USDJPY has ground steadily higher off Monday's 155.22 intervention low, JPY giving back the coordinated-intervention rally as the yield gap reasserts. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low-60s, and the tape has stalled in the high-157s just below the 200-DMA at 158.02. The recovery is retracing roughly a third of last week's 163.74–155.22 drop.
Support: 157.30, 155.22
Resistance: 158.02, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 200-dma opens the path toward 159.00
Loss of 157.30 day low would mark the first lower-low of the recovery
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes within ~1h could shift this read
Fresh MoF/US intervention headline risks a sharp reversal toward 155.22
23:01 UTC
Rebound off the lows, momentum flattening · RSI 58 · price 157.723
Higher lows since Monday, stalling under 200-DMA.
USDJPY has rebounded from Monday's 155.20 intervention low, grinding higher-lows through the week and now stalling into the high-157s just beneath the 200-DMA at 158.02. The recovery reflects JPY giving back its intervention-driven gains as fiscal worries and yield differentials reassert; last several hours have compressed into a tight range with RSI cycling mid-range. The weekend gap lower from 157.65 has been fully filled and price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 157.21, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.02, 158.90
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens the path toward 158.90
Failure to hold 157.21 breaks the higher-low sequence back toward 156.30
Japan Labor Cash Earnings / BoJ minutes within the hour, plus US jobs Friday, are the main catalysts
Higher lows since intervention low, grinding into resistance.
USDJPY has clawed back the entire intervention drop, recovering from Monday's 155.23 intervention low toward the 200-day at 158.02 on renewed yen relief-selling. Price is grinding higher on a run of higher lows, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) around 60, but the 157.96 week high has capped the last push and price is consolidating just beneath it. The 158.02 area is the pivotal ceiling into the NY-to-Asia transition.
Support: 157.21, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 (200d) opens the path higher but is an intervention-risk zone
Loss of 157.21 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes tonight could shift this read
Higher lows since Monday's intervention low, capped under 158.00.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off Monday's 155.23 intervention low, printing a sequence of higher lows through the week as the ~$87bn MoF spike retraces. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s/low 60s on each pullback, but the advance is stalling into the mid-157s as it approaches the 200-day ceiling near 158.02 — a zone the market treats as intervention-risk. Latest bars have compressed under 157.80, showing supply capping the recovery.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens the path back toward the pre-intervention range
Failure to hold 157.30 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes tonight, then NFP Friday, could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Recovery uptrend off week low, momentum easing near resistance · RSI 58 · price 157.732
Higher lows since 155.23, grinding into 158 ceiling.
USD/JPY has clawed back the entire post-intervention drop, recovering from Monday's 155.23 spike low to the mid-157s in a steady sequence of higher lows through the NY session. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, but the advance is stalling just under the 157.96 week high and the 200-day at 158.02 — the flagged intervention-risk zone. The recovery reflects relief-selling of the yen resuming after the ~$87bn MoF operation, with fiscal and carry dynamics keeping standalone JPY strength contained.
Support: 157.20, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens path higher but sits in the flagged intervention-risk zone
Failure to hold 157.20 breaks the higher-low sequence off 155.23
ADP + ISM Services Wed and Friday's NFP could materially shift this read
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off Monday's 155.23 intervention low, printing higher lows through each session as post-FOMC dollar softness offsets soft yen fundamentals. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 band on pullbacks, and is now pressing back toward the 157.96 weekly high and the 200-day at 158.02 — the flagged intervention-risk ceiling. The 155.23 base still marks the downside reference for the recovery.
Support: 157.21, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens higher but sits in the intervention-risk zone
Failure to hold 157.20 breaks the higher-low sequence
ADP/ISM Services Wed and NFP Friday could materially shift this read
Labor Cash Earnings tonight a secondary JPY catalyst
Higher lows off intervention low, grinding toward 200-DMA.
USD/JPY has fully retraced the ~$87bn coordinated intervention drop, climbing from Monday's 155.23 low back toward the 200-DMA ceiling at 158.02 as yield-gap and fiscal weakness reassert. Price has built successive higher lows since the London-NY grind, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 band on each pullback. The 157.96 session high and 158.02 pivot cap the recovery for now.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.02, 157.96
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 200-DMA opens the path higher toward 159
Failure to hold 157.30 higher-low breaks the recovery structure
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight, plus fresh intervention rhetoric near 158, could shift this read
US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst via the dollar leg
USD/JPY has fully unwound last week's ~$87bn intervention spike, climbing off Monday's 155.23 low back toward the 200-DMA at 158.02 as fiscal and yield-gap yen weakness reasserts. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 zone on each pullback, and the recent 157.96 high has capped the latest push. The 158.02 area is the pivot the week has been building toward.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.02, 157.96
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 200-DMA opens path higher but invites fresh intervention rhetoric
Failure to hold 157.30 breaks the higher-low sequence off Monday's low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight, then US NFP Friday are the swing factors
Higher lows off intervention low, stalling near 158.
USDJPY has fully retraced the coordinated-intervention flush, climbing from Monday's 155.23 low back toward the 200-DMA at 158.02 as fiscal and rate-gap yen weakness reasserted. Two attempts into 157.95 this week have been capped, and price is now consolidating in the mid-157s just below that ceiling with RSI cycling near 55. The recovery has held above EMA20 through the NY session, with pullbacks so far finding support above 157.20.
Support: 157.21, 155.23
Resistance: 157.95, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 (200-DMA) opens the path toward the 159 area
Failure to hold 157.20 breaks the sequence of higher lows
ADP tomorrow and NFP Friday are the decisive catalysts and could materially shift this read
Fresh MoF/US intervention rhetoric near 158 could sharply reverse the recovery
USD/JPY has fully retraced Monday's ~155.23 intervention low, grinding back to ~157.65 as fiscal drag and the wide rate gap reasserted yen weakness. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-50s, but the 157.96 week high and the 158.02 200-DMA have capped the advance into the NY session. Higher-lows structure remains intact off the Monday spike.
Support: 157.21, 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens the path higher toward the 200-DMA acceptance
Failure to hold 157.21 exposes 156.24 and unwinds the higher-low sequence
ADP tomorrow and NFP Friday are the decisive USD-leg catalysts; fresh MoF/US intervention rhetoric near 158 could sharply reverse this read
USD/JPY has fully retraced the Monday intervention slump from 155.23, grinding higher-lows back toward the 200-day MA at 158.02 that has capped this week's rally. Momentum is cooling — RSI(14) sits mid-range and price is consolidating in a tight 157.4–157.9 band into the NY close, with rate-differential buyers fading the coordinated JPY-buying intervention. The 157.90 session high and 158.02 pivot are the area to watch for rejection or acceptance above.
Support: 157.21, 156.47, 155.23
Resistance: 157.90, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens the 159-160 zone where intervention risk re-emerges
Failure to hold 157.21 exposes 156.47 then the 155.23 intervention low
Labor Cash Earnings tonight (23:30 UTC) and Friday NFP could materially shift this read
Higher lows off intervention low, capped at 200-day MA.
USD/JPY has round-tripped Monday's 155.23 intervention low, grinding back to retest the 200-day MA at 158.02 as the wide rate gap fades the joint intervention. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling mid-range, but the advance stalled at the 157.96 session high and is consolidating just beneath the pivot. The firm US ISM print earlier this week underpinned the dollar leg back toward 158.
Support: 157.30, 156.46, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 opens the path toward the 159-160 intervention-risk zone
Failure to hold 157.30 exposes the 156.46 swing low
US NFP Friday is the dominant USD/JPY driver; Labor Cash Earnings tonight a lesser risk
USDJPY has round-tripped the intervention slump, grinding up from Monday's 155.23 low back toward the 200-day MA at 158.02 as carry and yield-differential flows fade the $87bn joint action. The advance stalled at the 157.91 week high before easing to 157.54, now hovering around EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling from mid-week highs. Higher lows since Monday remain intact but the 158.02 pivot has capped the recovery.
Support: 157.21, 156.46, 155.23
Resistance: 157.91, 158.02
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 158.02 200d ma opens the 159-160 zone where intervention risk builds
Loss of the higher-low trendline and 157.21 session low reopens 156.46 swing low
US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and could reprice this recovery
USD/JPY has retraced almost the entire intervention slump, climbing off Monday's 155.23 low back toward the 200-day MA at 158.02 as carry and yield-gap flows fade the ~$87bn US-Japan yen-buying. The advance stalled at 157.91 into the NY session and has since consolidated near 157.5, with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral after the push. Higher lows remain intact but price is pinned just under the 158.02 pivot.
Support: 157.21, 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.91, 158.02
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 158.02 200d ma opens the 159–160 zone where intervention risk returns
Failure to hold 157.21 day low exposes 156.24 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight, then Friday NFP, could reset this recovery read
USD/JPY has retraced the entire post-intervention slump, climbing from Monday's 155.23 intervention low back toward the 158.02 200-day MA as yield-gap and fiscal drivers of yen weakness reasserted. The advance stalled just under 157.95 into the NY session and price has since eased back to the EMA20, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. Higher lows remain intact off the 155.23 base.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.02 200-dma opens the path toward the 159-160 zone
Failure to hold 156.30 threatens the higher-low sequence
Recovery off weekly low, consolidating below 158.00.
USDJPY collapsed from 163.90 to the 155.23 intervention low early this week, then clawed back most of the drop toward 158 as yen-weak drivers (yield gap, fiscal concerns, firm US ISM) reasserted. Price is now consolidating around 157.5, capped by resistance near 158.00 while holding a series of higher lows off Monday's base. RSI(14) is hovering mid-range as the bounce loses momentum below the week high.
Support: 157.21, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.02
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 159-160 zone
Failure to hold 157.20 exposes 156.30 then the 155.23 weekly low
Friday US NFP and tonight's Labor Cash Earnings could materially shift this read
USDJPY has clawed back from Thursday's 155.23 intervention-driven low, printing a sequence of higher lows into the NY session and stalling just under the 158.00 200-DMA pivot. The pair is now consolidating around 157.55 after a pullback from the 157.96 session high, with RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range. The 155-160 intervention band remains the dominant frame; Friday's US NFP is the key event for direction within it.
Support: 156.90, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-DMA pivot opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention cap
Failure to hold 156.90 swing low signals the recovery leg is stalling
US July NFP Friday is the main driver for direction inside the 155-160 band
Higher lows off Monday's crash low, grinding into 158.
USDJPY has clawed back most of the post-intervention plunge, printing higher lows off Monday's 155.23 low as fiscal worries and carry override the coordinated yen-buying. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 but 157.95 has capped the last two pushes into the 158.00 200-DMA zone. RSI cycling mid-50s reflects a grind rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 157.20, 155.23
Resistance: 157.95, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention cap
Failure to hold 157.20 confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
US NFP Friday is the key driver for direction within the 155-160 band
Coordinated US-Japan yen buying drove USD/JPY sharply lower earlier this week, printing a 155.23 low before demand stepped in and dragged the pair back into the mid-157s through Tuesday. The recovery has been an orderly grind of higher lows, but the 157.96 session high and the 158.00 200-DMA have capped the advance and price is now easing back toward EMA20. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline, consistent with consolidation rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 157.00, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-dma reopens the 159-160 zone
Loss of 157.00 psych exposes 156.30 swing low
Failure to hold 155.23 week low confirms a lower-low
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight, then US NFP Friday, can reshape this range
USD/JPY was slammed from the 163s to a 155.23 low mid-week on confirmed US-Japan coordinated yen-buying, then based and clawed back to the mid-157s as the dollar stabilised and intervention faded. Price is consolidating just under the 158.00 200-DMA, having stalled at a 157.96 week high before pulling back into the NY session. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the recovery flattens below resistance.
Support: 157.21, 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path back toward the 159-160 zone
Failure to hold 157.21 exposes the 156.24 swing low
US NFP Friday and JOLTS today are the dominant USD catalysts for this range
Renewed MoF/intervention rhetoric could trigger a sharp move back toward 155.23
USD/JPY has ground higher off Monday's 155.23 low, the trough carved by last week's coordinated US-Japan intervention, and now trades the mid-157s. The recovery has printed steady higher lows but stalled into the week high at 157.96 and the 200d sma near 158.00, where the last push faded. RSI(14) sits mid-range, easing as the advance loses pace beneath that resistance shelf.
Support: 157.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 158.53 fib area
Loss of the 157.30 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
US NFP Friday and Japan Labor Cash Earnings tonight are key catalysts
Fresh intervention chatter could sharply reprice the recovery
USDJPY has ground higher off Monday's 155.23 intervention-driven low, printing steady higher-lows through the week before stalling in the mid-157s. Two attempts have been capped near the 157.96 week high, keeping price below the 158.00 200-day SMA cited as the intervention-defined ceiling. RSI(14) has flattened around the mid-50s and the last two bars pulled back to the EMA20 after profit-booking into the NY session.
Support: 157.30, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 (200d sma) opens the path toward 159.00
Failure to hold 157.30 day low exposes 156.30 swing low
US JOLTS today 14:00 GMT and Friday NFP are the key catalysts for this pair
USD/JPY has clawed back roughly a third of this week's intervention-driven collapse, grinding higher off the 155.23 low into a rounded recovery toward 157.95 before this NY-session pullback. Price stalled at 157.95 and has slipped back beneath EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s, so the recovery is losing pace while still holding above EMA(50). The 158.00 area — flagged as an intervention ceiling — has capped the advance.
Support: 157.15, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.95, 158.00, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 extends the recovery toward 160.00
Failure to hold 157.15 opens a retest of 156.30
Japan wage data 23:30 UTC and Friday US NFP are key catalysts
Renewed intervention headlines could gap the pair back toward 155.23
USDJPY has ground out a series of higher lows since the intervention-driven flush to 155.23, clawing back toward the 157.60 recovery zone flagged as a cap. The push to 157.95 was rejected and price has slipped back to 157.42, still holding above EMA(20). The 158 area, near the 200-day SMA and the 158-160 intervention ceiling, remains the dominant lid on this week's rebound.
Support: 157.15, 155.23
Resistance: 157.60, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 200-day area
Failure to hold the 157.15 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
Japan Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ Minutes tonight could shift the tone
USDJPY has clawed back off the 155.23 intervention low from Monday, grinding higher through the week on JPY profit-taking as the dollar stabilised near DXY 100 after the strong ISM print. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 zone on each pullback, printing higher lows into the NY session. The 157.95/158.00 area — coinciding with the flagged 200-day SMA — has capped the latest push and is the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 157.15, 155.23
Resistance: 157.96, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 158.5-160 intervention zone
Failure to hold 157.15 weekly open breaks the higher-low structure
JOLTS today and ADP Wed could shift the USD read ahead of Friday's NFP
Fresh intervention headlines near 160 would cap quickly
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 157.832
Bounce off intervention low, grinding higher.
USD/JPY was hammered mid-week by the confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, collapsing from the 163.90 area to a 155.23 low. Since Friday's session it has ground steadily higher, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 50s, and is now retesting the 158.00 200-day SMA / psychological zone after basing near 156.50. The recovery remains capped below the 200-dma while price sits under EMA(50).
Support: 156.50, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 158.90
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the 158.90 swing high
Loss of 156.50 recent base reopens the 155.23 intervention low
US NFP Friday and JOLTS/ADP this week are the primary catalysts for this pair
USDJPY has been grinding higher off the 155.23 intervention low all through Monday's and today's sessions, reclaiming the 157.60 shelf and pushing to 157.90 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with pullbacks holding the rising 157.45 swing low. Profit-taking on the post-intervention yen run has let the dollar edge back, but the 158.00 psych level — near the widely cited 200-day SMA — is the immediate cap area to watch.
Support: 157.45, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 159.00 prior swing
Loss of 157.45 swing low breaks the recovery sequence of higher lows
Fresh MoF/US intervention rhetoric could cap rallies below 158.00
US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDJPY was hammered nearly nine figures earlier this week as confirmed joint US-Japan yen-buying dragged price from 163.90 to a 155.23 intervention low. Since Monday's reopen the pair has carved a rounded base and ground back above EMA20 and EMA50, printing higher lows into the 157.90 area with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s. The 200-day-region 158.00 handle is the immediate cap on this recovery leg, with intervention rhetoric still capping rallies toward 160.
Support: 157.50, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path back toward 159.00
Loss of 157.50 higher-low structure exposes 156.30
US ADP + ISM Services (Wed) and Friday NFP could materially shift this read
Fresh MoF/US intervention headlines cap upside toward 160
USD/JPY has ground higher since Monday's intervention-driven plunge to 155.23, printing a sequence of higher lows into the NY session with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s. Price sits above EMA(20) but the 158.00 area — flagged as the 200-day pivot — remains untested overhead. The grind is orderly within a rising channel, coiling just below 157.9.
Support: 157.47, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 158.90
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward 158.90
Failure to hold 157.47 threatens a lower low back toward 156.30
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention risk still cited near 160; Friday NFP is the week's main USD-side catalyst
Confirmed joint US-Japan intervention slammed USD/JPY from ~163.6 to a 155.23 week low early in the window, and price has since carved a rounded base near 156.30 and ground back above EMA20. Higher lows have printed on every pullback since Monday's open, with the pair now pressing the 157.8 area into the NY session; the 158.00 psych level is the next cap. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, tracking the recovery without stretching to extremes.
Support: 157.10, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 158.90
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path toward the 158.90 prior base
Failure to hold 157.10 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings tonight and Friday's US NFP could reset this read
Intervention risk noted near 160 caps upside extension
USD/JPY has clawed back from Monday's 155.23 intervention low, printing higher lows through the NY session and holding above EMA20/EMA50 on H1. The rebound follows a brutal week-open slump driven by confirmed joint US-Japan JPY buying; price is now grinding into the 158.00 area flagged as the 200-day/psych barrier. RSI(14) has cycled back near 60 on the recovery leg without stretching into overbought.
Support: 157.20, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 158.90
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 158.00 opens the path back toward 158.90
Loss of 157.20 breaks the recovery's higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and BoJ Minutes 23:50 UTC could reset this read
Recovery off intervention low, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 157.715
Higher lows since Monday's crash, capped under 158.
USD/JPY was hammered from ~163.9 to 155.23 early this week on confirmed joint US-Japan yen-buying intervention, and has since ground out a sequence of higher lows, reclaiming the 157.15 weekly open. Price sits above EMA(20) but is still capped beneath EMA(50) and the 158 200-day line, with RSI(14) cycling back toward 58 on each push. The 157.77 day high has been tested repeatedly without a clean break.
Support: 157.15, 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.77
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158 opens path back toward the pre-crash 159 shelf
US ADP (Wed) and labour data are the swing factor for the USD leg
Failure to hold 156.30 reopens the 155.23 intervention low
Fresh MoF/Treasury intervention headlines could cap upside near 158
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 157.516
Higher lows building above intervention low.
An intervention-driven collapse from ~164 to 155.23 dominates the window, but price has since carved a series of higher lows and ground back to 157.5. It's holding above a rising EMA20 while still capped below the falling EMA50, with the 158 200-day average — flagged in context as resistance — the next hurdle. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off oversold.
Support: 156.55, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 159.18
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200dma opens the path toward 159.18
Failure to hold 156.55 higher-low reopens the 155.23 week low
Fresh intervention headlines or Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could reset this read
06:01 UTC
Recovery off the crash low, momentum steadying · RSI 56 · price 157.516
Higher lows since the weekend gap, capped near 158.
USDJPY is grinding back up after the intervention-driven collapse that dumped price from ~163.7 to a 155.23 low around the weekend gap. A series of higher lows has built through the NY session, but the 157.88 recovery high and the ~158 200dma have capped the advance, with RSI(14) mid-range near 56. The recovery holds above EMA20 while carry keeps a floor and intervention risk caps the topside.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.88
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158 (200dma) would extend the recovery toward the 160 area
Failure to hold the 156.24 higher low reopens the 155.23 week low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and fresh intervention headlines are the dominant near-term catalyst
USD/JPY has clawed back from Monday's intervention plunge to 155.23, grinding out a series of higher lows through the NY session to trade near 157.64. The confirmed joint US-Japan yen-buying drove the collapse from the 163 handle; the current recovery sits above the H1 EMA(20) but remains below the 158 area (200-dma) and is corrective within that broader down-move. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s as the bounce matures.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158 (200-dma) would extend the recovery leg
Loss of 156.24 higher-low support reopens the 155 pivot and week low
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC are key catalysts that could shift this read
Fresh intervention headlines would cap upside into the 158 area
Higher lows since Monday's low, grinding into resistance.
USD/JPY has clawed back from Monday's confirmed US-Japan intervention crash that printed a 155.23 week low, grinding higher-lows through the NY session and holding above EMA(20). Price now sits below EMA(50) but presses the 157.88 prior high with the 158.00 200-day SMA — the level intervention is seen defending — capping just overhead. Momentum is steady rather than stretched, RSI cycling in the low 60s on the recovery.
Support: 156.80, 155.23
Resistance: 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
Close above 158.00 (200-day sma) reopens the pre-crash zone but sits in the renewed intervention-risk band
Failure to hold 156.80 shifts the read back toward the 155.23 week low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC could materially shift the JPY read
USDJPY gapped down to 157.15 at Monday's open, flushed to 155.22 as confirmed US-Japan intervention drove the yen bid, then ground steadily higher through NY hours to retest 157.65. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 zone on each pullback, but the 157.87 week high and the 158.00 (200-day sma) level cap the recovery. Advance reflects rebuilt hawkish-Fed pricing offset by lingering intervention risk near 158.
Support: 157.15, 156.30, 155.22
Resistance: 157.87, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 clears the 200-day sma and week high, but sits in flagged intervention territory
Failure to hold 157.15 wk open reopens 156.30 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings Tue 23:30 UTC and ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Recovery off weekly low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 157.667
Higher lows since Tokyo low, below 200-dma.
USD/JPY collapsed from ~164 to a 155.23 low this week on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, and has since carved a string of higher lows through the Tokyo and early European hours to trade back at 157.667. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling up near 63, but the 200-dma around 158 and the 157.88 prior high have yet to be cleared. The 155.23 base and the rising higher-low sequence frame the current recovery.
Support: 156.24, 155.23
Resistance: 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 (200-dma) opens the path toward the 160 intervention cap
Failure to hold 156.24 higher-low support risks a retest of the 155.23 weekly low
ADP and ISM Services Wed (12:15/14:00 UTC) plus repeat intervention risk could shift this read
USD/JPY collapsed from ~163.9 to a 155.23 week low as confirmed joint US-Japan intervention forced heavy short-covering. Since Monday's flush a base has formed around 156.30 and price has ground higher through the NY session, now sitting above EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50). The 158.00 200-dma marks the intervention/resistance zone that has yet to be tested from below.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 158.00, 159.20
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-dma opens path back toward 159.20
Failure to hold 156.30 swing low reopens the 155.23 week low
Fresh intervention headlines could cap and reverse the bounce
ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
USD/JPY was slammed from the 163s to a 155.23 low earlier this week on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, then has ground steadily higher, printing higher lows off 156.30 and reclaiming EMA(20). Price now presses the 157.67 session high with RSI(14) around 62, leaving the 158.00 200-day SMA as the next overhead marker. The bounce remains capped below the level flagged as an intervention line, keeping two-way risk in play.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.67, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-day SMA extends the recovery toward the 160 cap
Fresh intervention headlines would threaten the higher-low sequence off 155.23
Labor Cash Earnings and BoJ minutes (23:30/23:50 UTC today) could shift this read
USD/JPY was slammed from the 163.70 area to a 155.23 week low on confirmed joint US-Japan intervention, then based and has been grinding back up through this week's later sessions to 157.60. Price holds above EMA(20) on a chain of higher lows since the Monday flush, with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s/low-60s. The 200-day near 158.00 and the 157.88 swing high cap the recovery for now.
Support: 157.15, 155.23
Resistance: 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 200-day opens path toward the 160 area
Failure to hold 157.15 mon low breaks the higher-low sequence
Fresh intervention headlines could press back toward 155.23 week low
Labor Cash Earnings tonight and ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift USD-JPY tone
USDJPY collapsed from ~163.9 to a 155.22 week low on the historic coordinated US-Japan yen-buying intervention, then gapped and has ground higher through the Asia and NY sessions on a series of higher lows. Price now sits at 157.54, retracing roughly a quarter of the crash and pressing back toward the 157.65 Friday close, with the 200-day near 158 flagged as intervention resistance. RSI(14) has cycled up to the low-60s on this recovery leg.
Support: 156.30, 155.22
Resistance: 157.65, 158.00
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 158.00 (200-day) clears the intervention-cap zone toward prior levels
Failure to hold 156.30 swing low reopens the 155.22 week low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Rebound off intervention low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 157.539
Higher lows since week open, basing above 156.30.
USD/JPY gapped lower at the week open and spiked to 155.23, the week low, on coordinated US-Japan intervention before basing through the Asia and London sessions. Price has since ground back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 63, retracing most of the crash toward the week high at 157.88 and the 158.00 figure. Higher lows off 156.30 keep the rebound intact.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.88, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 figure extends the recovery toward the pre-crash zone
Loss of 156.30 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and fresh intervention headlines could shift this read
00:01 UTC
Recovering after intervention crash · RSI 61 · price 157.539
Basing above 155.23, higher lows.
USDJPY collapsed from ~163.70 to a 155.23 low on the coordinated US-Japan intervention, then gapped down at the week's open before basing. Price has carved higher lows since, grinding back to 157.55 into current hours with RSI(14) recovering near 60 and holding above EMA(20). The 157.87/158.00 zone — the 200-day area — is the first structural cap on the rebound.
Support: 156.30, 155.23
Resistance: 157.87, 158.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.00 opens the path back toward the pre-crash structure
Failure to hold 156.30 threatens a retest of the 155.23 weekly low
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read