USDCAD has ground higher since Sunday's open, pinned near two-week highs as sub-$90 oil and tariff pressure weighed on CAD despite a softer broad USD. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the low 60s, and the 1.4126 week high has capped the last three hours into the NY-Asia transition. The advance is stalling but pullbacks so far have found demand along a rising line of higher lows.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4110, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4126 opens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of the 1.4100 psych level breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC are the week's swing factors for this read
USDCAD has ground higher off Friday's 1.4056 low, holding above EMA(20) through the last two sessions as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot near two-week highs. The advance has stalled into 1.4126, with the last few bars coiling in a tight range and RSI(14) flattening around 60 — momentum easing rather than reversing. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), keeping the near-term structure constructive while 1.4100 holds as the pivot beneath.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.41179
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41259 week high opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4100 psych level would break the rising-lows sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, printing higher lows through the London-NY sessions and pressing week highs near 1.4126, with CAD staying heavy on soft oil and tariff pressure while a broadly softer USD failed to bite. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-60s, and pullbacks have found demand into the 1.4110 prior-high area. The 1.4126 ceiling capped the latest push and is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4085, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the year's high area near 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4110 signals a lower high and shifts the near-term structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into week high · RSI 66 · price 1.41237
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's open.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh week high near 1.4126, with CAD on the back foot as soft oil and the 50% US tariff overhang outweigh a broadly softer dollar. Price has held above EMA20 since Monday's open with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-66 band on each dip, and the break above the 1.4100 psych pivot has been retested and respected. Momentum is stretched into the week high but structure remains constructive.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4100 would break the week's rising structure
Failure to reclaim 1.41259 keeps price capped below the week high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 1.41233
Higher highs and higher lows off the mid-week low.
USDCAD has ground higher all week off the mid-week 1.4056 low, with CAD pressured by soft oil and US tariffs while a broadly softer USD failed to cap the pair. Price holds above both EMAs and cleared prior swing highs into the NY session, tagging a fresh week high at 1.41259 with RSI(14) cycling 55-65 on pullbacks. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around the 1.4070-1.4100 band.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41259 week high opens the path toward the 1.4250 year-high area
Failure to hold 1.4100 ema20/psych flips the near-term higher-low structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations are the week's dominant catalysts
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm into NY close · RSI 68 · price 1.41233
Higher highs and higher lows since midweek low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 1.4112 shelf that capped earlier attempts and printing fresh session highs near 1.4126 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated but not yet extended, and pullbacks this session have found the rising trendline off Monday's lows. The 1.4100 round level is now the near pivot after acting as resistance.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.4100 would break the higher-low trendline and neutralise the uptrend read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC are the week's dominant catalysts
Sustained trade above 1.41259 opens the path toward the year's high area ~1.4250
Higher lows since mid-week; breakout above 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through the week as falling oil kept CAD on the back foot, and the pair now sits at two-week highs above 1.4100 after clearing that pivot cleanly. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with a sequence of higher lows off the 1.4056 week low, and the 1.4100 breakout retested and held into the NY session. RSI(14) near 69 reflects the momentum but is approaching stretched territory as the session high at 1.4126 is tested.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4071, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4144
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC plus BoC Summary of Deliberations could materially shift this read
Rejection at the 1.4126 2wk high keeps the range top in play; a close above opens the path toward the 1.4144 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.4100 psych level confirms loss of the breakout
USDCAD has ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4106 prior high and pressing the 1.41259 week high with price holding well above EMA20 and EMA50. CAD stays on the back foot as soft oil and tariff headlines outweigh a broadly softer USD, keeping the pair near two-week highs. RSI(14) sits near 68 — extended but not yet showing divergence into the highs.
Support: 1.4106, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4144
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.41259 week high opens the path toward the 1.4144 range top
Failure to hold 1.41060 prior high would break the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 1.41225
Higher highs, higher lows into two-week highs.
USDCAD has climbed steadily through the NY session, grinding from the 1.4071 day low to fresh two-week highs at 1.4126 as CAD stays on the back foot on soft oil and tariff pressure. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with pullbacks holding above the reclaimed 1.4100 psych level; RSI(14) is firm near 68 without divergence. The rally is now testing the 1.4126 session high, with the year's high zone near 1.4250 the next reference above.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.4126 session high opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Loss of 1.4100 psych would break the rising channel and reopen 1.4071 day low
BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
USDCAD has climbed steadily since the mid-week 1.40564 low, driving through the 1.4100 psych pivot into the NY session and now pressing the 1.4126 two-week high with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The bid reflects soft oil and tariff pressure on CAD outweighing a broadly softer USD. RSI(14) near 70 shows the leg stretched but momentum still one-directional.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4060, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Loss of the 1.4100 psych pivot would question the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend into range top · RSI 64 · price 1.41213
Higher lows pressing range ceiling.
Grinding higher off the 1.4071 low, price is pressing the 1.4125 range top that has capped USDCAD this week within the 1.4060-1.4125 band. RSI holds the mid-60s and EMA20 has supported each pullback through the session. The move is USD-led as the dollar steadies ahead of the FOMC catalyst.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4095 ema20 shifts focus back to the 1.4060 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and can reset this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, testing range top · RSI 66 · price 1.41213
Higher lows into 1.4125 range cap.
USDCAD has ground higher off Monday's 1.4070 session low, stacking higher lows through the NY session and now pressing the 1.4125 range top with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The move is USD-led as the US-Iran de-escalation drained safe-haven flows earlier in the week, but the pair remains boxed inside the well-worn 1.4060–1.4125 range. RSI(14) at ~66 reflects the momentum without yet flagging exhaustion.
Support: 1.4099, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Loss of 1.4099 higher low would break the week's ascending sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing range top · RSI 66 · price 1.41126
Range 1.4060-1.4125, price probing ceiling.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4071 session low through the NY session, grinding higher-lows back to the 1.4125 range top that capped the pair last week. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-to-mid 60s; the bid is USD-led as risk appetite firms into midweek. The 1.4060-1.4125 band that has framed the week remains intact for now.
Support: 1.4092, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4092 EMA20 signals loss of intraday momentum
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Uptrend into range top · RSI 63 · price 1.41126
Higher lows, testing range ceiling.
USDCAD has ground back to the top of this week's 1.4060–1.4125 box, printing higher lows off the 1.4056 week low and holding above EMA20/EMA50 into the NY session. The lift is USD-led as the pair recovers from Monday's 1.4080 area rather than any CAD conviction; RSI(14) sits in the low 60s with price pressing the range ceiling. Two attempts have stalled just under 1.4118, keeping the 1.4125 cap intact.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4118
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold 1.4080 targets the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering within range, testing top · RSI 63 · price 1.41127
Range-bound, higher lows into NY.
USDCAD carved a rounded base off the 1.4060 range floor mid-week and has ground back up through the NY session, now pressing the 1.4125 range top with price back above EMA20 and EMA50. The recovery is largely USD-led after the US-Iran de-escalation softened the dollar, rather than a CAD-driven move. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, confirming the up-leg without stretching into overbought.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41179
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 breaks the week's range top and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4080 reopens the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Canada data could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering, testing range top · RSI 65 · price 1.41127
Range, price at upper bound.
USDCAD has climbed back to the top of this week's 1.4060–1.4125 range, recovering off Friday's low near 1.4056 as a softer dollar followed the US-Iran de-escalation. Price now sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling up into the low-60s, and the 1.4125 range top has capped the latest push. The rounded recovery through the NY session has held higher lows since Friday's base.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 opens the path to 1.4150 range extension
Failure to hold 1.4060 range base reopens the week low at 1.4056
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Recovering, testing range top · RSI 63 · price 1.41124
Range 1.4056-1.4118, price near highs.
USDCAD spent the week pinned in a 1.4056-1.4118 range and has climbed off the week low through the NY session today, reclaiming 1.4100 with RSI(14) cycling back above 60. The bounce comes as broad USD softens on US-Iran de-escalation, though CAD stays hostage to oil, keeping the pair capped near range top. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with the 1.4118 session high the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4118 opens the path toward 1.4125 range-break
Failure to hold 1.4100 turns the read back toward range mid at 1.4085
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.41124
Range base, pushing to week high.
USDCAD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.4056–1.4118 range, but the NY session has driven a clean push off the 1.4085 base back to the week high near 1.4118. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) climbing into the low 60s as the broad USD stabilises ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The recovery follows a soft dollar earlier in the week on US-Iran de-escalation, now partly retraced.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4065, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4118 week high opens the path to the 1.4125 supply zone
Failure to hold 1.4085 consolidation returns price into the range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has cycled inside a 1.4056-1.4114 range all week, with price rebounding off the week low and now pressing the range top into the NY session. Softer USD after the US-Iran de-escalation and firm oil have kept the pair pinned, but the last several H1 bars carved higher lows back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 60. The 1.4114 week high has capped prior attempts — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the path toward 1.4125
Failure to hold 1.4070 reopens the 1.4056 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this range read
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4056-1.4114 range all week, with the pair slipping toward the mid-1.4080s Monday as easing US-Iran tensions softened the broad USD before recovering. Price is now working the upper half back above EMA20 and EMA50, with 1.4114 the week high capping the last push and demand holding above the 1.4060 support. RSI(14) cycling near 59 reflects the drift higher without an impulse.
Support: 1.4091, 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 week high opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
Loss of 1.4060 support reopens the 1.4056 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
13:03 UTC
Recovery off week low, testing range top · RSI 64 · price 1.41082
Range, pressing into resistance.
USDCAD has recovered the full width of this week's range, climbing from the 1.4070 low back to the 1.41144 week high as the softer broad USD and choppy oil kept the pair pinned in the 1.40-1.41 fair-value zone. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling into the low-60s, and the 1.41100/1.41144 area has capped the advance so far. FOMC Wednesday is the week's dominant catalyst and could override this structure.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 opens continuation beyond the week high
Loss of the EMA20 near 1.4088 puts the 1.40708 week low back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary can reset this range read
WTI direction remains CAD's primary driver into next session
USDCAD has churned in a tight 1.4056-1.4114 band all week as the risk-on unwind from the US-Iran ceasefire softened the dollar while firmer oil capped the Loonie downside. Price has ticked back to the range top through the NY session with RSI in the low-60s and holding above EMA20/EMA50, but 1.4114 has repeatedly capped attempts. Structure stays sideways until either edge gives way.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the path to 1.4125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4060 range low reopens 1.4056 week low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
USDCAD has churned a tight 1.4056–1.4114 range all week, with the pair recovering off Wednesday's 1.4056 low back toward the top of the range into the NY session. Dips have found demand around the EMA(20) and price now sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–62 zone. Easing US-Iran tensions softened the USD but the same de-escalation dragged oil lower, capping any CAD recovery and keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.4060 range low reopens the 1.4000 psych level
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could break this range
12:02 UTC
Range-bound, grinding higher near range top · RSI 64 · price 1.4106
Week-long 1.4060-1.4125 range, price at upper edge.
USDCAD has held a tight 1.4060-1.4125 range all week, with the pair recovering off the range low into the NY session and now pressing the upper edge near 1.4106. Price sits above EMA20 (~1.4085) with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s; the 1.4114 prior high and 1.4125 range top have capped attempts to extend. Risk-on from US-Iran de-escalation softened the USD, but the same move dragged oil lower, capping CAD upside and keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 range top would break the week's consolidation higher
Loss of 1.4060 range low reopens the downside toward the week's base
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could break this range
11:02 UTC
Recovery within range · RSI 62 · price 1.41056
Round-trip inside weekly range, pressing top.
USDCAD has recovered off the 1.4056 week low back toward the 1.4114 week high, holding above EMA(20) near 1.4090 into the NY session. The pair has round-tripped a 1.4056–1.4114 range this week as risk-on from US-Iran de-escalation softened the dollar while soft oil capped CAD. RSI(14) near 62 as the recovery leg pushes into the range top.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4090, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 week high would extend the recovery
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4080 prior low reopens the 1.4056 week low
USDCAD has spent the week caught in a 1.4056–1.4114 range, with the softer USD and risk-on tone dragging it toward 1.4080 mid-week before demand stepped back in. Price is now pressing the top of the range above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55–62 zone. The 1.41144 week high has capped attempts twice and remains the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.4085, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 opens the path to the 1.4125 range cap
Failure to hold 1.40850 reopens the higher-lows structure back toward 1.40564
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Canada GDP Fri could materially shift this range read
USDCAD has held a tight 1.4060–1.4125 range all week, with price recovering into the NY-into-Asia transition to sit back near the 1.4110 session high after a shallow weekend gap. The pair sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s; softer Canadian producer prices and firm US data keep the dollar underpinned but the range top has repeatedly capped upside. Range top at 1.4125 remains the defining ceiling.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4060, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 opens a range break toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
10:02 UTC
Range, edging higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41057
1.4060-1.4125 range, recovering into range top.
USDCAD has held a 1.4060-1.4125 band all week, with price recovering off Monday's weekend-gap open near 1.4085 after risk-on trimmed the dollar bid. The pair has ground back above EMA(20) into the NY session, RSI(14) around 61, but the 1.4114 week high has capped prior attempts and the 1.4125 range cap remains untested. CAD stayed heavy on tariff and soft-PPI drag, while the dollar sits pinned below recent highs.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4073, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 range cap opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 range floor confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD has spent the week pinned in a 1.4060–1.4125 box around the 40-day MA, with the week high near 1.41144 capping and demand stepping in each time price probes the range floor at 1.4060. Since the weekend reopen price has recovered off 1.4070 back above EMA20/50, RSI cycling around the mid-50s as CAD stays pressured by soft producer prices and tariff overhang. The move is corrective within the range rather than directional.
Support: 1.40645, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 range top opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 range floor exposes the week low at 1.40564
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this range read
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4060–1.4125 range all week around the 40-day MA, with the dollar staying firm into FOMC while softer oil and a weak Canadian producer-price print (IPPI -1.4%) kept the Loonie capped. Price has recovered off the 1.4071 session low back above EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) cycling near 60 but no clean break of the range top. Two-way trade dominates ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision.
Support: 1.4071, 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 1.40945
Range between weekly 1.4056 floor and 1.4114 cap.
USDCAD has chopped inside a tight 1.4056–1.4114 band all week, in line with the broader weekly 1.4000–1.4150 range as tariff and soft-CPI CAD pressure offsets a firm USD. Price has reclaimed EMA20 into the current NY session after basing near 1.4070, with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The 1.4100–1.4114 zone has capped rallies twice — an area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4056 confirms a lower-low and probes 1.4000
FOMC Wed 29 Jul 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
Canada GDP Fri could shift the CAD side of the range
08:02 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 55 · price 1.40945
Range-bound between 1.4060 and 1.4114.
USDCAD has churned in a 1.4060–1.4114 range all week as soft Canadian producer prices and firmer US PMIs offset each other, leaving price coiled near the middle. The pair reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50) into the recent recovery off 1.4070, with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-50s. The 1.4114 week high has capped attempts and the 1.4060 pivot has held on dips.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4070, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4114 opens the path toward 1.4125
Failure to hold 1.4060 exposes the 1.4000 psych area
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
USDCAD has held a tight 1.4060-1.4115 range all week, with the loonie kept on the back foot by the US tariff round and softer oil while firm US PMIs underpin the dollar. After the weekend gap opened near 1.4085, price recovered through the last NY-into-Asia session and is now pressing the 1.4100 round level, sitting just above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 56 confirms momentum has ticked up without stretching.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 week high opens the path toward 1.4125
Failure to hold 1.4060 week floor confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Canada GDP Fri could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 55 · price 1.40965
Horizontal range, 1.4060–1.4125.
USDCAD has chopped in a tight 1.4060–1.4125 band all week, pinned near the 40-day mean as soft Canadian producer prices and a firm dollar cancel out. The prior high around 1.4110 has capped repeated attempts, while 1.4060 remains the floor; the last NY session lifted price back to 1.4096 above EMA20. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no directional lean.
Support: 1.4073, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 invalidates the range read and opens 1.4150
Loss of 1.4060 range floor confirms a lower low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range
06:03 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 49 · price 1.40851
Sideways range, mid-week consolidation.
USDCAD has been boxed between 1.4060 and roughly 1.4114/1.4125 all week, with price now straddling flat EMAs near mid-range. The Loonie stayed pressured by fresh US tariffs and soft Canadian PPI while a firm USD held its bid, but neither side has forced a range break. RSI(14) sits near 50, matching the directionless price action.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 invalidates the range top and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower low toward 1.4054
US Durable Goods today (12:30 UTC) could break the range; FOMC next week is the larger pivot
06:02 UTC
Range-bound, no directional bias · RSI 49 · price 1.40851
Sideways between weekly range extremes.
USDCAD has been boxed between the 1.4060 range low and the 1.4125 range top all week, with price drifting back to the middle around 1.4085 into the Asia session. Wednesday's rally to the 1.41144 week high was rejected and unwound, and RSI(14) has since flattened near 50 with price hovering right on its EMA(20). Soft Canadian producer prices and firmer US PMIs kept the Loonie heavy, but much of that is already priced as the pair sits near stated fair value.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40709
Resistance: 1.41144, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 opens a path to the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower-low and breaks the weekly range
FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivot that could break this range read
05:03 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 49 · price 1.40837
Week-long range, mid-band.
USDCAD has been boxed in a tight range all week, roughly 1.4056 to 1.4114, with price now coiled near the EMA(20) mid-band around 1.4084. The pair has stayed glued near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value as a firm USD from hot July PMIs is offset by soft Canadian producer prices; neither side has forced a break. RSI(14) is cycling around 50, confirming the lack of directional momentum.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 breaks the week range top
H1 close below 1.4060 opens the path to the week low at 1.40564
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
05:03 UTC
Range-bound, no directional edge · RSI 48 · price 1.40837
Sideways, boxed weekly range.
USDCAD stayed boxed between 1.4060 and 1.4125 through the week, closing near Monday's open ~1.4085 after a small weekend gap down. RSI(14) is flat near 50 with price hugging EMA20; softer Canadian PPI and firmer US July PMIs kept the Loonie pressured but 1.4090 has capped the near-term swing highs. The pair is coiling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4060, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivot for this range
H1 close above 1.4125 breaks the range high
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower low toward the week low
USDCAD has been boxed between the 1.4056 week low and the 1.4114 week high since Monday's open, matching the 1.4060-1.4125 range flagged all week on the tariff-plus-soft-Canada-data backdrop. Price is drifting mid-range near flat EMAs after fading from the 1.4114 area, with RSI(14) hovering around neutral. The weekend gap lower has been partly filled back into the mid-1.408s.
Support: 1.40707, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.40944, 1.41105, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.40944 reopens the 1.4114 week high
Loss of 1.40707 exposes the 1.4056 week low and range base
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
04:02 UTC
Rangebound, no clear trend · RSI 48 · price 1.40834
Consolidation, boxed 1.4060–1.4114.
USDCAD stayed pinned in the 1.4060–1.4114 box all week, with the tariff shock and soft Canadian producer prices offset by firm US flash PMIs keeping the pair balanced. Price returned to the range midpoint near 1.4083 after last week's spike to 1.41144 was rejected, and it now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around the midline. The weekend gap reopened inside the range with no directional follow-through into the Asia session.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4114, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the path to the 1.4125 week high
Failure to hold 1.4060 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4054 week low
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) and Warsh presser is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
USDCAD opened this week with a small gap down and has drifted back to the 61.8% retrace of the mid-week rally, sitting at 1.4077 just under EMA(20). Price has been boxed 1.4054-1.4114 all week, with the soft Canadian PPI print and firmer US PMIs keeping the pair pinned near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value. RSI(14) cycles in the mid-40s, reflecting the sideways tone into the Fed.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.40700 opens the 1.4054 week low
Reclaim of 1.40900 reopens the 1.4114 week high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal catalyst — could materially shift this range read
USDCAD has churned inside a 1.4060-1.4114 box all week, with the pair sitting in the lower half around 1.4077 after slipping back under EMA(20). The soft Canadian PPI print and priced-in tariff story have kept CAD heavy, but USD upside is capped ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price is parked right on the 61.8% retrace of the week's 1.4054-1.4114 advance.
Support: 1.4064, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4060 opens a lower leg toward the 50-day cluster near 1.40
H1 close above 1.41144 breaks the week's range top
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal catalyst and could reset this read
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting to floor · RSI 42 · price 1.40702
Consolidation between weekly extremes.
USDCAD has spent the week boxed between 1.4055 and 1.4114, with the 1.4110 range top rejecting twice and the pair now probing the range floor near 1.4065 into thin Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI in the low 40s, reflecting the soft USD tone offset by firm oil that has kept the Loonie hemmed near fair value. The dominant week's impulse off 1.4055 up to 1.4114 has fully retraced, leaving structure balanced at the bottom of the range.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4055, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4110, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4055 confirms a lower low and a range break down
Reclaim of 1.4085 congestion keeps price mid-range
H1 close above 1.4110 range top reopens 1.4114 week high
FOMC next week (Wed 18:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Range-bound, drifting to range floor · RSI 40 · price 1.40702
Week-long range, testing lower edge.
USDCAD has boxed inside roughly 1.4055-1.4114 all week, with the pair consolidating near fair value as soft June CPI and tariff overhang offset firm oil. A modest weekend gap lower opened this week's session below EMA(20)/EMA(50), and price is now grinding the lower half of the range with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 1.4085 EMA(20) has capped the early-week attempts to reclaim the top; supply near 1.4110-1.4114 remains the range ceiling.
Support: 1.40553, 1.4065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4110, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4055 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week range floor
Reclaim of 1.4085 EMA(20) reopens the 1.4110 range top
FOMC next week is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this range
01:03 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 45 · price 1.40807
Range-bound between weekly extremes.
USDCAD has consolidated between the 1.4054 week low and the 1.4114 week high since Monday's open, chopping without direction after a modest weekend gap lower. Price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 45, and the 1.4100 round number capped last week's push. Demand held around the 1.4065 swing low on the pullback, keeping the pair pinned near its 1.4070-1.4100 fair-value zone flagged in the CAD context.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4100 reopens the 1.4114 week high
Loss of the 1.4054 week low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this range read
01:03 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 47 · price 1.40807
Range-bound between weekly high and low.
USDCAD has spent the week grinding sideways around 1.4080, pinned inside a ~1.4054-1.4114 band that matches the 'fair value' zone flagged after soft Canadian CPI and firm oil offset each other. Price is hugging both EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 47, and neither the week open at 1.4074 nor the 1.4100 range top has produced a clean break. Two pushes toward 1.4114 have been capped, while dips into 1.4065 have found demand.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4114 opens the topside toward 1.4150
H1 close below 1.4054 confirms a lower low and range break
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's pivotal catalyst and could break this range
00:03 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.40826
Range-bound around 1.408 fair value.
USDCAD has spent the week pinned in a 1.4054-1.4114 band, reverting to the ~1.408 fair-value zone as tariff and softer-CPI CAD-negatives offset a firm oil floor. Price re-opened with a small weekend gap lower and now trades just under EMA20 with RSI stuck near the mid-line. The prior high at 1.40990 has capped the latest push and the week high at 1.41144 remains the range ceiling.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4099, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.40540 confirms a range break lower
Canada GDP Jul 31 12:30 UTC and next week's FOMC are the dominant catalysts
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.4000–1.4100 band all week, oscillating around its EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hovering near 50. The mid-week push into the NY session tagged 1.41144 but 1.4110 capped it, and price reverted to the range middle; CAD stays hemmed by soft CPI and tariffs against a firm-oil floor. Monday's Asia open printed a small downside gap from Friday's 1.40944 close, with price now back near 1.4083.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.41144
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41144 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold 1.40540 confirms a lower low toward 1.4000
Canada GDP Jul 31 and next week's FOMC are the dominant catalysts for this range