Price set a lower high at 0.8207 before a sharp selloff to 0.8039, then recovered but stalled repeatedly at the 0.8100 pivot, where supply keeps capping. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% vs 0.7% SNB path) rebuilt a mild franc-negative lean, but USD/CHF cannot clear 0.8100 into US labour data. ATR remains elevated from the crash week, keeping the 0.8039–0.8100 band the active range.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8150, 0.8207
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8100 opens 0.8150 then the 0.8207 peak
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
Fri US NFP is the main near-term driver of USD/CHF
21:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 49 · price 0.8092
Lower high off 0.8206, ranging under 0.8100.
Price topped near 0.8206 then sold off hard to 0.8040 as the post-FOMC USD unwind bit, before recovering into the 0.8100 pivot where it has been repeatedly capped. Soft Swiss CPI cushions the downside but the recovery has stalled below EMA50, leaving a range between 0.8040 and 0.8100. ATR remains elevated after the sharp drop, keeping both range edges live.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8150, 0.8206
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8100 opens the path to 0.8150
Failure to hold 0.8040 confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
Friday US NFP is the main near-term driver for this pair
17:02 UTC
Downtrend off yearly peak, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80919
Lower-high below 0.8100 after sharp selloff.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8207 yearly peak and sold off sharply to a 0.8040 sweep low, with soft Swiss CPI weakening the franc but failing to push the pair through the 0.8100 cap. Price is now consolidating just under 0.8100 below both EMAs, and ATR has cooled after the impulse drop. Buyers repeatedly capped at 0.8100 while demand stepped in around 0.8040.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8207
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8100 opens 0.8150/0.8207
Failure to hold 0.8040 exposes the 0.8000 neckline
US NFP is the dominant near-term driver of this read
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8207 yearly peak in late July and dropped sharply to 0.8039 before stabilising; soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) had rebuilt a CHF-negative lean but the recovery keeps stalling at the 0.8100 cap. Price now ranges between 0.8039 and 0.8100, sitting on the EMA20 but below the EMA50 as ATR settles from the sell-off spike.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8150, 0.8207
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8100 invalidates the range and opens 0.8150
Loss of the 0.8039 swing low exposes the 50d sma near 0.8027 and 0.8000
US NFP is the main near-term driver and could reset this range read
Price rejected the 0.8207 swing high late July and broke sharply lower to 0.8039 on the suspected US-Japan intervention that lifted the JPY and dragged the Dollar broadly. Since then USDCHF has recovered into a 0.8056-0.8115 consolidation, capped by descending lower highs while soft Swiss CPI limits CHF strength. ATR has eased back as the range tightens beneath both EMAs.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8150, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8115 range top reopens 0.8150 breakout lvl
Failure to hold 0.8056 prior low exposes 0.8039 swing low and 0.8000
US NFP Friday is the main near-term driver and could break this range
13:02 UTC
Pullback from highs, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 0.80887
Lower high after 0.8205 rejection, ranging near 0.810.
The rally into 0.8205 stalled and reversed hard, with a sharp two-bar drop to 0.8039 wiping out the late-month gains before buyers recovered price back toward 0.810. Structure now reads as a lower high with price consolidating in a tight 0.808-0.811 band, ATR(14) compressing after the volatility spike. Soft Swiss CPI keeps CHF on the back foot, but the leg down showed how quickly USD-side flow can cap the pair below 0.8150.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8150 reopens the path to 0.8205 yearly high
Failure to hold 0.8040 exposes the 0.8000 psych level
US NFP Friday is the main near-term driver and could break the consolidation
Price rallied into the 0.8205 yearly-peak zone before a sharp two-bar selloff dumped it to a 0.8039 swing low, coinciding with the choppy pre-NFP USD tape after the soft Swiss CPI print. It has since recovered to 0.8100 and is back above EMA20, but remains capped below EMA50 — a corrective bounce inside a broken structure. ATR(14) has compressed hard as the pair consolidates the drop.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8150 pivot re-exposes the 0.8205 yearly peak
Failure to hold 0.8039 swing low opens the 0.8000 psych area
Friday US NFP is the main USD driver and could break this consolidation
USDCHF sold off sharply from the 0.8207 yearly-peak zone to 0.8039 as soft Swiss July CPI met a firmer USD on the ISM beat, and price has since clawed back to 0.8101 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of that impulse. The recovery is stalling into the 0.8115 recent-high shelf, keeping the 0.8150 pivot as the near-term cap. ATR(14) around 23 pips shows range-bound conditions after the volatility spike.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8150, 0.8207
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8150 pivot exposes the 0.8207 yearly peak
Failure to hold 0.8056/0.8039 swing low reopens the 0.8000 psych level
Friday US NFP is the main USD driver and could shift this read
Rejection at one-year high, range since sharp drop.
The multi-week grind higher into the 0.8170-0.8200 one-year high zone was rejected sharply, with a single H4 bar dumping from 0.8207 to the 0.8039 swing low as suspected JPY-driven USD weakness and soft Swiss CPI/PMI capped the move. Price has since recovered to consolidate around 0.8100, sitting just above EMA20 but below EMA50 as the earlier uptrend loses momentum. ATR(14) near 25 pips reflects contained ranges after the flush.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8170, 0.8207
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 0.8115 reopens the path toward the 0.8170 1yr high zone
Loss of 0.8039 swing low exposes the 0.8027 50-day sma and 0.8000 round number
US ADP Wed 12:15 UTC and ISM Services are near-term catalysts that could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Correction off highs, recovering · RSI 54 · price 0.81028
Double-top reversal below 0.82, higher lows since 0.8039.
USDCHF twin-peaked at the 0.8205 one-year high and rejected, with the subsequent break driving a sharp selloff to 0.8039 as suspected FX intervention knocked the dollar despite soft Swiss CPI. Price has since carved higher lows off that base and reclaimed 0.810, though ATR remains elevated and price sits below the H4 EMA50 near 0.8135. The recovery is capped so far at the 0.8115 zone.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8170, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8115 opens the path back to the 0.8170 range top
Failure to hold 0.8055 re-exposes the 0.8039 selloff low and 0.8027 50-day sma
US NFP (~85K consensus) is the swing catalyst that could reshape this read
Price capped repeatedly near 0.8206 to form a double top, then a sharp reversal broke structure lower and swept the 0.8039 swing low before buyers stepped back in. Soft Swiss CPI and a 6-month low PMI keep CHF fundamentally heavy, but the pair now consolidates 0.805-0.811 with USD/CHF direction hinging on the dollar leg. EMA50 sits above price near the 0.8127 pivot, keeping the recovery contained.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127, 0.8206
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.8127 pivot reopens the path toward the 0.8206 year high
Failure to hold 0.8039 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 50-day sma near 0.8027
Friday NFP is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read