USDCAD is grinding sideways around 1.4234 after recovering from the 1.4215 dip, with broad USD strength near 13-month highs keeping the Loonie pinned. Bars have thinned into the late session, coiling between 1.4222 and 1.4239 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4222, 1.42149, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42388, 1.42451, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42388 reopens the 1.4245-1.4248 highs
Loss of 1.42220 exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.42349
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.42320–1.42350 band through the thin Asia session after stalling at the 1.42476 intraday high. The pair holds above EMA20/50 in a steady grind toward fresh 1-year highs, but volume has dried up and RSI(14) sits flat near 54.
Support: 1.42235, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42235 reopens 1.42150 swing low
Break above 1.42476 extends the intraday uptrend
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.4234
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.4229-1.4235 band through the thin Asia session, holding just under the 1.42476 session high carved during London-NY hours. Volume has dried up into the close and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 — no momentum, price coiling beneath the 1.4239 prior high.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 extends the uptrend toward 1.43
Loss of 1.4215 opens a deeper pullback to the 1.42056 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.4234
Ranging below session high.
NY session pushed to a fresh session high at 1.4248 before easing, and late/Asia hours have held a tight 1.4220–1.4245 range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 54 with no extreme; price chopping just under the high.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 clears the session high and opens the 1.43 area
Failure to hold 1.4220 exposes 1.4215 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is grinding sideways through a thin Asia session between 1.4221 and 1.4240, ATR compressed to ~5 pips after the pullback from the 1.42476 session high. Price holds just above EMA20/50 with RSI flat near 54 — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4240, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4240 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.4221 exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the next leg
USDCAD ground to a fresh >1yr high at 1.42476 on broad hawkish-Fed USD strength, then settled into a tight consolidation around 1.4234 with thin late-session volume. Price is holding the 1.42235 low cluster while capped under the 1.42410 recent high; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42410 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42149 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.42476 during the NY session then eased into a tight 1.4220-1.4245 range, with the Asia hours drifting on thin volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 near 1.42345, RSI(14) neutral around 54 — no fresh momentum since the rejection off 1.4248.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42149, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.4220 exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst
USDCAD pushed to a session high 1.42476 during NY hours then faded to 1.42149 before stabilising; price is now drifting in a thin Asia session around 1.4233-1.4234. Range-bound between the 1.42256 floor and 1.42388 cap, no setup in play.
Support: 1.42256, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42388, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 resumes the uptrend toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE Thursday is the next catalyst and could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.42346
Ranging 1.4223-1.4239 in thin Asia liquidity.
USDCAD slid from the 1.42476 swing high to 1.42149 then recovered into a tight 1.4223-1.4239 range, now drifting on thin early-Asia volume. RSI(14) sits mid-50s with no momentum extreme; pair holding near its >1-year high zone.
Support: 1.4223, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42409 reopens the 1.42476 swing high
Loss of 1.42230 range floor exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thursday is the next material catalyst for this read
USDCAD rejected 1.42476 then based out, now chopping 1.4215–1.4245 through a thin late-Asia session on collapsing volume. Buyers stepped in at 1.42149 and price has recovered to mid-range near 1.4235, with broad USD strength and weak oil keeping the Loonie pinned at multi-month lows.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42451, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 resumes the uptrend toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst for this read
USDCAD pushed to fresh multi-month highs at 1.42476 during NY hours on broad USD strength, then settled into a tight 1.4223-1.4240 range into the late session. RSI(14) hovers near 54 with no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.4223, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the upside extension toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.42230 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 1.42338
Range-bound below session high.
USDCAD is pinned near 14-month highs, consolidating roughly 1.4220-1.4245 through the quiet Asia session after a push to the 1.42476 day high earlier. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme; the broad USD bid and soft oil keep the Loonie offered.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the high side
Loss of 1.42195 confirms a lower-low within the range
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the key driver for the next leg
USDCAD tagged a 14-month high at 1.42476 then faded, now chopping around 1.4226 in thin late-session trade with RSI(14) flat near 47. Demand held the 1.42195 swing low into the Asia handover; range top at 1.4239 capped the last push.
Support: 1.42195, 1.4216, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4239 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42195 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4200
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after push to >1yr highs.
USDCAD ground to a fresh 13-month-area high at 1.42476 during the NY session then faded into a 1.42190-1.42390 consolidation, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. CAD stays pinned at multi-month lows on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid; price is holding the mid of the prior up-leg with no fresh directional break.
Support: 1.42195, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.42386, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42386 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42150 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this dollar leg
22:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.42288
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD churning around 1.4229 in thin late-NY/Asia transition after a rejection at 1.42409; pair holding just off >1-yr highs as USD sits at 13-month peaks. Recovery off the 1.42149 dip stalled into the 1.4240 supply, leaving price mid-range with RSI flat near 47.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42409 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42195 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.42056
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sits at >1-year highs, consolidating around 1.4229 after rejection at the session high 1.42476 during NY hours. Thin late-session/Asia liquidity has kept price drifting between the recent low 1.42195 and the swing high 1.42409, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42409
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42195 exposes the 1.42056 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
USDCAD sits at 13-month highs on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, rejected at the 1.4248 session high during NY hours and pulled back. Buyers stepped in at 1.4215, lifting price to 1.4240 before it drifted back to 1.4224 with RSI(14) cooling near 44.
Support: 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 opens fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.4215 exposes the 1.4149 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pressed to a fresh 13-month high at 1.42476 in NY hours before fading back to 1.4224 as the dollar trade consolidated. Price is now chopping under the 1.4241 session high with RSI(14) mid-range, holding above the 1.42149 swing low. No clean setup — two-way drift between 1.4215 and 1.4241.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday base
Reclaim of 1.4241 reopens the 1.42476 high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key risk for the dollar leg
Range after push to session high, drifting off the top.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.42476 during NY hours on broad USD demand, then faded back to consolidate near 1.4230 into the late-NY/Asia handover. RSI(14) mid-range at ~46; price now ranging between 1.42195 and the 1.4239-1.42476 supply zone with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.42149 keeps the higher-low structure intact
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the upside extension
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.4230 just under the 1.4248 session high after pushing to fresh 14-month highs, with broad USD demand on hawkish-Fed bets keeping the Loonie offered. RSI(14) near 46 and price slipping below EMA20/50 — momentum has cooled while the range top still caps.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4244, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4244 reopens the path to the 1.4248 prior high
Break below 1.42149 session low confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD parked just under its 14-month high, consolidating 1.4229-1.4241 after stalling at the 1.4241 session high, with broad USD strength keeping CAD offered. Price has drifted to the lower half of the range into thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) cooling near 44.
Support: 1.4229, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42290 opens the path back to the 1.42150 session low
Break above 1.42410 reopens the 1.42476 prior high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.4230 after tagging a 14-month-high at 1.42476 during NY hours, with the loonie offered on hawkish-Fed USD strength and soft oil. Price has drifted off the highs into the late-NY/Asia transition, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral as the 1.4220-1.4239 range holds.
Support: 1.42191, 1.42149, 1.42018
Resistance: 1.42388, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens continuation toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.42149 signals a deeper pullback toward 1.42018
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the next USD leg
21:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.42317
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD spiked to a session high at 1.42476 then sold off to 1.42149, and is now consolidating near the 50% retrace around 1.42317 as the broad USD safe-haven bid holds. Last few bars drifting lower into the close, RSI(14) flat near 49 — no momentum either way intraday.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42409 reopens the path to the 1.42476 session high
Break below 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and negates the range
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
USDCAD sits near 14-month highs, consolidating around 1.4232 after recovering from the 1.42149 swing low and stalling at the 1.42409 session high. The pair has drifted off that high with RSI(14) easing back toward 48, leaving price coiled between 1.42289 and 1.42409.
Support: 1.42289, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42409 reopens the path to the 1.42476 window high
Loss of 1.42289 then 1.42149 would mark a lower low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a fresh 14-month session high at 1.42476 before fading, with the broad USD safe-haven bid keeping the Loonie offered. Price now consolidates near 1.4230 below the highs, RSI(14) back to neutral after the rejection; held above the 1.42191 swing low.
Support: 1.42191, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42476 reopens session-high test
Loss of 1.42191 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.42149 day low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 46 · price 1.42301
Range after fresh 14-month high, pulling back.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 before sellers capped the move; price has since rolled back to 1.42301, retracing roughly half of the bounce off the 1.42149 swing low. Now consolidating between the pivot low at 1.42235 and the recent high at 1.42409 ahead of Thursday's US Core PCE.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens continuation toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42235 pivot low exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD grinding just under the 14-month high, rejected at 1.42476 during NY hours and consolidating around 1.4232 after a dip to 1.4215 was bought. RSI(14) neutral near 54, momentum flat as the broad USD bid holds the Loonie offered.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4239 reopens the path toward session high 1.42476
Loss of 1.4215 swing low exposes the 1.4205 day low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground to a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248 through the NY session on the broad hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.4232. A pullback into 1.4215 drew buyers and the move from there capped at 1.4240; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4248 reopens the path toward the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.4215 swing low signals a deeper pullback
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.4233
Higher highs, ranging under session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh 14-month session high near 1.4248 through NY hours on the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft oil, then pulled back to 1.4215 before recovering. Now chopping around 1.4233 just under the 1.4239 1-yr high, holding above both EMAs with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 extends the session high break
Failure to hold 1.4215 pullback low opens the intraday base at 1.4206
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 1.4233
Consolidating below session high after fresh 14-month high.
USDCAD pressed to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 during the NY session on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, then drifted into a tight 1.4232-1.4240 range as RSI(14) cooled to mid-fifties. Demand held the 1.4215 swing low through the London-NY transition; range top still capping.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.4215 confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 1.4233
Consolidating near session highs after grind up.
USDCAD is pinned near 14-month highs, drifting in a 1.4232-1.4241 band through the late NY session after a steady grind up from the 1.4215 swing low. RSI(14) near 54 reflects the cooling momentum as price stalls under the 1.4241 session high. CAD remains offered on hawkish-Fed/USD strength.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4241 opens the path to 1.4248 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4215 swing low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD grinding sideways near 14-month highs around 1.4233 after tapping 1.4248 during NY hours, with the Loonie offered on broad USD strength. RSI(14) neutral near 52; the rally from 1.4201 has stalled into a tight range below the session high.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215, 1.4201
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 opens the path toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, holding near session top.
USDCAD grinding higher through the NY session, pinning CAD near 14-month lows on broad USD strength and soft oil. Price consolidating just under the 1.42476 day high after defending the 1.42149 session low, RSI(14) mid-range with room before extremes.
Support: 1.42291, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 day high opens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.42291 swing low risks a deeper pullback to 1.42149
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the swing catalyst for the USD leg
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.42364
Higher highs and higher lows.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session toward 1.4240, with the loonie pinned near 14-month lows on USD strength and soft oil. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.4229 and price holds above the rising EMAs, RSI mid-60s with room before exhaustion.
Support: 1.4229, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.42409, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42409 reopens the 1.42476 day high
Failure to hold 1.42290 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding back to highs · RSI 63 · price 1.42389
Higher lows after midwindow dip, retesting session high.
USDCAD is climbing back toward the session high at 1.42476 after a midwindow dip to 1.42149 was bought up, with CAD pinned at 14-month lows. Late-NY bars show a chain of higher lows and RSI(14) around 63 — short-term firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.42291, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43 zone flagged in context
Failure to hold 1.42291 reopens the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst
USDCAD recovered the dip to 1.42149 and is grinding back into the session high at 1.42398, with the broader USD bid keeping the Loonie offered near 14-month lows. Price holds above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 62 — firm but not extended. Prior high at 1.42476 is the next area to watch.
Support: 1.42291, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42398, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.42476 extends the leg toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42149 swing low negates the higher-low recovery
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Ranging, recovering from pullback · RSI 56 · price 1.42351
Range-bound with rising lows into resistance.
USDCAD spent the NY session grinding inside 1.4215–1.4248 after rejecting the 1.42476 session high and dipping to 1.42149. Price has rebuilt on rising lows back toward 1.4235, RSI(14) mid-range near 56; the 1.4239 multi-year-high pivot caps just overhead.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens path to range extension toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.42149 reopens downside toward 1.4205
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Recovery off intraday swing low, consolidating under highs.
USDCAD pushed to a session high near 1.4248 then pulled back to the 1.4215 swing low before recovering to consolidate around 1.4235, just under the 1.4239 supply. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 after the dip; broad USD strength keeps the pair pinned near 14-month highs.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42282
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4239 reopens the 1.4248 day high
Loss of 1.4215 swing low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.42351
Rangebound below session high after recovering the intraday dip.
USDCAD tagged a session high at 1.42476 during NY hours then flushed to 1.42149 before buyers recovered the move back toward 1.4235, the pair holding 14-month-high territory on the broad USD bid. Now coiling between 1.42238 and 1.42388 with RSI(14) mid-range — no clear directional push into late NY.
Support: 1.42238, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42388, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42388 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42238 puts the 1.42149 session low back in play
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next macro driver for this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.42351
Rangebound under 1.4248 after recovering off 1.4215.
USDCAD is pinned near 14-month highs, grinding back to 1.4235 after rejection at the 1.4248 session high and a dip to 1.4215. RSI sits mid-range, ATR ~7 pips; price holding above EMA20/50 with no clean break either way.
Support: 1.4224, 1.42149, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.42149 session low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst for the USD leg
USD/CAD recovered off the 1.42149 session low to grind back toward 1.4232 into late NY hours, after the earlier push to the 1.42476 session high was rejected. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 with ATR around 7 pips; higher lows are building but price remains capped under the 1.42360 swing high.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4236, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42360 opens a retest of the 1.42476 session high
Failure to hold 1.42235 reopens the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD chopping in the 1.4215–1.4248 band during NY hours after tagging a session high at 1.42476, with CAD pinned near 14-month lows on USD strength and soft oil. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and price is sitting on its EMA20; rejection capped the late London push at 1.42445.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path higher toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD topped at 1.42476 then sold off to 1.42149 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 1.42338 with RSI(14) back near mid-range. Price is grinding higher off the low but still capped below the 1.42445 session high; the dip lined up with the modest USD pullback flagged in Asia.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42026
Resistance: 1.42445, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Break below 1.42149 confirms a lower low and resumes the slide
Close above 1.42445 reopens the 1.42476 session high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst and can reshape this read
Pullback from session high held, retrace underway.
USDCAD rejected the 1.42476 session high and slid to 1.42149 before buyers stepped back in through the late-NY drift, recovering to 1.4234 with RSI(14) back near neutral. A modest USD pullback in Asia capped the topside; price now mid-range between 1.42149 and the 1.42386 swing high.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42235, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42386, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42386 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and questions the recovery
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, paused after pullback · RSI 56 · price 1.42341
Higher lows rebuilding off 1.4215.
NY session pulled back from the 1.4248 session high to 1.42149, where buyers stepped in and price has ground back to 1.4234. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, no extreme; USD/CAD holding the uptrend ahead of US Core PCE tomorrow.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42386, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42386 opens the path back to the 1.42476 session high
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pulled back from the session high near 1.4248 to 1.4215 through the NY hours, then recovered toward mid-range at 1.4234; a modest USD breather in Asia per the macro read. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4207
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.4207
Close above 1.4248 resumes the intraday uptrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back then recovering · RSI 53 · price 1.42341
Pullback off session high, buyers stepping back in.
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.42476 during NY hours then pulled back to 1.42149 before recovering toward 1.42341 into the late session. RSI sits mid-range near 53 with the broader intraday push still higher; CAD remains heavy as oil weakness and hawkish-Fed pricing keep the pair near 14-month highs.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42445, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42149 confirms a lower low and questions the recovery
Break above 1.42476 reopens the session-high push
US Core PCE Friday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Consolidating after intraday pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.42341
Range-bound, recovering off session low.
USDCAD topped at 1.42476 during NY hours then sold off to 1.42149 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.42341 by late NY. Now mid-range with RSI near neutral; the session high at 1.42476 is the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42451
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 reopens the session high break
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.42317
Intraday range, bounce from swing low.
USDCAD spent the window ranging roughly 1.4215–1.4248; NY hours rejected the 1.42476 session high and dropped to 1.42149 about an hour ago before buyers stepped back in to 1.42317. Move sits mid-range as the broader trend holds 14-month highs on hawkish-Fed and soft oil.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42018
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.4218
Fade from session high, lower highs forming.
USDCAD faded from the NY session high near 1.4247 after two failed pushes around 1.4244, slipping to 1.4218 with RSI(14) cooling toward 41. The Asian-session USD breather and soft WTI capped the earlier rally; price now testing the 1.4215 swing-low zone.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4244, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4200 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4180
Reclaim of 1.4244 reopens the path to the 1.4247 session high
US Core PCE Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
NY session drove USD/CAD to a session high at 1.4248 before sellers faded the move, with the dollar consolidating its YTD highs into Friday's PCE. Price has since retraced roughly 60% of the up-leg back to 1.4218, RSI(14) cooling to ~41 as it slips back under the EMA20.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4201
Resistance: 1.4231, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4215 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4201 range low
Reclaim of 1.4231 EMA20 negates the pullback toward the 1.4248 high
17:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.4218
Lower highs after double rejection near 1.4248.
USDCAD pulled back through the NY session after a double rejection at the 1.4248 session high, and is now pressing 1.4215 with RSI(14) cooling near 38. Lower highs since the 1.4244 retest; below 1.4215 the 1.4200 round number is the next reference.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42346, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.4200 round number
Reclaim of 1.42346 swing high would negate the pullback read
Friday US PCE could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Pulling back from session highs · RSI 42 · price 1.4218
Lower highs since 1.4248 rejection.
USD/CAD rejected twice near the 1.4248 session high during NY hours and has unwound toward 1.4218, with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the dollar consolidates YTD highs. Price now trades below EMA20/50, leaning on the 1.4215 session low with the 1.42 round number just beneath.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4245, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4200 undercuts the round-number support
Reclaim of 1.4245 reasserts the session high
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD rejected the 1.4248 session high during NY hours and faded to 1.4215, slipping back below EMA20/50 as the dollar consolidated YTD highs. Move tracks the broad USD strength theme; RSI(14) near 41 with momentum rolling over after the lower high.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4235, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4215 opens the path to the 1.4200 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4235 would negate the lower-high read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main near-term driver for this pair
17:02 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rally · RSI 42 · price 1.4218
Lower highs forming off session high.
NY session pushed to a fresh high at 1.4248 before stalling, then reversed sharply lower into late session as USD consolidated YTD highs. Price has carved a chain of lower highs and is now testing the 1.4215 swing low, with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4235, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4215 opens the path to 1.4200
Reclaim of 1.4235 negates the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.4218
Lower highs off session high, testing intraday support.
NY session faded the 1.4248 session high, twice rejected near 1.4245 before sliding to 1.4215, RSI(14) cooling to ~41. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the Asia-to-NY up-leg with EMA20/50 capping overhead; broad USD strength near 13-month highs still underpins the pair.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4238, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4215 swing low opens the path to 1.4200 psych
Reclaim of 1.4238 lower high needed to re-engage the upside
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.42233
NY rally rolling over into pullback toward support shelf.
NY session drove USDCAD to a 1.42476 high before fading, with a second push stalling at 1.42451 — a double-top print as RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. Price now retesting the 1.42215 shelf; the broad USD bid into tomorrow's Core PCE keeps the pair pinned near recent highs.
Support: 1.42215, 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42451, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42215 confirms a lower low and opens 1.42130
Reclaim of 1.42451 puts the 1.42476 session high back in play
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.42233
Session high rejected, testing recent swing low.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.42476 before sellers stepped in; price has slid back to 1.42233 and is now testing the 1.42209 swing low, RSI(14) cooling near 44. The leg lower looks corrective within the broader uptrend at 14-month highs.
Support: 1.42209, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4236, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42209 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42360 keeps the intraday uptrend intact
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.42476 session high before fading, with the pair now chopping around 1.4230-1.4240 on a broad USD safe-haven bid. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and price has slipped just under EMA20; buyers stepped in twice at the 1.42268 swing low.
Support: 1.42268, 1.42215
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42268 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the session high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 53 · price 1.42327
Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.42476 during NY hours on the broad USD bid, then faded to 1.42327, slipping back to EMA20. Pullback is holding above the 1.42256–1.42271 swing-low shelf with RSI cooling to mid-range.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42256, 1.4220
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
Reclaim of 1.42444 reopens the 1.42476 session high
US Core PCE Thursday is the next major USD catalyst
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.4238
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullbacks bought.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high near 1.4248 before pulling back to 1.4226, where buyers stepped back in toward 1.4238. CAD remains the weakest major and USD sits at highs; momentum is steady, RSI(14) mid-range with room either way.
Support: 1.4226, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4258
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4226 breaks the swing-low shelf and flips the read to a lower-low
Close above 1.4248 session high opens the path toward the 1.4258 round number
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 58 · price 1.4238
Higher highs and higher lows into NY.
USDCAD grinding higher through NY hours, holding a chain of higher lows toward the 1.4248 session high as the USD trades fresh 13-month highs. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme; price pinned near the top of its intraday range.
Support: 1.4221, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4280
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4248 opens path toward 1.4280
Loss of 1.4221 breaks the rising-low sequence
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum holding · RSI 61 · price 1.4238
Higher highs into session highs.
USDCAD grinds higher through the NY session, pressing the 1.42476 session high after a shallow dip to the 1.42256 swing low held. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before stretched; broad USD bid and soft oil keep the Loonie on the back foot.
Support: 1.42256, 1.42139
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.425 round number
Loss of 1.42256 swing low breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 1.4238
Higher highs into NY, capped at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session into a 14-month high, tagging 1.42476 before stalling; the safe-haven USD bid and soft oil keep the Loonie heavy. Buyers stepped in at 1.4227 on the pullback and price is back at 1.4238, holding above EMA20.
Support: 1.4230, 1.4227, 1.4207
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 session high opens 1.4250 psych
Loss of 1.4227 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248 before sellers faded it back to 1.4230, trimming RSI off the highs. Trend stays firm above 1.4200 on hawkish-Fed pricing and soft oil; current pullback is holding the rising sequence of higher lows.
Support: 1.42253, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4225 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.4248 session high reopens the highs
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 1.42301
Pullback off session high.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.42476 then faded; the move is corrective after the pair tagged 14-month highs above 1.4200. Price has slipped back under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s, sitting just above the 1.42256 swing low.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42444
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.42444 reopens the session high at 1.42476
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next swing factor for this pair
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.42367
Higher highs, higher lows into fresh YTD high.
NY session extended the climb to a fresh YTD high at 1.42476 before easing to 1.42367, RSI(14) holding mid-60s with room left. CAD remains the weakest major after this week's data failed to lift it; pullbacks into 1.42256 have been bought.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4213, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42256 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the 1.42130 shelf
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the path higher
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
USDCAD grinding to 14-month highs above 1.4200, currently 1.42367 after a rejection at the 1.42476 session high during NY hours. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.42250 keeping the higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) near 60, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42256 breaks the higher-low chain and opens the 1.42130 shelf
M15 close above 1.42476 resumes the leg higher
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next swing catalyst for this pair
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.42421
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a high of 1.42476 with broad USD at 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed and safe-haven flows. The pullback to 1.42253 was bought back and price now sits just under the session high; RSI(14) elevated near 61 but not stretched.
Support: 1.42253, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.42253 marks a lower low and breaks the rising-low chain
US Core PCE tomorrow (12:30 UTC) is the next major USD swing factor
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 63 · price 1.42421
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks bought.
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh highs near 1.42476 on broad USD strength, with the pullback to 1.42256 bought during the London-NY transition. Price sits just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-60s — firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.4234, 1.42256, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42451
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.42256 swing low breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next major USD swing factor
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.42421
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
USDCAD held a steady NY-session uptrend, riding broad USD strength to a session high at 1.42476 before a dip into 1.42256 was bought back. Price is now retesting the highs around 1.4242 with RSI(14) mid-60s, leaving the session range top intact.
Support: 1.4233, 1.42256, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 extends the session high
Loss of 1.42256 breaks the recent higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD swing factor
USDCAD ground higher through London into NY on broad USD strength, tagging a session high at 1.42476 before a shallow dip to 1.42255 was bought back. Price is back near the highs at 1.42421, RSI(14) mid-60s with room left; the 1.42255 shelf has held twice.
Support: 1.42255, 1.42209, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42255 breaks the higher-low chain and opens the 1.42209 base
Sustained move above 1.42476 extends the breakout toward 1.42500
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD swing factor for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.42476 on broad USD strength, then was rejected and pulled back to 1.42342. Buyers stepped in near 1.42256 to hold the prior swing low; pair sits mid-range with RSI cooling.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the session-high break
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, sweeping the session high at 1.42476 before sellers capped it and the pair pulled back toward 1.42256. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs near 56; structure intact above the 1.42256 swing low.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the path higher
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD swing factor
NY session pushed to a fresh session high at 1.42476 — a 14-month high underpinned by USD strength — before rejecting and fading to 1.42256. Price now consolidating near 1.4229, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range with the broader intraday uptrend still intact.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4220, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 resumes the uptrend toward the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.42256 opens the 1.4220 shelf
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD swing factor
USDCAD climbed through the NY session to a yearly-high near 1.42476 on broad USD strength, then was rejected and pulled back toward 1.42256. Price now consolidates around 1.42294, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI cooling to the low-50s.
Support: 1.42256, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42369
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower low after the rejection
Reclaim of 1.42369 reopens the 1.42476 session high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD swing factor
NY session drove USD/CAD to a yearly-high session peak at 1.42476 before sellers rejected it, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral near 52. Price has retraced into the 1.42290 area and is hovering around its EMA20 after the pullback; broader uptrend off the 1.42209 base still intact.
Support: 1.42256, 1.42209
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4236
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 resumes the uptrend toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.42209 negates the higher-low structure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD swing factor
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42476 — a fresh yearly high on broad USD strength and weak CAD — before rejection trimmed the move back to 1.42289. Pullback held above the 1.42256 swing low; momentum has cooled off the highs but the intraday uptrend structure is intact.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4215, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4240
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42256 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the path higher
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session extended the uptrend to a session high of 1.42476 before sellers rejected the level, pulling price back to 1.42289 with RSI(14) cooling off into the low 50s. Broad USD strength on the hawkish-Fed / risk-off bid kept the floor firm above 1.42256.
Support: 1.42256, 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the upside
Loss of 1.42256 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.42476 then was rejected, fading back to 1.42256 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Broad USD strength at fresh YTD highs underpins the day's grind higher; price now hovering near the 1.42289 mid as the prior up-leg gets retraced.
Support: 1.42256, 1.42209, 1.42112
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42383 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42256 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback toward 1.42209
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.42476 before the last bar rejected back to 1.42357, with broad USD strength at 13-month highs keeping the Loonie heavy. Higher-low chain intact above 1.42210; momentum cooling but not extreme, RSI near 62.
Support: 1.4221, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4240
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 extends the breakout higher
Close below 1.42210 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.42476 on broad dollar strength, then rejected back to 1.42342 before stabilising near 1.42357. Higher-low chain intact and price holds above EMA20/50; RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.42342, 1.42209, 1.4210
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42209 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42476 reopens the path higher
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh window high at 1.42476, riding broad USD strength at 13-month DXY highs. Clean chain of higher lows, RSI(14) near 70 — hot but normal for this push. Price holding above the 1.42370 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.4237, 1.42215, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42215 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 1.42476 session high would cap the push
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.42447
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session highs.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to fresh session highs near 1.42476 on broad USD strength, RSI(14) running hot around 70. Price holds above EMA20/50 with an unbroken higher-high chain; 1.42210 swing low marks the last defended pivot.
Support: 1.4232, 1.4221, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42210 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
Close above 1.42500 opens room for trend extension
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing highs · RSI 68 · price 1.42407
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours and broke to a fresh session high at 1.42447, RSI(14) hot near 68 but not yet stretched. Broad USD strength on Fed-hike repricing kept the Loonie heavy, with the dip to 1.42209 bought back into the close.
Support: 1.42282, 1.42209, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42282 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst for the pair
13:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.42407
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD pressing fresh session highs at 1.42447 into NY hours as broad USD strength (fresh YTD DXY highs) and soft WTI keep the Loonie heavy. Price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepped in at 1.42306 on the last dip; the 1.4220–1.4230 area is intact support.
Support: 1.42306, 1.42209, 1.4210
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42209 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst
Sustained move above 1.42447 opens the 1.4250 psych level
USDCAD ground to fresh session highs near 1.4245 through the NY session on broad USD strength and a heavy Loonie. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.4225 after the pullback, and the breakout above 1.4235 holds; RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.4225, 1.4210, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42250 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Close above 1.42447 session high opens the path to the 1.4250 round number
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst for this read
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 74 · price 1.42407
Stair-step HH/HL, new session high.
USDCAD pressed to a fresh session high at 1.42447 during NY hours, RSI(14) hot near 74 as broad USD strength keeps the Loonie heavy. Buyers stepped in at 1.42254 on the last dip; the Asian-range top near 1.4198 has held as the floor all session.
Support: 1.42254, 1.42067, 1.4198
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.42254 breaks the intraday HL chain
Sustained move above 1.42447 extends the uptrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst for this read
USDCAD grinding to fresh 14-month highs near 1.42394 into NY hours, USD broadly bid on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence. Pullbacks held above 1.42215 through the session; RSI(14) around 64, elevated but not stretched.
Support: 1.42215, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42394, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.42394 opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych area
Loss of 1.42215 swing low would break the higher-low chain
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next material risk for this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42379
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY session extended the grind higher, USD broadly bid into US PCE, with a fresh session high printed at 1.42394. Price holds above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched; the chain of higher lows off 1.42130 remains intact.
Support: 1.42215, 1.4213, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42394, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42215 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.42394 opens 1.4250
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh intraday peak at 1.42383 then pulled back into the NY session, with demand stepping in around 1.42209 before price recovered to 1.42352. The broad USD bid stalled near 14-month highs as markets wait on Thursday's US Core PCE.
Support: 1.42209, 1.4213, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4240
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 opens the path toward the 1.42400 round level
Failure to hold 1.42209 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 60 · price 1.42352
Higher highs and higher lows since Asia.
USDCAD grinding higher through the London-NY transition near a 14-month high, last at 1.42352 as the broad USD bid pauses ahead of US PCE. Buyers stepped in around 1.42209 after the 1.42383 session-high spike faded; structure stays a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.42209, 1.42056, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42209 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Close above 1.42383 reopens the session high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD/CAD mover
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.42383 then faded, now ranging near 1.4227 as the broad USD rally paused ahead of Thursday's Core PCE. Higher-low chain off 1.42012 keeps the intraday uptrend intact, though the last few bars stalled under the highs.
Support: 1.42209, 1.4213, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42360 reopens the 1.42383 session high
Loss of 1.42209 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US New Home Sales 14:00 UTC could inject volatility into the USD leg
USDCAD ran to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42383 during NY hours on broad USD strength, then eased back to consolidate around 1.42270 as the loonie clawed a small Asian-session bounce ahead of US PCE. Price is hugging EMA20 within a tight 1.42209–1.42383 range, RSI cooling toward neutral after the push.
Support: 1.42209, 1.4213, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the path toward the 1.42470 yearly high
Failure to hold 1.42130 confirms a deeper pullback within the uptrend
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42383 during NY hours on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence, then eased to 1.42272, holding just above the prior yearly high at 1.4225. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the pullback retests the breakout level.
Support: 1.4225, 1.42209, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4225 turns the breakout into a false break and exposes 1.42209
Reclaim of 1.42383 resumes the higher-high sequence
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reshape this read
Fresh 14-month high then pullback, consolidating below 1.4238.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42383 during the London-NY session on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence, then faded to consolidate around 1.4227 with RSI back near neutral. Price is hovering just under EMA20 while holding above the 1.42209 swing low; supply capped the move at the session high.
Support: 1.42209, 1.42112, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42361, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the path to fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.42209 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4210
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground up through the London session to a session high at 1.42383 then was rejected, easing back to 1.4226 with the broad USD at 13-month highs keeping the pair pinned near YTD peaks. RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range as price slips back under EMA20; the HL chain still holds above 1.42238.
Support: 1.42238, 1.4211, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4233
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 reopens the upside toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.42238 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42383 during NY hours, clearing the prior yearly-high zone as the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence kept CAD pinned. Price has since rejected and slipped back to 1.42263, dipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward mid-range; the 1.42248 swing low is holding so far.
Support: 1.42248, 1.42056, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42248 swing low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Reclaim above 1.42383 session high reopens the upside path
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
Higher highs/higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window, breaking the ~1.4225 yearly high and spiking to a 1.42383 session high on the broad USD bid before easing back to 1.42291. RSI(14) near mid-50s after cooling from the high; price holds above EMA20/50 with the reclaimed 1.4225 level now acting as support.
Support: 1.42238, 1.4225, 1.42112
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42238 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Close back below 1.4225 would negate the yearly-high breakout
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows, easing off session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, spiking to 1.42383 before sellers capped it and price eased back toward 1.4225. RSI(14) cooling off from the high as buyers held the 1.42248 area; broad USD strength and soft oil keep the Loonie pressured.
Support: 1.42248, 1.42112
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the upside path
Loss of 1.42248 recent low exposes 1.42112 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.42383 then was rejected, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range as price eased to 1.4225. The broader 24h structure stays a chain of higher highs off the Asian low, with the consol shelf around 1.42100 the last defended floor.
Support: 1.4210, 1.42067, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42369
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 resumes the uptrend toward new highs
Loss of 1.42100 consol shelf breaks the rising structure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Higher highs/lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition to a session high at 1.42383 before fading to 1.4225, a soft USD consolidation consistent with the broad dollar pause noted in context. Price now sits below EMA20 but holds above the rising swing-low structure; RSI(14) back near neutral after the push.
Support: 1.42246, 1.42056, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42362
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42246 puts the 1.42056 swing low back in play
Reclaim and close above 1.42383 reopens the session-high break
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Higher highs / higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.42383 during the London-NY window as the broad USD held near 13-month highs, then faded to 1.42252 on a soft consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the push; the rising intraday structure holds while 1.42210 survives.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42116, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42210 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the session high
US New Home Sales 14:00 UTC, and Core PCE tomorrow, are the next USD catalysts
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 1.42252
Higher highs, retracing from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.42383 before stalling, with the loonie still soft on weak oil and Fed-hike bets. Price has since faded back to 1.42252, roughly the 40% retrace of the 1.42056-1.42383 leg, RSI(14) cooling to neutral.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Hold of the 1.42130 swing shelf keeps the higher-high structure intact
Close back above 1.42383 reopens the session high
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, USD broadly bid on hawkish-Fed repricing while soft oil keeps CAD heavy. The spike to 1.42383 was rejected and price is consolidating in the 1.42270–1.42360 zone, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.42272, 1.4214, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 1.42383 reopens the session-high extension
Loss of 1.42272 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, grinding under session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, tagging 1.42383 before easing back to 1.42326 — the broad USD bid keeping the Loonie pressured near 14-month lows. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, momentum cooling as the rally stalls just under the session high.
Support: 1.4226, 1.4210, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.42260 swing low breaks the intraday rising support
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reshape this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.42346
Rising HH/HL chain, consolidating near session high.
USD/CAD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.42383 before easing into a tight consolidation around 1.4235; CAD remains the soft side with oil weak. Pullbacks have held above 1.4226, keeping the rising intraday structure intact.
Support: 1.4226, 1.42112, 1.42064
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 extends the session high
Loss of 1.42260 breaks the rising structure toward 1.42112
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 62 · price 1.42346
Higher highs and higher lows, near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, posting a fresh session high at 1.42383 before easing back to 1.42346, with the broad USD bid and CAD the weakest major. RSI(14) near 62 leaves room before overbought; the chain of higher lows off the Asian low at 1.42012 stays intact.
Support: 1.4226, 1.4213, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 extends the session high
Failure to hold 1.42260 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, posting a session high at 1.42383 before easing back to 1.42328 — broad USD strength and soft oil keeping CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 58 with the climb stalling just under the high; ATR is compressed around 6-7 pips.
Support: 1.4213, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.42130 swing low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
US Core PCE tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.42328
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.42383 before easing to 1.42328, CAD the weakest major on soft oil and Fed-hike bets. Higher lows holding above 1.42200; RSI(14) near 62, hot but not extended.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4210, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 opens the path toward the 1.42500 round number
Loss of 1.42100 shelf breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42328
Rising HH/HL chain off 1.4206.
USDCAD extended its grind to a session high at 1.42383 before easing back to 1.4233, holding a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.4206 leg low — consistent with CAD pinned near 14-month lows on the hawkish-Fed/patient-BoC divergence. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before stretched; pullbacks into 1.4227 have been bought.
Support: 1.42272, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42272 breaks the recent higher-low sequence
Close above 1.42383 reopens the path toward 1.4250
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next directional driver for this pair
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.42328
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42383 during the London-NY transition before fading to 1.42328, with the broad USD bid keeping price pinned near 14-month highs. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the rising sequence of higher lows off 1.41686 stays intact.
Support: 1.4227, 1.4213, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42270 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
Close above 1.42383 session high opens continuation
US Core PCE Thursday is the next directional driver for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.42383 before easing to 1.42338, with CAD pinned near 14-month lows and the broad USD bid intact. RSI(14) near 64 — firm, not extreme — and price holds above both EMAs after the breakout from the 1.4220 shelf.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4220 breakout shelf would negate the breakout read
Close above 1.42383 extends the session-high chain
US Core PCE Thursday is the next directional driver for this pair
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, pressing session high.
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.42383 before easing to 1.42338 with RSI(14) near 68. Move is backed by the broad USD bid keeping CAD pinned near 14-month lows; higher-low structure off 1.42056 intact.
Support: 1.4228, 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 extends the uptrend toward the round 1.4250
Loss of the 1.42280 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next directional driver for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia-into-London window, refreshing 14-month-high territory at 1.42383 before stalling around 1.4235. Pullbacks held the rising 1.4206–1.4221 shelf and RSI(14) sits hot but not extreme near 66, consistent with the broader hawkish-Fed bid and soft oil keeping CAD pinned.
Support: 1.4221, 1.4210, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42383 extends the higher-high sequence toward 1.4250 psych
Loss of 1.4210 consol shelf breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US New Home Sales 14:00 UTC and Thu Core PCE could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.4235
Rising lows into session high.
USDCAD ground to a session high at 1.4238 through London hours before easing to 1.4235, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but short of extreme. Chain of higher lows intact, with USD pinned at 13-month highs underpinning the grind. Rejections capped 1.4238 twice.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4205, 1.4179
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4220 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 1.4238 session high opens 1.4250 psych
Thu Core PCE (US) could materially shift this read
London session drove a stair-step climb to a fresh session high at 1.42383 before sellers rejected the spike, leaving price back at 1.42285. USD/CAD holds above its rising EMAs near 14-month highs, RSI(14) cooling from the push but still constructive; demand stepped in twice around 1.4226 on the pullback.
Support: 1.4226, 1.42112, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42112 breaks the higher-low chain
Thu US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the primary catalyst for this pair
London-hours push tagged 1.42383 and was rejected back to 1.42285, capping the session high after a steady grind off the 1.42012 Asian low. USD/CAD holds near 14-month highs with USD strength intact; RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still constructive above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42012, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 resumes the uptrend toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.42130 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US New Home Sales 14:00 UTC could nudge USD near-term
Higher highs/higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD spiked to 1.42383 into the London session before fading to 1.4228, with the broader bid tied to USD strength at 13-month highs and soft oil keeping CAD pinned near 14-month lows. Price holds above EMA20/50 and the rising intraday structure, RSI(14) easing back toward 60 after the spike.
Support: 1.4226, 1.4211, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42260 breaks the rising swing-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the upside extension
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the primary USD catalyst this week
London session spiked to a session high at 1.42383 before easing back to 1.42285, with USDCAD pinned near 14-month highs on the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft oil. RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60, price still above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42130 swing low would break the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.42383 session high reopens upside toward 1.4250
US Core PCE Thursday is the primary USD catalyst this week
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to 14-month highs, spiking to the session high at 1.42383 before slipping back to 1.42289 — USD bid on Fed-hike repricing while CAD stays soft on weak oil. Micro-structure holds higher lows off the 1.42056 swing low; RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4215, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.42383 session high opens the 1.42500 round number
Loss of 1.42150 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Thursday US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 64 · price 1.42289
Rising HH/HL, breakout to new highs.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42383 on broad USD strength then immediately faded back to 1.42289, leaving a rejection wick. Uptrend structure intact above 1.4222; the breakout lip is now the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.42220 keeps the breakout structure intact
Loss of 1.42130 swing low signals a deeper pullback
US PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 74 · price 1.42367
Higher highs, fresh breakout.
USDCAD pushed to fresh 14-month highs into late London, breaking 1.42240 on a broad USD bid as CAD stays pressured by soft oil and Fed-hike repricing. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but normal in this kind of trend; the 1.42240 breakout level is the first reference below.
Support: 1.4224, 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42240 negates the breakout
Failure to hold 1.42056 confirms a lower-low
1.42500 psych — area to watch for rejection or break
USDCAD broke above the 1.4222 consolidation top into the London session, printing a fresh 14-month high at 1.4238 as broad USD bid and soft oil keep CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; the move accelerated on the last bar with little overhead structure until 1.4250.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4216, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4222 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Failure to hold 1.4216 confirms loss of the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 68 · price 1.42274
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4228 through the London session, extending the breakout above the 1.4200 round number on broad USD strength and a soft Loonie. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; the 1.4200 level has held as support on retests with rising swing lows intact.
Support: 1.4216, 1.4200, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4228 session high opens the path to 1.4250 next target
Failure to hold 1.4216 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
Loss of 1.4200 round number would negate the breakout read
US data cluster Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
08:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.42274
HH/HL chain into 14-month highs.
USDCAD grinds to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4228 during the early London session, riding the broad USD bid and soft oil. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 68 — hot but not stretched; buyers stepping in at every dip since the 1.4206 base.
Support: 1.4213, 1.4206, 1.41775
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.42337
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42280 extends toward 1.42337 prior high
Loss of 1.42130 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
US PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to fresh 14-month highs at 1.4228, extending the USD-strength move with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.4206 and the rising-low chain remains unbroken.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4200 would break the higher-low chain and challenge the breakout
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) and US New Home Sales (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 1.4228 keeps the path toward 1.4250 open
USDCAD grinding higher into the European morning, printing fresh session highs at 1.42280 as broad USD strength and a weak Loonie keep the pair above the 1.4200 breakout. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but consistent with the trend; HL chain intact from the 1.41930 base. Move is USD-led with CAD the weakest major.
Support: 1.4213, 1.4206, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42060 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
Acceptance above 1.42280 session high opens path toward 1.42500
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42231
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout extending.
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session at 14-month highs, with price pressing the session high at 1.42254 after the breakout above 1.4200 on broad USD strength and soft oil. Micro-structure holds a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.42056 swing low; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056, 1.4196
Resistance: 1.42254, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.42254 opens the path toward 1.42500
Loss of 1.42130 intraday hl would break the rising sequence
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 65 · price 1.42231
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground up through the Asia-into-London window to a fresh session high at 1.42254, extending the 14-month-high push as CAD stays the weakest major on soft oil and USD strength. Higher lows hold along a rising base near 1.4213; RSI(14) firm in the mid-60s, no extreme reading.
Support: 1.42132, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42254, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42132 breaks the rising-low sequence
Sustained move above 1.42254 opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych level
Thu Core PCE could materially shift the USD leg of this move
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, printing a fresh high at 1.42254 in line with broad USD strength and the weak Loonie. RSI(14) elevated near 66 with no divergence; pullbacks have repeatedly held the 1.42110 shelf as the uptrend extends.
Support: 1.4211, 1.42056, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42254, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42254 opens the path toward the 1.4250 round number
Loss of the 1.42110 shelf breaks the rising support and risks a deeper pullback to 1.42056
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42246
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.4218 consolidation to print a fresh session high at 1.4225, RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched. Steady HH/HL chain intact as broad USD strength and a soft Loonie keep the bid in place; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.4211.
Support: 1.4211, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42254, 1.4230
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.42110 recent base breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.42254 session high opens the path toward 1.4230
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 64 · price 1.42237
Higher highs/higher lows, retesting prior high.
Quiet overnight grind higher into the London session has USDCAD pressing the 1.42243 session high again, the pair holding 14-month-high territory on broad USD strength and a soft Loonie. Price is above both EMAs with RSI(14) ~64 — firm but not stretched; rising support off the 1.42056 swing low remains intact.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42243, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42243 opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42130 breaks the rising support and threatens a lower low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for USD legs
USDCAD ground higher through the London morning, breaking the 1.4217 prior high and now pressing the 1.4224 session high with RSI(14) near 68. The grind reflects broad USD strength and a soft Loonie at 14-month lows; demand stepped in repeatedly off the 1.4213 area on pullbacks.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42243, 1.42167
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4224 extends the breakout toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4213 puts the 1.4206 swing low back in play
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.42237
Higher highs, fresh session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through London hours, pressing a fresh session high at 1.42243 with USD broadly bid and CAD at multi-month lows. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; the 1.42130 consolidation shelf has held as the base for the latest push.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42243
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42243 extends the breakout higher
Loss of 1.42130 reopens the 1.42056 swing low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.42237
Rising lows, fresh session highs.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42243 during London hours, extending a four-day climb on broad USD strength and a weak Loonie. Rising lows off 1.42056 keep the structure intact, with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42243, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.42130 intraday base would break the rising-low sequence
Acceptance above 1.42243 session high opens the path toward 1.42500
Oil rebound or dovish Fed repricing could squeeze crowded CAD shorts
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.42221
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to fresh session highs near 1.4223 on broad USD strength, breaking the 1.42167 micro-cap with RSI(14) around 64 — hot but not extended. Price holds above EMA20/50; the 1.42110 shelf and 1.42056 swing low frame the rising structure.
Support: 1.4211, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42110 puts the 1.42056 swing low back in focus
Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the main USD catalyst ahead
USDCAD ground higher through the European session to 14-month highs, retesting the 1.42237 session high amid broad USD strength and a soft Loonie. RSI(14) in the mid-60s, room before stretched; price holding above EMA20/50 after demand stepped in repeatedly at the 1.42110 shelf.
Support: 1.4211, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 1.42237 opens the 1.42500 path
Loss of 1.42110 shelf would break the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major USD catalyst
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.4218
Higher highs / higher lows, near 14-month highs.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the session, extending the multi-day push to 14-month highs near 1.4224 on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence. Price is consolidating just below the session high at 1.4218 with RSI(14) in the low 60s — no extreme, structure intact above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4188, 1.4167
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4224 session high opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4206 swing low would break the rising sequence
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 1.4218
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD grinding to 14-month highs near 1.4218 on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence and soft oil; price is consolidating just under the 1.4224 session high after tagging it. RSI(14) at 61 leaves room before extension; 1.4206 demand shelf held the last pullback.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.4224 session high opens path to 1.4250
Loss of 1.4206 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US data cluster Thu 12:30 UTC (Core PCE) could reshape USD leg
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42237 during the Asian session on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence, then settled into a tight consolidation around 1.4214–1.4217. RSI(14) cooling near 58 and price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.42060 swing low marks the nearest support shelf.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward the 1.4250 area
Loss of 1.42060 shelf signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4200
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main USD catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD grinds higher toward the 1.42237 session high, extending the CAD-weakness trend with USD pinned near one-year highs. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; demand held repeatedly at 1.42060 through the Asian session and into the London open.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4198
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.42171
Higher highs into 14-month high, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42237 on broad USD strength and hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence, then settled into a tight 1.4211–1.4217 consolidation through the Asia session. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, leaving the uptrend intact but lacking momentum near the highs.
Support: 1.42112, 1.42056, 1.42018
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42237 session high opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold the 1.42112 shelf exposes 1.42056
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh 14-month high of 1.42237 during the Asia-into-London session on broad USD strength, then stalled and is consolidating near 1.4217. RSI(14) at ~58 has cooled off the highs; the session high at 1.42237 is the immediate cap, with the 1.4206 pivot the first support below.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4196, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42237
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 extends the run toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4206 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4196
Thu PCE could materially shift USD across the board
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.42237 in early London on broad USD strength and the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence, then drifted back to consolidate around 1.4213. Price is chopping sideways above the 1.42060 shelf, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed — no clean intraday momentum right now.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4201, 1.41796
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.42060 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.42010
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.42237 — fresh 14-month territory on broad USD strength and dovish-BoC divergence — before stalling and drifting back to 1.4214. Thin Asian-session flow; price now coiling between 1.42067 and the 1.42237 rejection, RSI(14) mid-range after the cooldown.
Support: 1.42067, 1.41896
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens the path toward the 1.4250 area
Loss of 1.42067 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42237 on broad USD strength against a soft Loonie, then stalled into a tight 1.4211-1.4217 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price is holding above the 1.42056 swing low; ATR sits near 4 pips, reflecting the quiet Asia-into-London transition.
Support: 1.42056, 1.42013
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens continuation higher
Loss of 1.42056 shelf marks a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42237 during quiet Asia hours, extending the 14-month-high push on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence, then drifted back to consolidate near 1.4213. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) easing to mid-50s; the 1.4206 shelf has capped pullbacks so far.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42012, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4206 breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained break above 1.42237 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250
Thursday's US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher highs into fresh 14-month highs, now consolidating.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh 14-month high of 1.42237 at the London open on broad USD strength, then eased back to 1.4215 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Price is consolidating just below the session high; the 1.42056 swing low has held the recent pullback.
Support: 1.42056, 1.41956, 1.41878
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42056 confirms a lower-low and stalls the grind higher
Thursday Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.42148
Grinding higher, stalling below session high.
USDCAD grinds at 14-month highs on broad USD strength and CAD weakness, edging up through the overnight Asia hours on thin volume. Price tapped a session high at 1.42237 then eased back to 1.42148; holding above the 1.42060 shelf keeps the slow advance intact.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42012, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42237
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens the uptrend toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.42000 confirms a deeper intraday pullback
Thursday Core PCE could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground up to a session high at 1.42237 then stalled, drifting back to 1.4214 in thin Asian hours on the broad USD bid at 14-month highs. RSI(14) near 57 and flattening; price holds above EMA20/50 but the impulse has faded into consolidation just under the high.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens the path toward 1.42500
Loss of 1.42060 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE cluster could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.42237 on broad USD strength near 14-month highs, then drifted back to 1.4214 and stalled as the move cooled. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the rising structure intact while the 1.42060 shelf supports.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42237
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42237 opens continuation toward the 1.4250 area
Break of 1.42012 breaks the rising sequence of lows
USDCAD pushed to a 1.42237 session high late in the NY session, in line with the broad USD bid that has CAD at multi-month lows, then drifted back to 1.4214 in quiet Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 with price coiling 1.4206-1.4224, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.42067, 1.41985, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens continuation toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42067 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read down
Thursday US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the next material risk to this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42237 during the Asia session as the broad USD bid persisted, then eased back to 1.42136 and stalled. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, leaving a tight consolidation under the 1.42237 high into the London open.
Support: 1.42056, 1.41985, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42056 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 1.41985
London open could break the current consolidation either way
USDCAD ground higher through Asia, pushing to a fresh session high at 1.42237 before slipping back to 1.4216, RSI(14) cooling from the spike. The broader USD bid keeps price pinned to 14-month-high territory; rising intraday support near 1.4213 still holds.
Support: 1.4213, 1.42056, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42056 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42237 reopens the path toward the 1.4250 area
Thu Core PCE (Jun 25 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 1.42237 before fading into thin Asian trade, now retesting the 1.4216 prior-high shelf. Buyers defended 1.4206 on the pullback; price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 58, neutral after the push.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42060 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42237 reopens the session high
Thu PCE is the dominant macro risk into Jun 25
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42146
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42237 during NY hours on the broad USD rally, then eased back to 1.42146; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme. Higher-low chain off 1.42060 still intact, with the round 1.42000 underneath.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42237
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42060 breaks the rising higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42237 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Thursday Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session to a session high at 1.42237, sitting near 14-month highs on the Fed-hawkish/BoC-hold divergence theme, before fading back toward 1.42140. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 58 — uptrend intact but cooling after the rejection at 1.42237.
Support: 1.42056, 1.4196, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42237
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42237 extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.42056 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Crude/US-Iran headlines remain the dominant near-term CAD driver
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 1.42146
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42237 in late-Asia trade before easing back to 1.42146, with CAD soft on the Fed-hawkish/BoC-hold divergence. RSI(14) near 60 leaves room; price holds above the 1.42060 swing low and the 1.4200 round number.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the rising sequence and exposes 1.4200
Thursday Core PCE could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD ground higher through Asia into early London, tagging a session high of 1.42237 before fading to 1.42140 — consistent with CAD parked at 14-month lows on the broad USD bid. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling off after the push; the 1.42060 swing low is the nearest demand shelf.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4199, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 reopens the 1.42250 area
Loss of 1.42060 puts the 1.41990 pivot back in play
Thu PCE cluster is the next major USD catalyst
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 66 · price 1.4218
Higher highs, breakout from consolidation.
Asia session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.42237, breaking out of the multi-hour consolidation around 1.4210 as the dollar holds near 13-month highs and CAD sits at 14-month lows. Momentum intact with RSI(14) ~66; the 1.4205 prior range top now flips to the nearest support.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4196
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4205 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
1.4224 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension toward 1.4250
Thu PCE cluster could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD ground higher through Asia hours, breaking the 1.4210 consolidation to print a fresh session high at 1.4224, RSI(14) firm near 65 but not extreme. Broad USD strength and CAD pinned at 14-month lows keep the pair bid; price now hovers at 1.4218 after a minor pullback.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4196, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4224 session high opens the path toward 1.4250 psych
Failure to hold 1.4206 swing low signals stalling momentum
Thursday Core PCE could materially shift this read
USDCAD ticked to a fresh session high at 1.42237 during Asian hours, riding broad USD strength near 13-month DXY highs, RSI(14) firm around 64 but not extreme. The higher-low chain off 1.42000 holds; 1.42237 is the immediate ceiling to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.4194
Resistance: 1.42237
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42000 breaks the higher-low chain
Clean break of 1.42237 extends the intraday leg
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst ahead
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42212
Stair-step HH/HL into fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session to a fresh high at 1.42237, CAD the weakest major near 14-month lows as broad USD strength persists. Buyers held the 1.42060 step on each pullback; RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched on this TF.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42237 extends the breakout higher
Loss of 1.42060 breaks the rising HL chain and opens 1.42000
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift USD direction
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing in Asia · RSI 60 · price 1.42162
Equal highs near 1.4217 after NY push.
USDCAD has crept back to the NY session high at 1.42173 during early Asia hours, leaving near-equal highs there as supply caps the move; ATR(14) has collapsed to ~4.5 pips on thin liquidity. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60 — uptrend intact but momentum is muted while CAD stays soft at 14-month lows.
Support: 1.42056, 1.42012, 1.41985
Resistance: 1.42173, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42173 clears the equal highs and opens the 1.4220 area
Loss of 1.42056 then 1.42012 confirms a lower-low and breaks the Asia base
Liquidity returns at London open — current ~4.5 pip ATR likely expands
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding · RSI 61 · price 1.42162
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY and into Asia, pressing the session high at 1.42173 after holding 1.42056 on the latest dip — CAD stays soft on the Fed-hawkish vs BoC-hold divergence near 14-month highs. RSI(14) around 61, no M15 extreme yet despite the persistent bid.
Support: 1.42056, 1.41985, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42173, 1.4215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42173 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42056 breaks the rising support and opens 1.41985
Thursday Core PCE (f/c 3.4%) is the key catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window with CAD pinned at 14-month lows and the USD firm, consolidating around 1.4210 before pushing to a fresh session high at 1.4217 into Asia hours. RSI(14) near 62 — momentum intact but not stretched on this TF; the 1.4206 swing low is the nearest demand shelf.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4201, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 extends the breakout toward 1.4220
Failure to hold 1.4206 confirms a lower-low and stalls the grind
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session into a fresh session high at 1.42173, riding a broad USD bid near 13-month DXY highs while CAD stays soft. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.42056-1.42170 band, RSI(14) easing back to neutral after the run.
Support: 1.42056, 1.42012, 1.41896
Resistance: 1.42173, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42173 opens the path toward 1.42250
Failure to hold 1.42056 points back to the 1.42012 Asia low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.42167 during NY before drifting into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4207-1.4213, with the broad USD bid keeping it pinned near 14-month highs. Momentum has flattened — RSI(14) back near neutral and ATR thin at ~4 pips — as price coils just under the session high.
Support: 1.42056, 1.4200, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.42000 round number opens 1.4185 swing low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for USD direction
London-NY hours drove USDCAD off 1.41617 to a 1.42167 session high, in line with CAD sitting at 14-month lows on Fed-hawkish/BoC-hold divergence. Asia session has gone quiet, ranging 1.4205-1.4215 on thin volume with RSI(14) flat near 52; the rally has paused but the prior highs hold.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41958, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42123
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the rally toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.42012 confirms a lower-low and breaks the Asian range
Thursday US Core PCE is the key catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.42167 during NY hours then drifted into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4205-1.4213 on thin volume. The bid sits near 14-month highs on the Fed-hawkish/BoC-hold divergence; price is hugging EMA20 with RSI back to neutral, no directional thrust in play.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4197, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4212
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 resumes the intraday uptrend toward 1.4225
Loss of 1.42040 opens the 1.41970 swing low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for USD direction
USDCAD ground to 14-month highs at 1.42167 through London-NY before flattening into a tight 1.4206-1.4215 band during Asia hours, with USD broadly bid and CAD the weakest major. Price is now pinned to EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51 — the rally has paused rather than reversed.
Support: 1.42056, 1.41984, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4215
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the breakout toward 1.4250
USDCAD climbed through London-NY to a session high at 1.42167 on broad USD strength, then stalled into the Asian session, drifting in a tight 1.42060-1.42130 band on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled back near 47 as the rally flattened; price is holding above the 1.42012 swing low.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41957, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42123
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 1.42012 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
Thursday Core PCE could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.42167 during late NY hours then went sideways through the Asia session, holding a tight 1.4205–1.4213 range with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price sits just under EMA20 but above EMA50, in line with the broader push to 14-month highs near 1.42.
Support: 1.4200, 1.42012, 1.41957
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42155
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the upside toward 1.4225
Loss of 1.4200 psych and the 1.42012 Asia low marks a lower-low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging near 1.4207 in quiet Asia hours after tagging a session high at 1.42167, with broad USD strength and CAD at 14-month lows the backdrop. Price has eased off the highs and slipped under EMA20, holding above the range floor at 1.42040; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.4204, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.4215, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the breakout toward 1.4225
USDCAD ran to a 1.42167 session high then drifted back into a tight 1.4205-1.4213 band through thin Asia hours, with broad USD strength keeping CAD pinned near 14-month lows. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and ATR is compressed near 5 pips, reflecting the low-volume consolidation.
Support: 1.4205, 1.42012, 1.4196
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42167
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.4205 range floor opens 1.4196 swing low
Thursday Core PCE is the next macro catalyst for this pair
Consolidation near session highs after stair-step up.
USDCAD ground higher through the US session to a 1.42167 high, then stalled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.4210 as the broad USD bid and soft oil keep CAD pinned at lows. RSI(14) has cooled back near the midline while price holds the 1.4205 intraday base; the session high remains the line capping the move.
Support: 1.4205, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42122
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the breakout toward 1.4250
Loss of the 1.4205 base opens a retest of the 1.42012 asia low
USDCAD ground up through London-NY to a session high at 1.42167, then stalled into thin Asia hours, coiling around 1.4210 on fading volume. Broad USD strength and a soft Loonie keep the bias on the highs, but the M15 has gone flat with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4200, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.42050 opens a pullback toward 1.42000
Thursday Core PCE is the next material catalyst for USD
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.4212
Higher highs into consolidation near highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to print a fresh 14-month high at 1.4217, then stalled into quiet Asia-hours consolidation around 1.4210 on thin volume. The bid reflects hawkish-Fed USD flows and a pressured CAD; RSI has cooled off the highs without confirming a turn.
Support: 1.4201, 1.4189
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4201 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Thu Core PCE could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.4212
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY run to 1.4216, then stalled into the thin Asia session, consolidating 1.4201–1.4216 just below the session high. USD sits at 13-month highs and CAD remains the weakest major, but the M15 tape is flat with RSI cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.4201, 1.4185, 1.4174
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4216 session high opens the path to 1.4250
Loss of 1.4201 range low exposes 1.4185 swing low
Thu Core PCE could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat into Asia · RSI 57 · price 1.42111
Consolidating just below session high.
USDCAD ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4217 through London-NY, CAD soft despite the hot Canadian CPI beat, then drifted into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4210. Price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 57 shows the climb stalling, with thin overnight volume keeping the tape coiled below the session high.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4200, 1.41896
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42143
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 resumes the rally toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.42000 exposes the session low at 1.42012 then 1.4190
Thursday Core PCE could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high of 1.42167, in line with the firm-USD/soft-CAD theme, then stalled. Price now coils in a tight 1.42040–1.42143 band on thin Asian-session volume, momentum cooling.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41957, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42143
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the up-leg
Loss of 1.42040 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.41957
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.42167 high — consistent with the CAD-weakest-major theme — then flattened into thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price is coiling in a tight 1.4207–1.4216 band just beneath the high.
Support: 1.4207, 1.4196, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 opens the path to 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4207 confirms a lower-low into 1.4196
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window on hawkish-Fed flows and soft crude, tagging a session high at 1.42167 before stalling. Price has since drifted sideways between 1.42040 and 1.42130 through quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range after the run-up.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4196, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.42250
Loss of 1.42040 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.4211
Higher highs, consolidating near highs.
USDCAD trended up through London/NY to a session high of 1.4217, extending the broader CAD-weak run, then flattened into the thin Asia session around 1.4210 on fading volume. RSI(14) has cooled off its push, with price idling just under the highs.
Support: 1.4201, 1.4188, 1.4169
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 extends the up-leg toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4201 opens a pullback to 1.4188
Thursday Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the key risk that could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.4211
HH/HL chain stalling into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on hawkish-Fed flows and soft crude, tagging a session high of 1.4217 near 14-month peaks. Asia session is now flat and thin, consolidating 1.4201-1.4217 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range — no fresh extension in play.
Support: 1.4201, 1.4188, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 opens the path toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4201 confirms a lower-low and breaks the asia range
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating below 1.4217.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 14-month/session high at 1.4217 on broad USD strength, then stalled into thin Asia hours, coiling between 1.4205 and 1.4214. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and ATR is compressed at ~6 pips — the up-leg is paused, not reversed.
Support: 1.42043, 1.41936, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 opens the path to the 1.4225 area
Failure to hold 1.4204 exposes 1.4194 and breaks the rising-low chain
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the prior London-NY sessions to a session high at 1.42167, in line with the broader CAD-weak, hawkish-Fed read. Price is now consolidating in a thin Asia session between 1.4200 and 1.4213, RSI(14) cooling back near 58 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4200, 1.42012
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 session high reopens upside continuation
Failure to hold 1.4200 round number exposes the 1.42012 swing low
US Core PCE Thursday is the next macro catalyst for this pair
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.4209
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 1.42167, with the CAD on the back foot despite hot Canadian CPI as hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence dominates. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4204-1.4212 band through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooled back from the rally peak.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4200, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the 1.4225 upside objective
Loss of 1.4200 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.4188
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 1.4209
Consolidating below session high after extended push.
USDCAD ground higher through the European-NY hours into 14-month highs, tagging 1.42167 before stalling — the move reflects the firm USD / soft-CAD divergence with crude depressed. Asia session is drifting in low volume around 1.4210, holding above 1.4204 with no fresh extension.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4188, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 opens the path toward 1.4220
Failure to hold 1.4204 signals a deeper pullback toward 1.4188
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 56 · price 1.4209
Higher highs into 14-month peak, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42167, in line with the broad USD bid and soft crude. Price is now drifting in thin Asia-session trade around 1.4209-1.4212, RSI(14) cooling off the highs as momentum flattens just under the session high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4193, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the uptrend toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4200 opens a pullback to the 1.4193 prior high
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.4209
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours to a session high at 1.42167, extending the CAD-weakness theme after the firm USD and soft crude tone. Price has since gone flat into thin Asia hours, coiling in a 1.4205-1.4212 band just under the high with RSI cooling off the push.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4188, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.4220
Loss of 1.4205 range floor exposes 1.4188 swing low
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read