Higher highs into Asia, now consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a session high of 1.41461 on the hawkish Fed-hold USD bid, then stalled into a tight Asian-session range between 1.4130 and 1.4140 on very thin volume. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 prior peak
Loss of 1.4130 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.41241
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.41461 on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, and is now drifting sideways near the highs in thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) has cooled off the move with momentum flattening; price holds above EMA20/50 with the 1.41300 shelf intact.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.41500 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41300 reopens the 1.41102 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst that could shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the session to a 1.41461 high then stalled, with the hawkish-Fed bid holding price above 1.4100. Last few hours are a tight, thin-volume range between 1.4124 and 1.4137; RSI cooled into the mid-50s and the move has lost impulse near the highs.
Support: 1.4124, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path higher toward the prior high zone
Loss of 1.41240 swing low signals the consolidation breaking down toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales later in the session could break the current range
USDCAD rallied through the NY session to a 1.41461 high before stalling, with the hawkish Fed hold keeping price bid above the 1.4100 pivot. Thin Asia hours have left it consolidating in the 1.4130-1.4140 zone, RSI(14) neutral after cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.4125, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.41250 confirms a lower-low into the Asian range
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs through the session, now consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a 1.4146 high, holding above the 1.4100 pivot on the hawkish Fed hold, then stalled. The pair is now drifting in a thin Asian-session range between 1.4128 and 1.4146 with RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.4128, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4146 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4128 range low exposes 1.4110 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could break the current range
23:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.41336
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into a 1.41461 session high before stalling; price has since flattened around 1.4133 in thin late-Asia trade. Move fits the hawkish-Fed bid holding the pair above 1.4100 while soft oil and US-Iran de-escalation cap extension. RSI(14) near 50 — momentum neutral after the run.
Support: 1.41241, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 session high resumes the upside leg
Loss of 1.41241 swing low opens 1.41102
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD climbed through London-NY to a session high of 1.41461 on the hawkish-Fed-hold bid, then pulled back into a tight consolidation around 1.4134. Volume has thinned out into the late session and RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 51, with price hovering on its EMA20.
Support: 1.41248, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.41102 swing low breaks the rising support
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next material catalyst for this pair
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
USDCAD climbed from ~1.4094 through the London-NY session to a high of 1.4146, supported by the hawkish Fed hold keeping USD bid above 1.4100. Price has since consolidated in a 1.4128–1.4146 band into the thin Asia open, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.4128 opens a retest of the 1.4124 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the London-NY sessions from 1.4096 to a session high of 1.41461, helped by soft oil and a hawkish Fed hold. Price has since faded to ~1.4134 and is consolidating in thin Asia-session trade, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral.
Support: 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.41461
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4140 reopens the 1.41461 session high
Loss of 1.41241 swing low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19 12:30 UTC) could reset this intraday read
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.41461 high on the hawkish Fed hold, then drifted into a tight Asia-hours consolidation around 1.4134 with RSI back to neutral. Buyers held the 1.41241 swing low on the last pullback; range top at 1.4146 still intact.
Support: 1.41241, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.41241 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could break this consolidation
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 1.4135
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ran the NY session up to a session high at 1.4146 on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, then eased back and is consolidating 1.4125–1.4140 into the thin Asia open. RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the highs; the 1.4140 psych level is capping for now.
Support: 1.4125, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.4146
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 opens the path to the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.4125 opens 1.4110 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after HH/HL chain.
USDCAD ran up through the London-NY session to a 1.41461 high on soft oil and a hawkish Fed hold, then settled into a tight 1.4125-1.4140 range as the thin Asia session opened. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range from the NY highs; price holding above EMA20/50 but the push has lost pace.
Support: 1.41248, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Break below 1.41248 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41461 on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, then stalled into the late session/Asia transition where volume thinned. Price is now consolidating 1.4125-1.4136, holding above the rising intraday swing lows but capped below 1.4140.
Support: 1.41241, 1.41102, 1.40939
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 resumes the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41241 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY hours to a session high of 1.41461, then stalled and is now consolidating in the 1.4130s as fading US-Iran safe-haven bid offsets the hawkish Fed hold. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 51; 1.4146 capped the advance while dips into 1.4124 found buyers.
Support: 1.4124, 1.4110, 1.40939
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4140-1.4150 zone
Loss of 1.41240 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read lower
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially move this pair
Consolidating below session high after impulsive leg up.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session from 1.4097 to a session high at 1.41461 on the soft-oil, hawkish-Fed backdrop, then settled into a 1.4127–1.4140 range as RSI(14) cooled to neutral near 49. Volume thinned sharply into the Asia handover with price hovering at the EMA50.
Support: 1.4127, 1.4110, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4140 resistance opens the path to the 1.41461 session high and 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of the 1.4127 swing low exposes 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging near highs · RSI 51 · price 1.41331
Consolidation under 1.4146 session high.
USDCAD ran up to 1.4146 through the NY session then stalled, with the late Asia transition drifting sideways on thin volume between 1.4124 and 1.4140. Price sits mid-range just under EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 50 after the earlier push faded short of the 1.4140 area capping.
Support: 1.41241, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path to the 1.4150 prior peak
Loss of 1.41241 session low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4100
Canada Retail Sales Jun 19 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into 1.4146, now consolidating below.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.41461 high before stalling, with the hawkish-Fed-vs-soft-oil mix keeping the pair bid near seven-month highs. Price has since drifted back to 1.4132 on thin end-of-day volume, holding above 1.41241; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the advance pauses below 1.4140.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41241 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.41461 session high reopens the upside
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.41461 session high on the hawkish-Fed-plus-soft-oil mix, then stalled and is now consolidating in the 1.4124-1.4146 band into the Asia handover. RSI(14) back near 52 after the cool-off; price slipped under EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 1.41241, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4140s extension
Loss of 1.41241 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran up through the NY session to a session high of 1.4146 before rejecting, now drifting back to 1.4130 in thin post-NY-close trade. Price has slipped under EMA20 with RSI(14) back near 49; the 1.4124 swing low is the first support holding the uptrend structure.
Support: 1.4124, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4124 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.4146 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 peak
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London and NY to a session high of 1.41461 before stalling, with price now consolidating near 1.4130 as RSI(14) cools toward mid-range. The rally tracks soft oil and the post-FOMC USD bid; the late-session pullback has dipped back below the EMA20 while holding above the rising sequence of intraday lows.
Support: 1.41241, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward 1.4140+ session extension
Loss of 1.41241 then 1.41102 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after a steady grind up.
USDCAD ground higher through the US session to a 1.41461 high, near seven-month highs on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, and is now chopping in a 1.4129-1.4146 band as the late session volume thins. RSI(14) has cooled back to the low 50s and price is hugging EMA20, leaving the move in consolidation rather than fresh extension.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of the 1.41285 swing low breaks the rising intraday support
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a session high of 1.41461 — near seven-month highs on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil — then stalled, with rejection at the high leaving price consolidating around 1.4135 into late NY. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the leg up loses pace.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.41285 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.4146 then stalled, now consolidating in a tight 1.4130-1.4146 band into the Asia transition with RSI(14) cooled to neutral. The push reflects the hawkish Fed hold lifting USD against an oil-pressured CAD; price holds the 38.2% retrace of the 1.4110-1.4146 leg.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4110, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.4146
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4146 extends toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.4130 fib opens 1.4110 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could break the consolidation
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 1.4136
Higher highs into 1.4146, now consolidating below.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.4146 session high before stalling, now consolidating 1.4130-1.4143 into the close. Soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold underpinned the grind, but RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the advance flattens just under the 1.4146 high.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4110, 1.4095
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4146 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.4130 confirms a pullback toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, peaking at 1.41461 before stalling; price now chops in a 1.41285-1.41400 band with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The CAD softness (soft oil, hawkish Fed hold) underpins the uptrend, but late-session momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 extends the uptrend toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.41285 opens a deeper pullback to 1.41102
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19, 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst that can shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.41461 mid-NY before fading, now ranging 1.41285-1.41440 with RSI(14) back near neutral. Move is consolidating gains tied to the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil; no clean direction in the last few hours.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.4144, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41440 reopens the path to the 1.41461 session high
Failure to hold 1.41285 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below it.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.41461 high before stalling, RSI(14) back to neutral near 52 as price coils between 1.4128 and 1.4146. Pair holding above the 1.4140 area only marginally; soft oil and a hawkish Fed hold underpin the broader bid into this consolidation.
Support: 1.41285, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 prior peak
Loss of 1.41285 pullback low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, drifting back into range · RSI 46 · price 1.41314
Consolidation under session high after NY rally faded.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.41461 high before fading; price now drifting near 1.4131 as Wednesday's hawkish-Fed bid consolidates and a US-Iran de-escalation trims USD safe-haven demand. Pair coiling between 1.4128 and 1.4146 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range, no clear directional break.
Support: 1.41285, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41285 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4140 supply
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.41461 on the firm-USD/soft-oil mix before fading; price now consolidates around 1.41320 below EMA20, RSI back near 49. The 1.41285 swing low has held into the late-session lull.
Support: 1.41285, 1.4111, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41285 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
Reclaim of 1.41461 reopens the 1.41420-1.41461 supply shelf
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read on the next session
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
NY session extended the rally to a session high of 1.41461 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral near 49 as the pair consolidates 1.41285–1.41420. Soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold underpin the broader USDCAD bid, but the late-NY drift is corrective and price now sits below EMA20.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.41285 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support line
Higher highs into NY, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD climbed through London and NY to a session high of 1.41461 before fading, with price now consolidating near 1.4136 just below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs to mid-range as the late-NY grind stalls under the 1.41461 cap; the broader push tracks soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path toward 1.41500
Failure to hold 1.41330 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 55 · price 1.41358
Higher highs into 1.4146, pulling back.
NY session extended the uptrend to a session high of 1.4146 before easing back to 1.4128, RSI(14) cooling off into the mid-50s. The push fits the soft-oil, hawkish-Fed backdrop pressuring CAD; price now consolidating just under the highs.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.41285 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher highs into 1.4146, now consolidating below.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, peaking at the 1.4146 session high before rejection pulled it back into a 1.4131-1.4142 range, supported by a firm USD post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price stalls just under the 1.4140 supply pocket.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110, 1.4096
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 session high opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4131 swing low exposes 1.4110
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
Higher highs into NY, now ranging near session top.
USDCAD ran up through the London-NY transition to a session high at 1.41461, with falling oil and the hawkish Fed hold keeping CAD pressured. Price has since chopped between 1.41320 and the 1.41430 cap, RSI cooling back to neutral after the push.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4143, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.41320 range floor exposes the 1.41100 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
Consolidating below session resistance after intraday rally.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward seven-month highs, topping at 1.41461 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4132-1.4142 zone with repeated rejections capping near 1.4146; RSI(14) mid-range after the run, oil weakness still the dominant CAD drag.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41320 confirms a corrective pullback off the highs
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.41461 before easing into a tight 1.4132-1.4143 consolidation; the climb tracks the soft-oil/firm-USD backdrop near seven-month highs. RSI(14) cooling around 56 as the move stalls just under the 1.4146 session high.
Support: 1.41324, 1.41102, 1.40967
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a 1.41461 session high before stalling, now consolidating ~1.4139 just under resistance as a hawkish Fed and soft oil keep CAD pressured. RSI cooling from the highs; price holding above EMA20 with a chain of higher lows from 1.41102.
Support: 1.4132, 1.41208, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 session high opens path to the 1.41500 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41320 swing low breaks the rising structure
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session toward seven-month highs, setting a session high at 1.41461 before easing back to coil around the 1.4140 round number. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 after the push, with price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.41324 swing low has capped pullbacks.
Support: 1.41324, 1.41208, 1.41108
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.41461
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak
Failure to hold 1.41324 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday rising support
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 54 · price 1.41394
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USD/CAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.41461 during NY hours on hawkish-Fed firmness and soft oil weighing on CAD, then settled into a tight 1.4132-1.4146 band. RSI(14) near 54 with momentum cooling as price coils below the high.
Support: 1.41324, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41324 exposes the 1.41102 swing low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.41394
Higher highs, pressing into session resistance.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.41461 before stalling as CAD stays pressured by soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold. Price is consolidating in the 1.4133–1.4146 band with RSI mid-range, no extension yet.
Support: 1.41324, 1.41102, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close above 1.41461 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov-25 peak
Loss of the 1.41324 swing low would break the intraday higher-high chain
Canada Retail Sales / Monday CPI could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward 1.41461 then stalled, with a hawkish Fed hold and soft oil keeping CAD on the back foot. Price now chops between 1.41310 and the session high; RSI cooling to mid-range as the late-NY push faded.
Support: 1.4131, 1.41102, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.41310 exposes the 1.41102 swing low
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.41461 before easing, with soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold underpinning the bid. Price now consolidates near 1.4133 after the rejection off the high; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.4131, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward 1.4140/1.4150 resistance
Loss of 1.41310 swing low exposes 1.41102
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.41382
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.
NY session ground higher to a 1.4146 session high before easing back to 1.4138, RSI(14) cooling from the move. Price is consolidating above rising intraday support with the 1.4146 high capping for now.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4131 swing low signals deeper retrace toward 1.4110
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 56 · price 1.41382
Higher highs / higher lows, capped under 1.4146.
NY session extended the intraday uptrend to a session high of 1.4146 before fading back toward 1.4138, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price is consolidating above the 1.4132 swing low with the Nov-2025 peak at 1.4150 still untested.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 opens the path to the 1.4150 peak
Failure to hold 1.4132 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the intraday uptrend
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41395
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.41461 session high on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, now stalling just below 1.4140 resistance. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; price holding above the rising intraday lows.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.41310 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 1.4146.
USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.41461, with the move backed by a hawkish Fed hold and soft oil weighing on CAD. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4132-1.4146 band into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) easing back from the highs.
Support: 1.4132, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.41320 swing low shifts the read back toward 1.41100
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could re-rate CAD and shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 61 · price 1.41428
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward a 1.4146 session high, riding the hawkish-Fed-plus-soft-oil backdrop that has the pair near seven-month highs. After the push it stalled and pulled back to 1.4131 before recovering to 1.4143; RSI(14) at 61 leaves room, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4146 session high extends the higher-high chain
Failure to hold 1.4131 swing low breaks the rising structure
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session on the hawkish Fed hold, posting a session high at 1.41461 before easing to 1.4143. Higher lows intact off 1.4110; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room before stretching, with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path toward the 1.41500 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41310 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Canada Retail Sales 19 Jun 12:30 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 1.41411
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward the 1.41460 session high on the firm USD post-hawkish Fed hold, then pulled back to consolidate in the low 1.4130s. Structure stays a clean HH/HL chain; recent low at 1.41310 holding so far with RSI cooling around 60.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41460 opens the path to the 1.41500 nov peak
Loss of the 1.41310 recent low would break the intraday HL chain toward 1.41100 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41411
Higher highs and higher lows since Asia.
USDCAD has ground up through the NY session toward seven-month highs near 1.4146 on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil, with a clean chain of higher lows. Price stalled at the 1.4146 session high and pulled back to 1.4131 before reclaiming 1.4141; RSI mid-60s leaves room but the move is extended into the 1.4140 area flagged as resistance.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 session high opens the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41310 swing low signals a corrective pullback
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
Higher highs into session top, stalling near 1.4146.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.41461 on the hawkish Fed hold, then eased to 1.4133 as the move was rejected. RSI(14) near 57 — momentum cooling but price still holding above EMA20/50 with the rising sequence intact.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41100 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs, higher lows; recent push to session high then pullback.
NY session extended the climb to a 1.41461 session high before easing back to 1.41331, with RSI(14) cooling from the push. CAD stays soft on the hawkish Fed hold and weak oil; the rising intraday structure holds while 1.4117 swing low is respected.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4110, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.4117 breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours on a firm post-hawkish-Fed USD, tagging a session high at 1.41461 before easing back to 1.41322. RSI(14) cooling from the push and price holding above the rising EMA20/50 stack; the 1.41163 swing low marks the nearest higher-low.
Support: 1.41163, 1.41102, 1.40967
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 opens path toward the 1.41500 nov peak
Loss of 1.41102 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.41461 session high before stalling, with the CAD pressured by soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold. Price has eased back to 1.41322 and RSI(14) is cooling off the highs; the rising sequence of higher lows from 1.41102 remains intact.
Support: 1.41163, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41102 breaks the ascending higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.41461 opens the 1.4150 nov peak
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback off session high.
NY session extended the grind higher, tagging a session high at 1.41461 before easing back to 1.4135, with CAD pressured by soft oil and a hawkish Fed hold. Price still holds above the rising intraday support and both EMAs; RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before stretching.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41330 would break the higher-low chain and put 1.41100 in focus
A close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41377
Rising HH/HL chain, near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing 1.4140 to tag a session high at 1.41461 before easing to 1.41377, RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not stretched. Demand has stepped in repeatedly on dips toward 1.4133, keeping the rising structure intact off the soft-oil and hawkish-Fed backdrop.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41330 would break the rising HL chain
Close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking to a session high at 1.41461 and pressing the 1.4150 Nov peak as a hawkish Fed and soft oil keep CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) near 62 — firm but not stretched — with price holding above the rising support off the 1.4110 swing low.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4095
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.4133 swing puts the 1.4110 swing low back in play
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
NY session extended the uptrend to a session high of 1.41461 before stalling, with the last bar flat just above 1.4137 as RSI(14) cooled from its highs. Price holds above the 1.4133 swing low and the rising intraday support line; 1.4146/1.4150 is the area to watch into the Nov-2025 peak.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.41330 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41461 before easing to 1.41342, supported by the hawkish Fed-driven USD bid and a soft-oil drag on CAD. RSI(14) cooling near 61 after the push; higher-low chain off 1.41102 still intact.
Support: 1.41163, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41102 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 65 · price 1.41342
Higher highs and higher lows, near session high.
NY session extended the grind higher to a session high at 1.41461 before easing to 1.41342, USD broadly bid after the hawkish Fed hold while the US-Iran-driven oil slump weighs on CAD. Price holds well above the rising 1.41100 swing low; the 1.4150 Nov peak is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41100 breaks the higher-low chain
Reaction at 1.41461 session high — area to watch for rejection or break toward 1.4150
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session pressing USDCAD to fresh highs at 1.41461, the hawkish-Fed USD bid still carrying after the breakout above 1.4100. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; the rising HL chain off 1.4117 remains intact.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4117, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 session high opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot would break the HL chain
USDCAD ground higher through London into NY, tagging a session high at 1.41461 with RSI elevated but not extreme. The grind reflects broad USD bid after the hawkish Fed hold and an oil slump pressuring CAD; price now consolidating just under the high near the 1.4150 Nov peak.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41300 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session ground to a new session high at 1.41461, clearing the 1.4140 resistance flagged into the move with USD firm post-hawkish Fed hold. Higher-low structure stays intact above the 1.4100 pivot; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 pivot breaks the higher-low chain
1.4150 (nov peak) is the next cap above the session high
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD pushed through the 1.4140 resistance during NY hours to a fresh session high at 1.4146, RSI(14) running hot near 70 on a hawkish Fed hold and a soft-oil bid against CAD. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the 1.4150 Nov peak the next overhead cap.
Support: 1.4116, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.4140 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 1.4116 swing low signals stall
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 1.41403
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session top.
NY session extended the day's grind higher, USDCAD now printing fresh session highs at 1.4142 with the hawkish Fed hold and the oil slump weighing on CAD. Buyers defended 1.4110 on the prior pullback; the breakout above 1.41330 is holding, with 1.4150 (nov peak) the next resistance overhead.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4150 opens path toward extension
Failure to hold 1.4100 pivot confirms a lower-low
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow could shift the CAD read
NY session extended the grind higher, USDCAD breaking to a session high at 1.4142 on broad USD firmness after the hawkish Fed hold and softer oil. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched; rising support tracked from the 1.4110 area held through the afternoon, with 1.4117 the nearest reaction shelf.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4142 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.4117 breaks the rising support and threatens a lower-low
CAD Retail Sales (Jun 19, 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 1.41342
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.4138, CAD pressured by the hawkish Fed hold and softer crude. Price is holding a rising HH/HL chain with RSI(14) mid-60s; the 1.4140 resistance from the broader run is now overhead.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.4138, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4140 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4110 swing low breaks the rising support line
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session top.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, breaking the 1.4100 base and now testing the 1.41380 session high as CAD stays heavy on the hawkish Fed hold and softer oil. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet stretched; a string of higher lows is holding the advance.
Support: 1.4116, 1.4110, 1.40976
Resistance: 1.4138, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41400 opens the path to the 1.41500 Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41160 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high of 1.41343 after the hawkish Fed hold and a soft-oil backdrop kept CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 despite the highs — the late push lacks momentum confirmation as price stalls under the 1.4140 resistance.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41343, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41400 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold 1.41100 breaks the rising intraday structure
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, USD firm after the hawkish Fed hold while soft oil keeps CAD heavy, posting a fresh session high at 1.41343 before settling at 1.41319. Buyers stepped in at 1.41102 on the last pullback and the rising sequence of higher lows is holding; RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41343, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41343 opens the path to the 1.4140 resistance
Loss of the 1.41102 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19, 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran from 1.4025 through London into NY, peaking at the 1.4134 session high as a hawkish Fed hold and the oil slump pressured CAD. Price has since stalled and is ranging 1.4110–1.4134, RSI back near neutral after the climb; rejection capped the 1.4134 area.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4134 session high opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4110 swing low exposes the 1.4100 pivot
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19, 12:30 UTC) is the next CAD catalyst
USDCAD rallied off 1.4025 during yesterday's NY hours and has held near the highs since, the leg driven by a hawkish Fed hold lifting USD and an oil slump weighing on CAD. Session high printed 1.4134 in London before a pullback; price now ranges 1.4110–1.4134 with RSI cooled to ~46. Sits just below EMA20, no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4134 opens the path to 1.4140
Loss of 1.4110 exposes the 1.4100 pivot
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, tagging a session high of 1.41338 before rejecting back to 1.41228. Price now consolidating mid-range above 1.41100, RSI cooled off the highs to neutral.
Support: 1.4110, 1.41168, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41338
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.41100 session low breaks the HL chain
CAD Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil, tagging a session high at 1.41338 before rejection trimmed it back. Price is consolidating above the 1.41102 session low, holding both EMAs with RSI cooling around 56.
Support: 1.41102, 1.40968
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 reopens the 1.414 resistance
Loss of 1.41102 session low exposes the 1.40968 prior range
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift the read
Steady grind higher through the London-NY transition, USD/CAD bid above 1.4100 on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold. Price pulled back from the 1.41338 session high to 1.41102 then recovered to 1.41274; RSI mid-range, momentum cooling but uptrend intact.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4103
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41102 confirms a lower low and breaks the session uptrend
Break above 1.41338 resumes the push toward the 1.4140 area
CAD Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback held.
USD/CAD ground higher through London-NY on the hawkish Fed hold plus soft oil, tagging a 1.41338 session high before easing back to 1.41102 where buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.41274 and sits mid-range below the session high, RSI(14) neutral with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 opens the path toward the 1.4150 peak
Failure to hold 1.41102 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.41000
CAD Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD climbed through the NY session to a 1.41338 session high on the firm post-hawkish-Fed dollar, then rejected and faded back to 1.41168. Pullback is holding the 1.41100 swing low so far; RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as the leg loses steam.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.40976
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41100 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.41000 round number
Reclaim and close above 1.41338 resumes the intraday uptrend toward 1.41400
Cdn Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk for this read
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.41338 during NY hours on the hawkish-Fed CAD weakness, then rejected and slipped back to 1.4117, now hovering just below EMA20. Price is consolidating between 1.41102 and the session high with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.41102, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41102 confirms a lower low and opens 1.40978
Reclaim of 1.41338 resumes the intraday uptrend toward 1.4150
Cdn Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.41338 on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil backdrop, then rejected back below EMA20 near 1.4121. Price is consolidating in the 1.41100–1.41250 band with RSI cooling toward neutral; the 1.41100 pullback low is holding so far.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41338
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.41100 exposes the 1.41000 round number
Cdn Retail Sales (next session) could shift this read
NY session ran the climb to a 1.41338 session high before rejecting and fading to 1.4117, with USDCAD firm above 1.4100 on the hawkish Fed hold and CAD pinned near multi-month lows. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-40s as price sits between the 1.41102 swing low and the session high.
Support: 1.41102, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.41247
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41102 opens the 1.40978 swing low
Close above 1.41338 resumes the intraday uptrend
Cdn Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
London-NY drove a steady uptrend after the breakout above 1.4035; the session high at 1.4133 was rejected and price pulled back to 1.4110 before stabilising near 1.4116. CAD remains pinned near multi-month lows on soft oil and the hawkish Fed, but RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range off the highs.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.4133, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4133 session high opens the path to 1.4140 resistance
Failure to hold 1.4110 recent low exposes the 1.4097 consol low
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.41338 before sellers faded the move back toward the 1.41100 swing low, with the pair now at 1.41158 — USD firm post hawkish Fed and CAD pinned near multi-month lows. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the run; the 1.41100/1.41000 zone has held twice during this leg.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41000 round number breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.41338 session high reopens the path to 1.41400 resistance
NY session ground to a session high of 1.41338 then rejected, with USD easing into the 12:30 UTC jobless claims/Philly Fed prints — price slid to 1.41102 before bouncing to 1.41199. Pullback holding above the rising-lows line; session high still the level capping.
Support: 1.41102, 1.40972
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 reopens the path to 1.41400
Loss of 1.41102 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-lows line
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.41338 then rejected through the 12:30 UTC US data (jobless claims / Philly Fed), sliding to 1.41102 before stabilising near 1.412. The intraday uptrend off the London low at 1.4025 is intact but momentum has flattened in early NY hours.
Support: 1.41102, 1.40963
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41338 reopens the path toward 1.4140 resistance
Loss of 1.41102 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.40963
Cdn Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground to a session high of 1.41338 during NY before a sharp rejection dragged it back to 1.41102, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s off the highs. Buyers stepped back in around the 1.41100 ny low, with price now hovering near 1.41170 on multi-month-high territory after the hawkish Fed and soft oil backdrop.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100, 1.40967
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41102 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.41000 round number
Reclaim of 1.41338 session high resumes the prior uptrend leg
Cdn Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.41338 during NY hours on the firm post-FOMC dollar, then rejected and pulled back to 1.41100, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price now mid-range above the 1.41000 round number; the rising intraday sequence is intact but momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 opens the path to 1.41400 resistance
Failure to hold 1.41102 swing low confirms a lower low
Cdn Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD climbed through the NY session to a session high of 1.41338 before rejecting, then sold off into the 12:30 UTC US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed prints down to 1.41102 and is now chopping near 1.41170. Uptrend intact off the London leg but RSI has cooled to mid-range as the pair stalls below 1.41240.
Support: 1.41102, 1.4100, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.4124, 1.41338
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41338 opens fresh session highs
Loss of 1.41102 exposes the 1.41000 psych level
Reaction to the just-released Claims/Philly Fed data can still drive the next bars
USD/CAD pressed a session high at 1.41338 during NY hours then rejected, pulling back toward the 1.41100 pivot on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold. Uptrend intact but momentum cooling; price now sitting below EMA20 after the rejection.
Support: 1.4110, 1.40978, 1.4095
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.41244
What it said to watch
A reclaim and close above 1.41338 reopens the path to fresh seven-month highs
Loss of 1.41100 pivot exposes the 1.40978 swing low
Cdn Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the next CAD catalyst
USDCAD pressed seven-month-high territory and tagged a session high at 1.41338 before sellers rejected, the last two bars dropping back to the 1.41100 pivot as oil-driven CAD softness keeps the broader leg higher intact. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price has slipped under EMA20 on the pullback, but the 1.40978 swing low chain still holds.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4103, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.41247
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41100 pivot opens the 1.41030 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41338 reopens the path toward the 1.4140 area
Cdn Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.41338 before two sharp bars rejected back to 1.41135, with oil weakness and the hawkish Fed hold keeping the pair bid near seven-month highs. RSI(14) cooling off overbought as price slips below EMA20 but holds the 1.4100 pivot.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41338 opens the path to the 1.4140 resistance
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot exposes the 1.40978 swing low
Higher highs into session high, pullback off 1.4134.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.4134 before the last bar rejected back to 1.4120, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Uptrend intact above the rising support off 1.4098, with oil weakness and a hawkish Fed hold keeping the pair pinned near seven-month highs.
Support: 1.41167, 1.41037, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 opens the path toward the 1.4140 psych level
Loss of 1.41167 swing low signals deeper pullback toward 1.41037
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, last bar rejected.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.41338 before the latest bar rejected sharply back to 1.41199, dragging price under its EMA20. Move tracks the oil-slump/hawkish-Fed CAD weakness, with the pair pressing seven-month highs; RSI has cooled off the highs.
Support: 1.41181, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41338 opens the path to the 1.4140 resistance
Loss of the 1.41181 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.4100 pivot
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 66 · price 1.41312
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCAD has ground higher all session, extending the post-FOMC USD bid that spiked the pair off 1.4025 yesterday and printing a fresh session high at 1.41338. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched, and price holds above both EMAs as buyers defend each pullback into rising support; the 1.4140 area is the next test, flagged as overbought in the broader read.
Support: 1.4118, 1.4100, 1.4095
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41400 opens the path to the 1.41500 nov peak
Loss of the 1.41180 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next CAD catalyst
12:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.41312
HH/HL chain, near session high.
USDCAD broke the 1.4025 consolidation mid-window and trended steadily to a session high at 1.41338, in line with the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft oil. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme — with price pressing the 1.4140 resistance the context flags as a cap.
Support: 1.41183, 1.40968, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41400 opens the path toward the Nov-2025 1.4150 peak
Failure to hold 1.41183 breaks the intraday HL chain
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41312
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high near 1.4134, building HH/HL structure above 1.4100 after the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil bid. Price now presses the 1.4140 key resistance flagged into seven-month highs; RSI(14) firm near 65 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4118, 1.4102, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4140 key resist opens the nov peak at 1.4150
Loss of 1.4118 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift the read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41312
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, USD broadly bid after the hawkish Fed hold, printing a session high at 1.41338. Price is stair-stepping up an intraday channel above 1.4118; the 1.4140 area flagged as a cap sits just overhead.
Support: 1.41183, 1.4110, 1.40957
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41400 opens room toward the Nov-2025 1.4150 peak
Loss of 1.41183 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.4134, extending the hawkish-Fed-driven bid above 1.4100. RSI(14) near 68 is elevated as price stalls just under the 1.4140 resistance flagged in context; rising lows held through the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4103, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4134, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4140 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
Failure to hold 1.4117 breaks the rising-low structure
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition into seven-month territory, helped by a hawkish Fed hold and soft oil; the pair now presses session highs at 1.41338 with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the rising 1.40980/1.41180 low chain, keeping the intraday structure constructive into the 1.4140 cap.
Support: 1.4118, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41400 opens the path toward the Nov-2025 peak
Failure to hold 1.41180 breaks the higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41244
Higher highs / higher lows, near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition on soft oil and the hawkish Fed hold, posting a HH chain into a session high at 1.41322. RSI(14) near 60 — firm but not stretched — with price stalling just under the 1.4140 supply cap flagged into the Nov-2025 peak.
Support: 1.41173, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41400 opens the path toward the 1.4150 prior peak
Failure to hold 1.41173 signals a lower-low and corrective pullback toward 1.4100
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could shift this read
11:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41244
Rising highs and higher lows into resistance.
USDCAD stepped higher after the European-session breakout above 1.4025, driven by a firmer USD post-hawkish Fed and soft oil; price now grinds along session highs near 1.4124 with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme. The 1.41322 session high and 1.4140 context cap are the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4103, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41400 opens the path toward the Nov-2025 peak
Loss of 1.41170 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.41237
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, supported by a firm post-hawkish-Fed USD and soft oil weighing on CAD; price stalling just under the 1.41322 session high. RSI(14) near 62, no extreme, with higher lows holding above 1.41170.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4100, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41322 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.41170 breaks the rising swing-low chain
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating near top.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.41322 before easing to 1.41237, RSI(14) mid-60s. The move is corrective extension off the 1.40950 congestion; the US-Iran de-escalation is capping broader USD upside, leaving price stalling just under the high.
Support: 1.4118, 1.4101, 1.4095
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41322 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.41180 risks a slide back into the 1.41010 congestion
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD extended its post-FOMC, oil-driven climb to a session high at 1.41322 before easing to 1.41237, RSI(14) cooling but holding above 50. Buyers stepped in at 1.41170 to keep the higher-low chain intact; the 1.40970 consolidation shelf marks the deeper floor.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.41322
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41170 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.41322 reopens the path toward the Nov peak band
CAD Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 61 · price 1.41237
Higher highs and higher lows since London breakout.
NY session extended the London breakout up to a session high at 1.41322 before stalling, price holding around 1.41237 with USD firm post-hawkish Fed and CAD weighed by soft oil. RSI(14) near 60, room before exhaustion; the rising chain of higher lows off 1.40978 is intact.
Support: 1.4117, 1.40978
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.41248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41322 opens the path higher toward the 1.4150 band
Loss of 1.41170 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY-into-Asia run, tagging a session high at 1.41322 before sellers faded it back to 1.41184, RSI(14) easing off from overbought. Move fits the broad 7-month-high CAD weakness, though the US-Iran de-risking and softer USD are capping the upside near 1.4130.
Support: 1.4102, 1.4095, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.41244
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41322 extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41020 swing low breaks the rising support
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:45 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 58 · price 1.41184
Higher highs, shallow pullback off 1.41322.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY-to-London window, tagging a session high of 1.41322 before fading to 1.41184 — USD stays firm post-hawkish FOMC while soft oil keeps CAD pinned. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; the rising sequence of higher lows from 1.40959 is still intact.
Support: 1.4103, 1.40959
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.41247
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41030 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.41322 reopens the path higher
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41228
Higher highs, HH/HL chain intact.
London session pushing to a fresh high at 1.41322 after the overnight 1.4095–1.4112 consolidation, extending the NY breakout from the 1.4025 base. USD stays firm post-FOMC hawkish flip while soft oil keeps CAD pinned; RSI(14) elevated near 62 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4095, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41322 opens the path toward 1.41500
Loss of 1.41030 breaks the rising intraday structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:30 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 1.41228
Higher highs, higher lows since London.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.41322, riding firm post-FOMC USD against an oil-pressured CAD, before easing to 1.41228. RSI(14) near 64 leaves headroom; the HH/HL chain off the 1.40978 session low remains intact.
Support: 1.4103, 1.40978, 1.40945
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.41248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41030 breaks the rising-low sequence
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could shift the USD read
Reclaim of 1.41322 opens continuation toward the figure above
Price broke up out of the 1.4095–1.4105 congestion during the London session and is pressing session highs near 1.4125, RSI(14) elevated around 64 but not extreme. Move extends a multi-bar uptrend; context flags it as corrective off the highs, but on M15 the higher-high chain is intact.
Support: 1.4108, 1.40978, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41080 returns price into the 1.4095–1.4105 congestion
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT (~2h) could shift this read
Acceptance above 1.41248 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41243
Higher highs, higher lows since the early breakout.
USDCAD broke the Asian range during London with a sharp leg from 1.4025 to 1.4120 and has since stair-stepped to a fresh session high at 1.41248, USD underpinned by the hawkish FOMC dot-flip while CAD sits near 7-month lows on soft oil. RSI(14) at ~65, hot but not extended; buyers held the 1.41020 base repeatedly through the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.4102, 1.40976, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41248 opens continuation higher
Loss of the 1.41020 intraday base breaks the higher-low chain
US-Iran headlines draining safe-haven USD bid could cap the push
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending into highs · RSI 65 · price 1.41243
Higher highs, HL chain intact.
USDCAD grinding into session highs at 1.41248, RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme. The mid-window spike off 1.4025 fits the broader USD-firm/oil-soft read keeping CAD pinned near 7-month lows; price has held higher lows since the London-NY transition and is now retesting the 1.41248 high.
Support: 1.41076, 1.40968
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41248 opens the path toward the 1.41500 socgen tgt
Loss of 1.41076 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
CAD Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 GMT could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41243
Higher highs / higher lows into NY session.
USD/CAD has ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41248 with RSI(14) elevated near 64 but short of extreme. CAD remains soft on the oil slump, and the rising-low chain off 1.40939 stays intact as price holds the upper end of the day's range.
Support: 1.4110, 1.40978, 1.40939
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40978 breaks the higher-low chain
1.41500 socgen tgt — area to watch for rejection or break
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 GMT) could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 68 · price 1.41236
Higher highs / higher lows, breakout extending.
USDCAD grinding to fresh session highs at 1.41248 as CAD stays pressured by the oil slump and a firm post-FOMC USD. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean higher-low chain off 1.40946; RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.41037, 1.40946
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41248 opens the path toward the 1.41500 socgen target
Loss of the 1.41037 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Oil rebound or soft US Jobless Claims (12:30 GMT) could cap the move
09:45 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 70 · price 1.41236
Higher highs / higher lows since the London spike.
USDCAD broke higher on the London session spike through 1.4060 and has ground up to retest the session high near 1.41248, with CAD soft as oil stays heavy post US-Iran deal. RSI(14) near 70 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend; demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.4095-1.4104.
Support: 1.41037, 1.40948, 1.40601
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41248 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.41037 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift the read
Higher highs and higher lows since the late surge.
USDCAD grinding to session highs at 1.41248 in London hours, extending the leg that began with yesterday's surge on oil weakness post US-Iran deal. RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched, and pullbacks have held above the 1.41076 swing low along ascending support. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41076, 1.40948
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41248 session high opens the path toward the 1.4150 psych target
Loss of the 1.41076 swing low breaks the ascending support and the higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to new highs · RSI 70 · price 1.41223
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a fresh session high at 1.41248, RSI(14) elevated near 70 but not yet extreme. The HL chain off the 1.41020 base held all morning as the oil slump from the US-Iran deal keeps CAD pinned near multi-month lows.
Support: 1.4102, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41020 base breaks the intraday HL chain
Acceptance above 1.41248 session high opens path toward 1.41500
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, retesting prior peak.
USDCAD rallied sharply into 1.41224 during late NY hours yesterday, then consolidated through the Asian session near the 1.41000 round number before London ground it back to retest the prior high — oil weakness from the US-Iran deal keeping CAD pinned. RSI elevated near 65 but not extreme; higher lows off 1.40939 remain intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40978, 1.40939
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 prior high opens the path to the 1.41500 socgen target
Loss of 1.40978 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY-session climb has USDCAD back at the session high 1.41227 after a London spike off 1.40250, RSI(14) hot near 70 as CAD stays pinned by soft oil. Price coiled in a 1.40940–1.41120 range through the afternoon and is now breaking the upper edge toward prior highs.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41227, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41227 opens the path to the 1.41500 SocGen target
Loss of 1.41030 intraday low puts the range floor at 1.40940 back in play
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CAD grinding higher through the London session, RSI(14) near 68 and not yet stretched, printing fresh highs at 1.41227 after the NY-session breakout above 1.4025 driven by USD firmness and the oil slump weighing on CAD. The 1.4100 round number held on the latest dip and the higher-low chain remains intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4094, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41227, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 round number breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 1.41227 session high opens the path toward 1.4150 socgen target
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, breaking to new session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London into 1.41222, taking out the prior session high at 1.41224 as the broader CAD-bearish trend held; RSI(14) hot near 70 but not yet stretched. Demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.4098 through the prior consolidation, keeping the rising structure intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40978, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41227, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 trade above 1.41227 opens the path toward the 1.4150 SocGen target
Loss of 1.40978 breaks the rising-low chain and reopens 1.4094
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 61 · price 1.41109
Higher lows since NY spike, holding above 1.4100.
USD/CAD spiked through 1.4050 during NY hours on the oil slump, peaking at 1.41224 before consolidating around the 1.4100 round number. London has lifted price back to session highs with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.41000 risks a lower low toward 1.40920 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation below session high after impulsive break.
Uptrend; an impulsive break through 1.4060 to a session high at 1.41224 during late NY hours has since settled into a 1.4095–1.4112 consolidation, with price grinding back toward the top. RSI(14) mid-range near 60 after the run. USD stays broadly bid post-hawkish Fed and oil-driven CAD weakness keeps the pair pinned near 7-month highs.
Support: 1.40978, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41119
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.40978 breaks the consolidation lower
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
USDCAD broke from the 1.4025 base with a sharp NY-session push to 1.41224, oil-driven CAD weakness lifting the pair off the US-Iran de-escalation lows. Price has since coiled between 1.4097 and 1.4112, holding near the highs with RSI cooling into the low 60s.
Support: 1.40978, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.41124, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.40940 breaks the consolidation floor
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 1.41094
Higher lows, consolidating below day high.
USDCAD pushed to a 1.41224 day high on the London-session breakout, then settled into a 1.4098–1.4112 band as a tentative oil bounce gave CAD marginal relief. Price grinding back toward the highs with RSI mid-range; higher-low chain intact off 1.4092.
Support: 1.40978, 1.40921
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.4092 breaks the higher-low chain
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 GMT could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.41038
Post-breakout range under session high.
NY session ripped USDCAD from ~1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high on hawkish-FOMC USD strength, then price has churned in a 1.4095–1.4112 range through Asia into London. RSI(14) near 56, no extreme; the range floor at 1.4095 has held repeatedly.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.4095 range floor exposes the 1.4082 breakout base
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 53 · price 1.41038
Ranging below session high.
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then settled into a tight range. Price is consolidating between 1.40978 and the 1.41123 session high, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.40978, 1.40948
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41123 reopens the path toward the 1.41224 spike high
Failure to hold 1.40978 exposes the 1.40948 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC fallout, then settled into a tight 1.4095–1.4112 range as the post-event surge cooled. Price is chopping around EMA20 with RSI back near neutral; the breakout base at 1.4082 remains untested.
Support: 1.40978, 1.40948, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout toward congestion higher
Failure to hold the 1.40978 swing low opens 1.40948 range floor
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Consolidation under session high after FOMC breakout.
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to 1.41224 after the hawkish FOMC and oil slump, then settled into a 1.4095-1.4112 range through the Asia and early London sessions. RSI mid-range with the spike's heat worked off; price now coils just under the prior high at 1.41123.
Support: 1.40978, 1.40948
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.40948 negates the range and opens lower
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ripped through 1.41 to a 1.41224 session high on the post-FOMC USD bid, then settled into a 1.4095-1.4112 range through the quiet hours. Price is grinding back toward the range top into the London session with RSI mid-range, no fresh extension yet.
Support: 1.40948, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the upside above the session high
Failure to hold the 1.40948 range floor confirms a deeper pullback
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Consolidating near highs after post-FOMC breakout.
USDCAD surged to 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh debut and soft Oil, then spent the Asian session digesting the move. Price now grinding higher again through London, holding 1.41000 with RSI(14) mid-range — consolidation just below the session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4112
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 extends the breakout toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.41000 opens the 1.40920 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD spiked from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then settled into a tight 1.4094-1.4122 consolidation through the Asia session. Price is drifting back toward the highs, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4096, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41119, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 resumes the post-FOMC breakout
Failure to hold 1.41000 round number exposes the 1.40960 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.4122 during NY hours on the hawkish Fed-driven USD bid, then consolidated in a 1.4094-1.4112 band. Price is grinding back toward the session high; RSI(14) mid-range, no M15 extreme.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512, 1.40251
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward the Nov peak zone
Loss of 1.4094 consol low signals a deeper pullback into the 1.40512 breakout base
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD spiked from 1.4025 to 1.4122 on the hawkish FOMC USD rip, then settled into a tight 1.4094–1.4112 congestion through the quiet Asia session. Price is now grinding back toward the session high at 1.41123 on a chain of higher lows; ATR has collapsed to ~5 pips, RSI mid-50s.
Support: 1.4096, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41123 opens the path back to the 1.41224 spike high
Loss of 1.40960 breaks the rising-low sequence
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ripped off 1.4025 on the hawkish post-FOMC USD bid, posting a session high at 1.41224 before easing into 1.41-1.412 congestion. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price grinds sideways above the 1.41000 psych level; the seven-month-high breakout structure remains intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 extends the breakout toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.41000 psych then 1.40817 swing low signals a deeper pullback
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.41036
Post-breakout range under session high.
USDCAD ripped through the 1.4050 congestion to a session high of 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC-driven USD breakout, then settled into a tight upper range. Price is grinding back toward 1.4112 with RSI(14) mid-band and holding above EMA20/50; the 1.4098 congestion shelf has capped pullbacks.
Support: 1.4098, 1.40921
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4092 breaks the post-breakout shelf
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
The hawkish FOMC hold drove USD/CAD from ~1.4025 through 1.41 yesterday, peaking at 1.41224. Since then the pair has consolidated tightly between 1.40956 and 1.41123 with RSI mid-range; oil-driven CAD weakness keeps it pinned in the 1.40-1.41 congestion.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40956
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the breakout path
Failure to hold 1.41000/1.40956 breaks the consolidation lower
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.41028
Post-breakout range below session high.
Post-FOMC USD surge after Warsh's hawkish debut drove a clean break above 1.41, with the spike topping at 1.41224. Price has since coiled in a tight Asian range between 1.4096 and 1.4112; RSI(14) neutral near 56 as the move digests just under the session high.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.40956 range low signals a deeper pullback
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.41028
Higher-low base under session high.
NY session ripped USDCAD from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 on hawkish-FOMC USD strength and soft oil weighing CAD. Asia consolidated tightly between 1.40948 and 1.411, and the pair is now grinding back toward the session high; ATR has compressed to ~6 pips through the quiet hours.
Support: 1.40948, 1.40821
Resistance: 1.41119, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the NY-rally continuation
Failure to hold 1.40948 breaks the range floor and confirms a lower-low
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41057
Higher highs after breakout, base above 1.4100.
USDCAD broke out through 1.4050 mid-window and ran to a session high at 1.41224 on broad USD strength post-FOMC, then based above the 1.4100 round number. Price is grinding back toward the recent high at 1.41123 with RSI(14) in the low-60s — firm but not extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40946, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.40946 swing low breaks the consolidation floor
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41057
Higher lows, breaking back toward session high.
USDCAD ripped through 1.4060 on the hawkish FOMC USD surge yesterday, peaking at 1.41224 before consolidating along a 1.4094 floor. Asia chopped tight before buyers stepped back in, lifting price toward the 1.41123 recent high; RSI(14) firm near 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41123 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of the 1.40940 range floor breaks the higher-low chain
US Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 64 · price 1.41107
Higher highs since FOMC breakout, consolidating below 1.41224.
USDCAD broke higher during yesterday's NY session on the hawkish FOMC repricing, spiking to a 1.41224 session high. Price consolidated 1.40940–1.41224 through Asia and is now pressing back toward the highs as London approaches, RSI(14) holding mid-60s.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens continuation toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.40940 range floor signals failure of the breakout push
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41107
Higher lows post-breakout, retest of session high.
NY session FOMC repricing drove a sharp surge to 1.41224, then price based through the Asian session around 1.4095-1.4100. London is grinding the pair back up to retest the 1.41224 session high, RSI(14) firm near 63 but not stretched.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4095 confirms a lower-low and breaks the grind higher
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41107
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD spiked from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC repricing during the NY session, then consolidated in a tight 1.4097-1.4122 band through the quiet Asia hours. Price is now grinding back toward the session high at 1.41224, RSI(14) around 62 with room before stretching.
Support: 1.4097, 1.40921, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4097 range floor exposes 1.40921 swing low
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 63 · price 1.41107
Higher highs after FOMC breakout, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD spiked from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then chopped sideways around 1.4095-1.4110 through the Asian session. London hours have it grinding back toward the 1.41224 session high on quiet ATR, oil weakness keeping CAD heavy.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4076, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path to 1.4150
Loss of 1.4095 range low signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4076
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next CAD catalyst
USDCAD broke out during the US session on oil-driven CAD weakness, tagging a session high at 1.41224 before consolidating tightly above the breakout base near 1.40817 through the Asian session. Price is grinding back toward the highs with RSI(14) in the low 60s; the 1.40959 range floor has held.
Support: 1.40959, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.41500
Loss of 1.40959 range floor breaks the rising structure
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41081
Post-FOMC breakout, holding above range.
USD repriced higher after Warsh's hawkish FOMC; USDCAD spiked to 1.41224 then consolidated in a tight 1.4095–1.4110 band through Asia. Price is grinding back toward the session high into the London open, RSI(14) near 62 with sub-5-pip ATR.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.4109, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 extends the post-FOMC breakout
Failure to hold 1.40940 opens 1.40817
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.41019
Ranging below session high after NY breakout.
NY session broke 1.4025 and ran to 1.41224 as crude weakness kept CAD heavy; price then pulled back and has coiled in a tight 1.4094–1.4107 band through the quiet Asian hours. ATR has compressed sharply overnight as the pair holds above the breakout zone into early London.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40251
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41072 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 swing low signals deeper retrace toward the 1.4025 breakout point
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
London session drove USD/CAD from 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 on oil-led CAD weakness and a firm post-FOMC USD bid. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4095–1.4107 consolidation, with RSI cooling from overbought back near 56.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.41224 reopens the upside path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40950 confirms a deeper pullback
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.41007
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
USD/CAD spiked through 1.4025 into NY hours and ran to 1.41224 on USD strength and soft crude, then handed back gains. Asia consolidated tightly between 1.4092 and 1.4107; price now drifts back toward the 1.41072 swing high in early London with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.4095, 1.40921
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41072 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Failure to hold 1.4095 range low exposes the 1.40921 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
05:15 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.41007
Post-breakout consolidation below 1.4122.
USDCAD spiked through 1.4060 into a 7-month high at 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then pulled back and is now consolidating in a tight 1.4096-1.4109 band. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move digests; demand held above 1.4094 through the Asia session.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4094, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40956 breaks the consolidation and opens the spike low at 1.4076
Reclaim of 1.41089 puts the 1.41224 swing high back in play
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.41007
Post-breakout consolidation under session high.
NY session drove a sharp leg up to 1.41224 as crude weakness kept CAD heavy, then the pair pulled back and has consolidated through the Asia session in a tight 1.4094–1.4107 band. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cooled to mid-range; the breakout structure is intact but stalled into the 1.40-1.41 ceiling.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout leg
Loss of 1.40940 breaks the consolidation floor
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation near highs after impulsive breakout.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.41224 session high on the broad USD bid, then settled into a tight 1.4094–1.4108 band through the quiet Asian hours and is grinding back toward the range top into early London. ATR has collapsed to ~5 pips; no fresh impulse since the breakout.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 range low confirms a deeper fade toward 1.4082
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the congestion
USDCAD ripped through 1.4060 during NY hours on the hawkish-FOMC USD bid and softer crude, peaking at 1.41224 before settling into a 1.4094-1.4107 range through the Asia session. Price now grinds toward range top at 1.41019 on thin volume, RSI cooled to mid-50s — congestion holding below the session high.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.4107, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41070 reopens the path to 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 range low confirms a deeper pullback
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could break this range
Consolidation below session high after impulsive leg.
USD/CAD ran from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high during NY hours on the hawkish post-FOMC USD bid, then faded and has spent the Asia session coiling between 1.4094 and 1.4107. RSI(14) back near mid-range as the pair grinds at the top of the consolidation just under 1.41072.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41072 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.40820
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
USDCAD rallied through NY hours to a session high at 1.41224 on continued crude weakness, then pulled back into a 1.4094–1.4107 range through Asia. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs into the low 50s; rejection at 1.4107 capped the latest push while the 1.4094 swing low has held.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4107, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4107 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.4094 swing low confirms a lower low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation under session high after impulsive leg up.
USDCAD broke higher into the NY afternoon, spiking from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the firmer post-FOMC USD and softer crude, then faded to 1.40921. Price has since coiled 1.40940–1.41090 through the Asian session with RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.
Support: 1.40921, 1.4094
Resistance: 1.4109, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41090 reopens 1.41224 swing high
Failure to hold 1.40921 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum paused · RSI 50 · price 1.40978
Consolidating below NY-session high after breakout.
A sharp NY-session rally lifted USDCAD off 1.3995 and broke into 1.41 congestion, peaking at 1.41224 as crude weakness kept CAD heavy. Through the Asian session price coiled into a tight range between the 1.4094 floor and the 1.4109 top; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 49.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40632
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 reopens the path toward the 1.41224 session high
Loss of the 1.40940 range floor exposes the 1.40632 breakout base
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDCAD spiked to 1.41224 on the oil-driven CAD weakness then was rejected, and price has since coiled in a tight 1.40940–1.41089 range. RSI(14) is back to neutral near 52 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — the post-spike push has stalled.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41089 reopens the path to the 1.41224 spike high
Loss of 1.40940 confirms a lower-low out of the range
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Tight range below session high after impulsive rally.
NY session ran an impulsive leg from the 1.4025 base to a session high of 1.41224 on oil-led CAD weakness and the post-FOMC USD bid. Asia has since consolidated in a tight 1.4094-1.4109 band with RSI(14) cooled back to ~50; the range top is holding and the swing low at 1.40940 is so far respected.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4109, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41090 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 exposes the prior break at 1.40820
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ripped from the 1.4025 base to 1.41224 as crude weakness kept CAD heavy, then settled into a tight 1.4094-1.4107 range with RSI back to neutral. Price is consolidating just above the breakout zone, sellers rejected the 1.41224 session high.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4046
Resistance: 1.4107, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41070 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 range low exposes the 1.4046 breakout retest
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooled into range · RSI 52 · price 1.40984
Post-breakout consolidation under session high.
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to 1.41224 on the late-NY surge as sliding oil kept CAD heavy, then handed back the top and has consolidated 1.4095-1.4109 since. RSI(14) has flattened near 51 and price is hugging EMA20 — the session-high test at 1.41089 is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.40946, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 reopens the 1.41224 swing high
Loss of 1.40946 breaks the consolidation floor
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
NY session drove a sharp leg from 1.4025 to the session high at 1.41224 on post-FOMC USD strength and soft crude keeping CAD heavy. Since then the pair has ranged through Asia between 1.4092 and the 1.41089 swing high, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50.
Support: 1.4092, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Failure to hold 1.4092 confirms a deeper pullback toward ema50
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
A sharp leg up through 1.4060 during the NY session drove price to 1.41224, with RSI cooling since. Through Asia hours the pair has consolidated between 1.4094 and 1.4109, holding the bulk of the breakout gains as crude weakness keeps CAD heavy.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4109, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4109 reopens the 1.41224 swing high
Loss of 1.4094 puts a retest of the 1.4060 breakout in play
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
03:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling in congestion · RSI 49 · price 1.40974
Post-rally consolidation under session high.
USDCAD spiked through 1.40250 into 1.41224 during NY hours on the post-FOMC USD bid, then settled into a tight 1.4094-1.4109 range. Price now hovers around 1.40974, below EMA20 but holding above the rally base; momentum has cooled with RSI near neutral.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40821
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 reopens the path toward the 1.41224 spike high
Failure to hold 1.4094 range floor exposes 1.40821 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.41011
Post-breakout range under session high.
A sharp breakout during the NY session drove USDCAD from the 1.4025 range to a 1.41224 session high, fuelled by softer crude and the firm post-FOMC USD. Price has since consolidated in a 1.4094–1.4107 band through the Asia session, holding above the 1.40820 breakout level with RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41072 prior high reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 swing low exposes the 1.40820 breakout level
Canada Retail Sales and US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed later could shift this read
Consolidation under session high after impulsive leg up.
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high during NY hours as a hawkish Fed and softer crude kept CAD heavy, then pulled back into a tight 1.4094–1.4107 band through the Asia session. Price is mid-range at 1.4101 with momentum easing; the post-spike consolidation is holding above EMA20.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.4107, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41070 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 range low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.4048 pivot
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
USDCAD broke higher through 1.4025 on the hawkish FOMC and soft-oil CAD weakness, peaking at 1.41224 before settling into a 1.4094-1.4107 range. RSI(14) has cooled off the spike highs to mid-range as the pair grinds just under the session high.
Support: 1.40946, 1.4072, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40946 confirms a lower-low and threatens the range floor
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.41011
Post-breakout range under session high.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from 1.4025 to the session high at 1.4122 on the hawkish-FOMC/firm-USD repricing, with sliding crude keeping CAD heavy. Price has since consolidated through Asia hours between 1.4094 and 1.4107, RSI cooling off the overbought spike.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.40632
Resistance: 1.4107, 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4122 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4094 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.4082 swing
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, paused near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.41044
Consolidation below session high after impulsive breakout.
USDCAD spiked through 1.4060 into 1.41224 during NY hours on the hawkish Fed-driven USD bid, then settled into a tight 1.4094–1.4109 range through the Asia session. Price is grinding back toward the prior high at 1.41089 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41089 then 1.41224 resumes the breakout
Failure to hold 1.4094 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.40817
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.41044
Breakout extension, holding above prior base.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from the 1.4025 base to a session high at 1.41224, lifted by hawkish-Fed USD strength and oil-driven CAD weakness. Price consolidated through thin Asian hours around 1.4095 and is now recovering toward the highs; RSI(14) has cooled off the rally peak into the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 extends the breakout toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40940 consol low opens a deeper pullback
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41078
Higher highs, tight range below session high.
USDCAD broke above the 1.4048 congestion into the NY session and peaked at 1.41224, then consolidated in a tight 1.4092-1.4107 band as USD stayed firm post-FOMC and crude weakness kept CAD heavy. Price is now retesting the session high with RSI(14) mid-range, leaving room before overbought.
Support: 1.40921, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40921 confirms the consolidation breaking lower
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4025–1.4032 congestion during NY hours, spiking to a 1.41224 session high on the oil-driven CAD weakness and hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price then consolidated between 1.4092 and 1.4122 through the Asian session; it is now grinding back toward the high at 1.41078.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40940 consolidation low signals a deeper pullback toward the breakout base
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
Consolidating below session high after FOMC spike.
USDCAD ripped from 1.4025 to 1.4122 during the NY session on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, then pared into a 1.4094-1.4103 congestion band. Dips toward 1.4094 were bought back through the Asia session; the pair now holds ~1.4103 just below the session high with RSI cooling from its spike high.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 swing target
Failure to hold 1.40940 congestion exposes the 1.40700 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
An NY-session post-FOMC impulse drove USDCAD off 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high, with USD firm on the hawkish dot-plot shift and oil weakness keeping CAD heavy. Asia hours are now consolidating in a tight 1.4094-1.4124 band just under that high, RSI back to neutral after the run.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41174, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40940 opens the deeper pullback to 1.40817
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the read
Post-FOMC breakout, now consolidating below session high.
A post-FOMC spike drove USDCAD from 1.4025 to a session high at 1.4122 during NY hours, helped by sliding crude weighing on CAD. Price has since drifted into a 1.4094–1.4104 band through the Asia session, holding above EMA20 with RSI cooling off the breakout.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41043, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.40940 range low signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4051
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD broke sharply higher off 1.4025 to a session high of 1.41224 on continued oil-driven CAD weakness, then pulled back into a tight 1.4094–1.4104 range. Price is back at the top of that range near 1.41027 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s after the spike.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.41043, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 resumes the breakout
Loss of 1.40940 range low opens deeper pullback toward 1.40817
NY session ripped through 1.4050 to a session high of 1.41224 on oil-driven CAD weakness post-hawkish FOMC, RSI now cooled off the overbought spike. Asia hours have stalled, holding a tight 1.4094-1.4103 range with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41030 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.4050 breakout base
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
NY session ripped from 1.4025 to a 1.41224 session high before fading back, RSI cooling to mid-range. Thin Asia liquidity now has the pair ranging 1.40940–1.41030, holding the range floor on dips.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40817
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40940 opens the path back toward 1.40817
Reclaim of 1.41030 puts the 1.41224 session high back in play
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
USDCAD spiked through 1.4100 during NY hours to a session high at 1.41224 as firm post-FOMC USD met oil-driven CAD weakness. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.4094-1.4103 range through Asia, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 after the overbought push.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4090, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4094 opens the path back toward 1.4082
Reclaim of 1.4103 puts the 1.41224 session high back in play
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the next CAD catalyst
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 1.4097
Consolidation under session high after breakout.
London session ripped a breakout from 1.4025 to a session high at 1.41224 on continued oil-driven CAD weakness and the firm post-FOMC USD. Price has since pulled back and is now consolidating 1.4094–1.4103 through Asia hours, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral near 51.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4103 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.4094 range low exposes the 1.4082 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Fri could shift the CAD leg of this read
NY session drove a sharp breakout above 1.4048 to a 7-month high at 1.41224 on soft crude and CAD weakness. Asia session is consolidating in a tight 1.4092-1.4103 band, RSI back near 54 after the run; the session-high zone caps for now while 1.40921 holds.
Support: 1.40921, 1.40512, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41034, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41034 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40921 asia low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.40512
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session ripped USDCAD out of the 1.4030 range to a 1.41224 session high before fading. Asian hours have it consolidating around 1.4097, holding above the 1.40920 breakout shelf with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.4092, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4103, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40920 puts the breakout shelf back in play
Reclaim of 1.41030 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD spiked through 1.40320 and ran to 1.41224 on the soft-oil/CAD-weak theme, then handed back the top half of the move. Price now consolidating 1.40940-1.41035 with RSI(14) back near 50; range floor at 1.40940 holding so far.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41035, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40940 opens retrace toward the 1.4082 swing low
Close above 1.41035 reopens the 1.41224 session high
Oil headlines on US-Iran remain the primary CAD driver
Consolidating below session high after impulsive leg up.
USDCAD broke out through 1.4060 during NY hours and ran to a session high of 1.41224 on soft-crude/firm-USD flow, then faded into a tight 1.40940-1.41034 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range after the spike; price is sitting just under EMA20 but holding well above EMA50.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41034, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41034 reopens the path to the 1.41224 session high
Loss of 1.40940 range floor exposes the 1.40512 swing low
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.41003
Tight range after impulsive breakout.
USDCAD broke sharply higher in the NY session, spiking off 1.4025 to a session high at 1.41224 on soft crude and post-FOMC USD strength. Price now consolidates in a thin 1.4092–1.4103 band on light Asian volume, RSI cooled back to neutral from the highs.
Support: 1.40921, 1.40601, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.40921 range low signals a deeper pullback into the spike base
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session spiked USDCAD through the 1.4035 range to a session high of 1.41224 on the long-USD, soft-crude theme, then faded into a tight Asian-hours consolidation around the 1.41000 round number. Price is holding above 1.40940 with RSI cooled to mid-range; structure remains constructive but momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4082, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40940 opens a retest of the 1.40820 swing low
Close above 1.41224 resumes the uptrend toward fresh session highs
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, paused after breakout · RSI 53 · price 1.40969
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
USDCAD ripped through 1.4025 into 1.41224 during the NY session as a hawkish post-FOMC USD met soft crude weighing on CAD. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating 1.4094-1.4102, RSI cooled off its overbought spike, with the session high untested on the retrace.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41035
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the advance
Close below 1.40940 range low signals a deeper retrace toward 1.40512
Canada Retail Sales (Fri) is the next CAD catalyst into this breakout
USDCAD ripped through 1.4050 during NY hours, peaking at 1.41224 on the firm post-FOMC USD and soft crude backdrop. Price has since cooled into a tight 1.4094-1.4103 range through the Asia session, RSI(14) backing off its highs toward 59.
Support: 1.40921, 1.40601
Resistance: 1.41034, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40921 opens a retest of the 1.40601 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.41034 puts the 1.41224 session high back in play
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.40995
Tight range after impulsive NY rally.
NY session broke higher through 1.4020 into a 1.41224 session high as the loonie stayed soft on weaker oil. Asian hours have since gone quiet, pinning price in a tight 1.4094–1.4103 band just under the 1.41000 round number, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4090, 1.4082
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41035, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 band
Loss of the 1.40940 swing low exposes the 1.40820 rally base
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session breakout cleared the 1.40360 ceiling and ran to a session high of 1.41224 on the USD-firm, post-FOMC backdrop with soft oil weighing on CAD. Price has since cooled into a tight consolidation around 1.41000, holding the 1.40920 swing low.
Support: 1.4092, 1.40512
Resistance: 1.4104, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 reopens the upside
Loss of 1.40920 signals a deeper pullback into 1.40512
USDCAD spiked through 1.4035 during NY hours to a session high of 1.41224 on the broad USD bid post-hawkish FOMC dots and soft oil weighing the loonie. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.40950-1.41030 consolidation through the Asia session, RSI(14) back to neutral after the run.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4082, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.41174
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 band
Loss of 1.40950 consol low exposes the 1.40820 breakout level
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD broke sharply out of the 1.4025/1.4036 NY-session range to a 1.41224 session high as the Dollar stayed bid on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing and soft crude. Price has since cooled into a tight 1.4094–1.4103 consolidation just below the highs, RSI(14) easing back to neutral.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4025, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4117
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4094 range low reopens the 1.4025 pre-break zone
Break above 1.41224 session high extends the impulse toward the 1.4150 band
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read