USDCHF trended lower through NY, printing a 0.77953 spike low on the Trump-Iran headline volatility and a session low at 0.77996. Late NY is grinding back toward 0.78167 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; structure remains lower-highs until 0.78254 gives way.
Support: 0.77996, 0.78013
Resistance: 0.78167, 0.78254, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78254 prior swing breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.77996 session low extends the downtrend
Headline risk around US-Iran negotiations remains live and could whip CHF
USDCHF sold off through the NY session after a sweep of 0.78254 was rejected, with a sharp spike low to 0.77953 on Trump's Iran headlines before stabilising. Price is grinding lower again, last printing 0.78093 just above the session low at 0.77997.
Support: 0.77997, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78167, 0.78254, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78167 micro pivot would stall the downtrend read
Further Iran-deal headlines could drive another volatility spike
20:15 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into NY close · RSI 28 · price 0.78049
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
USDCHF slid through the NY session after a sharp sweep down to 0.77953 on Trump-Iran headlines, with sellers reasserting on the retest of 0.78254 and pressing to fresh session lows at 0.77997. RSI(14) at 28 reflects stretched downside, but structure is clean lower highs and price is closing on the lows.
Support: 0.77997, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78167, 0.78254, 0.78344
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78167 micro pivot would stall the downtrend read
Loss of 0.77953 spike low extends the breakout lower
Further Iran headlines remain the dominant driver into Asia
Pair broke down through 0.7820 during NY hours after Trump's Iran/Hormuz headlines and printed a fresh session low at 0.77997, with RSI(14) sub-32. Each retest of 0.78167 has been sold; price is hugging the lows into the close.
Support: 0.77997, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78167, 0.78254, 0.78405
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78167 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained break of 0.77953 spike low extends the downside leg
Further US-Iran headline flow could materially shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.7847 session high during NY hours, breaking the 0.7810 floor and printing fresh session lows at 0.77997. Iran-deal headlines drove a 30-pip spike low to 0.77953 before partial recovery; price now drifting at the lows with RSI(14) at 31.
Support: 0.77997, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7811, 0.78254, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78110 prior swing would neutralise the downside read
Sustained break of 0.77953 spike low extends the lower-low sequence
Further Iran headline flow remains the dominant catalyst
19:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 27 · price 0.78021
Lower highs, lower lows after sweep.
NY session sold USDCHF through 0.78100 support after a sharp spike-and-reverse from 0.78282 down to 0.77953 mid-session, with price now pinned at the session low 0.78013. RSI(14) at 27 flags oversold but the lower-high chain is intact and no rejection wick has formed yet.
Support: 0.78013, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78167, 0.78254, 0.78282
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78167 micro high would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained trade below 0.78013 session low extends the leg toward the 0.77953 spike low
Headline risk around US-Iran developments could whip the read in either direction
NY session swept down to 0.77953 on the Trump-Iran headline spike, then recovered into a 0.7810–0.7825 range with sellers capping at 0.78210 rejection. Price probing the session low again at 0.7810; RSI(14) near 38, no extreme.
Support: 0.78061, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7821, 0.78254, 0.7832
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78061 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Reclaim above 0.78254 swing high invalidates the lower-high structure
Iran-US headline risk remains live and can override structure intra-bar
USDCHF sold off through the NY session after a spike low to 0.77953 swept stops, with price now basing in a tight 0.7809–0.7821 range. Lower highs since the sweep and price below both EMAs keep the M15 read heavy, though RSI(14) at 38 shows momentum is no longer extending.
Support: 0.78097, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7821, 0.78254, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78210 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.78097 session low reopens the 0.77953 sweep low
Iran-US headline flow remains a wildcard for CHF safe-haven flows
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.78471 to a 0.77953 spike low on a sharp impulse around the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, then reclaimed to chop between 0.78099 and 0.78254. Price now consolidates near 0.78135 with RSI(14) at 42, sellers capping at the recent high while buyers defend the session low.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78254, 0.78445, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78099 reopens the spike low at 0.77953
Reclaim above 0.78254 recent high challenges the NY session high at 0.78445
Further US-Iran headline flow could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp leg lower with a sweep of 0.7795 on the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, then reclaimed 0.7815. Price is now consolidating just under 0.78250 supply with RSI(14) back near neutral after the spike low.
Support: 0.7810, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7835, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78250 opens path back to 0.78350 supply
Loss of 0.78100 reopens 0.77953 sweep low
Further US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read
Lower high then sharp flush, bouncing off intraday low.
NY session sold off from 0.78471 into a flush low of 0.77953 on the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, then snapped back to mid-range. Price now grinding higher off the session low with RSI(14) reclaiming 47; post-spike high at 0.78282 is the level to clear.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953, 0.7818
Resistance: 0.78282, 0.78471, 0.78405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78282 opens path back to 0.78405
Failure to hold 0.78099 reopens the spike low at 0.77953
Headline-driven tape: further US-Iran developments can override structure
18:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 0.78249
Lower high at 0.7847, swept low at 0.7795.
NY session sold off from 0.7847 down to a 0.7795 spike low on the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, then recovered to 0.7825. Price is now grinding back to the 0.7828 micro pivot with RSI(14) at 43 — choppy post-news stabilisation, no clean structure.
Support: 0.7811, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7828, 0.78471, 0.7834
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7828 micro pivot opens path back to the 0.7847 NY high
Failure to hold 0.7811 session low re-exposes the 0.7795 spike low
Further Iran/Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read
NY session sold USDCHF from 0.7847 down to a 0.77953 sweep low on the Trump Hormuz blockade headline, then snapped back to 0.7818. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7810–0.7820 band, RSI(14) at 41 recovering from oversold. Spike low at 0.77953 left a clear wick below 0.7810 with no follow-through.
Support: 0.7810, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.78445, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78100 reopens the spike low at 0.77953
Reclaim of 0.78250 post-spike high would neutralise the NY downside
Further US-Iran headline flow could materially shift this read
NY session printed a sharp downside spike to 0.77953 before snapping back to 0.78245, then price rolled over again into a tight 0.78099–0.78201 range. Headlines around Trump's Hormuz blockade-lift announcement coincided with the volatility; M15 now consolidating just below the session high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78201, 0.78282, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78201 session high reopens 0.78282 pre-drop high
Break of 0.78099 swing low reopens the 0.77953 spike low
Further Iran-related headlines could repeat the spike behaviour
Lower highs into fresh session low, bounce attempt.
NY session drove USDCHF from 0.7847 down to a 0.77953 spike low after Trump's naval blockade lift headline, with price now consolidating around 0.7813. RSI(14) at 38 recovering from oversold, ATR elevated at ~5 pips reflecting the headline-driven volatility.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78201, 0.78282, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78201 recent high would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.78099 session low reopens 0.77953 spike low
Further US-Iran headlines remain the dominant driver
NY session broke the 0.7837–0.7847 range to the downside, with a sharp sweep down to 0.77953 on Trump's naval-blockade headline before snapping back. Price has since stabilised under 0.7820, printing lower highs around 0.7820 and basing near 0.7813, RSI(14) at 38.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7820, 0.78282, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78200 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.78099 session low reopens the spike low at 0.77953
Further US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read given the earlier 30-pip spike
Lower highs into NY session, sweep low at 0.77953.
NY session sold the pair from 0.78470 down through 0.78200, with a sharp spike low to 0.77953 on Trump's naval-blockade-lift headline before snapping back. Price now consolidating around 0.78150 under prior swing resistance at 0.78200, RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.7810, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7820, 0.7828, 0.7847
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78200 negates the lower-high structure
Break below 0.78100 reopens the 0.77953 sweep low
Headline-driven volatility around Iran/US developments remains the dominant driver
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.78280 swing and spiking to 0.77953 on the Trump naval blockade headline before recovering to 0.78174. Price is consolidating just below the 0.78200 intraday pivot with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; sellers still defining structure with lower highs.
Support: 0.7810, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7820, 0.7828, 0.78445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78200 intraday pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.78100 session low reopens the 0.77953 spike low
Further Iran/US headlines could drive an outsized move given ATR of ~5 pips
16:15 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 0.78108
Lower highs into NY session, range break.
USDCHF broke down out of the 0.7830–0.7845 NY range on the Trump naval-blockade headline, printing a sharp wick low at 0.77953 before stabilising near 0.7811. Price is trading well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 34, and the broken 0.7825 shelf is now acting as resistance.
Support: 0.78099, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7834, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78250 broken shelf would neutralise the range break
Failure to hold 0.78099 session low opens room toward the 0.77953 spike low
Further Iran/Trump headlines could materially shift this read
16:00 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 0.78108
Lower highs, lower lows after NY break.
USDCHF broke down through the Asian/London range floor near 0.7820 during NY hours, with a sharp spike low to 0.77953 on the Trump naval-blockade headline before a quick rebound. Price is now consolidating around 0.7810–0.7820 under the rejection zone, structure firmly bearish on lower highs.
Support: 0.78081, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.78201, 0.78282, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78201 negates the breakout and reopens 0.78282
Failure to hold 0.78081 confirms continuation toward the 0.77953 spike low
Headline risk elevated on Iran/US developments — can override structure
USDCHF broke down through 0.78200 during NY hours after Trump headlines on lifting the naval blockade weighed on the dollar, printing a spike low at 0.77953 before recovering. Price now consolidating just under 0.78200 with RSI(14) around 34, lower highs intact since the 0.78445 intraday top.
Support: 0.7810, 0.77953
Resistance: 0.7820, 0.78282, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78200 prior pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 0.78100 session low re-opens 0.77953 spike low
Headline risk around Iran/Hormuz developments could shift this read quickly
15:30 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into NY · RSI 38 · price 0.78172
Lower highs, fresh session low swept.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours, breaking the 0.78180 floor and spiking to 0.77953 on the Trump naval-blockade headline before snapping back. Price now sits at 0.78172, mid-range between the session low and the 0.78245 rebound high, with RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
Support: 0.77953, 0.78099
Resistance: 0.78245, 0.7832, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78245 rebound high would neutralise the NY downside impulse
Close back below 0.78099 swing low reopens the 0.77953 session low
Further Iran/Hormuz headlines remain the dominant intraday driver
15:15 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY selloff · RSI 34 · price 0.78175
Lower highs, fresh swing low printed.
NY session broke the 0.7818 floor and spiked down to 0.77953 before snapping back to 0.7818 on heavy volume — classic sweep then reclaim. Price now consolidating around 0.7817, RSI(14) lifting off oversold but EMAs still capping above at 0.7825-0.7832.
Support: 0.77953, 0.78099
Resistance: 0.78254, 0.7832, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.78254 would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 0.77953 swing low confirms continuation lower
NY session sold USDCHF through the 0.7820 swing low with a sharp wick to 0.77953 before snapping back to 0.78175. RSI(14) at 34 after tagging oversold; price now hanging below both EMAs with the session low untested on the recovery.
Support: 0.77953, 0.7810
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7838, 0.78471
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78250 bounce high would neutralise the breakdown read
M15 close back under 0.78100 swing low reopens the 0.77953 sweep zone
Fed commentary on stalled inflation progress keeps USD headline risk live
14:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 0.78204
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking session range.
NY session sold USDCHF through the 0.78250 shelf into a fresh session low at 0.78099, accelerating after dovish-leaning US data and Fed commentary on stalled inflation progress. Small bounce off the lows printing into 0.78204 with RSI lifting off oversold, but structure remains lower highs / lower lows.
Support: 0.78099, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7832, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78250 broken shelf would neutralise the fresh lower-low read
Break of 0.78099 session low extends the leg toward the 0.78000 round number
Late NY hour — liquidity thinning, expect choppier follow-through
USDCHF broke the 0.78180 NY base on the back of Bowman/Paulson dovish-leaning inflation commentary and weak US wholesale inventories, printing fresh session lows at 0.78099. Price is now retesting the broken 0.78180–0.78200 area from below with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 27.
Support: 0.78099, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7834, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78250 micro pivot would neutralise the breakout read
Acceptance below 0.78099 session low opens the path to the 0.78000 psych handle
Further dovish Fed commentary could extend the downside leg
14:15 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into NY · RSI 28 · price 0.78148
Lower highs, lower lows from 0.7848.
NY session has driven a clean leg lower from 0.7847, breaking the 0.7829 shelf and printing fresh session low at 0.78099 with RSI(14) at 28. Soft German CPI and weaker US wholesale inventories framed the slide; sellers stepping in on every retest of 0.7821.
Support: 0.78099, 0.7805
Resistance: 0.7821, 0.7829, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78290 neutralises the downtrend read
Break and hold below 0.78050 extends the leg lower
RSI sub-28 with price stalling would flag short-term exhaustion
USDCHF broke down through 0.78280 during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.78099, with RSI(14) near 27 confirming an oversold stretch. Sellers extended after the soft US wholesale inventories and goods trade prints; price is attempting a small bounce off the low but capped under 0.78210.
Support: 0.78099, 0.7805
Resistance: 0.7821, 0.7828, 0.7837
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78280 prior support would neutralise the breakdown
USDCHF sold through the 0.7820 shelf during NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 0.78118 with RSI(14) near 28. Price is consolidating just above the low with no reclaim of the broken shelf yet.
Support: 0.78118, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7821, 0.7828, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78210 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
Lower highs and lower lows into fresh session low.
USDCHF rolled over through the NY session, breaking the 0.78340 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.78118 with RSI(14) at 27. Sellers extended after the soft German CPI and downside US wholesale inventories miss; price is now consolidating just above the low.
Support: 0.78118, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7834, 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78250 prior swing would neutralise the downside extension
Acceptance below 0.78118 session low opens the path to the 0.78000 psych handle
RSI oversold may produce a mean-revert bounce into the broken shelf at 0.78340
13:15 UTC
Downtrend extending into NY · RSI 19 · price 0.78143
Lower highs, lower lows, fresh session low.
USDCHF broke down through the 0.78320 swing pivot during early NY after the soft US trade balance and wholesale inventories prints, extending to a fresh session low at 0.78133. RSI(14) sub-20 flags short-term oversold but momentum remains one-sided with price pinned to the lows.
Support: 0.78133, 0.7805
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7832, 0.78445
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78250 would neutralise the breakdown leg
Sustained acceptance below 0.78133 opens 0.78050 round number
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce into 0.78250–0.78320
USDCHF broke the 0.78320 shelf during NY hours and extended to a fresh session low at 0.78133, with RSI(14) at ~20 flagging oversold conditions after softer US wholesale inventories and trade data. Sellers in control — each bounce capped lower, and price closed on the lows of the window.
Support: 0.78133, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7825, 0.7832, 0.78445
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 0.78250 micro pivot would be the first sign the impulsive leg is exhausting
Acceptance below 0.78133 session low opens the 0.78000 psych handle
RSI sub-20 raises odds of a mean-revert bounce even within the broader downtrend
USDCHF sold through the 0.7830 floor during NY hours after rejection at 0.78470 supply, printing a fresh session low at 0.78180 with RSI(14) at 22 — stretched oversold on M15. Soft Germany CPI and a narrower US trade deficit hit the wires alongside the move; price is hugging lows with no reaction bar yet.
Support: 0.7818, 0.7810
Resistance: 0.7827, 0.7838, 0.7847
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78270 micro pivot would relieve the oversold extension
Sustained acceptance below 0.78180 session low opens 0.78100 round number
RSI deeply oversold — bounce risk into 0.78380 supply if buyers step in
USDCHF leaked lower through the NY morning after rejection at the 0.7845 NY high, breaking the Asia/London base around 0.7830 and printing fresh session lows at 0.7818. Selling accelerated following the softer-than-expected German CPI miss, with RSI(14) now oversold near 25.
Support: 0.7818, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7829, 0.7845, 0.78475
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78290 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
USDCHF broke the 0.7824 intraday floor during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.7820, RSI(14) now sub-25. Sellers in control on a clean lower-high chain from the 0.7847 NY session high; no demand response yet.
Support: 0.7820, 0.7815
Resistance: 0.7834, 0.7847
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.7820 opens the path toward the 0.7815 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7834 micro pivot would neutralise the downside push
Soft German May CPI print may extend USD strength elsewhere but CHF cross flows still dominant here
12:00 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 25 · price 0.78205
Lower highs, lower lows, range break lower.
NY session pressing fresh session lows at 0.78204 after the 0.78380 shelf gave way, RSI(14) stretched at 24.8. Sellers extending in clean lower-high steps with no relief bounce yet.
Support: 0.78204, 0.7815
Resistance: 0.7828, 0.7838, 0.7847
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78280 invalidates the breakdown read
Sustained acceptance below 0.78204 opens the 0.7815 psych area
RSI below 20 raises odds of a mean-revert bounce before continuation
USDCHF broke the 0.7832 micro pivot into NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.78239, RSI(14) pressing 31 but not yet stretched. Price drifting just above the low with no rejection wick yet — sellers still in control of the session.
Support: 0.78239, 0.7815
Resistance: 0.7832, 0.78471
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78320 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high chain
Break and acceptance below 0.78239 session low opens 0.7815 round number
FX intervention rhetoric (Japan/BoE headlines) raising cross-pair noise risk into NY hours
Pair broke the 0.78300 floor that held through the London session and printed a fresh session low at 0.78239 into the NY transition. RSI(14) at 31.8 is approaching oversold but no rejection wick yet; sellers stepping in on every bounce toward 0.78340.
Support: 0.78239, 0.7820
Resistance: 0.7834, 0.78451
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78340 neutralises the breakout read
Acceptance below 0.78239 opens the 0.78200 psych level
RSI sub-20 without a lower low would flag bullish divergence
Price broke the 0.78315 intraday floor late in the NY session and printed a fresh session low at 0.78265, with RSI(14) at 28 confirming the downside push. Sequence of lower highs from 0.78471 through 0.78445 to 0.78421 remains intact, no sign of buyers stepping in yet.
Support: 0.78265, 0.7820
Resistance: 0.7833, 0.78445, 0.7848
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78330 micro pivot would neutralise the breakout
USDCHF drifted lower through the Asia-to-London session after rejection from 0.7847 in early NY, printing a fresh session low at 0.78292 on the last bar. Price is grinding along the lows with RSI(14) near 38 — bearish but not stretched — and stacked under both EMAs.
Support: 0.78292, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.78445, 0.78471
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 0.78292 session low opens path to 0.7825 psych
Reclaim of 0.78445 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Bailey/Middle East headlines have moved CHF crosses intraday — risk of further USD/CHF pressure
Pair sold off through the London session from 0.7898 to a swing low at 0.78308, then carved a tight range between roughly 0.7832 and the 0.78471 rejection high through NY hours. Last few bars have leaked back toward the session low with RSI(14) at 38, no reclaim of EMA20 or EMA50.
Support: 0.78312, 0.78308, 0.78265
Resistance: 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78471 rejection high would neutralise the NY range bias
BoE/Bailey headlines on Middle East risk feeding CHF strength remain a background driver
USDCHF sold off through London hours from 0.7898 to a session low at 0.78308 and has since consolidated in a tight 0.7833–0.7847 range through early NY. Latest bar prints back at the session low with RSI(14) near 38, drifting rather than impulsing.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78326
Resistance: 0.78471
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Reclaim of NY swing high at 0.78471 invalidates the lower-high structure
BoE/Middle East headlines driving CHF flows could compress the range
Price has been grinding sideways between 0.7833 and 0.7847 through the London session after rejection at 0.7847 prior high. RSI(14) near 41 and ATR around 4 pips reflect a tight, low-momentum range with no setup in play.
Support: 0.7833, 0.7831, 0.7800
Resistance: 0.7845, 0.7847, 0.7857
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7831 swing low extends the downtrend
Close above 0.7847 prior high opens 0.7857 supply
NY session open could break the range either way
10:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 41 · price 0.7835
Range after impulsive drop.
USDCHF dropped sharply during London open from 0.7898 to 0.7841 then went sideways for hours between 0.7831 and 0.7847. NY session probed the range top at 0.7847 twice and was rejected, current bar back at session low with RSI flat around 41.
Support: 0.7833, 0.7831, 0.7841
Resistance: 0.7847, 0.7875
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7847 range top opens path back to 0.7875 supply
Break of 0.7831 range floor confirms continuation of the London downtrend
09:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 43 · price 0.78358
Lower high at 0.7898, range 0.7831–0.7847.
Asian session sold off from 0.7898 into 0.7831 then based, with London opening into a tight 0.7831–0.7847 consolidation under both EMAs. Rejection at the session high 0.7847 in the last hour leaves price drifting back toward the session low; RSI mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345, 0.7823
Resistance: 0.78471, 0.7851, 0.78593
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7847 session high opens path to 0.7859 London high
Break of 0.7831 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
BOE Bailey headlines crossing wires could spill into CHF crosses
Lower high established, ranging above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the London session from 0.7898 down to a session low at 0.78320, then chopped sideways in a tight 40-pip range either side of 0.7840. Last hour produced a rejection at the London high 0.78470 before fading back to mid-range; RSI(14) sitting neutral around 47 with no impulse either way.
Support: 0.7832, 0.7841
Resistance: 0.7847, 0.7856
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78470 opens the path back to the 0.78560 prior swing
Break of 0.78320 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Italy/EU CPI prints already through; no scheduled USD or CHF tier-1 data in next 8h
09:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.78433
Lower highs since Asia, sideways base 0.7830-0.7845.
Asia session opened with a sharp leg down from 0.7898 to 0.7841, then NY hours have ranged between 0.7830 and 0.7845 with RSI flat near 47. Price clinging above 0.7830 matches the FXStreet read of bearish pressure building, but momentum has stalled at the lows rather than extending.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78471, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Break above 0.78471 recent high invalidates the consolidation cap
Sustained move back above 0.78566 swing pivot would shift the intraday read
09:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.78433
Lower-low printed, range 0.7831–0.7847.
USDCHF sold off through London open from 0.7898 to 0.7841, then chopped sideways in a 0.7831–0.7847 band through the NY session. Price clings above 0.7830 with no fresh impulse either way; RSI(14) hovering mid-40s reflects the stall.
Support: 0.78318, 0.78308
Resistance: 0.78471, 0.78504, 0.78593
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 swing low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78471 NY high opens path back to 0.78593 London high
Light calendar — flow-driven into NY close
08:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 47 · price 0.78404
Lower-high formed, ranging above session low.
Asia session sold USDCHF from 0.7898 down to 0.7830 yesterday during NY, with price now consolidating 0.7830–0.7846 through London hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and the NY swing high at 0.78459 is capping rallies; FXStreet notes the broader rejection from 0.7900 earlier this week.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78551, 0.78713
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 NY swing high opens a retest of 0.78551
Break of 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend
Soft German/French CPI prints already in; further EU data could spill into CHF
08:30 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 51 · price 0.78443
Post-selloff consolidation above 0.7830.
Range-bound between 0.7832 and 0.7846 through the European session after Thursday's sharp leg lower from 0.7890. Bavaria/German data soft but no directional follow-through; price coiling just under session high with RSI flat around 51.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345, 0.7841
Resistance: 0.7846, 0.7855
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7846 session high opens path back to 0.7855 supply
NY open could break the consolidation in either direction
08:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 45 · price 0.78394
Lower high at 0.7848, base around 0.7835.
Sharp NY-session drop yesterday from 0.7875 to 0.7832 has given way to a tight intraday consolidation between 0.7832 and 0.7846, with rejection at the NY swing high keeping the lower-high structure intact. London open brought a soft probe lower but no clean break of the session low; RSI(14) flat around 45 with ATR compressed to under 5 pips.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.7846, 0.7850, 0.7875
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7832 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7846 NY swing high opens 0.7850 psych
Soft European CPI prints (France, Spain, Bavaria) tilting EUR-bloc — limited direct USDCHF impact but worth monitoring
08:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 0.78394
Lower-low printed, sideways range forming.
USDCHF sold off sharply during the prior US session from 0.78990 to 0.78308, then bottomed and chopped sideways through Asia. London open swept the session low at 0.78308 before buyers stepped in toward 0.78459; price is mid-range at 0.78394 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 session high opens path to 0.78566
Break of 0.78308 session low confirms continuation of downtrend
German state CPI prints later today could inject volatility
07:45 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 45 · price 0.78417
Lower highs into 0.7835 base.
Sharp London-session leg down from 0.7898 to 0.7835 has given way to a tight 0.7831–0.7846 range through Asia. RSI(14) recovered from oversold back near 45, but lower highs persist into the intraday high at 0.78459.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78308
Resistance: 0.78459
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.78308 swing low extends the downtrend
German state CPI prints in the coming hours could move USD/CHF
Lower highs after London drop, basing near session low.
Sharp London-session drop from 0.7898 to 0.7841 has given way to a tight 0.7832–0.7846 consolidation through NY hours, with sellers rejecting the 0.78459 NY high. Price now sits near the session low at 0.78320 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR around 4 pips, signalling compression rather than continuation.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.7841, 0.78459
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78320 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78459 NY high invalidates the lower-high structure
ATR sub-5 pips suggests breakout risk if range resolves
Sharp London-session selloff from 0.7898 dragged price to 0.7831 before stabilising into a tight 0.7831–0.7846 range through NY. Sellers capped the bounce at the session high 0.78459, and price now drifts back toward the session low with RSI near 41.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78411, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78551
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 extends the downtrend toward 0.78250
Reclaim of 0.78459 session high opens path back to 0.78551 rejection
Continued range between 0.78308 and 0.78459 keeps the read in consolidation
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 0.78363
Lower highs into low range.
Sharp London-session sell-off from 0.7898 to 0.7831 has given way to a tight consolidation between 0.7831 and 0.7846 through the Asia session. Price rejected the 0.78459 NY swing high and is drifting back toward the session low with RSI flat near 42.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78505
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78505 London low would neutralise the bearish read
German states' CPI prints due into European hours could break the range
06:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 44 · price 0.78377
Lower highs into 0.7840 base.
Sharp NY-session leg lower yesterday from 0.7898 to 0.7841, with price basing in a tight 0.7832–0.7846 range through Asia. Early London tagging the lower end again, RSI(14) flat around 43 — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78459
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7832 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7846 asia high opens the path to 0.7856 NY rejection zone
German states' CPI prints later today could inject volatility via EUR cross-flows
06:30 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 41 · price 0.78365
Lower highs after London drop, now ranging.
Sharp London drop from 0.7891 to 0.7834 set the tone; NY session has consolidated in a 30-pip band with a failed push to 0.78459 NY session hi rejected. Asia open now drifting back toward session low at 0.78318, RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 0.78318, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 NY session hi would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.78318 session low confirms continuation of the London downtrend
Germany states' CPI later today could inject CHF volatility
06:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 44 · price 0.78381
Lower high stalling above 0.7830 floor.
USDCHF sold off sharply through London hours, dumping from 0.7898 to a 0.7832 session low before basing into the Asia-to-London handover. Price has carved a tight 0.7832–0.7846 range over the last ~5 hours with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s, no momentum either side.
Reclaim of 0.7846 session high opens a retest of 0.7855 supply
German states' CPI prints later today could inject volatility into CHF crosses
06:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 0.78381
Lower-high then range.
USDCHF sold off sharply during the NY session yesterday from 0.7898 down to 0.7832, then spent the Asia session basing in a tight 0.7832–0.7846 range. Early London is drifting back toward the session low at 0.7838, RSI(14) flat near 46 with no momentum either way.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 session high opens path to 0.78566 supply
Break of 0.78320 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Mid-East geopolitical headlines could re-energise CHF flows
05:45 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 47 · price 0.78394
Lower highs after sharp drop, intraday range.
USDCHF collapsed roughly 50 pips during the London session, with sellers driving the pair from 0.7875 down to the 0.78318 session low. Price has since stabilised into a tight 0.7832–0.7846 range through the Asian session, RSI(14) flat near 47 with no recovery momentum yet.
Support: 0.78318, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78566, 0.78713
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 session high opens a path back toward the 0.78566 drop origin
Break below 0.78318 session low extends the downtrend
05:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 44 · price 0.78392
Lower highs into base near 0.7840.
Sharp London-session leg lower from 0.7898 to 0.7841 left M15 in a tight 0.7830–0.7846 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-40s as price based, with the drop origin at 0.7875 still capping any rebound attempts.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78551, 0.78751
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 session high opens path back toward the 0.78551 prior swing
Break of 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend
London open in ~3h likely to resolve the consolidation
05:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.78411
Lower highs into 0.7841 base, choppy consolidation.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session from 0.7898 to 0.7841 and has since coiled in a tight 30-pip band between 0.7831 and 0.7846 through Asia. Price is grinding back toward the asia high at 0.78459 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range, no directional resolution yet.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78308
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Break above 0.78459 asia high opens room back toward 0.78566 ny rejection zone
Loss of 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend leg
Geopolitical headlines on Iran could whip the range
05:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 0.78411
Lower-high sequence, base forming.
London session sold USDCHF sharply from 0.7898 to 0.7834, with the move accelerating through the NY hours into a 0.78308 session low. Asia has carved a tight base between 0.78308 and 0.78459, with a tentative double bottom at the lows and RSI(14) recovering toward 46 — no directional setup until the 0.78459 cap or 0.78308 floor gives way.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 asia high opens path to 0.78566 prior swing
Break of 0.78308 session low resumes the downtrend
ATR at 3.5 pips reflects compressed Asia range; expect expansion into London open
04:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 56 · price 0.78431
Lower high, lower low, now sideways near range low.
Sharp London-session leg lower from 0.7892 to 0.7831 stalled, with price grinding sideways through Asia and now ticking up to 0.7843. Buyers absorbed twice at the session low near 0.7830; micro high at 0.7846 capping for now.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78551
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78551 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
M15 close below 0.78308 session low extends the leg lower
Tokyo CPI soft print already in price; no scheduled US/CHF data in next 8h
04:30 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.78427
Lower-low printed, intraday base forming.
USDCHF sold off through London hours from 0.7895 to a session low at 0.78318, then based out and is grinding higher into the Asia session with a double-bottom look between 0.78318 and 0.78411. Price is back at 0.78427 with RSI(14) rebounding to mid-range, but the 0.78459 recent high still caps.
Support: 0.78318, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78459, 0.78551
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78459 recent high opens path to 0.78551 supply
Failure at 0.78318 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Range between 0.78318 and 0.78459 holding — no setup in play until break
USDCHF sold off sharply through London hours from 0.7898 to 0.7832, then went flat in Asia building a tight base between 0.7832 and 0.7440. Late Asia bid has lifted price back to 0.7844 against the 0.7848 rejection shelf, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s from oversold.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 opens path back to the 0.78566 post-drop high
Break of 0.78320 session low resumes the downtrend leg
Continued chop between 0.7832 and 0.7848 keeps the base intact
04:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 52 · price 0.78444
Lower-low established, sideways recovery.
London session sold off sharply from 0.78920 to a 0.78308 swing low, then base-built through NY into Asia with a shallow double bottom near 0.78308–0.78345. Asia is grinding higher off the swing low; price now ticking back toward the prior shelf at 0.78480 with RSI(14) recovered to neutral.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.7848, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78480 prior shelf would extend the recovery toward the 0.78566 rejection high
Loss of 0.78308 session low confirms a fresh lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Asia liquidity thin — moves into London open can void the current base
03:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 54 · price 0.7843
Lower low printed, sideways recovery.
Sharp London-session sell-off drove price from 0.7891 down to 0.7841, followed by hours of tight basing between 0.78308 and 0.78447. Asia session has seen a slow grind higher off the double-bottom around 0.7831, with RSI(14) back near 54 and price now reclaiming the EMA20.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78447, 0.78551
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78447 opens path back to 0.78551 rejection zone
Break below 0.78308 session low resumes the prior leg lower
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold into London open
03:30 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 50 · price 0.78428
Lower high at 0.7898, basing near 0.7835-0.7840.
Sharp London-session selloff from 0.7898 down to 0.7832 has given way to a tight Asian-session base between the session low at 0.78320 and the 0.78450 micro pivot. Price is recovering off the lows with RSI(14) curling up from the 30s back to neutral, but structure remains lower-highs / lower-lows until 0.78566 breaks.
Support: 0.7832, 0.78345, 0.7828
Resistance: 0.7845, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78566 invalidates the downtrend continuation read
Break of session low 0.78320 opens path to the prior low near 0.78280
Thin Asian-session liquidity; London open in a few hours likely sets direction
03:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 47 · price 0.78404
Lower highs into 0.7840 base.
M15 broke down sharply during NY hours from 0.7875 to 0.7831, then carved a tight 0.7831–0.7841 base through the Asia session. Price is pinned at the 0.78405 micro high with RSI(14) flat near 47 — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78405, 0.7848
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 supply would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.78308 session low confirms continuation of the downtrend
03:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 49 · price 0.78404
Lower highs into a tight base above 0.7830.
Sharp London-session selloff from 0.78990 down to 0.78308 has given way to a tight Asian base between 0.78308 and 0.78458, with price now coiling around 0.78400. Momentum has flattened — RSI(14) recovering to mid-40s while price holds higher lows, a mild bullish divergence inside an otherwise intact downtrend.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345, 0.7820
Resistance: 0.78458, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.78308 extends the downtrend toward the 0.78200 psych level
Reclaim of 0.78458 prior swing opens room back to the 0.78566 drop origin
Thin Asia liquidity — London open could break this base in either direction
02:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.78393
Lower highs into 0.7840 support shelf.
Sharp NY-session leg down from 0.7899 to 0.7834 broke the prior London range, with price now coiling in a tight 0.7830–0.7840 band during Asia. Sellers rejected the 0.78405 retest twice; RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-40s but price stays under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78405, 0.7848
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78480 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend leg
Thin Asia liquidity — first London bars often re-price this consolidation
02:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.78384
Lower highs, lower lows; basing 0.7830-0.7840.
Sharp London-session leg lower from 0.7895 to 0.7834 broke prior swing structure, with the Asian session basing 0.7830-0.7405. Price now consolidating just below 0.7840, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s with no divergence.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.78405, 0.7848
What it said to watch
Break of session low 0.78308 confirms continuation of the downtrend
M15 close above 0.78480 swing high invalidates the lower-high structure
Thin Asian liquidity may exaggerate moves near the 0.7830 base
Sharp London-session sell-off from 0.7899 to 0.7841 broke structure lower, then price stalled into a tight Asia-session range between 0.78308 and 0.78404. Latest bars saw another flush to a fresh session low at 0.78308 before a small bounce; momentum is heavy but stretched.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78404 micro pivot opens room back to the 0.78481 prior swing
break of 0.78308 session low extends the downtrend
Iran headline risk could spike CHF volatility outside of structure
Sharp London-session selloff from 0.7895 down to 0.7841 left price basing in a tight 0.7836–0.7840 range for most of Asia, before a fresh leg lower into the session low at 0.7830. RSI(14) back near 32 and ATR around 9 pips — momentum returning to the downside after a long consolidation.
Support: 0.78308, 0.78345, 0.7823
Resistance: 0.78403, 0.78481
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.78403 intraday LH would neutralise the fresh leg lower
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking from 0.78870 down to 0.78410 then extending to 0.78313 on a fresh push lower in the Asia open. Price has been coiling in a tight 0.78340–0.78400 range for hours and just cracked the lower edge with RSI(14) at 36 — controlled, not capitulating.
Support: 0.78313, 0.7825
Resistance: 0.7840, 0.7848
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.78400 would neutralise the fresh break and put price back inside the consolidation
Geopolitical headlines around Iran continue to drive risk-tone shifts in CHF
01:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 0.78378
Post-drop consolidation above 0.7835 floor.
NY session delivered a sharp leg lower from 0.7875 into 0.7835, then price flatlined through Asia in a 15-pip range. RSI(14) recovered from oversold to mid-40s with no impulse either way; sellers stepped in at 0.78481 on the only retrace attempt.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411, 0.78326
Resistance: 0.7841, 0.78481
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78481 invalidates the lower-high read
Break below 0.78326 extends the downtrend to fresh session lows
Asia liquidity is thin — first London bars (in ~3h) likely set direction
01:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 43 · price 0.78378
Post-drop consolidation above 0.7835.
Sharp NY-session leg lower from 0.7875 dragged price to a session low at 0.78345, with the move likely fuelled by US-Iran headlines and softer Tokyo CPI weighing on the dollar broadly. Price has since gone quiet through Asia, coiling in a tight 0.7836–0.7840 micro pivot range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78404, 0.78481
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.78481 drop origin invalidates the bearish read
Asia-thin liquidity; London open could break the consolidation either way
Sharp NY-session sell-off from 0.78990 to 0.78345, then a flat consolidation between 0.78345 and 0.78410 through Asia. RSI(14) at ~40 with price coiling under the drop origin at 0.78566.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78485
Resistance: 0.7841, 0.78566
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.78566 invalidates the post-drop consolidation read
Break of 0.78345 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Asia thin liquidity — wider ranges possible at Tokyo close
Sharp NY-session selloff drove price from 0.7898 to 0.7834, a clean breakdown through 0.78566 with no retest. Last 6 hours have flatlined in a tight 0.78345–0.78410 band on thin Asia volume, RSI lifting off oversold toward 42 but price still capped under the breakdown shelf.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78411
Resistance: 0.78436, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78436 micro pivot would shift the read from continuation to relief
Reclaim of 0.78566 breakdown lvl needed to neutralise the selloff
Break of 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Asia liquidity thin — first London prints could expand the ATR materially
00:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing late session · RSI 41 · price 0.78371
Lower highs into 0.7840 base, flat consolidation.
USDCHF broke down hard during the NY session from 0.7890 to 0.7834, a clean range break with the impulsive drop coinciding with Iran-US tension headlines. Asia has stabilised into a tight 0.7834–0.7840 base, RSI(14) recovering to 41 but price still pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.78345, 0.78471
Resistance: 0.78416, 0.78566
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.78416 micro high opens room back to the 0.78566 rejection
Break below 0.78345 session low extends the downtrend
Tokyo CPI soft print already digested; geopolitical headlines remain the swing factor
00:00 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 0.78371
Lower highs into base near 0.7837.
Sharp NY-session breakdown from 0.7895 to 0.7834 has given way to a tight consolidation in Asia, with price coiling 0.7837–0.7840. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to 41 but EMAs still cap from above; no reclaim of the 0.7870 breakdown level yet.
Support: 0.7834, 0.7841
Resistance: 0.7840, 0.7850, 0.7870
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7850 supply would invalidate the downtrend continuation read
Loss of 0.7834 session low opens path to fresh lows
Asia session liquidity thin — Tokyo CPI already out, NY open in ~8h is the next catalyst