NY session drove an impulsive breakout from 0.78505 up to 0.78846, then faded into a tight consolidation between 0.78586 and 0.78676 through the Asia handover. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near 54, price drifting sideways just under the micro high.
Support: 0.78586, 0.78505, 0.78364
Resistance: 0.78676, 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78676 micro high reopens 0.78745 session high
Loss of 0.78586 swing low breaks the consolidation and exposes the 0.78505 breakout base
Asia session is thin; structure may only resolve into the London open
23:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.78648
Higher highs into 0.7884, pullback holding above 0.7860.
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 0.7835 base up to 0.78846, with the FXStreet 'bullish piercing' note flagged into the move. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.7858–0.7870 range during Asia, RSI(14) reverted to neutral 52 and ATR cooling to ~19 pips.
Support: 0.78576, 0.78435, 0.78202
Resistance: 0.78697, 0.78846
What it said to watch
Asia close above 0.78697 reopens the session high at 0.78846
Loss of 0.78576 session low signals breakout exhaustion toward the 0.78435 base
Low-tier Asia calendar only; thin liquidity could exaggerate either break
Impulse leg followed by consolidation under session high.
NY session drove a sharp impulse from 0.7836 to 0.7884 before fading back to consolidate above the 0.7858 breakout base. Price is now coiling in a tight 20-pip range under the session high at 0.7875 as Asia opens, with RSI cooling back to neutral.
Support: 0.7858, 0.7844, 0.7829
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.7884
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78580 session low opens path back to the 0.78440 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78750 session high reopens 0.78840 intraday high
Thin Asia liquidity may produce false breaks either side of the range
NY session breakout above prior range, now consolidating below 0.7880 high.
NY session drove a sharp break out of the 0.7830 range up to 0.78830, then faded into a tight consolidation around 0.7866 through the late US hours. Price is holding above the breakout base near 0.7844 with RSI mid-range; session low at 0.7858 is the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.7858, 0.7844, 0.7830
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.7883
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78580 puts the breakout base at 0.78440 back in play
Reclaim of 0.78750 reopens session high at 0.78830
Higher highs into 0.7884, pullback holding above 0.7860.
NY session drove a sharp impulse from 0.7836 to 0.7884, with price now consolidating in a tight 0.7860–0.7867 range into the late-NY hours. Pullback held the breakout base near 0.7860 and RSI(14) has reset to neutral; structure remains constructive while that shelf holds.
Support: 0.7861, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78845
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7860 breaks the pullback low and opens 0.7850
Reclaim of 0.7874 reopens the session high at 0.7884
Thin late-session liquidity may exaggerate moves on any headline
Impulsive NY leg followed by sideways consolidation near highs.
USDCHF broke out of the 0.7830s range during NY hours with a clean impulse to 0.78846, then settled into a tight consolidation between 0.78598 and 0.78745 into the late session. RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s after the push; price still holding above the breakout base at 0.78505.
Support: 0.78598, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.78505 breakout base would invalidate the breakout read
Sustained acceptance above 0.78745 session high opens the path to 0.78846 swing high
Thin late-session liquidity — moves through the prior pivot at 0.78360 would mark a deeper retrace
Impulse leg, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped USDCHF off the 0.7836 base into a 0.7883 session high, with the bulk of the move printed in a single impulsive 15-min candle on heavy flow. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation between 0.7858 and 0.7867, RSI cooling back to the mid-50s after stretching into overbought during the breakout.
Support: 0.7858, 0.7842, 0.7830
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.7883
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78750 reopens the path to the 0.78830 session high
M15 close below 0.78580 breaks the post-impulse range and signals a deeper retrace toward the 0.78420 breakout base
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves into the close
22:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 0.78617
NY session breakout, pullback in progress.
NY session ripped through 0.7850 to print a session high at 0.78846 before fading back into the 0.7860s, where price has flattened out into late hours. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the low-50s as the pullback consolidates above the breakout base at 0.78505.
Support: 0.78576, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78686, 0.78748, 0.78846
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.78576 session low opens a deeper retrace toward the 0.78505 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78686 intraday pivot would re-expose the 0.78748 session high
Asia session thin liquidity may produce false break around the current range
Impulsive NY rally, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove an impulsive break from 0.7844 up to the 0.78846 session high, with FXStreet flagging a bullish setup eyeing 0.79. Price has since cooled into a tight range between 0.7858 and 0.7872, RSI(14) back to neutral after stretching toward 75 at the highs.
Support: 0.78576, 0.7844, 0.7834
Resistance: 0.7872, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78576 recent low opens path back to the 0.7844 breakout area
Reclaim of 0.78846 session high would extend the NY impulse
Asia session in early hours — thin liquidity may keep range compressed
NY pop into 0.7884 then mean-revert; consolidating mid-range.
NY session ripped USDCHF from 0.7836 to a 0.7884 session high before sellers faded the move back into the 0.7860s. Price now coiling above the 0.78435 breakout base with RSI back at 48 — momentum spent, no fresh directional read in play.
Support: 0.78576, 0.78435, 0.78287
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78576 session low opens a retest of the 0.78435 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78745 mini high puts the 0.78846 session high back in scope
Asia session liquidity thin — drift inside 0.7858–0.7870 likely until London
Higher highs into NY session, pulling back from session high.
London session drove a sharp breakout from 0.78435 up to 0.78846 spike high, with price now consolidating around 0.7861 after pulling back from the 0.78745 session high. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into mid-range as the NY session winds down; intraday structure remains constructive while 0.78505 breakout base holds.
Support: 0.78571, 0.78505, 0.78435
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78505 breakout base would invalidate the intraday uptrend read
Reclaim of 0.78745 session high opens path back to 0.78846 spike high
Asia session opens in ~3h, low-tier calendar only per news flow
NY session triggered an impulsive breakout from the 0.78380–0.78505 range, tagging 0.78846 before sellers faded the spike high. Price is now consolidating in the upper half of the move, holding the intraday pivot at 0.78610 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought back to mid-50s.
Support: 0.7861, 0.78505, 0.7838
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.78846
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.78505 breakout base would invalidate the breakout read
Reclaim of 0.78750 session high reopens the path to the 0.78846 spike high
Asia session thin liquidity may extend the consolidation
NY session impulse from 0.7836, range rotation between 0.7858–0.7884.
NY session ripped from 0.7836 to 0.7884 in three impulsive bars before fading back to 0.7858; price is now consolidating just under intraday high at 0.7874. RSI(14) reset from overbought into mid-50s as the breakout base around 0.7850 held on the pullback.
Support: 0.78614, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78846 session high reopens the upside extension
Loss of 0.78614 session low signals failed breakout and reversion toward 0.78505 breakout base
Asia session typically thin — expect tighter range until Tokyo open
NY session ripped from 0.7836 to 0.7883 in a sharp impulse, then faded into a tight consolidation around 0.7864 as the session wound down. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.7861 after the pullback, holding the breakout level while RSI cools mid-range.
Support: 0.7861, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.7883
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78610 intraday base opens path back to 0.78505 breakout lvl
Reclaim of 0.78750 session high reopens the 0.78830 spike high
Asia session thin liquidity may extend the consolidation
NY session ripped USDCHF out of an Asian-range consolidation around 0.7840, driving a clean breakout to a session high at 0.7884 before sellers stepped in. Price has since faded back to 0.7858 and is coiling in a tight range, with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the impulse.
Support: 0.78586, 0.78505, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78586 session low opens path back to 0.78505 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78745 mid pivot would re-engage the session high at 0.78846
Asia calendar light per news flow — limited catalyst risk into next session
NY spike followed by sideways drift below session high.
NY session ripped USDCHF from 0.7836 to a 0.7884 session high on fading US-Iran deal hopes, then faded back into a tight 0.7858–0.7875 range over the last few hours. Price is drifting sideways just under the intraday high at 0.78745 with RSI cooling off the post-spike extreme.
Support: 0.78505, 0.7834
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the breakout base at 0.78505 would unwind the NY breakout
Reclaim of 0.78745 intraday high opens path back to the 0.78846 session high
Headline risk around Iran/Hezbollah negotiations remains the dominant driver
Higher highs into NY, pullback from 0.7884 swing high.
USDCHF gapped higher into the NY session on fading US-Iran deal hopes, ripping from 0.7843 to a 0.7884 session high before sellers capped. Price is now consolidating in a 0.7858–0.7674 range with RSI back near 50 after the impulsive leg.
Support: 0.78586, 0.78435, 0.7830
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78586 session low opens path back to 0.78435 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78745 intraday high reopens 0.78846 session high
Headline risk around US-Iran / Israel-Hezbollah talks could materially shift this read
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.7864
Higher highs into rejection, pullback off session high.
USDCHF broke higher through 0.78505 into NY hours on the stronger ISM print, tagging 0.78846 before sellers stepped in. Price has since consolidated between the session low at 0.78580 and the session high at 0.78745, RSI cooling back to neutral after the impulse.
Support: 0.7858, 0.78505, 0.7832
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78745 reopens the spike high at 0.78846
Loss of 0.78580 session low exposes the 0.78505 breakout base
Headline risk around US-Iran / Hezbollah commentary could shift USD tone
19:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 54 · price 0.78649
Higher highs into 0.7884 spike, now consolidating below.
NY session ripped USDCHF from 0.7836 to 0.7884 on the ISM beat and fading US-Iran deal hopes, with price now drifting sideways in a 0.7858–0.7875 range into the European close. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-50s after the breakout, structure remains constructive while 0.7858 holds.
Support: 0.7858, 0.7844, 0.7831
Resistance: 0.7875, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7858 recent low opens a deeper retrace toward the 0.7844 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.7875 session high puts the 0.7884 NY high back in play
Headlines on US-Iran or Hezbollah remain the dominant intraday driver
19:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after NY spike · RSI 56 · price 0.78626
Higher highs into 0.7884 sweep, pulling back.
NY session ripped through 0.7845 on the better-than-expected US ISM print, tagging 0.78846 before sellers faded the move. Price now consolidating mid-range around 0.7862, holding above the breakout base at 0.78450 with RSI cooling back to neutral.
Support: 0.78571, 0.7845, 0.78338
Resistance: 0.78748, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 0.78450 invalidates the breakout read
Reclaim of 0.78748 reopens the session high at 0.78846
Headline risk from Iran/Hezbollah commentary could whip USD intraday
18:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 54 · price 0.78634
Higher highs into 0.7884, pullback to 0.7860s.
NY session ISM beat at 54 triggered a sharp impulsive leg from 0.7836 to the session high at 0.7884, with price now consolidating in the 0.7860s after the breakout base at 0.7845. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral from overbought as the move digests; session low at 0.7858 is the pivot for whether the pullback holds.
Support: 0.78578, 0.7845, 0.7836
Resistance: 0.78748, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7858 session low opens room back to the 0.7845 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.7875 puts the session high at 0.7884 back in play
Headline-driven move on US-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah developments could override structure
Higher highs into NY, pullback from 0.7884 swing high.
USDCHF broke out during NY hours from the 0.7843 base to a session high at 0.7884, lifted by the stronger ISM print and fading US-Iran de-escalation hopes. Price has since faded back to 0.7861, holding above the 0.78505 breakout base with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range.
Support: 0.78571, 0.78505, 0.78435
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78505 breakout base negates the intraday uptrend read
Reclaim of 0.78745 swing high reopens path toward session high at 0.78846
Further Middle East headlines (Iran/Hezbollah) could materially shift this read
18:15 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.78612
Higher highs into 0.7884, now retracing.
NY session ripped USDCHF higher off 0.7836 into 0.7884 on the Iran-Lebanon headlines and a hot ISM print, then stalled and rolled back to the breakout base near 0.7857. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s with price now sitting below EMA20, momentum fading after the impulse.
Support: 0.78571, 0.78435, 0.7834
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78435 breakout base would negate the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 0.78745 swing high reopens path to session high 0.78846
Headline risk around US-Iran/Hezbollah talks remains the dominant driver
Impulsive NY leg, now consolidating below session high.
USDCHF ripped higher into NY hours, breaking through 0.78450 on the ISM Manufacturing beat and fading US-Iran deal hopes, tagging a session high at 0.78846. Price has since rolled into consolidation between the session low at 0.78580 and 0.78740, RSI cooling from overbought back to mid-range.
Support: 0.7858, 0.7845, 0.7834
Resistance: 0.7874, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78580 session low opens path back to the 0.78450 breakout zone
Reclaim of 0.78740 puts the 0.78846 session high back in play
Headline risk from ongoing Iran/Hezbollah developments could override structure
USDCHF broke out during NY hours from 0.78400 to a session high at 0.78846 on the ISM beat and fading US-Iran deal hopes, before fading back to 0.78625. Price now consolidating above the breakout base, holding the swing low at 0.78617.
Support: 0.78617, 0.7840, 0.7828
Resistance: 0.78745, 0.78846
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78617 swing low opens path back to the 0.78400 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.78745 session high would resume the intraday uptrend toward the 0.78846 NY high