USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 7 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Recovering off NFP low, grinding up · RSI 62 · price 157.78
Higher lows since 156.67 spike.
The NFP shock (-23K) gapped USD/JPY down through a sweep to 156.67 at midday, then buyers reclaimed most of the move. Late NY is a steady grind higher off a rounded base, RSI(14) near 62 with price pressing the 157.86 prior high.
Support: 157.42, 156.67
Resistance: 157.86, 157.99
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.99 session high opens the path back toward 158.06
Failure to hold 157.42 swing low confirms a lower low
US CPI Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
The weak US NFP print flushed USD/JPY ~165 pips to 156.67 before a steady NY-session recovery back to 157.78. Higher lows are building off that spike base with the 157.99 session high the last cap; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before hot.
Support: 157.45
Resistance: 157.86, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 157.45 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
USDJPY was hammered to 156.67 on the 12:30 GMT NFP shock (-23K vs +80K), then clawed back through the NY session, printing higher lows and grinding to 157.75. RSI(14) near 61, price holding above EMA20 as the recovery leg tests the 157.79 session high.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.79, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 recovery high opens the path toward 158.06
Failure to hold 157.30 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst for the next USD leg
The shock -23K NFP print gapped USD/JPY off 158.3 to a 156.67 crash low, then a rebound to the 157.99 session high. Price has since built higher lows and is grinding back up to 157.79 resistance, RSI(14) around 60 with room before extremes.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.79, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 session high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 157.30 swing low confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
US CPI Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
USDJPY was flushed ~165 pips into the 156.67 crash low on the weak US NFP print, then recovered to a 157.99 session high before basing near 157.51. Price is grinding up off higher lows and just cleared consolidation to press the 157.79 recent high; RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 157.51, 157.30, 157.09
Resistance: 157.79, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 157.30 swing low opens a retest of the 157.09 crash low
US CPI on Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read
USDJPY was hammered from the mid-158s to 156.67 on the shock US NFP print (-23K vs +80K) at the 12:30 GMT release, then clawed back to 157.98. Since then price has ranged 157.30–157.95 with rising lows; current push to 157.72 in late NY hours sits above EMA20 but still below EMA50 and the 158.06 pivot.
Support: 157.30
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.95 range high opens the path back toward the 158.06 pivot
Failure to hold 157.30 range low confirms a lower low
US CPI on Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
20:01 UTC
Sharp drop then recovery, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 157.56
Post-shock range between 157.30 and 157.62.
USDJPY collapsed ~165 pips into 156.67 on the shock NFP miss during NY hours, then clawed back to 157.99 before settling. Price is now consolidating in a 157.30–157.62 band, RSI(14) neutral near 52 after the whipsaw.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.62 opens the path back toward 157.99
Failure to hold 157.30 confirms a lower low toward the 156.67 spike low
Any US-Japan intervention chatter could reprice this range abruptly
19:46 UTC
Downtrend post-NFP, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 157.499
Sharp break then recovery, fading into a range.
The shock -23K NFP print collapsed USD/JPY from 158.34 to a 156.67 spike low before a snap recovery to 157.99. Price has since faded into a 157.30–157.62 range, with RSI(14) sitting mid-band near 46 and holding below EMA20.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
Break below 157.30 opens a retest of the 156.67 spike low
M15 close above 157.62 reopens the path toward the 157.99 recovery high
US CPI on Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend post-NFP, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 157.499
Sharp break lower, range-building 157.30-157.60.
The shock NFP print (-23K vs +80K) crashed USDJPY ~170 pips to a 156.67 spike low before buyers dragged it back to 157.99. Price now consolidates around 157.50, roughly the 50% retrace of the crash, capped by the 157.60 recent high and holding above the 157.30 swing low.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.60, 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 exposes 157.18 then the 156.67 spike low
Reclaim of 157.60 opens a retest of the 157.99 post-nfp high and 200-day at 158.06
US CPI on Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
19:32 UTC
Ranging after NFP drop · RSI 47 · price 157.486
Consolidation, half-recovered spike.
The July NFP miss drove a sharp spike-down to 156.67 during NY hours, after which price recovered roughly half the leg and is now ranging 157.30–157.62. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47, price hovering around the 38.2% retracement of the recovery leg.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.62 session high opens the path to 157.99 recovery high
Loss of 157.30 swing low reopens the 156.67 nfp low
Fed's Bowman speaks Sat — next scheduled USD catalyst
USD/JPY flushed ~160 pips lower on the -23K NFP miss at 12:30 GMT, printing 156.67 before buyers recovered to a 157.99 post-nfp high. Through the NY session it has consolidated in a 157.30–157.62 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 45, holding below the 200-day SMA at 158.06.
Support: 157.30
Resistance: 157.62, 157.98, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Close above 157.62 session high reopens the 157.98 post-nfp high toward the 158.06 200-day sma
US CPI (Tue) is the decisive catalyst that could reprice this range
19:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 157.608
Range after volatility spike, 157.30–157.98 band.
The July NFP miss crashed USDJPY ~165 pips to 156.67 during the NY session before a sharp V-recovery to 157.99. Price has since rolled over and is consolidating in a 157.30–157.62 band, RSI(14) neutral near 51 after the whipsaw.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
Close back above 157.99 recovery high reopens the 200-day sma at 158.06
Loss of 157.30 swing low reopens the spike low toward 156.67
Fed's Bowman speaks Sat 16:45 UTC — could reprice USD after the labor shock
19:16 UTC
Recovering off NFP flush, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 157.608
Consolidation above 157.30 after sharp drop and half-retrace.
The -23K NFP miss at 12:30 UTC flushed USDJPY ~165 pips to a 156.67 spike low, which was quickly swept back; price then recovered to 157.99 before settling into a 157.30-157.62 range. RSI sits neutral near 49 and ATR has cooled to ~14 pips as the post-data volatility drains out.
Support: 157.30, 157.09, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.79, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.62 range top opens 157.79 then the 157.99 recov high
Loss of 157.30 swing low exposes the 157.09 post-nfp low and 156.67 nfp low
US CPI Tue Aug 12 is the decisive catalyst after the payroll shock
The -23K NFP shock at 12:30 GMT slammed USDJPY ~170 pips to 156.67 before a sharp recovery to 157.99. Price has since rolled over and is ranging 157.30–157.62 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s below EMA50.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 157.09
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.62 session high opens the path to the 157.99 bounce high
Loss of 157.30 swing low exposes 157.18 then the 157.09 nfp low
No US/JPY calendar risk in the next 8h; CPI Aug 12 is the next major catalyst
The 12:30 GMT payrolls shock (-23K vs +80K) collapsed USDJPY ~165 pips from 158.33 to 156.673 during the NY session as the hawkish-Fed thesis unwound. Price recovered to 157.99 then rolled over into lower highs; now ranging 157.30-157.62 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 157.30, 157.18
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 swing low exposes 157.18
Reclaim of 157.62 session high opens 157.99 recovery high
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves in the range
18:47 UTC
Sharp drop, now stabilising · RSI 52 · price 157.556
Post-shock consolidation above 157.30.
The -23K NFP shock smashed USDJPY down ~165 pips from 158.40 to 156.67, before a bounce reclaimed 157.99. Price now consolidating in the 157.30–157.62 band through the NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 52 after the washout.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.30 exposes the 156.67 nfp low again
Close above 157.62 session high reopens the 157.99 recov high
Fed's Bowman (Sat) tone shift could reprice USD post-NFP
18:46 UTC
Sharp drop then recovery, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 157.556
Range break lower, rising lows into consolidation.
The -23K July NFP shock crushed the dollar mid-session, sending USD/JPY vertically from 158.33 to a 156.67 low. Price has since recovered to a 157.99 recov high and is consolidating around 157.55 on rising lows, still capped below the reclaimed 200-day sma at 158.06.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 200-day sma at 158.06 would repair the post-NFP break
Failure to hold the 157.30 swing low exposes 157.18 then the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI (Wed) is the decisive catalyst that could reset this range
The -23K July NFP shock at 12:30 GMT smashed USD/JPY from 158.35 to a 156.673 spike low before a fast recovery to 157.99. Price now consolidates in a 157.30–157.99 band, currently 157.597 mid-range with RSI(14) back near neutral after the washout.
Support: 157.304, 157.18, 156.673
Resistance: 157.986, 158.06
What it said to watch
A close back above 158.06 reclaims the 200-dma and reopens the pre-NFP level
Loss of 157.30 session low exposes 157.18 then the 156.673 sweep low
US CPI Aug 12 is the decisive catalyst that could reprice this range
The 12:30 GMT NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) drove a violent spike down through 156.67 before buyers reclaimed to a 157.99 session high. Price has since settled into a 157.30–157.99 range, now mid-band near 157.60 with RSI(14) flat around 52.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.62, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 reopens the upside toward pre-NFP levels
Loss of 157.30 confirms a lower low, exposing 157.18
Fed's Bowman (Sat 16:45 GMT) could disturb the range
A shock July payrolls miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165-pip flush to 156.67 before buyers stepped in and drove a recovery to 157.99. Price has since carved a 157.30–157.99 range; the last bars are bouncing off 157.30 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47.
Support: 157.30, 157.09, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
Close above 157.99 reopens the recovery path
Loss of 157.30 confirms a lower-low toward 157.09
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this read
18:16 UTC
Sharp drop then recovery, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 157.571
Post-NFP range, 157.30–157.99.
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) slammed USD/JPY from 158.34 to a 156.67 spike low, then price recovered hard into the 157.99 recovery high. Now consolidating around 157.55, holding above the session low at 157.30 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.986
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 session low reopens 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 157.99 recovery high needed to resume the bounce
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend after NFP shock, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 157.505
Sharp drop, bounce, ranging 157.30–157.99.
The July payrolls miss (-23K vs +80K) crashed USD/JPY ~165 pips to 156.67 at the 12:30 GMT print, then a NY-session bounce reclaimed to 157.99 before fading. Price now consolidating around 157.50 with declining post-crash highs; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 negates the post-NFP consolidation
Loss of 157.30 exposes 157.18 then the 156.67 spike low
Fed's Bowman (Aug 8) and US CPI (Aug 12) are the next USD catalysts
18:01 UTC
Sharp drop, now basing · RSI 49 · price 157.505
Recovery off NFP low, consolidating in range.
The July payrolls shock (-23K vs +80K f/c) dumped USD/JPY ~165 pips from 158.33 to 156.67 during NY hours, before a V-shaped recovery back to 157.99. Price has since settled into a 157.30-157.66 band, currently 157.505 and holding below EMA20.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.66, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 exposes the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 157.66 opens the 157.99 post-nfp high
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this pair
Sharp break lower, rebound now fading into lower highs.
USD/JPY collapsed from 158.3 to 156.67 on the -23K NFP miss, then rebounded to 157.99 before rolling over into lower highs. Now consolidating 157.30–157.55, price capped below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 43.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.55, 157.66, 157.986
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.66 reopens the 157.99 rebound high
Loss of 157.30 exposes the NFP low at 156.673
Fed's Barkin comments could reprice the post-NFP move
17:46 UTC
Sharp drop then stabilising · RSI 43 · price 157.436
Post-NFP breakdown, consolidating above 157.30.
The US NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) slammed USDJPY ~165 pips off 158.33 to a 156.673 session low at the 12:30 GMT print. Buyers recovered to 157.99 before the move faded back to 157.44; now consolidating a 157.30-157.55 band with RSI(14) cooling near 42.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.55, 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 exposes the 156.67 session low
Reclaim of 158.06 200-d sma would repair the breakdown
US CPI Aug 12 is the decisive test for the post-NFP dovish shift
17:31 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 157.406
Downside break then recovery, ranging 157.30–157.99.
The -23K NFP miss slammed USD/JPY from 158.30 to the 156.67 nfp low in one bar during NY hours, before a recovery leg reclaimed to a 157.99 recovery high. Price has since faded back to 157.40, now caught between the 157.30 swing low and 157.55 swing high; RSI(14) mid-40s after the whipsaw.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.55, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 exposes 157.18 then the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 157.55 swing high reopens the 157.99 recovery high
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this pair
The 12:30 GMT NFP miss (-23K) triggered a violent drop from 158.33 to 156.67, snapping the pair below the 200-day SMA at 158.06. NY buyers reclaimed to 157.99 before the bounce stalled; price has since faded back to 157.40 and is consolidating in a 157.30-157.50 band.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.50, 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 exposes the 157.18 prior low
Reclaim of 157.99 recovery high needed to challenge the 200-day sma at 158.06
US CPI Aug 12 is the decisive test for whether the post-NFP downshift sticks
17:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 42 · price 157.41
Range break lower, bounce fading.
The NFP miss (-23K vs +80K f/c) gutted USD/JPY from the 158.30 area to a 156.67 low, then buyers recovered price to a 157.99 post-nfp high. Since then a chain of lower highs has capped the bounce, with price now consolidating around 157.40 below the reclaimed 200d sma at 158.06.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.30 session low reopens the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 158.06 200d sma would neutralise the post-nfp breakdown
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive test for whether this dovish USD shift sticks
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after NFP drop · RSI 44 · price 157.41
Sharp break down, recovery rejected, lower highs rolling over.
The US NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) at 12:30 GMT gutted USD/JPY with a spike to 156.67, which then rallied back to a 157.99 session high before being rejected. Price is now consolidating near 157.40, printing lower highs beneath the recovery peak.
Support: 157.30, 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.80, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 swing low exposes 157.18 prior low
Reclaim of the 157.80 swing high needed to reverse the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive test for whether this post-NFP move sticks
The -23K NFP miss at 12:30 GMT gutted USD, driving a 165-pip flush from 158.33 to 156.67 in a single bar; buyers then recovered price to 157.99 before it faded. Since the recovery high the tape has printed lower highs into 157.46, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.986
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 157.99 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 157.30 exposes the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Aug 12 is the next decisive catalyst for the post-NFP move
17:01 UTC
Sharp drop, retracing · RSI 46 · price 157.461
Range after NFP breakdown.
USD/JPY collapsed ~165 pips to 156.67 on the -23K NFP miss, then retraced to a session high at 157.99 before drifting back to 157.46. Now consolidating the 157.30-157.99 band with RSI(14) mid-range and price capped below the reclaimed levels.
Support: 157.30, 156.673
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.30 swing low exposes the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 158.06 (200d sma) would negate the NFP breakdown
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a violent drop from 158.33 to 156.67, then a recovery to 157.99 through the NY session. Price is now fading off that high, carving lower highs and pressing the 157.30 swing low; RSI(14) sits near 42.
Support: 157.30, 157.09, 156.67
Resistance: 157.55, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 opens the path to 157.09 then the 156.67 spike low
Reclaim of 157.55 needed to challenge session high at 157.99
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major USD catalyst but sits outside this window
16:32 UTC
Downtrend, post-NFP fade · RSI 38 · price 157.343
Sharp break lower, recovery then lower highs.
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) collapsed USD/JPY from 158.33 to 156.67 in a single candle, then it recovered to a 157.99 session high before rolling over. Price is now grinding out lower highs into 157.34 with RSI near 38; the 157.55 recovery pivot caps and 157.30 is the level in play.
Support: 157.30, 157.09, 156.67
Resistance: 157.55, 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.30 opens 157.09 then the 156.67 nfp low
Reclaim of 157.55 needed to stall the fade from the session high
US CPI Aug 12 is the next major USD catalyst for this pair
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) crashed USD/JPY from ~158.30 to a 156.67 flash low, then a recovery leg ran to 157.99 before stalling. Price is now fading back through the 50% retrace near 157.33 with a chain of lower highs (157.99, 157.60, 157.50) building.
Support: 157.09, 156.673
Resistance: 157.60, 157.986
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.09 exposes the 156.673 flash low
Reclaim of 157.60 lower high would question the fade
US CPI Aug 12 is the next major driver for this pair
16:16 UTC
Recovered off NFP low, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 157.424
Sharp drop then partial retrace, now easing lower.
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165 pip collapse to 156.67 during NY hours, snapping the pre-release 158.30 consolidation. Buyers recovered price to a 157.99 session high before it faded back to 157.42; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the retrace stalls.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.99 session high needed to extend the recovery
Close below 157.24 swing low re-exposes the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI Aug 12 is the next macro test of the post-NFP move
USDJPY cratered ~165 pips to 156.67 on the NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) during NY hours, then recovered to a 157.99 session high before fading back to 157.51. Price now sits mid-range around the 38% retrace of that bounce, back below EMA20/50.
Support: 157.18, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 157.99 session high resumes the recovery leg
Loss of 157.18 post-nfp low exposes the 156.67 nfp low
The -23K NFP miss slammed USDJPY from 158.33 to 156.67 in a single bar, breaking down through the reclaimed 200-day area. Price has since rebuilt in a higher-low chain to 157.99 and is now pulling back to 157.50; recovery high capped at 157.79/157.99 and the 157.44 low holds so far.
Support: 157.44, 157.09, 156.673
Resistance: 157.79, 157.986
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.44 recent low reopens the rebound low at 157.09
M15 close above 157.99 recovery hi resumes the rebound
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next major catalyst for this pair
The 12:30 GMT NFP miss (-23K vs +80K, soft wages) gutted USD and dropped USD/JPY ~170 pips from 158.33 into 156.67 in a single M15 candle. NY-session recovery stalled at 157.99, and price is now fading back toward the 157.44 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 157.44, 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
M15 close below 157.24 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 157.99 session high negates the pullback read
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair
15:46 UTC
Sharp NFP drop, recovering, now pulling back · RSI 46 · price 157.512
V-recovery off 156.67, retracing from session high.
The -23K NFP miss slammed USD/JPY 165 pips to 156.67 before a four-hour V-recovery ran into rejection at the 157.99 session high. Price is now retracing, sitting near 157.51 with RSI(14) around neutral.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99
What it said to watch
Loss of 157.24 swing low reopens the NFP low at 156.67
Reclaim of 157.99 session high resumes the recovery leg
US CPI Wed Aug 12 is the next major catalyst for this pair
The 12:30 GMT US payrolls miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165 pip flush from 158.33 to a 156.67 spike low. Buyers reclaimed most of it into the NY session, tagging 157.99 before easing back to 157.68; RSI(14) has cooled off the recovery high to the mid-50s.
Support: 157.26, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.95 session high opens a path back toward the 158.30 pre-drop base
Failure to hold 157.26 reopens the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Wed Aug 12 could materially shift this read
Sharp drop then V-recovery, higher lows into 157.99.
The NFP miss (-23K vs +80K f/c) slammed USD/JPY from the 158.35 consolidation to 156.67, then NY hours drove a steady V-recovery to a 157.99 session high. Price has since rejected there and pulled back to 157.68, RSI cooling toward neutral as the recovery leg loses pace.
Support: 157.26, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close above 157.99 reopens the 158.06 pivot
Loss of 157.26 drop low reopens the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI Wed is the next macro catalyst for this pair
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) flushed USDJPY from 158.35 to 156.67 before dip-buyers stepped in through NY hours. Price has since ground back to 157.99 in a chain of higher lows and now sits at 157.82, still capped beneath the 158.06 200-dma pivot.
Support: 157.18, 156.673
Resistance: 157.986, 158.06
What it said to watch
Close above 158.06 200-dma reopens the upside toward the prior range
Failure to hold 157.18 pivot exposes the 156.67 flush low again
Spike low at 156.67, higher lows retracing the drop.
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165-pip flush from 158.35 to 156.67 during NY hours. Price has since recovered to 157.82, retracing roughly two-thirds of that drop on a chain of higher lows, RSI cooling back near 60.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06, 158.35
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 pivot puts the pre-nfp 158.35 area back in play
Failure to hold the 157.24 range low reopens the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI Tue is the next major catalyst for this pair
Sharp selloff then higher-low chain retracing the drop.
The -23K NFP miss crashed USDJPY from 158.33 to 156.67 in a single bar during NY session, unwinding the dollar longs. Price has since ground higher in a clean chain of higher lows to 157.92, RSI(14) recovering into the low-60s but still below the 158.06 200-DMA.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.33
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 200-DMA would neutralise the NFP-driven drop
Close back below 157.24 resumes the lower-low sequence
US CPI Aug 12 is the next decisive catalyst for this pair
15:01 UTC
Sharp drop then V-recovery · RSI 49 · price 157.92
Spike low swept, retracing up.
USDJPY collapsed ~165 pips off 158.40 into the 12:30 GMT NFP miss (-23K vs +80K), spiking to 156.67 before buyers stepped in. Price has since clawed back to 157.92, filling most of the drop; the 157.95 session high and 158.06 200-DMA now cap the recovery.
Support: 157.25, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 200-dma would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.25 recovery low reopens 156.67 spike low
US CPI Tue is the next decisive catalyst for this pair
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165-pip drop to 156.673, sweeping the lows before a sharp V-recovery to 157.82. Price is now clawing back toward the 158.06 pivot with RSI(14) near 56 and recovery lows rising off 157.24.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 pivot would negate the post-NFP breakdown
Failure to hold 157.24 reopens the 156.67 sweep low
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive catalyst for the next repricing
V-recovery off session low, retracing the NFP drop.
The July NFP miss (-23K) triggered a violent USD selloff — USD/JPY collapsed from the 158.33 base to a 156.67 session low in a single bar, then recovered ~115 pips to 157.82. RSI is rebounding from the sub-30 washout as buyers stepped in off the session low; the 158.06 pivot caps the retrace so far.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.33
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 pivot would neutralise the NFP breakdown
Failure to hold 157.24 swing low reopens the 156.67 session low
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next decisive catalyst for USD repricing
14:32 UTC
Rebounding off NFP low · RSI 53 · price 157.769
Range break lower, V-recovery in progress.
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) triggered a ~165 pip plunge from the 158.3 consolidation to a 156.67 low, before a steady V-recovery clawed back to 157.77 through the NY session. RSI(14) has firmed back near 53 off the drop; price is still capped by the 157.79 session high and remains below the 158.06 200-DMA it lost on the print.
Support: 157.25, 156.67
Resistance: 157.79, 158.06
What it said to watch
Close above 157.79 opens the path back toward the 158.06 200-dma
Failure to hold 157.25 swing low reopens the 156.67 nfp low
US CPI (Aug 12) is the decisive USD catalyst that could reshape this read
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) crashed USD/JPY off 158.33 with a sweep to 156.67, dumping ~165 pips in a single bar. Price has since carved higher lows back to the session high at 157.79; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-50s but price sits well below both EMAs.
Support: 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.79, 158.06, 158.33
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 200-dma would repair the post-NFP break
Failure to hold 157.24 higher low reopens the 156.67 sweep low
US CPI (Aug 12) is the next decisive USD catalyst
14:17 UTC
Sharp drop, recovering · RSI 46 · price 157.756
Spike low swept, V-recovery into overhead pivot.
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) triggered a violent break from 158.33 to a 156.673 spike low, then a ~110-pip V-recovery to 157.756 through the NY session. RSI(14) has climbed back toward neutral off oversold, with price capped just under the 157.79 session high and the 158.06 200-DMA pivot overhead.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.79, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 200-DMA would neutralise the NFP break
Failure to hold 157.24 post-nfp low reopens the 156.673 spike low
Intervention follow-up headlines could sharpen the yen move
The July NFP miss (-23K) blew the pair out of its 158.3 consolidation, spiking down to 156.673 as USD was sold. Price has since clawed back to 157.75 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of the drop — and is now retesting the 157.79 session high formed on the recovery.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.79, 158.06
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of 158.06 (200-dma) would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 157.24 post-drop low exposes 156.673 nfp low
US CPI Tue Aug 12 is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
The -23K NFP shock gutted USD and dropped USDJPY straight through the 158.30 consolidation and the 158.06 200-DMA to a 156.673 flash low. Price has since clawed back to 157.74, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 41; the reclaim is holding above 157.24 for now.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 200-dma would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.24 re-exposes the flash low at 156.673
US CPI Tue Aug 12 is the decisive follow-through catalyst
The 12:30 GMT NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) ripped price out of the 158.30 consolidation and tagged 156.67 before buyers recovered it back to 157.74, roughly the 62% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) has climbed back to neutral after the oversold flush; ATR blown out to ~24 pips.
Support: 157.09, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 200-dma pivot would repair the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.09 session low re-exposes the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Aug 12 is the next decisive catalyst for this pair
The July NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) triggered a vertical drop out of the 158.20-158.55 range through the 200-DMA, bottoming at 156.673 in early NY. Price is now consolidating in a 157.09-157.66 band, with the bounce high at 157.657 capping the recovery.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.657, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim above the 158.06 200-dma negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 157.24 session low re-exposes 156.673
158.42 area flagged for intervention chatter as USD softens
The -23K NFP shock at 12:30 GMT slammed USD/JPY out of the 158.30-158.55 range, printing a 156.673 spike low before buyers recovered price to 157.539. RSI(14) is climbing back from oversold near 42; the recovery holds a series of higher lows off 157.089.
Support: 157.089, 156.673
Resistance: 158.06
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 158.06 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.089 exposes the 156.673 spike low
US-rate volatility could reprice this fast given crowded JPY shorts
Range broken lower, now consolidating above spike low.
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) gutted the USD and slammed USD/JPY out of its 158.30-158.55 consolidation, spiking to 156.673 before a bounce. Price now consolidating 157.09-157.50 during NY hours; RSI(14) recovering off the flush near 40.
Support: 157.09, 156.673
Resistance: 157.50, 158.33
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 157.50 needed to challenge the prior 158.33 range
Failure to hold 157.09 exposes the 156.673 spike low
Bowman speaks Sat 16:45 GMT — first post-NFP read could reprice USD
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) sliced USD/JPY ~165 pips out of the 158.30-158.55 range, spiking down to 156.673 before buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 157.43, capped so far under the 157.495 post-drop high with RSI(14) lifting off the lows.
Support: 157.24, 156.673
Resistance: 157.495, 158.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 157.495 opens a push back toward the 158.30 prior range
Failure to hold 157.24 session low re-exposes the 156.673 spike low
The July NFP miss (-23K vs +80K) detonated USD/JPY, collapsing from the 158.30 band to a 156.67 flush low before recovering to 157.32. Price has broken cleanly below the 157.30-158.20 range and is now basing; the 157.50 reaction high caps the bounce.
Support: 157.089, 156.673, 155.23
Resistance: 157.495, 158.06
What it said to watch
Recovery above 157.50 reaction high would begin repairing the break toward the 158.06 prior floor
Failure to hold the 157.09 spike low exposes the 156.67 flush low then 155.23
Fed's Bowman speaks Sat 16:45 GMT — first post-NFP read, could extend or fade the dovish move
USDJPY consolidated 158.20–158.55 through the session, then collapsed to 156.67 on the 12:30 GMT NFP print as a soft payroll read squeezed heavy JPY shorts. Price has since bounced to 157.36, holding above the 157.09 swing low with RSI(14) recovering from oversold.
A soft NFP print detonated the 158.30-158.55 range that held all day, flushing USD/JPY ~165 pips to 156.67 as record JPY shorts squeezed. Price now bases around 157.35 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 27; bounce capped so far at 157.39.
Support: 157.089, 156.673
Resistance: 157.391, 158.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.06 prior floor would repair the range break
Loss of 157.089 session low reopens the 156.673 flush low
NFP volatility still bleeding through; further intervention headlines could accelerate the squeeze
NFP at 12:30 GMT triggered a vertical drop out of the 158.33–158.55 range, spiking to 156.673 before a sharp recovery to 157.26 — a soft print squeezing JPY shorts. RSI(14) sits near 29 after the flush; ATR blew out to ~19 pips on the impulse.
Support: 157.00, 156.673
Resistance: 158.00, 158.33
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 157.00 psych opens a retest of the 156.673 crash low
Reclaim of 158.00 psych needed to negate the range base breakdown
NFP-driven volatility still bleeding through — aftershock swings likely
12:46 UTC
Sharp downside break · RSI 26 · price 157.259
Consolidation broken down, low swept.
USD/JPY collapsed ~165 pips on the NFP release, sweeping to 156.67 before closing back at 157.26; the multi-hour 158.30–158.55 consolidation broke hard to the downside as JPY short-squeeze risk activated. RSI(14) slumped near oversold, ATR spiking on the impulse.
Support: 156.673, 155.23
Resistance: 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.06 prior floor would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 157.18 opens 156.67 spike low then 155.23 int low
Ongoing NFP follow-through can extend or reverse this move within the next bars
Range break, consolidation gave way to a fresh session low.
USDJPY spent the session grinding sideways around 158.30–158.50 before the NFP release detonated the range base, plunging to a session low of 157.506 and closing near 157.785. Soft US payroll expectations activated the flagged JPY short-squeeze; RSI(14) collapsed to ~31 on the reaction bar.
Support: 157.506, 157.18
Resistance: 158.30, 158.475
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 158.30 range base would neutralise the breakdown
NFP volatility is live — subsequent bars may extend or retrace the spike
Failure to hold 157.506 opens the path toward 157.18 next support
12:31 UTC
Range broken lower on NFP · RSI 30 · price 157.785
Day-long range violated to the downside.
NFP at 12:30 GMT cracked the day-long 158.30-158.55 range: USD/JPY plunged ~80 pips to 157.506 before closing 157.785, a softer payroll firing the flagged JPY short-squeeze. RSI(14) cratered near 30 on the final bar, which swept the lows and clawed back ~28 pips off 157.506.
Support: 157.506, 157.18
Resistance: 158.06, 158.30
What it said to watch
NFP still digesting — first bars post-release drive the read
Reclaim of the 200d sma at 158.06 would negate the downside break
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 158.351
Consolidation in mid-158s below 158.55.
USDJPY reclaimed the 200-day (158.06) through London and topped at 158.57 before easing back to the mid-158s, now consolidating below 158.47 as traders sit on hands into US NFP. RSI(14) neutral near 46, price pinned just under EMA20 in a tight range.
Support: 158.06, 157.82
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~15 min) is the dominant driver and will likely break this range
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 159.20
USDJPY is coiling in the mid-158s, boxed between the 158.55 range top and 158.24 base after the early rally off 157.82 stalled; soft-yen tone persists after weak Japanese household spending. Price is holding just under EMA20/50 into the US NFP release, RSI(14) flat around 44.
Support: 158.24, 158.06, 157.82
Resistance: 158.55, 158.47
What it said to watch
US NFP in ~30 min (12:30 GMT) is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward 159.20
Failure to hold 158.24 exposes the 200-day pivot at 158.06 then 157.82
11:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 158.333
Consolidation in mid-158s after early rally.
USDJPY spiked to a session high of 158.55 in early London then settled into a mid-158s range, drifting to 158.33 with price under both EMAs. Soft Japanese household spending keeps the yen-weak tone, but the market is compressing ahead of US NFP at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 158.245, 158.214
Resistance: 158.473, 158.552
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and will likely break this range
Mid-158s range after morning rally, drifting lower.
USD/JPY rallied off 157.85 through the London session, reclaimed the 158.06 area and peaked at 158.55 before drifting into a mid-158s range as the soft-yen tone held. Price is coiling around 158.30-158.47 with RSI(14) flat near 49, consolidating ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.26, 158.06, 157.85
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is the dominant driver for this pair
M15 close below 158.26 exposes the 200d pivot at 158.06
Close above 158.55 reopens the upside toward 159.20
USDJPY ran to a 158.55 session high on the London push then faded, now consolidating mid-158s with price back under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) neutral near 44. The pair holds above the 200-DMA at 158.06 as JPY stays soft on fiscal drag; recent dips into 158.24 have been bought.
Support: 158.24, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 zone
Range after London impulse, drifting toward range low.
London session drove an impulse from 157.82 to 158.55, and price has since consolidated in a 158.21–158.55 band through the day. Now drifting toward the range low at 158.33 with RSI(14) neutral near 46, price below both EMA20 and EMA50 into the US NFP release.
Support: 158.245, 158.214
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~75m away) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Loss of 158.21 session low confirms a downside range break
M15 close above 158.55 fibo pivot reopens the upside toward the 160.00 zone
USDJPY rallied off 157.82 into the London session and peaked at 158.57, then rolled into a 158.24–158.57 range as JPY stayed soft on weak household spending. Price is now pinned near range lows at 158.31, below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 158.245, 158.06, 157.82
Resistance: 158.47, 158.57
What it said to watch
NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
Close below 158.245 range low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
USDJPY spiked to 158.55 in the NY session yesterday on the broad USD bid, then drifted lower and has been boxed in a 158.21-158.55 band through Asia and into London. Price sits mid-range at 158.31, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 43 — momentum has cooled from the rally.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Close below 158.21 session low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
Reclaim of 158.47 swing high reopens the 158.55 session high
USDJPY is consolidating in a 158.30-158.47 band after tagging the 158.55 window high; the last bar swept to 158.245 and rebounded to 158.29, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price has slipped back below EMA20/50 as momentum cools ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close below 158.21 swing low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
Reclaim of 158.47 session high reopens the 158.55 fibo pivot
USDJPY rallied from 157.82 to a 158.55 fibo pivot early, then spent the London morning boxed 158.30-158.47. The current bar broke the range low, printing a session low at 158.24 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s; price now sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 158.24, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h45m out) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Sustained M15 close below 158.24 exposes the 158.06 200-DMA
Reclaim of the 158.47 range top would neutralise the breakdown
10:31 UTC
Range after London rally · RSI 53 · price 158.40
Boxed 158.30–158.55 into NFP.
USDJPY rallied off 157.82 through the London open to tag 158.55, then rolled into a tight range hugging 158.40 with RSI(14) flat near 53 — JPY soft after the -3.3% household spending miss. Range top 158.55 (fibo pivot) capped, demand held 158.21 on the pullback; price is coiling into the US NFP print.
Support: 158.30, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst — likely to break the 158.30–158.55 box either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 zone
Loss of 158.21 exposes the 158.06 200-DMA pivot
10:16 UTC
Sideways after London rally, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 158.382
Consolidating mid-158s below session high.
USDJPY rallied off 157.85 through the London session to tag 158.55 before stalling; price now grinds sideways in a 158.21–158.47 band with RSI(14) flat near 50. The session high at 158.55 has capped two pushes as the pair coils into the US NFP release.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 zone
Loss of 158.21 session low exposes the 158.06 200-dma pivot
10:16 UTC
Consolidating after early rally · RSI 49 · price 158.382
Range-bound mid-158s below session high.
USDJPY spiked to 158.55 during the London session then rejected, and has since coiled in a tight 158.30–158.47 range through the Asian hours into NY. Price sits mid-range at 158.38, RSI flat near 49 and ATR compressed to ~7 pips — a pre-event lull ahead of US payrolls.
Support: 158.30, 158.214, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.552
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
Close above 158.47 reopens the 158.55 fibo pivot
Loss of 158.214 swing low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
10:01 UTC
Range after intraday rally · RSI 46 · price 158.364
Consolidating below session high.
USDJPY rallied off 157.82 through the 158.06 area during London and topped at 158.55 before settling into a 158.30–158.47 band; JPY stays soft after the weak household spending print. Price is drifting mid-range near 158.36 with RSI(14) neutral, coiling into the US NFP release.
Support: 158.30, 158.21, 157.82
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~30min) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range in either direction
M15 close above 158.47 opens the path back to the 158.55 window high
Failure to hold 158.30 exposes the 158.21 session low
10:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 158.364
Range after earlier rally faded.
USDJPY rallied to a 158.55 session high after clearing the 200-DMA, then faded into a tight 158.29–158.47 range through NY hours. Price sits mid-range at 158.36 with RSI neutral; a soft June household spending print keeps JPY heavy but the tape is coiled ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.29, 158.214, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.552
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close above 158.55 invalidates the range top
Loss of 158.214 confirms a lower-low toward the 158.06 pivot
09:46 UTC
Range after London rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 158.34
Consolidation in mid-158s, capped below 158.55.
USDJPY rallied through the London session to a 158.55 session high before stalling and rotating in a 158.29-158.55 band. Price now drifts lower near 158.34, below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s — dead-flat consolidation into the US NFP release.
Support: 158.29, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls due ~2h could materially shift this read
M15 close below 158.21 exposes the 158.06 200-dma
Reclaim of 158.55 session high needed to revive the up-leg
Consolidating below session high after London rally.
USDJPY rallied from 157.82 to the 158.55 session high through the London hours, then stalled and has drifted back toward the 38.2% fib at 158.27, now trading 158.34. Price is coiling in a 158.21–158.47 range with RSI(14) mid-band; no directional resolution ahead of the US payrolls print.
Support: 158.27, 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls ~3h out is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
M15 close below 158.21 (session low) exposes deeper retracement
Reclaim of 158.47 swing high reopens the path to the 158.55 session high
USDJPY rallied off 157.82 into the 158.55 session high earlier, then stalled and has been chopping 158.21-158.55 with JPY soft on weak household spending. Price now drifts mid-range at 158.35, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR compressing to ~6 pips as the tape idles into US NFP.
Support: 158.30, 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 158.55 session high resumes the uptrend
Close below 158.21 range low exposes lower ground
09:31 UTC
Up leg faded, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 158.355
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
USDJPY rallied to 158.57 earlier before supply capped it, and price has since drifted into a 158.29-158.47 range with RSI(14) neutral near 48. JPY stays soft on the intervention retrace, but the whole tape is coiling ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.29, 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst for this range
M15 close above 158.47 reopens the 158.57 swing high
Close below 158.21 confirms a lower-low
09:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 158.369
Consolidation in mid-158s after impulsive leg up.
USDJPY surged off 157.82 into a session high of 158.55 during the prior session, then rolled into a tight consolidation in the mid-158s. Price is now drifting between 158.30 and 158.47, sitting on its EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.30, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this range
Close below 158.06 (200-dma) exposes 157.18
Close above 158.55 resumes the up-leg toward 160.00
09:01 UTC
Sideways after early rally · RSI 45 · price 158.366
Ranging mid-158s below session high.
USDJPY spiked from 157.82 to the 158.55 session high in the London-NY overlap yesterday, then settled into a 158.21–158.55 range as the intervention afterglow faded and weak Japan household spending kept JPY soft. Price is mid-range at 158.37, RSI(14) neutral near 45, coiling into the US payrolls print.
Support: 158.29, 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 breaks the range top and reopens upside
Close below 158.21 exposes the 158.06 area
US NFP in ~3.5h is the dominant catalyst and can force this range either way
09:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 48 · price 158.366
Consolidation below session high after London rally.
USDJPY rallied off 157.82 through the London session to a 158.57 session high, then stalled and has chopped mid-158s as the intervention afterglow fades and JPY stays soft. Price now coils just below the 158.47 swing high with RSI(14) neutral, tight ranges compressing ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 158.21 session low confirms a lower-low
08:46 UTC
Sideways after early rally · RSI 46 · price 158.371
Consolidation below session high.
USD/JPY consolidating 158.29–158.55 through the London session after the early push to 158.55 stalled. RSI(14) neutral near 46 with price slipping back under EMA20; range top respected, recent pullback holding above 158.29.
Support: 158.29, 158.21
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP + wages in ~4h could break this range decisively
M15 close below 158.29 exposes the 158.21 session low
M15 close above 158.55 clears the session high
08:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 158.439
Consolidation in mid-158s after London push.
USDJPY spiked from 157.80 to 158.55 during the London session as the intervention afterglow faded, then settled into a 158.21–158.57 range through NY hours. Price now sits mid-range at 158.44 with RSI neutral; buyers defended the 158.21 session low but 158.55 has capped every attempt.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.55, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP + wages in ~4h is the dominant driver — largely priced, needs a surprise to break the range
M15 close above 158.57 opens the path toward 159.00
Failure to hold 158.21 exposes the 200-day area below
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating · RSI 61 · price 158.472
Range mid-158s under session high.
USD/JPY consolidating mid-158s after the London-session rally cleared the 200-DMA at 158.06, price now grinding back toward the session high at 158.57 with RSI(14) neutral near 61. Buyers stepped in twice around 158.29 through the last few hours; the 158.21 swing low remains the intraday reference.
Support: 158.29, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.57
What it said to watch
Close above 158.57 opens continuation higher
Loss of 158.29 range floor exposes the 158.21 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
08:16 UTC
Range, grinding to top · RSI 61 · price 158.472
Consolidation mid-158s after London spike.
USDJPY spiked into the mid-158s during the London session and has since consolidated 158.27–158.55, now pushing the range top at 158.47 with RSI(14) around 61. Price holds well above the 200-day SMA at 158.06, but the read is capped ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.27, 158.06
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~4h) is the dominant driver for the next move
M15 close above 158.55 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 158.27 opens 158.06 (200-dma)
08:02 UTC
Consolidating after NY rally · RSI 53 · price 158.398
Range-bound in mid-158s post-breakout.
Yesterday's NY session drove USD/JPY through the 158.06 200-DMA into the mid-158s on the broad USD bid, peaking at the 158.55 session high. Since then price has consolidated between 158.21 and 158.55 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.55, 158.52
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close above 158.55 session high opens a push toward the 160.00 zone
Failure to hold the 158.21 swing low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
08:01 UTC
Uptrend paused, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 158.398
Range in mid-158s after impulse leg.
USD/JPY spiked mid-158s on the Hormuz-driven dollar bid, clearing the 200-DMA at 158.06, and has since consolidated in a 158.29–158.53 range. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR around 6 pips; buyers defended 158.29 through the session while 158.53 caps.
Support: 158.29, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.53, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~4.5h) is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path back toward higher levels
USDJPY spiked from 157.8 to a session high of 158.55 during the prior NY session, then settled into a tight 158.29–158.47 range as JPY stayed soft after Japan's weak household spending. Price is mid-range at 158.40 with RSI neutral, coiling into the US NFP release.
Support: 158.29, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 reopens the session high; close below 158.21 confirms a lower low
Loss of 158.06 (200-dma) would shift the intraday read lower
07:31 UTC
Ranging after prior rally · RSI 49 · price 158.381
Consolidation between 158.21 and 158.55.
USD/JPY is coiling in a 158.21–158.55 band, hovering mid-range at 158.38 having reclaimed the 200-DMA (158.06) as JPY stays soft on the fiscal theme. ATR has compressed to ~6 pips and RSI(14) is flat near 49 — no directional setup ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.29, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~5h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 intervention zone
Failure to hold 158.21 exposes 158.06 and the 157.18 support below
USD/JPY rallied off 157.82 through the NY session to a 158.55 session high, then stalled and has been drifting in a 158.21–158.55 band as JPY stays soft. ATR has compressed to ~5 pips with RSI flat near 51 as Asia trades tight into US NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range read
Close above 158.55 session high opens the path toward 160.00
Break below 158.21 swing low confirms a lower low, exposing the 200-dma at 158.06
07:16 UTC
Uptrend paused, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 158.339
Range-bound below session high.
Consolidating in the 158.30–158.44 band through the Asian session after London faded the 158.55 session high back to the 158.21 session low. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and ATR compressed, with price sitting just under EMA20/50 ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.30, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.44, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
Close above 158.44 range top reopens the 158.55 session high
Loss of 158.21 session low exposes the 158.06 200-dma
07:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 158.366
Consolidation below 158.57 after Thursday rally.
USDJPY rallied through the mid-158s during NY hours Thursday, reclaiming the 158.06 200-day SMA, and has since coiled into a tight 158.21–158.57 range. Price sits mid-range at 158.366 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; no intraday setup in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.57, 158.52
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.57 reopens the path toward 160.00
Failure to hold 158.21 exposes the 158.06 200-day SMA
06:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 158.33
Lower highs off 158.57, holding above 158.28.
USD/JPY reclaimed the 200-day SMA area (~158.06) and pushed to a session high at 158.57 during NY hours, but has since drifted into a lower-high grind, now at 158.33 with RSI(14) cooling near 43. Price is consolidating in the 158.28–158.44 band ahead of US NFP, having rejected the 158.57 high twice.
Support: 158.28, 158.06
Resistance: 158.44, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant catalyst for this read
M15 close below 158.28 opens the path toward the 200-day sma at 158.06
Reclaim of 158.44 puts the 158.57 session high back in play
06:46 UTC
Post-rally drift lower · RSI 42 · price 158.33
Range after uptrend, lower highs building.
USDJPY rallied through the prior NY session to 158.57, then rejected and is drifting lower into Asia hours, now ranging 158.28–158.44 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 but holds well above the 200-day SMA pivot at 158.06.
Support: 158.28, 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.44, 158.53
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
M15 close below 158.21 session low opens the path to the 200d sma at 158.06
Reclaim of 158.44 range top puts the 158.53 session high back in play
06:32 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 158.307
Lower highs, grinding down within range.
Yesterday's push reclaimed the 158.06 pivot and topped at 158.55; since then USD/JPY has ground lower through the Asian session in a chain of lower highs, now at 158.31. RSI(14) soft near 41 with ATR ~4.5 pips — a slow bleed, not a break.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.42, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reset this read
USDJPY rejected the 158.57 session high and is grinding down a chain of lower highs, now 158.30 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips in the pre-NFP lull. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 200-day SMA at 158.06 is the structural floor below the 158.21 swing low.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.45, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range
Close below 158.21 confirms a lower low toward the 158.06 200-dma
Reclaim of 158.45 negates the lower-high sequence
06:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 158.299
Lower highs off 158.57 session peak.
London open drove a sharp leg from 157.86 to a 158.57 session high, but price has since stair-stepped lower into 158.30 as the dollar afterglow fades. Lower highs are building below 158.44, with the 200-day SMA at 158.06 the pivot beneath.
Support: 158.06
Resistance: 158.44, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can reset this read
USD/JPY cleared the 200-day SMA (~158.06) and ran to a 158.55 session high on fading intervention afterglow, then drifted back to mid-range at 158.33. Now boxed roughly 158.21–158.55 with RSI(14) cooling and price back under EMA20/50 ahead of NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close below 158.06 exposes 157.18
Break above 158.55 resumes the recovery
06:01 UTC
Range after rally, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 158.327
Consolidation between 158.21 and 158.57.
USDJPY spiked through the 158.06 200-day SMA in yesterday's NY session to a 158.57 session high, then coiled into a 158.21–158.57 range. Price is grinding the lower half at 158.33 into early London, RSI(14) mid-40s. NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant swing factor.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.45, 158.57
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 exposes the 158.06 200-day SMA
Reclaim of 158.45 reopens the 158.57 session high
NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Range, mild downdrift · RSI 43 · price 158.351
Ranging after intervention pop, lower highs into Asia.
Quiet Asian session ranging 158.21–158.57 after the intervention-driven pop cleared the 200-day SMA at 158.06. Price is drifting toward mid-range with RSI(14) cooling near 43; session high at 158.57 rejected and holding.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.57
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 opens the path to the 200-day SMA at 158.06
Reclaim of the 158.57 session high needed to resume upside
NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Range after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 158.351
Boxed 158.21–158.55, mid-range.
USDJPY rallied through the NY session to a 158.55 session high after clearing the 200-day SMA, then settled into a 158.21–158.55 range. Price is drifting lower into Asia, now mid-range near 158.35 with RSI neutral; NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
NFP at 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver and can break this range either way
Close below 158.21 swing low exposes the 200-day sma at 158.06
Reclaim of 158.55 session high reopens the 160.00 zone
05:31 UTC
Consolidating after NY rally · RSI 47 · price 158.377
Range, holding above 158.21 low.
USDJPY is boxed between 158.30 and 158.52 through the Asia session after yesterday's NY leg reclaimed the 200-day SMA (~158.06) and pushed to 158.57. Price is drifting mid-range at 158.38 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the 158.21 swing low held on the last pullback.
Support: 158.30, 158.214
Resistance: 158.52, 158.572
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC (~7h out) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close below 158.21 confirms a lower-low and exposes 158.06
USDJPY spiked through the 200-day SMA at 158.06 during yesterday's US session, peaking at 158.55, and has since gone sideways in a 158.21–158.55 band. Price now drifts at 158.37 below short EMAs with RSI(14) near 47; Asian range holding ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06, 157.87
Resistance: 158.55, 158.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 exposes the 158.06 200d sma then 157.87
Reclaim of 158.55 session high needed to resume the up-leg
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
05:16 UTC
Uptrend cooling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 158.371
Range after impulse leg, mid-range drift.
USDJPY spiked through the 200-day SMA (158.06) mid-window to a session high at 158.57, then settled into a 158.21–158.57 range as the dollar steadied. Price now drifts at 158.37, holding the mid of that impulse move with RSI(14) neutral; rejection has capped attempts back toward the session high.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.57, 158.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 swing low reopens the 200d sma at 158.06
Break and hold above 158.57 session high resumes the upside leg
US NFP in ~7h (12:30 UTC) is the swing factor for this range
USDJPY is consolidating in a 158.21–158.55 band after the NY-session rally that cleared the 158.06 pivot and tagged 158.55. Price has drifted back below the EMA20 (~158.40), holding near the 23.6% retrace of the rally with RSI neutral around 45.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.40, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — will likely break this range
Close below 158.21 swing low exposes the 158.06 pivot
Break above 158.55 session high resumes the upside
05:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 158.384
Range below session high after London breakout.
London push cleared 158.06 (200-day SMA) and ran to a 158.57 session high, then stalled and boxed between 158.21 and 158.52. RSI(14) mid-range and momentum flat as price idles below the session high ahead of NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.52, 158.57
What it said to watch
Close above 158.57 reopens the path toward 160.00
Close below 158.06 exposes 157.18
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after rally · RSI 52 · price 158.414
Range-bound above the day's breakout.
Pair rallied through the 158.06 200-sma pivot during NY hours and printed a session high at 158.55, then rolled into a tight Asian-session range between 158.21 and 158.55 on thinning volume. Price is coiling near 158.41 with rising lows off 158.21; RSI(14) neutral around 52, no momentum extreme.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.55, 158.50
What it said to watch
US NFP in ~8h (12:30 UTC) could break this range decisively
Close below 158.06 200-sma pivot exposes the session low at 158.21
Reclaim of 158.55 session high reopens the upside leg
04:46 UTC
Uptrend cooling into range · RSI 50 · price 158.414
Consolidating below NY session high.
NY session ripped USD/JPY from 157.86 to a 158.55 swing high on the USD rebound/renewed Fed-hike bets, then stalled. Since then price has boxed between 158.21 and 158.55, with Asia holding the mid at 158.40 and RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 158.21, 157.86
Resistance: 158.52, 158.55
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
M15 close below 158.21 exposes 157.86 pre-breakout zone
Break and hold above 158.55 swing high extends the rally
USDJPY spiked through the 200-day SMA (158.06) during NY hours to a 158.55 session high, then stalled and is now ranging 158.21–158.55 with RSI(14) flat near 49. The dip to 158.21 was bought back, but supply capped the retest of 158.55.
Support: 158.214, 158.06
Resistance: 158.552, 158.47
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close above 158.55 resumes the upside toward 160.00
Consolidation near session highs after impulse leg.
USD/JPY reclaimed the 158.06 200-day pivot in the prior NY session and pushed to a 158.55 session high before drifting into a tight 158.32-158.44 consolidation through Asia hours. Buyers held the 158.21 swing low on the last pullback; range top at 158.44 still capping. RSI(14) neutral near 51, ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 158.21, 158.06
Resistance: 158.44, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the impulse
Close below 158.06 200d pivot exposes downside toward 157.18
04:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 158.411
Range after impulsive rally, lower highs off 158.55.
USD/JPY spiked through 158.00 into 158.55 during London hours as the Yen stayed soft for a fourth session, then rolled into a 158.21–158.55 range with RSI(14) back near 50. Repeated rejection at 158.53–158.55 and a hold above the 158.21 swing low keep price boxed; nothing structural in play ahead of NFP.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.53, 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 reopens the path toward 160.00
Loss of 158.21 confirms a lower low and shifts the range lower
USDJPY rallied through the prior NY session to 158.57 then rolled into a tight Asian-hours range between 158.21 and 158.52, RSI(14) flat near 52. Price is coiling just under the session high with ATR at ~7 pips; no directional break yet.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.52, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Close above 158.57 opens the path back toward 160.00
USDJPY rallied through the NY session to 158.55 as the Yen extended its post-intervention softness, then stalled into a 158.20–158.55 range through the Asian hours. Price is mid-range at 158.40 with RSI(14) flat near 51; no directional setup in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.214
Resistance: 158.526, 158.552
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 158.55 reopens the path toward 160.00
Loss of 158.20 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the NY rally
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 158.436
Ranging after intraday rally.
USD/JPY drove from 157.82 to 158.57 yesterday on the broader USD firming, then settled into an Asia-session range between 158.21 and 158.57. Price is mid-range at 158.436 with RSI neutral; no setup in play into NFP.
Support: 158.214
Resistance: 158.572, 158.506
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 158.57 opens continuation toward the 160 zone
NY session drove a breakout from 157.8 up to 158.55 as the yen stayed soft into NFP; price is now consolidating through the Asia session between 158.21 and 158.55. Buyers stepped in at the 158.21 swing low and price has recovered to 158.44, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.55, 158.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.00 area
Failure to hold 158.21 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the prior session to 158.57 before sellers capped it; Asia hours have pulled back to 158.21 and are now consolidating around 158.40 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Yen stays soft as intervention afterglow fades, but price is coiling into a two-way NFP risk.
Support: 158.214, 158.00
Resistance: 158.52, 158.572
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.57 resumes the upside
Loss of 158.21 confirms a lower-low and opens 158.00
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
03:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 158.403
Ranging under 158.55 after London/NY rally.
USDJPY spiked from 157.82 to 158.55 mid-window as JPY stayed soft into NFP, then stalled and has since drifted in a 158.21–158.55 band. Price sits back at the 158.40 mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 52; Asian session offering no fresh direction.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.55, 159.00
What it said to watch
Close above 158.55 session high reopens the 159.00 psych level
Loss of 158.21 session low confirms a lower-low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
03:16 UTC
Up then consolidating · RSI 53 · price 158.417
Range after impulse leg.
A sharp impulse leg lifted USD/JPY off 157.86 to a session high at 158.55, and price has since consolidated in a 158.21–158.55 band. The dip to 158.214 swept the range low before buyers pushed it back to 158.42; JPY stays soft on fading intervention afterglow.
Support: 158.214
Resistance: 158.552, 158.526
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break the 158.21–158.55 range either way
M15 close above 158.55 opens the path higher; loss of 158.21 session low confirms a lower-low
03:16 UTC
Sideways after rally, consolidating · RSI 52 · price 158.417
Range in upper band, recent low sweep.
USDJPY consolidating in the 158.30-158.57 band during Asia hours after the London/NY leg lifted the pair toward 158.57. Session low at 158.21 was swept and reclaimed; price now hovering near its EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range, no clean setup.
Support: 158.21, 158.30, 157.86
Resistance: 158.52, 158.57
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 confirms a lower-low and reopens 157.86
Reclaim of 158.57 puts the session high back in play
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this range read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend paused, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 158.372
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
NY session drove USD/JPY to a 158.57 swing high before a sharp rejection dumped price to 158.21; Asia hours have recovered roughly 44% of that leg to 158.37. Pair is grinding along its 200-day EMA pivot near 157.50-158.20, capped under the session high.
Support: 158.214, 158.00
Resistance: 158.526, 158.572
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC can materially shift this read
Close above 158.526 reopens the 158.57 swing high
Loss of 158.214 confirms a lower-low into the 158.00 psych level
NY session drove USD/JPY from 157.7 up to 158.57 as JPY stayed soft on fiscal worries, before rejection there dragged price back to 158.21. Asia session is consolidating around 158.37 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price under EMA20.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to 158.57 then faded, and Asia hours have drifted lower — price dipped to 158.21 before recovering to 158.34, now sitting below the EMA20. RSI(14) near 46, no momentum edge as the pair consolidates its intervention-fade grind toward 158.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.57
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 158.57 reopens the session high
Loss of 158.21 swing low confirms a lower-low into Asia
USD/JPY broke higher during the NY session, running from 157.67 up to a 158.57 session high, then stalled and pulled back into an Asian-session drift now sitting at 158.34. Price has slipped below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; buyers defended 158.21 on the last dip while the session high still caps.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 158.21 swing low opens 158.00 round number
M15 close above 158.55 session high reasserts the breakout
02:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 158.332
Higher highs stalled below 158.55, pullback to 158.21.
USD/JPY grinding higher through the Asian session before rejection at 158.55, with a dip to 158.21 bought back to 158.33; RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. Move fits the broader dip-buying read into NFP, price now hovering just below EMA20.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.55, 158.27
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 158.55 reopens the session-high push
Loss of 158.21 confirms a lower-low and exposes 158.00
US NFP later today (12:30 UTC) is the key intraday driver
02:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 158.332
Double top at session high, pullback to session low.
USD/JPY rallied through NY hours to a 158.57 session high, printing a double top against the 158.52 prior high before Asia sold it back to the 158.21 session low. Price now grinds at 158.33 below EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; range holding between session high and session low ahead of US NFP.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.57, 158.52
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.57 invalidates the double top read
Break below 158.21 confirms a lower low
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 158.343
Post-breakout pullback below session high.
USD/JPY broke higher through the NY session, grinding from 157.86 to a session high 158.57 on renewed yen softness, then got rejected and sold back to 158.21 before stabilising near 158.34 in early Asia. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s; the breakout leg has retraced roughly half its range.
Support: 158.21
Resistance: 158.53, 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 158.21 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 158.57 session high resumes the breakout
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 158.343
Pullback from session high, holding above 158.20.
NY session drove USD/JPY off the 157.82 base up to a 158.57 session high on a firmer dollar, before the Asian session faded it back to a 158.21 swing low and stabilised near 158.34. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s; price now sits below EMA20 after rejection at the session high.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.57, 158.46
What it said to watch
US Nonfarm Payrolls today 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver for this pair
Failure to hold 158.21 opens the 158.00 psych level
Reclaim above 158.57 session high reasserts the intraday uptrend
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 158.319
Rally rejected at session high, mid-range retrace.
Asia-session rally to the session high at 158.572 was rejected, and price retraced to the 158.214 session low — roughly the 50% fib of the 157.86–158.57 advance — before recovering to 158.32. RSI cooled to the mid-40s with price now under EMA20/50; USD/JPY remains pinned above the 158.00 psych level.
Support: 158.214, 158.00
Resistance: 158.46, 158.572
What it said to watch
US NFP in ~11h is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close back above 158.46 prior high reasserts the uptrend
Loss of 158.00 psych opens the path lower toward the intervention zone
NY session drove a clean breakout above 158.00 up to a session high at 158.57, and Asian hours have since faded into a consolidation. Price pulled back to test the session low at 158.21 before steadying near 158.32, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s below EMA20/50.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.57, 158.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 158.21 confirms a lower low and cracks the consolidation
Break and hold above 158.57 reopens the path toward 160.00
US NFP in ~11h (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 42 · price 158.271
Range top rejected, testing lower edge.
USD/JPY climbed from a 157.86 NY-session spike to 158.57 before the Asian session consolidated in the 158.40-158.50 zone. The last hour saw a rejection at 158.57 and a sharp drop to 158.21, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s; price now hovering just above the recent low.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.57, 158.52
What it said to watch
US NFP in ~11h is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this read entirely
M15 close below 158.21 opens the path toward 158.00
Reclaim of 158.57 resumes the intraday uptrend
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 158.271
NY leg higher, Asia consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USD/JPY up to a session high at 158.57 before Asia trade faded it back to 158.27, with a sharp rejection off the highs. Pair now sits below EMA20 after tagging the recent low at 158.21; RSI(14) mid-range at 46.
Support: 158.21, 158.00
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP in ~11h is the dominant driver and could reprice this read
M15 close below 158.21 opens the path toward the 158.00 round number
Reclaim of 158.55 session high revives the NY uptrend
USD/JPY rallied off 157.82 into the NY session and stalled at 158.55–158.57, twice rejected there to form a double-top cap. Price now consolidates just below EMA20 in a tight 158.36–158.57 range, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 158.36, 158.325
Resistance: 158.572, 158.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.572 invalidates the double-top read and opens continuation
Loss of 158.32 confirms a lower low out of the range
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
USD/JPY drifted up from the 157.50 pivot to tag 158.57 during the prior NY session, then stalled and is chopping around 158.42 into early Asia hours. Higher lows still intact above 158.30; RSI(14) mid-range after cooling off the highs.
Support: 158.36, 158.30
Resistance: 158.57, 158.53
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this structure
M15 close above 158.57 opens the path toward 159.00
Loss of 158.30 negates the higher-low chain
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 158.421
Post-breakout range above 158.29.
NY-session breakout drove USD/JPY from the 157.86 breakout base to 158.57 as post-intervention JPY gains were pared for a third session. Price has since consolidated in a 158.29–158.57 range through Asia hours; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with the last push to 158.57 rejected back to 158.42.
Support: 158.29, 158.16, 157.86
Resistance: 158.57, 158.53
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.57 session high opens continuation
Loss of 158.29 range low signals a deeper pullback
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver into the next sessions
USD/JPY rallied through the NY session from 157.82 to 158.57 and is now pinned in a tight Asian-session range around 158.50, pressing the 158.57 session high. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~6 pips on thin Asian volume.
Support: 158.40, 158.29, 158.16
Resistance: 158.57
What it said to watch
US NFP today 12:30 UTC is the swing factor and could break this range
M15 close above 158.57 opens the path higher
Loss of 158.40 range floor puts 158.29 swing low in view
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 158.516
Higher highs, tight range under session high.
NY session drove a sharp leg from 157.85 to 158.55 on the safe-haven USD bid, then price coiled in a tight Asian range between 158.40 and 158.55. Early Asia is now pressing the 158.57 session high with RSI near 61; NFP later today is the swing factor.
Support: 158.40, 157.85
Resistance: 158.57, 159.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.57 opens the path to 159.00
Loss of 158.40 breaks the consolidation floor
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 61 · price 158.52
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USD/JPY off 157.60 through 158.00 to a 158.55 session high as post-intervention JPY gains were pared. Asia has held a tight 158.40-158.55 range and is pushing back toward the high, RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 158.40, 158.29, 158.16
Resistance: 158.55, 158.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 extends the uptrend toward the 159.00 area
Loss of 158.40 opens the 158.29 swing low
US NFP in ~12h is the dominant driver and can override this range
Higher highs, tight overnight range broke topside.
NY session drove USD/JPY off 157.82 up to 158.55, pared JPY intervention gains for a third session. Asia then coiled in a tight sub-15-pip range near 158.45 before breaking to a fresh session high at 158.53; price holding above both EMAs with RSI in the low 60s.
Support: 158.40, 158.29
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 158.55 extends the leg toward 159.00
Loss of 158.29 swing low breaks the rising intraday support
Tight consolidation near session high after NY breakout.
USD/JPY surged through the NY session from 157.85 to 158.55 as the dollar firmed broadly, then stalled. Price is now coiling in a thin ~15-pip Asian range between 158.38 and the 158.55 session high, RSI(14) cooling off after the impulse.
Support: 158.38, 158.30
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 158.55 session high extends the breakout
Loss of 158.38 range low opens the 158.30 swing low
US NFP in ~12h is the dominant driver and could reprice this range sharply
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 158.505
Higher highs into session high, tight range below 158.55.
NY session drove USD/JPY off 157.9 to a session high at 158.55 as the dollar firmed on safe-haven demand and soft unit labour costs. Asia has since coiled in a tight 158.40-158.55 range, with a late push back toward the high; RSI(14) around 63, ATR ~8 pips.
Support: 158.40, 158.29, 158.15
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the NY leg
Loss of 158.40 range floor opens the 158.29 swing low
US NFP in ~12h is the dominant driver and could reset this range
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, breaking to session high · RSI 63 · price 158.51
Higher highs, breakout from Asian range.
USD/JPY reclaimed 158 on the earlier NY-session leg and has held gains through a tight Asian range between 158.40 and the 158.55 session high. The last bar pushed back to the range top at 158.52, RSI(14) mid-60s with ATR compressed near 5 pips in thin Asian hours.
Support: 158.40, 158.29, 158.16
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the breakout toward 159.00
Loss of 158.40 range floor puts the 158.29 swing low back in play
US NFP later Friday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 158.51
Higher highs into a tight range below the session high.
USD/JPY broke out during the NY session, spiking from 157.82 to 158.55 as the dollar firmed into NFP, then coiled in a thin sub-15-pip range through Asia. Price sits near the session high with EMA20/50 stacked below; buyers held the 158.40 floor repeatedly overnight.
Support: 158.40, 158.29, 158.15
Resistance: 158.55, 158.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 reopens the path toward 158.60/160.00 intervention zone
Loss of 158.40 exposes the 158.29 swing low and negates the near-high coil
US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this range sharply
Consolidating below session high after impulse leg.
USD/JPY pushed from 157.82 to a 158.55 session high on the reclaim of 158 amid Japan fiscal-funding doubts, then coiled into the quiet Asia session. Now ranging 158.36–158.50 on thin volume with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 158.36, 158.29, 158.00
Resistance: 158.55, 158.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 158.55 session high extends the impulse toward 160.00 intervention line
Loss of 158.36 range low opens 158.00 round number
US NFP later today is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this range
NY session drove USDJPY off 157.82 to a session high at 158.55 as the yen kept bleeding back intervention gains, RSI now cooled to the mid-50s. Asian hours have coiled it into a tight ~15 pip range between 158.38 and 158.50 on thin volume, ATR just ~4 pips.
Support: 158.377, 158.294, 158.16
Resistance: 158.506, 158.552
What it said to watch
Close above 158.55 session high extends the NY leg
Loss of 158.38 range low opens 158.29 swing low
US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and could break this range