USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 5 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, thin liquidity · RSI 59 · price 161.443
Higher highs off session low.
Thin early-week open ground USDJPY up from the 161.27 session low to a 161.50 session high, RSI(14) near 59. The 161.29-to-161.47 pop on light volume did the heavy lifting, but broader USD stays heavy after Thursday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K).
Support: 161.40, 161.272
Resistance: 161.504
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.40 pullback lo opens 161.27 session low
160.60 pivot below remains the intervention-watch level
Labor Cash Earnings (Jul 6 23:30 UTC) and ISM Services could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Recovering off weekend gap, grinding up · RSI 65 · price 161.443
Post-gap higher lows into session high.
Thin early-Asia liquidity after the US holiday: price gapped in near 161.27 then ground higher to tap the 161.50 session high, RSI(14) around 65. Recovery follows Thursday's NFP-driven slide toward 160.62; move is holiday-thin and headline-sensitive with MoF intervention chatter live.
Support: 161.27, 160.62
Resistance: 161.50, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.27 negates the post-gap higher-low chain
Break above 161.50 opens 161.90
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
Early Monday Asia session opened after the weekend gap and USD/JPY has ground from 161.27 up to the 161.50 session high on very thin holiday-hangover liquidity, RSI(14) near 69. Move fits the broader JPY-short squeeze off 40yr lows, but ranges are tiny — ATR barely 5 pips.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.50, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.50 extends the recovery toward 161.90
Loss of 161.27 reopens the weekend gap and 161.00
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC could sharply expand ranges from thin Asia levels
23:31 UTC
Recovering off gap low, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 161.47
Higher highs after thin reopen.
Thin Asia-reopen liquidity; USD/JPY rebounded from the 161.27 session low to break the 161.50 session high, RSI(14) near 68. Move fits the broader corrective bounce after Thursday's soft US NFP dragged the pair toward 160.62.
Support: 161.27, 160.62
Resistance: 161.50, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.27 negates the recovery, re-exposing 160.62
162.45 remains the near-term cap on any extension
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and intervention headlines could reset this read
USDJPY reopened with a small gap down to 161.27 in thin Sunday-Asia liquidity, then ticked steadily higher to 161.47, back into Friday's range. Move is low-volume and running into the 161.47 session high; wider JPY tone stays two-way on intervention risk.
Support: 161.27, 160.98
Resistance: 161.47, 161.52, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 opens the path back toward the 161.90 band
Loss of 161.27 reopen low reasserts the down leg toward 161.00
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and thin liquidity could spike this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, thin liquidity · RSI 68 · price 161.466
Gap-down reopen, recovering to session high.
Reopen gapped down from 161.36 to ~161.27 in thin holiday liquidity, then recovered on a soft USD after the NFP miss to print the session high at 161.47. Micro-structure is a clean HL chain off 161.27; RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme given the low-volume tape.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.47 opens the path toward the 161.90 resistance band
Failure to hold 161.27 reopens the pivot at 161.00
JPY Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) plus intervention headline risk in thin liquidity could shift this read
Sunday reopen gapped USD/JPY back to 161.27 after Friday's drift toward the 161.00 pivot on the soft US NFP miss and lingering intervention chatter. A thin-liquidity spike tagged 161.47 before price settled around 161.41; ranges are compressed with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.90
What it said to watch
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could inject volatility into thin Asian liquidity
Close above 161.47 extends the reopen pop toward the 161.90 band
Loss of 161.27 reopens the 161.00 pivot; intervention risk sub-160.60
Thin holiday/Asia session popped off 161.27 to a 161.47 session high, then coiled to hold near 161.41 on tiny 4-pip ATR ranges. USD stays soft after the NFP miss while JPY carries an intervention bid, keeping this a two-way, low-liquidity drift.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.90
What it said to watch
Break above 161.47 opens the path toward the 161.90 supply band
Loss of 161.27 reopens the 161.00 pivot
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject volatility into thin conditions
MoF intervention headlines an ambush risk in Tokyo hours
Weekend gap down, then grind back to session high.
USDJPY reopened with a weekend gap down to 161.27, then ground back to the session high at 161.47 before easing to 161.42 in very thin Asia-open liquidity. The tape stays firm sub-162 after the soft US NFP miss kept the dollar heavy, but ATR is compressed to ~5 pips and no clean intraday swing is in play yet.
Support: 161.271, 161.00, 160.60
Resistance: 161.472, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.47 opens the path toward the 161.90 supply band
Failure to hold the 161.00 pivot reopens 160.60
Thin holiday liquidity leaves gaps prone to sharp two-way moves on intervention headlines
Sunday reopen printed a gap and a fast push to 161.47 in ultra-thin holiday liquidity, USD/JPY stabilising near 161.42 with RSI(14) around 66. Broader tone stays heavy sub-162 after the soft NFP, but the immediate M15 sequence is higher lows off the 161.27 session low.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.47 opens the path toward the 161.90 supply band
Failure to hold 161.27 reopens the 161.00 pivot
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention headlines are a live risk in thin holiday liquidity
Thin, holiday-shortened reopen gapped down to 161.27 then filled quickly, with a pop to the 161.47 session high on the last impulse as USD stays soft after Thursday's NFP miss. Price is back at the prior range top; ATR is compressed near 4 pips on light liquidity.
Support: 161.27, 161.00, 160.60
Resistance: 161.47, 161.52
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 161.52 extends the recovery toward 161.90
Loss of 161.00 pivot re-exposes the 160.60 floor
Labor Cash Earnings Mon 23:30 UTC and MoF intervention chatter can whip thin liquidity
Thin holiday-open liquidity; USDJPY ticked out of a tight 161.27-161.31 coil with a single bar pop to 161.47 before settling near 161.40. RSI(14) around 61, no extreme, and moves are being carried on razor-thin volume so follow-through is unproven.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.47 extends the recovery toward 161.52
Loss of 161.28 negates the breakout and reopens 161.00
MoF intervention chatter in thin Tokyo hours could whipsaw price
USD/JPY gapped higher into the Monday Asia open, popping to a session high at 161.472 on thin holiday liquidity before settling near 161.40; RSI(14) around 62. Friday's range top at 161.42 has been reclaimed, leaving the 161.27 gap open as the first support.
Support: 161.272, 161.10
Resistance: 161.472, 161.42
What it said to watch
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could shift the JPY read
Loss of 161.27 gap open reopens Friday's 161.10 swing
160.60 remains the intervention floor flagged by MoF
Thin Sunday reopen gapped down to 161.27 then snapped up to tag the reopen high at 161.47 before settling at 161.40. Price sits above EMA20/50 but ATR is compressed on holiday-thin liquidity; USD stays soft after Thursday's 57K NFP miss.
Support: 161.27, 161.00
Resistance: 161.47, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.47 opens path toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.27 reopen low reopens 161.00
Thin liquidity plus MoF intervention chatter can spike ranges sharply
Thin, holiday-shortened reopen has USDJPY grinding around 161.30 after gapping down from Friday's 161.36 close, extending the post-NFP softness in the dollar. Price is coiling in a tight 161.27-161.32 band on minimal volume, still inside the prior session's 161.10-161.52 range with no fresh directional break.
Support: 161.27, 161.10
Resistance: 161.42, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.42 reopens the 161.52 session high
Break below 161.27 exposes 161.10 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines can jolt this thin book
22:01 UTC
Recovery stalling, now flat · RSI 54 · price 161.323
Range after bounce off 160.48.
USDJPY recovered off the 160.48 flush to 161.42 then went sideways into thin, holiday-shortened liquidity, price now hovering 161.32 just under the EMA20. No setup in play — coiling inside the 161.00–161.42 band after Thursday's NFP miss dragged the pair off its highs.
Support: 161.00, 160.60
Resistance: 161.42, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.42 reopens the 161.90 supply band
Sunday reopen gapped down modestly from Friday's 161.36 close to 161.27 and has gone flat at 161.28 on paper-thin volume. Friday recovered off the 160.48 low back to a 161.42 session high after USD stayed soft on the June NFP miss; the reopen sits mid that Friday range with no intraday structure yet formed.
Support: 161.00, 160.60, 160.48
Resistance: 161.42
What it said to watch
Break above 161.42 friday high reopens the upper range; hold below keeps the gap-down read intact
160.60 intervention floor — area to watch on any push toward 161.00 pivot
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could inject the first real M15 range
USD/JPY reopened after the weekend with a small gap down to 161.28 on wafer-thin liquidity, idling just under the 161.42 session high. The prior session drifted lower for a second day after Thursday's soft US payrolls miss; price is now hovering above the 161.00 pivot with barely any range in the fresh bars.
Support: 161.00, 160.60
Resistance: 161.42
What it said to watch
Break below 161.00 pivot opens the path toward the 160.60 intervention floor
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
MoF intervention chatter into thin liquidity risks sharp JPY squeezes
Thin holiday reopen has USD/JPY idling near 161.28 after Friday's second down-day on the soft US payrolls miss. The visible window swept down to 160.48 before recovering to the 161.42 session high; price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI neutral, no directional development into the reopen.
Support: 161.00, 160.60, 160.48
Resistance: 161.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens the path toward 160.60
Reclaim of 161.42 session high needed to resume the recovery
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC and intervention headlines could shift this read
Thin holiday-shortened reopen has USD/JPY ticking sideways around 161.28 after a second down-day slid it toward the 161.00 pivot on the soft US NFP miss and intervention chatter. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 and ATR is compressed in the light liquidity; prior session capped at 161.42 with the 161.00 area holding underneath.
Support: 161.00, 160.60
Resistance: 161.42, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 opens the path toward 160.60 then 160.00
Recovery capped in the 161.90-162.45 band would confirm the ceiling
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC + Waller can materially shift this read
Thin holiday liquidity — the Sunday reopen gapped ~9 pips lower to 161.28 after the prior session faded from 161.52 to a 160.48 low then recovered toward 161.42. Pair is now pinned in a 1-2 pip micro-range on near-zero volume; USD stays soft after the June NFP miss, keeping rallies capped.
Support: 160.98, 160.48
Resistance: 161.42, 161.52
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.42 needed to fill the reopen gap and resume the recovery
Loss of 160.98 opens the 160.48 session low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and ISM Services Mon could set direction; intervention risk near 160.60
Thin Sunday reopen shows a small gap lower to 161.28 after price had recovered from Thursday's NFP-driven flush to 160.479 back up toward the 161.42 session high. Liquidity is negligible (single-digit volume bars), leaving price coiled around 161.30 with no fresh structure yet established.
Support: 160.60, 160.479
Resistance: 161.42, 161.519
What it said to watch
Close below 160.60 favours extension toward 160.00
Reclaim of 161.42 session high reopens 161.519 prior high
Labor Cash Earnings (Mon 23:30 UTC) and intervention headlines can whip thin-liquidity reopen
USDJPY recovered from the 160.48 flush and has ground back to retest the session high at 161.42, now coiling in a tight 161.30-161.42 band with RSI(14) around 61. The pair sits above both EMAs but momentum has flattened as it stalls just under the 161.42 cap in thin holiday liquidity.
Support: 161.30, 161.00
Resistance: 161.42, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.42 opens the path toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.30 exposes the 161.00 pivot
MoF intervention chatter in thin liquidity could sharply shift this read
USDJPY grinding slowly higher in thin US-holiday trade, pressing the 161.42 session high after recovering from the 160.48 NFP-miss flush. RSI(14) near 60 with tiny 6-pip ATR bars — momentum is muted and price is coiling just under resistance.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.42, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.42 opens the path to 161.52
Loss of 161.28 breaks the recent higher-low chain
MoF intervention headlines could spike volatility in thin liquidity