Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820, currently mid-range.
USDCAD ran up to a session high of 1.38208 during NY hours then sold off sharply to 1.37986 before recovering. Currently consolidating around 1.3807 with thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) neutral near 46, and price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.38005, 1.37986
Resistance: 1.38208, 1.38176, 1.38147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38176 recent swing reopens 1.38208 session high
Break below 1.37986 swing low confirms a lower-low and extends the drift
23:30 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 1.38083
Intraday range 1.3799-1.3820, mid-range drift.
USDCAD has been chopping in a tight 1.3805-1.3820 band through the Asia session after NY rejected 1.3820 twice and bought the dip into 1.3799. Price sits mid-range at 1.3808 with RSI near 50 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.3805, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3813, 1.38193, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 reopens NY high at 1.3820
Break of 1.3799 NY swing low confirms lower-low
Compressed ATR suggests expansion likely into London open
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820, current price mid-range.
USDCAD chopping in a ~20 pip range between 1.3799 and 1.3820 through late NY into Asia, with the 1.3820 session high rejected twice. Current price sits mid-range near 1.3810, RSI(14) flat around 48 — no structural setup in play.
Support: 1.3805, 1.3799, 1.3798
Resistance: 1.3816, 1.3820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 opens path back toward 1.3838
Break and hold below 1.3799 session low confirms a lower-low
Australia April CPI print at 01:30 GMT could drive thin Asia liquidity
23:00 UTC
Range-bound, drifting · RSI 51 · price 1.38115
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820.
USDCAD ground sideways through the Asia session inside a 1.3804–1.3820 band after the NY-session pop to 1.3821 was rejected. Price is mid-range with RSI near 50; no directional pressure heading into the next London open.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37986
Resistance: 1.38208, 1.38193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38208 session high opens path back to 1.3825+
Break of 1.38040 session low exposes the 1.37986 swing low
USDCAD chopped between 1.3800 and 1.3820 across the NY session, with sellers rejecting 1.38200 twice and buyers stepping in near 1.38005. Asia hours have thinned out into a tight drift around 1.3812, RSI flat near 51.
Support: 1.38075, 1.38005, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.38165, 1.3820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38200 opens the range top
Loss of 1.38005 swing low confirms a lower-low
Thin Asia liquidity may amplify any headline-driven move
22:30 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower late NY · RSI 45 · price 1.38097
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820, late fade from highs.
USDCAD spent NY rotating in a 1.3799–1.3820 range, with rejection at the session high at 1.3820 fading price back toward the session low at 1.3804. Late-session bars are quiet and price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38147
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.37985 prior swing low opens path to extend lower
M15 close above 1.3820 session high reopens upside
Asia session liquidity thin — false breaks of the range more likely
NY session pushed up to 1.3820 twice and was rejected, with price fading back into the 1.3805–1.3810 zone as the late session winds down. M15 has settled into a tight range above 1.3799 support; RSI(14) is mid-band and momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3813, 1.3820, 1.3821
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 invalidates the double top read
Kashkari hawkish Fed comments still in the tape — fresh USD headlines could disrupt the range
22:00 UTC
Intraday range, slight downside drift late NY · RSI 43 · price 1.38067
Range between 1.3799 and 1.3820, current bar near mid-low.
USDCAD spent the NY session ranging 1.3799–1.3820 after the early-NY push to 1.3820 was rejected. Price has rolled back to 1.3807 into the late-NY hours, sitting just below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling toward 42.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.3820
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3799 session low opens path toward 1.3795 round number
Reclaim of 1.3815 swing area would re-engage the session high at 1.3820
21:45 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 51 · price 1.38099
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820, current bar mid-range.
USDCAD ground higher through London into NY, tagging a session high at 1.38208 before sellers faded the move back into the 1.3805–1.3815 zone. Late-NY/early-Asia is drifting sideways around 1.3810 with RSI flat near 50 — no directional pressure in play.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.3820
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38200 reopens the session high break
Loss of 1.38040 pivot exposes the 1.37985 session low
Asian session liquidity thin — moves may not hold
21:30 UTC
Range with mild upward drift · RSI 50 · price 1.38101
Intraday range 1.3799-1.3820, currently mid-range.
USDCAD spent the NY session oscillating between 1.3799 and 1.3820, with sellers rejecting the 1.3820 session high twice and buyers defending 1.3799 on the pullback. Price now sits mid-range near 1.3810 with RSI(14) neutral around 50 and ATR(14) at ~4 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.38208, 1.38193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high opens path back toward 1.3850
Loss of 1.3799 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
21:15 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 1.38101
Intraday range 1.3799-1.3820 with failed breakout.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 before sellers stepped in, sweeping back to 1.3799 within two hours. Price has since recovered to the mid-range around 1.3810 with RSI(14) neutral near 46, no directional pressure into the close.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3816, 1.3820
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.37985 swing low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.38160 prior high reopens 1.38200 session high
Asia open thin liquidity could distort the range read
USDCAD rejected 1.38208 during NY hours and has drifted back into the 1.3805–1.3815 mid-range, with rising oil capping upside per Scotiabank/fxstreet flow. Price oscillating around EMA20 with RSI mid-zone — no directional pressure into Asia.
Support: 1.38005, 1.37986
Resistance: 1.38176, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38176 NY high reopens 1.38208 swing high
Loss of 1.38005 range low exposes session low at 1.37986
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3820 with failed breakout.
NY session pushed to 1.38208 before reversing sharply back into the range, with sellers stepping in at 1.38200 twice. Price now drifting near 1.38126 mid-range, RSI(14) neutral around 52 and ATR(14) ~4 pips signalling compressed M15 conditions.
Support: 1.3804, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38165, 1.3820, 1.3823
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38200 reopens the session high test
Break of 1.37985 session low confirms a lower-low
Sustained hold below 1.38040 range mid shifts tone heavier
USDCAD compressed into a 1.3800–1.3820 range through the NY session after a rejection at 1.3820 swing high, with oil-related CAD bid noted in headlines. Price now sits mid-range at 1.3811 with RSI(14) neutral around 47 and EMA20/50 stacked just above price.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.3820, 1.3821
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3800 session low opens 1.3796 prior swing
Reclaim above 1.3820 session high would negate the rejection read
Oil price spike could extend CAD strength and pressure the range floor
20:15 UTC
Intraday range, slight drift lower late NY · RSI 43 · price 1.38086
Rejection from 1.3820 session high, holding above 1.3800.
USDCAD rejected the 1.3820 session high during NY hours and faded back under EMA20, now consolidating around 1.3810 into late NY. Range between 1.3800 swing low and 1.3820 session high holds; RSI mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.3803, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3815
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3800 swing low opens 1.37985 session low
Reclaim of 1.3820 session high reopens intraday upside
USDCAD spent the NY session oscillating in a 20-pip band between 1.3799 and 1.3821, with a clean rejection from the session high before easing back to mid-range. Price is now pinned near 1.3814 with RSI flat around 51 and ATR compressing — consolidation, no directional pressure into the close.
Support: 1.3804, 1.3799, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38165, 1.3820, 1.3821
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3821 session high would extend the upward drift
Loss of 1.3799 range low opens 1.3796 session low
Oil-driven CAD strength flagged in news could pressure the range low
Rotation between 1.3800 and 1.3820, NY high rejected.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 then sold back into the 1.3800 round number, with buyers stepping in twice near 1.37985. Price now coiling mid-range around 1.38145, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 ny high opens path toward 1.3850
Loss of 1.3800 round number exposes the session low at 1.37985
19:30 UTC
Intraday range with mild upward drift · RSI 58 · price 1.38161
Rotating inside 1.3798–1.3820, NY testing range top.
USDCAD has chopped in a 25-pip band most of NY hours, sweeping 1.3820 earlier and reverting to 1.3808 before re-bidding. RSI(14) at 58 with price holding above EMA20/50 — no momentum read, just rotation near the upper end of the intraday range as US session winds down.
Support: 1.3812, 1.3803, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.38195, 1.3821
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38210 prior high opens path toward fresh session extension
Loss of 1.37985 range floor flips the intraday structure to a lower-low
Oil tape continues to drive CAD-side flows per Scotiabank note around 1.3800 fair-value area
Rotating between 1.3798 and 1.3820 after NY push higher.
NY session pushed USDCAD from 1.3798 up to 1.3820 before sellers capped twice at the session high, with price now mid-range around 1.3814. Consumer Confidence miss and softer US yields earlier weighed, but the pair has stabilised; RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR(14) around 4-5 pips signalling compressed late-session conditions.
Support: 1.3812, 1.3800, 1.3798
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3814
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high opens path back toward 1.3820+
Break below 1.3798 NY swing low shifts read to lower-low
Late NY hours — liquidity thinning, range may persist into Asia
19:00 UTC
Choppy, intraday range · RSI 52 · price 1.3814
Range between 1.3798–1.3820, NY rejection at highs.
USDCAD spiked to 1.3820 early in the NY session before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 1.3800 as rising oil supported CAD. Last few bars are oscillating in a tight 20-pip range with RSI hovering near 50 — no directional commitment into the close.
Support: 1.3798, 1.3786
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3815
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high reopens the upside extension
Break of 1.3798 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday range
Oil-driven CAD bid noted in headlines could keep pressure on the 1.3820 cap
18:45 UTC
Intraday range, recovering from NY dip · RSI 56 · price 1.38146
Range with NY session sweep of lows, reclaim back to mid-range.
Price ranged 1.3798–1.3820 through NY hours, with sellers fading the session high near 1.3820 and buyers stepping in twice at 1.3798–1.3800. Last bars reclaimed the range mid at 1.3803 and pushed back toward the prior pivot at 1.3815, but momentum stalled with RSI mid-50s.
Support: 1.3803, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38175, 1.38145
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high opens room toward 1.3835
Loss of 1.3798 NY swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3796
Ranging between 1.3800-1.3820 with shallow swings.
USDCAD chopping in a 20-pip band around 1.3810 through the NY session, with a brief push to 1.3820 rejected and dip into 1.3799 absorbed. CAD found support from rising oil prices, capping the topside while buyers stepped in at the session low. RSI(14) neutral near 55, no momentum extension either way.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high opens path back toward 1.3830s
Loss of 1.3800 session low exposes 1.3798 prior swing
Range remains intact while price holds inside 1.3800-1.3820
Intraday range 1.3799–1.3821, recovering off lows.
USDCAD spent the NY session oscillating in a 20-pip band, with rejection from 1.3821 followed by demand stepping in twice near 1.3800. Price is grinding back toward the session high into the close, RSI(14) firm near 61 but not extended.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3821 opens room toward 1.3840
Failure to hold 1.3800 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3785
CAD-sensitive oil tape remains a side input given Hormuz headlines
18:00 UTC
Ranging, mild uptilt · RSI 56 · price 1.38156
Intraday range with failed breakout to 1.3820.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 then got rejected hard back into the 1.3800 area, with buyers stepping in twice around 1.3800. Price has recovered to 1.3816 into late NY but the session high has not been retaken; range between 1.3800 and 1.3820 is the active structure.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.38176
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high reopens the upside
loss of 1.3800 and 1.37985 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
rising Oil prices remain a CAD tailwind capping the pair near 1.3820
Rotation between 1.3798 and 1.3820, NY pullback in progress.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 before sellers faded the move back into the 1.3800 area, leaving a clear rejection wick. Price is now grinding back up from the NY swing low, range top at 1.3815-1.3820 still capping. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~4 pips reflects the choppy intraday tape.
Support: 1.38005, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38147, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 NY high opens path back toward 1.3845
Loss of 1.3798 NY swing low exposes 1.3796 prior low
Range remains in play between 1.3798 and 1.3820
17:30 UTC
Range-bound, fading from session high · RSI 50 · price 1.3809
Rejection at 1.3820, holding mid-range.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 before rejection dragged price back into the 1.3800–1.3814 mid-range, with the CAD finding some support from firmer oil. RSI(14) reset to neutral around 49 and price is consolidating just above the EMA20/50 cluster.
Support: 1.3799, 1.3786
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3814
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 session high reopens the upside
Break of 1.3799 swing low exposes 1.3786 session low
Israel-Lebanon escalation headlines could lift oil and pressure USDCAD
Rejection from 1.3820 session high, holding above 1.3800.
NY session pushed to a 1.3820 high then sold off sharply to 1.3799, with buyers stepping in twice at the 1.3800 psych level. Pair has since stabilised in a 1.3800–1.3814 micro-range as the session winds down, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3814, 1.3820, 1.3821
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3800 psych opens 1.3796 session low
Reclaim of 1.3814 swing high needed to retest 1.3820 ny high
Scotiabank flags stalled rally at 200-day MA — structural cap near session top
17:01 UTC
Intraday range, slight downside drift after NY rejection · RSI 48 · price 1.38113
Rejection from 1.3820, holding 1.3800 pivot.
NY session printed an intraday high at 1.3820 before a sharp rejection back through 1.3800, the figure now acting as pivot. Price is consolidating between 1.3798 and 1.3814 into the late NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.3800, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38143, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3798 opens path back toward 1.3796 prior low
Reclaim of 1.3814 intraday hi would put 1.3820 session high back in play
Scotiabank note flags stalled rally near 200-day MA — context for the 1.3820 rejection
16:45 UTC
Intraday range, fade from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.38066
Rejection at 1.3820, drift back to range mid.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 then sharply rejected, with price now back near the 1.3800 round number. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.3800 in the last hour, but the bounce stalled below the 1.3815 supply shelf as oil bid weighed on the pair.
Support: 1.38005, 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3798 reopens the session low at 1.3796
Reclaim of 1.3815 supply needed to retest the 1.3820 session high
BoC Vincent commentary still in the tape, watch for follow-through CAD headlines
NY session pushed to 1.3820 then was sold hard, with price slicing back through 1.3810 and 1.3805 before stabilising near 1.3805. Rejection at the session high lines up with rising oil and the Scotiabank note flagging a stalled rally near the 200-day MA; intraday tone has shifted back into the 1.3798–1.3815 zone.
Support: 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 reopens the session high
Loss of 1.3798 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3796 prior low
Tight 4 pip ATR suggests muted follow-through unless range breaks
16:15 UTC
Intraday range, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.38041
Rejection at 1.3820, back inside range.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 and was rejected, with price now back at 1.3804 inside the broader 1.3795–1.3815 range that has dominated the last 24h. Oil-led CAD strength noted in the wires aligns with the failure at the session high.
Support: 1.37985, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38143, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3798 opens path to 1.3796 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.3814 rejection level would reopen 1.3820 session high test
BoC commentary on the wire can shift the read intraday
NY session pushed to 1.3820 and was rejected, with a double top forming near 1.3815 before sellers drove price back to the 1.3800 area. Price now mid-range, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the rejection.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3815, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3800 opens path to the asia low at 1.3796
Reclaim of 1.3815 swing high would reopen the ny high at 1.3820
Scotiabank flags fair value at 1.3672 — range read holds while 1.3820 caps
Rotation inside 1.3795–1.3820, NY high swept and rejected.
NY session pushed to 1.3820 then reversed sharply, with price now hovering at 1.3809 mid-range. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral around 49 after the rejection, and EMA20/50 sit just above price after the fade.
Support: 1.3799, 1.3796, 1.3776
Resistance: 1.3820, 1.3814
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3820 reopens the ny high break
Loss of 1.3799 session low exposes 1.3776 range floor
Scotiabank flagged stalled rally near 200dma — context for the rejection
15:30 UTC
Intraday range, faded from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.38101
Swept 1.3820 then reversed back into range.
NY session pushed to 1.38208 then got rejected sharply back through 1.3810, a clean sweep-and-fade of the session high. Price now mid-range near 1.38101 with RSI(14) neutral around 48; range top 1.38140 and session low 1.37994 frame the next few hours.
Support: 1.37994, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3814, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38140 reopens the session high
Break of 1.37994 session low confirms lower-low
Scotiabank notes stall near 200-day MA — context for capped upside
15:15 UTC
Intraday range, modest pullback from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.38083
Session high rejection, holding above prior consolidation.
NY session pushed to 1.38208 before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 1.3800 psych support. Currently consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47, no clear directional follow-through after the rejection.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.38147, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.37960 session low opens path lower
Reclaim of 1.38147 session high reopens 1.38208 spike high
Scotiabank fair value cited at 1.3672 — broader context only
NY session pushed to 1.38208 then was firmly rejected, with a sharp leg down through 1.38000 before buyers stepped back in around the session pivot. Price now consolidating near 1.3808 after two probes of the 1.38140 prior high failed; structure has shifted from trend to range.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3796
Resistance: 1.3814, 1.38208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.37960 confirms a lower-low and breaks the asia low
Reclaim of 1.38140 prior high reopens the 1.38208 ny high
Continued holding of the session pivot at 1.38000 keeps the range intact