USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:31 UTC
Uptrend from Friday, stalling under the highs · RSI 50 · price 0.82503
Friday HH/HL chain intact; Monday gap filled, compressing below 0.8256.
Friday's USD-led rebound off 0.8192 built higher lows through London and NY and topped at the 0.8256 Friday high. Monday's open gapped down to a 0.8229 gap low, which held above the 38.2% of the Friday rally fib, and the gap filled within three bars. Early Asia is now pinned at the 0.8250 psych level with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 Friday high opens the 0.8275 res flagged in the CHF digest
Failure to hold 0.8250 psych puts the 0.8229 gap low back in play; below that sits the 0.8219 swing low
A drop under the 0.8219 swing low breaks the Friday HL chain and the 50% of the Friday rally fib
Tue US data (ADP, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence) and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
Friday HH/HL chain intact; weekly open gap filled, early Asia drifting under the gap fill.
Friday's USD and yield rebound after the PMI beats carried the pair from 0.8192 to a 0.8256 Friday high, with the NY low at 0.8219 the last higher low. The weekly open gapped down to an open low of 0.8229 and the gap fill at 0.8253 was tagged. Early Asia session is now holding 0.8248 above the 0.8243 pullback low, with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 Friday high resumes the HH chain and brings 0.8275 resistance into view
Failure to hold the 0.8243 pullback low exposes the 0.8229 open low, which sits near the 38.2% fib
A break below the 0.8219 NY low would end Friday's higher-low sequence
Thin Asia liquidity; Tuesday's US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wednesday's FOMC, could materially shift this read
23:03 UTC
Uptrend from 0.8192, paused under Friday high · RSI 49 · price 0.8248
Friday HH/HL chain intact; Sunday gap filled, coiling below 0.8256.
The Sunday open gapped down to a 0.8229 gap low, just above the 38.2% retrace of Friday's rally. The gap fill completed within the first hour with a high at 0.8253. Thin early-Asia trade is now pinned around 0.8248, after Friday's rebound off 0.8192 on firmer US yields and PMIs. ATR is inflated by the gap bar.
Support: 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 friday high extends the HH chain from 0.8192.
Failure to hold the 0.8229 gap low exposes the 0.8219 swing low and the 50% friday rally fib near 0.8224.
Tuesday US data (Durables 12:30 UTC, Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC) and Wed's FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read.
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under Friday high · RSI 50 · price 0.82498
Higher lows from 0.8219; weekend gap filled, pinned just below 0.8253–0.8256.
The weekly reopen gapped down about 17 pips to a 0.8229 gap low, then filled back to Friday's close. The session high at 0.8253 stalled just under the 0.8256 Friday high. Friday's higher-low chain off the 0.8219 swing low, built on the USD rebound after firm flash PMIs, is still intact. Price is hovering on EMA20 in thin early-Asia trade, with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8253 session high and the 0.8256 Friday high resumes the higher-high sequence and opens 0.8275.
A drop through the 50% retrace of the 0.8219–0.8256 leg (0.8238) puts the 0.8229 gap low back in play.
Failure at the 0.8229 gap low exposes the 0.8219 swing low and breaks the higher-low chain.
Tuesday's US ADP and durables data, then Wednesday's FOMC, are the next catalysts; liquidity stays thin until Tokyo.
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at Friday high · RSI 48 · price 0.82499
Higher lows from 0.8192; Sunday gap down already filled.
Friday's rebound from the 0.8192 Asia low built a higher-low chain. The post-PMI dip held at 0.8219 (pmi low) before NY set the friday high at 0.8256, as firmer US data and yields lifted the dollar. Sunday's open gapped about 17 pips lower to 0.8229 (gap low, near the 38.2% of the Friday rally fib) and has already filled back to 0.8250, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 in thin early Asia trade.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 friday high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.8275 res flagged by UOB
Loss of the 0.8229 gap low reopens the 0.8219 pmi low and the higher-low line
No scheduled USD/CHF events in the next 8h; liquidity stays thin until London open
22:16 UTC
Uptrend from 0.8192, stalling under Friday high · RSI 51 · price 0.82516
Weekly open gap filled; back inside Friday's late 0.8250–0.8256 range.
Early Asia session: the weekly open gapped about 17 pips lower to a gap low at 0.8229, which held near the 38.2% retracement of Friday's PMI-driven USD rally. The gap has since filled back to Friday's 0.8251 close. Price now sits on the fri range lo at 0.8250, beneath the 0.8256 friday high, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.82504, 0.82427, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8256 friday high resumes the HH chain, with next res at 0.8275
Failure to hold 0.8250 (fri range lo), then the 0.8243 higher low, reopens the 0.8229 gap low
Thin early-Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves until the London open
US data Tue and the FOMC decision Wed could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Friday Asia low; week-open gap filled, price back at the late-Friday 0.8250 base.
Friday's PMI-driven USD rebound carried the pair from the 0.8192 Asia low to a 0.82558 Friday high, with the NY low at 0.82193 holding as a higher low. The week opened on a ~22-pip gap down to 0.82287, which held inside the Friday rally fib and was fully filled in thin early Asia trade. Price now sits on the 0.8250 Friday base, just under the 0.82529 Sunday high, with RSI neutral.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.8250 Friday base re-exposes the 0.82287 gap low
M15 close above 0.82558 Friday high extends the HH chain; failure there keeps the pair ranging under it
Break of the 0.82193 NY low ends the Friday HH/HL sequence
Thin Asia-session liquidity at week open; Tue US data and Wed FOMC are the larger risk events
21:46 UTC
Uptrend, gap down at weekly open being retraced · RSI 47 · price 0.82486
Higher lows from 0.8192 to 0.8219, opening gap mostly filled below fri close.
Friday's USD rebound after the PMI beats built a higher-low chain from the 0.8192 Asian low through the 0.8216 london low and the 0.8219 swing low, topping at the 0.8256 friday high in late NY. The Sunday open gapped down to a 0.8229 sunday low, between the 38.2% and 50% retracements of Friday's rally. Price has since recovered to 0.8249, just under the 0.8251 fri close, in thin early Asia session trade.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193, 0.82159
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82558, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 fri close fills the opening gap; a break of the 0.8256 friday high opens the next res at 0.8275
Failure to hold the 0.8229 sunday low exposes the 0.8219 swing low and the higher lows trendline
Loss of the 0.8216 london low (61.8% of the fri rally fib) breaks the higher-low chain
Tue US data and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read; thin weekly-open liquidity can exaggerate early swings
21:31 UTC
Friday uptrend interrupted by weekend gap lower · RSI 30 · price 0.82401
Higher-low chain from 0.8192 to 0.8256; Sunday open gapped ~17 pips below Friday close.
Friday's rally ran from the 0.8192 Asian low to a 0.82558 Friday high, as USD rebounded on the PMI beats. The weekly open gapped lower to 0.82341, and the first bar printed a 0.82287 gap low before recovering to 0.82401. That sits on the 23.6% retracement of the Friday rally. Price is below both EMAs, and the gap bar inflates ATR, so early Asia session liquidity is thin.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82558
What it said to watch
A fill back to the 0.82511 Friday close would neutralise the gap. A close above the 0.82558 Friday high resumes the HH chain.
Failure to hold the 0.82287 gap low exposes the 0.82193 swing low near the 50% retracement.
Tuesday's US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence lead into Wednesday's FOMC (18:00 UTC), which could materially shift this read.
21:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend interrupted by a weekend gap lower · RSI 24 · price 0.82401
Friday HH/HL chain from 0.8192 to 0.8256; Sunday open gapped below Friday's late range.
The weekly open gapped USD/CHF about 17 pips below Friday's 0.8251 close. The first bar dipped to a sunday low of 0.8229 before recovering to 0.8240, at the 23.6% retrace of Friday's 0.8192–0.8256 rally, which had been built on firm US PMIs and a yield rebound. Thin early Asia session liquidity and a gap-distorted RSI(14) near 24 limit the read; Friday's swing low at 0.8219 sits just above the 50% retrace.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82558
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.8251 completes the gap fill and puts the friday high at 0.8256 back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8229 sunday low exposes the 0.8219 swing low and the 50% retrace at 0.8224
Thin liquidity around the weekly open can produce erratic early Asia session bars
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the scheduled risks that could reset this structure