Higher highs since breakout, consolidating below week high.
USD/CHF gapped higher mid-week as the neutral SNB hold and a hawkish Fed lifted price through the 0.8000 pivot, peaking at the 0.80620 week high. Price has since consolidated in a tight band above 0.80210, holding well clear of EMA20 with RSI cycling in the upper half. The 0.80520-0.80620 zone is capping the latest push.
Support: 0.8021, 0.7997, 0.7988
Resistance: 0.8062, 0.8052
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80620 week high extends the breakout
Failure to hold 0.80210 range low opens 0.8000 pivot
Higher highs since Wednesday, now consolidating below week high.
USDCHF broke through 0.8000 on Wednesday after the hawkish Fed dot plot and a neutral SNB hold, running from the 0.7910 region to a week high of 0.80620. Price has since stalled into the NY-Asia transition, consolidating above 0.804 with RSI(14) easing off from elevated levels. EMA20 around 0.8025 has so far underpinned the pullbacks.
Support: 0.8021, 0.8025, 0.7997
Resistance: 0.8062
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80210 swing low would break the run of higher lows
A close above 0.80620 week high opens the path toward 0.8042-region resistance cited in the macro read
S&P Global PMIs Jun 23 13:45 UTC could shift the USD read
Higher highs since breakout, consolidating below week high.
USDCHF broke above 0.8000 on the hawkish-FOMC and neutral-SNB combo, accelerating off Tuesday's 0.7910 base into a fresh 2.5-month high near 0.8062. Price is now consolidating in the upper 0.8030s-0.8050s with RSI holding the mid-50s on each pullback, and demand has stepped in repeatedly above the 0.8000 round level. The 0.8052/0.8062 zone has capped the latest push.
Support: 0.8038, 0.8000, 0.7972
Resistance: 0.8052, 0.8062
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.80000 would break the post-FOMC rising structure
Sustained move above 0.80620 extends the week's breakout
S&P Global PMIs Tue Jun 23 could materially shift the USD read
USD/CHF accelerated through the 0.8000 psych pivot mid-window after the hawkish FOMC dot plot and a neutral SNB hold, running from the ~0.7910 week low to a 0.8062 week high. Price now sits at 0.8044, consolidating just under that high with RSI cycling back from overbought. The breakout above 0.7990 has held on the latest pullbacks.
Support: 0.80213, 0.8000, 0.7990
Resistance: 0.8062, 0.8049
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80620 week high opens the path higher
Loss of 0.8000 psych would undo the breakout
S&P Global PMIs Jun 23 and Core PCE Jun 25 could materially shift this read
USDCHF spent early week grinding to sub-0.7910 lows before a sharp impulse reclaimed 0.8000 on the hawkish Fed dot-plot shift and neutral SNB hold, and the pair has since pressed to 2.5-month highs near 0.8062. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with each pullback shallow and finding demand near 0.8000. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, elevated but not stretched as buyers extend the move.
Support: 0.8025, 0.8000, 0.7988
Resistance: 0.8062
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80620 opens continuation toward fresh highs
loss of 0.80000 reopens the 0.7950/0.7920 zone
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) and Core PCE (Jun 25) are the next macro tests for this move
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, near week highs · RSI 62 · price 0.80454
Higher highs and higher lows above 0.8000.
Pair ripped through 0.8000 mid-week after the hawkish Fed hold and neutral SNB drained the CHF safe-haven bid, breaking from a multi-day base near 0.791. Price has held above EMA(20) through every pullback since, grinding to a fresh week high at 0.8062 before consolidating just under it. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79718, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8062, 0.80497
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 breaks the higher-low sequence and reopens 0.79718
Repeated rejection at 0.8062 caps the week-high and signals stalling
Loss of EMA(20) near 0.802 would mark the first failed pullback since the breakout
Higher highs since breakout, holding near week highs.
USDCHF broke decisively above 0.7970 mid-window on the dual hawkish Fed hold and neutral SNB, and has trended higher since, reclaiming 0.8000 and pressing into 0.8062. Price sits well above EMA20 with RSI(14) holding in the 60s, and pullbacks into the 0.8020 area have been bought through the NY session. The 0.8042 prior high flagged in the news has been cleared, leaving 0.8062 as the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8000, 0.7970
Resistance: 0.8062, 0.8042
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.8000 psych pivot reopens the 0.7950/0.7920 zone
Acceptance above 0.8062 week high extends the impulse
S&P Global Flash PMIs (Tue) and Core PCE (Thu) could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 64 · price 0.80497
Higher highs since Tuesday breakout.
USDCHF ripped through 0.8000 on Tuesday's NY session as the hawkish Fed hold met a neutral SNB, then ground higher toward the 0.80620 week high. Price has held above EMA(20) on every pullback since, with RSI(14) elevated in the low-60s but not yet diverging. The 0.8000 psych pivot now sits well below as broken resistance turned support.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8000, 0.79818
Resistance: 0.8062
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.80200 would mark the first lower-low since the breakout
Loss of 0.8000 reopens the 0.7950/0.7920 zone
Close above 0.80620 week high extends the impulse
S&P Global flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 0.80511
Higher highs since breakout above 0.8000.
USDCHF has trended hard off the 0.79099 low, with the impulse coming on the hawkish Fed hold and neutral SNB that reclaimed the 0.8000 psych pivot. Price has since ground to a fresh week high at 0.80519 with RSI(14) elevated near 68 and holding above both EMAs. Pullbacks this session have found support around 0.80213, keeping the advance intact.
Support: 0.80213, 0.8000, 0.7988
Resistance: 0.80519
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.80519 week high opens the path toward 0.8042+ extension
Loss of 0.8000 psych pivot reopens the 0.7950 zone
Tue S&P Global Flash PMIs could materially shift the USD read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 70 · price 0.80511
Range break, higher highs.
USDCHF surged through the 0.8000 psych level after Wednesday's hawkish Fed hold and Thursday's neutral SNB, breaking a multi-day range that had capped near 0.7950. Price has held above EMA(20) throughout the rally with RSI(14) now stretched near overbought as it presses the 0.80519 week high. Demand stepped in repeatedly above 0.80213 during the NY session, keeping the structure firmly bid.
Support: 0.80213, 0.8000, 0.79718
Resistance: 0.80519
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.8000 reopens the 0.7950/0.7920 zone
Failure to clear 0.80519 week high keeps the rally capped
S&P Global Flash PMIs Tue could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.80496
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing range top.
USDCHF ripped above the 0.8000 round number after Wednesday's hawkish Fed hold and an SNB that held at 0% and flagged intervention willingness — the impulse off 0.7910 ran through every prior level into the NY session. Price now sits at 2.5-month highs near 0.80499 with RSI stretched into overbought, and intraday pullbacks have been shallow, holding above the 0.80210 swing low. The 0.8000 pivot now acts as the structural floor for the breakout.
Support: 0.8021, 0.8000, 0.7987
Resistance: 0.80499
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.80499 extends the breakout toward 0.8060
Loss of 0.80000 round number would unwind the breakout structure
Core PCE Thu Jun 25 is the key inflation test that could shift USD positioning
SNB intervention rhetoric could cap franc weakness
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.80496
Higher highs since Wed, holding above breakout.
USD/CHF accelerated through the week off Monday's 0.7967 open, with the decisive leg arriving on yesterday's hawkish Fed hold that snapped price back above the 0.8000 pivot. The pair has trended cleanly higher through the NY session, printing fresh 2.5-month highs into 0.8050 with RSI(14) stretched near 70. Price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50); each pullback has held the rising structure.
Support: 0.80213, 0.8000, 0.7967
Resistance: 0.80499, 0.8050
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.8050 extends the breakout; rejection here marks a session high cap
Loss of 0.8020 session low would be the first lower-low this session
Failure to hold the 0.8000 pivot neutralises the breakout read
Mideast US-Iran headlines could revive safe-haven CHF bid and shift the read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 0.80453
Higher highs, breakout above 0.8000.
USDCHF surged off the 0.7910 base after the hawkish Fed hold, reclaiming the 0.8000 pivot and printing a week high at 0.80497; the in-line SNB hold today did little to slow it. Price is riding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pushing into the high-60s, so the move is stretched but structure remains constructive with each pullback finding higher lows. The 0.8000 pivot has flipped to support after Tuesday's NY-session breakout.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79818, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.80497, 0.8050
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8000 pivot would unwind the breakout read toward 0.79818
Sustained close above 0.80497 week high extends the run toward 0.8050
US Core PCE Thu and risk-sentiment shifts on US-Iran headlines could reprice this read
USD/CHF accelerated through the 0.8000 pivot after the hawkish Fed hold and an in-line SNB, with the dominant leg landing in the NY session and the pair printing a 0.80497 session high. Price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) since the breakout, RSI(14) running hot near 65. The 0.80200 intraday low has marked the latest higher-low.
Support: 0.8020, 0.8000, 0.7988
Resistance: 0.8049
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.80000 pivot would negate the breakout read
Hold above 0.80200 keeps the higher-low structure intact
US PMIs (Tue) and Core PCE (Thu) are the next macro tests for this move
Renewed SNB intervention chatter could cap franc downside
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 62 · price 0.80386
Higher highs and lows since range break.
USD/CHF spent Monday-Wednesday grinding in a 0.7920-0.7950 range before a sharp range break in the NY session lifted the pair through 0.8000 to a 2.5-month high at 0.80497, driven by the hawkish Fed hold and an in-line SNB. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) holding the upper half on pullbacks, and the reclaimed 0.8000 level now acts as support. Schlegel's intervention rhetoric is the recurring cap on continued franc weakness.
Support: 0.8000, 0.8021, 0.7982
Resistance: 0.80497, 0.8057
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8000 pivot opens the path back toward the 0.7930 area
H1 close above 0.80497 week high extends toward the 0.80570 round psych level
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) could materially shift the USD-driven read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 59 · price 0.80386
Higher highs above 0.8000 breakout.
USDCHF accelerated off the 0.7910 low and reclaimed 0.8000 after the hawkish Fed hold and an in-line SNB, the dominant move arriving in the NY session yesterday with a sharp gap higher through 0.7972. Price has held above EMA(20) since the breakout and printed a week high at 0.80497 before easing back to 0.80386. The 0.8000 pivot is now acting as the reference for the move.
Support: 0.8000, 0.80209, 0.79718
Resistance: 0.80497
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.8000 negates the breakout and reopens 0.79718
Rejection at the 0.80497 week high caps the extension
Renewed Middle-East safe-haven flows could swing CHF and pull price back toward 0.7930
USDCHF ripped through the 0.8000 psych pivot during the NY session and extended to a 0.80497 week high as a hawkish Fed hold outweighed the in-line SNB. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the 60s; the latest bars are a shallow pullback into the 0.8033 area, with the prior 0.7988 range now acting as base. The dominant impulse from 0.7925 remains intact while 0.8000 holds on a closing basis.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80497, 0.80471
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8000 negates the breakout and reopens the 0.7930 area
Sustained hold above 0.80497 week high extends the week's impulse
Renewed safe-haven flow or SNB intervention signals would cap upside
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 0.80336
Breakout, higher highs above 0.8000.
USDCHF reclaimed the 0.8000 pivot on the post-Fed/SNB leg and has pushed to a session high at 0.80497, trading well above EMA20 and EMA50. The advance has been one-directional since the impulse off 0.7925 on Wednesday's session, with each pullback finding the prior range near 0.79880. RSI(14) sits stretched near 68 as price consolidates just under the high.
Support: 0.80255, 0.8000, 0.7988
Resistance: 0.80497
What it said to watch
Hold of 0.8000 pivot keeps the breakout structure intact
Rejection at 0.80497 session high would mark a near-term cap
Loss of 0.79880 prior range would unwind the breakout read
S&P Global PMIs (Jun 23) are the next catalyst that could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.7925 base.
USD/CHF reclaimed the 0.8000 pivot and ran to a 0.80497 week high through yesterday's NY session, the leg accelerating off the 0.7925 base after the hawkish Fed hold and an in-line SNB hold (0%) today. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s on pullbacks. The last hour stalled near 0.8033, with the week high capping the latest push.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79818, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80497, 0.8042
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8000 pivot would break the higher-low sequence and reopen 0.7930
Rejection at the 0.80497 week high keeps the rally capped
US-Iran / safe-haven headlines remain the main CHF swing factor
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after impulse · RSI 66 · price 0.80336
Higher highs since Tuesday's NY breakout.
USDCHF ripped off the 0.7910 base during Tuesday's NY session, reclaiming 0.8000 on the hawkish Fed hold and in-line SNB and extending to a 0.80497 week high. Price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding in the mid-60s; the 0.8000 reclaim has held on each pullback so far. Last bar's narrow consolidation under 0.80497 marks the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.80497, 0.8042
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80000 psych pivot would unwind the breakout read
Rejection at 0.80497 week high caps the impulse
S&P Global PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
Higher highs and higher lows since the impulse, holding above 0.8000.
USDCHF spent the early part of the window grinding lower toward 0.7910 before a sharp impulse bar reclaimed the 0.8000 psych pivot in the wake of the hawkish Fed hold and firmer DXY. Price has since carved higher lows into the NY session, tagging a week high at 0.80497, with RSI(14) elevated near 67 and price clear of both EMAs. The 0.8000 round number that capped earlier attempts now sits as the breakout reference below.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7985
Resistance: 0.8042, 0.80497
What it said to watch
Today's Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 0.8000 invalidates the breakout and re-opens the 0.79850 area
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 68 · price 0.80378
Higher highs after breakout above 0.8000.
USDCHF based around 0.7910 mid-week then ripped higher through the NY session yesterday, clearing the 0.8000 psych pivot on the back of the hawkish Fed/Warsh repricing that lifted DXY through 100. Price now sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) stretched near 68 as the pair presses the 0.80500 week high. Pullbacks have so far held above the 0.79820 swing low, keeping the breakout intact.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7982, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8050
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.8000 negates the breakout and re-exposes the 0.79820 swing low
Failure to clear 0.80500 week high leaves price capped at range top
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed today could materially shift the USD-side read
USDCHF broke hard out of its 0.7920-0.7950 base into the NY session yesterday as the dollar caught a broad bid following Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, and the pair has extended to 0.80403 with RSI(14) pushing into overbought near 72. Price sits well above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the 0.8000 round number and the 0.80050 breakout shelf flipping to support on the way up. The advance is one-directional with no clean pullback yet, leaving the move stretched into the European morning.
Support: 0.8005, 0.8000, 0.7985
Resistance: 0.80403, 0.8050
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.80050 negates the breakout retest read
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or stall USD strength
SNB press-conference intervention language remains a swing factor for CHF
A break of 0.80403 opens the path toward the 0.80500 psych level
Breakout from week's range, higher highs and higher lows.
USDCHF was heavy all week, probing the 0.7910 low, before the hawkish Warsh FOMC drove a vertical breakout through 0.7975 in NY hours yesterday. Price has since marched in a tight rising sequence to a 0.80403 session high, with RSI(14) stretched into overbought near 73 and price holding well above EMA20/50. Momentum favours continuation while the higher-low rhythm off 0.7982 stays intact.
Support: 0.80244, 0.8000, 0.7995
Resistance: 0.80403
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.80244 swing low would mark the first lower-low since the breakout
Hourly close back below 0.8000 round number neutralises the breakout read
SNB press conference intervention language and 12:30 UTC US jobless claims could shift this read
USDCHF reversed off the 0.7910 week low with a sharp FOMC-driven leg higher into the NY close, reclaiming the 0.8000 round number as a hawkish Fed hold firmed the dollar. Price has since held the 0.79718 breakout area and ground up through the Asia session and into London, printing a fresh week high at 0.80403. RSI(14) sits elevated near 68 with price well above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79718, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.80403
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the dollar read
Failure to hold the 0.8000 round number would negate the breakout
Close above the 0.80403 week high extends the move
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 69 · price 0.80368
Breakout above 0.8000, higher highs.
USDCHF reversed sharply from the ~0.791 lows midweek and ran an impulsive rally through the 0.8000 round level, clearing it into the NY session as hawkish Fed repricing reinforced USD demand. Price holds near the week high at 0.80403 with RSI(14) elevated and well above EMA20/50. The 0.8000 round level now sits as the immediate pivot below.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.80403
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.8000 round level would negate the breakout
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
SNB press conference tone on FX intervention is a live CHF catalyst
USD/CHF reversed the mid-week slide and broke out through the 0.80000 round number into the NY session, clearing the 0.80154 prior high and printing a week high at 0.80281 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid. RSI(14) has pushed into overbought while price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50. The prior range near 0.79880 and the 0.79718 breakout base now sit below as reference.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.79718
Resistance: 0.80281, 0.80154
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80281 extends the week-high breakout
Loss of 0.80000 round number puts the breakout in question
SNB intervention rhetoric could shift the USD/CHF read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.80273
Higher highs after breakout above 0.8000.
USDCHF based around 0.7910-0.7925 through midweek before the rally accelerated during the NY session yesterday, clearing 0.8000 on a sharp impulse candle and extending to a 0.80281 session high. Price sits well above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) elevated near 71, reflecting the breakout. The 0.7985 spike base and the 0.8000 round number now sit beneath as the prior breakout zone.
Support: 0.8000, 0.79718, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80281, 0.8042
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.80000 would negate the breakout and put 0.79718 in focus
Stalling at 0.80281 with elevated RSI flags a near-term pause
SNB intervention rhetoric could swing CHF flows after the 0% hold
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 0.80252
Range break, higher highs.
USDCHF spent most of the week capped in a 0.7910–0.7950 range before breaking higher during the NY session yesterday, with a second leg through 0.8000 on this morning's SNB press conference as a dovish-priced franc softened. Price now sits at the 0.80257 session high, holding well above EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) in overbought territory after the impulse. The 0.8000 psych level is the immediate reference now flipped from cap to support.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7985, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.80257, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB press conference ongoing — further intervention rhetoric could extend the move
Loss of 0.8000 psych on an H1 close would question the breakout
H1 close back below 0.79850 consol low negates the range break
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 70 · price 0.80252
Breakout from consolidation, higher highs.
USDCHF ripped out of a 0.792-0.795 consolidation that capped most of the week, surging from ~0.7925 as the SNB press conference leaned on FX-intervention willingness and softened the franc. Price has since cleared 0.8000 and printed a fresh week high at 0.80257, holding well above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) stretched near 70. The 0.8000 round number now sits beneath as the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 0.8000, 0.7988, 0.79718
Resistance: 0.80257, 0.8050
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 0.8000 psych would question the breakout and reopen 0.79880
Sustained acceptance above 0.80257 week high opens the 0.8050 psych area
Any reversal of the US-Iran peace framework could revive two-way haven flows and shift this read
USDCHF ripped off the 0.7925 base into 0.80154 on the hawkish Warsh FOMC repricing, snapping the prior week range that capped near 0.7950–0.7990. Price has since consolidated just above the 0.8000 psych line with RSI(14) cooling from the spike but holding above 50; pullbacks have been shallow and well above EMA20. The SNB presser at 08:00 UTC is the immediate cross-current to the dollar-led move.
Support: 0.7984, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.80016, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB presser tone could soften CHF or revive the bid, materially shifting this read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or fade the FOMC impulse
Hourly close back below 0.79840 consol low reopens the 0.7950 ema zone
A clean break and hold above 0.80154 week high extends the breakout
USDCHF broke out of a multi-day grind lower on Wednesday's hawkish FOMC, ripping from the 0.7910 base to 0.80154 and reclaiming the 0.8000 handle in the NY session. Price has since consolidated just under that week high with RSI cooling from the breakout extreme; EMA20 and EMA50 now sit below price after the impulse. The 0.79880 base has held as a higher low through the Asia and early London hours.
Support: 0.7988, 0.7960, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.80154, 0.8000
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could extend or fade the post-FOMC USD move
Loss of 0.79880 swing low signals the breakout is stalling
Vertical breakout, now consolidating below 0.8000.
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower from 0.7975 toward 0.7910 before yesterday's hawkish FOMC sparked a vertical breakout from the 0.79253 base up to a week high at 0.80154. Price has since rejected the 0.8000 psych handle and is consolidating just below it on a flat consol floor around 0.79818, with RSI cooling from the spike. The SNB decision at 07:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst into this read.
Support: 0.79818, 0.7950, 0.79253
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate statement at 07:30 UTC plus press conference at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.80000 psych reopens the 0.80154 week high
Loss of the 0.79818 consol floor exposes the 0.7950 prior cap
Consolidation below week high after impulsive leg.
USDCHF ripped from 0.7925 to a 0.80154 week high in the NY session as the hawkish FOMC hold lit up the dollar, clearing the 0.7950 cap in one impulse. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.7982–0.7995 band just under the 0.8000 round number, holding well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the high-50s/low-60s. The 0.80154 high rejected once and remains the line into today's SNB decision.
Support: 0.79818, 0.7950, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB statement at 07:30 UTC and press conference 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80154 reopens the path toward 0.8042
Loss of 0.79818 range low signals the breakout is stalling toward 0.7950
06:01 UTC
Impulsive rally, now consolidating · RSI 59 · price 0.79931
Breakout from week range, holding gains.
USDCHF spiked from the 0.7910 week low to 0.80154 through Wednesday's NY session as the hawkish FOMC repricing fired the dollar higher. Price has since coiled in a tight band above 0.7982, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling near 60 after the surge. The 0.8000 psych level and 0.80154 week high are capping the rebound.
Support: 0.7982, 0.7950, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154, 0.8042
What it said to watch
SNB decision at 07:30 UTC and press conference at 08:00 UTC is the key swing factor while price coils
Clean break above 0.80154 week high opens 0.80420 prior high
Loss of the 0.7982 consol floor exposes 0.7950 psych
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 60 · price 0.79931
Tight range above breakout level.
USDCHF ripped from 0.7925 to a week high at 0.80154 in a single impulse as the hawkish FOMC dot-plot flip repriced the dollar higher yesterday. Since then price has consolidated in a tight band with a floor near 0.79820 and the 0.80000 psych cap holding overhead, RSI cooling off the spike. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with the breakout base at 0.79718 untested.
Support: 0.7982, 0.79718, 0.7950
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154, 0.8042
What it said to watch
SNB statement 07:30 UTC and press conference 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80154 week high opens the path toward 0.80420
Failure to hold the 0.79718 breakout base reverses the impulse
USDCHF base-built near 0.7910-0.7930 most of the week before a sharp impulse into the NY session yesterday cleared 0.7950, completing the inverse h&s flagged in the macro read and tagging 0.80154. Since the spike price has gone sideways between 0.7982 and 0.8000, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought back toward 60. The 0.8000 psych level has capped the rebound so far.
Support: 0.79718, 0.7950, 0.7975
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154, 0.8013
What it said to watch
SNB statement 07:30 UTC then press conference 08:00 UTC — intervention language is the key swing factor
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
H1 close above 0.8000 opens the path toward 0.8013/0.8042
Failure to hold 0.7950 negates the breakout and reopens 0.7918
Price drifted to the week low at 0.79100 on Tuesday before a sharp impulse leg on the hawkish Warsh Fed and hot US retail sales lifted USDCHF to 0.80154 in one NY-session candle. Since then it has consolidated in a tight band around 0.7985, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with the 0.8000 round number capping. RSI(14) sits near 60, having unwound the overbought spike without giving back the breakout.
Support: 0.7982, 0.7925, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and press conference 08:00 UTC — intervention language is the swing factor
Close above 0.80000 then 0.80154 week high exposes the 0.8013/0.8042 zone
Loss of the 0.79820 range floor reopens the 0.79250 breakout base
04:01 UTC
Sharp rally, now consolidating · RSI 61 · price 0.79858
Broke multi-day range, holding gains.
USD/CHF ripped from the 0.7925 area to 0.8015 on yesterday's hawkish Fed/Warsh hold and hot US retail sales, clearing a multi-day range in two NY-session bars. The 0.8000 round number rejected the first test and price has since drifted into a tight consolidation near 0.7986, still holding well above EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) cooled off its post-spike peak but stays above 50.
Support: 0.79818, 0.7950, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC (~3.5h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold 0.79818 session low exposes the 0.7950 prior range
USDCHF drifted lower through most of the week in a 0.792–0.795 range before a sharp impulse off Wednesday's hawkish FOMC and hot US retail sales lifted price to 0.80154, just shy of the 0.8000 barrier. Since the spike the pair has consolidated in a tight 0.7982–0.7997 band, holding well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) easing from overbought back toward the low-60s. The 0.8000 psych level remains the immediate ceiling after rejection there earlier in the week.
Support: 0.79818, 0.7949
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC is a near-term risk
H1 close back below 0.79818 swing low reopens the prior range
Acceptance above 0.80000 opens the path to 0.80154 week high
Post-FOMC breakout, now consolidating below 0.8000.
USDCHF spiked through the week's descending highs into the NY session after the hawkish FOMC and higher dots, ripping from ~0.7925 to tag 0.80154 before settling into a tight 0.7982–0.8005 band. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling off the post-spike extreme; the 0.8000 psych barrier capped the move on first contact. The earlier-week grind lower has been fully reversed.
Support: 0.79818, 0.7949, 0.7925
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.80000 opens the path to the 0.80154 spike high
Loss of 0.79818 session low signals failure of the breakout hold
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower into the 0.7910 area before a sharp NY-session spike through 0.7975 lifted price to 0.80154 — driven by the hawkish FOMC and hot US retail sales repricing the dollar higher. The 0.8000 barrier rejected the move and price has since consolidated around 0.7988, holding above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike but stays above 55, reflecting the still-constructive recovery off the week lows.
Support: 0.7950, 0.7925, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision at 07:30 UTC (~4.5h) could materially shift this read
A close above 0.8000 reopens the path to the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7925 breakout base signals the spike is fading
USDCHF reversed a multi-day slide on Wednesday's hawkish FOMC repricing, spiking from the 0.79099 week low through prior lower-highs to tag the 0.80154 week high before stalling. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.8000 psych barrier, with RSI(14) cooling off the spike high. The 0.7970 breakout shelf and the rising EMA(20) below mark first support if the move unwinds.
Support: 0.7970, 0.7958, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8000 reopens the 0.80154 week high
Loss of the 0.7970 breakout shelf reopens 0.7950 and the EMA(20)
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF drifted lower through the week into 0.7910 before a hawkish FOMC repricing fired the pair through the 0.7950 range top, spiking to 0.80154 in the NY session. The 0.8000 round number capped the move and price has since consolidated 0.7990–0.7985, holding above the breakout level near 0.7975. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s and price remains above EMA20/EMA50 after the impulse.
Support: 0.7975, 0.7950, 0.7910
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8000 round number reopens the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold the 0.7975 breakout level reverts price into the prior range top at 0.7950
Breakout from week's range, consolidating below 0.8000.
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower inside a 0.791–0.795 range before a sharp NY-session impulse on the hawkish FOMC hold and strong US retail sales lifted it through 0.7950 and up to 0.80154. The 0.8000 barrier capped the move and price is now consolidating around 0.7987, holding well above EMA20 with RSI cooling from the spike. The breakout origin near 0.79718 is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 0.79718, 0.7929, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.80000 opens the path back to the 0.80154 swing high
Loss of 0.79718 would negate the breakout and signal a fade back into prior range
USDCHF drifted lower all week into the 0.7910 area before snapping sharply higher after the hawkish FOMC dot plot, spiking to 0.80154 and getting rejected at the 0.8000 barrier. Price is now consolidating just below 0.799, holding well above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling in the low-60s. The week's prior descending lower-highs structure has been invalidated by the breakout.
Support: 0.7975, 0.7950, 0.7915
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision 07:30 UTC and press conference 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.8000 barrier opens the path back to 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold 0.7950 reopens the move toward 0.7975 fib and below
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding lower toward 0.79099 before a sharp impulse off 0.7925 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing drove the pair to 0.80154 in a single NY-session leg. Price was rejected at the 0.80000 round number and is now consolidating just below it around 0.7990. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s after the thrust and the pair holds well above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.79718, 0.7950, 0.79099
Resistance: 0.8000, 0.80154
What it said to watch
SNB rate decision Thu 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 0.80000 reopens the 0.80154 week high
Failure to hold the 0.79718 breakout base signals the spike fading