USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Intraday range, pressing the top · RSI 62 · price 0.83239
Day range 0.8298–0.8326, higher low at 0.8302; Asia recovery off the rollover dip retesting the day high.
Early Asia has unwound the rollover dip to the 0.8308 rollover low and is retesting the 0.8326 day high that capped both London and NY, now holding just above the 0.8320 pivot the digest flags as the cap on the geopolitics-driven USD bid. RSI(14) near 62 and ATR around 3.6 pips point to a slow grind rather than a breakout push. The rollover leg has run without a pullback.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 day high breaks the day range and exposes the 0.8330 round number
Slip back under the 0.8320 pivot puts price back inside the day range, with the 0.8308 rollover low next
Loss of the 0.8298 day low turns the higher-low sequence into a lower-low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and geopolitical headlines could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Intraday range, early-Asia bounce into top half · RSI 59 · price 0.83217
0.8298–0.8326 range; rollover gap filled, higher lows since NY.
Early Asia filled the rollover gap from the 0.83075 gap low and lifted price to a 0.83224 session high, pressing the 0.8320 cap flagged as geopolitics lifts USD. London and NY were both rejected at the 0.8326 prior high (a double top), and the day low at 0.8298 marks the range floor; RSI(14) near 59 with ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.8318, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83224, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 prior high breaks the range and double top read
Slip back below the 0.8318 late ny high returns price to mid-range
Loss of the higher lows line toward the 0.83075 gap low exposes the 0.8298 day low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Two-way range, late push to upper half · RSI 61 · price 0.83219
0.8298–0.8326 day range; overnight range top cleared.
USDCHF recovered from the rollover low at 0.8308 and cleared the evening range top at 0.8319, now pressing the 0.8320 cap flagged in commentary on a geopolitics-driven USD bid. Overhead, a double top at 0.8326 from the London and NY session highs still caps the day range; the day low at 0.8298 and a later higher low at 0.8302 form a higher-lows line beneath.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 double top breaks the day range ceiling, with the 0.8330 round number next
Slip back below 0.8319 range top returns price to the evening 0.8311–0.8319 range and marks the push as a false break
Loss of the 0.8308 rollover low exposes the higher-lows line and the 0.8298 day low
Thin Asia session liquidity; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC remain the main USD risk
23:03 UTC
Range-bound, early Asia bounce into upper half · RSI 62 · price 0.83207
0.8298–0.8326 day range, rising lows, day high capping.
USDCHF spent the day inside a 0.8298–0.8326 range. London and NY both stalled at the day high near 0.8326, while rising lows held from the 0.8298 day low. Early Asia has lifted price off the 0.83075 asia low and back above the late-NY prior high at 0.83185 into the 0.8320 cap flagged on the dollar's geopolitical bid, with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR compressed to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 day high breaks the range top and the 0.8320 cap
Slip back below the 0.83185 prior high returns price to mid-range
Break of the rising lows trendline and the 0.83075 asia low exposes the 0.8298 day low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Sideways, Asian bounce into resistance · RSI 60 · price 0.83199
24h range 0.8298–0.8326; higher lows off rollover dip.
The early Asian session has climbed off the rollover dip to the 0.8308 asian low and is pressing the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. RSI(14) sits near 60. The broader 0.8298–0.8326 range holds, with the range top rejected in both London and NY on the geopolitics-driven USD bid.
Support: 0.8308, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8320 cap opens a retest of the 0.8326 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8308 asian low unwinds the asian rally and exposes the 0.8302 ny low
Geopolitical headlines lifting USD over CHF could test the range top ahead of Wed's FOMC Minutes
0.8298–0.8326 day range; higher lows; rollover gap filled.
Early Asia: the rollover gap down to the 0.83075 gap low has been filled and price is pressing the 0.8320 cap. This sits inside a 0.8298–0.8326 day range whose top printed a double top in London and NY. Higher lows at the 0.8298 day low, 0.8302 and the gap low trace rising support, with the dollar holding a geopolitics bid ahead of Wednesday's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.8311, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8320 cap opens a retest of the 0.8326 double top
Loss of the 0.8311 NY base and the higher lows line exposes the gap low at 0.83075, then the 0.8298 day low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
0.8298–0.8326 day range; higher lows since 17:30 UTC, price testing late-NY high.
Two-way day inside 0.8298–0.8326. London and NY both stalled at the 0.8326 day high and dips held the 0.8298 day low and 0.8302 ny low, consistent with the digest's 0.8320 cap. Late NY ground higher off the 0.8311 ny base. Early Asia has recovered the rollover dip and retraced about 61.8% of the NY swing fib, with price now testing the 0.8319 late ny high.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8319, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8326 day high breaks the range and the twice-rejected cap
Failure to hold the 0.8311 ny base reopens the 0.8302 ny low and 0.8298 day low
Repeated stalls at the 0.8319 late ny high keep the range read intact
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and moves in US yields could materially shift this read
0.8298–0.8326 day range; two rejections at the session high, early Asia mid-range.
London and NY both rejected the 0.8326 session high as DXY slipped back under 102.00, and the NY drop held at 0.8302 above the 0.8298 day low. Early Asia is trading mid-range near 0.8314, around the 50% retrace of the NY drop. RSI(14) is neutral at 48 after the low-liquidity rollover dip to 0.8308.
Support: 0.83075, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 late ny high opens a retest of the 0.8326 session high and the 0.8320 cap area
Break below the 0.8308 rollover low exposes the 0.8302 ny low and the 0.8298 day low
Close below the 0.8298 day low breaks the range read
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Day range 0.8298–0.8326, lower edges defended, price mid-range after rollover gap.
London and NY both stalled near 0.8326, forming a double top under the 0.8320 cap the digest flags as a softer dollar faded the geopolitical bid. The range low at 0.8302 held in Asia and NY after a brief 0.8298 day low sweep. The rollover gap from the 0.8318 pre-gap high leaves price at 0.8311, holding the 0.8308 gap low near the 38.2% of the ny swing fib as Asia opens, with RSI(14) flat at 48.
Support: 0.83075, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.83262
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 pre-gap high fills the gap and brings the 0.8326 double top back into focus
Failure to hold the 0.8308 gap low exposes the 0.8302 range low and the 0.8298 day low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD catalyst, so thin Asia trade until then
Intraday range 0.8298–0.8326, lower high vs higher lows.
Sellers capped USD/CHF at the 0.8326 double top, once in London and again in NY, while higher lows formed at the 0.8298 day low and the 0.8302 session low. Price dipped to the 0.8308 rollover low in thin trade and now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, as the softer dollar offsets geopolitics-driven USD demand.
Support: 0.83075, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.8326
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8298 day low ends the higher-lows sequence and the range read
Failure to hold the 0.8308 rollover low through the Asia session exposes the 0.8302 session low
A close back above the 0.8318 late ny high puts the 0.8326 double top and range top back in play
Fed's Logan and NY Fed inflation expectations Wed, ahead of FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC, could shift USD pricing
0.8298–0.8326 day range, capped twice at top, lows stepping higher.
USDCHF held a 0.8298–0.8326 range all day. London and NY were both rejected at the 0.8326 double top, while lows stepped up from the 0.8298 day low to the 0.8302 NY low. The broker-midnight rollover gapped price from the 0.8316 range top to 0.8308 in thin liquidity, leaving it on the higher-lows line with RSI(14) near 41 as the dollar consolidates off its highs.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83162, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8316 range top fills the rollover gap
Break of the higher-lows line, then the 0.8302 ny low and 0.8298 day low, flips the range to a lower-low
M15 close above the 0.8326 double top invalidates the range read
FOMC Minutes, Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Range, recovering in late NY · RSI 57 · price 0.83162
Higher lows off the NY low inside the 0.8298–0.8326 day range.
The day high at 0.8326 rejected both the London-open and NY-open pushes as broader USD softness capped rallies. Since the NY low at 0.8302, price has formed higher lows above the 0.8311 range base and now sits near the 61.8% of the NY drop, under the late high at 0.8319, with RSI(14) at 57 and ATR around 3 pips in thin late-NY trade.
Support: 0.83108, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.8326
What it said to watch
Close above the late high at 0.8319 extends the higher lows toward the day high at 0.8326
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.8311 range base reopens the NY low at 0.8302 and the day low at 0.8298
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD catalyst
0.8298–0.8326 day range; higher lows since the NY low, price under the late NY high.
USDCHF is boxed in a 0.8298–0.8326 day range. London and NY were both rejected near 0.8326, forming a double top, and the 0.8302 NY low held above the day low. A post-NY grind of higher lows has lifted price to 0.8318, right at the 61.8% of the NY drop fib and under the late NY high, with the softer USD tone after payrolls keeping the move muted near the 0.8320 cap.
Support: 0.83109, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.83221, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8322 asian high reopens the 0.8326 double top
Break of the ny hl line and the 0.8311 swing low returns price to mid-range
Loss of the 0.8302 ny low and the 0.8298 day low breaks the range lower
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
0.8298–0.8326 range, double top at highs, higher lows since NY low.
London and NY both stalled at 0.8326, leaving a double top just above the 0.8320 cap area, with the day low at 0.8298 marking the range floor. After NY close, price has built higher lows off the 0.8302 NY low along a rising trendline. It now sits at the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop near the 0.8318 late high, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR around 3 pips in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 0.83109, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8326
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8318 late high puts the 0.8326 double top and 0.8320 cap back in play; a break there invalidates the range read
Loss of the rising trendline and the 0.8311 minor low exposes the 0.8302 ny low and 0.8298 day low
Asia session liquidity is thin and no events are scheduled; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
20:16 UTC
Range, recovering from NY low · RSI 58 · price 0.83165
0.8298–0.8326 day range; higher lows since 15:30 UTC.
USDCHF is holding the upper half of a 0.8298–0.8326 day range. London and NY both met rejection at the 0.8326 day high, in line with the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest, and the NY sell-off stalled at the 0.8302 NY low. Late NY has since built a higher lows sequence off 0.8311 and is pressing the 0.8317 late high, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 3 pips into the Asia session.
Support: 0.83108, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83172, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8317 late high opens a retest of the 0.8326 day high
Loss of 0.8311 breaks the higher lows sequence and exposes the 0.8302 NY low
Break below the 0.8298 day low invalidates the range read
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk; geopolitical headlines remain the near-term driver
20:02 UTC
Sideways, higher lows inside day range · RSI 60 · price 0.83162
0.8298–0.8326 day range, late-NY compression 0.8311–0.8317.
The day range runs 0.8298–0.8326, with a double top at 0.8326 from the London and NY highs. Lows have stepped up from the london low at 0.8298 to the ny low at 0.8302 on a rising trendline. Into the NY close, price has compressed between the 0.8311 late low and 0.8317 late high, now pressing the late high at the 61.8% of the NY drop fib, while a softer USD keeps the pair capped below 0.8320.
Support: 0.83108, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83168, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8317 late high and 61.8% NY drop fib opens the 0.8326 double top
Break below the 0.8311 late low returns focus to the ny low at 0.8302 and the rising trendline
Loss of the 0.8298 london low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk and could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Sideways, higher lows inside day range · RSI 59 · price 0.83161
Tight late-NY range 0.8311–0.8316 within 0.8298–0.8326 day range.
Late NY, price is pressing the 0.8316 range top after retracing about 59% of the NY drop from 0.8326 to the 0.8302 ny low. The London and NY day high pushes above the 0.8320 cap on geopolitics-driven USD demand were both rejected, while higher lows at the 0.8298 day low and 0.8302 hold the range. RSI(14) is near 59 and ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.83108, 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83163, 0.8320, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 range top, near the 61.8% fib, opens the path to the 0.8320 cap and 0.8326 day high
Failure to hold the 0.8311 range low exposes the 0.8302 ny low, and losing it breaks the higher-lows sequence toward the 0.8298 day low
A third rejection at 0.8320–0.8326 keeps the 0.8298–0.8326 day range intact into the Asia session
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 0.8314
0.8298–0.8326 intraday range; higher low in NY, late-session compression.
London and NY both stalled at 0.8326, a double top just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF read. The 0.8302 NY low held above the 0.8298 day low. Late NY has compressed into a 0.8311–0.8316 range near the middle of the 0.8298–0.8326 swing, with RSI(14) neutral near 56 and price hugging both EMAs.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8326
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8316 range top puts the 0.8326 double top back in play
A break of the 0.8311 range low exposes the 0.8302 NY low; losing the 0.8298 day low ends the higher-low read
Thin post-NY trade keeps the range intact absent headlines; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
19:16 UTC
Sideways, two-way intraday range · RSI 56 · price 0.83128
0.8298–0.8326 range; double top at 0.8326, higher low at 0.8302, late-NY compression mid-range.
USDCHF has held a 0.8298–0.8326 range all day. London and NY both stalled at 0.8326, forming a double top that sits just above the 0.8320 pivot the digest flags as a cap, while the dollar's slip below DXY 102.00 limited follow-through. Late NY found a higher low at 0.8302, and price is now compressing near the 50% of the 0.8326–0.8302 drop, with a consol low at 0.8311 and an NY cap at 0.8316.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 ny cap puts the 0.8320 pivot and the 0.8326 double top back in play
Break of the 0.8311 consol low exposes the 0.8302 higher low and the rising higher-low line
Loss of 0.8302 and the 0.8298 day low breaks the range floor
Calendar quiet into Asia; FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
Day range, double rejection at the high, NY higher low at 0.8302.
The 0.8326 day high rejected price twice, in London and again in NY. The NY selloff stopped at 0.8302, a higher low above the 0.8298 london low, and after London close price has compressed between the 0.8311 range floor and the 0.8316 recent cap, near the 50% of the NY swing fib. The digest's USD bid on geopolitics is lifting the pair toward 0.8320, but supply there keeps it two-way.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8326
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8316 recent cap reopens the 0.8326 day high and the 0.8320 zone flagged in the digest
Break of the 0.8311 range floor exposes the 0.8302 ny low, then the 0.8298 london low
Loss of 0.8298 turns the range read into a lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Two-way intraday, mid-range after double top rejection · RSI 58 · price 0.83153
Day range 0.8298–0.8326; late-NY consolidation 0.8311–0.8316 above a higher low.
London and NY both stalled at 0.8326, forming a double top just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF read. The NY selloff held at the 0.8302 NY low, a higher low above the 0.8298 day low on the higher-low line. Since then the pair has held a tight 0.8311–0.8316 range after London close, pressing the range top near the 61.8% fib of the NY drop, with ATR(14) contracting to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 range top opens a retest of the 0.8320 cap and the 0.8326 double top
Failure to hold the 0.8311 range low exposes the 0.8302 NY low and the 0.8298 day low
A break of the 0.8302 NY low breaks the higher-low line and turns intraday structure lower
Geopolitical headlines lifting USD can move price inside the thin late-NY range; FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
Range 0.8298–0.8326 with higher lows, price mid-range.
Both edges of the Asian range were broken and reversed: London's push to 0.8326 and the 0.8298 session low both failed. NY retested 0.8326 for a double top, then slid to the 0.8302 NY low, a higher low on the 0.8298 session low. Late NY is holding the 50% retracement of the NY swing near 0.8314, capped by the 0.8316 swing high, with the 0.8311 intraday low as the floor, while a softer USD on lower oil and yields keeps the pair below the 0.8320 cap.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 swing high puts the 0.8326 double top back in play
Break of the 0.8311 intraday low exposes the 0.8302 ny low and the higher lows line from the 0.8298 session low
Loss of 0.8298 would break the higher-lows read and the range floor
10y UST yields near 5.29%: USD is tracking yields closely, so a sharp yield move could shift this read
0.8298–0.8326 day range, higher low at 0.8302, compressing mid-range.
USD/CHF was rejected twice at the 0.8326 session high, once in London and again in NY, with the softer dollar tone capping rallies. The NY swing held a higher low at 0.8302 above the 0.8298 day low, and late NY is now compressing near 0.8311, just under the 0.8316 bounce high and the EMAs.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8316 bounce high puts the 0.8326 session high back in play
Close above 0.8326 session high breaks the twin-rejection range top
Failure at 0.8302 ny low undoes the higher low and exposes the 0.8298 day low
No scheduled data in the next 8h; geopolitical headlines and US yields drive the USD leg
0.8298–0.8326 day range; lower highs vs higher lows since London.
London and NY both rejected the 0.8326 session high, and the NY dip held the 0.8302 ny low above the 0.8298 day low. After London close the pair is pinned near 0.8311 between lower highs and higher lows, RSI(14) flat near 51 as the softer dollar offsets geopolitical USD demand.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.83258
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 lower high breaks the compression and puts the 0.8326 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.8302 ny low exposes the 0.8298 day low; a break there turns the double rejection at 0.8326 into a lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:47 UTC
Sideways, flat EMAs · RSI 49 · price 0.83118
0.8298–0.8326 day range, price mid-range in late NY.
London and NY both rejected 0.8326, a double top near the 0.8320 cap, as USD eased off its highs. The 11:30 UTC dip below the 0.8302 Asian low to the 0.8298 day low was a false break. Late NY, price sits mid-range around 0.8312, about the 40% NY swing fib under the 0.8316 swing high, with RSI(14) 49, EMAs flat and no setup in play.
Support: 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 swing high puts the 0.8326 double top back in focus; a close through it breaks the range
Failure to hold the 0.8302 Asian low exposes the 0.8298 day low and invalidates the range read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~24h) could materially shift this read
0.8298–0.8326 day range; double rejection at session high, higher low at 0.8302.
The NY push stalled at 0.8326, matching the London session high, a second rejection as the dollar's pullback from its annual high capped the pair. The drop held the ny low at 0.8302, above the 0.8298 day low. Late in NY hours price is compressing at the 50% retracement of that drop (0.8314), just under the 0.8316 micro high and sitting on flat EMAs.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 micro high and the 61.8% NY drop fib (0.8317) reopens the 0.8326 session high
Failure at the 0.8302 ny low exposes the 0.8298 day low; a break there ends the range read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~25h) is the next scheduled USD risk; liquidity thins after London close into the Asian range
0.8298–0.8326 day range; double top above, NY higher low below.
USDCHF is ranging 0.8298–0.8326 after London and NY both rejected the 0.8326 double top above the 0.8320 cap, as the USD softens on easing oil and yields. The NY low at 0.8302 printed a higher low over the 0.8298 day low. The late-NY bounce is stalling at the 50% of the NY drop fib near the late NY high of 0.8316, with RSI(14) neutral at 49 and price sitting on flat EMAs.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83158, 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 late NY high opens a retest of the 0.8320 cap and the 0.8326 double top
Close above 0.8326 invalidates the double top and the range read
Loss of the 0.8302 NY low breaks the higher low and exposes the 0.8298 day low
Break below the 0.8298 day low shifts the range into a lower-low sequence
Middle East headlines remain an unscheduled risk; FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalyst
0.8298–0.8326 day range; double top at 0.8326, higher low at 0.8302, price mid-range.
USDCHF has spent the day inside 0.8298–0.8326. London swept both sides of the Asian range, and NY's push stalled at 0.8326 for a double top before sliding to a higher low at 0.8302. After London close, price has retraced about half of that NY selloff to 0.8313, with RSI(14) near 52, as DXY slips below 102 and the 0.8320 cap holds.
Support: 0.8302, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 minor high puts the 0.8326 double top back in focus; a break there invalidates the range read
Failure to hold the 0.8302 higher low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8298 day low
A DXY reclaim of 102.00 or a rebound in US 10y yields could lift the pair back into the 0.8320 cap
16:31 UTC
Sideways, no directional follow-through · RSI 53 · price 0.83129
Range 0.8298–0.8326, higher low at 0.8302 inside it.
USD/CHF is ranging 0.8298–0.8326 after London close. The session high at 0.8326 was rejected in both London and NY, in line with the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. The NY pullback held a higher low at the 0.8302 ny low, and price now sits mid-range just under the 0.8318 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral at 53.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83181, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high puts the 0.8326 session high back in play
A break above the 0.8326 session high invalidates the range read
Failure to hold the 0.8302 ny low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.8298 day low
FOMC minutes in ~26h are the next scheduled USD catalyst
0.8298–0.8326 range, higher low at 0.8302, price mid-range.
London and NY both stalled at the day high near 0.8326, just above the 0.8320 cap, as the softer USD tone kept rallies short-lived. The NY low at 0.8302 held as a higher low above the london low at 0.8298 after the earlier false break of the Asian low. Late in NY hours, price sits on the 50% fib of the NY leg and at EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 53.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8302 ny low breaks the higher low trendline and exposes the london low at 0.8298
Sustained trade above the 0.8320 cap and day high at 0.8326 would end the range read
Failure to hold the 61.8% fib near 0.8309 shifts focus back to the range floor
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC sit outside this window; until then geopolitical headlines are the main USD swing factor
16:02 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from range top · RSI 46 · price 0.83066
Double top at 0.8326 inside a 0.8298–0.8326 day range, price back near the Asian low.
London's push to 0.8326 and the NY retest at 0.8326 both stalled beneath the 0.8320s cap flagged in the CHF digest, leaving a double top. The late-NY slide has retraced about 70% of the 0.8298–0.8326 NY rally and sits on the asian low at 0.8302, below the ema20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) near 46 and not stretched.
Support: 0.83023, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8311, 0.83221, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8298 day low breaks the session range and confirms the double top
Holding the 0.8302 asian low keeps price rotating inside the 0.8298–0.8326 range
Reclaim of the 0.8311 ema20, then the 0.8322 asian high, would weaken the rejection read
Geopolitical USD headlines can spike this pair; FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC (~26h) sit beyond this window
15:47 UTC
Range-bound, fading from range top · RSI 40 · price 0.83037
0.8298–0.8326 day range; double top at 0.8326, price back on Asian low.
The NY session rally from the 0.8298 day low stalled at 0.8326. That matched the London high for a double top just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest, and the drop since has retraced about 80% of the NY rally fib. Price is pressing the 0.8302 Asian low into the London-NY transition, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40, and the 0.8311 bounce high is the nearest cap.
Support: 0.83025, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83113, 0.83221, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8298 day low breaks the session range to the downside
Recovery above the 0.8311 bounce high returns price to mid-range
Close above the 0.8322 asian high and the 0.8326 double top invalidates the range-top rejection
No scheduled US/Swiss data in the next 8h; geopolitical headlines remain the main swing factor for USD/CHF
0.8298–0.8326 day range; NY rally rejected at London high, double top in place.
The NY rally from the london low at 0.8298 stalled at 0.8326, matching the London session high to form a double top. That keeps the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest intact as the softer dollar outweighs the geopolitical USD bid. Price has since unwound about 66% of the NY rally, slipping below the 0.8315 ny pivot. It now sits under both EMAs and is pressing the ny low at 0.8304, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.83043, 0.83024, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8315, 0.8320, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the ny low at 0.8304 and the asian low at 0.8302 exposes the london low at 0.8298, the day-range floor
Recovery back above the 0.8315 ny pivot would put the 0.8320 cap and the 0.8326 session high back in play
M15 close above the 0.8326 session high invalidates the double top read
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD catalyst; geopolitical headlines remain the unscheduled risk
15:03 UTC
Intraday range, rolling off range top · RSI 44 · price 0.8311
0.8298–0.8326 day range; NY high stalled at London high, now mid-range.
The NY rally off the 0.8298 London low was rejected at 0.8326, just under the London-open high, leaving a double top at the range top. The 14:45 UTC drop around Bowman's speech pulled price back toward the 50% fib of the NY rally near 0.8311, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 44 and the 0.8307 swing low as the first shelf.
Support: 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8307 swing low clears the 61.8% fib of the NY rally
An M15 close below the 0.8298 london low confirms the double top and breaks the day's range
A reclaim of the 0.8320 cap reopens a test of the 0.8326 double top
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) and further Fed speakers could materially shift USD pricing
14:47 UTC
Range, rally faded at range top · RSI 53 · price 0.83147
0.8298–0.8326 intraday range, double top at highs.
The NY-session rally off the 0.8298 day low stalled at 0.8326, matching the London high for a double top. Price has slipped back through the 0.8320 cap zone flagged in the CHF digest to the 38.2% of the NY rally fib near 0.8315, sitting on flat EMAs as easing US yields keep USD heavy. Structure is still a higher low at 0.8303 inside the range.
Support: 0.8309, 0.8303, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 double top breaks the session high and clears the 0.8320 cap zone
Loss of the 0.8309 swing low and the 0.8303 higher low exposes a retest of the 0.8298 day low
Bowman speaking now (14:45 UTC): any October-hike signal could jolt USD and break the range
Higher lows off 0.8298 day low; inside 0.8298–0.8326 day range.
London's slide swept the Asian range low into a 0.8298 day low. NY has since rallied on a broad USD bid to retest the 0.8326 London high, with price holding just above the 0.8320 pivot and RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83032, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 London high breaks the day-range top, opening the 0.8330 round number
Slip back below the 0.8320 pivot keeps the cap intact. A break of the 0.8303 higher low negates the NY rebound and puts the day low back in play
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Intraday rebound, higher lows since NY open · RSI 60 · price 0.83223
V-recovery from 0.8298 session low, testing London high.
London capped at the 0.8326 London high, then faded through the Asian low to a 0.8298 session low. That break failed, and the NY session has since printed rising lows back above the 0.8320 pivot, past the 78.6% retracement of the London fade, as the geopolitics-driven USD bid persists. Price sits about 4 pips under the London high with RSI(14) near 60, not stretched.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8309, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 London high opens the 0.8330 round number
Loss of the 0.8320 pivot puts the 0.8309 higher low and the rising lows line in play; a break there undercuts the rebound
Retest of the 0.8298 session low would negate the false-break read
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could materially shift USD pricing within the next bars
13:47 UTC
Intraday range, NY rebound off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.83156
London fade from 0.8326 swept the Asian low; higher low and higher high since.
London capped at the 0.8326 london high, near the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF read, then slid through the Asian low to a 0.8298 session low before reclaiming it. Early NY has printed a higher low at 0.8303 and cleared the 0.8311 broken high, putting price at the 61.8% of the London drop fib with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8303, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8322, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8322 asian high reopens the 0.8326 london high
Loss of the 0.8311 broken high and the rebound line puts the 0.8303 higher low back in play
Break under the 0.8298 session low ends the false-break read
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could shift USD pricing within the next hour
13:32 UTC
Intraday down from London high, rebounding in early NY · RSI 51 · price 0.83132
Lower highs from 0.8326; false break under 0.8300 reversed, higher low at 0.8303.
London was rejected at the 0.8326 london high, in line with the digest's 0.8320 cap, and the fade dipped below the Asian low to a 0.8298 day low before reversing back over 0.8300. Early NY has printed a 0.8303 higher low and is back at the 50% retrace of the London decline, just under the 0.8316 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.83032, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83156, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8316 lower high opens the path back to the 0.8326 london high
Loss of the 0.8303 higher low puts the 0.8298 day low and the 0.8300 false break back in play
Fed's Bowman at 14:45 UTC could shift USD pricing within the next hour
Lower highs from London high; false break below Asian low.
London pushed above the Asian high to a london high at 0.83263 and was rejected near the 0.8320 cap, then printed a chain of lower highs and broke the asian low at 0.8302, reaching a session low at 0.8298. The first hour of NY reclaimed 0.8302, but the bounce stalled at the ny high of 0.83111, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the London drop and under the descending trendline. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50, and RSI(14) reads 41.
Support: 0.83024, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83111, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian low at 0.8302 reopens the 0.8298 session low. Failure there extends the lower-low sequence.
M15 close above the ny high at 0.8311 and the descending trendline shifts the drop into a range read.
Acceptance above the london high at 0.8326 negates the London rejection.
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could materially shift USD tone this session.
London failed above the Asian high, broke the Asian low, and price is back inside the range.
London pushed through the Asian high to a 0.8326 london high, near the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest, and was rejected there. The selloff broke the Asian low at 0.8303 to a 0.8298 session low, but that proved a false break: the first hour of NY reclaimed it and price now sits at the 50% fib of the London leg, just under EMA20 (~0.8311), with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.83025, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83155, 0.83221, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8315 breakdown pt reopens the Asian high at 0.8322
Slip back below the Asian low at 0.8303 retests the 0.8298 session low
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London high, rebounding off session low · RSI 48 · price 0.83096
Lower highs since London open; false break below the Asian low, then reclaimed.
The geopolitics-driven USD bid stalled as London rejected a 0.8326 London high just above the 0.8320 cap, and price slid through the 0.8302 Asian low to a 0.8298 session low. That proved a false break: the 12:15 UTC bar, in the ADP release window, lifted price back to 0.8310, which is the 38.2% fib of the London drop. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 48, and the 0.8312 fib 50% and 0.8316 lower high sit overhead into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.83025, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83122, 0.83156, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8302 asian low reopens the 0.8298 session low
Close above the 0.8316 lower high breaks the London sequence of lower highs; london high at 0.8326 next
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY session could shift USD pricing and this read
The early-London push to the 0.8326 london high on the USD yield and haven bid faded into a lower-highs sequence. That sequence swept the asian low at 0.8302 to a 0.8298 session low, and price now sits back at the asian low with RSI(14) near 31. The prior shelf at 0.8310, which lines up with the 38.2% of the London decline fib, and the asian high at 0.8318 sit overhead as the London-NY transition approaches.
Support: 0.83024, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8310, 0.83182, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8298 session low extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 0.8310 prior shelf and the lower highs trendline turns the asian low sweep into a false break
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could materially shift this read in the first hours of NY
Asian high at 0.8318 then london high at 0.8326 mark the upper end of today's range
11:47 UTC
Downtrend, extending to new session lows · RSI 27 · price 0.83003
Lower highs from London high; Asian range low broken.
London pushed through yesterday's 0.8324 NY high to a 0.8326 London high and failed there. The London selloff has since printed lower highs, lost the 0.8310 swing low and broke the Asian low at 0.8302 and the 0.8300 round number, with a session low of 0.8298. RSI(14) near 27 is soft but not extreme, and the chart is running against the firm-USD tone in the digest.
Support: 0.8300, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83024, 0.8310, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8302 Asian low would recast the range break as a false break
Rebounds capped under the 0.8310 swing low (38.2% of the London selloff) keep the lower-high sequence intact
A close through the lower highs trendline breaks the intraday downtrend structure
Acceptance below the 0.8298 session low and the round number extends the leg
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) speeches could shift this read during NY hours
Lower highs from the 0.8326 London high; Asian low being tested.
London faded from the 0.8326 session high in a chain of lower highs, unwinding the Asian-session rally as USD momentum eased from overbought. The pair swept the 0.8302 Asian low and closed back above it, and now trades back on that level with RSI(14) at 26 and the prior lows at 0.8310 acting as the first cap.
Support: 0.8302, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8310, 0.8315, 0.8326
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8302 asian low and the 0.8300 round number extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8310 prior lows and the 0.8315 lower high would break the lower highs trendline and invalidate the fade read
A move back through the 0.8326 london high would put the morning high back in play
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) could shift USD into the NY session
11:02 UTC
Pullback after London high, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 0.83135
London sweep of prior-day high rejected; back inside Asian range.
London open lifted the pair on the USD haven/yield bid, sweeping the prior-day high at 0.8324 to a 0.8326 session high, but the move was fully rejected and price has returned inside the Asian range (0.8302–0.8318). It is now holding just above the 0.8310 london low near the 50% fib of the Asian-low-to-session-high move, with RSI(14) at ~42 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8310 london low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8302 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8318 asian high would reopen a test of the 0.8326 session high
US ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) around NY open could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Intraday pullback inside range, lower highs since London open · RSI 37 · price 0.83125
False break above Asian range and Monday high, retracing toward London low.
London pushed through the Asian range and Monday's 0.8324 high to a 0.8326 session high but could not hold, sliding to a 0.8310 London low by 09:45 UTC as the yield and haven bid behind USD stalled near the 0.8320 cap. Price now sits near the 61.8% retrace of the 0.8303–0.8326 leg, with a lower high at 0.8316 capping the bounce and RSI(14) in the high 30s.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83156, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8310 London low opens the 0.8303 Asian low
Close above the 0.8316 lower high and the descending trendline negates the pullback read
Reclaim of the 0.8326 session high turns the false break into a breakout
ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC could materially shift this read
False break above prior high, back inside Asian range.
London open lifted the pair out of the Asian range on the USD haven/yield bid and briefly through yesterday's 0.8324 prior high to a 0.8326 london high, but the push failed and price faded back inside the range. It now sits near the 50% of the asia low–london high move, with the 0.8310 london low absorbing two tests.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83263
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8310 london low opens the 0.8303 asian low
Recovery above the 0.8318 asian high puts the 0.8326 london high back in play; a close above it negates the false break
ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) into NY open could shift this read
False break of prior-day high, lower highs into 0.8310 base.
London open pushed above Monday's 0.8324 high to a 0.83263 session high, but the break failed back below the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. Price has since faded to the 0.8310 london low and sits between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the asia low rally, below the ema20 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.8317, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8310 london low opens the 0.83025 asia low
Recovery through the ema20 near 0.8317 and back above 0.8320 neutralises the pullback read; the 0.83263 session high caps the move
ADP 12:15, Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC during NY hours could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London open · RSI 36 · price 0.83113
Failed break above prior high, back inside Asian range.
Early London pushed through the 0.8324 prior high to a 0.8326 london high but was rejected. A lower-high trendline since then has pulled price back below the 0.8318 asian high to the 61.8% retrace near 0.8311, with RSI(14) at 36 and both EMAs overhead. The digest's yield-driven USD bid has not extended here, and the pair is stalling under the 0.8320 cap.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8318 asian high and the lower-high trendline would neutralise the pullback read
Failure to hold the 0.8310 london low at the 61.8% retrace exposes the 0.8302 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8324 prior high would turn the London false break into a retest
ADP 4-wk avg at 12:15 UTC, plus Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) in NY hours, could shift this read
Lower highs since London high, back inside Asian range.
London set a high at 0.8326, a marginal false break of Monday's 0.8324 peak that was rejected near the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. Lower highs since 08:00 UTC have pulled price back to 0.8313, between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the Asia-London leg, just above the 0.8310 session low, with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 0.83102, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8310 session low exposes the 0.8303 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8319 asian high negates the rejection read and puts the 0.8326 london high back in focus
ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 / Bowman 14:45 UTC could shift USD tone in the NY session
09:31 UTC
Pullback inside Asian range after London high · RSI 40 · price 0.8315
Lower highs since the London open; price at the 50% retracement of the Asia rally.
London cleared the Asian high and yesterday's 0.8324 prior high to tag a 0.8326 session high, but the move did not hold. Lower highs since then have pulled price back to 0.8315, the 50% fib of the rally off the 0.8303 Asian low, with RSI(14) near 40. The 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest is acting as the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.83138, 0.83104, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8314 london low exposes the 0.8310 swing low and the 61.8% fib near 0.8312
Close back above the 0.8320 cap reopens the 0.8324 prior high and the 0.8326 session high
A break of the 0.8303 asian low would erase the full overnight rally
US ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could shift the read into the NY session
09:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asia low, stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.83183
Higher lows since 0.8302, capped below 0.8326 in London.
USD haven and yield demand lifted the pair out of the Asian range and through Monday's 0.8324 prior high. London then stalled three times at the 0.8326 session high and slipped back toward the 0.8317 london low, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.8302–0.8326 leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8314, 0.8310
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 session high extends the higher-high chain from the Asian low
Break of the 0.8317 london low exposes the fib 50% at 0.8314 and the 0.8310 swing low
Loss of 0.8310 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence from the 0.8302 Asian low
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 UTC and Bowman 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asian low into a flat 0.8324–0.8326 cap.
Higher lows off the 0.8302 Asian low carried price to a 0.8326 London high, helped by USD haven demand and record UST yields. Mid-London, price is ranging between the 0.8315 London low and the 0.8324 Monday high / 0.8326 London high cap, with repeated rejection above 0.8325. Dips have held near the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low–London high leg.
Support: 0.83151, 0.83104, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 London high breaks the Monday high / London high cap
Failure to hold the 0.8315 London low exposes the 0.8310 swing low and a deeper fib retrace
A break below the 0.8302 Asian low unwinds the higher-low chain
ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) could shift the read into the NY session
Asian range breakout, consolidating 0.8315–0.8326.
London open broke above the 0.8318 asian high and Monday's 0.8324 peak, setting a 0.8326 session high before compressing into a 0.8315–0.8326 band. The move came on firm USD from record US yields and haven demand. Lows have stepped up since the 0.8315 london low, keeping the rising trendline off the asian low intact. RSI(14) ~61.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83151, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8326 session high extends the breakout toward 0.8330 psych
Return below 0.8318 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and turns the move into a false break
Loss of 0.8315 london low breaks the asian low trendline and exposes the 0.8302 asian low; that is also the 50% fib of the Asian-London leg
US ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed Williams (13:05 UTC) early in the NY session could materially shift this read
Higher lows off Asian low, compressing under London session high.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8318 and briefly cleared Monday's 0.83239 high, printing a session high at 0.83263 before stalling. Higher lows hold along the rising trendline from the 0.83024 Asian low, with firm US yields and haven flows into USD behind the move. RSI(14) near 58 is not stretched.
Support: 0.8318, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83263 session high opens the 0.8330 round number
Break of the rising trendline and a close back below the 0.8318 Asian high would mark a failed breakout, putting the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg near 0.8314 in play
Loss of 0.8314 brings the 0.83024 Asian low back into view
ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC, Fed Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asian low; false break above monday high.
A higher-lows chain off the 0.8302 Asian low carried USDCHF through the 0.8318 Asian high on haven USD demand. The London open poke to the 0.8326 session high above the 0.8324 monday high failed to hold, and price now pivots near 0.8320, still above the rising trendline and the 0.8315 London low.
Support: 0.83182, 0.83151, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 session high would invalidate the false-break read at the monday high
Close back below the 0.8318 Asian high and 0.8315 London low would break the rising trendline and expose the 50–61.8% fib zone (0.8314–0.8312)
Failure there opens a path back toward the 0.8302 Asian low
ADP at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could shift the read during NY hours
Higher lows from Asian low; London broke Asian range high, upper wicks at 0.8326.
Early London broke the Asian range high at 0.8318 and pushed to a 0.8326 session high just above Monday's 0.8324 prior high. Repeated upper wicks there show rejection, and price is back at the 0.8320 cap flagged in CHF haven flows. Higher lows from the 0.8303 Asian low are intact, and RSI(14) is neutral near 58.
Support: 0.83182, 0.83151, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 session high clears the 0.8320 cap and the prior high
Loss of the 0.8315 swing low breaks the higher lows chain and puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 0.8303 Asian low below
Holding the 0.8318 Asian high on this pullback keeps the breakout read intact
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) on October hike odds could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Uptrend since Asia low, testing prior high · RSI 64 · price 0.83232
Higher lows since Asia; London broke Asian range high to new 24h high.
USD/CHF broke out of the Asian range (0.8302–0.8319) into the London open and printed a 0.8326 session high, just past yesterday's 0.8324 prior high. Buyers absorbed the 07:15 UTC dip to the 0.8315 London low, keeping the higher-low chain from the 0.8302 Asian low intact. Price is now pressing the 0.8320 area that capped the pair yesterday, with USD firm on record-cycle yields.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83151, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83259, 0.8330
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8326 session high opens the 0.8330 round number
Return below the 0.8319 asian high marks the London break as a false break
M15 close below the 0.8315 london low breaks the higher-low trendline
Loss of the 0.8302 asian low unwinds the move off the overnight low
ADP 12:15 UTC, Williams 13:05 UTC and Bowman 14:45 UTC on Oct hike odds could shift this read in NY hours
Higher lows off the Asian low; London break above the Asian range met rejection at 0.8326.
Early London lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8302–0.8318 Asian range and briefly through Monday's 0.8324 prior high to a 0.8326 session high. The bar was rejected back to 0.8320, the area the CHF digest flags as a cap even with USD firm on 5.3% UST yields. Rising lows from the 0.8302 Asian low are intact, and the 0.8318 Asian high is now the retest level.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83134, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83239, 0.83259
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8318 asian high turns the London range break into a false break
Close above the 0.8326 session high clears the prior high and the 0.8320 cap
Loss of the 0.8313 swing low breaks the rising lows from the asian low
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through Asia pressing a flat 0.8322–0.8324 ceiling.
London open finds USDCHF pinned under the 0.8324 prior high, a ceiling that capped Monday's NY session (0.83239, 0.83233) and the Asian high at 0.83227. Higher lows through Asia from the 0.8303 asian low (0.83104 swing low, then a 0.83134 higher low) compress price into that cap, which matches the digest's 0.8320 ceiling as the USD holds near YTD highs.
Support: 0.83134, 0.83104, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8324 prior high breaks the cap and ends the range read
Loss of the 0.8313 higher low, then the 0.8310 swing low, breaks the Asian higher-low line and exposes the 0.8303 asian low
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) in NY hours could shift this read via October hike repricing
06:46 UTC
Intraday higher lows, pressing range top · RSI 60 · price 0.83194
Asian higher-low chain from 0.8302 testing the 0.8322–0.8324 cap.
Asia built higher lows off the 0.8302 asian low and the 0.8310 swing low, carrying price into the 0.8322 asian high just below yesterday's 0.8324 prior high, which has now capped price three times as London open approaches. RSI(14) near 60 is not stretched. The cap matches the digest's read of USD/CHF stalling below 0.8320 despite USD near YTD highs.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83221, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 prior high breaks the day's range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8310 swing low (near the 61.8% of the Asia swing fib) breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 0.8302 asian low
Rejection at the 0.8322 asian high into London open keeps the range read intact
ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 / Bowman 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 0.8303 Asian low; Asian high breached, triple-tested cap above.
Asia built a higher-low chain off the 0.8303 Asian low, and the pre-London push cleared the 0.8318 Asian high to a 0.8322 session high before fading. That is the third rejection at 0.8322-0.8324 after yesterday's NY prior high, matching the 0.8320 cap noted in the CHF digest with USD firm near YTD highs.
Support: 0.83182, 0.83104, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83221, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 prior high breaks the triple-tested cap
Failure to hold back above the 0.8318 Asian high turns the session high into a rejection
Loss of the 0.8310 higher low and the rising trendline breaks the Asian HL chain, exposing the 0.8303 Asian low
ADP 4-wk avg 12:15 UTC, Fed Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 could reprice USD intraday
06:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, pressing range top · RSI 58 · price 0.83199
Range 0.8302–0.8324 since Monday NY, rising lows into a flat cap.
Asia climbed off the 0.8302 Asian low via rising lows at 0.8310 into a test of the 0.8322 session high, just under the 0.8324 Monday high that capped price twice during NY hours. The ceiling matches the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest, with USD held firm by long-end yields. RSI(14) at 58 and ATR near 3.4 pips point to a quiet tape heading into London open.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83221, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 monday high breaks the cap in place since Monday's NY session
Loss of the 0.8310 swing low breaks the rising lows and reopens the 0.8302 asian low
A break below the 0.8285 monday low exits the 24h range to the downside
ADP 4-wk average (12:15 UTC), Fed Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Sideways, higher lows pressing range top · RSI 55 · price 0.83167
Asian range 0.8302–0.8319 with higher low at 0.8310, price at range high.
Asia session rotated inside 0.8302–0.8319, printing a higher low at the 0.8310 swing low and pressing the Asian high ahead of London open, where three rejections have held so far. Yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8324 sits just above, roughly the 0.8320 cap flagged as USD firmness on record yields meets CHF fiscal-haven demand.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83185, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 prior high breaks the 0.8320 cap and the range-top read
Loss of the 0.8310 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and reopens the 0.8302 Asian low
A break of the 0.8302 Asian low puts the 0.8285 prior low from yesterday's London session back in play
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could shift October hike odds and this read
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 compressing beneath a flat cap.
Late Asia session. With USD firm near YTD highs, USDCHF is pressing the 0.8318 Asian high, rejected there three times overnight, while higher lows at the 0.8302 Asian low and 0.8310 tighten the range. Yesterday's London-NY rally from 0.8285 to the 0.8324 prior high held its 50% fib retracement near 0.8304.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high toward the 0.8320 cap and 0.8324 prior high ends the range read at London open
Loss of the 0.8310 higher low breaks the Asian higher-low trendline and reopens the 0.8302 asian low
Close below 0.8302 puts the rally fib 61.8% near 0.8300 in play
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could reprice October hike odds and shift this read
05:31 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift in Asia · RSI 55 · price 0.83153
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 with a higher low at 0.8310.
Late Asia is holding the upper half of a 0.8302–0.8318 Asian range, with a higher low at the 0.8310 swing low ahead of the London open. Yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8324 was tagged twice and capped near the 0.8320 area, as USD stays firm on record long-end yields.
Support: 0.83104, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high puts the 0.8324 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.8310 swing low breaks the asian higher lows and exposes the 0.8302 asian low
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) could shift USD tone during the NY session
05:16 UTC
Intraday range, mild higher-low drift in Asia · RSI 58 · price 0.83151
Late-Asia compression inside the 0.8302–0.8318 Asian range; higher low at 0.8310.
Late Asia session, about 1h45 before London open. USD/CHF is compressing inside the 0.8302–0.8318 Asian range after a 50% pullback of the Asian leg held at the 0.8310 asian hl, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 3 pips. Supply capped yesterday's London-NY trade twice at 0.8323–0.8324 (prior high), in line with the 0.8320 cap linked to CHF haven demand despite firm USD.
Support: 0.83104, 0.83024
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high into London open puts the 0.8324 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.8310 asian hl and the Asian higher-low trendline exposes the 0.8302 asian low
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could reprice October hike odds and shift this read
05:03 UTC
Sideways, mild upward tilt in Asia · RSI 60 · price 0.8316
Asian range 0.8303–0.8318 with a higher low at 0.8310; prior NY high 0.8324 capping.
Late Asia session. Price at 0.8316 sits in the upper half of the Asian range (0.8303–0.8318) after a 50% pullback of the Asian range rebound left a higher low at 0.8310. Monday's NY prior high at 0.8324 drew rejection twice, matching the ~0.8320 cap seen while USD holds YTD highs on 10y yields near 5.34%.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high reopens a test of the 0.8324 prior high
Loss of the 0.8310 higher low exposes the 0.8303 asian low and the rising support line
ADP 12:15, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Range, upward tilt in late Asia · RSI 61 · price 0.83158
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 with a higher low at 0.8310; price pressing the range top.
Late Asia session: price is back at the Asian high near 0.8318 after a higher low at 0.8310, right on the 50% retrace of the 0.8302–0.8318 leg, with ATR compressed to about 3 pips. Just above sit the 0.8320 cap and yesterday's 0.8324 prior high. USD is holding near YTD highs on long-end yields and has met supply there twice.
Support: 0.83104, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.8320, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high puts the 0.8320 cap and the 0.8324 prior high back in play
Loss of the 0.8310 higher low and the rising trendline returns price to the 0.8302 asian low
London open in ~2h is likely to expand the compressed Asian range
ADP 4-wk avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Sideways after NY high, minor higher low · RSI 58 · price 0.83145
Late Asia range 0.8303–0.8318 below prior high.
Late Asia session is ranging inside 0.8303–0.8318. Yesterday's NY rally on the safe-haven USD bid stalled at the 0.8324 prior high, just above the 0.8320 cap. The 0.8310 higher low held near a 50% retrace of the overnight leg; RSI(14) is around 58 and ATR is about 3.6 pips, so no extension is in play.
Support: 0.83104, 0.83025
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high reopens the 0.8324 prior high and the 0.8320 cap area
Failure to hold the 0.8310 higher low exposes the 0.8303 asian low; a break there confirms a lower-low
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY hours could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Flat, mild Asia rebound inside range · RSI 56 · price 0.83133
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 nested in Monday's 0.8285–0.8324 range.
Late Asia session, price is holding the 50% fib of the 0.8302–0.8318 Asian leg after a USD safe-haven bid lifted it off the asian low. Supply capped NY hours twice at the 0.8323–0.8324 prior high, a double top just above the 0.8320 cap, so the pair is rotating inside Monday's range with the monday low at 0.8285 as the floor.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high exposes the 0.8324 prior high and the 0.8320 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8310 50% fib reopens the 0.8302 asian low
Break of the 0.8285 monday low invalidates the range read
London open in under 3h is likely to break the Asian range
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could reprice Fed hike odds and shift this read
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 below yesterday's NY double peak.
Late Asia session has held a 0.8302–0.8318 range under yesterday's NY double top at the 0.8324 prior high, where supply sat just above the 0.8320 cap linked to CHF haven demand even with USD at YTD highs. Demand stepped in near the asian low twice overnight, and price is mid-range at 0.8312 with RSI(14) ~48. It is flat on EMA50 and just under EMA20, a third of the way back into yesterday's rally fib from the 0.8285 prior low.
Support: 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian high 0.8318 puts the 0.8324 prior high and 0.8320 cap back in play
Break of the asian low 0.8302 and the 61.8% rally fib near 0.8300 shifts focus to the 0.8285 prior low
London open in ~3h is likely to set the session range out of the Asian box
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) during NY hours could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.8303–0.8318 below Monday's double top.
Monday's London-NY rally from the 0.8285 Monday low stalled twice at the 0.8323–0.8324 Monday high, just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest. Price faded into late NY. Asia has since ranged between the 0.8303 Asian low and the 0.8318 Asian high on safe-haven USD demand, with the highs sloping lower. Price is now retracing to mid-range near the 50% of the Asian swing, with RSI(14) at 44 and price sitting just under flat EMAs.
Support: 0.8303, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 Asian high breaks the lower-highs line and puts the 0.8324 Monday high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8303 Asian low exposes the 0.8285 Monday low
ADP (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) later today could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 54 · price 0.83151
Range 0.8302–0.8324 with descending highs; Asian session rebounding from the range floor.
USDCHF has ranged 0.8302–0.8324 since Monday's NY session high, with lower highs at 0.8323 and the 0.8318 Asian high capping rallies just under the 0.8320 former-support area. The Asian dip held 0.8302, the Asian low, near the 50% fib of the London-NY rally. Price has recovered toward the Asian high on safe-haven USD demand. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 session high breaks the lower-highs line and the 0.8320 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8302 Asian low exposes the 0.8285 day low and the 61.8% fib near 0.8300
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) in NY hours could shift Fed hike pricing and this range
Asia range 0.8303–0.8318 inside yesterday's 0.8285–0.8324 band; higher lows since London low.
Mid-Asia session. Price swept the late-NY low to an asian low of 0.8303 at 01:15 UTC, then recovered to the 0.8318 asian high and is now holding just under it, with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8324 sits just above the 0.8320 cap flagged in coverage. USD at YTD highs on 10y yields keeps dips shallow, while CHF haven demand caps the top.
Support: 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8324 prior high clears the 0.8320 cap and breaks yesterday's range top
Failure to hold the 0.8303 asian low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8285 london low
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could shift Fed hike pricing into the London-NY transition
Asia higher-low rebound pressing the Asian high beneath the 0.8323–0.8324 range top.
Asia session dipped below Monday's late lows to the 0.8302 Asian low, then rebounded to retest the Asian high at 0.8318. That leaves price just under the 0.8323–0.8324 range top that capped NY twice, the same 0.8320 area the CHF digest flags as a cap despite USD at YTD highs; RSI(14) is near 58 and ATR(14) is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8310, 0.83024, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 range top breaks the two-touch cap and invalidates the range read
Rejection at the asian high with a slip under the fib 50% (0.8310) returns focus to the 0.8302 asian low
Loss of the 0.8302 asian low reopens Monday's London prior low at 0.8285
ADP 4-week avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) in the London-NY transition could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing range top · RSI 62 · price 0.83181
0.8303–0.8324 range since NY; Asia higher lows off 0.8303.
Asia session rebounded from a 0.8303 asian low, a marginal undercut of the overnight base, and is back at the 0.8318 asian high, pressing the descending line off the 0.8324 prior high, with price above ema20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 62. The USD tone sits at YTD highs, but the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest has capped Asia rallies so far.
Support: 0.8311, 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83182, 0.8320, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8324 prior high breaks the descending line and the 0.8320 cap, ending the range read
Rejection at the asian high and a slip back under the ema20 at 0.8311 returns price to mid-range
Failure to hold the 0.8303 asian low exposes the rising lows line and the 0.8285 london low
US ADP 4-week avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams/Bowman in NY hours could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Sideways, Asia recovery from range lows · RSI 57 · price 0.83142
0.8302–0.8324 range since Monday NY, capped by lower highs.
Monday's NY rally on the YTD-high USD topped at the 0.83239 ny high, and every bounce since has printed a lower high, consistent with the 0.8320 cap flagged in the digest. Asia dipped through the 0.83040 ny lows to a 0.83025 asian low before recovering to 0.8314, upper half of the Asian range and just under the lower highs line, with RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 0.83025, 0.8304, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83176 asian high breaks the lower highs line and puts the 0.83239 ny high back in play
Failure below the 0.83025 asian low and 0.83040 ny lows reopens Monday's 0.82854 london low
ADP 4-week avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) in the NY session could shift USD hike pricing and this range read
02:16 UTC
Sideways, intraday recovery in Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.83128
Inside Monday's 0.8285–0.8324 range; lower high at the Asian high.
The Asia session faded from the 0.8318 Asian high to 0.8303, then recovered to 0.8313. That retraces roughly 70% of the drop and leaves a lower high under Monday's 0.8324 high, where the USD bid from the YTD-high dollar has repeatedly stalled near the 0.8320 cap. RSI(14) is neutral at 56 and ATR is under 4 pips, so the pair is still ranging inside Monday's span.
Support: 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high reopens the monday high at 0.8324 and the 0.8320 cap
Failure to hold the 0.8303 asian low exposes Monday's london low at 0.8285
A close above the lower-high line from 0.8324 breaks the descending sequence
US ADP 4-week avg (12:15 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) in the London-NY transition could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Range, mid-Asia rotation · RSI 53 · price 0.83105
Monday double top at 0.8323-0.8324; Asian range 0.8302-0.8318.
Monday's leg from the 0.8285 london low ran into a double top at 0.8323-0.8324 through NY hours, just under the 0.8320 former-support cap flagged in the CHF digest. Tuesday's Asia session spiked to 0.8318 on haven USD demand, then faded to the 0.8302 asia low and is rotating near 0.8310, about the 38.2% retrace of that london-ny leg. RSI(14) sits flat near 53 with ATR around 3.6 pips, so there is no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.83025, 0.8304, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8318 asia high puts the 0.8324 double top back in play; a break there reopens the 0.8320 cap area
Failure to hold the 0.8302 asia low and the 0.8304 late ny lows exposes the 50-61.8% zone of the london-ny leg toward 0.8300-0.8299
London open could resolve the 0.8302-0.8318 Asian range
US 10y yield moves and ADP / Williams / Bowman later Tuesday could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.8302–0.8318 nested inside Monday's 0.8285–0.8324 range; lower highs since the 0.83239 peak.
In the Asia session, an early push to the 0.83176 session high was rejected. Price then swept the overnight lows to a 0.83025 session low and recovered to 0.8307, near the 50% retrace of Monday's London-NY rally fib. Monday's 0.83239 prior high was a brief probe above the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest; RSI(14) is neutral near 49.
Support: 0.83025, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.83025 session low exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.8300, then the 0.82854 monday low
Recovery above the 0.83176 session high reopens the 0.83239 prior high / 0.8320 cap
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:05 / Bowman 14:45 UTC, plus 10y UST yields near 5.34%, could shift this read later in the day
Lower highs from 0.8324 day high; overnight floor broken.
The early Asia push to the 0.8318 asian high faded, and price slipped through the 0.8304 broken floor that held after NY. That extends the lower highs from Monday's 0.8324/0.8323 double top at the day high, which sits just under the 0.8320 cap flagged despite USD at YTD highs. Price is now pressing the 0.8300 round number near the 61.8% of the London-NY leg, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.8300, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83045, 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 0.8304 broken floor negates the range break
Loss of the 0.8300 round number / 61.8% of the London-NY leg exposes the 0.8285 london low
Close above the 0.8318 asian high breaks the lower highs sequence and reopens the 0.8324 day high
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) later Tuesday could reset the intraday read
01:16 UTC
Sideways after NY fade, lower highs · RSI 50 · price 0.8308
Late-NY range 0.8304–0.8310 below a 0.8324 double top.
An early-Asia pop on safe-haven USD demand stalled at the 0.8318 Asian high, below the 0.8320 cap, and faded back into the late-NY range. That leaves a lower high under Monday's 0.8324 NY high double top. Price sits just above the 0.8304 swing low, which lines up with the 50% fib of the London-NY leg; RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and ATR(14) is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.83045, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83176, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8304 swing low breaks the range and exposes the 0.8285 London low
Close above the 0.8318 Asian high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.8324 NY high
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) later Tuesday could shift Fed hike pricing and this read
Double top 0.8324 then lower high 0.8318; holding above 0.8304 NY low.
The Monday rally ran from the 0.8285 London low to a 0.8324 double top in NY around ISM. It stalled just under the 0.8320 cap as CHF haven demand capped gains. Early Asia popped to 0.8318, a lower high, and was rejected; price is back at 0.8306 with the 0.8304 NY low near the 50% fib underneath, RSI(14) 41.
Support: 0.8304, 0.8300, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8304 NY low exposes the 0.8300 round number and 61.8% fib
Loss of 0.8300 brings the 0.8285 London low into view
Close above the 0.8318 Asia high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8324 double top
ADP (12:15 UTC), Fed's Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Sideways after NY rally, upper half of day range · RSI 57 · price 0.83118
Lower high under 0.8324 NY high; early-Asia pop from overnight range rejected at 0.8318.
Monday's London low at 0.8285 gave way to a rally through NY that stalled at the 0.8324 NY high, just over the 0.8320 cap, as USD pressed YTD highs on 5.34% 10y yields. A lower high led to a pullback to the range low at 0.8305, the 50% fib of the London-NY rally, and an 0.8304–0.8310 overnight range. Early Asia popped from the range top to the 0.8318 Asian high and was rejected; RSI(14) is near 57, ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8309, 0.8305, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8324
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8309 range top returns price to the overnight range, with the 0.8305 range low / 50% fib next
M15 close above the 0.8318 asian high reopens the 0.8324 ny high and the 0.8320 cap
Break of the 0.8305 range low exposes the 0.8285 london low
ADP 12:15 UTC, Fed's Williams 13:05 and Bowman 14:45 UTC could shift USD tone later today
00:31 UTC
Intraday rebound, pressing range top · RSI 69 · price 0.83161
Asian break of late-NY range, under double top.
Early Asia lifted USD/CHF out of the 0.8304–0.8310 late-NY range to an Asian high of 0.8318. RSI(14) is near 69 and the move came with the dollar holding YTD highs on yields. Price now sits just under the 0.8320 cap, with Monday's double top at 0.8324 overhead, while the 0.8308 swing low and the 0.8304 NY low frame the downside.
Support: 0.8308, 0.8304, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8320, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8324 clears the double top and the 0.8320 cap.
Loss of the asian upline and the 0.8308 swing low returns price to the late-NY range. The 0.8304 NY low comes next, and below it the 0.8285 day low.
ADP (12:15 UTC), Williams (13:05) and Bowman (14:45) later today could shift USD tone and this read.
Higher low at 0.8304 after NY pullback; 0.8304–0.8310 range broken upward.
The late-NY pullback held the 50% fib of the London low to session high rally at 0.8304. Early Asia has lifted price out of its 0.8304–0.8311 range to test Monday's Asia high at 0.8316, with the 0.8323–0.8324 session high, tested twice in NY, sitting just above the 0.8320 cap flagged as USD holds YTD highs on 5.34% 10y yields.
Support: 0.8311, 0.8304, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8316, 0.8324
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8316 Asia high exposes the 0.8324 session high and the 0.8320 cap zone
Slip back below the 0.8311 range top turns the break into a false break and returns focus to the 0.8304 50% fib
Loss of 0.8304 opens the path toward the 0.8285 London low
ADP 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams/Bowman during NY hours could materially shift this read
Double top at 0.8323-24 retraced to 50% fib; quiet Asia base now lifting.
Monday's NY rally from the 0.82854 london low capped at the 0.83239 session high, with a second test at 0.83233 forming a double top near the 0.8320 cap the digest flags. The fade held the 50% fib at the 0.8304 swing low, and early Asia is now pushing into Monday's 0.83159 asia high on a thin ~3-pip ATR as USD holds YTD highs on EUR weakness and Middle East tensions.
Support: 0.8304, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83159, 0.83239
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.83159 asia high puts the 0.83239 session high and double top back in play
Break of the 0.83239 session high clears the 0.8320 cap area
Failure to hold the 0.8304 swing low and rising support exposes the 0.82854 london low
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) later Tuesday could materially shift this read