USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 3 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after intervention · RSI 57 · price 157.329
Basing off week low, higher lows.
USD/JPY collapsed through the week from the 164 area toward 155.22 on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, then based and clawed back to 157.33. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI(14) lifting off its lows, but still trades below EMA(50) and under the 158 200-day SMA that has capped this bounce. A sequence of higher lows off the 155.22 Asia-session low marks a stabilisation attempt rather than a fresh leg.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158 (200-dsma) would extend the recovery beyond the intervention range
Loss of the 156.24 higher-low reopens the 155.22 week low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes could shift the yen read
USDJPY collapsed from ~164 into the 155 area this week on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, and price has since staged a corrective bounce that now sits near the 157.87 swing high. Trade holds above EMA(20) but under EMA(20)'s slower counterpart with RSI(14) recovered into the mid-50s; the leg up has retraced roughly 78% of the last impulse down. The 158 zone flagged as the 200-day SMA remains the cap on this recovery.
Support: 156.24, 155.44
Resistance: 157.87
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.87 / 158 200-dsma opens continuation of the bounce
Failure to hold 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.44 week low
Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines below 158 could cap the recovery
Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC feeds the BoJ read and this move
USD/JPY was hammered from the 163s to a 155.225 weekly low on the confirmed US-Japan joint yen intervention, then based and ground out higher-lows through the NY sessions since. Price now holds above EMA(20) around 157.20 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range; the recovery is consolidating between 156.24 and the 157.60 swing. The 200-dma near 158 caps the upside as intervention overhang persists.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.60
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158 (200-dma) extends the recovery
Loss of 156.24 reopens the 155.45 weekly low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and Wed ADP/ISM could reshape this read
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the primary driver
Base building after intervention flush, higher lows.
USDJPY round-tripped from ~164 to a 155.23 low on the confirmed US-Japan joint yen-buying, then gapped and based through the Asia and London sessions with a series of higher lows off 156.30. Price is now pressing the 157.22 session high with RSI(14) cycling back near 61, holding above a rising EMA(20) while the EMA(50) overhead reflects the broader downdraft. The 158 200-day SMA flagged by Rabobank caps the upside as intervention overhang lingers.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.22, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.88 opens the path toward the 158 200-dma
Loss of the 156.30 higher-low base reopens 155.23
Wed ADP and ISM Services could materially reset this recovery read
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 49 · price 157.169
Consolidation above the week low.
USD/JPY round-tripped lower this week on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, collapsing from the 163.90 area to a 155.23 week low before steadying. Price has since based and coiled between roughly 156.30 and 157.20, holding above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50) and the 158 200-day SMA. The current bounce is stalling near the 23.6% retracement of the drop.
Support: 156.30, 155.45
Resistance: 157.65
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.65 opens the path back toward the 158 200-dma
Failure to hold 156.30 reopens the 155.45 week low
Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) and fresh intervention headlines could shift this read
Consolidation above the 155.45 base after sharp decline.
USDJPY round-tripped sharply lower this week on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, tagging 155.22 Monday before steadying into a 156.3–157.2 consolidation. Price is holding above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50), with each rebound stalling into descending highs near 157.6. The weekend gap lower and the intervention premium keep the structure heavy despite the range-bound recovery.
Support: 156.30, 155.45
Resistance: 157.60
What it said to watch
A push into 158 200-dma is an area to watch for rejection given intervention risk
H1 close below 155.45 confirms a fresh lower low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalling into a base · RSI 53 · price 156.964
Sharp weekly decline, now ranging near lows.
USD/JPY collapsed this week from ~164 to a 155.23 low on the confirmed joint US-Japan yen-buying intervention, and has since based in a tight 156.3–157.1 range through the NY session. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold and price holds just above EMA(20), but sits well beneath EMA(50) after the move. The 200-day SMA near 158 is the overhead reference capping any rebound.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.13
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.13 range top opens the path toward the 158 200-dma
Failure to hold 155.45/155.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could jolt this range; Labor Cash Earnings Tue is a JPY input
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 800 pips this week from 163.90 to a 155.23 Monday low on confirmed joint US-Japan yen-buying intervention. Price has since based in a 156.24–157.14 range, reclaiming EMA(20) but holding well below the steeply falling EMA(50). RSI(14) has lifted back toward the mid-50s as the sell-off stalls into the NY session.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.14, 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 156.24 reopens the 155.45 weekly low
Close above 157.14 range top exposes 157.88 and the 158.00 200-dma cap
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines or Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) could reset this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after washout · RSI 50 · price 156.79
Basing range above 155.45 low.
USD/JPY collapsed from ~164 toward 155.45 into Monday's session on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, and has since based in a tight 156.2–157.1 band across NY hours, carving marginal higher lows. Price is pinned to EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 after the washout, while EMA(50) sits well overhead. The 200-dma at 158 caps any rebound; 155.45 marks the intervention low.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.13
What it said to watch
H1 close below 156.24 exposes the 155.45 Monday low
Reclaim of 157.13 needed to challenge the 158 200-dma
Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could reignite the JPY bid
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 47 · price 156.79
Range after week's impulse leg down.
USD/JPY collapsed from ~164 to a 155.225 Monday low this week on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, the dominant driver behind the staggered lurches lower. Since that low, price has stabilised into a 156.2-157.1 range, holding above EMA(20) but well below EMA(50). RSI(14) is cycling mid-40s to low-50s with no fresh downside momentum near-term.
Support: 156.24, 155.45, 155.23
Resistance: 157.13
What it said to watch
H1 close below 156.24 reopens the path to the 155.45 week low
H1 close above 157.13 range top would challenge the 158 200-dma
Fresh MoF/US Treasury intervention headlines could materially shift this read
Wed ADP and ISM Services are the week's key USD risk events
The week's dominant story is the intervention-driven collapse from 163.90 to a 155.23 week low, with the weekend reopen gapping lower before demand stepped in. Since Monday's low, price has carved higher lows back to 157.04 and now sits above EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering through the mid-50s. Overhead, 157.58 caps the bounce and the 200-dma near 158 remains the intervention-flagged ceiling.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.58
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.58 opens the path toward the 158 200-dma
Failure to hold 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.23 week low
Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines or Labor Cash Earnings could shift this read
The confirmed US-Japan joint intervention dominated the week, dragging USD/JPY from ~164 to a Monday low of 155.23, the lowest since May. Since then price has ground higher into a tight 156.24-157.10 band, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering back toward the midline, but supply near the 158 200-dma has kept every rebound capped. Structure reads as a shallow bounce inside a broader downtrend.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 (200-dma) would extend the recovery
Failure to hold 156.24 reopens the 155.23 week low
Fresh intervention headlines or Friday NFP could reset this read
JPY was sharply bid all week on confirmed US-Japan joint intervention, dragging USDJPY from ~164 toward the 155.45 Monday low, the sharpest leg hitting during the NY session mid-week. Since Monday's open price has based in a 156.24–157.13 range, edging back above EMA(20) with RSI recovering off oversold. The 158 200-dma remains the cap overhead.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.13, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close below 156.24 swing low reopens the 155.45 Monday low
Close above 157.13 session high exposes the 157.88 prior high and 158 200-dma
Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines could reaccelerate the downside
ADP Wed and NFP Fri could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after intervention drop · RSI 50 · price 156.896
Sharp lower lows into Monday, now ranging above the weekly low.
USDJPY collapsed from the mid-163s toward 155.23 through last week and into Monday, driven by the confirmed US-Japan joint yen-buying intervention. Since the Monday low the pair has ground sideways in a 156.24–157.14 band, reclaiming EMA(20) while staying capped well below EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered toward the mid-line as the selling pressure eased, but structure remains lower highs off the week's downtrend.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.14, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.14 would extend the recovery toward the 157.88 Monday high
Loss of 156.24 reopens the 155.23 weekly low
Fresh intervention headlines or Wed ADP/ISM Services could materially shift this read
Intervention-driven collapse dominates the week: joint US-Japan Yen buying dragged USDJPY from ~164 toward Monday's 155.22 weekly low before a bounce. Price has since consolidated 156-157, basing above the 155.22 low with lower highs still capping into the descent. The 200-dma near 158 stands as intervention-defended resistance, and RSI(14) has recovered off oversold without reclaiming 50.
Support: 155.22
Resistance: 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-dma would negate the capped read
Failure to hold the 155.22 base confirms a fresh lower low
Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) and further intervention headlines could reshape this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 48 · price 156.96
Lower highs into a base above 155.45.
USD/JPY collapsed this week from ~164 toward the 155.22 Monday low in staggered legs on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, opening with a weekend gap lower. Since that low price has based between 155.45 and the 157.88 bounce high, recovering back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling up to mid-range. The 158 (200-dma) sits above as the intervention-defended cap on any rebound.
Support: 155.45
Resistance: 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 (200-dma) would challenge the intervention cap
Failure to hold 155.45 confirms a fresh lower low
Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4) and fresh intervention headlines could reprice this read
Sharp markdown, now consolidating above monday low.
USD/JPY round-tripped from Monday's ~163.9 open to sub-155.45 as confirmed joint US-Japan intervention crushed the pair through the NY session. Price has since based in a tight 156.2–157.1 range, holding above the intervention-defended monday low while trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits mid-40s after the flush, reflecting exhausted downside momentum rather than a turn.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.13, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.00 200dma would fade the intervention premium
Break below 155.45 monday low reopens the downside leg
Labor Cash Earnings Aug 4 23:30 UTC could add JPY fundamental support
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant unscheduled risk
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 42 · price 156.591
USD/JPY was slammed from ~164 to Monday's 155.45 low on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, the dominant move of the week. The bounce stalled near 157.13 and price has drifted back toward the lower end of the range, holding above the 156.24 session low with RSI(14) subdued in the low 40s. Both EMAs sit overhead as the pair grinds beneath the recovery high.
Support: 156.24, 155.45
Resistance: 157.13, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 156.24 opens the path to a 155.45 retest
Reclaim of 157.13 would challenge the lower-highs structure toward the 158.00 200dma
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines or Labor Cash Earnings (Aug 4) could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after intervention · RSI 44 · price 156.544
Sharp markdown, now consolidating near lows.
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.9 shelf toward 155.23 through the week as confirmed US-Japan joint intervention triggered aggressive short-covering in the yen. Price gapped lower into Monday's open and has since consolidated in a 155.2-157.6 band, with RSI recovering off oversold as the pair bases. The 157.14 area has capped the bounce twice while demand has held above the May-6 155.45 floor.
Support: 155.45, 155.23
Resistance: 157.14
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI (14:00 UTC, f/c 54) could shift this read as the next USD catalyst
H1 close below 155.23 confirms a lower-low and reopens the intervention floor
Reclaim of 157.14 would challenge the 158 rebound zone
Fresh US-Japan intervention headlines remain the primary swing factor
USDJPY has round-tripped this week, dropping from 163.9 toward 155.2 as confirmed US-Japan joint intervention drove aggressive yen short-covering. Since the weekend gap the pair has held a tight 156.3–157.1 band, sitting just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-40s. The rebound zone near 157.65 has capped attempts while the 155.45 weekly low remains the reference floor.
Support: 156.30, 155.45, 155.225
Resistance: 157.10, 157.65
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.10 opens the path back to the 157.65 rebound zone
Failure to hold 156.30 exposes 155.45 and a fresh lower low
ISM Manufacturing today and NFP Friday, plus fresh intervention headlines, could shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed from 163.90 to a 155.23 week low as confirmed coordinated US-Japan yen buying drove the pair sharply lower through Thursday and into this week's open. Price has since stabilised into a 156.3–157.1 range, with RSI(14) recovering off its low while both EMAs still sit above spot. The 155.45 May-6 low is the immediate support shelf beneath the recent higher lows.
Support: 156.32, 155.45, 155.23
Resistance: 157.14, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 would signal squeeze-back toward the 159–161 zone
Loss of 155.45 opens the week low and fresh downside
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could inject volatility into this read
USD/JPY collapsed from ~163.8 through the week as confirmed US-Japan coordinated Yen-buying forced a sharp short-covering slide, bottoming at 155.225 — the lowest since early May. Since that flush the pair has consolidated in a 156.30–157.10 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold back toward neutral, and price is tracking just under a flattening EMA(20). Higher lows have formed off 155.44, but each push into 157.10 has capped.
Support: 156.30, 155.45
Resistance: 157.10, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close below 155.45 reopens the week low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 157.88 swing high challenges the 158/159 squeeze zone from last week's range
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could inject fresh USD-side volatility
Fresh intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard for this read
Confirmed US-Japan yen-buying intervention crushed USDJPY from ~164 to a 155.225 week low, the sharp leg concentrated in Friday's and Monday's sessions. Price has since coiled in a 156.30–157.10 band, holding below EMA(20) with RSI recovering off oversold but capped near 44. The 155.45 May-6 low is the pivot underpinning this consolidation.
Support: 156.32, 155.45, 155.225
Resistance: 157.10, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.10 session high opens the 158.00 squeeze zone
Loss of 155.45 may-6 low confirms a fresh lower-low
Labor Cash Earnings Wed 23:30 GMT and any fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could shift this read
Sharp lower-lows into 155.45 base, now consolidating.
USDJPY collapsed from ~164 to a 155.45 base this week as confirmed US-Japan joint yen-buying forced aggressive short-covering. Since Monday's slightly gapped-down open the pair has consolidated 156.3–157.1, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but capped below the 157.88 bounce high. Price trades well beneath EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader structure lower.
Support: 156.32, 155.45
Resistance: 157.13, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close below 155.45 confirms the next lower-low
Reclaim of 158 would signal a squeeze-back toward last week's range
ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC, then NFP Friday, can materially shift this read
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 156.796
Impulsive leg down, basing above 155.45.
USD/JPY collapsed this week from Monday's ~163.9 open to a 155.23 low as confirmed US-Japan coordinated yen-buying intervention forced aggressive short-covering. Price is now basing above the 155.45 May-6 low, carving higher lows into the NY session, but still trades below EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s. Resistance at 157.14 has capped the bounce.
Support: 155.45, 155.225
Resistance: 157.135, 157.882
What it said to watch
H1 close below 155.45 opens the path toward and beyond the week low at 155.23
Reclaim of 157.88 would extend the squeeze-back toward the 159 zone
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 156.796
Lower highs, basing above 155.
USDJPY has been the week's dominant one-way move, collapsing from ~164 to a 155.23 session low after confirmed US-Japan coordinated yen-buying and a hawkish BoJ hold. Since Friday's flush the pair has based between 156 and 157.13, holding above the 155.45 weekly low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA(20) and well below EMA(50), so the recovery reads as consolidation within a broader downtrend.
Support: 155.45, 155.23
Resistance: 157.13, 157.88
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 155.23 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 157.88 needed to press the 159 squeeze top
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines remain the dominant wildcard
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 157.083
Lower highs into a 155.23 base, recovery forming higher lows.
USDJPY has collapsed from ~164 to a 155.23 week low as suspected BoJ/US yen-buying intervention and a hawkish BoJ hold forced aggressive short-covering. Monday's session gapped lower and printed the low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward 157 on a run of higher lows; the recovery remains capped below Monday's 157.88 high while price sits under EMA(20). ISM Manufacturing today is the USD-side risk on top of any further intervention headlines.
Support: 155.23, 156.30
Resistance: 157.88, 159.17
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.88 would extend the recovery toward 159.17
Failure to hold 156.30 reopens the 155.45/155.23 base
Renewed intervention headlines could sharply extend the down-move
US ISM at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
USDJPY has been sold hard all week as confirmed US-Japan coordinated intervention and a hawkish BoJ knocked the pair from the 163.90s down to a 155.23 low. Price has since bounced and is consolidating in the mid-156s, still trading below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 46. Demand stepped in at 155.23 but each recovery attempt has stalled beneath the descending lower-highs.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.65
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.65 would challenge the descending lower-highs
Loss of 155.23 confirms continuation to a fresh lower low
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines or Friday NFP could sharply shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after intervention · RSI 46 · price 156.952
Sharp lower highs and lower lows, basing near range low.
USDJPY collapsed through the week from 163.9 toward the 155.23 week low as confirmed US-Japan coordinated Yen buying and a hawkish BoJ drove aggressive selling. Price has since stabilised around 156.5-157, holding above 156.12 and grinding back toward the 157.58 swing high while trading below EMA20. The weekend gap lower and subsequent 155.23 sweep leave price consolidating at the base of the decline.
Support: 156.12, 155.23
Resistance: 157.58
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.58 swing high breaks the near-term lower-high sequence
Break of 155.23 week low extends the down leg
Failure to hold 156.12 swing low reopens the lows
US ISM today and any fresh intervention headlines could materially shift this read
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.90 area to a 155.22 week low as confirmed US-Japan coordinated yen-buying intervention drove the pair sharply lower through the week. Since the drop, price has based in a tight 156.32–156.85 band, holding below EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. The dominant move remains the intervention-led leg down; the current stabilization sits well below broken supports.
Support: 156.32, 155.22
Resistance: 156.85, 157.58
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could reset the USD leg and this range
H1 close above 157.58 would break the recent consolidation top
Loss of 156.32 reopens the 155.22 week low
Renewed intervention headlines remain a swing factor
A steep intervention-driven slide dominated the week, USD/JPY shedding roughly seven big figures from the 163.90 region into a 155.23 low on confirmed US-Japan coordinated yen-buying. Price has since carved a shallow base in the 156.30-156.80 area, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s. The 157.15 weekly open and 157.88 session high cap the rebound.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.15, 157.88
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 157.15 weekly open would ease the lower-low structure
Loss of 155.23 swing low reopens downside extension
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC and renewed intervention headlines could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, selloff pace easing · RSI 43 · price 156.741
Lower highs, lower lows; basing off week low.
USDJPY has been dominated by suspected US-Japan yen-buying intervention, collapsing roughly 8 big figures from Monday's 163.9 area to a 155.225 week low. Price gapped down at this week's open near 157.15 and extended lower before stabilising in a tight 156.3-156.8 base through the Asia and early London hours. Both EMAs sit well above spot; the recent bounce has lifted RSI(14) off oversold but momentum stays capped below the 157.65 prior close.
Support: 155.225
Resistance: 157.654
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (f/c 54, Prices Paid f/c 70) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 155.225 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the may-6 low
Reclaim of 157.65 prior close would neutralise the intraday downside
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating near week low.
USDJPY remains in a steep downtrend driven by the suspected MoF intervention theme, gapping lower into Monday's open and extending to 155.22 before stabilising. Price is consolidating in a tight 156.30–156.64 band well below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-40. The 157.15 weekly open and 157.88 session high cap the rebound overhead.
Support: 155.22
Resistance: 156.64, 157.15, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 157.15 weekly open would ease the downside pressure
Break below 155.22 week low confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially move this read
USDJPY has been dominated by intervention-driven selling, collapsing from the 163.90 area early in the week down through 158 and gapping lower over the weekend to print 155.23. Price is now consolidating around 156.40, well below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold as the vertical drop stabilises. The 155.23 low and 157.58 prior close bracket this week's post-intervention range.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.58, 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close above 157.58 would neutralise the markdown and reopen the 157.88 session high
Loss of 155.23 confirms continuation of the intervention-driven lower-low
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
USDJPY has been in a persistent downtrend since Thursday's suspected MoF intervention knocked the pair 163→158, and after a weekend gap lower it printed a fresh week low at 155.23 before basing. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39, cycling off oversold as the last four bars consolidate above the session low around 156.21. The prior high at 157.57 and the 158.00 psych level cap the rebound so far.
Support: 155.23, 156.21
Resistance: 157.57, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 155.23 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 157.57 / 158.00 psych would neutralise the descending structure
US ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC (f/c 54, Prices Paid 70) could materially shift this read
Series of lower highs and lower lows; bounce off week low.
USD/JPY has been in a sharp downtrend since Thursday, collapsing from the 163.9 area on suspected MoF intervention down to Monday's 155.23 swing low. Buyers stepped in at that session low, lifting price to a 156.64 bounce high, but rallies have stayed capped below the 157.88 session high and the 158.00 intervention floor overhead. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold as the pair consolidates well below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 156.64, 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 155.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 158.00 intervention floor would ease downside pressure
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 156.522
Lower highs, lower lows.
Sharp downtrend since Thursday's suspected MoF intervention knocked USDJPY from 163 through 158, with follow-through into last week printing a 155.225 swing low before a modest bounce. A weekend gap down opened near 157.15 and price has since drifted back to 156.5, holding well below all H1 EMAs with RSI depressed. The 156.64 session high is capping the current bounce; the 158.00 intervention floor sits as overhead resistance.
Support: 155.225
Resistance: 156.642, 157.654, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 157.654 would fill the weekend gap and ease downside pressure
Failure to hold 155.225 confirms a fresh lower-low
US ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed through the week from the 163.90 top to a 155.225 low as suspected MoF intervention repeatedly hammered the pair, leaving price well below both EMAs. A weekend gap lower (157.65 close to 157.15 open) extended the slide before demand stepped in at 155.225, and the last several bars have coiled in a 156.2–156.6 range. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold but the broader structure remains a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 155.225
Resistance: 157.60, 158.00
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC (f/c 54, Prices Paid 70) can drive the USD leg
H1 close below 155.225 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 158.00 intervention floor would neutralise the downside read
Renewed intervention headlines can spike two-way volatility
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 156.494
Lower highs and lower lows, below both EMAs.
USD/JPY has been in a steep decline all week, with suspected MoF intervention slamming the pair from the 163 handle down toward the 155.23 week low printed on Friday's sell-off. Price gapped lower into this week's open and tagged the 155.44 swing low again before buyers stepped in, lifting back to 156.50. RSI(14) sits in oversold territory and price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50, with the descending lower-highs sequence still intact.
Support: 155.44, 155.23
Resistance: 157.60
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 157.60 prior close would ease the downside pressure
Loss of the 155.23 week low confirms trend continuation lower
ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) and Tue's Labor Cash Earnings could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, sharp intervention-driven leg · RSI 33 · price 156.382
Series of lower highs and lower lows, oversold bounce underway.
USDJPY collapsed from 163.9 to a 155.23 low across the week as suspected MoF/US intervention and a hawkish BoJ hold hammered the pair, with the sharpest legs hitting during the Thursday NY session. Price gapped lower into Monday's open at 157.15 and remains well below EMA(20) and EMA(50); a modest bounce has lifted it back to 156.38 with RSI(14) working off oversold. The 157.88 day high now caps the recovery.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.88
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing today 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD side of this read
H1 close back above 157.88 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Failure to hold 155.23 confirms a fresh lower low
Intervention headlines above 160 remain a two-way risk per the digest
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, steep and extended · RSI 32 · price 156.382
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh week low.
USDJPY has been in a one-way slide all week after suspected BoJ/MoF intervention, accelerating through the 158.54 intervention-day low and printing a fresh week low at 155.23 into the latest sessions. RSI(14) sits oversold near 30 with price stretched well below EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the final bar's lift to 156.38 is only a modest bounce off the low. Friday's 157.65 close and the 158.54 shelf now sit overhead as the levels to watch for any recovery attempt.
Support: 155.23
Resistance: 157.65, 158.54
What it said to watch
Loss of 155.23 extends the down-leg and confirms another lower low
H1 close back above 157.65 would ease the immediate downside pressure
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
Fresh intervention headlines can whip this pair sharply either way
USD/JPY extended the intervention-driven slide this week, breaking through 158 and printing a fresh week low at 155.225 before a shallow bounce to 156.25. Price trades well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near oversold after the sharp NY-session leg lower. The 157.5–158.0 zone that capped the earlier rebound now sits overhead as resistance.
Support: 155.225
Resistance: 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.00 would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 155.225 confirms continuation lower
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could shift the yen read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 156.254
Lower highs, lower lows below broken 158.
USDJPY has been in a sustained slide all week, with a coordinated intervention-driven crash from the 163 highs followed by continued selling that broke the 158 floor and reached a 155.22 week low into the latest session. Price now trades at 156.25, well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned near oversold. The 157.65 Friday close and the 158.00 intervention low now cap the rebound as prior support.
Support: 155.225, 155.00
Resistance: 157.654, 158.00
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
A close back above 157.65 would ease the downside pressure and reclaim the prior floor
Failure to hold 155.22 confirms fresh lower lows and opens the 155.00 psych level
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes Tue are near-term JPY risk
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 37 · price 157.692
Lower highs and lower lows, probing weekly low.
A relentless slide this week has pulled USDJPY from 163.90 down through 160.00 and into the 157s, accelerated by the suspected BoJ/coordinated intervention that cracked the pair below 160. Price gapped lower over the weekend from 157.65 to 157.15 and is now grinding around the 157.00 weekly low with RSI(14) subdued near 37 and price well beneath both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Near-term bounces have stalled below 158.00.
Support: 157.00, 156.50
Resistance: 158.00, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 157.00 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 156.50 area
Reclaim of 158.00 would ease the immediate downside pressure
Labor Cash Earnings Aug 4 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes could materially shift this read; intervention risk remains live
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, capitulation then basing · RSI 38 · price 157.692
Lower highs, lower lows post-intervention.
USDJPY has been in freefall since mid-week, sliding from the 163.90 area toward 157 as suspected MoF/coordinated intervention and firmer Tokyo CPI drove sharp yen strength. Price opened the new week with a gap lower, printed a fresh low at 156.997, and is now probing back toward the 157.87 session high while holding well below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold but remains sub-40, consistent with a bounce inside a dominant downtrend.
Support: 156.997
Resistance: 157.872, 158.506
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 158.50 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 156.997 confirms continuation of the decline
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon and Labor Cash Earnings Aug 4 could reset this read