Higher lows since Friday's spike low, reclaiming pre-spike range.
USD/JPY has ground back to the session high at 158.68 after Friday's payrolls spike swept down to 156.67 and reversed sharply. JPY stayed the week's laggard on the split BoJ Summary of Opinions and a surprise June current-account deficit, while a firmer USD on Hormuz safe-haven flows added the lift; price is holding a stack of higher lows above the 158.20 pivot. RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s with price extended above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 158.20, 156.67
Resistance: 158.68, 159.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above the 158.68 session high opens the path toward 159.00 psych
Loss of the 158.20 pivot breaks the higher-low sequence off the spike low
US CPI Wed 12 Aug 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 158.686
Higher highs, breaking prior-week high.
The new week opened near 157.69 and has climbed steadily through the Asia and London sessions, printing a week high at 158.686 and clearing the prior-week high near 158.57. JPY stays on the defensive after the split BoJ Summary of Opinions and a surprise June current-account deficit, with a safe-haven USD bid adding support. RSI(14) sits around 67, elevated but not yet stretched as price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 158.20, 157.69
Resistance: 158.57
What it said to watch
Loss of the 158.20 pivot would invalidate the breakout read
Failure to hold above the 158.57 prior high reopens the weekly open at 157.69
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
USDJPY has ground back above 158.20 after Friday's NFP-shock spike swept the 156.67 low and reversed hard, with dip-buyers holding the pair bid through the Asia session as JPY stays on the defensive following the current-account miss and a split BoJ. Price is now retesting the 158.55 weekly high with RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 158.20 area has repeatedly absorbed pullbacks this week.
Support: 158.20, 157.79, 157.40
Resistance: 158.55, 158.50
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 158.55 opens the path back toward the week's highs
Failure to hold 158.20 exposes the 157.79 and 157.40 zones
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, steady since Monday open · RSI 62 · price 158.485
Higher highs and higher lows off the weekend gap.
USD/JPY has climbed steadily from Monday's 157.55 session open back toward the week high at 158.55, with yen on the defensive after Japan's surprise current-account deficit and a split BoJ Summary of Opinions. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half; the sharp Friday spike to 156.67 on the NFP miss has been fully reclaimed. The 158.20 area is where dip-buyers have kept the grind intact.
Support: 158.20, 157.55
Resistance: 158.55, 159.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path to the 159.00 psych level
Failure to hold 158.20 breaks the higher-low sequence off Monday
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Friday's spike, grinding under week highs.
USDJPY was dragged toward 157.40 by Friday's NFP shock, printing a sharp sweep to 156.673 that was fully rejected within the hour. Price has since rebuilt a run of higher lows and now trades above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), grinding under the 158.55 week high with RSI(14) holding the 55-62 band. Recovery has stalled at the 158.46 session high after two probes.
Support: 158.15, 157.40
Resistance: 158.46, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path back toward last week's higher range
Failure to hold 158.15 swing low reopens 157.40
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the decisive catalyst and could reset this read
Higher lows since Monday, back above pre-flush range.
USD/JPY flushed to 156.67 on Friday's NFP shock (-23K) before fully recovering, and price has ground higher through Monday's session on higher lows, holding above EMA(20) near 158.05 with RSI(14) around 63. The prior high at 158.46 and the week high at 158.55 cap the topside — area to watch for rejection or break. Move is USD-side driven; JPY had a brief safe-haven bid Friday that has since faded.
Support: 158.05, 157.79, 157.40
Resistance: 158.46, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 157.79 exposes Friday's low at 157.40
Higher lows off week's spike low, testing recent highs.
USDJPY spiked to a 156.67 week low on Friday's -23K NFP shock but the long lower wick was fully retraced within hours, a clean sweep. Since Monday's session open price has ground higher in a series of higher lows, reclaiming the 158.06 pivot and now pressing recent highs near 158.47. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s with price holding above both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 158.06, 157.79, 156.67
Resistance: 158.47, 158.55
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained break above 158.55 week high extends the recovery
Close back below 158.06 pivot opens path toward 157.79
USD/JPY has climbed steadily since Monday's open, nearly fully retracing Friday's NFP spike to 156.67 and pushing back toward the week high at 158.55. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 60; that sharp Friday low now reads as a sweep buyers reclaimed within hours. Consolidation around 158.15-158.35 is holding into the NY session.
Support: 158.15, 157.79
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path back toward pre-NFP highs
Loss of 157.79 prior-week close would reopen the NFP low zone
USD/JPY has fully bought back Friday's NFP-driven spike to 156.673, reclaiming the 200-day SMA at 158.06 and grinding higher through the Asia session above EMA(20). The move up since the crash has built a series of higher lows, but the weekly high at 158.55 still caps the recovery. RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 zone reflects steady but unspent upside momentum.
Support: 158.06, 157.55
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close below 158.06 reopens the 157.55 swing low
Break above 158.55 weekly high extends the recovery
US CPI Wed Aug 12 is the dominant catalyst that can shift this read
Friday's NFP shock spiked the pair down to a 156.67 sweep low before buyers reclaimed the entire move; price has since ground back through the 158.06 200-day pivot and printed 158.20. Monday's session extended the recovery to 158.31 with RSI(14) around 58, though the 158.55 week high still caps the topside. The post-nfp low near 157.44 has held as a higher-low base.
Support: 158.06, 157.44, 156.67
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
H1 close back below 158.06 200d pivot exposes 157.44 post-nfp low
Break above 158.55 week high opens the path toward 160
Consolidating below week high after full crash retrace.
Friday's NFP shock (-23K vs +80K) drove USD/JPY off the 158.55 week high down to 156.67 before a steady recovery reclaimed almost the entire move through the weekend gap. Price is now consolidating near 158.20, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling mid-range. The 158.31 session high has capped the latest push while demand steps in on dips toward 157.55.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 158.31, 158.55
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 158.55 clears the week high and confirms full crash retrace
Failure to hold 157.30 reopens the path toward the 156.67 nfp low
03:02 UTC
Rebound, near week high · RSI 61 · price 158.223
Reclaimed 200d pivot after flash-drop swept.
USD/JPY has recovered nearly the entire NFP flash-drop, trading back above the 158.06 200d-sma pivot after Friday's spike to the 156.67 flash low was swept and reclaimed. This week's session opened firm and cycled higher off the 157.55 swing low toward the 158.31 day high, with the 158.55 week high capping the range. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-band.
Support: 158.06, 157.55, 156.67
Resistance: 158.31, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 week high opens the path toward 160.00
Loss of 158.06 200d-sma reopens 157.55 then the 156.67 flash low
US CPI Wed 12 Aug could materially shift this read
USD/JPY was slammed to 156.67 on Friday's -23K NFP miss before buyers reclaimed the entire drop; the weekend reopen has extended higher, pushing back above the 158.06 200-day pivot into 158.22. RSI(14) sits mid-60s with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50 on a run of higher lows. The 158.55 week high now caps the recovery — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 158.06, 157.40, 156.67
Resistance: 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.55 opens the path back toward 160.00
Loss of the 158.06 200d pivot exposes 157.40 then the 156.67 spike low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY spent midweek capped near 158.55 before a violent one-bar flush to 156.67 during the NY session, tied to the fading US-Japan intervention story and a soft-USD backdrop after Friday's -23K payrolls. Price has since recovered to 157.94 and is consolidating either side of EMA20 into the thin Monday open, with EMA50 near 158.06 still overhead. The 157.30-158.55 band frames the current range.
Support: 157.30, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
H1 close above 158.06 puts the 158.55 week high back in play
Failure to hold 157.30 reopens the 156.67 flush low
A sharp Friday spike swept down to 156.67 on the US payroll shock before an immediate recovery back above 157.90, leaving a long lower wick that has since been consolidated. Price has ground higher off the 157.24 area into the thin weekend open, but two attempts near 157.95 have stalled just below the 158.00 handle and the ~158.06 200-day pivot. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 57 with the pair holding above EMA(20).
Support: 157.30, 157.24, 156.67
Resistance: 157.99, 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.06 opens the path back toward 158.20 and the 158.55 week high
Failure to hold 157.30 reopens the 156.67 sweep low
Friday's shock -23K NFP hammered USD/JPY from the 158.55 pre-print high down to a 156.67 spike low before the pair closed the drop back near 157.4. Since Monday's open it has rebuilt higher-lows into the 157.95 area, retracing roughly 61.8% of the payroll leg with RSI(14) back near the mid-50s. Price is now hovering around EMA20 as the market consolidates into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 157.40, 156.67
Resistance: 157.95, 158.55
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this read
H1 close above 157.95 opens the path back toward the 158.55 pre-nfp high
Failure to hold 157.40 pivot reopens the 156.67 nfp low
USD/JPY was sold hard Friday on the shock -23K NFP print, spiking down to 156.67 before buyers reclaimed the 157.40 area into the weekend. Price has since recovered through a modest weekend gap toward 157.90, but sits capped below the 200-day SMA at 158.06 with RSI(14) back at mid-range. The 158.55 week high still marks the pre-payroll ceiling.
Support: 157.44, 156.67
Resistance: 158.06, 158.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 158.06 puts 158.55 week high back in play
Failure to hold 157.40 reopens the 156.67 NFP low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst and could reset this read