USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.42022
Range after NY sell-off, holding above session low.
NY session drove a sharp leg down from 1.4248 that swept to 1.41771 before buyers stepped in. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.4189-1.4202 band into the Asia transition, RSI back to neutral around 52. Range top at 1.42024 capping the recovery so far.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42024, 1.42143
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42024 opens the path back toward 1.42143
Loss of 1.41886 reopens the 1.41771 session low
Light Asia liquidity keeps ranges thin until London
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.42008
Ranging after NY selloff.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4247 down to 1.41771 after the in-line US PCE print, then Asia stabilised into a tight 1.4188–1.4202 range on thin volume. RSI back to neutral near 52; no fresh directional impulse on this timeframe.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4202 reopens 1.4220 and the 1.4250 april high
Failure to hold 1.4188 reopens the 1.41771 swing low
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 1.42008
Recovery off swing low into consolidation.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4246 to a 1.4177 swing low during NY hours, then clawed back into a 1.4188-1.4202 consolidation through the Asia session. Price is pinned to the 1.4202 session high with RSI(14) back to neutral; the 0.382 retrace of the down-move sits right here at 1.4204.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4202 session high opens a push toward 1.4225 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4177 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) Fri could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.41973
Range near session lows after selloff.
NY session drove a steady selloff from 1.4246 down to a 1.4177 swing low, where buyers stepped in. Price has since consolidated 1.4188–1.4202 into thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.42135
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42020 reopens the path toward 1.42135
Break below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
US Michigan Sentiment / Fed speak (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.41973
Range bound after impulsive sell-off.
USDCAD shed roughly 70 pips off the 1.4248 area through the NY session as the dollar slipped post-PCE, bottoming at 1.41771. Price has since gone flat, ranging 1.41886–1.42020 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the 1.42020 cap holding through the late session.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4214
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42020 invalidates the range read and reopens 1.42140
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.41898
Tight range after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4248 to 1.4177, faded after the in-line US core PCE removed the upside trigger. Price now coiled in a tight 1.4188–1.4202 range into the Asia handover, RSI(14) mid-zone and volume thinning.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4188 reopens the 1.4177 swing low
Close above 1.4202 breaks the consolidation top toward 1.4222
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift USD tone
23:02 UTC
Pullback from highs, ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.41898
Range after NY selloff, capped at 1.4201.
NY session sold off from 1.4248 to 1.4177 after the US PCE slate, then recovered into a tight 1.4189-1.4201 range. Asia session is quiet on thin volume; the last bar dipped back toward the session low at 1.4189 with ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42014, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4177 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.4201 range top would negate the corrective read
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment / Fed speakers could break the range
Consolidation under prior swing after impulsive leg down.
USDCAD sold off sharply during NY hours from 1.4248 toward 1.4177 as the USD eased off tops post-PCE, then went sideways between 1.4177 and 1.4201. The last bar slipped back to 1.4190, holding inside the consolidation with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41886
Resistance: 1.42014, 1.4205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.42014 range top needed to neutralize the down-leg
Consolidating after NY selloff, ranging 1.4190-1.4202.
USDCAD sold off through NY from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 session low as the dollar eased after in-line US PCE. Price has since based and is ranging 1.4190-1.4205 into Asia hours, with RSI recovered to mid-range off the lows.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4205 range top opens 1.4225 breakdown level
Failure to hold 1.4190 range low reopens 1.41771 session low
Michigan sentiment and Fed's Williams/Kashkari Friday could shift this read
USDCAD sold off from 1.4247 to 1.4177 through the NY session as the dollar slipped from its tops after the in-line PCE print. Price has since clawed back to 1.4200 and is grinding in a tight range on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4205 opens the path back toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4190 reopens the 1.4177 session low
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves until London
22:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.41993
Sold off to 1.4177, ranging under 1.4200.
NY session drove USDCAD off 1.4248 down to a 1.4177 swing low, the move tied to a softer USD as the in-line core PCE failed to extend the dollar bid. Price has since consolidated 1.4186-1.4202 just beneath the round number, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4186
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4202 round number reopens 1.4220
Break of 1.4177 swing low confirms lower-low continuation
Lower lows into a tight consolidation near session lows.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY stretch from 1.4247 to a 1.41771 swing low, then stabilised into a tight 1.4189-1.4200 consolidation in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range and ATR has compressed sharply, reflecting the low-volume drift after the squeeze off the 1.4250 April high.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 would break the consolidation higher toward the 1.42050 ema50
Failure to hold 1.41886 reopens the 1.41771 swing low
Fri US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams/Kashkari) could shift the USD tone
22:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.41993
Consolidation after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off from the session high at 1.42476 down to 1.41771 as a soft US PCE print pressured the dollar through NY hours. Price is now consolidating 1.4189-1.4202 into the Asia session with RSI flat mid-range; the range top at 1.42022 is capping the recovery.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 opens a retrace toward 1.42476
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a lower low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCAD broke down through the day from the 1.4248 highs to a 1.4177 session low as a softer US PCE print took the dollar two-way and offered CAD a shallow lift. Price has since chopped in a tight 1.4190-1.4202 band, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s; bounce attempts have repeatedly capped at 1.4202.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42020 negates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could reset USD tone
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 47 · price 1.41961
Consolidation after sharp NY leg down.
USDCAD sold off sharply through NY hours from 1.42476 to 1.41771 as the dollar leaned softer post-PCE, then based out and is now ranging 1.4190-1.4202 into Asia. RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 after the flush; range high at 1.4202 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4218, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4202 reopens 1.4218
Failure to hold 1.4190 reopens the 1.41771 swing low
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.41961
Selloff then range near lows.
NY session sold USDCAD ~70 pips from 1.4248 to a 1.4177 swing low as a soft US PCE print fed the broadly two-way dollar. Price has since stabilised into a 1.4189-1.4202 range through the late NY-Asia transition, RSI recovering off the lows; current bars are thin Asia-session liquidity.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Close above 1.42022 breaks the consolidation
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4248 to a 1.4177 session low as the dollar eased after the soft US PCE print. Price has consolidated 1.4190-1.4202 since, RSI mid-40s, with the recent high at 1.4202 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42023, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41771 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.42023 needed to ease downside pressure
Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove a sharp sell-off from 1.4246 to 1.4177 as the dollar softened after the cooler US PCE print. Price has since stabilised and is ranging 1.4189–1.4202 into the late session, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s with no reversal yet.
Support: 1.41886, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.42143
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.42022 reclaims the range high and eases downside pressure
Break below 1.41771 confirms a lower-low continuation
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD tone
USD/CAD sold off through 1.4185 during NY hours as the dollar softened post-PCE, tagging a 1.41771 swing low before basing in a 1.4190–1.4202 range. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral off the lows; session high at 1.42022 still caps.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower low
reclaim above 1.42022 reopens 1.42050
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4246 to a 1.4177 low after the softer US PCE print, then price based and stalled, ranging 1.4180-1.4200 into the close. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-40s as the down-leg loses steam.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4177 extends the down-leg
Reclaim of 1.42022 opens 1.4222
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 49 · price 1.41951
Sharp NY selloff, now ranging above the low.
USDCAD sold off hard during NY hours, from the 1.4247 area down to a 1.41771 swing low as a soft US PCE print pulled the dollar lower and weak oil capped the CAD bounce. Price has since recovered into a tight 1.4190-1.4202 range, RSI back near neutral with the session high at 1.42022 capping the rebound.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 session high opens a retest toward the 1.42130 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.41900 range floor reopens the 1.41771 swing low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could reset the USD tone
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.41951
Consolidating above session low.
USD/CAD sold off from 1.42476 to 1.41771 around the 12:30 UTC US data window as a soft PCE print pulled the dollar lower. Price has since stalled and is consolidating between 1.41900 and 1.42022 into late session, RSI(14) recovering toward the midline.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 negates the lower-highs read
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session after the soft US PCE headline print, sliding from 1.42476 to a 1.41771 swing low. Price has since stabilised, grinding back to 1.42003 against the round 1.4200 level and the 38.2% retrace of the drop.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4204, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42040 fib 38.2 opens room toward the 1.42220 bounce high
Break below 1.41771 swing low resumes the intraday downtrend
Thin late-session liquidity; Asia open may set a fresh range
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 55 · price 1.42003
Sold off then consolidating above session low.
NY session sold USDCAD from the 1.4246 session high down to a 1.41771 low after in-line US PCE failed to extend the dollar bid. Price has since based and is consolidating 1.4190-1.4205 into the late-NY/Asia transition, RSI back to neutral near 55.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42050 reopens the path toward 1.42220
Failure to hold 1.41900 puts the 1.41771 session low back in play
UoM inflation expectations + Fed-speak in next session could shift this read
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 swing low, then bounced into a tight 1.4190–1.4200 consolidation. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral from the lows, and price is pinned just under the 1.4200 round number with the prior pivot at 1.42141 capping any extension.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.42141
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 1.42022 round number reopens 1.42141
Failure to hold the 1.41900 intraday base resumes the downside
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.41983
Lower highs into NY drop, now consolidating.
NY session sold USDCAD off 1.4247 down to a 1.41771 swing low after in-line US PCE met persistently weak oil. Price is now basing between 1.4190 and 1.4202, RSI(14) recovered to ~52 from the decline.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.4218
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 breaks the recovery range and challenges the 1.4218 breakdown
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations and Fed speakers could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 1.41983
NY sell-off, now consolidating.
USDCAD broke down hard through the NY session from 1.4246, printing a low at 1.41771 as USD broadly bid on the strong US data slate. Price has since stabilised, consolidating 1.4190-1.4200; RSI(14) back to mid-range after the oversold flush.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4220
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41771 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.42050 swing high opens the path back to 1.42200
USD/CAD sold off hard through the NY session on the US PCE/GDP slate, bottoming at 1.4177 before recovering into a tight 1.4190-1.4202 range. RSI(14) has snapped back to mid-40s and momentum is flat; price is hugging the round 1.4200 with no fresh impulse late in the session.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4202, 1.4214
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42020 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment / Fed-speak Fri 14:00 GMT could reset the read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.41972
Lower lows into a base, ranging.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, dropping from 1.4245 to 1.4177 as the softer headline PCE print eased the USD bid. Price is now consolidating 1.4185-1.4202 with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range; the 1.4202 range top is capping the bounce.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42022, 1.42141
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42022 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 47 · price 1.41934
Lower high then sharp leg down, now ranging.
USDCAD broke down through NY hours on the softer US headline PCE print, sliding from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 swing low. Price has since stabilised and is consolidating in a tight 1.4190-1.4200 band, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42000 round number unwinds the consolidation lower bias
Break below 1.41771 swing low extends the down-leg
Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could reset USD tone
USDCAD sold off from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 swing low through the NY session after softer headline US PCE took the edge off the dollar bid. Price has since recovered into a 1.4185-1.4200 consolidation, with the 1.42000 round number capping the bounce and RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42022
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downleg
Reclaim of 1.42022 session high reopens the prior range
Michigan sentiment + Fed-speak Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
NY session sold USD/CAD off from the 1.4248 highs to a 1.41771 session low as the dollar eased on a softer headline PCE print, then price based and is now consolidating 1.4190–1.4200 under the round number. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-40s; both EMAs cap from above.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42001, 1.4205
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42050 swing pivot negates the basing read
USD-side Fed-speak/data could shift the dollar tone in coming hours
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 51 · price 1.41976
Lower-low then consolidation under 1.4200.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4248 after a softer US PCE headline (0.4% vs 0.5% f/c), bottoming at the 1.41771 session low during NY hours. Price is now consolidating in a 1.4185–1.4200 band, capped by the 1.4200 round number with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42001, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42001 round number opens a retest of 1.4222 prior support
Loss of 1.41771 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Fed's Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the USD tone next session
USDCAD was sold hard through NY hours from 1.4246 to a 1.41771 session low as a softer headline PCE and weak oil gave CAD a bid. Price is now basing 1.4190-1.4200 below both EMAs; the 1.42001 swing high capped the bounce, with RSI(14) recovering toward mid-40s.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.42001, 1.42219
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42001 swing high opens the path back toward 1.42219 prior swing
Loss of 1.41771 session low confirms continuation of the down leg
Fed's Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the USD tone
USDCAD broke down from the 1.4246 area through the NY session after the US PCE/GDP dump, printing a session low at 1.41771 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4185-1.4200 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42007, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42007 negates the lower-high sequence and reopens 1.4246
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone within the next bars
Lower lows then sideways consolidation near session low.
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4246 prior high down to 1.4177 as a softer post-PCE USD met a shallow CAD bid. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4185–1.4200 range, RSI(14) recovering to mid-40s; the round 1.4200 caps and 1.4185 range floor holds.
Support: 1.4185, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4223, 1.4246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4200 reopens 1.4223 swing high
Loss of 1.4177 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCAD was sold through the NY session from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 low after the softer headline PCE print, then based out and is now consolidating 1.4190-1.4200. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-range as the decline lost pace; price hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4205, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4200 reclaims the prior shelf and softens the downtrend read
Break of 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Lower lows into NY, now consolidating near session low.
USDCAD sold off through NY after the in-line core PCE softened the dollar, sliding from 1.4246 to a 1.41771 swing low. Price is now consolidating 1.4190-1.4205 just above that low, RSI(14) recovering off the selloff lows.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.42050 invalidates the consolidation-at-lows read
NY session drove a sharp sell-off from 1.4248 to a session low at 1.41771, with CAD only managing a shallow bounce as a firm USD met weak oil. Price now consolidates between 1.4190 and the 1.42030 bounce high, RSI recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.4203, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim above 1.42030 needed to negate the down-leg
Fed-speak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 1.41952
Sharp leg down, now basing.
USD/CAD faded from 1.4248 through the NY session, printing a 1.41771 swing low before basing near 1.4195 — consistent with stretched USD longs trimming after the in-line PCE print. Pair is now coiling between the 1.4185 bounce low and the 1.4200 round number, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42007, 1.4200, 1.4222
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42007 swing high would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.41771 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams 19:40 UTC / Goolsbee 22:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4248 session high down to 1.41771, the dollar firm but capped after in-line core PCE. Price has since bounced and is consolidating near 1.4200 with RSI recovering off oversold; the 1.41771 low holds for now.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42065, 1.42178, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42065 swing high would unwind the downtrend leg
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed-speak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, now consolidating off session low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4246 to a 1.4177 session low as the shallow CAD bounce met a firm dollar near YTD highs. Price is now consolidating 1.4188–1.4200 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the 1.42001 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.42001, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.42001 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41771 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the USD tone into the next bars
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 44 · price 1.41922
Lower lows then consolidation near session low.
NY session drove a sharp USD/CAD slide from 1.4248 to 1.4177 as a CAD short-covering bounce met still-firm USD post in-line PCE. Price now consolidating between 1.4177 and 1.4198, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.41977, 1.4205, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41977 invalidates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD down from ~1.4248 to a 1.41771 session low after in-line US PCE removed the upside surprise. Price is now consolidating between 1.4190 and 1.4200, RSI(14) recovering off oversold with no reversal confirmed.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.42178
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42050 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 1.41771 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC, ~1h out) could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp slide from 1.4248 to 1.4177 as firm US data (GDP beat, in-line core PCE) kept the dollar bid. Price is now consolidating 1.4185–1.4197 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the prior pivot at 1.4205 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4205 challenges the downside break
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone within the next bars
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 44 · price 1.41944
Lower highs/lows, holding above session low.
NY session broke down from the 1.4246 consolidation, dropping to 1.41771 as USD held its post-PCE bid; price is now basing around 1.4194. RSI(14) recovered off the selloff lows to mid-40s, with price capped below the descending EMA20.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41771
Resistance: 1.42023, 1.42143, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42023 swing high would unwind the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.41771 session low confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift USD tone
Lower highs and lower lows, basing off session low.
USD/CAD rejected the 1.42476 session high and slid roughly 70 pips through the NY session to 1.41771, a CAD short-covering move that fits the stretched-longs setup flagged into US PCE. Price is now basing between 1.41900 and the 1.41977 bounce high, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 43.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.41977, 1.42219, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.41977 reopens the 1.42219 area
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4248 area down to 1.4177, breaking below the prior intraday range as the post-PCE USD bid faded against weak oil. Price is now consolidating around 1.4195 below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering from the sub-40 dip toward 44.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4205 would negate the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.4177 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 44 · price 1.41961
Lower highs into 1.4177 low, shallow bounce.
USD/CAD rejected the 1.42476 session high and shed ~70 pips through NY hours to 1.41771, the CAD short-covering bounce flagged into US PCE. Price is now basing under 1.41976 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 1.4177 low is the line in the sand.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41976, 1.4205, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.41976 would ease the downside pressure toward 1.4205
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the USD read
Sharp NY-session breakdown dragged USDCAD from the 1.4248 session high to a 1.4177 low, a CAD snapback consistent with stretched USD/CAD longs flagged into US data. RSI(14) is lifting off oversold as price bases near 1.4190, with the bounce stalling under the 1.4205 prior support-turned-resistance.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42050 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms continuation of lower lows
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone within the next bars
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.42476 to a session low at 1.41771 as a soft-USD/CAD short-covering tone followed the in-line US PCE print. Price is stabilizing near 1.4192, RSI(14) lifting off oversold but still sub-50; 1.42050 supply caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4223, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42050 supply would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.41771 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
NY session broke USDCAD down from the 1.4240 consolidation, sliding to 1.41771 before a shallow bounce stalling at the 1.41932 session high — consistent with USD profit-taking after in-line PCE. RSI(14) recovered off oversold but price holds below EMA20/50, structure still lower-high/lower-low.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41932, 1.4205, 1.4224
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41932 session high challenges the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41771 swing low opens the 1.41500 support zone
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift USD tone
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 1.41906
Lower highs and lower lows, shallow recovery in progress.
NY session drove a sharp sell-off, breaking the 1.4240 consolidation and dragging USD/CAD from 1.4247 to a 1.4177 low as the dollar lost upside fuel after in-line core PCE. Price is now grinding back to 1.41906 in a shallow bounce, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-40 with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41841
Resistance: 1.42023, 1.42141, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42023 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down through the NY session, sliding from 1.4247 to a 1.41771 session low as a shallower USD lost upside fuel after in-line US PCE. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the extended sell-off; a tentative bounce off 1.41771 stalled into 1.41908 with prior support at 1.42023 now capping.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42023, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42023 would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41771 confirms continuation toward 1.41700
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) speech could shift the USD tone
Lower highs and lower lows, holding off session low.
USDCAD broke down through the 1.42050 shelf during the NY session, accelerating to a 1.41771 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.41908 — a short-covering CAD pop against the firm USD trend. RSI(14) lifting off oversold as the slide stalls.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41771 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 1.42050 broken shelf negates the breakdown
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.41908
Lower highs and lower lows after range break.
NY session broke USDCAD down out of the 1.4230-1.4250 consolidation as the USD stayed firm post in-line core PCE, driving a clean lower-low sequence to 1.41771. RSI(14) near 33 off the lows, with a shallow bounce back to 1.4191; prior support around 1.42050 now caps.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42050 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41771 extends the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift USD tone into the next bars
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, leg extended · RSI 36 · price 1.41895
Lower highs and lower lows, small bounce off session low.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.4245 consolidation and printing successive lower lows into 1.41771 — the asymmetric CAD short-covering bounce flagged after in-line US PCE. Price is ticking up off the low with RSI(14) lifting from the mid-30s, but the descending sequence of lower highs is intact below 1.42000.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4222
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42000 would stall the downside sequence
Close below 1.41771 confirms continuation of lower lows
Fedspeak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift USD tone
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 1.41801
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4245, breaking the 1.4230 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41771 as stretched USD longs unwound. RSI(14) near 25 is short-term hot but no reversal signal yet; the 1.41907 breakdown level now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.41907, 1.4205
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41907 would stall the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.41771 extends the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee could shift USD tone
USD/CAD sold off through NY hours from 1.4248 to a 1.41771 session low after in-line core PCE denied fresh hawkish fuel and USD longs unwound. Clean lower-high, lower-low chain with RSI(14) near 29; price stalling just above the 1.4150 Nov-peak support zone.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4192, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4192 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.41771 extends toward the 1.4150 nov peak zone
Fed Williams/Goolsbee speeches later could shift the USD tone
USDCAD broke down through the 1.4240 NY consolidation and sold off steadily into 1.41839, fresh session lows, as stretched dollar longs unwound following in-line US core PCE despite firm GDP/income beats. RSI(14) near 28 — short-term oversold — with price extended below both EMAs and no bounce yet.
Support: 1.4180, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.42219
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.4180 psych opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Reclaim of 1.42050 recent pivot would stall the downtrend
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the dollar tone
USDCAD broke below its 1.4225–1.4245 NY-session range and sold off ~65 pips to a 1.41839 session low, with in-line US core PCE denying fresh USD fuel and a shallow CAD bounce. RSI(14) at 27 is stretched but no reversal structure yet; sellers keep printing lower lows into the close.
Support: 1.41839, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42023, 1.42143, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.42023 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.41839 session low confirms continuation lower
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4247 to a fresh session low at 1.4188 after in-line core PCE denied fresh USD fuel and CAD firmed. The move broke the 1.4222 swing low and the downtrend is intact, with RSI(14) near oversold and 1.4200 psych now capping from above.
Support: 1.41878, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4222
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4200 psych would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold the 1.4188 session low opens a path toward 1.4150 nov peak
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone this session
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.42476 session high through the NY session, shedding ~60 pips into 1.41879 as CAD found a short-covering bid despite firm US data (GDP and income beats, in-line core PCE). Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) near 30 and price stacked below EMA20/50; pair printing a fresh session low into the close.
Support: 1.41878, 1.4190, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.42178, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.41878 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.42178 prior support would neutralise the downside break
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD tone within the next bars
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 31 · price 1.41879
Lower highs and lower lows into session low.
NY session broke USD/CAD down from ~1.4246, sliding to a 1.4188 session low as in-line US PCE took the fresh fuel out of stretched dollar longs. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) near 31 and not yet stretched into oversold.
Support: 1.41878, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4219, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42050 would stall the lower-high sequence
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) speeches could materially shift the USD read
Failure to hold 1.41878 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.41800
USD/CAD rolled over from the 1.42476 session high through the NY session, breaking down to 1.41900 as the broad Dollar bid stalled. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 after a shallow bounce back to 1.4201; sellers capped each rally on the way down.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41947
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41900 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.42220 would neutralise the breakdown
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches in coming hours could shift USD tone
Lower highs and lower lows, range broken to downside.
USDCAD held just under 1.4247 most of the window then sold off hard through the NY session as the Dollar bid eased post-PCE, breaking the 1.4220 consolidation and printing 1.4190. RSI(14) is oversold near 26, reflecting a stretched one-way move rather than a base.
Support: 1.4190, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4247
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 1.4205 would ease the NY selloff
Failure to hold 1.4190 opens the 1.4150 nov peak area
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later today could shift USD tone
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.42039
Lower highs and lower lows, range break down.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session, dropping ~53 pips from 1.42476 to 1.41943 as the USD eased intraday despite still-firm Fed-hike pricing. Price broke below the prior 1.42178 shelf and is now probing the 1.4200 psych level, RSI(14) cooling near 35.
Support: 1.41943, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42178, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41943 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.42178 broken shelf would neutralise the down leg
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down sharply through the NY session, dropping from 1.4248 to a 1.4190 session low as the USD held firm on strong US data while CAD stays pinned by weak oil. RSI(14) near 27 is oversold, with price hugging the session low after a near-vertical slide.
Support: 1.4190, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Hold or break of 1.41900 session low decides whether the slide extends toward 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.42050 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later today could shift the USD leg
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.42024
Lower highs, lower lows after range breakdown.
NY session rolled USDCAD over from the 1.42476 session high down through 1.4220 to a 1.41947 low, a sharp move consistent with short-covering in the overbought CAD trade despite firm USD elsewhere. Price is now stalling just above the 1.4200 round number with RSI(14) cooling near 35; ATR ~10 pips.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42143, 1.42333, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42143 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.41947 opens the deeper 1.4150 support shelf
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) could shift the USD read this session
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.42039
Lower highs and lower lows after range break.
NY session shed a sharp ~50 pips from the 1.42476 session high to 1.41943 as the USD eased intraday and CAD found a bid. Price clipped below 1.4200 then bounced to 1.4204, RSI(14) recovering from a sub-35 dip; the 1.42200 swing now caps.
Support: 1.41943, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4220, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42200 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41943 confirms the lower-low extension
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) could materially shift this read
NY session broke USDCAD down from the 1.4235-1.4246 range, sliding to a session low at 1.41947 as the USD eased after in-line PCE and crowded CAD shorts unwound. RSI(14) near 31, short-term stretched, with the pair now pinned just above the 1.4200 round number.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42143, 1.4236
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42143 would neutralize the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.41947/1.42000 opens the 1.4150 shelf below
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD read
NY session broke down from the 1.4247 session high, slicing through 1.4220 to print a fresh low at 1.4195 as the dollar eased after an in-line/soft US PCE. RSI(14) near 33 and price pinned to the lows below EMA20 and EMA50, ATR around 10 pips.
Support: 1.4195, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4220, 1.4247
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.4195 session low keeps a bounce in play; a close below opens the 1.4150 support shelf
Reclaim of 1.4220 broken level needed to challenge the 1.4247 session high
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.42045
Range breakdown, lower lows.
NY session broke USD/CAD out of the 1.4220-1.4248 range to a session low of 1.41947, RSI(14) cooling near 34 but not yet oversold. The in-line/soft US PCE eased Fed-hike bets and sparked a corrective slide; price now hovers at 1.4205, just above the 1.4200 psych line.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4222, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41947 confirms the lower low, exposing the 1.4150 zone
Reclaim of 1.42220 negates the breakdown back into the prior range
Fed's Williams 19:40 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.42072
Range break to lower lows.
NY session sold USD/CAD out of the 1.4230 consolidation, printing 1.41947 before a modest bounce to 1.4207 as the dollar eased post in-line US PCE. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33 — momentum lower, not yet extreme.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42250 invalidates the breakout and puts price back in the broken range
Loss of 1.41947 swing low confirms continuation lower toward the 1.4200 psych area
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift the USD read
NY session saw a sharp selloff from 1.42476 down to 1.41947, breaking the multi-hour 1.4230-1.4247 consolidation as USD softened after an in-line US PCE print. RSI(14) near 31 after an impulsive four-bar drop; price is hugging the session low having pared part of the move to 1.42061.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42333, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42333 invalidates the break-lower read
Failure to hold 1.41947 confirms continuation of the down leg
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 27 · price 1.42061
Lower highs, lower lows after range breakdown.
USDCAD sold off sharply through NY hours, dropping from the 1.42476 session high to 1.41947 with RSI(14) oversold near 27 as in-line US PCE removed the USD's upside fuel. Price stalls at 1.42061 just above the session low; the 1.4220 breakdown zone now caps.
Support: 1.41947, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42235, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42235 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41947 extends the lower-low sequence
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later could re-fuel USD and shift this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 31 · price 1.42088
Lower highs, fresh session low printed.
NY session rejected the 1.4246 session high and sold off hard to a fresh low at 1.42088 after in-line US PCE removed the USD upside fuel. RSI(14) near 31, short-term stretched on the downside; price trades below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4208, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4223, 1.4246
What it said to watch
Hold below 1.42230 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Reclaim of 1.42230 would neutralise the NY selloff
Loss of 1.42080 opens the 1.4200 psych level
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee tonight could shift USD tone
NY session drove a sharp leg lower from the 1.42476 high to a fresh session low at 1.42080, breaking below the prior 1.4225-1.4240 consolidation. The slide tracks a USD pause after in-line PCE removed upside fuel; RSI(14) near 28, short-term stretched.
Support: 1.4208, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42333, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42333 would neutralise the downside momentum
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) and Goolsbee tone could materially shift USD and this read
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking to session lows.
NY session rejected 1.4246 and dropped sharply to session lows at 1.4208, with USD pausing after an in-line US PCE print giving the Loonie a reprieve. Price is below both EMAs and RSI(14) has cooled to ~31, but no basing yet.
Support: 1.4208, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42246, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4208 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.42246 negates the breakdown read
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could re-fire USD and shift this read
Broke below the 1.4225-1.4248 range, printing lower lows.
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4248 session high, breaking the 1.4235 range floor and pressing a fresh low at 1.4208 as the USD rally paused on in-line PCE. RSI(14) near 28 — short-term stretched — with price trading below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4208, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4235, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4235 negates the range break
Failure to hold 1.4208 confirms continuation lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) could reignite USD bid
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 1.42159
Broke below intraday consolidation.
USDCAD rejected the 1.42476 session high and broke below the 1.4233–1.4246 consolidation during NY hours, printing 1.42159 — a marginal CAD reprieve into the firm-USD/PCE backdrop. RSI(14) cooling near 33, no longer trending up; price now testing the prior 1.42149 swing low.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42333, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42149 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close back above 1.42333 range low negates the breakdown
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) speech could shift the USD read
Lower highs, breakdown from range into session lows.
NY session sold the 1.42476 session high and broke the 1.4220–1.4247 range to the downside, with price now pinned at session lows near 1.4216. The slide fits the stretched, overbought USDCAD correction risk flagged into US PCE; RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet at extremes.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4234, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42340 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower low toward 1.4200
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
USD/CAD swept the lower range to 1.42210 in the NY session before buyers recovered most of the move, with in-line US core PCE keeping the pair pinned below the 1.4250 14-month high. Ranging roughly 1.4220–1.4248, RSI(14) neutral near mid-range after the spike.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path to the 1.4250 14m high
Loss of 1.42210 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Intraday rolling over · RSI 37 · price 1.42159
Lower highs after double-top breakdown.
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.42476 session high after a double-top stall, breaking the prior 1.42210 swing low and printing 1.42159, with RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s. Move is broadly corrective — USD stays firm post in-line PCE while CAD sits near 14-month lows — but intraday momentum is now lower.
Support: 1.42159, 1.4221
Resistance: 1.42333, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42333 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.42159 opens the next leg lower
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD read
NY session printed a rejection at 1.42476 just below the 1.4250 14-month cap, then a sharp flush swept the swing low to 1.42210 before buyers reclaimed back to 1.42358. Price now sits mid-range near 1.42322 with RSI(14) cooling around 44 after the in-line US PCE print.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4236, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42360 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42210 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.42149
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.42317
Rejection at session high, lower high forming.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.42476 session high — just under the 1.4250 14-month cap — and dropped sharply to 1.42210 during NY hours, then bounced to stall near 1.42360. Now consolidating around 1.4232 after an in-line US core PCE print kept the Dollar broadly firm; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4236, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42360 bounce high reopens the 1.42476 session high
Failure to hold 1.42210 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.42149
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
USD/CAD flushed to 1.42212 on the 12:30 UTC US PCE release then snapped back, leaving a failed downside break inside the 1.42210-1.42476 NY range. Price has stalled mid-range near 1.42322 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the 1.4250 cap remains untested.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the 1.4250 cap test
Failure to hold 1.42210 confirms a lower-low toward 1.42149
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) could re-energise this range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp sweep from 1.4246 down to 1.42212 before price recovered most of the move to settle at 1.42322. Pair remains pinned inside the multi-hour 1.4221–1.4248 range, with the 1.4250 14-month cap still unbroken.
Support: 1.42212, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the 1.4250 cap test
Loss of 1.42212 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.42150
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Goolsbee) could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.42218
Range top rejected, sharp drop on PCE bar.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.42476 session high and dropped ~25 pips on the 12:30 UTC PCE bar (heavy volume), printing 1.42218 as USD softened against the cooler-leaning print. Price had ranged 1.42149–1.42476 through the prior 24h and is now back toward the lower half, RSI(14) cooling near 40.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42149 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.42476 negates the rejection and re-tests the 1.42500 april high
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could re-shift the read
12:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 1.4235
Consolidation just below session high.
USDCAD churned in a tight 1.4222–1.4248 band through the NY session and was rejected at the 1.42476 session high before slipping back to the 50% fib at 1.4235. The move coincides with the US PCE release crossing the wire — price still inside range, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.42355, 1.4222
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE outcome (12:30 UTC) is the immediate driver for the next bars
Close above 1.42476 session high opens the 1.4250 april high
Loss of 1.4222 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
USDCAD coiling 1.4222-1.4248 just below the 1.4250 April high; the late push to 1.42476 was rejected and price slid back to 1.4235 into the US PCE release. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.4234, 1.4222, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.4250 (april high) opens the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.4222 swing low confirms a lower-low back toward 1.4215
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 1.42438
Higher highs into range top, just below April-2025 high.
NY session drove a steady leg up off 1.42222, with price now testing the session high at 1.42476 and stalling just below the 1.4250 April-2025 high. RSI(14) near 63 — firm, not stretched. US PCE is printing now (12:30 GMT), the dominant catalyst for the next bars.
Support: 1.4231, 1.42222
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE result is releasing now — could materially shift this read in the next bar
M15 close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.4250 april high
Failure to hold 1.4231 reopens the 1.42222 session low
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 59 · price 1.42438
Higher lows, pressing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.42476 before easing back to 1.4244 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Price holds just below the 1.4250 April high; a chain of higher lows off 1.4222 keeps the intraday climb intact. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is imminent and is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.4234, 1.4222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read in the next bar
Close above 1.42476 opens the 1.4250 april high
Loss of 1.4234 breaks the higher-low sequence, exposing 1.4222 range low
Higher highs into session top, pullback off 1.42476.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42476 just shy of the 1.42500 April high before drawing a rejection wick, RSI cooling from the mid-60s. Price holds the upper third of the 24h range as traders square ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.42283, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~30m out) is the dominant catalyst and can break this read either way
Acceptance above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.42500 april high
Loss of 1.42283 swing low shifts the intraday structure back toward 1.42149
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42476, just shy of the 1.4250 April high, before easing to 1.42411 as RSI(14) cooled from the low-60s. Price sits above EMA20 (~1.4234) with the rising structure off the 1.42222 swing low still intact ahead of US core PCE.
Support: 1.4234, 1.42222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~30m) is the dominant near-term driver and could reshape this read
M15 close above 1.42500 (april high) opens the path toward 1.43
Failure to hold the 1.42222 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at highs · RSI 59 · price 1.42413
Higher highs into session top.
NY session ground higher to a 1.42476 session high, stalling just below the 1.42500 April high, then ticked back to 1.42413 into US core PCE. RSI(14) near 59 — momentum positive but not extended; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.4222-1.4234 through the session.
Support: 1.4236, 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT (f/c 3.4%) is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.42500 opens the path to the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.42360 puts the 1.42234 swing low back in play
NY session grinding higher into the 1.4250 April-2025 high after basing around 1.4222; RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extreme. Higher lows intact since the 1.4215 swing low, with the 1.4248-1.4250 area now the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.4235, 1.4222, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~45m) can materially shift this read — expect volatile USD
M15 close above 1.4250 opens room toward 1.43
Loss of 1.4222 session low breaks the higher-low chain
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 68 · price 1.4246
Higher lows, retesting 1.4250 cap.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4215 swing low, printing a chain of higher lows and pressing the 1.4250 April-2025 high. RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not extreme — as price retests the session cap into the US PCE cluster.
Support: 1.4234, 1.4222, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4250, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4250 opens the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.4234 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 1.4222 swing low, with a chain of rising lows lifting price to the 1.4247 session high just shy of the 1.4250 April peak. RSI(14) near 70 marks short-term heat, and the 1.4250 cap is the level in play ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4215, 1.4191
Resistance: 1.4247, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4250 opens extension toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.4222 breaks the rising-low chain
US Core PCE in ~1h could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, reclaiming the session high at 1.42447 with RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not extreme. Price has built a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.4223 base; 1.4250 psych level sits just overhead.
Support: 1.42334, 1.42234, 1.42191
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42476 prior high opens the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.42234 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.42431
Higher lows, pressing toward 1.4250.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, posting a chain of higher lows and stalling at the 1.42447 session high just shy of the 1.4250 April peak. RSI(14) firm near 64 but not extended; price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.42283, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~78 min could materially shift this read — volatile USD expected
Close above 1.4250 opens extension toward the April-2025 high zone
Loss of 1.42283 breaks the higher-low chain
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.42429
Rising lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.42234 swing low, printing rising lows and pressing the 1.42444 session high with RSI(14) near 65. Price holds sub-1.4250 (April high) as traders sit on the sidelines into US Core PCE.
Support: 1.42307, 1.42234, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.42444, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~80min (HIGH) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.4250 april high
Break of 1.42234 swing low invalidates the rising-low structure
11:01 UTC
Recovering toward range high · RSI 64 · price 1.42429
Range, grinding back to top.
USDCAD ground back toward the window high near 1.4245 after basing at the 1.4224 swing low during NY hours, RSI(14) mid-60s with room. Still inside the 1.4215–1.4248 range; the recovery leg holds above EMA20/50 but has yet to clear session resistance.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the near-term catalyst — sits ~90min ahead and could shift this read
M15 close above 1.42476 confirms a range break higher
Loss of 1.42235 reopens the 1.42149 window low
11:01 UTC
Grinding higher into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.42429
Rising lows, testing 1.4244 cap.
USDCAD ground back up through the London afternoon, posting higher lows off 1.4222 and pressing the 1.4248 session high as the dollar holds its 13-month bid. Price coils just under that cap into the 12:30 GMT US PCE cluster — the immediate catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.42222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.4250 April high
Loss of 1.42222 breaks the ascending-low chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Range, recent push to top · RSI 64 · price 1.42423
Session range 1.4215-1.4248, grinding higher into PCE.
USDCAD based around 1.4228-1.4234 through Asia and is now grinding back toward the session high at 1.42476 ahead of US core PCE at 12:30 GMT. RSI(14) near 64, hot but not extreme; price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.4250 April-2025 high
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.42235 reopens the 1.42149 session low
10:46 UTC
Ranging, edging toward range top · RSI 57 · price 1.42394
USDCAD is grinding back toward the range top after defending 1.42234 during NY hours, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Price remains pinned sub-1.4250 into the 12:30 GMT US PCE release, the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42476 opens the 1.4250 April-high test
Loss of 1.42234 reopens the 1.42149 swing low
10:31 UTC
Ranging, edging toward range top · RSI 62 · price 1.42394
Consolidation between 1.4220 and 1.4245.
USDCAD has chopped in a tight 1.4220-1.4245 band for the past 24 bars, capped just shy of the 1.4250 April high with CAD pinned near multi-month lows. Price is grinding back to the range top into the US Core PCE release; RSI mid-60s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4245, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst — likely to break this range
A close above 1.4245 opens the 1.4250 april high
Loss of 1.4222 range low exposes the 1.42149 swing low
USDCAD is grinding in a tight range sub-1.4250 with price clawing back toward the upper third after dipping to 1.4222 in the prior hours. Higher lows are forming into the NY session as the pair sits pinned just below the April high; traders sidelined ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.4222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the immediate catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.42476/1.4250 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.4222 reopens 1.42149 range low
10:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.42349
Consolidation below 1.4250 cap.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in the 1.4222–1.4248 band, holding just under the 1.4250 April high. NY-session dip to the 1.42234 low was bought back to 1.42349, RSI(14) flat near 53 with no directional pressure.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and can break this range either way
A close above 1.42476 session high exposes the 1.4250 April high
Failure to hold 1.42234 reopens the 1.42149 swing low
10:16 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.42332
Consolidation below 1.4245.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4222-1.4245 through the London-NY window, pinned just below the 1.4250 April-2025 high with RSI(14) mid-range near 48. No directional break in play ahead of US Core PCE due ~2h, which is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.4245
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4245 opens the 1.4250 april high
Loss of 1.4222 exposes the 1.4200 pivot
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could break this range
10:01 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.42332
Range-bound below 1.4250.
USDCAD chopping between 1.4222 and 1.4248 just below the April-2025 high, no setup in play. Price has retraced about half of the London-session drop from 1.4427... 1.4243 down to 1.4222 and now sits mid-range at 1.4233, RSI(14) flat near 49. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.42222, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42431, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4248 opens the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.4222 session low exposes 1.4215 swing low
10:01 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 1.42332
Balanced range, mid-range.
USDCAD has chopped between 1.42149 and 1.42476 through Asia and London, sitting mid-range near 1.4233 with no clean break in either direction. RSI(14) is neutral and ATR thin — price is coiling ahead of US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT, the catalyst for this session.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 breaks the range top
Close below 1.42149 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD coiling between 1.4222 and 1.4245 with price drifting back to 1.4230 after rejection at 1.4243, RSI(14) mid-range near 43. Traders sidelined ahead of the US PCE batch with no clean directional break inside the Asia-into-London window.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.4248
What it said to watch
US Core PCE batch at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
M15 close above 1.4245 breaks the range top toward the April highs
Loss of 1.4222 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4215
09:46 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 46 · price 1.4230
Tight range, mid-band.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4215–1.4243 range through the London session, ATR compressed near 5 pips as traders sit on hands ahead of US PCE. Price stalled into 1.4243 then eased back to mid-range around 1.4230, RSI flat near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.42222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.4248–1.4250 pivot
Loss of 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
09:31 UTC
Range-bound, no clear momentum · RSI 45 · price 1.42317
Consolidation sub-1.4250 ahead of US data.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.4215–1.4248 range with no directional follow-through, traders sidelined ahead of the US PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 GMT. Price dipped to 1.4223 in the latest leg and is bouncing modestly to 1.4232; range edges still respected.
Support: 1.42234, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.42420 reopens the 1.4248 range top
Failure to hold 1.42234 exposes the 1.4215 session low
09:31 UTC
Rangebound, no clear bias · RSI 45 · price 1.42317
Consolidation between 1.4215 and 1.4248.
USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.4215 and 1.4248, last seen at 1.4232 after a rejection at 1.4242 and a quick dip to 1.4223 that buyers stepped back into. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with thin holiday-style flows as traders sit on the sidelines ahead of the US PCE batch.
Support: 1.4223, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.4248
What it said to watch
US PCE / GDP data at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4242 puts the 1.4248 prior high in play
Loss of 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and ends the range read
USDCAD drifted off the 1.42427 London high down to 1.42222 before a shallow bounce to 1.42286, holding inside the day's 1.42150–1.42476 range. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 42; traders sidelined ahead of the US PCE batch.
Support: 1.42222, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT (~3.3h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Close back above 1.42427 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42222 confirms a lower low toward 1.42150
Consolidation sub-1.4250, recent rejection at 1.4242.
USDCAD is ranging sub-1.4250 after a rejection at the 1.4242 session high rolled price back to 1.42215. RSI(14) near 42 reflects the soft tone as traders sit on the sidelines into the US PCE batch at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.42215, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4242 reopens the 1.4250 pivot
Loss of 1.42215 exposes the 1.42149 session low
09:02 UTC
Range, recent leg lower · RSI 44 · price 1.42286
Rangebound below session high, fading off 1.4242.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.4242 and slid to 1.42234 during London hours, now back below EMA20 and EMA50. Price is consolidating in the upper 1.4220s after fading off the cycle-high zone, RSI(14) mid-range around 43.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.42427 reopens the path toward 1.4248
Loss of 1.42234 confirms a lower low toward 1.42149
USDCAD chopped between 1.4222 and 1.4248 through London, rejected at the 1.4242 session high and sliding to 1.4223 before steadying at 1.4228. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver and can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.4222 session low exposes 1.42149 prior low
Reclaim of 1.4242 session high re-opens the 1.4248 cycle high
08:46 UTC
Consolidation, slipping into range low · RSI 40 · price 1.42249
Ranging, recent lower highs.
USDCAD has chopped in a 1.4215–1.4243 band through the London session and just rolled off the 1.42427 cycle high back toward the session low at 1.4223, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 into today's US PCE (12:30 GMT), the immediate catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42427
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4223 session low opens the 1.4215 swing low
Close back above 1.4239 recent high negates the pullback
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Range, rolling off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.42249
Intraday range, lower high after rejection at 1.4243.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4243 session high during London hours and slid to 1.4224, dropping back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair is rangebound 1.42150-1.42476 with price sitting at the 0.618 pullback of the prior intraday push.
Support: 1.4215, 1.42195
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42150 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst — could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.42427 reopens the cycle high at 1.42476
USDCAD churned in a tight 1.4215–1.4248 range through Asia and into the London hours as the USD softened off its highs ahead of US PCE. The push toward 1.42420 was rejected and price faded back below EMA20/50 to 1.42274; rising lows keep the lower band intact for now.
Support: 1.4219, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the key swing — a hot print could press the 1.4242 session high, a soft one risks an unwind toward the session low
M15 close below 1.42149 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
Close above 1.42420 reopens the 1.42476 prior high
08:31 UTC
Range, slipping to lows · RSI 42 · price 1.42249
Intraday range, recent rejection at top.
USDCAD has churned in a 1.4225-1.4242 range through the Asia/early-London window, just slipping to a session low at 1.42234 after rejection from 1.42427. CAD soft-bid into the US PCE cluster as the pair eased from its cycle high; price now below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.42234, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.42427 reopens the 1.42476 cycle high
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is the key swing for the next leg
08:16 UTC
Rangebound, drifting near range top · RSI 49 · price 1.42295
Consolidation between 1.4215 and 1.4244.
USDCAD is coiling around 1.4230 after easing off the 1.4243 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 49 in tight pre-NY trade. The pair has held a 1.4215–1.4244 band through the London morning, with the last bar slipping back to range support ahead of the 12:30 UTC US PCE/GDP cluster.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4244 reopens the 1.4476 window high
Loss of 1.42235 exposes the 1.4215 session low
08:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.42295
Intraday range, rejection off highs.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4228–1.4242 through the London morning, with the last bar rejecting off 1.4242 and slipping back to the range mid as the USD eased ahead of PCE. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price has dropped below EMA20/EMA50; no clean setup while the range holds.
Support: 1.4228, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the swing for the next USDCAD leg
M15 close above 1.42427 reopens the 1.42476 swing high
USDCAD drifted in a tight 1.4228-1.4242 band through Asian hours, the USD softening from the 1.4239 cycle high ahead of US PCE. The last two bars slipped to 1.42295, leaving price under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward mid-40s; range base at 1.42274 is the immediate test.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD leg
M15 close below 1.42274 confirms a lower low toward 1.42149
Reclaim of 1.42427 reopens 1.42476
08:01 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 44 · price 1.42295
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4220–1.4427 band, easing from its 1.4239 cycle area as the dollar softened in Asia ahead of US PCE. Last bar rejected the 1.4242 session high and faded to 1.42295; RSI(14) flat near 44, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42427 reopens 1.42476
Loss of 1.42210 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the key swing for the next USD leg
07:46 UTC
Mild grind higher within range · RSI 58 · price 1.4238
Rangebound, holding upper half of 24h range.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4215–1.4248 across the last 24h, grinding back to 1.4238 during London after a dip to 1.4215. Price sits in the upper half of the range with RSI(14) neutral near 58; the US PCE/GDP data cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.4228, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4242, 1.4248
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4248 reopens the path toward the 1.43 handle
Loss of 1.4215 swing low confirms a deeper pullback within the range
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4215–1.4248 band through the London session, with price drifting back to the 1.4243 session-high area on a chain of higher lows off 1.4215. CAD remains the weakest major into the move but momentum is muted ahead of the US data cluster.
Support: 1.4232, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4248 extends the intraday range break
Loss of 1.4232 then 1.4215 negates the higher-low chain
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~5h out) can reset this read sharply
07:31 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 61 · price 1.42401
Range, rising lows into the top.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session and into the early London hours, lifting off the 1.42274 swing low and pressing the 1.4243 range top with the session high at 1.42476 just above. RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched; the broader 1.4215–1.4248 range still contains price.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 would break the session range and extend the grind higher
Loss of 1.42274 breaks the rising-low structure back toward the 1.4215 session low
US PCE/GDP/Durable Goods cluster at 12:30 UTC could spike volatility and reset this read
07:31 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 60 · price 1.42401
Rangebound, holding upper third.
USDCAD churned in a tight 1.4215-1.4248 band through the Asia session, with price now creeping back toward the session high at 1.42430 ahead of European hours. Buyers stepped in around 1.42274 over the last few hours, lifting price off the day low; structure stays range-bound with RSI mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US PCE / GDP data cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.42476 opens continuation toward 1.43
Loss of 1.42300 reopens the day low at 1.42149
07:16 UTC
Range, grinding higher into top · RSI 64 · price 1.42416
Range 1.4215-1.4248, price near range top.
USDCAD is grinding higher through the London session, lifting off the 1.42274 area and pressing back toward the session high at 1.42476 after holding the broad 1.4215-1.4248 range. RSI(14) in the low-60s, no extreme; price above both EMAs as the recent micro-swing prints higher lows.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.42476 opens a range break of the 24h band
Loss of 1.42274 reopens the 1.42149 swing low
US PCE/GDP/Durable Goods cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Range, grinding toward top · RSI 63 · price 1.42416
Consolidation between 1.4215 and 1.4248.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4215–1.4248, with the current London-hours bar grinding back toward the range top after a swing low at 1.42149. RSI(14) near 63, no extreme; pair sits just under the 1.42447 session high.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
15m close above 1.42476 opens a range break of the 24h top
Failure to hold 1.42274 reopens the 1.42149 range low
US PCE/GDP/Durables data cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Micro uptrend within a range · RSI 60 · price 1.42416
Range-bound, grinding back to session top.
USD/CAD has spent the last 24h ranging 1.4215–1.4248, with London-morning bars grinding back toward the session high after holding 1.4228. Dollar sits at 14-month highs against a heavy CAD, but price is capped just below 1.4243 for now.
Support: 1.4228, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens the path back to recent highs
Failure to hold 1.4228 reopens the 1.42149 session low
US PCE / Q1 GDP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break the range either way
07:01 UTC
Grinding higher off range floor · RSI 64 · price 1.42416
Range floor holding, higher lows late.
USDCAD spent most of the window ranging 1.4228–1.4245 before printing higher lows through the London session and ticking back toward the 1.4243–1.4248 top. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 as it presses the range top.
Support: 1.42282, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens room beyond the session high
Loss of 1.42282 reopens the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
06:46 UTC
Rangebound near 14-month highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42371
Consolidation, micro higher lows into NY... London hours.
USDCAD is grinding sideways near 14-month highs, capped under 1.42415 with demand stepping in around 1.42274. Price reclaimed EMA20/50 on the latest push to 1.42415 but stalled; RSI(14) mid-range at ~60, no extreme. The pair sits below the 1.42476 window high with the move CAD-heavy on soft oil and a firm dollar.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42415, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC today is the key USD catalyst — can reshape this read
Close above 1.42415 reopens the 1.42476 window high
Failure to hold 1.42274 exposes 1.42191 session low
USDCAD has chopped in a ~1.42150–1.42476 band over the last 24h, with price now grinding back up toward the session high after holding 1.42270. Move is shallow and two-sided into the US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC, the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.4227, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.42476 opens room beyond the window high
Failure to hold 1.42270 puts the 1.42149 session low back in play
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.42395
Recovering from intraday dip, pressing recent highs.
USDCAD is grinding back toward the recent high at 1.4243 after a London-session dip held the 1.42149 session low, with the pair pinned near 14-month highs on USD strength. Price reclaimed both EMAs and RSI(14) sits mid-60s, room before extremes. A data avalanche including US Core PCE lands at 12:30 UTC — the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.42282, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42476 session high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.42282 swing low reopens the 1.42149 session low
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting toward top · RSI 64 · price 1.42395
Ranging 1.4215-1.4248, grinding back to range high.
USDCAD held a tight 1.4215-1.4248 range through the Asia session and is now grinding back toward the range high near 1.42415, RSI in the low-60s. ATR is thin at ~3 pips with the 14-month high at 1.42476 still capping. PCE-driven USD demand keeps the pair pinned to its highs.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42415, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
M15 close above 1.42476 confirms a range break to fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.42274 reopens the 1.42149 session low
06:16 UTC
Range near 14-month high, mild upward drift · RSI 61 · price 1.42377
Consolidation between 1.4227 and 1.4248.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4227–1.4248 through the Asian session, pinned just under its 14-month high after a thin overnight tape; the last six bars drifted back up to 1.4239. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme, with price holding above the EMA20/50 cluster.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens room to extend the high
Loss of 1.42274 reopens the 1.4215 session low
US Core PCE / GDP block at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
USDCAD is consolidating just under its 14-month high at 1.42476 after rejecting there overnight, with the pair coiling in a tight 1.42284–1.42431 band through the Asia session. London open has nudged price back toward the range top, RSI(14) mid-60s, but ATR is thin at ~3 pips ahead of US PCE.
Support: 1.42284, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42431, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 1.42476 opens fresh 14-month-high territory
Failure to hold 1.42284 reopens the 1.42149 session low
USDCAD coiled between 1.4228 and 1.4248 through the thin Asia session, with price grinding back toward session highs into early London on the broader USD bid that pinned the Loonie at 14-month lows. RSI(14) is mid-range near 59, no extreme; structure holds higher lows off the 1.42149 base.
Support: 1.42283, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens continuation toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42283 exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has chopped in a 1.42149–1.42476 band through the Asian session, sitting at 14-month highs on the broad USD bid. Price is grinding back toward the upper edge into the London open, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme. The 1.42430–1.42476 supply zone capped earlier pushes and is the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.42275, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens continuation past the session high
Loss of 1.42275 reopens the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4221–1.4248 band just under the 14-month high, with the overnight Asia session leaving a thin, low-volume drift. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~24 pips as price holds gains near cycle highs ahead of US PCE.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.4248 extends the trend toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.4221 confirms a lower-low into 1.42149
USDCAD is coiling in a 1.4228-1.4243 band through the Asian session, ATR compressed to ~3 pips after rejecting the 14-month high at 1.4248 earlier. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 with no momentum bias; price is parked just under the session high awaiting US PCE.
Support: 1.4228, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 14mo high at 1.4248
Loss of 1.4228 exposes 1.4215 swing low
05:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.42324
Coiling near range mid after rejecting day high.
USDCAD is coiling tightly around 1.4232 through the Asia session after supply capped the 1.42476 14-month high earlier; RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~3.6 pips. Price is pinned to its EMAs with no intraday directional break in play.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP block at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.42408 reopens the path to the 1.42476 day high
Loss of 1.42191 confirms a lower-low toward 1.42149
05:31 UTC
Ranging near 14-month highs · RSI 49 · price 1.42324
Consolidation, tight Asian range.
USDCAD coiling in a tight 1.4228-1.4235 band through the quiet Asia session, holding just under the 14-month high at 1.4248 after the hawkish-Fed bid kept the Loonie pinned. RSI flat near 49, no momentum either way; range top at 1.4243 and floor at 1.4227 both respected.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42431, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 extends the up-leg toward the 1.43 zone
Break below 1.4227 opens 1.4215 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.42306
Consolidation near 1.4230.
USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.4220-1.4245 range through the quiet Asian session, with the pair pinned near 14-month highs on wide Fed-BoC spreads. Last few bars are low-volume drift back toward 1.4230 after rejection from 1.4245; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4245, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4245 reopens the 1.42476 high
Loss of 1.4220 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is a high-impact catalyst that could break this range
05:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.42306
Consolidation under session highs.
Asia session is grinding sideways in a 1.4228-1.4240 band on thin volume, price holding just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near neutral. The earlier London-NY push to the 1.42476 14-month high has stalled; no intraday setup in play ahead of US PCE.
Support: 1.42282, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
M15 close back above 1.42408 reopens the 1.42476 high
Loss of 1.42282 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
05:02 UTC
Consolidating, slight down drift · RSI 43 · price 1.42306
Range below session high, capped by lower highs.
Asia session is chopping between 1.42274 and 1.42430 after rejection at the 1.42476 session high earlier in the window. Price drifted off the 1.42430 swing high and is treading water near 1.4230 with RSI mid-range; no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42191
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE avalanche at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.42430 reopens the 1.42476 session high
Loss of 1.42274 exposes 1.42191 swing low
05:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.42306
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in thin Asia-session trade, holding the 14-month-high zone near 1.4235 but slipping under EMA20 as recent bars print lower highs into 1.42408. Price coiling between 1.42275 and 1.42408 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin ahead of London.
Support: 1.42275, 1.42149, 1.42119
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.42275 confirms a lower-low toward 1.42149
Reclaim of 1.42408 reopens the session high at 1.42476
USDCAD is consolidating between 1.42274 and 1.4243 after printing a 14-month high at 1.42476, with price drifting toward the range floor into Asia hours as RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43. The broader Loonie weakness on wide Fed-BoC spreads is intact but momentum has flattened on this timeframe.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.42149 opens the session-low break
Reclaim of 1.4243 puts the 1.42476 session high back in play
Consolidation in upper range, drifting toward range floor.
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4232–1.4235 band through the quiet Asia session, holding near 14-month highs after the broad USD bid. Price has drifted toward the 1.42235 range floor with RSI(14) flat near 46 and volume thinning into the latest bars.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42235 opens the path to 1.42149 intraday low
Reclaim of 1.42447 session high keeps the prior uptrend intact
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
04:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.42293
Consolidation near range lows.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asia-session range, holding just under the 1.4240 session high after fading from the 1.42476 window high. Price sits near the 1.4227 session low with RSI(14) mid-range; no momentum either way at 14-month-high territory.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42191
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4227 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4219
Reclaim of 1.4241 puts the range top and 1.42476 high back in play
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
Consolidation near range mid after session high rejection.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight range between 1.4227 and 1.4243 through the late Asia session, holding just under a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248. Price rejected the 1.4243 session high and is drifting back toward range support, with RSI(14) neutral around 43 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips. No setup in play — coiling ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.4248 high and trend extension
Loss of 1.4227 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD is consolidating below the 1.4248 range high after the fresh 14-month high, drifting toward 1.4229 into the Asian session with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Price has coiled between 1.4221 support and 1.4243 through the last several hours, no fresh extension in play.
Support: 1.4221, 1.4215, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.4248 range high
Failure to hold 1.4221 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4215
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dollar catalyst that can break this range
Asia-session chop near 1.4229 after USDCAD printed fresh 14-month highs at 1.42476; price has drifted back under the EMAs into thin holiday-style volume. RSI(14) is neutral around 46, no momentum extension in play.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 reopens the uptrend toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42195 confirms a lower-low in the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the session's key catalyst
04:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.42292
Balanced range, mid-band drift.
USDCAD coiling in thin Asia hours between 1.4227 and 1.4241, holding just below the 14-month-high zone after the broad USD bid. Price is drifting under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — no directional impulse, just range rotation.
Support: 1.4227, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4241 reopens the 1.42476 window high
Loss of 1.4227 exposes the 1.4215 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst that can break this range
USDCAD is consolidating in a 1.4223–1.4241 band after fading from the 1.42476 session high, holding near 14-month highs as a firm USD keeps the Loonie pressured. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is compressing through the Asian session — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.4223, 1.4215, 1.42113
Resistance: 1.4241, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reasserts the uptrend toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42230 swing low opens the 1.42150 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the headline catalyst that can break this range
Quiet Asia session: USDCAD coiling near 1.4232 after stalling at the 1.4243 session high, sitting just under EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-range; price holding the 1.4229 pivot with the broader 14-month-high uptrend in the background.
Support: 1.4229, 1.4221, 1.4216
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4229 opens the 1.4221 session low
Reclaim of 1.4243 session high keeps trend intact toward 1.42476
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next legs
03:46 UTC
Consolidation near 14-month highs · RSI 46 · price 1.42315
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDCAD is drifting in a tight Asian-session range between 1.4215 and 1.4240 just under 14-month highs, with thin overnight volume and price pinned around the midpoint of the 1.42476-1.42149 leg. RSI(14) near 46 is neutral after the earlier overbought push; no fresh print above 1.4240 since the prior session.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42235
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4240 reopens the path toward the 1.42476 window high
Break below 1.42149 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~9h out) is the next major catalyst for this pair
03:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.42297
Asian-session range, mid-range.
USD/CAD ranging through the Asian session between 1.4216 and 1.4248, holding just under 14-month highs as a firm dollar caps the Loonie. Price has eased to 1.4230 with RSI(14) neutral near 44; no setup in play, range still intact.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42408, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 extends the broader uptrend toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.4216 opens a deeper pullback below the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could break this range
03:31 UTC
Range after pullback from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.42297
Ranging 1.4220-1.4240, lower highs off 1.4248.
USDCAD ranging 1.4220-1.4240 through the Asia session after rejecting the 1.42476 session high during NY hours, with the pair pinned near 14-month highs on USD strength. Price now drifting along the lower half of the range, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4240, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4240 reopens the 1.4248 session high
Loss of 1.4220 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4215
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst for the next leg
Quiet Asia session has USDCAD chopping between 1.4227 and 1.4243 just under the 14-month high at 1.42476, volume thin and RSI flat near 50. Price is pinned to its EMAs with no directional impulse — a holding pattern after the prior London-NY push.
Support: 1.4227, 1.4219, 1.42116
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the trend toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42270 then 1.42190 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.42328
Tight consolidation near 14-month highs.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in thin Asia-session trade between 1.4227 and 1.4243, hovering just under the 14-month high at 1.4248 as a firm dollar and soft oil keep the loonie pinned. Volume has dried up into the latest bars and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4243 reopens the session high at 1.4248 and trend continuation
Loss of 1.4227 exposes 1.4219 then 1.4215 swing lows
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the headline catalyst that can break this range
03:01 UTC
Range, near 14-mo highs · RSI 51 · price 1.42328
Consolidation in upper range.
USDCAD is consolidating 1.4227-1.4243 in the upper part of the range, holding just under the 1.42430 session high near 14-month highs. Asia hours are thin and directionless, RSI flat around 50 after the earlier rejection at the 1.42476 range high. Move stays driven by hawkish-Fed USD strength and weak oil into the PCE catalyst.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dollar catalyst that can break this range
M15 close above 1.42430 reopens the 1.42476 range high
Loss of 1.42271 session low exposes the 1.42149 range low
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4230-1.4243 band through the Asia session after London-NY drove it to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248 on the firm dollar and weak oil. Last bars are compressing under the 1.4243 session high with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional break yet.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42430 reopens the 1.4248 high and the 1.43-1.45 zone
Loss of 1.42271 exposes the 1.42195 spike low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dollar catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD has chopped in a 1.4227-1.4243 range through the quiet Asia session, consolidating just under the 1.4239 trend high after rejection at 1.42476 earlier. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with thin holiday-grade volume; dips at 1.4227 have been absorbed twice.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42407, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.42476 high
Failure to hold 1.42271 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is consolidating just under the 1.42430 session high after pushing to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248 on hawkish-Fed USD strength and weak oil. Price is drifting between 1.42271 and 1.42430, RSI(14) flat around the mid-line with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42430 reopens the 1.42476 range high
Loss of 1.42271 exposes the 1.42191 session low
US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst
USDCAD is grinding sideways in the 1.4227-1.4243 band during the Asia session, holding just below the fresh 14-month high near 1.4243 carved on broad USD strength. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is compressed around 6 pips, consistent with the tight chop.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 opens the path toward 1.42476 and beyond
Failure to hold 1.42271 exposes the 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is clustered risk that could break this range
02:31 UTC
Ranging near 1-yr highs · RSI 53 · price 1.42338
Consolidation inside 1.4215–1.4248.
USDCAD is chopping near 1-year highs during the Asia session, holding a 1.4215–1.4248 range after the broad USD bid stalled below 1.4248. Price sits mid-range at 1.4234 with RSI flat near 53; no intraday breakout in play.
Support: 1.42149, 1.42235
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 opens continuation toward 1.43
Loss of 1.4215 confirms a lower-low and exit of the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.42365
Range-bound below 1.4248.
USDCAD is drifting in a tight 1.4227–1.4248 range during thin Asia-session hours, holding just below the 14-month high at 1.4248 amid broad USD strength. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 with volume collapsing into the late session; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.42271, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.42365
Ranging below 1-yr high after earlier pullback.
USDCAD is coiling in the 1.4220-1.4245 zone through the quiet Asia session, holding just under the 1.42476 session high and a fresh 1-year peak. Earlier London-NY action swept down to 1.42149 before buyers stepped back in; momentum is flat with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42476 opens continuation toward 1.43
Close below 1.42210 confirms a lower low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Range, near 1-yr highs · RSI 55 · price 1.42365
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD grinding sideways through the Asia session just under the 1.42430 session high, holding near 1-year highs on broad USD strength. Range has been 1.42274–1.42430 for the last several hours; RSI(14) neutral mid-50s, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens path toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.42274 confirms a lower low into 1.42149
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.4227 and 1.4243 just under the >1-year high at 1.4248, with broad USD strength holding CAD pinned. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no setup in play during Asia hours.
Support: 1.42274, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.4248 swing high and the 1.43 path
Failure to hold 1.4227 exposes the 1.4215 session low
Consolidation below session high, slipping from 1.4243.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range, holding just under last year's broad uptrend extension near 1.4243 where the latest push was rejected. Price has since faded to 1.4228, RSI(14) cooling toward 43 with no impulse in play.
Support: 1.4223, 1.4219, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42190 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4215
Reclaim and close above 1.42430 reopens the 1.4248 prior high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst for the next leg
01:46 UTC
Ranging near 1-yr highs · RSI 46 · price 1.42282
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD is ranging through the Asia session between 1.4215 and 1.4243 after stalling below the 1-yr high near 1.4248 set in prior NY hours. Price drifted off the 1.4243 session high to mid-range, RSI(14) flat near 46. Broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed pricing underpins, but no fresh leg in play.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149, 1.42059
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the window high at 1.4248
Loss of 1.4215 confirms a lower low out of the range
US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the key catalyst for the next directional move
01:31 UTC
Range, near highs · RSI 49 · price 1.42331
Consolidation under 1-yr high.
Thin Asia session grinding sideways near 1.4234 after the London-NY push tagged the 1.42476 session high. Price holds the upper half of the 1.4215-1.4248 range with RSI neutral; no momentum either way into the US PCE risk.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst for this read
Close above 1.42476 reopens the 1.43+ extension
Failure to hold 1.4221 exposes the 1.42149 session low
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.42331
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD topped at 1.42476 during London-NY hours then settled into a 1.4220-1.4243 range, holding near 1-year highs on broad USD strength. Thin Asian-session flow has price pinned mid-range at 1.4233, RSI neutral near 51.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42432, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42432 reopens the 1.42476 high
Loss of 1.42200 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the next leg
01:16 UTC
Consolidation near highs · RSI 53 · price 1.42364
Tight Asian range under session high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in thin Asian-session trade between 1.4221 and 1.4243, holding just under the fresh 14-month high after broad USD strength drove the prior leg up. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to a few pips as volume thins out.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 opens a retest of the 1.42476 prior high
Loss of 1.4221 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE in ~11h is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
01:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 55 · price 1.42364
Consolidation within prior session range.
USDCAD is grinding sideways through the thin Asia session, holding between 1.42235 and 1.42430 after the broad USD bid stalled near 14-month highs. Price recovered roughly two-thirds of the earlier drop from 1.42476 to 1.42149 and sits mid-range at 1.42364 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.42235, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD is grinding sideways in Asia hours between 1.4223 and 1.4243, holding near 14-month highs as broad USD strength caps any corrective dip. RSI(14) sits neutral around 54 with no momentum extreme; price coiling under the 1.42476 session high.
Support: 1.4223, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42431, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.4223 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
Quiet Asian session grinding between 1.4230 and the 1.4243 session high after NY faded from the 1.42476 peak. Last bar rejected 1.4243 back to 1.4236; volume thin, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4243 reopens the 1.42476 ny high
Loss of 1.4230 exposes the 1.42149 london low
US Core PCE in ~12h is the dominant USD catalyst for the next session
Thin Asian session grinding higher off the 1.4221 area toward the session high at 1.42445, RSI(14) near 61. Broad USD strength near 13-month highs underpins the drift; price coils just under the 1.4244-1.4248 cap.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42191, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42445, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 extends the uptrend toward the prior 1.4239+ structure
Loss of 1.42300 reopens the 1.42191 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 1.42403
Consolidating near session highs.
USDCAD drifted back up toward the 1.42447 session high in thin Asia-session trade after dipping to 1.42149 during the prior session. Price is grinding in a tight 1.42300–1.42447 band, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme; broad USD strength and CAD pinned at 14-month lows remain the backdrop.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42447, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42447/1.42476 opens the path toward 1.43
Loss of 1.42195 reopens 1.42149 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding sideways in Asia · RSI 61 · price 1.42403
Consolidation under session high, micro higher lows.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.42476 NY session high to a 1.42149 swing low, then chopped sideways through a thin Asia session, recovering to 1.42403 on the last bar. ATR has compressed to ~6 pips and price is pinned between 1.4230 support and the session high, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42149, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.42149 swing low confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
Thin Asian-session tape grinding higher off the 1.4221 low, with the current bar pressing into 1.4240 just below the session-high cluster at 1.4244-1.4248. USD broadly bid near 13-month highs keeps USDCAD pinned at the top of its 24h range; no decisive break of the highs yet.
Support: 1.4231, 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42445, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 opens path toward the 1.4239 multi-month high zone
Failure to hold 1.42310 base reopens 1.42210-1.42149 supports
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat in Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.42369
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY before stalling into the Asia session, now coiling in a tight 1.4230–1.4239 band on thin volume near 14-month highs. Session high at 1.42476 caps; demand has stepped in around 1.4231 keeping price pinned to the top of the range.
Support: 1.42305, 1.42191, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42386, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward 1.43
Loss of 1.42305 base exposes 1.42191 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.42369
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.4232-1.4237 band through thin Asia-session hours, holding above EMA20/50. London/NY earlier pushed to a session high at 1.4248 before dipping to 1.4215 and recovering; price now sits just under that high with RSI flat near 56.
Support: 1.4232, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4248 resumes the push toward the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.4232 floor opens a retest of the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE in ~12.5h is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.42369
Consolidating near highs after NY grind up.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into a session peak at 1.42476, then settled into a tight consolidation between the 1.42319 range floor and 1.4244 recent high through the quiet Asia hours. Broad USD strength and soft oil keep the Loonie pinned, but momentum has flattened with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.42319, 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.4244, 1.42476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4244 reopens the session peak at 1.42476
Loss of 1.42319 range floor exposes 1.4221 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation under session high after Asia drift.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4232-1.4237 band through thin Asia hours, holding near 14-month highs after the 1.42476 session peak rejected. RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips signal a low-volatility coil ahead of the data window.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42149, 1.42056
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42451
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward 1.43
Loss of 1.4220 exposes the 1.42149 swing low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could break this coil sharply