London and NY hours drove a clean HH/HL climb from 1.4075 to a session high at 1.4126, with CAD staying soft on falling oil. Price has since coiled into a tight Asian range between 1.4119 and 1.4125, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4126 extends the uptrend toward 1.4150
Break below 1.4119 range low breaks the intraday HL chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 1.4126 as soft oil and tariff pressure kept CAD on the back foot, then stalled into thin Asian hours. Price is coiling just under 1.4126 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range; micro support at 1.4119 has held.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4126 extends the intraday leg toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.4119 opens a pullback to 1.4108
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed could reprice this pair sharply
Higher highs/lows, now consolidating at session highs.
USDCAD ground up to two-week highs, tagging the session high at 1.41259 before stalling in a tight 1.4119–1.4126 range through thin Asia hours. CAD stayed on the back foot with soft oil offsetting a broadly weaker USD; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the advance flattens.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4100, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 session high opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.4100 psych level would break the rising-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat into Asia · RSI 54 · price 1.41231
HH/HL chain, now consolidating near session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence, tagging 1.4126 before stalling. Asia session is flat and thin, coiling in a tight 1.4119-1.4126 band just below the high with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.41193, 1.41153, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4150
Close below 1.41193 breaks the consolidation and opens 1.41153
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London-NY sessions as soft oil kept CAD pressured, printing a session high at 1.4126 before flattening into thin late-NY/Asia liquidity. Now consolidating 1.4119-1.4126 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s; no fresh direction in play.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4126 session high opens path toward the 1.4150 round number
Loss of 1.4108 swing low breaks the intraday uptrend
FOMC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed could reset this read
Higher highs into consolidation near two-week highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to tag 1.4126, holding two-week highs as soft oil kept CAD pressured. Now consolidating 1.4119-1.4126 in thin Asia-session liquidity, RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the push.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4126 session high extends the up-leg toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4108 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst two sessions out
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41260, tracking soft oil, and is now consolidating just below it in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s with ATR compressing to ~5 pips as the tape flattens near two-week highs.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41260 session high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.41075 swing low signals a deeper pullback
BoC Summary (Wed 17:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours as softer oil kept CAD pinned near two-week highs, tagging 1.41259 before stalling. Price is now consolidating between 1.4119 and 1.4126 in a thin, low-volume Asia session, RSI(14) cooled back toward neutral.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 session high extends the up-leg toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4119 range low exposes 1.4108 swing low
FOMC + BoC deliberations Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London and NY as soft oil kept CAD offered, printing a session high at 1.41259 before stalling. Into thin Asia hours price is coiling in a tight 1.41195-1.41259 band on collapsing volume, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s.
Support: 1.41195, 1.4103, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.41195 range floor opens 1.41030 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
Grind of higher highs, now consolidating near session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and into thin Asia trade, topping at 1.41259 before stalling; CAD stayed soft on lower oil despite a weaker broad USD. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.4119–1.4126 band on drained volume, RSI easing off but holding above 50.
Support: 1.41192, 1.41075, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 resumes the higher-high chain
Failure to hold 1.41192 breaks the intraday HL structure toward 1.41075
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — can override this read
USDCAD ground higher through London and NY, printing a session high at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot; price is now consolidating just under that high in thin, low-volume Asian trade. RSI(14) has cooled from the earlier push, structure still HH/HL with the 1.41190 swing low intact.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4106, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.41300
Failure to hold 1.41190 opens the 1.41060 swing
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 57 · price 1.41217
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a session high at 1.41259, with CAD soft on weaker oil. Price is now consolidating in thin Asia-hours trade between 1.41190 and the session high, RSI cooling from earlier highs and ATR compressing to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.41080 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY, tagging a session high at 1.41260 before flattening into thin Asian trade; CAD stayed soft as lower oil offset a broadly weaker USD. Price now coiling in a tight 1.41190-1.41260 band on fading volume, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41260 extends the uptrend toward the 1.41300 psych
Failure to hold 1.41190 exposes the 1.41080 prior high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, stalling near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL sequence, peaking at 1.41259 before flattening into thin late-session volume. CAD stayed soft on lower oil, keeping price pinned just under the session high; the last few bars are coiling between 1.4120 and 1.4125.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4125 area and beyond
Loss of the 1.41100 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Thin rollover-hour volume can distort the read until London reopens
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot, tagging a session high at 1.41259 before stalling. Price is now coiling around 1.4120-1.4126 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.4118, 1.41075, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.4118 marks a near-term lower-low
Thin late-session liquidity; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41259, CAD pressured a second day by soft oil despite a broadly softer USD. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4120-1.4126 band on thin Asian-session volume, RSI cooling into the high 50s.
Support: 1.41195, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41195 breaks the near-term higher-low chain
Break above 1.41259 extends the intraday uptrend
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed are the week's dominant catalysts
Higher highs through NY, now consolidating near session high.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the London-NY session to a session high at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD offered, then stalled into a tight, low-volume consolidation around 1.4120 late in the day. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips, signalling the drift is losing steam near the highs.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4110, 1.4106
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4150
Failure to hold the 1.41190 swing low opens 1.41060
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4119-1.4126 band on thin late-session volume, RSI mid-range and momentum flattening.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4103, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the up-move
Failure to hold 1.41190 confirms a pullback toward 1.4103
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the week's catalysts, not this session
Higher highs, higher lows; consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL chain, topping at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD offered. Now consolidating 1.4119–1.4126 on thinning volume into the Asia open, RSI cooling toward the mid-50s.
Support: 1.41192, 1.4108, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.41153
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.4119 swing low breaks the HH/HL structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.41207
Higher highs/higher lows, stalling near session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session and into the Asia open, printing a session high at 1.41259 before flattening near 1.4120 on thin late-session volume — CAD stayed heavy as soft oil offset a broadly softer USD. RSI(14) is cooling from the highs while price consolidates just under the session top.
Support: 1.4119, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.41190 recent low opens the path back to 1.41075 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through London and NY as soft oil kept CAD offered, tagging a session high at 1.41259 before drifting to 1.41212 on thin late-NY volume. Uptrend intact but flattening near the highs.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the session high
Loss of 1.41190 recent low signals momentum stalling
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for both legs
Higher highs/higher lows, stalling at session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41259, CAD pressured by soft oil, and is now flattening near 1.4121 into thin late-session liquidity. RSI(14) cooling from the highs as the advance loses pace.
Support: 1.41192, 1.4108
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41259 resumes the uptrend
M15 close below 1.41192 breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session on soft oil weighing on CAD, printing a fresh session high at 1.41259 before the last bar eased back to 1.4123. Higher highs and higher lows intact; RSI(14) mid-60s, cooling but not stretched.
Support: 1.4119, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41259 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.41190 swing low breaks the near-term higher-low structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window
Higher highs and higher lows, flattening near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.41259 as CAD stayed heavy on soft oil. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4119-1.4126 band with RSI(14) cooling from the highs, momentum easing after the grind up.
Support: 1.41192, 1.4100, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.41192 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.41254
Higher highs, higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41260 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. Higher-high/higher-low structure intact, RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not stretched; the last few bars have stalled just under the high on thinning range.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4106, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41260 extends the session high toward 1.41300
Loss of 1.41190 breaks the most recent higher-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, drifting into session high · RSI 65 · price 1.41254
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding up.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session, a second-day CAD drift as soft oil pins the pair near two-week highs, now stalling at the 1.41259 session high with RSI(14) around 65 and volume thinning into late NY. Structure stays constructive on a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.4099 low; the 1.4119 swing low is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 extends the session high toward 1.4145
Loss of 1.41190 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed could reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.41259 before easing into a tight consolidation near the highs, with CAD pressured by soft oil. RSI(14) around 60 and ATR compressing to ~4 pips shows momentum cooling as the day winds down.
Support: 1.41192, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.41300
Failure to hold 1.41192 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot; candles are shrinking into the close with RSI(14) cooling to ~60. Price is holding above 1.41190 with the rising-low structure intact, but momentum is fading late in the day.
Support: 1.4119, 1.4108, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41259 opens the path toward 1.41300
Loss of 1.41190 breaks the rising-low structure, exposing 1.41080
BoC Summary and FOMC mid-week are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.41259, holding near two-week highs as soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot. Price is now flat around 1.41230, RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs as momentum stalls just under the session top.
Support: 1.4119, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 opens the path to the 1.41300 round number
Failure to hold 1.41190 swing low breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41259, with CAD soft as oil slid. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.41190-1.41259 range, RSI cooling from the push, ATR compressing to ~4-5 pips.
Support: 1.4119, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 opens continuation toward 1.41300
Close below 1.41190 breaks the rising support and swing-low structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for USD
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward two-week highs, printing a session high at 1.41259 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. Price is now consolidating just below that high around 1.4120, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41153, 1.41075, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4125 res zone
Loss of the 1.41153 breakout level would flag the first lower low
USDCAD ground to two-week highs at 1.41259 through the NY session as soft oil kept CAD offered, then stalled into a tight 1.412-1.4126 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled off its highs while price holds above EMA20/50; the intraday pivot at 1.41150 is the near-term shelf.
Support: 1.4115, 1.4100, 1.4085
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41259 extends the intraday uptrend toward 1.41300
Loss of 1.41150 breaks the micro higher-low chain
FOMC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.4126 as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot, before easing back toward 1.4120 into the late session. RSI(14) near 57 shows momentum cooling but structure intact above the 1.4108 pivot.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4099, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4108 breaks the rising structure and exposes the 1.4099 recent low
Break above 1.4126 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.41196
Higher highs into session high, minor pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41259 near two-week highs, with CAD pressured by soft oil. Price has since ticked back to 1.41196, RSI cooling from the highs but structure of higher lows intact above the 1.41075 pivot.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4100, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41075 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 1.41259 opens the path toward 1.41300
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.41259 before easing to 1.41201; RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme. CAD stayed soft on falling oil and the tariff overhang despite a broadly weaker USD.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.41259
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.41100 recent pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 1.41000 psych level opens the prior range toward 1.40800
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary of Deliberations are the dominant catalysts ahead
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL sequence, tagging a session high at 1.41259 before a shallow pullback to 1.4120 as CAD stayed pressured on soft oil. RSI(14) cooling near 59 with price holding above EMA20/50; ascending structure intact.
Support: 1.4110, 1.41021, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4110 breaks the higher-low sequence
Break above session high 1.41259 opens 1.4130 round number
BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL chain, printing fresh two-week highs near 1.41260 as soft oil keeps CAD pressured. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched; ATR ~4 pips signals a tight, low-range advance.
Support: 1.4111, 1.4100, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.4126
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41110 breaks the rising structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41234
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh two-week highs above 1.4120, extending a steady grind as soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot into a broadly softer USD. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the persistent trend; session high 1.41259 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4115, 1.4100, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41259 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year-high area
Failure to hold 1.4115 breaks the rising intraday structure
BoC Summary and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts that could reset this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 1.41225
Series of higher highs and higher lows.
NY session extended the grind higher, USDCAD pinned near two-week highs at 1.41259 as soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot despite a softer broad USD. Higher-high/higher-low chain intact off the 1.4099 low, RSI(14) hot near 70 but not extreme.
Support: 1.4116, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41075 breaks the rising-low sequence
Rejection at 1.41259 session high would cap the advance
BoC deliberations and FOMC Wed could reshape this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.41225
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to fresh session highs at 1.41259, CAD soft on weak oil and tariff pressure. Clean higher-low chain intact above 1.41075; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.4118, 1.41075, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41075 breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 1.41259 opens the path toward 1.4130
BoC Summary of Deliberations and FOMC on Wed could reshape this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 72 · price 1.41248
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.41248, holding near two-week highs as soft oil keeps the Loonie pinned. Structure is a clean HH/HL chain above EMA20 and EMA50; RSI(14) near 72 is hot but consistent with the trend.
Support: 1.41075, 1.41153, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41248, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41075 breaks the rising support and the HH/HL chain
Break above session high 1.41248 opens the path toward the 1.4150 psych
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session to fresh two-week highs at 1.41248, holding a clean HH/HL chain as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but consistent with the trend; price sits at the 1.4125 resistance flagged in the CAD read.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4134
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.4125 2-wk high opens path toward 1.4134 psych level
Loss of 1.41075 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Summary of Deliberations and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a chain of higher lows into the 1.4125 range top with RSI(14) near 68. Move is USD-led despite the broadly softer Greenback tone; ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips as price stalls just under the session high at 1.41224.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Loss of the 1.41075 swing low breaks the rising support and signals a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could override this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.41215
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session to 1.4121, printing a clean chain of higher lows off 1.4071 as the earlier US-led USD softness stalled. Price now presses the 1.4125 range top with RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not extreme.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4080, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4108 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoC Summary of Deliberations Tue 17:30 UTC could shift the read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41217
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41224 as the earlier USD softness faded; RSI(14) near 71, short-term hot but consistent with the trend. Price is now pressing the 1.41250 range top flagged as the near-term cap.
Support: 1.41076, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41250 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.41076 breaks the ascending structure
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that can override this intraday read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41217
HH/HL chain, probing range top.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing fresh highs into 1.41224 and pressing the 1.4125 range top; RSI(14) hot near 70. Move is USD-led two-way ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rather than a CAD-conviction bid, with the 1.41075 swing low holding as the last higher low.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4099, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.41224, 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Loss of 1.41075 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.41212
HH/HL chain into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.41213, holding an intact chain of higher lows above 1.41074. Move is USD-led as the dollar stabilises post US-Iran de-escalation; RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme, and 1.4125 caps just overhead.
Support: 1.41074, 1.41005, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41213, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41250 psych opens continuation of the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.41074 swing low breaks the higher-low structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — not in this bar window but frames the week
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.41212
HH/HL chain into range top.
USDCAD ground higher through NY, breaking the 1.4108–1.4118 consolidation and now printing session highs at 1.41213, RSI(14) near 68. Move is USD-led as safe-haven flows unwind post US-Iran de-escalation; price is pressing the 1.41250 range top.
Support: 1.41075, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41202
What it said to watch
A close above 1.41250 opens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.41075 breaks the HL chain and reopens 1.40708
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 66 · price 1.41192
Chain of higher lows into 1.41202 session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41202 with price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched; higher lows have been respected off 1.41075.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41202, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41202 opens the 1.41250 range top
Loss of the 1.41075 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst two sessions out
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing HH/HL off the 1.4070 base to a session high at 1.41202 as USD firmed intraday despite the broader post US-Iran de-escalation softness. Price now presses the top of the 1.4060–1.4125 range with RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41076, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41202, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens the upper range toward 1.4150
Loss of the 1.41076 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 66 · price 1.4119
Higher highs, higher lows since London.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session off the 1.4071 session low, now pressing the session high at 1.4119 with the 1.4125 range top just above. Move is USD-led as the pair recovered from the earlier ceasefire-driven dip; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but short of extreme.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4099, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4119
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.4125 range top opens the upper band toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.4108 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst but sits outside the next bars
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.4119
Higher highs and higher lows into 1.4125 resistance.
NY session grinding higher, USDCAD printing fresh session highs at 1.41192 with a chain of higher lows despite USD softness after the US-Iran de-escalation. Price is pressing the 1.4125 range top; RSI(14) around 66 is hot but not extended.
Support: 1.41076, 1.4099, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41192, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.41076 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.4118
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
Steady NY-session grind higher off the 1.4074 range low, printing a session high at 1.41188 and now pressing the 1.4125 range top. Move is USD-led firmness after the US-Iran de-escalation; RSI(14) around 64, elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.41188, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold the 1.41075 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 66 · price 1.4118
Higher highs / higher lows through NY, testing 1.4125 cap.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.4118 and pressing the 1.4125 range top. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extended; move is USD-led into FOMC risk with the 1.4060–1.4125 range still the frame.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4080, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path to 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4108 swing low signals a pullback toward the session low at 1.4080
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.41124
Higher highs and higher lows, ranging under session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD off the 1.40708 low through 1.41 into a 1.41179 session high, the move USD-led as the US-Iran pause and soft Durables did little to shift the FOMC-focused tone. Price is now consolidating in the top of the range with RSI mid-50s and holding above both EMAs.
Higher lows into range top, stalling near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40709 day low, tagging 1.41179 before stalling; move is USD-led as the US-Iran pause drained safe-haven bid. Now consolidating 1.41030–1.41179 with RSI cooling from the highs — session high capping for now.
Support: 1.4103, 1.40709
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41179 opens the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.41030 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground USD/CAD back up toward 1.4118 after the earlier US-Iran ceasefire dip, a USD-led bounce rather than CAD selling. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4108-1.4115 area just under the session high with RSI(14) mid-range, momentum cooling.
Support: 1.41075, 1.4103, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41125, 1.4118
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41180 extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41075 breaks the rising-low structure
BoC Summary of Deliberations Tue and FOMC Wed are the macro risks that could reset this range
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 57 · price 1.41115
Higher highs/higher lows off 1.4070, consolidating under session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session from 1.4070 to a session high at 1.41179, USD-led as the US-Iran pause eased safe-haven demand, and is now consolidating around 1.4110. RSI(14) mid-range with the 1.4125 range top still capping.
Support: 1.4108, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top would break the upper boundary
Failure to hold 1.4108 recent low reopens 1.40708 swing low
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4071 low up to a 1.4118 session high on the risk-driven USD bounce, then stalled and pulled back to 1.4109. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) easing back toward mid-range.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.41125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41180 extends the session high and opens 1.4125
Failure to hold 1.41030 swing low turns the pullback into a lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant risk for USD tone this week
NY session drove USDCAD up to 1.41179 as a softer USD (US-Iran ceasefire, weak Durable Goods) eased safe-haven demand, but the move stalled below the 1.4125 range top. Price is now consolidating around 1.4109 with RSI cooling off the highs; the recent swing low at 1.4103 is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4080, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 invalidates the range-top cap and opens 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4103 exposes the 1.4080 session low
BoC Summary of Deliberations Tue could shift the CAD read
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4075 London low up to a session high at 1.41179, the leg tracking broad USD softness after the US-Iran de-escalation. Price is now consolidating just under 1.4118, holding above 1.41074 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.41074, 1.4100, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.41153
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41179 extends the session high
Loss of 1.41074 breaks the recent higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 1.41136
Higher highs into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.41179 before easing back to 1.4113 as risk-on USD softness capped the push. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off the rising 1.4099 low; the 1.4108 breakout level held on retest, RSI(14) cooling from stretched.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4099, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41080 on a close puts the 1.40990 swing low back in play
Break above 1.41179 opens the path to 1.41250 range top
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD up from the 1.4071 session low to a 1.4118 session high as the dollar traded firmer, and price is now consolidating just under that high. The 1.4125 range top is still untested; RSI(14) mid-range at ~58 with no extreme.
Support: 1.41005, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41250 breaks the range top and opens higher
Loss of 1.41005 swing low signals the intraday push is stalling
FOMC Wed could reset this range
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 61 · price 1.41125
Higher highs/higher lows, testing 1.4125 cap.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.41180 as broad USD softness met a capped Loonie, price now consolidating just under the 1.4125 range top. RSI(14) around 61 leaves room but the pair remains hemmed inside the 1.4060–1.4125 band.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4080, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens a range break toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4100 exposes the 1.4080 base
FOMC Wed is the dominant risk once inside the next sessions
15:46 UTC
Uptrend into range top · RSI 59 · price 1.41114
Higher highs, testing 1.4125 range cap.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.41179 before easing back to 1.4111, price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. The move is USD-led on softer dollar tone unwinding, and the pair now sits just under the 1.4125 range top flagged as resistance.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4103, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4108 swing low breaks the rising sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.4118 as the dollar recovered off the 1.4070 area, with price grinding higher through the day. RSI(14) near 61 shows momentum easing after the breakout; buyers stepped in on the 1.4108 pullback low and the range top at 1.4125 remains the next hurdle.
Support: 1.4108, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41179 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.41080 swing low undoes the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.41128
Higher highs, higher lows since 1.4070.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.4108 shelf to print a session high at 1.41179 before easing to 1.41128. The climb from the 1.4070 range low is USD-led as the dollar firms into FOMC; RSI(14) near 66, hot but not stretched.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4099, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41179 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.41080 threatens the higher-low chain toward 1.40990
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high at 1.41179, clearing the earlier consolidation as the dollar firmed into FOMC week. Price is easing back toward the 1.41060 breakout base with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the 1.4125 range top from the wider structure sits as the next area overhead.
Support: 1.4106, 1.4099, 1.4092
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41060 negates the breakout and reopens 1.40990
Break and hold above 1.41179 exposes the 1.4125 range top
FOMC Wed is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
15:17 UTC
Uptrend, nearing range top · RSI 63 · price 1.41124
Higher highs, pressing 1.4125 cap.
NY session grinding higher; USDCAD broke 1.4110 and printed a session high at 1.41179 before easing to 1.41124, RSI(14) mid-60s. Price now testing the upper half of the 1.4060–1.4125 range with the 1.4125 top the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099, 1.4080
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41179
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens a range break toward 1.4150
Loss of 1.4099 session low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed remains the dominant catalyst framing this range
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 1.41124
Higher highs into session high.
NY session drove a breakout above 1.41100 to a session high of 1.41179, RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme. Move is USD-led as safe-haven demand unwinds; buyers holding above the 1.41030 pullback low.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41030 breaks the rising structure
1.41250 range top — area to watch for rejection or break
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 1.41124
Higher highs, breakout to session high.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4110 congestion to a session high 1.41179 as the broad USD firmed off its risk-on lows, RSI(14) elevated near 66. Chain of higher lows from 1.40746 intact; pullback now holding above the 1.41030 swing low.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41030 breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to reclaim 1.41179 session high stalls the breakout
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 1.41124
Higher highs, breakout of intraday range.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.40990 swing low to a session high of 1.41179, breaking the earlier 1.41080 ceiling as broad USD firmed. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price now consolidating just under the session high at 1.41124.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099
Resistance: 1.41179
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41030 pullback low would negate the breakout read
Rejection at the 1.41179 session high keeps price capped in the recent range
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary of Deliberations could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke above the 1.41122 prior high during NY hours, spiking to a session high at 1.41179 with RSI(14) around 71. The push firms the pair despite broad USD softness on the US-Iran de-escalation; buyers have defended higher lows off the 1.40700 base.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4099, 1.4086
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.41122
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41000 psych level would negate the breakout extension
WTI crude direction remains CAD's primary driver
M15 close back below 1.40990 confirms failed break
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY session · RSI 68 · price 1.41134
Higher highs, breakout above 1.4110.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above 1.4110 to print a session high at 1.41179 with RSI(14) near 68. Price is consolidating just under that high after a clean impulse off the 1.4075 base; the round 1.4100 level marks first support beneath.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4087, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41179, 1.4122
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41179 opens the path toward 1.4122
Failure to hold 1.4100 undermines the breakout read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC deliberations could reshape this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.41135
Higher highs, higher lows; fresh session high.
NY session grinding higher, last bar breaking prior swing high to a fresh session high at 1.41153 with RSI(14) near 68. Loonie soft on the oil offset despite a broadly softer USD; buyers held every dip into 1.41000 through the session.
Support: 1.41005, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41153
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41005 breaks the rising higher-low chain
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary of Deliberations could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 1.41135
Higher highs / higher lows, fresh breakout.
NY session grinding higher, USDCAD just broke to a fresh session high at 1.41153 with RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme. Move fits the CAD-soft read as the pair reclaims the 1.4103 pivot; price holding above EMA20/50 keeps the intraday sequence of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4099, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41153, 1.4122
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41030 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.41153 opens the path toward 1.4120
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 1.41063
Higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session in a clean HH/HL chain, tagging a session high at 1.41122 before easing to 1.41063; RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Move is orderly with ATR just ~5 pips, and the digest ties the grind to firm US yields ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4099, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41122
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41122 extends the uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41000 exposes 1.40990 swing low, then 1.40746 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session from 1.40708 to a session high of 1.41122, holding a clean chain of higher lows as the broad USD steadied into FOMC. Price now consolidates around 1.4106, RSI(14) mid-range and cooling after the stall below 1.4112.
Support: 1.41005, 1.40807, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41122, 1.41083
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41122 opens the path toward 1.4125
Failure to hold 1.41005 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
NY session ground higher through 1.41100, printing a session high at 1.41122 before easing back to 1.41034 as the broad USD stays soft into FOMC. The rising sequence of higher lows off the 1.40709 base is intact, with the pullback holding the 1.4100 shelf; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4099, 1.4085, 1.40709
Resistance: 1.41122, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.4099 shelf breaks the rising-low chain
Break above the 1.41122 session high opens 1.4125
FOMC Wed is ~2 days out but could reset this range
NY session ground higher to a session high at 1.41122 before rejecting, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Pullback is holding above the 1.41000 round number with the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4094, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41122, 1.41086
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41000 exposes the 1.40940 swing low
Break above 1.41122 session high resumes the up-leg
FOMC Wed could reprice this once in play
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 1.4103
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session off the 1.4075 low, tagging a session high at 1.4112 before rejecting back to 1.4103. Broad USD stayed soft into FOMC but the pair held its rising intraday structure; pullback is shallow and sits right on the 1.4100 round number.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4112, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4085 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Reclaim of 1.4112 session high opens the path to 1.4125
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 1.4103
Higher highs stalling below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 1.4112, now consolidating around 1.4103 with RSI(14) cooling off from the highs. Recent leg stalled just under the 1.4125 prior-high zone; broad USD stayed two-way ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4112, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4112 session high opens the path to 1.4125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4080 recent low signals a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:32 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 62 · price 1.41047
Higher highs, higher lows since session low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, climbing from the 1.40700 session low to test 1.41120 before easing to 1.41047; RSI(14) in the mid-60s, momentum steady. Broad USD softness on US-Iran de-escalation is offset intraday by hawkish-Fed positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4099, 1.4086, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4112
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41120 extends the session high; failure keeps the pullback in play
Break below 1.40990 ends the sequence of higher lows
FOMC and BoC Summary Wednesday could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling under session high.
NY session ground USDCAD up from the London low near 1.4075 to a session high at 1.41122 before easing to 1.4105, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price is consolidating just under the session high as the softer USD tone meets a stalling intraday push.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4075, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41122, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41122 session high opens the path to 1.4125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4075 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary could reset this intraday read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41091
Rising HH/HL chain, price at session high.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.40708 range low, USDCAD now pressing the session high at 1.41104 with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extended. Soft US durable goods capped the broad USD but the pair held its climb; demand stepping in on each dip keeps the rising structure intact.
Support: 1.41003, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41104 opens the path to 1.4125
Loss of 1.41003 breaks the rising-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could reset this read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41091
Higher highs, higher lows off 1.4070.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session from the 1.4070 session low to 1.4109, RSI(14) around 65 and price holding above EMA20/50 — consistent with the softer-USD, oil-capped consolidation near 1.41. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips into the rising support line; session high at 1.41104 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4078, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41030 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.41104 session high opens the path toward 1.4125 prior high
BoC Summary of Deliberations and FOMC on Wed could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition off the 1.40708 session low, but the last four bars stalled at 1.41086 with repeated rejections. Broad USD softness on the US-Iran ceasefire is capping upside even as the pair holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4091, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.41115
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path back toward the 1.41115 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41000 exposes the 1.40910 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Higher highs into session high, grinding near top.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41086, riding a steady chain of higher lows off 1.40708 as the broad USD softened on the US-Iran ceasefire. Price is now consolidating just under the high with RSI easing from the low-60s; no fresh extension yet.
Support: 1.4103, 1.4096, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path toward 1.4125 resistance
Failure to hold 1.41030 swing low exposes 1.40960
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41055
Higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4070 London low, pressing the session high at 1.4108 with RSI(14) around 60 — hot but not extreme. Chain of higher lows intact above 1.4100 as the broad USD softens on the US-Iran de-escalation.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4082, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41086 opens the path toward 1.4125 prior high
Loss of 1.4100 round then 1.4082 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40709 low, printing a steady HH/HL chain into a 1.41086 session high as the broad USD found a modest bid. Price now consolidating just under that high, RSI easing back from the low-60s.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4095, 1.40709
Resistance: 1.41086
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41086 extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.41000 round number breaks the higher-low chain
WTI crude swings remain CAD's primary driver into the next sessions
12:31 UTC
Mild uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 61 · price 1.41064
Higher lows off 1.4071, capped at 1.4108.
NY session ground higher off the 1.4071 London low into the 1.4108 session high, where price is now stalling in a tight 1.4103-1.4108 band. RSI(14) around 60 with no rejection printed yet; the same US-Iran de-escalation risk-on that pressured USD is being offset by weaker oil capping CAD.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4108 opens the path to the 1.4125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4100 exposes the 1.4075 zone
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.41064
Higher highs, higher lows within rising channel.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session from the 1.40708 swing low into 1.41086, holding above rising EMA20/50 in a tight channel. The advance fits the broader 1.40–1.4125 range as risk-on USD softness is offset by weaker oil weighing on CAD. RSI(14) around 62 — firm, not stretched.
Support: 1.41003, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of the 1.41003 minor low would break the channel and expose 1.40708
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 1.41061
Higher highs, higher lows since 1.4070.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session from 1.4070 into a session high at 1.41086, price now hugging the top of the day's range as the USD firms into Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not stretched; buyers stepping in on each dip toward 1.4103.
Support: 1.4103, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4103 and then the 1.40708 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40708 swing low toward the 1.41086 session high, dips bought as easing US-Iran tension capped the USD but weaker oil kept the Loonie soft. RSI(14) near 62 — firm but not stretched — with price stalling just below the session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path toward the 1.41250 prior high
Loss of 1.41000 round level exposes the 1.40708 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41056
Higher highs, higher lows into NY.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, printing a session high at 1.41086 after buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.40708 earlier. Structure is a steady chain of higher lows along rising support near 1.40910; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4091, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.41125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41000 round number breaks the rising support line
Break above 1.41086 session high opens 1.41125 prior high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
12:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41056
Rising HH/HL off intraday low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing HH/HL off the 1.40708 session low to a 1.41086 session high, with price holding above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) mid-60s. The bid reflects a firm Fed-BoC divergence read even as USD softened broadly; buyers defended dips toward the 1.41000 round number.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40746, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41086, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41086 opens the path to 1.41250
Loss of 1.41000 psych level exposes the 1.40746 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41041
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.4071.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the NY session from the 1.4071 swing low to a session high at 1.4108, now holding 1.4104 as a soft dollar meets capped CAD gains on falling oil. RSI(14) near 61 with room, price above both EMAs; the HL chain remains intact.
Support: 1.4098, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4108, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4108 opens the path to the 1.4125 range cap
Break below 1.4071 ends the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41041
Higher highs, higher lows since 1.4070.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4070 low, printing higher lows and capping just under 1.41083. Price holding above the 1.4100 round number with RSI(14) mid-60s — orderly grind, no extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41083, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41083 opens 1.4110 psych
Loss of 1.4100 round number breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for this read
Higher highs off session low, consolidating near highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session from the 1.4070 session low to a 1.41083 high as a softer USD off the US-Iran ceasefire met oil-capped CAD. Price now stalling just under the session high, RSI cooling from the mid-60s with the round 1.4100 level acting as near-term support.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4091, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41083, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41083 opens the path toward the 1.4125 prior cap
Loss of 1.4100 and the 1.40910 higher low would break the intraday uptrend
Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed are the dominant risks into this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41021
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.4070.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the London-NY transition off the 1.4070 session low, printing higher lows into a fresh session high at 1.41083 as the softer USD stabilised. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched — with price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.40982, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41083, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41083 opens the path to the 1.4125 range cap
Loss of 1.40982 breaks the higher-low chain
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the near-term read; FOMC Wed is the larger risk
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40708 low, stalling just under the 1.41083 session high with RSI(14) around 61. Rising-low structure intact but pace is easing into the level; the pair still sits in its broader ~1.4000-1.4250 consolidation.
Support: 1.4101, 1.4094, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41083, 1.41144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41083 opens the path to the 1.41144 prior high
Loss of the 1.40940 consol low breaks the rising-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk for this pair
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41051
Series of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through London off the 1.40708 swing low toward the 1.41083 session high, price holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet extended. Move fits the soft-USD/soft-CAD balance — falling oil capping CAD while the pair stays in its 1.4000-1.4250 consolidation.
Support: 1.4102, 1.40708, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41083, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41083 session high opens 1.41144 prior high
Loss of the 1.41020 minor swing threatens the higher-low chain toward 1.40708
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could reset this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 67 · price 1.41065
Higher highs off 1.4071 low.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, rising from the 1.4071 swing low to a session high at 1.4107 and clearing the 1.4100 handle. Move fits the risk-on, softer-USD read into Durable Goods, though falling oil is capping CAD gains; RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme.
Support: 1.40982, 1.40807, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41144
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41144 prior high extends the up-leg
Failure to hold 1.40982 pivot stalls the higher-high sequence
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift near-term momentum
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 1.4100 round number toward a session high at 1.41072 as risk-on softened the dollar broadly. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; the recent up-leg from the 1.40708 session low remains intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41072, 1.41125
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41000 would negate the breakout and put 1.40850 back in play
Failure to clear 1.41072 keeps price capped under the session high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Durable Goods today 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41042
HH/HL chain off 1.4071 low.
London session grinding higher in a stair-step channel off the 1.40708 low, USD softer on US-Iran de-escalation risk-on. Price stalling into 1.41066 session high with RSI(14) around 64, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4085, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41066, 1.4110, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4085 breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.41066 opens the path to 1.4110 psych level
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41042
Higher highs, higher lows off 1.4070.
NY session ground steadily higher from the 1.4070 swing low to a session high at 1.4106, USD firmer intraday despite the broader risk-on tone. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 62 — momentum intact but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.40982, 1.40708, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41066, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4106 session high opens the path toward 1.4125
Loss of the rising trendline / 1.4070 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 71 · price 1.4106
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding up.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing a session high at 1.4106 after basing at 1.4070 in earlier hours. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the steady up-leg; risk-on from US-Iran de-escalation kept USD soft while softer oil capped CAD, leaving the pair consolidating with an upside lean.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4110, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4085 breaks the rising-low chain
Acceptance above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4125
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.4106
Rising lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window, pushing to a session high at 1.41066 as risk-on and firmer USD dynamics lifted the pair off the 1.40708 swing low. RSI(14) near 67, hot but not extended; price holds above both EMAs with rising lows intact.
Support: 1.40984, 1.40708, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.41066, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40984 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 1.41066 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 63 · price 1.41025
Higher highs / higher lows toward 1.4125 pivot.
London session extended the climb off 1.4080, printing a clean HH/HL chain into the session high at 1.41061 with RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. Price stalling just under the 1.4125 range cap flagged in the macro read; consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.40807, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41061, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41061 opens the path to the 1.4125 range cap
Failure to hold 1.40807 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.41025
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.4070 and pushing into the 1.4106 session high; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips toward the rising support line, with the risk-on USD softness noted at the Monday open not translating into follow-through selling.
Support: 1.4091, 1.40807, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41061, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4106 opens the path to the 1.4125 range pivot
Loss of the rising support / 1.4091 would break the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows through the Monday session.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.40708 and pushing into the session high at 1.41061 with RSI(14) around 67. Price now sits at the top of the multi-day 1.4060-1.4125 range, with 1.4125 the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4091, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41061, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of the 1.40910 rising low breaks the intraday HL chain
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into range top · RSI 68 · price 1.41054
Higher highs off 1.4070 toward 1.4125 cap.
NY session pushing USDCAD off the 1.4070 swing low to a session high at 1.4106, a firm dollar keeping the bid intact. Price is grinding into the 1.4125 range top with RSI(14) hot near 68; range remains capped for now.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 breaks the range top and opens 1.4150
Loss of 1.4070 swing low negates the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 68 · price 1.41035
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
London session has ground steadily higher off the 1.4071 session low, printing higher lows and stalling at 1.4105 — the session high just under the 1.4125 range top. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; USD firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC while soft Canadian PPI keeps the Loonie offered.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41052, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41052 exposes the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40708 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.4070 session low and breaking the 1.4096 consolidation cap. Price now sits at the session high 1.4105 with RSI(14) near 67; dollar firm on the hawkish Fed narrative into Wednesday's FOMC while soft Canadian PPI weighs on CAD.
Support: 1.40843, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41052, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Sustained push above 1.41052 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40843 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.4104
HL chain off 1.4071, nearing range top.
USDCAD is grinding higher off the 1.4071 session low, stacking higher lows into the 1.41052 session high with RSI(14) near 64. Price is pressing the upper half of the 1.4060–1.4125 range; a clean test of the range top at 1.4125 is the next structural level to monitor.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41052, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens a range break toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4074 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding toward range top · RSI 67 · price 1.4104
Higher lows into range resistance.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.4074 to tag a session high at 1.41052; price sits at 1.4104 with RSI(14) near 67, hot but not stretched. Move fits the digest's dip-buying tilt into month-end GDP, with the 1.4125 range top the next area to watch.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41052
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4074 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Summary and GDP later this week could shift the read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40708 session low and ground back above 1.4100, printing a fresh session high at 1.41052 as firm US PMIs kept the dollar bid. Chain of higher lows intact; RSI(14) around 66, hot but not extended.
Support: 1.4084, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41052, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40840 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.41052 opens the 1.4125 40-day MA
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 65 · price 1.41039
Higher lows off 1.4070, testing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London hours off the 1.4070 swing low, printing a fresh session high at 1.4105 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price sits at the top of its intraday climb, capped just below the 1.4125 range top flagged by the 40-day MA; softer oil and firm US PMIs keep the dollar supported.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4105, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens 1.4150
Loss of 1.4070 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
USDCAD carved a chain of higher lows off the 1.40708 session low and is now pressing the 1.41021 session high, with the pair firming on a supported dollar and soft Canadian producer prices. RSI(14) mid-60s, room before extremes; 1.4125 range top still caps.
Support: 1.4091, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40910 breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the range read
09:03 UTC
Mild uptrend into range top · RSI 62 · price 1.40985
Higher lows off 1.4074, grinding toward session high.
USDCAD ground back up through the London session, printing higher lows off 1.4074 and stalling into the 1.4102 session high. Move fits the digest's boxed 1.4060-1.4125 range with soft Canadian PPI and a firm USD keeping the Loonie capped; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4102 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4074 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver of the broad USD leg
08:46 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 58 · price 1.40977
Higher lows off session low, boxed under session high.
London session has ground higher off the 1.4070 session low, printing higher lows with RSI(14) in the mid-50s and price holding above EMA20/50. Still capped just under the 1.4102 session high and boxed inside the broader 1.4060-1.4125 range ahead of Durable Goods and Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4102 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4070 session low exposes the 1.4060 range floor
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
London session grinding a chain of higher lows off 1.40708 up to the session high at 1.41021, USDCAD firming as soft Canadian producer prices weigh on CAD. Still boxed inside the broader 1.4060–1.4125 range; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41021 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.40708 breaks the rising-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 1.4074 low, tagging 1.4102 before stalling in a tight consolidation near 1.4099. USD stays firm into FOMC; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme, and price holds above both EMAs but the 1.4125 range top still caps the picture.
Support: 1.4074, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4102 session high opens 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4074 session low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Boxed inside 1.4060-1.4125, higher lows since 1.4070.
USDCAD is ranging inside the 1.4060-1.4125 band around the 40-day MA, having recovered off the 1.4070 session low during London hours as the dollar held firm. Buyers stepped in near 1.4074 and pushed back to 1.4102, RSI neutral near 57 with ATR muted around 5 pips.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40746, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens 1.4150 interim resistance
Failure to hold 1.4060 breaks the range floor
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
London session bounced off the 1.40708 low and pushed through to a session high at 1.41021 before easing back to 1.4094. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 57; the broader 1.4060-1.4125 range remains intact.
Support: 1.4084, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens a test of the 1.4125 range top
Loss of the 1.40840 swing low reopens the 1.40708 session low
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead
USDCAD is drifting higher within the 1.4060-1.4125 range during London hours, with a brief pop to the 1.4102 session high rejected back to 1.4094. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI near 55 — no extreme, just a grind off the 1.4071 swing low as softer Canadian producer prices and firm US data keep the pair supported.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.4102 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4071 swing low re-exposes the 1.4060 range base
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range read
London pushed USDCAD up to 1.41021 then stalled, price now consolidating around 1.4094 with RSI(14) neutral near 56. Firmer US PMIs and soft Canadian producer prices keep the pair supported, but the session high is capping for now.
Support: 1.4084, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens continuation toward the 1.4125 area
Failure to hold 1.40840 exposes the 1.40708 session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant cross-driver but sits outside the next bar period
08:02 UTC
Recovering, uptrend within range · RSI 58 · price 1.40944
Higher lows off session low, capped under session high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40708 session low during London hours, pushing to a 1.41021 session high before easing to consolidate near 1.4094; RSI(14) mid-range around 58. Higher-low chain intact with dips bought, consistent with the tariff/soft-CAD-CPI backdrop keeping USDCAD supported.
Support: 1.4083, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.40830 exposes the 1.40708 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver for USDCAD
USDCAD dug in at the 1.4070 session low twice, then rallied through London open to tag 1.41021 before easing back to 1.4094, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. CAD stayed soft on the -1.4% producer-price drop; price now chopping just under the session high.
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
London session lifted USD/CAD off the 1.40700 session low into a chain of higher lows, tagging 1.41021 before stalling. Price now consolidating just under the session high with RSI mid-range; PPI-driven CAD softness keeps dips supported.
Support: 1.4084, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4106
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41021 opens the path to 1.41060 prior high
Loss of 1.40840 breaks the higher-low sequence, exposing 1.40700
NY session pushed USDCAD up off the 1.4070 session low toward 1.41021, where it was rejected and eased back to 1.40965. Price is drifting in the upper half of the 1.4070–1.4102 range, RSI(14) mid-50s with room either way.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40708 reopens the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst that could override this range read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.40700 London session low and thrust to a session high at 1.41021 before easing back to 1.40965, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price holds above both short EMAs with a chain of higher lows intact; the 1.40840 consolidation shelf is the near pivot.
Support: 1.4084, 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path toward the 1.41250 range top
Loss of 1.40840 exposes the 1.40700 session low and breaks the higher-low chain
07:16 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 58 · price 1.4095
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
London morning session recovered from the 1.4070 session low on a chain of higher lows and pushed into the 1.4102 session high, where the last bar was rejected and price eased back to 1.4095. USD/CAD holds within the 1.4060-1.4125 range as the pair sits near the 40-day area.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4102 opens the path to 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.4070 confirms a lower low into the 1.4060 floor
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead
07:16 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 61 · price 1.4095
Higher lows into session high.
London session ground up off the 1.4070 low, spiking to 1.41021 before fading to 1.4095 on rejection at the session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50 but capped below 1.4102.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4102 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4070 shifts the read back toward the 1.4060 range floor
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40708 session low and is pressing the 1.4100 round number, with the session high at 1.41021 just tapped. Price holds above both EMAs, RSI(14) mid-60s, still boxed inside the broader 1.4060-1.4125 range as the dollar holds firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4100, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40708 reopens the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Micro-uptrend off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.40964
Higher lows since 1.4071, pressing recent high.
London session grinding higher off the 1.40709 low, price now pressing the 1.41021 recent high with RSI mid-60s. Broader range between 1.4060 support and 1.4125 top still intact; USD firm on strong US PMIs while soft Canadian producer prices weigh on CAD.
Support: 1.40807, 1.40709, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.40807 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.40709
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
London open drove a push off the 1.40860 consol base to a session high at 1.41021 before pulling back to 1.40943, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price is grinding higher within the week's 1.4060-1.4125 box, still short of the range top.
Support: 1.4086, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path toward the 1.41250 range top
Loss of the 1.40860 consol base reopens 1.40708 session low
FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the week's pivot for this pair
06:47 UTC
Mild uptrend, cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.40943
Higher lows, testing range top.
London morning pushed USDCAD out of the 1.4079-1.4090 consolidation to tag 1.41021 before easing back to 1.40943, RSI(14) mid-60s. The session low at 1.40708 held earlier, feeding a chain of higher lows into the week's 1.4125 resistance cap.
Support: 1.4079, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41021 opens the path to weekly resistance at 1.4125
Failure back below 1.4079 returns price into the range low
USDCAD recovered off the 1.40708 swing low and popped to 1.41021 into early London before a wick rejection dragged it back to 1.4094. Price is still boxed inside the weekly 1.4060-1.4125 range with RSI(14) in the low-60s.
Support: 1.4085, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4085 puts the 1.40708 swing low back in play
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could jolt USD
06:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows, momentum picking up · RSI 58 · price 1.40938
Range with rising intraday lows.
USDCAD firmed off the 1.40700 session low and spiked to 1.41021 before fading back to 1.40938, a rejection at the recent high with RSI(14) around 58. Price is holding above EMA20/50 inside the well-worn 1.4060-1.4125 weekly range, tariff and soft-CAD data keeping the pair bid.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41021 opens the path to the 1.4125 week high
Loss of 1.40700 session low reopens the range floor toward 1.4060
FOMC next week is the main pivot for this pair
06:17 UTC
Ranging, edging toward range top · RSI 64 · price 1.40963
Range 1.4060-1.4125, testing session high.
Asian session bid USD/CAD off 1.4070 to a session high 1.4096, clearing the 1.4085 cap on the final bar with RSI(14) near 64. Price still sits inside the 1.4060-1.4125 range that has contained it all week, with the 1.4102 recent high the next hurdle.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41004, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 opens the path toward the 1.4150 band
Loss of 1.4070 session low reopens the 1.4060 range floor
Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this read
06:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, testing range top · RSI 66 · price 1.40963
Higher lows, breaking Monday session high.
USDCAD drifted higher through the Monday session and the last bar spiked ~12 pips to 1.4096, clearing the intraday high near 1.4091 with RSI(14) around 66. Price remains boxed inside the weekly 1.4060-1.4125 range; CAD stays soft after Friday's weak IPPI print.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4099, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4125 range top opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.4070 puts price back mid-range
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal catalyst for this pair
USDCAD is grinding inside the well-worn 1.4060-1.4125 weekly range, currently 1.40844 in early London after Asia dipped to a 1.40708 session low and buyers stepped back in. RSI(14) near 57 and a shallow rising-support chain off the low; move is corrective, ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.40708 exposes the 1.4060 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivot that could break this range
Quiet Asia-session Monday after the weekend gap; USDCAD ground back up from 1.40708 to retest session highs near 1.40860, RSI neutral around 58. Price is coiling inside the 1.4074-1.4086 band with buyers stepping in at the swing low twice — the broader 1.4060-1.4125 weekly range remains intact.
Support: 1.40746, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40860 opens a probe toward the 1.40912 prior high
Loss of 1.40708 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4060
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivot event and could reshape this read
USDCAD recovered from the 1.40708 swing low and is grinding back up to retest the 1.40860 session cap in quiet, thin Asian-hours trade. Price stays boxed inside the 1.4070–1.4091 range that has held all week, with no directional break yet.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path toward the 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.40708 confirms a lower low
US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into USD legs
05:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.40848
Intraday range, price mid-band.
Monday Asia session opened after the weekend gap and has stayed boxed between 1.40700 and 1.40912, matching the CAD digest's 1.4060-1.4125 weekly range. Price sits at 1.40848 hugging EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; no setup in play.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4086, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens a push toward this week's 1.4125 cap
Failure to hold 1.40700 exposes the wider 1.4060 support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's pivot and could override this range
05:32 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 1.40829
Asian-session range, mild higher lows.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range between 1.4070 and 1.4091 early Monday, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.4070-1.4076, lifting price back toward the session high; digest keeps the pair boxed around ~1.4095 fair value ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.40765, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4106
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path to the 1.4106 prior high
Loss of 1.40708 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
05:32 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.40829
Range-bound intraday.
USDCAD is drifting in a tight 1.40708–1.40912 band into the London open, price back at 1.40829 mid-range. Sellers rejected the 1.40912 area and buyers stepped in at 1.40708; RSI(14) flat near 53 with ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40708 opens the path to 1.4060 range low
M15 close above 1.40912 targets the 1.4125 range high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
05:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.40809
Consolidation inside broader range.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4070-1.4090 band after a dip to the 1.4070 session low was bought back toward 1.4085, keeping the pair pinned near 1.4081. Price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 49; no setup in play inside the wider 1.4060-1.4125 range.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4090, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Break of 1.4090 session high opens the path to the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4070 session low exposes the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed is the week's dominant catalyst and could break this range
05:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.40809
Boxed inside a tight intraday range.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight 1.4071-1.4091 band through the Asian session after the weekly reopen, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and ATR compressed around 5 pips. Price sits mid-range at 1.4081, holding above EMA20 but capped below EMA50; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.41125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4071 opens the path toward 1.4060 range low
M15 close above 1.4091 exposes the 1.4125 range top
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
USDCAD ranged 1.4071-1.4091 through the Asian session after the weekend gap, recovering off the 1.40708 low back toward the mid-upper band with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Firmer USD post-PMI and soft Canadian producer prices keep the pair pinned, but no intraday setup is in play inside the box.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.40858, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path toward 1.4125
USDCAD is boxed 1.40700-1.40912, now grinding back up with a chain of higher lows off the 1.40700 session low into early London. RSI(14) mid-range near 55; no directional break, price glued near 1.4084 with FOMC narrative keeping the week's range intact.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.41125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40912 opens the path back toward the 1.41125 week cap
Loss of 1.40700 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could shift this read
Monday open gapped slightly lower then recovered; USDCAD is ranging 1.4070–1.4091 with a chain of higher lows into the Asia session. Price sits mid-range near 1.4086 with RSI around 58, still boxed inside the week's 1.4060–1.4125 band per the tariff/soft-oil CAD backdrop.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path back toward the 1.4125 week cap
Loss of 1.40745 exposes the 1.40700 session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
04:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.40855
Boxed range, higher lows since session low.
USDCAD ranging ~1.4070-1.4091 through the Asian session, holding near Scotiabank's 1.40 fair value with the pair pinned by the Fed-BoC divergence read. Price swept the 1.4070 session low then recovered on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) back to neutral ~56.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 opens a test of the 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4070 reopens the 1.4060 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
04:31 UTC
Recovering within intraday range · RSI 61 · price 1.40858
Higher lows off 1.4070, capped near 1.4091.
Thin Asia session grinding back toward the top of the 1.4070–1.4091 intraday band after an early drop to 1.4070 was bought. RSI(14) recovering near 60, price stalling just under session high 1.4091.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 opens the path to range top 1.4125
Loss of 1.4070 exposes range low 1.4060
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for this pair
04:31 UTC
Recovering within range · RSI 61 · price 1.40858
Session range, higher lows into resistance.
USDCAD reclaimed the mid-range after basing at the 1.40700 session low, grinding back to 1.40858 on higher lows during the Asia session. Price is boxed under the 1.40912 session high with RSI(14) around 61 — firm but not stretched. The pair remains inside this week's 1.4060–1.4125 band flagged into FOMC.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.41125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path toward the 1.41125 range top
Loss of 1.40746 session low reopens the 1.40700 swing low
Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range read
Asia session has USDCAD ranging 1.4070-1.4090 after recovering from the 1.40708 session low. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR compressed under 6 pips; no directional setup with London yet to open.
Support: 1.40708, 1.40746, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40851, 1.40912, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40851 exposes 1.40912 then the weekly 1.4125 cap
Loss of 1.40708 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4060 range base
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject USD volatility into this range
04:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 1.40828
Boxed range, mid-range recovery.
USDCAD is ranging through the Asian session between 1.40708 and 1.40912, currently mid-range near 1.40828 after a bounce off the 1.40708 swing low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54; no setup in play with the tight weekly-tariff/FOMC narrative keeping price pinned.
Support: 1.40746, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path back toward 1.41000 psych
Loss of 1.40708 swing low confirms a lower-low
Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC could break this range
Thin Asia session ranging 1.4070-1.4091 with USDCAD recovering off the 1.4070 session low back to 1.4083; USD held firm on strong US flash PMIs while soft Canadian producer prices capped CAD. No setup in play — price coiling mid-range ahead of Wed's FOMC.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 opens the path back to 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.4070 exposes the 1.4060 range base
Wed 29 Jul FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDCAD opened the week with a small gap lower and has chopped between 1.4070 and 1.4091, now grinding back toward the top of that range near 1.4083. Soft Canadian producer prices and firm US PMIs keep the pair pinned in its multi-day 1.4060-1.4125 box; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4091 opens the path to 1.4125 range top
Failure to hold 1.4070 exposes 1.4060 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the week
03:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 1.40828
Session range, mid-range bounce.
Thin Asia session; USDCAD dipped to 1.40708 and held it twice before recovering to 1.40828, RSI(14) mid-50s. USD stays firm near highs ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, with price still boxed inside the week's 1.4060-1.4125 range.
Support: 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40851, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 reopens the session-high area toward range top 1.4125
Break below 1.40708 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4060 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal catalyst for this range
Thin Asia-session trade Monday; USDCAD has retraced roughly 60% of the drop from 1.40912 to the 1.40700 session low and now sits near the 1.40850 range top. USD stays firm on hawkish-Fed repricing into next week's FOMC, but volume is minimal and no clean break has formed.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40912
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 opens the path to the 1.40912 prior high
Failure to hold 1.40700 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4060 range floor
Monday Asian session opened with a small weekend gap down to 1.40852 and has since ranged 1.40708-1.40912, thin liquidity keeping bars tight. Price is grinding back up through the range mid toward the session high after the 1.40708 session low held; USD stays broadly firm into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4079, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.40887, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path back toward the 1.4125 weekly cap
Loss of 1.40708 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 1.4060
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal event and can override this intraday read
Thin Monday Asia-session trade; USD/CAD recovered from the 1.40700 session low to retrace roughly 62% of the drop from 1.40912, now hovering near 1.40830. Price is boxed in the 1.40700-1.40912 range with USD firm ahead of next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 breaks the session-high range top
Failure to hold 1.40700 opens the path lower toward the weekly 1.4060 zone
USDCAD is ranging 1.4070-1.4091 this session, holding near Scotiabank's ~1.40 fair value with the weekly 1.4060-1.4125 box intact. Price recovered off the 1.4070 low and is grinding back up through EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after softer Canadian producer prices and firmer US PMIs kept the pair bid.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 session high opens the path back toward 1.4125 range top
Loss of 1.4070 session low exposes the 1.4060 range floor
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's pivot and could reset this range
03:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.4083
Boxed inside intraday range, mid-range.
Thin early-Asia Monday trade with USDCAD chopping between 1.4070 and 1.4091 after the weekend open, price mid-range near 1.4083 and RSI(14) flat around 52. Post-open dip to 1.40708 was bought back but the move lacks momentum on light volume; broader boxed 1.4060-1.4125 read from the tariff/soft-CAD backdrop stays intact.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 opens the path toward the 1.4125 week high
Failure to hold 1.4070 exposes the 1.4060 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the pivotal event for this pair
Early Asian session Monday: USDCAD faded from the 1.40912 session high back into a 1.40700–1.40810 range, RSI(14) hovering near 47. Price sits mid-range at 1.40772 with sub-5-pip ATR, no clean intraday setup in play as the pair holds inside the 1.4060–1.4125 weekly box.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40810 opens the path back toward 1.40912
Break below 1.40700 confirms a lower low
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject direction into a quiet Asian range
03:02 UTC
Mild downdrift, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.40772
Range within session, mid-range.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4070–1.4091 through the Asian session after the weekend open faded off 1.4091. Price sits mid-range at 1.4077 with RSI(14) neutral near 43; the dip to the 1.4070 session low was bought back.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.4091
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4070 opens a lower-low toward the 1.4060 area
M15 close above 1.4091 reclaims the session high
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.40774
Boxed session, lower highs into support.
Thin early-week Asian trade after a small weekend gap down; USDCAD ranging 1.4070–1.4091 with a leg lower into the session low. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme — price sits in the lower half of the box near 1.4077.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4091, 1.4125
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4070 opens a probe toward 1.4060 range base
Reclaim of 1.4091 session high needed to shift back toward 1.4125 range top
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's pivot and could override this range read
Lower highs off session high, holding above 1.4070.
Asia session drifting lower off the 1.40912 session high, price now boxed 1.4070-1.4081 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-40s, price under both EMAs; no fresh extension yet.
Support: 1.40709, 1.40746
Resistance: 1.40805, 1.40912
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40805 negates the lower-high chain and reopens 1.40912
Break below 1.40709 confirms a lower low and extends the session drift
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's pivot and could override this intraday read
Rolling over from session high, pressing range lows.
Monday Asian session opened, probed 1.41034 then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, tagging 1.40700 before stabilising near 1.40765. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling into the low 40s; USD/CAD remains boxed near the middle of its recent range into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40747
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.40912
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40700 confirms a lower low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 1.40810 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC (Jul 29) is the dominant USD driver into the week
USDCAD opened the week with a gap lower and has drifted under a chain of lower highs, now boxed between 1.4070 and 1.4091. A sharp drop off the session high stalled at 1.4070, RSI(14) mid-40s and no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4091
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4091 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.4070 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant risk for the USD leg
Post-weekend gap opened near 1.4085 and rotated in a 1.4080–1.4091 band before rolling over into the fresh session, printing lower highs and pressing the 1.4070 session low. RSI(14) sits sub-45 as price drifts under EMA20/50; 1.4070 is the near-term pivot with 1.4060 the range base per the broader read.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4070 confirms a lower low toward 1.4060
Reclaim of 1.4081 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant USD-side risk into next session
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, intraday leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.40747
Lower highs off session high, probing 1.4070.
USDCAD opened the week near 1.4085, tagged a session high at 1.4091 and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, now pressing 1.4070. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price trades below EMA20/50 as the intraday leg stays offered inside the broader 1.4060-1.4125 range.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40817, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40817 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.4070 opens the 1.4060 range floor
Thin early-week liquidity can exaggerate moves until London arrives
02:02 UTC
Downdrift, near session low · RSI 39 · price 1.40709
Lower highs into range base.
USD/CAD ground down to the lower edge of the post-open 1.4070–1.4091 range, printing a session low at 1.40707 on a softer USD. RSI(14) soft near 39; supply capped the 1.4081 pivot twice on the retest attempts.
Support: 1.40707
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40707 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.4000 psych area
Reclaim of 1.40912 session high negates the lower-highs drift
FOMC next week is the dominant USD catalyst for this pair
Thin Asia session opened firmer to 1.40912 then rolled over into a lower-high sequence, with the drop through 1.40860 taking price to the session low at 1.40707. USDCAD sits pinned to that low with RSI(14) sub-40; the pair remains inside the 1.4070-1.4100 consolidation the CAD digest flagged near fair value.
Support: 1.40707, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40817, 1.40912, 1.41011
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40707 exposes the 1.4000 psych / one-month low
Reclaim of 1.40817 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC next week is the dominant USD-side catalyst for this range
01:47 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 44 · price 1.40776
Consolidation, thin Asian session.
USDCAD is consolidating in a thin Asian session, holding the 1.4070-1.4100 fair-value band flagged around soft CAD data. Price rolled off the 1.40912 session high and dipped to 1.40746 before stabilising near 1.4078; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40700 confirms a break of the range low
Reclaim of 1.40912 session high negates the current drift lower
01:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.40776
Consolidation after a downside range break.
USDCAD held 1.4085-1.4091 on the reopen before a sharp bar broke lower to 1.40746; price now consolidates 1.4075-1.4081 below the EMAs. Move is muted with the pair sitting near 1.4070 fair value ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 opens the 1.40700 psych zone
Reclaim of 1.40912 session high negates the downside break
FOMC Wed is the dominant swing factor for USD-side direction
01:31 UTC
Choppy, mild downtick · RSI 43 · price 1.40768
Range, thin early-week trade.
Thin early-week Asian trade; USDCAD slipped from the 1.40912 session high to tag 1.40745 before a shallow bounce back to 1.40768. Price is ranging inside 1.40745-1.40912 with RSI(14) mid-40s and no clean structure in play.
Support: 1.40745, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40745 opens the 1.40700 round number
Reclaim of the 1.40912 session high needed to shift the read higher
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst; ranges likely stay tight into it
Thin post-weekend Asia trade ranging 1.4075-1.4091; the dip to 1.40746 was bought back but price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. CAD consolidating near fair value with FOMC Wednesday the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.4070 area
Reclaim of 1.40912 session high needed to eye 1.41000
FOMC Wed is the pivotal risk that can break this range
Thin Asia open after the weekend break; price slipped off the 1.40895 session high to 1.40746 before stabilising around 1.4077. Ranging 1.40746-1.40895 with USDCAD sitting near the 1.4070-1.4100 fair-value pocket flagged into FOMC.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40895, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4070
Reclaim of 1.40895 puts 1.4100 round number back in play
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst; thin Asia liquidity exaggerates moves
01:16 UTC
Range, slight downdrift · RSI 44 · price 1.40768
Consolidation off session high.
USDCAD is consolidating the fresh Asia-session open between 1.40746 and 1.40912, with a rejection off the session high and a dip to 1.40746 that has been partially recovered. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 and price is holding just under EMA20; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 opens a test of the 1.4000 area
Reclaim of 1.40912 needed to revive the topside toward 1.41000
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri could materially shift this read
USDCAD opened the week around 1.4080 and drifted up to reject at the 1.40912 session high, then flushed to 1.40746 before recovering into 1.4080. Price is boxed 1.4075-1.4091 near the digest's ~1.4070-1.4100 fair-value range, with month-end and Wednesday's FOMC keeping ranges tight.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4079
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 breaks the session high and opens 1.4100
Failure to hold 1.40746 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for this range
01:03 UTC
Rangebound, low momentum · RSI 44 · price 1.40797
Consolidation, thin Asian session.
Thin, low-volume Asian session with USDCAD consolidating just under 1.4090 after resuming near 1.4085. A quick dip through 1.40746 was bought back to 1.40797, keeping price boxed between the session low and the 1.40912 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44, no momentum edge either way.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.40944
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 session high opens the path to 1.40944 prior high
Failure to hold 1.40746 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the dominant catalysts ahead
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, early-week chop · RSI 43 · price 1.40797
Consolidating after rejection of session high.
Thin early-week Asia open: USDCAD popped to a session high 1.40912 then got rejected, dropping to 1.40746 before recovering to 1.40797. Softer USD and Canadian disinflation (IPPI -1.4%) leave spot reverting to the ~1.4080 zone with no clean directional break.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.40887, 1.40912
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40912 breaks the session high and voids the rejection
Failure to hold 1.40746 opens a lower low toward 1.40700
USDCAD opened the week with a small weekend gap down and consolidated 1.4085–1.4090 through early Asia before a low-volume drop to the 1.40746 session low; now hovering 1.4080. Softer USD and June's -1.4% Canadian IPPI print keep spot pinned near the ~1.4070 fair-value zone.
Support: 1.40746, 1.4073
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 confirms a lower low toward 1.40730
Reclaim of 1.40850 puts price back inside the consolidation
FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Jul 31 are the bigger catalysts ahead
00:32 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.4075
Rejected at 1.4091, testing session low.
Thin Sunday reopen pushed up to a session high at 1.40912 before rejection dragged price back to the session low near 1.40746, where it now sits. Softer USD tone caps upside but CAD gains are limited by tariff and Fed-BoC divergence cross-currents; RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.40746, 1.40659
Resistance: 1.40912
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40746 confirms a lower low and opens 1.40659
Reclaim of 1.40912 reinstates the session high as pivot
US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Mild intraday downtick off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.4075
Range with rejection at top, testing session low.
Thin Asia/Sunday-open tape ranged 1.4080–1.4091 before sellers stepped in on the last three bars, dropping spot to a session low at 1.40742. Rejection at 1.4091 held; USD/CAD keeps reverting toward its ~1.40 fair-value zone noted in the CAD read.
Support: 1.40742, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4086
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40742 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych handle
Reclaim of 1.40912 session high negates the downtick read
Liquidity thin on Sunday open — early-session moves can be exaggerated
00:17 UTC
Pullback after intraday rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.40764
Session high rejected, break of early low.
Asia session Monday pushed to 1.40912 then rejected, with the last active bar dumping to the 1.40742 session low before a small bounce to 1.40764. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s; softer Canadian IPPI (-1.4%) keeps disinflation in view while USD holds firm ahead of the week's FOMC.
Support: 1.40742, 1.4079
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4102
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40912 reopens 1.4102
Loss of 1.40742 exposes the 1.4070 area
Durable Goods Mon 12:30 UTC could add USD volatility
Thin early-week Asia open consolidated between 1.40790 and 1.40912, then a sharp last-bar drop pushed price through the range base to 1.40742. Rejection at the session high stands; softer USD and Canada's disinflation cues keep spot pinned near the ~1.4070 fair-value zone.
Support: 1.40742, 1.4079
Resistance: 1.40912
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40912 negates the pullback read
Close below 1.40740 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4000 handle
Liquidity normalises as Asia session fully opens
00:02 UTC
Range, thin liquidity · RSI 46 · price 1.40822
Consolidation after weekend gap.
Thin Sunday reopen gapped down from Friday's 1.40944 close and has ranged 1.40790–1.40912 on tiny volume. Price faded off the session high back to 1.40822, sitting below EMA20/50; no structural setup in this low-liquidity window.
Support: 1.4079, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.40944
What it said to watch
Durable Goods Mon 12:30 UTC could inject the first real volume of the week
Break above 1.40912 targets the 1.40944 pre-gap close
Loss of 1.40790 opens the 1.40740 prior swing
00:02 UTC
Consolidation, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 1.40822
Post-gap range, holding mid.
Weekend gap into the Monday Asia open, now consolidating between 1.40790 and 1.40912 on thin volume. Price pulled back from the session high to 1.40822, RSI(14) neutral near 46; softer CAD CPI keeps a bid under the pair but sellers cap gains at the range top.
Support: 1.4079, 1.4074
Resistance: 1.40912, 1.4097
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40912 opens the path to 1.40970
Failure to hold 1.40790 exposes 1.40740
Thin Asia-session liquidity can distort the range read