Rejected at session high 161.81, consolidating 161.17–161.46.
Asia session spiked to 161.81 then sharply rejected back into the 161.30s, where price has consolidated and is now drifting toward the 161.17 session low. RSI(14) near 44 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50 reflect the post-spike cooldown; this comes around the just-released Japan CPI and BoJ minutes.
Support: 161.17
Resistance: 161.46, 161.81
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.46 reopens the path to the 161.81 session high
Failure to hold 161.17 confirms a lower low
Japan CPI / BoJ minutes (23:30–23:50 UTC) just out can shift this read on thin liquidity
NY session spiked to 161.80 then was rejected hard back to 160.92 as JPY weakness met intervention chatter near the July-2024 pivot. Price has since coiled in a 161.17-161.45 range through the quiet Asian hours, holding above EMA50 but slipping under EMA20 with RSI flat near 46.
Support: 161.17, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.80
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food (23:30 UTC) and BoJ minutes (23:50 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.45 reopens the 161.80 session high
NY session drove USDJPY to a 161.81 session high before a sharp rejection back to 161.43, with the pair now drifting in the Asian session around 161.30 — roughly the 50% retrace of the 160.86–161.81 leg. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral as price coils below EMA20; the move sits at two-year highs with intervention rhetoric the only cap.
Support: 161.17, 160.92, 160.80
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
Japan CPI ex-fresh-food (23:30 UTC) and BoJ minutes (23:50 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close back above 161.45 reopens the 161.81 session high
Loss of 161.17 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 160.92 spike low
Consolidating below 161.80 swing high after pullback.
USDJPY spiked to a 161.81 swing high then sold back into a tight 161.17–161.45 consolidation, RSI(14) flat near 49 on thin Asia-session volume. Demand stepped in around the 161.17 session low while supply capped attempts back toward 161.45; the bigger 160.80 cycle pivot sits well below price.
Support: 161.17, 161.00
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex-fresh-food and BoJ minutes at the open could shift this read sharply
Close above 161.45 reopens the 161.81 swing high
Loss of 161.17 confirms a lower low and exposes 161.00
USD/JPY spiked to 161.81 in the NY session before a sharp rejection swept it back to 160.92, and price has since drifted into a tight 161.17-161.45 range in thin Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and price sits just under EMA20; the cycle high at 161.80 marks the intervention zone Tokyo has flagged.
Support: 161.17, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.80
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex-fresh-food at 23:30 UTC plus BoJ minutes at 23:50 could materially shift this read within the hour
Close back above 161.45 swing high reopens the path to the 161.80 cycle high
Failure to hold 161.17 session low confirms a lower-low toward 160.92
NY session drove USD/JPY to a 161.807 session high before a sharp wick down to 160.915 swept the lows and snapped back to 161.42. Price now drifts in a tight Asian-session range around 161.30, RSI(14) neutral near 48 after cooling from the highs.
Support: 161.17, 160.915
Resistance: 161.45, 161.807
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes 23:50 UTC could shift this read
Close below 161.17 swing low opens the path back toward the 160.915 sweep low
Reclaim of 161.45 recent high reopens the 161.807 session high
23:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 161.268
Rejected at session high, lower highs into Asia.
NY drove USDJPY to a session high of 161.81 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 161.43; thin Asia trade has since ground out lower highs toward the 161.17 low. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43, and topside remains capped by intervention-zone caution near the two-year high.
Support: 161.17, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could move JPY
Close below 161.17 asia low opens the 160.92 spike low
Reclaim of 161.45 swing high re-tests the 161.81 session high
23:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 161.268
Rejection from session high, drifting lower into thin hours.
USDJPY swept up to 161.81 during NY hours then snapped back 80-plus pips on a single rejection bar, leaving a clear lower high near 161.46. Price is now grinding sideways-to-lower around 161.27 in thin late-session trade, holding above the 161.17 session low. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the rejection.
Support: 161.173, 160.65
Resistance: 161.46, 161.807
What it said to watch
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
Close below 161.17 session low confirms a lower low
161.46 lower highs — area to watch for rejection or reclaim
Approach toward 160.65-160.80 keeps intervention risk in focus
USD/JPY rallied through the NY session into 161.81 — near the cited post-2024 high — before a sharp wick to 160.92 and recovery; price now consolidates 161.28–161.45 into early Asia with RSI(14) cooling toward 46. Topside remains capped near two-year highs by intervention rhetoric.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
JPY National CPI ex Fresh Food (f/c 1.4%) due in ~45min could materially shift this read
M15 close below 161.28 confirms a lower low into Asia
NY session pushed USD/JPY to 161.81 before a sharp rejection swept back to 160.92, leaving a false break of the topside near the intervention zone Kihara keeps flagging. Price has since stabilised into a thin Asia-hours range between 161.28 and 161.45, RSI(14) back near neutral after the spike.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
Close above 161.45 reopens the 161.81 swing high
Failure to hold 161.28 exposes the 160.92 sweep low
Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
22:32 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after rejection · RSI 53 · price 161.353
Session high rejected, ranging 161.30-161.45.
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 161.80 before a sharp rejection wicked back to 160.92, with price now consolidating 161.30-161.45 into Asia hours. JPY sits near two-year lows on Fed-BoJ divergence; National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 161.30, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.80
What it said to watch
Close below 161.30 range low exposes the 160.92 spike low
Reclaim of 161.45 range top reopens the 161.80 session high
National CPI ex fresh food (23:30 UTC) could shift this read
USD/JPY ran up through the NY session to a 161.807 high then was rejected, dropping sharply to 161.28 before settling into a tight 161.32–161.45 range in thin late-session trade. Price is hovering at the 38.2% fib of the rally; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 48.
Support: 161.28, 161.34, 160.91
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
Close back above 161.45 reopens the 161.81 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.91
Intervention zone above 160.80 noted in context — topside snap-back risk
Consolidation below session high after sharp rejection.
NY session drove USDJPY to a 161.81 session high before a sharp reversal bar flushed back to 160.91, with the pair now consolidating 161.30–161.46 into Asia near the 38.2% retrace of the day's rally. JPY sits at near two-year lows on Fed-BoJ divergence; topside is capped less by flows than by intervention rhetoric above 160.80.
Support: 161.30, 160.91
Resistance: 161.46, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC (~1h out) is the next JPY catalyst and could shift this read
Close above 161.46 swing pivot reopens the 161.81 session high
Loss of 161.30 range low exposes the 160.91 spike low
USD/JPY ran up through 161.80 during NY hours on the post-Fed dollar bid, then a sharp wick rejection back to 160.92 unwound the spike. Price is now drifting in a 161.30-161.45 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s and back below EMA20.
Support: 161.305, 160.915
Resistance: 161.807
What it said to watch
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 161.45 reopens the 161.80 session high
Failure to hold 161.30 exposes the 160.92 spike low
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 161.38
Session high at 161.81, now ranging 161.30-161.45.
NY session drove USDJPY off the 160.5 base to a session high of 161.81 on Fed-BoJ divergence, then an 80-pip rejection off 161.745 settled price into a tight 161.30-161.45 range. RSI(14) has cooled back near 54 as the leg flattens.
Support: 161.30, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 161.45 range top reopens the 161.81 session high
Loss of 161.30 range low exposes the 160.92 spike low
160.80 intervention zone below — verbal warnings naming levels would cap topside
USD/JPY ground higher through NY to a session high of 161.81 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 160.92 and back, leaving a clean sweep low. Now consolidating 161.28-161.45 in thin post-NY conditions, RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 with price sitting under EMA20 but well above EMA50.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
Japan CPI ex-fresh-food (23:30 UTC, ~1.5h) and BoJ minutes (23:50 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close above 161.45 pivot re-opens the 161.81 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 swing low exposes the 160.92 sweep low
160.80+ remains a cited MoF intervention zone — snap-back risk
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after rejection · RSI 54 · price 161.338
Rejection from session high, now consolidating.
NY session pushed to a 161.80 session high before a sharp rejection wick tagged 160.92, and price is now consolidating 161.28–161.45 into thin Asia hours with RSI cooling off the highs. The broader leg from 160.53 has stalled, with the pullback holding near the 38.2% fib at 161.32.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.80
What it said to watch
Close below 161.28 opens the spike low at 160.92
Reclaim of 161.45 puts the 161.80 session high back in play
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention zone 160.00–160.80 sits below as a known cap area
21:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulled back into range · RSI 49 · price 161.338
Spike high rejected, now consolidating below highs.
USDJPY spiked to a session high of 161.81 before a sharp rejection dumped it to 160.92, then recovered into a 161.28–161.45 consolidation now drifting at 161.34 on thin late-session volume. The yen stayed heavy near two-year lows after the hawkish Fed, with the topside capped by intervention rhetoric from Tokyo around the 160.80+ zone.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.45, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC (~1.7h) could break the 161.28–161.45 range
Loss of 161.28 swing low reopens the 160.92 sweep low
M15 close above 161.45 range top puts 161.81 session high back in play
USDJPY rallied through the NY session to a 161.81 session high, then a sharp wick to 160.92 was bought back fast, leaving price consolidating 161.28-161.49 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-50s off the highs; the topside stays heavy near the 160.80+ intervention zone flagged by Tokyo.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.49, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift JPY
Close above 161.49 range top reopens the 161.81 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 swing low exposes the 160.92 spike low
Higher highs into 161.807, now consolidating sub-161.45.
NY session rallied to a session high of 161.807 before a sharp wick down to 160.915 swept lower stops and snapped back to ~161.40, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price is now consolidating between 161.28 and 161.49, holding above EMA20/50 with the prior up-leg intact.
Support: 161.28, 160.915
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 161.49 reopens the path toward the 161.807 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 exposes the 160.915 sweep low
JPY context flags intervention risk into the topside
Pullback after rejection at session high, consolidating.
NY-session rally pushed to a 161.807 session high before a sharp rejection wicked back to the 160.92 spike low, with USD/JPY pinned near post-2024 lows on the rate differential. Price has since recovered and is consolidating between 161.28 and 161.49; RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food + BoJ minutes at 23:30/23:50 UTC could materially shift this read
Price holding above 160.00 keeps intervention risk live near the session high
M15 close back above 161.49 reopens the path to the 161.807 session high
NY session drove USD/JPY to a 161.80 session high on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then a sharp sweep down to 160.92 before recovering. Price is now consolidating near 161.36 between 161.28 and 161.46, with the pair sitting in the flagged 160.00-160.80+ intervention zone.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.46, 161.80
What it said to watch
Close above 161.46 reopens the 161.80 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 exposes the 160.92 sweep low
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 161.40
Post-spike consolidation near highs.
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 161.81 on the post-FOMC dollar bid before a sharp spike down to 160.92 and snapback to 161.40. Price is now consolidating between 161.28 and 161.49, holding above the rising support off the NY rally; the pair sits in the flagged 160.00-160.80+ intervention zone.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.49, 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk above 160 makes the upside spike-prone
M15 close above 161.49 reopens the 161.81 session high
Loss of 161.28 confirms a lower low into the spike zone
Higher highs into 161.81, pullback holding above 161.28.
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 161.81 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid before a sharp wick down to 160.92 swept the move and price settled near 161.40. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the pair consolidates between 161.28 and the 161.46 swing high; intervention warnings keep the upside above 160 crowded.
Support: 161.28, 161.00, 160.92
Resistance: 161.46, 161.81
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.46 reopens the path to the 161.81 session high
Loss of 161.28 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 161.00
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC and intervention risk above 160 could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 161.81, pulled back below EMA20.
USDJPY ran up to a fresh session high of 161.81 before a sharp wick down to 160.92 and recovery back to 161.43, leaving an upside rejection in JPY post-July-2024 low territory. Price now consolidates near 161.40, just below the EMA20, with RSI(14) back to neutral. National CPI ex fresh food (f/c 1.4%) prints at 23:30 UTC.
Support: 161.33, 160.92
Resistance: 161.807
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.81 session high reopens upside
Close below 161.33 swing low confirms a lower low
CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk above 160 could whip this read
USD/JPY pushed to a session high of 161.81 during NY hours on the firm post-hawkish-Fed dollar, then a sharp spike down to 160.92 was bought straight back. Price now consolidates near 161.40 above EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s; pair sits in the flagged 160-161 intervention zone.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.46, 161.81
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.28 swing low reopens the 160.92 spike low
Close above 161.46 recent high targets the 161.81 session high
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Rising swing chain, capped below session high after sweep.
USDJPY ran to a session high of 161.807 during NY hours, then a sharp wick swept down to 160.915 before snapping back to 161.43. Price is now consolidating near 161.35, RSI cooled from the highs and price sits just under EMA20 while holding above the rising trendline.
Support: 161.28, 160.915
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.49 reopens the 161.807 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 confirms a lower-low
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
160.00-160.80 remains the flagged intervention zone
Higher highs into 161.807, sharp pullback holding above 161.28.
NY session drove USDJPY to a session high of 161.807 before a sharp spike down to 160.915 swept lows and snapped back to 161.37. Price now consolidating near 161.36, RSI cooling from the rally; the move sits in the flagged 160.00–160.80 intervention zone's upper extension.
Support: 161.28, 160.915
Resistance: 161.807
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC (~3h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 161.807 reopens the session high
Loss of 161.28 swing low exposes the 160.915 spike low and intervention risk
NY session drove USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 161.807 on broad JPY weakness post hawkish Fed, before a sharp spike down swept to 160.92 and recovered to 161.35. RSI(14) cooling off the highs as price consolidates above 161.28.
Support: 161.28, 160.92
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
Close above 161.49 reopens the 161.807 session high
Failure to hold 161.28 swing low exposes the 160.92 sweep low
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read; intervention risk persists above 160
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 161.807 on a firm dollar after the hawkish Fed, then a single-bar rejection swept down to 160.915 before recovering to 161.35. Price now sits mid-range, holding above EMA20 as the post-Fed leg consolidates near the closely watched 160-plus intervention zone.
Support: 161.28, 160.915
Resistance: 161.685, 161.807
What it said to watch
Close back above 161.685 reopens the 161.807 session high
Loss of 161.28 confirms a lower low after the rejection
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDJPY to a session high of 161.807 on the hawkish-Fed / weak-JPY rate gap, then a single bar wicked down to 160.915 before recovering to 161.458. Rejection at the highs cooled RSI off, but price holds well above EMA20/50 with the rally structure intact.
Support: 161.28, 160.915
Resistance: 161.807
What it said to watch
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Close below 161.28 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
Intervention risk above 160 keeps upside snapbacks possible
Higher highs into session high, sharp spike-down rejected.
NY session drove a clean leg from ~160.80 to a 161.807 session high before a single bar spiked down to 160.915 — into the sub-160.80 intervention zone flagged for JPY above 160 — and was immediately bought back to 161.45. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s from overbought; the rally structure holds above 161.28.
Support: 161.284, 160.915
Resistance: 161.807, 161.685
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food (23:30 UTC) and BoJ minutes (23:50 UTC) could materially shift this read
Standing intervention risk above 160 — repeat spike-downs from 161.7+ would mirror the prior rejection
Loss of 161.284 swing low reopens the 160.915 spike low
Close back above 161.807 resumes the session uptrend
NY session drove USD/JPY to a fresh post-2024 high at 161.807 on hawkish-Fed JPY weakness, then a sharp sweep down to 160.915 before recovering to 161.356. Current bar sits near the 50% retrace of the rally; the broader intraday uptrend structure is intact but capped by the 161.81 session high.
Support: 161.00, 160.92
Resistance: 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex-Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC plus BoJ minutes could materially shift this read
Intervention risk persists while price holds above 160.00
M15 close back below 161.00 breaks the intraday HL chain
NY session drove USDJPY to a 161.807 session high on hawkish-Fed dollar strength, with JPY pinned near post-2024 lows. The last bar spiked down to 160.915 then recovered to 161.356 — a sweep of the lower range before snapping back. Price now sits below EMA20 after the rejection from session highs.
Support: 160.915
Resistance: 161.45, 161.807
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.45 reopens the path to the 161.807 session high
Close below 160.915 confirms a lower-low and ends the HH chain
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC plus standing intervention risk above 160 can drive sharp two-way moves
NY session ripped from 160.47 to a session high of 161.807, then the final M15 bar slammed 83 pips lower to close 161.285 — a sharp rejection at highs with intervention risk live above 160. RSI(14) is cooling from overbought as the latest expansion blows past the ~15 pip ATR.
Support: 160.92, 160.80, 160.47
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.49 would reassert the uptrend
Failure to hold 160.92 opens the 160.80 swing low
National CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes could drive two-way volatility
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, sharp pullback on last bar · RSI 57 · price 161.285
HH/HL chain into session high, latest bar rejected.
USD/JPY rallied through NY hours to a fresh session high at 161.807 on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, before the latest bar sharply rejected — wicking down to 160.915 and closing at 161.285. RSI cooling off after the run; intervention fear above 160 capping the extension.
Support: 161.00, 160.915
Resistance: 161.49, 161.807
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.49 prior high reopens the path to the 161.807 session high
Failure to hold 161.00 psych exposes the 160.915 session low
National CPI at 23:30 UTC plus intervention risk above 160 could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 78 · price 161.752
HH/HL chain, NY breakout extending.
NY session drove a clean breakout to a fresh post-2024 high of 161.81, clearing the 160.80 intervention zone on the hawkish-Fed USD bid. RSI(14) running hot near 78 as the impulse extends with little pullback.
Support: 161.40, 160.80
Resistance: 161.81
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could spark sharp JPY short-covering
Intervention risk elevated while price holds above the 160.80 zone
Failure to hold 161.40 shelf signals the breakout is stalling
USDJPY broke the 160.80 prior high during NY hours and accelerated to a session high of 161.81, RSI(14) running hot near 79 as the rate differential keeps JPY offered. Price is in clean uptrend above EMA20/50 with no pullback yet; the breakout above 161.07 has held on retest.
Support: 161.40, 161.07, 160.80
Resistance: 161.81
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read sharply
Intervention risk above 160 — a spike-down through 161.07 would break the breakout structure
Loss of 161.40 puts the breakout retest back in play
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 74 · price 161.732
Fresh intraday highs, HH/HL chain intact.
NY session drove USDJPY through 161 to a fresh high at 161.73, extending the hawkish-Fed USD bid that pinned JPY near post-2024 lows. RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the pair clears the 160.80 prior peak; price sits in the flagged 160-plus intervention-risk zone.
Support: 161.45, 161.07, 160.80
Resistance: 161.73
What it said to watch
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read sharply
Intervention risk elevated above 160 — sudden snapback below 161.45 would break the HL chain
Failure to hold the 161.07 retest opens the path back toward 160.80
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 79 · price 161.732
Fresh highs, HH/HL chain intact.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 161.00 level and through the prior 160.80 two-year high, USDJPY printing fresh highs at 161.73 on the hawkish-Fed USD bid. RSI(14) near 79 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; no pullback structure yet.
Support: 161.08, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.08 negates the breakout read
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC (~4.5h) could shift JPY tone
Intervention risk flagged above 160 — sharp snapback possible on any official move
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove USD/JPY through 161.00 to a session high of 161.49 on the post-hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then settled into a tight 161.40-161.49 band. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but off its highs as the move stalls just under the round number.
Support: 161.30
Resistance: 161.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.30 swing low breaks the consolidation
Break above the 161.49 session high reopens the path to 161.80
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read; intervention risk persists above 160
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 71 · price 161.462
Rising HH/HL chain post-breakout.
NY session ripped from 160.80 through the 161.00 psych level and broke 161.08 to a 161.49 session high on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed. Price now consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) hot near 70; the 161.26 swing low caps the pullbacks.
Support: 161.26, 161.08, 161.00
Resistance: 161.49
What it said to watch
Close below 161.26 breaks the intraday HL chain
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone
NY session drove USDJPY from 160.85 up through the 160.80 two-year high to 161.45, the dollar bid extending on the hawkish Fed repricing. Price is now coiling in a tight 161.39–161.45 band at session highs with RSI(14) cooling from hot levels.
Support: 161.29, 161.08
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.29 unwinds the breakout and reopens 161.08
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
Intervention risk persists above 160 — any spike-down snapback would invalidate the high
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 67 · price 161.449
Fresh highs, now consolidating.
NY session drove USD/JPY through 161.08 to fresh post-2024 highs at 161.45 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then stalled into a tight consolidation near the high. RSI(14) elevated around 67 but not extreme; the prior breakout at 161.08 now acts as the first support shelf.
Support: 161.29, 161.08
Resistance: 161.45, 161.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.29 swing low would signal the high consolidation is failing
A close above 161.50 psych opens room toward 161.80
National CPI 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk above 160 could spike two-way volatility
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 69 · price 161.413
HH/HL chain post-breakout.
NY session ripped out of the 160.90 consolidation into a clean breakout to 161.455 on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed, with JPY pinned near post-2024 lows. Price now consolidating just under the session high; RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme.
Support: 161.29, 160.95
Resistance: 161.455, 161.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.29 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
M15 close above 161.455 extends the breakout toward 161.50 psych
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC plus ongoing intervention risk above 160 could trigger sharp two-way volatility
Higher highs after range break, consolidating near session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 160.90 range, surging to 161.455 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid before stalling. RSI(14) hot near 72 with price grinding sideways under the session high; the 161.076 breakout level marks first support.
Support: 161.076, 160.90
Resistance: 161.455
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.076 negates the breakout and reopens 160.90
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes 23:50 UTC could shift JPY tone
Intervention risk active while price sits above 160 — sharp snapbacks possible
NY session broke the 160.95 range top and surged to a 161.46 session high, USD broadly bid after the hawkish Fed hold with JPY pinned near post-2024 lows. Price is consolidating in a tight 161.40-161.46 band just under the high, RSI(14) elevated around 70 but not extreme.
Support: 161.08, 160.95
Resistance: 161.46
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.08 negates the breakout and reopens the prior range
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
Intervention tail risk above 160 can trigger sharp short-covering snapbacks
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, NY breakout extending · RSI 71 · price 161.448
Fresh highs, higher-high chain intact.
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 160.80 prior high, USD/JPY ripping to a session high of 161.46 on the firm post-hawkish-Fed dollar. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal in this thrust; price is pinned at the highs with the 160.98 breakout level now the first support.
Support: 161.20, 160.98, 160.80
Resistance: 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.20 swing low negates the breakout extension
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Pair above post-2024 lows keeps intervention risk live
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 70 · price 161.422
HH/HL chain, breakout extended.
USD/JPY ripped through 161.00 during the NY session to print fresh highs at 161.46, USD broadly firm after the hawkish Fed. The pull-back to 161.26 was bought and the breakout level held; RSI(14) hot near 70 but consistent with the trend.
Support: 161.26, 161.08, 160.90
Resistance: 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.08 negates the breakout and brings 160.90 into view
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk persists with price extended above the 160 line
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum into NY · RSI 71 · price 161.422
Higher highs and higher lows after breakout above 161.00.
NY session ripped USDJPY from 160.80 to a fresh 161.46 session high near post-2024 lows for the yen, on the hawkish Fed/wide rate differential. RSI(14) hot around 71 as price consolidates just under 161.46; the 161.00 breakout level is the nearest support.
Support: 161.26, 161.00, 160.80
Resistance: 161.46
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.26 breaks the higher-low chain
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Intervention risk persists with price holding above 160.00
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 161.396
Fresh highs after NY breakout, consolidating near top.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 161.00 into fresh post-2024 highs at 161.46, USD/JPY extending on the hawkish Fed/USD bid as JPY stays pinned at lows. Price is now consolidating 161.26–161.46 with RSI(14) hot near 72; the 161.08 breakout level held as support on the pullback.
Support: 161.26, 161.08, 160.90
Resistance: 161.46
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Sits above the 160.00–160.80 intervention zone — snapback risk on any MoF action
M15 close below 161.08 negates the breakout and reopens 160.90
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 70 · price 161.396
Fresh higher highs, consolidating under session high.
NY session broke above 161.00 and ran to a 161.46 session high, with USDJPY extending the post-Fed hawkish dollar bid. Price is now consolidating just under that high, RSI(14) elevated near 70; the 161.07 breakout level is the first reference below.
Support: 161.07
Resistance: 161.455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.07 negates the NY breakout
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk persists with price holding above 160
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 161.385
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh breakout.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 161.00 psych level, USD firm after the hawkish Fed; price tagged a 161.455 session high before easing to 161.39 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The last bar stalled on thin volume just under the high, holding above the broken 161.00 zone.
Support: 161.00, 160.80
Resistance: 161.455
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.00 negates the breakout and reopens 160.80
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone sharply
Intervention risk persists with price extended above 160
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 161.385
HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 161.00, extending to a session high of 161.455 on broad hawkish-Fed USD strength. RSI(14) running hot near 74 but not yet extreme; the 161.076 breakout shelf is the nearest reference below as price consolidates just under the high.
Support: 161.076, 161.00
Resistance: 161.455
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.076 breakout shelf would negate the intraday breakout read
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention tail-risk while price holds above the 160 line
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating · RSI 75 · price 161.453
Higher highs, breakout above 161.00.
NY session ripped through the 161.00 psych level to a fresh session high at 161.455, extending JPY weakness after the hawkish Fed. RSI(14) is hot near 74 but consistent with the impulsive leg; the 161.076 breakout shelf has not been retested.
Support: 161.076, 161.00
Resistance: 161.455
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone
Intervention risk persists with price extended above 160
Loss of 161.076 breakout level would mark a failed extension
NY session broke USDJPY out of the 160.60-160.95 range, accelerating to 161.45 on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed. RSI(14) is hot near 73 after the vertical leg; the 161.26 pullback low held on the retest, breakout shelf sits at 161.08.
Support: 161.26, 161.08, 160.95
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.08 would negate the breakout and put price back in the prior range
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC plus BoJ minutes could shift this read
Intervention risk persists with price stretched above the 160 zone
Higher highs, new session highs after 161.00 break.
NY session ripped through 161.00 to a 161.40 session high on broad JPY weakness post hawkish-Fed, then stalled and consolidated near 161.29. RSI(14) ~71 — hot but normal in this leg; the breakout above 160.98 is so far holding as the pivot.
Support: 160.98
Resistance: 161.40
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.98 breakout level negates the breakout read
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC (~7h out) could materially shift this read
Intervention risk persists with price above 160 — sharp snapbacks possible
USDJPY ripped through the 160.80 psych line into the NY session, printing a fresh post-2024 high at 161.376 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, with RSI(14) hot near 73. Price is now consolidating just under the session high at 161.29; the 161.076 breakout shelf is the first level holding the move.
Support: 161.20, 161.076
Resistance: 161.376, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.076 breakout neutralises the upside extension
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk above 160 — a sharp spike-down from session high would signal short-covering
Breakout to new session highs, HH-HL chain intact.
NY session broke the 160.95 consolidation and ran hard to 161.396, fresh post-2024 highs on the firm USD after the hawkish Fed and JPY pinned at the lows. Move is parabolic with RSI(14) hot near 73; price now pausing around 161.28 after the spike, holding above the 161.076 breakout shelf.
Support: 161.076, 160.95
Resistance: 161.396
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 161.076 negates the breakout and reopens the 160.95 range
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC plus BoJ minutes 23:50 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk elevated above 160 — sharp snapbacks possible from these levels
USDJPY broke its day-long 160.50-160.95 grind during the NY session, ripping to 161.40 on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed repricing. RSI(14) near 74 reflects the vertical leg; price now consolidating just under the 161.40 session high after pulling back to 161.28.
Support: 161.08, 160.90, 160.80
Resistance: 161.40
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.08 fills the breakout move and questions the leg
Price sits well above 160.80 — intervention/tolerance line repeatedly flagged by Tokyo
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot post-breakout · RSI 76 · price 161.297
Fresh HH after NY breakout, holding gains.
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 160.90 consolidation, spiking to a fresh high at 161.376 on the firm USD bid after the hawkish Fed before easing to 161.30. RSI(14) is stretched near 76 and price holds well above EMA20/50; the 161.076 breakout shelf is the first reference on any pullback.
Support: 161.076, 160.898
Resistance: 161.376, 161.00
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone sharply
Intervention risk elevated with price sitting above the 160.00 line
M15 close back below 161.076 negates the breakout read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 76 · price 161.297
Fresh breakout to session high, HH chain intact.
NY session ripped USD/JPY through the 160.95 range to a fresh session and 2yr high at 161.37 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, RSI(14) hot near 76 after a sharp two-bar push. Last bar pulled back to 161.30, holding above the 161.08 breakout.
Support: 161.08, 160.90
Resistance: 161.37
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.08 breakout would mark a failed extension back into the prior range
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read on the next BoJ hike
Intervention tail risk persists with price holding above the 160.00 zone
Breakout from 160.60-160.95 range to new session high.
NY session ripped through the 160.95 range top and the 161.00 psych level to a fresh post-2024 high at 161.376, RSI(14) hot near 73 on the impulse. JPY stays offered on the rate differential after the hawkish Fed; the last bar pulled back to 161.24, leaving 161.00 as the broken level now acting as support.
Support: 161.00, 160.90, 160.60
Resistance: 161.376
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.00 reopens the prior 160.60-160.95 range
Price sits in the flagged 160.00-160.80+ intervention zone — sharp two-way snapback risk
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 160.80 prior high, USD/JPY spiking to 161.38 on the firm post-Fed dollar bid before the latest bar pulled back to 161.24. RSI(14) is hot near 76 after the vertical move; the 161.08 breakout level is the first reference back below.
Support: 161.08, 160.80
Resistance: 161.38
What it said to watch
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes at 23:50 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk elevated with price extended above 160.80
M15 close back below 161.08 would negate the breakout retest
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, accelerating into highs · RSI 78 · price 161.092
Fresh highs, breakout above 160.80.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 160.80 two-year high, USD/JPY tagging 161.10 as the hawkish Fed differential keeps the yen offered. RSI(14) is hot near 78 on the final thrust, with price stretched above EMA20/50. Sits squarely in the 160-160.80+ intervention-risk zone flagged by Tokyo.
Support: 160.84, 160.80
Resistance: 161.10
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 160.80 on a close back below confirms a false break of the breakout
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC and BoJ minutes at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
Above-160 levels carry intervention tail risk — sharp snapbacks possible
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 75 · price 161.092
HH/HL chain, breaking 161.00.
NY session drove USDJPY through 161.00 to a fresh post-2024 high at 161.095 on the post-Fed rate-differential bid, RSI(14) hot near 74. Price now sits in the flagged 160.00–160.80+ intervention zone, where chasing extension is crowded.
Support: 160.95, 160.80
What it said to watch
Hold above 160.95 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below 160.80 negates it
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC and intervention risk above 160 could trigger sharp two-way moves
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 64 · price 160.984
Higher highs/higher lows, breaking to fresh highs.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, pushing to a fresh session high at 160.988 with RSI(14) firm near 64 but not extreme. The dollar leg post-hawkish FOMC keeps the pair pinned at two-year-high territory; price is now pressing the 161.00 psych line and the much-flagged intervention zone above 160.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.988, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.80 negates the breakout and the higher-high chain
One-sided intervention risk above 160 raises snapback potential on any spike-down
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read into the next session
NY session has driven USDJPY to a fresh high at 160.99, clearing the prior 160.95 session high as the yen stays offered post hawkish Fed. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; price is grinding into the 161 psych level inside the 160.00-160.80+ zone repeatedly flagged for intervention risk.
Support: 160.85, 160.80
Resistance: 161.00, 160.95
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 161.00 psych extends the run; rejection there caps the move
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk above 160 can spark sharp two-way moves
Loss of 160.80 prior high breaks the higher-low chain
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 55 · price 160.888
Higher highs into a tight range below session high.
USDJPY ground to a fresh post-2024 session high at 160.948 during NY hours on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid, then settled into a tight 160.83-160.94 range. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range, but the 160 area carries one-sided intervention risk.
Support: 160.83, 160.79
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.948 opens room toward the 161.00 round number
Break below 160.79 swing low breaks the rising intraday structure
National CPI 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk above 160 can trigger sharp two-way moves
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 57 · price 160.888
Higher highs, consolidating near top.
NY session extended the London push to a 160.948 session high before stalling, with price now coiling in the upper 160.80s on a cooling RSI. The advance tracks the firm post-FOMC dollar against an offered yen, but sits inside the 160.00–160.80 zone repeatedly flagged for intervention risk.
Support: 160.836, 160.798, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 160.948 opens the path toward 161.00
Loss of 160.798 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention tail-risk while price holds above 160
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 48 · price 160.86
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USD/JPY to a fresh session high of 160.95 on the post-Fed dollar bid, now consolidating around 160.86 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price sits just above EMA50 but below EMA20 as the grind stalls near two-year highs; intervention rhetoric is capping the upside above 160.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.95, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 resumes the upleg toward the 161.00 psych level
Close below 160.80 breaks the consolidation and confirms a lower high
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC and ongoing intervention risk above 160 could shift this read
London-NY drove USDJPY from 160.28 up to a session high at 160.95, the pair pinned near post-2024 lows on the rate differential. Price is now consolidating 160.83-160.95 in the NY afternoon, RSI cooling toward neutral; intervention risk above 160 is capping the grind higher.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.95, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 opens the path back toward the 161.00 psych level
Failure to hold 160.80 swing low signals a deeper pullback
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC plus standing intervention risk above 160 could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 160.948 on hawkish-Fed USD demand, with RSI(14) cooling back near 56 as the leg stalled. Price is now consolidating above the rising sequence of lows around 160.83, with 160.948 capping for now.
Support: 160.83, 160.798
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.83 breaks the rising-low sequence
160.948 session high — area to watch for break or rejection
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC plus intervention risk into 161.00 could shift the read
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 160.95 session high near 2yr peaks, supported by the hawkish-Fed repricing, and is now consolidating 160.83–160.95 with RSI(14) cooling from earlier extremes. Price sits inside the 160.00–160.80 intervention zone, keeping advances measured.
Support: 160.83, 160.79
Resistance: 160.948, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 extends the leg toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 160.83 confirms a lower-low and ends the HH/HL chain
Tokyo CPI at 23:30 UTC plus MoF intervention risk above 160.80 could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a 160.948 session high, then eased to 160.875 — the hawkish-Fed dollar bid keeping the yen pinned near July-2024 lows. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is hovering at EMA20 after the pullback, with the rising structure off the 160.577 session low still intact.
Support: 160.836, 160.577
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.836 breaks the rising-low chain
Close above 160.948 reopens the path toward 161.00
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and 160.00-160.80 intervention risk could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, stalling below 160.95.
NY session ground USD/JPY up to a fresh 2yr-area session high at 160.95 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from the push as price consolidates in the 160.80–160.95 band. The pair is parked in the named intervention zone, with rejection capping each test of 160.95.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.95, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 reopens the path toward 161.00
Loss of 160.80 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC and live intervention risk near 160.80–161.00 could shift this read
Higher highs into 160.95, consolidating just below.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a 160.95 session high before stalling, price now consolidating around 160.87 just under it with RSI(14) cooling off the move. JPY remains pinned near its post-2024 lows; National CPI at 23:30 UTC is the next swing risk while 160.80+ keeps intervention headlines live.
Support: 160.83, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
Failure to hold 160.83 swing low signals a deeper pullback toward 160.70
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a fresh post-2024 high at 160.948 as the rate gap widened post-hawkish Fed; price has since chopped sideways into 160.87 with RSI cooling to mid-range. Buyers held above 160.80 on the pullback, keeping the session-high resistance intact.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 opens path toward 161.00
Trade above 160.80 keeps intervention-headline risk live
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.948 before fading to 160.87, with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. Price sits at the post-2024 highs above the 160.80 intervention-watch zone flagged by Tokyo officials; National CPI ex-fresh-food (f/c 1.4%) lands tonight at 23:30 UTC.
Support: 160.836, 160.80, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.836 opens the path to 160.70
Sustained trade above 160.80 keeps intervention-headline risk live
USD/JPY ground to a post-2024 session high of 160.95 through NY hours on a weak yen and firm USD, then eased to 160.84 with RSI cooling from overbought. Price now hovers just above the 160.80 intervention-watch line; demand held the 160.60 area earlier in the session.
Support: 160.80, 160.60
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.80 keeps intervention-headline risk live
M15 close below 160.80 opens the path back toward 160.60
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.948 reopens 161.00
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 45 · price 160.823
HH/HL chain stalling below session high.
NY session pushed USDJPY to a fresh 2-yr high at 160.948 before easing to 160.82, with the yen pinned post hawkish-Fed and price sitting right under the 160.80 intervention zone Tokyo has flagged. RSI(14) cooling to ~45 on the pullback; price slipped below EMA20 but holds above the EMA50 near 160.72.
Support: 160.72
Resistance: 160.948, 160.90
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.72 (ema50) breaks the rising support read
Reclaim of 160.948 session high reopens continuation higher
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift JPY near the 160.80 intervention zone
NY session drove USDJPY to a fresh session high of 160.948 near two-year highs on the hawkish-Fed yen weakness, then stalled and faded back to 160.82 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price now sits below EMA20 but above EMA50; the 160.80/161.00 intervention zone is capping further extension.
Support: 160.82, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of 160.95 reopens the path toward the 161.00 intervention zone
Loss of 160.82 swing low sets up a test of 160.70
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a fresh session high of 160.948, just under the 160.80+ two-year high after the hawkish-Fed bid kept the yen pinned. Price is consolidating around 160.89 below the high; the intervention zone near 161.00 is the immediate cap.
Support: 160.83
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 extends the run toward the 161.00 intervention zone
Loss of 160.83 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Jobless Claims / Philly Fed today could shift the USD-side read
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a two-year-high 160.95 as the hawkish-Fed yen-weakness theme persists. Price is consolidating in a tight 160.87-160.95 band just under the 160.80/161.00 intervention zone, RSI(14) easing back toward mid-range after the run.
Support: 160.79, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.95 opens the path toward the 161.00 psych level
Loss of the 160.79 breakout area would flag stalling momentum
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read; price sits in the 160.80/161.00 intervention zone
Higher highs into 160.95 cap, consolidating below.
NY session ground to a fresh 2-yr high at 160.948, capped three times before easing to 160.863 as the yen stays pinned near the intervention zone post hawkish-Fed. RSI(14) cooling near 56 off the highs; the 160.95 ceiling is holding for now.
Support: 160.83, 160.79
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 reopens the path toward 161.00
Loss of 160.83 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC and proximity to the 160.80/161.00 intervention zone could shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 160.948, just shy of the two-year top after the hawkish Fed hold, then eased to 160.86 with RSI cooling from the highs. Price is grinding inside the 160.80–161.00 intervention zone Tokyo has flagged, holding above rising swing lows at 160.83.
Support: 160.83
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 opens the path toward the 161.00 round number
Loss of 160.83 swing low would break the rising-low sequence
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC and intervention risk in the 160.80–161.00 zone could shift this read
Higher highs into session top, flat resistance at 160.948.
NY session ground to a fresh session high of 160.948, tagged three times before easing to 160.86 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Price holds above both EMAs; the 160.948 flat top is the immediate cap while 160.70 marks the nearest higher low. JPY weakness remains driven by Fed-hawkish divergence, with intervention risk above 160.00 the main overhang.
Support: 160.70, 160.60
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 opens the path toward the 161.00 round number
Failure to hold 160.70 signals a deeper pullback into the 160.60 prior range
MoF intervention risk above 160.00 could trigger a sharp short-covering snap
NY session ground USD/JPY through the 160.80 post-2024 high to a session high of 160.948, USD firm after the hawkish FOMC hold, before easing to 160.86 as the US-Iran MoU trimmed dollar demand. Rising-low structure intact above 160.83; RSI cooling off the highs without reaching extremes.
Support: 160.83, 160.80, 160.60
Resistance: 160.948
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.80 negates the breakout and re-opens 160.60
MoF intervention risk above 160.00 could trigger a sharp short-covering snap
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 160.948.
USDJPY ground up through the NY hours to a fresh post-2024 high at 160.948, then stalled, consolidating in a tight 160.83–160.95 band with RSI(14) cooling from the push. The advance tracks the hawkish-Fed/cautious-BoJ divergence; the session high is the immediate cap, repeatedly tested but unbroken.
Support: 160.83, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 opens the path toward 161.00
Failure to hold 160.83 reopens 160.70 swing low
MoF intervention risk escalates above the 160.00 threshold
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 64 · price 160.89
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USD/JPY ground to a fresh post-2024 high at 160.95 through the NY session, clearing the 160.80 zone authorities have flagged. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not extreme; the breakout above 160.77 is holding with shallow pullbacks.
Support: 160.83, 160.77
Resistance: 160.95
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could nudge BoJ-hike pricing and cap upside
MoF intervention above 160.00 risks a sharp short-covering snap lower
A close back below 160.77 negates the breakout read
12:30 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 65 · price 160.892
Higher highs, higher lows into fresh range high.
Grind higher through the London session printed a fresh post-2024 high at 160.948, clearing the 160.80 prior high on the break. RSI(14) holding mid-60s with no extreme; last bar stalling just under 160.95 as price consolidates the breakout.
Support: 160.80, 160.70
Resistance: 160.948
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.80 reopens the 160.70 swing low and negates the breakout
Acceleration above 160.00 zone keeps MoF intervention risk live
Japan National CPI tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the read
NY session extended the grind to a fresh session high of 160.948, taking price into the post-2024 high zone before stalling around 160.89, RSI(14) cooling from a hot reading. Demand has stepped in repeatedly on the 160.57–160.80 pullbacks; the 160.80 prior high now acts as the first support shelf.
Support: 160.80, 160.57
Resistance: 160.948
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.80 breaks the rising support and the higher-high chain
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
MoF intervention risk above 160.00 — a sharp snap-back would invalidate the grind-higher structure
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 160.95, holding above the 160.80 intervention zone after the Fed's hawkish hold lifted the dot path. RSI(14) elevated near 67 with buyers stepping in repeatedly on each dip; the HH/HL chain off 160.71 remains intact.
Support: 160.80, 160.70
Resistance: 160.95
What it said to watch
Close below 160.70 breaks the HL chain
160.80 is the cited intervention battleground — MoF action could trigger sharp short-covering
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session has USDJPY grinding to fresh highs at 160.948 on the broad USD bid, clearing 160.80 and stalling just under the figure. RSI(14) ~70 and slowing as the last few bars coil in a tight 160.91-160.94 range; pullbacks held above 160.72.
Support: 160.80, 160.72
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.948 opens the path to 161.00
Loss of 160.72 breaks the higher-low chain
160.80 is the cited intervention zone — area to watch for MoF rejection
USDJPY pushed through the 160.80 intervention zone and printed a session high at 160.948 during the London-NY stretch, RSI(14) hot near 70 but consistent with the trend. Higher lows hold above 160.748; price is parked just under the 160.95 high and the 161.00 psych level.
Support: 160.748
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Sustained rejection at 160.948 would stall the run; a close above 161.00 opens further upside
Loss of 160.748 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF/BoJ verbal escalation near 160.80 could trigger a sharp snap lower
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to fresh highs at 160.95, clearing the 160.80 post-2024/intervention zone, with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme. Demand has stepped in on each dip during the London-NY run, leaving an intact chain of higher lows.
Support: 160.80, 160.57
Resistance: 160.95
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.80 would break the breakout and reopen 160.57 session low
MoF/BoJ verbal escalation near 160.80 intervention zone could trigger sharp reversal
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift the read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing cycle high · RSI 69 · price 160.927
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
NY session has driven USDJPY to a fresh cycle high at 160.948, a steady HH/HL chain since the 160.474 wick low, with the pair sitting deep in the 160.80+ intervention zone. RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not extreme; the 160.80 breakout level now sits as nearest support.
Support: 160.80, 160.474
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.80 breaks the breakout and the HH/HL chain
Proximity to 160.948/161.00 keeps MoF intervention risk elevated — sharp two-way moves possible
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
NY session drove a steady HH/HL climb to a session high at 160.948, clearing the 160.80 cycle area which now acts as support. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with price holding above the 160.79 breakout. The pair sits in the flagged 160.00-160.80+ intervention zone, so two-way risk is elevated near these highs.
Support: 160.79, 160.69, 160.57
Resistance: 160.948
What it said to watch
Close below 160.79 breaks the rally structure and reopens 160.69
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
MoF intervention risk active this close to the cycle high
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into highs · RSI 73 · price 160.937
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY transition to 160.95, fresh cycle highs near 2-year levels, with the rate-differential bid intact post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) ~73 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holding well above EMA20/50 and the 160.00-160.80 intervention zone now sits below.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.00 psych extends the run and tightens the MoF intervention trip-wire
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD read
Failure to hold 160.80 breaks the higher-low chain
Any verbal/actual MoF action near 160.80+ risks a sharp reversal
NY session drove USD/JPY to fresh ~2-year highs near 160.95 after a mid-session base around 160.60, JPY pinned by the rate differential post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) hot near 73 but trending; 160.79 prior high now acting as support on the climb.
Support: 160.79, 160.70, 160.60
Resistance: 160.95
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.79 breaks the higher-high chain
Pair inside 160.00-160.80 intervention zone — elevated MoF action risk near 160.95
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC + BoJ Minutes 23:50 UTC could shift this read
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 72 · price 160.908
Higher highs, breakout above prior session peak.
London session drove USD/JPY to a new session high of 160.948, just shy of the 161.00 round number, with RSI(14) hot near 72. Pair sits at two-year highs inside the MoF intervention zone after breaking the prior 160.79 session peak.
Support: 160.70
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Proximity to 161.00 and 2-year highs keeps MoF intervention risk elevated — fast reversals possible
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Loss of 160.70 breakout would negate the upside push
London session pushed USDJPY to fresh cycle highs at 160.95, clearing the 160.80 breakout, RSI(14) running hot near 74. The pair is now sitting in the 160.00+ intervention zone where MoF verbal warnings have repeatedly trimmed gains.
Support: 160.80
Resistance: 160.948, 161.00
What it said to watch
Proximity to 160.95-161.00 raises MoF intervention risk — sharp two-way moves possible
M15 close back below 160.80 negates the breakout
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the BoJ-path read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 71 · price 160.894
Rising HH/HL into session high.
USD/JPY ground to a fresh session high at 160.898, clearing the earlier 160.79 high as the carry bid persists near two-year highs. RSI(14) running hot around 71 into the move; price sits right in the 160.80+ MoF intervention zone flagged in the macro read.
Support: 160.79, 160.70, 160.60
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.79 prior high reopens the 160.60 range floor
Proximity to 160.80+ intervention zone — elevated MoF action risk
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.898, the highest since July 2024, with RSI(14) hot near 71. Price broke and held above the 160.79 prior high after the earlier 160.47 spike low, leaving the intervention zone toward 161.00 directly overhead.
Support: 160.79, 160.474
Resistance: 160.898, 161.00
What it said to watch
Proximity to 160.80-161.00 intervention zone raises MoF action risk; a sharp wick lower would signal it
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 160.79 prior high would break the intraday HH/HL chain
NY session drove USDJPY to a fresh session high of 160.89, pinning JPY near 2-year lows as the hawkish-Fed rate differential keeps dips bought. Price sits in the 160.80+ intervention zone, RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; the late push held above the 160.68 swing low base.
Support: 160.68, 160.60
Resistance: 160.89, 161.00
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.89 opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
MoF intervention risk elevated near 160.80+; a fast reversal back below 160.68 would break the higher-low chain
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to cycle high · RSI 67 · price 160.82
Higher highs into 160.89, near 2-yr peak.
USDJPY ground out a fresh cycle high at 160.89 into the London-NY transition, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme. The earlier dip to 160.47 was bought back quickly and price is now consolidating just under the high in the 160.00+ intervention zone.
Support: 160.70, 160.47
Resistance: 160.89, 160.80
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above 160.89 extends the cycle high; failure flags rejection near intervention zone
MoF/Kihara verbal action risk elevated this close to 160.80-160.89
Loss of 160.70 breaks the rising-lows chain
Japan CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh cycle high · RSI 71 · price 160.827
Breakout above 160.80, higher highs.
NY session drove USD/JPY through the 160.80 cycle high to a fresh 2-year high at 160.89, RSI(14) running hot near 71. The leg extends post-FOMC USD strength; price now sits inside the 160.00-160.80 MoF intervention zone, which has trimmed prior pushes off the highs.
Support: 160.70
Resistance: 160.89
What it said to watch
Price inside intervention zone — elevated MoF action risk near 160.80-160.89
M15 close back below 160.70 breakout base questions the breakout
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDJPY to a fresh session high at 160.89, JPY pinned near 2-year lows on the rate-differential trade. The recent up-move off 160.474 reclaimed the prior 160.79 high cleanly; RSI(14) firm but not yet stretched. Price sits in the 160.80+ intervention zone, where MoF verbal warnings cap upside.
Support: 160.70, 160.474
Resistance: 160.89, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.89 opens the path to 161.00 psych level
Proximity to 160.80+ raises MoF intervention risk — fast reversals possible
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 160.70 swing low breaks the intraday higher-high chain
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing cycle high · RSI 67 · price 160.801
Higher highs, grinding into 160.80.
USD/JPY ground back to the 160.80 cycle high into London hours, taking out the prior 160.79 swing as the rate-differential bid persists. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched; this is the multi-decade intervention zone, so verbal-warning headline risk is live.
Support: 160.70, 160.57, 160.47
Resistance: 160.80
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.80 cycle high extends the breakout
Loss of 160.57 swing low breaks the rising structure
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the BoJ read
MoF intervention risk elevated this close to 160.80
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing cycle high · RSI 65 · price 160.801
Higher highs, retesting 160.80.
USDJPY is pressing the 160.80 cycle high in the NY session, RSI(14) firm near 65 but not yet extreme. Buyers reclaimed the level after a midday dip to the 160.47 spike low, and the 160.58–160.80 consolidation has resolved higher.
Support: 160.58, 160.47
Resistance: 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 opens path to fresh cycle highs, but proximity to the intervention zone raises sharp two-way risk
Failure to hold 160.58 reopens the 160.47 spike low
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, near cycle high · RSI 60 · price 160.73
Higher lows into a double top at 160.79.
USD/JPY is grinding the 160.79 cycle high (highest since July 2024); a sweep to 160.79 then a sharp ~32-pip flush to the 160.47 spike low was bought straight back, leaving a double top. Price reclaimed 160.73 above the 160.66 swing low into the latest session with RSI mid-range near 60, the up-leg from 160.54 still intact. The 160.00+ intervention zone keeps two-way risk elevated near these highs.
Support: 160.66, 160.57, 160.47
Resistance: 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 opens fresh cycle highs and tightens MoF intervention risk
Failure to hold the 160.57 range low confirms a lower-low
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the BoJ read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, near cycle high · RSI 62 · price 160.73
Higher highs into 160.80 supply.
USD/JPY grinding higher through NY hours, pinned just under the 160.79-160.80 cycle high — the 2024-high zone. A spike to 160.794 was rejected to 160.474 before snapping back to 160.73, leaving a sweep of the high; RSI(14) mid-60s, room left. Pair sits in the watched 160.00+ intervention zone.
Support: 160.66, 160.59, 160.47
Resistance: 160.79, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 extends the uptrend toward fresh cycle highs
Intervention risk elevated this close to 160.80 — sharp two-way moves possible
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Loss of 160.59 swing low breaks the rising structure
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, capped at session high · RSI 58 · price 160.729
Higher lows pressing a double top.
London session has dragged price back up to retest the 160.79 high set in yesterday's NY session, where 160.794 has now capped twice — a double top right under the 160.80 intervention zone authorities flagged. A sharp wick to 160.474 was bought back in a single bar; RSI(14) near 58 leaves room before extremes.
Support: 160.57, 160.474
Resistance: 160.794, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 clears the double top into the intervention zone
Loss of 160.57 swing low opens 160.474 spike low
Tokyo CPI tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling at range top · RSI 61 · price 160.729
Double top at 160.79, range top capping.
USDJPY pushed to 160.794 twice forming a double top right under the 160.80 intervention line, the latest attempt rejected with a sharp wick down to 160.474 before recovering to 160.73. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is cooling at the range top, with the 160.50 range low marking the lower edge.
Support: 160.50, 160.474
Resistance: 160.794, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 invalidates the double top and clears the intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.50 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London push extended the rally to a session high of 160.79, stalling right under the 160.80 line MoF flagged since 2024; the last full bar swept that level and rejected sharply back to 160.70. RSI(14) cooling near 58 after the failed test, with price holding above the intraday swing low at 160.57.
Support: 160.474, 160.571
Resistance: 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 enters the flagged intervention zone
Loss of 160.57 breaks the higher-low chain
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 160.80, last bar swept lower and recovered.
USDJPY ground higher through the session toward the 160.80 intervention zone, tagging 160.794 before the latest bar swept to 160.474 and snapped back to close 160.67. The recovery keeps the uptrend intact but the failure at 160.80 marks supply at the line authorities flagged, with RSI(14) cooling off from the highs.
Support: 160.572, 160.474, 160.511
Resistance: 160.794, 160.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.80 intervention zone clears the session high
Failure to hold 160.572 confirms a lower-low
Tokyo CPI 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing intervention zone · RSI 71 · price 160.792
Higher highs, fresh session high.
London pushed USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 160.794, extending the post-FOMC leg through the 160.75 intervention zone, RSI(14) hot near 71. Price holds above EMA20/50 with no rejection yet, but it sits squarely in the MOF/BoJ verbal-intervention band.
Support: 160.60, 160.53
Resistance: 160.794
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.794 keeps the session high uptrend intact
Loss of the 160.60 round number opens 160.53 swing low
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC could sharply shift this read
09:15 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 71 · price 160.792
Higher highs, retesting session top.
USD/JPY ground back up through the late-session consolidation around 160.60 and is now retesting the session high at 160.794, the move sitting squarely in the 160.50-160.75 intervention zone flagged by Tokyo. RSI(14) is hot near 70 as price breaks higher, but the pair is pinned at multi-year highs with verbal-intervention risk overhead.
Support: 160.575, 160.50
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 opens the path higher toward 161.00
Loss of 160.575 negates the session-high retest
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC and intervention-zone proximity could sharply shift this read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, retesting session high · RSI 71 · price 160.792
Higher lows pressing into prior high.
London session has lifted USD/JPY back to retest the prior high at 160.794 after holding the 160.57-160.60 consolidation and the 160.511 swing low; RSI(14) near 71 is short-term hot but not extreme. The pair sits squarely in the 160.50-160.75 intervention zone Tokyo officials have repeatedly flagged, which has capped prior pushes toward 160.79.
Support: 160.572, 160.511, 160.60
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 opens continuation toward the 161.00 psych level
Rejection at 160.794 sets a double top against the earlier high
Loss of 160.572 recent low breaks the higher-low chain
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC and intervention risk near 161 could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, breakout to session high · RSI 71 · price 160.792
NY session pushed USD/JPY out of the 160.58-160.68 consolidation back to the 160.794 session high, with the pair sat firmly in the 160.50-160.75 intervention zone flagged in the news. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme as price prints fresh highs.
Support: 160.577, 160.50
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 opens the path toward the 161.00 psych level
Failure to hold 160.577 reopens the prior consolidation
Verbal/actual MOF-BoJ intervention near 160.75-161 could spike the pair sharply lower
08:46 UTC
Rally cooled into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 160.636
Ranging below session high after impulse.
USD/JPY broke higher during NY hours to a 160.794 session high on post-Fed yen weakness, then drifted into a tight 160.57–160.68 range now in London. Price sits mid-range at 160.636 with RSI neutral; the 160.50–160.75 intervention zone repeatedly flagged by Tokyo is capping the advance.
Support: 160.565, 160.511
Resistance: 160.679, 160.794, 160.75
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.679 reopens the path to the 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.565 range low exposes the 160.511 swing low
National CPI ex fresh food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read while price sits in the intervention zone
08:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 160.636
Range below session high after rally.
London-NY rally drove USDJPY to a 160.79 session high inside the flagged intervention zone, then faded as Kihara verbal pushback capped it. Price has consolidated 160.57-160.69 since, holding above the rally's 38.2% retracement.
Support: 160.572, 160.511
Resistance: 160.69, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 reopens the 160.75-160.80 intervention zone
Break below 160.51 ends the post-rally range
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC can shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after breakout · RSI 54 · price 160.618
Range below session high.
A sharp impulsive rally lifted USD/JPY off 160.20 to a 160.79 session high, fuelled by the hawkish Fed hold and a structurally pinned Yen. Price has since drifted into a tight 160.55-160.70 range with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR cooling to ~5 pips; momentum has stalled into the London session.
Support: 160.57, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.73 reopens the path to the 160.79 session high
Loss of 160.57 swing low exposes the 160.50 intervention threshold
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric above 160.50 a live risk to the range
JP National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY rallied from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high in the post-FOMC NY push, then settled into a tight 160.57–160.69 range with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price is parked just above 160 in the intervention zone, holding most of the gains.
Support: 160.57, 160.51
Resistance: 160.68, 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high
Failure to hold the 160.57 range floor opens 160.51 swing low
JPY National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 160.606
Post-spike consolidation below 160.73 high.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 during yesterday's NY session as the hawkish FOMC hold lifted the dollar, then pulled back into a 160.57–160.73 consolidation that has held through Asia and into London. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52, ATR ~6 pips — momentum has flattened with price hovering at EMA20.
Support: 160.57
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the path to the 160.79 session high and 161.00
Failure to hold 160.57 confirms a lower low out of the consolidation
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ripped out of its 160.20 range during the London session on post-FOMC USD strength, tagging a session high at 160.79 before settling into a tight 160.57–160.68 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as price holds above the breakout, parked in the 160.00+ intervention zone.
Support: 160.57, 160.51, 160.00
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
Loss of 160.57 opens a return toward 160.51
Close above 160.73 reopens the 160.79 session high
Verbal/actual MoF-BoJ intervention risk active above 160.50
08:01 UTC
Consolidating after NY rally · RSI 48 · price 160.595
Range-bound below session high.
USD/JPY ripped through NY hours to 160.79 after the hawkish Fed dots, then settled into a tight 160.55–160.68 range through Asia, RSI(14) flat near 48. Price holding below 160.73 with the 160.50 intervention zone capping any downside extension.
Support: 160.55, 160.50, 160.00
Resistance: 160.68, 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens 160.79 / 161.00
Loss of 160.50 exposes the 160.00 intervention line
JP National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
08:01 UTC
Rangebound after NY surge · RSI 52 · price 160.595
Consolidation under session high.
USD/JPY ripped from 160.20 to 160.79 during the NY session as Warsh's hawkish FOMC dots overwhelmed the cautious BoJ, then settled into a 160.57–160.68 range through the Asian and early London hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price pinned just under both EMAs; structure is balanced under the session high with intervention risk capping the 160.50+ zone.
Support: 160.57, 160.51
Resistance: 160.68, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.68 reopens 160.79 session high
Loss of 160.57 range low exposes 160.51 swing low
National CPI ex Fresh Food at 23:30 UTC could break this range
USDJPY ripped through 160 into the intervention zone on post-FOMC USD demand, spiking to a session high of 160.794 before fading. Last several hours have coiled into a 160.577–160.674 range with RSI flat near 50 and ATR compressing to ~6 pips.
Support: 160.577, 160.529, 160.50
Resistance: 160.674, 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.674 reopens the path to the 160.73 cited level and 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.577 exposes the 160.529 swing low and the 160.50 intervention threshold
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk active throughout this >160 zone
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation below session high after Fed breakout.
USDJPY ripped above 160 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, peaking at 160.79 before settling into a tight 160.53–160.69 consolidation through the Asia-into-London hours. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips and RSI is flat near 52 — momentum has paused below the session high.
Support: 160.53, 160.00
Resistance: 160.69, 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.69 reopens the path to 160.79 session high
Failure to hold 160.53 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Japan National CPI tonight 23:30 UTC could break this consolidation
160.00–160.50 intervention zone caps upside extension
07:31 UTC
Range after post-FOMC rally · RSI 51 · price 160.602
Consolidation below 160.79 swing high.
USD/JPY spiked through 160.20 into 160.79 during NY hours on the hawkish Fed hold, then handed back into a tight 160.51–160.68 band through Asia and into London. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~6 pips; price is pinned in the intervention zone just above the 160.00 psych handle.
Support: 160.51, 160.57, 160.00
Resistance: 160.68, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.68 range top reopens the 160.79 swing high
Break below 160.51 session low confirms range failure
Japan National CPI tonight 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read; intervention risk live near 160.50
07:30 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 160.602
Consolidation in upper third of FOMC rally.
USD/JPY spiked above 160 on the hawkish Fed hold, peaking ~160.79 in the London session before stalling. Last several hours have coiled into a tight 160.53-160.68 range, RSI flat near mid-range, holding the upper third of the rally.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.68, 160.79, 160.73
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.68 reopens the 160.79 rally high
Loss of 160.53 range low signals deeper retrace toward 160.50 intervention zone
Japan National CPI tonight 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 160.619
Consolidating below post-FOMC high.
USDJPY spiked to 160.79 on the hawkish Fed hold during NY hours, then drifted back into a tight 160.53–160.73 range through the quiet Asia session. Price is pinned just above 160.60 with RSI neutral; the move stalled shy of the 160.794 session high and the 160.50 intervention zone sits just below.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.53 range low exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY ripped to 160.79 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then settled into a 160.53–160.68 range through Asia. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips, reflecting the post-event drift.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.68, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.68 reopens the 160.794 spike high
Loss of 160.53 range low exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
Japan CPI ex-fresh-food at 23:30 UTC could break this range
07:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 57 · price 160.637
Consolidation under session high after breakout.
USDJPY broke higher mid-window to a session high of 160.794, then settled into a tight range between 160.53 and 160.70 with RSI(14) neutral near 57. Price sits in the intervention zone above 160.00; the 160.73 resistance is capping for now.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.53 breaks the consolidation floor
US jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
Sustained trade above 160.50 keeps intervention risk live
USD/JPY ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high on the hawkish Fed hold during NY hours, then settled into a 160.53–160.69 range. Price is mid-range at 160.64 with RSI(14) neutral; the 160.50 intervention handle sits just below.
Support: 160.57, 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 reopens the breakout toward 161.00
Loss of 160.53 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Japan CPI ex-fresh-food at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Range-bound after FOMC spike · RSI 56 · price 160.634
Consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 during the NY session on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then settled into a 160.56–160.75 range. Now mid-range at 160.63 with RSI(14) neutral; no fresh impulse since the post-FOMC drift.
Support: 160.56, 160.45
Resistance: 160.75, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.75 reopens the 160.79 session high
Loss of 160.56 exposes the 160.45 breakout level
Price sits in the 160.50+ intervention zone — MoF/BoJ rhetoric risk
NY session ripped USD/JPY off 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 on the post-FOMC dollar bid, then handed off to a tight Asia/London consolidation between the range low at 160.57 and the swing high at 160.73. Price sits mid-range at 160.63 with RSI(14) neutral; no fresh impulse since the breakout cooled.
Support: 160.57, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the path to the 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.57 range low exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 on the hawkish-Fed dollar surge, then settled into a tight 160.53-160.65 range. Price holds just above the 160.50 intervention zone with RSI(14) neutral near 53; momentum has flattened.
Support: 160.531, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the path to the 160.794 session high
Loss of 160.50 intervention zone breaks the consolidation lower
US Initial Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
USDJPY spiked from 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 on the post-FOMC dollar surge, then drifted into a shallow consolidation now pinned around 160.61. Price is holding most of the rally and ranging between 160.53 and 160.69, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 160.535, 160.50
Resistance: 160.694, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.69 reopens the 160.794 session high
Failure to hold 160.53 confirms a lower-low toward 160.50
Sits inside the 160.50-160.73 intervention zone — MoF verbal risk on any break higher
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Consolidating after breakout · RSI 54 · price 160.63
Range-bound below session high.
USD/JPY ripped through 160.50 into the intervention zone during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, peaking 160.79 before fading. Price has since coiled in a tight 160.53-160.69 range through Asia with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 160.53, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.73 reopens the 160.79 session high and the intervention zone
M15 close below 160.53 range floor exposes 160.20
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Consolidation above breakout level after NY spike.
USD/JPY ripped from the 160.20 range to a 160.79 session high during NY hours on the hawkish-FOMC dollar repricing, then settled into a tight Asia-session consolidation around 160.60. Price holds above the breakout shelf but stalls under the 160.73 intervention area, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 160.55, 160.51, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.73 exposes 160.79 then 161.00, but moves deeper into the 160.00-160.50+ intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.55 breaks the consolidation and reopens 160.20
US Initial Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 on the post-FOMC USD bid after Warsh's hawkish debut, then was rejected and has consolidated 160.53–160.70 since. Price sits mid-range at 160.61 with RSI neutral; 160.79 marks the edge of the MoF intervention zone.
Support: 160.53, 160.511
Resistance: 160.70, 160.794
What it said to watch
Close above 160.70 opens the session high at 160.79 and the intervention zone
Close below 160.53 confirms a lower low out of the range
US Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-side read
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC debut, then drifted back to consolidate in a tight 160.55-160.70 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — range development, no impulse in play.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.70 reopens the 160.73 intervention zone and fomc high at 160.79
Failure to hold 160.53 exposes the 160.50 intervention level
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Ranging below session high after impulsive leg up.
USDJPY spiked from 160.20 to a session high at 160.79 on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then handed back the upper half of the move and has been pinned in a 160.53–160.70 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips — no momentum either way after the impulse.
Support: 160.53, 160.45
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.73 prior high reopens the 160.79 session high and the 160.50 intervention zone above
Loss of 160.53 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 160.45
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
Yesterday's NY session spiked USD/JPY to 160.79 on Warsh's hawkish FOMC repricing, but the move faded through Asia and price now consolidates in a tight 160.53–160.65 band. The 160.50 intervention zone sits just below; rejection capped the rally at 160.79.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.65, 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.65 reopens 160.70 then the 160.79 fomc high
Break below 160.53 brings the 160.50 intervention zone into play
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session ripped USDJPY from 160.20 to the 160.794 high, then faded as the move stalled below the 160.73 swing high. Asia session is consolidating in a tight 160.55-160.62 band, RSI(14) neutral near 46, with the broader carry bid intact but capped under the 161.00 intervention zone.
Support: 160.51, 160.34
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.73 reopens the 160.794 ny high and the 161.00 intervention zone
Loss of 160.51 session low confirms a deeper retrace toward 160.34
US jobless claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high during NY hours on the hawkish-FOMC USD bid, then bled back and has gone flat near 160.59. Price now coiling in a tight 160.53–160.69 range with RSI neutral, holding above the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.53 confirms a lower low and ends the range
Break above 160.79 exposes 160.73/161.00 and pushes deeper into intervention zone
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
Consolidating 160.53–160.69 below the session high.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 on the hawkish-Fed USD bid before fading back, with rejection capping near the session high. Price now consolidates 160.53–160.69, holding above the 160.50 intervention zone; RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR ~3.6 pips reflect a quiet post-spike drift.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 breaks the intervention zone
Reclaim of 160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Range after NY spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 160.596
Consolidation below session high.
USDJPY spiked through 160.50 into the NY session, tagging 160.79 before fading back. Price has since coiled in a tight 160.53–160.69 range through the Asia hours, RSI flat near 49 with no momentum, sitting just inside the 160.00–160.50 intervention zone overhang.
Support: 160.53, 160.51
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.69 reopens 160.79 and the path toward 161.00
Loss of 160.53 confirms a lower-low and exposes 160.51
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
05:01 UTC
Range after FOMC spike, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 160.596
Consolidating below the post-FOMC high.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 during NY hours on the hawkish Warsh FOMC read, then bled back into a tight 160.53–160.70 range where it has stalled for the last several hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips — no momentum either way into the Asia-London handover.
Support: 160.53, 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 reopens the intervention zone and a test of 160.20
Reclaim of 160.70 puts the 160.79 session high back in play
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDJPY spiked through the 160.50 intervention zone during the NY session, tagging a session high at 160.79 before fading into an Asia-session range between 160.53 and 160.69. Volume has thinned and price is drifting near 160.60, with the broader weak-JPY theme intact after the BoJ hike failed to lift the Yen.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high and 161.00
Failure to hold the 160.50 intervention zone drops price back into the prior range
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the read
USDJPY spiked from 160.20 to a session high of 160.79 during NY hours on the post-FOMC USD bid, then faded into Asia and is now consolidating in a tight 160.57-160.70 band. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — the Asian session is range-bound just under the 160.50 intervention zone reference above.
Support: 160.511, 160.57, 160.50
Resistance: 160.696, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 reopens the upside toward 161.00
Loss of 160.51 confirms a lower-low and ends the consolidation
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could break the range
Post-FOMC USD bid drove a sharp NY-session breakout into the 160.50+ intervention zone, peaking at 160.794 before rejection. Through the Asian session price has consolidated 160.56-160.70 on thinning volume, RSI(14) neutral near 47. The 160.50 round level and MoF intervention risk frame the area overhead.
Support: 160.559, 160.50, 160.348
Resistance: 160.696, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 reopens the path toward 161.00 and fresh intervention headlines
Loss of 160.50 invalidates the consolidation and exposes the 160.348 swing low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break this range
04:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 160.588
Ranging below session high after impulse leg.
A sharp impulse leg lifted USDJPY off the 160.20 Asian range into 160.79 — USD firm after the hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot retail sales. Price has since faded and is consolidating 160.56–160.70, RSI neutral near 46, with the 160.50 MoF intervention zone sitting just below.
Support: 160.56, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.70 reopens the path to the 160.79 session high
M15 close below 160.56 exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
US Jobless Claims + Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Up-spike fading, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 160.588
Consolidation below session high after impulsive break.
London session ripped USD/JPY from 160.20 to a 160.794 session high before stalling. Since then price has consolidated between 160.51 and 160.73 and is drifting lower into 160.59, sitting just below EMA20; 160.50 intervention line still capping downside.
Support: 160.511, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.73 reopens the 160.794 session high
Failure to hold 160.50 intervention line confirms a lower-low
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 160.579
Range after impulsive spike, below EMA20.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.79 during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then rejected and faded into a 160.53–160.70 range. Price now drifts at 160.58 in thin Asia trade below EMA20, holding above the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.53 opens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Close above 160.70 reopens the 160.79 session high
Hawkish Warsh/FOMC repricing spiked USD/JPY off 160.20 to a session high of 160.79 during NY hours, then the pair faded into thin Asian liquidity. Now consolidating 160.51-160.65 just above the 160.50 intervention line, RSI neutral near 48.
Support: 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.65, 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.65/160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high
M15 close below 160.50 intervention zone confirms a lower-low
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the range
04:01 UTC
Consolidating below post-spike high · RSI 45 · price 160.587
Range after impulsive rally, drifting off highs.
Post-FOMC USD demand drove an impulsive M15 leg from 160.12 to a 160.794 spike high during NY hours, clearing the 160.50 psych/intervention zone. Price has since drifted into a 160.55–160.70 consolidation through the Asian session, RSI(14) back to neutral near 45 and sitting just below EMA20.
Support: 160.50
Resistance: 160.696, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.55 exposes the 160.50 psych zone
Reclaim of 160.70 needed to retest the 160.794 spike high
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY spiked to 160.794 on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, then faded into a slow Asia-session drift, now hovering 160.55-160.59 below EMA20. Price is consolidating between the 160.53 session low and the 160.70 session high after the rally rejection, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 reopens the intervention zone toward 159.50
Reclaim of 160.70 session high puts the 160.794 swing high back in play
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 160.582
Consolidation below session high after post-FOMC spike.
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh USD bid, then handed back gains to consolidate in a 160.53-160.69 range. Price sits at 160.58 with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the 160.50 intervention zone caps downside, the 160.79 session high caps the upside.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high
Loss of 160.53 range low exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the range
USDJPY broke out of the 160.20 base during NY hours on post-FOMC USD firmness, spiking to a 160.79 session high before stalling. Price has since drifted into a tight Asia-session consolidation, holding a 160.53 range floor with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral; the 160.00-160.50 zone below remains an intervention-watch area.
Support: 160.53, 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close below 160.53 range floor opens the 160.50 psych/intervention zone
Reclaim of 160.70 swing high reopens the 160.79 session high
03:31 UTC
Pullback after impulsive spike · RSI 46 · price 160.577
NY session ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 high on the hawkish Warsh FOMC and hot US retail sales, lifting USD broadly. Price has since graded lower through the Asia session into a 160.53–160.69 consolidation, printing lower highs and now sitting just above the 160.50 intervention zone with RSI back near mid-range.
Support: 160.50, 160.53, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close below 160.50 puts the intervention zone back in play
Reclaim of 160.69 reopens the 160.79 session high
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY surged through 160.50 into 160.794 during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh repricing, then settled into an Asian-session range between 160.53 and 160.70. Price now sits at 160.58, just above the perceived MoF intervention line, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 re-enters the intervention zone
Close above 160.70 reopens the 160.794 session high
Japan CPI ex-fresh-food (23:30 UTC) could shift this read
USD/JPY spiked through 160.50 to a 160.79 session high on the hawkish FOMC repricing, then stalled and is now consolidating in the 160.53–160.69 band just inside the MoF intervention zone. RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral as price drifts to the lower edge of the consolidation.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.69 range top reopens the 160.79 session high and intervention-zone risk
Loss of 160.53 session low exposes the 160.50 intervention area
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session post-FOMC spike drove USDJPY off 160.20 up to 160.79 before stalling shy of the 160.50-160.73 intervention zone. Asia session now consolidating 160.53-160.70, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price drifting toward the range low.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.53 opens a deeper retrace of the NY rally
Break and hold above 160.70 retests the 160.79 rally high
160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for MoF verbal risk
Consolidation below session high, drifting to range low.
USD/JPY spiked to 160.794 during NY hours on the hawkish-FOMC dollar bid, then stalled and consolidated below the session high. Asia session is thin and drifting toward the 160.51 range low, RSI(14) cooling near 42; the 160.50 intervention zone sits just beneath.
Support: 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.696, 160.794
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.51 range low presses into the 160.50 intervention zone — MoF verbal risk
M15 close above 160.696 reopens the 160.794 session high
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could reprice the post-FOMC USD move
NY session ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high, parking USDJPY inside the 160.50-160.73 MoF intervention zone. Asia hours have gone quiet, consolidating 160.53-160.69 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 46; price sits just under the 160.62 EMA20.
Support: 160.53, 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 extends the breakout but invites MoF verbal intervention
Loss of 160.53 swing low opens 160.50 and a deeper fade of the NY rally
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooled · RSI 52 · price 160.624
Consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY spiked through 160.50 to a session high of 160.794 during NY hours on the hawkish FOMC hold and hot retail sales beat, then pulled back into a tight Asia-session range around 160.60. Price now sits inside the 160.50-160.73 intervention zone with RSI(14) flat near 52.
Loss of 160.53 swing low opens the path back toward 160.45
US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after breakout · RSI 53 · price 160.624
Tight range below session high.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high on the firm USD post-FOMC read. Asia session is now consolidating tightly between 160.53 and 160.70, RSI(14) neutral around 53 with ATR cooling to ~6.5 pips.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.70, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.70 reopens the 160.79 session high
Failure to hold 160.53 exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY spiked from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high on the hawkish FOMC/Warsh USD bid, then stalled below the 160.75 swing high. Now consolidating 160.53–160.70 through Asia hours, holding above the 160.50 intervention line; RSI(14) cooled to ~53 off the rally.
Support: 160.533, 160.50
Resistance: 160.748, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 reopens the session high
Loss of 160.50 voids the breakout hold and re-enters prior range
MoF verbal intervention risk active above the 160.50 zone
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 53 · price 160.627
Post-breakout range below session high.
NY session ripped USDJPY from 160.20 up through the 160.50 intervention zone to a 160.79 session high, in line with the firm post-FOMC USD bid. Asia has since gone quiet, consolidating 160.55-160.70 with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.51 drops price back into the 160.50 intervention zone
Break above 160.79 session high extends the NY rally
USD/JPY broke sharply higher off 160.20 during the prior NY session on the hawkish-FOMC USD repricing, peaking at the 160.79 session high before fading. Price now consolidates 160.51–160.70 in early Asia hours, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI cooled back to neutral after the overbought spike.
Support: 160.533, 160.511, 160.50
Resistance: 160.696, 160.794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 160.696 recent high reopens a test of the 160.79 session high
Loss of the 160.51 consol low breaks the higher-low sequence toward 160.53 swing-low failure
Price holding above the 160.50 intervention zone keeps MoF verbal-intervention risk live
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after breakout · RSI 57 · price 160.634
Higher highs into 160.79, now ranging below it.
USD/JPY broke the prior intraday range with a sharp NY-session leg from 160.20 to 160.79 on the hawkish post-FOMC USD bid. Price has since consolidated around 160.63, holding above the 160.50 intervention zone, with RSI cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Price sits above the 160.50 intervention zone — MoF verbal-intervention risk increases nearer 160.73/161.00
M15 close below 160.53 breaks the consolidation and opens a retest of 160.50
Japan National CPI 23:30 UTC could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after breakout · RSI 56 · price 160.634
Higher highs, ranging post-spike.
USDJPY broke sharply out of the 160.20 range on the post-FOMC USD bid, spiking to a session high at 160.79 before settling into a 160.53-160.75 band just above the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price consolidates the move; the recent high at 160.75 is the immediate cap.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.75, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 invalidates the breakout-hold read
Consolidating below session high after NY breakout.
NY session ripped through the 160.50 intervention zone, spiking to a 160.794 session high before momentum cooled. Price has since consolidated 160.53-160.74 with higher lows, sitting at 160.63; the JPY-funding theme keeps the bid intact while the MoF intervention zone caps upside.
Support: 160.533, 160.50
Resistance: 160.731, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 re-enters the zone below the intervention line and breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 160.794 opens the path higher but raises MoF verbal intervention risk
Higher highs after impulse, holding session range top.
NY session ripped through the prior range on the hawkish FOMC repricing, spiking to a 160.79 session high before stalling. Price pulled back to 160.51 and has since recovered to 160.65, chopping under the 160.75/160.79 highs with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 160.51
Resistance: 160.75, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
160.00-160.50 zone remains an intervention-risk area to monitor
Failure to hold 160.51 confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after impulse · RSI 57 · price 160.648
Higher highs into Asia, holding above breakout.
Post-FOMC surge cleared the 160.50 intervention zone with heavy volume, running to 160.794 before easing back. Through thin Asia hours price is consolidating 160.55–160.75; the 160.748 session high was retested and rejected, current bar at 160.648.
Support: 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.748, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.51 re-enters the 160.00-160.50 intervention zone
Push back toward 160.79 risks MoF/BoJ intervention reaction
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs post-breakout, now ranging at the top.
USDJPY broke higher from the 160.20 area on the post-FOMC hawkish hold, tagging the 160.79 session high before easing into a 160.53–160.75 range. Price holds near the top of that range at 160.68 with 160.73 prior high capping; RSI(14) mid-60s, no fresh high since the leg up.
Support: 160.533, 160.50
Resistance: 160.748, 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 session high opens 161.00 round number
Failure to hold 160.53 range low exposes the 160.50 intervention zone
Higher highs since NY breakout, now consolidating.
NY session ripped out of the 160.20 breakout base, spiking to 160.79 — right into the 160.00/160.50 intervention zone flagged post-BoJ. Asia is now consolidating between 160.53 and 160.79, holding above the rally with RSI mid-range.
Support: 160.53, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 opens the path to 161.00
Failure to hold 160.53 reopens the 160.20 breakout base
Price inside the 160.00/160.50 intervention zone keeps MoF/BoJ action risk live
USDJPY broke higher during NY hours on the hawkish-FOMC USD bid, ripping from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high. Asia session is consolidating 160.51–160.75 just below that high, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 60s. Price now trades above the 160.00–160.50 intervention zone, keeping MoF/BoJ headline risk live.
Support: 160.51, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.794 session high opens the path to 161.00
Loss of 160.51 pullback low signals breakout leg unwinding
Trading above 160.50 intervention zone raises MoF/BoJ action odds
NY session ripped through the prior range on the hawkish FOMC hold and retail-sales beat, tagging a session high at 160.79. Asia hours are consolidating in the 160.53–160.75 band just under that high; RSI(14) cooling near 60 after the spike.
Support: 160.53, 160.50
Resistance: 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 opens the path to 161.00
160.00–160.50 intervention zone — area to watch if breached lower
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY broke out of the 160.20 range during NY hours, spiking to a 160.79 session high before settling into a 160.51–160.75 band that sits right in the 160.50–160.73 intervention zone. RSI has cooled off breakout extremes into the high-50s as price consolidates beneath the highs.
Support: 160.511, 160.50
Resistance: 160.748, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 reopens the path higher into the intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.511 negates the breakout structure
MoF/BoJ intervention risk active above 160.50
US Jobless Claims/Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, recovering after pullback · RSI 60 · price 160.686
Higher highs post-breakout, pullback held.
USDJPY broke higher from 160.20 into a sharp rally to the 160.79 session high, then pulled back to 160.51 which held twice. Price is recovering toward the highs into the Asia session, with the 160.00-160.50 intervention zone sitting just below.
Support: 160.51, 160.50
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 extends the rally
Loss of 160.51 negates the recovery and reopens the intervention zone
NY session ripped through the 160.20 consolidation, USD bid extending on the hawkish post-FOMC dots, and printed a session high at 160.794. Asian hours pulled back to the 50% retracement near 160.51 and held, with price now consolidating mid-range below the high.
Support: 160.51, 160.35
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.794 reopens 161.00
Loss of 160.51 pullback base exposes the 160.35 breakout base
160.50 area in focus for MoF/BoJ intervention on further USD/JPY gains
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a session high of 160.79 on the hawkish-Warsh FOMC repricing during NY hours, then stalled. Price is now consolidating between 160.53 and 160.73, RSI(14) cooling from the spike toward neutral.
Support: 160.53, 160.35, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 extends the breakout
loss of 160.53 range low opens a deeper retrace toward the pre-spike base at 160.35
160.00/160.50 region remains an MoF/BoJ intervention concern
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high in the late NY hours on the firm post-FOMC USD bid, then stalled. Price is now consolidating in a tight 160.53-160.65 band below that high, RSI(14) cooled off its peak. Note the pair is parked inside the 160.00-160.50+ intervention zone flagged by MoF/BoJ.
Support: 160.53, 160.35, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.79 session high opens the path to 161.00
Failure to hold 160.53 swing low reopens 160.35
Intervention risk elevated above 160.00 — verbal or actual MoF/BoJ action could shift this read
US Jobless Claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could break the consolidation
Consolidation below session high after impulsive breakout.
A sharp NY-session impulse broke the 160.20-160.35 range to a session high of 160.79 on the firm-USD post-FOMC tone, then faded. Asian session is consolidating in a tight 160.51-160.65 band, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53; the spike high remains unchallenged.
Support: 160.511, 160.50, 160.35
Resistance: 160.735, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.51 exposes the 160.50 round and the 50% retrace of the spike
Reclaim and close above 160.735 reopens the 160.79 session high
160.00/160.50 intervention zone in focus on any sustained move higher
Consolidation below session high after impulsive breakout.
Hawkish Warsh FOMC debut spiked USDJPY from ~160.20 to a session high of 160.794, then price stalled and is consolidating in the mid-160.50s through the thin late-NY/Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the impulse; 160.511 has held as the pullback floor.
Support: 160.511, 160.331
Resistance: 160.694, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.511 opens the path back to the 160.331 pre-breakout area
Reclaim of 160.694 puts the 160.794 session high back in play
160.00/160.50 intervention zone — area to monitor given official-action risk
US Jobless Claims & Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Hawkish post-FOMC USD bid drove a sharp leg from 160.12 to 160.79 through NY hours, clearing the prior intraday range. Price has since cooled into a tight 160.54-160.65 consolidation, with the 38.2% fib at 160.54 holding so far in thin late-session liquidity; RSI(14) back to neutral near 53.
Support: 160.538, 160.50, 160.455
Resistance: 160.646, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 round number exposes the 50% fib at 160.455
Reclaim of 160.646 range high reopens the 160.79 session high
160.00/160.50 intervention zone remains a structural floor below
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after rally · RSI 50 · price 160.581
Range break higher, now coiling below session high.
NY session ripped USDJPY out of the 160.20 range to a 160.79 high as the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing rebuilt Dollar longs. Price has since faded into a thin Asia-hours consolidation around 160.54-160.69, sitting near the 38% retrace of the rally with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 160.51, 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.79 reopens the path toward 161.00
Break below 160.50 re-enters the intervention zone and breaks the consolidation
Japan CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift this read
00:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 54 · price 160.581
Post-breakout consolidation below session high.
USDJPY rocketed from 160.20 to 160.79 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing, then settled into a tight consolidation between 160.54 and 160.65 through the thin Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral 54 after the impulse; price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50, with 160.731 session high the cap and 160.538 the recent floor.
Support: 160.538, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.731, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.731 reopens 160.794 spike high
Loss of 160.538 exposes the 160.20 pre-spike base
160.00/160.50 intervention zone remains the macro overhang