24h range 0.8317–0.8342, lower highs from day high.
USDCHF held a 0.8317–0.8342 range through London and NY. The yield-driven push to the 0.8342 day high faded as yields eased after the hawkish FOMC minutes, leaving a chain of lower highs. Since the rollover gap lower, early Asia has drifted to the 0.8327 session low, sitting on the 61.8% of the NY rally fib with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR around 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.83265, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.83323, 0.83417
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8327 session low exposes the 0.8317 day low and range floor
M15 close above the 0.8332 session high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.8342 day high
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and US jobless claims could materially shift this range read
USD/CHF has faded from the 0.8342 day high as yields eased after the hawkish FOMC minutes. Lower highs at the 0.8337 swing high and the 0.8332 session high are pressing a flat base at the 0.8327 session low, which held at 18:00 UTC and again after the rollover gap. Early Asia session is quiet in a 0.8327–0.8332 band, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) under 3 pips.
Support: 0.83266, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83323, 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 session low breaks the flat base and exposes the 0.8317 day low
Close above the 0.8332 session high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.8337 swing high, then the 0.8342 day high
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
0.8317–0.8342 day range, compressing into lower highs and higher lows.
Two-way NY trade built a 0.8317–0.8342 range. The post-minutes bounce stalled at the 0.8337 swing high, leaving lower highs from the 0.8342 day high, while lows have stepped up from the 0.8318 NY low. The Asia session is drifting between the 0.8327 asian low and 0.8332 asian high after a rollover gap, below both EMAs, with ATR(14) contracted to under 3 pips.
Support: 0.83266, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83323, 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8332 asian high breaks the lower-highs line and the compression read
Failure to hold the 0.8327 asian low opens the higher-lows line toward the 0.8318 ny low and 0.8317 day low
Close above the 0.8342 day high, past the 0.8337 swing high, ends the range read
Fed's Waller 08:30 UTC and US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift since NY · RSI 39 · price 0.83276
Day range 0.8317–0.8342 with lower highs since the NY peak.
Early Asia session: price is parked at 0.8328, on the 61.8% retrace of the 0.8318 NY low to 0.8342 day high leg. It faded from the 0.8337 minutes high as yields eased after the hawkish FOMC minutes. Highs are stepping lower inside the 0.8317–0.8342 day range, RSI(14) near 39 and ATR(14) under 3 pips.
Support: 0.83266, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.8327 asia low puts the 0.8318 ny low and 0.8317 day low back in focus
M15 close above the 0.8337 minutes high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.8342 day high
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could break the day range either way
22:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum soft · RSI 41 · price 0.83279
24h range 0.8317–0.8342, early Asia drifting toward the lower half.
USDCHF spent London and NY inside a 0.8317–0.8342 range. Supply capped the 0.8342 day high, and the post-FOMC-minutes fade plus the rollover gap left price at 0.8328, near the 61.8% retracement of the NY 0.8318–0.8342 leg. Early Asia is quiet between the 0.8327 Asia low and the 0.8332 Asia high, RSI(14) at 41, with the hawkish minutes not producing USD follow-through.
Support: 0.83266, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83323, 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
Hold of the 0.8327 asia low and 61.8% fib keeps the range read intact; a break exposes the 0.8318 ny low
Loss of the 0.8317 day low breaks the 24h range floor
Close above the 0.8332 asia high reopens the 0.8337 swing high and the 0.8342 day high
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs from 0.8342 pressing flat 0.8327 lows inside 0.8317–0.8342 day range.
USDCHF has held a 0.8317–0.8342 range for 24h, and USD demand on yields and oil was offset by the late-NY easing in yields. Since the 0.8342 day high, highs have stepped lower at 0.8337 and 0.8332. Early Asia session has price sitting on the 0.8327 swing low, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.8317–0.8342 leg, with RSI(14) ~34.
Support: 0.83266, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83323, 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 swing low breaks the flat base and exposes the 0.8317 day low
Recovery above the 0.8332 lower high and the lower-highs trendline ends the sequence; 0.8337 prior high and 0.8342 day high are the next levels
Thu Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Sideways, mid-range · RSI 48 · price 0.83292
0.8318–0.8342 intraday range, higher lows since NY-hours floor test.
London and NY held USDCHF in a 0.8318–0.8342 range, with demand at the range floor three times and the 0.8342 day high capping, despite the firm USD yield backdrop. The dip after the FOMC Minutes held 0.8327, the 61.8% of the NY rally, and a rollover gap lower has price mid-range near 0.8329 into the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.83266, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
Close above the late NY high at 0.8337 puts the 0.8342 day high back in play
Failure to hold the minutes low at 0.8327 exposes the range floor at 0.8318
Break of the 0.8318 range floor or the 0.8342 day high ends the range read
Fed's Waller and US Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Sideways, flat around EMA20/50 · RSI 51 · price 0.83303
0.8317–0.8342 day range; lower highs since the 16:15 UTC peak.
USDCHF has spent 24h in a 0.8317–0.8342 range. The day low base held three tests through London and NY before the run to the 16:15 UTC day high. The post-FOMC-minutes dip stalled at the minutes low of 0.8327, near the 61.8% fib of that leg. Price now sits mid-range at 0.8330 in thin early-Asia trade after rollover, RSI(14) ~51, beneath a lower highs line from 0.8342 to the late high at 0.8337.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the late high at 0.8337 breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.8342 day high
Failure to hold the minutes low at 0.8327 (61.8% fib) exposes the day low base near 0.8317
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could shift US yields and this range read
21:47 UTC
Sideways, range-bound in early Asia · RSI 49 · price 0.83297
0.8317–0.8342 day range; price at 50% of NY up-leg after thin rollover gap.
The NY session rallied from the 0.8317 range floor, tested three times since London open, to a 0.8342 day high on firm USD. That leg faded into the FOMC Minutes as yields eased, and the dip held at the 0.8327 minutes low before a late high at 0.8337. A thin rollover gap has left price at the 50% fib of the NY leg, just under both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR around 3 pips in early Asia.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low (near 61.8% of the NY leg fib) exposes the 0.8317 range floor
Recovery through the 0.8337 late high reopens the 0.8342 day high; a close above it ends the range read
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Intraday range 0.8317–0.8342, lower high after FOMC Minutes.
London and NY traded two-way inside 0.8317–0.8342. Supply capped price at a 0.8337 lower high below the 0.8342 day high after the FOMC Minutes, as US yields faded post-release. The rollover gap left price at 0.8329 in early Asia, just above the 0.8327 fomc low, with RSI(14) near 45 and no setup in play.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 fomc low exposes the 0.8317 session low, the range floor
Close above the 0.8337 lower high reopens a test of the 0.8342 day high
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
0.8317–0.8342 range since London; lower high after FOMC Minutes.
After a steady Asia-session climb from 0.8309, USDCHF has rotated inside a 0.8317–0.8342 range through London and NY, with the day low at 0.8317 holding twice. The FOMC Minutes produced only a dip to the 0.8327 minutes low and a lower high at 0.8337 as yields faded. The rollover gap lower leaves price at 0.8329, under both EMAs and near the 50–61.8% retracement of the NY leg (fib).
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83336, 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low exposes the 0.8317 day low, the range floor
Gap fill back to 0.8334 plus a close above the 0.8337 lower high reopens the 0.8342 day high
Break of the lower highs trendline would undo the post-Minutes fade
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) on Thursday could break the range either side
0.8317–0.8342 day range; post-minutes higher lows.
USDCHF has spent London and NY swinging inside a 0.8317–0.8342 band, with the day low holding twice and the day high at 0.8342 capping the afternoon rally. The dip after the hawkish-but-priced FOMC Minutes stalled at the 0.8327 minutes low, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.8318–0.8342 leg. Price has since built higher lows into the late Asia transition, but the late high at 0.8337 is still capping.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 day high opens the 0.8365 range top
Break below the 0.8327 minutes low and the post-minutes higher lows line puts the 0.8317 day low back in play
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift since the FOMC Minutes · RSI 55 · price 0.83343
USDCHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8342 band through London and NY. The 0.8342 day high was rejected mid-NY and price slid to the 0.8327 minutes low as yields faded after the FOMC Minutes. Rising lows since have lifted price back to 0.8334, capped at the 0.8337 late NY high, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR around 3 pips into a thin late-NY tape.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8337 late NY high retests the 0.8342 day high; clearing that puts the 0.8365 range top in view
Break of the 0.8327 minutes low ends the post-Minutes rising lows and reopens the 0.8317 london low
Waller 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
20:32 UTC
Sideways, range contracting · RSI 53 · price 0.83333
Lower high 0.8337 and higher low 0.8327 inside the 0.8317–0.8342 day range.
Late in the NY session, USDCHF sits mid-range at 0.8333. London and NY both failed to hold above the Asian high near 0.8336, and the move topped at the 0.8342 day high. The FOMC Minutes dip held 0.8327 as a higher low, and the bounce stalled at 0.8337 for a lower high, so the range is contracting between converging lower highs and higher lows, with RSI(14) neutral and EMAs flat at price.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8337 lower high puts the 0.8342 day high back in play; a break there ends the range read
Failure to hold the 0.8327 minutes low exposes the 0.8317 day low
Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could break the contraction either way
20:16 UTC
Sideways, compressing after NY volatility · RSI 51 · price 0.83346
Lower highs from 0.8342 against higher lows from 0.8318.
Late NY, USD/CHF is coiling at 0.8335. It sits between lower highs off the 0.8342 day high and higher lows from the 0.8318 London lows, with RSI(14) flat near 51. The FOMC Minutes dip held at the 0.8327 minutes low and demand lifted price back to the 0.8337 late high as the USD bid steadied.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83182
Resistance: 0.83372, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8337 late high and 0.8342 day high breaks the lower-highs line and opens the 0.8365 range top
Close below the 0.8327 minutes low breaks the higher-lows chain and exposes the 0.8318 London lows
Thin liquidity around the broker rollover can distort the next few bars
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Sideways, higher lows since 18:00 UTC · RSI 53 · price 0.83347
Lower high below 0.8342, higher lows off 0.8327; contracting.
USD/CHF whipsawed between the 0.8317 london low and the 0.8342 session high. The dip after the hawkish FOMC Minutes held at the 0.8327 minutes low, near the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally, and price has printed higher lows since. Late NY, price is coiling under the 0.8336 recent high with ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 session high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8365 range top in view
Loss of the 0.8327 minutes low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8318 ny low, then the 0.8317 london low
Thin Asia session ahead; Waller (08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) Thu could reset this read
Day range 0.8317–0.8342; higher low after minutes dip.
London and NY held a 0.8317–0.8342 range on the yields-and-oil USD bid, with the day low area at 0.8317–0.8319 defended three times. The FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC only drew a dip to the minutes low at 0.8327, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.8318–0.8342 leg. Price has since climbed back to 0.8335, just under the prior highs at 0.8339.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 day high breaks the range and brings the 0.8365 range top into view
Failure to hold the 0.8327 minutes low reopens the 0.8317 day low
Rejection at the 0.8339 prior highs keeps the range read intact into the Asian session
Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
0.8317–0.8342 range; higher lows since NY open; lower high at 0.8339 capping.
USD strength on yields and oil has kept USDCHF in a 0.8317–0.8342 range through London and NY. Higher lows have printed off the 0.8318 range floor, and the pullback from the 0.8342 session high held the fib 61.8 near 0.8327. The FOMC minutes drew a muted response, leaving price in the 0.8320–0.8330 pivot zone just above EMA20 and capped by a lower high at 0.8339.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83175
Resistance: 0.83391, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 lower high reopens the 0.8342 session high
Break of the 0.8327 swing low and the higher-lows trendline puts the 0.8318 range floor back in play
Thin liquidity around the broker-midnight rollover; the window opened with a 7-pip rollover gap
Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) could break the range
Higher highs inside 0.8317–0.8342 day range, rising lows since 14:15 UTC.
Late NY, after the FOMC minutes: the pullback from the 0.8342 day high held the 0.8327 minutes low, close to the 61.8% of the NY leg fib, and price is back at 0.8332. Today's reaction to the minutes was muted, with lows defended at 0.8317–0.8320 three times and the day low still intact.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83391, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 swing high reopens the 0.8342 day high
Failure to hold the 0.8327 minutes low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8317 day low
Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled USD risk
19:02 UTC
Sideways, fading from day high · RSI 39 · price 0.83299
0.8317–0.8342 range through London/NY, lower highs since 15:45 UTC.
London and NY traded a 0.8317–0.8342 range, with dips to the range floor near 0.8318 bought three times. The NY day high at 0.8342 drew a rejection, and price has faded along a lower-high fade line to the 50% fib of the NY leg at 0.8330. Reaction to the FOMC minutes has been muted so far, with the minutes low at 0.8327 holding.
Support: 0.83267, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.83389, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low exposes the 0.8318 range floor
Close above the 0.8339 prior highs and the 0.8342 day high breaks the range and the fade line
Holding the 50% fib at 0.8330 keeps price mid-range
Waller (08:30 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could shift the range read
0.8317–0.8342 day range; lower highs off session high.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8342 session high in NY trade and has printed lower highs since, easing to the 50% retracement of the 0.8317–0.8342 leg below both EMAs. The FOMC Minutes drew a muted reaction, with the 0.8327 minutes low holding so far and the day still capped inside the 0.8317–0.8342 range.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83338, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low exposes the 61.8% of the 0.8317–0.8342 leg and the 0.8317 session low
Close above the 0.8334 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 0.8342 session high
Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Intraday range, mild fade from day high · RSI 49 · price 0.8330
0.8317–0.8342 day range; lower highs since 15:45 UTC, lows holding.
The NY session rally on the firm-USD/yield backdrop topped at the 0.8342 day high, then faded on a fade line of lower highs into the FOMC Minutes. The 18:00 UTC Minutes bar dipped to 0.8327, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.8318 swing low to day high move, and held. Price now sits at the 50% fib around 0.8330, inside a range whose 0.8317–0.8319 swing low drew buyers three times today.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low exposes the 0.8318 swing low and the day-range floor
Break of the fade line and a close above 0.8339 prior highs puts the 0.8342 day high back in play
Late NY reaction to the FOMC Minutes, then Fed's Waller Thu 08:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Two-way range, mild pullback off day high · RSI 52 · price 0.83299
Wide intraday range 0.8317–0.8342, lower highs since 15:45 UTC.
London and NY both swung inside 0.8317–0.8342. Demand held the london low at 0.8317 and the ny low at 0.8318, while the day high at 0.8342 printed at 15:45 UTC on the oil/yield-driven USD bid. A lower-high sequence since then has pulled price to a 61.8% retrace of the NY swing, and the 18:00 UTC FOMC Minutes bar held a contained 4-pip range, leaving the minutes low at 0.8327.
Support: 0.83267, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83338, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8327 minutes low and 61.8% retrace exposes the 0.8318 ny low / 0.8317 london low floor
Close back above the 0.8334 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8342 day high
Delayed repricing of the FOMC Minutes in US yields could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Range-bound, fading from NY high · RSI 50 · price 0.83293
0.8317–0.8342 day range; lower highs since the NY peak.
Yield-driven USD demand held the 0.8317–0.8319 day low three times across London and NY. The NY push to a 0.8342 day high met rejection and faded into a run of lower highs. Price now sits on the 0.8329 pullback low, between the 50% and 61.8% of the NY rally fib, with RSI(14) flat at 50 and ATR near 5 pips going into the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.8329, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8342
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC land on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8329 pullback low exposes the 0.8318 day low
Close above the 0.8334 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.8342 day high back in play
Close beyond the 0.8342 day high or the 0.8318 day low ends the intraday range read
0.8317–0.8342 intraday range, pulling back from new session high.
USD/CHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8342 band through London and NY. Buyers defended the range floor three times, and broad USD strength on 24-year-high Treasury yields and $100+ Brent lifted price to a 0.8342 session high at 15:45 UTC. Late NY, price is easing back toward the 38.2% fib of that leg near 0.8333 ahead of FOMC Minutes, with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.8329, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8342 session high breaks the range top; the 0.8339 prior highs capped twice before
Loss of the 0.8329 pullback low puts the 61.8% fib near 0.8327 in play
M15 close below the 0.8318 range floor ends the higher-low sequence
Wide session range 0.8317–0.8342, lower highs since day high.
London and NY both swung between the 0.8317–0.8318 lows and the 0.8339 range top. NY then printed a day high at 0.8342 on the yields- and oil-driven USD bid. Price has since eased with lower highs to the 38.2% fib of the 0.8318–0.8342 NY leg and sits on EMA20, RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.8329, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 day high breaks the range top cluster
Failure to hold the 0.8329 pullback low exposes the 0.8318 NY low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Sideways, two-way intraday chop · RSI 52 · price 0.83315
Day range 0.8317–0.8342 with a failed push above the range top.
USD/CHF has traded two-way in a 0.8317–0.8342 range through London and NY. A late-NY poke to the 0.8342 day high, just above the 0.8339 range top, did not hold. Price is now retracing the NY leg toward its 50% fib near the 0.8330 round number, with RSI(14) flat at 52 into the FOMC Minutes; the USD bid on yields and oil is meeting a capped franc.
Support: 0.8330, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.83417
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8330 round number exposes the 0.8317 day low and range floor
M15 close above the 0.8342 day high invalidates the range read
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:03 UTC
Sideways, higher highs at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.83352
London-NY range 0.8317–0.8342 above Asian range.
Since London open, USDCHF has traded a 0.8317–0.8342 range above the Asian range, with buyers stepping in at 0.8317–0.8320 three times. The NY rally to the 0.8342 session high met rejection back to the 0.8332 swing low, and price is holding just above the 38.2% of the NY rally fib with RSI(14) neutral at 56 as USD stays bid on yields and oil ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could break the 0.8317–0.8342 session range in either direction
M15 close above the 0.8342 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8332 swing low exposes the 61.8% of the NY rally fib near 0.8327 and the 0.8318 session low
16:47 UTC
Two-way range, rising swing lows since NY low · RSI 55 · price 0.83379
0.8317–0.8339 range, upside false break at session high.
USD/CHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8339 range through London and NY on the yields/oil-driven USD bid. The 0.8317/0.8318 double low held, and the NY push to a 0.8342 session high closed back under the 0.8339 prior cap. After London close, the pullback found a swing low at 0.8332, near the 38.2% fib of the NY leg, extending rising lows into the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.83322, 0.83175
Resistance: 0.83389, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 session high clears the prior cap and opens 0.8365, the cited range top
Break of the 0.8332 swing low and the rising lows trendline returns price to mid-range
M15 close below the 0.8317 double low invalidates the range read to the downside
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~75 min) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF has swung inside a 0.8318–0.8339 range through London and NY, with the range floor holding three times. The NY leg off 0.8318 printed a 0.8342 session high on firm yields and oil, but closed back below the range top, a false break. Price is holding the 0.8332 pullback low near the 38.2% of that leg, RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8342 session high invalidates the false-break read and puts 0.8365 in view
Failure to hold the 0.8332 pullback low reopens the 0.8318 range floor
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC, about 1.5h away, could materially shift this read
Wide intraday range 0.8317–0.8342, upper edge just tested.
London and NY have swung inside 0.8317–0.8342, with dips to the 0.8317 swing low and the 0.8318 NY low both bought as yields and oil keep USD firm. The latest leg printed a marginal session high at 0.8342 above the 0.8339 prior high, then faded into London close; the 0.8332 pullback low is holding near the 38.2% fib of that leg.
Support: 0.83322, 0.83182, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.83389, 0.83417
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 0.8342 session high breaks the range top
Failure to hold the 0.8332 pullback low and the 50% fib near 0.8330 returns price to the range middle
Break below the 0.8318 NY low and 0.8317 swing low invalidates the higher-highs read
16:02 UTC
Intraday range, NY leg pressing the top · RSI 61 · price 0.8338
0.8317–0.8339 day range, triple low at the floor, top under test.
USDCHF has held a 0.8317–0.8339 range all day. Buyers stepped in at the 0.8318 day low three times (London open, midday, NY open) as USD firmed on higher yields and oil. The NY leg printed a marginal session high at 0.8342 after London close, but price is sitting just under the range top with RSI(14) at 61.
Support: 0.8328, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Closes above the 0.8342 session high open the 0.8365 range cap (UOB band top)
A drop back below the 0.8328 range mid, near the 38.2–50% fib of the NY leg, turns the push into a false break of the range top
Failure to hold the 0.8318 day low breaks the range floor trendline and the triple bottom read
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (2h) could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Intraday range, upper edge under test · RSI 58 · price 0.83394
London/NY range 0.8317–0.8340, third test of session high.
USD/CHF has held a 0.8317–0.8340 range through London and NY, with the range low at 0.8317–0.8319 holding three times. The NY rebound from 0.8318, helped by long-end yields keeping USD bid, is now pressing the 0.8339 session high for a third time. RSI(14) near 58, not stretched.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high breaks the range and opens UOB's 0.8365 range top
Rejection at 0.8339 again turns focus back to the 0.8327 swing low
Close below the 0.8318 range low invalidates the range read
0.8382 16m high is the stretch level if 0.8365 gives way
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding toward range top · RSI 56 · price 0.83345
0.8317–0.8339 London-NY range, higher low off 0.8318 double bottom.
USD/CHF has been boxed in 0.8317–0.8339 through London and NY. The range top at the 0.8339 session high has rejected four tests, while a double bottom at the 0.8318 swing low held. The latest 19-pip rebound on firm USD and rising Treasury yields has price pressing the 0.8336 asian high ahead of the FOMC Minutes, with RSI(14) at 56.
Support: 0.8328, 0.8318
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8339
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high breaks the London-NY range
Rejection at the 0.8336 asian high keeps price inside the range
Hold of the ema20 near 0.8328 keeps the rebound fib structure intact
Break below the 0.8318 swing low invalidates the double bottom
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London/NY range 0.8317–0.8339; repeated rejection at the highs.
London and NY have held a 0.8318–0.8339 range, with three rejections just above the 0.8336 asian high and the 0.8318 range low holding twice. Price has retraced about 64% of the 0.8339–0.8318 NY swing on yield-led USD strength, with RSI(14) neutral at 54 late in the NY morning.
Support: 0.8318, 0.8309
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8339
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 range high would break the session range rather than leave another false break
Failure to hold the 0.8318 range low exposes the 0.8309 asian low
Another stall under the 0.8336 asian high keeps the range read intact
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since NY open · RSI 51 · price 0.83254
0.8317–0.8339 intraday range; London and NY both failed at the day high, lows held twice near 0.8317.
USDCHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8339 band since London. The Asian advance on the broad USD bid stalled at the day high, which was rejected twice, and lower highs have printed since. The first-hour NY drop retested the session low near 0.8318, and price has since retraced roughly 38% of that NY drop to 0.8325, below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.83182, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.83389
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 asian high and 0.8339 day high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8318 session low opens the 0.8300 round number
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~3h out) could materially shift this read
14:47 UTC
Range-bound, rolling over from the session high · RSI 45 · price 0.83204
0.8317–0.8339 London-NY range, lower highs since 12:30 UTC, price testing the range floor.
London cleared the 0.8336 Asian high but stalled at a double top at 0.8338–0.8339 (09:00 and 12:30 UTC). The first hour of NY brought another rejection there, dropping price back to the 0.8317 session low, right around the 0.8320 pivot flagged in the digest. The pre-Minutes USD bid has not produced follow-through above the range top.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8328, 0.8336, 0.8339
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8317 session low breaks the range floor and completes the double top, opening the path to the 0.8300 round number
Recovery through the 0.8328 ny pivot puts the 0.8336 Asian high and the 0.8339 double top back in play
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Intraday range, fading off the highs · RSI 47 · price 0.83218
London/NY range 0.8317–0.8339; lower highs since 12:30 UTC.
NY session was rejected at the 0.8339 session high for a second time, putting in a double top with that morning's 0.8338. Lower highs at 0.8338 and the 0.8335 lower high followed, and price slid to 0.8318, about 78% back through the NY leg fib. The yield- and oil-driven USD bid has stalled into FOMC Minutes, and price now sits below EMA20/50 just above the 0.8317 session low, with the prior low at 0.8302 below.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8335, 0.8339
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8317 session low breaks the London/NY range and exposes the 0.8302 prior low
Recapture of the 0.8335 lower high puts the 0.8339 session high back in play
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~3.5h) could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, lower highs into NY · RSI 45 · price 0.83225
0.8317–0.8339 intraday range; double top at session high, lower highs since.
Asia carried USDCHF from 0.8308 to 0.8336, but London and NY have held a 0.8317–0.8339 band. A double top sits at the 0.8339 session high, with lower highs printing since. The first hour of NY dropped to a 0.83185 NY low, leaving price below both EMAs near the 0.8320 pivot, RSI(14) at 45, as the oil- and yield-driven USD bid stalls ahead of FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.83185, 0.83168, 0.8290
Resistance: 0.8335, 0.83389, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8317 swing low breaks the intraday range and exposes 0.8300 and the 0.8290 range floor
Close above the lower highs near 0.8335 and the 0.8339 session high negates the double top and opens the 0.8365 range top
Holding the 0.83185 NY low keeps the range read intact into the NY afternoon
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
Intraday range 0.8317–0.8339 with two rejections at the session high.
USD/CHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8339 range through London and the first NY hours. The session high at 0.8339 was rejected twice, while the NY rally off the London low has pulled back to its 50% retracement near the 0.8327 NY low. RSI(14) ~53 and price is hugging flat EMAs; the yield- and oil-driven USD firmness is not getting follow-through ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8317, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high breaks the range and opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8327 NY low (ny rally fib 50%) exposes the 0.8317 London low
Close below the 0.8317 London low opens the 0.8302 prior low from Tuesday's dip
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Sideways, two-way intraday chop · RSI 50 · price 0.83293
Range 0.8317–0.8339, higher low at 0.8328 under a flat cap.
USDCHF has traded a 0.8317–0.8339 range through London and early NY on firm USD as 10y yields hold above 5.30%. A false break of the London low at the 0.8317 session low reversed into a 22-pip NY leg, but the range cap at 0.8338–0.8339 has rejected four times since 09:00 UTC. Price sits mid-range at 0.8329 on a higher low, flat against EMA20/50, with RSI(14) at 50.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83168, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.83389, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 range cap opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8328 higher low puts the 0.8317 session low back in play; below there the 0.8302 prior low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; the CHF digest flags 0.8335 as the intraday cap
A hold above the 0.8328 midpoint of the NY leg fib keeps the range-top test structure intact
13:31 UTC
Intraday up from Asia, now flat below highs · RSI 57 · price 0.83374
Higher lows under a flat 0.8338–39 cap.
Firmer yields and oil ahead of the FOMC Minutes carried USDCHF up through Asia from the 0.8308 asian low. In the first hour of NY, price sits back at 0.8337 after three London tests of the 0.8338–39 session high were rejected. Dips held at a rising sequence of lows, from the 0.8317 london low to the 0.8328 higher low, compressing price under the cap. RSI(14) ~57, no extreme.
Support: 0.83278, 0.83168, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83389, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8328 higher low returns focus to the 0.8317 london low
Loss of 0.8317 exposes the 0.8308 asian low and unwinds the session's higher-low structure
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
0.8317–0.8339 intraday range, equal highs rejected at the top.
Early NY poked marginally through the 0.8338 London high to a 0.8339 session high, then reversed straight back inside the range. Price now sits near the 50% fib of the late-London rally from the 0.8317 session low, on flat EMAs. Firm USD on higher yields ahead of FOMC Minutes has kept the pair above 0.8300 but has not produced acceptance above the 0.8336 Asian high.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8339
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high breaks the range top and negates the equal-highs rejection
Failure to hold the 0.8323 swing low exposes the 0.8317 session low; a break there marks a lower-low below the fib
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London range 0.8317–0.8339, NY retesting the session high.
USDCHF has chopped in a 0.8317–0.8339 band since London opened. A dip under the Asian low was bought, and the NY upswing from the 0.8317 swing low printed a marginal new session high at 0.8339 before stalling back toward the fib 50% near 0.8332, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Firm USD on rebounding yields and oil into the FOMC Minutes keeps price above the 0.8320 pivot.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8320, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the fib 50% near 0.8332 puts the 0.8320 pivot back in focus
A break of the 0.8320 pivot and the 0.8317 swing low ends the London range to the downside
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the 10y auction could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday range, retesting the top · RSI 59 · price 0.83365
London range 0.8317–0.8339; sweep of the range low reversed into a retest of the session high at the NY open.
After the Asian climb, London chopped inside 0.8317–0.8339. A late-London dip to the 0.8317 london low swept the earlier 0.8319 trough and reversed sharply into the NY open, with firm USD and 10y yields above 5.30% lifting price back to the 0.8339 session high. RSI(14) is near 59, not stretched.
Support: 0.8328, 0.8320, 0.8317
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8339 session high breaks the London range and opens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 16-month hi
A second rejection at 0.8339 leaves a double-top shape over the range
The fib 50% near 0.8328 is the first pullback reference; losing the 0.8320 pivot reopens the 0.8317 london low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the 10y auction could materially shift this read
London whipsaw inside 0.8317–0.8338 after false break of Asian high.
London pushed briefly above the Asian high at 0.8336 to a 0.8338 session high, then faded to a 0.8317 session low. Price has since rebounded about 15 pips into the London-NY transition as firmer US yields and oil support USD, putting it back near 0.8332 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.83168, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.83383
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8338 session high breaks the London range and voids the false-break read
Loss of the 0.8317 session low exposes yesterday's prior low at 0.8302
Rebound stalling near 0.8336–0.8338 keeps the London fade structure intact
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and today's 10-year auction could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Two-way chop after an Asia-session grind higher · RSI 48 · price 0.83292
London false break above Asian high, range 0.8317–0.8338.
London pushed through the Asian high at 0.8336 to a session high of 0.8338, then reversed to a session low at 0.8317. Buyers stepped in there, and price is back near 0.8329, around 58% of the London swing fib, with RSI(14) neutral at 48. Firmer USD on 10y yields back above 5.30% is keeping the pair just above both EMAs ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8338, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8338 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8317 session low exposes the 0.8302 prior low
Rejection at the 0.8336 asian high keeps the London range intact
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and today's 10y auction could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.8338 session high, sweep of 0.8319 low.
London briefly pushed past the Asian high to a 0.8338 session high, then faded in a chain of lower highs under a descending trendline. The 0.8319 London-open low was swept to a 0.8317 session low before a bounce back to the 50% fib of the Asia rally near 0.8323, with USD held firm ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8338
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and the 0.8330 lower high invalidates the pullback read; 0.8338 session high is the next cap
Failure to hold the 0.8317 session low exposes the 0.8308 asian low and the full Asia rally retrace
First hour of NY could set the session range ahead of the 10-year auction
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 09:00 UTC inside 0.8319–0.8338 London range.
London pushed through the 0.8336 Asian high to a 0.8338 london high and was rejected, retracing about two-thirds of the 0.8319–0.8338 london swing with a lower high near 0.8330. Price is now below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 44, and demand has held twice near the 0.8320 london low going into NY as USD stays firm ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8338
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8320 london low exposes the 0.8300 round number
M15 close above the 0.8330 lower high negates the pullback and puts the 0.8338 london high back in play
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~6.5h) could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, lower highs since London peak · RSI 44 · price 0.83244
Lower highs from 0.8338 pressing flat lows near 0.8323.
London pushed a false break above the Asia high at 0.8336 to a london high of 0.8338, then rejection set a lower high at 0.8330, with the pair holding just above the 0.8323 intraday low and the 50% fib of the Asia-session climb. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 44, a pre-minutes stall after the oil- and yield-driven USD bid.
Support: 0.83231, 0.83194, 0.8300
Resistance: 0.83303, 0.83361, 0.83383
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8323 intraday low exposes the 0.8319 london low and 61.8% fib
Loss of 0.8319 opens the 0.8300 psych level and the rollover low near 0.8308
Close above the 0.8330 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the Asia high and london high
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Intraday range, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.83245
Two-sided false breaks of Asian range; lower high at 0.8330 after 0.8338 top.
London broke both ends of the 0.8322–0.8336 Asian range. It dipped to a london low at 0.8319, then pushed to a session high at 0.8338, and the rejection there has returned price to the asian low near 0.8323. The bounce stalled at a lower high of 0.8330, and price is back below the 61.8% of the London leg fib, with USD firm into tonight's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 0.83225, 0.83194
Resistance: 0.83303, 0.8336, 0.83383
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.8323 exposes the london low at 0.8319, the floor of today's range
M15 close back above the 0.8330 lower high neutralises the fade from the session high
Asian high at 0.8336 and session high at 0.8338 cap the range; a close above opens the range top
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the 10y auction could materially shift this read; NY open is the nearer catalyst
False break above Asian high, London range 0.8319–0.8338.
Dollar firmness on oil and Fed-hike talk lifted the pair through Asia. London then pushed above the Asian high to a 0.8338 session high, short of the 0.8380–0.8382 16-month high, and was rejected back to a 0.8323 swing low. Price now sits mid-range near 0.8328, at the 61.8% of the London leg fib, with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 0.83231, 0.83194, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83383, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8338 session high negates the false break and brings the 0.8365 range top into view
Failure to hold the 0.8323 swing low and 0.8319 london low exposes the 0.8308 asian low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Intraday range after Asian rally, momentum neutral · RSI 52 · price 0.83289
London range 0.8319–0.8338, price mid-range near EMAs.
The Asian session's rally on a firmer USD, lifted by higher yields and oil, faded into a London dip to the 0.8319 london low. The pair then swept the Asian high to a 0.8338 session high, where a rejection sent price back to a 0.8323 swing low, about 80% of the London leg. It now sits mid-range around 0.8329, hugging the EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8323, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.8338, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8338 session high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8323 swing low exposes the 0.8319 london low; a break there fills the London leg
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Asia uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.83256
Higher lows intact above 0.8319, session high rejected.
London briefly took out the 0.8336 asian high to a 0.8338 session high on firm USD/yields, then failed and slid to a 0.8323 intraday low, RSI(14) easing to ~42. Price is holding the rising support from the rollover low and the 61.8% of the London leg, with the 0.8319 london low the next floor.
Support: 0.83231, 0.83194, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83311, 0.83361, 0.83383
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8319 london low breaks the higher-low chain and rising support, exposing the 0.8308 rollover low
Reclaim of the 0.8331 breakdown point puts the 0.8336 asian high and 0.8338 session high back in play
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.8319, Asian high swept then rejected.
London opened with a dip to the 0.8319 london low, then a USD bid on firmer yields and oil lifted the pair through the 0.8336 Asian high to a 0.8338 session high, where it was rejected. Price has pulled back to the 38.2% fib of the London leg near 0.8331, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.83194, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.83383, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8338 session high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Break below the 0.8319 london low negates the higher-low structure and exposes the 0.8302 ny low from yesterday
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
London dip to 0.8319 bought, price holding near the Asian high.
London opened with a drop to 0.8319, which was bought, and price then printed a session high at 0.8338, just above the 0.8336 Asian high. It is now retesting that area as firm USD on higher oil and yields keeps the higher lows from the 0.8308 Asian low intact. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR(14) is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8320, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8338, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8338 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Hold of the fib 61.8 at 0.8327 on the London swing keeps the higher-low chain intact
Break below the 0.8320 london low breaks the higher lows trendline and exposes the 0.8308 asian low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 53 · price 0.8334
London dip below Asia lows reclaimed; higher lows under 0.8338 session high.
Asia ground higher on a firm USD, with oil and the 10y back above 5.30%, to 0.8336. London opened with a dip to the 0.8319 london low before price reclaimed the Asian high and printed a 0.8338 session high, which has so far seen rejection, while higher lows at 0.8329–0.8330 hold with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8329, 0.8326, 0.8319
Resistance: 0.8338, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8338 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8329 higher low brings the 0.8326 prior high and the fib 50% into play; failure there exposes the 0.8319 london low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10-year auction could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Asian uptrend stalled, ranging since London open · RSI 50 · price 0.83321
London range 0.8319–0.8336 inside the Asian advance; three tests of the session high.
The London open flushed the Asian rally down to a 0.8319 london low, at the 0.8320 pivot and roughly the 61.8% of the asia rally fib. Demand returned there on a firm USD, but the 0.8336 session high has capped three times; RSI(14) sits neutral near 50.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 session high opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8320 london low exposes the 0.8308 asian low and breaks the asia rally fib
FOMC Minutes and US 10y auction at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
London open dipped to the 0.8319 london low, recovered to a marginal new session high at 0.8336 and was rejected there. Price sits mid-range near the 0.8320 pivot with RSI(14) neutral at 50, and the rising lows from the post-rollover base are still intact as USD stays firm on oil and Iran headlines.
Support: 0.83194, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.83364, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8319 london low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8302 ny low
Close above the 0.8336 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 55 · price 0.83315
Higher low at 0.8319, high retested and rejected.
Asia carried USD/CHF from the 0.8308 asian low to 0.8336 on oil-led USD demand. The London open retraced about 61.8% of that rally to the 0.8320 london low, where buyers stepped in at the 0.8320 pivot. The recovery retested the 0.8336 session high and was rejected, with RSI(14) near 55 and price sitting mid-range.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 session high opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure back below the 0.8320 london low breaks the higher-low sequence; 0.8308 asian low is the next reference
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction later today could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 49 · price 0.83325
Asian HH/HL grind; London dip held, retest of 0.8336.
London opened with a dip to the 0.8320 london low, holding near the 61.8% of the Asian leg, before demand lifted price back to the 0.8336 session high, where it was rejected for a third time. Firm USD on yields and oil keeps the pair pinned near the top of the session range. RSI(14) is neutral around 49.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8320 london low turns the Asian leg fib lower and exposes the 0.8308 asian low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend from Asia, pulled back and recovering · RSI 46 · price 0.83301
London false break below Asian range low reclaimed; mid-range 0.8320–0.8336.
Asia ground higher from the 0.8308 gap low to a 0.8336 Asian high as oil-driven Fed hike chatter lifted USD. London open broke below the Asian range to a 0.8319 london low, a ~58% retrace of the Asia advance, before buyers reclaimed it. Price is back near 0.8330, hugging EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8320 london low turns the London dip into a lower-low and exposes the 0.8308 gap low
Break above the 0.8336 asian high opens the 0.8365 range top
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulled back at London open · RSI 47 · price 0.83312
Asian rally capped at 0.8336; London dip held near 61.8% and rebounded.
The Asia session rally from the 0.8308 asian low stalled at the 0.8336 asian high. The London open then pulled back to 0.8319, close to the 61.8% retrace of that leg, and buyers have since recovered to 0.8331 with USD firm on oil and yields. RSI(14) is neutral near 47, ATR is around 4 pips, and price sits just above EMA20 with the asian rally trendline intact.
Support: 0.83194, 0.83075, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 asian high opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure below the 0.8319 london low breaks the asian rally trendline and exposes the 0.8308 asian low and the 0.8302 ny low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Overnight uptrend stalled, pulling back at London open · RSI 38 · price 0.83261
Asian high capped three times at 0.8336; London dipped through the Asian low and reclaimed it.
After three tests of the 0.8336 Asian high, the London open knocked USDCHF down to a 0.8319 London low. That move briefly took out the 0.8322 Asian low and tagged the 50–61.8% asia rally fib before price recovered to 0.8326. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38, just under the 0.8330 pivot, as oil-driven USD demand into FOMC Minutes keeps the overnight bid in place.
Support: 0.8319, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8330, 0.8336
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8330 pivot reopens the 0.8336 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8319 london low exposes the 0.8302 swing low from yesterday's NY session
Swiss FX reserves due today and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Pullback after Asia advance, momentum fading · RSI 38 · price 0.83233
London open rejected the Asian high; price is holding the 50% retracement of the Asia leg.
Asia ground higher from the 0.8308 rollover low and tagged the 0.8336 Asian high three times, helped by USD demand on oil and yields. London open rejected that high and pulled price back to the 50% retracement near the 0.8321 London low, where two lows have held. Price sits below both EMAs, and the 0.8328 bounce high is capping recoveries.
Support: 0.83215, 0.83184, 0.83023
Resistance: 0.8328, 0.83361, 0.8365
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8321 london low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.8318, with 0.8302 prior ny low the next reference
Recovery above the 0.8328 bounce high reopens the 0.8336 asian high
A clean break of the asian high puts the 0.8365 range top in view
Swiss FX reserves due today and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Asia HH/HL chain capped at 0.8336, early London dip held at 0.8321.
Asia climbed from the 0.8308 rollover low to a 0.8336 asian high on oil-driven USD demand. Three tests of that high were rejected, and the pre-London drop found demand at 0.8321, the session low and 50% fib of the asian move. Price is back at 0.8327, below ema20 and inside the 0.8320–0.8330 pivot, with ATR(14) near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8321, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 asian high breaks the triple cap and opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8321 session low (50% fib) exposes the 0.8302 prior low from yesterday's NY session
Swiss FX reserves today and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:03 UTC
Asian uptrend, pulling back into London open · RSI 37 · price 0.83236
Double top at the Asia high, neckline broken, retracing the Asian leg.
Asia rallied from the 0.8308 Asia low to a double top at the 0.8336 Asia high as DXY reclaimed 102.00 on firmer yields. A 14-pip drop into London open broke back under the 0.8330 pivot. Price is holding the 0.8321 pullback low near the 50% fib of the Asian leg, just under Tuesday's NY high at 0.8326, with RSI(14) at 37.
Support: 0.83214, 0.83184, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83258, 0.8333, 0.83361
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8333 pivot reopens the 0.8336 Asia high
Loss of the 0.8321 pullback low exposes the 0.8318 fib 61.8 and the 0.8308 Asia low
Swiss Sept FX reserves due today; FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could reset the read
06:46 UTC
Asian uptrend reversing at London open · RSI 32 · price 0.83247
Asian range floor broken, lower high below 0.8336.
The Asia-session grind higher on USD demand stalled after three rejections at the 0.8336 asia high. London open then broke the 0.8331 range floor and slipped back under yesterday's 0.8326 prior high, putting price on the 38.2% fib of the Asian leg with RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8308, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8331, 0.8336
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8331 range floor restores the Asian range read and puts the 0.8336 asia high back in play.
Failure to hold the 0.8320 asia shelf exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.8318 and the 0.8308 rollover low. Below that, yesterday's ny low at 0.8302 is the next reference.
Swiss Sept FX reserves are due today and could shift CHF. FOMC Minutes follow at 18:00 GMT.
06:31 UTC
Asia uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.83312
HH/HL grind off the rollover low, now a tight 0.8330–0.8336 box.
The Asia session ground higher from the 0.8308 rollover low to a 0.8336 Asian high as yields and oil revived USD demand, lifting price back above the 0.8320–0.8330 pivot. Momentum has stalled in a 0.8330–0.8336 box for about three hours, and the latest bar is probing the box low ahead of the London open, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8330, 0.8327, 0.8322
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8330 box low exposes the 0.8327 swing low and the 38.2% asia rally fib near 0.8325
Loss of the 0.8322 higher low breaks the Asia HH/HL chain
Close above the 0.8336 asian high reopens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Swiss FX reserves today and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Asia HH/HL leg stalled into a tight 0.8330–0.8336 box.
The Asia session climbed about 28 pips off the 0.8308 rollover low and cleared the prior-session high at 0.8326 on the renewed USD bid from yields and oil. Since roughly 02:45 GMT price has compressed in a 0.8330–0.8336 box under the 0.8336 Asian high, with RSI(14) cooled to the high 50s and ATR near 2 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83263, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83361, 0.8365
What it said to watch
London-open close above the 0.8336 Asian high extends the leg toward the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8330 box floor exposes the 0.8326 prior high, with the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg near 0.8325 just below
A slide back under 0.8308, the rollover low, unwinds the Asia breakout
Swiss Sept FX reserves today could shift CHF tone if the print hints at intervention
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 56 · price 0.83344
Asian HH/HL leg from 0.8308 into a tight 0.8330–0.8336 consolidation.
Asia extended the post-rollover advance from 0.8308 to the 0.8336 Asian high and cleared yesterday's 0.8326 prior high, as oil and Iran headlines revived USD demand. Into London open, price has flattened into a 0.8330–0.8336 consolidation, with the consol low holding twice and RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83263, 0.83217
Resistance: 0.83359, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8330 consol low opens the 0.8326 prior high and the fib 50% near 0.8322
Sustained trade above the 0.8336 Asian high exposes the 0.8365 range top
Swiss Sept FX reserves due today; a notable jump could extend CHF softness
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Asia HH/HL climb above prior-day high, flattening under session high.
Asia session turned the rollover dip at the 0.8308 asian low into a steady climb along the asia trendline, clearing the 0.8326 prior high as USD firmed on yields. Momentum has flattened under twin session highs at 0.8336, with RSI near 54 and price sitting on EMA20 just above the 0.8331 pullback low ahead of London open.
Support: 0.8331, 0.8326, 0.8308
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8331 pullback low breaks the Asia higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8326 prior high
Close above the 0.8336 session high resumes the asia rally toward the 0.8365 range top
A break of the asia trendline would shift the read to consolidation within the asia rally fib
London open in ~75 min could set a new session range around 0.8331–0.8336
FOMC Minutes later in NY hours could materially shift this read
Higher lows since rollover, prior-day high broken, pressing session high.
The Asia session lifted USD/CHF through the prior high at 0.8326 as the dollar firmed on yields and Iran headlines. Higher lows along the asia trendline are intact, and price is pressing the 0.8336 session high late in Asia with RSI(14) near 67 and ATR only ~2 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83263
Resistance: 0.83359, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8330 asia hl breaks the higher-low chain and the asia trendline
Loss of the 0.8326 prior high, near the 38.2% of the Asian leg fib, returns price to yesterday's range
Acceptance above the 0.8336 session high at London open puts the 0.8365 range top and 0.8382 16m high in view
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 68 · price 0.83347
HH/HL chain through Asia, tight consolidation above broken prior high.
The Asia rally ran from the 0.8308 rollover low to a 0.8336 session high, clearing the 0.8320 pivot and yesterday's 0.8326 prior high as the dollar firmed on higher yields and geopolitical headlines. Price is coiling just under the session high into London open. RSI(14) is near 68 and ATR is about 2 pips, so the pause is low-volatility.
Support: 0.83305, 0.83263, 0.8320
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8336 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8331 swing low puts a retest of the 0.8326 prior high in play
Close back below the 0.8320 pivot would mark a false break of the cap
London open volatility may break the tight range under the session high
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off post-gap low; tight pause under Asia high.
Asia session climbed steadily from the 0.8308 post-gap low as the dollar firmed on higher yields and geopolitical headlines. The climb cleared yesterday's prior high near 0.8326 and the 0.8320 former cap before topping at the 0.8336 Asia high. Price is now compressing in a 4-pip pause above the 0.8330 pause low, sitting right on the rising trendline about two hours before London open.
Support: 0.8333, 0.83305, 0.8326
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8330 pause low breaks the Asia trendline and turns focus to the 0.8326 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8326 puts the breakout above the 0.8320 cap in question and opens the 38.2% fib near 0.8325-0.8322
Close above the 0.8336 Asia high extends the sequence toward the 0.8365 range top
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 67 · price 0.83344
Asia higher-low chain above broken prior-day high.
The Asia session rallied about 28 pips off the rollover low at 0.8308, clearing the 0.8326 prior high and the 0.8320 former cap as yields and geopolitics lifted USD. Price is holding just under the 0.8336 session high into London open, with higher lows intact along the Asia trend line and RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.83305, 0.83263, 0.8320
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8326 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8331 pullback low breaks the Asia trend line and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.8336 session high puts the 0.8365 range top in view
The 0.8320 former cap sits near the 50% retrace of the Asia rally; a break below it reverts the read to range
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling below Asia high · RSI 64 · price 0.83323
HH/HL chain from 0.8308 rollover low; above prior high, compressing under 0.8336.
The Asia session extended the post-rollover climb from 0.8308 through yesterday's 0.8326 prior high and the 0.8320 pivot, with firm US yields and geopolitical headlines lifting USD, before topping at the 0.8336 Asia high. Late in Asia, price is compressing in a tight 0.8331–0.8336 band and probing the Asia trendline, RSI(14) ~64, ahead of London open.
Support: 0.83305, 0.83263, 0.8320
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8336 Asia high opens the 0.8365 range top
A break of the 0.8331 consol low and the Asia trendline exposes the 38.2% Asia rally fib near the 0.8326 prior high
A close back below the 0.8320 pivot (50% fib) would undo the breakout
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain through Asia, break above prior high; first pullback from session high.
Asia session ran a steady HH/HL climb on geopolitics-led USD demand. It cleared the prior high at 0.8326 (London and NY tops) and printed a 0.8336 session high, with the 0.8320 pivot cited as a cap now below price. Price is easing to 0.8331 but holds the Asia trendline, and the Asia rally fib 38.2% sits at the 0.8326 prior high; RSI(14) is cooling to around 60.
Support: 0.8326, 0.8320, 0.8302
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8326 prior high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.8320 pivot
Break of the Asia trendline (~0.8329) signals the HH/HL chain stalling
Clearance of the 0.8336 session high opens the 0.8365 range top
Loss of 0.8320 brings the 0.8302 NY low back into view
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Steady HH/HL chain through Asia; yesterday's range high broken.
Asia session ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain from the 0.8308 asia low after the rollover gap. It cleared yesterday's 0.8326 prior high and the 0.8320 pivot to print a 0.8336 session high, as geopolitics-driven USD demand lifted the pair. Price is stalling just under that high ahead of London open with RSI(14) near 64, and the rising Asia trendline is under test.
Support: 0.83263, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8320 pivot returns price to yesterday's range and undermines the breakout
Clearance of the 0.8336 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the asia trendline and the 38.2% fib of the asia rally near the 0.8326 prior high signals the climb is fading
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from rollover low, trading above prior-day high.
Asia session ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain from the 0.8308 rollover low, clearing yesterday's 0.8326 prior high and the 0.8320 pivot as geopolitics-driven USD demand persists. Price is holding just under the 0.8336 Asia high on the asia trendline, with RSI(14) near 69 and the London open about 4h away.
Support: 0.83263, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8326 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the asia trendline and the 0.8320 pivot exposes the 0.8308 asia low and the 38.2–50% fib zone
Acceptance above the 0.8336 asia high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
London open may reprice the Asian range; FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC later today could materially shift this read
02:47 UTC
Uptrend, steady through Asia session · RSI 74 · price 0.8334
HH/HL chain off 0.8308 rollover low, prior high broken.
Asia session has stair-stepped higher off the 0.8308 session low, clearing the former cap at 0.8320 and yesterday's London prior high at 0.8326 as the geopolitics-driven USD bid persists. The rally is printing a session high at 0.8335, with RSI(14) at 74. That reading is hot but consistent with trend, and the Asia trendline is intact.
Support: 0.8326, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83346, 0.8350, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Hold of the 0.8326 prior high as a retest keeps the breakout read intact; a slip back under the former cap at 0.8320 marks it a false break
M15 close below the Asia trendline breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 38.2% rally fib near 0.8324
0.8350 round number and the 0.8365 range top are the next areas to watch for rejection or break above the session high
London open liquidity and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The Asia session ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain off the 0.8308 session low after the rollover gap. It cleared the 0.8326 prior high, which capped both London and NY yesterday, and printed a 0.8332 session high, with RSI(14) near 76: hot but not extreme. The Asian rally tracks the geopolitics-driven USD bid in the digest, and price is now trading through the 0.8320 cap cited there, with the 0.8365 range top the next reference.
Support: 0.83263, 0.8323, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83322, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Closes back below the 0.8326 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.8323 swing low ends the Asian HH/HL chain; the 50% of the Asian rally fib sits near 0.8320
Acceptance above the 0.8332 session high opens the path toward the 0.8365 range top
A return to the 0.8308 session low would erase the Asian rally
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off the rollover low, now above yesterday's prior high.
Early Asia session has climbed in a clean HH/HL sequence from the 0.8308 asian low after the rollover gap. It has cleared yesterday's prior high at 0.8326 and the 0.8320 pivot, which the market context flags as the recent cap, on a geopolitics-driven USD bid against CHF. RSI(14) is near 67 and ATR is only about 2.5 pips, so the advance is a low-volatility grind and not yet stretched. Price is pressing the 0.8330 session high and sitting on the rising asian trendline.
Support: 0.83263, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83295, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.8326 prior high keeps the breakout read intact into London open
A return below the 0.8320 pivot would turn the move into a false break
An M15 close under the asian trendline near 0.8328 hands focus to the 0.8321/0.8318 asian rally fib zone
A close above the 0.8330 session high opens the path toward the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8308 asian low erases the Asia advance
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD pricing later today
01:47 UTC
Uptrend, steady HH/HL in Asia · RSI 71 · price 0.83277
Asia breakout above prior-day high, holding near session high.
Asia session has built a clean HH/HL chain off the 0.83075 asia low after rollover. It cleared yesterday's London/NY prior high at 0.8326 and printed a session high at 0.83295, with RSI(14) near 71. The geopolitics-driven USD bid flagged in the digest has pushed the pair through the 0.8320 pivot, and price is now sitting on the Asian trendline.
Support: 0.8326, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83295, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8326 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the Asian trendline and the 0.8320 pivot, which overlaps the Asia rally fib 38.2% near 0.8321, reopens the 0.83075 asia low
Acceptance above the 0.83295 session high opens the path toward the 0.8365 range top
London open in ~5h is the first test of whether the Asian breakout holds
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows off the Asian low, testing the prior high.
After the daily-open gap to the 0.8308 asian low, the Asia session has carried a clean higher-low chain above the 0.8320 pivot and is now nudging past yesterday's 0.8326 prior high. RSI(14) sits near 73 on narrow 2–3 pip bars. The geopolitics-driven USD bid flagged in the CHF digest is lifting the pair through the zone it describes as a cap.
Support: 0.83263, 0.8320, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83277, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8326 prior high marks the break as a false break
Loss of the 0.8320 pivot, the 38.2% of the asian leg, breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Clearance of the 0.8328 session high exposes the 0.8330 round number
London open liquidity in roughly 6h can test whether the thin Asia advance holds
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Uptrend through Asia, pressing day high · RSI 67 · price 0.83255
Higher highs and higher lows from the rollover low, testing a three-touch ceiling.
The Asia session has stepped higher from the 0.8308 rollover low along an intact Asia trendline, and is now retesting the 0.8326 day high. That level capped both the London open and the NY rebound. Price holds above the 0.8320 pivot the CHF digest flags as a cap, as the geopolitical USD bid persists; RSI(14) is near 67 and ATR is a narrow 2.7 pips in thin hours.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 day high breaks the three-test ceiling, with the 0.8365 range top as the next reference
Loss of the 0.8320 pivot and the Asia trendline returns price into yesterday's range, toward the 0.8298 day low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off rollover low, retesting 24h range top.
Asia session climbed about 19 pips from the 0.8308 asian low, riding a rising trendline, to retest the 0.8326 range top that capped both London and NY on Tuesday. Price is holding above the 0.8320 pivot on a geopolitics-driven USD bid, still inside the 0.8298–0.8326 day range. RSI(14) is 65, warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 range top breaks the 24h range
Slip back below the 0.8320 pivot and the rising trendline returns focus to the 0.8308 asian low
Loss of 0.8298 day low would flip the range into a lower-low sequence
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing range top · RSI 69 · price 0.83257
HH/HL chain from rollover low, testing prior high.
Asia session has climbed in a steady HH/HL chain from the 0.8308 rollover low, back above the 0.8320 pivot and into the 0.8326 prior high that capped both London and NY yesterday. The pair is lifted by geopolitics-driven USD demand. RSI(14) is near 69 with ATR thin at about 3 pips, typical of Asian hours.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 prior high breaks the 24h range top and opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
A third rejection at 0.8326 would leave a triple top at the day's high
Loss of the 0.8320 pivot returns price to the prior range, exposing the 0.8308 rollover low and the 0.8298 day low
Rollover rally fib 50% near 0.8317 marks the first pullback reference if the 0.8320 pivot gives way
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Intraday rally into range top · RSI 64 · price 0.83247
Higher lows off the rollover low, testing the 0.8298–0.8326 day range high.
The Asian session has climbed steadily from the 0.83075 asian low back into the 0.8325–0.8326 range top, where both London and NY stalled yesterday. RSI(14) is near 64 and the 0.8298 range low remains intact. The 0.8320 pivot from the macro read sits just below. The approach has come on light, grinding bars despite softer US yields.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8330
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 range top breaks the day's range and opens the 0.8330 round number
Third rejection at the range top followed by a slip back under the 0.8320 pivot keeps the range read, with the 0.83075 asian low back in view
Loss of the 0.8298 range low would mark a lower-low on the session
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Intraday grind higher in Asia, testing range top · RSI 62 · price 0.83237
Rising Asia-session lows pressing a triple-tested day high near 0.8326.
Asia session has climbed steadily from the post-rollover asia low at 0.8308 to 0.8324, reclaiming the 0.8320 pivot on the geopolitics-driven USD bid. Price is now pressing the 0.8326 day high, which rejected moves in both London and NY. RSI(14) sits near 62 and ATR(14) is about 3.6 pips, consistent with thin Asian ranges.
Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83263, 0.8365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8326 day high breaks the three-touch cap and opens the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8320 pivot returns price to the prior range, with the asia low at 0.8308 and the 0.8298 day low below
A drop back below the 0.8314 asia rally fib 61.8% would undo most of the Asian move
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read