Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, with CAD pinned near 7-month lows on soft oil and a hawkish Fed hold. The dominant leg came in the NY session as price surged from ~1.4025 through 1.4070 to 1.4122, then extended to a week high at 1.41461. Price now consolidates in the 1.4110–1.4146 zone above a rising EMA20, with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4128, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41461 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.4110 swing low / EMA20 signals deeper retracement of the week's impulse
Canada Retail Sales then CPI ahead are the key catalysts that could shift this read
Higher highs since breakout, now consolidating below week high.
USDCAD broke above the 1.4100 pivot mid-week and ran to 1.41461 after the hawkish Fed hold lifted the dollar while soft oil kept CAD pinned near 7-month lows. Price has since stalled in a tight 1.4127–1.4146 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s. The week-high at 1.41461 has capped the latest attempt; 1.4100 marks the broken pivot now acting as support.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak
Failure to hold 1.41100 negates the breakout and exposes 1.4070
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and CPI Mon could materially shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week from ~1.3950, with the dominant leg arriving Wednesday's NY session — a sharp breakout above 1.4070 driven by the hawkish FOMC hold and slumping crude weighing on CAD. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but has stalled just under the 1.41461 week high, with RSI cooling off overbought after two rejections near that level. The 1.4150 Nov peak remains the next reference above; 1.4110 prior range has so far contained pullbacks.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 1.4110 prior range would mark the first lower low this week
H1 close below the 1.4070 breakout reverses the run
A close above 1.41461 week high opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and CPI Monday could materially shift this read
USDCAD extended its multi-day climb, breaking above 1.4100 with a sharp impulse during the NY session as softer crude and the hawkish Fed hold pressured CAD. Price is now consolidating just below the 1.41461 week high, with RSI(14) easing back from overbought after two stalls at that resistance. Pullbacks have held above the 1.4110 breakout retest zone, keeping the week's higher-low structure intact.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41461 week high opens path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.4110 breakout retest risks a slide toward the 1.4070 base
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, near week highs · RSI 60 · price 1.4136
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below 1.4150.
USDCAD has trended higher all week from the 1.3950 area, with the dominant leg coming on a sharp NY-session breakout above 1.4030 that ran to 1.4072 and beyond — soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold the backdrop. Price now consolidates just under the 1.4146 week high, holding above its rising higher-lows trendline with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The 1.4146/1.4150 zone (Nov-2025 peak) is the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4030, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.4150 opens the path beyond this week's range
Loss of 1.4110 session low breaks the consolidation and tests the breakout base at 1.4030
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.4136
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open from ~1.3950, with the dominant leg an aggressive jump through 1.4070 to 1.4117 in a single session as soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold pressured CAD. Price now consolidates between 1.4110 and the 1.4146 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) elevated near 60 but momentum flattening. The 1.4146/1.4150 Nov-peak zone has capped the latest attempt.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4125, 1.4030
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4146 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.4110 swing low would mark the first lower-low this week
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD has run from ~1.3950 to the 1.41461 week high, with the dominant leg coming on the hawkish Fed hold that gapped the pair from 1.4025 through 1.4117 in two bars. Price now consolidates just below the week high, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) stretched into the low 60s. The 1.41500 Nov peak sits as the next overhead reference, while pullbacks have so far been bought near the 1.41100 round level.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4094, 1.40251
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41461 week high opens the path toward the 1.41500 nov peak
Failure to hold 1.40940 swing low would mark the first lower-low of the week
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift CAD tone into the next session
USDCAD has run from ~1.3950 since Monday's open to a fresh week high at 1.41461, driven by soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold under Warsh; the breakout above 1.4100 stuck and price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) near 61 has cooled off overbought territory as the latest push stalled, with 1.41461 capping the most recent NY-session attempt. Pullbacks have so far been shallow, keeping the higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.41500 opens the path higher toward the Nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4100 round number breaks the higher-low sequence
Series of higher highs and higher lows, near week high.
USDCAD has extended a multi-day climb from ~1.3950, with a sharp surge through 1.4070 during the NY session lifting price decisively above its H1 EMAs. The advance has since pushed into the 1.41461 week high, just under the 1.4150 Nov peak that has capped the move. Price is holding above the round 1.4100 level, but RSI(14) near the mid-60s reflects how stretched the run has become.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4030
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41500 (nov peak) extends the breakout
Failure to hold the 1.41100 round number opens the path back to 1.40300 prior break
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, near seven-month highs · RSI 64 · price 1.41385
Higher highs, higher lows; momentum slowing into resistance.
USDCAD has run a multi-day uptrend from ~1.3950 to a week high of 1.41461, accelerating on a hawkish Fed hold and soft crude, with the pair holding above EMA20 and EMA50 throughout. The leg into Wednesday's NY session broke 1.4070 and price has since consolidated above 1.4110, repeatedly probing the 1.4146 area. RSI sits in the low-60s — elevated but not at extremes — with the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales today 12:30 UTC (already passed this window) and CPI Monday could shift the CAD read
An hourly close above 1.41461 opens the path toward the 1.4150 peak
Loss of 1.4110 would mark the first lower-low and challenge the rising support line
USDCAD has trended one-way higher since Monday, climbing from ~1.3950 as a hawkish Fed hold and soft crude weighed on CAD. The decisive breakout came during the NY session with a surge through 1.4070, after which price consolidated near 1.4100 before a fresh push to a week high at 1.4146. Price sits well above EMA20 with RSI cycling near overbought, and the 1.4150 Nov peak now caps the move.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4030, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4150 opens the path higher
Loss of 1.4100 round number would mark the first lower-low of the run
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 1.41433
Higher highs and higher lows, extended into range top.
USDCAD extended its multi-day climb from the ~1.3950 area to a fresh week high at 1.41461, with the decisive leg coming on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil during NY hours. Price holds well above EMA(20)/EMA(50) and pullbacks have been shallow into the 1.4110 area, but RSI(14) sitting near 67 reflects stretched conditions into the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak. The breakout base at 1.4070 has held since the impulsive surge two sessions ago.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4015
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift the read near the highs
Sustained close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.4110 session low signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4070 breakout base
Higher highs / higher lows, near seven-month highs.
USDCAD has run from ~1.3950 to a 1.41461 high this week, the dominant leg a NY-session breakout above 1.4070 on soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI stretched into the low 60s after tagging overbought on the impulse. The 1.41461/1.4150 zone (Nov peak) has capped the latest push.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.4150 opens continuation toward fresh highs
Failure to hold the 1.4070 breakout confirms a corrective pullback
USDCAD has run one-way since Monday's ~1.3978 open, with the decisive breakout through 1.4070 coming on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil during the NY session. Price has extended to a 1.41461 week high and sits well above EMA(20), but RSI(14) is stretched into overbought territory after the surge. The 1.4140/1.4150 area — near the Nov-2025 peak — is capping the latest push.
USDCAD has climbed five sessions from the 1.3950 base, with the decisive leg coming on the NY-session breakout above 1.4070 that ran to 1.4122 as a hawkish Fed hold and slumping oil pressured CAD. Price is holding well above EMA(20) and pushed to a fresh week high at 1.4146 this session; 1.4150 (Nov-2025 peak) is the next cap. Pullbacks have repeatedly found the rising EMA(20), and RSI(14) is elevated near 68 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4100, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift the CAD read
Acceptance above 1.4150 opens room beyond the week high
H1 close back below the 1.4100 pivot would unwind the breakout structure
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 1.41412
Higher highs, fresh week high.
USDCAD ground higher all week from the 1.3950 base, with the decisive breakout printing during Wednesday's NY session after the hawkish Fed hold lifted the dollar broadly and sliding oil weighed on CAD. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 and just tagged a fresh week high at 1.41461; RSI(14) sits in the upper 60s, reflecting an extended run. The 1.41100 pivot has been the floor on each pullback since the breakout.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.41100 invalidates the post-breakout structure
Reaction at 1.41500 (Nov peak) — area to watch for rejection or break
Higher highs since breakout, now consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has climbed five straight sessions from ~1.3950, with the decisive breakout through 1.4030 firing during the NY session as a hawkish Fed hold and the oil slump weighed on CAD. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50, but RSI has cooled off the highs and the 1.41338 week high has capped two pushes, leaving price consolidating above the 1.4100 pivot. Resistance stacks at 1.4140 then the 1.4150 Nov peak.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4030, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4140 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot signals a pullback toward 1.4030
Canada Retail Sales (Jun 19, 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD has run five straight sessions from the 1.3940 base to above 1.4100, with the dominant thrust coming in the NY session yesterday — a sharp 1.4025-to-1.4122 leg on sliding oil and the hawkish Fed reset. Price now consolidates just under the 1.41338 week high, holding well above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought but still firm in the low 60s. The 1.4100 pivot has capped pullbacks since the breakout.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4025, 1.3944
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41338 then 1.41500 nov peak extends the run
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot opens a deeper unwind toward the 1.40250 breakout base
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD has stair-stepped higher all week from ~1.3960, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session yesterday — a sharp impulse from 1.4025 through 1.4070 on the hawkish Fed hold and soft crude. Price is now consolidating above the 1.4100 pivot just below the 1.41338 week high, RSI holding in the low-60s after the push. Demand has stepped in repeatedly above 1.4094 since the breakout.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4094, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4094 breaks the consolidation and questions the breakout
Acceptance above 1.41338 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Cdn Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD stair-stepped higher all week and accelerated through 1.4070 during the NY session as a hawkish Fed and soft crude lifted the dollar, tagging a 1.41338 week high. Price is now consolidating above the 1.4100 pivot with RSI(14) easing back from the high-60s, holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The breakout level around 1.4070 is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40706, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41338 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot exposes the 1.4070 breakout lvl
Canadian Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week from the 1.3950 area, with the decisive leg coming during the NY session as crude weakness and a hawkish Fed hold drove a breakout above 1.4070 toward 1.4134. Price now consolidates in the 1.4100-1.4134 band, holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is elevated near overbought, echoing the stretched-positioning read into Canadian Retail Sales.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.41338 week high opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of the 1.4100 pivot exposes the 1.4067 breakout base
Cdn Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD pressed to fresh seven-month highs this week, with the dominant leg coming in the NY session as soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold drove the pair off the 1.4025 base toward 1.4134. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near overbought after the run. The 1.41338 week high has capped the latest push, while 1.4100 is acting as the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41338, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Cdn Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.41338 opens the path toward the 1.4150 prior peak
Loss of 1.4100 pivot flags a corrective dip toward the breakout base
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 67 · price 1.41317
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has run a five-day uptrend off the sub-1.3950 base, with the dominant leg an NY-session impulse yesterday that drove price through 1.4070 to 1.41200 on soft crude and the hawkish Fed hold. Pullbacks have held above the rising EMA20 and the pair is now grinding into the 1.4140 weekly cap with RSI(14) cycling in the high 60s. The breakout base near 1.4070 and the round 1.4100 are the nearest demand shelves below.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4140 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.4100 then 1.4070 would break the rising higher-low structure
Canada Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC and US Jobless Claims today could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.41237
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week from the 1.3950 area, with the dominant leg a sharp NY-session breakout through 1.4070 on the hawkish Fed hold and soft oil weighing on CAD. Price now consolidates just under the 1.4132 week high, holding well above EMA20 with RSI(14) elevated around 63 — momentum intact but stretched. The 1.4140 zone (Nov-2025 peak) caps the move just above.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4070, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.4132, 1.4140
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4140 opens the path toward the Nov-2025 peak extension
Failure to hold 1.4100 round number puts the 1.4070 breakout back in play
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD extended its five-day climb, the dominant leg printing during NY hours yesterday with a sharp push off the 1.4025 swing low through 1.4070 to 1.4122 — oil weakness and the hawkish Fed reframing the drivers. Price then coiled in a 1.4095–1.411 range before breaking to a fresh week high at 1.41322. Holding well above EMA20 with RSI in the low-60s, leaving the 1.4150 Nov peak as the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4150
What it said to watch
CAD Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Resistance at 1.4150 — area to watch for rejection or break
Failure to hold the 1.4095 range low would signal the breakout is stalling
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41237
Higher highs/higher lows, post-breakout pause.
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, breaking above the 1.40 congestion during yesterday's NY session and extending to a 1.41322 week high. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 62, and pullbacks have stayed shallow as the pair consolidates just under the highs. US-Iran de-escalation has trimmed the safe-haven USD bid against an oil-pressured CAD, but the week's uptrend structure remains intact.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4000, 1.3989
Resistance: 1.41322, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41322 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4070 breakout would signal the move is rolling over
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC today could shift the USD read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing new highs · RSI 67 · price 1.41245
Higher highs, breakout to week high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, with the decisive break occurring into the NY session as collapsing oil after the US-Iran deal kept CAD pinned near seven-month lows. After the 1.4072 breakout, price consolidated in the 1.4094-1.4124 band before pushing to a fresh week high at 1.41248. RSI(14) sits elevated near 67, echoing the digest's stretched, overbought read.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40706, 1.4030
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.4100 round number keeps the breakout intact; loss of it opens the 1.4072 area
Close above 1.4150 socgen target extends the uptrend
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and an oil rebound could shift the read
Overbought RSI leaves the latest push vulnerable to a pullback within the trend
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.41245
Higher highs since breakout, holding new range.
USDCAD broke out hard into the NY session on the oil slump tied to the US-Iran deal, surging from 1.4025 through 1.4120 in two impulse bars. Price consolidated above a 1.4094 floor for a day before pushing to fresh highs near 1.4125; RSI(14) sits elevated near 64 with price holding well above EMA20 and EMA50. Demand is stepping in on dips toward the 1.4094 range floor, keeping the breakout structure intact.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.3999
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.40940 questions the breakout and opens 1.4067
1.4150 psych level — area to watch for rejection or break
Canada Retail Sales (Fri 12:30 GMT) could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 65 · price 1.41228
Higher highs, consolidating post-breakout.
USDCAD broke higher into the NY session, spiking from 1.4025 to a session high near 1.4123 on oil-driven CAD weakness after the US-Iran deal pressured crude. Price has since held a tight consolidation above the 1.4067 breakout base, with RSI(14) cycling in the 60s and price holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The Nov peak near 1.4150 stands as the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4123, 1.4150
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 1.4150 opens the path toward the prior nov peak extension
Failure to hold the 1.4094 session low would expose the 1.4067 breakout base
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week, with the decisive leg coming in the NY session as the oil slump tied to the US-Iran deal kept CAD pinned and the post-Fed USD stayed firm. The pair broke the 1.4030 shelf and ran into 1.412, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) on every pullback. RSI(14) sits near 66 — elevated but not yet stretched into extreme territory.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4067, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.41228, 1.4150
What it said to watch
1.4150 (nov peak) — area to watch for rejection or break
Loss of the 1.4095 swing low would mark the first lower-low this week
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and CPI Mon 22 Jun could materially shift this read
USD/CAD has trended steadily higher all week, with the hawkish FOMC repricing in USD and the oil-driven CAD weakness combining to drive a sharp NY-session impulse yesterday that spiked to a 1.41224 week high. Price is now consolidating in a tight band above the 1.4095 range low, holding well clear of EMA20 with RSI cycling near 60 after stretching at the high. The 1.4072 breakout level marks the base of the latest leg.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4072, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.4072 breakout would undo the latest leg
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC is the key CAD catalyst into the weekly close
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed today 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
Sustained break above 1.41224 week high opens the 1.4150 psych area
USDCAD ripped to seven-month highs near 1.4122 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC debut and a slumping oil tape, then settled into a tight band above 1.4090 through Asia. Price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) elevated near 62, reflecting a stretched but intact advance. The 1.4094 base has contained pullbacks since the breakout.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.3984
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4067 breaks the breakout base and unwinds the move
1.4150 SocGen target / Nov-2025 peak — area to watch for rejection or break
CAD Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.41037
Higher highs since Monday, ranging post-breakout.
USDCAD ripped through 1.4070 into the NY session as the hawkish Fed hold lifted the dollar, tagging a week high at 1.41224 before settling into a tight band above 1.4094. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s, and the post-breakout range has been respected through the Asia session.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40706, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.41123, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.4094 breaks the post-breakout range
Close above 1.41224 extends the week's impulse
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Canada Retail Sales Friday is the next CAD catalyst
USDCAD ripped through the 1.40 congestion on the hawkish Fed hold, the FOMC-reaction candles driving a vertical leg from ~1.4025 to a 1.41224 week high. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4096-1.4112 band above the 1.41000 round number, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 60s. The breakout level at 1.40706 remains untested as buyers keep absorbing pullbacks.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40706, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.41000 puts the breakout level at 1.40706 back in play
Break above 1.41224 extends the post-FOMC leg
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC is the next CAD catalyst
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.41112
Higher highs since Monday, ranging below week high.
USDCAD surged through the 1.4070 level into Wednesday's NY session after the hawkish FOMC repricing lifted the dollar, tagging a week high at 1.41224. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4094–1.4112 range, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back toward the low-60s. The week's oil-driven CAD weakness keeps the broader structure constructive while the 1.41224 ceiling caps attempts.
Support: 1.40706, 1.4025, 1.39752
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.40706 breakout level reopens 1.4025
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC is the key CAD catalyst
USDCAD broke out to 7-month highs near 1.412 after the hawkish FOMC repricing met oil-led CAD weakness, the impulse firing on yesterday's NY session candle from 1.4025 through 1.412. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.4094-1.412 band just under the week high at 1.41224, with RSI holding the low-60s and EMA20 trailing as dynamic support beneath. Each pullback this week has been bought back above the 1.4067 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.3985
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.415 psych level
Loss of 1.40940 session low would expose the 1.4067 breakout shelf
US Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC today and Canada Retail Sales Friday could shift this read
USDCAD ran from the 1.3950 low to a 7-month high at 1.41224 in a sharp NY-session impulse mid-week, driven by oil-led CAD weakness and the hawkish Fed/dot-plot repricing. Since the spike the pair has gone sideways in a 1.4094–1.4112 band, holding well above EMA20 with RSI cooling from overbought toward the low 60s. The 1.40706 breakout base now acts as the deeper reference below the range floor.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40706, 1.4048
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Failure to hold the 1.40940 range floor exposes 1.40706 breakout
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and US jobless claims today could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.41012
Higher highs into 7-month high, ranging below week high.
USDCAD broke higher during the NY session yesterday, leaping from ~1.4025 to 1.4122 as hawkish-Fed repricing (Warsh debut, hot US retail sales) and oil-led CAD weakness combined. Since the spike the pair has held a tight range between 1.4094 and the 1.41224 week high, with RSI cooling off overbought toward 59. Price remains well above EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the 1.40706 breakout shelf has not been retested.
Support: 1.4094, 1.40706, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41224 week high opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.40706 breakout shelf would unwind the post-FOMC move
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 1.40978
Higher highs, holding post-breakout range.
USDCAD ripped higher in the NY session, surging off the 1.4025 base to print a week high at 1.4122 as hawkish-FOMC USD demand met oil-led CAD weakness. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4094–1.4109 band just under that high, holding well above EMA20 with RSI cooling from overbought into the low 60s. The breakout level around 1.4070 has not been retested.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4070, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4122, 1.4109
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4122 week high opens the path higher
Loss of 1.4094 range low signals a deeper pullback toward the 1.4070 breakout base
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed today 12:30 UTC could move the USD leg
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC is the key CAD catalyst
USDCAD ripped through 1.4035 into the NY session and printed a 1.41224 weekly high as a hawkish FOMC hold and hot US retail sales met oil-led CAD weakness. Price has since gone sideways between 1.4094 and 1.4109, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low-60s. The breakout base at 1.4067 has yet to be retested.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41089, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.4094 puts the breakout base at 1.4067 in play
Sustained acceptance above 1.41089 reopens the 1.41224 weekly high
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and CPI Mon could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 1.41008
Breakout then tight consolidation.
USD/CAD surged through 1.40 into yesterday's NY session as the hawkish FOMC dots and a hot US retail sales beat lifted the dollar, printing a week high at 1.4122. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.4094-1.4103 band just under that high, holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI sits elevated near 64 after the impulse, consistent with the overbought flag into the 1.40-1.41 congestion.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained close back below 1.4067 breakout base would unwind the breakout structure
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed today 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Acceptance above 1.4122 week high opens path toward 1.4150 psych area
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.41008
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4030 congestion into the NY session yesterday, spiking from 1.4025 to a week high at 1.41224 as the hawkish FOMC dot-shift firmed the dollar and sliding oil kept CAD heavy. Price has held above the 1.4067 breakout base since, coiling in a tight session range around 1.4100 with RSI elevated near 64. The bullish weekly structure of higher lows remains intact below the 1.41224 ceiling.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41224 week high opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of the 1.4067 breakout base would mark the first crack in the breakout
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ripped to 7-month highs near 1.4122 on the NY-session surge, with oil weakness and the hawkish FOMC repricing keeping the pair bid above EMA20 all week. Price is now coiling between 1.4094 and the 1.4122 week high, holding the 1.4025 breakout shelf below. RSI sits elevated near 68 after the impulse, flagging extended conditions into the round-number 1.4100 region.
Support: 1.4094, 1.4040, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.4122
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.4094 range low would stall the breakout continuation
Loss of 1.4025 breakout shelf reopens the move toward the weekly open
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.41027
Higher highs, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD broke out to 7-month highs during the NY session, spiking from the 1.4025 pre-breakout base to a week high at 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC repricing and oil-led CAD weakness. Price has since stalled into a tight consolidation around 1.4100, holding well above EMA20 with RSI elevated near 64. Buyers defended the 1.40956 session low through the Asia hours, leaving the breakout intact but stretched.
Support: 1.40956, 1.4067, 1.4025
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 psych level
Loss of 1.40956 session low signals the consolidation is breaking lower toward the 1.4067 spike base
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC and CPI Mon could materially shift this read
Range break above weekly congestion, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD ground higher all week before a sharp NY-session impulse drove it from the 1.4025 congestion to a 1.41224 week high, in line with the soft-oil/firm-USD theme noted post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) stretched into overbought after the spike. The 1.4025 breakout base is the first structural reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.4025, 1.4000, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.40250 would mark a return into the prior congestion
Hourly close above 1.41224 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak zone
RSI overbought — risk of a consolidation/pullback despite the breakout
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke the 1.4036 congestion and ran sharply higher into the NY session, tagging a week high at 1.41224 — extending the four-day climb on soft crude and a firm USD post-FOMC. Price has since stalled and is consolidating just under 1.41, with RSI(14) cooling off the push. The 1.4067 breakout base is the first reference below.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4025, 1.39797
Resistance: 1.41172, 1.41224
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.40670 keeps the breakout structure intact
Close below 1.40250 reopens the prior range
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Breakout to new week high, consolidating below it.
USDCAD broke clear of the 1.4020 prior high during yesterday's NY session, spiking to a 1.41224 week high as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift firmed the USD and soft oil kept CAD heavy. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.4094-1.4103 consolidation just below that high, holding well above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s after the impulse, reflecting stretched but not yet exhausted momentum.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4020, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hold of the 1.4067 breakout keeps the new-high structure intact; an hourly close back below it negates the break
1.41224 week high is the immediate cap — area to watch for rejection or extension toward 1.4150
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this read on a hot/soft print
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 70 · price 1.40983
Higher highs, fresh week high after breakout.
USD/CAD surged through the 1.4020 YTD high in the NY session, printing a fresh seven-month high at 1.41224 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing and softer oil weighing on CAD. Price is now consolidating in the low 1.4090s just under that high, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) stretched near 70. The 1.40706 breakout shelf is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 1.40706, 1.4020, 1.39844
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
Hourly close above 1.41224 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.40706 breakout would question the breakout structure