher, now ranging under session high.
USDCAD broke sharply higher through the NY session, peaking at 1.41224 on the post-FOMC hawkish Dollar bid and soft crude pressuring CAD. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating tightly around 1.4098-1.4100 into the Asia open, holding the 1.40921 pullback low with the 1.4150 Nov peak the next resistance band.
Support: 1.40921, 1.4073
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40921 confirms a deeper retrace toward the fib 50 at 1.40730
Close above 1.41224 reopens the path to 1.4150
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakout to session high, now consolidating below it.
NY session ripped through 1.4032 to a session high of 1.41224 as USD firmed post-FOMC and soft oil weighed on CAD. Price has since cooled into a tight 1.4094-1.4099 band through the Asia hours, RSI(14) backing off from overbought. No fresh setup in play while consolidation holds.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.40940 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.40512 area
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) and US Jobless Claims (Thu) could shift this read
USDCAD spiked through the 1.4032 NY range into a session high at 1.41224 on firm USD post-FOMC and soft oil weighing on CAD, then faded back. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4092–1.4099 band on thin Asian-hours volume, RSI(14) back near neutral after the rejection at the high.
Support: 1.40921, 1.40632, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41043, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40921 range low opens 1.40632 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41224 session high resumes the breakout
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 during the NY session on the post-FOMC USD bid, then faded and is consolidating in a tight 1.4094–1.4099 band. RSI(14) has cooled off its extremes; the 1.41224 high remains the level to clear.
Support: 1.40948, 1.40512, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.40948 risks a deeper retrace toward 1.40512
Impulsive breakout, now consolidating below session high.
NY session saw a sharp breakout off 1.4025, USD bid post the hawkish FOMC hold while soft crude kept CAD heavy, printing a session high of 1.41224. Price has since cooled into a tight consolidation between 1.40920 and 1.41030, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.4092, 1.4051, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout
Loss of 1.40920 range low opens the 1.40510 breakout dip
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
USDCAD ripped through the 1.4030 congestion on the hawkish FOMC hold, surging from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 during NY hours. Price has since stalled and gone flat near 1.4097 into thin late-session liquidity, with RSI cooling from its overbought spike.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41174, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 zone
Failure to hold the 1.40940 session low exposes the 1.40820 pivot
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session ripped USDCAD from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high on the hawkish-hold FOMC USD bid before fading. Price has since gone flat through the Asian session, coiling around 1.4097 and holding the 1.4094 consol low; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the impulse.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4103
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.40940 exposes the 1.40670 swing low
US jobless claims/Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could break the coil
USDCAD ripped through 1.4032 into a 1.41224 session high during NY hours on broad post-FOMC USD strength, then faded to consolidate around 1.4097 as Asia opened thin. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s and price is holding above the 1.40940 consolidation floor; the breakout structure is intact but stalling.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40940 consol low would deepen the pullback toward the 1.40512 swing low
A reclaim of 1.41030 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims later this week could reset the intraday read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after breakout · RSI 56 · price 1.40972
Post-breakout consolidation above prior range.
NY session ripped through the 1.4035 congestion post-FOMC, the hawkish-hold USD bid carrying USDCAD to a 1.4122 session high. Price has since faded ~25 pips into thin Asia trade, consolidating around 1.4097 above the prior 1.40 ceiling with RSI(14) cooling off its highs.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.4035
Resistance: 1.4122, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.4094 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss of it opens the 1.4067 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4122 session high resumes the upside leg
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
NY afternoon ripped USDCAD through 1.4100 to a session high at 1.41224, extending the hawkish-Fed-driven USD bid against an oil-pressured CAD. Price has since faded back to 1.4097 and is drifting in thin Asia-session trade just above the 1.40940 low; RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41035
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 1.40940 marks the first lower-low after the spike
Thin Asia-session volume can exaggerate moves around 1.4090
HH/HL rally, pullback into consolidation near 1.4097.
Sharp NY breakout above 1.4036 on the hawkish FOMC USD bid carried to a session high at 1.41224 before fading. Price now consolidating around 1.4097 in thin Asia-hours liquidity, holding above the 1.40921 swing low; RSI(14) cooling off the rally peak.
Support: 1.40921, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40921 opens the path back toward 1.40670
Reclaim of 1.41030 puts the 1.41224 session high back in play
Thin Asia liquidity may exaggerate moves until London
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision around 21:00 broker time fired USDCAD from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high, RSI hot then cooling as price pulled back. Now consolidating tightly near 1.4094, holding well above the 1.40601 breakout level.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817, 1.40601
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.41224 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 1.40940 consol low exposes the 1.40817 spike base
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reprice this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision spiked USDCAD off 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 on heavy volume, with crude weakness compounding CAD pressure. Price has since faded to ~1.4093 and is consolidating below the 1.41000 round number, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range from its post-spike high.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40940 opens a deeper retrace toward 1.40700
Reclaim of 1.41000 puts the 1.41224 session high back in play
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove a vertical NY-session breakout from 1.40250 to a 1.41224 session high on heavy volume. Price has since drifted back toward 1.40940 and is consolidating in thin Asian-session liquidity, RSI(14) cooling off its highs.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4117
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41224 resumes the breakout leg
M15 close below 1.40820 negates the post-FOMC consolidation
US jobless claims/Philly Fed (Thu 12:30 UTC) could re-fuel the USD move
Session range broken upside, consolidating below high.
FOMC's hawkish dot-plot revision sparked a sharp USD bid; USDCAD spiked off 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high, RSI hot then cooling. Price has since faded to a tight 1.4094-1.4097 consolidation, holding above the prior 1.4020 breakout zone with momentum flat.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
M15 close back below 1.40817 negates the post-FOMC breakout structure
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift CAD-side flow
USDCAD ripped out of the 1.4025–1.4035 congestion on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, posting a vertical run to a 1.41224 session high. Price has since cooled to 1.40956 with RSI(14) easing off the spike; the 1.40820 swing low is the first level holding the move.
Support: 1.4082, 1.40512, 1.4036
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40820 negates the breakout impulse
Reclaim of 1.41224 reopens the upside extension
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-shift this read
USDCAD ripped from the 1.4025 base to a 1.41224 session high on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, then unwound to 1.4096 on thin Asian-hours volume. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.4082 breakout base with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4103
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4082 breakout base would unwind the FOMC move
Reclaim of 1.41224 session high reopens the upside
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 61 · price 1.40972
Post-FOMC breakout, retracing from session high.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp USD bid into the NY session; USDCAD broke the 1.4025-1.4036 congestion and ran to a session high at 1.41224. Price has since rejected from 1.41170 and pulled back to 1.40956, RSI(14) cooling from overbought back near 61.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40956 opens deeper retrace toward the 1.40500 spike base
Reclaim of 1.41030 keeps the breakout toward session high in play
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19) is the next CAD-side catalyst
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a vertical USD bid, ripping USDCAD from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high during NY afternoon. Price has since faded to 1.40972, rejected at the session high with RSI(14) cooling from extreme; the move has held above the 1.40601 spike base.
Support: 1.40956, 1.40601
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40956 session low opens a deeper retrace into the spike base at 1.40601
M15 close above 1.41224 session high extends the breakout
Post-FOMC breakout, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ripped ~95 pips off 1.4025 through 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot surprise and US retail beat. Price has since faded to 1.4097, RSI cooling from overbought; the breakout base around 1.4082 and recent swing low at 1.40956 are the near-term floors holding the move.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4082, 1.40482
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40956 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss of it opens 1.4082
Reclaim of 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend or fade the post-FOMC USD bid
21:16 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive then cooling · RSI 62 · price 1.40972
Fresh higher highs post-FOMC, pulling back.
NY session ripped higher off 1.4025 after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, breaking to a 1.41224 session high before fading to 1.4097. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price consolidates above the 1.4082 breakout base.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4082, 1.40601
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41035
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40820 breakout base negates the post-FOMC impulse
Reclaim of 1.41224 reopens the session high
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Sharp impulse leg, now consolidating below session high.
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision in the NY afternoon sparked a sharp breakout from the 1.4025 range, running to a 1.41224 session high. Price has since pulled back to 1.40997 but holds above the 1.40956 pullback low, with RSI cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4060, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40956 opens a retest of the 1.40600 post-spike base
Sustained move above 1.41224 extends the breakout
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD bid
Breakout from pre-FOMC range, pulling back to round number.
USDCAD ground sideways near 1.4030 through the NY session before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp breakout, ramping from 1.4025 to a session high at 1.41224. Price has since faded back to the 1.4100 round number, RSI cooling off the impulse high; 1.40956 has held on the first pullback.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40700 unwinds the FOMC breakout
Reclaim of 1.41224 reopens the upside extension
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-energise the USD move
USDCAD broke out of the 1.3990–1.4035 daytime congestion on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, ripping from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.4122 during late NY. Last two bars rejected the high and pulled back to 1.4097; RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the impulse stalls.
Support: 1.4082, 1.4048, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41224 extends the breakout toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.40820 deepens the pullback toward the 1.40480 rally pivot
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
USD/CAD exploded out of a tight 1.4025–1.4036 range on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, running ~100 pips to a 1.41224 session high during NY hours. Last two bars pulled back to 1.4097 as RSI cools off its overbought spike; the 1.40956 low is the first level holding the move.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4103
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40956 opens a deeper retrace of the FOMC spike toward 1.4050
Reclaim of 1.41224 resumes the breakout leg
Thu 12:30 UTC US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed could re-accelerate the USD move
20:31 UTC
Strong uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.41156
Post-FOMC breakout, holding gains near highs.
NY session ripped higher off the 1.4025 congestion after the Fed's hawkish hold and the 0.9% retail sales beat, breaking clean to a session high of 1.41224 with RSI(14) running hot near 71. Price is consolidating in the upper range around 1.4115, last two bars cooling slightly off the high.
Support: 1.4111, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4082 breakout base negates the post-FOMC thrust
Thu Jun 18 jobless claims / Philly Fed could shift the USD read
Breakout to fresh session highs, chain of higher highs.
USDCAD ripped from the 1.4025 base to a 1.41224 session high during NY hours as the hawkish Fed hold and a strong US retail sales beat drove broad USD buying. Price is consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) hot near 76; the breakout above the 1.4032 congestion is holding.
Support: 1.41109, 1.4032, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.41109 would signal the post-FOMC leg is stalling
A close back below 1.40320 invalidates the breakout read
Thu 12:30 UTC US jobless claims / Philly Fed could shift this read
USDCAD ripped out of the 1.4025–1.4036 NY congestion on the hawkish Fed hold and lifted dot plot, running from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.4122. RSI(14) sits hot near 74 as price pulls back marginally off the high; the breakout base around 1.4082 has yet to be retested.
Support: 1.4082, 1.4025, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4082 breakout base would mark the first failed retest of the impulse
Acceptance above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 psych level
Warsh presser tone could materially extend or unwind this post-FOMC move
Breakout to fresh session highs, HH/HL chain intact.
USDCAD ripped from the 1.4025–1.4036 NY range to 1.41224 after the hawkish Fed hold and a beat on US retail sales. RSI(14) near 79 — hot but typical of an impulse; price has paused at 1.41123 after tagging the session high.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4082 would mark a failed breakout
Acceptance above 1.41224 opens the 1.4150 psych level
US jobless claims & Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD broke vertically out of the 1.4025 consolidation on the hawkish Fed hold and resilient US retail sales, clearing 1.4100 to print a session high at 1.41224. RSI(14) near 79 flags an overbought, extended move; the current bar is ticking back off the high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 with a close back below 1.4082 would signal the breakout is fading
Sustained hold above 1.4122 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Thu Jun 18 jobless claims / Philly Fed could shift this read
USDCAD ripped from the 1.4025 pre-breakout range to a 1.41224 session high on the Fed's hawkish hold and the strong US retail sales beat, RSI(14) stretched above 80. The last bar stalled at 1.41123 after tagging the high; price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4082, 1.4050, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40820 breakout level would signal the post-FOMC impulse is fading
RSI above 80 flags short-term exhaustion if the session high at 1.41224 rejects
US jobless claims and Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend or unwind this move
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 83 · price 1.41053
Breakout from intraday range, fresh highs.
USDCAD ripped out of the 1.4025–1.4036 NY range after the hawkish FOMC hold, clearing the prior 7-month high and printing fresh highs at 1.41064. RSI(14) above 80 — short-term stretched but consistent with the impulsive leg; price is extended well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4082, 1.4051, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41064
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4082 would stall the breakout and signal cooling
Loss of 1.4051 retest level fills the breakout candle and weakens the up-leg
Thin late-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves into the close
USDCAD ripped through 1.4036 and the 1.4082 swing high after the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales bid the dollar, tagging 1.41064 into late NY. RSI(14) is hot above 80, reflecting the vertical move rather than exhaustion, with price pinned to the session high.
Support: 1.40817, 1.40512, 1.40362
Resistance: 1.41064, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41064 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.40817 swing low would mark the first crack in the post-FOMC breakout
Thu 12:30 UTC US Claims/Philly Fed could shift this dollar-led read
NY session ripped higher on the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales — price spiked from the 1.4025/1.4035 congestion and is now printing session highs at 1.40887, RSI(14) extended near 83. Move is clean and one-directional; pullback low at 1.4048 is the first reference.
Support: 1.4048, 1.4035, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40887
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4048 would mark the first lower high and stall the breakout
A close back below 1.4035 negates the breakout read
Thu 12:30 UTC US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed could shift this read
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, sharp impulse leg · RSI 84 · price 1.40887
Vertical breakout from range, HH/HL chain.
USDCAD ripped out of a tight 1.4025–1.4036 NY range after the hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales, printing four straight expansion candles to 1.4089. RSI(14) above 84 is extended but normal in an impulse; 1.4090 round number is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4025, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4090 opens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.4050 breakout base would mark exhaustion of the impulse
US Initial Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
The hawkish Fed hold (3.75%, lifted dots) snapped USDCAD out of the 1.4025–1.4036 NY range with a sharp impulse to a 1.4072 session high. Price holds above the breakout base at 1.4025, with the 1.40534 spike low the first pullback marker; RSI(14) near 74 is hot but normal for a fresh impulse.
Support: 1.40534, 1.4036, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4072
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40534 then 1.4036 would unwind the breakout back into the prior range
Warsh presser is the swing factor — a balanced tone could pressure this leg
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the read
USDCAD broke the 1.4030 NY-session range and spiked to 1.40720 on the hawkish Fed hold, with RSI(14) running hot near 76. Pullback held the 1.40482 swing low and price closed back near the highs at 1.40685.
Support: 1.40482, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4072
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40482 swing low would mark a failed breakout and pull price back into the prior range
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
A close above 1.40720 session high extends the move
USDCAD chopped in a 1.3990–1.4036 band through the session before the hawkish Fed hold (rates 3.75%, lifted dots) spiked the pair through 1.4036 into a fresh high at 1.4072. RSI(14) is hot near 73 and price is extended above both EMAs after the impulse, now holding the upper half of the breakout candle.
Support: 1.4036, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4072, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.40720 opens the path toward 1.4090
Loss of 1.40360 prior high signals the breakout failing back into the prior range
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
The FOMC hawkish hold (dots lifted, easing bias dropped) spiked USDCAD off 1.4025 through to a 1.4072 session high, a clean break of the prior intraday range. RSI(14) is hot near 72 and price is consolidating in the 1.4048–1.4072 band just under the high.
Support: 1.4048, 1.4025, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.4072
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.4048 keeps the breakout intact
M15 close back below 1.4025 negates the post-FOMC break
Warsh presser could materially shift this read
18:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 79 · price 1.40613
Range break to session high.
USDCAD spent the day boxed in 1.3990-1.4036 before the hawkish Fed hold and lifted dots spiked it ~38 pips through 1.4035 to a 1.40632 session high. RSI(14) near 79 is hot but typical right after a momentum break; price is consolidating the last two bars just under the high.
Support: 1.4035, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40632
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40350 would fade the breakout into the prior range
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
Hold above 1.40350 keeps the breakout structure intact
Impulsive break above range top, new session high.
USDCAD ground sideways near 1.4030 through the NY session then spiked to 1.40632 on the hawkish FOMC hold and lifted dots, RSI(14) running near 79. Price is holding the upper edge of the move just under the spike high, with the prior 1.4025 ceiling now acting as the pivot.
Support: 1.4025, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.40632
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40250 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below fills the spike
Close above 1.40632 spike high extends the move toward the 1.4090 zone
Warsh presser could materially shift this read in the next bars
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, sharp impulse · RSI 79 · price 1.40597
Breakout above range, fresh session high.
USDCAD ripped out of the 1.4025–1.4036 congestion on the FOMC/Warsh reaction, spiking to a fresh session high at 1.40632 and holding near 1.4060. RSI(14) is hot near 79 after a single 38-pip impulse bar; prior congestion top at 1.4032 now flips to first support.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4025, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.40632
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40320 keeps the breakout intact; loss reopens 1.40250 base
Close back below 1.40250 signals a false break of the range
Warsh presser still live — further headlines can extend or unwind this spike
Breakout above prior session high, fresh high printed.
USDCAD ripped through the prior 1.4036 high on the FOMC hawkish-hold print, spiking to 1.40632 in a single bar with RSI(14) now stretched above 80. The grind up from the 1.40 floor through NY hours culminated in a vertical breakout; price holding near 1.4060 just under the spike high.
Support: 1.4036, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40632, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Warsh presser tone (18:30 UTC) is the bigger vol driver and could reverse this spike
A close back below 1.4036 would negate the breakout and signal a false break
Holding above 1.4036 keeps the path open toward 1.4090
USDCAD spiked from 1.40250 to a fresh session high at 1.40485 on the FOMC hawkish-hold USD bid, breaking the earlier 1.40362 ceiling. RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the four-day uptrend extends; price holds well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4025, 1.4013, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.40485, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40250 keeps the breakout intact; a loss reverts into the prior range
Acceptance above 1.40485 opens the path toward 1.4090
Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 74 · price 1.40485
Higher highs, breaking 7-month ceiling.
USDCAD spiked from 1.40251 to 1.40485 on the FOMC decision, breaking clear of the 1.4036 session ceiling to a fresh high as the priced hawkish hold firmed the USD. RSI(14) running hot near 73 after the impulse; the prior congestion at 1.4036 is now the immediate breakout reference, with 1.4090 the next zone above.
Support: 1.4036, 1.4025, 1.4002
Resistance: 1.40485, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the larger vol driver and could unwind the rate-driven USD bid
Failure to hold the 1.4036 breakout level negates the move and returns price into the prior range
Acceptance above 1.40485 opens the path toward the 1.4090 next zone
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 74 · price 1.40485
Higher highs, breakout on Fed spike.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh session high at 1.40485 on the FOMC print at 18:00 UTC, clearing the 1.4036 NY-session top after grinding the 1.40 ceiling all day on soft-oil CAD pressure. RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the move extends; the prior consolidation low at 1.4025 marks the base of the leg.
Support: 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40485, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.4025 fills the Fed-spike gap and negates the breakout
Sustained trade above 1.40485 opens the path toward 1.4090
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 79 · price 1.40485
Higher highs, fresh breakout to new high.
NY session spiked into the FOMC decision bar, breaking the prior session high at 1.40362 and the 1.4048 seven-month high to print 1.40485, RSI(14) running hot near 78. The grind up the 1.40 ceiling extended into a clean impulse leg from the 1.3995 base.
Support: 1.4036, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40485
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) could materially shift this read in the next bars
Failure to hold the broken 1.40360 high on a pullback would mark a false break
A close back below 1.40250 invalidates the breakout
NY session drove USD/CAD to a session high of 1.40362, clearing the 1.4020 seven-month high and printing a clean HH/HL chain. Price is consolidating around 1.4030 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs into the 18:00 UTC FOMC.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4013, 1.4009
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC can override this read entirely
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh 7-month high at 1.40362 — extending the four-day grind on soft oil and pre-FOMC USD longs — before easing back to 1.40297. The FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) and Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) land inside the next bar and dominate the read.
Support: 1.40273, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC will override the current structure
Close above 1.40362 opens the 1.4048 7-month high
Failure to hold 1.40273 confirms a lower-low and stalls the rally
17:30 UTC
Uptrend, extended into FOMC · RSI 64 · price 1.40282
USD/CAD broke the 1.4020 7-month high during NY hours and ran to 1.40362, USD bid ahead of the Fed; price now consolidating near 1.40282 with RSI(14) cooling from session hot. Higher-low chain intact off 1.40090.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4009, 1.40045
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.40200 puts the breakout into false-break risk
Higher highs / higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD trended higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.40 congestion and printing a session high at 1.40362 as soft crude kept CAD pinned. Price is now cooling toward 1.40280 with RSI(14) easing off its highs ahead of the FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (in ~30m) will override this read
Close back below 1.40180 breaks the rising swing-low chain
Reclaim of 1.40362 session high reopens the path to 1.40480
NY session drove a steady ramp off the 1.4000 round number to a fresh session high at 1.40362, RSI(14) running hot near 72 as oil weakness keeps pressure on CAD. FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC lands within the next bar and dwarfs the current structure.
Support: 1.40244, 1.40095, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (Warsh presser 18:30) can fully override this read
Close above 1.40362 extends toward the 1.4048 7-month high
Loss of 1.40244 breaks the higher-low chain off this rally
17:15 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 1.40316
Rising HH/HL into 7-month high.
NY session drove a steady push from 1.4000 to a fresh session high at 1.40362, RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. Price now consolidating just below the high at 1.40316 as USD/CAD grinds the 7-month ceiling into the Fed.
Support: 1.4029, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40362 opens the path toward 1.40480
Failure to hold 1.40290 exposes the 1.40090 session low
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above prior range.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.4020 7-month high, with price grinding the session high at 1.40362 and RSI(14) hot but not extreme. The advance came as CAD stayed pinned by soft oil; pullbacks have held above the 1.4020 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4050
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close back below 1.4020 negates the breakout and reopens 1.4000
Break and hold above 1.40362 extends toward 1.4050
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 68 · price 1.40316
Higher highs, fresh session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4000 break to a fresh session high at 1.40362, with soft oil on US-Iran peace optimism weighing on CAD ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) running hot near 68 but not yet stretched; pullbacks held the rising support around 1.40265.
Support: 1.40265, 1.4000, 1.40045
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40362 opens the path toward the 1.4048 7-month high
Loss of 1.40000 would negate the breakout structure
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4020 7-month high, printing fresh session highs at 1.40362 with RSI(14) hot near 73 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. The rally is stretched into the FOMC decision, with price riding well above both EMAs.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.4020 reopens 1.4000
Sustained close above 1.40362 extends toward 1.4048
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours, posting a fresh session high at 1.40362 with RSI(14) near 72 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. Pullbacks have held above 1.40180 and the 1.4000 psych line; clean HH/HL chain intact.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4050
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.40180 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.40362 opens the path to 1.4050
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.40344
Fresh session highs, HH/HL chain intact.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.40362, RSI(14) hot near 74 after a clean break above the 1.4020 congestion as soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot. The advance off the 1.3995 swing low remains an unbroken HH/HL chain.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.40362
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC then Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session highs.
NY session drove USD/CAD through the 1.40 congestion to a fresh session high at 1.40362, with soft oil on US-Iran peace optimism weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 73 — hot but consistent with the trend; no rejection yet at the highs.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3994
Resistance: 1.40362, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h) plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40090 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40362 opens the path toward 1.4048
16:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.40308
Rising series of higher highs/lows into fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above 1.4020 to print a fresh session high at 1.40333 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) near 74 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holding well above EMA20/50 with no rejection yet at the highs.
Support: 1.40165, 1.4000, 1.39893
Resistance: 1.40333, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.40165 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
A clean break and hold above 1.40333 opens the path toward 1.4048
16:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 1.40308
Stair-step higher highs into fresh session highs.
NY session drove USD/CAD to fresh session highs at 1.40333, clearing the 1.4000 congestion that capped the pair earlier with soft oil weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the trend; HH/HL chain intact off the 1.40090 swing low.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3994
Resistance: 1.40333, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.40333 keeps the path open toward 1.40500
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40000 breaks the intraday higher-low structure
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 73 · price 1.40308
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh highs at 1.40333, clearing the 1.4020 congestion as soft oil weighs on CAD. RSI(14) running hot near 73 but momentum intact with a clean chain of higher lows from 1.40090. FOMC at 18:00 UTC sits roughly 2h ahead — the immediate event risk for this read.
Support: 1.4019, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40333
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40333 extends the uptrend toward 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.40190 breaks the higher-low chain
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout in progress.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4020 7-month high and printing a session high at 1.40333 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the impulsive leg, with the broken 1.4020 high the first level to watch on any pullback.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.40333, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4020 on a M15 close would mark a failed breakout retest
Acceptance above 1.40333 opens the path toward 1.4048
USDCAD broke the prior 1.4015 congestion during NY hours and ran to a fresh session high at 1.40313, RSI(14) hot near 71 as oil weakness keeps CAD pinned. Price holds well above the 1.4000 round number; the four-day grind higher remains intact into the Fed.
Support: 1.4018, 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40313, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) and Warsh presser ~2h away — could materially reset this read
Close above 1.40313 opens the path toward the 1.4048 7-month high
NY session pushed USD/CAD through the 1.4020 congestion to fresh session highs at 1.40313, with oil-pressured CAD letting the pair grind higher ahead of the FOMC. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the impulse; the 1.4020 breakout shelf is the pivot.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40313, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the immediate driver and can override this read
Close above 1.40313 opens the path toward the 1.4048 7-month high
Failure to hold 1.4020 negates the breakout and reopens 1.4000
USDCAD pushed through the 1.4020 7-month high during NY hours and printed a fresh session high at 1.4025, RSI(14) running hot near 72 as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. Buyers held the rising support off 1.39962; the breakout level is now the line to monitor.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.39962
Resistance: 1.4025, 1.40165
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4009 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Sustained close below 1.4000 reopens 1.39962 session low
15:30 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 71 · price 1.40235
Higher highs, fresh session high.
USDCAD broke the 1.4020 7-month high during NY hours and printed a fresh session high at 1.4025, with soft oil on US-Iran peace optimism weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; pullbacks held the 1.4009 swing low through the latest push.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.4025, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4000 round number would break the chain of higher lows
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh 7-month high at 1.4021, clearing the 1.4000 congestion as soft oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; pullbacks held the rising 1.4009 swing low.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40212, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4000 would break the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40212 extends the uptrend toward 1.4048
15:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 70 · price 1.40205
Rising HH/HL chain, breaking 1.40 ceiling.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh 7-month high at 1.4021 into the NY session, a clean breakout of the 1.40 congestion with oil weakness weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but normal in this grind; the rising-low chain off 1.3996 stays intact.
Support: 1.4009, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.40212, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~3h out) plus Warsh presser can materially shift this read
Close above 1.4021 opens the path toward 1.4048
Failure to hold 1.40090 breaks the rising-low chain
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.40205
Higher highs, breaking to session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and tagged a fresh 7-month high at 1.40212, with soft oil on US-Iran peace headlines weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; the 1.4000 round number held as a floor through the push.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.40212, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~3h) plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Sustained move above 1.40212 7-month high opens the path toward 1.4048
Loss of 1.4000 round number would break the rising structure
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing 7-month high · RSI 69 · price 1.40205
Higher highs into 1.4020 ceiling.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4020 7-month ceiling to a fresh session high at 1.40212, extending a steady grind with soft oil weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — and price holds above both EMAs. FOMC and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.4009, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.40212, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dots at 18:00 UTC then Warsh presser will dictate the next leg — could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance above 1.40212 opens the path toward 1.4048
Loss of 1.40090 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
14:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.40115
Higher highs above 1.4000 breakout.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4000 round number to a session high of 1.40192, with crude weakness on US-Iran deal optimism pressuring CAD. Price has pulled back to 1.40115, holding above the rising support; RSI(14) near 64, hot but not extended.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dot plot 18:00 UTC then Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.40000 round number would break the rising support and negate the breakout
Sustained move above 1.40192 session high opens the path to 1.4048
14:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 1.40115
Higher highs into NY session high.
NY session extended the grind above the 1.4000 round number to a session high at 1.40192, with soft oil from US-Iran deal optimism keeping CAD pressured. RSI(14) elevated near 63 but not yet extreme; pullbacks held above 1.40045.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.40165
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40000 would break the rising intraday support
Close above 1.40192 opens the path toward the 1.4048 zone
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 61 · price 1.40119
Higher highs, higher lows above 1.4000.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking and holding above the 1.4000 round number toward a session high at 1.40192 as softer crude on US-Iran deal optimism weighed on CAD. Price has eased back to 1.40119, RSI cooling from the highs but structure intact with higher lows holding.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.4015
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40045 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40192 session high opens 1.4048
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser could materially shift this read
14:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40119
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
USDCAD ground to a session high at 1.40192 during NY hours as soft crude on US-Iran deal optimism kept the pair bid above 1.4000. Price has eased back to 1.40119 but holds well above EMA20/50; the 1.40045 swing low marks the nearest higher-low.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.4015
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Loss of 1.40045 would break the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40192 extends the uptrend toward 1.4048
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.40192, just under the 1.4020 7-month high, with crude weakness keeping CAD on the back foot. Price holds above the 1.4000 round level with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched. Uptrend structure intact heading into the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3994
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40192 opens the path toward 1.4048
Failure to hold 1.4000 breaks the rising-low chain
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, pushing new highs · RSI 69 · price 1.40157
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout to session highs.
NY session extended the uptrend, breaking prior congestion above 1.4015 to print a fresh session high at 1.40192 as soft crude kept CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — and price holds well above EMA20/50. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the obvious risk into the next bars.
Support: 1.40045, 1.3996, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.40045 breaks the rising-low sequence
Sustained move above 1.40192 opens the path to 1.4048
Higher highs/lows, breakout above the 1.4000 base.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.40192, extending the breakout above the 1.4000 base at multi-month highs as soft crude keeps CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holds above rising EMAs into the Fed.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40192
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40000 invalidates the breakout read
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh high at 1.40192, holding well above the 1.4000 psych level on soft crude and CAD weakness. RSI(14) near 65 — elevated but not extreme; the rising HL chain off 1.40045 remains intact.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.40192, 1.40165
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40192 extends the run toward 1.4048
Failure to hold 1.40000 breaks the rising-low structure
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a 1.40165 session high then rejected, pulling back to 1.40045 before steadying near 1.40090; RSI(14) cooling around the mid-50s. Price holds above 1.4000 above EMA20 and EMA50 with the rising intraday structure intact ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.40045, 1.3999
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40142
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.40045 breaks the rising-low structure
NY session grinding higher at 7-month highs, with USDCAD rejected at the 1.40165 session high before pulling back to 1.40045 and recovering. RSI(14) near 55 after cooling from the high; price still tracking above EMA20/50 above the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.39961
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40136
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
Loss of 1.40045 then 1.40000 would break the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.40165 reopens the path toward 1.4048
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating below 1.40165.
NY session ground USDCAD to a session high of 1.40165 before rejection, RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range as price consolidates above the 1.40000 round number. The grind higher kept CAD pinned on softer oil, but the move is stalling just under the highs into the Fed.
Support: 1.4002, 1.4000, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40114
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~4.5h) could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean push from 1.3995 to the session high at 1.40165, then faded to 1.4007 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price holding above the 1.4000 round number after rejection at the highs, sat sideways into the FOMC decision.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40165 reopens the path toward 1.4048
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.39951 swing low
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback held.
NY session ground higher to a session high of 1.40165 before rejecting back to 1.40045, with the 1.4000 round number holding on the dip. Price has since recovered toward 1.4010, RSI cooling off its highs but structure intact above EMA20/50; USD/CAD pinned above 1.4000 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40165
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser can override this intraday read
M15 close back below 1.40000 reopens the 1.39951 swing low
Break above 1.40165 extends the session high sequence
NY session ground higher to a session high at 1.40165 before rejection trimmed price back to 1.40045, which held. USDCAD remains pinned above the 1.4000 round number on soft oil, RSI cooling to mid-50s as the advance loses steam into FOMC.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40165
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~5h) can override this intraday read
M15 close back below 1.40000 confirms loss of the round-number floor
Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback holding above 1.4000.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.40165 before sellers rejected the level, pulling back to 1.40045 and recovering toward 1.4011. Price holds above the 1.4000 round number and both EMAs with RSI(14) cooling from the highs, all ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000, 1.39962
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40136
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~5h) can override this read
Close back below 1.4000 round number opens a deeper pullback toward 1.39962
Break above 1.40165 session high resumes the uptrend
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.40165 before fading to 1.401, RSI(14) cooling from a stretched read. Price holds above the 1.4000 round number with rising swing lows intact; oil-driven CAD softness keeps the structure firm into the Fed.
Support: 1.40045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40165
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
Loss of 1.40045 then 1.4000 would break the rising intraday support
Close above 1.40165 extends the session high sequence
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 56 · price 1.4008
Higher highs / higher lows, recent rejection at 1.4016.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY overlap, tagging a session high at 1.4016 before sellers capped and dragged it back to 1.4005; last bar bounced to 1.4008. Pair holding above the 1.4000 round number, consistent with the oil-driven CAD softness, but momentum has cooled with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40142
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40165 resumes the intraday climb
Failure to hold 1.4000 negates the higher-low structure
12:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.4008
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high of 1.40165 before sellers capped the push, pulling back to 1.4008 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above the 1.4000 round number and EMA20, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4000 puts the 1.39951 swing low in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40165 reopens the path toward 1.4048
USD/CAD ground higher through the London-NY transition to print a session high at 1.40165, then faded to 1.40087 as RSI cooled from the highs. Price holds above 1.4000 with the rising intraday structure intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.4020
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could swing this read immediately
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the major catalyst later in the session
M15 close below 1.4000 negates the rising structure
Higher highs into NY session, minor pullback off session high.
NY session broke USDCAD out of the 1.3990–1.4002 base and pushed to a session high at 1.40165 before easing to 1.40087, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The 1.4000 round number now sits below price as the breakout pivot; FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the main near-term risk.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.4001
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 negates the breakout read
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales already at 12:30 UTC — soft print weighs on USD
USDCAD held above the 1.4000 round number through a long midday consolidation, then broke higher into European hours to tag a session high at 1.40165 before fading back to 1.40106. CAD stays pressured by lower crude on US-Iran peace optimism; RSI cooling off the highs as the last push stalled.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40072
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.40165 holding caps the upside; a close above opens 1.40200+
Loss of 1.4000 round number would unwind the breakout
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the near-term swing risks
USDCAD coiled in a 1.3990–1.4002 range through most of the session, then pushed up into NY hours to a session high at 1.40165 before fading back to 1.40106. The late bar rejected the high but price holds above the 1.4000 round number, keeping the day's up-leg intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.3984
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.4048
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 reopens 1.39950 swing low
M15 close above 1.40165 extends the up-leg toward 1.40480
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Breakout higher after long consolidation · RSI 61 · price 1.40106
NY session pushed above 1.4000 base to a fresh session high.
Price spent most of the window pinned in a 1.3990–1.4000 consolidation before NY hours broke higher to a session high of 1.40165, then eased back to 1.40106 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Pre-FOMC limbo — the breakout is shallow and the round number at 1.4000 is now the line being defended.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40165
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 negates the breakout and returns price to the prior base
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hold above 1.40000 keeps the session-high test at 1.40165 in play
Higher lows off 1.3984 base, session high at 1.4016.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.4007 consolidation cap and tagging a session high at 1.40165 before pulling back to 1.40106, RSI cooling from the push. Price holding above the 1.4000 round number with crude-driven CAD softness keeping it bid.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.40165, 1.40072
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40165 extends the session high break
Loss of 1.40000 round number opens 1.39951 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 1.40145
Higher highs into prior session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, breaking back above 1.4000 and pressing the prior window high at 1.40151, RSI(14) near 69. CAD stays soft on the oil slump while pre-FOMC limbo keeps follow-through limited.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40151
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the near-term swing factor for this read
Close above 1.40151 opens room toward the next leg higher
Loss of 1.4000 puts the recent swing low at 1.39951 back in play
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.40145
Higher highs off 1.3995, pressing prior high.
NY session ground higher off 1.39951, breaking out of the 1.3995-1.4002 consolidation and pressing the prior high at 1.40151 with RSI(14) hot near 73. Move tracks a softer USD fading risk premium while oil keeps CAD pressured above 1.4000 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951
Resistance: 1.40151, 1.4048
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
M15 close above 1.40151 opens the path toward 1.4048
Loss of 1.40000 psych unwinds the breakout back into the prior range
USDCAD pushed off a rising base and reclaimed 1.4000 in the NY session, printing a fresh local high at 1.40136 with RSI(14) running hot near 70. Price is pressing the prior high at 1.40147 after holding above the 1.3980 swing low through the session.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.40147, 1.4048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the main near-term risk and could materially shift this read
A clean break of 1.40147 opens the path toward 1.4048
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 prior range
11:30 UTC
Uptrend, pushing higher · RSI 72 · price 1.4013
Higher highs off 1.3995 base.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.4000 round number and printing fresh window highs at 1.40136, RSI(14) running hot near 71. Price holds above 1.4000 with CAD pressured by softer crude; the prior-high band at 1.40151 is the immediate area to watch for rejection or extension.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40151, 1.4048
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40151 opens the path toward 1.4048
Loss of 1.4000 round number would negate the breakout read
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, breaking out of range · RSI 69 · price 1.40113
Consolidation broken to upside, pressing session high.
USDCAD spent the Asian and early London hours pinned in a tight 1.3990–1.4002 consolidation before breaking higher into the NY morning, printing a session high at 1.40114 with RSI(14) near 69. The 7-month high at 1.4020 is the next overhead area to watch for rejection or break, with the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC the dominant risk to this read.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40114, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 opens the path higher; rejection there caps the breakout
Failure to hold 1.4000 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
FOMC decision and Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation broken to upside, probing session high.
USDCAD broke higher into NY hours, pushing to 1.40113 after the long consolidation around 1.40000 gave way, now probing the 1.40154 session high with the 1.40200 YTD high overhead. RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not yet stretched. Fed decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40200 ytd high opens 1.4030/1.4090
Loss of 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.39950 consol top
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 67 · price 1.40113
Higher lows, breaking range top.
Price ground higher through the back of the session, breaking the 1.4000–1.4007 congestion to print a window high at 1.40114 with RSI(14) firm near 67. The earlier dip to the 1.39797 session low has held and lifted into a chain of higher lows, leaving the 1.40154 prior high and the 1.4020 7-month high as the next overhead markers.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39931, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40154 prior high exposes the 1.4020 7-month high
Failure to hold 1.40000 round reverts price into the prior range
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Grinding higher into session top · RSI 67 · price 1.40113
Recovery off intraday low, pressing range top.
USDCAD clawed back from the 1.39797 session low to press 1.40113 as the dollar steadies pre-Fed, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched. Price is stacked just under the 1.40147 prior high with the 1.4020 7-month high the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39951, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40147, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 7-mo high opens 1.4030/1.4090
Loss of 1.40000 round number reopens 1.39951 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.3998 prior congestion and printing a fresh session high at 1.4009, now closing on the 1.4020 7-month high. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; price held a rising chain of lows from 1.3980. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor.
Support: 1.3998, 1.3980, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4009
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 7-month high opens 1.4030/1.4090
Failure to hold 1.3998 prior cong puts 1.3980 swing low back in play
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed off the 1.3990 base in the latest bars to a fresh leg high at 1.40089, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not extreme. Pair sits just under the 1.40147 session high with the 1.4020 YTD high the next reference as soft Oil keeps CAD heavy ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3996, 1.39797, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.40147, 1.4020, 1.4030
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the 1.4030/1.4090 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3996 returns price into the prior base
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:30 UTC
Mild uptrend, capped under range top · RSI 58 · price 1.40037
Consolidation pinned below 1.4020 7-month high.
USDCAD grinding higher into the Fed, holding above the 1.3990 pivot and pressing the 1.40072 session high, still capped under the 1.4020 7-month high. Price has chopped in a ~1.3995–1.4007 band through the London session with soft Oil and a wobbling USD offsetting each other.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3995, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4020
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Grinding higher inside range, capped under session high.
USDCAD is drifting back toward the 1.40072 session high after twice basing near 1.39960, holding just under the 1.4020 YTD high. Price grinds with broad USD soft into the Fed but CAD getting no lift on weak Oil. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme.
Support: 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 opens 1.40154 then the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39960 exposes the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is coiling in the 1.3996-1.4006 zone through London hours, holding just under the 1.4020 YTD high after recovering most of the earlier drop to 1.39797. RSI(14) sits neutral near 56 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — a pre-FOMC drift, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39958, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens 1.4030/1.4090
Failure to hold 1.39958 reopens the session low at 1.39797
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can break this range
10:16 UTC
Ranging just under 7-month high · RSI 56 · price 1.40022
Tight consolidation between 1.3995 and 1.4007.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in a 1.3995–1.4007 band, pinned just below the 1.4020 7-month high into the Fed. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.3995 through the London session, but the 1.4007 session high continues to cap; ATR is compressed at ~4.5 pips, signalling pre-FOMC stall.
Support: 1.39951, 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 then 1.4020 opens the 1.4030+ zone
Loss of 1.39951 exposes the 1.39844 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Range, drifting toward range top · RSI 57 · price 1.40022
Ranging under 7-month high into FOMC.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3995–1.4007 in the NY session, recovering toward the session high after the London dip to 1.39797. Price stays pinned under the 1.4020 7-month high with RSI(14) mid-range; nothing structural in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3995, 1.39797, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC then FOMC at 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40072 then 1.4020 opens the 1.4030/1.4090 zone
Failure to hold 1.39950 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.39800-1.40150 and has crept back toward the session high at 1.40072, with the US Dollar drifting in pre-FOMC limbo. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 55 shows no real momentum, leaving the 7-month high at 1.4020 as the cap.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4015, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 opens the path to the 1.4020 7-month high
Loss of 1.39940 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 1.3996
Consolidation between 1.3979 and 1.4015.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in pre-FOMC limbo, capped at the 1.4007 session high and drifting back toward 1.3994 as the prior up-leg from 1.3979 fades. RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR thin — no setup in play, structure is mid-range under the 1.4020 ytd high.
Support: 1.3994, 1.3979
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4015, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4007 reopens the 1.4015/1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.3979 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
09:45 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.3996
Intraday range, mid-range.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3979–1.4007 with price slipping back to 1.3996 in late NY hours, RSI(14) flat near 45. The early push to 1.4007 was sold and the pair has held below the 1.4020 7-month high all session, with no setup in play ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 1.3979, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4007 reopens the 1.4020 high
Loss of 1.3979 confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) can break this range
09:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 50 · price 1.39989
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD is coiling just under the 1.40072 session high after recovering from the 1.39797 session low, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressing — no setup in play. Buyers held the 1.39960 intraday low through the London session but supply caps every push toward 1.4007.
Support: 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 reopens the path to the 1.40154 prior high and 1.4020 7mo high
Failure to hold 1.39960 exposes the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Sideways, capped under 1.4007 · RSI 49 · price 1.39989
Range-bound near 1.4000 round number.
NY session pushed USDCAD to 1.40072 before fading back to pin the 1.4000 round number, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price ranging 1.3990–1.4007 with no clean swing in play; the soft USD/weak-oil standoff has the pair parked ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40147
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 opens the path to 1.40147 and the 1.4020 YTD high
Failure to hold 1.39900 exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 50 · price 1.39994
Rangebound below ytd high.
USDCAD coiling around 1.4000, pinned just under the 7-month high at 1.4020 with the US Dollar soft on US-Iran peace optimism into the Fed. London-NY hours have held a tight 1.3980-1.4007 range; RSI(14) flat near 50, no impulse.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 puts the 1.40154/1.4020 ytd high in play
Loss of 1.39800 swing low opens a path toward 1.3940 support
Fed decision at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC can break this range
09:15 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.39994
Range-bound below 1.4020 high.
USDCAD coiling around 1.3999 in a tight 1.3980-1.4007 NY-session range, RSI flat near 52 with ATR compressed. Price snapped its four-day climb and is pinned just under the 1.4020 7-month high as traders park ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.39962, 1.39797, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens path to 1.4030/1.4090
Loss of 1.39797 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Range, near 7-month highs · RSI 50 · price 1.39994
Consolidation under YTD high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in a 1.3994–1.4007 band, pinned just under the 1.4020 YTD high with RSI flat near 50. The NY-session push tagged 1.40072 then faded back to the figure; no setup in play as traders park ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40154 prior high opens the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39940 swing low exposes 1.39797 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars
09:02 UTC
Ranging near 7-month high · RSI 52 · price 1.39994
Consolidation capped under 1.4020.
USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.3980 and 1.4072, holding just under the 1.4020 7-month high as the US Dollar wobbles into the Fed. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is compressed around 5 pips — no momentum behind the current bar.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3962, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4060, 1.4072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path toward 1.4060/1.4072
Loss of 1.3980 then 1.3962 confirms a lower-low within the range
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, ranging near YTD high · RSI 55 · price 1.40012
Range 1.3980-1.4007, current bar upper-half.
USD/CAD recovered from the London-session low at 1.3980 back to 1.40012, holding inside a 1.3980-1.4007 range and capped below the 1.4020 YTD high. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 with no extreme; price sits just above EMA20/50 after the bounce. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant intraday catalyst.
Support: 1.39893, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Break of 1.40072 session high opens a retest of the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39893 range low exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC will likely override this range read
08:46 UTC
Recovering toward range top · RSI 58 · price 1.40012
Based at 1.3990, grinding back to highs.
USDCAD based around 1.3990 through the Asian hours and has clawed back toward 1.4007, leaving the 1.4020 YTD high untested just overhead. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with the broad USD softening into the Fed; no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.39962, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 opens a retest of the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.39962 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC will likely override this intraday structure
08:31 UTC
Ranging near 7-month highs · RSI 52 · price 1.39992
Consolidation under 1.4020, holding above 1.3980.
USDCAD has chopped in a tight 1.3980-1.4015 band through the Asia and early London sessions, pinned just under the 1.4020 7-month high as a softer USD and weaker Oil cancel out. London nudged price back to 1.4007 before fading to 1.3999; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40154 puts the 1.4020 7-month high in play
Loss of 1.39797 swing low opens 1.3940 support
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:30 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.39992
Consolidation under 7-month high.
USDCAD chopping between 1.39900 and 1.40072 just under the 1.40020 ytd high, with the early NY push to 1.40072 sold back to 1.39992 and RSI sitting flat near 50. The Iran-driven USD softening is offset by weak Oil capping CAD, leaving no directional edge intraday ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4002
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 reopens the 1.40020 ytd high break toward higher congestion
Loss of 1.39900 swing low exposes the 1.39797 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Ranging near 7-month highs · RSI 46 · price 1.3997
Consolidation under 1.4020 cap.
USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.3990 and 1.4007 after a London-session dip to 1.39844, RSI(14) flat near 46. Price pulled back into NY hours and the 1.4020 7-month high remains untested; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 reopens the 1.4020 7mo high
Loss of 1.3990 range floor exposes the 1.39844 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC will likely override this intraday read
USDCAD is ranging 1.3980-1.4007 with no setup in play; the early dip to 1.3980 was bought back, then the push to 1.4007 was rejected and price has eased to 1.3997. CAD stayed pinned near 7-month highs as soft oil offset the broad USD pullback ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4007 opens the path to the 1.4020 7-mo high
Loss of 1.3980 swing low exposes 1.3940 support
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging 1.3980-1.4007 through the London session, capped under the 1.4020 7-month high as soft oil and a softer dollar offset each other. Price pulled back to 1.3997 after a rejection at session high 1.4007, RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Fed decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4020 7-month high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.3980 swing low confirms a lower low
08:01 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 48 · price 1.3997
Intraday range, pre-Fed compression.
USDCAD coiling between 1.3985 and 1.4015 through the London session, holding near 7-month highs as soft oil offsets a softer dollar. A push to 1.40072 was sold back to 1.3997 into the last hour; RSI(14) neutral near 48, ranges thin. Fed decision later is the dominant catalyst — chart is in wait mode.
Support: 1.3985, 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 reopens the 1.4015 range top and the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.3985 swing low exposes the 1.39797 session low
FOMC + SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London morning, building a chain of higher lows off the 1.39797 session low and pressing the 1.40072 session high; ATR is compressed near 4 pips as the market sits on hands into the Fed. Price holds above both EMAs but momentum is moderate, RSI(14) ~61 with no extreme reading.
Support: 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4015
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40072 opens the path back to the 1.40150 prior high
Loss of 1.39960 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.39797
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering, grinding back to 1.4000 · RSI 57 · price 1.40014
Range, gentle higher lows since session low.
USDCAD dipped to 1.3980 during London hours then ground back up to the 1.4000 psych level, holding a chain of higher lows. Price is pinned in 1.3996–1.4007 with soft oil keeping CAD heavy ahead of today's Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3996, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4015
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dots at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
Close above 1.40072 session high opens the path to 1.40150
Loss of 1.39960 range low reopens the 1.3980 swing low
07:31 UTC
Grinding higher off intraday base · RSI 64 · price 1.40038
Broke above 1.40 from prior consolidation.
USDCAD ground out of a tight 1.3960–1.40 base during London hours and reclaimed the 1.40 round number, last printing 1.40038 with RSI(14) firm but not stretched. Price is pressing the 1.40072 session high; the energy-heavy CAD stays capped near the 1.40 ceiling as traders sit ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40154
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40000 returns price into the prior 1.3960 consolidation
Break of 1.40072 session high opens 1.40154 prior high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.40 handle in the NY session after basing near 1.3980, with a chain of higher lows holding through the quiet hours. Price remains boxed inside the 1.3980–1.4015 range, no clean break in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3995, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40150 breaks the range high
Loss of 1.39800 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Grinding higher off range lows · RSI 63 · price 1.40059
Long consolidation, micro higher-lows into ceiling.
USDCAD ground out of a tight Asian range and is now pressing the 1.40072 session high, with the 1.40 ceiling and 1.4020 YTD high stacked overhead. The long 1.3990–1.4000 consolidation resolved upward into early London on soft oil keeping CAD heavy; RSI(14) firm near 63, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.39958, 1.3984, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.4015, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 opens 1.4015 then the 1.4020 YTD high
Failure to hold 1.39958 reopens the 1.3984 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range with micro higher-lows into NY/London grind.
USDCAD ground back above 1.40 in early London after basing near 1.39797 through the quiet Asian session, RSI(14) firming to the low-60s. Price is pressing the 1.40154 range top with the 1.4020 ytd high just above; ATR sits compressed near 4-5 pips ahead of event risk.
Support: 1.3996, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40154 range top exposes the 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of the 1.39960 base reopens the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovering off intraday base · RSI 64 · price 1.40059
Range base reclaimed, pushing to session high.
London session lifted USDCAD off the 1.3990 range base back above 1.4000 to a 1.40072 session high, retracing roughly 74% of the prior drop from 1.40151. ATR is thin near 5 pips as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed; CAD stays heavy on soft oil.
Support: 1.39979, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40072, 1.40151, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40072 opens the path toward 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.39979 returns price into the prior range
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD spent the Asian session pinned near 1.3993 then ground higher through the London morning, reclaiming the 1.40 round number and pressing the 1.40154 range high. Move is corrective off the 1.39797 session low; nothing decisive while the 1.3980–1.40154 range holds.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40154 opens the 1.4020 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4000 round number reopens 1.39797 session low
Fed decision + SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
06:46 UTC
Range, slow grind higher · RSI 60 · price 1.4005
Consolidation under session high, holding 1.3990 base.
USDCAD is grinding up through the Asian session toward the 1.4014 session high after defending the 1.3990 base, with price stalled near the 1.40 round number and CAD kept heavy by soft oil. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; the bigger swing factor is the FOMC decision later today.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3980, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4014/1.4020 ytd high opens the path toward 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.3990 base exposes the 1.3980 swing low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under 1.40 handle after sweep of lows.
USDCAD swept the 1.39797 swing low mid-window then ground steadily back to the 1.40 handle, reclaiming the round number into the last bars. Price coils in a tight 1.3990–1.4015 band as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed; ATR around 12 pips reflects the compression.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40154, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40154 then 1.4020 ytd high opens path toward 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.3990 base re-exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
USDCAD is grinding in a tight band just under the 1.40 round number through the Asia-London transition, having recovered from the 1.39797 session low. Price sits pinned near the 1.40020 YTD high with no setup in play as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed; RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3994, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40155
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40020 ytd high opens the path to 1.40155
Failure to hold 1.39797 swing low reopens downside
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will materially reset this read
06:30 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.39989
Tight consolidation under 1.40.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.3980–1.4002 range as traders sit on hands ahead of the Fed, energy-heavy CAD keeping price pinned just under the 1.40 ceiling. After a London-session dip to 1.3980, price recovered and has flatlined into the Asian hours; RSI(14) is neutral near 53.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the 1.4015 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range
Failure to hold 1.3980 exposes 1.3940
06:16 UTC
Consolidation, drifting up to 1.40 · RSI 57 · price 1.4000
Tight range under 1.40, ascending lows.
USDCAD coiled in a tight 1.3989–1.4001 range through the Asian session and into early London, lows grinding higher toward the 1.40 psych level with RSI(14) flat near 57. Volatility is compressed and the energy-linked CAD stays heavy on soft oil — price is in wait-mode ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3989, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4014
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4001 round number opens room toward the 1.4014 prior high
Loss of 1.3989 range floor exposes the 1.3980 session low
FOMC decision/dots at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
Tight range under 1.40 psych after recovery off session low.
USDCAD is pinned in a tight range around the 1.40 psych level after London-NY swept the session low at 1.3980 and buyers recovered. Price has ground sideways through the Asia session with shrinking ranges, sitting just under the 1.4014 session high ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4014 session high opens 1.4020 ytd high
Loss of 1.3980 range low reopens the move toward 1.3940 support
FOMC decision and Warsh presser (18:00 UTC) can override this intraday range
06:01 UTC
Ranging, drifting up to 1.40 · RSI 58 · price 1.4000
Tight consolidation under 1.40 after basing off 1.3980.
USDCAD coiled in a 1.3980–1.4000 range through the Asia session, grinding back to the 1.40 psych ceiling after basing off the 1.39797 swing low. Volatility is compressed (ATR ~4.5 pips) with traders parked ahead of the Fed; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39797, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 ytd high opens the path to 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.3980 session base reopens 1.39797 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD coiled just under the 1.40 round number after a London-session probe to the 1.39797 swing low, recovering to flatline through Asian hours on shrinking ATR. Price sits at the top of a multi-hour range, holding above EMA20/50 but lacking momentum in pre-Fed wait mode.
Support: 1.39911, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 opens the path to the 1.40154 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.39911 asia low reopens the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Range, coiling under 1.40 · RSI 54 · price 1.39981
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.3994–1.4001 band through the Asian session, holding just under the 1.40 ceiling. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 and ATR has compressed — the recovery off the 1.39797 session low stalled around the 50% retrace. Range-bound as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40013, 1.4000, 1.40147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40013/1.40 psych opens the path toward 1.4090
Loss of the 1.3994 base re-exposes 1.39844 swing low
FOMC decision and dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground back to the 1.40 round number in tight Asian-session ranges after a London-NY dip swept the session low at 1.39797. Price has held a 1.39940–1.40000 band for several hours, RSI(14) flat near 58, as traders sit on hands ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40154
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path to the 1.40154 swing high
Loss of the 1.39940 range floor reopens the 1.39797 session low
FOMC + Retail Sales later today could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.3997
Tight consolidation under 1.40.
USDCAD has coiled in a tight 1.3980–1.4001 range through the Asian session after the June 16 slide off 1.4018 found a floor at 1.39797. Volatility has drained to near nil (ATR ~2.5 pips) with the 1.40 round number capping, traders parked ahead of US Retail Sales and the Fed.
Support: 1.39797, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4000, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4001 clears the 1.40 ceiling and reopens 1.4015
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.3997
Tight consolidation under 1.40 after NY low.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asia-session range between 1.3990 and the 1.40 round number after NY hours put in a swing low at 1.39797. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no setup in play ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4010 opens the path back toward the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3990 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.3997
Tight consolidation after NY slide.
USDCAD ground sideways through the Asian session in a 1.3990–1.4000 band after the NY slide bottomed at 1.3980 yesterday. RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed to a few pips — wait-mode ahead of US Retail Sales and FOMC, with the 1.40 psych level capping just above.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40147
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant near-term drivers for this read
Close above 1.40 psych opens 1.40147 prior high
Loss of 1.39844 swing low exposes the 1.39797 session low
Consolidation under 1.40 after recovering off session low.
USDCAD ground sideways through the Asia session, recovering from the 1.39797 swing low back into a tight 1.3990-1.4001 band just under the 1.40 ceiling. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play with traders parked ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4014
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the path to the 1.40140 prior high
Loss of 1.39880 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in focus
FOMC decision and Warsh presser later today can break this compression
05:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.3997
Tight range under 1.40, prior London leg lower.
USDCAD coiling in a 1.3980-1.40 range after the London leg lower bottomed at 1.3980; NY drifted back to the 1.40 round number, which capped repeatedly. ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips and RSI sits near 50 — no setup in play as traders sit ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40014
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40014 invalidates the range cap
Failure to hold 1.3980 reopens the london low
FOMC decision/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Range, low momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.3997
Tight consolidation below 1.40.
USDCAD coiled in a 20-pip range between 1.3980 and 1.4002 through the Asian session, ATR(14) compressed to ~3.5 pips as traders sat on hands ahead of the Fed. Price recovered the 1.39797 window low and is grinding back toward the 1.40 ceiling, but momentum is flat with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.3984, 1.3980, 1.3944
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4002 opens a retest of 1.4018 and the 1.40 ceiling
Loss of 1.3980 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this intraday range
Asia session grinding a tight 1.3993-1.4001 range below the 1.40 figure after an earlier drop to the 1.3980 swing low and slow recovery. Volatility compressed, ATR sub-3 pips, with price coiling ahead of the US data block.
Support: 1.3993, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4001 reopens the 1.4015 prior high
Loss of 1.3980 swing low resumes the down leg
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later today can break this range
Ranging below 1.40 round number after intraday dip.
USDCAD slid from 1.40180 to a 1.39797 swing low during the London-NY session, then ground steadily back to the 1.40 round number through the quiet Asia hours. Price now coils in a tight 1.3990–1.4001 band with RSI near 55; oil weakness keeps CAD capped but momentum has stalled at the psychological level.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.40014, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40014 reopens the path to the 1.40180 prior high
Loss of 1.39900 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in play
FOMC decision and dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Consolidation under 1.4000 · RSI 57 · price 1.39984
Coiling just below round number after recovering session low.
USDCAD is coiled just under the 1.4000 round number in quiet Asian hours, ATR compressed to ~3 pips. Price recovered roughly 50% of the earlier slide from 1.4018 to the 1.39797 session low; the 1.4000 cap has held repeatedly.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4014
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path back to 1.4014
Loss of 1.3994 reopens the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:30 UTC
Ranging, no directional momentum · RSI 54 · price 1.39984
Consolidation under 1.4002 after recovering off session low.
USDCAD sold off to 1.3980 mid-window then recovered, now coiling 1.3990–1.4002 through the Asia session for a fourth straight up-day near the 1.40 pivot. RSI(14) flat near 53; no setup in play as price holds just above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3984, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4015
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the 1.4015 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3984 reinstates the move toward 1.3980 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding back up to the 1.4000 psych level after the London-NY dip swept the 1.3980 swing low. Low-volume creep higher, RSI mid-range; range top at 1.4016 still capping.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3980, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4016
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4016 reopens the 1.40-1.41 ceiling
Failure to hold 1.3990 reopens the 1.3980 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding to 1.40 · RSI 61 · price 1.40009
Rounded base under round number after sweep of 1.39797.
USDCAD grinding back to the 1.40 round number after a London-NY sell-off swept the session low at 1.39797; overnight Asia hours have been tight with ATR compressed to ~6 pips. Price has carved a rounded base and now sits right at the 1.40 pivot, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3994, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4009, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40090 opens the path back to 1.40180
Failure to hold 1.39940 reopens the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovering, grinding up into 1.40 · RSI 60 · price 1.40009
Consolidation above a base, slow higher-lows.
USDCAD recovered the 1.39797 swing low and has ground back to the 1.40 round number through the quiet Asian session, posting a chain of shallow higher-lows. Move retraced most of the prior drop from 1.4018; price now pressing the figure with RSI(14) around 60, no momentum extreme. FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst overhanging this read.
Support: 1.3991, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4013, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4013 reopens the 1.4018 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.3991 range low exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian session has ground back toward the 1.4000 round number after NY drove price to the 1.39797 ny low overnight; RSI(14) near 63, no extreme. ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips with price boxed between the 1.3990 asia low and the 1.40140 prior high.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40140 reopens the 1.40180 swing high
Loss of 1.3990 reopens the 1.39797 ny low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Sideways, coiling under 1.40 · RSI 55 · price 1.39991
Range after recovery from session low.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.3990–1.4001 range through the Asia session after London-NY pushed it down to a 1.39797 swing low then recovered. Price is pinned at the 50% retrace of that drop, sitting right under the 1.40 psych level with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4001, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 prior high reopens the upside grind toward 1.4030+
Failure to hold 1.3980 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot later today are the dominant risks that can break this range
03:45 UTC
Consolidating under 1.40 · RSI 58 · price 1.39991
Range after recovery off swing low.
USDCAD is pinned just under the 1.40000 round number after recovering from the 1.39797 swing low, holding a tight 1.39880–1.40010 range through the Asia session. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path back to the session high at 1.40180
Loss of 1.39880 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia grind back toward 1.40 after NY base near 1.398.
Quiet Asia session grinding back up to the 1.40000 round number, ATR a thin ~3 pips with RSI neutral near 58. Price has recovered the full down-move from 1.40160 to the NY swing low at 1.39797, now stalling into psychological resistance.
Support: 1.3989, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4016
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens the path toward 1.40160
Failure to hold 1.39890 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later today could materially shift this read
USDCAD has chopped sideways through the Asia session, grinding back to the 1.40000 psych level after early London printed a high at 1.40180 and a swing low at 1.39797. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 with ATR compressing to ~16 pips; price is pinned at the round number with no clear break either way.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 prior high
Loss of 1.39900 swing low exposes the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could shift this read sharply
Tight consolidation under psych 1.40 after session dip.
USDCAD dipped to 1.39797 mid-window then ground back to retest the 1.40 psych handle, holding a fourth up-day as falling oil keeps CAD capped. Last few hours are tight consolidation 1.3990-1.4000 with RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.39797, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens a retest of the 1.40180 session high
Failure to hold 1.3940 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range after slide from session high, holding 1.3980 base.
USDCAD slid from the 1.4018 session high to a 1.39797 swing low, then went sideways and is grinding back toward 1.4000, sitting near the 50% retrace of that move. Price is holding the 1.3980 base into the Fed; momentum is neutral with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4009, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40090 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39844 range low exposes 1.39797 swing low
FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
03:01 UTC
Consolidating after intraday pullback · RSI 55 · price 1.39986
Tight range mid 1.399s after 1.39797 low recovery.
Asia session has USDCAD coiling in a tight 1.3988–1.4000 band after recovering the 1.39797 swing low, with volume thin into pre-London. Price sits around the 50% retrace of the earlier drop from 1.40180, RSI neutral near 55.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40023, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40023 reopens 1.40180
Failure to hold 1.39880 reopens the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Quiet Asian session: USDCAD sold off to a session low of 1.39797 during the prior NY hours, then recovered to grind back toward the 1.40 round number, now retracing ~50% of that drop. RSI neutral near 56 and ATR compressed as volume thins ahead of the US session.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
A close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Failure to hold 1.39900 reasserts the move toward 1.39797
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC later can override this intraday range
02:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.39968
Consolidating after London-NY drop.
Quiet Asia session chopping in a tight 1.3990-1.4002 band after the earlier London-NY slide from 1.4018 to the 1.3980 swing low. Price holds near the 50% retrace of that drop with RSI flat around 52 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the 1.4018 prior high
Loss of 1.3988 exposes the 1.3980 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:45 UTC
Rangebound near 1.40 · RSI 53 · price 1.39968
Tight Asian-session consolidation under 1.4000.
USDCAD coiled in a tight Asian-session range around 1.3996 after the NY pullback from 1.4018 to the 1.3980 low; RSI neutral near 53. The 1.4000 round number is capping while buyers held 1.3990 repeatedly.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40180 reopens the prior range high
Loss of 1.39800 confirms a lower-low
FOMC 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Range after pullback, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.39958
Consolidation above 1.3980 swing low.
USDCAD ranging tightly 1.3990–1.3997 through the Asia session after the session high at 1.4018 was rejected and price flushed to a 1.3980 swing low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price hugging EMA20; the pair holds near 7-month highs but stalls into the 1.40 round-number ceiling.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Break below 1.39797 confirms a lower low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD spiked to 1.40180 earlier then sold off to 1.39797 before recovering into a tight Asia-session range around 1.3993-1.3996, pinned just under the 1.40000 round number. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips on thin late-session flow — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Break below 1.39900 puts the 1.39797 session low back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has coiled into a tight consolidation just under the 1.4000 round number through the Asian session, after London-NY hours dragged it off the 1.40180 session high to a 1.39800 session low. RSI sits flat near 52 and ranges have compressed to single-digit pips on the latest bars — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.3992, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4007, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.40070 / 1.40180 highs
Loss of 1.39920 swing low exposes the 1.39800 session low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC + dot plot (18:00 UTC) are dominant catalysts that can break this range
02:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.39963
Consolidation after pullback from 1.4018 high.
USDCAD is coiled in a tight 1.3989–1.3996 range through the Asia session after rolling off the 1.4018 session high and sweeping a 1.39797 low during the prior NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with no momentum edge; price hovers at the 50% retrace of that down-leg.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40050 reopens the 1.4018 session high
Loss of 1.39880 puts the 1.39797 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range
USDCAD has gone quiet in low-volume Asia hours, holding a tight 1.3990–1.4000 range after the prior session's slide from 1.40180 to 1.39797. Price is sitting near the 38–50% retrace of that down-leg with RSI(14) flat near 53; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4007, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40070/1.40180 zone
Failure to hold 1.39900 exposes the 1.39797 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this Asian range
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4018 swing high through the London-NY session to 1.3980, then settled into a tight Asia-hours range around 1.3995 with RSI(14) flat near 52. Price is coiling just below the 1.4000 round number after recovering off the 1.3984/1.3980 floor.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 reopens the 1.4018 swing high
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.4018 session high and has coiled in a tight 1.3990-1.3995 Asian range below the 1.40000 psych level, RSI(14) flat near 54. Recovery off the 1.39797 swing low has stalled; price ticking up into the round number with no clean break either way.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40075, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the path to 1.40075/1.40180
Failure to hold 1.39880 exposes the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the Asian range
Quiet Asia session grinding in a tight 1.3990–1.4000 band after the earlier NY flush to 1.39797 and partial recovery. Price ticked up to 1.39973 on thin volume, holding just under the 1.40000 round number. ATR has compressed to ~5 pips as the market coils ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40180 prior high
Loss of 1.39900 asia low exposes the 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the Asian range
01:31 UTC
Range after pullback from 1.4018 · RSI 50 · price 1.39948
Consolidation, balancing near 1.3994.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4018 during the London-NY window then sold off to a 1.3980 swing low; price has since coiled into a tight 1.3990–1.3996 range through thin Asia hours. RSI(14) flat near 49, no momentum either way as price sits between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.4018 prior high
Loss of 1.39900 exposes the 1.3980 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can break this range
01:30 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.39948
Consolidation under 1.4000 after rejection from session high.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.3990–1.4000 band through the quiet Asia session after the 1.4018 session high was rejected and a flush to 1.3980 was bought back. RSI sits mid-range near 52 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3980, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the path to the 1.4018 session high
Failure to hold 1.3980 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.39932
Tight consolidation after fade from 1.4018.
USDCAD coiled around 1.3992 through the Asia session after fading from the NY high at 1.4018 and the 1.39797 session low. RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR compressed to a few pips as volume thins ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 1.39882, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40169
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40020 reopens the 1.40169 prior high
Loss of 1.39882 swing low exposes the 1.39797 session low
FOMC rate decision/dots later today (18:00 UTC) will materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39932
Ranging after intraday drop and partial recovery.
USDCAD sold off from the session high at 1.40180 to a 1.39797 low during the London-NY window, then stalled into a tight low-volume Asia range around 1.3992. Price is hovering near the 38% retracement of that decline with RSI flat near 48 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3985, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40000 reopens the path toward the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39850 puts the 1.39797 session low back in play
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD chopped lower from the 1.4018 high through London-NY, sweeping the 1.39797 session low, then coiled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.3992. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR has compressed to a few pips — no setup in play, price pinned just under the 1.40 round number.
Support: 1.3985, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the path to the 1.4002 session high
Failure to hold 1.39850 puts the 1.39797 session low back in play
FOMC and US Retail Sales later today could break this Asian range
01:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.39932
Tight consolidation after intraday pullback.
USDCAD coiling around 1.3992 in thin Asia-session trade after the London-NY leg faded from the 1.4018 swing high down to a 1.39797 low. RSI(14) flat near 47 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips; price pinned just under the 1.4000 round number with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 reopens the path to the 1.4018 swing high
Break of 1.3988 range low exposes 1.39797
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
00:45 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.3992
Consolidation inside intraday range after pullback.
USDCAD is coiling around 1.3992 in a quiet Asian session, holding above the 1.3980 swing low after fading the 1.4018 session high earlier. Price drifted back into the middle of the intraday range, RSI(14) flat near 48 with ATR compressed.
Support: 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4002 reopens the path to the 1.4018 session high
Break below 1.3980 swing low exposes the 1.3940 pivot
00:45 UTC
Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.3992
Consolidation inside 1.3980-1.4018.
USDCAD is rangebound 1.3980-1.4018, now pinned in a tight, low-volume Asian-session coil around 1.3992 after rejection at 1.4018 and a bounce off the 1.3980 swing low. The pair has held the 1.3990 area for a fourth up-day as softer oil weighs on CAD; RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3980, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018, 1.4025
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4002 then 1.4018 reopens the 1.4025 ytd high
Loss of 1.3980 swing low exposes the 1.3940 pivot
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could break this range
USDCAD ground into a tight 1.3988–1.4000 range through the quiet Asia session after the London/NY pullback from 1.40180 to 1.39797. RSI(14) near 52 and ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips — no directional setup in play, price coiling around 1.3995.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the path to 1.40025 ytd highs
Failure to hold 1.39880 range low reopens 1.39797 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later today could break this range
00:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.39955
Consolidation after rejection from session high.
USDCAD is coiled in a tight 1.3990–1.3996 band through the Asia session after a rejection at the 1.40180 session high and a sweep down to 1.39797 that buyers reclaimed. RSI(14) sits flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~19 pips, reflecting the dead-zone consolidation.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40020 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.39797 confirms a lower low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
00:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.39973
Tight consolidation after intraday pullback.
USDCAD coiled in a tight 1.3990–1.3998 band through the low-volume Asia session after the London-NY decline from the 1.40180 session high to 1.39797. Price has stabilised back above 1.3990 with RSI(14) flat near 53; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3990, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4005, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40050 reopens the 1.40180 session high
Loss of 1.3990 psych exposes the 1.39797 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Intraday range 1.3980–1.4018, mid-range consolidation.
USDCAD coiled tight near 1.3997 in low-volume Asian hours after London/NY faded the 1.4018 high down to a 1.39797 session low. RSI sits neutral around 53 with the pair pinned mid-range; the 1.40 round number caps just overhead.
Support: 1.39844, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 puts the 1.4018 swing high back in play
Loss of 1.39797 session low extends the pullback
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Range after pullback, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.39973
Consolidating near 1.3990 below the 1.4018 session high.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4018 session high to a 1.3980 low, then went quiet through the Asia session, coiling around 1.3990 on thin volume. Price is now nudging back toward the 1.4000 psych level with RSI flat near mid-range.
Support: 1.3988, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 reopens the path toward the YTD high zone
Loss of 1.3980 session low confirms a lower-low
Pre-FOMC positioning can compress this range further before the decision
00:01 UTC
Pullback, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.39973
Tight range near lows after fade from 1.4018.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4018 session high through the London-NY hours to 1.3980, then pinned to a tight 1.3992-1.4000 band through the quiet Asia session on thin volume. RSI neutral near 53; pair sits just below the 1.4002 session-high cap as it squares up ahead of Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 1.3984, 1.39797, 1.3931
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.4018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40020 reopens the path to the 1.4018 prior high
Loss of 1.39840 asia low exposes the 1.39797 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read