USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 58 · price 0.80568
Sharp breakdown, now consolidating near range top.
USDCHF sold off hard into 0.8039 during NY hours as the dollar stayed offered post-Fed and soft US data. A base has since formed and price is grinding up, now pressing the 0.8060 range top with RSI near 58; bounce capped at 0.8081.
Support: 0.80396, 0.8045
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8060 range top opens the 0.8081 bounce high
Loss of 0.8040 range floor reopens the 0.8039 session low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 53 · price 0.80568
Sharp NY selloff, sideways base building.
USDCHF was sold hard through NY hours, dropping from ~0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low as the softer US data batch pressured the dollar broadly. Since then price has based in a tight 0.8045-0.8058 range into thin late-session trade, holding just under the 0.80600 range top.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80709, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80600 range top exposes 0.80709 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low confirms lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could break the base
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.80573
Base building above session low.
USDCHF was slammed from 0.8175 to 0.8039 during NY hours as the dollar stayed soft post-Fed on the Q2 GDP miss and cooling PCE. Price has since carved a base and is grinding back toward 0.8060 into the Asia session, with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.80600 opens the path back to the 0.80776 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.80440 exposes the 0.80390 session low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after impulsive drop · RSI 49 · price 0.80557
Consolidation near session lows.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from 0.8174 to 0.8039 as the dollar stayed offered post soft US GDP and cooling PCE. Since then price has based between 0.8039 and 0.8056, currently pressing the range top with RSI(14) recovered to neutral.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80446
Resistance: 0.80561, 0.80776, 0.81172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8056 range high opens 0.8077
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low confirms a lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 50 · price 0.80512
Sharp NY break-down, now ranging above the low.
NY session drove a sharp ~135-pip breakdown from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the dollar leaked lower after the FOMC hold and soft PCE. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.8046–0.8055 range through the Asia session, RSI(14) back to neutral and hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.80456, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80546, 0.80807, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.80807 bounce high needed to unwind the NY breakdown
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could break the Asian range
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 46 · price 0.80512
Consolidation after sharp selloff.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from ~0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low as a softer post-FOMC dollar dominated. Price has since based in a tight 0.8044–0.8055 range through the Asia session, RSI neutral near 46 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 0.80445, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8073
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80550 range top would end the base and open the 0.80730 bounce high
Break below 0.80390 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could disturb this quiet range
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 49 · price 0.80513
Sharp selloff then tight range.
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the dollar leaked lower post-FOMC. Price has since based between 0.8040 and 0.8055 into the late session with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-range; range top at 0.8055 still capping.
Support: 0.80425, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80550 breaks the range top and reopens 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC and US ECI/Michigan later Fri could shift this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.8054
Sharp drop then base at lows.
USDCHF slid roughly 130 pips into 0.8039 during NY hours as the dollar unwound post-FOMC, breaking the prior 0.8115 range. Price has since based between 0.8040 and 0.8055; current bar sits at the range top with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8077, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8055 range top opens 0.8077 swing high
Loss of 0.8039 session low extends the downleg
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
22:31 UTC
Down-leg stalling, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.8054
Sharp NY drop into tight consolidation.
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours, from 0.8175 down to a 0.8039 low as the dollar softened post-FOMC and soft PCE. Price has since gone flat, coiling in a 0.8040–0.8055 band into the late US session with ATR compressing.
Support: 0.8040, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8077 negates the down-leg and reopens the 0.8100s
Loss of 0.8040 range base extends the sell-off toward 0.8000
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could break the range
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.80528
Range at base of a sharp sell-off.
USDCHF sold off hard through the London-NY session, dropping ~140 pips into a 0.80390 low as the dollar leaked post-FOMC. Since the bounce to 0.80807, price has coiled into a tight 0.80390–0.80550 range; the current bar sits at the range top with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8068, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Close above 0.80550 range top opens 0.80680 then the 0.80807 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 0.80521
Consolidation above session low following sharp NY drop.
USDCHF sold off hard from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low on soft US GDP/PCE prints, then based into a tight 0.8044-0.8055 range through the late NY session. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold to neutral near 47; price is hugging EMA20 but stays well below EMA50.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8066, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.80440 range base re-exposes the 0.80390 session low
Reclaim of the 0.80550 range top opens the 0.80660 swing high
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, now stalled in range · RSI 47 · price 0.80521
Sharp NY selloff, base building.
USDCHF broke down hard during the NY session to 0.8039 as the dollar softened on the GDP and PCE misses, then bounced to 0.80807 and has since flatlined in a 0.8044-0.8055 range. Volatility has drained into the Asia transition with ATR near 6 pips; price is pinned just above the range floor.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8066, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80550 breaks the range top and reopens 0.80660
Loss of 0.80390 session low resumes the downleg
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF broke down through 0.8120 into the NY session and cascaded to 0.8039 as soft US data (Q2 GDP and core PCE MoM misses) pressured the dollar. Price has since gone quiet, consolidating in a tight 0.8040-0.8054 band into the Asia open, RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8020
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8068, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8054 range top would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 0.8039 session low opens 0.8020 swing low
Swiss Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could inject volatility into a thin Asia range
Consolidating just above session low after sharp selloff.
USD/CHF sold off hard through the NY session from ~0.8175 to a 0.8039 low as soft US data (GDP and core PCE MoM misses) pressured the dollar. Since then price has flattened into a tight 0.8044–0.8054 range, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the low-40s, ATR compressed to ~5 pips in thin late-session flow.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80540 breaks the range top and eases the selloff
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.80491
Sharp leg down into a tight low-band range.
USDCHF sold off hard from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the dollar softened on the hawkish-hold and soft US PCE/GDP prints. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8040–0.8055 band through thin Asia hours, ATR compressed near 6 pips and RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.8040, 0.80425
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80540 range top would end the consolidation to the upside
Loss of 0.80400 session low exposes fresh lows
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.80474
Sharp sell-off into a low base, lower highs intact.
USDCHF sold off hard through 0.8100 into 0.8040 during NY hours as soft US data (GDP and PCE misses) pressured the dollar, contradicting the earlier push toward 0.8200. Price is now basing between 0.80440 and 0.80540, RSI(14) recovering off oversold as the move digests.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8071, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80540 range top eases the downside pressure
Loss of 0.80390 session low confirms continuation lower
Swiss Real Retail Sales tomorrow 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CHF sold off hard through NY hours from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar faded post-Fed on soft US GDP/PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8040-0.8055 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold with ATR compressing.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.80776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8055 range top opens the 0.8078 bounce high
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the dollar softened post-Fed on the GDP and core PCE misses. Since then price has gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.8040-0.8055 range into the Asia handover with RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8054, 0.8066
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8039 swing low extends the selloff
M15 close above 0.8055 range top signals consolidation break higher
Swiss Real Retail Sales (Fri 06:30 UTC) could jolt this range
USDCHF broke down hard through the NY session, sliding from 0.8175 to 0.8039 as the dollar softened post-FOMC on the GDP and core PCE misses. Price is now consolidating tight between 0.8040 and 0.8055, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near the lows with no fresh push in either direction.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8046
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8071, 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8055 range top opens a retest of the 0.8071 fib 23.6 level
Break below 0.8039 session low confirms a lower low and trend continuation
Consolidation this tight tends to resolve with expansion once Asia liquidity returns
USDCHF collapsed ~130 pips through the NY session as the dollar softened post-FOMC (GDP miss, cool core PCE), breaking below 0.8100 and printing 0.8039. Price has since gone flat, consolidating 0.8040–0.8055 into the Asia handover with RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8077, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8077 post-drop high would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low opens 0.8000 psych level
Fri 06:30 UTC Swiss Real Retail Sales could stir the pair
USDCHF cratered from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low through NY hours as soft US GDP/core-PCE and a faded post-FOMC dollar weighed. Price is now grinding sideways in a 0.8040-0.8057 range into late NY, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 44.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8016
Resistance: 0.8057, 0.8080, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8057 opens the path back toward 0.8080
Break below 0.8039 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) Fri could reset this read
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours from 0.8175 to a session low of 0.8039 as USD faded post-FOMC on soft GDP/core-PCE. Price is now basing in a tight 0.8040–0.8055 range late NY, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-40s.
Support: 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80567, 0.80712
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
M15 close above 0.80567 breaks the range top
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could inject volatility into the next session
USD/CHF sold off hard through the NY session as the dollar faded post-FOMC on soft GDP/core-PCE, breaking below 0.8100 to a session low at 0.8039. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8040-0.8055 band, RSI(14) recovering off intraday oversold.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80201
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.80664, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.8055 swing high opens the path back to 0.8066
US ECI 12:30 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC Fri could shift this read
Sharp NY sell-off, now consolidating above session low.
USD/CHF collapsed through the NY session from 0.8117 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar faded on the Q2 GDP and core PCE misses. Price has since gone flat, consolidating 0.8040-0.8049 into the Asia handover with RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80402
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80600 eases the immediate downside pressure toward 0.80776
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could reintroduce volatility
USDCHF broke down sharply through the NY session, dropping from ~0.8170 to 0.8039 after soft US GDP and core PCE trimmed hike odds and pressed the dollar. Price has since stabilised, chopping between 0.8044 and 0.8055 into late NY with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to ~41.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8055, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8055 range top eases the bearish read
USDCHF sold off ~130 pips through NY hours into a 0.8039 low as the USD faded on soft Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.8040-0.8060 base, price holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 42.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8060
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.80600 range high would ease the downside pressure
Break below 0.80390 session low confirms continuation of the leg lower
Swiss Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.80476
Sharp NY selloff, now consolidating.
USDCHF dropped ~130 pips through the NY session as soft US Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE trimmed hike odds, breaking down from the 0.8170s. Price is now basing in a tight 0.8040-0.8057 range, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-40s with momentum flat.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8057, 0.8072, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80570 range top opens path back to 0.80720
Loss of 0.80390 session low extends the downdraft
US ECI Fri 12:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80465
Range break lower, basing above session low.
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours, dropping ~130 pips off 0.8175 to a session low of 0.8039 as soft US GDP and cooler core PCE pressured the dollar. Price has since consolidated 0.8040-0.8077 and is drifting back toward the low, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8032
Resistance: 0.8057, 0.8077
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.8077 bounce high negates the fade
ECI Fri 12:30 UTC could reprice the dollar
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 41 · price 0.80465
Sharp NY drop, now consolidating near lows.
USDCHF broke down through the NY session after soft US GDP and core PCE, sliding from 0.8117 to a 0.8039 session low. Price is now basing in a tight 0.8040-0.8060 range, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 41.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8020
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80776, 0.80839
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80600 range top would ease the downside pressure
Break below 0.80390 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80486
Sharp leg down, now ranging above session low.
USDCHF gapped lower at the NY open on the Q2 GDP miss and soft core PCE, sliding from ~0.8120 to 0.8039 as the dollar came off. Late NY has been a tight consolidation between 0.8040 and 0.8060, ATR(14) ~7 pips, with lower highs still capping.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.80601, 0.80787
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8060 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above session low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower through NY hours, dropping from ~0.8172 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar was sold on the soft Q2 GDP and core PCE prints. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8040–0.8055 band, with buyers defending 0.8040 into the close and RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80390 opens a path toward the 0.8000 round number
A close back above 0.80600 would negate the consolidation and reclaim the broken swing high
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
Impulsive break lower, consolidating near session low.
NY session sliced USDCHF from 0.8170 down to a session low of 0.8039 as the dollar came under pressure after soft US Q2 GDP and core PCE prints. Price is now consolidating 0.8040-0.8057 just above the low, RSI(14) recovering off the selloff but still below 50.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8045
Resistance: 0.8057, 0.8072, 0.8084
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80570 opens the path back to 0.80720
Break of 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 35 · price 0.80408
Lower highs into session lows, tight compression.
NY session broke USDCHF sharply lower off ~0.8170 into a 0.80390 session low around 13:30 UTC as the dollar faded post-FOMC on soft US GDP/core PCE. Price is now compressing just above that low with RSI(14) holding in the mid-30s; the consolidation high sits at 0.80600.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8020
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.8080
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80600 consol high needed to break the descending structure
Loss of 0.80390 session low opens fresh lows
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could revive USD bid and shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 38 · price 0.80408
Chain of lower highs and lower lows after break.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking 0.81163 and cratering to 0.80390 as the dollar faded post-FOMC on the soft GDP and core PCE misses. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.80390-0.80547 band just above the session low with RSI(14) subdued near 38.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8030
Resistance: 0.80547, 0.80726, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80547 recent swing would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.80390 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.80300 round number
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lows, consolidating near session lows.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, sliding from 0.8175 to sub-0.8040 as the dollar stayed soft post-FOMC on the Q2 GDP miss. Price is now grinding sideways near 0.8045 above the 0.8039 session low, RSI(14) suppressed around 39 but off its extreme.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8057, 0.8073
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80570 swing high would ease downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss Real Retail Sales at 06:30 UTC could nudge this read
Sharp NY selloff, now consolidating above session low.
NY session drove a sharp selloff from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low after soft US GDP and PCE knocked the dollar post-FOMC. Price is now chopping in a tight 0.8040-0.8057 band above the low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 39.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80402
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80600 breaks the consolidation to the upside
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 40 · price 0.80419
Sharp breakdown, lower lows into session low.
USDCHF broke down through 0.8100 on the NY data batch (soft core PCE, GDP miss at 1.5%) that knocked the dollar, sliding from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low. Price bounced to 0.8080 but has since drifted back, now consolidating just above the session low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.80568, 0.8071, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80390 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.80568 would ease the breakdown read
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours from ~0.8170 to a 0.8039 session low after soft US GDP and core PCE misses knocked the dollar. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8040-0.8060 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 39.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8060 breaks the consolidation and reclaims lost ground
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating just above session low.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session after soft US core PCE (0.1% MoM) and a GDP miss knocked the dollar, breaking the 0.8116 shelf and printing a 0.80390 session low. Price is now grinding sideways between 0.80390 and 0.80600 under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) around 38 with no bounce yet developing.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80807, 0.8116
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.80600 lower high would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low opens fresh lows toward 0.80000 psych
Swiss Real Retail Sales 06:30 UTC Fri could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 40 · price 0.80433
Lower highs, lower lows; basing after selloff.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from 0.82000 to a session low of 0.80390 as the dollar softened on the benign core PCE and Q2 GDP miss. Price is now consolidating between 0.80440 and 0.80560 just above the low, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 40.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8044
Resistance: 0.8056
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80390 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 0.80560 range top eases downside pressure
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift the read
USDCHF cratered through the NY session, dropping from ~0.8117 to 0.8039 on post-FOMC USD softness after the soft PCE/GDP misses. Price is now consolidating 0.8044–0.8060 just above the session low, RSI(14) recovering from oversold to the low-40s.
Support: 0.8044, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8060, 0.80726, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8060 range top would ease the downside pressure
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift the read
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
NY session drove a sharp break lower, USD/CHF sliding from ~0.8170 to a session low of 0.8039 as post-FOMC USD softness took hold. Price is now stabilising in a tight 0.8045–0.8057 band under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.80449, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80573, 0.80709, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80709 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower low
Fri ECI / UoM inflation data could reprice USD and shift this read
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 42 · price 0.80561
Sharp NY-session sell-off drove USDCHF from 0.8120 down to a session low of 0.8039 as post-FOMC USD softness and the soft PCE/GDP prints weighed on the dollar. Price is now consolidating in the mid-0.8050s with RSI recovering off oversold; sellers capped the bounce at 0.80807.
Support: 0.80451, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8071, 0.80807
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.80807 needed to challenge the down-move
Swiss Real Retail Sales tomorrow 06:30 UTC could shift this read
Sharp NY leg down, now consolidating above 0.8039 low.
USD/CHF sold off hard through 0.8080 into 0.8039 during NY hours as post-FOMC USD softness dragged the pair off its 0.8200 highs. Price is now consolidating 0.8045–0.8080 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; lower highs still cap the bounce.
Support: 0.8045, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8080
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8080 session high negates the downside continuation
Loss of 0.8039 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.8056
Sharp breakdown then base above session low.
NY session drove a sharp breakdown through 0.8117 down to a 0.8039 session low on post-FOMC USD softness and soft PCE/GDP prints. Price is now basing between 0.8045 and the 0.8077 recovery high, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 40; the 0.80839 break level caps the bounce.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8045
Resistance: 0.8077, 0.80839
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8077 needed to challenge the 0.80839 break level
Swiss Retail Sales Fri and CPI Mon are near-term risks to this read
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 39 · price 0.80463
Sharp break lower, consolidating near session low.
NY-session USD selloff dragged USDCHF from 0.8170 to a 0.8039 session low, driven by post-FOMC dollar softness and soft PCE/GDP. Price is now basing between 0.8039 and 0.8080 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the bounce high at 0.80807 caps for now.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80449
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.80941
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.8000 area
Reclaim of 0.80807 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift the read
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours, dropping from 0.8172 to a 0.8039 session low as soft US PCE/GDP and the post-FOMC USD dip did the damage. Price is grinding along the lows near 0.8046 under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) depressed but not yet washed out.
Support: 0.80449, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80573, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80807 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms continuation lower
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC and Swiss CPI Mon could shift this read
Chain of lower lows, consolidating near session low.
Sharp NY-session selloff dragged USDCHF from 0.8175 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar softened post-FOMC and after the soft PCE/GDP misses. Price is now consolidating 0.8045-0.8080 under a descending series of highs, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 38.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80449
Resistance: 0.80776, 0.80807, 0.8100
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.80807 session high would break the descending highs
Failure to hold 0.8039 session low confirms continuation lower
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 38 · price 0.80465
Lower highs, lower lows into session lows.
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours, dropping from 0.8170 to a 0.8039 session low as the post-FOMC dollar unwind and soft US Q2 GDP weighed. Price is grinding along the lows near 0.8046 with RSI(14) around 37; the 0.80807 bounce high has capped every attempt higher.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8045
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80807 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.8039 confirms a fresh lower-low
Fri UoM inflation expectations / ECI could shift the USD read
Lower highs and lower lows, grinding along session lows.
NY session drove USD/CHF sharply lower, breaking down through 0.8120 and extending to a 0.8039 session low as soft US data pressured the dollar. Price is grinding along the lows near 0.8046 with RSI(14) in the low 30s; no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8066, 0.80776
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80660 swing high would ease downside pressure
Break of 0.80390 session low opens the path toward 0.8000
US ECI / Michigan data Fri 12:30-14:00 UTC could re-shift the dollar leg
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours, breaking down from 0.8175 to a session low at 0.80390 as the dollar unwound post-Fed. Price now consolidating 0.8050–0.8080 after the drop, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 38 with the pullback high at 0.80710 capping.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8071, 0.80807
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.80390 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.8000 psych level
M15 close back above the 0.80807 session high eases the downside pressure
US ECI and UoM inflation expectations Fri could shift the USD read
NY session saw a sharp USD selloff, price slicing through 0.81172 down to a 0.80390 low as soft US data unwound post-FOMC dollar longs. Since then USDCHF has stalled into a tight 0.80535-0.80776 consolidation with RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 35.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80535
Resistance: 0.80776, 0.81172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.80776 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low opens fresh downside
Fri ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM inflation expectations could reset the USD read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking 0.8120 and printing a low at 0.8039 as the dollar unwound post-FOMC. Price now consolidates 0.8050-0.8080 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the bounce has been capped at the 0.8080 bounce high.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80498
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.81163
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8080 bounce high eases the downside pressure
Break of 0.8039 session low confirms continuation lower
Month-end flows could distort this read into the close
Impulsive break lower, now consolidating above session low.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session, breaking 0.8120 and sweeping down to 0.8039 as soft US data and a confused Fed message weighed on the dollar. Price is now consolidating 0.8050-0.8080; RSI(14) recovering from oversold, bounce attempts capped near 0.8080.
Support: 0.80498, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80807 bounce high would ease downside pressure
Break of 0.80390 session low confirms continuation lower
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift the read
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session as the dollar softened post-FOMC and on the Q2 GDP miss, breaking 0.8117 and printing a session low at 0.8039. Price has since stabilised near 0.80585 with a modest bounce capped at 0.80807; RSI(14) recovering off oversold but structure remains lower-high, lower-low.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim above bounce high 0.80807 would challenge the downtrend read
Break below session low 0.8039 opens the 0.8000 psych level
Swiss CPI Aug 3 is the next major catalyst for the pair
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, holding near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80666
USDCHF sold off hard through 0.81160 into the NY session, USD offered after the Q2 GDP miss and soft core PCE, printing a session low at 0.80390. Price has since consolidated in a 0.80650-0.80810 band with RSI(14) recovering off the trough near 41.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.81163, 0.8100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80810 bounce high would ease the bearish drift
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low opens further downside
Fri UoM inflation expectations could shift the USD read
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 34 · price 0.80666
Sharp NY selloff, now consolidating off the low.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session from 0.8125 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar softened post-FOMC and the Q2 GDP miss. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8065-0.8080 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 34.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.8081, 0.8116
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8081 swing high would break the consolidation and open 0.8116
Loss of the 0.8039 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
UoM inflation expectations Fri could reignite USD; Swiss CPI Aug 3 is next major CHF catalyst
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 0.80692
USDCHF sold off hard through NY hours, breaking 0.8116 to a 0.8039 session low as the dollar softened post-Fed and on the Q2 GDP miss. Price is now clawing back toward 0.8080; RSI(14) recovering off oversold with the broader intraday structure still lower-lows.
Support: 0.8039, 0.80498
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8100, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.80390 extends the decline
Reclaim of 0.81000 negates the breakdown read
Swiss CPI Aug 3 is the next major CHF catalyst
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 39 · price 0.80769
Chain of lower lows, corrective bounce underway.
NY session drove a sharp USDCHF selloff from 0.8172 into a 0.8039 low as the dollar stayed soft after yesterday's GDP miss and cool core PCE. Price has since retraced to 0.8077, testing the 0.80807 session high; broken 0.81163 support now caps as resistance overhead.
Support: 0.80498, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.80941, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80941 bounce high would ease the lower-low sequence
Loss of 0.80390 session low extends the downside
ECI + Michigan inflation expectations (Fri) could re-anchor USD and shift this read
Break of intraday range, testing recovery off session low.
USDCHF collapsed through the intraday range in the NY session, dropping from 0.8117 to a 0.8039 low on heavy volume as the dollar flipped negative post-FOMC and after the GDP miss. Price has since recovered to 0.8077 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 41; the 0.8084 prior swing is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8084, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80840 prior swing would ease the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.80390 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.8000
US ECI / UoM data Fri could extend or reverse the USD-driven leg
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 37 · price 0.80769
Lower lows into 0.8039, corrective bounce.
USDCHF collapsed through the 0.8120 range into the NY session, sweeping down to 0.8039 as the dollar sagged on soft US GDP and core PCE prints. A shallow bounce back to 0.8077 is underway with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 37; the bounce high at 0.8081 is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.80498, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80807, 0.8100, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81000 psych would neutralise the downside break read
Loss of 0.80390 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Fri US ECI / UoM inflation expectations could re-anchor the dollar
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, sharp selloff · RSI 30 · price 0.80665
Lower lows, breakdown then bounce.
USDCHF collapsed through the NY session, breaking down from 0.8120 to a 0.8039 session low as CHF short-covering and Fed-credibility USD weakness took hold. RSI(14) is oversold near 30 with a first bounce back to 0.80665; 0.80941 recent high caps the recovery so far.
Support: 0.80498, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80941, 0.81163, 0.81285
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.80941 recent high would ease the breakdown
Loss of 0.8039 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
Swiss Real Retail Sales Fri 06:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session, slicing the 0.81163 breakdown and printing a 0.80390 session low before closing 0.80549. RSI(14) near 21 flags oversold conditions as franc short-covering runs against the wider USD-CHF divergence story.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80664, 0.81163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80664 needed to ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80000 psych opens further downside
Swiss CPI Mon Aug 3 is the key event for the franc leg
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 0.80641
Lower highs and lows, fresh session low.
NY session saw a sharp USDCHF sell-off, breaking down through 0.81163 and dumping to 0.80617 as post-FOMC dollar-credibility doubts resurfaced. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 21 after two large red bars; price is stalling at 0.80641 just off the low.
Support: 0.80617, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80941, 0.81163, 0.8128
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81163 would negate the breakdown
Loss of 0.80500 psych extends the decline
Fri US ECI/UoM inflation expectations could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 22 · price 0.80641
Lower highs and lows, fresh breakdown.
USDCHF broke down hard through the NY afternoon, dropping from 0.8117 to a 0.80617 session low as the dollar was sold on the GDP miss and dovish post-FOMC read. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 21 with ATR spiking to ~120 pips; last bar shows a small pause just off the low.
Support: 0.80617, 0.8050
Resistance: 0.80839, 0.81162, 0.81294
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.80839 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.80617 extends the lower-low toward the 0.8050 round level
Fri ECI / UoM inflation expectations could reprice USD and shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 23 · price 0.80641
Lower highs, lower lows, fresh session low.
USDCHF sold off hard into the NY session, dropping from the 0.812 shelf to a fresh session low at 0.80617 as the dollar softened on the US GDP miss and post-FOMC real-yield slide. RSI(14) is deep oversold near 22 after the two large down bars; price is holding just above the 0.80617 low with 0.80941 the nearest reaction high.
Support: 0.80617, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80941, 0.81172
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81172 broken support would ease the downside pressure
Break of 0.80617 session low extends the leg toward the 0.80000 psych level
Fri US ECI/UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice the dollar move
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, a sharp high-volume bar breaking prior support at 0.81162 to print a fresh low at 0.80833 as soft US GDP and Core PCE undercut the dollar. RSI(14) near 27 shows the move is stretched short-term, with price hugging the low after a minor bounce to 0.80867.
Support: 0.80833, 0.8080
Resistance: 0.81162, 0.81285, 0.81373
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81162 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80833 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.808
Fri UoM inflation expectations and ECI (12:30-14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
USDCHF ground lower through the NY session, sliding from 0.8175 to a 0.81145 session low as a soft US GDP print and dovish post-FOMC read undercut the dollar. Bounces have been sold into a chain of lower highs, with 0.81285 capping the last recovery and RSI(14) near 38, not yet oversold.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81285, 0.81373
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81145 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81285 breaks the declining-highs structure
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.81231
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session extended the day's slide from 0.8200 to a session low at 0.81145 as the dollar softened after the soft US GDP print; buyers stepped in there and RSI has cooled off oversold. Price now sits at 0.8123, capped under the 0.81308 recent high.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81308, 0.81556
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81145 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.81308 would break the intraday lower-high chain
Swiss retail sales and US ECI on Fri could shift this read
USDCHF slid through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.81145 as the soft US GDP miss and cool core PCE pulled the pair off its 13-month highs near 0.8200. A modest bounce to 0.81231 has stalled below the descending lower-high chain; RSI(14) near 43, no oversold extreme.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81365, 0.8148
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81365 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.81145 opens the path toward 0.8100
Fri ECI (12:30 GMT) could shift USD tone into the next session
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8175 to a session low at 0.81145, in line with a broadly softer dollar post-Fed. Price is bouncing to 0.81275 but holds below EMA20/50, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s; the 0.81365 pivot caps for now.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81365, 0.8148
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81145 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 0.81365 breaks the descending sequence
US Core PCE/GDP prints due now — could shift this read sharply
USDCHF slid through the NY session from ~0.8175 to a fresh session low at 0.81145, extending the intraday downtrend as USD softened around the Core PCE/GDP release. RSI(14) near 33 — pressured but not yet extreme — with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.81145, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81265, 0.81373, 0.81748
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81145 confirms the lower-low and opens 0.8100
Reclaim of 0.81373 prior high would break the lower-high chain
US Core PCE / GDP just released — could sharply shift this read
USDCHF is grinding lower through the NY session, printing fresh window lows at 0.8116 with RSI(14) near 33 after the dollar slid post-FOMC. Descending highs cap every bounce; supply capped the last push at 0.8137.
Support: 0.8116, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8137
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP due now could materially shift this read
Break below 0.8100 psych extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8137 needed to break the lower-high chain
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.8118
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF slid through the NY session from 0.8175 to a fresh session low at 0.8116, an unbroken chain of lower highs and lower lows, RSI(14) around 32. Pair unwound off 13-month highs near 0.8200 with sellers pressing the 0.8116 low as the last close sits just above it.
Support: 0.81162, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81373, 0.8159
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8116 confirms continuation toward 0.8100 psych
Reclaim of 0.81373 recent high breaks the lower-high sequence
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.81234
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
USDCHF has bled lower through the NY session, sliding from the 0.81748 session high to a fresh low at 0.81198 before basing near 0.81234. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) sits near 37 with no bounce of note yet.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8120
Resistance: 0.81373, 0.81488, 0.81748
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~35min) could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.81198 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.81373 would break the lower-high chain
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 39 · price 0.81234
Lower highs, lower lows.
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.81748 high into a fresh session low at 0.81201, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) sits near 39, mid-range rather than oversold, and price is pinned just above the low as the US GDP/core PCE cluster looms.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.81373, 0.81748
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE in ~30min (12:30 GMT) can override this intraday read
Break and hold below 0.81201 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 0.81373 negates the immediate downside pressure
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 40 · price 0.81234
Lower highs into lower lows, price basing at lows.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session, breaking below 0.815 and printing a session low at 0.81198 before a shallow bounce to 0.81373 was rejected. Price sits back near the lows at 0.81234, RSI(14) mid-30s, holding below EMA20/50 as the CHF stays pressured on Fed-SNB divergence.
Support: 0.81198, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81373, 0.81488
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE cluster in ~30min could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.81198 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.81100 round number
Reclaim of the 0.81373 minor high would ease the downside pressure
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.81363
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCHF rolled over from 0.8175 through the London session, printing a lower low at 0.81201 before a shallow bounce to 0.8136; RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Price holds below EMA20/50 with lower highs still intact.
Support: 0.81201, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81373, 0.8149
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81373 recent high needed to break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.81201 session low confirms trend continuation
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 0.8135
Lower highs, lower lows; oversold bounce in play.
NY hours sold USDCHF from the 0.8172 session high down to a 0.8120 session low, printing a clean downtrend chain of lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) turned up from oversold as price bounces to 0.8135, but the pair remains below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.8120, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8158, 0.8172
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reset this read
Reclaim of 0.8158 needed to challenge the 0.8172 session high
Loss of 0.8120 session low opens continuation lower toward the 0.8100 psych level
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8200, printing a fresh session low at 0.81201 before a shallow bounce to 0.81298. Structure is a clean downtrend of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 38 shows momentum still soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8145, 0.81726, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.81450 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.81201 session low confirms continuation lower
US GDP / Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is a high-impact catalyst that could reset this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows through NY session.
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8175, breaking the 0.8135 support and printing a fresh session low at 0.8120 with RSI(14) near 31. A small bounce off 0.8120 into the close, but structure remains lower highs, lower lows.
Support: 0.8120, 0.8110
Resistance: 0.81358, 0.81469
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~75min) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81358 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.81200 session low opens the path toward 0.81100
Lower highs and lower lows into fresh session lows.
NY session sold USDCHF off the 0.81748 session high in a clean lower-high chain, punching to a fresh low at 0.81201 before a shallow bounce to 0.81266. Despite the digest's higher-CHF-funding lean, price is trading on the softer dollar here with RSI(14) near 33 and price under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81201
Resistance: 0.81408, 0.81748
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~90m) could materially shift this read
Break of the 0.81201 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.81408 recent high would stall the downside impulse
USDCHF sold off through the London session, breaking the 0.8150 consolidation and printing a fresh session low at 0.81201 as the dollar stayed soft post-Fed. RSI(14) near 36 off the lows; price is bouncing modestly to 0.81266 but remains below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8136
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC could sharply shift this read
USDCHF sold off through the NY session from 0.81748, printing a fresh low at 0.81201 before a small bounce to 0.81304 — CHF firming despite the digest's differential-driven bid story. Chain of lower highs (0.81748, 0.81629) intact and price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81446, 0.81629, 0.81748
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81201 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Recovery above 0.81446 breaks the lower-high chain
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 36 · price 0.81304
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.81748 session high, breaking prior support and printing a fresh session low at 0.81201 before closing 0.81304; the chart contradicts the digest's 0.8200 push. RSI(14) near 36, momentum still to the downside with no reversal signal in play.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8145, 0.8155, 0.81748
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.81450 would negate the latest lower high
Failure to hold 0.81201 session low extends the decline
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could sharply reprice this
USDCHF sold off through the London-NY window, slicing below 0.8140 to a session low at 0.8120 before a thin bounce to 0.8131; RSI(14) near 33, approaching short-term stretch. Selling ignored a strong KOF print — the franc is trading on rate differentials, not Swiss data.
Support: 0.81201, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8147
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81200 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 0.8100 psych level
Reclaim of 0.81470 prior support needed to ease the sell pressure
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
USDCHF ground to a fresh session low at 0.81313 during London hours, extending the down leg off the 0.81748 session high with a clean chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet oversold. CHF is trading on rate differentials — the strong KOF beat failed to lift the franc.
Support: 0.81313, 0.8100
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.81748
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81550 breaks the lower-high chain
Sustained trade below 0.81313 confirms continuation of the down leg
USD/CHF broke below the 0.8155 consolidation and printed a fresh session low at 0.81313, RSI(14) near 32. The earlier bounce was rejected at the 0.81726 prior high, leaving an intact lower-highs chain into the US GDP/Core PCE release.
Support: 0.81313, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8159, 0.81726
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81590 swing high would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 0.81313 session low confirms continuation of the downleg
USDCHF sold off through the session from 0.8205 to a 0.8134 low, recovered to reject 0.8175, then rolled over toward fresh lows near 0.8140. RSI(14) in the mid-30s with price below EMA20/50; lower highs stacking since the 0.8175 rejection.
Support: 0.81371, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.81748
What it said to watch
US GDP/core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8134 confirms lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 0.8155 needed to re-test the 0.8175 rejection
USDCHF rejected at 0.81748 in the NY session and has ground back down through a chain of lower highs to 0.81405, RSI(14) near 40. Sellers are stepping in below 0.8163 and price is now retesting the session-low band around 0.8137, with the US GDP/core-PCE cluster still ahead.
Support: 0.81371, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81629, 0.81748
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.8134 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path lower
Reclaim of 0.81629 invalidates the lower-high chain
US GDP/core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 0.81446
Lower high off 0.81748, retracing rally.
London session rejected the 0.81748 session high and price has slid back to 0.81446, unwinding most of the rally off the 0.81318 low. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s; the move stalled at 0.81550 on the way down, now testing 0.81428.
Support: 0.81428, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.81748
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81428 opens the path back to the 0.81340 session low
Reclaim of 0.81550 puts the 0.81748 session high back in play
US Q2 GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h45m out) is the pivot and can override this read
09:46 UTC
Range after selloff, momentum easing lower · RSI 43 · price 0.81484
Intraday range 0.8134–0.8175, lower high at 0.81748.
USDCHF pushed to a session high of 0.81748 in London before rejecting, and has slipped back to 0.8148 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of the 0.8134–0.81748 leg. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s as price sits in the lower half of the intraday range; no fresh setup while 0.8134–0.8175 holds.
Support: 0.81458, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h45m) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.81458 opens a retest of the 0.81340 session low
Reclaim of 0.81748 session high needed to confirm a higher high
09:31 UTC
Range, rolling over off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.81484
Lower highs after 0.81726 rejection.
London session recovered off the 0.81317 base up to 0.81726, but that session high was rejected and price has now retraced past the 0.618 fib to 0.81484. Lower highs are stacking (0.81726 then 0.81629) with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; ATR near 70 pips keeps swings wide.
Support: 0.81415, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81629, 0.81726
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.81415 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.81629 needed to re-challenge 0.81726 session high
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the key USD catalyst
NY session yesterday drove a sharp drop from 0.8200 to 0.8134, since retraced into a 0.8150-0.8175 range as CHF stays soft on the Fed-SNB rate gap. Rejection at the 0.81748 session high pushed price back to the mid-range, sitting near the 50% recovery mark with RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 0.81508, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81629, 0.81748
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81748 resumes the recovery leg toward 0.8200
Failure to hold 0.81508 session low reopens the 0.8134 swing low
US GDP and Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the key USD catalyst
09:16 UTC
Pulling back after rejection at session high · RSI 45 · price 0.81537
Range-bound, holding 50% of the intraday recovery.
Late NY dropped USDCHF from 0.8200 to 0.8134, then Asia/London recovered into a 0.81748 rejection during London hours. Price has slipped back to 0.81537, sitting on the 50% retrace of that recovery and below EMA20 — no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8163, 0.81748
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.815 exposes the 0.8134 range low
Reclaim of 0.8163 reopens the 0.81748 session high
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
USDCHF is grinding back up after yesterday's NY-session selloff bottomed at 0.8134; the rally into 0.81748 was rejected and the pullback held above 0.8150, leaving price mid-recovery near 0.8162. RSI(14) around 54, no extreme, with US GDP and core PCE due at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 0.81508, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81748 extends the recovery toward 0.8205
Loss of 0.81508 reopens the 0.8134 session low
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) can reset this read
USDCHF rebounded from the 0.8134 session low to test 0.81748 before fading to 0.81621; RSI(14) cooling from the push, price holding above EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.8151 during the recovery, keeping the higher-low chain intact into the London-NY window.
Support: 0.81508, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81748 opens the path toward 0.8200
Failure to hold 0.81508 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.8134
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.8132, below 0.8175 session high.
USDCHF sold off sharply to 0.8132 in late NY as USD demand revived on Mid-East/oil-driven Fed bets, then based and recovered through London to tag a 0.81748 session high. Price has pulled back to 0.8162, holding higher lows above 0.81508; RSI(14) mid-range near 51.
Support: 0.81508, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8200, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81748 extends the recovery toward 0.8200
Loss of 0.81508 exposes the 0.81340 session low
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Pullback from session high after intraday recovery.
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.8200 yesterday to a 0.81340 day low, then clawed back through the London-NY hours to tag a 0.81748 session high before rejecting. Price now hovers at 0.81567 on the retrace, RSI(14) neutral near 48 — capped below the session high, holding above 0.81508.
Support: 0.81508, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.82043
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.81508 pullback low reopens the 0.81340 day low
M15 close above 0.81748 session high resumes the recovery
US GDP/Core PCE cluster ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovery off NY lows, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.81543
Rebound stalled below session high after earlier flush.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session (0.8204 to 0.8132) before basing and grinding back up. London pushed to a 0.81748 session high but was rejected, and price has since pulled back to the mid-0.8150s, sitting on the pullback low with RSI(14) near neutral.
Support: 0.81538, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8204
What it said to watch
Break above 0.81748 session high reopens the 0.82040 prior high
Loss of 0.81538 pullback low exposes the 0.81325 drop low
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) can materially shift this read
Rising off session low, pulling back into range mid.
USDCHF slid to 0.8134 during the NY session post-Fed then based through Asia and rallied into London, tagging 0.81748 before rejecting. Price has since retraced to the ~0.8154 mid (50% of that leg), RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81748 reopens the upper range
Loss of 0.81488 exposes the 0.81340 session low
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) can shift this read
08:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY drop · RSI 53 · price 0.81619
Rounded base off 0.8134, grinding higher.
USDCHF sold off hard from 0.8206 to 0.8134 during NY hours, then based and recovered, tagging a session high of 0.81748 before pulling back to 0.81619. Recovery leg is retracing roughly half of the drop; buyers held the 0.81512 base twice.
Support: 0.81512, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81748 opens the path to the 0.82068 prior high
Failure to hold 0.81512 recovery low reopens the 0.8134 session low
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
08:17 UTC
Recovering after mid-session sell-off · RSI 57 · price 0.81619
Higher lows off 0.8134 base, rejection at session high.
A sharp mid-session sell-off drove USDCHF from 0.8195 to 0.8134 before a base formed and buyers stepped in on higher lows. Price broke up to a session high of 0.81748 but was rejected, easing back to 0.8162; the pair sits between the 0.8155 swing and that high ahead of US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 0.81555, 0.81488, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8180
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81748 opens the 0.8180 swing
Loss of 0.81555 reopens the 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 0.81713
Higher lows off post-Fed base.
USDCHF sold off sharply yesterday from 0.8206 to a 0.8132 session low on the post-FOMC dollar drop, then carved a rounded base and ground back up through London to 0.8175. Recovery has posted higher lows off the 0.8150 base; RSI(14) near 67 and climbing as price tests the session high.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8175, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
close above 0.81750 session high opens the path to 0.82000
loss of 0.81500 prior base negates the recovery
08:01 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 66 · price 0.81713
Double bottom, breaking higher.
Sharp mid-window sell-off dumped USDCHF from 0.8205 to a 0.8134 session low, then a double bottom near 0.8132 built a base around 0.8156 before buyers pushed through to a 0.81748 session high, RSI(14) at 66. Price is grinding higher into the London session, retracing over half of the drop.
Support: 0.8156, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81748, 0.8204
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.81748 opens the path back to the 0.82040 prior high
Loss of the 0.81560 base re-exposes the 0.81317 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.81707
Double-bottom base, higher lows into London.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours to 0.8132, double-bottomed there, and has climbed back to test the session high at 0.8172, now retracing ~50% of that drop. RSI(14) near 64 as the recovery extends; price back above EMA20/50 after the pullback from 0.8207.
Support: 0.8156, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8172, 0.8188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8172 session high extends the recovery toward 0.8188
Loss of 0.8156 base reopens the 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 0.81707
Higher lows since NY-session base, retesting session high.
USDCHF sold off through 0.8134 during NY hours on the dovish FOMC read, based twice near that low and has since ground higher through the Asia and early-London sessions, now pressing the session high at 0.81716 with RSI near 68. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 as the recovery extends.
Support: 0.81579, 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81716, 0.8188
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81716 opens the path toward 0.81880
Loss of 0.81579 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off ~75 pips into the NY session yesterday, bottoming at the 0.8134 day low, then based and recovered through London to 0.8169 — roughly the 50% retracement of that drop. Higher lows are stacking above 0.8158, RSI(14) around 63 with room before overbought; 0.8170 round number is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8158, 0.8149, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8170, 0.8188
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.8170 round number opens 0.8188 prior swing
Loss of 0.8158 higher low reopens the 0.8149 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCHF was slammed from 0.8206 down to 0.8132 during late NY hours, then based and clawed back through the London session to 0.8158 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 and price is holding above EMA20; 0.8162 caps the recovery for now.
Support: 0.8151, 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81623 reopens the path toward 0.8200
Failure to hold 0.81510 reopens the 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp NY-session selloff drove USDCHF from the 0.8205 day high to 0.8132 as post-Fed dollar longs unwound. Price based through Asia and has since ground back to a 0.8162 session high, printing higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme in play.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8162, 0.8180, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8162 session high opens path to the 0.8180 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8150 range base exposes the 0.8132 session low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Sharp sell-off mid-window dragged USDCHF from ~0.8205 to a 0.81317 session low as the dollar unwound post-FOMC. Price has ground back up since, printing higher lows into 0.8160 with RSI(14) mid-50s; session high at 0.81623 caps the recovery for now.
Support: 0.8150, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81623 opens the path back toward 0.82000
Failure to hold 0.81500 reopens the 0.81317 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 55 · price 0.81558
Higher lows since 0.8134 base.
USDCHF sold off from 0.8207 during the prior NY session down to 0.8134, then based and ground higher through Asia to 0.8156 on a chain of higher lows. Recovery leg stalling just under the 0.81623 session high with RSI mid-range; broader tape still reflects post-FOMC USD softness.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.8175
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81623 session high extends the recovery toward 0.81750
M15 close below 0.81500 breaks rising support and reopens 0.81340
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) could reprice USD and shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows after sharp selloff · RSI 58 · price 0.81587
Base built at 0.8132, higher lows since.
USDCHF dumped from 0.8207 to 0.8132 as post-FOMC dollar longs unwound, then based through the Asia session and is grinding back to 0.8160. RSI(14) near 58, recovery still capped under the 0.81623 session high.
Support: 0.8150, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.8175
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81623 opens the path back toward 0.81750
Loss of 0.81500 base risks a retest of the 0.81317 swing low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 60 · price 0.81595
Basing above 0.8150 low, grinding higher.
USDCHF sold off hard through the NY session yesterday, dropping from 0.8207 to 0.81340 as the dollar unwound after the FOMC hold. Asia based around 0.8150 and London has ground back to 0.81595, breaking a tight 0.8150–0.8156 consolidation with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 0.8150, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.81816
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) can materially shift this read
Close back below 0.81500 negates the recovery grind
Reclaim of 0.81623 opens the 0.81680–0.81816 supply band
06:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 0.81595
Double-bottom base near 0.8133, higher lows forming.
USD/CHF cratered from 0.82070 to 0.81317 during the FOMC long-squeeze as USD longs unwound, then based twice near 0.8133 and has been grinding higher through the London session to 0.81595. RSI(14) mid-range around 60; session high at 0.81623 is the immediate cap, a close above opens 0.81775.
Support: 0.8150, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81623, 0.81775
What it said to watch
close above 0.81623 extends the recovery toward 0.81775
failure to hold 0.81500 base reopens the 0.81317 swing low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially reset this read
06:17 UTC
Recovering off lows after sharp drop · RSI 58 · price 0.81593
Base built, grinding higher lows.
USDCHF cratered from 0.8207 to 0.81325 as the post-FOMC USD long-squeeze hit, then based and clawed back to 0.8159 through the Asian session. Price is retracing ~38% of that drop and now presses the 0.81614 session high; buyers have stepped in repeatedly around 0.8150.
Support: 0.8150, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81614, 0.8180
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81614 opens the path back toward 0.8180
Failure to hold 0.8150 reopens 0.81325 session low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Higher lows after post-FOMC flush, consolidation base.
USDCHF flushed from 0.8207 to 0.8132 during NY hours as post-FOMC USD longs unwound on the hawkish-hold squeeze. Price based through the Asian session and is grinding higher into London, printing higher lows with RSI(14) around 61; the 0.8165 EMA50 caps overhead.
Support: 0.81499, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81614, 0.8165, 0.8172
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81614 opens the path to the 0.81650 ema50
Failure to hold 0.81499 reopens the 0.81325 session low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY session from the 0.8204 pre-drop range to a swing low at 0.8134, then based and ground back to 0.8155 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Price is holding above the recent low at 0.81488 but capped so far by the 0.81572 session high.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.8204
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.81572 opens the path back toward the 0.8204 pre-drop range
Higher lows since the 0.81317 base, capped at 0.81572.
USDCHF sold off sharply in the NY afternoon from ~0.8200 to 0.81317, then based and ground higher through the Asian session to 0.81539. Price is building higher lows under the 0.81572 recent high, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.81499, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.81644
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81572 opens the path to 0.81644
Failure to hold 0.81499 exposes the 0.81317 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising in range · RSI 47 · price 0.81506
Sharp selloff then consolidation.
USDCHF was driven off the 0.8207 session high down to 0.8132 during NY hours as the USD softened post-FOMC, snapping the recent grind higher. Price has since recovered into a tight Asian-session range between 0.81465 and 0.81572, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.81465, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.81648, 0.8200
What it said to watch
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81572 targets the 0.81648 prior swing
Loss of 0.81465 reopens the 0.81340 swing low
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.81523
Range break lower, consolidating above session low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower through the NY session from the 0.8206 area to 0.8134, unwinding the eighth-day uptrend as the USD softened post-FOMC. Price has since based and ground back to 0.8152, consolidating between the 0.8134 session low and the 0.8157 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8146, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.8165, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81572 session high opens a retest of the 0.8165 breakdown zone
Loss of 0.8134 session low confirms downside continuation
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Sharp selloff, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.81523
Range 0.8149-0.8157 after drop from 0.8207.
USDCHF was slammed off the 0.8207 area during NY hours, dropping to a 0.8134 session low before stabilising. Price now grinds in a tight 0.8149-0.8157 range into early London, RSI back to neutral near 53 after the washout.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.81644
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81572 extends the recovery toward 0.81644
Failure to hold 0.81488 reopens the 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop · RSI 56 · price 0.81564
Consolidation above session low, higher lows.
USDCHF sold off sharply from the ~0.8205 13-month-high region into 0.8134 during NY hours, then based and ground back to 0.8156 through the quiet Asian session. Price now sits above EMA20 but under EMA50, retracing roughly a third of the drop; RSI back near 56.
Support: 0.8149, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8157, 0.8172, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Close above 0.8172 extends the recovery back toward 0.8205
Failure to hold 0.8149 reopens the 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and can shift this read
05:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY drop · RSI 58 · price 0.81564
Grinding higher off session low, below prior range.
USDCHF sold off hard from 0.8207 during NY hours, breaking the 0.8180 range floor to a session low of 0.8134 as stretched USD longs unwound. Asia has clawed back a curved recovery to 0.8156, but price still trades below the pre-drop range and EMA50.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8157, 0.8182, 0.8207
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8182 bounce high would repair the range break
Failure to hold 0.8148 intraday low reopens 0.8134 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding back higher · RSI 55 · price 0.81564
Sharp NY selloff, then base and slow recovery.
USDCHF sold off sharply through NY hours from the 0.8204 prior high down to a 0.8134 swing low, snapping the earlier range. Since then price has based and ground back to 0.8156, holding above the 0.8149 range low; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 0.8149, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81572, 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81572 session high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 0.81490 range low reopens the 0.81340 swing low
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF was slammed from ~0.8207 to 0.8134 during the NY session as crowded month-end USD longs unwound. Asian hours have carved a double-bottom base near 0.8134 and ground back to 0.8155, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s, price back above EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8165, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81563 session high opens path back toward 0.8165 prior swing
Loss of 0.81340 session low resumes the sell-off
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could sharply reprice this pair
USD/CHF sold off through the NY session from 0.8205 to a 0.81317 session low, breaking below the 0.81820 breakdown point. Asian hours have ground the recovery back to 0.8154 in tight consolidation; RSI(14) has climbed off oversold to the low-50s and price holds above EMA20 but stays capped under the 0.81563 session high.
Support: 0.81465, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8168, 0.8182
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81563 session high opens 0.81680 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.81465 swing low reopens the 0.81317 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, base building after selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.81537
Sharp NY drop then higher-low recovery grind.
USD/CHF slid from 0.8205 to 0.8134 during NY hours as stretched month-end/post-FOMC USD longs unwound, then based and ground back to 0.8154 through the Asia session. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off the selloff lows; price sits above EMA20 but the broader EMA50 still caps overhead.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8168, 0.81816
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81563 session high opens the path back to 0.81680
Failure to hold 0.81488 rising support re-exposes the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT is a major catalyst that could reshape this read
04:17 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 61 · price 0.81537
Based at 0.8134, grinding higher.
USDCHF sold off from the 0.8207 highs to 0.8134 during NY afternoon, pulling back from fresh 13-month highs. Price has since based and ground back to 0.8154 through the Asian session, now capped by the 0.81563 session high with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8166
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81563 opens the path back toward 0.81660
Failure to hold 0.81340 reopens the range low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after washout · RSI 53 · price 0.81537
Sharp NY-session break, now tight consolidation.
USDCHF sold off sharply during the NY session, breaking below 0.8165 to bottom at 0.8134 before basing. Asia session is now consolidating tightly between 0.8148 and 0.8156 on thin volume, RSI(14) recovered to ~53 after the washout.
Support: 0.81488, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8165
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81650 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.81488 reopens the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp NY selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.81555
Based at 0.8134, grinding back up in thin Asia trade.
NY session dumped USDCHF from the 0.8205 13-month high down to 0.8134, unwinding stretched USD longs into month-end. Since then price has based and ground back to 0.8155 in thin Asia trade, retracing roughly a third of the drop; RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s. ATR is compressed at ~3.5 pips reflecting the quiet overnight range.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8180 would repair the NY drop damage
Failure to hold the 0.8148 recovery base reopens 0.8134
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT is the key USD catalyst and could break this range
04:02 UTC
Sold off, now recovering · RSI 56 · price 0.81555
Downleg into double bottom, grinding higher.
USDCHF dropped ~75 pips from 0.82068 into a 0.8132/0.8134 double bottom, an unwind off the 13-month high as stretched USD longs faded into month-end. Price has since based and ground back to 0.8155 with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s; ATR ~35 pips.
Support: 0.8146, 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81563, 0.8168, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81680 supply opens the path back toward the 0.82068 prior high
Loss of 0.81340 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could reset this read
03:46 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 55 · price 0.81531
Consolidation after sharp NY breakdown.
Late NY session saw a sharp long-unwind from the 0.8207 range top down to 0.8134, cutting into USD/CHF's run at 1-year highs. Asia has since ground back to 0.8153 on higher lows, RSI(14) recovered near 55; the 0.81554 swing high caps the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8146, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81554, 0.8169, 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81554 opens the path to 0.81690
Failure to hold 0.81460 reopens the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst that could reshape this read
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.81543
Sharp drop then grinding recovery.
USDCHF sold off sharply from 0.8207 to 0.8134 as stretched USD longs unwound around the Fed hold, then ground back to 0.8154 through the Asia session. RSI has recovered toward the mid-50s and price holds above EMA20 but remains capped under EMA50; the 0.81554 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.81465, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81554, 0.8168, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81554 session high extends the recovery toward 0.81680
Loss of 0.81465 recent low re-exposes the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, now stabilising · RSI 57 · price 0.81543
Consolidation above the session low after NY selloff.
NY session sold off hard from 0.8207 to 0.8132, breaking below the prior 0.8180–0.8205 range as USD longs unwound off the 13-mo high. Asian session is now grinding a tight recovery band between 0.8132 and the session high at 0.81554, price back above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.8132, 0.81465
Resistance: 0.81554, 0.8163
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81554 session high opens 0.8163
Loss of 0.8132 session low resumes the down leg
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could reset this read
NY session drove a sharp selloff from 0.8207 to 0.8134, breaking the prior 0.8180-0.8207 range that had held all of London. Price is now consolidating near 0.8150 into the Asia session, retracing the drop into the 23.6% area with RSI(14) recovered off oversold. Descending highs cap at 0.81674.
Support: 0.81465, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81674, 0.82068
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.81674 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.81465 reopens the 0.81317 session low
NY session dumped USD/CHF from the 0.8200 psych high to a 0.8134 session low, snapping the multi-day advance near the 13-mo peak. Asia has since consolidated 0.8148–0.8153 with RSI(14) back to neutral around 54; the recovery has stalled well below the prior 0.8180 range.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8180, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Core PCE + Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8180 reasserts the prior range
Failure to hold 0.8134 session low opens further downside
03:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 55 · price 0.81518
NY selloff, Asia stabilising near recovery high.
A sharp NY-session selloff dragged USDCHF from ~0.8207 to a session low of 0.81340, snapping the recent up-streak on this timeframe. Asia hours have ground price back to 0.81520 in a thin, low-volume range with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s; the recovery high at 0.81520 is capping.
Support: 0.8146, 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8169, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81520 recovery high extends the bounce toward 0.81690
Loss of 0.81460 range low reopens the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE / Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Leg lower, basing · RSI 53 · price 0.81518
Range break down, consolidating under 0.81520.
A sharp break from the 0.82060 session high during NY hours dropped USDCHF to a 0.81340 session low, snapping the multi-day grind higher flagged in the wider USD/CHF trend. Price has since based and recovered to the 0.81520 consol top, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.
Support: 0.8146, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8168, 0.8206
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81520 consol top opens the 0.81680 breakdown level
Failure to hold the 0.81460 base pivot re-exposes the 0.81340 session low
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing · RSI 52 · price 0.81513
Sharp selloff, base building near 0.8132.
USDCHF snapped its multi-day rally, selling off from 0.8207 to 0.8132 late NY as stretched dollar longs unwound ahead of Core PCE. Buyers stepped in twice at 0.8132 forming a double bottom; price has recovered to 0.8151 and is holding a tight Asian range just under the session high.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8143
Resistance: 0.8152, 0.8165
What it said to watch
Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 0.8132 double btm resumes the downtrend
Close above 0.8152 session high opens 0.8165 prior swing
02:46 UTC
Downtrend from highs, stabilising · RSI 55 · price 0.8152
Double bottom base after NY selloff.
NY session dumped USDCHF from 0.8206 to 0.8134, snapping the multi-day advance intraday. A double bottom near 0.8134 held through the Asia session and price has recovered to 0.8152, breaking back above the 0.8148 shelf.
Support: 0.8148, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8168, 0.8206
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8168 would confirm the base; failure back below 0.8134 reopens the selloff
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off base · RSI 53 · price 0.8152
Sharp NY selloff, Asia basing.
USDCHF sold off through NY hours from the 0.8205 session high to a 0.8134 base, snapping the recent uptrend as the dollar softened post-FOMC. Asia session is basing and grinding back to 0.8152 on thin volume, with the 0.8155 swing high the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8134, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8168, 0.8205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8155 opens 0.8168
Failure to hold the 0.8134 base extends the decline
US PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
02:31 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 56 · price 0.81519
Sharp break then consolidation off the low.
NY session drove a sharp break from the 0.82068 high down to 0.81317, cutting through the CHF-short streak narrative. Asia hours are thin and consolidating 0.81340–0.81516 with a mild recovery leg; RSI(14) has reset to neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81516, 0.8155, 0.82068
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81516 opens the path back to 0.81550
Loss of 0.81317 confirms a fresh lower low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the main near-term driver for USD
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 58 · price 0.81519
Sharp NY selloff into double bottom, recovering.
USDCHF sold off sharply from the 0.8200 area into a 0.81317 double bottom during NY hours, then based and recovered through the Asian session. Price has just nudged above the 0.81503 session high on thin overnight volume; RSI(14) back near 58 after the washout.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8137
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.81557, 0.8165
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.81503 keeps the recovery intact; failure back below 0.8137 reopens the 0.81317 double bottom
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the main near-term USDCHF driver and could reset this read
0.8200 remains the broader pivot capping upside per context
02:16 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off · RSI 60 · price 0.81519
Base built at 0.8132–0.8134, reclaiming 0.8149.
USDCHF was knocked ~75 pips off 0.8207 during the NY session, bottoming twice near 0.8132–0.8134 before Asia based and reclaimed the 0.8149 breakout. Price now sits at 0.81519, above EMA20 but still under EMA50 as the recovery works against the sharper down leg.
Support: 0.81365, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81557, 0.81673
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.81557 extends the recovery toward 0.81673
Loss of 0.81365 reopens the 0.81317 session low
US PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the key USD driver and could reshape this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.81473
Sold off from 0.8207 to 0.8132, now consolidating with a bounce.
USDCHF was sold from 0.8207 down to 0.8132 during the NY session as stretched USD longs came off, then Asia consolidated tightly around 0.8135–0.8140. A late bounce broke above that range to 0.8150 before easing to 0.8147, RSI(14) recovering from the lows.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.81673
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.81503 session high opens 0.81673
Failure to hold 0.81340 session low confirms a lower low
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.81473
Sold off then consolidated near lows, recovering.
USDCHF was hit hard in the late NY session, sliding from the 0.8205 area to a 0.8134 low as the crowded funding-short-CHF trade squeezed. Price then consolidated in a 0.8132–0.8140 band and the last two bars pushed up through it to 0.8150; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range off oversold, ATR near 45 pips.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.81557, 0.8167
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 0.81503 bounce high extends the recovery toward 0.81557 swing high
Loss of 0.81340 session low re-exposes the 0.81317 day low
Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the main near-term USD driver and can reset this read
NY-session sell-off sheared the 0.8195-0.8205 shelf, dumping to 0.8134 as post-Fed USD longs unwound. Asian session then based sideways around 0.8137 before a bounce to the 0.81503 session high; RSI(14) recovered off its lows to the low-60s.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81317
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.81648, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.81648 would negate the breakdown structure
Loss of 0.81317 confirms the low is not holding
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp breakdown from the 0.8200 pivot down to a session low of 0.81317, then price consolidated in the low 0.8130s through Asia. A recovery leg has since lifted to 0.8150, retracing about a quarter of the drop with RSI(14) back near 56.
Support: 0.81317, 0.81417
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.8163, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81503 opens the path to 0.8163
Failure to hold 0.81317 confirms a fresh lower low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 0.81473
NY breakdown, Asia consolidating off lows.
NY session drove a sharp breakdown from 0.8205 to 0.8134, RSI unwinding an oversold reading as USD longs lightened into the PCE risk. Asia session has since consolidated the lows and pushed back to 0.8148; the 0.8150 bounce high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.8134, 0.81325
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.8165, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81503 bounce high opens 0.81650 prior support
Failure to hold 0.81340 session low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.81473
Breakdown then base, recent recovery leg.
Sharp late-NY selloff dumped USDCHF from 0.82068 to a session low of 0.81318 as post-Fed dollar longs unwound. Asia consolidated the base near 0.81350-0.81400, then a 120-pip pop lifted price to a session high of 0.81503; last bar stalling at 0.81473 with RSI recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8140, 0.81318
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.8165
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.81503 session high opens the 0.81650 breakdown level
Failure to hold 0.81400 base reopens the 0.81318 session low
Core PCE later today (12:30 UTC) is the day's catalyst and could reset this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 58 · price 0.81473
Range break lower, consolidating above session low.
USDCHF sold off sharply through the NY afternoon, breaking below 0.8195 down to 0.8132 as the Fed held rates and stretched USD longs unwound. Price has since based and bounced to 0.8150 through Asia, RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 0.8150 bounce high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.81503
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.81503 bounce high needed to challenge the pre-drop zone
Failure to hold 0.81317 session low confirms a lower low
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 56 · price 0.81473
Sharp FOMC drop, now basing above session low.
The Fed hold triggered a USD long-unwind that dropped USDCHF from 0.8207 to a session low near 0.8132 during NY hours. Asia session has since consolidated in a 0.8132–0.8150 band, with a minor recovery tagging the session high at 0.8150; price sits mid-way through the 38.2% retracement of the FOMC drop, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.81325, 0.81415
Resistance: 0.81503, 0.81618
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8150 session high opens the path to the 38.2 fib at 0.8162
Loss of the 0.81325 session low resumes the downside leg
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster can materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 57 · price 0.81473
Post-FOMC drop, consolidating above session low.
USDCHF was dumped from 0.8205 during NY hours after the Fed held rates and stripped out the hike premium, bottoming at 0.8132. The pair based through the Asian session, twice defending 0.8132, and has since broken the 0.8140 consolidation to bounce into 0.8150 — a shallow 23.6% retrace of the FOMC drop, with RSI recovering off the lows.
Support: 0.8140, 0.8132
Resistance: 0.8150, 0.8156, 0.8165
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.8156 swing high needed to extend the bounce toward 0.8165
Loss of 0.8132 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Thu 12:30 GMT US PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.8148
Sharp break lower then tight range near session low.
USD/CHF sold off sharply during the NY session after the Fed hold stripped the hike premium, sliding from 0.8207 to a 0.8132 session low. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8132–0.8155 band with RSI recovering off oversold; the last bar popped to 0.8149. EMAs sit above spot, framing the intraday bias lower.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8141
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8165, 0.8182
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8132 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.8165 bounce high negates the break-lower read
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 0.8148
Sharp NY selloff, then Asian-range coil.
USDCHF slid from 0.8205 to 0.8134 during NY hours on the post-FOMC dollar long-unwind, then went quiet in the Asian session, coiling in a 0.8132-0.8140 band. The last bar popped to 0.8149 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows — a first push back toward the 0.8155 supply shelf.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8117
Resistance: 0.8155, 0.8188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8155 opens the path back toward the 0.8188 breakdown level
Loss of the 0.8132 session low confirms lower-low continuation
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.81373
Sharp markdown then tight range near session low.
USDCHF broke sharply lower off 0.8200 into the NY session after the Fed held rates, dumping to 0.8134. Price has since coiled into a tight 0.8132–0.8142 range, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but no upside reclaim yet.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8142, 0.8155, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81550 invalidates the range-at-lows read
Failure to hold 0.81317 confirms a lower-low
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
Sharp NY selloff after the Fed's expected hold removed the priced hike premium — USD/CHF unwound from 0.8207 to 0.8132 as stretched dollar longs were squared. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.8132–0.8142 band into the Asia session, RSI(14) basing near 41.
Support: 0.81317, 0.8134
Resistance: 0.8142, 0.8153, 0.8165
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81420 range top eases the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.81317 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE / GDP cluster could materially shift this read
USD/CHF broke down through the 0.8180 range floor during NY hours as the Fed's expected hold stripped the priced hike premium and stretched USD longs unwound, dropping ~65 pips from 0.8207 to 0.8134. Price has since gone flat in a tight 0.8132-0.8140 Asian range, RSI(14) subdued near 41 with no attempt to reclaim the 0.8153 swing high.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8117
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8153, 0.8180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8153 negates the low consolidation and opens a retest of 0.8180
Break below 0.8132 swing low extends the decline
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
NY session broke hard lower off 0.8205 after the Fed hold removed the hike premium, price bleeding to 0.8132 before stabilising. Now coiling tight in a 0.8132-0.8140 band into late session with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8117
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8155, 0.8168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8132 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.8140 needed to challenge 0.8155
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCHF broke sharply lower off the 0.8200 pivot after the Fed held as expected, cascading from 0.8206 to 0.8132. Price is now grinding in a tight 0.8132-0.8140 band near session lows, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s but no reclaim of 0.8157.
Support: 0.8132, 0.8130
Resistance: 0.8140, 0.8157, 0.8181
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8157 breaks the consolidation and re-tests 0.8181
Loss of 0.8132 confirms lower lows toward 0.8130 psych
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read