USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 17 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after NY rally · RSI 53 · price 160.593
NY breakout, now ranging in Asia.
USDJPY rallied through the NY session off 160.20 to a 160.79 session high on the hawkish post-FOMC dot-plot repricing, then settled into a tight 160.53–160.65 Asia range. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as price holds just below the NY high on thin late-session volume.
Support: 160.53, 160.45, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.79 session high resumes the NY breakout
Loss of 160.53 asia low exposes the 160.45 swing low
NY breakout above range, now consolidating near highs.
USDJPY broke sharply above its prior intraday range into the NY session, spiking to 160.794 on firm USD post-hawkish FOMC dot-plot. Price has since consolidated near the highs around 160.55-160.65, RSI cooling from the breakout peak. The 160.50 area, top of the MoF/BoJ intervention zone, is now holding as support.
Support: 160.511, 160.50
Resistance: 160.794, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 unwinds the breakout back into prior range
160.794 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
Intervention risk active near 160.50; verbal warnings could cap upside
23:31 UTC
Spike up, retracing · RSI 45 · price 160.538
Post-news breakout, pulling back into range.
USDJPY spiked off 160.20 to a session high of 160.79 during NY hours as the Dollar firmed on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot repricing. Price has since drifted back to 160.54 with RSI cooling, sitting just inside the 160.00-160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.51, 160.50, 160.33
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.51 opens a deeper retrace toward 160.33
Reclaim of 160.73 reopens the 160.79 session high
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
160.00-160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for official reaction
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 160.538
Post-breakout pullback near highs.
USDJPY spiked from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high during NY hours on post-FOMC USD strength, then faded into Asia to 160.54. Price is holding above the 160.50 intervention zone with the session high 160.79 capping; RSI has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close above 160.79 session high extends the breakout
Failure to hold 160.50 intervention zone opens 160.20
Japan CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 on the hawkish-hold FOMC reaction, then pulled back and has gone flat around 160.60 into the Asia open on thin volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI cooling from the spike; 160.73/160.79 caps the topside while 160.50 marks the prior break level and intervention threshold.
Support: 160.50, 160.45
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.50 reopens the 160.45 spike base and 160.00–160.50 intervention zone
M15 close above 160.794 extends the FOMC breakout
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after NY spike · RSI 57 · price 160.607
Consolidating near session highs post-breakout.
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a 160.79 session high during NY hours, clearing and stalling at the 160.50 intervention zone before fading to consolidate around 160.60. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-50s as price drifts in a tight 160.57–160.65 band; rejection at 160.79 still holds.
Support: 160.50, 160.57, 160.33
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Close back below 160.50 interv zone reopens 160.33
USDJPY ripped from 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 during NY hours on the hawkish-Fed afterglow, then stalled. Price is now drifting sideways in thin Asia liquidity around 160.55–160.62, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range as the breakout digests below 160.73.
Support: 160.511, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.794 reopens the path toward 161.00
Loss of 160.511 signals a deeper retrace of the breakout move
Broke above prior range, consolidating near highs.
USDJPY ripped from the 160.20 range on the hawkish FOMC hold, spiking to a 160.79 session high and into the 160.00/160.50 intervention zone. Price has since faded to consolidate around 160.61 on thin late-NY/Asia volume, holding the 160.51 swing low; RSI cooling from the spike extreme.
Support: 160.51, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.79
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.79 extends the breakout toward 161.00
Loss of 160.51 opens a return toward the 160.20 breakout
Impulsive rally, now consolidating below session high.
USDJPY broke sharply higher into the NY session, ripping from 160.20 to a session high of 160.794 on the hawkish-hold USD bid. Price has since stalled and is consolidating around 160.62, holding above the 160.51 breakout base with RSI(14) cooling from the spike.
Support: 160.511, 160.45, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.794 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 160.51 consolidation low signals a deeper retrace toward 160.45
160.00/160.50 intervention zone in focus on any reversal
NY breakout, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped USDJPY out of the 160.20 range with a sharp breakout to 160.794, the FOMC hawkish-hold afterglow keeping USD firm. Price has since cooled into a 160.51-160.65 consolidation, holding above the 160.51 swing low and parked just over the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.511, 160.50
Resistance: 160.794, 160.73
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 160.51 breaks the consolidation low
NY session broke out of the 160.20 range, ripping to a session high of 160.794 into the 160.73/161.00 intervention zone on hawkish-FOMC USD strength. Price has since faded to 160.62 on thin late-session flow, RSI(14) cooling back near 54 from the spike highs.
Support: 160.51, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Hold above 160.51 swing low keeps the breakout structure intact
Approach into the 160.73/161.00 intervention zone raises MoF/BoJ action odds
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could shift this read on the next bars
USD/JPY broke the 160.20 range with a sharp NY-session rally to 160.79 on the hawkish-hold FOMC afterglow, then settled into consolidation in the upper 160.50s. RSI(14) has cooled off the spike high and price is holding above EMA20/EMA50, with 160.51 capping the pullback so far.
Support: 160.51, 160.45, 160.20
Resistance: 160.79, 160.73
What it said to watch
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC is imminent and could reprice this read
M15 close below 160.51 breaks the consolidation and reopens 160.45 breakout level
160.00/160.50 intervention zone sits just below — area to monitor
NY session FOMC hawkish dot-plot revision spiked USD/JPY from 160.20 to a session high of 160.79, RSI(14) now cooling from extended levels. Price is consolidating around 160.60, holding inside the 160.00-160.50 intervention zone overhang with the session high untested into the Asian lull.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Hold above 160.50 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss reopens 160.20
Reclaim of 160.79 needed to extend the FOMC leg
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakout from 160.20 range, pulling back from session high.
Warsh's hawkish dot-plot revision at the FOMC triggered a vertical breakout from the 160.20 range, spiking USD/JPY to a session high of 160.794, RSI cooling from overbought. Late-session pullback to 160.60 on thin volume; the 160.50 intervention zone is back in focus just below.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.50 reopens the pre-breakout 160.20 range
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision drove USD/JPY out of its tight pre-event range, spiking from 160.20 to a session high of 160.79. Price is now retracing into the 160.50 area on thin late-session volume, with RSI(14) cooling off its spike peak; the 160.33 swing low marks the base of the breakout.
Support: 160.49, 160.331, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.33 swing low negates the post-FOMC breakout
160.00/160.50 intervention zone — area to monitor for MoF/BoJ response
Japan National CPI at 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision triggered a vertical breakout from the pre-FOMC 160.20 base, USD/JPY spiking to a session high of 160.794 on heavy volume. Price has since drifted back to 160.57, cooling from the extreme but holding above the 160.50 psych zone.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.50 opens the path to the 160.20 pre-breakout base
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
160.00/160.50 intervention zone — area to monitor for official reaction
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a sharp NY-session breakout from the 160.20 range, rallying to 160.794 before fading to 160.576 as RSI(14) cools back toward neutral. Price now hovers just above the 160.50 psych level with the session high capping above.
Support: 160.50, 160.35, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 160.50 reopens the 160.35 pre-spike zone
M15 close above 160.794 extends the breakout toward 161.00
Japan CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Impulsive breakout, now pulling back into the move.
USDJPY ripped off the 160.20 NY base to a 160.79 session high after Warsh's hawkish dot-plot revision and strong US retail sales, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price retraces toward the 160.50 intervention zone. The pullback is holding above the 160.45 breakout level so far; this sits squarely in the 160.00-160.50 MoF/BoJ intervention band.
Support: 160.50, 160.45, 160.20
Resistance: 160.69, 160.79
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.45 negates the breakout retest
160.00-160.50 intervention zone — verbal or actual MoF/BoJ action if pressed
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift the read
FOMC range break, pulling back below session high.
USD/JPY broke its 160.20 range top and ran to 160.794 on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, then eased to 160.61 as RSI cooled. The 160.00–160.50 intervention zone sits just below while the 160.794 session high caps the move.
Support: 160.50, 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.79 session high opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
A slip back through the 160.33 spike base would unwind the FOMC breakout
160.00–160.50 intervention zone risks verbal or actual MoF/BoJ action if revisited
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision sparked a vertical breakout from the 160.20 NY range to a session high of 160.794. Price has since cooled to 160.611, holding above the breakout shelf with RSI(14) easing back from its post-spike highs.
Support: 160.49, 160.00
Resistance: 160.73, 160.794
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.49 would erase the breakout and re-enter the prior range
160.794 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation
160.00/160.50 intervention zone keeps further upside capped
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision triggered a sharp NY-session leg from the 160.20 pre-FOMC base to a 160.79 session high. RSI(14) cooling from the spike as price drifts back to 160.62; the 160.49 breakout base is the first reference below.
Support: 160.49, 160.20
Resistance: 160.79, 160.73
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.49 negates the post-FOMC breakout
160.00/160.50 intervention zone — MoF/BoJ risk on sustained pushes higher
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could reset this read
Broke out of 160.20 range, pulling back from session high.
NY session ripped higher on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision, USD/JPY breaking the 160.20 range and tagging a session high at 160.794. Price is now cooling back to 160.62 with RSI(14) easing off the highs; the 160.50 zone is the first downside reference.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.50 puts the breakout retest into the prior 160.20 range
Push back above 160.794 reopens 161.00
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend after impulsive breakout · RSI 58 · price 160.656
USD/JPY ripped from the 160.20 range to a 160.794 session high on the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision during NY hours, a clean break of the prior 160.20–160.30 base. Price has since stalled, easing back to 160.66 with RSI cooling from the breakout spike — holding above the 160.50 round level for now.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.50 would unwind the breakout into the prior range
Break above 160.794 session high opens 161.00 psych level
160.00/160.50 zone in focus for intervention risk after the sharp ramp
Japan National CPI Thu 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Impulsive breakout, now consolidating below session high.
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision blew USDJPY out of an 160.20 range, spiking to a session high of 160.794 on heavy volume. Price has since faded to 160.66, RSI cooling from overbought as the move consolidates above the 160.50 breakout base.
Support: 160.50, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.794, 160.73
What it said to watch
Hold of 160.50 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss reopens 160.20
Close above 160.794 extends the post-FOMC leg toward 161.00
MoF/BoJ intervention risk active while price trades above 160.00
The hawkish FOMC dot-plot surprise under Warsh drove USD/JPY off the 160.20 base, spiking through the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone to a session high of 160.79. Price is consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) near 69, ATR running ~10 pips.
Support: 160.50, 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.79 opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
Trading above 160.50 keeps the intervention-zone break intact; loss of 160.33 trendline signals fade of the impulse
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk elevated this close above 160.50
Broke range, testing session high near intervention zone.
NY session post-FOMC hawkish dot-plot revision ripped USD/JPY from 160.20 to 160.79 on heavy volume, clearing the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone in a single thrust. RSI(14) hot near 74 as price stalls just under the 160.73/160.79 highs cited in the news. Pullback to 160.68 holding above the broken zone.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.79, 161.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.50 intervention zone reopens the 160.20 breakout base
Close above 160.79 session high exposes the 161.00 psych marker
MoF/BoJ verbal warnings near the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone could cap upside
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, post-FOMC spike · RSI 71 · price 160.748
Breakout, consolidating near highs.
USD/JPY ripped from 160.20 into the 160.50 intervention zone on the hawkish Fed hold and strong retail sales, tagging a session high at 160.794. Price is now coiling just under the highs around 160.75, RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Hold above 160.50 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it reopens the 160.20 base
MoF/BoJ verbal warnings near the 160.50–160.79 intervention zone could cap upside
A close above 160.79 puts 161.00 psych into play
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, NY session impulse · RSI 74 · price 160.748
Breakout above range, consolidating near session high.
USDJPY broke out of the 160.20 range during NY hours on the hawkish-hold FOMC, ripping to a 160.79 session high and clearing the prior 160.40-160.50 intervention zone. Price is now consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) hot near 73; the breakout level around 160.50 has flipped to support.
Support: 160.50
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.794 opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
Loss of 160.50 breakout zone would signal the impulse stalling
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk active above the 160.40-160.50 zone
Breakout from intraday range, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY spent most of the window grinding in a 160.15–160.35 range before the hawkish-hold FOMC and a beat on US Retail Sales sparked a sharp NY-session breakout to 160.79. Price has since stalled in a tight band just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling from overbought; the 160.40–160.50 intervention zone now sits as the breakout base.
Support: 160.50, 160.35
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Stall under 160.794 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension toward 161.00 psych
Loss of 160.50 interv zone reopens the 160.35 prior swing
MoF/BoJ verbal pushback near the 160.40–160.50 intervention zone could cap upside
USD/JPY broke a tight 160.20-160.30 NY range and spiked to a 160.79 session high after the Fed's hawkish hold and lifted dot plot. Price now consolidates just under the 160.73/161.00 zone with RSI(14) hot near 74; the 160.40-160.50 area, prior intervention threat, has flipped to immediate support.
Loss of 160.50 breakout shelf would reverse the post-FOMC impulse
MoF/BoJ verbal pushback near the 160.50-161.00 intervention zone could cap upside
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 80 · price 160.738
Range break, higher highs into session high.
NY session ripped higher off the FOMC hawkish hold, breaking the 160.20 range and the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone in one impulse to a session high of 160.794. RSI(14) near 80 — hot but normal for this kind of impulse — with price now pressing the 160.73/161.00 resistance band where MoF intervention threat sits overhead.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.50 reverts price into the prior range
Close above 161.00 psych extends the breakout
Sustained probes of 160.40-160.50 raise odds of MoF verbal pushback
NY session ripped USD/JPY off the 160.20 base, clearing the 160.50 intervention zone in a vertical move to a session high at 160.794 after the hawkish Fed hold and hot US Retail Sales. RSI(14) is stretched into the low-80s and price stalled right at the 160.73 marker cited in the news — momentum hot but extended.
Support: 160.55, 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.794, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.794 session high opens the path to the 161.00 psych level
Failure to hold 160.55 swing low signals the breakout stalling
Proximity to the 160.50 intervention zone raises MoF verbal-warning risk
19:45 UTC
Sharp uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 79 · price 160.719
Range break, higher highs.
USDJPY ripped from the 160.20 session base to 160.72 over the last six bars after the hawkish FOMC dots and the hot retail sales print underpinned the dollar. The breakout cleared the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone and now presses the 160.73 prior high; RSI(14) near 79 is stretched but normal in an impulsive run.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73
What it said to watch
Stalling at the 160.73 prior high keeps the move capped near the intervention zone
A close back below 160.50 negates the breakout read
MoF/BoJ verbal pushback or Warsh's tone could shift this quickly
19:45 UTC
Fresh uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 82 · price 160.719
Range break, new session highs.
USD/JPY tore out of a tight 160.20 range during NY hours after the hawkish FOMC hold and lifted dots, printing 160.72 and stacking higher highs on RSI(14) above 80. Price is now pressing the 160.73 area flagged as the intervention zone, leaving the move stretched into resistance.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73
What it said to watch
Rejection at 160.73 intervention zone or MoF verbal pushback would cap the breakout
M15 close back below 160.50 negates the breakout and signals a failed extension
Warsh presser tone could materially extend or fade this dollar leg
19:31 UTC
Intraday breakout, momentum hot · RSI 75 · price 160.579
Range break to the upside post-FOMC.
USDJPY chopped in a tight 160.20-160.30 range through the session before the hawkish FOMC hold detonated a vertical breakout to 160.58, slicing through the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) is hot near 75 after the spike; the move is dollar-driven on the lifted dots, not yen-led.
Support: 160.50, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73
What it said to watch
Hold above the 160.50 intervention zone keeps the breakout intact; loss of it signals a false break back into range
160.73 is the next upside marker — area to watch for rejection or break
MoF/BoJ verbal warnings near 160.50+ could abruptly reverse the move
USDJPY broke out of the 160.20–160.30 NY range with a vertical spike at the 18:30 UTC Fed presser, the hawkish dot-plot revision underpinning the dollar. Price has cleared the 160.40–160.50 intervention zone and is pressing the cited 160.73 marker with RSI(14) hot near 75.
Support: 160.50, 160.34, 160.20
Resistance: 160.73, 161.00
What it said to watch
Close above 160.73 opens the path to 161.00
Failure to hold 160.50 returns price into the prior range
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk active in the 160.40–160.50 zone
19:16 UTC
Breakout higher after FOMC, momentum hot · RSI 68 · price 160.469
Range break above the intraday 160.20-160.30 base.
The hawkish Fed hold at 18:00 UTC fired USDJPY out of the 160.20-160.30 range, spiking to 160.50 in one bar on heavy volume before settling at 160.47. Price is now pinned just under the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone with RSI(14) running hot near 68.
Support: 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.50, 160.73
What it said to watch
Warsh presser due imminently could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 160.50 intervention zone opens the path to 160.73
Failure to hold 160.33 swing low reopens the range base at 160.20
USDJPY broke hard out of the tight 160.20 NY range on the hawkish FOMC dots, spiking into the 160.40-160.50 intervention zone and tagging 160.504 before stalling. Price pulled back to 160.33, then reclaimed 160.47; the zone top is so far respected.
Support: 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.50, 160.73
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.50 opens path to 160.73 and raises MoF verbal-warning risk
Warsh presser tone could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.33 reopens the 160.20 range top
USDJPY coiled near 160.20 through the NY afternoon then ripped to the 160.50 intervention zone on the hawkish Fed hold and the Retail Sales beat, spiking from 160.20 to 160.504 in two bars. The level was rejected and price slid back to 160.36, RSI(14) cooling off the spike.
Support: 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.50 intervention zone heightens MoF jawboning risk
Failure to hold 160.33 pullback low signals the spike fading toward the 160.20 base
Warsh presser tone could materially shift this read in the next bars
USDJPY ranged 160.18-160.30 through the NY session, then spiked to 160.504 on the hawkish Fed hold and lifted dots, sweeping above the prior range before rejecting back to 160.36. Price now sits just under the 160.50 intervention zone, RSI(14) cooling off its post-spike peak.
Support: 160.33, 160.195, 160.18
Resistance: 160.504, 160.475
What it said to watch
Spike top at 160.504 sits in the perceived MoF intervention zone; a sustained push above invites jawboning risk
Failure to hold 160.330 fills the spike base toward 160.195
Warsh presser tone could materially shift this read in the next bars
USD/JPY chopped lower into the mid-160.20s through the NY session, then ripped ~28 pips on the hawkish Fed hold to spike 160.475, breaking the intraday range and parking just under the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) is hot near 71 after the impulse, with price holding the high.
Support: 160.196, 160.115
Resistance: 160.50, 160.475
What it said to watch
160.50 intervention zone — area to monitor for MoF/BoJ jawboning or rejection
Failure to hold the 160.196 spike base would unwind the FOMC breakout
Warsh presser tone could materially shift this read in the next hours
18:46 UTC
Intraday breakout off a drift lower · RSI 69 · price 160.471
Range broken to the upside on FOMC.
USD/JPY drifted within a 160.20–160.30 range for most of the day before the hawkish Fed hold (lifted dots, easing bias dropped) drove a one-bar spike of nearly 28 pips to 160.475. Price now sits just under the 160.50 intervention zone, RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not extreme.
Support: 160.30, 160.20
Resistance: 160.50, 160.476
What it said to watch
160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or MoF jawboning
Warsh presser could materially shift this read
Close back below 160.30 negates the breakout
18:31 UTC
Sharp breakout off range · RSI 63 · price 160.438
Range broken upward on Fed spike.
Price coiled in a 160.196–160.24 range through the NY afternoon, then ripped to 160.475 on the FOMC decision (+28 pip bar, volume blowout). Sits at 160.438 just under the 160.50 intervention zone with the Warsh press conference imminent.
Support: 160.196, 160.115
Resistance: 160.475, 160.50
What it said to watch
Warsh presser (18:30 UTC) is the larger vol driver — could materially shift this read
Approach to 160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or MoF jawboning
Loss of 160.196 range floor would void the breakout and re-open the range
USD/JPY spiked ~28 pips to 160.47 on the Fed decision, breaking out of the 160.20–160.30 intraday range that held through the NY session, and is now pressing the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) jumped toward 68 on the move with price back above both EMAs.
Support: 160.30, 160.20
Resistance: 160.475, 160.50
What it said to watch
160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for MoF jawboning or rejection
Warsh presser underway could materially shift this read
loss of 160.30 range top would signal the Fed spike fading
The FOMC print at 18:00 UTC fired USD/JPY out of a tight 160.20 range base, spiking the closing bar 22 pips to 160.41 and pressing toward the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) lifting through 66; prior to the spike price had coiled in a sub-5-pip ATR range for hours.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.50, 160.479
What it said to watch
160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or break exposing 160.73
Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.20 reverses the breakout back into the range
18:16 UTC
Range broken higher on FOMC · RSI 71 · price 160.407
Tight consolidation pierced by a single impulsive bar.
USD/JPY spiked off the FOMC decision (18:00 UTC), ripping out of a tight 160.19-160.24 range to close at 160.41 — a ~22 pip impulse bar, far above the ~5.6 pip ATR. Price now sits just under the 160.50 intervention zone with RSI(14) running hot near 71.
Support: 160.20, 160.115, 160.30
Resistance: 160.50, 160.479
What it said to watch
A close above 160.50 intervention zone exposes 160.479 then 160.73
Failure to hold 160.30 retraces the FOMC spike back into the prior range
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC is the bigger vol driver and could reshape this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 160.207
Consolidating below session highs.
USDJPY sold from 160.47 to a 160.115 swing low before bouncing to 160.347, and is now drifting flat around 160.20, pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone into the FOMC decision. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, ATR holding around 5 pips as the tape coils ahead of the event.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.245, 160.347
What it said to watch
FOMC now and Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 160.115 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 160.347 negates the consolidation drift
18:01 UTC
Drifted lower, now flat · RSI 43 · price 160.207
Tight consolidation below 160.35 swing high.
USDJPY coiling in a tight 160.19–160.24 band on collapsing volume as traders sit on hands into the FOMC decision (18:00 UTC, Warsh presser 18:30). Price sits below EMA20/50 after fading the 160.347 session high; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC now + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will dictate the next move and override this read
Break above 160.347 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY drifted lower through the NY session, bottoming at 160.115 before a snap-back to 160.347 faded; price now coils near 160.20 below EMA20. Range tightening into the FOMC decision, with the 160.50 intervention zone still capping above.
Support: 160.196, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will dictate the next leg
Close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.347 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY ground lower from the 160.48 early high to 160.11 before recovering and stalling near 160.20, now coiling in a tight 160.20–160.24 band on fading ATR into the FOMC decision. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; intervention talk caps the topside near 160.50.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.24, 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC will define the next leg — current range read is fragile
Loss of 160.18 reopens the 160.115 swing low
Reclaim of 160.24 pivot would target the 160.347 session high
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 160.204
Lower highs into a tight range.
USDJPY drifted lower through the session from 160.47 to a 160.115 low, then bounced to a 160.347 NY high before settling into a tight 160.19–160.24 range. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43, pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.476
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~30m) is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
M15 close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.347 reopens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
17:31 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into FOMC · RSI 41 · price 160.204
Consolidating near session lows after sell-off.
USDJPY ground lower through the NY session, basing around 160.20 after rejection at 160.347, with the day low at 160.115 untested. Price sits below EMA20/50 and is coiling into the FOMC decision; ranges have compressed to ~5 pips ahead of the event.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will set direction — this read is event-gated
Close above 160.347 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Lower highs, drifting toward session low into FOMC.
USDJPY ground lower through the NY session from 160.45 to 160.20, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s as the move stalled. Price is coiling in a tight 160.19-160.23 band just above the session low, capped under EMA20/50, with the FOMC decision (and Warsh's first presser) due within the hour.
Support: 160.191, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser will likely override this read
Close below 160.115 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 160.347 negates the intraday downtrend
160.50 remains the flagged MoF intervention zone overhead
USDJPY is grinding lower off the 160.347 NY high, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) cooling near 41 and price under both EMAs. The pair sits pinned just below the 160.50 MoF intervention zone as traders square up ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (under 1h) is the dominant catalyst and can void this read
Close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.347 negates the lower-high sequence
USDJPY ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs and now coils around 160.20, holding just above the 160.19 swing low with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. Upside has been capped well below the 160.50 intervention zone flagged by MoF; the pair sits on hands into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close below 160.19 confirms a fresh lower low toward 160.115
Reclaim of 160.347 would break the lower-high sequence
Lower highs since the 160.347 bounce, drifting toward the lows.
USDJPY faded off the 160.347 NY rebound and is grinding back toward the 160.18 swing low, with the day low at 160.115 beneath. The 160.50 intervention zone keeps a lid on upside, and price is coiling in a tight low-volatility range into the FOMC decision roughly an hour out.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~1h (18:00 UTC) plus Warsh presser is the dominant near-term driver for this read
Break below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 160.347 negates the lower-high sequence
USDJPY drifted lower through London/NY from 160.48 to the session low at 160.115, spiked to 160.347 and faded. Price now coils near 160.20 below EMA20/50, momentum flat as traders sit on hands into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close below 160.115 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 160.347 negates the downside drift
160.50 intervention zone caps any upside extension
USDJPY ground lower through the session to 160.115 before a NY-hours bounce stalled at 160.347 and faded back to 160.20. Now coiling mid-range below EMA20/50 with traders parked into FOMC; the 160.50 intervention zone caps any upside.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser is the next catalyst and could reset this read
Close back above 160.347 reopens the path to the 160.50 intervention zone
NY session has drifted lower through the day, posting a chain of lower highs after rejection at the 160.347 session high; price now coiling around 160.22 below EMA20/50. Pair pinned just under the 160.50 intervention zone with FOMC the next catalyst.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~1.5h out) plus Warsh presser will reset this read
M15 close above 160.347 would break the lower-high sequence
USDJPY ground lower through the NY session, fading a spike to 160.347 and printing lower highs back toward 160.22. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; basing just above the 160.19 swing low as the market sits on hands into FOMC.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.35, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 UTC and Warsh presser are the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.19 swing low exposes the 160.115 day low
A reclaim of 160.35 session high reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
16:15 UTC
Downtrend, drifting lower in range · RSI 42 · price 160.204
Consolidation below 160.50 cap.
USDJPY drifting lower through the NY session, ranging roughly 160.12–160.35 with the 160.50 intervention zone capping above. A spike to 160.347 was sold back and price now sits near the lows at 160.20, RSI(14) sub-50 — traders sidelined into FOMC.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
Close below 160.115 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session base
Reclaim of 160.347 reopens the path to the 160.50 intervention zone
16:15 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating into FOMC · RSI 43 · price 160.204
Lower highs since early-window high, base around 160.12.
USDJPY ground lower through the window, sweeping the 160.115 session low before a NY bounce to 160.347 that faded back to 160.20. Price holds below EMA20/50 and well under the 160.50 intervention zone with traders parked ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (Warsh) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
Reclaim of 160.347 session high would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.115 session low confirms downside continuation
Approach to the 160.50 intervention zone risks MoF rhetoric
USDJPY spiked to 160.347 in early NY then faded to 160.23, holding the 160.19 swing low. Range-bound just under the 160.50 intervention zone with traders sidelined ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 160.19, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~2h is the dominant catalyst for this read
Close above 160.347 opens the path to the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY is ranging 160.18–160.35 into the FOMC, parked below the 160.50 intervention zone. The NY push to a 160.347 session high was rejected and price has drifted back to 160.23 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC + Warsh presser (~2h) is the next catalyst and can break this range either way
Close above 160.347 opens the 160.50 intervention zone
USDJPY is ranging 160.18–160.35 through the NY session after a midday flush to 160.115 was bought back. A spike to 160.347 was rejected and faded back toward the middle of the range; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50. Pair remains pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone flagged into FOMC.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the primary near-term catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 160.347 reopens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.18 exposes the 160.115 session low
15:45 UTC
Range, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 160.235
Capped below 160.50, holding above 160.18.
USDJPY is ranging the back of the NY session, pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone after a 160.347 spike was rejected and sold back to 160.23. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme — traders parked ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC (~2h) is the primary catalyst for this read
M15 close above 160.347 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.18 exposes the 160.115 window low
15:30 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 50 · price 160.271
Consolidation below 160.35, higher lows from 160.115.
USDJPY ranging 160.18–160.35 with a string of higher lows off the 160.115 base; the spike to 160.347 was rejected and price drifted back to 160.27. Pair is pinned beneath the 160.50 intervention zone as traders sit on hands into FOMC.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser will dictate the next leg
M15 close above 160.35 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.18 exposes the 160.115 window low
15:30 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 160.271
Consolidation below 160.35 after recovery off 160.115.
USDJPY pinned just below the 160.50 intervention zone, ranging 160.18-160.35 through the NY session after a midday flush to 160.115 was bought back. RSI(14) neutral near 48; last push to 160.347 faded back to 160.27, no setup in play into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser is the dominant near-term driver — likely to break this range
Close above 160.347 opens the 160.50 intervention zone
Higher lows since 160.115 base, capped below session high.
USD/JPY recovered off the 160.115 session low and the last bar pushed to a session high of 160.347 on a volume spike before closing 160.325, RSI(14) mid-range near 59. Price is grinding through a 160.18–160.34 band with the 160.50 intervention zone overhead as traders sit ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 160.245, 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC (~2.75h) could materially shift this read
Close above 160.347 opens the path to the 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.245 reopens the 160.184 swing low
15:16 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 58 · price 160.325
Higher lows after early decline to 160.115.
USDJPY sold through London to a 160.115 session low then ground back up through NY, with the latest bar breaking the 160.30s on a clean push to 160.347. Higher lows are building and price sits below the 160.50 intervention zone flagged by the JPY desk into the FOMC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.347, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst and can override this micro read
Close above 160.50 intervention zone exposes 160.73
Loss of 160.18 swing low reopens the 160.115 session low
USD/JPY chopping between 160.18 and 160.33 through the NY session after basing at 160.115 mid-window; price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Traders are sidelined ahead of the FOMC decision, with the 160.50 intervention zone capping any upside.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC is the next catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 160.33 reopens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Consolidating in lower half of 24h range below 160.33.
USDJPY drifted off the early-window 160.48 high to print a 160.115 NY-session low, then recovered into a 160.18–160.33 consolidation; price sits at 160.25 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Pair pinned beneath the 160.50 intervention zone as traders sit on hands into FOMC.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.337, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC are the next catalyst — could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.337 reopens the path to the 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.184 exposes the 160.115 swing low
USDJPY is pinned in a 160.18–160.33 range, drifting back toward the lows after rejection at 160.33 and a quick dip to 160.18 in the NY session. Price sits just under the 160.50 intervention zone with RSI(14) neutral near 44 as traders sit on the sidelines into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.479
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will likely break this range
Close below 160.18 exposes the 160.115 session low
Close above 160.333 reopens the path toward the 160.479 session high
14:46 UTC
Choppy, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 160.237
Range-bound, lower highs into NY afternoon.
USDJPY is grinding out a lower-high sequence from the 160.33 session high, now sitting at 160.24 with RSI(14) mid-40s — two-way chop ahead of the FOMC decision. The 160.50 intervention zone has capped all upside this window while 160.18/160.11 has absorbed the dips.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.456, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will likely override this intraday structure
M15 close below 160.18 confirms continuation toward the 160.11 session low
Reclaim of 160.33 negates the lower-high read
14:30 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 160.242
Lower highs into a tight 160.11–160.33 range.
USDJPY drifted off the 160.48 highs through London into NY and is now pinned in a 160.11–160.33 range, last 160.24. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; the pair stays capped well below the 160.50 intervention zone into FOMC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/Warsh presser ~18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 160.33 reopens a test toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Lower highs into 160.18 support after failed push to 160.33.
USDJPY rejected the 160.33 session high in NY hours and slid back toward the 160.18 session low, RSI(14) hovering mid-range. Price is pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone with traders sidelined into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC — primary catalyst for the next bars
Break and close below 160.18 exposes the 160.115 swing low
Reclaim of 160.33 reopens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
NY session grinding lower, USD/JPY back near the 160.18 lows after a rejection at 160.33; lower-highs chain holding from the 160.48 session high. RSI(14) cooled into the low-40s with no oversold extreme, traders sidelined into the 18:00 UTC FOMC.
Support: 160.184, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC + Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the primary near-term driver
Close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 160.33 breaks the lower-highs sequence
160.50 intervention zone caps upside on any Fed-driven spike
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.333 session high and the last bar dropped sharply to 160.197, settling on the 61.8% retrace of the 160.115-160.333 recovery. RSI(14) near 40, price under EMA20/50; ranging between 160.12 and 160.33 ahead of FOMC.
Support: 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC will set the next leg
Loss of 160.115 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 160.333 negates the lower-high sequence; 160.50 intervention zone caps upside
Higher lows since the dip, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY bottomed at 160.115 mid-window and ground back up in a chain of higher lows, now consolidating between 160.245 and the 160.333 session high. RSI(14) sits flat near 49 with price hugging EMA20/50; traders are parked ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.245, 160.226, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.333 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.226 breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
USDJPY sold off into the 160.115 session low before basing and grinding back into a 160.18-160.33 range, RSI(14) back at neutral. Pair now sits mid-range near 160.28 with buyers defending the 160.245 area and supply capping at the 160.331 session high; FOMC under Warsh (18:00 UTC) is the next catalyst.
Support: 160.245, 160.115
Resistance: 160.331, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close above 160.331 session high opens the path back toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.245 swing low re-exposes the 160.115 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY based at the 160.115 session low and has ground out higher lows back to the 160.337 swing high, now consolidating near 160.29 ahead of the FOMC. Range-bound with RSI flat around 49; the 160.50 intervention zone sits ~20 pips above as a known cap.
Support: 160.245, 160.115
Resistance: 160.337, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~4h out) is the dominant catalyst and will likely override the intraday structure
M15 close above 160.337 swing high reopens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.245 swing low puts the 160.115 session low back in play
USDJPY sold off to 160.115 then carved a rounded recovery, now consolidating 160.24-160.33 in the NY session well below the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 and ATR is a thin ~4 pips with traders sidelined into the FOMC.
Support: 160.24, 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.40, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the primary near-term driver
M15 close above 160.33 opens the path to 160.40/160.50
Failure to hold 160.24 reopens the 160.115 swing low
USDJPY rebounded off the 160.115 NY-session low and has since chopped between 160.18 and 160.333 as traders sit on hands into FOMC. Last few bars pulled back from the 160.333 range top toward 160.245, RSI(14) neutral near 47; no setup in play.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC will dominate this read
M15 close above 160.333 reopens the 160.47 prior high
Break below 160.18 exposes the 160.115 session low
160.50 intervention zone above — MoF jawboning risk if approached
13:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias into FOMC · RSI 44 · price 160.259
Intraday range below 160.50.
USDJPY ranging 160.18–160.33 below the 160.50 intervention zone ahead of FOMC, with price slipping off the 160.33 session high during NY hours back toward the 160.18 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with no momentum extreme; ATR around 4-5 pips keeps moves tight.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~4.5h could materially shift this read
Close above 160.33 reopens the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.18 swing low exposes the 160.115 session low
USDJPY drifting lower into the FOMC, capped by a string of lower highs around 160.33 after the slide to 160.11. Pre-decision flows keep the pair pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone; RSI mid-40s, no fresh impulse.
Support: 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser can fully reset this read
M15 close back above 160.33 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.115 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
USDJPY drifted lower through the window from the 160.47 high, tagging a 160.115 session low during NY hours before recovering to 160.33 and fading back to 160.245. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 and price holds below EMA20/50; traders are sidelined into the 18:00 UTC FOMC and Warsh presser, the next catalyst.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 160.33 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
160.50 intervention zone caps upside on any rate-driven push
USDJPY slid through London to a 160.115 low, then recovered to 160.337 before fading back to mid-range near 160.245. Price is now hovering around the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral; the pair sits below the 160.50 intervention zone with FOMC ahead.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.337, 160.46, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
M15 close below 160.18 reopens the 160.115 day low
Close above 160.337 swing high exposes 160.46 toward the 160.50 intervention zone
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into FOMC · RSI 42 · price 160.245
Lower highs, sweep low at 160.115 recovered.
USDJPY swept the 160.115 session low mid-window then recovered to 160.333 before fading back to 160.245, holding below the 160.50 intervention zone. Price sits under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; tight 5-pip ATR as traders sit on hands into the FOMC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.476, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 160.333 reopens the 160.476 session high
Loss of 160.180 confirms a fresh lower low toward 160.115
Higher lows since the 160.115 base, testing 160.33.
USDJPY based twice near 160.115 in the NY hours and has ground back to 160.33, building higher lows into the London-NY transition. Price stalled at 160.33 on the last bars with RSI mid-range; pair sits below the 160.50 intervention zone with FOMC the dominant catalyst tonight.
Support: 160.26, 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.33, 160.476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.33 opens the path to 160.476
Failure to hold 160.26 reopens the 160.18 swing low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
Higher lows since 160.11 trough, capped at 160.33.
USDJPY recovered off the 160.11 session low through the London-NY transition, printing higher lows back to 160.33 before stalling, RSI(14) middling near 54. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 160.26 but the 160.33 session high is still capping the bounce.
Support: 160.265, 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.45, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.33 opens the path to 160.45 and the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.26 rising support exposes 160.18 then the 160.11 session low
USDJPY recovered off the 160.12 session low during London hours and is grinding back toward the 160.33 session high, RSI(14) lifting from oversold. Buyers stepped in twice near 160.18; 160.46 prior high sits above, with the 160.50 intervention zone capping. Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the imminent catalyst.
Support: 160.18, 160.12
Resistance: 160.33, 160.46, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.18 reopens the 160.12 session low
Close above 160.33 exposes 160.46 prior high
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows after mid-window flush, capped under 160.33.
USDJPY flushed to 160.115 mid-window then ground back ~22 pips through the recovery, with higher lows printing into NY hours and RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 56. Price stalled just under the 160.337 session high; the 160.50 intervention zone remains untested overhead.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.337, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
M15 close above 160.337 opens the path toward the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
12:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, micro-uptrend · RSI 54 · price 160.308
Higher lows off 160.115 base under session highs.
USD/JPY recovered off the 160.115 session low, printing higher lows back to the 160.333 session high with RSI(14) near 54. Pair holds well under the 160.50 intervention zone in pre-FOMC limbo; US Retail Sales is due 12:30 UTC and the FOMC decision lands 18:00 UTC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 160.18 base or reclaim the 160.333 session high
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
A push into the 160.50 intervention zone carries MoF/BoJ headline risk
Loss of 160.115 negates the higher-low recovery
12:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 160.308
Higher lows building back toward session high.
NY session recovered off the 160.115 session low, printing higher lows back toward the 160.33 session high where price now stalls. RSI(14) neutral near 56; ranges tight in pre-FOMC limbo with the 160.50 intervention zone capping above.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.333, 160.50
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the tight pre-FOMC range
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst for this pair
Close above 160.33 opens the path to 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
12:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, pre-FOMC · RSI 58 · price 160.306
Higher lows off 160.115 base.
USD/JPY carved a double bottom near 160.115 and has been grinding higher through a chain of higher lows, last printing 160.306 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price is capped at the 160.34 recent high and sits well below the 160.50 intervention zone, with the move confined to a pre-FOMC range as traders sit on the sidelines.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.34, 160.48, 160.50
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the pre-FOMC range
FOMC 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst for this pair
Close back below 160.18 base negates the higher-low sequence
Break above 160.34 opens the path toward the 160.48 session high
USDJPY sold off through London to a session low of 160.115, then recovered along rising lows back to 160.30 — roughly the 50% retracement of that down-move. Bounce capped at the 160.331 session high; the 160.50 intervention zone stays the overhead reference into FOMC.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.331, 160.40, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close above 160.331 opens the path to 160.40 and the 160.50 intervention zone
Loss of 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (Warsh debut, dot plot) and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC are the dominant near-term catalysts
London session sold USDJPY down to a 160.115 session low before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward 160.30 with RSI(14) firming off oversold. The pair sits below the 160.50 MoF intervention zone in pre-FOMC limbo, chopping in a recovery off the lows.
Support: 160.115
Resistance: 160.30, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
Close above 160.30 opens the path back to the 160.47 prior high
Close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
11:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 160.279
Range after sweep of 160.115.
USDJPY swept the session low at 160.115 during NY hours then recovered into a 160.18–160.29 range, RSI(14) climbing back to mid-50s. Pre-FOMC limbo keeps ranges tight beneath the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.29, 160.34, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the primary near-term driver and could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.29 reopens the path toward 160.34
Loss of 160.18 puts the 160.115 session low back in play
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after sell-off · RSI 54 · price 160.269
Lower lows into 160.12, higher lows since.
USD/JPY sold off through the NY session to 160.115, with demand stepping in twice near 160.13 to form a double bottom. Price is recovering on higher lows and now sits at 160.27, just under the 160.30 swing high; RSI back at neutral after the dip. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.30, 160.47
What it said to watch
Close above 160.30 opens the path back toward the 160.47 prior high
Failure to hold 160.18 base re-exposes the 160.115 session low
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, near-term up · RSI 58 · price 160.269
Higher lows since early-London base.
USD/JPY flushed to 160.115 in early London then recovered in a chain of higher lows back to the 160.28 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20 but capped under the recent 160.286 high as it squares into Retail Sales.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.286, 160.47
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.286 opens the path back toward the 160.47 prior high
Loss of the 160.18 range base reopens the 160.115 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows after London sell-off, capped under 160.30.
USD/JPY sold off through the London session to a low of 160.115, then carved a chain of higher lows back to 160.24, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI recovering off oversold. The 160.30 pivot is still capping. Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC at 18:00 UTC are the next drivers.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.30, 160.47
What it said to watch
Close above 160.30 opens the path back to the 160.47 session high
Loss of 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Down-leg recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 160.239
Double bottom near 160.12, higher lows building.
USDJPY sold off from the 160.48 session high to 160.115 through the European session, then carved a double bottom near 160.12 and ground back to 160.24. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s with price now above EMA20 but capped below the 160.30 pivot.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.30, 160.48, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close above 160.30 reopens the 160.48 session high and the 160.50 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.18 reopens the 160.115 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground lower through the European session to a 160.115 low before recovering to consolidate around 160.20 into FOMC. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 after the bounce; price holds below EMA20/50 with the 160.28 swing capping the recovery.
Support: 160.18, 160.115
Resistance: 160.28, 160.479
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.28 swing high reopens the path toward the session high at 160.479
Loss of the 160.115 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
FOMC decision and Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC will materially shift this read
11:00 UTC
Downtrend, stalling · RSI 46 · price 160.207
Consolidating off session low after a leg down.
USDJPY sold off from 160.479 to a session low of 160.115 through the European hours, then steadied into a 160.14-160.22 consolidation as traders squared into FOMC. Price sits just below EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 46; the pair remains capped well below the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.115, 160.145
Resistance: 160.25, 160.337, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.337 negates the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY rolled off the 160.48 session high and printed a low at 160.115 before steadying, now consolidating 160.18-160.22 into the FOMC decision. Descending highs keep the intraday tone heavy, with RSI mid-range and the 160.50 intervention zone still the cap overhead.
Support: 160.137, 160.115
Resistance: 160.34, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.34 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 160.137 reopens the 160.115 session low
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.479 session high, sliding to a 160.115 low during NY hours after the three-day advance stalled shy of the 160.50 intervention zone. Price is now consolidating 160.18–160.22, holding just above the session low with RSI flat near 45.
Support: 160.115, 160.145
Resistance: 160.28, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.28 needed to negate the intraday downtrend
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for this read
160.50 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or MoF jawboning
USD/JPY slid from the 160.48 session high to a 160.115 low during London hours, then steadied around 160.19 as traders square into FOMC. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the pair is consolidating just under the 160.22 cap.
Support: 160.115, 160.14
Resistance: 160.22, 160.30
What it said to watch
Close above 160.30 invalidates the lower-high downtrend read
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:30 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 44 · price 160.196
Lower highs into 160.115 low, now consolidating.
USDJPY ground lower through the session from 160.47, tagging a 160.115 swing low before a shallow bounce; now coiling in a tight 160.18-160.22 range below the 160.50 intervention zone. Price sits under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering from the lows but still sub-50.
Support: 160.16, 160.115
Resistance: 160.252, 160.30, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for this read
USD/JPY ground lower through the NY session, taking out the 160.18 area and printing a session low at 160.115 before a shallow bounce stalled near 160.25. Price now consolidating below EMA20 ahead of FOMC, RSI(14) mid-40s and off the lows.
Support: 160.115, 160.18
Resistance: 160.25, 160.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.30 round number negates the downtrend read
Loss of 160.115 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pressed USDJPY lower off 160.479, sweeping a session low at 160.115 before a shallow bounce stalled near 160.22. Price now consolidating around 160.19 below EMA20, traders squaring into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.115, 160.18
Resistance: 160.224
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 160.224 challenges the lower-high chain
Loss of 160.115 confirms continuation of the down-leg
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 41 · price 160.219
Lower highs, lower lows into 160.12 trough.
USD/JPY ground lower through the London session, stacking lower highs and lower lows to a 160.115 trough before a modest bounce to 160.22. RSI(14) lifting off oversold as 160.28 caps the recovery; traders squaring into the 18:00 UTC FOMC, with the 160.50 intervention zone still untested above.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.28 negates the down-leg structure
Failure to hold 160.115 opens the path to 160.00
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY sold off from the 160.47 session high into a 160.115 low during NY hours as traders squared into FOMC, then bounced to 160.22. RSI(14) recovering off the lows; price sits below EMA20/50 and is retesting the broken 160.30 area from underneath.
Support: 160.115, 160.18
Resistance: 160.30, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.30 would negate the breakdown read
M15 close below 160.115 confirms a lower low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and 160.50 intervention zone could materially shift this read
09:45 UTC
Downtrend, NY-session leg lower · RSI 41 · price 160.185
Lower highs, lower lows below session range.
USDJPY broke its 160.25 base during NY hours and swept down to 160.115, the pair backing off the 160.50 intervention zone as flagged in the JPY read. Bounce to 160.185 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold but price still pinned under EMA20/50.
Support: 160.115, 160.145
Resistance: 160.305, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.305 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms continuation of the NY leg lower
FOMC decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:45 UTC
Downtrend, leg lower extending · RSI 40 · price 160.185
Lower highs into session low.
London session sold USDJPY off the 160.47 high in a clean lower-high chain, sweeping to 160.115 before a shallow bounce stalled at 160.252. Price now hovers 160.185 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40, all action pre-FOMC.
Support: 160.115, 160.14
Resistance: 160.252
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/SEP at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this read
M15 close back above 160.252 neutralises the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms a fresh lower low
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 41 · price 160.198
Lower highs / lower lows, recovery from session low.
USD/JPY rolled over through the London session, sliding from 160.47 to a 160.115 spike low before buyers stepped in to recover toward 160.20. Chain of lower highs intact; RSI(14) lifting off the lows near 41 as price hugs the underside of recent supply.
Support: 160.115, 160.14
Resistance: 160.25
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.25 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY slid through London hours to a session low of 160.12, stalling a three-day advance well short of the 160.50 intervention zone. The chain of lower highs and lower lows keeps price under EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 39 after the leg down; a small base is forming around 160.12-160.17. Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and the FOMC decision later are the dominant risks.
Support: 160.115, 160.17
Resistance: 160.30, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.115 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 160.30 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this intraday read
Lower highs, lower lows; range broken to downside.
USDJPY broke down from the 160.30-160.47 range into the London session, printing a fresh low at 160.115 before a shallow bounce to 160.21. Yen remains soft post-BoJ hike but USD drifted lower into FOMC; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, off oversold but no reversal signal yet.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.27, 160.34
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.27 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.115 opens the path toward 160.00
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC can reset this read
09:15 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 38 · price 160.212
Lower highs and lower lows, broke 160.25 base.
USD/JPY sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking the 160.25 base to a 160.115 session low before bouncing to 160.21. A clean chain of lower highs from 160.476 caps the move and RSI(14) sits near 38 after the flush. FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver from here.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.27, 160.337, 160.476
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.337 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms continuation lower toward 160.00
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
160.50 intervention zone overhead caps any sharp recovery
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 40 · price 160.212
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
London session sold USD/JPY down from the 160.40 shelf to a session low at 160.115 as traders positioned ahead of FOMC, RSI(14) basing near 40. Price is retracing the move, now 160.21 and holding under the 160.25 swing high with EMA20/50 capping above.
Support: 160.115, 160.18
Resistance: 160.252, 160.305
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.305 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Break below 160.115 extends the downtrend
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, recent base at 160.115.
USDJPY slid from 160.34 to a session low of 160.115 through the European hours as USD drifted lower below the 160.50 intervention zone into FOMC, then bounced to 160.21. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs intact; the 160.252 area caps the rebound.
Support: 160.115, 160.137
Resistance: 160.252, 160.305, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.305 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms continuation lower
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and FOMC at 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 34 · price 160.225
Lower highs and lower lows, broke 160.25.
USDJPY sold off through the London morning, breaking the 160.28 base and printing a session low of 160.115 before a shallow bounce to 160.22 — USD soft as the US-Iran de-escalation drains demand into FOMC. RSI(14) near 34, momentum still down, price under EMA20/50.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.285
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.285 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 160.115 opens the 160.00 psych level
FOMC 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can fully reset this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 36 · price 160.225
Lower highs, lower lows; broke 160.25 support.
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.48 session high and broke the 160.25 floor, printing a fresh low at 160.115 before bouncing to 160.225, RSI(14) cooling near 36. The 160.50 BoJ intervention zone went untested; structure is a clean chain of lower highs through the London morning. FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC are the dominant swing factors into the next session.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.337, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close back above 160.337 invalidates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 160.115 confirms continuation lower toward 160.00
FOMC 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC can override this intraday structure
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 29 · price 160.175
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.46 area — just under the 160.50 intervention zone — and broke down through the day's range to a fresh session low at 160.115, RSI(14) near 29. Selling accelerated late as the softer USD theme on the US-Iran deal pressed the pair; FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 160.115, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28, 160.46
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.28 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 160.115 opens the 160.00 round number
FOMC 18:00 UTC dot plot can materially shift this read
USD/JPY rolled over through the London session, slicing the 160.226 support and printing a fresh session low at 160.115 as a soft USD into FOMC drags the pair off the 160.50 intervention zone. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the one-way slide; 160.226 is now the broken level capping any bounce.
Support: 160.115, 160.00, 159.50
Resistance: 160.226, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.226 neutralises the lower-low read
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.00 round number opens the path toward the 159.50 base
08:16 UTC
Downtrend into the close, momentum fresh · RSI 32 · price 160.182
Lower highs, breaking to a session low.
USDJPY rolled over through the London morning, printing a fresh session low at 160.178 with RSI(14) near 31. Price trades below the 160.30 recent pivot after sliding off the 160.479 swing high; the pair stays well shy of the 160.50 intervention zone flagged into FOMC.
Support: 160.178, 160.00
Resistance: 160.30, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC will override this intraday read
M15 close below 160.178 extends the lower-low sequence toward 160.00
Reclaim of 160.30 recent pivot negates the downside break
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.47 swing high and broke below the 160.30-160.45 base during early London, printing a fresh session low at 160.18. RSI(14) near 32 reflects the impulsive leg down; FOMC under Warsh at 18:00 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk.
Support: 160.18, 160.00
Resistance: 160.30, 160.47
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.18 extends the breakdown toward 160.00
Reclaim of 160.30 negates the range break read
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground lower through London hours off the 160.479 session high, now retesting the 160.222 base with a string of lower highs. RSI(14) near 39, price below EMA20/50; pair holding within the 160.50 intervention zone gravity ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.222
Resistance: 160.305, 160.337, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.222 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 160.337 invalidates the descending sequence
FOMC + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC will materially reset this read
08:00 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 160.226
Stepping lower off session high, fresh low at 160.22.
USDJPY drifted lower through the Asian session after rejecting the 160.476 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into a fresh low at 160.22 as RSI(14) cooled toward the high-30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the 160.50 intervention zone capping any rebound. FOMC and Warsh's first presser at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 160.22, 160.00
Resistance: 160.30, 160.476, 160.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.22 session low opens the path toward the 160.00 round number
Reclaim of 160.30 swing pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC + Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY has drifted lower through the London session, carving lower highs from the 160.476 session high and printing a fresh session low at 160.247 before stabilising near 160.277. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50, structure soft but well below the 160.50 intervention zone.
Support: 160.247, 160.20
Resistance: 160.323, 160.476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.323 swing high would stall the lower-high sequence
Loss of 160.247 session low confirms continuation toward 160.20 psych
FOMC + SEP at 18:00 UTC (and Retail Sales 12:30) can override this intraday read
07:45 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.277
Lower highs, lower lows over last ~8h.
USDJPY peeled off the session high at 160.476 through Asia hours and is now basing near 160.247, capped on the way down by repeated rejections at 160.337. Move is grinding, ATR(14) only ~3 pips, with the pair pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone into the Fed.
Support: 160.247, 160.20
Resistance: 160.337, 160.476, 160.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + Warsh presser 18:00 UTC will dominate the next bars
M15 close above 160.337 negates the lower-high chain
Loss of 160.247 confirms continuation lower toward 160.20
07:31 UTC
Short-term downtrend within range · RSI 39 · price 160.263
Lower highs off 160.48, pressing session lows.
USDJPY rolled off the session high at 160.476 and has carved lower highs down to 160.247, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet stretched. Price sits at the lows around 160.26 with the 160.50 intervention zone capping above; FOMC under Warsh at 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk into the next bars.
Support: 160.247, 160.00
Resistance: 160.337, 160.476, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.247 extends the lower-low sequence toward 160.00
Reclaim of 160.337 neutralises the intraday downtrend
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:30 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.263
Lower highs since mid-window, testing session lows.
USDJPY rolled over from the session high at 160.479 and has carved a chain of lower highs through NY hours, now pressing the 160.247 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s. The pair stays pinned below the 160.50 intervention zone flagged into Warsh's first FOMC.
Support: 160.247, 160.20
Resistance: 160.337, 160.479, 160.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.247 confirms a fresh lower low toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.337 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision later today is the immediate driver and can override this read
07:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 37 · price 160.253
Lower highs since 160.48, pressing session low.
USDJPY drifted lower through the London session off the 160.479 high, printing a chain of lower highs with price now pressing the 160.247 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Pair stays pinned in the 160-handle intervention zone with the move muted ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.247, 160.222, 160.00
Resistance: 160.337, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.22 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 160.00
Reclaim of 160.337 breaks the descending-highs structure
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh presser 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:15 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 37 · price 160.253
Lower highs into session low.
USDJPY rolled off the session high at 160.48 in a chain of lower highs and now sits on session lows near 160.25, pinned in the intervention zone. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 37 — soft but not stretched ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.247, 160.00
Resistance: 160.327, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.247 opens 160.00
Reclaim of 160.327 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:00 UTC
Drifting lower off highs · RSI 44 · price 160.277
Lower highs since 160.48, basing near 160.26.
USDJPY peeled off the 160.48 high through the Asia session and is now basing near 160.26, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme. Price pinned around the 160 intervention zone as the market waits on the FOMC; momentum sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 160.254, 160.20
Resistance: 160.34, 160.479
What it said to watch
Break below 160.254 opens room toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.34 negates the lower-high drift
FOMC decision + Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC dominates the next move
Lower highs off 160.48, session low at 160.25 swept.
USDJPY drifted off the 160.48 session high through London hours, printing lower highs and a sweep of 160.25 before a shallow bounce to 160.28. Price sits pinned in the 160.00/160.50 intervention zone with RSI(14) mid-range; no momentum either way.
Support: 160.254, 160.194
Resistance: 160.327, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.254 confirms a lower-low toward 160.19
Reclaim of 160.327 needed to challenge the descending highs
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh 18:00 UTC can override this read
USDJPY twice stalled at 160.47-160.48 near the 160.40 intervention zone and has since ground down to a 160.25 session low, now bouncing to 160.29 below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; price coiling between 160.25 support and the 160.34 pivot.
Support: 160.254, 160.20
Resistance: 160.34, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.34 reopens the 160.40 interv zone and 160.47 double top
Failure to hold 160.25 session low confirms a lower low toward 160.20
Fed decision 18:00 UTC is the main risk and could reset this read
06:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, now ranging near lows · RSI 45 · price 160.291
Lower highs off 160.48, basing above 160.25.
USDJPY rolled off the 160.48 session high through the Asian session and is now consolidating in a tight 160.25–160.34 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 44. Pair stays pinned just above 160.00 in the flagged intervention zone, with no fresh directional setup ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.254, 160.207
Resistance: 160.337, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.337 reopens the 160.40 intervention zone
Loss of 160.254 confirms a lower-low toward 160.20
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 160.288
Lower highs off 160.48 session high.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a 160.48 session high then it drifted lower through Asia, basing at 160.25 and trading 160.29 into early London, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair stays pinned around the 160 intervention zone with FOMC and Retail Sales ahead; sequence of lower highs caps the topside for now.
Support: 160.254
Resistance: 160.34, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.34 recent pivot reopens 160.40 interv zone
Loss of 160.25 swing low confirms a lower low
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can override this read
06:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 160.288
Lower highs after double top at 160.47.
USDJPY rejected the 160.47 double top overnight and has bled back to 160.28 into the early London session, holding just above 3.4-pip ATR ranges. RSI(14) mid-40s with price under both EMAs; session low at 160.254 is the near-term floor.
Support: 160.254, 160.20
Resistance: 160.34, 160.47, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.34 negates the pullback
Loss of 160.254 opens 160.20 asia low
Fed decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk for USDJPY; 160.50 intervention zone caps upside
Intraday range under 160.40, lower highs late session.
USDJPY rolled off the 160.476 swing high through Asia hours to a 160.254 session low, with the 160.40 intervention zone repeatedly capping. A modest bounce to 160.315 is underway but price holds below EMA20 and EMA50; pair pinned near 160 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.254, 160.146
Resistance: 160.40, 160.476
What it said to watch
Close below 160.254 opens the 160.146 range low
Reclaim of 160.40 re-tests the 160.476 swing high
Fed decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY rejected the 160.40 intervention zone earlier and faded to a 160.254 session low before a modest bounce back to 160.315; price pinned just above 160.00 with the yen unable to firm post-BoJ hold. RSI(14) mid-range near 48, ATR ~3.4 pips — quiet, wait-mode tone ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.254
Resistance: 160.40, 160.476
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.40 re-tests intervention zone toward 160.476 session high
M15 close below 160.254 confirms a lower-low extension
USDJPY rejected the 160.40 intervention zone and ground lower toward the session low at 160.254 through the thin Asia session, RSI(14) hovering near 40. Price pinned just above 160.00 with the 160.40 cap respected; FOMC and Retail Sales today are the catalysts for the next leg.
Support: 160.254, 160.146
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.254 confirms a lower low toward 160.15
Reclaim of the 160.40 interv zone reopens the session high at 160.479
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
USDJPY has bled lower through the Asian session from the 160.479 session high, printing lower highs and pressing the 160.254 session low, RSI(14) sub-40. Price stays pinned near 160 in the MoF intervention zone with rallies capped under 160.35.
Support: 160.254, 160.146
Resistance: 160.352, 160.43, 160.479
What it said to watch
Close back above 160.352 negates the lower-high chain
Break and hold under 160.254 confirms continuation toward 160.146
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC later could materially shift this read
160.40 remains a flagged intervention zone — area to watch for verbal headlines
05:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 160.278
Lower highs since 160.48, pressing session low.
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.48 swing high and is grinding into the session low at 160.254, price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39. Pair stays pinned just above 160.00 in the intervention-watch zone ahead of US Retail Sales and the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.254, 160.20
Resistance: 160.35, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
Close below 160.254 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.35 EMA20 neutralises the intraday slide
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
160.40 intervention zone caps upside — area to watch for rejection
Asia session is grinding lower off the 160.48 session high, printing lower highs into 160.26 with USD/JPY pinned near the 160 intervention zone after the in-line BoJ hike. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, no extreme; ATR near 3.6 pips reflects a quiet, compressed range.
Support: 160.254
Resistance: 160.35, 160.479
What it said to watch
Close below 160.25 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 160.35 negates the lower-highs read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session top, fading toward session low.
After a London-NY push to the 160.48 session high — just shy of the 160.40 intervention zone — USDJPY has faded through the Asia session in a chain of lower highs back to 160.27. RSI(14) sits near 36 and price holds below EMA20/50; the session low at 160.26 is the immediate floor.
Support: 160.26, 160.20
Resistance: 160.35, 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.26 confirms a lower low and opens 160.20
Reclaim of 160.35 negates the intraday pullback
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + Warsh presser 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
160.40 intervention zone — area to watch for verbal-intervention reaction on any retest
05:31 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 39 · price 160.277
Lower highs into the close, capped under 160.40.
USD/JPY rejected the session high at 160.479 and slid to ~160.27 into the close, printing a chain of lower highs. Pair stays pinned near 160 with the 160.40 intervention zone capping; markets are in wait-mode ahead of tonight's Fed decision and Warsh's debut presser.
Support: 160.254
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.254 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 160.40 reopens the intervention zone
FOMC + Warsh at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
05:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 38 · price 160.265
Lower highs since 160.48.
Asia session has USD/JPY grinding lower off the 160.48 session high, now pressing 160.25 with RSI(14) sub-40 and price below both EMAs. The pair stays pinned near 160 with the 160.40 intervention zone capping any rebound; broader USD tone is soft into today's Fed decision.
Support: 160.25, 160.146
Resistance: 160.33, 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.25 opens 160.146 earlier low
Reclaim of 160.33 intraday pivot needed to challenge 160.40 intervention zone
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh 18:00 UTC can reshape this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 38 · price 160.265
Lower highs after rejection near 160.48.
USD/JPY rolled off the 160.48 session high and broke the 160.32 floor, sliding to 160.26 in late Asia hours as the broad USD eased. Price stays pinned below the 160.40 MoF intervention zone with RSI(14) at 37, no fresh demand yet at the lows.
Support: 160.25, 160.20, 160.15
Resistance: 160.32, 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
Close below 160.25 opens 160.20-160.15
Reclaim of 160.32 negates the breakdown
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Rolling off highs, short-term down · RSI 40 · price 160.265
Lower highs after 160.48 rejection, testing session low.
USDJPY rejected the 160.48 session high near the 160.40 intervention zone and has drifted lower through the Asia session toward the 160.25 session low, RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; range floor at 160.25 yet to break.
Support: 160.25, 160.146
Resistance: 160.33, 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.25 confirms a lower-low, opening 160.146 window low
Reclaim of 160.33 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC/Warsh 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 40 · price 160.265
Lower highs since 160.48, testing 160.25.
USDJPY rolled off the 160.48 Asian-session high and is grinding lower, now probing 160.25 support with price below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 40. Pair stays pinned just above 160.00 in the intervention zone, capped by the BoJ-hold-driven yen softness with the Fed decision the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 160.254, 160.146
Resistance: 160.33, 160.476
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.25 opens the 160.15 swing low
Reclaim of 160.33 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC dot-plot + Warsh later today can materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Off the highs, drifting lower · RSI 38 · price 160.287
Lower highs since 160.48 peak, range top rejected.
USD/JPY drifting off the 160.48 session high back to 160.29 through the quiet Asian hours, pinned near the 160.40 intervention zone. Lower highs since the peak with RSI cooling; the 160.27 recent low is now in focus ahead of FOMC.
Support: 160.27, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.27 confirms a lower-low toward 160.20
160.40 intervention zone — area to watch for rejection or verbal intervention
FOMC dot-plot/Warsh at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 160.287
Round trip from 160.27 to 160.48 and back, momentum down.
USDJPY rejected the session high at 160.48 and faded the London-NY up-leg back to the 61.8% fib near 160.27, RSI(14) cooling to ~40. Pair pinned near 160 in the intervention zone with the Fed/Warsh decision later the dominant catalyst.
Support: 160.27, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.27 confirms a lower low toward the 160.20 swing low
Reclaim of 160.40 reopens the 160.48 session high
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend faded, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 160.278
Lower highs after session-high rejection.
USDJPY rejected the 160.48 session high near the 160.40 intervention zone and faded back through the 160.35 consolidation, last printing 160.278 with RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a lower-high chain forming; 160.20 swing low is the next reference below.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.35, 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.20 confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 160.35 negates the rolling-over read
160.40 intervention zone — area to watch for verbal-intervention headlines
FOMC decision + dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:30 UTC
Drifting lower off the 160.40 zone · RSI 40 · price 160.278
Tight range broke to the downside into session lows.
USDJPY rejected the 160.40 intervention zone earlier and ground lower through the day, with the tight 160.32-160.35 congestion giving way in the last two bars to test session lows at 160.27. RSI(14) sits mid-30s; price holds below EMA20/50 with USD/JPY pinned near 160 ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.27, 160.146
Resistance: 160.35, 160.40
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.35 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 160.27 opens a move toward 160.15
FOMC + Warsh later today is the dominant catalyst for USD/JPY
160.40 intervention zone remains capped on any bounce
04:16 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting · RSI 42 · price 160.318
Rolled off 160.48 high into 160.31 consolidation.
USDJPY rejected the 160.48 session high and faded back to the 50% retrace of the prior leg, now pinned near 160.31 in a quiet Asian session with thin volume. BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left the yen flat; price holding the lower edge of the day's range.
Support: 160.31, 160.23
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.31 confirms a lower-low toward 160.23
Reclaim of 160.40 reopens the 160.48 session high
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst
160.70 carries MoF intervention risk on any spike
04:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.318
Lower highs into Asia, near session low.
USD/JPY has rolled over from the 160.48 NY high and is grinding lower through a thin Asia session, now pinned near 160.31 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Lower highs since 160.48; price sits below both EMAs with the 160.40 pivot capping the last bounce.
Support: 160.31, 160.23, 160.146
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479
What it said to watch
Break below 160.23 confirms a lower low and opens 160.146
Reclaim of 160.40 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
USDJPY topped at 160.48 then carved a chain of lower highs back to the session low near 160.31, RSI(14) cooling around 40. Price is pinned near 160.00 in the Asia session with the BoJ hike already fully priced; tight ATR (~3 pips) shows compression ahead of the Fed.
Support: 160.31, 160.19
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens the path toward the 160.19 window low
Reclaim of 160.40 would challenge the 160.48 swing high
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can reshape this read
USD/JPY rejected at the 160.479 session high and drifted back to 160.32, now ranging on thin Asian-session volume with RSI(14) mid-range. BoJ's 1% hike was fully priced and left the yen flat; price is below EMA20/50 as the intraday push stalls. Retail Sales and FOMC later are the next catalysts.
Support: 160.31, 160.146
Resistance: 160.45, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens the session low at 160.146
Reclaim of 160.45 puts the 160.479 session high back in play
FOMC and US Retail Sales later today could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday range after NY fade · RSI 43 · price 160.331
Ranging below faded session high.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.48 session high during NY and has drifted into a tight 160.31–160.35 Asian-session range, RSI(14) soft near 42. Price sits below both EMAs with the move capped near 160.70 by intervention risk; nothing structural in play.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 confirms a lower-low toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.40 reopens the 160.48 session high
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC can override this read
03:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 160.331
Range, pulled back into mid.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.48 session high and faded back to consolidate near 160.33 in thin Asian-session trade, RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Price is pinned in a 160.31–160.48 band with the pair anchored around the 160.00 zone post-BoJ.
Support: 160.31, 160.20, 160.15
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.40 pivot reopens the 160.48 session high
Failure to hold 160.31 session low exposes 160.20
FOMC decision and Warsh presser later today is the dominant catalyst
Spikes toward 160.70 keep MoF intervention risk live
03:30 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 160.335
Lower highs, consolidating near lows.
USD/JPY faded from the session high at 160.48 through late Asia hours, BoJ's priced-in 1% hike leaving the yen flat near 160. Price is now consolidating tightly between 160.31 and 160.35 with RSI(14) mid-range; a chain of lower highs caps the upside.
Support: 160.31
Resistance: 160.45, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 160.45 invalidates the lower-highs structure
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
03:30 UTC
Pullback after intraday high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 160.335
Lower highs off 160.48, basing near 160.31.
USDJPY rejected the 160.48 session high and faded through the Asia session, now ranging 160.31–160.35 with RSI cooling near 42. The BoJ's 1% hike was a non-event as fully priced; price sits below EMA20/50 with momentum tilted lower into the FOMC decision.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.44, 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close back above 160.44 reopens the 160.48 high
Loss of 160.31 confirms a lower-low toward 160.20
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could reset this range
160.70 remains the intervention-risk zone on any spike
03:16 UTC
Pulled back off session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 160.326
Lower highs since 160.48, ranging into Asia.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.48 session high during NY and faded back into a tight 160.31–160.35 band as Asia took over on thin volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 42; structure is a string of lower highs, but the pair stays pinned around 160.30 with BoJ's priced-in hike a non-event.
Support: 160.31
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
FOMC dot-plot / Warsh tone later today is the dominant catalyst for this read
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the 160.31–160.40 band
M15 close below 160.31 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 160.40 reopens the 160.48 session high
03:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 41 · price 160.326
Lower highs off 160.48, holding 160.31.
USD/JPY faded from the session high at 160.48 to 160.32 in quiet Asia trade, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price is hugging the 160.31 floor; the 160.00 pivot remains the intervention-risk line flagged into the Fed.
Support: 160.31, 160.21, 160.00
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens 160.21
Reclaim of 160.40 needed to reassert the upside
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 41 · price 160.327
Pullback into session lows after NY rally.
Price ran up to a 160.48 session high through the NY hours, then faded back into the 160.31-160.35 zone on thin early-Asia liquidity; BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left USD/JPY without fresh impetus near the 160.00 pivot. Now drifting flat below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.31 confirms a lower-low and opens 160.20
Reclaim of 160.40 puts the 160.48 session high back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:00 UTC
Intraday up stalled, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 160.327
Off session high, consolidating near lows.
USDJPY drifted off the 160.48 session high and is consolidating around 160.33 in thin Asia trade, with price now below EMA20/EMA50. The BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1.0% left the yen flat; FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens the path toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.40 puts the 160.48 session high back in play
FOMC decision/dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Mild downdrift off session high · RSI 41 · price 160.327
Lower highs since 160.48, flattening near 160.33.
USD/JPY rejected the session high at 160.479 and has drifted lower through thin Asia-hours trade, now stalling around 160.33 with RSI in the low-40s. Pair remains pinned near the 160.00+ zone where intervention risk caps upside; nothing structural in play, just a slow pullback inside the prior range.
Support: 160.31, 160.235, 160.00
Resistance: 160.41, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 160.41 negates the pullback
Failure to hold 160.31 opens 160.235
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Rolling over from NY high, momentum soft · RSI 41 · price 160.327
Lower highs since 160.479 peak.
USD/JPY topped at 160.479 during NY hours then rolled over into early Asia, printing lower highs and easing to 160.31. RSI sits mid-40s with no extreme; the fully-priced BoJ 1% hike left the yen flat, leaving structure to the chart.
Support: 160.31, 160.00
Resistance: 160.43, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.43 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC decision + dots at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
160.00 pivot below stays intervention-sensitive on a break
02:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back in Asia · RSI 43 · price 160.332
Lower highs since session high, drifting toward range base.
NY hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 160.479 before sellers faded the move through thin Asia trade down to 160.33, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Pair now hovers just above the 160.31 swing low with the broader uptrend structure intact but momentum flat near the 160.00 pivot that keeps MoF intervention risk live above 160.70.
Support: 160.31, 160.20, 160.047
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens the 160.20 prior low
Reclaim of 160.40 puts the 160.479 session high back in play
FOMC decision + dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Pullback within broader range, lower highs last 4h.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.48 session high and has drifted back to 160.33, parking near the 38.2% retrace of the 160.05–160.48 advance with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left the pair pinned near 160, and thin early-Asia volume keeps price compressed between 160.31 support and the 160.40 pivot.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 exposes the 160.20 swing low
Reclaim of 160.40 pivot needed to re-test the 160.48 session high
FOMC decision + dots 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next session
02:16 UTC
Rolling off session high, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 160.348
Lower highs after rejection near 160.48.
USD/JPY rolled off the NY-session high at 160.48 and has drifted into Asian hours near 160.35, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Yesterday's BoJ hike to 1.0% was fully priced and a chart non-event; price now grinds lower beneath EMA20/50 with 160.31 holding as the near-term floor.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 reopens the path toward 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.31 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback toward 160.20
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) ahead could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after up-leg · RSI 43 · price 160.348
Lower highs off 160.479, basing near 160.33.
USDJPY peaked at 160.479 during the prior session then faded to 160.31, now consolidating 160.33–160.35 in early Asia with RSI(14) cooling near 43. BoJ's 1% hike yesterday was fully priced and a non-event; price stays pinned below 160.70 where intervention chatter caps upside.
Support: 160.31, 160.23
Resistance: 160.42, 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.310 confirms a lower low, opening 160.23
Reclaim of 160.420 negates the pullback toward the 160.479 session high
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 40 · price 160.324
Lower highs off session high, pullback in progress.
USDJPY pinned near 160.00 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% drew no fresh impetus. Price rejected the 160.48 session high and has drifted to 160.32 in the Asia session, printing lower highs with RSI cooling toward 40; demand showed near 160.31 on the last leg down.
Support: 160.31, 160.23, 160.00
Resistance: 160.40, 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens 160.23
Reclaim of 160.40 needed to repair the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later could materially shift this read
02:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 39 · price 160.324
Lower highs since session top, drifting off 160.48.
NY hours pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 160.48 before sellers faded the move; price has slipped to 160.32 on thin Asia-session volume with RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. Pair stays pinned below the 160.70 intervention zone flagged after yesterday's fully-priced BoJ hike.
Support: 160.31, 160.206
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens the path to 160.20
Reclaim of 160.40 negates the current pullback
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read intraday
01:46 UTC
Pullback from NY high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 160.327
Rolling off session high, lower highs into Asia.
USDJPY rejected the NY-session high at 160.479 and has drifted lower through the Asia session to 160.327, holding above the 160.00 psych anchor with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the post-BoJ grind stalled; intervention risk caps the 160.70 area overhead.
Support: 160.31, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.40, 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 opens 160.20 swing low
Reclaim of 160.40 ema20 needed to re-test the 160.479 NY high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY rallied through London-NY to 160.479 then faded into Asia, now 160.327 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39. Pinned just above the 160.00 anchor after the in-line BoJ hike; intervention threat caps the upside into 160.70.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.310 confirms a lower-low and opens 160.20
Reclaim of 160.479 reopens the 160.70 intervention zone
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later could reset this read
01:31 UTC
Pullback after rejection near 160.48 · RSI 41 · price 160.333
Lower highs into Asia, testing session low.
USD/JPY rejected 160.479 during NY hours and has carved lower highs into the Asia session, now drifting to the 160.31 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s. ATR is a thin ~3.6 pips — typical quiet Asian range, no clean setup with USD/JPY pinned just above the 160.00 anchor.
Support: 160.31, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.44, 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 confirms continuation toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.44 negates the lower-high sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC later could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Rolling over off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.333
Fade from 160.48, lower highs into Asia.
USD/JPY twice rejected 160.48 before fading to 160.33 through the quiet NY-Asia transition, the BoJ 1% hike already fully digested. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 41, holding just above the 160.31 session low.
Support: 160.31, 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.31 confirms a lower-low toward 160.20
Reclaim of 160.48 reopens the 160.70 area
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session high, holding above 160.34.
USDJPY rolled over from the session high at 160.48 and is grinding the lows near 160.34 through the Asia session, RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s and price slipping below EMA20/50. BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike failed to move the yen; pair remains pinned above the 160.00 anchor with intervention risk flagged above 160.70.
Support: 160.34, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.34 opens 160.20
Reclaim of 160.48 reasserts the intraday uptrend
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back into range · RSI 36 · price 160.347
Intraday range 160.34-160.48 after grind higher.
USDJPY ground up through London-NY to a 160.48 session high before fading back to 160.34 into the Asia open, RSI(14) cooling to ~36. Price now sits below EMA20/50 after rejection near the highs; BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left the carry trade intact and the pair pinned just above 160.00.
Support: 160.34, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.34 opens 160.20 swing low
Reclaim of 160.48 puts 160.70 intervention zone back in play
FOMC/Warsh later today is the dominant catalyst for this pair
01:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 160.347
Rejection at session high, drifting off 160.48.
USDJPY rallied through the Asia session from 160.05 to a 160.48 session high before rejecting, now back at 160.35 below EMA20/50 as the post-BoJ pair stays pinned just above 160.00. Micro structure has rolled over into a shallow pullback; the 160.34 session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 160.34
Resistance: 160.48, 160.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.34 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 160.48 reopens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that can reset this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 160.347
Lower highs off 160.48, drifting to session lows.
Thin Asian-session flow with USDJPY pinned near 160 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0%. Price rejected the 160.48 session high and has drifted back to 160.345, now testing session lows with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 160.345, 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.345 opens 160.20 swing low
Reclaim of 160.48 puts the 160.70 line back in play
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Range-bound under session high after intraday push.
London/NY drove USD/JPY up to a 160.48 session high before it stalled; thin Asian-hours trade has it drifting back to 160.38 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Pair stays pinned near the 160.00 pivot after the fully-priced BoJ hike, consolidating below the highs.
Support: 160.37, 160.33, 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.48 reopens the path toward the 160.70 breakout line
Failure to hold 160.37 exposes 160.33 then 160.20
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the window to 160.479 then stalled, with the post-BoJ hike (fully priced 1.0%) leaving the pair pinned just above 160.00. Price has slipped back under EMA20/50 into a 160.36–160.48 consolidation, RSI cooling toward 45.
Support: 160.36, 160.33, 160.00
Resistance: 160.479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 opens the path toward the 160.70 line
Loss of 160.33 breaks the intraday rising-low structure
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, ranging · RSI 52 · price 160.407
Consolidation under session high after intraday grind higher.
USDJPY ground higher from 160.05 through London-NY before stalling, with the 160.48 session high rejecting twice and price now coiling in a thin Asian-session band around 160.40. BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left the pair anchored near 160; volume has bled out into the overnight hours, no setup in play.
Support: 160.36, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout line
Loss of 160.36 range floor exposes the 160.33 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY to stall at the 160.48 session high, then settled into a tight 160.39-160.44 band through thin Asia hours. The fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% gave the yen no lift, leaving price pinned just above 160.00 with momentum cooling, RSI near neutral.
Support: 160.36, 160.00
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout line and intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.36 breaks the rising intraday support
Verbal MoF intervention warnings as 160 holds
00:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 160.41
Consolidation near session highs above 160.00.
USDJPY drifted higher through the session after the priced BoJ hike to 1.00% left the yen soft, peaking at 160.48 before settling into a 160.37-160.48 range. Price now sits at 160.41 with RSI(14) mid-range; consolidation just above 160.00 with no fresh intraday break.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens a fresh leg toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 exposes the 160.33 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground up through the London/NY hours to a session high at 160.48 before flattening, RSI cooling back to mid-range. Asia session now consolidates around 160.40 on thin volume, the priced BoJ 25bp hike having failed to move the yen.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.39 exposes the 160.33 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating near session highs after thin rollover gap.
USDJPY ground higher through the European-NY hours to a session high of 160.48 before a thin rollover gap dragged price to 160.37 and it has since pinned around 160.40 in low-volume Asian trade. The priced-in BoJ hike to 1.00% left the yen soft, but no breakout: price is coiling just above 160.00 with momentum flat. RSI(14) mid-range near 46, ATR thin in the holiday-thin session.
Support: 160.37, 160.333, 160.20
Resistance: 160.479, 160.44, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.48 reopens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.37 exposes 160.333 then 160.20
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC and the FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could reset this range
00:00 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 48 · price 160.404
Consolidation near session highs.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 160.479, then faded into thin Asian-hours trade now coiling around 160.40 on minimal volume. BoJ's priced 25bp hike to 1.00% left the yen soft; the 160.70 pivot above remains the line for any fresh upside leg.
Support: 160.37, 160.333
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 reopens the path toward 160.70
Failure to hold 160.37 exposes 160.333 swing low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read