USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing the day high · RSI 58 · price 0.82774
HH/HL chain since London broke above the Asian range.
London broke above Monday's Asian range (0.8232–0.8247) and NY extended the HH/HL chain to a 0.8279 day high on broad USD firmness into FOMC. The thin rollover dip to 0.8261, at the 38.2% fib of the Asia low to day high move, was fully recovered, and early Asia is back at the day high with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) at about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 day high opens the 0.8290 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asia pivot puts the 0.8263 ny swing low back in play
Break below the 0.8252 london low negates the HH/HL chain
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at day high · RSI 57 · price 0.82766
HH/HL chain from London open; tight early-Asia compression under 0.8279.
London open broke Monday's Asian range (0.8232–0.8247), and pre-FOMC USD short-covering carried the HH/HL chain through NY to a 0.8279 day high. Early Asia is compressing just under that high, above a 0.8273 asia floor. The rollover dip to 0.8261 was a thin-liquidity spread spike, and RSI(14) sits neutral at 57.
Support: 0.8273, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 day high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Loss of the 0.8263 ny swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8255 50% fib, near the 0.8252 swing low
Failure to hold the 0.8273 asia floor turns the compression into a pullback toward the 38.2% fib at 0.8261
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC set pre-FOMC tone; Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling near day high · RSI 53 · price 0.82744
Higher highs and higher lows from the Asian low; tight consolidation under the session high after a rollover dip.
USDCHF climbed about 47 pips from the 0.8232 Asian low to a 0.82787 session high late in NY hours, helped by pre-FOMC USD short-covering. The rollover dip to 0.82613 sat on the 38.2% fib and was bought back. Price is now holding flat near 0.8274 early in the Asia session with RSI neutral and the 0.82634 swing low intact.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82613, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8280
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82787 session high and the 0.8280 round number extends the higher-high chain
Failure below the 0.82634 swing low and 0.82613 rollover low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.82521 pullback low near the 50% fib
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, then Wednesday's FOMC, could materially shift this read
HL chain from Asian low 0.8232; tight 0.8273–0.8279 consolidation.
Pre-FOMC USD short-covering drove a 47-pip climb from the Asian low at 0.8232 through London and NY. Higher lows held at the london low of 0.8252 and the ny swing low of 0.8263, and the move topped at the 0.8279 session high. A thin rollover dip to 0.8261 was quickly recovered. Early Asia session now holds a tight band just above the rising trendline near 0.8272, with RSI(14) flat at 50.
Support: 0.8272, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the trendline near 0.8272 and then the ny swing low at 0.8263 would break the higher-low chain
Close above the 0.8279 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Fib 38.2% of the Asian low to session high leg sits near 0.8261, in line with the ny swing low
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wed FOMC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low; consolidating just under session high.
London broke above the 0.8232–0.8245 Asian range and the pair built a higher-high chain into the late-NY session high at 0.8279, in line with pre-FOMC USD short-covering. The thin rollover dip to 0.8261, at the 38.2% fib of the Asian low to session high leg, was fully retraced. Price is back near 0.8275 in early Asia, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR(14) about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82608, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 ny low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8252 pullback low
Close above the 0.8279 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could shift the read; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the larger risk
Higher-low chain from Asian low, Asian range broken higher.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8252 and NY extended the higher-low chain to a 0.8279 session high on pre-FOMC USD short-covering, completing the Asia-to-NY leg. A thin rollover dip to 0.8261 was fully recovered, and price is back under the session high with the 0.8290 range cap overhead.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 session high exposes the 0.8290 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8263 ny low breaks the higher-low chain and turns focus to the 0.8252 asian high
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and the Wed FOMC decision could materially shift this read
Higher-high/higher-low chain from the Asian low; the rollover dip held at the 38.2% fib.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.8252 and NY extended the climb to a 0.82787 session high, as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The rollover gap tagged 0.82613, the 38.2% retrace of the London-NY rally, and price has recovered to 0.8274 with a higher low at 0.82669. RSI(14) is neutral near 54.
Support: 0.82669, 0.82613, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82787 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Break below the 0.82669 higher low, then the 0.82613 rollover low, would mean a deeper retrace of the London-NY rally toward the 0.82521 NY low
ATR is depressed in thin Asia session trade; Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods is the next scheduled catalyst ahead of Wednesday's Fed
22:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening into Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.82752
HH/HL chain from the 0.8232 Asian low; rollover spike retraced.
USD/CHF climbed from the 0.8232 Asian low in a higher-high/higher-low sequence. London cleared the Asian range, and NY extended to a 0.8279 session high as USD shorts were trimmed into the Fed. The thin-liquidity rollover dip to 0.8261 has been fully retraced, with price back near 0.8275 above the rising hl line and RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8279 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8263 swing low breaks the rising hl line and the higher-low sequence; the 0.8252 ldn-ny low sits near the 61.8% fib of the Asia low–day high move
Tuesday 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods, then Wednesday's Fed decision, are the next scheduled catalysts that could reset this read
21:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 52 · price 0.82705
Higher-low chain from Asian low; post-rollover pullback held above 0.8263 swing low.
London broke above the Asian range (0.8232–0.8245), and NY extended to a 0.8279 day high on pre-Fed USD short-covering. That built higher lows at 0.8246, the 0.8252 pullback low and the 0.8263 swing low. The rollover dip to 0.8261 held at the fib 38.2% of the Asian-low-to-day-high move, and price is back near 0.8270, just under ema20 in thin early-Asia trade.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82608, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and opens the 0.8252 pullback low
M15 close above the 0.8279 day high resumes the uptrend toward the 0.8290 range cap
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could shift the pre-Fed USD tone
Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision is the main risk to the 0.8200–0.8290 range
21:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, paused after NY close · RSI 47 · price 0.82689
HH/HL chain from Asian low; rollover gap back to 38.2% fib.
London cleared the Asian high near 0.8252, and NY extended the higher-high chain to a 0.8279 day high as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed. A thin rollover gap dropped price to 0.8261, near the 38.2% level of the day rally fib, and it now sits at 0.8269, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.8263 swing low keeps the higher-low chain intact; losing it exposes the 0.8252 asian high, the 50% fib zone
Recovery above the 0.8279 day high brings the 0.8290 range cap back into focus
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could reset the read ahead of the Fed
HH/HL chain from the Asian low, rollover gap below the rising trendline.
Monday's climb from the 0.82319 Asian low built a HH/HL chain through London and NY on USD short-covering into the Fed, topping at the 0.82787 day high late in NY, still below the 0.8290 range cap. The thin-liquidity rollover bar gapped down to the 0.82613 rollover low and broke the rising trendline. Price sits at 0.82663, between the 0.82634 swing low and the 0.82763 gap fill level, with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82613, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82763, 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Asia session reclaim of 0.82763 closes the gap fill and restores the HH/HL read toward the 0.82787 day high
M15 close below the 0.82634 swing low and the 0.82613 rollover low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 0.82521 ny-open low
0.8290 range cap remains the upper boundary of the pair's range
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, then Wednesday's Fed decision, could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the Asian range break.
USD short-covering into Wednesday's Fed lifted the pair out of the 0.8232–0.8253 Asian range at London open. It then built higher lows through NY to a 0.8279 session high, with the 0.8263 NY pullback holding on the rising trendline. Late NY is grinding in a narrow 3-pip ATR band just above the EMA20 at 0.8274.
Support: 0.8274, 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8279, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 NY pullback low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8252 swing low, near the 0.8253 Asian high, sends price back into the Asian range and voids the breakout
Acceptance above the 0.8279 session high exposes the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the macro read
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead of Tuesday's US Durable Goods and Wednesday's Fed could produce outsized wicks
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, late-session grind to new highs · RSI 68 · price 0.82783
HH/HL chain since the London break of the Asian range; higher low held at 0.8263.
London broke the Asian range (0.8232–0.8247) on Monday's broad USD rebound into Fed week. NY extended the HH/HL chain past the 0.8277 prior high to a session high at 0.8279 in thin late trade, with RSI(14) near 68. The 0.8263 swing low held as the latest higher low on the rising trendline.
Support: 0.82772, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8277 prior high would mark the late push as a false break
Loss of the 0.8263 swing low breaks the HL chain and the rising trendline; the 0.8252 ny low sits below
0.8290 range cap (top of the 0.8200–0.8290 range) is the next resistance above the session high
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC set the pre-Fed tone; Wed FOMC is the main swing risk
The pair gapped about 17 pips lower at the weekly open and set an Asian low at 0.8232. London and NY then built a steady higher-lows sequence to a session high at 0.8279 as the dollar rebounded into Fed week. Late NY is drifting just above the ema20 on a thin ATR(14) of about 3 pips, with RSI(14) firm near 67 but not stretched.
Support: 0.8273, 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82787, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8263 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline. A loss of the 0.8252 pullback low would unwind half of the move from the Asian low.
Session high at 0.8279: watch for acceptance above or rejection beneath. The digest flags the 0.8290 range cap as the next ceiling.
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence, then Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC, could materially shift this read.
20:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 61 · price 0.82779
HH/HL chain since Asia, higher lows intact.
Price is pressing a fresh session high at 0.8278 late in NY, after London broke the Asian range top near 0.8253 and filled the weekend gap. Pre-FOMC USD firmness is behind the move. Higher lows at 0.8252 and the 0.8263 swing low keep the chain intact, with RSI(14) near 61, not stretched, and ATR(14) about 3 pips as liquidity thins after London close.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.8278, 0.8290
What it said to watch
A sustained break above the 0.8278 session high exposes the 0.8290 range cap flagged into the Fed
Failure to hold the 0.8263 swing low breaks the higher-lows trendline and the HH/HL chain
A drop back through 0.8252 (gap fill / London low) would negate the Asian range breakout
Asia session opens shortly; thin liquidity at the session high can produce a false break
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
London broke the Asian range high; late NY retesting the session high.
London opened with a break of the Asian high near 0.8253 and built a steady HH/HL chain, helped by pre-FOMC USD repositioning. NY extended it to a 0.8277 session high. The late-NY pullback held the 0.8263 swing low, roughly a 55% retrace of the NY leg off the 0.8252 pre-NY low, and price is back pressing the session high after London close.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521, 0.8253
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8277 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.8263 swing low breaks the HL sequence and exposes the 0.8252 pre-NY low, with the 0.8253 Asian high just above it
A second stall at 0.8277 would leave a flat top at the session high
Rising support trendline from the Asian low sits near 0.8262
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 56 · price 0.82748
Higher lows from the Asian low, double test of 0.8277 session high.
USD/CHF broke the Asian high at 0.8253 at London open and extended in NY to a 0.8277 session high on pre-Fed USD short-covering. The late-NY dip held a 0.8263 swing low, keeping the higher lows intact, and price is retesting the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8263, 0.8253
Resistance: 0.8277, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8277 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap flagged into this week's Fed
Failure to hold the 0.8263 swing low breaks the higher lows chain and exposes the 0.8253 Asian high
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
Higher lows at 0.8252 and 0.8263 under a 0.8277 session high.
Sunday's gap down to the 0.8229–0.8253 Asian range was filled through London as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of FOMC, and NY extended the leg to a 0.8277 session high. The late-NY pullback held the 0.8263 swing low, near the 50% of the NY leg, keeping the higher-low chain intact as price grinds back toward the high with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82511
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8277 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap
Break below the 0.8263 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8251 gap fill
Tuesday's 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, retesting session high · RSI 58 · price 0.82753
Higher-low chain from Asian low, price back at NY session high.
The weekly-open gap lower was filled to Friday close near 0.8252 at London open as USD short-covering lifted the pair out of the 0.8232–0.8253 Asian range. Higher lows followed at 0.8252 and the 0.8263 swing low. Late in NY, price is back testing the 0.8277 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 58 and the 0.8290 range cap overhead.
Support: 0.82634, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8277 session high opens the 0.8290 range cap
Break below the 0.8263 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8252 Friday close
A trendline break from the Asian low would mark the first lower low since London open
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC are the next scheduled catalysts for USD
HH/HL chain since London open, higher low held at 0.8263.
Monday's opening gap lower filled in Asia. London then broke the Asian high at 0.8253 and built a higher-high/higher-low chain into a 0.8277 session high, as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the Fed. The late-NY pullback held a higher low at 0.8263 on the rising trendline, and price has recovered to 0.8274 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.82634, 0.8253
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8277 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Break below the 0.8263 higher low breaks the rising trendline and the HH/HL sequence
Loss of the 0.8253 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, then Wednesday's FOMC, could materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing near session high · RSI 51 · price 0.8273
HH/HL chain from Asian low; shallow pullback held rising trendline.
London open lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8229–0.8253 Asian range and filled the weekend gap. NY pushed it to a 0.8277 session high on pre-FOMC USD short-trimming. A 14-pip dip into the 17:30 UTC swing low at 0.8263 held the rising trendline and the 23.6% fib. Price is back at 0.8273 late in NY, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.8263, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8277, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8277 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Break of the 0.8263 swing low and the rising trendline ends the HL sequence and exposes the 0.8252 london low
Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC, could materially shift this read
18:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after the session high · RSI 53 · price 0.8269
Higher-high/higher-low chain from the 0.8232 Asian low, first pullback holding.
The weekend gap lower filled in the London open, and the HH/HL chain from the 0.8232 Asian low extended to a 0.8277 session high in NY. The soft 2-year auction knocked price back to 0.8263, where the rising trendline held. Late NY trade is flat near 0.8269, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 53.
Support: 0.8264, 0.8252
Resistance: 0.8277, 0.8290
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.8264 trendline breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8252 swing low
A close above the 0.8277 session high reopens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence are the next scheduled test; Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after London close · RSI 44 · price 0.82676
Higher lows since Asia; late-NY pullback holding the rising trendline.
The weekly gap down to 0.8229 was filled in London as price cleared the Asian high near 0.8253. Pre-Fed USD short-covering then carried it to a 0.8277 session high in NY. The late-NY pullback low at 0.8263 sits on the rising trendline, with price just under EMA20 and RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82525
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the Asian high near 0.8253
0.8260 marks the 38.2% retracement of the day's rally fib; holding there keeps the higher-low chain intact
Close above the 0.8277 session high reopens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Tue durable goods and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off the Asia low; pullback testing the rising trendline.
Monday's weekend gap down filled at the London open as price broke the Asian range top near 0.8253. NY then extended the HH/HL chain to a 0.8277 session high, with USD short-covering into Wednesday's Fed behind the bid. The late-NY fade has held the 0.8263 pullback low, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the midday leg and just above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) back to ~51.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 pullback low and the rising trendline breaks the HL chain and exposes the 0.8252 midday low
Reclaim of the 0.8277 session high reopens the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the CHF digest
Thin Asia session ahead; Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, lower highs since session high.
USD/CHF stepped higher from the 0.8232 Asian low through London and NY as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the Fed, peaking at the 0.8277 session high. Late NY has printed lower highs. The pullback low of 0.8263 sits near the 50% fib of the NY leg off the 0.8252 London HL. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and price is just under EMA20.
Support: 0.82634, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82742, 0.82772
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8263 pullback low and the 61.8% fib near 0.8262 breaks the rising trendline from the Asian low
Loss of the 0.8252 london hl ends the intraday HH/HL chain
Reclaiming the 0.8274 lower high reopens the 0.8277 session high
Thin Asia session ahead; Tue durable goods and Wed FOMC are the next catalysts for this read
17:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.82644
HH/HL chain from Asian low; lower highs since 0.8277.
USD/CHF climbed from the 0.8232 Asian low, cleared the Asian high in London and held a retest of it at 0.8252 before printing a 0.8277 session high in NY as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the Fed. Price is now drifting lower after London close on a run of lower highs, down to EMA20. The next test is the 0.8260 NY pivot, where the 38.2% fib, the rising trendline and EMA50 converge. RSI(14) is cooling to 44.
Support: 0.8260, 0.8252, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.82742, 0.82772
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8260 NY pivot breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.8252 Asian high
Loss of 0.8252 puts the HL chain at risk and opens a deeper retracement toward the 0.8232 Asian low
Reclaim of the 0.8274 lower high reopens the 0.8277 session high
Tue durable goods (12:30 UTC) and consumer confidence (14:00 UTC) ahead of Wed FOMC are the next scheduled catalysts
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling late NY · RSI 61 · price 0.82729
Higher lows from Asian low, tight hold under session high.
The Sunday gap below Friday's 0.8251 close filled during London as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the Fed. Price stepped through a higher-low chain from the 0.8232 Asian low to a 0.8277 session high in NY. Since London close it has held a tight band above the 0.8269 swing low and the rising line, with RSI(14) cooling to ~61 and ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.82694, 0.82647, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8280, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8269 swing low breaks the rising line and the higher-low chain
Clearance of the 0.8277 session high opens the 0.8280 round number, then the 0.8290 range cap
Pullback into the 0.8265 ny dip low or the 38.2% of the Asian low–session high move (~0.8260) tests the uptrend structure; loss of the 0.8252 pre-ny low undoes the London-NY leg
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
16:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back late NY · RSI 57 · price 0.82714
HH/HL chain since London; session high 0.8277, shallow pullback.
London broke the Asian high at 0.8253 and NY pushed the HH/HL chain to a 0.8277 session high, in step with the firmer USD into Wednesday's Fed. Since London close price has drifted lower and RSI(14) has cooled to ~57. The 0.8268 swing low, at the 38.2% level of the NY leg fib, is still holding.
Support: 0.82677, 0.82525
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8268 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8252 asian high
Break above the 0.8277 session high opens the path to the 0.8290 range cap
Day trendline from the London lows (~0.8257) is the deeper structural floor
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's Fed decision could materially shift this read
16:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 60 · price 0.82725
HH/HL chain since Asia low; late-NY consolidation 0.8273–0.8277.
London broke above the 0.8232–0.8247 Asian range and NY extended the higher-low chain to a session high at 0.8277. Price is now holding a tight 0.8273–0.8277 band in late NY with RSI(14) near 60, as USD shorts are trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed. Nearest supports are the 0.8268 ny swing low and the 38.2% fib at 0.8260 of the Asia low–NY high leg, with the rising trendline just below.
Support: 0.82677, 0.82596, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8280, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8268 ny swing low breaks the NY higher-low sequence
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 0.8260 and the rising trendline exposes the 0.8252 swing low
Clearance of the 0.8277 session high puts the 0.8280 round number and the 0.8290 range cap in view
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London open; Asian range high broken, stalling at session high.
USD/CHF filled the Sunday gap and broke the Asian range high near 0.8253 at the London open. It then held higher lows through NY to a 0.8277 session high as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) is near 67 and price is compressing just under the session high after London close, with the 0.8268 NY pullback low holding beneath.
Support: 0.82677, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82772, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8268 NY pullback low breaks the NY trendline and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8252 swing low (Asian high and 50% fib) negates the London breakout
Clearance of the 0.8277 session high exposes the 0.8290 range cap and the 0.8300 psych level
Tue 12:30 UTC US durable goods and Wed's Fed decision could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the Asian low, pressing the session high in NY.
The Sunday gap down to 0.8234 filled within the first hour. After the 0.8232 Asian low, London and NY stacked higher lows to a 0.8277 session high as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The 0.8252 midday low held at the London-NY transition, the asia trendline is intact, and RSI(14) at 67 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8265, 0.8252, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8277, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8265 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain
Loss of the asia trendline and the 0.8252 midday low (near the 50% retrace of the asia-ny leg) would undo the London-NY advance
Clearance of the 0.8277 session high exposes the 0.8290 range cap that has capped the pair
Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods, then Wed Fed decision, could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 63 · price 0.82756
HH/HL chain since the 0.8232 Asian low; London broke the Asian range high.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.8247, and NY extended the day's rally to a session high at 0.8277 as USD shorts are trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. Late in the London-NY overlap, price sits at that high with RSI(14) near 63, not stretched. The NY trendline and the 0.8268 swing low sit just below, with the 38.2% fib at 0.8260 and the 0.8252 pullback low further down.
Support: 0.82677, 0.82595, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82765, 0.8280, 0.8290
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8268 swing low breaks the NY trendline and the higher-low chain, exposing the 38.2% fib at 0.8260
Acceptance above the 0.8277 session high opens the 0.8280 round number, then the 0.8290 range cap flagged in the digest
Failure to hold the 0.8252 pullback low unwinds the NY leg
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) is the next scheduled catalyst, ahead of the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC
15:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending into NY · RSI 64 · price 0.82756
Higher highs and higher lows since London open, testing session high.
USD/CHF filled Monday's weekend gap and broke the Asian high near 0.8253 at London open. It then stepped up along rising support from the 0.8236 pre-London low, and NY pressed the session high at 0.8277 as USD shorts are trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched, and the 0.8265 NY swing low is the nearest pivot below.
Support: 0.82647, 0.82525
Resistance: 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8265 NY swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
A move back below the 0.8253 Asian high puts price back in the Asian range, at the 50% fib of the Asia-NY leg
Acceptance above the 0.8277 session high brings the 0.8290 range cap into play
A break of rising support from the 0.8236 pre-London low shifts the read toward range
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for the 0.8290 range cap
15:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, rejection at session high · RSI 57 · price 0.82685
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; London broke the Asian range, NY extended it.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.8247, and NY extended the HH/HL chain to a 0.82765 session high as USD firmed on short-covering ahead of Wednesday's Fed. The last full bar rejected that high and closed at 0.8268, just above the 0.8265 NY pullback low, with RSI(14) cooling to ~57.
Support: 0.82647, 0.82521, 0.82474
Resistance: 0.82765, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8265 ny pullback exposes the rising trendline near 0.8258 and the 0.8252 swing low (50% of the asia-ny leg fib)
Failure to hold the 0.8252 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain, with the 0.8247 asian high next
M15 close above the 0.82765 session high brings the 0.8290 range cap (top of the 0.8200–0.8290 range) into view
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, higher highs through London and NY · RSI 64 · price 0.82756
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; NY broke the 0.8271 prior high.
USD/CHF gapped lower at the weekly open to 0.8229. It has since stepped up in higher lows along a rising trendline, with London clearing Friday's 0.8256 high as the dollar firmed into Wednesday's Fed. NY pushed through the 0.8271 prior high to a 0.8277 session high after the double low at 0.8252 held, and RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched.
Support: 0.82711, 0.82647, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82765, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8265 swing low stalls the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.8252 double low breaks the rising trendline and the uptrend read
The 0.8290 range cap sits above the session high; acceptance above the 0.8300 round number extends the structure
Tuesday 12:30 UTC durable goods and Wednesday's 18:00 UTC Fed decision could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, higher highs through London and NY · RSI 59 · price 0.82688
HH/HL chain off the 0.8236 London-open low; session high 0.82711 being tested.
Sunday's gap down was filled early. London then broke above the Asian high at 0.82474 and Friday's 0.8256 top, as the USD firmed on short-covering and steadier yields. Dips into the NY low at 0.82521 and the 0.82596 swing low were bought, and price now sits just under the 0.82711 session high with RSI(14) at a neutral 59.
Support: 0.82596, 0.82521, 0.82474
Resistance: 0.82711, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82711 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range cap
Break below the 0.82596 swing low and the rising trendline puts the 0.82521 NY low and 50% fib in play
Loss of the Asian high at 0.82474 would erase the London breakout
Wednesday's Fed decision and December guidance could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since London broke the Asian range high.
London cleared the Asian range high at 0.8253 and NY extended to a session high at 0.8271. The pair is holding a higher-low sequence at 0.8252 (pullback low) and 0.8260 (higher low) as USD firms on short-covering into Wednesday's Fed. RSI(14) has cooled to ~57 off the high.
Support: 0.82596, 0.82521
Resistance: 0.82711
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8260 higher low stalls the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.8252 pullback low breaks rising support and puts the London-NY leg's 50% retracement near 0.8254 in play
Clean break of the 0.8271 session high extends the NY leg
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher highs through London into NY · RSI 62 · price 0.82675
HH/HL chain above the broken Asian high; fresh session high at 0.82711.
Monday's opening gap down to 0.8229 was filled in Asia. London then broke the Asian high near 0.8253 and built higher lows as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of FOMC. Early in the NY session, price tagged a fresh session high at 0.82711 after a 12:45 UTC retest of the 0.8252 swing low, with RSI(14) near 62, warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8260, 0.82521, 0.82463
Resistance: 0.82711, 0.8290, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82711 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.8290 range top, then the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8260 minor hl puts the 0.8252 swing low and London trendline back in play
Break below 0.8252 that also takes the 0.8246 london low ends the higher-low sequence
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London open; Asian range broken to the upside.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8253 after the weekend gap filled, and the NY open retested it at 0.8252 before price pushed back to the 0.8269 session high as the dollar firms on short-trimming into FOMC. Rising lows are intact. RSI(14) sits near 65 and ATR is about 5 pips, so the market is not stretched.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8269, 0.8290
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8269 session high opens the 0.8290 range top flagged in the franc digest
Loss of the 0.8252 asian high breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8246 london low
Return below the 0.8232 asian low unwinds the full Asia-to-NY leg on the fib
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read; pre-event positioning is driving the current leg
Higher lows from Asian low; pullback held swing low 0.8252.
Monday's weekend gap lower was filled in early Asia. London lifted the pair off the 0.8232 Asian low and through Friday's high at 0.8256 as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of FOMC. The session high at 0.8269 printed into the London-NY transition, and the pullback held the 0.8252 swing low, roughly the 38.2% retracement, before a sharp 13:00 UTC rebound to 0.8263. RSI(14) is near 60, and ATR(14) is around 5 pips.
Support: 0.82558, 0.82521, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82689, 0.8290
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8252 swing low breaks the rising-lows trendline and the higher-low chain
An M15 close above the 0.8269 session high extends the leg toward the 0.8290 range top cited by UOB
Loss of the Friday high at 0.8256 would turn the breakout into a false break
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
London broke the Asian range high; higher lows, 0.8269 session high not yet retaken.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.8253 and printed a 0.8269 session high as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of the FOMC. The 12:45 UTC pullback retested the breakout area and held the 0.8252 swing low near the fib 50%. The rebound into the first hour of NY is stalling just under the high, with RSI(14) neutral at 54 and an ATR of about 5 pips.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8269, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8269 session high opens the 0.8290 range top cited for the 0.8200–0.8290 box
Failure to hold the 0.8252 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8246 pullback low
A move below 0.8246 puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 0.8232 asian low below
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
13:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pullbacks held · RSI 55 · price 0.82634
Higher highs since London broke the Asian range high; lows paused near 0.8252.
After a Monday gap lower, London broke the Asian high at 0.8252 and pushed to a 0.8269 session high as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The first hour of NY retested 0.8252, a 38.2–50% retracement of the Asian low-to-session high leg. Buyers stepped in there and price is back near 0.8263, with RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8269, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8269 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.8290 range top
Failure to hold 0.8252 (asian high) puts price back inside the Asian range
Break below the 0.8246 london low negates the London higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.8232 asian low
Pre-FOMC positioning (Wed 18:00 UTC) leaves follow-through thin; a dovish read on December pricing could reverse the USD bid
HH/HL chain from Asia low, now testing Asian range top.
London broke above the 0.8232–0.8253 Asian range and built higher highs to a 0.8269 session high at the London-NY transition, as USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering into the 0.8250/0.8270 resistance band. Rejection there has pulled price back to the Asian high and the 38.2% fib near 0.8255, with RSI(14) cooled to ~46 and price back under EMA20.
Support: 0.8252, 0.82463
Resistance: 0.82626, 0.82689
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8252 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.8246 london low
A reclaim of the 0.8262 prior high reopens the 0.8269 session high
No USD/CHF calendar events in the next 8h; Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the next scheduled catalysts
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 50 · price 0.82575
London HH/HL chain above the broken Asian range; first-hour NY pullback.
London broke the 0.8232–0.8253 Asian range and printed higher highs and higher lows to a 0.8269 session high, in line with the digest's pre-Fed USD short-covering. The first hour of NY has pulled back to 0.8257, near the 38.2% of the London leg. RSI(14) is back near 50 and price has slipped under EMA20.
Support: 0.8253, 0.8246
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8269
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.8253 asian high, which is also the 10:30 UTC higher low, keeps the HL trendline and the breakout intact
A break below the 0.8246 london low unwinds the London breakout and puts price back inside the Asian range
A M15 close above the 0.8263 prior high, then the 0.8269 session high, extends the leg toward the 0.8270–0.8290 band flagged in the digest
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Wed FOMC decision could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first pullback from session high · RSI 55 · price 0.82608
Higher lows since London open; Asian range broken higher, now testing rising trendline.
The weekend gap down from 0.8251 has been filled. London then broke the Asian range high at 0.8253 and Friday's high as the dollar firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. Higher lows carried price to a 0.8269 session high just under the 0.8270 resistance band, and the pullback into the NY open is now sitting on the rising trendline and fib 61.8% near 0.8259, with RSI(14) at 55.
Support: 0.82533, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82689, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8253 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts price back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 0.8246 pullback low opens a deeper retrace toward the 0.8232 asian low
Close above the 0.8269 session high extends the leg toward the 0.8300 round number
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC; positioning into it can drive NY-session swings
London broke Asian range high; higher-high/higher-low chain intact.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8253 and built higher lows at 0.8246 and 0.8253 into a 0.8269 session high. The 0.8253 pullback held as a retest along rising support. USD is firming as shorts are trimmed into Wednesday's FOMC, and price is now pressing the 0.8270 band ahead of the NY open with RSI(14) near 61, not stretched. The London leg fib from 0.8236 frames any pullback.
Support: 0.8253, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8269, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8269 session high opens the path toward the 0.8290 range top
Break of rising support and the 0.8253 asian high retest level puts the London leg fib 50% near 0.8253 and the 0.8246 higher low in play
Loss of 0.8246 breaks the higher-low chain; the 0.8232 asian low is next
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Tue durable goods 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since London open; Asian range and Friday high cleared.
USD/CHF broke above the Asian range at London open as the dollar firmed on pre-FOMC short trimming. It cleared the Friday high at 0.8256 and printed higher lows at the 0.8246 London low and 0.8253. Price is at a 0.8267 session high into the NY open, pressing the 0.8270 round number, with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.82558, 0.82533, 0.82463
Resistance: 0.82668, 0.8270, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8256 Friday high puts the breakout at risk of a false break
Loss of the 0.8253 higher low breaks the London higher-low chain and the trendline
Acceptance above the 0.8270 round number opens the 0.8290 range top
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows at 0.8246 and 0.8253 after reversing the Asian dip; Friday high cleared.
USD/CHF reversed the Asian dip to the 0.8232 asian low into London. It cleared Friday's 0.8256 high as the dollar found dip-buyers ahead of Wednesday's FOMC, and the 10:15 UTC pullback held near that level. With higher lows at the 0.8246 london low and the 0.8253 swing low, price is back at the 0.8263 session high late in London. RSI(14) is near 65, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8253, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 session high opens the 0.8270 round number, the lower edge of the 0.8270–0.8290 band
Break of the 0.8253 swing low and the intraday trendline undercuts the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8246 london low, near the 50% fib of the asia-london leg, puts the 0.8232 asian low back in view
No scheduled data in the next 8h. Tuesday's US durable goods (12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's FOMC are the next catalysts
Higher-high/higher-low chain since London open, pressing the session high.
London lifted USDCHF out of the Asian range from the 0.8232 asian low and cleared Friday's 0.8256 high, printing higher lows at 0.8246 and 0.8253 and a 0.8263 session high. The pair has reclaimed the 0.8250 area flagged in the macro read as USD holds firm into FOMC, with RSI(14) near 63 and room before the 0.8290 range top.
Support: 0.82533, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82626, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8253 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and the London leg structure
Loss of the 0.8246 higher low puts the 0.8232 asian low and the fib 61.8% back in play
Acceptance above the 0.8263 session high exposes the 0.8290 range top (UOB 0.8200–0.8290 band)
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; London broke above the Asian range and Friday's high.
London took out the 0.8253 Asian range high and Friday's 0.8256 high as USD dip-buying surfaced in early Europe. That filled Monday's opening gap and set a 0.8263 session high. The pullback held the 0.8253 swing low, just above the 38.2% fib, so the higher-low chain from the 0.8232 asian low stays intact, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.82534, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82626, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8253 swing low exposes the 0.8246 higher low and the 50% fib
Break of the 0.8263 session high into NY hours opens the path to the 0.8290 range top
Loss of the 0.8232 asian low unwinds the London breakout
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) and US yield direction remain the dominant drivers for this read
London broke the Asian high at 0.8247 and Friday's 0.8256 high, set a session high at 0.8263, then pulled back to a higher swing low at 0.8253. The dip was bought on the London higher-low line. RSI(14) has cooled to ~53 as haven demand faded on Iran headlines, while lower US yields cap the dollar.
Support: 0.82534, 0.82474
Resistance: 0.82626, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8253 swing low breaks the London higher-low line and exposes the 0.8247 Asian high (~50% of the London leg)
M15 close above the 0.8263 session high extends the London leg, with the 0.8290 range top as the next cap
NY open and US yield direction in the next few hours could test the higher-low structure
FOMC on Wed 28 Oct could materially shift the read; pre-Fed ranges tend to stay contained
10:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 56 · price 0.82549
Higher lows from 0.8232; Asian high broken, now being retested.
London broke the 0.8253 Asian high and set a session high at 0.8263. Price has eased back to retest the Asian high, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. Higher lows from 0.8232 remain intact. The pair is consolidating around 0.8250 as a softer dollar meets pre-FOMC caution.
Support: 0.8253, 0.8246, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8253 Asian high turns the London breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8246 higher low (61.8% of the London leg) breaks the higher-low chain; the 0.8236 swing low sits below
Reclaim of the 0.8258 prior high and a close above the 0.8263 session high resumes the London leg
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst; ranges may compress into NY hours
London higher-low chain above broken Asian and Friday highs.
London lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8232–0.8246 Asian range and through Friday's high near 0.8255, printing higher lows up to a 0.8263 session high as USD steadies ahead of the Fed. Mid-London, RSI(14) is cooling near 67 and price is sitting on the London rising line, with the 61.8% fib of the leg aligned with the Asian high at 0.8246.
Support: 0.8255, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8255 Friday high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of 0.8246 (Asian high / 61.8% fib) breaks the London higher-low chain and reopens the Asian low at 0.8232
Clearance of the 0.8263 session high exposes the 0.8290 range top flagged in the macro read
A sustained break below the London rising line signals the leg is stalling into the NY open
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows through London · RSI 69 · price 0.82602
Asian range broken higher; HH/HL chain from the 0.8232 Asian low.
London broke above the Asian range high at 0.8253 and Friday's high at 0.8255. That extends a higher-low chain from the 0.8232 Asian low to a session high at 0.8263, with RSI(14) near 69. Dip-buying in early Europe tracked the USD rebound after the Monday gap lower, and the 0.8246 swing low sits on the 61.8% fib of the London leg.
Support: 0.82555, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82626, 0.8290
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8255 friday high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.8246 swing low breaks the London trend higher-low chain
Clearance of the 0.8263 session high exposes the 0.8290 range top
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain since 06:15 UTC; London broke above the Asian range and Friday's high.
London cleared the Asian range top near 0.8247 and Friday's 0.8256 prior high. It set a 0.8263 session high on a higher-low chain at 0.8236, 0.8246 and 0.8256. The bounce off the 0.8232 Asian low came as safe-haven CHF demand faded on Trump ruling out Iran strikes; RSI(14) near 69 with bar ranges compressing at the high.
Support: 0.8256, 0.8246, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8256 prior high puts the breakout in question and exposes the 0.8246 swing low
Break of the 0.8246 swing low ends the higher-low chain and the rising support line
A close above the 0.8263 session high opens the 0.8270 round number
Fib 50% of the Asian low-to-session high leg sits near 0.8247, in line with the swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts; pre-Fed ranges may cap extension
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 0.82582
London broke above Asian range; higher-high/higher-low chain since 06:15 UTC.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.8253 and Friday's late high near 0.8256, printing a session high at 0.8261. A higher low at 0.8246 held on the 08:00 UTC dip, in line with the early-Europe dollar dip-buying flagged in the digest. RSI(14) is near 64, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.82529, 0.82463, 0.82361
Resistance: 0.82614, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8253 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8246 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.8236 swing low
Acceptance above the 0.8261 session high leaves 0.8275, the news-cited resistance, as the next reference
No scheduled USD or CHF data in the next 8h. USD tone into Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher highs through London · RSI 64 · price 0.82574
Asian range broken higher, HH/HL chain from 0.8236.
The Sunday gap down to 0.8229 has fully filled. London open broke the Asian high at 0.8253, and the pullback low at 0.8246 held above the trendline before a higher high at the 0.8261 London high, just above Friday's peak. The early-Europe dollar dip-buying noted in the digest matches the move; RSI(14) near 64 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.82529, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82614, 0.8275
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8253 Asian high would put the breakout at risk of a false break
Loss of the 0.8246 pullback low and the rising trendline would break the HH/HL chain
Clearing the 0.8261 London high puts the 0.8275 res zone flagged in the digest in view
Asian low at 0.8232 is the floor of the session structure if the breakout fails
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC are the next catalysts
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, higher highs and higher lows since late Asia · RSI 65 · price 0.82588
Monday gap filled; Asian range high and Friday high broken in early Europe.
Monday's gap lower from Friday's 0.8251 close has been filled. Early European trade lifted price out of the 0.8229–0.8253 Asian range and through the 0.8256 Friday high to a 0.8260 session high, off a 0.8236 swing low and a 0.8246 higher low. RSI(14) near 65 is not stretched, and the move tracks the USD dip-buying the digest flags in early Europe.
Support: 0.82558, 0.82463, 0.82361
Resistance: 0.82605, 0.8275, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8256 Friday high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.8246 higher low and the higher-low trendline ends the HH/HL sequence; the 0.8236 swing low is next below
Hold above the 0.8260 session high puts the 0.8275 news level (cited 0.8275–0.8300 resistance) and the 0.8300 round number in view
No scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC are the next event risks
Higher highs and higher lows since 05:15 UTC; Asian range broken to the upside.
Two hours into London, the pair cleared the Asian range top near 0.8252 and Friday's high at 0.8256, printing a session high at 0.8261 after a pullback low at 0.8246; RSI(14) near 65 is firm, not stretched. The move reverses the Asian dip to 0.8232, which came as USD softened on Fed-hold positioning, and has retraced the Monday gap lower.
Support: 0.82558, 0.82463, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82605
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8256 friday high as support puts the breakout under retest
An M15 close below the 0.8246 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and points back toward the 50–61.8% retracement of the London leg
A drop back under the 0.8232 asian low negates the London breakout read
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC; Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst
Broke above Asian range at London open, rejection at 0.8258, pullback retesting asia high.
London open lifted USDCHF out of the 0.8232–0.8245 Asian range to a session high at 0.8258, briefly clearing Friday's high before a rejection. The pullback held at 0.8246, the asia high, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the rally from the asia low. Early in the London session the pair trades near 0.8252, above the ~0.8230 Asia dip noted in the digest despite the softer USD tone; RSI(14) is near 62.
Support: 0.8246, 0.8236, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8258, 0.8260
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8258 session high clears Friday's high and the rejection, with the 0.8260 round number next above
Failure to hold the 0.8246 asia high puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 0.8236 swing low on the rising lows line
Loss of the 0.8232 asia low breaks the rising lows structure from Asia
No scheduled USD or CHF data in the next 8h. The Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the main event risk this week
London break above Asian range rejected; pullback holding higher-low sequence.
London open lifted USDCHF from the 0.8232 Asian low through the Asian range top and Friday high at 0.8256, but the 0.82576 session high was rejected straight back to 0.8249. The pullback is holding above the 0.82463 pullback low and the rising trendline from the Asian low, with RSI(14) cooling to ~58 as the softer dollar tone into the Fed limits follow-through.
Support: 0.82463, 0.82361, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82558, 0.82576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.82576 session high cancels the false-break read
Loss of the 0.82463 pullback low exposes the 0.82361 swing low near the 61.8% fib
Break of the 0.82319 Asian low ends the higher-low trendline sequence
Fed decision Wednesday is the larger risk and could reshape this read once pre-Fed positioning builds
08:16 UTC
Intraday higher lows, stalling at the London high · RSI 60 · price 0.82489
London open broke the Asian high, then a false break and rejection at 0.8258.
Monday's softer-USD gap down to 0.8229 on the easing Iran risk filled in Asia. After the Asian low, the pair built higher lows, and the London open pushed it through the Asian high and Friday's 0.8256 top to a session high at 0.8258. A full-bodied rejection bar then dragged it back to 0.8249, leaving a false break with RSI(14) cooling to about 60.
Support: 0.82443, 0.82361, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82529, 0.82576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8258 session high negates the false break
Close back above the 0.8253 Asian high reopens the session-high test
Failure to hold the 61.8% fib at 0.8244 exposes the 0.8236 swing low and rising trendline
Break of the 0.8232 Asian low ends the higher-low sequence
Iran headlines could revive CHF haven demand intraday
08:01 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalling at London open · RSI 60 · price 0.82489
Asian range broken higher, then a failed push above Friday high.
Price filled the weekend gap down early, then sagged to the 0.8232 Asian low as USD softened on easing Iran strike risk. The London open push cleared the 0.8247 Asian high and poked above Friday's 0.8256 high, but the 07:45 UTC bar rejected from the 0.8258 session high. Price now sits just under the 0.8251 Friday close, near the 38.2% fib of the 0.8236–0.8258 leg, with RSI(14) cooling to ~60.
Support: 0.82474, 0.82361, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82511, 0.82576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8258 session high negates the false-break read above Friday high
Failure to hold the 0.8247 Asian high brings the 0.8236 swing low and rising Asia trendline into play
Break of the 0.8232 Asian low undoes the overnight recovery entirely
No scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h; Tue durables/ADP and Wed FOMC are the next catalysts
Higher lows off 0.8232 Asian low; London open broke Asian high.
The weekend gap down to 0.8234 filled within the first hour. Asia then faded to the 0.8232 Asian low as the USD softened on lower yields and fading Iran-strike risk. London open broke the 0.8247 Asian high, and price is now testing the 0.8253 session high, just under Friday's high at 0.8256, with RSI(14) near 68.
Support: 0.8247, 0.8236, 0.8232
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8256 friday high clears both the session high and Friday's peak
Rejection at 0.8253 and a close back under the 0.8247 asian high would mark a false break of the Asian range
A break of the higher-low line and the 0.8236 swing low exposes the 0.8232 asian low
No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US-Iran headlines are the main shock risk ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
07:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asia low · RSI 62 · price 0.82457
Asian range 0.8232–0.8247, London testing range top.
Monday opened with a 17-pip gap down from Friday's 0.8251 close and filled it to the 0.8253 gap high, then softer USD on lower yields and fading Iran-strike risk pulled price to the Asian low at 0.8232. A higher low at 0.8236 has London open pressing the Asian high at 0.8247, with Friday's high at 0.8256 overhead.
Support: 0.82361, 0.82319
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8247 Asian high breaks the range and exposes the 0.8253 gap high and 0.8256 Friday high
Break of the 0.8236 higher low cuts the rising trendline and puts the 0.8232 Asian low back in play
US yields and Iran headlines are the live USD drivers in this session, with Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed as the larger risk later in the week
07:16 UTC
Intraday range, contracting into London open · RSI 55 · price 0.82405
Higher lows from the Asian low against lower highs under the gap fill.
USDCHF gapped about 17 pips lower at the weekly open as the softer USD and fading Iran-strike risk carried over. Asia filled the gap to the 0.8253 Asian high, then faded to a 0.8232 Asian low. Higher lows at 0.8233 and 0.8236 are now pressing against a 0.8245 lower high, a tightening range into the London open with ATR(14) near 3.6 pips and RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 0.82361, 0.82319, 0.82159
Resistance: 0.82454, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8245 lower high breaks the Asian lower-highs line and puts the 0.8253 Asian high and 0.8256 Friday high back in play
Close below the 0.8236 higher low and 0.8232 Asian low breaks the higher-lows line and exposes the 0.8216 Friday low
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; yields and US-Iran headlines are the swing factors ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
07:01 UTC
Range, small higher lows · RSI 55 · price 0.82405
Asian range 0.8232–0.8245, higher lows since 02:30 UTC.
The weekly open gapped below Friday's 0.8251 close, and USD softness on easing yields and the fading Iran premium dragged the pair to an Asia low at 0.8232. Since then it has printed a higher low at 0.8236 and is capped under the 0.8245 session high into London open. Price sits on EMA20, just below EMA50, and ATR is compressed near 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.82361, 0.82319, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82454, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8245 session high opens the gap toward Friday's 0.8251 close and the 0.8253 open high
Failure to hold the 0.8236 higher low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.8232 asia low, then the 0.8229 open low
Friday high at 0.8256 caps the upside of the gap-fill zone
London open expansion from a compressed Asian range could break either edge; no USD/CHF data in the next 8h, FOMC Wed remains the main catalyst
06:46 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since the open · RSI 52 · price 0.82378
Post-gap Asian range 0.8232–0.8253, lower-high sequence.
USD/CHF gapped about 22 pips lower at the weekly open to the 0.8229 gap low as the dollar softened on easing yields and fading Iran haven demand. The open bounced to the 0.8253 Asia high, then printed lower highs at 0.8247 and the 0.8245 lower high. The late-Asia drop from that level stalled at the 0.8236 pullback low, above the 0.8232 swing low, with Friday's 0.8251 close still an unfilled gap ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82361, 0.82319, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82454, 0.82511, 0.82529
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8245 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 0.8251 gap fill and 0.8253 Asia high
Loss of the 0.8236 pullback low and then the 0.8232 swing low exposes the 0.8229 gap low, with Friday's 0.8216–0.8219 lows below
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds or breaks
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence on Tue, then the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, grinding higher inside Asian range · RSI 64 · price 0.82435
Higher lows from 0.8232, capped near 61.8% retrace of Asian drop.
The week opened with a gap down from Friday's 0.8251 close. After an early spike to the 0.8253 Asian high, price slid to a 0.8232 swing low as USD softened on easing yields and a fading Iran premium. A steady higher-low grind since has retraced about 61.8% of that drop and is stalling at the 0.8245 swing high late in the Asia session, with price sitting just above EMA50.
Support: 0.82402, 0.82319, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82454, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8245 swing high clears the 61.8% retrace and exposes the 0.8253 Asian high, then the 0.8256 Friday high
Break of the recovery line and the 0.8240 higher low returns focus to the 0.8232 swing low and the 0.8229 Asian low
London open is the next test of the Asian range; no scheduled USD/CHF events before Tuesday's US data, with the FOMC on Wednesday the larger catalyst
06:16 UTC
Short-term recovery off the Asian low, inside Asian range · RSI 62 · price 0.8242
Rising lows from 0.8232; capped at 0.8245 session high.
USDCHF gapped lower at the weekly open and filled the gap at the 0.8253 Asian high. It then slid to a 0.8232 Asian low as softer USD and a fading Iran haven bid weighed. Late Asia has printed a chain of rising lows, retracing about half of the Asian drop into the 0.8245 session high, with price pinned near EMA50.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8232, 0.8216
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8238 higher low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.8232 Asian low
M15 close above the 0.8245 session high opens the 0.8253 Asian high and 0.8256 Friday high
A break of the 0.8232 Asian low exposes the 0.8216 Friday low
London open in roughly 2h is the first test of the Asian range
Nothing scheduled in the next 8h; Iran headlines are the swing risk ahead of Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC
05:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend from the open, now recovering on higher lows · RSI 62 · price 0.82414
Asian leg lower to 0.8232, higher-low grind back toward the 61.8% retrace.
USDCHF gapped lower from Friday's 0.8251 close and briefly filled to the 0.8253 open high in thin trade. It then slid through the Asia session to a 0.8232 asian low as falling US yields and Iran de-escalation weighed on USD. Late Asia has printed a higher-low chain from there, and price is back at 0.8241, testing the 61.8% retrace of the asian high-to-low leg just under EMA50.
Support: 0.82376, 0.82319, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8247 asian high breaks the Asian downleg structure and puts the 0.8253 open high and 0.8256 friday high back in view
Loss of the 0.8238 higher low ends the recovery sequence and exposes the 0.8232 asian low, then the 0.8229 gap low
London open in about 75 minutes is likely to set the session range around the 61.8% retrace
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and Tuesday's US data are outside this window but frame USD tone
05:31 UTC
Intraday recovery inside the Asian range · RSI 55 · price 0.8241
Higher lows off the 0.8232 Asian low, capped below the 0.8247 lower high.
The weekend gap down to 0.8234 was filled at the open. Asia then slid to a 0.8232 Asian low as lower US yields and Iran de-escalation weighed on USD. Price has since built a higher-low sequence back to 0.8241, about halfway up the Asian range fib and just under the 0.8247 lower high heading into London open.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8232, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8247 lower high opens a retest of the 0.8253 session high and the 0.8256 Friday high
A break of the 0.8238 higher low exposes the 0.8232 Asian low; failure there brings the 0.8219 Fri NY low into view
ATR near 3 pips reflects thin Asia conditions; London open is likely to expand the range
Yield moves and Iran headlines ahead of Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off Asian low, capped near 61.8% retrace.
Monday gapped down to an open low of 0.8229 and filled the gap to a 0.8253 opening high within the first hour. Price then printed lower highs through Asia to a 0.8232 Asian low as softer US yields and fading Iran-strike risk weighed on USD. Late Asia has ground out higher lows along a rising line back to the fib 61.8 at 0.8241, with price above EMA20, below EMA50 and RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8232, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8241, 0.8247, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8247 tokyo high breaks the overnight lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8253 opening high back in view
Break of the rising line and the 0.8232 asian low re-exposes the 0.8229 open low and the 0.8219 friday low
Rejection at the fib 61.8 near 0.8241 keeps the Asian lower-high structure intact into London open
Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia; bounce now retracing the Asia drop.
USDCHF gapped down from the 0.8251 Friday close as Iran de-escalation and softer US yields weighed on USD, and Asia session printed lower highs into a 0.8232 Asia low. The late-Asia recovery to 0.8240 sits between the 50% and 61.8% of the Asia drop fib, just under the 0.8244 lower high, ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82319, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82439, 0.82474, 0.82511
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8244 lower high and 0.8247 swing high breaks the Asia lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.8251 fri close gap
Rejection at the 61.8% Asia drop fib and a close below the 0.8232 Asia low extends lower lows toward the 0.8229 open low and 0.8219 fri low
Iran headlines and US yields are the near-term swing factors; Tue US data and Wed FOMC sit beyond this window
04:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening late Asia · RSI 48 · price 0.82387
Lower highs and lower lows since the Monday gap fill, now basing.
The Monday open gapped down from Friday's 0.8251 close as Iran de-escalation and softer yields weighed on USD. The gap filled to the 0.8253 Asian high and was rejected, leaving a chain of lower highs and lower lows down to the 0.8232 Asian low. Late in the Asia session price is basing at 0.8239, flat at EMA20 and pressing the descending line, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.8232, 0.8229
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8244 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high chain and puts the 0.8253 Asian high back in play
Failure at the descending line keeps the sequence intact; a break of the 0.8232 Asian low and 0.8229 open low extends it toward 0.8220
London open in about 3h typically sets the session range and may resolve the current Asian basing
Tuesday's US data and Wednesday's FOMC decision sit outside this window but frame USD tone
Lower highs since weekly-open gap fill, basing above 0.8232 session low.
USD/CHF gapped ~17 pips lower at the weekly open and filled the gap to 0.8253 within the first hour. A rejection there was followed by a run of lower highs through the Asia session to a session low at 0.8232, with lower US yields keeping USD soft. Price is now basing at the 61.8% retracement of the opening rally near 0.8238, just under EMA20, ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82319, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82529
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8232 session low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8229 gap low
Break of the descending trendline and the 0.8247 lower high neutralises the Asia fade and puts the 0.8253 gap fill back in play
No scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h; Tue Durable Goods/Consumer Confidence and Wed FOMC are the next catalysts that could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.82349
Gap filled, rejected at session high, lower-high chain into the asian low.
Monday's Asia session opened 17 pips below Friday's 0.8251 close and filled the gap within the first hour. Price was then rejected at the 0.8253 session high and has stepped down through a series of lower highs to the 0.8232 asian low, in line with a softer USD on lower US yields. RSI(14) near 41 is not at an extreme, and ATR sits around 4 pips in late Asia.
Support: 0.8232, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8237, 0.8244, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8232 asian low exposes the 0.8229 gap low, then Friday's 0.8219 fri ny low
Reclaim of the 0.8237 swing high and then the 0.8244 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
London open in ~3.5h tests the 0.8229–0.8253 Asian range from near its base
US yield or US-Iran headlines can shift USD tone ahead of Tuesday's US data and Wednesday's FOMC
03:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend after gap fill · RSI 44 · price 0.82354
Lower highs and lower lows since Asia high, near bottom of Asian range.
Monday opened about 17 pips below Friday's 0.8251 close. Asia filled the gap to an Asian high at 0.8253, met rejection there, and has since printed a lower-high, lower-low chain to a 0.8232 session low. Price holds below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 44, in line with the soft USD tone as lower US yields cap the dollar.
Support: 0.8232, 0.8229
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8253
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8232 session low exposes the 0.8229 gap low from the open
M15 close above the 0.8244 lower high, near the 50% fib of the Asia drop, breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
London open liquidity could test either end of the 0.8229–0.8253 Asian range
A rebound in US Treasury yields would challenge the soft-USD read behind the Asia decline
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia after gap fill.
Asia session opened with a ~17-pip weekend gap down to the 0.8229 gap low. Price filled to the 0.8253 session high inside the first hour, then printed a chain of lower highs (0.8247 swing high, 0.8244 lower high) down to the 0.8232 swing low as USD stays soft on lower yields. RSI(14) near 41 and below both EMAs, so the selling is not stretched.
Support: 0.8232, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8247, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8244 lower high breaks the falling highs trendline and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8232 swing low and 0.8229 gap low exposes the 0.8219 friday low
Reclaim of the 0.8247 swing high puts the 0.8253 session high back in play
Tue US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC are the scheduled risks that could reset this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since gap fill · RSI 31 · price 0.82327
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia, trading in the lower part of Monday's 0.8229–0.8253 range.
Asia session opened with a gap down to 0.8229. Price filled the gap to 0.8253 and was rejected below the 0.8256 Friday high. Lower highs at 0.8247 and 0.8244 have since pressed it to 0.8233, the 61.8% retrace of Friday's 0.8219–0.8256 rally, with RSI(14) near 31 and the soft-yield USD backdrop intact.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82439, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8229 gap low exposes Friday's 0.8219 swing low
M15 close above the descending trendline and 0.8244 lower high breaks the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.8253 gap fill brings the 0.8256 Friday high back into play
London open is likely to expand the ~5 pip ATR from the current Asian range
02:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 34 · price 0.82341
Gap filled then rejected; lower highs and lower lows below 0.8247.
Monday's opening gap down was filled back to the friday close at 0.8251 in the first hour, but price was rejected there and the Asian session has printed lower highs from 0.8247. Price is now at the 0.8234 session low and the 78.6% retrace of the opening rally, with RSI(14) near 34, consistent with the softer USD as lower Treasury yields cap the rebound.
Support: 0.8234, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82511, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8229 gap low erases the whole opening rally and exposes Friday's 0.8219 swing low
M15 close above the 0.8247 lower high breaks the Asian lower-high sequence and reopens the friday close at 0.8251 and friday high at 0.8256
London open liquidity may test the Asian range, with Treasury yields the main USD driver
FOMC Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the larger event risk for this pair
02:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 38 · price 0.82373
Gap filled then rejected; lower highs 0.82529 → 0.82474, price at fib 50%.
The week opened with a gap down to the 0.82287 gap low as soft USD and lower yields carried over. The gap filled to a 0.82529 session high just short of the 0.82558 friday high, then got rejected. The Asian session has since printed a lower high at 0.82474 and an asian low at 0.82344, with price parked at the fib 50% of Friday's rally from the 0.82193 friday low; RSI(14) near 38 shows no extreme.
Support: 0.82344, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.82344 asian low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.82287 gap low
Close back above the 0.82474 lower high breaks the Asian downtrend line and reopens the 0.82529 session high / 0.82558 friday high
Loss of the gap low exposes the 0.82193 friday low, the base of the fib
London open in ~5h typically sets the session range; US yield moves are the main driver into Wednesday's FOMC
01:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend after weekend gap fill · RSI 40 · price 0.82412
Lower highs and lower lows inside the Asian range.
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~17-pip gap down to the 0.8229 gap low on thin weekend geopolitical flow. The gap filled to the 0.8253 Asian high within the first hour, just short of the 0.8256 Friday high. Price has since printed a lower high at 0.8247 and a fresh session low at 0.8234, with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.82344, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8234 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8229 gap low.
An M15 close above the 0.8247 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.8253 Asian high and 0.8256 Friday high back in play.
The London open typically expands range beyond the ~5-pip ATR. US-Iran headlines remain the main risk in an otherwise empty calendar.
01:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since the open · RSI 38 · price 0.82357
Gap-fill rejection then lower highs and lower lows in early Asia.
The Asia session opened about 17 pips below the 0.8251 fri close on thin, geopolitics-only weekend flow. Price filled the gap to 0.8253 and was rejected there, then printed lower highs, the last at 0.8247, down to 0.8235. The open low at 0.8229 is the nearest reference, with Friday's 0.8219 swing low below it.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82474, 0.82511, 0.82558
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.8229 open low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8219 swing low
An M15 close above the 0.8247 lower high breaks the descending structure and puts the 0.8251 fri close and the 0.8256 friday high back in play
Asia liquidity is thin, so the London open can reset the session range
US-Iran or China countermeasure headlines can move this pair through the haven channels before Tuesday's US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC
01:16 UTC
Range after gap fill, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.8240
Lower highs inside the Asian range 0.8229–0.8253.
The Asia session opened with a 17-pip gap down from Friday's 0.8251 close, the gap low at 0.8229, on thin weekend geopolitical flow. The gap filled to the asia high at 0.8253, just under Friday's 0.8256 peak, and was rejected. A lower high at 0.8247 followed and price sits near the 50% of the gap rally, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) ~44.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8229
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8253
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8237 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8229 gap low
Close above the 0.8247 lower high and the falling trendline reopens the 0.8253 asia high
London open in ~5h typically resolves the Asian range
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC guidance are the next scheduled drivers
Friday's USD/yield rebound took the pair to the 0.8256 friday high. Monday's Asia session opened with a 17-pip gap down to the 0.8229 gap low, and the gap fill to 0.8253 came within 30 minutes. Since then highs have stepped down to the 0.8247 lower high, and price sits near 0.8240, the 50% retrace of the gap-fill leg, just above the 0.8237 swing low.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8237 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8229 gap low
Loss of the 0.8229 gap low puts the 0.8219 fri dip low in play
Close above the 0.8247 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens 0.8253 gap fill / 0.8256 friday high
Monday gap filled; early Asia range 0.8237–0.8253 below Friday high.
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~22-pip gap down to the 0.8229 gap low. Price filled back to 0.8253 within the first hour, then faded to a 0.8237 session low, the 50% retrace of Friday's USD/yield-driven rally from 0.8219 to 0.8256. Price now sits flat on EMA20/50 near 0.8245, with RSI neutral and ATR around 5 pips after mixed weekend Iran headlines.
Support: 0.8237, 0.8229, 0.8219
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8256
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8253 gap fill high reopens the 0.8256 Friday high and the 0.8250 reclaim zone
Failure to hold the 0.8237 session low exposes the 0.8229 gap low, then the 0.8219 Friday low
Iran/Middle East headlines in thin Asian liquidity could jolt haven CHF flows ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
00:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower after gap fill · RSI 42 · price 0.82421
Monday gap lower filled, then lower highs inside Asian range.
Monday Asia opened with a ~22-pip gap lower from Friday's 0.8251 close, after a weekend of Iran headlines only. Price filled the gap to 0.8253 and was rejected there, then printed a series of lower highs. The 0.8237 session low held near the 61.8% retracement of the gap-fill leg, and RSI(14) at about 42 sits below both EMAs.
Support: 0.82371, 0.82287
Resistance: 0.82466, 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8237 session low puts the 0.8229 gap low back in play
Reclaim of the 0.8247 lower high and the 0.8253 gap fill breaks the lower-high sequence; Friday high at 0.8256 sits just above
London open is the first test of the Asian range; no USD/CHF data is due in the next 8h, while Tuesday durables and Wednesday's FOMC carry the larger risk
00:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after gap fill · RSI 36 · price 0.82392
Lower highs off the 0.8253 session high in early Asia.
Asia opened with a 17-pip gap down from Friday's 0.8251 close and filled it within 30 minutes. The rejection at the 0.8253 session high was followed by lower highs back to the 0.8237 session low, the 61.8% retracement of the opening leg. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, after Friday's PMI-driven USD rebound stalled at the 0.8256 friday high.
Support: 0.82371, 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8237 session low breaks the 61.8% gap-fill fib and exposes the 0.8229 gap low
Loss of the gap low puts the 0.8219 friday low back in play
Reclaim of the 0.8253 session high and 0.8256 friday high negates the lower-high sequence
Asia liquidity is thin; ATR is inflated by the opening gap
Asia gap-fill rejected below Friday high, lower highs since.
Friday's PMI-led USD rebound topped at the 0.8256 Friday high. Early Asia opened with a gap down to the 0.8229 gap low, then filled to the 0.8253 session high before rejection. Price is back at 0.8239, testing the 61.8% retracement of the opening rally, with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR around 5 pips in thin Asian trade.
Support: 0.82287, 0.82193
Resistance: 0.82529, 0.82558
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 61.8% at 0.8238 puts the 0.8229 gap low back in play
Break below the gap low exposes Friday's 0.8219 swing low
Recovery through the 0.8253 session high and the 0.8256 Friday high would undo the rejection read
London open could extend the Asian range from 0.8229 to 0.8253