USDCHF spent most of the week drifting lower toward 0.7910 before a sharp NY-session surge on the hawkish FOMC hold ripped through the 0.7950 range top to a week high of 0.80154. Price has since settled just under the 0.8000 psych barrier with RSI(14) elevated near 66 after the impulse. The breakout has pushed price clear of both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7950, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 0.8000 opens the path back to the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold 0.7950 reopens the prior week range
Range break to new week high, consolidating below 0.8000.
USDCHF spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7910-0.7950 range before a sharp NY-session breakout post-FOMC, with Warsh's hawkish hold lifting the pair ~50 pips to a week high at 0.80154. Price was rejected at the 0.8000 psych barrier and has since consolidated just under it, holding well above the 0.79718 breakout shelf with RSI(14) elevated near 64. The week-long lower-highs structure has been cleared to the topside.
Support: 0.79718, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained H1 close above 0.8000 opens the path toward the 0.80154 week high
Loss of the 0.79718 breakout shelf would negate the range break
Week-long lower highs broken; impulsive thrust to 0.8015.
Price ground lower through most of the week off Monday's 0.7975 area down to a 0.7910 base, before a vertical FOMC-driven thrust as Warsh's hawkish dot-plot revision sparked a broad USD bid, lifting the pair from ~0.7925 to 0.8015 in two hours. The 0.8000 psych barrier capped the spike and price has since eased back to ~0.7990, holding well above EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) snapped into the high 60s on the impulse, the first momentum extreme of the week.
Support: 0.79884, 0.79253, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB Monetary Policy Assessment Thu 07:30 UTC — stretched CHF positioning could amplify the move either way
Hourly close above 0.8000 psych barrier opens the path back to the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold the 0.79884 recent low risks the breakout base at 0.79253 being retested
USD/CHF spent most of the week grinding lower, bleeding to a weekly low near 0.79099, before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp rally through the NY session — a ~90-pip impulse that tagged 0.80154 and was rejected at the 0.8000 barrier. RSI(14) pushed into overbought as price cleared both EMAs, and the pair now holds just under 0.8000 having pulled back from the spike high. The move flipped a downtrend into a breakout in a single session.
Support: 0.7970, 0.79099, 0.7930
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 0.8000 round number opens path toward extension
Failure to hold the 0.797 breakout zone invalidates the reversal
USD/CHF spent the week grinding lower toward the 0.7910 week low before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot sparked a sharp NY-session spike to 0.80154. Price was rejected at the 0.8000 psych barrier and closed back below at 0.79971, but the move drove it decisively above EMA20 and EMA50 after days trading beneath them. RSI surged into the high-60s on the impulse.
Support: 0.7925, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained hold above 0.8000 psych barrier opens path higher
Close back below 0.79250 pre-spike base negates the breakout
USDCHF spent most of the week capped under 0.79550 in a tightening range, then exploded higher into the NY session as a hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and hot US retail sales sparked a broad USD bid. The pair sliced through the weekly range and spiked to 0.80154, tagging the 0.8000 round number before settling back to 0.79971. RSI(14) is stretched after the impulse and price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.7955, 0.79491, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
An hourly close back below 0.79550 negates the range break
Failure to reclaim 0.80000 keeps the spike high in play as resistance
USDCHF ground lower for most of the week, basing near the 0.79099 week low, before ripping higher on the Fed's hawkish hold (3.75% held, dot plot lifted) during the NY session. The move cleared the 0.8000 psych barrier that capped attempts earlier this week, printing a session high at 0.80154 and pushing price well above both EMAs. RSI near 75 reflects an extended, news-driven impulse rather than a measured trend.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79716, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC plus US Initial Claims/Philly Fed could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.8000 psych level back into the prior range invalidates the breakout
Hold above the 0.79716 breakout level keeps the reversal structure intact
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower inside a 0.7910–0.7975 range before the hawkish Fed hold and a blowout US retail sales print triggered a near-50-pip impulse bar into the NY session, clearing the 0.8000 barrier and printing a week high at 0.80154. Price now sits above both EMAs for the first time this week with RSI(14) pushed into overbought near 75. The 0.8000 round number flips to first support on any pullback; SNB on Thursday is the next major event for the franc side.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7975, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80154
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80000 on a close reopens the prior range toward 0.79750
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 0.80154 extends the breakout leg
19:01 UTC
Range broken to upside · RSI 66 · price 0.79696
Week-long drift lower, sharp FOMC reclaim.
USDCHF drifted lower through the week, basing around 0.7925 after the 0.7975 session high failed to hold, before a hawkish Fed hold sparked a sharp NY-session leg back to 0.7975 in a single hour. The spike cleared the descending lower-highs that capped price since Monday and pushed RSI(14) toward 66, with price now back above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 0.8000 barrier sits just overhead as the prior rejection level.
Support: 0.7925, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hold above 0.7950 keeps the upside break intact; slip back under 0.7925 negates it
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower from Monday's 0.797 area into a tight 0.7920–0.7940 range, before the hawkish Fed hold (rates held 3.75%, dots lifted, easing bias dropped) drove a sharp single-bar breakout to 0.7975 in the late session. Price now sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week with RSI(14) pushing toward 68. The 0.7975 session high is the immediate ceiling, with 0.80000 the wider barrier that capped earlier in the week.
Support: 0.7925, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.79250 breakout base keeps the reversal intact
Failure back below 0.79250 would mark the spike as a false break
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.79326
Lower highs into week low, bouncing.
USDCHF has bled lower through the week after rejection near 0.7960, printing a series of lower highs and bottoming at the 0.79099 week low as US-Iran de-escalation sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since clawed back above EMA20 to 0.7933 with RSI(14) lifting back near 53. The recovery stalls under the descending 0.7949 lower-high line that capped the prior bounce.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597
What it said to watch
Fed decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7949 lower-high would break the descending sequence
Failure to hold the 0.79099 week low confirms a lower-low
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next CHF event risk
USDCHF has trended lower since the Monday open, sliding from the 0.7960s to a week low of 0.79099 after the 0.8000 barrier rejection earlier in the week, with US-Iran de-escalation sapping the dollar's haven bid. The last 8 bars have carved higher lows back toward 0.7933 and RSI(14) has lifted off its lows while price held the base — a mild bullish divergence as the pair reclaims EMA20. Action is compressing under the descending lower-high sequence into the Fed and Thursday's SNB decision.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Fed decision now / Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the key swing factor for stretched CHF longs
H1 close above 0.79490 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms continuation of the down-leg
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's 0.7986 high, pressing to the 0.7910 week low through the NY session yesterday as easing US-Iran tensions sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating around 0.7932, back above EMA20 but capped under the EMA50 near 0.7940, with RSI(14) recovering toward the midline. A descending line of lower highs from Monday still defines the structure.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.7959
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC can materially shift this read within the next bar
H1 close below 0.7910 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 0.7959 lower high would challenge the down structure
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.7980 as fading US safe-haven demand on US-Iran de-escalation pressured the dollar. The pair based at 0.79099 mid-week and has since consolidated around 0.7930, with EMA50 capping rebounds near 0.7940. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range as the slide flattens into the FOMC decision.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.7949
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC adds CHF-side risk
H1 close above 0.79490 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, rejected at the 0.8000 barrier early in the week and grinding down to a 0.7910 week low as the US-Iran de-escalation eroded the dollar's safe-haven premium. Price is now consolidating just above the 0.7920 support zone, hugging the EMA20 with RSI back at mid-range; the chain of lower highs into the NY session remains intact. The 0.79400 lower high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.7949, 0.7959
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2h) plus Warsh presser could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for CHF
H1 close above 0.79400 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.79200 support zone opens a retest of the 0.79099 week low
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open, rejected at the 0.8000 barrier and grinding to a 0.7910 week low into yesterday's NY session as a fading USD safe-haven bid weighed. Price has based above EMA(20) over the last day with RSI(14) recovering off the lows, but it remains capped under EMA(50) and the descending sequence of lower highs. The 0.7910 week low is holding so far.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC adds CHF risk
H1 close above 0.7950 challenges the lower-high sequence
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8000 barrier early in the week and ground lower in successive sessions, printing a week low near 0.7910 as US-Iran de-escalation sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since stabilised, sitting just above EMA(20) but capped under the 0.7950 EMA(50) area, with RSI(14) recovering toward neutral. The 0.7920 base has held into the NY session.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7975, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7910 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7950 (ema50 area) neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8000, was rejected at the barrier and trended lower through London-NY sessions toward a 0.7910 swing low as the US-Iran de-escalation sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has since carved a shallow base back above EMA20 around 0.7932, with RSI(14) ticking up off the lows against the lower price low. Lower highs into 0.7949 still cap the recovery.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next franc catalyst
Close above 0.7949 lower high would break the descending structure
Failure to hold 0.7910 swing low confirms continuation lower
USD/CHF has trended lower since the week's open, rejected twice at the 0.8000 barrier as the US-Iran peace framework drained the dollar's safe-haven premium. Price carved a week low at 0.79099 in the NY session before stabilising into a tight 0.7920–0.7335 consolidation, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s. The series of lower highs keeps the bias capped below 0.79490.
Support: 0.7920, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC adds a second event risk
Close above 0.79335 swing high challenges the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.79099 week low confirms a fresh lower low
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.79257
Lower highs, basing above 0.7910 week low.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open from 0.8007, with repeated rejection at the 0.8000 barrier as US-Iran peace optimism drained the dollar's haven bid and CHF stayed firm. Price tagged a 0.79099 week low in the NY session before basing, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) capped in the 40s. A Fed decision at 18:00 UTC and SNB tomorrow leave price coiling near lows.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7920
Resistance: 0.7940, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read into the SNB tomorrow
Close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 0.79400 challenges the descending lower-high structure
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open after the 0.8000 barrier capped the move and the US-Iran peace framework drained the dollar's haven bid. Price slid to a 0.79099 week low in the NY session before stabilising near 0.7920, holding above the session low while RSI(14) sits in the low-40s. Both H1 EMAs remain overhead, keeping the structure of lower highs intact.
Support: 0.79219, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.79490 prior high would challenge the lower-high sequence
USDCHF has bled lower all week off the rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with each London-NY push capped by a descending series of lower highs. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), having printed a week low at 0.79099 before a shallow bounce stalled near 0.79335; the slide reflects an unwinding USD haven bid on US-Iran peace optimism. Fed-then-SNB doubleheader keeps follow-through capped.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC can materially reset this read
SNB hold and intervention rhetoric Thu 07:30 UTC is the next swing risk
Failure to hold 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower low
H1 close back above 0.79335 challenges the lower-high sequence
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilize · RSI 46 · price 0.79282
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday, basing near week low.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with easing US-Iran tensions draining the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price carved a second day of losses into the 0.7910 week low before a modest bounce back above EMA20; RSI(14) has cycled in the low 40s with price still pinned under EMA50. Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC are the dominant risk for the next session.
Support: 0.7910, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.79335, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.79490 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79100 confirms downtrend continuation
USDCHF has bled lower for a second session since the 0.8000 rejection early in the week, basing near 0.7910 into the NY session yesterday as the US-Iran peace optimism drained the dollar's haven bid. A modest bounce has reclaimed the EMA(20) but price remains capped below the EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s. The Fed-then-SNB doubleheader frames the next leg.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.7950 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7910 confirms continuation of the lower-low pattern
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the follow-on risk
USDCHF has ground lower all week off the 0.8000 barrier rejection near Monday's open, printing a clean run of lower highs and lower lows into the NY session. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s; the soft dollar reflects US-Iran peace optimism draining the haven bid. The fresh 0.79099 low is the latest leg of the descent.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is a further binary risk
Hourly close back above 0.79350 ema20 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7900 confirms continuation lower
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, near week low · RSI 39 · price 0.79223
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's session after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with a second day of losses dragging price toward the 0.79099 week low as easing US-Iran tensions drained the dollar's haven premium. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, and each pullback has stalled into the descending lower-highs line. Fed decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC, then SNB tomorrow, are the dominant near-term risks.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.79099 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.79350 would soften the downtrend read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 37 · price 0.79159
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, draining its haven bid as US-Iran peace optimism weighed on the dollar. Price prints fresh lows near 0.7916 below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) sitting in the high-30s and lower highs capping each NY-session bounce. The 0.7950 area has rejected the last two rallies; 0.7910 swing low and the 0.7900 psych level are now in focus.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900, 0.7878
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7950 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.7900 confirms continuation lower toward 0.7878
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week after the rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with a softer USD on US-Iran peace optimism draining the haven bid. Price stair-stepped down through the NY session yesterday and the Asia session today to a fresh week low at 0.79099, trading well below the H1 EMA20 around 0.79300. RSI(14) sits near 36 and pullbacks have repeatedly capped into the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900, 0.7878
Resistance: 0.7930, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.79300 ema20 would soften the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.79000 psych opens the path toward 0.78780
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and SNB tomorrow could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.8000 rejection.
USD/CHF has ground lower for a second day after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with US-Iran peace optimism draining the dollar's haven bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50, printing fresh lows into the European session at 0.79099 with RSI(14) weak in the high-30s. The descending sequence of lower highs through this week remains intact.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Fed decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thursday 07:30 UTC, with intervention rhetoric the key swing factor
H1 close back above 0.79490 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79000 confirms continuation lower
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's high after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, with USD soft on US-Iran peace optimism and CHF firm into the Fed-SNB doubleheader. Price is pinned below EMA20 (~0.7935) and pressing the week low at 0.79099, RSI(14) holding the high-30s without diverging. Each NY-session bounce this week has stalled into the descending lower-high line.
Support: 0.79099, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.79099 opens the 0.7900 psych level
H1 close back above 0.79350 EMA20 would soften the downtrend read
FOMC at 18:00 UTC then SNB tomorrow 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8000 rejection.
USDCHF has trended lower all week after the 0.8000 cap rejected early Monday, sliding to a fresh low at 0.7911 as the US-Iran peace framework sapped USD safe-haven demand. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed near 29, and the descending lower-high sequence remains intact into the 0.7900 round number. The 0.7935 EMA20 has capped every pullback during the NY and Asia sessions.
Support: 0.7900, 0.7878
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7900 opens the path toward the 0.7878 neckline
Reclaim of the 0.7935 EMA20 would break the lower-high sequence
Fed decision + SEP today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC is a CHF-side risk
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended into support · RSI 35 · price 0.79122
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.8000 rejection.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8000 cap early in the window and has bled lower every session since, with the US-Iran peace framework draining USD safe-haven demand. Price now sits below both EMAs, pressing the 0.7900 neckline / channel bottom after a fresh session low at 0.79099, and RSI(14) is into the mid-30s. Momentum is firmly bearish but stretched into the support cluster ahead of major event risk.
Support: 0.7900, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.7948, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7900 neckline confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.7948 would neutralise the descending channel
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next CHF-side driver
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 38 · price 0.79189
Lower highs, lower lows since week open.
USDCHF has trended lower all week after the 0.8000 barrier rejection, with the US-Iran de-escalation draining USD safe-haven demand. Price holds below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in the 35-40 zone and printing a fresh week low at 0.79145 into the Asia session. The 0.79490-0.79590 band has capped every bounce attempt.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7959, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.79145 confirms continuation toward the 0.79000 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79490 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Fed decision/SEP and US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to new lows · RSI 37 · price 0.79189
Series of lower highs and lower lows.
USDCHF has bled lower all week, rejected at the 0.8000 barrier on Monday and stepping down through each session as the US-Iran de-escalation drained USD safe-haven demand. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40 and printing fresh lows near 0.79145; pullbacks into the 0.79480 EMA zone have been sold. Momentum is stretched into the 0.7906-0.7920 support cluster ahead of the SNB.
Support: 0.79145, 0.7906
Resistance: 0.7948, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
SNB decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the hour
Hourly close below 0.79060 confirms a break of the neckline support
Reclaim of the 0.79480 ema20 would ease the downside pressure
Fed decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side risk into the close
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.8000 rejection.
USDCHF has trended lower all week after the 0.8000 barrier rejected price twice, with the safe-haven USD bid draining on US-Iran de-escalation. Price sits at the lows near 0.7921, capped beneath the EMA20 (~0.7930) with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s as each NY/Asia session prints fresh lower lows. The 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster is the immediate area to monitor for a reaction.
Support: 0.79175, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7930, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79175 confirms a lower low and opens the path toward 0.7900
Reclaim of 0.79300 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
SNB decision (07:30 UTC) and Fed dots later could materially shift this read
USDCHF has graded lower all week after the 0.8000 barrier was rejected twice early Monday, with the US-Iran de-escalation draining the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price has held below EMA(20) since the Tuesday roll-over and now grinds at the 0.79175 session low, RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s without a clean bullish divergence yet. The 0.79490 swing high has capped every bounce attempt into NY.
Support: 0.79175, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.79490 swing high would break the lower-highs sequence
SNB decision 07:30 UTC and Fed/SEP later could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.79175 opens the 0.7900 round number
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, second leg lower · RSI 39 · price 0.79208
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing weekly low.
USDCHF has trended lower all week after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, sliding through a second day of losses as easing US-Iran tensions sapped USD safe-haven demand. Price sits below both EMA20 (~0.7935) and EMA50, now pressing the 0.7920 weekly low with RSI(14) sub-40 and momentum fading. The 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster (H&S neckline) is the line in the sand into the Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7949, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79200 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.79000 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79350 EMA20 would ease the downside pressure
FOMC dot-plot / Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next CHF-side catalyst
USDCHF is in a second day of grind-down after rejection at the 0.8000 barrier, sliding to ~0.7921 as US-Iran de-escalation drained the USD safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, and the 0.7950 EMA20 area has capped each NY-session bounce this week. The 0.79200 swing low is now being tested with the 0.7900 psych level below.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597, 0.8000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.79597 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79200 opens the path toward the 0.7900 psych level
FOMC dot-plot/Warsh at 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has drifted lower since Monday's open near 0.7984, with a sharp gap-down through midweek leaving price pinned at the 0.7920 week-low zone. Pullbacks have repeatedly stalled into the EMA20 around 0.7942 and rallies are capped under 0.7952, keeping the dollar offered into the Fed; the digest ties the soft tone to US-Iran de-escalation sapping the USD haven bid. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, flat near the lows rather than oversold.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7942, 0.7952
What it said to watch
An H1 close below 0.7920 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.7942 EMA20 and a close above 0.7952 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week off the 0.8013 peak as US-Iran peace optimism capped the dollar's safe-haven bid, with price now grinding into the 0.7920 swing low. Bounces have stalled at 0.7950 and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s without a clean divergence yet. The pair is pressing the lower edge of its descending channel into the Fed.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7950, 0.7960, 0.7990
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7920 opens the 0.7900 round number
Reclaim of 0.7950 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has trended lower all week from the 0.8010 area, with the US-Iran peace framework capping the dollar's safe-haven bid ahead of tonight's FOMC. Price has stalled in a tight range around 0.7925 over the Asia session, holding just above the 0.79215 swing low while EMA20 near 0.7935 caps rebounds. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, reflecting fading downside momentum rather than fresh selling.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7935, 0.7949, 0.7959
What it said to watch
FOMC dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.79350 ema20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.79215 swing low confirms continuation lower toward the 0.7900 psych level
USD/CHF has drifted lower since the week opened near 0.7984, with the dollar's safe-haven bid capped by US-Iran de-escalation and softer US data. Price now grinds along the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster (the H&S neckline flagged in context), holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40. A string of lower highs through the NY session yesterday keeps the structure heavy.
Support: 0.79215, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7984
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.79215 confirms a lower low toward the 0.7900 neckline
Reclaim of 0.79490 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum slowing at support · RSI 41 · price 0.79258
Lower highs into 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster.
H1 has trended steadily lower since the 0.8013 spike high early in the week, with price now pinned against the 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster after US-Iran peace optimism capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding the low 40s, and the last several sessions have flattened into a tight consolidation just above the 0.79209 swing low. Demand has stepped in repeatedly near 0.7920 but rallies keep stalling under the 0.7942 EMA.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7942, 0.79597, 0.7999
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7900 confirms a lower low and neckline break
Reclaim of 0.7942 EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum slowing near support · RSI 38 · price 0.79258
Lower highs since Monday, basing above 0.7920.
Downtrend since Monday's 0.8013 high, with the pair grinding lower through the week and now consolidating just above the 0.7920 swing low. Price holds below EMA20 (~0.7942) with RSI in the high-30s; the US-Iran peace framework has kept the dollar's safe-haven bid capped while traders square into the Fed. The 0.7900-0.7930 zone, flagged as an H&S neckline, is the structural floor in focus.
Support: 0.7920, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7942, 0.7950, 0.7990
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.7900 confirms the neckline break and opens fresh downside
Reclaim of the 0.7942 ema20 would ease the downside pressure
FOMC decision and dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 39 · price 0.79252
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 0.7920.
USDCHF has leaked steadily lower since Monday's session, sliding from the 0.8013 week high to test 0.7921 as US-Iran peace optimism capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price holds below EMA20 with RSI in the high 30s, and the last several hours have consolidated in a tight band just above 0.7925. The 0.7900-0.7930 support cluster remains the structural pivot into the decision.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7942, 0.79597, 0.80127
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7920 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7900
Reclaim of the 0.7942 EMA20 would challenge the downtrend
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum heavy · RSI 39 · price 0.79252
Lower highs, pressing week low.
USD/CHF has leaked lower since Monday's open, rolling over from 0.80127 and trending beneath EMA20/50 all week as US-Iran peace optimism capped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price is now grinding into the 0.7900-0.7930 H&S neckline support with RSI(14) parked in the high-30s. Lower highs through the NY sessions have kept every rally sub-0.7950.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7942, 0.7990
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7920 confirms continuation toward the 0.7900 neckline
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.7942 EMA would challenge the descending lower-highs
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum slowing near support · RSI 43 · price 0.79324
Lower highs into 0.7900-0.7930 support.
USDCHF has trended lower since the 0.8013 week high, the US-Iran peace framework sapping USD safe-haven demand and dragging the pair into the 0.7900-0.7930 support zone, the H&S neckline flagged in the macro read. Price has flattened just under EMA(20) near 0.7945 with RSI(14) sitting in the low 40s, two attempts at the 0.7949 prior high capped through the NY session. The week low at 0.7920 is holding for now.
Support: 0.7921, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.7956, 0.8013
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.7920 confirms a lower-low and breaks the neckline support
Reclaim of EMA(20)/0.7945 needed to challenge the 0.7956 lower high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and SNB Thu could materially shift this read
USDCHF has bled lower since Monday's 0.8010 area highs, the leg down accelerating after the US-Iran framework deal sapped the dollar's safe-haven bid. Price now grinds in a tight 0.7920-0.7932 band against the 0.7900-0.7930 support / H&S neckline, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low 40s. Dips have stayed contained as the market squares up ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.79209, 0.7900
Resistance: 0.7949, 0.79597, 0.80127
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 0.7900-0.7930 support confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.79490 swing high eases the downside pressure
FOMC 18:00 UTC and SNB Thursday could materially shift this read