USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.41065

Tight consolidation after down-then-up swing.

USDCAD sold off through London/NY to a session low at 1.40857, then rounded back to 1.4105 where it has coiled into a 1-2 pip Asian-session range on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 54; price holding above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat with FOMC dominating positioning.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
  • Loss of 1.40857 session low reopens 1.4060
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dominates; range likely muted until then

23:46 UTC

Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.41065

Tight consolidation off session low.

USDCAD drifted lower through London-NY to a session low of 1.40874 before a rounded recovery back to 1.4105-1.4110. Asia hours have compressed into a tight 1.4104-1.4107 range on thin volume, price pinned near the flagged fair value ~1.4115.

Support: 1.4105, 1.40874, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125, 1.41271

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 reopens 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4105 exposes the 1.40874 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver

23:31 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.41049

Range after recovery off session low.

London/NY sold USDCAD from 1.4128 down to a session low of 1.4086 as soft oil weighed, then buyers recovered price back to 1.4105. Now coiling tightly around the EMA20 on thin Asia-session volume, boxed between 1.4110 and 1.4101.

Support: 1.4101, 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 reopens the 1.4125 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range

23:31 UTC

Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.41049

Recovery off session low, consolidating.

USDCAD slid from 1.4128 to a session low of 1.40864, printing a double bottom before buyers lifted it back to 1.4105. Price now flat on thin, late-session volume, coiling just under 1.41102 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.

Support: 1.40986, 1.40864

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.41145

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41102 opens a retest of 1.41145
  • Loss of 1.40986 reopens the 1.40864 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

23:17 UTC

Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.4105

Ranging after bounce from session low.

USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4086 through the NY-Asia handover, then recovered to 1.4110 and stalled. Now ranging 1.4102–1.4110 on thin Asian-session volume, RSI(14) flat near 51 — no setup in play.

Support: 1.4102, 1.4086

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back toward 1.4125
  • Failure to hold 1.4102 re-exposes the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst ahead of this range

23:16 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.4105

Consolidation off session low.

NY-session slide to 1.4086 has stalled; Asia session is grinding sideways around 1.4105 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Buyers defended the 1.4086 zone twice before the recovery, with 1.4110 capping the bounce.

Support: 1.4095, 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back toward 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4086 confirms a lower-low and resumes the slide
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

23:02 UTC

Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.41049

Based at 1.4086, consolidating in thin Asia trade.

USDCAD sold off through the London-NY session to a base at 1.4086 before buyers lifted it ~20 pips; the pair now drifts sideways around 1.4105 in thin Asia trade, volume collapsing into single digits. The bounce fits CAD's temporary outperformance near two-week lows, but structure is flat with no directional push into FOMC.

Support: 1.4096, 1.4086

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back toward 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4086 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

23:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.41049

Consolidation near 1.4105 after basing.

USDCAD slid to a session low at 1.4086 during NY hours then recovered to base around 1.4105, where price now consolidates in a thin Asian open (volume drying up). Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4086, but the recent high at 1.4110 is capping the bounce.

Support: 1.4102, 1.4086

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back to 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4102 range floor exposes the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read

22:46 UTC

Recovered off lows, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.41028

Consolidating after NY-session decline and rebound.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.40857 session low before a double-bottom base lifted price back to 1.41102. Rebound has since stalled; price is drifting in a quiet Asia session between 1.41009 and 1.41102, sitting just above the 1.4100 handle.

Support: 1.41009, 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41102 session high reopens the 1.4125 prior high
  • Loss of 1.41009 minor swing exposes the 1.40864 session low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

22:46 UTC

Sideways after intraday decline and bounce · RSI 48 · price 1.41028

Range-bound near lower half of the day's range.

USDCAD slid to a session low near 1.4086 during the NY session before buyers stepped in twice at the same level, lifting price back to 1.4110. Now consolidating around 1.4103 on thin, late-session volume, holding above the 1.40857 double bottom.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4086 negates the double bottom and reopens the 1.4060 area
  • Reclaim of 1.41102 session high needed to shift structure back up
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this range

22:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, recovery off session low · RSI 49 · price 1.41028

Ranging after bounce from 1.40864.

USDCAD sold off through the session to a low of 1.40864, then recovered to 1.41102 and stalled; price now drifts around 1.4103 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum edge, and the pair holds inside the 1.40990–1.41102 band.

Support: 1.4099, 1.40864, 1.4080

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.41174, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41102 reopens the path toward 1.41174
  • Failure to hold 1.40990 reopens the 1.40864 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

22:31 UTC

Downtrend stalling, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.41028

Bounce off double low, ranging near highs of recovery.

USDCAD leaked lower through NY to a double low near 1.4087, then recovered to 1.4110 before stalling. Now consolidating 1.4102–1.4108 on thin Asia-session liquidity, RSI(14) neutral near 49; loonie firmer as soft oil and a soft USD offset each other pre-FOMC.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40874

Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back to 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4087 resumes the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

22:17 UTC

Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.41049

Double bottom near 1.4087, ranging 1.4100-1.4110.

USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.4087 during the London-NY session then recovered to 1.4110, and is now consolidating in a 1.4100-1.4110 band in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips; the Loonie's marginal outperformance on soft oil keeps the pair pinned ahead of FOMC.

Support: 1.4100, 1.4087, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4100 re-exposes the 1.4087 session low
  • Close above 1.4110 opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
  • FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend, recovering into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.41049

Session low held, range forming.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a session low at 1.40857, where a double bottom formed and price recovered to 1.4105. Now consolidating between 1.4086 and 1.4110 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) neutral near 49.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path to 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.40857 resumes the downtrend toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

22:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, mild recovery · RSI 53 · price 1.41053

Based after NY sell-off, ranging 1.4100–1.4110.

NY session drove USDCAD down to a 1.40857 session low on soft crude and a marginally firmer CAD, then buyers stepped in twice to form a base. Into the Asia session price has recovered ~20 pips and is now ranging 1.4100–1.4110 with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 swing high opens the path to 1.4125 prior high
  • Failure to hold the 1.4100 round level re-exposes the 1.40857 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

22:02 UTC

Downtrend, now stabilising · RSI 52 · price 1.41053

Session low carved, recovery into range.

USDCAD sold through the London-NY session to a session low of 1.40864 before buyers stepped in on a matched double-bottom, recovering to 1.4110. Price is now consolidating around 1.4105 into late NY on thin volume, RSI neutral near 51.

Support: 1.4099, 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40864 confirms a lower low
  • Break above 1.41110 opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 1.41022

Sold off to 1.4087, recovered into consolidation near 1.4100.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session to a low of 1.4087 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 1.4110 and now consolidating around the 1.4100 psych level on thin late-session volume. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no directional setup in play into the FOMC.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40874

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4087 confirms a fresh session lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.41102 opens the path back toward 1.4125 resistance
  • FOMC ~20h out is the dominant catalyst that will reset this range read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, base forming · RSI 47 · price 1.41022

Recovery off session low, back inside range.

NY session drifted lower to a 1.40874 low before demand stepped in, lifting price back to 1.41102 in thin late-session trade, now easing to 1.41022 — about a 38% retrace of the day's downleg. Volume has thinned into the Asia handover with price hemmed between 1.4087 and 1.4110 ahead of the FOMC.

Support: 1.4099, 1.40874, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40874 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4060
  • Reclaim of 1.41102 puts the 1.4125 range top back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.41012

Consolidating after V-recovery off session low.

USD/CAD sold through the NY session to a low at 1.40864, then bounced to 1.41102 before stalling. Now drifting sideways near 1.4100 on thin late-session volume with RSI mid-range and price sitting just under EMA20.

Support: 1.40958, 1.40864

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4113

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41102 reopens the path to 1.4113
  • Loss of 1.40958 exposes the 1.40864 session low
  • FOMC ~20h out is the dominant catalyst that can reset this range

21:31 UTC

Recovered off session low, drifting · RSI 46 · price 1.41012

Double bottom bounce, now consolidating 1.4100–1.4110.

NY session sold USDCAD to a session low near 1.4086 where a double bottom formed; buyers stepped in and drove the recovery to 1.4110, but price has since drifted back to 1.4101 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and price is back below both EMAs, leaving the pair boxed between 1.4086 and 1.4110.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4086 confirms a lower low and resumes the day's decline
  • M15 close above 1.41102 opens the path back to 1.4125 resistance
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that would reset this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend stalled, recovering · RSI 50 · price 1.41027

Range after double-bottom bounce off 1.4086.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.4086 session low, printed a double bottom, then recovered back above 1.4100 to stall near 1.4110. Now drifting in a 1.4095–1.4110 range on thin late-session volume with RSI mid-band; FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40864, 1.40938

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path back toward 1.4125 resistance
  • Loss of 1.4100 reopens the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC (~21h out) can materially shift this read

21:16 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.41027

Double bottom off session low, ranging.

USDCAD slid through the NY session to a session low of 1.40857, printing a double bottom before recovering to a recent high at 1.41110. Price is now consolidating around 1.4103 in thin, late-session conditions with RSI(14) mid-range near 46.

Support: 1.40955, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40857 resumes the downtrend
  • Reclaim of 1.41110 opens the path back toward prior res at 1.41250
  • FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

21:03 UTC

Down then stabilising, range-bound · RSI 53 · price 1.41071

Swing low at 1.4086, bounce into tight range 1.4100-1.4110.

USDCAD sold from 1.4126 to a 1.4086 swing low through the NY session, where buyers stepped in twice and price recovered into a tight 1.4100-1.4110 range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~6 pips as the pair coils into a quiet, pre-FOMC drift.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 session high opens the path to 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4100 round number re-exposes the 1.4086 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

21:03 UTC

Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.41071

Sold to 1.4086, bounced, consolidating near 1.4107.

USD/CAD sold to a session low of 1.4086 during NY hours, then recovered to 1.4107 where it is now consolidating in a tight 1.4102-1.4110 band into the Asian session. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4086 before the bounce; RSI(14) mid-range around 54 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.4102, 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 recent high opens a retest of 1.4125 context resistance
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 session low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovering into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.41061

Double bottom at session low, consolidating below resistance.

NY session sold down to a double bottom at 1.4086, then recovered to 1.4106 where price is consolidating below the 1.4110 recent high. RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~6 pips — flow is thin into the FOMC wait.

Support: 1.40987, 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path to 1.4125
  • Failure to hold 1.4095 reopens the 1.4086 double bottom
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

20:46 UTC

Recovering off session low, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.41061

Rounded base after downside, capped below 1.41100.

USDCAD ground down through London-NY to a session low at 1.40857 before buyers stepped in, carving a rounded base and lifting back above 1.41000 into the NY afternoon. Price now consolidates around 1.41060, capped just under the 1.41100 recent high; the loonie's bounce is modest ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41100 opens the path toward 1.41250 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.41000 psych reopens the 1.40857 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.41091

Session low held, consolidating below prior highs.

USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session to a low near 1.4086, where demand stepped in twice to form a double bottom before recovering to consolidate around 1.4108. Late-session flows are thin ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, with price stalling under the 1.4111 recent high.

Support: 1.4096, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4111 opens the path back toward 1.4126
  • Loss of 1.4096 reopens the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

20:31 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 1.41091

Based near 1.4086, higher lows into consolidation.

USDCAD carved a base around 1.4086 through the late Asia/early London lows and recovered through NY hours to the session high near 1.4110, where it is now consolidating. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price holds above EMA20/50, but the advance has stalled just under the 1.4110 cap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.4096, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4125 resistance
  • Failure to hold 1.4096 reopens the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

20:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering · RSI 53 · price 1.41079

Double bottom off session low, now consolidating.

USDCAD slid through the London-NY session to a low at 1.4086, where a double bottom formed and buyers stepped in twice. Price has since recovered into late NY and is consolidating between 1.4100 and the 1.4110 recent high, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41102, 1.41257

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41102 opens the path to session high 1.41257
  • Failure to hold 1.40857 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this range read

20:16 UTC

Recovering off session low, flattening · RSI 56 · price 1.41079

Consolidating below session mid after rounded low.

USDCAD drifted to a session low of 1.4086 through the NY session before buyers absorbed the dip and lifted price back to 1.4108. Now consolidating 1.4103-1.4110 into a quiet, low-volume close ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.4101, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4125 prior high
  • Loss of 1.4098 reopens the 1.4086 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range

20:02 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, recovery underway · RSI 59 · price 1.41099

Bounced off session low, consolidating below resistance.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a low near 1.40857, then buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom and lift price back to 1.4110 — the 61.8% retrace of the down leg. Now coiling in a tight 1.41005–1.41125 range, RSI(14) mid-band around 59.

Support: 1.41005, 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41125, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41125 opens the path back to the 1.4125 2wk high
  • Failure to hold 1.41005 reopens the 1.40857 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this range

20:02 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 1.41099

Bounce from 1.4086 into consolidation near 1.4110.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a low at 1.40857, then rounded back to the 1.41107 recovery high where price is now consolidating. RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR ~4 pips; the 1.4125 session resistance caps the upside ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.4101, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41107, 1.4125, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41250 session res opens a retest of the 1.41284 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.41010 recent low reopens the 1.40857 session low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, recovered off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.41049

Double bottom bounce, consolidating.

USDCAD ground down through the NY session to a double bottom at 1.40864, then recovered to a session high of 1.41081 before stalling near 1.4105. Price is coiling in a tight range into the FOMC decision, RSI(14) back to neutral after the bounce.

Support: 1.4095, 1.40864

Resistance: 1.41081, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41081 session high opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
  • Close below 1.40950 bounce low reopens the 1.40864 session low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this range

19:46 UTC

Recovering off session low, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 1.41049

Double bottom at 1.4086, holding a tight range below 1.4108.

USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.4086 through the NY session and rebounded to consolidate in a tight 1.4100–1.4108 band, RSI(14) back mid-range near 55. Move fits the firm-USD-into-FOMC backdrop; price is coiling below session-high resistance at 1.4108.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41081, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4108 opens the path back toward 1.4125 range top
  • Loss of 1.4100 psych re-exposes the 1.4086 double bottom
  • FOMC decision ~22h out is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

19:32 UTC

Session downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.4107

Double bottom at 1.4086, consolidating mid-range.

USD/CAD ground down through the NY session to a 1.4086 session low, put in a double bottom there, then recovered to 1.4107 — stalling right at the 50% retrace of the 1.4128–1.4086 decline. Now consolidating just under recent high at 1.4108 with RSI back mid-range.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41081, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4108 opens a retest of 1.4125 prior high
  • Close below 1.4086 session low reopens downside toward 1.4060
  • FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

19:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 56 · price 1.4107

Double bottom off session low, consolidating below prior highs.

Pair drifted from 1.4125 down to a session low near 1.4086, where demand stepped in twice to form a double bottom during NY hours. Price has recovered to 1.4107 and is now consolidating below the 1.4113 prior high, RSI(14) back to mid-range.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4113, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4113 opens the path back to the 1.4125 session high
  • Loss of 1.4086 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.4060
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.4107

Lower lows into 1.4086, then recovery/consolidation.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a session low near 1.4086, printed a double bottom there, and has recovered to consolidate around 1.4107. Price reclaimed EMA20 but is stalling just under EMA50; RSI(14) back near 56 after the bounce.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4117, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4117 swing high reopens 1.4125 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC (~23h out) is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this range

19:16 UTC

Intraday recovery off session low · RSI 54 · price 1.4107

Double bottom near 1.4087, capped below 1.4125.

USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4087 through mid-session and recovered into NY hours, now trading the 50% retrace of the day's down leg at ~1.4107 with RSI back to neutral. Still capped well below the 1.4125 prior high; move sits mid-range ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.4087, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4110

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4125 opens path to extend the recovery
  • Failure to hold 1.4087 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

19:02 UTC

Downtrend easing, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.41038

Double bottom ~1.4086, recovering into consolidation.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session to a session low near 1.4086, printing a double bottom before recovering to 1.4105 as a soft-USD, soft-oil backdrop kept the pair pinned pre-FOMC. Now consolidating just below the 1.4106 session high, RSI back to neutral.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4106 opens path back toward 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4086 double bottom confirms a lower low toward 1.4060
  • FOMC (~23h out) is the dominant catalyst that will redefine this read

19:02 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.41038

Lower lows into 1.4086, bounce holding.

NY session drifted lower to a session low of 1.40857 near 16:15 UTC, where a double bottom around 1.4086 held and buyers stepped back in toward 1.4106. Price now ranges near 1.41038, mid-way through retracing the down leg, with RSI(14) recovered to neutral.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4106 bounce high opens the path toward 1.4125 range resist
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

18:47 UTC

Downtrend, recovery underway · RSI 54 · price 1.41023

Session low put in, bounce stalling under 1.4106.

Steady drift lower through the NY session bottomed twice near 1.4086, then a ~20 pip recovery into 1.4105; price is now consolidating just under the 1.41068 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Loonie firmness on soft oil and dovish-BoC themes is keeping the pair pinned pre-FOMC.

Support: 1.4095, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41068, 1.4113

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41068 session high opens room back toward the 1.41130 prior high
  • Loss of 1.40857 session low resumes the downtrend
  • FOMC ~24h out is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read

18:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.41023

Downtrend base then bounce, ranging.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session to a session low at 1.40857, then recovered ~20 pips off a double-bottom base to reclaim the 1.41000 psych level. Price is now consolidating 1.41000–1.41068 into tomorrow's FOMC, RSI back to neutral near 53 with oil-soft CAD keeping the pair supported.

Support: 1.4100, 1.40857

Resistance: 1.41068, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41068 recent high opens the path to 1.41250 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.41000 psych reopens the 1.40857 session low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read

18:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.41025

Double-bottom recovery within a broader down leg.

NY session drove USDCAD down to a session low near 1.4086 on soft oil, then a double-bottom bounce lifted price back to the 1.4105 session high. Now consolidating just above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s; pre-FOMC positioning keeps this a contained range.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4106 session high opens the path toward 1.4125 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 session low confirms lower-low continuation toward 1.4060 prior support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

18:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.41025

Session low base, recovery underway.

USDCAD ground lower through the session to a session low near 1.4086, where price based twice before recovering to 1.4106 during NY hours; RSI(14) back to mid-range around 55. Pair now consolidating just above 1.4100 with the bounce high capping.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4106 opens the path toward 1.4125 prior high
  • Failure to hold the 1.4086 session low confirms a lower low
  • FOMC decision tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst

18:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 56 · price 1.4103

Double bottom at 1.4086, recovering into NY afternoon.

USDCAD trended lower through the London-NY session to a 1.4086 base, printing a double bottom that held twice into late NY. Price has since recovered to 1.4103, RSI(14) back near 56 off the lows; the descending swing highs from 1.4126 still cap.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4107, 1.4114, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4114 opens the path to 1.4125 resistance
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 56 · price 1.4103

Session low based, recovering.

USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a low near 1.4087, then based twice around that level before recovering to 1.4103 as CAD firmed on a softer USD. Momentum has turned up off the double bottom but the pair is still below the 1.4125 prior high that capped earlier.

Support: 1.4087, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
  • Close above 1.4106 recent high opens the path back toward 1.4125
  • Loss of 1.4087 session low reopens the 1.4060 support

18:02 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 59 · price 1.41049

Session low held twice, corrective rally.

USDCAD ground lower through NY hours to a session low near 1.40864, printing a double bottom before recovering to 1.41049 as USD firmed pre-FOMC on soft oil. RSI(14) has lifted back near 59 off the lows; price reclaimed EMA20 but sits under EMA50, capped by 1.41060.

Support: 1.40938, 1.40864

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.4115, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41060 opens the path back to 1.41150
  • Loss of 1.40864 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

18:02 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.41049

Lower highs into 1.4086 base, recovering.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session to a 1.4086 base, tested twice, before buyers lifted it back to 1.4105 into the late session. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the bounce works against the descending swing highs; oil weakness and a firm USD keep the pair pinned in the 1.4086–1.4117 band.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4117, 1.41255

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4117 swing high opens the path to 1.41255
  • Failure to hold 1.40857 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.4060
  • FOMC in ~24h is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 59 · price 1.41039

Lower lows into 1.4086 base, now recovering.

NY afternoon carved a base near 1.40857 with repeated touches before a recovery to 1.4104, RSI(14) lifting off oversold. Move fits the soft-oil, dovish-BoC backdrop; the intraday leg down from 1.41284 has retraced roughly 40%.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.41145, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4125 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 1.40857 confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 54 · price 1.41039

Lower highs into 1.4086 low, recovering.

NY session pressed USDCAD down to a session low of 1.4086 on soft oil, with two lows carving a double base before buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.4104, reclaiming EMA20 but still under EMA50; RSI(14) back near neutral after the bounce.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4113, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4113 negates the current down leg
  • Failure to hold 1.4086 confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC ~24h out could materially reset this range

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.41011

Lower highs into a 1.4086 base.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session to a 1.4086 session low, then buyers stepped in on a two-bar recovery back to 1.41011 as CAD firmed on soft oil. The lower-high sequence keeps the downtrend intact below the 1.41128 swing high; price is now sitting on the 1.4100 round number.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41128, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41128 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.40857 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.41011

Lower highs into 1.4086 base, corrective bounce.

USDCAD slid through the NY session from 1.4128 to a session low of 1.40857 on soft oil and a marginally firmer CAD. Price twice held 1.4086 and has bounced to 1.41011, RSI(14) back near 51 from oversold; the recent swing high at 1.41075 caps the recovery.

Support: 1.40857, 1.40938

Resistance: 1.41075, 1.4114, 1.4124

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41075 negates the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold the 1.4086 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • FOMC ~24h out — dominant driver that could reset this range

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.40958

Lower highs / lower lows, double bottom forming.

USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session, sweeping to 1.40857 twice before buyers stepped in and pushed the last bar up to 1.40982. Pair sits below both EMAs, near two-week lows, with soft oil and a dovish BoC lean keeping CAD capped.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4080

Resistance: 1.40982, 1.41055, 1.41168

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.40982 bounce high opens the path back toward 1.41055 prior swing
  • Loss of 1.40857 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, minor bounce · RSI 42 · price 1.40958

Lower highs, lower lows.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.40857 before a modest bounce into 1.40982; price closed back at 1.40958, still below EMA20/50. Move fits the soft-oil, pre-FOMC CAD backdrop, with the pair staying under intraday lower highs.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4080

Resistance: 1.40982, 1.41055, 1.4113

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41055 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.40857 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

17:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 39 · price 1.4088

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Steady M15 downtrend through the NY session, USD firm and the Loonie soft on weak oil ahead of the FOMC, dragging price to a session low at 1.4086. Last few bars are flattening in a tight 1.4086–1.4095 consolidation with RSI(14) near 39, off its lows.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.4110, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.4086 opens the path toward 1.4060
  • M15 close back above 1.4110 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

17:02 UTC

Downtrend, stalling at lows · RSI 39 · price 1.4088

Lower highs, lower lows into tight base.

NY session drifted steadily lower, printing a session low at 1.40857 on soft oil and pre-FOMC USD positioning. Price is now consolidating tightly in the 1.4086–1.4094 zone with RSI(14) around 38, off but not yet at oversold extremes.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.40937

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40857 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.4060 support
  • Reclaim of 1.40937 swing high needed to break the descending sequence
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 1.40891

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

NY session ground USDCAD steadily lower from 1.4126 to a session low of 1.40857, printing consecutive lower highs; the pair is stabilising just above that low with RSI(14) near 38, off oversold. Soft oil and a modestly bid CAD have kept the buck offered into FOMC positioning.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.41055

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.40950 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.40857 confirms continuation toward 1.4060
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 40 · price 1.40891

Lower highs and lower lows, basing at session low.

USD/CAD ground lower through the NY session to a two-week low at 1.40857, RSI(14) near 40 as the decline decelerates. Price is stabilising into 1.4088-1.4092 with buyers stepping in twice at the session low; both EMAs cap overhead.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060, 1.4000

Resistance: 1.40981

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.40981 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.40857 session low confirms downside continuation toward 1.4060
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.40894

Lower highs and lower lows through NY.

NY session pressed USD/CAD to fresh session lows at 1.40857, breaking the 1.4100 psych level as the USD held firm into FOMC. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) around 34 but not yet oversold; ATR near 7 pips.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.41125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.40950 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 1.40857 opens the 1.4060 context support
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 34 · price 1.40894

Lower highs, lower lows into NY afternoon.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the prior 1.4110 range floor and printing a fresh session low at 1.40857 as CAD held marginally firmer against a soft dollar. RSI(14) near 34, not yet oversold, with price pinned below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.40857, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.41045, 1.41125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.40950 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Break of 1.40857 opens the path toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, extended into session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.40867

Chain of lower highs and lower lows.

NY session ground lower in a clean descending channel, USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC, with price now pressing the session low at 1.40864. RSI(14) around 31 — soft but not yet an extreme; ATR sits near 6 pips.

Support: 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095

What it said to watch

  • Break below 1.4060 range low extends the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close above 1.40950 breaks the descending channel and invalidates the down read
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 32 · price 1.40867

Lower highs and lower lows.

USD/CAD grinds to fresh lows at 1.40864 during NY hours, extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows with price pinned below EMA20/50. CAD's marginal outperformance and soft oil keep the pair heavy pre-FOMC; RSI(14) near 31 but not yet at an extreme.

Support: 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.40950 swing high would stall the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 1.40864 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.4060
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.4090

Lower highs, breakdown from consolidation.

USDCAD broke down from the 1.4110-1.4125 consolidation during NY hours, printing fresh two-week lows near 1.4086 with RSI(14) around 33. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 and has stalled just above the session low ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.41125, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4086 opens the path to 1.4060 support
  • Reclaim of 1.41125 prior high negates the breakdown
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 36 · price 1.4090

Lower highs, lower lows into NY afternoon.

USD/CAD ground to a new two-week low near 1.4086 through the NY session, extending a chain of lower highs from the 1.4128 area. RSI(14) sits soft near 36 with price pinned below EMA20/50; sellers kept capping bounces at 1.4095.

Support: 1.4086, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095, 1.4120, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.4095 micro top would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Loss of 1.4086 session low opens the path toward 1.4060 prior support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can reset this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 30 · price 1.40901

Lower highs, lower lows into NY afternoon.

USD/CAD sold off through the NY session to a fresh session low at 1.4086, RSI(14) near 30 as the slide accelerated on the last two bars. Price holds below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high chain; CAD firming despite a broadly steady USD elsewhere.

Support: 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.40995, 1.41075, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4086 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.4060
  • Reclaim of 1.4105 needed to stall the downtrend read
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can override this intraday structure

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 29 · price 1.40901

Range break lower, fresh session low.

NY session drove a clean break of the day's 1.4110–1.4125 range, USDCAD sliding to a fresh session low at 1.40864 with RSI(14) near 29. The move fits the soft-oil, dovish-BoC backdrop; sellers extended through prior demand with no bounce yet.

Support: 1.40864, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4101, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 1.4105 invalidates the range-break read
  • Break of 1.40864 opens the path to 1.4060 support
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 29 · price 1.40878

Lower highs, lower lows.

USDCAD broke the intraday range and printed a fresh session low at 1.40874 during NY hours, with RSI(14) near 29. The slide fits the soft-oil, dovish-BoC backdrop, but the move is stretched short-term and sits just above the 1.4060 support cited pre-FOMC.

Support: 1.40874, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4095

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.40950 would ease the downside pressure
  • Loss of 1.4060 extends the lower-low sequence
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 31 · price 1.40878

Lower highs into fresh session lows.

USDCAD slid through the NY session, breaking the intraday range to print a fresh session low at 1.40874 with price under both EMAs. Oil-soft/dovish-BoC backdrop keeps CAD heavy, but RSI(14) near 30 signals a stretched short-term move into the FOMC standoff.

Support: 1.40874, 1.4080, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4101, 1.41056, 1.41167

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40874 opens the path toward 1.40600 range support
  • Reclaim of 1.41056 prior swing would negate the current lower-high sequence
  • FOMC decision tomorrow could materially shift this read

15:15 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.41046

Lower highs, lower lows into NY session.

USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40958 before a shallow bounce to 1.41046. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs as oil weakness fades and traders sideline ahead of FOMC; RSI(14) mid-range after the pullback.

Support: 1.40958, 1.41012

Resistance: 1.4113, 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41130 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 1.40958 confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the gating catalyst and could reset this read

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, minor bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.41046

Lower highs into session low, small recovery.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.40958 before a shallow bounce to 1.41046. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 42; sliding oil keeps the pair heavy but moves are muted ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.40958, 1.41012

Resistance: 1.41131, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.40958 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.41131 swing high would break the lower-high chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the gating catalyst for direction

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, session lower lows · RSI 41 · price 1.41046

Lower highs, lower lows into NY session.

USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.40958 before a shallow bounce to 1.41046. RSI(14) sits mid-40s off the lows and price holds below EMA20/50; sellers still capping under the descending 1.41129 swing.

Support: 1.40958, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41129, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41129 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.40958 extends the session downtrend toward 1.4100
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the gating catalyst that can reset this read

14:45 UTC

Downtrend, grinding lower · RSI 38 · price 1.41008

Lower highs into session low.

NY session drifted lower off the 1.4126 swing high, printing a session low at 1.40958 before stabilising just above the 1.4100 psych level. Lower highs remain intact and price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37, though no fresh acceleration into the close.

Support: 1.40958, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41168, 1.4126, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.41168 breaks the chain of lower highs
  • Failure to hold 1.40958 / 1.4100 psych confirms continuation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:30 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 34 · price 1.41017

Lower highs, lower lows off 1.4126.

USDCAD slid through the 1.41060 support during NY hours to print fresh session lows at 1.40958, RSI(14) around 34 but not yet oversold. Prior support at 1.41060 now caps as resistance; price stalling just under the 1.41000 psych level into the FOMC event.

Support: 1.40958, 1.4100, 1.40958

Resistance: 1.4106, 1.41125, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.40958 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.4000
  • Recovery above 1.41060 puts price back inside the prior range
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 34 · price 1.40977

Lower highs and lower lows through NY.

USDCAD rolled over through the NY session, breaking the 1.4100 psych level and printing a fresh session low at 1.40977 with RSI(14) near 34. The 1.4126 session high has capped rallies since the London-NY transition; ATR sits around 6 pips.

Support: 1.40977, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4113, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.41000 negates the downside break
  • Failure to hold 1.40977 opens the path toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

14:02 UTC

Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.40977

Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.

NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4100 round number to a fresh session low at 1.40977, extending a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) near 33, not yet stretched; the 1.4100 handle now caps as prior support flips to resistance.

Support: 1.40977, 1.4060, 1.4000

Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41068, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim of 1.41000 round number would neutralise the lower-low read
  • Loss of 1.40977 session low opens the path toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

14:01 UTC

Downtrend developing, momentum building lower · RSI 34 · price 1.40977

Lower highs, fresh session low, broke below 1.4100.

USDCAD rolled off the 1.4113 intraday range and broke the 1.4100 round number, printing a fresh session low at 1.40977 with RSI(14) near 33. Soft oil and BoC-Fed divergence keep the Loonie pressured; the pair is now testing the lower edge of its two-day range.

Support: 1.40977, 1.4060, 1.4000

Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4113, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.4100 round number would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 1.40977 opens the path toward 1.4060 support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

13:46 UTC

Intraday range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.41076

Lower highs, testing range floor.

USD/CAD faded from the session high at 1.4126 through NY hours and swept the range floor with a sharp bar to 1.41012 before recovering to 1.41076. Still capped below the ema20 near 1.4113; price holding above 1.4100 as it consolidates ahead of the FOMC-driven week.

Support: 1.41012, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4113, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41012 exposes the 1.4099 prior low and opens 1.4060
  • Reclaim of the ema20 at 1.4113 puts the 1.4126 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

13:30 UTC

Downtrend, edging lower · RSI 40 · price 1.41029

Range floor gave way, fresh session low.

USDCAD drifted off the 1.41284 session high and chopped in a 1.4108-1.4126 band through NY hours before the last bar broke the floor with a spike to a fresh session low at 1.41012, RSI(14) near 40. Price sits below both EMAs with sellers pressing the 1.4100 round number.

Support: 1.41012, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4116, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.4116 range mid would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 1.4100 confirms continuation to lower lows
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

13:15 UTC

Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41123

Consolidation between 1.4104 and 1.4126.

USDCAD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.4104–1.4126 band, holding above the 1.4100 psychological floor as slumping oil and a dovish BoC keep CAD pressured into FOMC. A dip to 1.4104 was bought back this session but momentum is flat with RSI near 50 and ATR just ~5 pips.

Support: 1.41038, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the 1.4128 day high
  • Loss of 1.4104 exposes the 1.4100 round number
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

13:02 UTC

Sideways, low volatility · RSI 47 · price 1.41123

Range-bound intraday, mid-range.

USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.41038 and 1.41260, holding a two-week-high consolidation as CAD stays soft on weak oil and BoC-Fed divergence. Volatility is compressed with ATR near 4 pips and RSI mid-range — no directional setup in play ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.41038, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 opens the path back toward 1.41284
  • Loss of 1.41038 range low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely to break this range

13:02 UTC

Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41123

Range-bound near 2-week high.

USDCAD ranging roughly 1.4104-1.4126 through the NY session, price sitting mid-range at 1.41123 with RSI(14) flat near 50. A dip to 1.41038 was bought back, but the session high at 1.4126 continues to cap. No setup in play ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.41038, 1.41074

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path back toward 1.41284
  • Loss of 1.41038 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely to override this intraday read

12:45 UTC

Sideways, near two-week high · RSI 49 · price 1.4114

Range-bound, mild lower highs.

USDCAD is holding a tight range between 1.4104 and 1.4126 just under its two-week high, with the dip to 1.4104 bought back into NY hours. Momentum is neutral (RSI ~49) as the market consolidates the recent bid ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.

Support: 1.4104, 1.4100, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4128

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4128 day high opens continuation higher
  • Close below 1.4104 recent low exposes 1.4060 swing support
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read

12:30 UTC

Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.41111

Choppy range, dipped to session low.

USDCAD chopped in a 1.4104-1.4126 range through London before slipping to a session low at 1.41038 into NY hours, now bouncing to 1.41111 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50; twin rejections near 1.4126 capped the upside earlier. Consolidation near two-week highs ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41038, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4116, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41038 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.41160 swing puts 1.41260 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will reset this read

12:15 UTC

Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.4108

Lower highs into range base, no break.

USDCAD faded from the 1.4126 session high through NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and dipping to a 1.4038 spike low before closing back at 1.4108. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42; the pair is consolidating just under 1.4126 as traders sideline ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.4060, 1.4038

Resistance: 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4060 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.4126 session high negates the intraday drift lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

12:01 UTC

Consolidation, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.4108

Range with lower highs off session top.

USDCAD faded off the 1.4126 session high through the NY session, sliding to a 1.4104 low with RSI(14) near 42. Price is now pressing the 1.4100 handle after a sequence of lower highs; range top respected.

Support: 1.4104, 1.4100, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4116, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4100 exposes the earlier 1.4099 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.4126 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

11:45 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.41078

Lower highs, testing base support.

USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.4126 through NY hours and is grinding into 1.4107 support, holding a bullish consolidation near two-week highs above 1.4000. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40; move contained ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4099, 1.4106

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284, 1.4118

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4074 opens a probe of the 1.4099 asia low zone
  • Reclaim of 1.4126 session high revives the push toward 1.4128 prior high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely to override intraday structure

11:30 UTC

Range, drifting lower late session · RSI 45 · price 1.41119

Consolidation below session high, lower highs into current bar.

USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4107–1.4126, holding a bullish consolidation near a two-week high as soft oil and a dovish BoC keep CAD pressured. Price rejected the 1.4126 session high and has drifted lower, sitting mid-range at 1.41119 with RSI(14) neutral near 45.

Support: 1.41072, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 reopens the 1.41284 prior high
  • Loss of 1.41072 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.4100 psych
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could void this range read

11:15 UTC

Range, drifting to lows · RSI 42 · price 1.41087

Capped below session high, near range floor.

USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4107–1.4126 with sellers rejecting the session high near 1.4126 and price now pressing the range floor at 1.4107. Move sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — soft but not stretched, consistent with the bullish-consolidation-near-two-week-high read into FOMC.

Support: 1.41072, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4118, 1.41265

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41072 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • Reclaim of 1.41180 puts the 1.41265 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

11:01 UTC

Consolidation, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.41087

Range near two-week high, fading from session high.

USDCAD is consolidating just under a two-week high, fading from the 1.41284 session high toward the lower edge of the range as CAD stays pressured on soft oil and BoC dovishness. Price is now probing 1.41072 support with RSI(14) around 41; ATR near 5 pips reflects the pre-FOMC squeeze.

Support: 1.41072, 1.4099, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41072 opens the path toward 1.4060 support
  • Reclaim of 1.41260 swing high re-engages the session high at 1.41284
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

10:45 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41125

Range-bound near two-week highs.

USDCAD is consolidating between 1.4108 and 1.4126 near two-week highs, with the 1.41284 session high capping and buyers stepping in around 1.4108. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and price hugs the EMAs; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41077, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 opens the path to the 1.41284 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.41077 exposes 1.4099 prior low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range

10:30 UTC

Sideways, coiling · RSI 51 · price 1.4115

Consolidation near two-week high.

USDCAD is coiling in a tight range beneath the 1.41260 session high after a dip to the 1.41074 swing low bounced during NY hours. Price is pinned near flat EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range around 51 — no directional edge, holding a two-week-high consolidation into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4106

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4129

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 breaks the range higher
  • Failure to hold 1.41074 opens the 1.41060 range floor
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read

10:16 UTC

Sideways, near two-week high · RSI 49 · price 1.41152

Range-bound consolidation.

USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.4107 and 1.4128 through the London session, holding near a two-week high with RSI(14) flat around 49. Buyers stepped in at 1.4107 into the current bar but supply near 1.4126-1.4128 continues to cap, keeping the pair coiled ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4099, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4128 opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 1.4107 exposes 1.4099 then 1.4060
  • Wed FOMC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way

10:01 UTC

Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.41152

Choppy range, holding mid-range after bounce off session low.

USDCAD ranging 1.4107–1.4128 through the London session, currently mid-range at 1.4115 after a bounce off the 1.41074 session low. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and price hugging EMA20; no setup in play with the pair pinned near two-week highs into Wednesday's FOMC and BoC Summary.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path back toward year's high near 1.4250
  • Loss of 1.41074 session low confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:46 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.41101

Range with lower highs, testing session low.

USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.41284 and rejection at 1.41260, grinding down to a fresh session low near 1.41074 during London hours; RSI(14) cooling into the high 30s. Dollar stays firm above 1.4100 into Wednesday's FOMC, but the intraday leg is lower-highs.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41074 confirms a lower-low and extends the drift
  • Reclaim of 1.41260 negates the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could reset this read

09:31 UTC

Range, recent downward drift · RSI 42 · price 1.41101

Rotating in 1.4107–1.4126, pressing range low.

USDCAD has drifted off the 1.4126 session high back to the 1.4107 range floor, RSI(14) soft near 41 and price below EMA20/50. Rejection capped the move at 1.4126 during the London session; pair now testing the lower edge of a tight intraday range.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4118, 1.4126

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41074 opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.41180 negates the downward drift within the range
  • US Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) and ADP prints could inject two-way volatility this session

09:31 UTC

Rangebound, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 1.41101

Range holding, price probing session lows.

USDCAD ranged 1.4107–1.4128 through the Asian and early London hours before rejecting the 1.4126 swing high and grinding back to session lows near 1.4107. Pair stays heavy above 1.4100 with CAD pressured by soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence; RSI(14) around 40 as momentum leaks lower.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41074 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4100 round number
  • Reclaim of 1.41260 puts the range high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

09:16 UTC

Intraday downdrift, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 1.41086

Rolling over from 1.4126 toward session low.

USDCAD is grinding lower through the London session after the 1.4126 spike failed, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.41074 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price holds above 1.4100 but momentum is fading toward the base of the day's range.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41185, 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41074 confirms a lower low, exposes 1.4100
  • Close above 1.41185 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + BoC Summary 17:30 UTC dominate the next sessions

09:16 UTC

Range, fading toward lows · RSI 40 · price 1.41086

Intraday range, lower highs late session.

USDCAD ranging 1.4099–1.4126 through the session, holding near two-week highs as the USD stays firm and CAD stays heavy on soft oil. Price faded to the lower half in late trade, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 with price back under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.41074, 1.4100, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4099 confirms a lower low and breaks the range base
  • M15 close above 1.4126 reopens the 1.4128 range high
  • BoC Summary and FOMC on Wed can materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.41103

Range fading from top, testing lows.

USD/CAD faded from the 1.41260 session high and is now pressing the 1.41096 session low, price back below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s. Choppy range between 1.41100 and 1.41260 through the London-NY window; sellers capping each push toward 1.41185.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41185, 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41096 opens the 1.41000 round-number pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.41185 would neutralise the fade back toward the 1.41260 session high
  • FOMC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed could materially shift this read

09:03 UTC

Range, drifting lower late session · RSI 41 · price 1.41103

Capped below 1.4126, easing back to lows.

USDCAD held a tight range between 1.41096 and 1.41284 through the session, with supply capping each push toward the 1.4126 session high. Price has since drifted back to the lower edge near 1.4110, RSI(14) around 40 and below both EMAs — no directional break in play.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41096 opens the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.4126 session high needed to revive the upside
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC summary Wed 17:30 UTC are the week's catalysts, not imminent this window

08:47 UTC

Range, slight downward drift · RSI 46 · price 1.41141

Capped at 1.4126, holding above 1.4110.

USDCAD ranging 1.4110–1.4126 through the London morning, repeatedly rejected at the 1.4126 session high after failing at the 1.4128 prior high. RSI(14) sits mid-range with price drifting below EMA20, consistent with the CAD-soft, oil-led bid keeping USDCAD pinned above 1.4100. FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst.

Support: 1.4110, 1.41096

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward 1.4150
  • Failure to hold 1.4110 exposes the 1.4096 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:46 UTC

Range, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 1.41141

Ranging under session high.

USDCAD ranging roughly 1.4110–1.4126 through the London session, drifting lower after tapping the session high at 1.4126. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no momentum extreme; consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4128

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4110 confirms a lower low toward 1.4099 session low
  • Close above 1.4126 session high opens the path to 1.4128
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range

08:31 UTC

Sideways, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41141

Range-bound intraday.

USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4110-1.4126 through Asia into the London session, price hugging both EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 46. CAD stays soft on falling oil, but there is no directional impulse here — a rejection at 1.4126 handed price back to mid-range.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4128 opens a push toward the 1.4250 area
  • Failure to hold 1.4110 exposes 1.4099 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

08:31 UTC

Sideways, low momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41141

Range-bound, mid-range.

USDCAD is ranging 1.4110–1.4126 in the London-NY transition, holding above the 1.4100 pivot with CAD soft on lower oil. Price rejected 1.4126 twice and now sits mid-range near 1.4114, RSI(14) flat around 46 with ATR compressed under 5 pips.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 session high reopens 1.41284 window high
  • Loss of 1.41096 session low exposes the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can break this range

08:17 UTC

Range after intraday grind higher · RSI 46 · price 1.41132

Consolidating below session high 1.4126.

USDCAD ground up through the London session to tag 1.4126 twice before fading back to 1.4113, now sitting just below EMA20/50. RSI(14) neutral near 46; price is boxed between 1.4126 supply and the 1.4110 area with no clean break either way.

Support: 1.41096, 1.41005

Resistance: 1.41265, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the 1.4128 day high
  • Loss of 1.41096 confirms a lower low and shifts the intraday structure lower
  • FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk to this consolidation read

08:16 UTC

Range, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41132

Consolidation between 1.4100 and 1.4126.

USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.4100–1.4126 band, holding above the 1.4000 pivot with CAD soft on lower oil. Price sits mid-range near 1.4113 with RSI(14) flat around 46; no directional structure in play.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41265, 1.4120

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41265 opens the path to the 1.4125 area highlighted in context
  • Loss of 1.41096 exposes the 1.4100 round number below
  • FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this range

08:02 UTC

Sideways, pulling back from intraday high · RSI 47 · price 1.41171

Ranging below session high after rejection.

USDCAD is consolidating around 1.4117 through London hours after twice being rejected near the 1.4126 session high, with the intraday range high at 1.4128 unbroken. RSI(14) is mid-range and price sits just under EMA20/EMA50; CAD stays soft on tariff and oil drag but no fresh driver is in play this window.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the 1.4128 range high
  • loss of 1.4110 exposes the 1.4099 prior low
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC is a minor pre-Fed read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now sideways · RSI 50 · price 1.41171

Range near session highs after grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asian range to 1.41284 before stalling; London hours have kept it boxed between 1.41096 and 1.41265 with CAD staying soft on weaker oil. RSI(14) back to neutral near 50 as the grind flattens into a tight range just under the highs.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41265, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41265 resumes the upside toward 1.41284
  • Break below 1.41096 range floor opens the 1.41000 psych pivot
  • BoC Summary and Fed decision Wed could reshape this read

07:46 UTC

Range, upward drift fading · RSI 44 · price 1.41142

Ranging below session high, pulling back.

London session grinding in a 1.4110–1.4126 range after a rejection at the 1.4126 session high; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price slips back under EMA20/50. CAD stays soft near two-week lows on the oil/tariff drag, but no fresh intraday break in play.

Support: 1.41096, 1.4100, 1.4091

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4128 (prior high) opens the path toward 1.4150
  • Loss of the 1.41096 recent low exposes 1.4100 round number then 1.4091 asia low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:46 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.41142

Intraday range, capped near 1.4126.

USDCAD is ranging 1.4110–1.4126 through the London session, with sellers rejecting the 1.4126 session high and price now pressing the 1.41096 swing low. RSI(14) near 46, price below EMA20/50 — no directional setup while the range holds, consistent with the soft-CAD, capped-near-1.4125 read.

Support: 1.41096, 1.41075

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41096 opens the session low at 1.41075
  • Reclaim of 1.41260 needed to re-test the 1.41284 prior high
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

07:31 UTC

Range, slight downside drift · RSI 44 · price 1.41129

Ranging below 1.4126 session high.

USDCAD faded off the 1.4126 session high into London hours and is drifting back toward the 1.4111 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is holding inside a 1.4111–1.4126 range that caps just under the flagged 1.4125 resistance, no clean break either way.

Support: 1.4111, 1.4091

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path to the 1.41284 prior high
  • Loss of 1.4111 session low exposes 1.4091 window low

07:31 UTC

Sideways after early grind higher · RSI 45 · price 1.41129

Rangebound, fading off session high.

USDCAD ground from 1.4090 up to the 1.41284 day high through the Asian session, then stalled and is now drifting back toward the 1.4113 range low into London hours. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44 — no directional momentum, just consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.4113, 1.4090

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 reopens the 1.41284 day high
  • Loss of 1.4113 exposes the 1.4090 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

07:16 UTC

Sideways after grind higher · RSI 47 · price 1.41155

Consolidation below session high.

USDCAD ground up through London to tag 1.41284 before fading, and NY has stalled into a tight 1.41100-1.41260 consolidation with RSI(14) neutral near 47. The 1.4125 area, flagged as resistance in the CAD read, capped the last push and price is drifting back toward the rising support base.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path higher
  • Failure to hold 1.41100 exposes 1.40990 session low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

07:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.41155

Range after grind higher, capped at session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asian range and topped at 1.41284, now consolidating around 1.4115 in London hours with CAD staying soft on weaker oil. Rejection at the 1.4126 session high stalled the advance; price is holding above the 1.4113 swing low, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 1.4113, 1.4108, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 reopens the path toward 1.41284 day high
  • Failure to hold 1.41130 confirms a lower-low toward 1.41080
  • FOMC Wed and BoC deliberations could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding · RSI 61 · price 1.41239

Higher lows into session highs.

USDCAD grinding higher through London hours, extending a second up-day above 1.4100 as softer oil weighs on CAD. Price pressing recent highs near 1.4124 with RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR around 4.6 pips; 1.41265/1.41284 caps the top.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41265, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the year's high near 1.4250
  • Loss of 1.41107 breaks the higher-low chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Grinding higher, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.41239

Consolidation near session highs.

London morning has USDCAD grinding back toward the session high at 1.41260 after buyers defended 1.41135 through the overnight range. USD stays firm on Fed-BoC divergence and soft oil; move is orderly with ATR only ~5 pips.

Support: 1.41135, 1.41065, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41260 opens the path toward the 1.41284 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.41135 exposes the 1.41065 swing low
  • FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Sideways, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 1.41183

Range-bound, capped below 1.4126.

USDCAD is consolidating in the 1.4113–1.4126 band through the London morning, holding above 1.4100 as softer oil keeps the Loonie pressured. Buyers stepped in around 1.41128 on the last dip; the 1.4126 session high has capped every push, RSI(14) mid-range near 53.

Support: 1.41128, 1.41075

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.4126 opens the path to the 1.41284 day high
  • Failure to hold 1.41128 exposes the 1.41075 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 1.41183

Consolidating near session highs after intraday grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the session from 1.4090 to a 1.41284 high, then stalled and is now consolidating around 1.4118 with soft oil keeping the Loonie capped. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with the earlier upside momentum fading into the session highs.

Support: 1.4113, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.4126 reopens the path to the 1.41284 prior high
  • Loss of 1.4113 swing low exposes the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC minutes 17:30 UTC are the next material drivers

06:32 UTC

Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.41138

Consolidation near session lows after fade from 1.4126.

USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4110-1.4128, holding above the 1.4100 pivot with soft oil underpinning the pair. Price rejected 1.4126 and slipped back to 1.41138, sitting just under EMA20/50 into the London session; no setup in play.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4107

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4110 exposes the 1.4070 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.4126 puts the 1.4128 session high back in play
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk that could reset this range

06:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.41138

Range under session high after failed push.

USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a 1.41284 session high, then faded back to 1.4114 as the 1.4126 swing high capped the move, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is holding above the 1.4100 pivot on soft oil into Wednesday's FOMC, currently ranging 1.4110–1.4126 with no fresh extension.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 reopens the 1.41284 session high
  • Loss of 1.4110 swing low exposes the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Sideways after earlier grind higher · RSI 52 · price 1.41179

Consolidation near session highs.

USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4115–1.4126 band through the Asia session after grinding up from 1.4091, with a rejection off 1.4126 keeping the top capped. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 and price is pinned to its EMAs — no directional impulse into London.

Support: 1.4115, 1.41075

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 range top opens the path toward the year's highs
  • Failure to hold 1.41150 exposes the 1.41075 swing low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 1.41179

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.

USDCAD ground higher through Asian hours to 1.41284 before a spike to 1.41260 in early London was rejected back to 1.4118, with CAD staying soft on the oil/tariff and Fed-BoC divergence read. Price is now consolidating between 1.41150 and the 1.41260 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54.

Support: 1.4115, 1.4109, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41260 opens the path to the 1.41284 prior high
  • Failure to hold 1.41150 exposes the 1.41090 swing low
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

06:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 52 · price 1.41177

Consolidating near session highs.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session to two-week highs before a spike to 1.4126 was rejected back to 1.4117. Now ranging 1.4115–1.4126 into the London open with RSI(14) neutral near 52; CAD stays capped on soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence.

Support: 1.4115, 1.4107, 1.4090

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4128

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the year high near 1.4250
  • Failure to hold 1.4115 exposes the 1.4107 swing low
  • FOMC Wed and BoC Summary Wed are the week's dominant catalysts

06:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.41177

Grind higher capped near 1.4128, now ranging.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session to a 1.41284 high before stalling; London has opened flat, chopping in a 1.41149–1.41265 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52. CAD stays capped near two-week lows as soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence keep the pair supported above 1.4100.

Support: 1.41149, 1.4108, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41265, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4125-area highs
  • Break below 1.41149 opens the 1.4108 prior swing
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone

05:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 49 · price 1.41178

Consolidation under session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session and stalled at 1.4126, twice rejected into the early London hours as CAD stays soft on weaker oil. Price now consolidating around 1.4118 with RSI(14) back near neutral; range confined to 1.4107–1.4126.

Support: 1.4115, 1.4107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4250

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the year high near 1.4250
  • Loss of 1.4107 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg

05:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 1.41178

Consolidating near session highs after a grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the prior sessions from 1.4084 to a 1.41284 day high, then stalled and is now consolidating around 1.4118 in early trade. Supply capped the last push at 1.41260; price is coiling between 1.4110 and 1.4126 with ATR compressed near 5 pips.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.40843

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the year's high area cited near 1.4250
  • Close below 1.41100 breaks the consolidation floor
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

05:31 UTC

Grind higher, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.41218

Higher lows into session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, tagging a session high at 1.4126 before sellers stepped in and pulled it back to 1.4122. Structure holds higher lows above 1.4115; CAD stays soft into the BoC/oil backdrop, RSI cooling from the push.

Support: 1.4115, 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4126 opens the path toward 1.4128 and the 1.4150 area
  • Failure to hold 1.4115 breaks the higher-low sequence
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Consumer Confidence today 14:00 UTC could shift this read

05:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.41218

Higher lows into session-high consolidation.

USDCAD ground higher through the window from 1.4082 to a session high at 1.41284, CAD staying soft on oil and tariff drag. Price now consolidating between 1.41165 and 1.4126 into the Asia-London transition, RSI mid-range.

Support: 1.41165, 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4126, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4250 area
  • Failure to hold 1.41107 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst for this read

05:17 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41259

Series of higher lows, breaking session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the window on the Fed-BoC divergence and soft oil theme, and the last bar spiked back to 1.4126 to retake the session-high area near 1.41284. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 66 — firm but not extreme; the 1.41250 resistance is the level in play.

Support: 1.4115, 1.4100, 1.40817

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • A close above 1.41284 opens room toward the 1.4250 area cited by the digest
  • Failure to hold 1.41150 breaks the higher-low chain
  • BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the near-term catalysts

05:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41259

Higher highs into session high, testing 1.4125 resistance.

Slow grind higher across the window; last bar spiked to 1.4126, reclaiming the 1.4125 resistance flagged as a key cap for the Loonie. CAD stays soft on oil weakness and Fed-BoC divergence, with RSI(14) firm near 64 but not yet stretched.

Support: 1.4115, 1.41107, 1.4106

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 session high opens the path toward the year's high near 1.4250
  • Failure to hold 1.4125 drops price back into the 1.4115 swing-low range
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst

05:03 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.41189

Consolidation near session highs.

USDCAD ground higher through the prior sessions to tag 1.41284 before flattening into a tight 1.4107-1.4128 range, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Loonie stays soft on weaker oil, keeping price pinned above the 1.4100 pivot into the Asia-to-London handover.

Support: 1.4107, 1.4100, 1.4090

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward 1.4150
  • Loss of 1.41070 exposes the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst for the next legs

05:02 UTC

Mild uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.41189

Consolidating near session highs after grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session, peaking at 1.41284 before easing back to consolidate in a tight 1.4115–1.4119 band as London approaches. CAD stayed soft on weaker oil; price holds above the rising intraday support and both EMAs, RSI(14) neutral near 54.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41107 breaks the rising structure and session low
  • Break above 1.41250 resistance / 1.41284 session high resumes the up-leg
  • FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst into midweek

04:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 1.41172

Consolidating near session highs after HH chain.

USDCAD ground higher through London to tag 1.41284 then stalled, now chopping in a tight 1.41107–1.41284 band with RSI(14) neutral near 50. CAD stays soft on lower oil, but price has gone flat into the Asia session with no fresh impulse.

Support: 1.41107, 1.41021, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the higher-high sequence
  • Break below 1.41107 exposes the 1.41000 psych pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst once it approaches

04:46 UTC

Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.41172

Consolidation below session high.

USDCAD faded from the 1.41284 session high and is now consolidating around 1.4117 in the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is holding above the 1.41107 swing low with the 1.41000 psych pivot below; no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41254

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41107 opens the path toward the 1.41000 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.41254 prior high puts the 1.41284 session high back in reach
  • FOMC Wed and BoC deliberations could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.41169

Consolidation below session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the prior sessions to a 1.41284 high, then rejected and settled into an Asia-session consolidation. Price is drifting just under EMA20 near the 23.6% retrace at ~1.4117, holding a rising sequence of lows above 1.41107.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high resumes the uptrend toward 1.4125+
  • Loss of 1.41107 swing low breaks the rising-lows structure and opens 1.4100 psych
  • FOMC Wed and today's US Consumer Confidence could shift this read

04:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.41169

Consolidation below session high.

London-session grind higher off 1.4083 stalled at the 1.41284 session high, with price rejected there and drifting back to 1.4115 through Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move flattens; price is now pinned between the 1.41075 swing low and the session high.

Support: 1.41075, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4150
  • Failure to hold 1.41075 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.4100 psych level
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

04:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.41165

Consolidation below session high.

USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.41284 through the NY-Asia transition and is now consolidating around 1.41165, RSI(14) mid-range. CAD stayed soft on weaker oil despite the broad USD wobble; price is coiling between 1.41107 and the 1.41250-1.41284 supply band with no clean break.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 reopens the path toward the year's high near 1.4250
  • Failure to hold 1.41107 confirms a lower-low and shifts focus to 1.4100
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk that can override this intraday read

04:16 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.41165

Consolidation below session high after pullback.

USDCAD ran up to a 1.41284 session high overnight then faded, now chopping in a tight 1.4111–1.4122 range with price sitting just under the EMAs. CAD stays heavy on softer oil, but momentum has flattened intraday with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41254

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 reopens the path toward 1.4125+ extension
  • Failure to hold 1.41107 confirms a lower-low and range break
  • FOMC Wed and BoC deliberations could reshape this read

04:02 UTC

Uptrend stalling, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.41176

Consolidation below session high after grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a 1.41284 session high, then rolled over and is drifting in Asia around 1.41176, back below EMA20. Price is holding above the 1.41107 session low with RSI(14) near neutral — a tight consolidation, no fresh momentum in either direction.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41107 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
  • Reclaim of 1.41284 session high reopens the upside grind
  • FOMC Wed remains the macro backdrop but is not imminent this session

04:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 1.41176

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

USDCAD ground higher through the session from 1.4080 to a high of 1.41284, then rejected and is now consolidating in a tight 1.4110–1.4128 band with RSI back near neutral. The Loonie stays soft on the oil/tariff drag noted in context; price is holding above EMA50 but has slipped under EMA20 as the push stalls.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high reopens the path toward 1.4125+ extension
  • Loss of 1.41107 session low would confirm a lower-low and break the consolidation
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC are the near-term catalysts for this pair

03:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.41151

Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.

Price ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.41284 before rejecting and drifting back to 1.4115, consolidating just below the 1.4125 resistance flagged in the CAD read. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pair holds a tight 1.4111–1.4125 band into the Asia session.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41107 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.4100 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.41284 reopens the upside from session high
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC deliberations are the dominant near-term catalysts

03:46 UTC

Uptrend stalling, easing off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.41151

Higher highs into 1.4128, now pulling back.

Asia session drifting lower after tagging a session high at 1.41284, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers held near the 1.4110 session low through the pullback; the day's uptrend structure is intact but momentum has flattened.

Support: 1.41107, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.41107 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 1.41284 session high revives the uptrend
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.4114

Pullback from session high, holding above 1.4100.

Steady grind higher through the window peaked at 1.4128 before fading, and price is now consolidating near 1.4114 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s. CAD stayed on the back foot on softer oil, but the pair keeps stalling below the 1.4125 resistance while holding above the 1.4100 pivot.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41258, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4125 opens the path back toward the 1.4128 range high
  • Failure to hold 1.4100 pivot confirms a deeper pullback
  • Canada GDP Fri and Wed FOMC are the near-term catalysts to reprice this range

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.4114

Pullback from session high, holding above 1.4100.

USDCAD rallied through the NY session to a 1.4128 high before fading into Asia, now drifting to 1.4114 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is consolidating under the 1.4125 resistance and holding above the 1.4100 pivot, with sliding oil and tariff overhang keeping the loonie pinned.

Support: 1.4100, 1.4114, 1.4060

Resistance: 1.4125, 1.4128

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4100 pivot flags a deeper pullback toward 1.4060
  • Reclaim of 1.4125 resistance reopens the 1.4128 session high
  • BoC Summary of Deliberations and Canada GDP later this week could shift this read

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 1.41169

Consolidating near highs after HH sequence.

USDCAD climbed steadily through the NY session to a session high at 1.41284, then rolled into a tight Asian-session consolidation around 1.4117 with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s. Loonie stays pinned below 1.4125 as softer oil offsets a soft USD; sub-20 volume into the current bar reflects the quiet Asia range.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4099, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward the mid-1.41s
  • Break below 1.41126 session low flags a lower-low and tests the 1.4099 swing low
  • 1.4125 area — level to watch for rejection or break

03:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 49 · price 1.41169

Consolidating below two-week high.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours to tag 1.41284 before stalling; the loonie stays pressured by softer oil and tariff overhang. Price is now drifting sideways around 1.4117 on thin late-session volume, holding above the 1.41126 swing low with 1.4125 capping.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.4125 reopens the 1.41284 session high
  • Failure to hold 1.41126 exposes the 1.4100 pivot
  • Canada GDP Thu could shift the loonie read

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 1.41159

Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a 1.41284 session high before rejecting, RSI cooling back toward neutral as the loonie stays pressured on softer oil. Now consolidating around 1.4116 in thin early-Asia trade, holding above the rising intraday support.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41126 exposes the 1.4100 pivot
  • Break above 1.41284 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • Thin Asia liquidity — small moves may be unreliable

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.41159

Higher highs into 1.4128, now lower high and pullback.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.41284 before rejecting; the loonie stayed pressured on softer oil and tariff overhang, keeping the pair pinned above 1.4100. Price is now drifting in the Asia session around 1.4116, holding above the 1.41126 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4106

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41258

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high resumes the uptrend
  • Loss of 1.41126 session low opens the path toward the 1.4106 pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:47 UTC

Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.41202

Consolidation near session highs after NY push.

USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to tag 1.41284, then rolled into a tight Asian-session range around 1.4118-1.4125 on thinning volume. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and price sits on EMA20; the earlier grind from 1.4077 reflects a soft oil / bid-USD backdrop keeping the pair pinned above 1.4100.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high extends the move toward the mid-1.41s
  • Failure to hold the 1.4110-1.41126 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4100 pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 53 · price 1.41202

Higher highs into 1.4128, now ranging.

Asia session pushed to a session high of 1.41284 then faded, leaving USDCAD ranging 1.4116–1.4128 just below the 1.4125 resistance the loonie keeps stalling against. Softer oil kept CAD heavy but the advance has stalled, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral around 53.

Support: 1.41165, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward mid-1.41s
  • Break below 1.41165 opens the 1.4100 pivot
  • FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri could reshape this read

02:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.41205

Consolidation below session high.

USDCAD is consolidating just under the 1.4128 session high after a steady grind up from 1.4076 through the London-NY session. Rejection near 1.4128 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s; Asia-hours range holding between 1.4116 and 1.4128.

Support: 1.4116, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the mid-1.41s
  • Failure to hold 1.4116 exposes the 1.4100 pivot
  • FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri are the week's structural catalysts

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 52 · price 1.41205

Consolidating below session high after grind up.

USDCAD ground higher through the prior London-NY session to a 1.41284 session high before stalling; Asia is coiling in a tight 1.4113-1.4128 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52. CAD stays heavy on softer oil while USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4103, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high opens the path to the mid-1.41s
  • Loss of 1.41126 ny low breaks the consolidation lower
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 1.41181

Higher highs stalling below 1.4128.

USDCAD ground higher through the NY-Asia handover, tagging a session high at 1.41284 before fading to 1.4116, with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. The pair remains pinned above the 1.4100 pivot as softer oil and tariff overhang keep the loonie on the back foot.

Support: 1.4116, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 extends the uptrend toward the mid-1.41s
  • Failure to hold the 1.41160 swing low opens 1.4100 psych
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 1.41181

Higher highs into consolidation near session top.

USDCAD climbed steadily through London and NY from 1.4075 to a session high at 1.41284, keeping the pair pinned above the 1.4100 pivot on soft oil and tariff overhang. Price has since drifted back to 1.4118 in Asia hours with RSI(14) neutral near 50; consolidation just under the highs, no fresh impulse.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 reopens the mid-1.41s
  • Loss of 1.41126 exposes the 1.4100 pivot
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 51 · price 1.41195

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

USDCAD ground higher through the window from 1.4075 to a session high at 1.41284 before rejecting, keeping the pair pinned above the 1.4100 pivot as softer oil weighs on CAD. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the pullback to 1.41126; price now hovers just under EMA20 near 1.41195.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.4125 resistance opens the path to the mid-1.41s
  • Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot confirms a lower-low
  • FOMC Wed and Canada GDP Fri sit outside this window but frame the broader range

02:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 1.41195

HH/HL chain stalling below session high.

USDCAD ground higher through London/NY to a session high at 1.41284 before fading, with the loonie pressured by softer oil and tariff overhang. Asia hours are now consolidating around 1.4120, RSI(14) cooled back near neutral after the pullback off the high.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.41284 session high resumes the uptrend
  • Loss of 1.41126 swing low opens the 1.4100 pivot
  • FOMC Wed and BoC deliberations mid-week could reset this read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.41211

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, peaking at 1.41284 before rejection dragged it back to the 1.41126 swing low; oil weakness and Fed-BoC divergence underpinned the grind. Now consolidating near 1.4121 in the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral around 52 with price pinned at EMA20.

Support: 1.41126, 1.41003

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41254

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4125+
  • Break below 1.41126 confirms a lower-low and stalls the grind
  • FOMC Wed and BoC deliberations could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 51 · price 1.41211

Consolidating near session highs after NY rally.

USDCAD ground higher through NY hours, peaking at 1.41284 before rejection stalled the move; CAD stays heavy near two-week highs on soft oil. Asia session is consolidating around 1.4120 — a dip tagged the 1.41126 session low and recovered, keeping the range intact.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4124

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 reopens the upside toward the year-high area
  • Loss of 1.41126 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
  • 1.4100 psych level is the next support if the pullback extends

01:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 46 · price 1.41173

Higher highs, pulling back from session high.

Steady M15 uptrend from 1.4070 through the London-NY hours, topping at 1.41284 before rejection trimmed price back to 1.41173. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and Asia is now easing below EMA20, with CAD staying pressured by soft oil.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41254

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41126 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
  • Reclaim of 1.41284 session high reopens the path higher
  • FOMC Wed and BoC Summary could materially shift this read

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.41173

HH/HL chain broken by pullback off session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session toward 1.41284 before rejecting into the Asia session, now easing to 1.41173 with RSI(14) cooling near 46. CAD stayed heavy on soft oil, but the intraday climb has stalled and price is holding just above the 1.41126 swing low.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41259

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.41126 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.4100
  • Reclaim of 1.41284 resumes the intraday uptrend
  • BoC Summary and FOMC on Wed could reset this range

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 1.4117

HH/HL chain, pullback from session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY hours on CAD weakness (soft oil, tariff overhang) to a session high at 1.4128, then the Asian session pulled it back to 1.4117 after rejection at that high. Still holding above the 1.4110 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the advance stalls.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4108, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.4110 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
  • Reclaim of 1.4128 reopens the path toward the 1.4250 high area
  • BoC Summary Wed and FOMC statement could materially shift this read

01:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.4117

Consolidating near session highs after intraday climb.

USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.41284 session high on continued CAD softness (weak oil, tariff backdrop), then rejected and eased back to 1.4117 as the Asia session took over on thin volume. Price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral; ranging near the highs, no fresh impulse in play.

Support: 1.41126, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41259

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.41126 recent low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
  • M15 close above 1.41284 session high reopens the upside
  • BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.41164

Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.

USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, pinned near two-week highs on soft oil, tagging a session high at 1.41284 before rejecting back to 1.41164. Pullback has dipped price under the EMA20/50 cluster into the Asian session, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s off the highs.

Support: 1.41075, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.41250 revives the push toward the 1.41284 session high
  • Loss of 1.41075 swing low breaks the rising-support sequence
  • BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could reshape this read

01:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 1.41164

HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high of 1.41284, in line with CAD sitting near two-week lows on soft oil and tariff pressure. Price has since rejected that high and drifted back to 1.41164 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) cooling to the midline and price slipping under EMA20/50.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4106, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41254

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward the year-high area
  • Failure to hold 1.41100 psych opens 1.41060
  • BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.41221

Higher highs, consolidating near session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the session on soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence, tagging a session high at 1.41284 before stalling. Last few bars are coiling tightly above 1.4118 on thin Asia-hours volume, RSI(14) mid-range — no fresh push.

Support: 1.4118, 1.4108, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41259

What it said to watch

  • Break above 1.41284 session high extends the uptrend toward 1.4125+ zone
  • Loss of 1.41180 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
  • BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could shift this read

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.41221

Higher highs, consolidating near session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the window as soft oil kept CAD on the back foot, tagging a session high at 1.41284 before stalling. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.41195–1.41284 band above the 1.4100 psych level, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.

Support: 1.41195, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41259

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path to the year's high area
  • Loss of 1.41195 breaks the rising support and signals a lower low
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC deliberations could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 1.41239

Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.

USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY sessions, printing a steady chain of higher lows as CAD stayed on the back foot on soft oil. Price now stalls in a tight 1.4120-1.4128 band during thin Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range and volume drying up.

Support: 1.4120, 1.41076, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4150

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path to the 1.4150 psych level
  • Loss of 1.41200 breaks the intraday higher-low chain toward 1.4099
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 1.41239

Higher highs, higher lows into Asian session.

USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session and into Asia, holding two-week highs above 1.4100 as soft oil pressures CAD despite a broadly softer USD. Rally stalled at 1.41284; low-volume Asian bars are consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling near 59.

Support: 1.41195, 1.4110, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41259

What it said to watch

  • Break and hold above 1.41284 extends the uptrend
  • Loss of 1.41195 swing low breaks the rising structure
  • BoC Summary Wed and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 1.41269

HH/HL chain, consolidating at highs.

USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window and is pressing the session high at 1.41284, CAD soft on weak oil ahead of the Fed. Asia hours have gone tight, consolidating 1.4120-1.4128 on thin volume with RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 1.41195, 1.4108, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward 1.4150
  • Failure to hold 1.41195 breaks the intraday HL chain
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can reset this read

00:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 1.41269

Higher highs into session high, grinding flat.

USDCAD ground higher through the session to a fresh session high at 1.41284, CAD staying soft on weak oil and tariff pressure. Volume thinned into the Asian hours and price is now drifting flat near the highs, RSI(14) around 63.

Support: 1.4119, 1.4110, 1.4100

Resistance: 1.41284

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.41284 extends the intraday advance
  • Loss of 1.41190 consol base opens 1.41100
  • FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC deliberations could reset this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 57 · price 1.41257

Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.

USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on soft oil and a weak CAD tape, printing a session high at 1.41259 before stalling. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4119-1.4126 band through quiet Asia hours, RSI cooling from earlier highs.

Support: 1.4119, 1.41076, 1.4099

Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
  • Failure to hold 1.4119 opens a pullback to the 1.41076 swing low
  • FOMC and BoC Summary Wed could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.41257

Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.

USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing 1.4100 as CAD stayed pressured for a second day on soft oil despite a broadly softer USD. Price now stalling just under the 1.41259 session high in thin Asia hours, RSI cooling from the push and momentum flattening.

Support: 1.4110, 1.4099, 1.40808

Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4130

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.41259 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
  • Failure to hold 1.4110 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
  • BoC Summary Wed and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read

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