USD/JPY ground back to the 161.39 session high through NY hours after the earlier flush to the 160.48 swing low, with intervention fear near 160.60 underpinning the yen in thin July-4 liquidity. Recovery is holding a chain of higher lows, price above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 63; the prior high at 161.52 remains the next cap.
Support: 161.30, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path to the 161.52 prior high
Loss of the 161.30 intraday base breaks the recovery structure
Japan Labor Cash Earnings Mon 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Tight consolidation near session high after recovery off day low.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the 160.48 day low, recovering most of the earlier drop and now coiling tight just under the 161.39 session high in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) is elevated near 62 but not extreme; ATR is compressed to ~5 pips as the market stalls into Asia.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path to 161.52
Failure to hold 161.28 breaks the recovery grind
160.60 pivot below remains the key downside level flagged on intervention risk
USDJPY has ground back from the NFP-plus-suspected-intervention flush to 160.48, chaining higher lows to coil just under the session high at 161.39. ATR is compressed to ~4 pips in thin holiday liquidity, with price pinned in a tight 161.30-161.39 band into the close.
Support: 161.30, 161.13
Resistance: 161.39, 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens 161.46 prior high
Failure to hold 161.30 consol floor exposes 161.13 swing low
MoF intervention risk elevated in thin liquidity could snap the grind
Higher lows since spike low, stalling at session high.
USD/JPY is grinding higher into thin US-holiday liquidity, recovering from the 160.48 spike low tied to suspected MoF intervention. Price is stalling just under the 161.39 session high with RSI(14) in the low 60s; higher lows have held through the last several hours.
Support: 161.28, 161.05, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 opens the prior high
Failure to hold 161.28 exposes the 161.05 pullback low
Labor Cash Earnings Mon 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off 160.48, coiling near session highs.
USD/JPY recovered from the 160.48 washout back toward session highs, now grinding in a tight 161.30–161.39 range into late NY. RSI(14) mid-60s with momentum easing; the move has retraced roughly 85% of the earlier drop, with thin US-holiday liquidity keeping ranges compressed.
Support: 161.30, 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path to 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.30 range floor exposes the 161.00 pivot
MoF intervention risk elevated in thin liquidity, capable of sharp JPY spikes
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher off the 160.48 low into 161.37 as the yen squeeze from suspected MoF intervention fades and thin holiday liquidity lets the rate gap reassert. Bars have tightened into the 161.30-161.39 session-high zone with RSI cooling, momentum flattening.
Support: 161.30, 161.13
Resistance: 161.391, 161.519
What it said to watch
Break above 161.391 session high opens 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.30 consol base exposes 161.13 swing low
Intervention headlines could spike the pair sharply lower in thin liquidity
Higher highs/lows off 160.48, consolidating near session high.
USD/JPY has clawed back the earlier flush to 160.48 and is grinding up through NY, now consolidating tight just under the 161.39 session high with RSI mid-range. Recovery follows the soft US NFP and suspected MoF intervention that capped the pair near 161.00; holiday-thin liquidity is compressing ranges to ~4 pips.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.391, 161.519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.391 opens the path back toward 161.52
Failure to hold 161.28 breaks the higher-low chain
Intervention headlines into thin liquidity could whip the 161.00 pivot
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC is the next material catalyst
Higher lows off the 160.48 flush, coiling near highs.
USDJPY has clawed back from the 160.48 flush low to grind higher, now coiling in a tight 161.31-161.37 band near session highs into a thin US-holiday close. Buyers stepped in repeatedly through the recovery but momentum is easing, with the 161.00 pivot holding well below and the 161.52 prior high still capping.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.64 session low
Close above 161.52 extends the recovery leg
Thin holiday liquidity plus MoF intervention risk can whip this read sharply
Higher lows since 160.48 flush, testing session high.
USDJPY has ground higher in a tight rising channel through thin US-holiday hours, recovering from the 160.48 NFP/intervention flush back to the 161.39 session high. Higher lows are intact and price holds above EMA20/50, with RSI(14) around 61 and ATR compressed near 7 pips as the pair stalls just under session resistance.
Support: 161.28, 161.10, 161.00
Resistance: 161.39, 161.47
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 session high opens 161.47
Loss of 161.10 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance below the 161.00 pivot keeps sellers in control
MoF intervention headlines could whip this read in thin liquidity
Higher lows off 160.48, consolidating under 161.39.
USDJPY has ground higher off the 160.48 session low back toward 161.39, a steady chain of higher lows in thin US holiday liquidity following Thursday's soft NFP-driven slide. Price is now stalling just under the session high with RSI cooling from earlier highs; the 161.00 pivot remains untested since the recovery began.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path toward 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot reopens 160.64 session low
MoF intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could whip this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 60 · price 161.356
Recovery off 160.64, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY has ground back up from the 160.64 spike low toward the session high at 161.39, aided by soft-USD/intervention-fear positioning after the NFP miss. Price is now coiling in a tight 161.28–161.39 band on thin US-holiday liquidity, ATR compressed near 4-5 pips with RSI flat around 60.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path back toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of the 161.28 consol floor exposes the 161.00 psych pivot
Intervention headlines into thin holiday liquidity could whip this read sharply
Higher lows off 160.64, tight consolidation near session high.
USDJPY has ground back to 161.39 after the NFP-driven flush to 160.64, with suspected MoF intervention behind the earlier reversal. Late-session bars are tiny in thin US-holiday liquidity, coiling just under the session high while holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.39, 161.49
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 session high opens the path to 161.49 prior high
Loss of 161.28 range low turns focus back to the 161.00 pivot
Intervention headlines the dominant near-term risk in thin liquidity
Grinding higher off 160.48 low, consolidating near session highs.
USD/JPY has clawed back from the 160.48 flush toward 161.39 and is now consolidating just under the session high in thin Friday holiday liquidity. RSI sits in the low 60s as the grind higher loses pace; the 161.00 pivot remains the near-term anchor after this week's NFP-driven reversal.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path back toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of the 161.28 range floor exposes the 161.00 pivot
MoF intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could sharply reprice this read
Higher lows off 160.64, grinding into session high.
USDJPY has ground higher off the 160.64 low, reclaiming the 161.00 pivot after the post-NFP washout and now pressing the 161.39 session high. Momentum is easing into thin US-holiday liquidity, with RSI mid-60s and the advance in tight, low-range bars.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.39 opens the path toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.64 range low
Thin holiday liquidity keeps MoF intervention headlines as a whip risk
Higher lows off 160.48, coiling below session high.
USDJPY has clawed back most of the 161.52-to-160.48 flush and is now grinding sideways just under the 161.39 session high in thin US-holiday liquidity. Higher lows hold and price sits above both EMAs, with RSI(14) mid-60s and no fresh momentum push.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.94
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 161.39 opens the path back to the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.94 swing low
Intervention headlines are the dominant near-term whip risk into thin liquidity
USDJPY ground steadily higher off the 160.64 low through the NY session and is now consolidating just under the 161.39 session high in thin US-holiday liquidity. Move sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) around 61, comfortably below overbought; the digest flags 161.00 as the pivot after the suspected MoF-driven reversal from 162.83.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.64
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path toward the 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.28 breaks the ascending higher-low chain
Loss of 161.00 pivot re-exposes the 160.64 session low
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could whip this read
Higher lows off 160.48, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY has ground back from the 160.48 slump — driven by Thursday's soft NFP and stealth-intervention fear — to stall just under the 161.39 session high. Move is now flattening in thin US-holiday liquidity, RSI cooling in the upper-50s as the recovery loses pace.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path toward 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.28 swing low exposes the 161.00 pivot
Intervention headlines could trigger a sharp move in thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows off 160.48, consolidating near session high.
Late NY session on thin US-holiday liquidity, USD/JPY grinding higher off the 160.48 low and now consolidating just under the 161.39 session high after Thursday's NFP-driven slide reversed. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 60 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips as ranges tighten into session end.
Support: 161.28, 161.13, 161.00
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path toward 161.52
Loss of 161.28 exposes 161.13 then the 161.00 pivot
Intervention headlines could gap price sharply given thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows off 160.48, consolidating near session high.
USDJPY has ground back up from the 160.48 flush to consolidate near 161.32, a chain of higher lows through the NY session in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with the last few bars stalling just under the 161.39 session high.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path toward 161.52
Higher lows since 160.48 flush, stalling at session highs.
USDJPY flushed to 160.48 before reclaiming the 161.00 pivot and grinding back to session highs near 161.39, now flattening around 161.32 in thin holiday liquidity. Yen firmer since Thursday's soft NFP with intervention fear pinning the pair sub-163; recovery has stalled just under the 161.39 top.
USDJPY has ground back up from the 160.48 flush toward 161.39, a steady HH/HL chain after the soft US NFP and intervention-driven reversal from the 163.00 area. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI cooling from earlier highs; the 161.00 pivot has held as support on the recovery.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.50
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 opens the path toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens 160.50 support
Thin US-holiday liquidity keeps intervention gap risk elevated sub-161.00
USDJPY has ground back up from the flash drop to 160.48 and is now consolidating just under the session high at 161.39, RSI(14) mid-range as momentum flattens. The recovery follows Thursday's soft NFP-driven slide; thin US holiday liquidity and repeated MoF 'ready to act' warnings keep intervention risk live sub-161.00.
Higher lows since 160.48, stalling near session high.
USDJPY recovered from the 160.48 flush and ground higher through the session to a 161.39 high, now consolidating around 161.30 with momentum flattening. The broad USD softness post-NFP miss keeps a bid, but the 161.00 pivot below now acts as support while intervention chatter caps rallies near session highs.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.39 extends the recovery toward 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot opens 160.48 swing low
Higher lows off 160.48, grinding into session high.
USDJPY has ground higher off the 160.48 London low, climbing through the NY session to a 161.39 session high before cooling back to 161.30 as RSI(14) eased from the mid-60s. JPY stayed bid on soft-NFP spillover and standing intervention chatter, but the 161.00 pivot has held as support on the way up.
Support: 161.19, 161.00, 160.76
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break above 161.39 session high opens the path back toward 161.52
Loss of 161.19 higher low would break the intraday HL chain
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot exposes 160.76 swing low
Intervention headlines in thin US-holiday liquidity could sharply shift this read
USDJPY has clawed back a full point from the 160.48 sweep low — pinned on suspected MoF action in thin US-holiday liquidity — to stall near 161.39, and is now drifting at 161.30 with RSI mid-range. The 161.00 pivot held on the way up and each dip has printed a higher low.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.50 area
Break above 161.39 session high exposes 161.52 window high
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could snap the recovery either way
USDJPY swept lows at 160.48 on suspected MoF action after the soft US NFP, then ground back to the session high near 161.39, now holding 161.30 with RSI(14) mid-range. Higher-low chain intact above the 161.00 pivot.
Support: 161.00, 160.50
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.50 swing low
Break above 161.39 session high exposes 161.52 prior high
Intervention risk elevated in thin US-holiday liquidity
USD/JPY has ground back up from the 160.48 suspected-intervention low toward the session high at 161.391, now stalling near 161.32 with RSI(14) cooling around 58 in thin US-holiday liquidity. The 161.00 pivot (former resistance) is holding as support; a stack of higher lows keeps the intraday recovery intact below the 161.519 prior high.
Support: 161.00, 160.76
Resistance: 161.391, 161.519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.391 opens the path back to the 161.519 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes the 160.76 swing low
Intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity could snap this recovery
USDJPY has ground back up to 161.39 after the sharp intervention-driven flush to 160.48, reclaiming the 161.00 pivot as broad USD weakness post-NFP persists into thin holiday liquidity. Steady higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) near 61, no extreme, with a shallow pullback into the close.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.391, 161.519
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.00 pivot breaks the recovery structure
Break above 161.39 session high opens 161.52
Suspected MoF intervention risk elevated in thin US-holiday liquidity
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USD/JPY has recovered steadily from the 160.48 flush, retesting the 161.00 pivot as support and grinding up to a session high near 161.39, RSI(14) around 63. Move fits broad USD softness after Thursday's NFP miss (57K), with US markets shut for the holiday keeping liquidity thin.
Support: 161.00
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break above 161.52 prior high extends the recovery
Close back below 161.00 pivot reopens 160.50
Intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity near 161.00
Higher lows off the session low, testing session high.
USDJPY has clawed back the sharp drop to 160.48 seen earlier, grinding higher through the NY session on a chain of higher lows to retest the session high at 161.39 in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; the 161.00 pivot capped the downside and now sits below as support.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path back toward 161.52
Break below 161.00 pivot reopens 160.76 swing low
Suspected MoF intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity
USD/JPY has clawed back the sharp 160.48 flush — pinned on suspected MoF action in thin US-holiday liquidity — grinding steadily higher through NY to a session high at 161.39, RSI(14) around 60. Price now consolidating just under that high with the 161.00 pivot holding as support.
Support: 161.00, 160.50
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.50 spike low
Break above 161.39 session high extends the recovery toward 161.52
Suspected intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity
USDJPY swept down to 160.48 mid-window on suspected MoF action into thin US-holiday liquidity, then ground back up steadily to retest the 161.39 session high, RSI(14) around 63. Buyers held above the 161.00 pivot and the pair has printed a clean chain of higher lows since the reversal.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.39, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.39 opens the path to 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot reopens 160.48 session low
Intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows off the spike low, testing session high.
USD/JPY has ground higher through NY hours, fully recovering the London spike low at 160.48 and now pressing 161.39 just under the session's prior high at 161.52. RSI(14) sits near 68 — hot but shy of extreme — with demand holding above the 161.00 psych level all afternoon.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.52, 161.46
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 prior high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 161.00 psych reopens the 160.48 spike low
Intervention risk near 161 in thin holiday liquidity could sharply reverse this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 161.38
HH/HL chain after sweeping the 160.48 low.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the NY session, reclaiming 161.39 after mid-window volatility swept a low at 160.48 amid post-NFP dollar softness. Price prints a clean HH/HL chain above rising EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend.
Support: 161.00
Resistance: 161.39
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 pivot would break the rising-support structure
Thin July 4th holiday liquidity elevates USD/JPY intervention risk near 161
16:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend after flush · RSI 67 · price 161.364
Higher lows since spike low, testing session high.
London session flushed to 160.48 on intervention speculation after Thursday's soft US NFP, then reversed hard; NY has ground back up in a chain of higher lows and is now retesting the session high at 161.37. RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; the 161.00 pivot has held through the recovery.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.37, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break above 161.37 opens path to the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.76 swing low
Thin July 4th liquidity keeps MoF intervention risk elevated near 161
USD/JPY has ground back to a two-week session high near 161.37 after Thursday's driver-less spike swept the range down to 160.48 on suspected Tokyo intervention. Steady higher lows through the NY hours, RSI(14) firm near 66 but not yet stretched; price pressing the session high into thin July 4th liquidity.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.37, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break above 161.52 prior high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 161.00 pivot puts the sweep low at 160.48 back in play
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could reverse this read fast
USD/JPY has retraced almost the entire drop to the 160.48 spike low, grinding back to 161.34 through the NY session as the dollar stayed soft after Thursday's 57K NFP miss. Buyers held the 161.00 pivot and stacked higher lows; RSI(14) near 63, room before hot.
Support: 161.00, 160.72, 160.48
Resistance: 161.52, 161.34
What it said to watch
Close below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.72 swing low
Push through 161.52 prior high extends the recovery
Intervention risk elevated near 161 in thin July 4th holiday liquidity
USDJPY grinding back up through NY hours after a driver-less spike low to 160.48 fuelled intervention chatter; the 161.00 pivot has been reclaimed and held. Price is now pressing session highs near 161.34 with RSI(14) firm around 63, well shy of extremes.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 extends the recovery toward prior swing supply
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.50 area
Intervention risk elevated in thin July 4th holiday liquidity near 161
Higher lows since the 160.48 sweep, testing session highs.
USDJPY swept the downside to 160.48 during the NY session after the soft US NFP knocked USD lower, then recovered in a steady chain of higher lows back to the session high at 161.34. RSI(14) in the low-60s with the pair pressing resistance; the 161.00 psych pivot held on the way up.
Support: 161.00, 160.739, 160.479
Resistance: 161.342, 161.519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.342 opens the path back toward 161.52
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.74 swing low
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could snap this read either way
USDJPY was slammed to 160.48 mid-window on a sudden driver-less yen bid amid intervention chatter and Thursday's soft NFP, then recovered in a chain of higher lows back to the session high near 161.34. RSI(14) around 63, price holding above both EMAs, but supply capped the last push just under 161.34.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.49
What it said to watch
Close above 161.34 opens the path back to the 161.49 prior high
Failure to hold 161.00 psych confirms a lower low toward 160.74
Intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity — can spike this read fast
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
USDJPY recovered off the 160.48 driver-less yen spike low (suspected intervention in thin holiday liquidity) and has ground back to the 161.34 session high. Chain of higher lows intact, RSI(14) mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.34 opens path back toward 161.52
Loss of 161.00 pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
Renewed intervention headlines could snap the recovery back below 160.74
USD/JPY has ground back to session highs near 161.30 after the sharp NFP-driven flush to 160.48, building a chain of higher lows. Thin US holiday liquidity is muting follow-through; RSI(14) around 63 with room before extremes.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.34 opens the path to 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 reopens 160.76 swing low
Intervention headlines remain a downside risk in thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows since London spike, grinding to session highs.
USDJPY swept down to 160.48 during London hours on suspected intervention chatter, then recovered steadily through NY to press session highs near 161.34. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 58, grinding higher below the 161.52 prior high.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.34 opens the path toward 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 reopens the spike-low area near 160.48
NY session grinding higher off the 160.48 spike low, reclaiming the 161.00 pivot with a clean higher-low chain, RSI mid-range at ~58. The driverless spike toward 160.48 earlier fed intervention chatter; price has since recovered two-thirds of that move.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.50/160.48 spike low
Break above 161.34 session high extends the recovery toward 161.52
Thin holiday liquidity keeps FX-intervention risk elevated near 161.00
USDJPY recovered the driver-less spike to 160.48 that fuelled intervention chatter, and has since ground back up through a chain of higher lows to retest the session high at 161.34. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with momentum flat as price stalls just under the highs; the 161.00 pivot has held on the way up.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.34 opens the path to 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot re-exposes the 160.48 spike low
Thin US-holiday liquidity keeps MoF intervention risk elevated near 161.00
15:16 UTC
Recovering off spike low, grinding to session highs · RSI 61 · price 161.285
Higher lows since the 160.48 flush, testing 161.34.
USD/JPY has climbed back to the session high near 161.34 after a driver-less spike flushed it to 160.48 during the London-NY window — the move that fuelled intervention chatter around the 161.00 pivot. Price now grinds higher on a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) mid-range, holding above both EMAs into thin pre-holiday NY liquidity.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.34, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.34 opens the path back toward 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 reopens the 160.76 swing low
Thin US-holiday liquidity keeps FX-intervention risk elevated near 161.00
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 161.28
Higher highs, higher lows off spike low.
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours off the 160.50 spike low (June NFP miss plus intervention fear), now pressing the session high at 161.30. Chain of higher lows intact and RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 161.10, 160.98, 160.50
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.30 extends the recovery toward 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.10 breaks the higher-low chain
Thin holiday liquidity raises intervention risk near 161.00
Higher lows since spike low, testing session high.
USD/JPY was swept down to 160.48 mid-window as the soft US NFP miss and intervention fear bit, then recovered through NY hours to grind back to the session high near 161.30. Buyers stepped in above 161.00 repeatedly; price now pressing prior resistance at 161.30.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.30 opens the path to 161.46
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens 160.48 session low
Thin US-holiday liquidity raises intervention-driven downdraft risk near 161.00
Higher lows off 160.48, consolidating near session high.
USD/JPY swept the 160.48 low earlier — the intervention-feared spike after Thursday's soft US NFP — then recovered through the 161.00 pivot and is grinding higher into the NY session. Price is stalling just under the 161.28 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.28, 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.28 opens the path toward 161.46
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes 160.76 and reopens the sweep low
Thin US-holiday liquidity plus MoF intervention chatter could inject sharp volatility
USDJPY was flushed to 160.48 mid-window on suspected Tokyo action and soft US NFP, then clawed back to consolidate just under the 161.28 session high. Thin US-holiday liquidity, RSI(14) mid-50s — price ranging 161.20–161.28 with 161.00 holding as pivot support below.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.28, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.50 area
Break and hold above 161.28 extends the recovery toward 161.52
MoF intervention headlines could trigger a sharp downdraft in thin liquidity
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read
Higher lows since 160.48 flush, capped near 161.28.
USDJPY flushed to 160.48 mid-window on the softer USD/intervention tone, then rebuilt a chain of higher lows back through the NY session and reclaimed the 161.00 pivot. Price is stalling at the session high near 161.28, where supply capped it repeatedly over the last two hours; RSI mid-range at 58.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.28, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.28 opens the path to 161.52
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes 160.74 swing low
Japan intervention risk near 161 into thin liquidity could spike volatility
14:31 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near session high · RSI 54 · price 161.208
V-recovery off spike low, holding above 161.00 pivot.
USD/JPY spiked down to 160.48 mid-window on suspected Tokyo intervention into thin US-holiday liquidity, then fully recovered and is now consolidating near the session high at 161.27 during NY hours. Price holds above the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) neutral around 54; the 161.10-161.27 band is the current range.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.277, 161.519
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.28 opens the path back toward 161.52
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.76 / 160.48 spike lows
Intervention risk in thin holiday liquidity could drive sharp JPY squeezes
14:16 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 161.241
Rebound off 160.48, ranging under session high.
USDJPY has clawed back from the 160.48 flush — driven by the soft US NFP and suspected Tokyo intervention — and is now consolidating in a tight 161.10–161.27 band just under the session high. Holiday-thin liquidity is keeping ranges compressed, with buyers defending the 161.10 base and supply capping into 161.27.
Support: 161.10, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.27 opens the path back toward the 161.52 day high
Loss of 161.10 range base reopens the 160.76 swing low
Intervention risk into thin US-holiday liquidity could spike volatility
USD/JPY clawed back from the 160.48 flush to retest the 161.28 swing high, consolidating there into NY hours as the softer USD post-NFP steadies. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 161.10; RSI(14) mid-range around 60 with no extreme.
Support: 161.10, 160.98, 160.76
Resistance: 161.28, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.28 opens the path back to the 161.52 session high
Loss of the 161.10 pivot exposes 160.98 and 160.76
JPY intervention risk near 38yr highs could inject sharp two-way volatility
Higher lows off the spike low, testing session high.
USD/JPY recovered from a sharp spike low at 160.48 — the soft US NFP print plus suspected Tokyo intervention — and has ground back to 161.26 through the NY session, reclaiming the 161.00 pivot. Price now presses the 161.30 session high with RSI(14) around 62, not yet stretched. Chain of higher lows holds intact.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.30 session high opens the path to 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot reopens 160.76 swing low
Intervention risk near 161 could trigger a sharp downside squeeze
Higher lows off the flush low, retesting session high.
USD/JPY has clawed back from a sharp mid-window flush to 160.48 — suspected Tokyo intervention on the soft US NFP — and is now grinding higher into the 161.30 session high, price above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 62. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 161.00, holding a chain of higher lows.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.30 opens the path toward the 161.52 prior high
Failure to hold 161.00 reopens the 160.76 swing low
Intervention risk near multi-decade highs (~161) can trigger sharp squeezes in thin US-holiday liquidity
Higher lows off 160.48 flush, testing session high.
USDJPY flushed to 160.48 on the suspected Tokyo intervention spike mid-morning, then ground back up in a chain of higher lows to retest the 161.27 session high. Price is now pressing the 78.6% retrace of that down-leg with RSI mid-range; the 161.00 pivot has flipped to support on the way back up.
Support: 161.00, 160.75, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.27 opens the path back toward the 161.52 window high
Loss of the 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.75 swing low
Renewed intervention near multi-decade highs could sharply reverse this recovery
Higher lows since 160.48 spike, testing session high.
USDJPY swept down to 160.48 mid-window on suspected Tokyo intervention, then reclaimed the 161.00 pivot and ground back to the session high at 161.27 through NY hours. Price is now stalling just under that high with RSI(14) near 60, well below stretched territory.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.27 opens the path back toward the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot re-exposes 160.74 swing low
Intervention risk near multi-decade highs can spike price with no warning
USD/JPY has clawed back from the 160.48 spike flush (suspected intervention into thin US-holiday liquidity) and is grinding higher through NY hours, RSI(14) near 60. Session high at 161.27 is the immediate cap; higher lows keep the intraday structure constructive above 161.10.
Support: 161.10, 160.98
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.27 opens the path to the 161.52 prior high
Loss of 161.10 breaks the higher-low chain toward 160.98
Intervention risk persists near 161-162 in thin holiday liquidity
USD/JPY was flushed to 160.48 on the NFP miss and suspected Tokyo intervention, then recovered steadily to reclaim the 161.00 pivot and grind back toward 161.27. Price is holding a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 60, but volume is thin into the US Independence Day holiday.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.76 swing low
Break above 161.27 session high exposes the 161.52 prior high
Any renewed MoF/BoJ intervention could sharply reverse this recovery near multi-decade highs
A sharp 50-pip flush to the 160.48 spike low earlier (suspected Tokyo intervention amid post-NFP JPY strength) was fully absorbed, and price has chained higher lows back to 161.25, breaking above the 161.09-161.17 consolidation. RSI(14) near 66, ATR ~18 pips; the 161.30 prior high is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.30 opens the path to the 161.52 session high
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.76 swing low
Thin US-holiday liquidity plus intervention risk near 161-163 can whip this read
13:16 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 161.254
Grinding up off session low toward session high.
USDJPY swept the 160.48 session low early in the London session on the JPY squeeze, then carved a chain of higher lows back to 161.25 and is now retesting the 161.30 session high. RSI(14) around 63, thin US-holiday liquidity keeping moves choppy.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.30 opens the path to the 161.52 session high
Loss of the 161.00 pivot negates the recovery structure
Intervention risk in thin holiday liquidity could sharply reverse this read
USD/JPY clawed back a sharp early dip to 160.48 — a spike tied to suspected Tokyo intervention on the softer USD post-NFP — and has ground back to the session high at 161.19. Price is coiling in a tight 161.00–161.19 band into the NY session, RSI(14) mid-range around 60.
Support: 161.00, 160.75, 160.48
Resistance: 161.19, 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.27 opens the path toward the 161.52 swing high
Break below 161.00 pivot exposes 160.75 swing low
Near multi-decade highs — intervention risk can trigger a sharp move at any time in thin holiday liquidity
USDJPY swept down to 160.48 during earlier trade — suspected Tokyo intervention on the JPY squeeze off 40-yr highs — then recovered to grind back into the 161.10-161.19 session-high band. Price sits above the 0.618 retrace of that drop, coiling in a tight range in thin US-holiday liquidity.
Support: 161.03, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.19, 161.26, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.26 opens the path back to 161.52
Failure to hold 161.03 exposes 160.74 then the 160.48 sweep low
Thin holiday liquidity + MoF intervention risk near 161-162 can drive sharp moves
12:46 UTC
Recovered off spike low, now flat · RSI 55 · price 161.133
Tight consolidation under 161.16 after sharp flush.
USDJPY flushed to 160.48 late NY on soft-NFP fallout and suspected Tokyo intervention, then recovered to grind sideways around 161.13. Price is coiled in a tight 161.05-161.16 band, holding above the 161.00 pivot with RSI near 55.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.27
What it said to watch
Close above 161.16 range top opens the path back to 161.27 swing high
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes 160.76 swing low again
Renewed MoF intervention into thin holiday liquidity could reprice this range sharply
12:46 UTC
Consolidating after intraday selloff · RSI 54 · price 161.133
Tight range near 161.13 following a sweep low.
USDJPY is coiling in a tight 161.05-161.16 range after a NY-hours spike swept 160.48 then recovered, with JPY bid on the soft US NFP miss and intervention chatter. RSI(14) neutral near 54; price holding just above EMA20/50 with no directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.76 reopens the 160.48 spike low
Reclaim of 161.27 signals recovery of the prior high
MoF intervention risk in thin holiday tape could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze
London swept down to 160.48 and reversed hard on soft US NFP and intervention chatter, then price clawed back above the 161.00 pivot and has gone flat around 161.12 into thin US-holiday tape. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR compressed to ~12 pips; no directional impulse in the last few hours.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.19, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 161.00 pivot exposes 160.76 swing low then 160.48 sweep low
Break above 161.19 recent high opens 161.52 session high
Any MoF intervention headline could break the range violently in thin holiday liquidity
USDJPY spiked down to 160.48 during London hours on soft-NFP/intervention risk, then recovered to consolidate in a tight 160.74–161.16 band just above the 161.00 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR compressed into thin US-holiday tape.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.30
What it said to watch
Close below 160.74 reopens the 160.48 sweep low
Close above 161.16 targets the 161.30 prior high
Intervention headline risk keeps 161.00 pivot in play
12:16 UTC
Consolidating near range top · RSI 55 · price 161.135
Range-bound after spike-low recovery.
USD/JPY is grinding in the upper part of a tight range (161.05-161.16) after a sharp spike to 160.48 was quickly bought back, with the pair pinned near the 161.00 pivot amid soft-NFP dollar softness and Japan intervention risk. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed to ~7 pips — no momentum in play.
Support: 161.00, 160.75, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.35
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.16 opens the path to 161.35
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot exposes 160.75 then the 160.48 spike low
Intervention headlines could trigger a sharp JPY squeeze through 161.00
Consolidation near session highs after V-recovery.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.48 during NY hours on soft-USD/intervention-risk flows, then recovered and is now consolidating tight around 161.13 back above the 161.00 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 56, price holding above both EMAs but capped under the 161.17 recent high.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.17, 161.27
What it said to watch
Break above 161.17 opens the path to 161.27
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes 160.50 spike-low zone
MoF intervention headlines could sharply squeeze this read in thin holiday tape
12:01 UTC
Recovering from spike low, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 161.122
Tight range 161.00–161.16 after sweep of 160.48.
USD/JPY snapped back from a spike low to 160.48 — a move tied to suspected intervention after the soft US NFP miss — and has since coiled into a tight 161.00–161.16 range in thin US-holiday liquidity. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 with ATR compressed around 10 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.17, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot reopens 160.48 session low
Close above 161.17 recent high exposes 161.49 session high
Intervention headlines can spike price without warning in thin liquidity
12:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 161.122
Consolidation above 161.00 after spike low bought back.
USD/JPY is ranging around the 161.00 pivot after a fast NY-session flush to 160.48 was fully bought back, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price is chopping in a 161.00–161.15 band with the session high at 161.52 still capping; the spike low reflects two-way intervention-fear liquidity into the thin US holiday.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.27, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.76 session low
M15 close above 161.27 targets the 161.52 session high
Intervention headlines can force undirected spikes in thin holiday liquidity
USDJPY spiked to 160.48 mid-window on the soft US NFP print and suspected Tokyo intervention, then recovered to grind sideways around 161.10. Price sits above the 161.00 pivot with a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range near 56, ATR ~8 pips in thin holiday conditions.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.26, 161.52
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.48 spike low
Close above 161.26 swing high targets the 161.52 session high
Intervention headlines can force undirected spikes in thin liquidity
USDJPY carved a rounded recovery from the 160.48 dip and is now consolidating in a tight 161.10–161.15 band during the NY session, RSI mid-range near 57. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 161.00 after the yen snapback from 40-year lows, but the 161.19 session high still caps.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.19, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close above 161.19 opens the path to 161.52
Failure to hold 161.00 exposes 160.74 swing low
Intervention-style spikes remain a risk into thin US-holiday liquidity
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDJPY based at 160.48 and clawed back toward 161.10, now stalling under the 161.165 session high with RSI(14) mid-range. Move sits on 161.00, the former resistance flipped to support; thin holiday liquidity keeps two-way risk elevated near the intervention zone.
Support: 161.00, 160.50
Resistance: 161.165, 161.50
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 161.165 opens the path back toward 161.50
Loss of 161.00 exposes the 160.50 swing low
Intervention headlines near 161.00 can trigger sharp undirected spikes into thin liquidity
USD/JPY swept 160.48 and recovered to hover near 161.10, now consolidating in a tight 161.05–161.16 band around the 161.00 pivot. Post-NFP dollar softness capped upside; higher lows off the session low keep the recovery intact but momentum has stalled with RSI mid-range.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.26
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.16 recent high reopens the 161.26 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot exposes 160.74 swing low
BoJ intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity near 161
11:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 161.071
Consolidation above 161.00 after a flush to 160.48.
USDJPY flushed to 160.48 mid-window on suspected Tokyo intervention after the soft US NFP, then recovered to grind sideways just above the 161.00 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price capped by the 161.16 session high with a shallow pullback into the recovery leg.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens 160.50 and reprices the recovery
Reclaim above 161.16 session high resumes the intraday grind higher
Fresh intervention risk in thin July-4 holiday liquidity can amplify moves
11:16 UTC
Range, low momentum · RSI 49 · price 161.071
Consolidating above 161.00 pivot.
USDJPY is grinding sideways just above the 161.00 pivot in thin pre-July-4 holiday liquidity, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price recovered off the 160.48 swing low made during the last JPY squeeze and is now capped under 161.17; no directional structure in play.
Support: 161.00, 160.64, 160.48
Resistance: 161.17, 161.26
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens 160.64 session low
Close above 161.17 targets the 161.26 prior high
Fresh intervention signal could force a sharp move in thin liquidity
USD/JPY recovered off the 160.48 session low, grinding higher lows back to 161.12 after the NFP-driven slide and suspected intervention. The 161.00 pivot (former resistance) is holding as support; RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.53
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.48 session low
Close above 161.16 recent high extends the recovery toward 161.53 prior high
Fresh BoJ intervention signal in thin holiday liquidity could snap this read
11:01 UTC
Choppy, ranging near 161.00 · RSI 56 · price 161.122
Consolidation above 161.00 pivot after intraday sweep to 160.48.
USDJPY swept the London low to 160.48 during NY hours then recovered to grind sideways above the 161.00 pivot, RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price is coiling in a tight 161.03-161.16 range into thin July 4 holiday liquidity with BoJ intervention risk keeping a lid near recent highs.
Support: 161.00, 160.73, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.49
What it said to watch
Break below 161.00 pivot exposes 160.73 session low then the 160.48 sweep low
Reclaim of 161.16 session high opens path toward 161.49
Fresh suspected intervention could force a sharp move in thin holiday liquidity
10:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 161.121
Consolidation above 161.00 after spike low.
USDJPY swept to 160.48 during Asia hours on suspected Tokyo intervention before recovering to 161.12, now flatlining in ultra-thin US-holiday liquidity. The 161.00 pivot held on the bounce; price is coiling just under the 161.17 session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.17, 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.48 spike low
Fresh intervention signal could force a sharp break lower in thin liquidity
Break above 161.50 negates the recovery-range read
Micro higher-lows off 160.48 within broad 160.48–161.52 range.
USD/JPY has clawed back from the 160.48 session low toward 161.13, extending a shallow higher-low chain through NY hours after the NFP miss and suspected Tokyo intervention capped the pair near 161.52. Price is holding above the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens the path back to 160.50
Break above 161.52 session high would resume the rebound toward 162+
Intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity near 161.00
Higher lows since 160.48, consolidating under 161.26.
London morning swept the 160.48 session low then recovered to 161.13, buyers stepping in on a chain of higher lows and now consolidating just above the 161.00 pivot. RSI(14) mid-range near 57; the corrective bounce off 40-year highs reflects soft US NFP and suspected Tokyo intervention.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.26, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.48 session low
Break above 161.26 swing high opens the path toward 161.52
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could jolt the range
USD/JPY swept the session low to 160.48 during London hours on thin-liquidity yen buying, then rounded back above the 161.00 pivot and is now pressing the 161.16 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with no extreme; price sits above both EMAs after reclaiming 161.00.
Support: 161.00, 160.75, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.27
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.16 opens the path to 161.27
Failure to hold 161.00 reopens 160.75 then 160.48
Intervention headlines in thin holiday liquidity could shift this read sharply
USDJPY swept the session low at 160.48 during the London session — a move tied to the softer USD tone and suspected Tokyo intervention risk — then reclaimed the 161.00 pivot and is grinding back up on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, ATR ~15 pips; buyers have defended 161.00 as former resistance turned support.
Support: 161.00, 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.00 reopens the 160.76/160.48 lows
Break above 161.30 extends the recovery toward 161.52
Thin holiday liquidity keeps intervention-headline risk elevated near 161
USD/JPY chopped in a 160.48-161.65 band through London after Thursday's soft-NFP flush and suspected Tokyo intervention. Price swept the 160.48 spike low, then buyers stepped back in and lifted it to 161.13, holding above the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.165, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.48 spike low
Close above 161.165 session high extends the recovery toward 161.49 prior high
Thin-liquidity intervention headlines remain the dominant near-term risk
USDJPY chopped between 160.48 and 161.52 through the Asia-London window, with two sharp downward spikes into the 160.5s (suspected Tokyo action) both bought back toward the 161.00 pivot flagged as the intervention battleground. Post-NFP-miss USD softness keeps the pair capped, and price now sits mid-range at 161.13 with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.48 opens 160.00 and reasserts the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.52 negates the range-cap read
Renewed MoF intervention headlines could trigger a fast JPY squeeze
10:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 161.128
Ranging 160.48–161.26 after spike-low sweep.
Two sharp downside spikes into 160.63 and 160.48, widely tied to suspected Tokyo action around the 161.00 pivot, were both bought back, leaving price ranging 160.48–161.26. USD stays offered after yesterday's NFP miss (57K vs 110K) but M15 has stabilised back above 161.00 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 160.96, 160.48
Resistance: 161.26, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.26 opens the path back toward 161.49
Loss of 160.96 reopens the 160.48 spike low
Intervention headlines around the 161.00 pivot could jolt this range in thin holiday liquidity
09:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 161.048
Choppy range, higher lows into 161.00 pivot.
USD/JPY chopping around the 161.00 pivot after a sweep of session support at 160.48, price grinding higher lows during London hours as the soft US NFP miss keeps the dollar offered. RSI(14) neutral near 53; range top 161.16 still capping.
Support: 160.87, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.16 opens the path back toward 161.49
Failure to hold 160.87 exposes the 160.50 intervention battleground
Intervention headlines in thin US-holiday liquidity could shift this read sharply
Choppy range 160.48-161.16, holding above 161.00 pivot.
USD/JPY swept down to 160.48 during NY hours before buyers stepped in and dragged it back above the 161.00 pivot, the flagged intervention battleground. Price is mid-range with RSI near 53; move remains headline-driven in thin US-holiday liquidity after the soft NFP print capped the dollar.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 then 160.50 opens the intervention zone
Reclaim of 161.16 swing high needed to re-test 161.52 session high
MoF intervention headlines can spike this pair in thin holiday liquidity
Higher lows since 160.48 flush, capped under 161.16.
USD/JPY flushed to 160.48 during the London session — a sharp move widely tied to suspected Tokyo action — then clawed back to the 161.00 pivot on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 54; price grinding under the 161.16 session high with the dollar soft after Thursday's NFP miss.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.49
What it said to watch
Close below 161.00 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Break above 161.16 extends the recovery toward 161.49
Higher lows since 160.479 sweep, holding under 161.20.
USD/JPY swept 160.479 during Asia hours — a move attributed to Tokyo action layered on the soft US NFP — then clawed back to the 161.00 pivot on a chain of higher lows. Price is ranging 160.73–161.16 into thin US-holiday liquidity with RSI(14) mid-range; no clean intraday direction established.
Support: 160.73, 160.479, 160.50
Resistance: 161.16, 161.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.16 opens a push toward the 161.30 prior high
Break below 160.479 session low reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
BoJ intervention headlines remain the dominant catalyst in thin liquidity
Lower highs into 161.00 pivot, holding above session low.
USDJPY faded from 161.52 into a 160.48 spike low during the London session, then recovered to sit either side of the 161.00 pivot with USD offered post-NFP and intervention risk flagged after the multi-decade highs. Price is now ranging 160.76–161.03, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 160.76, 160.48
Resistance: 161.03, 161.16, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 160.48 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 161.16 swing high opens the 161.52 range top
Thin US-holiday liquidity keeps ambush intervention risk elevated near 161.00
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 160.976
Lower highs, consolidating above spike low.
USD/JPY sold off from the 161.52 prior high into a sweep of the 160.48 spike low during NY hours, then recovered to consolidate around the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range. Price is capped below EMA20/50 as the post-NFP dollar softness and lingering intervention risk keep the pair offered near multi-decade highs.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.16, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.48 spike low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 161.16 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend
Intervention risk around the 161.00 pivot in thin US-holiday liquidity
USDJPY carved a session low at 160.48 then ground back above the 161.00 pivot through the London session, printing a chain of higher lows with RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Price is reclaiming 161.00 after suspected Tokyo action off the multi-decade high; ATR sits near 17 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.74, 160.48
Resistance: 161.20, 161.52
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.74 reopens the 160.48 session low
Close above 161.20 extends the recovery toward 161.52
Intervention risk lingers around the 161.00 pivot in thin US-holiday liquidity
USD/JPY spiked down to 160.48 during NY hours then recovered to the 161.00 pivot, the level flagged as the intervention battleground after the post-NFP dollar slide. Buyers stepped in on rising lows off 160.48; RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 with price reclaiming the round number.
Support: 161.00, 160.48
Resistance: 161.19
What it said to watch
Close below 160.48 confirms a lower-low and reopens 160.50 downside
Reclaim of 161.19 swing high needed to extend the bounce
Thin US-holiday liquidity leaves intervention-headline risk elevated around 161.00
USD/JPY leg lower through NY hours after the soft US NFP and suspected MoF intervention swept the session low to 160.48, then based back toward the 161.00 pivot. Price now consolidates near 160.93 below EMA20 with RSI mid-40s; the 161.00 pivot caps and the session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 160.479
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 pivot neutralises the downside read
Loss of 160.48 session low opens 160.50 and lower
Intervention/verbal headlines in thin US-holiday liquidity can spike the pair either way
USD/JPY swept the session low to 160.48 on suspected MoF intervention plus soft US NFP fallout, then recovered to 160.93 as buyers stepped in. Price is capped under the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range; thin US-holiday liquidity is amplifying the swings.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.00 pivot would neutralise the intraday lower-high structure
Loss of 160.50 session low reopens 160.50 downside per JPY digest
Intervention headline risk elevated in thin July 4 liquidity
USD/JPY sold off from the 161.49 session high to a low of 160.48 through London hours, extending the slide tied to soft US NFP and lingering MoF intervention risk. Price is basing near 160.90 but capped under the 161.00 pivot, RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows near 43.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.00 pivot negates the downside pressure
Loss of 160.48 session low opens the 160.50 area flagged in context
Thin US-holiday liquidity plus intervention-headline risk can spike this pair either way
USD/JPY probed 160.48 on suspected MoF intervention layered onto the soft US NFP, then recovered to 160.90, still capped under the 161.00 pivot. Lower highs remain intact from the 161.52 session high; RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00, 161.52
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 161.00 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.48 session low opens 160.50 zone and confirms a lower-low
Intervention/verbal headlines in thin US-holiday liquidity could spike either way
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 160.867
Broke below 161.00 range, session low at 160.48.
USD/JPY grinding lower under 161.00; London morning sold the pair off 160.98 to a session low at 160.479 as soft-NFP and suspected MoF intervention keep the yen bid. RSI mid-40s, price capped below a chain of lower highs.
Support: 160.479, 160.50
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 negates the breakdown
Loss of 160.48 session low exposes 160.50 and downside continuation
Thin US-holiday liquidity + intervention headlines can spike this pair
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, JPY bid · RSI 41 · price 160.867
Lower highs, broke 161.00 pivot.
USD/JPY lost the 161.00 pivot during London hours on a suspected MoF intervention spike that swept to 160.479, compounding the soft US NFP-driven yen bid. Price now consolidating near 160.85 below the pivot, RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush.
Support: 160.479, 160.50
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 161.00 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of the 160.479 session low exposes 160.50 support area
USD/JPY sliding through the London session, breaking the 161.00 pivot and printing a session low at 160.48 on suspected stealth intervention plus post-NFP dollar softness. Price bounced to 160.99 then faded back to 160.80; sequence of lower highs intact with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.00 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Close below 160.48 session low extends the leg lower
USDJPY sold off through NY hours to a session low of 160.48 on suspected stealth-intervention flow layered onto the soft US NFP miss, before a shallow bounce to 160.80. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain; the 161.00 pivot now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.48 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 161.00 pivot neutralises the intraday downtrend read
USDJPY sold off through the London session, sweeping the 160.50 round number to a session low of 160.48 as the softer US NFP and stealth-intervention fear squeezed the pair lower. Price has since recovered to 160.93 but the broken 161.00 pivot now caps, RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s. ATR near 16 pips reflects elevated intraday range after the drop.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 161.00 pivot on a close would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.48 session low confirms continuation lower toward 160.50 zone
MoF intervention headlines in thin US-holiday liquidity could sharply shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 160.932
Lower highs, swept 160.48.
USDJPY leaked lower through the London morning, capped under a descending line of swing highs and flushing to 160.48 before buyers lifted it back to 160.93. The move fits the JPY short-covering / stealth-intervention story after the soft US NFP; 161.16 remains the immediate cap and 160.48 the session floor.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.16
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.48 opens 160.00, extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.16 swing high neutralises the downtrend read
Intervention headlines / thin holiday liquidity can spike this pair sharply
ISM Services Mon could re-arm USD and shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 160.809
Lower highs, session low swept then reclaimed.
USD/JPY sold off through the London session, sweeping to 160.48 before buyers reclaimed toward 160.80 — JPY bid on soft US NFP and lingering MoF intervention risk. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 40; lower highs still intact off the 161.18 area.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.05, 161.18
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.05 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 160.48 confirms continuation and opens 160.50 zone
MoF intervention into thin holiday liquidity could sharply extend the JPY move
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 160.809
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session, sweeping to a 160.479 session low on suspected MoF-flow plus the broad USD softness after the NFP miss. Price is grinding just under 160.81 with RSI(14) near 37; the 161.05 pivot now caps as resistance while buyers steadied off the low.
Support: 160.479, 160.50
Resistance: 161.05
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.05 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.50 opens 160.479 session low and below
Unannounced MoF intervention into thin liquidity could sharply extend this leg
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 39 · price 160.773
Lower highs, lower lows; sweep of 160.48 then bounce.
London session pressed USDJPY lower into a sweep of 160.479 before a bounce back to 160.87, now settling at 160.77 with RSI(14) near 38. Downside is being driven by a firmer JPY on suspected MoF intervention risk plus the soft US NFP miss; the 161.00 pivot capped the last recovery attempt.
Support: 160.479
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.479 swing low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 161.00 pivot neutralises the intraday downtrend read
Unannounced MoF intervention into thin holiday liquidity could sharply extend JPY strength
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 160.773
Lower highs, session low swept.
London morning drove a sharp flush through the 161.00 round pivot to sweep 160.479, then a modest bounce to 160.773 — consistent with JPY short-covering on soft-NFP and MoF ambush-intervention risk. RSI(14) near 38 after the leg down; lower highs intact under 161.20.
Support: 160.479
Resistance: 161.00, 161.16, 161.207
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 negates the fresh lower-low read
Failure to hold 160.479 opens 160.50 zone and confirms downside continuation
Unannounced MoF intervention into thin holiday liquidity could sharply extend JPY strength
London session sliced through the 161.00 pivot with a sweep to 160.48, in line with suspected MoF intervention and soft-USD flow after the NFP miss; price has since recovered to 160.89. RSI(14) near 38, off its lows as the range-top at 161.25 caps.
Support: 160.48, 160.50
Resistance: 161.00, 161.25
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 invalidates the range-break read
Break below 160.48 opens the 160.50 pivot zone
Unannounced MoF intervention into thin holiday liquidity could sharpen the move
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 160.89
Lower highs, sweep of session low then recovery.
London session sold off sharply, spiking down to a 160.48 sweep low before buyers lifted price back to 160.89. Move fits JPY firmness on stealth-intervention talk plus a softer USD after the NFP miss; price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI near 41.
Support: 160.48
Resistance: 161.05, 161.16
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.16 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.48 sweep low reopens 160.00 psych
MoF intervention risk into thin holiday liquidity could spike volatility
NY session drove USD/JPY through the 161.00 pivot to a session low at 160.479 on soft US NFP and suspected Tokyo intervention, closing 160.733 with RSI(14) near 34. Chain of lower highs into 161.52 and 161.18 remains intact; the 161.00 pivot has flipped to resistance.
Support: 160.48, 160.00
Resistance: 161.00, 161.18, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 pivot negates the breakdown, with 161.18 swing high and 161.52 prior high capping
Loss of 160.48 session low opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
MoF intervention risk into thin US-holiday liquidity could spike volatility
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 160.733
Lower highs, break below 161.00 pivot.
USD/JPY sliced through the 161.00 pivot and swept 160.479 before recovering to 160.73, extending the yen bid off suspected Tokyo intervention and the soft US NFP miss. Momentum is lower with RSI(14) near 37 and price under both EMAs; 161.00 is now the immediate cap.
Support: 160.479, 160.00
Resistance: 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.00 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 160.479 session low opens the path toward 160.00
MoF intervention risk into thin holiday liquidity could spike volatility
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 160.985
Range after intervention-driven plunge.
USDJPY plunged ~90 pips off 161.64 into 160.63 on suspected Tokyo intervention plus soft US NFP, then consolidated 160.85–161.52 for the session. Price is drifting back to the lower end near 160.98 with RSI(14) mid-range and sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 160.85, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.20, 161.52
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.85 session low reopens 160.63 swing low then 160.50 psych
M15 close back above 161.20 range top would neutralise the drift lower
MoF intervention risk into thin holiday liquidity could spike volatility either way
Consolidation under 161.20 after intervention flush.
USD/JPY flushed ~90 pips into the 160.63 swing low on suspected Tokyo intervention plus soft US NFP, then chopped in a 160.83–161.20 range through the Asia session. Price sits at 160.99 pressing the range floor, RSI(14) sub-45 and under both EMAs; supply capping every push toward 161.20.
Support: 160.83, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.83 exposes the 160.63 swing low then 160.50
Reclaim of 161.20 negates the near-term downside grind
MoF intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity — could whip the range
USD/JPY reversed from 40-yr highs near 163.00 on suspected Tokyo intervention plus the soft US NFP miss, then settled into a 160.63–161.52 range through London-NY hours. Price is now pressing the 161.00 pivot again, RSI(14) around 42 with the last few bars closing near session lows.
Support: 161.00, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.19, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 opens the path to 160.50 support
Reclaim of 161.19 range mid eases the downside pressure
MoF intervention risk into thin US-holiday liquidity could move this sharply
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging near lows · RSI 40 · price 161.011
Sharp drop then sideways 161.0-161.5, pressing session lows.
USD/JPY reversed from 40-yr highs near 163.00 to the 161.00 pivot on suspected Tokyo intervention, then soft US NFP (57K) capped rebounds; the last 24 bars have coiled between 161.0 and 161.5. Price is now grinding back to the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) sub-40 and holding below both EMAs.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.25, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens 160.85 session low then 160.63
Reclaim of 161.25 swing high shifts the intraday range back to the top
Renewed MoF intervention risk into thin holiday liquidity could spike volatility
06:01 UTC
Range after sharp selloff, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 161.136
Consolidation between 160.85 and 161.50.
USD/JPY is ranging 160.85–161.50 after yesterday's sharp drop from ~162.2 on the US NFP miss and suspected MoF intervention. Price sits mid-range at 161.14, RSI(14) neutral near 47, holding above EMA50 but capped by EMA20 and by 161.30 in thin US-holiday liquidity.
Support: 161.00, 160.85
Resistance: 161.30, 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.50 opens the path back toward 161.66
Pair sold off hard early in the window from 162.25 toward 160.63 on the soft US NFP print plus suspected MoF intervention, then stabilised into a 161.00-161.50 range. Price is drifting back toward the lower edge in early London, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 session low
Reclaim of 161.50 would end the current range
Renewed intervention headlines into thin liquidity could reprice sharply
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 161.128
Range-bound after impulsive drop.
USD/JPY was hammered from 162.3 to a 160.62 swing low on the soft US NFP print plus suspected MoF intervention, and has since consolidated between the range low at 160.85 and range high at 161.52. Quiet Asia session grind around 161.13, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 160.85, 160.62
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.85 range low reopens the 160.62 swing low
M15 close above 161.52 range high breaks the consolidation
Intervention risk into thin liquidity and ISM Services Jul 6 could reshape this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.128
Consolidation after sharp drop.
USDJPY sold off from 162.33 to 160.63 on the soft US NFP miss and suspected MoF intervention, then stabilised into a tight 160.98–161.20 range through the Asia session. Early London holding just below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional setup in play.
Support: 160.98, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 swing high reopens the 161.65 zone
Break of 160.98 session low exposes the 160.63 swing low
Fresh intervention headlines could spike JPY in thin holiday liquidity
05:31 UTC
Consolidation after sharp drop · RSI 44 · price 161.056
Tight range post-selloff.
USD/JPY has coiled into a tight range near 161.05 through the Asian session after the earlier ~100-pip slide off the 40-year high on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP. Price is drifting under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 160.76–161.52 band still contains price.
Support: 160.98, 160.76
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.76 confirms a lower low and range break
Break above 161.52 reopens the upside toward the recent highs
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains live at these levels
05:31 UTC
Consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 43 · price 161.056
Range-bound in lower half of session range.
USD/JPY was yanked off 40-year highs near 163 into the 160.63 session low on suspected MoF intervention and a soft 57K US NFP, then settled into a 160.85-161.52 range. Price now drifts in the lower half at 161.05 into thin Asia-hours liquidity, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum.
Support: 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.85 threatens a retest of the 160.63 session low
Reclaim of 161.52 negates the fade and reopens the range top
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the primary tail risk
05:16 UTC
Consolidation after sharp drop · RSI 43 · price 161.057
Ranging near range floor.
USD/JPY is consolidating in a 160.90–161.52 band after suspected MoF intervention plus a soft 57K US NFP knocked it from the 163 area. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 and price has drifted back to the range floor into early London; rejection capped moves at 161.52 twice.
Support: 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.90 range floor exposes the 160.63 intervention low
Reclaim of 161.52 range top needed to shift the drift higher
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains a near-term risk
05:16 UTC
Down then ranging, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 161.057
Consolidation above 161.00 after sharp drop.
USD/JPY was slammed ~180 pips off the 162.4 area toward 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention and the soft 57K US NFP, then coiled into a tight 161.0–161.2 range through the Asia session. Latest bar leaked to 160.98; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 160.98, 160.63
Resistance: 161.25, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.63 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.25 reopens 161.52 swing high
Labor Cash Earnings (Jul 6, 23:30 UTC) and unscheduled MoF intervention are near-term risks
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 161.087
Range-bound after intervention-driven flush.
USDJPY was slammed ~100+ pips off the 40-year high near 163 on suspected MoF intervention, with the soft 57K US NFP adding downside; the pair then based around 161.00. Since London-Asia handover it has coiled in a tight 160.90–161.25 range, RSI(14) mid-40s and price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 160.63
Resistance: 161.25, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.63 opens the window low toward 160.50
Reclaim of 161.52 negates the lower-high sequence
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains a squeeze risk near these levels
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 161.087
Range after sharp sell-off.
USDJPY was slammed from 162.40 toward 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then stabilised. Last several hours have gone flat, coiling between 160.85 and 161.30 with RSI near neutral and ATR compressing to ~7 pips.
Support: 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 160.85 exposes the 160.63 range low
Close above 161.30 challenges the range top toward 161.52
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the key near-term risk to this consolidation
04:46 UTC
Sharp down leg, now basing · RSI 52 · price 161.185
Consolidation above 161.00 after impulsive drop.
USD/JPY collapsed from ~162.4 toward 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention and a soft US 57K NFP, then based around the 161.00 round number. Asian session now grinding tightly 161.14–161.21 as the drop retrace stalled near 161.50; RSI(14) mid-range around 52.
Support: 161.00, 160.75, 160.63
Resistance: 161.26, 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.50 swing high reopens upside retrace
Loss of 161.00 round number exposes the 160.75 session low
Rejection at 161.26 minor high keeps the range capped
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains live near 161
USD/JPY collapsed ~180 pips from 162.43 to a 160.63 swing low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then based and drifted into a tight 161.00–161.25 range through the Asia session. Price is flat at 161.18, RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.627
Resistance: 161.25, 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 prior high opens the path back toward 161.64
Break below 160.63 swing low resumes the downside
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk could sharply reprice this read
04:31 UTC
Consolidating after sharp selloff · RSI 49 · price 161.17
Tight range 161.10-161.20 above session lows.
USD/JPY sits in a tight 161.10-161.20 range through the quiet Asia session after the sharp drop from 162.4 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP. Volume has thinned and RSI(14) is flat near 49; the recovery off the 160.63 swing low has stalled below 161.30.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.30, 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.30 reopens the path toward 161.50
Loss of 161.00 exposes the 160.85 session low
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains live and could force a sharp move
04:31 UTC
Sharp down-leg, now flat · RSI 52 · price 161.17
Consolidation after sell-off.
USD/JPY collapsed roughly 180 pips from 162.43 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention layered onto the soft 57K US NFP, then based out. Thin Asia-hours trade has price pinned in a tight 161.00-161.30 band, RSI(14) flat near 52 with no directional impulse.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 swing low
Reclaim of 161.52 signals the consolidation resolving higher
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains live and can gap this read
04:16 UTC
Sharp down-leg, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 161.173
Range-bound after intervention drop.
USD/JPY collapsed ~180 pips off 162.4 to a 160.63 low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP miss, then recovered into a tight 161.0–161.5 consolidation. RSI(14) is mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~8 pips; the last few bars are flat around 161.17 as the Asia session drifts.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 session low
Close above 161.52 breaks the consolidation top
Unscheduled MoF intervention could sharply move this read
04:16 UTC
Sharp sell-off, now basing · RSI 54 · price 161.173
Consolidation above session low after impulsive drop.
USD/JPY was yanked ~180 pips lower from 162.45 to a 160.63 session low on suspected MoF intervention layered onto the soft 57K US NFP miss. Price has since based and drifts around 161.17, ranging 160.85–161.30 with RSI(14) back near neutral; ATR ~11 pips shows volatility cooling into the late Asia hours.
Support: 160.85, 160.627
Resistance: 161.30, 161.49
What it said to watch
Close below 160.63 reopens the downside toward 160.50
Reclaim of 161.30 targets the 161.49 prior high
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains the key catalyst
04:01 UTC
Sharp drop, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 161.17
Consolidation after impulsive sell-off.
USD/JPY collapsed ~180 pips from the 162.45 area on suspected MoF intervention and the soft 57K US NFP, bottoming at 160.63. Asia has since traded a tight range between 161.00 and the 161.30 top, holding a shallow retrace of the drop with RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.30, 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 swing low
M15 close above 161.30 range top targets 161.50 swing high
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the dominant tail risk here
04:01 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 54 · price 161.17
Range after sharp decline.
USDJPY dropped ~180 pips from 162.44 toward the 160.63 session low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft US NFP, then coiled into a tight range around 161.00-161.30 through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54 and ATR has compressed to ~10 pips as price holds a shallow ~30% retrace of the decline.
Support: 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.85 reopens the 160.63 session low
close above 161.52 negates the consolidation
unscheduled MoF intervention risk could force a sharp JPY squeeze
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 161.188
Range after sharp selloff.
USD/JPY is consolidating 161.00–161.25 in the Asia session after the sharp drop from the 163 area on suspected MoF intervention and the soft 57K US NFP. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~10 pips; the round number at 161.00 is holding as buyers step in.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.25, 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 opens the 160.63 session low
Close above 161.52 swing high reasserts the recovery leg
Unscheduled MoF intervention or Labor Cash Earnings (Jul 6) could jolt this read
USDJPY was slammed ~100+ pips off the 40-yr high near 163 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then recovered to consolidate between 161.00 and 161.52. Price has drifted back off the 161.52 recent high and is coiling around 161.19, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 resumes the recovery leg
Loss of 161.00 psych opens 160.85 then 160.63 swing low
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the dominant near-term risk
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after intervention drop · RSI 47 · price 161.194
Consolidation above session low.
USD/JPY was slammed from 162.50 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then based between 160.85 and 161.50. Price is now drifting mid-range at 161.19 with RSI neutral and volatility compressing into the Asia session.
Support: 160.85, 160.627
Resistance: 161.50
What it said to watch
Close below 160.85 reopens the 160.627 session low
Reclaim above 161.50 needed to extend the recovery
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the dominant near-term risk
03:31 UTC
Downtrend cooled into range · RSI 46 · price 161.194
Consolidation after sharp drop.
USDJPY sits mid-range near 161.19, digesting yesterday's ~190-pip collapse from 162.5 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP. Asia hours are quiet and coiling between 160.90 and 161.52, RSI(14) flat around 46 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips.
Support: 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 162.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.90 reopens the 160.63 swing low
M15 close above 161.52 breaks the range top toward 162.20
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains live near these levels
03:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 161.184
Range after impulsive sell-off.
USDJPY collapsed ~190 pips from 162.52 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then bounced and settled into a 160.85–161.52 band. Early Asia trades near 161.18 mid-range, RSI(14) neutral around 47, ATR near 11 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.95
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 opens the path back toward the 161.95 shelf
Loss of 161.00 then 160.63 resumes the down-leg
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk could force a fast JPY squeeze
03:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 48 · price 161.184
Consolidating above session low.
USDJPY collapsed from near 163 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then stabilised and is grinding sideways between 161.00 and the 161.52 swing high. Price is pinned around 161.18 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed to ~13 pips — no clean setup in the current Asian session.
Support: 161.00, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 opens the path to 160.50
Reclaim of 161.52 puts the 161.64 prior high back in play
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains the dominant near-term catalyst
03:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp drop, now flat · RSI 51 · price 161.172
Consolidation above intervention low.
USDJPY collapsed from the 162.5 area to a 160.63 sweep low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, then clawed back into a 161.08–161.52 range through the Asia session. Price is now stalling near 161.17 with RSI(14) flat around 50 — no directional development in play.
Support: 161.08, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 sweep low
Reclaim of 161.52 swing high would extend the recovery
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains a live squeeze risk
ISM Services PMI Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 51 · price 161.172
Range-bound post-selloff, 160.90–161.52.
USD/JPY was slammed from 162.5 toward 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft US NFP miss, and has since consolidated between 160.90 and the 161.52 swing high. Asia session is grinding sideways near 161.17 with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and price pinned at its EMAs — no clean setup in play.
Support: 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 opens a retest toward 162.00
Loss of 160.90 exposes the 160.63 session low
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk remains the main near-term catalyst
02:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 161.16
Ranging above 161.00 after sharp intervention drop.
USD/JPY was yanked off the 40-yr-high area near 162.5 to a 160.63 low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft US NFP miss, then stabilised into a 160.90–161.52 range. Price sits at EMA20 with RSI mid-range; the recovery has been capped by a series of lower highs off 161.52.
Support: 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.90 reopens the 160.63 intervention low
Close above 161.52 breaks the lower-highs sequence and resumes recovery
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the primary near-term risk
USDJPY was slammed ~190 pips from near 163 to a 160.63 session low on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft US 57K NFP miss. Since then price has carved higher lows and is consolidating between 161.00 and the 161.52 session high, currently mid-range at 161.16 with RSI(14) neutral near 51 in a quiet Asia session.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 exposes the 160.63 session low
Close above 161.52 resumes the recovery toward 161.80
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains a squeeze risk
Japan Labor Cash Earnings (Jul 6) a wage-inflation input for JPY
02:31 UTC
Down leg absorbed, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.16
Consolidation above the intervention low.
Asian session ranging 160.90–161.50 after suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP dumped USDJPY roughly 100+ pips off the 163 area. Price is sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the recovery bounce with RSI(14) mid-range and thin holiday-hours volume.
Support: 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.60
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.90 reopens the 160.63 intervention low
M15 close above 161.52 extends the recovery toward 161.60
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk could force a sharp move at any time
02:31 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 45 · price 161.16
Range after intervention drop.
USD/JPY was yanked off 40-year highs near 163 to the 161 area on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft 57K US NFP, and has since gone sideways. Price is ranging between 160.85 and the 161.49 swing high through the Asian session, trading at 161.16 just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range — no fresh directional structure in play.
Support: 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.85 swing low opens the 160.63 session low
Reclaim above 161.49 swing high breaks the range top
Unscheduled MoF intervention remains the main tail risk to this read
02:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 161.173
Basing above 161.00 after sweep of 160.63.
USD/JPY collapsed from the 162.50 pre-NFP shelf to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention and a weak US June NFP print, then based and recovered to a session high at 161.52. Now consolidating 161.00–161.25 with RSI(14) mid-range near 52; buyers held 161.00 through the Asia session.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 162.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.63 swing low
M15 close above 161.52 session high exposes the 162.50 pre-nfp shelf
Intervention follow-through / Labor Cash Earnings could reprice this fast
USDJPY flushed from the 162.50 pre-NFP shelf to a 160.63 session low on the soft US payrolls print and suspected Tokyo intervention, then based and clawed back toward 161.20. Price is consolidating between the 161.00 psych pivot and the 161.52 session high, RSI hovering near neutral.
Support: 161.00, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.52, 162.23
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 reopens 160.63 and 160.50
Reclaim of 161.52 puts the 162.23 pre-nfp shelf back in play
Any MoF intervention follow-through could reassert downside
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sharp drop · RSI 54 · price 161.23
Consolidation above session lows.
USD/JPY collapsed from the 162.50 pre-NFP shelf to a 160.63 session low on suspected Tokyo intervention plus the soft US June NFP, then based and is now consolidating between 161.00 and 161.52. Price sits at 161.23, back above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range — no fresh directional impulse in play.
Support: 161.00, 160.63, 160.50
Resistance: 161.52, 162.25
What it said to watch
A close below 161.00 psych pivot opens the path to 160.50
A close above 161.52 swing high reopens the pre-nfp shelf near 162.25
Any MoF intervention follow-through could force violent moves in either direction
02:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 161.23
Sharp drop then range bounce.
USD/JPY collapsed from the 162.50 shelf to 160.63 on the soft US NFP print and suspected MoF intervention, then based and clawed back toward 161.23. Asia session is quiet and range-bound between 160.85 and 161.52, RSI(14) back at neutral.
Support: 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.85 reopens the 160.63 swing low
Reclaim above 161.52 session high extends the recovery toward 161.64
Fresh MoF intervention or verbal escalation could force another violent JPY leg
01:46 UTC
Down leg stabilising, recovery attempt · RSI 53 · price 161.174
Based off session low, consolidating below 161.30.
USD/JPY collapsed from 162.55 to 160.62 on suspected MoF intervention and the soft US NFP miss, then based and recovered to 161.17. Now consolidating below the 161.30 pivot; the 161.00 psych level and 160.92 swing low have held as buyers defended into the Asia session.
Support: 161.00, 160.92, 160.62
Resistance: 161.30, 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 recent high signals the recovery extends toward 161.64
Loss of 161.00 psych and 160.92 swing low reopens the 160.62 session low
Fresh MoF intervention or comments could force violent two-way moves
Basing above 161.00 after sharp drop, capped at 161.50.
USDJPY collapsed from 162.5 toward 160.63 during NY hours on suspected Tokyo intervention layered on yesterday's soft NFP, then based above 161.00. Recovery to 161.50 was rejected and price is now grinding in the 161.00–161.20 zone through the Asia session; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.50, 162.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.50 reopens the path toward the 162.23 pre-drop shelf
Failure to hold 161.00 exposes 160.85 then the 160.63 swing low
Fresh MoF intervention follow-through could force violent two-way swings
USDJPY dumped from 162.5 toward 160.63 on the soft US NFP miss and suspected MoF intervention, then based and clawed back into a 161.00-161.50 range through the Asia session. Price is now sitting at the lower end after rejection at 161.50, RSI(14) around 43 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.00, 160.627, 160.50
Resistance: 161.50, 161.65
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens the 160.50 floor
Close above 161.50 swing high reasserts the recovery toward 161.65
Fresh intervention headlines remain the dominant near-term catalyst
01:31 UTC
Downtrend easing, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 161.127
Consolidation above the intervention low.
USD/JPY plunged over 100 pips from the 162.5 area on suspected MoF intervention and a soft US NFP miss, then based out near 160.63. Price is now ranging 160.90–161.52, rejected at 161.52 with RSI(14) mid-band and no momentum extreme.
Support: 161.00, 160.90, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens the 160.63 session low
Close above 161.52 resumes the recovery leg
Fresh intervention headlines could reprice this range fast
USDJPY plunged from 162.5 to a 160.63 session low during London-NY on soft US NFP and suspected MoF intervention, then recovered to 161.52 before rejecting into the quiet Asia session. Now hovering at the 161.00 pivot with lower highs forming since the 161.52 push.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 negates the lower-highs and reopens 161.64
Break below 160.63 session low resumes the downtrend
Fresh intervention headlines could trigger another sharp two-way swing
01:16 UTC
Down then consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 43 · price 161.058
Range 160.85–161.52, rejection at top.
USD/JPY sold off ~150 pips from 162.58 to 160.63 through the London-NY session on suspected MoF intervention plus the soft US NFP miss (57K vs 110K). Price has since consolidated around the 161.00 pivot; the Asia-session push to 161.52 was rejected and price slid back to 161.05, RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
Close below 160.85 opens session low at 160.63
Reclaim of 161.52 needed to resume the recovery
Intervention headlines remain the dominant near-term catalyst, keeping this two-way
Consolidation above 161.00 after intervention drop.
USD/JPY collapsed 100+ pips off the ~163 40-year high on suspected MoF intervention, then based around the 161.00 pivot. Price recovered to 161.52 before a rejection dragged it back to 161.20; still consolidating between 160.85 and 161.52 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.50
Resistance: 161.52, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 pivot opens 160.50 support
Reclaim of 161.52 session high needed to extend the recovery
Renewed intervention risk if price rallies toward the 162.50 zone
JPY Labor Cash Earnings (Jul 6) a near-term Yen driver
Pullback within 161.00-161.52 range after intervention drop.
Quiet Asia session drift after prior-day intervention-driven collapse from ~163 to 161. Rejection near the 161.52 session high pushed price back to 161.20, with the 161.00 pivot (former resistance now support) still untested below.
Support: 161.00, 160.50
Resistance: 161.52, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.00 opens 160.50
Reclaim of 161.52 needed to resume the recovery
162.50 remains a flagged intervention-risk zone if price rallies
00:46 UTC
Recovering off intervention low · RSI 60 · price 161.39
Higher lows building above 161.00.
Suspected MoF intervention collapsed price off the 162.58 highs to 160.63 mid-window, and price has since ground back up in a chain of higher lows above the 161.00 pivot. Asia session now testing back toward the 161.52 session high, RSI(14) around 60.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 session high opens the path toward 162.00 psych
Failure to hold the 161.00 pivot exposes the 160.63 session low
Renewed intervention risk near 162.50/163 caps upside attempts
US ISM Services Mon and lingering NFP fallout could shift this read
Suspected MoF intervention collapsed USDJPY from 162.5 to a 160.63 swing low, then Asia ground a chain of higher lows back to a 161.52 session high before rejecting to 161.39. The 161.00 psych pivot capped every dip on the way up; price now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.52 extends the recovery toward the 161.64 prior high
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.63 swing low
Any rally back into 162.50 raises fresh intervention risk
00:31 UTC
Recovering after intervention flush · RSI 64 · price 161.448
Higher lows off session low, grinding up.
USD/JPY collapsed ~200 pips from 162.60 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention, then based through the Asia session and broke back above the 161.00 pivot toward 161.52. RSI(14) near 64 as buyers stepped in repeatedly around 160.85; ATR sits near 7 pips.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 161.64
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 opens the path toward 161.64
Failure to hold 161.00 pivot reopens 160.63 session low
Fresh intervention risk into 162.50 could sharply shift this read
Rising lows off 160.63 base, reclaiming 161.00 pivot.
USDJPY is grinding higher through the Asia session off the 160.63 swing low carved during yesterday's suspected MoF intervention that collapsed the pair from ~163. Price has reclaimed the 161.00 pivot and sits above EMA20/50 with RSI near 62; rising lows intact but 161.52 recent high still caps.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.52, 162.00, 162.50
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 recent high opens 162.00 round number
Loss of 161.00 pivot reopens the 160.63 swing low
162.50 remains an intervention-risk zone on any push higher
ISM Services Mon Jul 6 could shift the USD leg of this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 62 · price 161.468
Based at 161.00, higher lows into Asia.
USD/JPY sagged from 162.60 to a session low at 160.63 in the aftermath of suspected MoF intervention and post-NFP USD softness, then based around 161.00 and pushed back to 161.47 during the Asia session. RSI has recovered near 62 and price cleared its consolidation top; ATR ~7 pips shows a thin, low-volume tape.
Support: 161.00, 160.63
Resistance: 161.64, 161.95
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.00 reopens the 160.63 session low
Break above 161.64 extends the recovery toward 161.95
Ambush intervention remains an ever-present two-way tail risk
USD/JPY reversed violently from ~163 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention, then based and is grinding higher through the Asia session, now at 161.47 above the 161.00 handle. Micro-structure prints higher lows off the 160.75 session low, RSI(14) mid-range and rising.
Support: 161.00, 160.75
Resistance: 161.52, 161.80, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.52 extends the recovery toward 161.80/162.00
Loss of 161.00 reopens the 160.75 session low
Intervention tail-risk remains an ever-present catalyst
00:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 62 · price 161.403
Double bottom then grind higher.
USDJPY dumped from 162.5 to 160.63 on suspected MoF intervention, printed a double bottom near 160.63/160.76, then consolidated 160.85–161.15 through the late session. The Asia open is grinding higher, pushing through 161.15 to a fresh session high at 161.47, RSI(14) around 62.
Support: 161.00, 160.85, 160.63
Resistance: 161.47, 162.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.47 opens the path back toward 162.23
Loss of the 161.00 psych level reopens the 160.85 consolidation base
Fresh intervention headlines remain an ever-present tail risk
00:01 UTC
Recovery off the lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 161.403
Base building after sharp sell-off, higher lows.
USDJPY spiked lower to 160.63 (suspected MoF intervention flagged in context) then based between 160.75 and 161.15; quiet Asia session is grinding a recovery back to 161.45, RSI(14) near 64. Price has reclaimed EMA20/50 with higher lows into 161.64 swing resistance.
Support: 161.00, 160.75
Resistance: 161.64, 161.95
What it said to watch
Close above 161.64 swing high opens the path toward 161.95 prior high
Loss of 161.00 base reopens the 160.75 spike low
Intervention tail risk remains an ever-present two-way catalyst