USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled into Friday close · RSI 51 · price 0.82532
Higher lows from the Asian low, now a tight range under the session high.
USDCHF climbed about 64 pips off the 0.8192 Asian-session low. The beats in the US PMI and Michigan sentiment carried the NY leg to a 0.8256 session high after a dip to the 0.8219 NY swing low. Since 17:30 UTC price has compressed in a roughly 5-pip band just above the 0.8250 range floor into the Friday close. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR has shrunk to under 3 pips.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8260
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 session high puts the 0.8260 round number in play
Failure to hold the 0.8250 range floor exposes the 0.8242 pmi pullback lows
Loss of the rising-lows line and the 0.8219 ny swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Weekend gap risk at the reopen; Tue 27 Oct Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence precede the FOMC on Wed 28 Oct, which could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled into Friday close · RSI 57 · price 0.82523
Higher lows since Asia; late-NY tight range below session high.
USD/CHF built higher lows off the 0.8192 Asia low, and the NY low at 0.8219 held before the US PMI and Michigan beats lifted price to a 0.8256 session high. Since then price has compressed into a roughly 5-pip box between the 0.8251 range floor and the session high into the weekly close. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR(14) has shrunk to about 3 pips. The rising trendline from the Asia low sits well below price, and the 38.2% fib of the NY leg lines up with the 0.8242 swing low.
Support: 0.82505, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8250 range floor ends the late-NY consolidation and exposes the 0.8242 swing low / 38.2% fib
Close above the 0.8256 session high resumes the higher-high chain toward the 0.8275 res zone
Loss of the 0.8219 NY low would break the rising trendline structure from Asia
Weekend gap risk at the Asia open; Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling into the close · RSI 58 · price 0.82521
Higher lows since the Asian range break, now a tight 5-pip box under the session high.
London broke the 0.8192–0.8230 Asian range higher, and the beat on US flash manufacturing PMI and UoM sentiment lifted the pair from the 0.8219 NY low to a 0.8256 session high. Since 17:30 UTC it has compressed between the 0.8250 range floor and the session high, with RSI(14) neutral near 58 and ATR down to about 3 pips into the Friday close.
Support: 0.82505, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8250 range floor puts the 0.8242 NY pullback low and 38.2% fib in play
Loss of the 0.8219 NY low breaks the higher-lows sequence and the intraday uptrend read
Close above the 0.8256 session high opens the path toward the 0.8275 cited resistance from the CHF digest
Thin late-Friday liquidity; Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the next major driver
20:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalled into late NY · RSI 56 · price 0.82521
Higher-low chain from the Asia low; tight late-NY consolidation under the session high.
The rebound off the 0.8192 Asia low built higher lows through London. Beats on the US PMI and Michigan sentiment releases in NY hours lifted the pair through the 0.8240 London high to a 0.8256 session high. After London close, price has compressed into a 5-pip band between the 0.8250 range low and the session high, with RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR(14) down to about 3 pips into the weekly close.
Support: 0.82505, 0.82462, 0.8240
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8256 session high extends the higher-high sequence toward the 0.8275 resistance named in the market digest
Losing the 0.8250 range low and then the 0.8246 pullback low breaks the NY higher-low trendline; below that sits the 0.8240 London high
Thin late-Friday liquidity and the Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct could materially shift this read; a hold with no December guidance is the CHF-supportive scenario
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening into late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.82528
Higher lows since Asia, tight late-NY compression just under the session high.
USDCHF built higher lows through Asia and London and broke the Asian range high near 0.8224. A pre-NY flush to the 0.8219 ny low reversed on the US PMI and Michigan beats, and price reached a 0.8256 session high as USD and yields rebounded. Late NY trade has compressed into a 5-pip band above the 0.8250 ny floor, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) down to roughly 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.82505, 0.8242, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8250 ny floor ends the late-NY compression and exposes the fib 38.2 of the NY rally at 0.8242
Clearance of the 0.8256 session high opens the path to 0.8275 resistance, then the 0.8300 round number
Break of the rising day trendline (~0.8234) and the 0.8219 ny low would unwind Friday's rebound
Thin Friday close and weekend gap risk; the Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, late-NY tight range below session high.
USD/CHF built higher lows from the 0.8192 Asian low through London. The early-NY dip to 0.8219 (ny low) was bought after the US flash PMI beat, and price printed a session high at 0.8256. Late NY has compressed into a ~5-pip range at 0.8250–0.8256, with RSI(14) near 58. Momentum has stalled, but the higher-low trendline is intact.
Support: 0.82505, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8250 range low breaks the late-NY range; failure to hold the 0.8242 swing low would mark a first lower-low since the NY open
Close above the 0.8256 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8275 res flagged in the macro digest
Friday close into the weekend: thin liquidity and gap risk around the Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC, with Tue Durable Goods ahead
Higher lows from London; late-NY compression under session high.
USDCHF climbed from the 0.8192 Asian low and held a chain of higher lows. Price then pushed off the 0.8219 NY swing low after the US PMI and Michigan beats and printed a 0.8256 session high. Late NY trade has compressed into a 5-pip band above the 0.8250 range floor, with RSI(14) near 56 and ATR(14) under 4 pips as Friday closes. The 0.8242 pullback low sits at the 38.2% fib.
Support: 0.82505, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8250 range floor exposes the 0.8242 pullback low and 38.2% fib
Break of the 0.8219 NY swing low and the higher lows trendline negates the intraday uptrend
Close above the 0.8256 session high opens the path toward 0.8275 major res
Weekend gap risk ahead of Tue Durable Goods and the Wed Fed decision
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near highs · RSI 57 · price 0.82518
Higher lows from Asian low, tight late-NY consolidation.
USD/CHF has climbed steadily from the 0.8192 Asian low, with higher lows at 0.8216 in London and the 0.8219 swing low before the beat in US flash PMIs (mfg 56 vs 55.6) drove the NY leg to a 0.8256 session high. Since 16:30 UTC price has compressed in a 5-pip band above the 0.8250 range floor into the Friday close. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR is shrinking to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8250 range floor exposes the 0.8242 NY pb low (NY pullback low)
Break of the 0.8256 session high puts UOB resistance at 0.8275 in view
Loss of the 0.8219 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and rising support; the asia-ny fib 50% sits near 0.8224
Thin Friday-close liquidity; Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the next major risk to this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.82525
Higher lows from the 0.8192 Asian low; tight consolidation under 0.8256 session high.
USD/CHF climbed from the 0.8192 Asian low, and the US flash PMI and Michigan beats pushed it through the 0.8247 London high during the first hour of NY. Since then, late NY has compressed into a 10-pip box between the 0.8246 range floor and the 0.8256 session high, with ATR down to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8256, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 session high opens 0.8275 next resistance
Loss of the 0.8246 range floor exposes the 0.8242 fib 38.2 retracement of the 0.8219–0.8256 leg
Break back below the 0.8219 swing low undoes the NY higher-low sequence
Thin late-Friday liquidity; next week's Fed decision (Wed 28 Oct) is the main risk to this structure
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing late NY · RSI 65 · price 0.82539
Higher-low chain from Asia low; tight compression under session high.
USDCHF has printed higher lows all day from the 0.8192 Asia low. The US flash PMI beat lifted the pair back above 0.8250 psych in early NY trade, and it has since compressed in a 0.8251–0.8256 band just under the session high. RSI(14) is cooling to 65 and ATR is under 5 pips as late-NY Friday liquidity thins.
Support: 0.8251, 0.82416, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275, 0.8300
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below 0.8250 psych ends the compression and puts the 0.8242 swing low in play
Loss of the 0.8242 swing low exposes the 38.2% fib of the Asia-low rally near 0.8231, then the 0.8219 early NY low
A break of the 0.8256 session high brings UOB's 0.8275 strong res into view, with the 0.8300 round number above
Durable goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision (Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts; December-hike guidance is the swing factor
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.82535
Higher lows from 0.8192 Asian low; tight range 0.8242–0.8256 in late NY.
London broke above the Asian range and the US PMI and Michigan beats drove the NY leg from the 0.8219 pre-NY low to a 0.8256 session high, extending the higher-low line off the 0.8192 Asian low. Late NY has compressed into a narrow 0.8242–0.8256 range holding above 0.8250 psych, with RSI(14) cooling to about 61 and ATR under 5 pips.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8242 range low (38.2% of the PMI rally) breaks the consolidation and exposes the 0.8219 pre-NY low
A close above the 0.8256 session high opens the path to 0.8275 next resistance
A break of the higher-low line from the Asian low would end the intraday higher-low sequence
Thin late-Friday liquidity; Durable Goods (Tue) and the Fed decision (Wed Oct 28) are the next scheduled risks to this read
Higher lows since NY low, compressing under session high.
London broke above the 0.8192–0.8230 Asian range, and the beat on the US flash manufacturing PMI drove a rally off the 0.8219 NY low. Price is grinding in a tight band just above the 0.8250 round number, below the 0.82558 session high, with higher lows intact into the late NY session.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8250 round number puts the 0.8242 swing low (38.2% fib) in play
Loss of 0.8242 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8219 ny low
Break of the 0.82558 session high leaves 0.8275 strong res as the next marked level
Thin late-Friday liquidity; Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
USDCHF broke above the Asian range (0.8192–0.8224) in London. It then reclaimed the 0.8219 NY low with a NY-session rally as USD and yields rebounded and the US PMI and Michigan prints beat. After London close the pair is grinding higher lows just under the 0.8255 session high, with the 0.8246 late NY low and the 0.8242 swing low underneath. RSI(14) is near 63, not stretched.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8275, 0.8300
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8242 swing low, also the 38.2% fib of the NY leg, breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8219 NY low.
A sustained break of the 0.8255 session high opens the 0.8275 strong res, then the 0.8300 round number.
Friday late-NY liquidity is thin. Weekend bond-market or Middle East headlines could reprice CHF haven demand at the open.
HH/HL chain through NY, late-session grind at highs.
USDCHF has cleared the Asian range high near 0.8230 and stacked higher lows since the 12:45 UTC dip to 0.8219 (ny dip low) held, printing a 0.8255 session high after London close as USD and yields rebound off Thursday's 0.8191 low. RSI(14) near 69 is warm but not stretched, and bar ranges are compressing into the late NY session.
Support: 0.8247, 0.8242, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8275, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8247 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and brings the 0.8242 ny pullback into play
Loss of the 0.8219 ny dip low would retrace the full NY leg on the fib
Acceptance above the 0.8255 session high exposes 0.8275 strong res, then the 0.8300 round number
Thin late-Friday liquidity; the Fed decision on Wed Oct 28 is the next major risk for this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening near session high · RSI 66 · price 0.82509
Higher highs off the 12:45 UTC NY low; 10-pip flag under the 0.8253 session high since 14:00 UTC.
USD/CHF climbed steadily from the 0.8192 midnight low through Asia and London. Early NY flushed to the 0.8219 NY low before the PMI and Michigan beats drove a fresh leg to the 0.8253 session high. Since 14:00 UTC price has compressed in a flag between the 0.8242 range low and the session high, with RSI(14) cooling to 66 and dips holding above the London low trendline.
Support: 0.82416, 0.82193, 0.82159
Resistance: 0.82534, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 session high opens the 0.8275 res flagged by UOB
Break below the 0.8242 range low ends the flag and exposes the 38.2% of the NY leg fib near 0.8240
Loss of the 0.8219 NY low and the rising support from the London low reverts the session to range
No scheduled data in the next 8h; next week's FOMC decision is the next major catalyst
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing near day high · RSI 64 · price 0.82509
Higher-low chain from Asian low; tight range below 0.8253 since 14:30 UTC.
USDCHF has printed higher lows all day off the 0.8192 Asian low. The flash PMI and UoM sentiment beats extended the NY leg from the 0.8219 ny open low through London's 0.8247 high to a 0.8253 day high. Since 14:30 UTC price has compressed in a 0.8242–0.8253 range into late NY, with RSI(14) cooling to ~64.
Support: 0.8242, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82534, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 day high resumes the higher-high chain, with UOB's 0.8275 the next marked resistance (uob resist)
Break of the 0.8242 range low exposes the 50% fib of the NY leg near 0.8236 and the rising higher-lows trendline near 0.8229
Loss of the 0.8219 ny open low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Late-Friday NY liquidity is thin; Wed's Fed decision and its December-hike guidance is the next major risk to this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near session high · RSI 67 · price 0.82507
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.8192 Asia low, tight range 0.8246–0.8253 into late NY.
USDCHF has climbed from the 0.8192 Asia low, and the NY dip to the 0.8219 ny low was bought. The firm US PMI and Michigan beats then extended the move to a 0.8253 session high as USD and yields recovered. After London close, price is compressing in a 0.8246–0.8253 band above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 67 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8227, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 session high extends the higher-high chain toward next res at 0.8275
Break below the 0.8246 range low turns the late-NY range into a pullback toward the trendline near 0.8227
Loss of the trendline and the 0.8219 ny low would unwind the NY-session leg
Thin Friday late-NY liquidity; Fed decision next week is the main event risk for this read
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 63 · price 0.82486
Higher lows from Asian 0.8192 low, tight 0.8242–0.8253 hold below session high.
USDCHF has built higher lows since the 0.8192 Asian low. The NY-open dip held a higher low at the 0.8219 ny low, and the US PMI and UoM sentiment beats lifted price to a 0.8253 session high. After London close it is compressing in a 10-pip band above the 0.8242 swing low, with RSI(14) cooled to the low 60s and ATR near 6 pips.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8236, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8275
What it said to watch
A M15 close above the 0.8253 session high extends the leg toward the 0.8275 strong res cited in the CHF digest.
Failure to hold the 0.8242 swing low opens the ny leg fib 50% at 0.8236 and the 61.8% near 0.8232.
A break of the 0.8219 ny low and the rising trendline from the Asian low invalidates the higher-low chain.
Thin late-Friday liquidity, plus Fed guidance on Wed 28 Oct, could shift the read into next week.
16:16 UTC
Uptrend from Asian low, momentum flattening · RSI 65 · price 0.8249
Higher-high / higher-low chain, tight consolidation under session high.
USD/CHF has stepped up from the 0.8192 Asian low in a higher-high/higher-low chain. Dips held at the 0.8216 london low and the 0.8219 swing low, while the US PMI and UoM sentiment beats backed the NY leg. Price is now pinned at the 0.8250 round number beneath the 0.8253 session high, with the last six bars compressing between the 0.8242 micro low and that cap as NY hours wear on.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8219, 0.8216
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 session high extends the HH chain and exposes 0.8275 resistance
Failure to hold the 0.8242 micro low shifts focus to the 0.8219 swing low and the fib 50% near 0.8222
Break of the rising trendline from the Asian low (~0.8226 now) would end the higher-low sequence
Friday liquidity thins after London close; FOMC guidance next week is the larger swing factor for this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 0.8250 · RSI 62 · price 0.8249
HH/HL chain off the 0.8192 Asian low; pullback lows rising since London.
USDCHF broke above the Asian range at the London open. It has since built a higher-low chain from the 0.8192 asian low through 0.8216 and the 0.8219 swing low, with the US PMI and UoM sentiment beats adding a leg to 0.8249 at 14:00 UTC. After London close, price is pressing the 0.8253 session high, but every bar has closed below 0.8250. The rising trendline and the 0.8242 pullback low hold beneath, with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8219, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 session high extends the HH/HL sequence and opens the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8242 pullback low puts the 38.2% fib near 0.8229 in play
Break of the 0.8219 swing low and the rising trendline ends the intraday higher-low structure
Thin late-Friday NY liquidity can exaggerate moves around 0.8250
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 59 · price 0.82504
Higher lows since Asia; NY extending above London high.
Higher lows at the 0.8216 London low and 0.8219 NY low have stepped the pair up from Asia's 0.8192 base. The NY leg extended after the US PMI and Michigan beats, and price is now testing the 0.8251 session high in the London-NY transition, RSI(14) near 59 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8219, 0.8216
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 session high, the cited 0.8250 reclaim, opens 0.8275 resistance
Loss of the 0.8242 pullback low puts the 0.8219 NY low and the higher-lows line back in play
Break below the 0.8216 London low ends the higher-low sequence
Thinner liquidity after London close; risk-off headlines tend to bid CHF and could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, higher highs through NY · RSI 58 · price 0.82479
HH/HL chain off 0.8192 Asia low, pressing session high.
The pair has built higher lows from the 0.8192 Asia low through the 0.8216 London low and the 0.8219 NY swing low, tracking a rising higher-low line. The Michigan sentiment beat lifted price through the 0.8240 London high to a 0.8251 session high, and price is holding just under it with RSI(14) near 58. The 0.8242 pullback low sits above the 38.2% level of the NY swing fib, so the advance has not been retraced.
Support: 0.82416, 0.82193, 0.82159
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 session high opens the path to the 0.8275 UOB level
Failure to hold the 0.8242 pullback low exposes the 0.8235–0.8231 NY swing fib zone
Loss of the 0.8219 NY swing low and the higher-low line breaks the HH/HL chain, with the 0.8216 London low next
Friday's London close and thin late-NY liquidity can produce erratic swings, and renewed risk-off haven demand for CHF can cap the move
HH/HL chain off 0.8192 Asia low; price holding above 0.8240 prior high.
USDCHF has climbed about 60 pips off the 0.8192 Asia low (one-month low) with higher highs through London. The 12:45 UTC dip held at 0.8219, a swing low just above the 0.8216 London low, before the US PMI and Michigan beats lifted price to a 0.8251 session high in the first hour of NY. Price is now consolidating near 0.8244, just above the 0.8240 prior high, with RSI(14) neutral at about 55.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8219, 0.8216
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 session high extends the HH chain toward 0.8275 uob res (UOB resistance)
Failure to hold the 0.8240 prior high exposes the 38.2% fib at about 0.8228 and the 0.8219 swing low
Break below the 0.8216 london low ends the higher-low sequence from the Asia low
Renewed risk-off haven demand for CHF, as on Thursday, could reverse the move; no scheduled data in the next 8h, Fed decision Wed
HH/HL chain from Asian low, NY at new session high.
Steady higher-low climb from the 0.8192 Asian low. In the first hour of NY, price dipped to a 0.8219 swing low, then printed a new session high at 0.8249 after the US manufacturing PMI and Michigan beats. It is now pressing the 0.8250 area above the 0.8240 prior high from London, with RSI(14) near 61 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8240, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82489, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8249 session high and 0.8250 exposes 0.8275 resistance
Failure to hold the 0.8240 prior high puts price back inside the London range
Break of the 0.8219 swing low and the Asian-low trendline ends the higher-low chain
Thin Friday afternoon NY trade; renewed risk-off haven demand for CHF could cap the advance
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.8192 Asian low.
The pair has climbed from the 0.8192 Asian low in a higher-high/higher-low chain through London and NY. US PMI and Michigan sentiment beats lifted it to a 0.8249 session high in the first hour of NY, and price is holding just above the 0.8240 prior high. RSI(14) is near 60 and ATR(14) is about 6.4 pips, so the move is not stretched.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8219, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8249, 0.8275
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8249 session high reclaims 0.8250 and exposes the UOB strong res at 0.8275
Drop back below the 0.8240 prior high returns price to the 0.8219–0.8240 intraday range
Loss of the 0.8219 higher low (near the 50% fib) breaks the chain and reopens the 0.8192 Asian low
Late-Friday NY liquidity ahead of next week's FOMC could distort the closing structure
14:01 UTC
Recovering intraday, higher lows since Asia · RSI 57 · price 0.82398
Higher lows at 0.8216 and 0.8219, price retesting 0.8240 below the 0.8247 session high.
USDCHF has bounced from the 0.8192 Asian low, near one-month lows. The pair carved higher lows at the 0.8216 London low and the 0.8219 swing low, even as the CHF haven bid flushed price 27 pips at 12:45 UTC. The 13:45 UTC flash PMI bars recovered most of that drop, and price is now back near 0.8240, just under the 0.8247 session high, with RSI(14) a neutral 57 and ATR(14) around 6 pips.
Support: 0.82193, 0.8216, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82469, 0.8250
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC land in the current bar and could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 0.8247 session high puts the 0.8250 round number in play
A break below the 0.8219 swing low ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8216 London low
Loss of the 0.8192 Asian low would mark a fresh lower-low back at the one-month lows
London broke above the Asian range, rejected at the session high, and is holding a 50% pullback.
London lifted USD/CHF out of the 0.8192–0.8224 Asian range to a 0.8247 session high. A 28-pip rejection into the London-NY transition then found demand at the 0.8219 swing low, which is the 50% fib of the day's rally, so the higher-low chain from the 0.8192 asian low is intact. Price sits near 0.8230, just under EMA20, into the US PMIs, with the CHF haven bid still the backdrop.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.8247, 0.8250
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; the digest flags a soft print as the path back toward 0.8193
M15 close below the 0.8216 london low breaks the higher-low trendline and reopens the 0.8192 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8240 prior high and the 0.8247 session high puts the 0.8250 round number in play
HH/HL chain off the 0.8192 asian low; 13:00 UTC flush held above the 0.8216 london low.
London broke above the Asian range (0.8192–0.8224) and printed a session high at 0.8247 before a pre-NY flush to 0.8219, the 50% fib of that leg, where buyers stepped in. Price is back at 0.8229, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 53 heading into the US PMIs, with CHF haven demand still the backdrop.
Support: 0.82193, 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82402, 0.82469
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; the digest flags a services miss vs 57.9 as the downside risk
M15 close below the 50% fib and london low at 0.8216 breaks the HL chain and brings the asian low at 0.8192 back into view
Recovery through the prior high at 0.8240 and the session high at 0.8247 puts the 0.8250 reclaim level in focus
Higher-low chain from 0.8192 intact; session high rejected, back inside Asian range.
London carried the Asian recovery from the 0.8192 asian low to a 0.8247 session high, briefly clearing yesterday's 0.8243 high. Price then reversed about 25 pips in the hour before NY as the CHF haven bid resurfaced. The drop stalled at 0.8219, the 50% fib of the overnight rise, leaving price below the 0.8230 asian high and testing the rising trendline. RSI(14) is near 49 and ATR runs about 6 pips.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8247
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A break below the 0.8216 london low ends the higher-low chain and the rising trendline, exposing the 0.8192 asian low
Reclaiming the 0.8230 asian high reopens a test of the 0.8247 session high
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 59 · price 0.8237
Higher highs and higher lows from the Asian low; rejection just above the prior high.
Off the 0.8192 asian low, London cleared the asian high at 0.8230, printed a 0.8216 swing low, then poked above Thursday's 0.8243 high to a 0.8247 session high. A rejection bar there in the London-NY transition has pulled price back to 0.8237 (RSI(14) ~59) as USD steadies ahead of flash PMIs.
Support: 0.8230, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8250
What it said to watch
13:45 UTC flash PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8250 round number clears the session high and the rejection
Loss of the 0.8230 asian high (near the fib 50%) puts the 0.8216 swing low and the rising trendline in play
Break below the 0.8216 swing low ends the higher-low chain from the 0.8192 asian low
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 64 · price 0.8243
HH/HL chain off 0.8192 swing low; break of the London high and Thursday high now being retested.
USD clawed back against CHF after Thursday's haven-led slide. The 0.8192–0.8247 leg built higher highs and higher lows from the Asia-open swing low, and the London dip held a higher low at 0.8216. Late London cleared the London high at 0.8240 and Thursday's 0.8243 peak, then stalled at a 0.8247 session high just under the 0.8250 round number, with RSI(14) near 64 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8250
What it said to watch
S&P Global flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above the 0.8250 round number extends the breakout toward 0.8275
Failure to hold the 0.8240 London high turns the break into a false break
A move below the 0.8216 higher low and rising support breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.8192 swing low
Higher lows off 0.8192 swing low; London broke above Asian range.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.8224, dipped to 0.8216 and then extended the London rally into a retest of yesterday's 0.8243–0.8244 prior high, with RSI(14) near 62. Higher lows along the rising trendline from the 0.8192 swing low keep the micro-uptrend intact as USD steadies after Thursday's haven-driven CHF bid.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8244 prior high clears yesterday's session high and opens the 0.8250 round number
Rejection at 0.8244 followed by a close back below the 0.8240 london high would leave a double top against yesterday's high
Loss of the 0.8216 london low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing into prior high · RSI 64 · price 0.82435
HH/HL chain off the Asian low; testing yesterday's NY high at 0.8243.
USDCHF has climbed off the 0.8192 monthly low set at the Asia open. London broke the Asian range, printed a 0.8240 London high, held a higher swing low at 0.8216 and is now late in the session, pressing yesterday's 0.8243 prior high. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched, and the bounce tracks the USD clawing back some of its haven-driven losses ahead of the US flash PMIs.
Support: 0.8240, 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8244 prior high and the 0.8250 round number extends the higher-high chain
Rejection at 0.8244 leaves a double top against yesterday's NY high, with the 0.8240 London high the first test below
Loss of the 0.8216 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a clear miss revives pressure toward the 0.8192 monthly low
HH/HL chain from 0.8192 Asian low, testing prior-day high.
USD clawed back from the haven-driven CHF bid. The pair rebounded from the 0.8192 Asian low, cleared the 0.8224 Asian high at London open and is now retesting Thursday's 0.8244 prior high, with RSI(14) at 63. The mid-London dip held a higher low at the 0.8216 swing low on rising support, leaving the HH/HL chain intact.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8224, 0.8216
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8250
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8250 round number clears the prior high and the reclaim level flagged in the digest
Slipping back below the 0.8240 London high turns the test of 0.8244 into a rejection
A break of the 0.8216 swing low and rising support ends the HH/HL chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF is up ~50 pips from the 0.8192 Asian low. London cleared the Asian range and held the 0.8216 swing low as a higher low, and price is now pressing just above the 0.8240 London high into yesterday's 0.8243 prior high late in the London session. RSI(14) is near 64 as the USD claws back part of Thursday's haven-driven CHF gains.
Support: 0.82402, 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82433, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8243 prior high exposes the 0.8250 round number, the digest's reclaim level
Slip back below the 0.8240 london high would mark the push as a false break
Loss of the 0.8216 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Revisit of the 0.8192 asian low would reopen the one-month low zone
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.8216 after London broke the Asian range high; price back at the 0.8240 session high.
London open broke above the Asian range (0.8192–0.8230). The 0.8240 session high then rejected into a pullback that held a 0.8216 swing low above the rising support from the Asian low. Mid-London, price is back retesting 0.8240 just under yesterday's 0.8243 prior high, with RSI(14) near 58 and no extreme, while the digest's CHF haven bid is not showing on this tape.
Support: 0.82303, 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82402, 0.82433, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8243 prior high clears the session high and puts the 0.8250 psych level in play
A second rejection at the 0.8240 session high leaves a double-top shape, with the 0.8230 asian high as the first test below
Break of the 0.8216 swing low and rising support undoes the higher-low sequence and reopens the Asian range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.8216 after London broke the Asian range top.
London broke the 0.8224 Asian high and ran to a 0.8240 session high. The pullback held the 50% retrace at 0.8216 for a higher low off the 0.8192 swing low, and price is back pressing the session high just under Thursday's 0.8243 prior high. The bounce runs against a soft USD tone as the CHF haven bid eases in early Europe.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8224, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82402, 0.82433, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8243 prior high clears Thursday's top and opens the 0.8250 round number
A second rejection at the 0.8240 session high would leave a double top in the 0.8240s
Failure to hold the 0.8216 higher low breaks the rising lows and puts the 0.8224 Asian high back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 0.8192 swing low would reinstate the down-leg
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:45 UTC
Recovering from the Asia low, higher lows in place · RSI 55 · price 0.82298
Higher low at 0.8216 under a double cap at 0.8240–0.8243.
London lifted the pair out of the Asian range from the 0.8192 Asia low, then saw a rejection at 0.8240, just under the prior high at 0.8243. The pullback held the 38.2% retracement at the 0.8216 London low, and price is back near 0.8230 with RSI(14) neutral around 55 as the USD steadies after this week's slide.
Support: 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82402, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8240 london high and 0.8243 prior high breaks the double cap
Loss of the 0.8216 london low and the rising lows line puts the 0.8192 asia low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend from the Asia low, capped near 0.8240 · RSI 55 · price 0.8228
Higher low at 0.8216 after the London rejection at 0.8240; price retesting the asian high.
USD clawed back losses after Thursday's haven-driven slide. Asia lifted the pair off the 0.8192 swing low, and London extended to a 0.8240 session high just under the prior high at 0.8243 before rejecting. The pullback held the london low at 0.8216, the 50% retrace of the rally, and price is back at 0.8228, retesting the asian high mid-London.
Support: 0.8216, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8240, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8240 session high and 0.8243 prior high would extend the rally's higher-high chain
Loss of the 0.8216 london low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8200 round number
Failure to hold the 0.8192 swing low would erase the Asia-London rally
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rising lows trendline from the Asia low remains intact while 0.8216 holds
10:16 UTC
Intraday recovery stalled after London rejection · RSI 50 · price 0.82227
Pullback to 50% fib holding 0.8216 below 0.8240 session high.
London extended the Asian rally to a session high at 0.8240, just under yesterday's 0.8243 top. A rejection there pulled price back to the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg at the 0.8216 london low. Price is now retesting the Asian range high near 0.8224 with RSI(14) flat at 50, while the CHF haven bid keeps USD rebounds contained ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8210, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.82402
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8216 london low breaks the 50% fib and exposes the asia shelf at 0.8210
Failure to hold 0.8210 puts the 0.8192 asia low back in play
Close above the 0.8233 london shelf reopens the 0.8240 session high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia higher-low leg from 0.8192 capped at 0.8240, pullback holding the 50% fib.
Asia rebounded from the 0.8192 asia low. London pushed through the 0.8230 asian high to a 0.8240 session high, stalled just under yesterday's 0.8243 prior high and reversed back inside, leaving a false break. Mid-London, the pullback found demand at 0.8216 (50% fib of the Asia-London leg) with RSI(14) neutral near 50, while the CHF haven bid keeps upside capped.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82303, 0.82402, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8243 prior high negates the rejection read
Loss of the 0.8216 50% fib exposes the 0.8200 round number and 0.8192 asia low
Reclaim of the 0.8230 asian high puts the 0.8240 session high back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Overnight uptrend stalling after London rejection · RSI 54 · price 0.82262
Asia HH/HL climb from 0.8192, London high 0.8240 rejected, asia trendline broken.
Asia ground higher from 0.8192 and London extended the overnight leg to a 0.8240 session high, just shy of the prior-day high at 0.8243. A rejection there sent price back to the 0.8224 london low and through the asia trendline. RSI(14) has cooled to ~54, with haven CHF demand and a soft USD tone behind the pullback.
Support: 0.8224, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8224 london low opens the 50% fib of the overnight leg at 0.8216
Reclaim of the 0.8240 session high and 0.8250 round number negates the rejection
Loss of 0.8192 asia low would unwind the full overnight advance
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from Asian low, London push capped at 0.8240.
USD/CHF has climbed steadily off the 0.8192 Asian low as the dollar steadied after Thursday's haven-driven CHF bid. The London open extended to 0.8240 but stalled just shy of the 0.8243 prior high, and price is now leaning on the rising trendline near 0.8230 with RSI(14) easing to ~62.
Support: 0.8226, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising trendline and the 0.8226 swing low breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 38.2% fib near 0.8216
Clearance of the 0.8240 london high and the 0.8243 prior high would extend the leg off the asian low
Holding above the 0.8192 asian low keeps the Asia-London recovery structure intact
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain off the 0.8192 Asian low, capped at 0.8240–0.8243.
USD clawed back Thursday's CHF haven losses from the 0.8192 Asian low, and London extended above the Asian high to a 0.8240 london high. That push stalled just shy of Thursday's 0.8243 prior high. Price is now back at 0.8230, sitting on the rising trendline, with RSI(14) cooling to ~59.
Support: 0.8226, 0.8216, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8240, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8226 london low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline; the 0.8216 fib 38.2 is next
Close above the 0.8243 prior high clears the rejection zone at the london high
A slide back to the 0.8192 asian low retests the 0.8193–0.8200 one-month low area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending into London · RSI 68 · price 0.82316
Higher-low chain off the 0.8192 Asia low; Asian range broken to the upside.
USD/CHF held the 0.8192 Asia low, near the 0.8190–0.8200 support zone left after Thursday's CHF haven bid, and has stepped higher along a rising trendline. Price cleared the 0.8224 Asian high around London open and printed a 0.8235 session high. RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched, and Thursday's 0.8243 prior high from the first hour of NY sits just above.
Support: 0.8224, 0.8213, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8235, 0.8243, 0.8250
What it said to watch
Pullbacks holding the 0.8224 Asian high keep the range break intact; an M15 close back inside the Asian range weakens it
M15 close above the 0.8243 prior high exposes the 0.8250 round number
A break of the rising trendline and the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg at 0.8213 puts the 0.8192 Asia low back in view
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing under prior high · RSI 67 · price 0.82304
Higher lows since Asia low; London broke the Asian range high, now a tight 7-pip box.
USDCHF climbed through Asia from the 0.8192 session low, a recovery off Thursday's CHF haven bid. London cleared the Asian high near 0.8220 and has held a tight 0.8226–0.8233 box for the first hour, still below Thursday's 0.8243 prior high, with RSI(14) near 67 and price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.82256, 0.8220, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.82433, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8226 london low and the asian high at 0.8220 puts price back inside the Asian range and breaks the rising trendline
Acceptance above the 0.8233 london high exposes the 0.8243 prior high, with 0.8250 as the psych level beyond
Loss of the 38.2% fib near 0.8217 on the Asia-London leg would undercut the higher-low chain
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at London high · RSI 68 · price 0.82288
Higher lows off a 0.8192 double low; London open broke the Asian high, now holding 0.8226-0.8233.
USDCHF formed a double low near 0.8192, Thursday's London low and the Asian-open low, then climbed steadily through Asia as USD clawed back part of Thursday's CHF haven gains. London open pushed through the Asian high to 0.8233 before stalling. RSI(14) is near 68 and ATR is about 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.8224, 0.8217, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.8243, 0.8250
What it said to watch
Holding the Asian high at 0.8224 keeps the London breakout intact; a break of it and the Asia trendline exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.8217
M15 close above the 0.8233 London high opens Thursday's prior high at 0.8243, then the 0.8250 round number
Loss of the 0.8192 double low would negate the Asia rebound
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling near session high · RSI 72 · price 0.82284
Higher lows from 0.8192 double low; Asian range broken higher into London open.
USD/CHF built a double low near 0.8192 and printed higher lows through Asia as USD clawed back Thursday's haven-driven losses. It broke the asian high at 0.8219 and ran to a 0.8233 session high into the London open. Early London is stalling under that level and below Thursday's prior high at 0.8243, with RSI(14) near 72 and the 38.2% fib of the overnight rally at 0.8217.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8209, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.8243, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.8219 and the higher-low trendline undercuts the breakout
Clean break of the 0.8233 session high exposes the 0.8243 prior high and the 0.8250 round number
Loss of the 0.8209 asia base reopens the 0.8192 double low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into London open · RSI 77 · price 0.82324
Higher-low chain from the Asia low; Asian high broken at London open.
USD clawed back Thursday's haven-driven losses through Asia, with a steady higher-low chain off the 0.8192 Asia low, and London open has pushed through the 0.8224 Asia high to 0.8233. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but not extreme. Thursday's pre-NY prior high at 0.8243 is the next cap overhead.
Support: 0.82239, 0.82159, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82433, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8224 asia high would turn the London push into a false break
Loss of the rising support line, now near 0.8221, and the 0.8216 higher low would break the HL chain
0.8243 prior high and 0.8250 round number: area to watch for rejection or break
Asia low at 0.8192 sits on the 0.8193–0.8200 zone flagged in the macro digest; revisiting it would reopen the downside test
US S&P PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the 0.8192 low · RSI 68 · price 0.82261
Higher-low chain through Asia, capped at Asian high into London open.
Demand held the 0.8192 area twice, once in Thursday's London session and again at the Asian low, and the pair has stepped up in higher lows since, in line with the USD clawback in Asia flagged in the digest. London opened with a small rejection under the 0.8230 Asian high; the Asian rally trendline and the 0.8216 swing low sit below.
Support: 0.82159, 0.8211, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82303, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8230 Asian high opens the 0.8243 prior high from Thursday's London session
Break of the trendline and 0.8216 swing low points to the 50% fib at 0.8211
Loss of the 0.8192 Asian low undoes the double bottom
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into resistance · RSI 68 · price 0.82261
Higher-low chain from 0.8192 day low, testing 0.8230 prior high at London open.
USD/CHF held the 0.8192 day low a second time and climbed through Asia on a clean higher-low chain, clawing back part of Thursday's haven-driven CHF gains. The first London bar is stalling at the 0.8230 prior high, the level that capped the bounce during NY hours yesterday. RSI(14) sits near 68 and the rising trendline runs just under price near 0.8218.
Support: 0.8218, 0.8214, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8230 prior high opens the Thursday high at 0.8243
Break of the rising trendline near 0.8218 and the 0.8214 asian shelf ends the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 0.8192 day low negates the double bottom
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend off the Asian low, nearing the session high · RSI 61 · price 0.82196
Higher lows since 00:00 UTC; testing the Asian range top ahead of London open.
USD/CHF built a double low near 0.8192 by matching Thursday morning's low at the Asian low, then ground higher through Asia as USD clawed back part of Thursday's haven-driven losses. Price is pressing the 0.8224 session high into London open with RSI(14) near 61, holding the rising trendline from the 0.8195 higher low, with ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.8218, 0.8210, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8224, 0.8243
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8224 session high opens the path back to the 0.8243 prior high
A break of the rising trendline points to the 0.8210 asia base, near the 38.2% retracement of the Asian leg
Failure at 0.8192 voids the double low and confirms a lower low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows through Asia; price at the 61.8% retrace of 0.8243–0.8192.
Thursday's haven-driven CHF bid took the pair from the 0.8243 prior high during NY hours down to a double low at 0.8192, matching the Thursday London-open low. Asia has built steady higher lows off that level along a rising trendline. Price is now pressing the asia high at 0.8224, which is also the 61.8% retrace, ahead of London open. RSI(14) is near 70 and ATR is only about 3 pips, so the Asian range is tight.
Support: 0.8216, 0.8209, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8224, 0.8243, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8224 asia high and 61.8% fib opens the 0.8243 prior high, with the 0.8250 round number above
A break of the rising trendline near 0.8216 and then the 0.8209 range base would flip micro-structure back toward the 0.8192 double low
Losing 0.8192 shifts the read to a fresh leg of the CHF haven move
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing Asian high · RSI 64 · price 0.82168
Higher-low chain off 0.8192 triple low, below NY lower highs.
Asia climbed from 0.8192, a triple low tested at London open, mid-London and the Asian open, in a steady higher-low chain. That partly unwinds Thursday's haven-driven NY fade from the 0.8243 day high. Price is pressing the 0.8220 Asian high an hour before London open with RSI(14) near 64, and the 0.8209 asia base aligns with the 38.2% fib of the Asia leg.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8230, 0.8243
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8220 Asian high exposes the 0.8230 lower high left during the NY fade, then the 0.8243 day high
Loss of the 0.8209 asia base breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.8200 round number (50-day SMA zone) back in play
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a break of the 0.8192 triple low reopens the one-month low
06:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, momentum moderate · RSI 63 · price 0.82168
HH/HL chain through Asia, price pressing the Asian range high.
Asia lifted USD/CHF off the 0.8192 triple low, tested at Thursday's London open and again at the Asian open, in a steady HH/HL chain as USD clawed back part of Thursday's haven-driven CHF gains. Price is now at the 0.8220 asian high and riding the rising trendline ahead of London open. RSI(14) sits near 63 and ATR is about 3 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8227, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising trendline and the 0.8209 asia shelf (38.2% fib) breaks the Asian HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.8220 asian high opens 0.8227 prior pivot, then Thursday's 0.8243 day high
Loss of the 0.8192 triple low would mark a fresh lower-low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Asia recovery, higher highs and higher lows · RSI 70 · price 0.82176
HH/HL chain off the 0.8192 twin low inside a 0.8192–0.8243 range.
Asia has climbed from a retest of the 0.8192 twin low, matching Thursday's London low, to a session high at 0.8218 in a clean HH/HL chain. Price now sits at the 50% fib of Thursday's sell-off from the 0.8243 prior high, a drop driven by the CHF haven bid after the claims beat faded. RSI(14) is near 70 heading into London open, and ATR is compressed at about 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.82087, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82268, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8209 higher low breaks the Asia rising support
A move back below the 0.8192 twin low confirms a lower-low below Thursday's range floor
An M15 close above the 0.8227 swing high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the path to the 0.8243 prior high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.82138
HH/HL chain off triple low, under swing pivot.
Late Asia session. The Asia rally came off a third hold of the 0.8192 triple low and carved a HH/HL chain to an asian high at 0.8218, now just under the 0.8220 swing pivot that capped late-NY trade. Yesterday's claims-led spike to the 0.8243 prior high faded as CHF haven demand reasserted.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82178, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 swing pivot extends the HH/HL chain toward the 0.8243 prior high
Loss of the 0.8209 asia base breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8200 round number
Break below the 0.8192 triple low confirms a fresh lower-low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the day low, late Asia · RSI 72 · price 0.82156
Higher-low chain from 0.8192, testing Asian session high.
CHF haven demand drove the NY slide to a day low of 0.8192, where yesterday's London low held as a double bottom, and the Asia session has since climbed a rising trendline of higher lows to 0.8216. Price is between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the 0.8243–0.8192 drop, just under the 0.8220 swing high. RSI(14) near 72 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.82087, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 swing high and 50% fib opens the 0.8243 prior high
Close below the 0.8209 higher low breaks the Asia trendline
Loss of the 0.8192 day low confirms a lower-low
London open in ~2h may extend or reverse the Asian range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late in the Asia session, about 2h before London open, price has built higher lows off a triple low at 0.8192, which matches Thursday's London lows. It is now pushing above the 0.8209–0.8214 asia shelf to session highs, with RSI(14) near 71. Thursday's claims-driven spike to the 0.8243 prior high faded on CHF haven demand. Next overhead are the 0.8220 swing high and the 61.8% fib near 0.8224, close to the neckline zone cited in the digest.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8195, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8224, 0.8243
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.8209 asia shelf keeps the higher-low chain intact
Rejection at the 0.8220 swing high or the 61.8% fib near 0.8224 would keep the Asia rebound inside Thursday's NY fade
Loss of the 0.8195 higher low reopens the 0.8192 triple low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia higher-low chain off 0.8192 triple low, compressing under the Asian high.
Asia bounced from a third test of the 0.8192 triple low. It is now stalling at 0.8211, the 38.2% retrace of Thursday's 0.8243–0.8192 NY decline, in a tight 0.8209–0.8214 band under the Asian high. The claims-driven spike to the 0.8243 NY high faded fully on haven CHF demand, and RSI(14) is cooling to 59 from the overnight push.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8214, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8209 range low and the Asia rising line exposes the 0.8200 round number
M15 close above the 0.8214 Asian high opens the path to the 0.8220 swing high, then the 0.8243 NY high
Loss of the 0.8192 triple low would mark a break of the 24h range lower
London open in ~2.5h is likely to break the current tight band
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Short-term recovery, stalling below Asian high · RSI 61 · price 0.82107
Higher-low chain off a 0.8192 double low, compressing under 0.8214.
The Asia session open retested Thursday's London-open low for a double low at 0.8192, where the CHF haven bid stalled. The Asia rally since then has built higher lows up to the 0.8214 Asian high. Late in the Asian range, price is compressing in a 5-pip band on the rising line just above the 0.8209 pullback low, with ATR(14) under 4 pips and RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.82087, 0.82029, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82141, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8214 Asian high opens the 0.8220 swing high, with Thursday's 0.8243 claims high the next pivot
Loss of the rising line and the 0.8209 pullback low puts the fib 50% at 0.8203 in play
A break below the 0.8192 double low resumes the CHF haven leg and invalidates the recovery read
London open around 07:00 UTC typically expands the Asian range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 63 · price 0.82099
Asian range 0.8192–0.8214 after equal lows held.
Asia session found buyers at 0.8192, equal lows with yesterday's London-open low, and has since held a 22-pip Asian range below the 0.8214 asian high, with price flat near 0.8210 just above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) around 63. The pair sits near one-month lows on the CHF haven bid, while the prior high at 0.8243, set around the NY open, capped Thursday's rally.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82141, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8214 asian high exposes the 0.8243 prior high
Loss of the 0.8200 round number and the 0.8192 equal lows confirms a lower-low
London open in ~3h is likely to set direction out of the Asian range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Range after London-led drop, mild Asia rebound · RSI 62 · price 0.82099
Double low at 0.8192, Asian higher lows capped at 0.8214.
Late Asia: buyers stepped in at the 0.8192 double low, matching yesterday's London low. The bounce stalled at the 0.8214 Asian high, at the 38.2% fib of the 0.8243–0.8192 drop, with price coiling near 0.8210 and ATR about 4 pips as the CHF haven bid persists.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82141, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8214 Asian high clears the fib 38.2% and opens the path toward 0.8243 prior high
Loss of the 0.8200 round number puts the 0.8192 double low back in play; a break below confirms a lower low
Rising support from the Asia lows; failure there turns the session range bearish
London open in ~3h could set the session range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday rebound, stalling late Asia · RSI 64 · price 0.82102
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.8192 double low, capped at the Asian high.
Asia session held the 0.8192 double low, matching yesterday's London low near the 50-day SMA that CHF haven flows have been testing, and built a higher-high, higher-low chain to the 0.8214 Asian high. Price is now stalling at the 38.2% retrace of the NY high drop from 0.8243 and sitting on EMA50, with RSI(14) cooling from the high 70s to about 64.
Support: 0.8209, 0.8203, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8214, 0.8218, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8214 Asian high opens the fib 50% at 0.8218, with the 0.8243 NY high above
Failure to hold the 0.8209 intraday hl breaks the rising support from the Asian low and puts the 0.8203 late NY low back in play
Break of the 0.8192 double low invalidates the rebound read
London open in about 3.5h, then US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Asia rebound inside the down-leg from the NY high · RSI 64 · price 0.82113
HH/HL chain off the 0.8192 double bottom, capped at the Asia high.
CHF haven demand from the bond selloff drove the slide from the 0.8243 NY high. Asia retested the London-open low at 0.8192, completing a double bottom near the 50-day SMA. Higher lows since then have lifted price to the 38.2% fib at 0.8211, where the Asia high at 0.8214 is capping.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8214, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8214 Asia high opens yesterday's 0.8220 lower high, then 0.8243 NY high
Break of the rising trendline near 0.8205 ends the Asia HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.8192 double bottom invalidates the rebound read
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL climb off a triple low at 0.8192, testing the Asia high.
CHF haven demand drove the NY-session slide from the 0.8243 prior high. Late in the Asia session, a third test of the 0.8192 triple low held. Price has built a higher low at 0.8195 and cleared the 0.8206 pivot, and is now pressing the 0.8215 Asia high near the 38.2% retracement of that drop, with RSI(14) firm near 69.
Support: 0.8206, 0.8195, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8224, 0.8243
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8215 Asia high or the 61.8% fib at 0.8224 keeps the move a retracement of the 0.8243-0.8192 drop
An M15 close below the 0.8206 pivot and the Asia trendline puts the 0.8195 higher low and 0.8192 triple low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since Asia open · RSI 68 · price 0.82138
Double bottom at 0.8192, now testing the Asian session high.
Asia retested yesterday's London low and held at 0.8192, forming a double bottom as the CHF haven bid stalled near the 0.8193 support area. Price has since built a higher-low chain and is pressing the Asian high at 0.8214, just above the 38.2% fib of the 0.8243–0.8192 day drop, with RSI(14) near 68 from a steady grind rather than an extreme.
Support: 0.8208, 0.8195, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8214, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8220 swing high clears the 50% fib and opens the path to the 0.8243 day high
Rejection at the Asian high and a break of the 0.8208 higher low shifts focus back to the 0.8195 swing low and the rising trendline
M15 close below the 0.8192 double bottom confirms a lower-low and voids the recovery read
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Rebounding off a double low, testing first resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.82104
Higher lows through Asia from 0.8192 after a 0.8243–0.8192 decline.
The Asia session retested yesterday's London low and formed a double low at 0.8192. Price has since printed higher lows and pushed back above both EMAs, despite the haven CHF bid in the digest. It is now pressing the Asia high at 0.8212, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the 0.8243–0.8192 decline.
Support: 0.8206, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8212 Asia high exposes the 0.8220 swing high, near the 50% fib
A rejection at 0.8212 that loses the 0.8206 higher low breaks the Asia trendline and puts the 0.8200 round number back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.8192 double low confirms a lower-low and voids the rebound read
A reclaim of the 0.8243 prior high would erase the entire NY decline
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially reset this intraday structure
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher lows forming in Asia.
The Asia session matched the London low with a double bottom at 0.8192, after CHF haven demand drove the NY slide from 0.8243. The bounce has built higher lows from 0.8195 and is now testing the Asian high at 0.8212, which is the 38.2% retrace of that drop. Price is back above EMA20 and just above EMA50, with RSI(14) at 59.
Support: 0.81952, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8212 Asian high opens the 0.8220 NY pivot (61.8% zone), then the 0.8243 NY high
Losing the 0.8195 higher low puts the 0.8192 double bottom back in play; a break below it negates the pattern
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday down-leg stalling, Asia rebound under way · RSI 63 · price 0.82106
Range 0.8192–0.8243; third test of 0.8192 held, price at 38.2% retrace.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8243 day high, set in the first hour of NY, as haven CHF demand returned. The 0.8192 triple low held for a third time in early Asia, and price has climbed back above the ema50 into the 0.8212 fib 38.2. RSI(14) is near 63 and ATR(14) is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8207, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8212 fib 38.2 opens the 0.8220 swing high, then the 0.8243 day high
Slip back below the ema50 near 0.8207 returns price to the lower half of the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.8192 triple low breaks the range lower
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Middle East or bond-market headlines feeding haven CHF demand
02:01 UTC
Recovering from intraday lows, testing first resistance · RSI 65 · price 0.82106
Double bottom at 0.8192, pushing the Asian session high.
The Asia session retest of yesterday's London-open low held at 0.8192, forming a double bottom against a firm CHF haven bid. Price is now at the session high, pressing the 38.2% retrace of the 0.8243–0.8192 fade and the late NY high at 0.8212, with RSI(14) near 65.
Support: 0.82035, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82175, 0.82433
What it said to watch
An M15 close above 0.8212 (late NY high) opens the 50% fib at 0.8218. Failure there keeps the day high at 0.8243 out of reach.
Losing the late NY base at 0.8203 returns price to the 0.8192–0.8212 range.
A break below the 0.8192 double bottom invalidates the base read.
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read later today.
01:46 UTC
Intraday down-leg stalling at the lows · RSI 46 · price 0.8201
Lower highs from 0.8243, flat floor at 0.8192.
USDCHF faded the NY high at 0.8243 back to the 0.8192 swing low in early Asia. That was the third rejection there in 24h, after the London open and mid-London tests, as the CHF haven bid and DXY's failure near 102.00 kept the pair heavy. Price is now pinned in a tight 0.8192–0.8203 Asian range around the 0.8200 round number, with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR at roughly 5 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8203, 0.8210, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 swing low breaks the triple-tested floor; the digest flags 0.8134 as the next reference
Hold of the 0.8200 round number keeps the Asian range intact; a close above the 0.8203 Asian high shifts focus to 0.8210
A close above the 0.8210 rollover high, near the 38.2% fib of the 0.8243–0.8192 drop, reopens the NY high at 0.8243
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.81979
Lower highs from 0.8243 into a tight Asian range above 0.8192.
Lower highs from the 0.8243 swing high have walked USDCHF back to 0.8192. That level has now been tested a third time in the Asia session as the CHF haven bid persists. The Asian range of 0.8192–0.8203 is compressing below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 42 and no oversold extreme.
Support: 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8203, 0.8210, 0.8218
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 triple low confirms a lower low and exposes 0.8134 per the macro read
Close above the 0.8210 lower high breaks the lower-high chain, with the fib 50% retracement at 0.8218 next
Break of the 0.8203 asian high would mark the first range expansion of the session
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, bouncing off support · RSI 48 · price 0.82024
Lower highs since 0.8243; triple low holding at 0.8192.
The NY high at 0.8243 faded through the afternoon as Gulf escalation and bond stress lifted CHF haven demand. Early Asia dipped to 0.8192, a third test of the London-open triple low, and was rejected back above the 0.8200 round number. The bounce sits just below the 0.8211 overnight high, which lines up with the 38.2% retrace of the NY sell-off.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 triple low breaks the floor tested at London open and again in Asia
Close above the 0.8211 overnight high clears the 38.2% retrace and the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8200 round number returns price to the triple-low test
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Range, heavy after NY fade · RSI 48 · price 0.82024
Floor at 0.8192 tested three times, lower highs since NY high.
The NY rally from the 0.8192 day low to the 0.8243 NY high fully retraced into the close as the CHF haven bid returned on bond-market stress and Middle East risk. The Asia session tested the day low a third time and held, bouncing to 0.8202, still under the late ny cap at 0.8205–0.8210. ATR has compressed near 5 pips and RSI is neutral at 48.
Support: 0.81916
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.82175, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 day low breaks the triple-tested floor beside the 0.8193 50-day reference flagged in the digest
Close above the 0.8210 late ny cap opens the NY drop fib 50% at 0.8218
Reclaim of the 0.8243 NY high would negate the lower-high sequence
US S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations Fri 13:45–14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from NY high 0.8243; Asia retesting the 0.8192 swing low.
The NY high at 0.8243 has faded into a steady lower-high sequence along the fade line, with CHF haven demand pushing early Asia back below 0.8200 psych to retest the 0.8192 swing low (the London-open double low). RSI(14) at 36 is not stretched, and the 0.8210 asian high caps the session so far.
Support: 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8210, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 swing low breaks the London-open double low and extends the lower-low chain
Reclaim of 0.8200 psych and a break of the fade line toward the 0.8210 asian high would stall the downtrend read
Rebound back to the 0.8243 ny high would negate the post-NY fade
Fri 13:45 UTC S&P PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM could materially shift this read
Middle East or bond-market stress headlines driving CHF haven flows
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 35 · price 0.81957
Lower-high chain from 0.8243, retesting day low.
Early Asia is retesting the 0.8192 day low from the London open, after the NY high at 0.8243 faded into a chain of lower highs, with the CHF haven bid and USD softness behind the slide. The Asian high near 0.8202 is capping bounces, and RSI(14) around 35 is not stretched. The fib on the decline from the NY high puts 38.2% near 0.8211, in line with the swing high.
Support: 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8202, 0.8210, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 day low extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 0.8210 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Asian high at 0.8202 is the first cap; acceptance above it eases pressure on the day low
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.8243 London high; price pressing the late NY low just above the day low.
The London rally from the 0.8192 day low peaked at 0.8243, the london high, and was fully unwound through NY as haven flows into CHF on Middle East and bond-market stress weighed on the pair. Early Asia is holding just above the 0.8196 late NY low, under the broken 0.8204 NY base. ATR is down to about 4 pips, and the NY lower highs trendline is still capping.
Support: 0.81959, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8204, 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8192 day low extends the lower-low sequence beyond the London-open flush
Reclaim of the 0.8204 NY base and the NY lower highs trendline would neutralise the late-session drift
A move back above the 0.8212 swing high, near the 38.2% retrace, breaks the lower-high chain
Middle East or oil headlines during the Asia session could revive haven flows into CHF
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment are the next scheduled catalysts for this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower into Asia · price 0.81979
Lower highs since the 0.8243 NY-open peak; price retesting the London low zone.