USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 39 · price 0.80516
Impulsive leg down, now consolidating near lows.
USDCHF was rejected from the 0.8205 week high and sold off hard into the NY session as the dollar softened post-FOMC, breaking the multi-day range and printing a fresh low at 0.8039. RSI(14) dipped into oversold on the impulse and is now recovering as price bases between 0.8039 and the 0.8080 bounce high. The 0.8200 area that capped all week now sits well above; price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.8080 bounce high would ease the downside pressure
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend after sharp reversal · RSI 39 · price 0.80516
Breakdown from highs, consolidating near lows.
USD/CHF ran an eight-session climb to 13-month highs around 0.8205 before a sharp NY-session reversal Thursday sliced ~160 pips to a week low at 0.8039, in line with the softer post-FOMC dollar. Price has since coiled between 0.8039 and the 0.8055 range top, holding well below EMA20 and EMA50. The prior-support shelf near 0.8130 now sits overhead as resistance, with the post-drop bounce high at 0.8081 as an intermediate cap.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8081, 0.8130
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8055 range top would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8039 week low exposes the 0.8000 round number
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and US ECI/Michigan (Fri) could reshape this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after breakdown · RSI 38 · price 0.8052
Range break lower, consolidating near lows.
USD/CHF broke down hard from the 0.8200 area during the NY session, shedding ~150 pips into 0.8039 as the dollar softened after the hawkish-hold fade and soft US GDP/PCE prints. Price has since based between 0.8039 and 0.8077 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. The 0.8077 bounce high has capped attempts to reclaim ground, keeping structure below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8100, 0.8114
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8077 opens a retest of 0.8100 psych
Failure to hold 0.8039 swing low exposes 0.8000 psych
Swiss retail sales/CPI and Mon ISM could reset this read
USD/CHF held a tight 0.8170–0.8205 range for most of the week before a sharp breakdown into the NY session, slicing through 0.8130 and 0.8066 to print a week low at 0.8039 as the dollar softened on the hawkish-hold plus soft US data (Q2 GDP and core PCE MoM misses). Price now bases just above the low with RSI(14) deeply oversold, sitting well below EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.8066 breakdown zone is the first level capping any recovery.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.8100, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8066 negates the breakdown; 0.8100 caps above
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms lower-lows toward 0.8000 psych
Swiss Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and Mon Swiss CPI could reshape this read
USDCHF snapped its multi-day grind higher, dumping from the 0.8200 shelf to 0.8039 as the dollar softened after the FOMC hold, weak Q2 GDP (1.5%) and benign core PCE. The break through 0.8130 turned prior support into resistance and price is now basing just above the 0.8039 swing low with RSI(14) in oversold territory. Trade holds well below both EMAs on H1 after a steep, single-session leg down.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8103, 0.8130
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8077 bounce high would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.8039 swing low opens the 0.8000 psych area
USD ECI and Swiss Real Retail Sales on Fri could reshape this read
USDCHF unwound its eight-day rally in a fast NY-session leg, dropping from ~0.8200 to a 0.8039 low after the Fed's hawkish hold carried no fresh hawkish steer and soft US GDP/PCE pressured the dollar. Price is now basing around 0.805, holding just above the week low with RSI(14) depressed near 34. The prior 0.8130 support has flipped to overhead resistance.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8130, 0.8145
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.8080 would ease the breakdown read
Swiss retail sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and Swiss CPI Monday are the next CHF inputs
USDCHF broke down hard through the 0.8140 floor into the NY session, extending to a session low of 0.8039 as the dollar stayed offered after soft US GDP and core PCE prints. Price bounced off the low toward the 0.8081 bounce high before stalling and is now consolidating a narrow 0.8040-0.8060 band well below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits near oversold around 32 after the impulse lower.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8081, 0.8115, 0.8140
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8081 bounce high would ease the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.8039 session low opens the 0.8000 psych level
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC and Swiss CPI Aug 3 could shift this read
USDCHF has collapsed from the 0.8200 area that capped the pair near 13-month highs all week, unwinding the multi-day range in a single NY-session leg. The slide followed soft US GDP and core PCE prints that faded the dollar after the hawkish FOMC hold. Price is now pinned at 0.8047, well below both EMAs with RSI(14) in oversold territory after the impulsive drop through 0.81145.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80664, 0.81198, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
H1 close back above 0.80664 would neutralise the breakdown read
US ECI Fri 12:30 UTC and Swiss retail sales 06:30 could shift this read
USDCHF unwound its multi-day push to 13-month highs, breaking sharply from the 0.8200 area during the NY session as the dollar faded on the soft Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE reads. Price is now basing just above the 0.80390 session low, well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) stretched near oversold. The prior low at 0.80664 has flipped to resistance and capped the first bounce attempt.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80664
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80664 prior low would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low opens the path toward the 0.80000 psych level
Swiss Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC and Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 could reshape this read
USDCHF has reversed hard from 13-month highs near 0.8207, with the sharp leg down through the NY session as soft US Q2 GDP (1.5%) and cooler core PCE forced a dollar unwind. Price sliced through the week's range and 0.80664 breakdown level to print a fresh week low at 0.8039, and now trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory near 25. The 0.8000 psych figure sits just below as the next reference.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80664, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80664 breakdown level would ease the downside pressure
Loss of 0.8039 week low opens the path toward 0.8000 psych
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and Mon Swiss CPI could shift the read
USD/CHF snapped away from 13-month highs near 0.8205 after the soft US GDP miss and benign core PCE knocked the dollar; the sideways band that capped the pair all week gave way and NY hours drove a sharp break to 0.8039. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold around 25, and the 0.80664 breakdown shelf is the first overhead reference. Momentum is one-directional but stretched after a ~160-pip flush from the highs.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80787, 0.81198
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.80787 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms continuation to the 0.8000 psych area
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce into the broken 0.8120 shelf
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC and CPI Mon could reshape the CHF read
Reversal from 13-mo highs, lower highs and lower lows.
USDCHF has violently reversed from 13-month highs near 0.8205 after soft US data — the core PCE and GDP misses knocked the dollar and triggered a cascade through 0.8100 during the NY session. Price sliced from 0.8130 to a 0.8039 session low in a handful of bars, with RSI(14) deep in oversold and price well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 0.8205 area capped three attempts this week before the breakdown, and the bounce off 0.8039 into 0.8079 has so far stalled.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80787, 0.81145, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.80787 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Loss of 0.80390 session low opens the path to the 0.8000 psych level
Swiss CPI Mon 06:30 UTC is the next key catalyst for this pair
Impulsive break of week's range, fresh lower lows.
USDCHF has broken hard out of this week's 0.8150-0.8205 range, shedding roughly 160 pips into the NY session as the dollar stayed soft post-FOMC on the miss in PCE and Q2 GDP. Price is trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 21, printing successive lower lows down to 0.8039. The prior support shelf around 0.8115-0.8130 has flipped to overhead resistance after the range break.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.81145, 0.81285
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 0.80660 keeps the lower-low sequence intact
H1 close back above 0.81145 would neutralise the range break read
Loss of 0.80390 session low opens the 0.8000 psych area
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and US ECI/UoM could shift this read
High-impact Swiss CPI Mon Aug-3 is the next major catalyst
USDCHF spent most of the week churning in a 0.8130-0.8205 band before losing the floor hard through the NY session today, sliding to a fresh week low at 0.8039 as post-FOMC USD softness and the soft PCE/GDP prints did the damage. Price is now hugging the lows near 0.8047 with RSI(14) deep in oversold territory and well below EMA20/EMA50. The 0.8077 bounce high is the first ceiling after the drop; 0.8115, the prior range low, sits as broken structure overhead.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.8115, 0.8168
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8115 would repair the broken range base
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the path toward the 0.8000 round level
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) and US ECI/UoM could reshape this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 24 · price 0.8055
Breakdown from 13-month highs, lower highs and lower lows.
USDCHF spent most of the week pinned near 13-month highs around 0.8200, then reversed hard through the NY session as the dollar unwound post-FOMC on soft US Q2 GDP. The break below 0.8128 accelerated into a cascade to 0.8039, leaving price well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) oversold near 23. The bounce off the low has stalled under 0.8080.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080, 0.8128, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8128 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the path toward the 0.8000 psych level
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC and US ECI/UoM Fri could reshape this move
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 is the next major CHF catalyst
USDCHF held a tight 0.8180-0.8200 range for most of the week before a sharp NY-session breakdown sliced through 0.8115 and drove the pair to a 0.8039 session low, unwinding the SNB-divergence bid as the dollar came off its post-FOMC high. Price now sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory. The 0.8079 bounce high caps the first recovery attempt while the 0.8000 round number sits below as the next reference.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8079, 0.8115
What it said to watch
Hourly reclaim above 0.8115 would invalidate the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.8039 opens the path toward the 0.8000 round number
Fri UoM inflation expectations / ECI could shift the dollar read
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding in a 0.8130–0.8205 range before an aggressive breakdown into the NY session, dumping to a fresh week low at 0.8039 as soft US GDP and PCE undercut the dollar post-FOMC. Price is trading well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 24. The bounce off 0.8039 has stalled around 0.8076, keeping 0.8114 broken support as the first overhead barrier.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.8153
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.81145 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Swiss CPI (Mon Aug 3) and Fri ECI/UoM could materially shift this read
USDCHF held a tight 0.8180-0.8205 range through midweek before the soft US GDP print (1.5% vs 2.1%) and cooler core PCE dragged the dollar lower into the NY session, snapping the range floor and driving a sharp leg to 0.8039. The last bar shows a shallow bounce to 0.8076 with RSI(14) stretched into oversold territory, price now well below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80664
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.81285, 0.81574
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8130 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US ECI and UoM inflation expectations Fri could re-anchor the dollar
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 a key event for franc direction
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 0.80609
Impulsive breakdown to session lows.
USDCHF collapsed through the NY session, shedding roughly 140 pips from the 0.8200 shelf that had capped the week to print fresh lows at 0.80604 — a sharp unwind of the franc-weakness theme as the dollar softened into the post-FOMC dovish read and a Q2 GDP miss. Price is trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) buried in oversold territory. Prior support at 0.81285 now sits as the first overhead reference after the breakdown.
Support: 0.80604, 0.8050, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.81285, 0.81748, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.81285 would ease the breakdown read
RSI oversold with no bullish divergence yet — extension toward 0.80500 stays open below 0.80604
Fri ECI / UoM inflation expectations could revive USD and shift this read
USDCHF broke hard out of its multi-day 0.8130–0.8207 range in the NY session, shedding roughly 140 pips to 13-month-area lows near 0.8060 as the dollar softened post-FOMC on a Q2 GDP miss and falling real yields. Price is now well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold, confirming a lower-low after the broken 0.81145 shelf flipped to resistance. Momentum remains one-directional with no basing yet visible.
Support: 0.80604, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.81285, 0.81748
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81145 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80600 opens the path toward 0.80500
Fri UoM inflation expectations / ECI could reprice USD and shift this read
USDCHF rolled over from Wednesday's 13-month high near 0.8207, with the sharp leg lower running through the NY session as the dollar unwound part of its hawkish-Fed premium after Warsh's presser. Price broke the 0.8180-0.8207 consolidation and now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, printing fresh lows near 0.8114 before stabilising around 0.8127. Retracement attempts have so far stalled beneath the broken 0.8140 shelf.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8160, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8140 would neutralise the breakdown read
Break below 0.81145 confirms continuation to a lower low
Swiss CPI (Mon Aug 3) is the next major franc catalyst
USDCHF has rolled over from repeated rejections at the 0.8205-0.8207 zone, breaking below 0.8160 in the latest NY session and printing a fresh low at 0.81145. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s, keeping the sequence of lower highs and lower lows intact. The post-FOMC dollar wobble and today's Core PCE/GDP release sit behind the leg down.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81627, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.81627 needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81145 opens the path toward the 0.8100 psych level
US Core PCE / GDP release could materially shift this read
USD/CHF rolled over from the 0.82068 week high, broke the 0.8150 shelf and printed successive lower highs into the NY session as the post-Fed dollar leg faded. Price now sits on the 0.8120 week low with RSI(14) pressed toward oversold. The US GDP and core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT is the immediate structural risk.
Support: 0.8120, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81726, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8120 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.8100 round number
US GDP + core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 0.81726 lower high would negate the downside pressure
USD/CHF sold off through the week's 0.8180-0.8205 range, breaking down into the NY session with RSI(14) near 42 and price extended below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The session low at 0.81198 is the immediate floor; a sustained break exposes the 0.81000 psych level. Prior support at 0.81500 now caps as resistance ahead of the US GDP/Core PCE cluster.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.81726, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~30min) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.81198 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81500 needed to neutralise the breakdown
11:02 UTC
Uptrend reversed, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 0.81271
Double top near 0.8207, breakdown to week lows.
USDCHF stalled twice at 0.8207 mid-week and has since rolled over, the Fed-driven USD pullback dragging price back through 0.8150 and into the 0.812 week lows during the NY session. RSI(14) has cycled toward the mid-30s and price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the 0.81748 swing high capping the last bounce. Fresh lows at 0.81198 mark the base of the current leg.
Support: 0.81198, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.8151, 0.81748, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break of 0.81198 week low confirms a lower low
H1 close back above 0.81510 pivot neutralises the breakdown
USDCHF rejected the 0.8200 pivot and week high at 0.82068 yesterday and has since carved a run of lower highs, breaking down through the NY session to a fresh session low at 0.81198. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed near 33, after the eight-session franc slide toward the 13-month low stalled at the round 0.8200 area. The move is franc-differential driven; strong KOF and ZEW prints were shrugged off.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81627, 0.81748, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~90 min) could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.81627 would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.81198 confirms extension toward the 0.8100 round number
10:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.81406
Double top near 0.8205, lower highs since.
USD/CHF pushed to 13-month highs near 0.8205 on Fed-SNB divergence, then two sharp NY-session drops rejected the level and knocked price back to 0.8140, now below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s as lower highs stack up from the 0.8205 top. US GDP/core-PCE at 12:30 GMT is the near-term pivot for the dollar leg.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8160, 0.8172, 0.8205
What it said to watch
US GDP/core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.8172 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.8132 confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8100 area
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over from highs · RSI 42 · price 0.81406
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.8207 rejection.
USDCHF was rejected twice near 0.8207 into the NY session before a sharp breakdown through 0.8180 dragged price to a 0.81318 low. A bounce to 0.81726 has since faded and price is back near the lows, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s. The franc remains soft on the Fed-SNB rate gap, but the intraday tape has flipped to lower highs and lower lows off the week's peak.
Support: 0.81318, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.81726, 0.8165, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP and core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.81318 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81726 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
USDCHF was rejected repeatedly at the 0.8200/0.8206 area this week before a sharp sell-off through 0.8150 into 0.8132, tracking the softer-dollar tape after the divided FOMC hold. Price has since recovered to 0.8162, reclaiming EMA(20) but still capped below EMA(50), with RSI(14) back to mid-range. Higher lows have built off the 0.8132 base, though the week's 0.8200 supply remains untested since the break.
Support: 0.8149, 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.8175, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term dollar catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.81750 reopens the path toward the 0.8200 area
Failure to hold 0.81490 exposes the 0.8132 week low again
Sharp drop from 0.8200 highs, higher lows forming off 0.8132.
USDCHF was rejected repeatedly at the 0.8200/0.82068 zone this week — the 13-month high tied to the SNB-Fed divergence trade — before a sharp sell-off through yesterday's NY session dumped price to 0.8132. Buyers have since reclaimed EMA(20) and higher lows are stacking off 0.8132, with RSI(14) recovering back toward 50. Price sits below EMA(50) with the 0.8175 session high the first cap.
Support: 0.8155, 0.81325, 0.81507
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.82068, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term USD catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 0.81748 opens the path back toward the 0.8200 rejection zone
Failure to hold 0.8155 exposes a retest of the 0.81325 week low
USDCHF ran into the 0.8200 area and the 0.82068 13-month high repeatedly through the week before a sharp NY-session drop yesterday flushed the pair to 0.8134, breaking the range. Price has since clawed back to 0.817, retracing roughly half the decline and reclaiming the EMA20 while sitting under the EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold back to neutral as the recovery leg builds.
Support: 0.8134, 0.8151
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is a HIGH-impact test that could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.8200 psych reopens the 13-mo high
Failure to hold 0.8134 week low confirms a lower-low
Price ground higher through the week to a 0.82070 peak by Wednesday, but the post-FOMC dollar slide — a 9-3 hawkish hold the market faded — triggered a sharp 70-pip drop through 0.81550 to 0.81317 in the NY session. Price is now consolidating below the EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, and a series of higher lows has formed since the flush. The 0.82000/0.82070 supply that capped the week remains the reference overhead.
Support: 0.8142, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8200, 0.8207
What it said to watch
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the key risk that validates or fades the post-FOMC slide
H1 close back above the 0.81650 ema20 would signal the breakdown is being repaired
Failure to hold 0.81317 week low confirms continuation lower
The week's relentless USDCHF grind into 0.8205, a 13-month high, reversed hard after the post-FOMC dollar slide, price shedding ~75 pips to 0.8132 before stabilising near 0.8155. Price now consolidates below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows but capped under 50. The 0.8160 area has held two recovery attempts since the drop.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8162, 0.8175, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the next test and could shift this read materially
H1 close back above 0.8175 (EMA20) would neutralise the pullback
USDCHF rejected the 13-month high near 0.8204 and shed ~70 pips through the NY session as USD softened post-FOMC, ending the eight-day climb. Price has since based between 0.8132 and 0.8156, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. The prior-support shelf around 0.8180 now caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8180, 0.8204
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
USDCHF ran to a fresh week high near 0.8207 on relentless CHF underperformance, then reversed hard into the NY session as the USD softened post-FOMC, dumping to 0.8132. Price has since based and clawed back to 0.8156, but sits below both EMAs after the impulse lower. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold as the recovery holds above the 0.8132 swing low.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Today's 12:30 GMT PCE/GDP cluster (~7h) is the first post-FOMC data test and can materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.8132 confirms a deeper lower-low
H1 close back above 0.8180 reopens the path toward the 0.8207 week high
Reversal off 13-mo high, recovering off swing low.
USDCHF printed a fresh 13-month high near 0.82068 on entrenched CHF funding-currency weakness, then reversed hard through the week's range in a single leg into the 0.81325 swing low. Price has since clawed back toward the EMA20 around 0.8168, stalling near the 38% retracement at 0.8161 with RSI recovering off oversold. The prior wk low at 0.8139 was reclaimed on the bounce.
Support: 0.81325, 0.8139
Resistance: 0.8161, 0.8168, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the near-term catalyst for this pair
H1 close above 0.8168 EMA20 would reopen the 0.8206 wk high
Failure to hold 0.81325 swing low confirms a deeper lower-low
USDCHF stalled at the 13-month week high near 0.8205 and sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking the week's range to a 0.8132 low before buyers stepped back in. Price now consolidates near 0.8156, still below EMA20 and EMA50 after the drop, with higher lows forming off 0.8132. The move reflects CHF pressure into month-end alongside a stretched USD ahead of today's PCE/GDP cluster.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8205
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.8180 prior range reopens the path to the 0.8205 week high
Failure to hold 0.8148 session low exposes the 0.8132 week low
Reversal off 13-mo high, holding above 0.8132 low.
USDCHF pressed to a 13-month high near 0.8207 midweek before a sharp NY-session reversal dumped it to 0.8132, consistent with crowded USD longs unwinding into month-end. Price has since recovered to 0.8155 but sits below EMA20 and EMA50 after the drop, with RSI(14) climbing off oversold. The prior 0.8180–0.8207 range broke down and 0.8190 now caps the recovery.
Support: 0.81325, 0.81488
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.8190 would repair the broken range
The eight-session climb into the 0.8205 1yr high stalled, with two rejections there before a sharp NY-session selloff dumped price into the 0.8130s and snapped the streak. Price now bases around 0.8150, holding below EMA20/50 after the impulse down. US Core PCE and advance Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT are the immediate catalysts.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8185, 0.8205, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.8200 needed to restore the prior uptrend
Failure to hold 0.8132 confirms a lower-low extension
USD/CHF's eight-day advance snapped hard, reversing from the 0.8205 streak high to a 0.8132 low before stabilising near 0.8150. Price now trades below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) for the first time this week, with RSI(14) recovering off its lows after the flush. The 0.8160 (0.382 fib) area is capping the bounce; Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate risk to this read.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8160, 0.8175, 0.8205
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8175 would neutralise the reversal read
Loss of 0.8132 confirms continuation lower
Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF spent most of the week grinding up toward the 0.8200 pivot and a week high at 0.82068, but a sharp NY-session selloff snapped that range and drove price to a 0.81317 session low. Price now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 31, and the former range floor around 0.818 plus the 0.8150 breakdown zone are the levels capping recovery. The move fits the broader dollar unwind risk ahead of the US PCE/GDP batch.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8180, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Core PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.8150 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.813 confirms continuation of the lower lows
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 29 · price 0.81334
Range break, lower low printed.
Price spent the week pinned in a 0.8180–0.8207 band before a sharp NY-session flush broke it, dumping ~70 pips into a lower low at 0.8132 and dragging RSI(14) into oversold. The move sits well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with USD longs unwinding into month-end and the PCE/GDP batch ahead. The 0.8153 breakdown level now caps any bounce; 0.8200 is the prior range base.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.8153, 0.8190, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the key catalyst for this pair
H1 close back above 0.8153 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.8132 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.8120
The 0.8200-0.8207 zone capped repeated attempts through the week, building a double top before Wednesday's session saw a sharp breakdown as the Fed's hold stripped out the USD hike premium and stretched dollar longs unwound. Price sliced through the 0.8140 support and is now pressed against the week low near 0.8132, sitting below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) leaning oversold. Lower highs since the break keep supply capping into 0.81557.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8125
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.81557, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.81557 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.81317 week low opens the path toward the 0.8125 psych level
USDCHF capped at the 0.8200 pivot for most of the week before breaking down sharply into the NY session, shedding roughly 70 pips to 0.8133 as stretched USD longs unwound after the Fed held rates as expected. Price now sits below both EMAs at session lows with RSI(14) pressed near oversold. The 0.8180 prior support has flipped to resistance on the retest.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8180 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8130 opens the path toward 0.8100
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF held near the 0.8200 psych pivot, its 13-month high, for most of the week before a sharp NY-session break lower unwound after the Fed's expected hold removed the hike premium. Price sliced through the 0.8150 prior range and is pressing session lows around 0.8132 with RSI(14) oversold. Former support at 0.8150 now aligns as the first area to watch for rejection or reclaim.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8130, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8150 breakdown would ease the reversal read
Failure to hold 0.8130 round number exposes the 0.8100 psych
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USDCHF held a tight 0.8180–0.8207 band near 13-month highs for most of the week before the FOMC hold triggered a fast long-unwind, breaking the range floor at 0.8180 and slicing to a session low of 0.8132. Price is now stacked below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed toward oversold, having lost the 0.8200 pivot that capped the week. The prior range floor at 0.8180 now sits overhead as the first area to watch.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8180 range floor would negate the breakdown read
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read