Higher lows from late-NY sweep, compressing under late high.
The blowout NFP (165K vs 65K) broke USD/CHF out of the 0.8125–0.8185 range to the 0.8220 nfp high. A NY-session sweep to the 0.8184 ny low, around the 61.8% of the London-NFP fib, drew demand, and price has since printed higher lows above the 0.8204 swing low, capped at the 0.8210 late high. It is late NY on Friday, ranges are thinning and ATR(14) is near 5 pips.
Support: 0.82043, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.82204
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8204 swing low breaks the late-NY higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8184 ny low would unwind the NFP breakout back toward the 0.8185 range cap
A move through the 0.8210 late high and then the 0.8220 nfp high would extend the break beyond 0.8205 strong resistance
Weekend gap risk, Fed speakers on Monday and US CPI on Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NFP breakout above London range, pullback held, higher lows into late NY.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USD/CHF out of the 0.8166–0.8189 London range to a 0.8220 NFP high, above the 0.8185 cap. The pullback retested the London high and held a 0.8184 swing low at 17:30 UTC. Late NY has since built higher lows back toward the 0.8210 late high, with RSI(14) at 62 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8189, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8210 late high exposes the 0.8220 nfp high
Loss of 0.8200 psych breaks the higher-low trendline
Break below 0.8184 swing low back inside the London range negates the NFP breakout
Thin Friday-close liquidity; Fed speakers Monday and Tuesday's US CPI are the next USD drivers
Breakout above London high, full retest, late-NY higher lows.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) at 13:30 UTC broke the London high at 0.8189 and spiked to the 0.8220 NFP high. Price then fully retraced to a 0.8184 swing low below the pre-NFP high at 0.8192. Late-NY trade has built higher lows along a rising trendline, with price holding above the 0.8200 round number and pressing the 0.8210 late high. RSI(14) sits at about 63 and ATR is near 5 pips as the session thins into the Friday close.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8192, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8220
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.8200 round number and the rising trendline puts the 0.8192 pre-NFP high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8184 swing low undoes the NFP breakout and points back into the prior 0.8125–0.8185 range
Clearance of the 0.8210 late high exposes the 0.8220 NFP high
Thin late-NY liquidity into the weekly close; Fed speakers Monday and US CPI Tuesday could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.8184 after the NFP spike; tight late-NY grind above 0.8200.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke USDCHF out of its Asia/London range to an NFP high at 0.8220. The pullback held at 0.8184, around the 61.8% of the London-NFP leg, before price reclaimed the pre-NFP high at 0.8192. Late NY is grinding along rising lows off the 0.8200 round number, pressing the late NY high at 0.8208 and the 0.8205 resistance flagged in the CHF digest, with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81924, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82075, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8200 round number breaks the rising lows and puts the pre-NFP high retest back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8184 pullback low erases the post-NFP higher low
Close above the late NY high opens a retest of the 0.8220 NFP high
Thin Friday close; Fed speakers Mon (Bowman 13:40 UTC) and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakout above 0.8185, higher low at 0.8184, rising lows into late NY.
The 165K NFP beat lifted USDCHF through the Asian range and the 0.8185 cap to a 0.8220 NFP high. Price pulled back, retested the old cap with a 0.8184 swing low, and has since rebuilt above the 0.8200 round number. Late NY trade is now compressing on rising lows just under the 0.8207 recent high.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82065, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8184 swing low undoes the breakout-retest read
Clearance of the 0.8207 recent high puts the 0.8220 NFP high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8200 round number tests the rising-lows line
Friday close into Monday Fed speakers and Tuesday's US CPI leaves gap risk at the open
Post-NFP higher low at 50% retrace, late-NY base above 0.8200.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove a breakout through the pre-NFP high at 0.8192 to an NFP high at 0.8220. The 17:30 UTC pullback low at 0.8184 held the 50% retrace of the Asia low–NFP high fib and the rising trendline. Late NY is now basing just above the 0.8200 round number, with ATR compressing to about 5.6 pips into the Friday close.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81924, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 NFP high extends the higher-high chain
Loss of the 0.8200 round number puts the pre-NFP high at 0.8192 back in play as a retest
Break below the 0.8184 pullback low and rising trendline undercuts the post-NFP higher low
Thin late-Friday NY liquidity into the weekend close; Monday Fed speakers (Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin) are the next scheduled USD risk
Breakout above 0.8185 cap, late-NY compression under 0.8205.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) at 13:30 UTC drove USD/CHF through the 0.8185 range cap to the 0.8220 NFP high. The pullback held near the pre-NFP high around 0.8192, and an 18:00 UTC wick to the 0.8184 NY low was rejected. Late in the NY session, price is compressing at 0.8200–0.8205 around the 50% retracement, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.8192, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82044, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 late NY high reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
Failure to hold the pre-NFP high at 0.8192 exposes the 0.8184 NY low and undermines the breakout
Thin Friday close liquidity; US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC is the next scheduled driver
NFP breakout above London high, now ranging 0.8184–0.8205 below the 0.8220 spike high.
The blowout NFP (165K vs 65K) took USDCHF through the London high near 0.8189 and up to the 0.8220 nfp high. Late NY has traded a 0.8184–0.8205 consolidation. The ny low wick at 0.8184 held near the 61.8% of the nfp leg fib, and price is back under the 0.8205 swing high with RSI(14) neutral at 52.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8184, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8205 swing high reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.8192 pullback low and then the 0.8184 ny low exposes the 0.8166 london low and a deeper unwind of the NFP move
Thin late-Friday liquidity; Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC are the next scheduled drivers
Breakout above London range, holding 0.8184–0.8205 box.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke USDCHF out of the 0.8166–0.8192 London range to a 0.8220 nfp high. The pullback held around the london high and the 78.6% of the nfp leg fib, and the 0.8184 sweep low was quickly reclaimed. Price is consolidating below the 0.8205 range top after London close, with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8205 range top reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.8184 sweep low puts price back inside the London range and undoes the post-NFP breakout
Thin Friday liquidity into the weekend; Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC are the next catalysts
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USD/CHF from 0.8188 to a 0.8220 nfp high, clearing the Asian and London ranges. The pullback retested the pre-NFP high near 0.8192 after London close, and an 18:00 UTC wick to the 0.8184 swing low was rejected. Late in the NY session, price is pressing the 0.8205 lower high, which sits on the 50% of the NFP leg fib.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8205 lower high reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.8192 pre-NFP high, then the 0.8184 swing low, puts price back inside the pre-NFP range
Thin late-Friday NY trade; Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue 13:30 UTC are the next scheduled risk
Breakout of London range, pullback held prior London high, lower highs since 0.8220.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) drove a breakout from the 0.8165–0.8192 London range to a 0.8220 NFP high. Late NY has carved lower highs, and the 0.8184 swing low swept the 0.8189 London high before recovering. Price now sits at 0.8200 near the 38.2% of the NFP leg fib, pressing the descending trendline.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8205 lower high and the descending trendline reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
Failure to hold the 0.8189 London high, then the 0.8184 swing low, would retrace the full NFP leg back into the London range
Thin late-Friday NY trade into the weekend close; Fed speakers Mon and US CPI Tue are the next drivers that could shift this read
Breakout to 0.8220 then lower highs; range-top retest held.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke USDCHF out of the 0.8150–0.8185 range to an nfp high at 0.8220. Price has since printed lower highs. A late-NY dip to the 0.8184 sweep low briefly took out the 0.8189 swing low and recovered to 0.8200. RSI(14) is neutral near 46.
Support: 0.81891, 0.81841
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.82204
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.8184 sweep low puts price back inside the old range and undercuts the breakout read
M15 close above the 0.8205 lower high reopens a test of the 0.8220 nfp high
Fed's Daly speaking at 18:00 UTC could jolt late-NY price; thin liquidity into the weekend
Holding the 61.8% fib near 0.8194 keeps the post-NFP retest intact
17:31 UTC
Post-NFP spike, now pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.8196
Breakout above London high, lower highs since 0.8220 peak.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke USDCHF out of its London range in the first hour of NY, topping at the 0.8220 NFP high. Since then a lower-high sequence (0.8205, then 0.8198) has pulled price back toward the old range top, where the 0.8189 pullback low held twice late in NY; price is sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the NFP leg with RSI(14) neutral at 44.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8189 pullback low puts price back inside the pre-NFP range and exposes the 0.8166 London low
Close above the 0.8205 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
Fed's Daly at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the Friday close
Lower highs off the NFP peak, retesting the London high.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USD/CHF through the 0.8185 range cap to a 0.8220 NFP high. The rest of the NY session faded that move through a series of lower highs capped near 0.8205, and RSI(14) has slipped to 41. Price is now retesting the 0.8189 London high, near the 50% retrace of the London low to NFP high leg.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8189 London high would turn the NFP break into a false break, exposing the 0.8166 London low
Recapture of the 0.8205 lower high reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) remarks on a December hike could materially shift this read after London close
Lower highs from NFP high, retesting breakout level.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke the London high at 0.8189 and ran to an NFP high of 0.8220. NY has since printed lower highs at 0.8205, and price is back retesting the London high, past the 61.8% of the NFP rally fib. RSI(14) is near 44, with price below EMA20 but above EMA50 after London close.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8177
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the London high at 0.8189 unwinds the NFP breakout and exposes the London low at 0.8177
Close above the 0.8205 lower high breaks the post-NFP highs trendline
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs after 0.8220 rejection, retesting pre-NFP breakout zone.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USDCHF from 0.8190 to 0.8220 early in NY. That high was rejected, and lower highs have since walked price back to the 0.8191 nfp low, the 50% retracement of the NFP leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 47, with the London high at 0.8189 just beneath.
Support: 0.8191, 0.8189, 0.8177
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8189 london high turns the retest into a full NFP fade toward the 0.8177 london low
A close above the 0.8205 lower high breaks the post-NFP lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on a December hike could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Post-NFP spike, now pulling back · RSI 54 · price 0.81971
Breakout above 0.8185 range top, retest of pre-NFP high.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) lifted USDCHF through the 0.8185 range top to a 0.8220 NFP high, where it met rejection. Since then the NY session has retraced to the 61.8% of the NFP leg, and twice found demand at 0.8192, the pre-NFP high. The 0.8205 bounce high is capping recoveries.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8185, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
An M15 close below 0.8192 (pre-nfp high) would put the 0.8185 range top back in play and weaken the breakout read
A reclaim of the 0.8205 bounce high reopens the 0.8220 NFP high
Bowman at 17:15 UTC and Daly at 18:00 UTC could shift Fed-hike pricing within the next hour
Rising line from the London low near 0.8166 is the deeper intraday support if 0.8185 fails
Breakout above 0.8185 range top, lower high at 0.8205 after 0.8220 rejection.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) pushed price through the 0.8185 range top during NY hours, but the spike stalled at the 0.8220 nfp high. Price has since faded to the 61.8% retrace of the NFP leg near 0.8195. A lower high at 0.8205 and a slip back under EMA20 leave the 0.8192 nfp low under test, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8220
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 nfp low exposes the 0.8185 range top
Close back inside below the 0.8185 range top would turn the NFP breakout into a false break
Reclaiming the 0.8205 lower high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) on December hike odds could shift this read
Breakout above London range high, retest held, lower high under 0.8220 spike.
The blowout NFP beat lifted USD/CHF out of the London range above 0.8189. Price spiked to a session high at 0.8220, and the pullback held the 0.8192 nfp retest near the 50% fib of the London low to NFP high leg. After London close a lower high at 0.8205 is capping, with RSI(14) cooling to ~60.
Support: 0.81922, 0.81891, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8192 nfp retest and 0.8189 london high would undo the breakout read
Close above the 0.8205 lower high reopens the 0.8220 nfp high
Failure to hold 0.8189 exposes the 0.8166 london low, the base of the post-NFP leg
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Asia; NFP breakout pulling back to London high.
The 165K NFP beat lifted USD/CHF out of the London range and through the 0.8185 cap. It ran to a 0.8220 session high, but supply rejected that print and the NFP leg has been almost fully retraced. Price now sits on the 0.8192 pullback low and the 78.6% fib, just above the 0.8189 london high, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 and price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.81922, 0.81891, 0.81779
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82119, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8189 london high puts price back inside the pre-NFP range and exposes the 0.8178 asian high, near the rising lows line from the Asia low
Recovery above the 0.8200 round number reopens the 0.8212 nfp high and the 0.8220 session high
Holding the 0.8192 pullback low keeps the NFP breakout retest intact
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read late in the NY session
15:16 UTC
Post-NFP uptrend, pulling back · RSI 61 · price 0.82001
Breakout above pre-NFP range, three lower highs off the 0.8220 peak.
The 165K NFP beat (f/c 65K) lifted USD/CHF out of the London session range, clearing the 0.8185 range top and the 0.8192 pre-NFP high, then extending to the 0.8220 NFP high. NY session has since printed lower highs at 0.8213 and 0.8210, and price is testing the 0.8200 round number at the 38.2% fib, with the pre-NFP high sitting near the 50% level.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81924, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82134, 0.82204
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 pre-nfp high undercuts the breakout and exposes the 0.8185 range top
Close back above the 0.8213 lower high would restore the higher-high chain toward the 0.8220 nfp high
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) could shift the post-NFP read
Asian range broken higher in London, NFP breakout above pre-NFP high, holding 50% retrace.
The 165K NFP beat (f/c 65K) broke USDCHF out of the 0.8166–0.8192 London range and spiked it to a 0.8220 session high in the first hour of NY. The pullback found demand at 0.8204, the 50% fib of the NFP leg and near the old 0.8205 cap. RSI(14) is around 68, warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8192, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8250
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC (current bar) could materially shift this read
An M15 close back below the 0.8192 pre-nfp high returns price to the London range and flags a false break, with the london low at 0.8166 below
Clearance of the 0.8220 session high opens the 0.8250 round number
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) are the next event risk for the NFP move
Range break above London range and 0.8185, higher lows intact.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K, hot wages) at the NY open broke USDCHF out of the 0.8166–0.8192 London range and through the 0.8185 cap, extending along the London higher lows to an nfp high at 0.8220, where supply capped the move. Price is holding above the 0.8200 post-nfp low with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8192, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8250
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below the 0.8192 pre-nfp high turns the breakout into a false break
A close above the 0.8220 nfp high opens the 0.8250 round number
A loss of the higher-lows trendline toward the 0.8166 london low would negate the session uptrend
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) remain later NY-session risk
Breakout above the 0.8185 range top, higher lows through NY.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K, hot wages) broke USDCHF out of London's 0.8177–0.8192 range, through the 0.8185 range top and the 0.8205 cap. NY has printed higher lows into a 0.8220 session high, with RSI(14) near 80. The post-nfp low at 0.8200 sits on the 61.8% of the NFP leg.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81924, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8250
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below the 0.8200 post-nfp low and 61.8% of the NFP leg exposes the 0.8192 london high
A return inside the 0.8185 range top would mark the breakout as a false break; rising support from the London low sits near 0.8188
Acceptance above the 0.8220 session high opens the 0.8250 round number
Fed's Bowman (17:15 UTC) and Daly (18:00 UTC) remain event risk into the NY afternoon
Higher lows from the Asian range low at 0.8148; London range 0.8177-0.8192 broken on NFP.
The NFP beat (165K vs 65K) broke price out of the 0.8177-0.8192 London range, through the 0.8185 cap and the broken res at 0.8205, with RSI(14) near 79. Early NY is holding just under the 0.8212 NFP high, and post-release dips stalled at the 0.8200 round number.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8250
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8212 NFP high opens the 0.8250 round number
Failure at the 0.8205 broken res and a slip under the 0.8200 round number would expose the 0.8192 London high
An M15 close back inside the London range below 0.8192 would mark a false break, with the 0.8187 38.2% of the rally fib next
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 UTC, then Fed's Bowman 17:15 and Daly 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Breakout above London range; higher lows since the Asian low.
The 13:30 GMT NFP release drove a breakout from the London range (London range low 0.8177, pre-NFP high 0.8192). Price spiked to the NFP high at 0.8212, clearing the 0.8185 cap, and the 13:45 bar held above the 0.8200 round number with RSI(14) near 74. The higher-lows line from the Asian low at 0.8148 remains intact.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81924, 0.81773
Resistance: 0.82119
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8192 pre-nfp high would mark a false break of the London range
Failure to hold the 0.8200 round number exposes the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low–NFP high leg near 0.8187
An M15 close above the 0.8212 NFP high extends the leg; a break of the higher-lows line undercuts the uptrend read
NFP actuals are not yet confirmed in the feed. UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT, then Fed's Bowman at 17:15 GMT, could shift this read
Higher lows from the 0.8166 London low, London range broken to the upside.
USDCHF cleared the 0.8185 range top into the first hour of NY on haven USD demand. The NFP release bar then spiked to a 0.8212 nfp high through the 0.8205 cap before pulling back near 0.8200. A higher-lows chain from the 0.8166 london low frames the move, with RSI(14) around 71.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8185, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8212
What it said to watch
The NFP bar is still forming. Its wick from the 0.8212 nfp high shows initial rejection at the 0.8205 cap.
An M15 close back below the 0.8185 range top would turn the post-NFP push into a false break.
Holding the 0.8192 pre-nfp high keeps the higher-lows trendline structure intact.
Acceptance above 0.8212 clears the 0.8205 cap. A slide through the 0.8166 london low breaks the intraday higher-lows chain.
UoM Consumer Sentiment and inflation expectations at 15:00 GMT could shift the post-payrolls read.
Higher lows since London, 0.8185-0.8189 cap broken.
London cleared the 0.8175 Asian range high and has printed higher lows off the 0.8166 swing low. The pre-NFP push through the 0.8189 prior high set a 0.8191 session high on haven USD demand, with RSI(14) near 61 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8177, 0.8166
Resistance: 0.81914, 0.8205
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (about 15 min) could materially shift this read; a print near September's 29K risks unwinding the haven bid
M15 close back below the 0.8189 prior high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.8177 higher low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.8166 swing low, near the 50% retracement of the rally from the rollover low
Acceptance above the 0.8191 session high opens the 0.8205 resistance cap
London box 0.8177–0.8191 sitting above the broken Asian range.
London broke above the 0.8150–0.8178 Asian range on haven USD demand after the AI-led equity rout. Since then price has held a 0.8177–0.8191 box. Dips have printed higher lows along a rising trendline from the 0.8166 swing low, and the latest bar tagged a new session high at 0.8191, pressing the 0.8185 resistance zone.
Support: 0.81775, 0.81657, 0.81499
Resistance: 0.81911, 0.8205
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read; a strong print opens room toward the 0.8205 cap
M15 close above the 0.8191 session high clears the London range top
Loss of the 0.8177 range floor and the higher-lows trendline turns focus to the 0.8166 swing low, then the 0.8150 asian low
Higher lows since NY low 0.8133; tight box 0.8177–0.8189 pre-NFP.
London broke above the 0.8148–0.8175 Asian range and set a session high at 0.8189 at 09:15 UTC. Price has since compressed in a 0.8177–0.8189 box with RSI(14) neutral near 51. Higher lows from yesterday's NY low at 0.8133 still track the rising trendline, with USD supported by safe-haven demand into NFP.
Support: 0.81769, 0.81734, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81891, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read; ATR(14) near 6 pips will likely expand
M15 close below the 0.8177 range low exposes the trendline near 0.8173, then the london low at 0.8166
38.2% retrace of the 0.8133–0.8189 leg sits near 0.8168, close to the london low
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high opens the 0.8200 round number
Higher lows into a 0.8177–0.8189 band after London broke the Asian range high.
The London session broke above the 0.8175 Asian high on safe-haven USD demand and set a session high at 0.8189. Since then price has held a tight band with the range low at 0.8177 tested three times, and is pressing yesterday's 0.8185 prior high. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR is about 6 pips ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.81772, 0.81748, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81852, 0.81891
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high clears the prior high cap and breaks the range top
Loss of the 0.8177 range low and the rising lows line shifts focus to the 0.8175 asian high, then the 0.8166 london low
US NFP at 13:30 UTC (~75 min) is likely to move price well beyond the current ATR and could reset this read
London higher lows, compressing in a 0.8177–0.8189 box.
London took out the 0.8174 Asian high and Thursday's prior high at 0.8185, printing a session high at 0.8189. Price has since compressed for three hours in a 0.8177–0.8189 box at the 0.8185 cap flagged in the CHF digest, with London higher lows intact above the 38.2% fib at 0.8167. RSI(14) is at a neutral 58 and ATR is about 6 pips ahead of US NFP.
Support: 0.81769, 0.81743, 0.81675
Resistance: 0.81852, 0.81891
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) in ~1.5h is the likely catalyst to resolve the 0.8177–0.8189 box
An M15 close above the 0.8189 session high clears the prior high and opens the path toward 0.8205
Loss of the 0.8177 range floor and the London higher lows trendline shifts focus to the 0.8174 Asian high, then the 38.2% fib near 0.8167
Tight range under session high, lower highs since 09:15 UTC.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8175 and printed a session high at 0.8189, testing the 0.8185 cap flagged in the digest, after the overnight rebound from 0.8148. Since then price has been compressing in a 0.8177–0.8189 band. Highs are slipping and the range floor is holding. RSI(14) is flat near 54 and price is sitting on EMA20 ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8175, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81891
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; ATR near 6 pips understates event range
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure of the 0.8177 range floor exposes the Asian high at 0.8175, then the London low at 0.8166 near the 61.8% fib
Higher lows since 06:00 UTC, lower highs after the 0.8189 session high.
London broke above the 0.8150-0.8175 Asian range and printed a session high at 0.8189. That probe was rejected at the 0.8185 range cap and has been followed by lower highs, while the 0.8177 swing low, near the 38.2% fib of the 0.8161-0.8189 leg, keeps the rising lows intact. Price is coiling into NFP, with USD carrying a haven bid from the equity sell-off.
Support: 0.8177, 0.8166, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.81891, 0.8185
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high clears the 0.8185 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8177 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8166 higher low
Higher lows since Asia; London false break above prior high, now tight consolidation.
USDCHF has fully retraced Thursday's NY-session drop to 0.8133, helped by the haven USD bid from the AI-equity rout. London cleared the Asian high and poked through the prior high at 0.8185 to a 0.8189 session high but could not hold above it. Price is now consolidating in a narrow 0.8177–0.8187 band at the 38.2% fib of the London up-leg, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.8177, 0.81748, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.81891
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read, with 0.8185 the level in focus
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high invalidates the false-break read
Loss of the 0.8177 range floor exposes the asian high at 0.8175 and the 61.8% fib
Break below the 0.8166 london low ends the higher-low chain
London broke the Asian high; lower highs since the 0.8189 session high.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8175 and cleared yesterday's prior high near 0.8185, helped by the haven USD bid after the equity sell-off. Supply capped the move at the 0.8189 session high, and a run of lower highs has since pulled price back to the 0.8177 swing low, the 38.2% fib of the 0.8161–0.8189 leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.81773, 0.81748, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.81891
What it said to watch
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~2.5h) could materially shift this read; ATR(14) near 6 pips will expand
M15 close below the 0.8177 swing low opens the Asian high at 0.8175, then the London low at 0.8166
Close above the 0.8189 session high breaks the lower-highs line and clears the prior high at 0.8185
Higher lows from 0.8133; tight 0.8177–0.8189 consolidation in mid-London.
USD/CHF has put in higher lows since yesterday's NY-session low at 0.8133, set during the AI equity rout. The rebound broke the 0.8148–0.8175 Asian range to the upside into London. The 0.8185 prior high was only briefly cleared, to a 0.8189 London high, and price is now compressing between 0.8177 and 0.8189 above the rising trendline ahead of NFP, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.81773, 0.81657, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.81891
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8189 London high clears the 0.8185 prior high and extends the higher-high chain
Loss of the 0.8177 micro low and the rising trendline (~0.8170) exposes the 0.8166 London low, near the 38.2% of the rebound fib
Break below the 0.8148 Asian low would undo the overnight higher-low sequence
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; a miss puts the haven-driven USD bid at risk
10:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at range cap · RSI 55 · price 0.81802
Higher-low chain since Thursday NY low; lower high 0.8187 under 0.8189 session high.
Higher lows off Thursday's NY low at 0.8133 carried London through the Asian high and the 0.8185 prior high to a 0.8189 session high, helped by the safe-haven USD bid. Price has since slipped back under 0.8185, the cap the CHF digest flags, with RSI(14) cooling to ~55. Swing low 0.8177 is first support, with the rising trendline near 0.8170 below.
Support: 0.81773, 0.8170, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.81891
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high breaks the 0.8185 cap and opens 0.8205
Failure to hold the 0.8177 swing low exposes the trendline near 0.8170 and the london low at 0.8166, near the 38.2% fib of the 0.8133–0.8189 leg
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read; a soft print puts 0.8130 back in focus
10:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at range top · RSI 57 · price 0.8183
HH/HL chain off 0.8161, capped 0.8185–0.8189.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.8178. The London leg reached a 0.8189 session high, but closes keep slipping back under the 0.8185 prior high, the cap of the range flagged into NFP. A rising support line from the 0.8161 swing low and the 0.8166 London low has held, and RSI(14) is neutral near 57 as USD trades on safe-haven demand.
Support: 0.8178, 0.8166, 0.8161
Resistance: 0.8185, 0.8189, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high clears the prior high and exposes the 0.8205 upper cap
Loss of the 0.8178 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 0.8166 London low next
Break below the 0.8161 swing low and rising support ends the HH/HL chain
US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K, prev 29K) could materially shift this read; Michigan sentiment follows at 15:00 GMT
Higher lows through London, retest of 0.8185 prior high.
USD/CHF has fully recovered yesterday's NY-session haven-CHF drop to 0.8133. London cleared the Asian range high near 0.8178 and briefly topped the 0.8185 prior high to print a 0.8189 session high. Higher lows at 0.8166 (London low) and 0.8177 (swing low) keep the rising support intact as price retests 0.8185 ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.81773, 0.81657
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.81891
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8177 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts price back inside the Asian range
Close above the 0.8189 session high extends the break of the 0.8185 range cap, with 0.8205 the next flagged resistance
Loss of the 0.8166 London low and the rising support line undoes the London leg
US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 62 · price 0.8182
Higher lows from 0.8148 Asian low; London capped at 0.8185–0.8189.
London cleared the 0.8178 Asian range top and briefly poked above yesterday's 0.8185 prior high to a 0.8189 session high. It then met rejection back to 0.8180. Higher lows hold from the 0.8148 Asian low, with the haven USD bid from the Nasdaq rout behind the rebound and RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.8172, 0.8166, 0.8148
Resistance: 0.8185, 0.8189, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8189 session high opens the 0.8205 resistance
Loss of the 0.8172 pullback low and the rising trendline near the 0.8166 london low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows through London · RSI 65 · price 0.81866
HH/HL chain from the 0.8161 pre-London low; testing above yesterday's 0.8185 prior high.
London built on the rebound from the 0.8161 pre-London low. Price pushed through yesterday's 0.8185 prior high to a 0.8188 session high as haven USD demand held into NFP. The 0.8166 swing low keeps the higher-low chain intact, and RSI(14) near 65 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.81854, 0.81657, 0.81606
Resistance: 0.8188, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8185 (prior high) would mark the push as a false break back into the range
M15 close below the 0.8166 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain; the pre-ldn low at 0.8161 is next
Extension through the 0.8188 session high exposes the 0.8205 cap flagged as strong resistance
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 62 · price 0.81827
HL chain off 0.8148 Asian low, retesting 0.8185 prior high.
London open lifted price through the Asian high at 0.8175 on the haven-USD bid. The first push stalled at the 0.8185 prior high, and the pullback held the 0.8166 London low on the rising higher-low trendline. Price is now retesting 0.8185 with RSI(14) near 62, not stretched.
Support: 0.81748, 0.81657, 0.81606
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8185 prior high opens the 0.8205 strong resistance flagged in the CHF digest
Failure at 0.8185 followed by a break of the 0.8166 London low and the higher-low trendline would leave a second rejection at the high
Loss of the 0.8161 pre-London low unwinds the session's higher-low chain
Fed Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
London false break above Asian high, pullback holding higher lows.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8175 but met rejection at 0.8185, the prior high from yesterday's London session, and slipped to the london low at 0.8166 before recovering. Price now sits at 0.8173, around the 50% of the London leg, with RSI(14) neutral at 54. A pre-NFP USD haven bid has lifted the pair well off yesterday's NY sell-off low near 0.8133.
Support: 0.81657, 0.81606, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8185 prior high invalidates the rejection read and extends the range break
Break below 0.8161 pre-ldn low snaps the higher lows chain and exposes the asian low at 0.8148
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
London break of Asian high rejected at prior-day high, back inside range.
Early London pushed through the Asian high at 0.8175 on the pre-NFP USD rebound and tagged the prior high at 0.8185, matching yesterday's top, where supply capped it. Price has since slipped back to 0.8171, near the 61.8% of the 0.8161–0.8185 London leg and back inside the Asian range, with RSI(14) neutral at 52.
Support: 0.81666, 0.81606, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.8167 swing low exposes the 0.8161 session low, then the 0.8148 asian low
A close back above the 0.8175 asian high re-opens a test of the 0.8185 prior high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
London false break above Asian high, rejected at 0.8185 prior high.
Early in the London session, price pushed through the Asian high at 0.8175. It tagged 0.8185, matching yesterday's prior high, and was rejected back to 0.8174. RSI(14) is neutral near 53, and the window still holds a 0.8133–0.8185 range after yesterday's NY-session drop, with the haven USD bid into NFP lifting the overnight lows along a rising trendline from the Asian low.
Support: 0.81668, 0.81616, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian high at 0.8175 reopens the 0.8185 prior high; acceptance above that breaks the range top
Loss of the 0.8167 london low exposes the fib 61.8 near 0.8162 and the rising trendline
Break below the 0.8148 asian low negates the overnight higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 55 · price 0.81769
Higher lows since NY low; London high rejected at prior high.
Early London broke the Asian high at 0.8175 and tagged the prior high at 0.81854 (matching yesterday's 10:30 UTC peak) before a rejection; price is now retesting the Asian high from above. The recovery from yesterday's 0.8133 NY-session low keeps a higher-low chain at 0.8148 and 0.8161 as the USD firms into NFP, with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 0.81748, 0.81606, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.81854 prior high clears the double test and opens the 0.8205 cap
Loss of the 0.8161 swing low breaks the higher lows and exposes the asian low at 0.8148
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing range top · RSI 63 · price 0.81831
Higher lows since Asia, Asian range high broken pre-London.
The pre-London leg from the 0.8161 swing low broke the 0.8175 Asian high and is now pressing yesterday's 0.8185 prior high, the top of the 0.8133–0.8185 two-session range. Rising lows from the 0.8148 Asian low underpin the move as USD firms on haven demand. RSI(14) is near 63 with ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 0.81748, 0.81606, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81854, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8185 prior high breaks the two-session range top; 0.8205 strong res is next
A drop back below the 0.8175 Asian high would mark a false break and put the 0.8161 swing low back in focus
A break of the rising lows trendline would undercut the higher-low chain from the Asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 GMT and US NFP at 13:30 GMT (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Two-way, recovering off the Asia gap low · RSI 45 · price 0.81674
Higher lows through Asia; London break of the Asian high failed.
Early London pushed through the 0.8175 asian high to a 0.8178 london high, then slipped back to 0.8167. That leaves a false break, with price back inside the Asian range. Asia lows have stepped higher from the 0.8148 asian low after the daily-open gap, the latest swing low at 0.8161, as the USD steadies after the post-midterm sell-off; RSI(14) is neutral near 45.
Support: 0.8161, 0.8148
Resistance: 0.8175, 0.8178, 0.8185
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8178 london high negates the false break and exposes the 0.8185 prior high
Break of the 0.8161 swing low and the rising-lows line returns focus to the 0.8148 asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Since the NY low at 0.8133, the pair has printed higher lows through the Asia session. The 0.8161 swing low held at the 38.2% fib of that recovery as the dollar stabilised into NFP. Price is sitting on the Asian high near 0.8175 after a brief poke to a 0.8178 session high ahead of London open.
Support: 0.81606, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81779, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8178 session high exposes the 0.8185 prior high
Break below the 0.8161 swing low and trendline undercuts the higher-low read, with the 0.8148 asian low next
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read; the 0.8133 ny low is the line if a soft print hits
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows since Thursday's NY low · RSI 59 · price 0.81761
HH/HL chain; Asian range high broken ahead of London open.
USD/CHF pushed through the Asian high at 0.8175 into the London open, printing a session high at 0.8178 off a higher low at 0.8161, as the dollar stabilised after the post-midterm sell-off. The higher-low chain runs from Thursday's NY low at 0.8133, with the prior high at 0.8185 overhead.
Support: 0.81748, 0.81606, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81779, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8175 asian high marks a false break of the Asian range
Break of the 0.8161 higher low and the higher-low line ends the HH/HL chain; asian low 0.8148 below
Close above the 0.8185 prior high extends the recovery beyond Thursday's range
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows pressing Asian high, inside prior-day range.
Ahead of the London open, price is retesting the 0.8175 Asian high after a 13-pip lift off the 0.8161 swing low. A rising trendline of higher lows from the 0.8148 session low remains intact. Yesterday's NY-session drop to the 0.8133 NY low is now largely retraced as USD steadies into payrolls, with the 0.8185 prior high still capping above.
Support: 0.81606, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8161 swing low and the rising trendline returns focus to the 0.8148 session low
Break below 0.8148 exposes the 0.8133 ny low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, sideways into London · RSI 54 · price 0.81692
Lower highs under Asian high, swing low 0.8161 holding.
Yesterday's NY sell-off to 0.8133 has been retraced to the Asian high at 0.8175 as the dollar stabilised on rebounding yields. Three rejections there produced a lower-highs sequence. The 0.8161 swing low held twice, near the 23.6% fib of the rebound, leaving price pinned around 0.8169 ahead of London open with ATR under 5 pips.
Support: 0.81606, 0.81499
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 Asian high breaks the lower-highs line and exposes the 0.8185 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8161 swing low opens the 0.8150 Asian low and the 38.2% fib near 0.8159
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K), could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the 0.8175 Asian high, inside the 0.8133–0.8185 range.
The Asia session was rejected twice at the 0.8175 Asian high and has since printed lower highs, easing to the 0.8160 session low into the London open (RSI(14) ~38). Price still holds the 38.2% retrace of the rebound from yesterday's 0.8133 NY low, which came after the sharp NY-hours sell-off. The 0.8133–0.8185 range remains intact as the dollar firms into NFP.
Support: 0.8160, 0.8148, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8175, 0.8185
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8160 session low exposes the 0.8148 Asian low near the 50% retrace
A break of the lower-highs trendline and the 0.8175 Asian high reopens the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of 0.8133 NY low would break the range floor
Fed's Williams (09:30 UTC) and US NFP (13:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.8148–0.8175, lower highs off the range top.
Late Asia session. Price is fading from the Asian high at 0.8175, which capped the pair twice, and now sits near the 38.2% of the Asian leg around 0.8164, with RSI(14) near 41 and price just under both EMAs. Thursday's NY slide to 0.8133 on trimmed Fed-hike bets has been retraced back into the 0.8148–0.8175 Asian range as the dollar stabilised.
Support: 0.81607, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8161 pullback low puts the 61.8% of the Asian leg and the 0.8157 swing low in play, with the 0.8148 Asian low beneath
An M15 close above the 0.8175 Asian high opens Thursday's prior high at 0.8185
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC could shift USD intraday
US NFP, unemployment and AHE at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Sideways, mild pullback inside Asian range · RSI 43 · price 0.81659
Range 0.8148–0.8175 since rollover; twin top at Asian high, pullback to mid-range.
Late Asia session. USDCHF has recovered from the rollover low at 0.8148 after Thursday's NY-session drop to 0.8133. The Asian high at 0.8175 rejected price twice, and the pullback found the session low at 0.8161, near the 50% fib of the overnight leg, while the dollar holds its rebound into NFP. RSI(14) is near 43 and ATR around 5 pips, so the tape is quiet ahead of London open.
Support: 0.81607, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8161 session low exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.8158 and the 0.8148 rollover low
Close above the 0.8175 asian high negates the double top and opens the 0.8185 prior high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then NFP at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower in late Asia · RSI 38 · price 0.81637
Lower highs off the 0.8174 Asian high, testing the 38.2% retrace.
Late Asia session. Price failed three times at the 0.8174 Asian high and is now on the 38.2% retrace of the overnight 0.8148–0.8175 rally, sitting on EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38. Yesterday's NY slide to 0.8133, as Treasury yields dropped to two-month lows, has been fully recovered, and the session range is still developing ahead of London open.
Support: 0.8161, 0.8157, 0.8148
Resistance: 0.8174, 0.8185
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 50% fib at 0.8161 and the 0.8157 swing low opens the asian low at 0.8148
M15 close above the 0.8174 asian high exposes yesterday's prior high at 0.8185
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC could shift the read ahead of US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K)
05:16 UTC
Flat, Asia recovery stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.8166
Late-Asia range under the Asian high, pressing swing-low support.
Late Asia: two rejections at the 0.8175 Asian high have price pressing the 0.8165 swing low, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the 0.8148–0.8175 Asia move. Overnight action is a range between yesterday's NY sell-off low and the 0.8185 prior high, with the USD steadying ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.81645, 0.8157, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8165 swing low opens the fib 61.8 area near 0.8157 and the Asia trendline
Break under the 0.8148 Asian low undercuts the Asia higher-low sequence
Close above the 0.8175 Asian high exposes the 0.8185 prior high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Rebound from Thursday's NY low, stalling under 0.8175 · RSI 57 · price 0.8171
Higher lows through Asia, flat cap at 0.8175.
Thursday's 13:30 UTC US data drop to 0.8133 has been fully retraced as the USD stabilised. Asia climbed off the 0.8148 rollover low, with the range low at 0.8165 holding on the 38.2% retracement of the Asia leg. Late in the Asia session, the asian high at 0.8175 has capped price three times, and ATR near 5 pips shows a compressed range ahead of London.
Support: 0.8165, 0.8148
Resistance: 0.8175, 0.8185
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the path to Thursday's 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8165 range low breaks the Asia trendline and exposes the 0.8148 rollover low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Asian higher-low chain compressing under the asian high.
Late in the Asia session, price has built higher lows off the 0.8148 asian low. It is compressing in a roughly 10-pip box under 0.8175, the asian high that also capped yesterday's NY rebound from 0.8133. The steadier USD after Thursday's claims beat is meeting a firm CHF following hot Swiss CPI, and the pair is holding above the 0.8165 fib 38.2 ahead of London open.
Support: 0.81645, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8165 fib 38.2 and the Asia trendline exposes the 0.8157 swing low, then the 0.8148 asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asian low pressing a flat 0.8175 cap.
USD/CHF has recovered most of Thursday's NY-session drop to 0.8133. Late in the Asia session it is printing higher lows off the 0.8148 Asian low, with the 61.8% retrace of the NY low rebound holding. The 0.8175 Asian high has capped two pushes, so price is compressing ahead of London open and NFP.
Support: 0.81645, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 Asian high opens the path to the 0.8185 prior high, which was rejected twice on Thursday
Break of the 0.8165 higher low undercuts the Asian higher lows trendline and exposes the 0.8157 swing low
Loss of the 0.8148 Asian low unwinds the overnight NY low rebound
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Late in the Asia session, USDCHF has climbed from the 0.8148 asian low after the rollover gap to retest the 0.8175 asian high. That ceiling also capped the late-NY swing on Thursday. A rising trendline of higher lows at 0.8157 and the 0.8164 swing low sits beneath, with the swing low matching the 38.2% retrace of the Asian leg; RSI(14) is near 62 and ATR is about 5 pips ahead of Williams and NFP.
Support: 0.81645, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the path to the 0.8185 prior high, Thursday's London peak
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.8164 swing low shifts focus to the 0.8157 higher low, then the 0.8148 asian low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read; the CHF digest flags a miss as the larger downside risk for USDCHF
04:02 UTC
Intraday recovery, compressing below Asian high · RSI 53 · price 0.81703
Higher lows inside Asian range, highs capped near 0.8172-0.8175.
Late Asian session: USD/CHF is in the upper half of the 0.8148–0.8175 Asian range, with higher lows along the higher-low line from the 0.8148 Asian low. Highs are stalling at 0.8172–0.8175 and the 38.2% of the Asian leg fib held at the 0.8165 swing low. Thursday's NY dip to 0.8133 on the post-midterm franc bid has been fully retraced, and the market is now waiting on NFP.
Support: 0.81645, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close below the higher-low line and the 0.8165 swing low reopens the 0.8148 Asian low
London break above the 0.8175 Asian high exposes Thursday's 0.8185 prior high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The rebound from Thursday's NY sell-off low at 0.8133 has built a rising trendline of higher lows through the Asian session. Price has been rejected three times at 0.8173-0.8175, the asian high and 78.6% retrace of the 0.8185-0.8133 drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR is about 6 pips as the range compresses ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 0.81645, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high clears the 78.6% fib and exposes the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8165 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain, with the 0.8157 higher low and 0.8148 rollover low below
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Recovery from NY low, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.81682
Higher lows pressing a flat 0.8175 cap.
The NY-session slide on falling Treasury yields took USDCHF from the 0.8185 prior high to 0.8133. A chain of higher lows since then (0.8137, the 0.8148 Asian low, 0.8157) has lifted price into a 0.8174–0.8175 range cap, rejected three times near the 78.6% retracement of that drop. Late Asia, price is holding 0.8168 just above the 61.8% fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.81652, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8175 range cap opens the 0.8185 prior high
A break below the 0.8157 higher low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8148 Asian low
Losing the 61.8% fib at 0.8165 turns the cap into a deeper rejection
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Recovering from NY low, stalling under session high · RSI 59 · price 0.81666
Higher lows since 0.8133, flat cap at 0.8174-0.8175.
Late Asia, USD/CHF has been rejected three times at the 0.8174-0.8175 session high. Lows keep stepping up from yesterday's 0.8133 NY low, which came as the dollar slid on falling yields and Iran-diplomacy hopes, so price is compressing under the cap. RSI(14) is near 59 and ATR runs about 6 pips.
Support: 0.81569, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 session high opens the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the rising-lows trendline near 0.8155 and the 0.8157 swing low exposes the asian low at 0.8148, which sits near the 61.8% fib
A break below the asian low brings the 0.8133 ny low back into view
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below Asian high · RSI 64 · price 0.81712
Higher lows since 0.8148 Asian low, tight coil under 0.8175.
Late Asia has stepped up in higher lows from the 0.8148 Asian low and has now retraced most of yesterday's NY sell-off. That sell-off ran from 0.8185 to 0.8133 as Treasury yields fell. Price is coiling just under the 0.8175 Asian high, between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracements, with M15 ranges compressed to about 6 pips.
Support: 0.81684, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8168 higher low, then the 0.8157 swing low, breaks the Asian higher-low chain
Close below the 0.8148 asian low reopens the NY sell-off lows
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) can materially shift this read
Asia higher-low chain off 0.8148; inside the 78.6% retrace of NY drop.
Mid-Asia session, USDCHF has built higher lows at 0.8148 (the Asian low), 0.8150 and 0.8157 (the swing low). That chain retraced most of the NY flush from the 0.8185 prior high to the 0.8133 NY low, with the CHF digest noting haven flows behind it. Price is now holding just under the 0.8175 session high, which sits near the 78.6% retrace, and RSI(14) has cooled to around 58.
Support: 0.81569, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 session high opens a retest of the 0.8185 prior high
Loss of the 0.8157 swing low breaks the higher-low line; below the 0.8148 asian low the bounce structure fails, exposing the 0.8133 ny low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 60 · price 0.81705
Higher lows through Asia, capped at 0.8173–0.8175.
Asia has stacked higher lows off the 0.8148 asian low and the 0.8157 swing low. That leg recovered most of Thursday's NY-session drop to the 0.8133 ny low, in line with the USD stabilisation into NFP flagged in the digest. Price is now stalling at the 0.8175 asian high, which sits alongside Thursday's late-NY high at 0.8173.
Support: 0.81569, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 asian high opens the 0.8185 prior high from the London session
Break below the 0.8157 swing low ends the higher-lows chain and exposes the 0.8148 asian low; the 50% of the Asian leg near 0.8161 sits just above it
Loss of the asian low puts the 0.8133 ny low back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain off the 0.8148 Asian low, testing the late-NY high.
Thursday's NY drop to 0.8133 has been fully retraced, and the Asia session has built higher lows from the 0.8148 Asian low through 0.8157 and the 0.8165 micro low. Price is retesting the 0.8174–0.8175 session high, which lines up with the late-NY high, while CHF-supportive flows hold steady into NFP. RSI(14) near 59 leaves room before it gets stretched.
Support: 0.81652, 0.81569, 0.81475
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8175 session high opens the path to the 0.8185 prior high (London high)
Loss of the 0.8165 micro low, then the 0.8157 higher low, breaks the Asia HL chain
Break of the 0.8148 Asian low reopens the NY range lower
Fed Williams 09:30 UTC and US NFP 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia higher lows from 0.8148, now testing the late-NY high.
The Asia session has built higher lows from the 0.8148 asian low along a rising Asian trendline and is now retesting the 0.8174 ny high, with RSI(14) near 63. Price has retraced about three-quarters of Thursday's NY drop fib from the 0.8185 day high to the 0.8133 ny low as USD stabilises ahead of payrolls, while CHF stays firm.
Support: 0.8157, 0.8148, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8174, 0.8185
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8174 ny high opens a retest of the 0.8185 day high
Break of the Asian trendline and the 0.8157 swing low puts the 0.8148 asian low back in play
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia higher-low chain pressing the asian high inside the 0.8133–0.8185 day range.
The NY sell-off from the london high at 0.8185 to the ny low at 0.8133 came as softer yields weighed on USD. Price recovered to 0.8174, gapped lower at the rollover and has printed Asia higher lows from 0.8148. It is now testing the asian high at 0.8167, which coincides with the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 0.81569, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81675, 0.81744, 0.81852
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian high at 0.8167 and the late ny high at 0.8174 reopens the london high at 0.8185
Break of the 0.8157 higher low undercuts the Asia trendline and points back to the asian low at 0.8148
Loss of 0.8148 exposes the ny low at 0.8133
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC, then US NFP at 13:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Two-way, recovering from NY low · RSI 56 · price 0.81616
Asia higher lows under 0.8167 cap.
Thursday's London rally to the 0.8185 London high unwound in the first hours of NY, sliding 53 pips to the 0.8133 NY low as the post-election USD weakness and the franc haven bid reasserted. Early in the Asia session, after the rollover gap, price is building higher lows off the 0.8148 Asian low but is capped at the 0.8167 Asian high. That cap sits near the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop, with RSI(14) at 56 and both EMAs flat around 0.8160.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8133
Resistance: 0.8167, 0.8174, 0.8185
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8167 Asian high opens the 0.8174 late NY high, then the 0.8185 London high.
A break of the Asia higher-lows line and the 0.8148 Asian low returns focus to the 0.8133 NY low.
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read.
01:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since NY low · RSI 55 · price 0.81662
Higher-low chain from 0.8133, pressing the late-NY high.
Thursday's NY-session flush to the 0.8133 ny low has been absorbed through a higher-low sequence. The Asia open gapped lower and held 0.8148, the asia low, near the 61.8% fib of the NY low-to-high move. Price is now pressing the 0.8174 ny high from just above the ema cluster near 0.8160, with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR around 7 pips in a quiet pre-NFP Asia session.
Support: 0.8160, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8174 ny high opens the 0.8185 london high
Loss of the ema cluster near 0.8160 and the higher-lows trendline puts the 0.8148 asia low back in play
Break of the 0.8148 asia low undercuts the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8133 ny low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through early Asia, pressing session high at 61.8% retrace.
Early Asia session. Price has worked back from the 0.8148 asian low after the rollover dip and is holding just above the ema20, posting higher lows into the 0.8165 asian high. That high lines up with the 61.8% retrace of Thursday's NY drop from the 0.8185 london high to the 0.8133 ny low, as the dollar steadies ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.8160, 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81651, 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8165 asian high / 61.8% retrace opens the late-ny high at 0.8174, then the 0.8185 london high
Loss of the ema20 and the rising Asia trendline puts the 0.8148 asian low back in focus; below it the 0.8133 ny low is exposed
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering from NY selloff, momentum neutral · RSI 48 · price 0.81619
Higher lows since NY low; Asia consolidating under 61.8% retracement.
A London double top at the 0.8185 day high gave way in NY to a drop to the 0.8133 NY low. Rising lows have followed at 0.8137 and 0.8148, and Asia is pressing the 0.8165 Asian high, which lines up with the 61.8% retracement of the NY drop; price sits on a flat EMA cluster with RSI(14) near 48. The 0.8174 late NY high caps the post-drop rebound.
Support: 0.81475, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81651, 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8165 asian high / 61.8% opens the 0.8174 late ny high, then the 0.8185 day high
Loss of the 0.8148 asian low breaks the rising lows trendline and exposes the 0.8133 ny low
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Two-way, compressing after NY flush · RSI 44 · price 0.81589
Higher lows from 0.8133, lower highs under 0.8185.
The NY session flushed from the 0.8185 day high to a 0.8133 day low, then a higher low at 0.8137 fed a rebound to the 0.8174 swing high. Early Asia opened with a rollover gap lower and has retraced about 64% of that rebound (see rebound fib). Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44, boxed between the 0.8165 asian high and the 0.8148 asian low as the dollar steadies ahead of NFP.
Support: 0.81475, 0.81372, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81651, 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8148 asian low puts the rising lows line and the 0.8137 higher low in play
M15 close above the 0.8174 swing high reopens the 0.8185 day high
Loss of the 0.8133 day low ends the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Two-way, sliding off the late-NY high · RSI 40 · price 0.81556
Early Asia session range 0.8148–0.8165, lower high under 0.8174.
Early Asia session: USD/CHF gapped lower at the rollover from the 0.8174 NY high and is ranging 0.8148–0.8165, with rejection at the 0.8165 session high leaving a lower high. The 0.8148 session low sits on the 61.8% of the NY bounce from the 0.8133 day low. RSI(14) is near 40 and price trades below both EMAs as the CHF bid holds into NFP.
Support: 0.81475, 0.8137, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81651, 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8148 session low exposes the 0.8137 swing low and the 0.8133 day low
Close above the 0.8165 session high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 0.8174 ny high
Only a move through 0.8174 brings the 0.8185 day high back into view
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Two-way intraday range, lower highs since late NY · RSI 42 · price 0.81553
Lower high at 0.8165 under 0.8174; Asia low 0.8148 holding.
Thursday's NY sell-off from the 0.8185 day high bottomed at the 0.8133 NY low. The late NY rebound stalled at 0.8174 as lower UST yields capped the dollar's recovery. Early Asia opened with a gap lower, set a lower high at 0.8165 and found demand at the 0.8148 Asia low, near the 61.8% retracement, leaving price mid-range at 0.8155 with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.81475, 0.81372, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81663, 0.81744, 0.81854
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8148 Asia low exposes the 0.8137 swing low and 0.8133 NY low
Reclaim of 0.8166 (gap fill) and the lower-highs line opens 0.8174 late ny high, then 0.8185 day high
Fed's Williams at 09:30 UTC and US NFP at 13:30 UTC (f/c 65K) could materially shift this read