USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.81377
Week range floor lost, testing lows.
USDCHF spent the week coiling 0.8180–0.8205 with supply capping repeatedly near the 0.8205 week high, before the Fed's in-line hold this session took the pair sharply lower — a single NY-hours bar cut through the 0.8140 range floor down to the 0.8132 week low. Price now trades below both EMAs with RSI(14) in oversold territory after the drop; the 0.8140 floor is the immediate area to watch as former support turned resistance.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8190, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster is the key post-FOMC test and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.8140 range floor would neutralise the breakdown
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 31 · price 0.81377
Range break lower, fresh lows.
USDCHF spent two sessions capped in a 0.8195–0.8207 supply cap before the Fed's on-hold decision triggered a sharp unwind of stretched dollar longs, dropping the pair through 0.81488 in a single NY-session leg. Price now sits near the 0.81318 session low with RSI(14) oversold and both EMAs overhead. The prior range low at 0.8150 has flipped to broken level resistance.
Support: 0.81318
Resistance: 0.81488, 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Thu Core PCE/GDP cluster (12:30 UTC) is the key post-FOMC test and could reset this read
H1 close back above 0.81488 broken level would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.81318 session low confirms continuation lower
USDCHF held a tight 0.8180-0.8206 range from Monday's open through midweek before a sharp late-NY drop sliced through it, printing fresh week lows near 0.8132 as the Fed's plain on-hold decision unwound stretched dollar longs. RSI(14) fell toward oversold and price sits well below EMA20/EMA50 after the impulsive leg. The broken 0.8180 range floor now sits overhead as the first resistance to reclaim.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8180 would repair the range break
Failure to hold 0.81318 confirms continuation to the 0.8100 psych level
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Range breaking lower, momentum down · RSI 32 · price 0.81366
Sharp break below week range.
USDCHF capped repeatedly at the 0.8200/0.8205 area through the week before the FOMC hold triggered a stretched-USD-long unwind, dropping the pair from 0.8205 to a 0.8134 low into the NY session. Price now sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31 after the fastest bar of the week. The 0.8150 shelf that held all week has flipped to overhead resistance.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8153 would repair the range-break read
Failure to hold 0.8130 confirms a lower low
Thu 12:30 UTC Core PCE/GDP cluster is the key post-FOMC test and could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 32 · price 0.81353
Range break to the downside.
Price spent most of the week capped in the 0.8190–0.8207 band, with the 0.8205/0.8207 area rejecting repeatedly. The FOMC hold saw USD trim gains, and a sharp late-NY selloff drove USDCHF through the 0.8155 floor to a 0.81325 session low, printing well below EMA20 with RSI(14) down near 31. The prior week's range floor is now acting as overhead supply.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8180, 0.8206
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.81325 confirms a fresh lower low
Recovery back above 0.81550 puts price back inside the broken range
Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for USD direction
21:02 UTC
Rolling over, momentum down · RSI 33 · price 0.81353
Range break lower after 0.8200 rejection.
USD/CHF was repeatedly capped at the 0.8200 area through the week, then dropped sharply into the NY session after the Fed's hawkish-hold as stretched USD longs unwound, breaking the 0.8195-0.8200 shelf and testing 0.8130. RSI(14) has pushed toward the low-30s on the impulse, with price now well below EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 0.81325 session low is the immediate structural pivot.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.81325 confirms a lower-low and extends the drop
H1 close back above 0.81530 would repair the range break
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CHF ranged sub-0.8200 for most of the week before selling off sharply into the 18:00 GMT FOMC hold, which landed dovish-lean against a stretched USD long. Price broke down through the 0.8150 support to a 0.8134 session low and now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near oversold. The 0.8200 pivot that capped repeated attempts this week is the level to watch overhead.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81488
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8200 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.8134 session low opens further downside
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.81502
Sharp reversal off 0.8200 ceiling.
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding into the 0.8200 pivot, capped repeatedly between 0.8195 and 0.82068, before a sharp rejection into the NY session drove price down some 50 pips as the Fed's in-line hold undercut stretched USD longs. The move sliced through the week's rising higher-lows and prior support at 0.81900, leaving price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed toward oversold. Session low at 0.81340 is the immediate reference after the drop.
Support: 0.8134, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81900 broken support would negate the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.81340 session low confirms a lower low
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
Week's rising structure snapped after 0.8200 rejection.
USDCHF ground higher all week from Monday's 0.8139 open toward the 0.8200 psych level, printing twin highs near 0.8207 before a violent reversal. The 52-pip red candle into 18:00 UTC coincided with the Warsh press conference, unwinding stretched USD longs and dumping price back to 0.81487 — effectively a full retrace of the week's advance. Price now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) rolling to the low-30s.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Close below 0.8139 confirms a lower low and reverses the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 0.8200 psych needed to repair the structure
Thu 12:30 UTC US Q2 GDP / Core PCE could extend or reverse this move
USDCHF ran six-plus sessions higher into 0.8200/0.82068 on the SNB-frozen-to-2027 franc-weakness story, but the level capped every attempt this week. The FOMC hold and Warsh presser triggered a broad USD unwind in the final NY-hours bar, dumping the pair ~50 pips to 0.8149 and slicing clean through the week's range floor. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling under 40.
Support: 0.81473, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8200 negates the reversal read
Break below 0.8139 confirms a lower low
US Q2 GDP + Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Week-long grind higher stalling below 0.8207, abrupt reversal off the top.
USDCHF ground higher all week on the SNB-on-hold funding-currency theme, tagging 13-month highs and stalling twice at the 0.82068 week high. The final bar shows a sharp rejection back to 0.81684 as the FOMC reaction hit, dragging price back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling off toward 40. The 0.8200 psych level and week high capped the advance; buyers had defended the 0.8168 session low prior to the drop.
Support: 0.81664, 0.8144, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.82068 week high resumes the uptrend
Failure to hold 0.81664 session low opens 0.8150/0.8139 week low
FOMC statement just released — further headlines could extend this move
Swiss Retail Sales Fri and CPI Mon are the next CHF catalysts
Week-long grind higher stalled below 0.8200, first firm reversal bar.
USDCHF ran higher through the week on the SNB-on-hold funding-currency story, pushing to a 13-month high at 0.82068 and repeatedly probing the 0.8200 psych level. The final bar rejected hard back to 0.81684 — coinciding with the 18:00 GMT FOMC read that unwound crowded dollar longs — dragging price below EMA20 and EMA50 and rolling RSI(14) off the 60s. That single bar reverses the intraday tone even as the broader weekly structure remains higher.
Support: 0.81664, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
FOMC statement/press conference driving this bar; a reclaim of 0.8200 resumes the weekly uptrend
A close below 0.81664 session low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 0.81390 week low
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 GMT is the next USD catalyst
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 61 · price 0.82038
Higher highs and higher lows, coiling under 0.8207.
USDCHF has ground higher all week toward 13-month highs on entrenched SNB-Fed divergence, holding above EMA(20) with pullbacks into the 0.8174-0.8180 shelf finding demand. Price is now coiling just under the 0.8207 week high, with RSI cycling in the 55-62 band. The FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT sits directly in the next bar window and is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8174, 0.8190
Resistance: 0.8207, 0.8215, 0.8250
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT plus 18:30 presser could materially shift this read within the hour
H1 close above 0.8207 then 0.8215 (cap) opens the path to 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8180 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low sequence
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 0.82038
Higher highs / higher lows into 13-mo highs.
USDCHF has climbed steadily since Monday's ~0.8155 open, printing successive higher lows on SNB-Fed divergence with the 13-month high region at 0.82068 now retested. Pullbacks have been shallow and found demand near the rising EMA20, RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band without a clear divergence. The 0.8200 psychological pivot has been reclaimed and holds as near-term support.
Support: 0.8184, 0.8168, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82068, 0.8215, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT and presser 18:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst — capable of resetting this read either way
Clean H1 close above 0.82068 week high opens the path to 0.8215 key res
Failure to hold 0.8184 ema20 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 0.8200 · RSI 60 · price 0.82002
Higher highs into resistance, consolidating below cycle high.
USDCHF has ground higher since Monday's low near 0.8139, reaching 13-month highs and now consolidating right at the 0.8200 psych level with price holding above both EMAs. The franc stayed heavy on the SNB-on-hold theme even after a firmer ZEW print, keeping the buck bid into the FOMC. Repeated tests of 0.8205 have capped the advance this week, with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half rather than pushing extremes.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~2h) is the immediate catalyst for this read
Clean H1 close above 0.8215 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.8150 shelf breaks the week's rising support
USDCHF has ground higher since Tuesday's 0.8139 low, printing a sequence of higher lows and holding above EMA20 through this week as CHF stays the G10 laggard on SNB-hold pricing. Price is pinned just under the 0.8200/0.8205 ceiling, which has capped repeated attempts, with RSI cycling in the 55-65 band rather than pushing into overbought. Consolidation here reflects positioning squared up ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT plus Warsh presser is the immediate catalyst for this read
Clean H1 close above 0.8215 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8150 shelf breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF has ground higher off Monday's 0.8139 low, climbing through the week to press the 0.8200 psych level and 13-month highs, held above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band. The advance reflects Fed-SNB divergence — the franc heavy as funding currency after the SNB-on-hold story. Price is coiling just under the 0.8215 cap as traders square up ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 0.8182, 0.8155, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8215, 0.8250
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
A clean H1 close above 0.8215 cap opens the path to 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.8150 shelf breaks the week's higher-low structure
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing highs · RSI 63 · price 0.82043
Higher lows into weekly high test.
USDCHF has ground higher since the mid-week dip to 0.8139, printing a sequence of higher lows and now pressing the weekly high at 0.82051 for a third time. CHF stays the G10 laggard on the SNB-on-hold story, keeping the franc heavy near 13-month highs. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-60s.
Support: 0.81824, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT and Warsh presser can materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8215 then 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.81824 higher low breaks the rising structure toward the 0.8150 shelf
Higher highs into week-high stall, pullback in progress.
USDCHF has trended up since Monday's 0.8139 low toward a 13-month high area as the SNB 'zero-through-2027' story kept the Franc soft. The 0.8205 week high has capped repeatedly and price is now fading back below EMA(20), with RSI(14) rolling off toward neutral. This is consolidation ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC decision — the dominant driver for the next leg.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT today will materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8215/0.8250
Loss of the 0.81680 higher low would break the week's rising structure
Higher lows into 0.8205 ceiling; pullback from week high.
USDCHF has trended up from the 0.8139 week low on entrenched CHF softness after the SNB rate-path story, printing higher lows into the 0.8205 week high. Price is consolidating just below that ceiling, having failed to hold above 0.8200 twice, and now sits marginally under EMA(20). The 18:00 GMT FOMC decision, roughly four hours out, is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT today can materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 0.81680 breaks the higher-low sequence
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing at range top · RSI 56 · price 0.81973
Higher lows since Monday, capped at 0.8205.
USDCHF has ground higher since Monday's weekly open near 0.8155, building a chain of higher lows into the NY session and tagging 0.8205 several times over the past two days. Price sits just under the 0.8200 psych level with RSI cycling in the mid-50s; pullbacks have been finding the EMA20 around 0.8189. The advance fits the digest read of a structurally soft CHF, but momentum has flattened as buyers repeatedly stall at the week high.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8169, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h) could materially reshape this read
H1 close above 0.8205 week high opens the path toward 0.8215/0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.8169 higher low breaks the rising sequence
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 0.81973
Higher highs and higher lows since Sunday.
USDCHF has trended higher off Sunday's 0.81390 low, printing a clean stack of higher lows into the NY session as CHF stayed on the back foot on the SNB zero-rate story. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.82051 week high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range. The 0.82000 psych level and 0.82051 week high are the immediate cap — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.8185, 0.81693, 0.81548
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8215/0.8250
Loss of 0.81693 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at resistance · RSI 58 · price 0.8197
Higher lows, capped sub-0.8200.
USDCHF has ground higher off Tuesday's 0.8139 low, printing a string of higher lows and holding above EMA(20) into the NY session. The 0.8200 psych level and 0.8205 week high have capped the advance twice, with price now coiling just beneath — CHF stays fundamentally heavy on the SNB-on-hold story but longs are squaring ahead of the Fed. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58, momentum firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.8185, 0.81693, 0.81548
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser is the primary driver — could reshape this read
H1 close above 0.8205 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81693 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF has ground higher since Monday's 0.8139 low, riding above EMA(20) with pullbacks holding, as a heavy franc and priced-in SNB-on-hold story kept the bid intact. Price now consolidates just under the 0.8200 round number after tagging 0.8205, with RSI(14) easing to the mid-50s as upside momentum flattens. The 0.8200/0.8205 band has capped the advance into tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT + Warsh presser is the primary driver — can materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8215 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8150 would confirm a lower-low and unwind the week's climb
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at 0.8200 · RSI 61 · price 0.81992
Higher lows into round-number cap.
USDCHF has ground higher off Monday's 0.8139 low, holding above EMA20 with each pullback finding support along a rising trendline. Price is now pinned just under the 0.8200 psychological cap, where a matched pair of highs at 0.82051/0.82042 has stalled the advance. CHF's status as the week's funding laggard keeps the pair heavy near multi-month highs into tonight's Fed decision.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the primary driver for the next bars
Hourly close above 0.82051 clears the double top and opens 0.8250
Loss of 0.81680 breaks the rising trendline and week's higher-low structure
USDCHF has ground out higher lows since Monday's dip to 0.8139, riding EMA(20) into a repeated test of the 0.8200 psych level. The 0.82051 week high has capped price twice this week and the pair is now pinned just underneath into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, easing off as the advance flattens below resistance.
Support: 0.8185, 0.8168, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the primary driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8215/0.8250
Loss of the 0.8168 swing low breaks the week's rising-lows structure
Grinding higher since Monday's dip to 0.8139, printing successive higher lows with RSI(14) holding the low-60s. Price is consolidating just under the 0.8200 psychological level and this week's 0.8205 high, with CHF fundamentally heavy on the SNB-on-hold story. FOMC tonight is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8168, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8205 opens the path toward 0.8250
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
Loss of 0.8168 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF recovered the Monday gap-lower open and rallied through the week to a 0.82051 high, driven by the SNB-on-hold theme keeping the franc heavy. Price is now retesting the 0.8200 round number, having held higher lows above 0.8168 since the mid-week 0.8139 base. RSI(14) sits mid-60s and price holds above both EMAs as the pair coils into FOMC.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8168
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.82051 confirms continuation past the week high
Failure to hold 0.8176 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the primary driver and could invalidate this read
USDCHF has ground higher through the week as a heavy franc (SNB seen on hold to 2027) kept the pair bid, tagging a fresh week high at 0.82050 before stalling. Price is coiling in a tight 0.8175–0.8200 band into the FOMC, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling mid-50s. The 0.8200 round number has capped the last two NY-session pushes; higher lows off 0.8139 remain intact.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Powell presser could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8200 opens the path toward 0.82050 and 0.8215
Loss of the 0.8168 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF ran to fresh week highs near 0.82051 on broad franc weakness after the SNB-hold-to-2027 story, then stalled and has been coiling in the 0.8184-0.8200 band into the FOMC. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling mid-50s, and pullbacks have found demand around 0.8169-0.8184; the 0.8200 psychological cap has yet to give way.
Support: 0.8184, 0.8169, 0.81548
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Powell presser will drive the next H1 leg
Hourly close above 0.82051 week high opens 0.8215/0.8250
Loss of 0.81840 fomc pivot exposes the 0.81690 swing low
Consolidating below week high after multi-day climb.
USDCHF has ground higher all week off the 0.81390 low, in line with a soft CHF as the SNB-on-hold story keeps the franc as funding currency. The advance stalled at 0.82050 and price is now consolidating around 0.8187, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) back near neutral after the pullback to 0.81693. The week's dominant impulse remains intact but momentum has flattened into the FOMC.
Support: 0.8168, 0.81548, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Clean H1 close above 0.82050 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.81680 swing low confirms a lower low
Higher highs into consolidation below weekly high.
USDCHF has trended higher all week from the 0.8139 week low, printing a fresh weekly high at 0.82051 before easing back as the dollar trimmed pre-FOMC gains. Price is now consolidating around EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 52, holding above the 0.81693 swing low. The SNB-on-hold-into-2027 story keeps CHF soft, but the move has stalled just under 0.8200 into the Fed.
Support: 0.81693, 0.81548, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
Close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81693 confirms a lower low and threatens 0.81548 weekly open
USDCHF ground higher through the week off the 0.8139 low, tagging a 0.8205 week high in the NY session before easing as the dollar gave back gains and traders squared into the FOMC. Price is now consolidating around 0.8183, back below EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The SNB-on-hold funding-currency story underpins the broader move, but this week's price is pinned in a tightening range under the 0.8205 cap.
Support: 0.8173, 0.8155, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
Clean H1 close above 0.8205 opens the path toward 0.8215
Failure to hold 0.8173 exposes the 0.8155 weekly open
USDCHF has ground higher all week off the 0.8139 low, tagging 0.8205 before stalling — CHF weakness on the SNB-on-hold-to-2027 story kept the bid intact. Since yesterday's NY session the pair has drifted back to 0.8184, dipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as price consolidates below the 0.8200 psych level. The 0.8169 day low has held on the pullback and buyers stepped back in there overnight.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Clean H1 close above 0.8205 week high opens the path to 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8169 day low confirms a lower-low toward 0.8150
06:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 0.8176
Higher highs into 0.8200, pulling back.
USDCHF pushed to fresh 13-month highs near 0.8205 through the week as the franc traded as a funding currency on the SNB-on-hold story, but the 0.8200 round level has capped the last three attempts and price has since eased back to 0.8176. The pullback has price back below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s, unwinding the overstretched run. The move sits around the 50% retrace of the 0.8139–0.8205 impulse.
Support: 0.8170, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
H1 close above 0.8200 reopens the path toward 0.8250
USDCHF extended a multi-day rally toward the 0.8205 week high before the 0.8200 psych level capped repeated attempts and price rolled over. The pullback has now dropped below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s, and demand around the 0.8168 swing low is the first test. The move fits the broader CHF-soft, SNB-on-hold theme, but the leg is stretched into today's FOMC.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.8200 psych reopens the 0.8205 week high
Failure to hold 0.8168 swing low exposes the 0.8155 weekly open
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Higher highs into 0.8205, short-term lower highs forming.
USDCHF has run a seven-session recovery into 0.8205, its 13-month high, as the SNB-on-hold narrative keeps the franc soft. Price has since faded off that top and slipped below EMA20/EMA50, holding around the 50% retrace of the week's 0.81388-0.82051 impulse near 0.8172. The 0.8200 area capped the last two pushes; today's FOMC (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 0.81693, 0.81548, 0.81388
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 reopens the path toward 0.8215 breakout
Loss of 0.81693 session low confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.81548 weekly open
USDCHF spent the week grinding higher off Monday's dip to 0.8139, extending the multi-session CHF-softness move (SNB-on-hold story) up to a week high at 0.82051, where the psychological 0.8200 capped two attempts. Price has since rolled over into the NY-to-Asia transition, slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 42. The dominant impulse remains constructive but the latest legs are printing lower highs into 0.8200.
Support: 0.81693, 0.8168, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC and presser 18:30 today is the dominant swing factor for this read
H1 close below 0.81690 confirms a lower low and breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8200 psych level reopens the path toward the 0.82051 week high
USDCHF extended its multi-day advance to fresh 13-month highs near 0.8205 into the NY session, backed by the SNB-on-hold narrative and a firm dollar ahead of the Fed. Price has since eased back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral, and 0.8205 capped the push. Higher-low support runs up from Monday's 0.8139 base, with the recent 0.8168 swing low the first structural floor.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8205, 0.8197
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
USDCHF extended its multi-day advance to a fresh weekly high at 0.8205 into the NY session yesterday, driven by broad CHF softness on the SNB-on-hold narrative and a firm dollar ahead of the Fed. Price has since faded back to the 38.2% retracement of the 0.8139–0.8205 leg, slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling off 60 toward the mid-40s. The 0.8200 round number capped two attempts this week and remains the pivot for the trend.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8155, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8205, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8205 opens the path to the 0.8215 break trigger
Failure to hold 0.8168 confirms a deeper pullback toward 0.8155 week open
Higher highs into 0.8205, consolidating below 0.8200.
USDCHF has run higher all week on CHF funding-currency weakness after the SNB hold-to-2027 story, printing a week high at 0.82051 before the round 0.8200 level capped the advance. Price has since drifted back to 0.81818, dipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward 45 as the rally near the highs stalls. The weekend gap from Friday's 0.81832 close to Monday's 0.81548 open was quickly recovered, keeping the broader up-structure intact.
Support: 0.8168, 0.81548, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81680 would confirm a lower low and expose the weekly open at 0.81548
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 45 · price 0.81818
Pullback from week high, higher lows intact.
USDCHF extended its multi-day advance into the 0.8205 week high before a shallow NY-session pullback, with the franc pressured all week on the SNB funding-currency story. Price now sits back below EMA(20) near the 38.2% retracement of the weekend-low-to-week-high move, still holding above the rising higher-low line and EMA(50). RSI has cooled from overbought toward the mid-40s as the pair consolidates just under 0.8200.
Support: 0.8168, 0.81388
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Close below 0.81680 breaks the higher-low structure
Clean break above 0.82000/0.82051 reopens the week's uptrend
Series of higher highs into 0.8200, pausing below week high.
USDCHF has ground higher all week on CHF funding-currency weakness after the SNB 'hold to 2027' story, tagging a week high at 0.82051 before stalling under the 0.8200 round number. The 0.8200 handle has capped the last two NY-session pushes and price has slipped back to the EMA20 as RSI(14) cools toward 50. Structure stays constructive with higher lows intact, but the drift back below EMA20 marks a loss of near-term momentum ahead of the Fed.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8150, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.82051 week high opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold the 0.8168 pullback low confirms a lower-low
USDCHF has climbed for a seventh straight session, the franc pressured as the SNB's hold-to-2027 story keeps it in a funding role; the pair pushed to 0.82051 before stalling. Price is consolidating just under the 0.8200 psych level, riding EMA(50) with RSI(14) back near the midline after the pullback. Two probes above 0.8200 met rejection, and the week's higher-low structure remains intact.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8146
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
A clean H1 close above 0.8200 opens 0.8250
Loss of 0.81680 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
USDCHF extended its multi-day rally into 0.8200, printing a week high at 0.82027 before easing back to consolidate near 0.8189 in Asia hours. The move tracks the divergence story — SNB seen anchored at zero versus hawkish Fed pricing — with price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) since mid-week. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the advance flattens just under the 0.8200 psych level.
Support: 0.8168, 0.8187, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82027, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.82027 reopens the path toward 0.8250
Loss of 0.8168 swing low would break the week's rising sequence
FOMC decision later today is the dominant driver via the rate differential
USDCHF extended its multi-day recovery on the Fed-SNB divergence theme, pressing the 0.8200 handle and printing a week high at 0.82051 before easing back to 0.8189. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks this week finding support near 0.8180, and RSI(14) has cycled off its highs without breaking structure. FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver via the rate-differential channel.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81548, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.82051 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.8180 exposes the weekly open at 0.81548
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF has climbed for a seventh straight session, extending from Monday's 0.8139 low to a 0.82051 week high as CHF stays offered on SNB-hold-through-2027 and a firm dollar into FOMC. Price is now consolidating just under the 0.8200 psych level with RSI(14) holding the upper 50s–low 60s and pullbacks finding support above EMA(20). The 0.8200 area has capped the last several attempts.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8168, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82051, 0.8215
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — a hike could extend the move, a dovish hold pressures the read
Clean H1 close above 0.82051 week high exposes the 0.8215 resistance
Failure to hold 0.8180 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.81965
Higher highs, coiling under week high.
USDCHF has climbed steadily through the week, extending the multi-session CHF sell-off on hawkish-Fed positioning and a firm dollar. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and coiling just under the 0.82051 week high, with the 0.8200 area capping the latest push. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s — momentum intact but flattening as the pair consolidates into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8168, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.82051, 0.8215, 0.8250
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close above 0.82150 opens the path toward 0.8250
Failure to hold 0.81680 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can materially shift this read