Higher lows off reopen low, consolidating below session high.
Post-weekend reopen gapped slightly lower to 161.655 then rallied to 162.06 on thin volume before settling around 161.98. Price holds above the short EMAs with RSI cooling from the push; 161.75 flipped from support to resistance last week now sits below as support, while 162.50 marks the multi-decade high and de facto intervention line above.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.06, 162.50
What it said to watch
Close above 162.06 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
Loss of 161.75 signals the reopen rally is fading back into last week's range
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reset this read
Gap-down open then rally, now consolidating under session high.
Week opened with a small gap down to 161.66, then a clean Asia-session rally pushed price back through 162.00. RSI(14) cooling near 62 as the tape consolidates just under the 162.07 session high, holding above 161.74.
Support: 161.74, 161.655
Resistance: 162.066, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.07 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.74 negates the week-open recovery
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the swing event and could reset this read
23:31 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 161.964
Session HH/HL, reclaiming 161.75.
New session opened near 161.66 and rallied cleanly through the 161.75 flip level to test 162.00, unwinding part of Friday's Katayama-driven yen bounce. RSI(14) elevated near 68 on thin Asian volume; session high at 162.04 caps for now.
Support: 161.75, 161.50
Resistance: 162.04, 162.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 162.04 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
Loss of 161.75 puts the session low and 161.50 back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, Asia session bid · RSI 66 · price 161.964
Rally off post-gap low, testing session high.
Asia opened after a small weekend gap and rallied from the 161.65 session low to a 162.07 session high, with a single 30-pip candle doing most of the work. Price is holding above the 161.93 pullback low but stalling just under session high; RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme. Rally sits within the JPY strength/intervention narrative that dragged pairs off 40-yr highs.
Support: 161.93, 161.65
Resistance: 162.07, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.07 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
Loss of 161.93 pullback low reopens the 161.65 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia/early-week open gapped and rallied ~40 pips off 161.655 into 162.06, RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme. Price now stalling just under the session high with 162.50 intervention line the next reference above.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.066, 162.50
What it said to watch
Close above 162.066 opens the path toward the 162.50 intervention line
Loss of 161.75 flip level exposes the 161.655 session low
162.50 remains the multi-decade high / de facto intervention zone
Higher highs since Monday open, stalling near 162.06.
Early Asian session gapped marginally lower to 161.655 then rallied cleanly through the 161.75 flip level to tag a session high at 162.066, RSI(14) firm near 64. The bounce fits the softer-USD/firmer-JPY backdrop, but price is now consolidating just under the high with a shallow pullback to 161.98.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.066, 162.42, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.066 opens the path toward 162.42 and the 162.50 psych line
Failure to hold 161.75 negates the breakout and reopens 161.655
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
New-week open gapped slightly lower then rallied from 161.655 to 162.05 on thin liquidity, RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme. JPY has traded firmer since Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation talk; the 162.50 multi-decade high / intervention line sits ~47 pips above as the session's key overhead marker.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.062, 162.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.06 session high extends the rally toward 162.50
Loss of 161.75 flip level reopens the 161.655 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm on thin open · RSI 68 · price 162.029
Higher lows off session low, reclaiming 161.75.
Thin Asia open rallied from the 161.655 session low to 162.03, reclaiming the flipped 161.75 level; JPY bounce from Katayama repatriation talk is fading into the new week. RSI(14) around 68 as the move extends, with the 162.40/162.50 intervention zone the next area to watch above.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.40, 162.50
What it said to watch
Push toward 162.50 enters the intervention-trigger zone flagged near the multi-decade high
Loss of 161.75 back into 161.65 negates the reclaim
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
New week opened around the 161.66 week open and rallied ~35 pips into the session high at 162.04, back to the 162.00 psych level after Friday's JPY bounce on repatriation talk. RSI(14) firm near 68, not yet stretched; the 162.50 intervention line caps above.
Support: 161.66
Resistance: 162.04, 162.50
What it said to watch
Push above 162.50 enters the intervention line zone flagged by MOF
Failure to hold 161.66 week open breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Recovering, short-term momentum up · RSI 64 · price 162.012
Gap-up then higher highs off 161.65.
New session gapped and USD/JPY has recovered toward 162.04 after Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation slide dragged it off the 40-yr highs. Price is back above the 161.75 flip level and probing the session high; move retraced ~62% of the prior 162.42-161.28 leg.
Support: 161.75, 161.50
Resistance: 162.04, 162.50
What it said to watch
Break above 162.50 enters the intervention-line zone and risks a violent squeeze
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.50 swing low
US CPI Tue Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Recovering, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 161.961
Gap open reclaimed, printing higher highs.
New week opened with a small gap lower to 161.66, then a sharp recovery back through the 161.75 flip level to a session high at 162.04, RSI(14) around 63. Price now consolidating just under 162.00 after the leg up; 161.75 has flipped back to intraday support.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 162.04, 162.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.75 reopens the 161.66 session low
A push above 162.50 enters the multi-decade intervention zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Week opened with a gap down to 161.655 in early Asia, immediately bought back with a sharp leg to 162.038 before settling at 161.96 — a clean reclaim of the 161.75 flipped level. RSI(14) near 65 and cooling after the impulse; JPY still carries a repatriation/intervention bid from Friday's Katayama headlines.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.038, 162.50
What it said to watch
Push back above 162.50 enters the intervention trigger zone flagged near 40-yr highs
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.655 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via the rate gap
22:17 UTC
Sharp bounce off new-week open low · RSI 68 · price 162.013
Range break to the upside on thin open liquidity.
New-week open pushed USD/JPY off 161.66 back through the flipped 161.75 level to test 162.04 on very thin liquidity, RSI ~68. Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation JPY bid stalled near 161.30–161.50; the opening move has already erased that dip.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 162.038, 162.50
What it said to watch
162.50 intervention line above — area to watch for rejection or break
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read via the rate differential
Loss of 161.75 back into Friday's range weakens the up-move
22:16 UTC
Uptrend off the weekly open, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 162.013
Gap-up open, higher lows into 162.00.
Thin weekly open gapped up and Asia has rallied ~35 pips from 161.655 to reclaim the 161.75 pivot, printing a session high at 162.04 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Price is grinding toward the 162.50 intervention line the MOF has gone silent around; move is clean but volume is light.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.04, 162.50
What it said to watch
Push toward 162.50 enters the intervention trigger zone — area to watch for a sharp rejection
Loss of 161.75 back into last week's range negates the breakout read
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next macro driver for the rate differential
Fresh session reopened after the weekend gap on thin volume, with price grinding back above 161.75 — Friday's flipped resistance — to print 161.856. The recovery follows Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation-driven yen bounce off 40-year highs; 161.88/162.00 is the immediate area to watch overhead.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 161.88, 162.00, 162.50
What it said to watch
Rejection at 161.88/162.00 keeps the reclaim capped
Loss of 161.75 re-opens 161.65 session low
162.50 intervention line remains the ceiling higher up
USD/JPY reopened after the weekend gap into the 161.75 flip level, recovering the bulk of Friday's 161.86-161.28 range on thin, early-week volume. Yen firmed Friday on Katayama pension-repatriation talk; price now grinding back toward the range top with RSI mid-range and no clear directional setup.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.86, 162.50
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.86 opens the path back toward the 162.50 intervention line
Failure to hold 161.50 reopens the 161.28 friday low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and standing intervention risk near 40-yr highs can reshape this read
Grinding higher into 161.75 flip level, thin post-gap tape.
USDJPY sold from 162.43 down to a 161.28 range low on Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation talk, then clawed back to retest the 161.75 flip level. Post-gap bars are thin and low-volume, price stalling right at 161.75 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.655, 161.52, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 flip level opens the path back to the 161.86 swing high
Failure to hold 161.655 session low reopens 161.52 swing low
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read via the US-Japan rate gap
21:32 UTC
Range-bound, thin reopen · RSI 51 · price 161.699
Range 161.50–161.75 after double bottom.
Friday sold from 162.43 to a double bottom at 161.28 on Katayama repatriation talk, then recovered into a 161.50–161.75 band. Thin weekend reopen at 161.70 on minimal volume, with 161.75 flipped from support to resistance capping price and the 161.89 Friday high above. No setup in the current thin tape.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.89
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 reopens the 161.89 Friday high
Loss of 161.50 prior support exposes the 161.28 double bottom
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY sold from 162.40 toward 161.28 after Katayama repatriation talk boosted the yen, then chopped back into the 161.65–161.88 range. Latest bars are a thin, low-volume session re-open just below the flipped 161.75 level, price holding above the gap low at 161.65.
Support: 161.65, 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 opens a retest of the 161.86 session high
Loss of 161.65 gap low reopens 161.45 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC can materially reprice the US-Japan rate gap and shift this read
162.50 remains the multi-decade high / intervention line above
21:16 UTC
Recovery stalling, gapped lower at open · RSI 43 · price 161.655
Pullback after intraday bounce, thin open.
USD/JPY gapped lower to 161.655 at the new session open after Friday's Katayama pension-repatriation talk dragged the pair off 162.40. Price sits back below the 161.75 flip zone that capped the prior recovery, with 161.47 the nearest floor.
Support: 161.47, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 flip zone reopens the 161.86 session high
Loss of 161.47 confirms a lower-low toward 161.28
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Sideways after Friday drop · RSI 44 · price 161.655
Range, thin Sunday open.
Friday sold off from 162.43 toward 161.28 on Katayama repatriation talk, then recovered into a tight 161.50–161.75 range where the 161.75 flip level capped. Current bars are the thin Sunday open, gapping slightly below Friday's close with price sitting at 161.655 under both EMAs.
Support: 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.85
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.75 flip level reopens the 161.85 swing high
Loss of 161.50 swing low exposes the 161.28 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC likely to break this range
21:02 UTC
Recovery off the low, momentum flattening · RSI 60 · price 161.729
Consolidation near session highs after intraday drop.
USDJPY recovered from the 161.28 low carved during the Katayama pension-repatriation slide and has ground back to 161.73, now consolidating in a tight 161.68–161.75 band. RSI(14) near 60 and ATR ~6 pips; the 161.75 flip level is capping the bounce so far.
Support: 161.68, 161.50, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.75 opens the 161.86 swing high
Loss of 161.68 range floor exposes the 161.50 pivot
Consolidation under session cap after double bottom.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.40 after Katayama's pension-repatriation remarks, carving a double bottom near 161.28 before grinding back to 161.75. Price is now stalling into the session cap, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no fresh push either way.
Support: 161.66, 161.28
Resistance: 161.75, 161.86
What it said to watch
Close above 161.75 session cap opens the 161.86 swing high
Failure to hold 161.66 minor supp reopens the 161.28 double bottom
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; 162.50 remains the intervention line above