USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Monday, 10 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
09:02 UTC
Recovery within broader downtrend · RSI 55 · price 158.484
Consolidating above crash low, rising lows.
USDJPY collapsed roughly 870 pips from 163.90 to the 155.23 crash low on the Friday NFP shock, then carved out a rounded base and has been grinding higher on faded intervention follow-through. Price now sits at the 158.57 range high, mid-way into the 38.2% retrace of the crash, with a series of rising lows off 155.23. ATR has compressed sharply from the crash spike, and price holds above EMA20 while remaining well below the EMA50 that still reflects the 160s.
Support: 157.40, 155.23
Resistance: 158.57, 159.57
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12 Aug could materially reshape this read
H4 close above 158.57 range high opens the path to the 159.57 bounce high
Failure to hold the 157.40 spike low reopens the downside toward the crash low
09:02 UTC
Recovering after crash, stabilising · RSI 57 · price 158.484
Consolidation off the crash low, capped below 158.55.
USDJPY collapsed from the 163.90 area to 155.23 in late July as the -23K NFP shock crushed hawkish-Fed pricing, and has since ground higher into a consolidation that is now pressing the 158.55 range high. Price is holding above EMA20 but still below the crash-dragged EMA50, and sits on the 38.2% retracement of that impulse leg. Rising lows off 155.23 keep the recovery structure intact while supply caps around 158.55.
Support: 157.40, 156.67, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 160.88
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12 Aug could reset Fed pricing and materially shift this read
H4 close above 158.55 opens the path toward the 160.88 bounce high
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the slide toward 156.67 and the 155.23 crash low
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric near recent highs remains a squeeze risk
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 158.198
Basing in a range after the sharp selloff.
USDJPY collapsed from 163.90 to 155.23 late in the window on the intervention-driven spike, then bounced and has since based in a 157.2-158.6 range. Price is holding just above the 200-day SMA at 158.06 after Friday's shock NFP miss knocked the dollar broadly softer. ATR(14) has compressed hard off the crash, and the pair sits below the EMA50 that is still weighed by the pre-crash highs.
Support: 157.24, 156.67, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 159.57
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
H4 close above 158.55 opens the path back toward the 159.57 bounce high
Failure to hold the 157.24 support cluster reopens 156.67 then the 155.23 intervention low
Japan Q2 GDP Aug 16 adds a JPY-side risk after the CPI print
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 52 · price 157.889
Sharp break lower then range 157-158.5.
The intervention-driven collapse from ~163.90 to 155.23 late July reset the multi-week structure lower; USD/JPY has since carved out a 157.00-158.55 range as the -23K NFP miss kept USD offered. Price is holding a series of higher lows off 155.23 but capped by lower highs from 160.88, leaving a compressing base beneath the EMA50. Retracement of the down-leg stalls near the 30% mark around 157.90.
Support: 156.67, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close below 156.67 exposes the 155.23 crash low
H4 close above 158.55 range high opens the path toward 160.00
01:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 50 · price 157.889
Range-bound post-crash, higher lows off 155.23.
The intervention-driven collapse from ~164 to 155.23 has given way to a two-week consolidation between the 157.30 range low and the 158.55 range high, with a sequence of higher lows building off the weekly low. ATR(14) remains elevated versus the pre-crash grind, keeping the range wide. USD stayed offered after the -23K NFP miss, but price has stabilised into Wednesday's US CPI, the clear pivot for the next leg.
Support: 157.30, 156.12, 155.23
Resistance: 158.55, 160.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 158.55 range high opens the path toward the 160.00 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 157.30 range low exposes 156.12 swing low then the 155.23 weekly low