USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 10 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 161.745
Double bottom at 161.28, grinding higher.
USD/JPY recovered ~45 pips off the 161.28 session low after Katayama's repatriation comments knocked it from the highs earlier, and is now pressing the 161.75 former-support-turned-resistance pivot into the Asia session. RSI(14) near 57 with price back above EMA20/50; rising support has held since the double-bottom base.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path toward the 161.86 swing high
Failure to hold 161.50 swing low reopens the 161.28 session low
Break of rising support would negate the recovery read
Consolidating below 161.75 pivot after sharp drop.
USD/JPY dropped ~100 pips from 162.40 toward 161.28 earlier as MoF's repatriation push knocked the pair off multi-decade highs, then clawed back to grind against the 161.75 pivot (former support turned resistance). Late-session bars are tight and thin, RSI(14) mid-range near 56, with buyers stepping in repeatedly above 161.68.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path to 161.89
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Jul 14 is the key catalyst but outside the immediate window
USD/JPY dropped from 162.42 to 161.28 during the London session after FinMin Katayama's repatriation push lifted JPY — roughly a 110-pip reversal. Since then price has based and ground back to 161.73, now consolidating in a tight 161.65–161.80 band into late NY hours with RSI near neutral.
Support: 161.65, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.80, 161.86
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 161.75 pivot and a close above 161.80 opens the path toward 161.86
Loss of the 161.65 range floor exposes 161.50 and the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USD/JPY bounced off the 161.28 session low and is consolidating 161.68-161.75, capped by the 161.75 pivot flagged after MoF repatriation headlines drove the earlier ~100-pip reversal. RSI(14) neutral near 54; late-NY bars have tightened into a narrow range.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 opens the path to 161.86
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI next week is the key macro input for the carry trade
USDJPY has ground back from the 161.28 session low after Katayama's repatriation comments drove an earlier ~100-pip drop, now stalling just under the 161.75 pivot (former support turned resistance). RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58 and ATR is compressed at ~8 pips as the recovery loses steam into late NY hours.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 opens the path back to the 161.89 swing high
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Jul 14 is the next major driver for this pair
USD/JPY clawed back from the 161.28 session low after JPY caught a bid on Katayama's repatriation comments, grinding higher on a chain of higher lows. Price is now consolidating just under the 161.75 pivot (former support turned resistance) with RSI mid-range.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 opens the path to 161.86
Failure to hold rising lows / 161.50 reopens 161.28
US CPI next week is the key catalyst for the carry-trade input
20:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 62 · price 161.744
Double-bottom base, higher lows into NY-Asia handover.
USDJPY sold ~100 pips off 162.43 to 161.28 after FinMin Katayama's repatriation comments lifted the yen, then carved a double bottom at 161.28 and ground higher to 161.74. RSI(14) at 62 with a steady chain of higher lows; 161.86 swing high still caps the recovery.
Support: 161.52, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path back toward 162.00
Loss of 161.52 re-exposes the 161.28 double bottom
Intervention rhetoric near 162.50 remains a squeeze risk
Double bottom off 161.28, higher lows into late NY.
USD/JPY was slammed ~100 pips off 162.42 during London hours as FinMin Katayama's repatriation comments triggered a Yen short-covering squeeze, bottoming twice near 161.28. Price has since ground back to 161.74 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range at 58 and holding above the EMA20.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.87, 162.00, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.87 session high extends the recovery toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.50 pivot reopens the 161.28 double bottom
Intervention/MoF rhetoric near 162.50 could reignite the Yen squeeze
19:47 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 161.728
Double bottom, micro higher-lows into resistance.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.40 toward 161.28 during Tokyo hours after FinMin Katayama's repatriation comments, then marked a matching low near 161.28 in the NY session, shaping a double bottom. Price has since ground back to the 161.75 pivot on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s and not yet stretched.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Close above 161.75 pivot opens the path to 161.86 prior high
Loss of 161.50 swing low threatens the double bottom and reopens 161.28
19:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 56 · price 161.728
Double bottom, higher lows into NY close.
JPY squeeze on Katayama repatriation comments drove USD/JPY from 162.40 to a 161.28 double bottom earlier in the day. NY session has since ground price back to 161.73 in a shallow rising channel, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with buyers defending each dip.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.83, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.83 swing high opens the path to 162.05
Loss of 161.45 swing low reopens the 161.28 double bottom
Double bottom at 161.28, higher lows into late NY.
USD/JPY dumped ~110 pips into 161.28 twice — first on Katayama repatriation comments in late Asia, again in the NY session. The double bottom at 161.28 held and price ground back to 161.69 on higher lows, RSI(14) near 60. Recovery is capped so far below the 161.89 prior high.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 extends the bounce toward 162.00
Loss of 161.28 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and intervention risk near 162.50 could shift this read
19:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 53 · price 161.689
Double bottom, higher lows since.
USDJPY carved a double bottom at 161.28 after the earlier Katayama-driven JPY squeeze, and NY hours have ground back up to 161.73 on higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53; last two bars stalled just under the recent high on thin late-session volume.
Support: 161.52, 161.28
Resistance: 161.731, 161.83
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.73 opens the path to 161.83
Failure to hold 161.52 re-exposes the 161.28 double bottom
US CPI Tue is the next major catalyst, not in the immediate window
Higher lows off session low, retesting 161.75 pivot.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.40 to 161.28 in Asian hours on Katayama JPY-repatriation talk, then based twice near 161.28 forming a double bottom. Price has since ground back up in a chain of higher lows and is now retesting the 161.75 pivot, RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 161.52, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path to the 161.89 swing high
Loss of the 161.52 intraday low reopens the 161.28 double btm
US CPI Tue could materially reset this read via the US-Japan yield gap
19:17 UTC
Recovering after intraday selloff · RSI 59 · price 161.727
Higher lows off session low, sub-pivot.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low during London hours on the Katayama JPY-repatriation headlines, holding on a double-bottom retest. Price has ground back to 161.73 on a chain of higher lows and is now pressing the 161.75 pivot, RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 swing high opens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.45 swing low reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, choppy · RSI 54 · price 161.676
Double bottom, range recovery.
USD/JPY sold off through the Asian session to 161.28 on Katayama pension-repatriation talk, and NY retested that zone before buyers stepped in twice, printing a double bottom. Price is grinding back up into late NY at 161.68 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 161.73 session high caps for now.
Support: 161.45, 161.30
Resistance: 161.73, 161.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.73 opens the path to 161.87
Loss of 161.45 reopens the 161.30 double-bottom test
Intervention rhetoric near 162.50 remains a two-way volatility risk
USD/JPY sold off through the day on Katayama repatriation talk, tagging 161.28 twice before buyers stepped in during late NY. Price has ground back to 161.68 in a higher-low sequence with RSI(14) mid-range near 58; 161.74 swing high caps the recovery so far.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.74, 161.88
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.45 threatens the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.74 opens the path back to 161.88
Renewed break of 161.28 confirms a fresh session low
18:47 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 161.719
Double bottom then higher-low chain.
USD/JPY sold off through 162.00 to 161.28 on Katayama repatriation talk, printed a double bottom, and has since ground higher into 161.72 on rising support. RSI(14) back near 61 from earlier washout; 161.86 swing high is the near ceiling.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.86 opens the 162.00 psych level
Loss of 161.45 pivot low threatens a double-bottom retest at 161.28
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY carved a second dip into 161.28 during NY hours before buyers stepped in, matching the earlier London low and printing a double bottom. Recovery has been steady into the after-London-close session, RSI(14) near 60 with price now testing the 161.75 pivot flagged as near-term resistance.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.88
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path to the 161.88 prior high
Loss of 161.45 swing low reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
18:32 UTC
Recovering off double bottom · RSI 61 · price 161.708
Sold off then based; grinding back up.
USD/JPY dropped from 162.42 through the London session on JPY-bid (Katayama repatriation talk), basing twice at 161.28 to form a double bottom. NY has clawed back to 161.71 with RSI(14) recovering near 60; the 161.75 pivot caps overhead.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.88, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 161.75 pivot opens the path to the 161.88 session high and 162.00
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.28 double bottom
18:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, capped near pivot · RSI 60 · price 161.708
Double bottom at 161.28, grinding higher.
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk, printing a double bottom near 161.28. Price has since recovered to 161.71 and is now pressing the 161.75 pivot; RSI(14) around 60, room before extremes.
Support: 161.28, 161.45
Resistance: 161.75, 161.87, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path to 161.87 session high and 162.00
Failure to hold 161.45 swing low reopens the 161.28 double bottom
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 52 · price 161.678
Double bottom then higher lows into 161.75.
NY session dipped to 161.28 — a double bottom with the earlier Asian-session low that formed after the Katayama repatriation headline drove the day's leg lower. Buyers stepped in and price has ground back to 161.68 on a chain of higher lows, now pressing the 161.75 pivot. RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 161.45, 161.30
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens path to the 161.86 swing high
loss of 161.45 swing low reopens the 161.30 double bottom
rejection at 161.75 would keep the recovery capped
USD/JPY swept 161.28 twice and buyers stepped in, lifting price into the NY afternoon back toward the 161.75 pivot; RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s. The earlier legs down tracked JPY strength on Katayama repatriation talk and a softer Dollar, but the pair remains capped below the 161.75 pivot.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path back to 161.87 swing high
Failure to hold 161.45 puts the 161.28 double bottom back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Recovering after Asia-session drop · RSI 57 · price 161.639
Double bottom at 161.28, higher lows since.
Sharp Asia-session flush to 161.28 on Katayama repatriation talk drove the pair down through 162.00; two touches of 161.28 carved a double bottom and NY hours have clawed price back to 161.64. RSI mid-range, no extreme — a controlled recovery off the session low, still capped below the 161.86 prior high.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
Reclaim of 161.86 needed to fully unwind the Asia down-leg
NY session ground back off the 161.28 session low, which held twice, lifting price to 161.64 with rallies capped under the 161.75 pivot. JPY caught a bid earlier on Katayama repatriation talk; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with ATR around 11 pips.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.85
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 pivot opens the path back to the 161.85 swing high
Loss of 161.45 exposes a retest of the 161.28 session low
US Fed Monetary Policy Report (18:00 UTC) could shift this read
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session on JPY-repatriation headlines, printing a session low near 161.28 twice for a double-bottom base; price has since recovered to 161.57. Still trading below the intraday EMAs with the 161.75 pivot capping the bounce.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.75
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Failure to hold the 161.28 double bottom opens a fresh lower low
US CPI (Tue) is the primary risk that could reprice this move
JPY bid on Katayama pension-repatriation talk drove USD/JPY down from 161.86 to a 161.28 double bottom during NY hours. Price is now retracing ~50% of that leg back to 161.57 with RSI(14) mid-range; still trading under EMA20/50.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Close above 161.75 pivot would extend the retrace toward the 161.86 swing high
USD/JPY sold off from 162.42 through the NY session to a double bottom at 161.28 after Katayama repatriation talk lifted the yen; price is grinding back toward 161.53 late in NY. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the 161.28 low holds twice.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.75
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of the 161.75 pivot needed to shift the intraday structure
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC — soft print threatens the yield gap capping this pair
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 48 · price 161.532
Lower highs into a twice-tested session low.
USD/JPY sold through the London-NY session on JPY repatriation talk, printing a session low at 161.28 twice before bouncing to 161.53. RSI(14) is recovering from oversold but price stays below EMA20/50, keeping the intraday structure heavy.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.88
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 breaks the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.88 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could inject volatility
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off session low.
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD, printing a session low at 161.28 before a bounce back to 161.52. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold as price recovers toward the 161.55 near-term resistance; the 161.76 pivot still caps from above.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.55, 161.76
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.76 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.28 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Weekend US-Iran headlines could gap the Monday open
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 161.523
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDJPY sold through the 161.75 pivot during NY hours as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD, printing a 161.28 session low. Price is bouncing back toward 161.55 with RSI recovering from oversold; the sequence of lower highs remains intact below the descending resistance line.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.55, 161.71, 161.75
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 161.75 pivot would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 161.28 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the key catalyst for the pair
NY session pressed USDJPY back to the ~161.28 low first carved on the Katayama JPY-bid move; buyers stepped in there twice to form a double bottom, price recovering to 161.51 with RSI lifting from oversold. Still trading below EMA20/50 and beneath the 161.75 pivot flagged in the JPY read.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.75
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 negates the lower-high structure
Loss of 161.28 confirms a fresh lower low
Weekend US-Iran / MoF intervention headlines could gap Monday open
NY afternoon extended the slide, breaking the 161.75 pivot and sweeping the 161.28 session low as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD. Price bounced to 161.51 into the close, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but still sub-50; the 161.75 pivot now caps from above.
Support: 161.279
Resistance: 161.75
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 pivot would neutralise the downside break
Sustained break below 161.28 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue is the key catalyst that could reset this read
USDJPY broke below the 161.75 pivot through NY hours and printed a session low at 161.28 as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD. Price is bouncing to 161.46 but holds well under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.55, 161.75
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.55 broken support would soften the lower-low read
M15 close back above 161.75 pivot neutralises the downtrend
Break below 161.28 session low extends the slide toward 161.00
US CPI Tue and lingering MoF intervention risk can reprice this pair sharply
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 161.46
Lower highs, fresh session low then recovery.
NY session sold through the 161.75 pivot to a session low at 161.28 as the yen caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD; price now bouncing to 161.46. Chain of lower highs stays intact below the 161.86 session high, with buyers stepping in around the 161.28 low into the weekend close.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 161.75 pivot negates the downside break
Loss of the 161.28 session low extends the leg lower
US CPI Tue is the primary catalyst for the next directional shift
USDJPY sold off through the 161.75 pivot into the NY session, printing a session low at 161.279 as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a soft USD. RSI(14) is subdued near 38; price is holding just above the low with EMA20/50 capping overhead.
Support: 161.279, 161.00
Resistance: 161.75
What it said to watch
Break below 161.28 confirms continuation to the 161.00 round number
Reclaim of the 161.75 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US-Iran weekend headlines could gap the JPY safe-haven bid
NY session sold off from the 161.86 session high to a fresh low at 161.28, retesting the earlier London low as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk. RSI(14) near 34, price below EMA20/50 with lower highs intact.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.55, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a lower low and opens 161.00
Reclaim of 161.55 needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI Tue is the key catalyst — could shift this read
USD/JPY slid through the NY session to a fresh session low at 161.28 as JPY stays bid on repatriation talk and a soft USD, with the pair now hugging 161.34. RSI(14) near 35 as the down leg extends; sellers broke the prior 161.50 pivot and it now caps as resistance.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 opens the path toward 161.00
Reclaim of 161.52 pivot would ease the downside pressure
Weekend gap risk on US-Iran / intervention headlines into Friday close
USDJPY sold off through the NY session, JPY bid on Katayama repatriation comments dragging price from 161.86 back to the 161.28 swing low, RSI(14) near 31. The earlier 161.28 base has been retested — a double-bottom zone now under pressure with sellers pressing the floor.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a lower low and breaks the double-bottom base
Reclaim of 161.52 pivot needed to ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue and live intervention risk near 162.50 can shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, making lower lows · RSI 34 · price 161.348
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
USD/JPY grinding to fresh session lows at 161.28 during NY hours, extending the slide that began with the Katayama repatriation squeeze from ~162.40 and reinforced by a soft dollar. RSI(14) near 34 and price below EMA20/50 with a clean lower-high, lower-low chain; the 161.50 pivot now caps.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.50
What it said to watch
Break below 161.28 opens continuation toward the 161.00 psych level
Reclaim of the 161.50 pivot needed to ease downside pressure
Fresh Tokyo intervention/repatriation headlines could accelerate the move
USDJPY sold off through the NY afternoon to a session low at 161.28, extending a downtrend as JPY caught a bid on Katayama repatriation talk and a softer USD. RSI(14) near 32 after the drop; price is trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with a chain of lower highs capping at 161.52.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.52
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.52 pivot would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 161.28 opens the path toward the 161.00 psych level
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
USD/JPY was squeezed from ~162.4 toward 161.5 during the Asia session on Katayama repatriation talk, then clawed back through London to reject 161.85. NY hours saw a fresh breakdown, price now at 161.47 pressing session lows with RSI(14) sub-40.
Support: 161.39, 161.28
Resistance: 161.52, 161.71, 161.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.71 would negate the NY breakdown
Close below 161.28 asia low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for the pair
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 161.469
Lower highs, breaking session lows.
NY session sold USD/JPY off the 161.87 session high, breaking the 161.55 pivot and printing a fresh low at 161.39 as the yen caught a repatriation-driven bid. RSI(14) near 34, price pinned just under the 161.50 area after the drop.
Support: 161.39, 161.284
Resistance: 161.55, 161.87
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.39 opens the 161.284 swing low
Reclaim of 161.55 pivot would neutralise the fresh leg lower
US CPI Tue is the next real test for the pair
15:31 UTC
Downside resuming after recovery · RSI 38 · price 161.507
USDJPY reversed ~100 pips off the 162.40 area during the Asia session after Katayama's GPIF-reallocation jawbone lifted the yen, then based in a 161.70-161.88 range. That range has just broken lower — price rejected 161.88 and dropped back to 161.47, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the recovery with RSI cooling toward 38.
Support: 161.472, 161.284
Resistance: 161.75, 161.88
What it said to watch
close back above 161.75 pivot repairs the recovery structure
break of 161.284 swing low confirms a lower low
renewed MoF/intervention headline could sharply extend yen strength
15:31 UTC
Rolling over, range breaking lower · RSI 40 · price 161.507
Broke below intraday range support.
USD/JPY faded from the 161.89 session high and snapped the 161.55-161.75 range in the last hour, printing a fresh session low at 161.47 on yen strength after Katayama's GPIF-reallocation comments and a soft dollar. Price now hovers near the 61.8% retracement of the earlier 161.28-161.89 recovery.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 pivot negates the downside range break
Failure to hold 161.47 opens the path to 161.28
US CPI (Tue) is the week's key catalyst for the yield gap
Base built after sharp drop, grinding higher but capped below 161.75.
USD/JPY sold off ~100 pips from 162.42 into 161.28 on the Katayama GPIF-reallocation jawbone, then based and clawed back toward 161.87. Last bar rejected off the session high and slid to 161.71; the 161.75 former-support pivot is now capping, RSI(14) hovering mid-range.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.87
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.87 negates the cap and reopens 162.40
Loss of 161.50 puts the 161.28 session low back in play
Sharp drop then choppy retrace, capped below 161.75.
USD/JPY dumped ~110 pips from 162.42 into a 161.28 session low on the Katayama GPIF-reallocation jawbone and a softer dollar, then clawed back toward 161.86. Price is now fading again below the 161.75 pivot (former support), the recovery stalling with RSI(14) back near 44.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.75 pivot reopens the 161.86 session high
Failure to hold 161.50 pivot reopens the 161.28 session low
Any fresh MoF/intervention or GPIF headline could sharply move this read
USDJPY dumped ~110 pips into a 161.28 low during the Asian session as FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation comments triggered a broad yen bid. Price has since carved a rounded base and ground higher through NY, printing higher lows and stalling into the 161.89 swing high; RSI(14) mid-50s, room in either direction.
Support: 161.75, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
close above 161.89 swing high opens 162.05 prior pivot
loss of 161.75 former support exposes the 161.50 pivot
162.50 multi-decade high remains the intervention-risk zone overhead
Higher lows since 161.28, consolidating near session high.
USD/JPY dropped ~100 pips into Asian hours to a 161.28 low on Katayama's pension-repatriation comments, then ground higher through London and NY building a clean chain of higher lows. Now consolidating just under the 161.89 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; momentum is flattening into the level.
Support: 161.72, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 opens the path to 162.05
Failure to hold 161.72 breaks the rising-low chain
Approach to 162.50 multi-decade high raises MoF intervention risk
Higher lows off session low, consolidating near highs.
USD/JPY dumped ~110 pips on FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation talk, bottoming at 161.28 before grinding back up in a chain of higher lows to consolidate near 161.85. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 55 as the recovery stalls into the 161.89 session high; price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 161.72, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path back toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.72 reopens 161.50 and the 161.28 session low
Intervention risk overhangs any push toward 162.50
USDJPY dumped ~110 pips to 161.28 after FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation comments sparked a broad yen rally, then based and ground back to 161.85 — the 50% retrace of that drop. Higher lows are stacking since the flush with RSI(14) neutral near 56; price now testing the underside of the 161.89 session high.
Support: 161.72, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 opens the path back toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.72 reopens 161.50 base
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline would violently reprice this read
14:31 UTC
Recovery after sharp Asia selloff, now flat · RSI 49 · price 161.768
Consolidating below 161.88 after 161.28 washout.
USD/JPY dumped ~115 pips through the Asia session to 161.28 after FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation comments sparked a broad yen rally. Price has since rounded higher and stalled into the NY session, consolidating 161.63–161.88 with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR around 9 pips.
Support: 161.63, 161.28
Resistance: 161.885, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.88 session high opens the path back to 162.05
Loss of 161.63 swing low reopens the 161.28 day low
162.50 multi-decade high remains the intervention-risk zone above
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 161.768
Range after impulsive leg down.
USD/JPY dumped ~110 pips into the 161.28 session low on Katayama's pension-repatriation comments, then recovered and has been consolidating 161.72-161.89 through NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips after the impulse.
Support: 161.72, 161.284
Resistance: 161.892, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close below 161.72 range low reopens the path toward 161.50 and the 161.28 session low
Close above 161.89 swing high exposes 162.05
MoF intervention headlines remain a spike risk given proximity to the 162.50 record
14:16 UTC
Downtrend cooled into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 161.789
Recovered off session low, ranging under 161.89.
USDJPY collapsed ~110 pips from 162.42 into 161.28 during the Asia session after FinMin Katayama's repatriation comments, then clawed back to consolidate 161.72-161.89 through London-NY. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 as the recovery stalls under the 161.89 session high; price is pinned right at the EMA20.
Support: 161.72, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the 162.05 breakdown level
Failure to hold 161.72 reopens the 161.50 swing low
Intervention risk near 40-year highs remains an ever-present tail
14:16 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 161.789
Range after impulsive sell-off, grinding higher.
USDJPY tore ~110 pips lower into the 161.28 session low after FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation comments and a soft USD, breaking below the prior 161.75 shelf. Since then price has clawed back to 161.79 and is consolidating in a 161.72-161.89 band, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.72, 161.55, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.72 reopens the 161.55 swing low and 161.28 session low
M15 close above 161.89 puts the 162.05 breakdown point back in play
Ever-present MoF intervention risk near multi-decade highs can spike volatility
14:02 UTC
Downtrend cooled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 161.784
Range after sharp drop and partial recovery.
USD/JPY dumped from 162.42 to 161.28 during the London-NY window on Katayama's pension-repatriation comments and a softer USD, then clawed back to consolidate. Now ranging 161.72-161.89 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; supply capping repeated pushes into 161.89.
Support: 161.72, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.89 opens the path to 162.05
Loss of 161.72 reopens 161.50 and the 161.28 session low
Intervention risk persists near multi-decade highs; US CPI next week is the main catalyst
Higher lows off session low, consolidating near 161.80.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.42 to 161.28 during London hours on Katayama's pension-repatriation comments, then carved a higher-low chain back to 161.80 through the NY session. Price is now consolidating just under the 161.89 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.69, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path toward 162.05
Loss of 161.69 breaks the recovery higher-low chain
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
13:47 UTC
Recovery off day low, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 161.766
Sharp drop then higher-low recovery, capped below session high.
A ~110-pip slide from 162.42 to 161.28 during the Asia session followed FinMin Katayama's pension-repatriation comments; since then USDJPY has ground back up into a consolidation below the 161.89 session high, pivoting around 161.75. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 after the recovery stalled.
Support: 161.63, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 161.75, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens 162.05
Failure to hold 161.63 reopens 161.50/161.28
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the read
Intervention risk persists near 40-year highs
13:46 UTC
Recovering off Asia lows, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 161.766
Sharp selloff then higher-low recovery, now consolidating.
USD/JPY sold off ~110 pips during Asia to 161.28 on Katayama's pension-repatriation comments and a soft USD, then buyers stepped in and rebuilt a higher-low chain through London-NY. Price is now consolidating between 161.69 and 161.89, RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 161.69, 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.69 reopens the recovery low at 161.47
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk near multi-decade highs remains a two-way catalyst
13:32 UTC
Recovery off Asia low, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 161.793
Consolidating below session high after sharp drop and rebound.
Asia session dumped USD/JPY to 161.28 on Katayama's GPIF/domestic-reallocation push; London-NY clawed it back to a 161.89 session high. Now consolidating 161.69-161.89, RSI(14) neutral near 47 as the rebound loses pace.
Support: 161.69, 161.284
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 session high opens the path back toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.69 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 161.28 asia low
Intervention risk stays alive if price grinds back toward the 162.50 zone
Consolidating after sharp intraday drop and rebound.
USDJPY dumped from 162.42 to 161.28 mid-window as JPY led G10 on Katayama's reallocation push and a softer USD, then clawed back to consolidate around 161.80. Sitting just under the 161.89 session high, RSI(14) flat near 52 after the recovery leg stalled.
Support: 161.63, 161.50
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path back toward 162.05
Loss of 161.63 exposes the 161.50 area where JPY buyers emerged
Intervention risk builds on any grind toward the 162.50 four-decade high
USD/JPY sold off through the Asian session to 161.28 on broad JPY strength (Katayama's domestic-reallocation push), then recovered steadily through London to consolidate near 161.80. RSI(14) sits mid-range after the bounce; the 161.89 session high is capping the recovery.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.50 re-exposes the 161.28 session low
162.50 zone remains the flagged intervention trigger on any extension higher
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY sold off sharply through London to 161.28 on Katayama's JPY-reallocation comments, then buyers stepped in and lifted it back to 161.88 through the NY session. Now consolidating around 161.80 just under the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.88, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.88 opens the path toward 162.05
Loss of 161.50 reopens the session low at 161.28
162.50 remains the flagged intervention zone above
Higher lows since 161.28, consolidating below 161.89.
USDJPY sank to 161.28 during Asian hours on pension-repatriation talk and a softer USD, then rebuilt a chain of higher lows back to a session high of 161.89. Now consolidating around 161.80 into NY, RSI(14) neutral near 52 with the recovery leg only shallowly retraced.
Support: 161.70, 161.43, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.70 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 161.43
Intervention headlines remain a wildcard for a sharp JPY move
USDJPY dumped from 162.30 to 161.28 as JPY caught a bid on pension-repatriation talk and a softer USD, then clawed back a chain of higher lows into 161.89. Rejection at 161.89 stalled the recovery; price now hovers on the EMA20 near 161.80 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 161.54, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path back toward 162.05
Loss of 161.54 higher low reasserts the downside from the selloff
Intervention/JPY headlines the wildcard at these multi-decade levels
USD/JPY sold off from 162.42 during the Asia session to a 161.28 low, then recovered through London to a 161.89 session high on softer USD and JPY pension-flow support. Now consolidating at 161.80 with RSI(14) near 54; the 161.89 cap and rising support off 161.28 frame the current range.
Support: 161.63, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 session high opens the path to 162.05
Break below 161.63 rising support breaks the recovery structure toward 161.28
Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Higher lows since 161.28, grinding into resistance.
Asia session flushed USDJPY from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low on pension-repatriation talk and a softer USD; London has clawed it back to 161.80 in a chain of higher lows. Price is now pressing the 161.89 session high with RSI mid-range, momentum flattening.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 opens the path to 162.05
Failure to hold 161.50 negates the recovery and re-exposes 161.28
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY sold off sharply near 00:45 UTC to a session low of 161.28 as the yen firmed on pension-repatriation talk and a soft USD, then ground back through the NY session to 161.8. Price is now consolidating below the 161.89 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 54.
Support: 161.69, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 opens the 162.05 pre-drop base
Close below 161.69 breaks the higher-low sequence off 161.28
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
Higher lows since 161.28 base, easing off session high.
USD/JPY sold off ~110 pips through London to 161.28 as the yen firmed on pension-repatriation talk and a softer dollar. Buyers based around 161.44 and price has ground back to the session high at 161.89 before easing to 161.82; RSI cooling near 56.
Support: 161.44, 161.28
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.89 session high opens 162.05
Failure to hold 161.44 base reopens 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the read
Higher-low chain since Asian-session drop, rejection at range top.
USDJPY sold off sharply from 162.30 into 161.28 during Asian hours on Japan pension-repatriation headlines and a soft USD, then carved a higher-low recovery through London and NY. Last bar spiked to 161.89 and closed back at 161.77 — a rejection at the session high, with RSI(14) cooling near 54.
Support: 161.54, 161.284
Resistance: 161.89, 162.05, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 extends the recovery toward the 162.05 breakdown zone
Failure to hold 161.54 reopens the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
USD/JPY sold off sharply to 161.28 then ground higher through the window on JPY pension-flow support and a softer dollar. The recovery was capped at the 161.89 recent high, with the last bar rejecting from there; RSI(14) neutral near 48, price holding rising support off the 161.28 session low.
Support: 161.687, 161.284
Resistance: 161.892, 162.052
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.89 recent high opens the path toward 162.05 prior swing
Loss of 161.69 swing low exposes the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue and any MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are wildcard catalysts
USDJPY sold off sharply to 161.28 earlier in the window on softer USD and Yen-repatriation headlines, then carved a steady recovery of higher lows back to 161.85 — roughly the 50% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) near 62, buyers stepping in on each dip toward the rising support; 161.88 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.70, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.88, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.88 opens the path back to the 162.05 pre-drop base
Loss of the 161.70 rising support reopens 161.50 swing low
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
USD/JPY sold off sharply to 161.28 during Asian hours as pension-repatriation talk and a softer dollar weighed, then staged a steady recovery grind back to 161.88, now sitting on the 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) near 61 and small bar ranges show momentum cooling into the session high.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.883, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.88 opens path to the 162.05 breakdown level
Failure to hold 161.50 rising support risks a fresh lower low toward 161.28
Intervention headlines remain a wildcard given proximity to multi-decade highs
11:46 UTC
Recovery uptrend after sweep · RSI 60 · price 161.829
HH/HL chain off the Asian low.
USD/JPY was swept down to 161.28 in the Asian session as JPY caught a bid on pension-repatriation talk and a soft USD, then ground steadily higher through London into a HH/HL recovery now testing the 161.88 session high. RSI(14) near 60 with room; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 161.50.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.88, 162.30, 162.50
What it said to watch
Close above 161.88 opens the path to 162.30
Failure to hold 161.50 re-exposes the 161.28 swing low
162.50 decade cap — area to watch for rejection
Intervention/verbal headlines are a wildcard that could shift this read
Higher lows since 161.28, grinding back into selloff zone.
USDJPY sold off through the Asia session to 161.284 as JPY caught a bid on pension-repatriation talk, then buyers stepped in and price has ground back up in a clean higher-low chain to 161.88. Now retesting the 162.05 breakdown point with RSI near 62 — recovery intact but capped so far below the prior high.
Support: 161.696, 161.284
Resistance: 161.883, 162.052
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.88 opens the path back toward the 162.05 breakdown point
Loss of the rising trendline near 161.70 breaks the higher-low chain
Intervention headlines are the wildcard given price near multi-decade highs
USDJPY sold off sharply late in the Asian session, breaking to 161.28 as pension-repatriation reports and a softer USD dragged the pair off multi-decade highs. Grinding recovery through London since, now testing the 161.86 session high with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR(14) around 10 pips; higher lows holding off 161.50.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path back to 162.30
Loss of the 161.50 rising support puts 161.28 swing low back in play
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
A sharp Asia-session flush dumped USD/JPY from 162.30 to 161.28 as a softer dollar and pension-repatriation chatter pressured the pair. London has since clawed the move back in a steady higher-low grind, price now pressing the 161.86 session high with RSI(14) around 61.
Support: 161.70, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.86 opens the path back to 162.05
Failure to hold 161.70 rising support breaks the recovery structure
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
11:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 56 · price 161.759
Higher lows base building after selloff.
USDJPY dumped from 162.30 to 161.28 mid-window on the JPY bounce (pension-repatriation talk plus a softer USD), then based and ground back up through the NY session to 161.76. A chain of higher lows holds; 161.858 session high is the immediate cap, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.858, 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.858 opens the path back toward the 162.05 shelf
Loss of 161.50 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Intervention headlines remain a wildcard near multi-decade highs
USD/JPY sold off sharply to a 161.28 session low then clawed back toward 161.86 as pension-repatriation talk and a softer USD lent the Yen support. Price is now consolidating in the low-161.70s with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the session high at 161.86 caps.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.86 opens the path to 162.00
Loss of 161.50 reopens the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC could shift the read
Higher lows off 161.28 session low, stalling near 161.85.
USDJPY was slammed ~113 pips to a 161.28 session low as broad USD softness and Yen repatriation talk hit the pair, then clawed back roughly half the move to 161.86 through the London session. Price is now stalling and pulling back to 161.77, RSI(14) near 54 with no extreme in play.
Support: 161.70, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.70 rising support exposes 161.50 then the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 58 · price 161.773
Higher lows off session low, grinding into NY.
A sharp mid-window selloff swept 161.28 as reports of Japan urging pension repatriation met broad USD softness, then price based and ground higher through NY. Now testing the 161.86 session high with RSI(14) near 58 — recovery intact while the rising support off 161.28 holds.
Support: 161.54, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path to 162.05 then the 162.50 multi-decade high zone
Failure to hold 161.54 rising support reopens the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC a lower-tier risk that could shift this read
USDJPY was flushed from 162.30 to a 161.28 session low mid-window as pension-repatriation reports and a soft dollar lent the Yen support, then ground back up to 161.86. Recovery is holding a higher-low chain with RSI(14) near 56, price stalling just under the 161.86 session high.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.30
What it said to watch
Close above 161.86 session high opens the path toward 162.30
Failure to hold 161.50 base reopens the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read
A sharp selloff into the Asian session swept 161.28 as JPY caught a bid on pension-repatriation reports and broad USD softness. Price has since ground back up through the London session in a chain of higher lows, stalling under session-high resistance at 161.86.
Support: 161.63, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path back to the 162.05 drop origin
Loss of the 161.63 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Intervention headlines remain the wildcard given price near multi-decade highs
Sharp selloff earlier drove USD/JPY from 162.40 to a session low at 161.28 as JPY repatriation talk met a softer dollar. Buyers stepped in and recovered to the 50% retracement at 161.86 before rejection; price is now easing back toward the rising support off the 161.35 low with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 161.54, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close below 161.54 rising support confirms a lower-low back toward 161.28 session low
Break above 161.86 (50% fib) opens the path to 162.05 drop origin
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows after selloff, minor pullback underway.
USDJPY sold hard through 162.30 into the Asia session — Yen bid on pension-repatriation reports and a softer dollar — bottoming at 161.28 before a steady recovery to 161.86. Price is now pulling back to 161.70 with RSI(14) cooling from the session high; the rising support off the 161.28 low is still intact.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.50 rising support opens a retest of the 161.28 day low
Reclaim of the 161.86 session high needed to extend the recovery
MoF intervention risk elevated near multi-decade highs — a wildcard that could spike the Yen
10:17 UTC
Recovery off Asia lows, momentum building · RSI 56 · price 161.787
Based after sharp drop, higher lows.
A sharp JPY bid in the Asia session dumped USD/JPY from 162.42 to 161.28 on pension-repatriation reports; price has since based and ground back to 161.79 through London. RSI(14) recovered near 56, holding above EMA20 but still capped under EMA50, with the 162.50 multi-decade-high cap overhead.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 session high opens path toward the 162.05 swing high
Failure to hold 161.50 pivot reopens the 161.28 session low
MoF intervention risk remains the wildcard for sharp Yen spikes
10:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 61 · price 161.814
Sharp drop then higher-low recovery.
USDJPY dumped from 162.30 to a 161.28 session low as the dollar stayed offered and intervention jitters lifted the yen, then carved a steady higher-low recovery back to 161.81. RSI(14) near 61, price above EMA20 but still under EMA50 — grinding into the 161.86 session high.
Support: 161.58, 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.05, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path to 162.05
Failure to hold 161.58 exposes the 161.47/161.28 recovery lows
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, higher lows building · RSI 62 · price 161.814
Sharp selloff then grinding recovery, micro higher-low chain.
USDJPY sold off hard to 161.28 as broad USD softness dragged the pair below 162.00, then staged a steady recovery back to 161.86 through the session on a rising higher-low chain. RSI(14) near 62, room before overbought; price now pressing the 161.86 session high with the 162.00 pivot above.
Support: 161.58, 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.86 opens the path to the 162.00 psych pivot
Failure to hold the rising 161.58 swing low breaks the recovery structure
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the read
USD/JPY sold off through the Asian hours toward 161.28 as a softer dollar post-FOMC minutes and intervention jitters weighed, then carved a chain of higher lows into the London session. Price now presses back toward the 162.00 pivot with RSI(14) near 58; 161.90 is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 pivot opens the path back toward the 162.50 decade high
Loss of 161.50 swing low breaks the rising support and confirms the recovery has stalled
US CPI Jul 14 is the main upcoming risk for this pair
09:46 UTC
Recovery after selloff, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 161.791
London-session flush then higher-low grind.
London session flushed USD/JPY from 162.30 to a 161.284 low on JPY intervention jitters and a softer dollar, then buyers stepped in to grind a chain of higher lows back to the 161.83 session high. Price now sits around the 50% retrace of that drop with RSI(14) near 61; the recovery holds while 161.44 is respected.
Support: 161.44, 161.284
Resistance: 161.83, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.83 opens the path to the 162.00 psych level
Failure to hold 161.44 reopens the 161.284 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
USD/JPY plunged from 162.42 to a session low at 161.28 as the softer dollar dragged the pair lower. Buyers have since recovered, grinding a chain of higher lows back toward the 161.79 session high; RSI(14) has cooled off its lows to ~56 as the bounce matures.
Support: 161.43, 161.28
Resistance: 161.79, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.43 reopens the 161.28 session low
Reclaim of 162.05 removes the recovery's near-term ceiling
US CPI Jul 14 and MoF intervention risk are the dominant catalysts ahead
09:31 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 58 · price 161.776
Higher lows off 161.28 base.
USDJPY dumped through 162.00 to 161.28 during the London session as a softer USD and intervention jitters weighed. Price has since carved higher lows back to 161.79, retracing roughly 40% of the drop; RSI(14) near 58 with the recovery still capped below the 162.00 pivot.
Support: 161.54, 161.28
Resistance: 161.79, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.00 would fully unwind the selloff read
Failure to hold 161.54 reopens the 161.28 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT is lower-tier but could nudge USD
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 161.695
Sharp sell-off then higher lows.
USD/JPY sold off sharply during the Asia session, dropping ~110 pips to a 161.28 swing low as JPY firmed on intervention watch and a softer USD. Price has since carved higher lows back to 161.70, RSI(14) recovered near 51; the 161.77 session high caps the bounce.
Support: 161.54, 161.284
Resistance: 161.77, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 session high extends the recovery toward 161.90 bounce high
Loss of 161.54 rising-low support reopens the 161.28 swing low
US CPI next week and Tokyo intervention headlines are the wildcards that would reset this read
USD/JPY sold off ~110 pips through the London session into 161.28 as the softer dollar and Tokyo intervention-watch dragged the pair back under 162.00. Price has since based and clawed back to 161.70 on a chain of higher lows, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI recovering to the mid-50s; the 161.77 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 161.54, 161.43, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.77 swing high extends the recovery toward the 161.90 bounce high
Loss of the 161.54 higher low reopens the 161.43 session low and 161.28 day low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 GMT is lower-tier but a session-close catalyst
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing after sharp drop · RSI 52 · price 161.67
Consolidation above session low post-impulse.
USDJPY broke sharply through 162.00 during the Asian session, dropping to 161.28 as JPY firmed on intervention risk and a softer USD. Price has since based and consolidated in a 161.47–161.77 band; the recovery has retraced roughly 38% of the decline, RSI(14) back near neutral off oversold.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 negates the consolidation read and reopens 162.50
Loss of the 161.28 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
MoF intervention headlines remain the interim wildcard for this pair
Recovered off session low, consolidating below 162.00.
USDJPY sold off sharply from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low during the Asia-London window as JPY firmed for a second day on a softer USD and intervention caution. Price has since ground back to 161.67 in a choppy recovery, RSI(14) mid-range near 53; the 161.77 swing high caps and the 162.00 pivot sits above.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 extends the recovery toward the 162.00 pivot
Failure to hold 161.47 reopens the 161.28 session low
MoF intervention headlines near 162.00+ are the wildcard in the interim
Sharp drop then base and bounce, capped below session high.
USDJPY dumped from 162.42 to 161.28 during the Asia session as JPY firmed for a second day on softer USD and intervention watch, breaking below the prior 162.3–162.5 range. London built a rounded base and recovered to 161.77 before fading to 161.59; RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 with price under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 161.434, 161.284
Resistance: 161.773, 162.00
What it said to watch
reclaim of 161.773 session high opens the path back toward the 162.00 psych pivot
loss of 161.434 swing low reopens the 161.284 day low and a fresh lower low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC (medium) could shift the USD tone
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 46 · price 161.593
Sharp breakdown, choppy recovery stalling.
A sharp selloff dragged USDJPY off the 162.4 shelf down to 161.28 as the softer USD tone and intervention-wary JPY bid took hold. Recovery into the London session stalled at 161.77 and price is now easing back to 161.59, holding a series of higher lows off the 161.28 base.
Support: 161.40, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.40 opens a retest of the 161.28 session low
Reclaim of 161.77 recent high would extend the recovery toward 162.00 psych
US CPI Jul 14 is the week's catalyst and could reprice this pair sharply
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 161.686
Higher lows off 161.28 base after Asia sell-off.
USDJPY sold off sharply through 162.00 during the Asia session, bottoming at 161.28 as JPY firmed on softer USD and lingering intervention risk. Price has since ground back up on a higher-low chain to 161.69 into London, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 161.47, 161.284
Resistance: 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.00 would negate the intraday lower-high structure
Loss of 161.47 reopens the 161.28 session low
MoF intervention headlines remain the JPY wildcard
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 53 · price 161.686
Sharp break lower then consolidation.
A sharp sell-off dragged USD/JPY from 162.40 to a 161.28 session low as the USD softened for a second day. Price has since based, printing a double bottom near 161.28–161.47 and grinding back up; now consolidating between 161.47 and the 161.77 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 session high opens a retest of 162.00 psych
Loss of 161.28 session low resumes the downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reprice the pair
08:16 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 50 · price 161.641
Base building after sharp drop, higher lows.
Pair sold off sharply into the mid-161s, printing a session low at 161.284, then built a base with higher lows as the softer USD tone held. Recovery stalled at 161.773; now ranging 161.54–161.77 with RSI back to neutral around 49.
Support: 161.542, 161.284
Resistance: 161.773
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.54 reopens the session low at 161.284
Reclaim of 161.773 puts the 162.05 prior swing in play
Intervention headlines are the wildcard near multi-decade highs
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 161.641
Sharp Asia drop, London consolidation.
USDJPY dropped hard through the Asia session from 162.42 to 161.28 as a softer USD and JPY short-covering into intervention risk took hold. London has based between 161.44 and the 161.77 session high; current pullback sits at 161.64 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 161.44, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 162.00 negates the intraday downside
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDJPY broke down out of the 162.30-162.50 consolidation on a heavy-volume sell-off to 161.28, a rare down leg as the softer USD read weighed. Since the low price has carved higher lows back to a 161.77 session high; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s and price sits above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.05 prior high opens the path back toward the 162.30-162.50 resistance zone
Failure to hold 161.28 session low resumes the downside
Loss of the 161.47 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
08:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp Asia-session drop · RSI 54 · price 161.686
Higher lows off session low, grinding up.
USDJPY sold off sharply through the Asia session from 162.42 to a 161.28 low, then based and recovered into London, printing higher lows to a 161.77 session high before easing to 161.69. RSI(14) back near 54 as the pair reclaims EMA20 but sits under EMA50; the soft USD read tied to Middle East de-escalation drove the fade.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.773, 162.05, 162.421
What it said to watch
Close above 161.77 opens the path back to the 162.05 drop origin
Failure to hold 161.50 puts the 161.28 session low back in play
US CPI Jul-14 is the marquee catalyst for the carry trade
Sharp selloff, higher lows forming off session low.
USDJPY dropped hard from 162.42 to 161.28 in the Asia session, a rare down leg as a softer dollar failed to defend four-decade highs. Buyers have since stacked higher lows, lifting price to 161.69 — roughly a 38% retrace of the fall — with RSI(14) back to mid-range near 54.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above session high 161.77 extends the bounce toward 162.05
Loss of 161.28 session low reopens the downside
US CPI Jul-14 is the marquee catalyst that could reprice this move
07:46 UTC
Sharp selloff, now recovering · RSI 55 · price 161.687
Session low set, higher lows grinding back up.
USD/JPY faded sharply from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low in a rare down session, then ground back to 161.69 on higher lows through the recovery. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, price back above EMA20 but capped below the pre-drop supply around 162.05.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.05, 162.42
What it said to watch
close above 161.77 opens a retest of 162.05 pre-drop supply
failure to hold 161.47 reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Jul-14 is the marquee catalyst for the pair, though days out
USDJPY broke down out of the 162.25-162.45 Asian consolidation, dropping to 161.28 as the USD stayed soft on Middle East de-escalation. London hours have since ground price back up in a higher-low chain to 161.77, RSI(14) recovering to ~60; the 162.05 breakdown level is untested.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.77, 162.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the 162.05 breakdown level
Failure to hold 161.47 re-exposes the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue is the macro pivot that could reset this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 58 · price 161.756
Sharp drop then higher-low recovery.
USDJPY was sold ~110 pips from 162.42 into a 161.28 low during Asia hours as the USD stayed soft on cooling Fed-hawkish bets. Price has since built a higher low near 161.41 and reclaimed 161.75; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s. Recovery holding above the 161.50 base for now.
Support: 161.50, 161.284
Resistance: 161.90, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 opens the path back toward 162.05
Failure to hold 161.50 re-exposes the 161.28 session low
USDJPY dumped ~120 pips during the Asian session, bottoming at 161.28 before basing. Price has since ground back to 161.69 on higher lows, RSI(14) recovered to ~51 from oversold; 161.71 recent high caps the bounce.
Support: 161.41, 161.28
Resistance: 161.71, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.71 opens the path back toward the 161.90 prior swing
Failure to hold 161.41 exposes the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue is the macro pivot that could reset this read
Sharp selloff into base, now grinding higher lows.
USDJPY dropped sharply during Asian hours from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low as the softer-USD, intervention-wary tone weighed, then based and recovered through London back to 161.69. RSI(14) has climbed off its lows to mid-range as buyers stepped in around 161.28; the 161.71 session high caps the bounce for now.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.71, 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.05 breakdown level would negate the selloff structure
Failure to hold 161.47 swing low reopens the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 could materially shift this USD/JPY read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 161.597
Range after impulsive drop.
USD/JPY sold off roughly a full yen through the Asian session, sliding from 162.42 to a session low of 161.28 as the dollar stayed on the back foot. Price has since based, ranging 161.41–161.68 with the recovery capped at the session high and RSI(14) back near 52.
Support: 161.41, 161.28
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.68 session high extends the recovery toward 161.90 prior support
Loss of 161.41 range low reopens the 161.28 session low
USDJPY dropped sharply through the Asia session from 162.42 to a 161.28 low as a softening USD extended into a second day, then recovered into a 161.40-161.68 range. RSI(14) has climbed back near 48 off the flush; price is holding just above EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 161.40, 161.28
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
A close above 161.68 bounce high opens the path back to 161.90
Loss of 161.40 swing low re-exposes the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue is the pivot event and could reset this read
USDJPY sold off hard through 162.00 during Asia hours, printing a low at 161.28 as the JPY caught a modest safe-haven/intervention-fear bid against a soft dollar. Price has since recovered to the 161.60 area and is consolidating between 161.40 and the 161.68 bounce high, RSI(14) lifting off its lows near 46.
Support: 161.284, 161.40
Resistance: 161.683, 162.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.68 opens the path back toward the 162.00 psych level
Failure to hold 161.28 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant upcoming risk for this pair
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 47 · price 161.602
Sharp Asian drop, basing above session low.
USDJPY sold off ~110 pips through the Asian session to a 161.28 session low as JPY caught an intervention-fear/safe-haven bid and USD stayed soft. Price is now consolidating 161.40–161.70 into the London open, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s.
Support: 161.47, 161.284
Resistance: 161.70, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.70 opens a retest of the 161.90 drop shelf
Failure to hold 161.47 exposes the 161.28 session low
London open could break the 161.40–161.70 consolidation either way
06:31 UTC
Sold off, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 161.569
Sharp leg down, basing above 161.28.
USDJPY dropped ~110 pips from 162.42 to 161.28 in a single impulsive leg as a soft Dollar and intervention-fear JPY bid dragged the pair off multi-decade highs. Buyers stepped in at 161.28 and price has since based, consolidating 161.47–161.68 with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range. No fresh directional impulse in the last few bars.
Support: 161.47, 161.40, 161.28
Resistance: 161.68, 162.00, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.68 swing high reopens the 162.00 area
Loss of 161.40 swing low reasserts the downside toward 161.28
162.80/163.00 remains the intervention trip-wire zone above
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 48 · price 161.569
Sharp break then basing, consolidating below prior range.
USD/JPY sold off hard through the Asian session, sliding from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low as JPY caught a modest safe-haven/intervention-fear bid on a softer dollar. Buyers stepped in twice near 161.28-161.35 and the pair has since based around 161.55, holding below the 161.71 bounce high into the London open.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.71
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 161.71 needed to shift the intraday structure back up
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 161.507
Sharp break lower, corrective bounce stalling.
USD/JPY sold off hard overnight, dropping ~115 pips from 162.42 to a session low at 161.28 on a softer dollar and intervention-fear bid in the yen. Buyers stepped in to lift price back to 161.71, but the recovery is stalling and price is now retesting 161.50; RSI(14) mid-range near 43, still below both EMAs.
Support: 161.284, 161.35
Resistance: 161.706, 162.00, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 resumes the downside leg
Reclaim of 161.71 opens a retest toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.35 confirms lower-low continuation
06:16 UTC
Downtrend after sharp selloff, now stalling · RSI 43 · price 161.507
Range break lower, lower highs into pullback.
USDJPY broke its 162.30-162.45 range hard, dumping to 161.28 as JPY caught an intervention-fear/safe-haven bid and the dollar stayed soft. Price bounced to 161.71 but is fading back toward 161.50, holding below the broken range with lower highs stacking.
Support: 161.47, 161.284
Resistance: 161.706, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.706 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.284 confirms fresh lower low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 is the dominant near-term driver
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 161.541
Sharp break down, recovery stalling.
A sharp Asian-session selloff around 03:45 broker time drove USDJPY from 162.42 to 161.28 as the dollar failed to hold its jobless-claims beat and softened. Price has since recovered to 161.68 and is consolidating 161.43–161.68 into the London open, RSI(14) back near neutral after the flush.
Support: 161.43, 161.28
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.68 opens the path back to the 161.90 bounce high
Failure to hold 161.43 reopens the 161.28 session low
Tokyo intervention rhetoric / Japan PPI could inject volatility
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 46 · price 161.541
Sharp break lower, now higher lows into recovery range.
A sharp sell-off in early Asia hours dropped USDJPY ~100 pips from 162.30 to a 161.28 swing low — USD-side softness plus intervention caution rather than yen strength. Price has since carved higher lows and recovered to 161.54, ranging between 161.35 and the 161.68 swing high; RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 161.35, 161.28
Resistance: 161.68, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.68 swing high reopens the 161.90 bounce high
Failure to hold 161.35 range floor exposes the 161.28 swing low
Tokyo intervention rhetoric near 40-yr lows could accelerate the pullback
05:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 46 · price 161.617
Sharp break lower, higher lows forming off 161.28.
USDJPY sold off hard from 162.42 to 161.28 as the dollar failed to hold gains and intervention caution weighed; RSI(14) has since recovered off the lows. Higher lows are building off 161.28 with the bounce capped near 161.71.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.71, 161.90
What it said to watch
close above 161.71 opens the path back toward 161.90
failure to hold 161.47 reopens the 161.28 session low
MoF intervention rhetoric could sharpen any reversal
USD/JPY sold off sharply from 162.42 to a 161.284 session low as the Dollar failed to hold gains and intervention caution weighed. Buyers stepped in at the low and price has recovered into a 161.44-161.71 consolidation, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 46.
Support: 161.44, 161.284
Resistance: 161.71, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.71 session high opens the path toward the 161.90 pre-drop zone
Failure to hold 161.44 exposes the 161.284 session low again
Near 40-yr lows, MoF verbal intervention could sharpen the reversal
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 43 · price 161.621
Range break lower, bounce in progress.
Asian session selloff broke the 162.30 shelf and extended to a session low of 161.28 on broad USD-side softness. Price has since clawed back to a bounce high near 161.70 and now consolidates around 161.62, RSI(14) recovering from oversold into the mid-40s.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.70, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of broken 162.30 support would negate the breakdown
Loss of 161.28 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant upcoming risk into next week
MoF intervention chatter remains live near the 40-yr-low zone
05:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 161.621
Lower low then recovery, consolidating.
Sharp Asian-session selloff dragged price from 162.42 to a 161.28 swing low as the USD failed to hold gains. It has since based and recovered to 161.62, capped at the 161.70 session high while holding above the 161.40 base.
Support: 161.40, 161.28
Resistance: 161.70, 162.05
What it said to watch
Close above 161.70 opens a 162.05 drop-origin retest
Breakdown from 162.30 range, lower highs off the low.
USDJPY sold off through the 162.30 range floor on broad USD softness, printing a session low at 161.284 on the heaviest volume of the window. The bounce to 161.706 stalled and price has rolled back to 161.54, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range after basing out of oversold.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.706, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.706 negates the failing bounce
Loss of 161.284 confirms a fresh lower low
JPY at 40-yr lows keeps Tokyo intervention risk live around these levels
USD/JPY dropped ~110 pips from 162.42 into 161.28 through the Asian session, in line with the softer USD and intervention caution flagged in the digest. Buyers stepped in near 161.35, the recovery capped at 161.70, and price now consolidates around 161.54 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 161.35, 161.28
Resistance: 161.70, 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.70 opens the path back toward 161.90
Failure to hold 161.28 confirms a lower low
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the major near-term risk
USD/JPY sold off hard from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low, snapping its recent advance as the USD softened. Buyers stepped in near 161.28 and price is consolidating around 161.64, with RSI(14) recovering out of oversold but still capped below the 161.71 recent high.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.71, 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.71 recent high would extend the recovery toward the 161.90 bounce high
Failure to hold 161.28 session low confirms a lower-low continuation
USD/JPY snapped its win streak with a sharp Asian-session flush from 162.40 to 161.28 as the dollar softened broadly, then based and clawed back to 161.64. Price is carving higher lows off 161.28 but still trades below the EMA20/50; the session high at 161.71 caps the bounce.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.71, 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.05 would repair the downside break
Break below 161.28 confirms a fresh lower low
Pair sits near four-decade highs — unannounced MoF/BoJ intervention risk is event-driven
04:47 UTC
Sharp down leg, recovering off lows · RSI 48 · price 161.686
Impulsive drop then base and bounce.
USDJPY sold off sharply through Asia hours, dropping from 162.42 to 161.28 on short-covering and intervention caution per the digest, snapping the recent uptrend. Buyers stepped in twice near 161.30 to build a base; price has since recovered to 161.69, retracing roughly a third of the drop, with RSI(14) lifting back to neutral from oversold. The pre-drop shelf at 162.30 and prior low at 162.05 now cap overhead.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.90, 162.05, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 161.90 bounce high opens 162.05
Loss of 161.284 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Event-driven MoF/BoJ intervention risk could whip this move violently
USD/JPY snapped ~110 pips lower into 161.28 during Asian hours after holding the 162.30-162.45 range all session, then found demand and clawed back to 161.69. RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the flush looks like short-covering/intervention caution rather than a fundamental turn given four-decade highs remain nearby.
Support: 161.43, 161.28
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 bounce high opens the path back toward 162.30
Failure to hold 161.43 exposes the 161.28 session low
Intervention/jawboning headlines could reprice this move fast
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 46 · price 161.635
Range break lower, rebound in progress.
USD/JPY snapped its win streak with a sharp Asian-session flush from the 162.30 consolidation down to 161.28, in line with the short-covering/intervention-caution read near four-decade highs. Price has since clawed back to 161.63 but 161.90 has capped two bounce attempts; RSI(14) recovering near 46 off the selloff low.
Support: 161.28
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 161.28 opens fresh session lows
Proximity to 40-yr highs keeps MoF/BoJ intervention risk live
USDJPY dropped ~40 pips from 162.42 to a 161.28 session low during the late US session, in line with the softer-USD/short-covering read near four-decade highs. Buyers stepped in twice around 161.28-161.42, building higher lows into a recovery back toward the 161.90 bounce high; price sits mid-range below the EMAs.
Support: 161.42, 161.28
Resistance: 161.90, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 opens the path toward the 162.00 round number
Failure to hold 161.42 higher low re-exposes the 161.28 session low
Intervention risk elevated near multi-decade highs — could drive a violent move
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 40 · price 161.557
Range break lower, session low holding.
USD/JPY broke down from the 162.30-162.50 range during Asian hours, a sharp sell-off tagging a session low at 161.284 as the dollar softened off overbought levels. Price is now bouncing to 161.55, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 40; the post-drop high at 161.90 caps the rebound.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 would negate the breakdown read
Break below 161.28 confirms a lower low
Intervention headlines (MoF/BoJ) could trigger a sharp move either way
USDJPY broke sharply out of its 162.35-162.45 consolidation in early-session trade, dropping to a 161.28 session low as a softer USD lent the yen mild support. Price has since clawed back to 161.55, but the M15 structure remains a series of lower highs; the 161.90 breakdown level now caps.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 invalidates the downside break
Failure to hold 161.284 session low opens further downside
Intervention headlines (MoF/BoJ) could trigger a fast, outsized move
Sharp breakdown, lower lows then basing near lows.
USD/JPY dropped sharply out of the 162.30 consolidation into 161.28 as a softer dollar lent the yen support, snapping the recent grind higher. Price has since based between 161.28 and 161.57 with RSI(14) recovering off the low-30s; the 161.90 bounce high caps the retrace.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.90 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 161.284 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 161.00
Intervention headlines could trigger sharp JPY moves
04:01 UTC
Downtrend after range break, basing · RSI 39 · price 161.532
Range broke lower, consolidating near session low.
USD/JPY held a tight 162.25-162.50 range for most of the window before a sharp ~90-pip sell-off near the Asia session, driven by a softer USD and repeated MoF/BoJ intervention warnings. Price bottomed at 161.284 and is now basing around 161.50; the prior 162.30 range floor now caps as resistance.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 would negate the breakdown read
Loss of 161.284 session low opens further downside
Intervention headlines can drive sharp two-way spikes
03:46 UTC
Downtrend after sharp break · RSI 36 · price 161.429
Range breakdown, consolidating above session low.
USDJPY held a tight 162.30-162.50 range through NY before a sharp ~110-pip Asia-session flush to 161.284, with yen finding support amid live MoF/BoJ intervention warnings. Price now grinds sideways around 161.43 under a chain of lower highs; RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 36.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90
What it said to watch
Break below 161.284 opens the path to 161.00
Reclaim above 161.90 invalidates the breakdown read
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could drive a sharp move given stretched shorts
USDJPY dropped hard from 162.42 into 161.28 during the late NY–Asia transition, snapping a multi-day grind higher as a softer dollar and live intervention warnings from Katayama/Kihara weighed. Price is now consolidating 161.28–161.55 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the post-drop swing high at 161.90 caps rebound attempts.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.55, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.55 would open a retest of the 161.90 post-drop high
Failure to hold 161.28 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 161.00
Intervention headlines (MoF/BoJ) can spike volatility beyond current ATR
USDJPY sold off ~110 pips from the 162.42 area into a 161.28 session low, snapping the multi-day advance as the USD softened broadly. Price is now consolidating around 161.40 in the Tokyo session with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 161.00 psych level sits below.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.28 extends the leg toward 161.00 psych
Reclaim of 161.90 negates the breakdown
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could sharply shift this read
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sell-off · RSI 39 · price 161.395
Sharp break lower, basing above session low.
USD/JPY sold off ~110 pips from 162.42 to 161.28 through the late NY-Asia handover as the dollar softened broadly. Price is now consolidating in a 161.28-161.55 band into early Tokyo, RSI(14) recovering from the flush; the 161.90 bounce high caps the retrace.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.902
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.284 confirms a lower-low, opens 161.00
Reclaim of 161.90 needed to negate the breakdown
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could sharply reverse this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 38 · price 161.465
Range break lower, basing near session low.
USD/JPY held a tight 162.25-162.50 range through the session before a sharp selloff in Asia hours dumped it to 161.284, snapping the four-day advance as a softer USD and intervention chatter lent the yen support. Price is now basing around 161.45 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 161.90 bounce high caps the retrace.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.902
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 bounce high negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.284 session low opens 161.00 round number
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline could sharply extend the move
USD/JPY broke down out of a day-long 162.30–162.50 range in the early Asia session, sweeping to 161.28 as a softer dollar snapped the four-day advance. Price is basing around 161.45 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; sellers keep capping lower highs into the 161.55 area.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 161.28 swing low confirms continuation lower
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could trigger a sharp snap-back
USDJPY dropped ~130 pips through the Asia session, breaking from the 162.30 shelf to a session low of 161.28 on heavy volume — consistent with the JPY snap-back and intervention chatter flagged this week. Price is now consolidating between the session low and 161.55 range high; the 161.90 bounce high capped the initial recovery.
Support: 161.28, 161.00
Resistance: 161.55, 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 bounce high would negate the breakdown read
Loss of 161.28 session low opens the path toward the 161.00 psych level
Discretionary MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could drive a fast reversal
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp leg lower · RSI 34 · price 161.407
Impulsive break, lower lows.
USD/JPY broke its 162.30-162.45 consolidation and dropped ~110 pips into the Asia transition, printing a session low at 161.284 as a softer USD snapped the four-day advance. Price is trying to stabilise near 161.40 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the 161.90 prior-support zone now caps bounces.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 would negate the lower-low structure
Break below 161.284 opens the 161.00 psych level
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could sharply shift this read
USD/JPY snapped its 162.25–162.50 Asia-session range with a sharp ~110-pip flush to a 161.284 low, as intervention chatter and a softer USD weighed after a four-day win streak. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 27; bounces have been capped at a descending 161.555 with price still pinned near session lows.
Support: 161.284
Resistance: 161.555, 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 breakdown lvl would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 161.284 session low confirms further lower-lows
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the primary swing factor
02:46 UTC
Sharp intraday downturn · RSI 27 · price 161.371
Range break lower, lower lows.
USD/JPY sold off hard through the Asian session, dropping ~1 yen from 162.42 to a 161.28 low as a softer USD and live intervention chatter snapped the four-day advance. Price is pinned near session lows, RSI(14) deeply oversold around 27; the breakdown from the 162.30-162.50 range confirms a lower low.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90, 162.31, 162.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 would signal recovery from the breakdown
Failure to hold 161.28 opens the 161.00 round number
Intervention headlines from MoF/BoJ could sharply shift this read
USD/JPY snapped its multi-hour 162.25–162.50 range with a sharp ~110-pip slide into the Tokyo session, printing a 161.28 low amid live intervention chatter from MoF/BoJ officials. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched after the drop; the bounce so far has stalled around 161.90.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 would ease the breakdown pressure
Sustained loss of 161.00 confirms downside continuation
Fresh intervention headlines could materially shift this read
USDJPY broke sharply out of a tight 162.30-162.45 Asian range, dumping to a session low of 161.28 as a softer USD and intervention chatter snapped the four-day advance. Price is bouncing toward 161.50 with RSI(14) stretched near 28; the bounce high at 161.90 is the first area to watch for rejection or continuation.
Support: 161.284, 161.00
Resistance: 161.90, 162.31
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.90 bounce high negates the breakdown momentum
Loss of 161.28 session low opens the 161.00 round number
Discretionary BoJ/MoF intervention headlines remain the primary near-term swing risk
USDJPY sank roughly 100 pips into the Asia session, cracking the 162.30 breakdown level and printing successive lower lows to a 161.40 session low, with a mildly softer USD and live intervention chatter behind the move. RSI(14) is deep in oversold near 27 as the pair extends off its multi-day range.
Support: 161.40
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 would ease the breakdown read
Hold below 161.40 keeps the lower-low sequence intact
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the primary near-term swing risk
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 26 · price 161.411
Range break lower, fresh lows.
USDJPY broke down hard through the overnight 162.30-162.45 range during the Tokyo morning, dropping ~100 pips to 161.40 as a softer USD lent the Yen support after the FOMC minutes. RSI(14) sits near 26, short-term oversold; 161.90 pullback high now caps and the 161.40 session low is being tested.
Support: 161.40
Resistance: 161.90, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.90 pullback high would neutralise the breakdown
Hold or loss of 161.40 session low sets the near-term tone
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could sharply reverse this move given stretched shorts
USD/JPY broke down roughly 77 pips out of the 162.27–162.42 range during the Tokyo session, printing a low at 161.633 as the dollar softened and intervention chatter kept sellers active. RSI(14) is oversold near 20 after the flush; price is stabilising around 161.74, below both EMAs.
Support: 161.633
Resistance: 161.902, 162.052
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.633 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim above 161.90 / 162.05 break point would negate the downside break
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could snap the pair sharply higher
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg down · RSI 33 · price 161.737
Range break to downside, bouncing off session low.
USDJPY broke sharply out of the 162.25-162.42 Asian range, dumping ~80 pips into a 161.633 session low as a softer USD and active intervention chatter (Katayama/Kihara) snapped the four-day advance. RSI(14) turned down hard toward oversold; price is grinding back up but the 162.052 breakdown level now caps.
Support: 161.633
Resistance: 162.052
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.052 would negate the range break
Loss of 161.633 confirms a lower low and opens the path to 161.00
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the primary swing risk
01:46 UTC
Sharp reversal lower off range · RSI 37 · price 161.849
Range break down, bouncing off session low.
Asia session ripped ~80 pips lower from the 162.40 pre-drop base to 161.63 in three bars, snapping a tight overnight range amid live intervention chatter. Demand stepped in at 161.633 and the pair has recovered to 161.85; RSI(14) climbing back off oversold.
Support: 161.79, 161.633
Resistance: 162.05
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.05 negates the breakdown
Loss of 161.63 opens fresh downside
Intervention headlines from MoF/BoJ could extend this move sharply
01:46 UTC
Sharp intraday sell-off · RSI 34 · price 161.849
Breakdown from consolidation, testing lows.
USD/JPY broke hard out of its 162.30–162.50 consolidation during Asia hours, dropping ~80 pips to 161.63 as a softer dollar and intervention chatter snapped the multi-day grind higher. RSI(14) sits near 33 after the flush; price has since clawed back to 161.85, holding above the session low.
Support: 161.633, 161.79
Resistance: 162.052, 162.31
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.63 opens fresh lows
Reclaim of 162.05 negates the breakdown
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines the primary swing risk given thin Asian liquidity
USDJPY snapped below the 162.30 range floor in the last hour on a heavy-volume slide to 161.63 — a move consistent with the intervention risk flagged around 40-yr lows. Price has since bounced to 161.87 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the 162.05 breakdown level now caps.
Support: 161.63, 161.79
Resistance: 162.05, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.30 negates the breakdown read
Failure at 162.05 keeps downside pressure on toward 161.63
Further MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could extend the move sharply
Range broken to the downside, recovering off session low.
Sharp Tokyo-session breakdown out of the 162.30–162.50 range; USD/JPY dumped ~80 pips to a 161.63 session low, snapping the multi-day grind higher as JPY caught a bid. RSI(14) near 30 after the flush; price is recovering toward the 162.05 bounce area with the 162.30 range floor now overhead.
Support: 161.63, 161.00
Resistance: 162.05, 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.30 range floor negates the breakdown
Loss of 161.63 session low opens the 161.00 round number
Intervention headlines the key discretionary JPY risk near these levels
01:16 UTC
Sharp downside break from range · RSI 25 · price 161.645
Range floor broken, fresh lower low.
USD/JPY dropped ~80 pips in three bars into the Tokyo open, slicing through the 162.30 range floor down to 161.63 and pushing RSI(14) to oversold near 25. The abrupt JPY spike aligns with the standing intervention watch near 40-year lows; move came on a sharp volume surge.
Support: 161.63, 161.00
Resistance: 162.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.30 would negate the downside break
Break below 161.00 psych extends the move
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could accelerate JPY strength
Early Asia saw a violent break of the 162.30–162.42 consolidation, USDJPY dropping ~80 pips to 161.63 on a volume spike (2388) — consistent with the intervention risk flagged around 40-year lows. RSI(14) is oversold near 23 and price sits well below EMA20/50; the move is one-directional with no retest yet.
Support: 161.633
Resistance: 162.30, 162.421
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.30 would invalidate the breakdown and repair the range
Failure to hold 161.63 extends the leg lower
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could drive further sharp two-way swings
01:02 UTC
Sharp intraday breakdown from range · RSI 29 · price 162.031
Range broken to the downside on Asian-session spike.
USDJPY held a tight 162.30–162.42 range through Asian hours before a 41-pip flush on thin liquidity took it to 161.894, closing near 162.03; the pair broke the range floor cleanly. Move aligns with the JPY-firming, high-intervention-alert backdrop noted in context, and RSI(14) has cooled toward 29.
Support: 161.894, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.300 negates the breakdown and pulls price back into the prior range
Failure to hold 162.000 / 161.894 opens further downside
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the dominant near-term risk
01:02 UTC
Range broken lower, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 162.031
Range break below 162.30, sweep to 161.89.
USDJPY chopped in a 162.30-162.42 band through the Asian session before a sharp thin-liquidity drop swept the range low, printing 161.894 and closing at 162.031, RSI(14) cooling toward 34. The impulsive spike lines up with the elevated MoF/BoJ intervention watch flagged near 40-year lows; recovery off the low has been shallow so far.
Support: 161.894
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.30 negates the range break read
Failure to hold the 161.89 spike low opens further downside
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the key near-term risk
Price spent most of the window boxed in 162.25-162.45 before the last Asian-hours bar sold off sharply to a session low of 162.208, RSI(14) rolling under 40. Rejection off 162.421 gave way to a clean break of the prior-low shelf near 162.245.
Support: 162.208, 162.245
Resistance: 162.421
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.245 puts price back inside the prior range and negates the break
Failure to hold 162.208 confirms a lower-low into Asia
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ FX intervention headlines are the key tail risk near 40-year lows
00:46 UTC
Range breaking lower · RSI 38 · price 162.242
Range break below 162.28, fresh session low.
USDJPY chopped in a tight 162.28–162.42 range through the late/low-volume rollover, then broke lower into the Asia session with a sharp last bar to 162.208. JPY firmed on high intervention alert per the digest; RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s as price slips below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.208, 162.245
Resistance: 162.421
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 162.42 negates the downside break and restores the range
Sustained trade below 162.208 confirms a lower low and opens further downside
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines could reverse this sharply
USDJPY is grinding higher in thin Asian-session trade, holding a tight 162.31-162.42 band after the London/NY drift down to 162.245. JPY firmed modestly on a softer USD and intervention wariness, but the move lacks conviction; price sits back near the 162.50 session high resistance.
Support: 162.31, 162.245
Resistance: 162.50, 162.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.50 opens the range top at 162.57
Loss of the 162.31 swing low reopens 162.245 window low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the key tail risk
00:31 UTC
Sideways, mild recovery into Asia · RSI 60 · price 162.412
Tight consolidation near range top.
USDJPY is grinding in a thin Asia-session range between 162.34 and 162.42, with the last few bars nudging back to the range top on very low volume. ATR sits near 3.5 pips — moves are compressed. Earlier London-NY drift found a floor at the 162.25 session low and buyers have leaned on the 162.34 area since.
Support: 162.34, 162.28, 162.25
Resistance: 162.42, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path toward 162.50
Loss of 162.34 range low re-exposes 162.25 session low
MoF/BoJ intervention headlines remain the key tail risk near 40-year lows
USDJPY is grinding in a thin Asian-session range between 162.25 and 162.50 near 40-year highs, with volume drying up into early Tokyo hours. The earlier London-NY drop from 162.57 to 162.25 has stabilised; price sits mid-range around 162.38 with RSI(14) neutral and no directional pressure into the low-liquidity session.
Support: 162.30, 162.25
Resistance: 162.50, 162.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.50 opens a retest of the 162.57 session high
Failure to hold 162.25 confirms a lower low on the session
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the key tail risk near these levels
00:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 162.38
Consolidation inside 162.25–162.57.
Quiet Asia session grinding mid-range between the 162.25 swing low and 162.50 swing high, volume thin and RSI neutral near 53. JPY firmed modestly overnight snapping a four-day USD/JPY streak, but the move lacked conviction and price is holding just above its short EMAs.
Support: 162.25
Resistance: 162.50, 162.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.50 exposes the 162.57 range high
Break below 162.25 swing low opens a lower low
Unscheduled MoF/BoJ intervention headlines are the key tail risk near 40-year lows
Consolidating below session high, off the 162.25 low.
USDJPY faded from the 162.57 session high to 162.25 before settling into a tight 162.34-162.42 range through the low-volume Asia session, now 162.348. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum in play near four-decade highs.
Support: 162.29, 162.25
Resistance: 162.50, 162.57
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.50 reopens the path to 162.57 and the 162.84 break level
Break below 162.25 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Tokyo intervention/verbal risk remains the dominant two-way catalyst near multi-decade highs
00:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 162.348
Range-bound below session high.
USDJPY faded from the session high at 162.57 through the London-NY window and is now grinding sideways in a 162.28-162.42 band, holding just off four-decade highs. Demand stepped in twice near the 162.245 session low; RSI(14) neutral in the mid-40s with ATR compressing into thin Asia-hours volume.
Support: 162.28, 162.245
Resistance: 162.42, 162.505, 162.572
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.505 reopens the 162.57 session high
Break below 162.245 confirms a lower low
Verbal/actual Tokyo intervention risk remains the dominant two-way catalyst near 40-year highs