Range-bound near session highs after a steady climb.
USDJPY climbed steadily through London-NY to a 160.479 session high before stalling and drifting back to 160.40 on thin Asia-hours volume; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price slipped below EMA20 while holding above EMA50. BoJ's fully-priced 25bp hike to 1.00% yesterday left the yen soft, keeping the pair pinned just above 160.00. No fresh setup — consolidating between 160.36 and 160.48.
Support: 160.368, 160.33
Resistance: 160.479
What it said to watch
Close above 160.48 reopens the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.36 confirms a lower low and breaks rising support
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could inject volatility into this thin range
23:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 45 · price 160.399
Consolidation below session high.
Asian session is grinding sideways near its highs after the BoJ's in-line hold to 1.00% left the yen soft. Price rejected 160.48 and is consolidating 160.37–160.48 on thin volume, RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s with price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 reopens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.37 confirms a lower-low and shifts the read
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could break the thin Asian range
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 44 · price 160.404
HH/HL chain stalling below 160.48.
USDJPY ground up through the prior London-NY session to 160.48 then stalled, with the BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1.00% keeping the yen soft. Now consolidating 160.37-160.48 in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and price slipping back under EMA20.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 exposes the 160.33 swing low
Thin Asian-hours liquidity can exaggerate moves until London open
USDJPY ground up through the London-NY hours to a session high at 160.48, then stalled and drifted back to 160.40 on thin late-session volume. Price holding above the rising sequence of lows but capped at 160.48, with the BoJ's priced 25bp hike leaving the yen soft.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 reopens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 confirms a lower-low and pressures 160.33
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift this read in the next bars
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY from the 160.05 low to a session high of 160.479, with thin Asia liquidity now leaving price consolidating around 160.42 just under that high. BoJ's priced 25bp hike to 1.00% drew no fresh yen bid; RSI(14) near 53 reflects a cooling, range-bound state below resistance.
Support: 160.37
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 confirms a lower-low and softens the uptrend
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY, tagging a session high at 160.48 before drifting into thin Asia-session trade around 160.42. The grind sits just above the rising support off the 160.37 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the move flattens near the highs.
Support: 160.37
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.37 breaks the rising-low sequence
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could move the pair within the next bar
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY from the 160.05 low to a 160.48 session high, then stalled into thin early-Asia trade around 160.42 with BoJ's priced hike leaving the yen soft. Price is coiling just below the session high; RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 resumes the upside grind toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 opens a retest of 160.33 swing low
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could inject volatility into this thin Asia range
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY into a session high at 160.479, then stalled and is drifting in a tight band near 160.42 on very thin Asia-hours volume. BoJ's priced 25bp hike to 1.00% left the yen soft, keeping the pair pinned just above 160.00 with no fresh catalyst.
Support: 160.36, 160.047
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 extends the leg toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.36 breaks the rising-low chain
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could disturb the consolidation
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 160.42
Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session highs.
USDJPY ground higher through the window, holding well above 160.00 after the BoJ's in-line hike to 1.00% failed to lift the yen. Price is now consolidating near the session high around 160.48 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI mid-range and cooling.
Support: 160.37, 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward 160.70
Failure to hold 160.37 exposes the 160.20 swing low
Japan trade data (23:50 UTC) could shift this read into the next bars
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 160.42
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating just below it.
USDJPY ground higher off the 160.05 session low through London-NY to a session high at 160.48, with the BoJ's fully-priced 25bp hike leaving the yen soft. Price is now consolidating 160.36-160.48 on thinning late-session volume, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 160.36, 160.05
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.36 breaks the rising support off the session low
USDJPY ground higher through the session from the 160.05 low to a 160.479 session high, yen soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.00%. The latest bars stalled just under 160.48 on thinning late-NY/Asia liquidity, holding above the rising 160.36 swing low.
Support: 160.366, 160.333, 160.047
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 extends the uptrend toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.366 breaks the rising-low structure
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift this read on the next bars
22:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 160.433
Higher highs/higher lows, coiling near session high.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher off the 160.05 London low to a session high at 160.48, with thin Asia-session bars now coiling just above 160.40. Pullbacks held the 160.37 swing low; the yen stayed soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.00%.
Support: 160.37, 160.333
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.479 extends the leg toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.37 then 160.33 breaks the higher-low chain
USDJPY ground higher through the session off the 160.05 low to tag a session high at 160.479, then stalled into thin late-Asia liquidity, consolidating near 160.42. Uptrend intact with price above both EMAs, but momentum is cooling just under the high; 160.70 remains the cited intervention-risk pivot.
Support: 160.37, 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.479 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
USDJPY ground up through London-NY to a session high at 160.479 before fading into thin Asian-session liquidity, now hovering at 160.42. Yen stays soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0%; price holds just above 160.00 with the recent low at 160.368 respected on the pullback.
Support: 160.368, 160.333
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 160.479 reopens the run toward the 160.70 psych pivot
Loss of 160.368 then 160.333 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
USDJPY ground higher through NY into Asia, posting a session high at 160.479 before slipping back to 160.42 on thin late-session volume. Yen stayed soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.00%; structure holds higher lows with rising support near 160.37.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.37 breaks the rising-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift the late-session read
22:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 160.42
Higher highs grinding into session highs.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 160.48, holding above 160.00 after the in-line BoJ hike. Move has stalled into the Asia open on thin late-session volume, drifting back to 160.42; rising lows off 160.20 keep the structure intact.
Support: 160.36, 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.36 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift the read
21:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 160.375
HH/HL chain capped at 160.48, late-session fade.
USD/JPY climbed through the London-NY hours to a session high of 160.48 before fading to 160.37 on thin late-session flow, the yen still soft after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1.00%. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price slipped back under the EMA20; 160.33 is the nearest higher-low to watch.
Support: 160.33
Resistance: 160.48
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.33 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Reclaim of 160.48 session high reopens the 160.70 pivot
NY session ground up to a 160.479 session high before fading; price has slipped back to 160.37 on thin late-session/Asia-open volume, dipping under EMA20. Chain of higher lows from 160.047 still intact, but the push above 160.46 was rejected.
Support: 160.33, 160.00
Resistance: 160.479, 160.43, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.479 reopens the 160.70 pivot / intervention zone
Loss of 160.33 breaks the rising-low chain
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling at session high · RSI 49 · price 160.375
Higher highs/higher lows off London lows, pullback into NY close.
USD/JPY ground higher through London and NY, tagging a session high at 160.479 before slipping to 160.375 on thin late-session volume. The BoJ hike to 1.00% was fully priced and yen stays soft, leaving the pair edging toward the 160.70 intervention zone. The HL chain off the 160.047 session low remains intact.
Support: 160.333, 160.047
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.479 reopens the path toward 160.70
Failure to hold 160.333 breaks the higher-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift the read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling late · RSI 54 · price 160.375
Higher highs into 160.48, late pullback.
Steady NY-session grind higher from the 160.05 session low to 160.48, before the last two bars rejected back to 160.375 on very thin late-session volume. JPY stays soft after the fully-priced BoJ hold; price holding just above the 160.33 pivot keeps the intraday uptrend intact.
Support: 160.33, 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.48 reopens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.20
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
NY session ground higher to a session high of 160.479 before a thin late-session pullback to 160.375, the last two bars on near-zero volume. JPY stays soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike; price is consolidating below the 160.70 pivot with the rising structure off 160.146 still intact.
Support: 160.333, 160.146
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.479 reopens the path to the 160.70 pivot
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high near 160.48 before fading; the last two bars dropped to 160.37 on near-zero volume, a thin late-session move rather than a clean rejection. Yen stays soft after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1.0%, with price pinned in the broader 159.40–160.70 band.
Support: 160.37, 160.33
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.48 session high reopens the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.33 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC and FOMC tomorrow could reset this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the session to fresh highs at 160.479, the yen staying soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.00%. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is thin near 4 pips — a slow drift, not an impulse, with the higher-low chain off the 160.05 session low intact.
Support: 160.40, 160.047
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.479 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of the 160.40 pivot breaks the higher-low chain off 160.05
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially reset this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.458
Higher highs / higher lows into session highs.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session after basing near 160.05, the yen still soft following the priced-in BoJ hike to 1.00%. Price is now pressing the session high at 160.48 with RSI(14) around 61 and ATR compressing into late hours.
Support: 160.40
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.48 extends the uptrend toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.40 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC and Wed US Retail Sales/FOMC could reshape this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 61 · price 160.464
Rising HH/HL chain, stalling at session high.
USDJPY ground higher through NY hours to a session high of 160.476, with the yen soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% left it pinned above 160.00. Late-session bars are tight and low-volume right under the high — consolidation, not a fresh break.
Support: 160.39, 160.333
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.476 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.39 puts the 160.333 swing low back in play
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow are the defining catalysts for this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.464
Higher highs / higher lows, holding above 160.00.
USDJPY ground higher through the window, posting a session high at 160.476 and holding well above 160.00 after the in-line BoJ hike to 1.0%. RSI(14) near 63 — firm, not extreme — with the last few bars coiling tightly just under the high.
Support: 160.397, 160.333
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break above 160.70 opens the intervention-risk zone toward 161
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 160.397 breaks the rising support and risks the 160.33 swing low
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 160.464
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.476, yen soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.00%. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean chain of higher lows off 160.047; pullbacks into 160.40 have been bought.
Support: 160.397, 160.333, 160.047
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.476 extends toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.397 breaks the rising-low structure
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift the JPY read
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.464
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 160.476 with the yen soft after the as-expected BoJ hike to 1.0%. Price holds just above 160.40 with RSI(14) in the mid-60s, momentum intact but no overbought stretch yet.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.476 opens the path to the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.39 breaks the rising intraday support and points back to 160.33
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY grinding higher into Asia hours, posting a fresh session high at 160.476 with RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR thin near 3 pips. The BoJ hike to 1.0% was fully absorbed; price holds just above 160.40 in a slow staircase up.
Support: 160.40, 160.333
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break above 160.476 extends the grind toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Loss of 160.40 puts the 160.333 swing low back in play
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could disturb the thin-liquidity grind
20:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.463
Higher lows, pressing session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 160.05 low, chaining higher lows and now tagging the session high at 160.476. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-60s — momentum intact but not stretched, with the 160.70 pivot the next overhead reference flagged by the BoJ hold context.
Support: 160.39, 160.333
Resistance: 160.476, 160.70
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.476 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
USDJPY recovered off the 160.05 early-session low and has ground higher through London and NY, now pinned just under the 160.46 session high with RSI(14) flat near 56. Late-NY volume is thin and price is coiling in a 160.40-160.46 band, holding above rising support; yen stays soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike.
Support: 160.40, 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.46 opens the 160.70 psych pivot, the cited intervention-risk zone
Loss of 160.40 then 160.33 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows off 160.05, consolidating under session high.
USDJPY ground higher through NY off the 160.05 dip and is now consolidating just under the 160.464 session high, RSI(14) mid-range. Yen stays soft after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0%; price holding above the rising support off intraday lows.
Support: 160.399, 160.33
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.399 swing low exposes 160.33 prior low
Consolidating below session high after London-NY rally.
USD firm into tomorrow's FOMC drove a steady climb off the London low near 160.05 to a session high at 160.464, where the move stalled. Price is now consolidating around 160.40 just under that high, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range as the rally pauses.
Support: 160.391, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot / intervention-risk zone
Loss of 160.333 negates the intraday higher-low chain
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC + dot plot (18:00 UTC) Wed could materially reset this read
HH/HL chain stalling into consolidation near session high.
NY session built an uptrend off the London low at 160.05 up to the session high 160.464, and price is now consolidating in a tight 160.40-160.46 band with RSI cooling back to neutral. The BoJ hike to 1.00% drew a subdued response; USD/JPY remains pinned below the 160.70 intervention zone.
Support: 160.39, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 interv zone
Failure to hold 160.39 breaks the intraday HL chain
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 160.46 session high, double-tapped and rejected, now easing to 160.40 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Price is holding the intraday uptrend off the 160.33 swing low; subdued post-BoJ tone keeps it pinned below the 160.70 intervention pivot.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 session high opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.33 swing low breaks the intraday uptrend
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
NY hours drove USDJPY to a session high of 160.464 before fading back to 160.40, slipping under the EMA20 as RSI cools toward neutral. The pair stays pinned near 160 after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1.00%; 160.70 remains the intervention-risk zone overhead.
Support: 160.36, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 reopens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.36 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.33
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating under session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session from the London low near 160.05 to a session high at 160.464, with the dollar firm into FOMC week and the BoJ hike already digested. Price is now stalling in a tight band just under the high, RSI(14) cooling off 70 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 extends the leg toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.39 breaks the ascending higher-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could inject volatility into this tight range
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 160.427
Higher lows into session high.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through NY into the 160.46 session high, holding a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with momentum slowing on small-bodied late-session bars. Price stays pinned in the BoJ-bounded band after yesterday's in-line 1.0% hike, capped well below the 160.70 pivot.
Support: 160.39, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.39 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) then FOMC (18:00 UTC) tomorrow could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, coiling below session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a high at 160.464 and is now coiling in a tight 160.42-160.45 band just beneath it. Yesterday's in-line BoJ hike to 1.0% barely moved the yen, leaving the pair pinned in its familiar range. RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 extends the higher-high sequence toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.333 breaks the rising-low chain
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant near-term catalysts
Grinding higher through the NY session, pinned just below the 160.464 session high after the BoJ's priced 1.0% hike left JPY soft. Higher-low chain intact from the 160.047 session low; RSI(14) mid-range and bars are compressing into the Asia handover.
Support: 160.333, 160.047
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot / intervention zone
Loss of 160.333 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, basing near 160.05 in London before posting a session high at 160.46. RSI(14) mid-60s and easing as price coils just under that high; the BoJ hike to 1.0% has been fully absorbed with the pair pinned near range top.
Support: 160.391, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 extends the session high
160.70 pivot above is the flagged intervention zone
Loss of 160.391 breaks the rising-low chain
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, recovering from the 160.33 dip to print near the 160.46 session high with RSI(14) cooling around 60. Price holds above EMA20/50 in a steady rising channel after the BoJ hike to 1% left the pair pinned in its 160.20-160.70 band.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.333 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 160.33 swing low, posting higher lows back toward the 160.464 session high, with RSI cooling and ATR compressing into the top of the range. USD/JPY clings just above 160.00 after the priced-in BoJ hike; price is coiling under the session high ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.39 reopens the 160.33 swing low
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into NY close · RSI 56 · price 160.435
Higher lows from 160.05, consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY ground back to the 160.46 session high after basing at 160.05 mid-session, now coiling in a tight 160.41-160.44 band into the NY close. RSI(14) mid-range with momentum flattening; price sits just above EMA20/50 with BoJ's dovish-framed hike doing little to lift the yen.
Support: 160.39, 160.33, 160.047
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 reopens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.39 reverts price into the 160.33 swing zone
FOMC tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.433
Higher highs/higher lows off Asia low.
USDJPY ground steadily higher from the 160.05 Asia low through London and NY, tagging a session high at 160.46 before stalling into 160.41-160.44. Pair holds just above 160.00 post-BoJ hike, RSI(14) mid-60s with momentum cooling near the highs.
Support: 160.33, 160.05
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 session high opens path to the 160.70 intervention pivot
Loss of 160.33 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating near highs.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session off the 160.05 low into a session high at 160.464, RSI(14) cooling toward 61 as price consolidates 160.42–160.44. BoJ's expected 25bp hike to 1.00% yesterday left the pair pinned just above 160.00 with little yen reaction.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 extends the up-leg toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.333 breaks the rising swing-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.427
Higher lows since Asia low, testing session high.
USD/JPY based at 160.05 during Asia and ground steadily higher through London and NY to test the 160.46 session high, holding well above 160.00 after the BoJ's in-line 1.00% hike. RSI(14) near 60, chain of higher lows intact off 160.333.
Support: 160.391, 160.333, 160.30
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.333 breaks the ascending structure
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC and US Retail Sales / FOMC tomorrow could shift this read
18:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 160.427
Higher highs/higher lows, coiling under session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, posting a session high at 160.464 before stalling and now coiling near 160.43 with RSI cooling from the highs. BoJ's in-line hike failed to lift the yen, leaving the pair pinned just above 160.00 with a firm USD bid; intraday demand keeps stepping in around 160.33–160.39.
Support: 160.391, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 zone
Loss of 160.333 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC ~24h out and Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could reshape this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 160.424
Higher highs/higher lows into session highs.
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours off the 160.05 low, posting a session high at 160.46 before settling into a tight 160.39-160.46 consolidation. USD held firm into tomorrow's FOMC and the dovish BoJ hike keeps the pair pinned above 160.00; RSI(14) eased back to neutral as the advance stalled near the highs.
Support: 160.39, 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Loss of 160.39 then 160.33 breaks the rising lower-high chain
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.424
Higher highs and higher lows since the 160.05 base.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 160.464 before easing back to 160.42 as RSI(14) cooled from the mid-60s. Price holds just above 160.00 post-BoJ; a steady chain of higher lows keeps the intraday structure constructive into FOMC.
Support: 160.36, 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break above 160.70 opens the 161/162 intervention zone
Close below 160.333 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 160.41
Higher highs and higher lows off the 160.05 base.
NY session extended the climb off the 160.05 base to a high at 160.46 before a shallow pullback into 160.33; price now sits at 160.41, holding above EMA20/50. JPY barely reacted to the BoJ's 25bp hike to 1.00%, leaving the pair clinging just above 160.00 with the 160.70 intervention zone still untested overhead.
Support: 160.33, 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a lower-low and risks 160.20
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Higher highs, higher lows; consolidating under session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session from the 160.05 London low, tagging a session high at 160.46 before stalling around 160.41. Pair is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) easing back near 58; BoJ's in-line 1.00% hike left the yen flat and price clinging above 160.00.
Support: 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 swing low confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could shift the JPY read
Higher highs/higher lows, pulled back off session high.
NY session drove USDJPY to a session high of 160.46 before easing to 160.33 and recovering to 160.40; price clings above 160.00 after the in-line BoJ hike. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with momentum cooling into the close.
Support: 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a lower-low and softens the uptrend
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for this pair
17:15 UTC
Uptrend through NY session · RSI 56 · price 160.401
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY session ground USD/JPY higher to a 160.464 session high before a shallow pull back to 160.333 and recovery toward 160.40, USD holding firm into FOMC despite the post-BoJ-hike yen reaction fading. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; intraday structure intact above rising support.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the 160.70 intervention pivot
Failure to hold 160.333 breaks the higher-low chain
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC and FOMC tomorrow could reset this read
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 160.46 session high before a quick flush to 160.33, recovering back to 160.40. Price now consolidates just under the high; BoJ's in-line 25bp hike yesterday left the pair clinging above 160.00 with little reaction.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales are the dominant catalysts ahead
NY session drove USDJPY up to a 160.464 session high before pulling back to 160.33, where buyers stepped in twice and bounced. Price now grinds around 160.40, clinging above 160.00 with the BoJ hike priced and USD firm into tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 160.333, 160.277
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a lower-low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow — dominant catalyst
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 50 · price 160.365
Higher highs into 160.46, now correcting.
NY session drove USD/JPY up to 160.464 before sellers capped there, with price now easing back to 160.36 and dipping under the EMA20. Move sits well below the 160.70 MoF intervention pivot flagged after the in-line BoJ hike; momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 160.333, 160.20
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.333 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.20
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 160.464 before rejection eased it back toward 160.33, with the BoJ hike to 1.00% already fully priced. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price slipped under EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 160.333, 160.222
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the 160.70 break pivot
Failure to hold 160.333 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.222
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 160.464 before rejecting back to 160.365, with JPY staying soft after the in-line BoJ hike. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price slipped under EMA20; the 160.333 swing low is the near-term floor.
Support: 160.333, 160.206
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hold of 160.333 keeps the higher-low chain intact; a close below opens 160.206
A push toward 160.70 enters the flagged MoF intervention zone
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read
NY session ground higher to a session high at 160.464 before fading back to 160.365, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price slipped below the EMA20 but holds above the swing low at 160.333; intervention chatter flagged into the 160.70 zone keeps a cap on extended upside.
Support: 160.333
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.333 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-low sequence
Push through 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Japan trade balance at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high of 160.464 before a rejection pulled it back to 160.39, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.0% remains a sell-the-fact for the yen, keeping the pair pinned above 160.00 with 160.70 the next upside reference and intervention-watch zone.
Support: 160.33, 160.206
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 reopens the path toward 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.33 confirms a deeper pullback toward 160.21
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts that could reshape this read
16:15 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 55 · price 160.395
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours, USD firm and the BoJ hike sold off as flagged, posting a session high at 160.46 before sellers capped it. Price pulled back to 160.39 holding above the rising 160.33 swing low; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 160.33
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.33 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 160.46 reopens the 160.70 intervention zone
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC 18:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts ahead
16:00 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 160.444
HH/HL chain, grinding into 160.46.
NY session ground USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 160.46, extending the post-BoJ 'sell-the-fact' yen softness after the well-flagged hike to 1.00%. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 64 — firm but not stretched. HL chain intact from the 160.05 European low.
Support: 160.40, 160.33
Resistance: 160.464, 160.50, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.50 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Failure to hold 160.33 breaks the rising HL structure
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the dominant upcoming catalysts
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-window low.
NY session ground higher into 160.464 after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% played out as a sell-the-fact for the yen. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a clean chain of higher lows; RSI(14) near 65, hot but not extreme. Last printed bar is thin into the close around 160.444, just under the session high.
Support: 160.399, 160.32
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Failure to hold 160.399 breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant near-term catalysts
15:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.456
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
NY session has ground USDJPY to a session high of 160.464, holding a clean chain of higher lows after BoJ's in-line 1.0% hike was sold off as a fact. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; price sits just above EMA20/50 with the 160.70 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 160.369, 160.277
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.369 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC and US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
NY session has pushed USD/JPY to fresh session highs at 160.464, extending the grind off the 160.05 low with RSI(14) firm near 66 but not yet stretched. BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.0% was sold as a fact, leaving the yen soft and the pair holding above the 160.00 floor. 160.32 has acted as the base on the latest pullbacks.
Support: 160.32, 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Loss of 160.32 base would break the higher-low sequence toward 160.20
US Retail Sales + FOMC tomorrow are the dominant near-term catalysts for this cross
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 65 · price 160.451
Higher highs and higher lows since the 160.05 base.
NY session has ground USD/JPY up to the session high at 160.46 after the BoJ hike to 1.00% was sold off and yen stayed soft. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 65 — hot but not stretched; rising support around 160.37 has tracked each higher low.
Support: 160.37, 160.32
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.37 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 64 · price 160.451
HH/HL chain, pressing session high.
NY session grinding higher in a steady uptrend, RSI(14) mid-60s with USD/JPY pinning the 160.46 session high after the BoJ's well-flagged 1.00% hike was sold-the-fact. Buyers held the 160.37 dip on the last pullback; rising support intact below.
Support: 160.369, 160.32
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.46 opens path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.32 breaks the rising support line
15:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 160.40
Higher highs / higher lows off 160.05.
NY session extended the post-BoJ grind to a session high of 160.464 before a shallow pullback to 160.40, RSI cooling but holding above 50. BoJ's in-line 25bp hike to 1.00% was sold-the-fact and yen stays soft, keeping the pair pinned in a rising channel.
Support: 160.33
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.33 breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
15:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.40
Rising HHs/HLs into session high.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 160.46 before easing back to 160.40, extending a steady chain of higher lows since the European session. The BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.00% played out as a sell-the-fact for the yen, leaving the pair grinding higher. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before stretched.
Support: 160.34
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 160.46 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Loss of the 160.34 pivot breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Fed decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 160.429
Higher highs into session high.
NY session ground higher to a session high at 160.464, USD/JPY holding well above the 160.00 floor as the BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.00% became a sell-the-fact for the yen. Price sits at 160.43 with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet stretched; rising-low structure intact off the 160.20 area.
Support: 160.34, 160.20
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 extends the leg toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Break below 160.340 breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
15:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 69 · price 160.429
Rising lows, fresh session highs.
NY session ground USDJPY to a fresh session high at 160.464 with a clean chain of higher lows off 160.047; RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. Price holds above EMA20/50, pinned post-BoJ and edging toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone.
Support: 160.32, 160.047
Resistance: 160.464, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.464 opens the path to the 160.70 zone
Loss of 160.320 rising-low support breaks the intraday HL chain
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground up to session highs at 160.44 through NY hours, holding firm after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.0% became a sell-the-fact for the yen. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not stretched; price rides above EMA20/50 on a clean chain of higher lows from 160.05.
Support: 160.36, 160.05
Resistance: 160.44, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.44 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Loss of the 160.36 breakout shelf would signal the intraday push stalling
US Retail Sales Wed 12:30 UTC then FOMC could materially shift this read
14:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 68 · price 160.432
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
NY session has USD/JPY grinding to a fresh session high at 160.44 after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.0% was sold-the-fact, leaving yen soft. Higher lows have held since the 160.05 dip and RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; price now pressing the day's high.
Support: 160.34, 160.00
Resistance: 160.44, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.44 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.34 breaks the rising-low chain
FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 160.427
Higher highs, breaking to session high.
NY session ground USD/JPY up to a fresh session high at 160.436, JPY soft after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% was sold as a fact. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; the 160.32 shelf has held as the rising base.
Support: 160.32
Resistance: 160.436, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 160.436 opens path toward the 160.70 intervention pivot
Loss of 160.32 breaks the rising base and signals a lower high
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 69 · price 160.427
Rising HH/HL chain into NY.
USD/JPY ground to a fresh session high at 160.436 through NY hours, holding above EMA20 after the BoJ hike to 1.00% was sold as fact. RSI(14) near 68 — firm but not stretched as price pins just under the 160.70 intervention-watch zone.
Support: 160.32
Resistance: 160.436, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.32 breaks the rising HL chain
Push through 160.436 opens the path toward 160.70 intervention zone
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY recovered the full 160.05 dip and is pressing a fresh session high at 160.41 into the NY hours, RSI(14) firm near 62 but not stretched. Range top is being retested after the BoJ hike to 1.0% failed to hold yen gains; price stays pinned below the 160.70 pivot flagged into FOMC.
Support: 160.32, 160.15, 160.05
Resistance: 160.41, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.41 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.32 returns price into the range body toward 160.15
US FOMC and Retail Sales tomorrow could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Recovery, grinding to session high · RSI 63 · price 160.387
Higher lows off 160.05, retesting range top.
USDJPY clawed back from the 160.05 session low to retest the session high at 160.41, the BoJ hike pop having long faded with policy read as still accommodative. RSI(14) near 63 — firm but not stretched; price holds above both EMAs into the NY afternoon.
Support: 160.32, 160.05
Resistance: 160.41, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.41 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.32 retest zone breaks the higher-low chain
US Retail Sales and FOMC tomorrow are the key cross-drivers for this read
14:01 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 61 · price 160.382
Range, recent test of session high.
USD/JPY recovered off the 160.047 session low to test the session high at 160.407, where supply capped the push; price holding mid-160.30s after BoJ's in-line 1.0% hike failed to keep JPY bid. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme. Still pivoted around 160 with the day's range broadly intact.
Support: 160.20, 160.047
Resistance: 160.407, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.407 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.20 reopens the 160.05 session low
US Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) and FOMC tomorrow are the key cross-drivers for this pair
14:00 UTC
Recovering toward session high · RSI 61 · price 160.382
Range with rising intraday lows.
USDJPY chopped in a 160.05–160.41 band through the session, with rising lows lifting price back toward the 160.407 session high as the BoJ's priced 1% hike failed to keep yen bid. Currently pressing the range top, RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 160.32, 160.146, 160.047
Resistance: 160.407, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.407 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.32 reopens the 160.146 swing low
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 160.389
Higher lows since the 160.05 base, testing range top.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, with the last bar pushing the session high to 160.41 and closing 160.389; RSI(14) firm near 63, not yet stretched. Demand stepped in repeatedly at 160.32 on the way up, and price holds above EMA20/50 after the BoJ hike was absorbed.
Support: 160.32, 160.20
Resistance: 160.41, 160.70
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 160.41 opens the path to the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.32 invalidates the higher-low chain and reopens 160.20
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
13:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 160.389
Higher lows into session high.
NY session pushed USDJPY to a fresh session high at 160.407, RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme, with JPY staying soft after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1%. Price holds above the 160.320 base after a chain of higher lows from the 160.047 session low.
Support: 160.32, 160.206, 160.047
Resistance: 160.407, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.407 opens the path toward 160.50
Failure to hold 160.320 reopens the 160.206 swing low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are key cross-drivers that could reshape this read
Recovery off Asian low, consolidating near session high.
USD/JPY recovered from the Asian-session low at 160.05 and is consolidating in the mid-160.30s into NY hours, holding above EMA20/50. BoJ's in-line 1% hike earlier gave only a brief JPY pop before the pair drifted back up; price now coils just under the 160.39 session high.
Support: 160.28, 160.206, 160.047
Resistance: 160.393, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 session high opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.28 reopens the 160.20/160.05 lows
FOMC Wednesday (18:00 UTC) is the key cross-driver and could reshape this read
USD/JPY is grinding back toward the 160.39 session high after the priced-in BoJ 1% hike saw the early yen pop fade. Price holds inside a 160.05–160.39 range with RSI mid-band; range top has capped each push during NY hours.
Support: 160.28, 160.15, 160.047
Resistance: 160.393, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.28 reopens the 160.15 intraday low
FOMC tomorrow is the key cross-driver and could reshape this read
USDJPY is ranging between 160.10 and 160.39, now consolidating near the top after recovering from a London-session dip to 160.05. RSI(14) is neutral around 53 and momentum is flat into the Wednesday FOMC, with the BoJ's in-line hike to 1.0% already faded. Recent swing high at 160.375 is capping; range low at 160.10 unbroken.
Support: 160.28, 160.10
Resistance: 160.375, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 session high opens room toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.28 reopens the 160.10 range low
FOMC Wed and US Retail Sales are the dominant near-term drivers
USDJPY is consolidating near session highs in a tight 160.28-160.39 band after recovering off the 160.146 session low, RSI(14) neutral around 53. Price holds above 160.00 as the BoJ's in-line 1% hike failed to lift the yen; FOMC tomorrow is the dominant driver.
Support: 160.28, 160.20, 160.146
Resistance: 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 swing high opens room higher toward the 161 area
Loss of 160.20 swing low reopens the 160.146 session low
FOMC + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY is grinding sideways near the 160.375 session high after the BoJ hike to 1% briefly lifted then failed to hold the yen, leaving price pinned in a 160.28–160.375 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR has compressed to ~3 pips, consistent with pre-FOMC drift.
Support: 160.28, 160.206
Resistance: 160.375, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.375 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout level
Failure to hold 160.280 exposes the 160.206 swing low
Japan trade data tonight 23:50 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY before stalling, now coiling 160.28-160.375 in the NY afternoon with volume thinning into a sub-100 print on the current bar. RSI(14) flat near 54 — no momentum extreme as the market parks ahead of tomorrow's FOMC.
Support: 160.28, 160.206, 160.146
Resistance: 160.375, 160.393, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.393 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout level
Failure to hold 160.28 exposes 160.206 and the 160.146 session low
FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales could materially shift this range read
USD/JPY is consolidating in a 160.05–160.39 band through the session after the BoJ's in-line 1% hike failed to lift the yen. Price is grinding the upper edge near 160.34 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 160.39 session high has capped repeated probes.
Support: 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 session high opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.20 swing low returns price to range mid
FOMC and US Retail Sales tomorrow are the binary drivers for this pair
USDJPY held above 160.00 after the BoJ's in-line hike to 1.0% briefly popped then faded the yen; price has ground back up to 160.34, pressing the 160.375 recent high. Still boxed inside the 160.03–160.39 session range with RSI(14) mid-band — no extreme in play.
Support: 160.27, 160.146, 160.03
Resistance: 160.375, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session range high
Loss of 160.27 swing low reopens 160.146 session low
FOMC Wed and Japan trade data tonight 23:50 UTC could shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 61 · price 160.354
Higher lows rebuilt off 160.05, retesting prior high.
USDJPY ground back to retest the session high near 160.39 after a London dip into 160.05, holding a chain of higher lows into the NY session. RSI(14) around 61 with the BoJ 1% hike already digested — JPY surrendered its early bid, leaving the Fed as the next driver.
Support: 160.28, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.28 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC Wed plus US Retail Sales are the binary catalysts that reset this read
USDJPY grinding up through the NY session toward the 160.39 swing high, RSI(14) near 62 with price pinned just under decade highs as the BoJ 1% hike (in line) failed to lift the Yen. Buyers held 160.28 on the last pullback; the 160.00 handle remains the broader floor below.
Support: 160.28, 160.15, 160.03
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 opens the path to the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.28 exposes session low at 160.15
FOMC + US Retail Sales tomorrow are the binary drivers for this pair
12:16 UTC
Uptrend within broader range · RSI 61 · price 160.354
Rising lows recovering range top after midday dip.
USD/JPY ground back up toward the session-high band at 160.39 after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1% was sold off, leaving the pair pinned near decade highs into NY hours. Recent structure is a chain of rising lows off the 160.05 session low; RSI(14) ~61 with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 160.28, 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path to the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.28 rising support exposes the 160.05 session low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the key cross-driver beyond this window
USDJPY is grinding back toward the session high at 160.39 after the BoJ's in-line 1% hike failed to move the yen, leaving price pinned near decade highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range and ATR is only ~3 pips — a quiet drift in the upper half of the day's range with the 160.00 handle holding below.
Support: 160.22, 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.22 reopens the 160.00 handle
FOMC Wednesday is the key cross-driver; range likely holds until then
12:01 UTC
Range, drifting toward top · RSI 58 · price 160.341
Intraday range 160.05–160.39, price near range high.
USD/JPY pinned near 160 after the BoJ delivered the priced 1% hike and the Yen surrendered its early bid. Price is grinding in a 160.05–160.39 range and now sits near the top, RSI mid-50s with no extreme.
Support: 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.20 puts the 160.05 range low back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could reset this range
12:00 UTC
Range, holding upper third · RSI 57 · price 160.341
Consolidation under session high after early rally.
USDJPY rallied off 160.03 in early trade to a 160.39 session high, then settled into a 160.10–160.39 range as the priced-in BoJ hike to 1% failed to extend Yen gains. Price is pressing the range top again near 160.34 with RSI mid-range; no breakout yet.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.10 swing low confirms range breakdown toward the 160.00 handle
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read as the Fed is now the USDJPY driver
USD/JPY is grinding in a 160.20–160.39 range, currently in the upper half near 160.32 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% proved a non-event. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at 160.20 through NY hours while 160.39 capped, leaving the 160.00 handle untested below.
Support: 160.28, 160.20, 160.00
Resistance: 160.345, 160.39
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.39 opens a fresh leg higher and raises MoF intervention attention
Loss of 160.20 exposes the 160.00 psych handle
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
USD/JPY stayed pinned above the 160.00 handle through the session after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% was shrugged off; price is chopping between 160.20 and 160.39 with no clean break. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53, ATR around 6 pips — momentum flat into the Fed.
Support: 160.20, 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.34
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens room back toward intraday highs
Loss of 160.20 exposes the 160.05 session low and the 160.00 handle
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and MoF intervention risk near 160.00 could overhaul this read
11:31 UTC
Ranging, edging back to range top · RSI 57 · price 160.335
Intraday range 160.15–160.39, rising lows into resistance.
USDJPY is ranging 160.15–160.39, pinned above the 160.00 handle after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% proved a non-event. Price is grinding back toward the swing high at 160.343 on a chain of rising lows, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme. Session high at 160.393 caps the move.
Support: 160.277, 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.393 opens room beyond the session high
Loss of the 160.277 swing low breaks the rising-lows structure
Approach to the 160.00 psych level escalates MoF intervention risk
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
11:31 UTC
Range, drifting toward top · RSI 56 · price 160.335
Ranging with higher lows since session low.
USDJPY remains pinned above 160 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1.0% proved a non-event, ranging roughly 160.15-160.39 over the last 24h. Price has recovered to the upper range with a chain of higher lows off the 160.03 session low; RSI(14) mid-zone, no extreme.
Support: 160.146, 160.029
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 160.393 session high opens room higher
Loss of the 160.146 range low breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained move on the 160.00 handle escalates MoF intervention risk
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USD/JPY chopping in a 160.05–160.39 band, pinned above the 160.00 handle after the BoJ delivered its priced 25bp hike to 1% with no follow-through. Price holds rising lows off 160.05, NY hours capping rallies at the 160.34–160.39 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 160.277, 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 session high breaks the range top
Close below 160.28 swing low exposes 160.15 and the 160.00 psych level
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dot plot is the primary driver for this read
11:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 49 · price 160.305
Range above 160.00, mid-range.
BoJ's in-line 25bp hike to 1% passed without a JPY move and USD/JPY stayed sticky above 160, chopping in a 160.15–160.39 range through the London session. Price recovered the 160.146 dip back to 160.36 then drifted to 160.30, RSI(14) flat near 49 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 160.15, 160.047
Resistance: 160.36, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 reopens the upside above the session high
Failure to hold 160.15 confirms a lower low and exposes 160.047
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst that would break this range
Japan trade data tonight 23:50 UTC could inject JPY volatility
11:01 UTC
Ranging, mild pullback · RSI 48 · price 160.28
Rangebound above 160.00, mid-range.
USD/JPY stayed sticky above 160.00 after the BoJ hiked to 1% exactly as priced — JPY popped then handed it back. Price is ranging 160.15–160.39, currently mid-range after rejection near 160.34; RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 160.20, 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.34, 160.39
What it said to watch
Close below 160.20 pullback low exposes 160.15 swing low
Close above 160.34 recent high reopens 160.39 session high
FOMC Wed (dots/Retail Sales) is the dominant USD/JPY catalyst
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk live with price above 160.00
11:01 UTC
Range, mid-range drift · RSI 47 · price 160.28
Ranging 160.05–160.39 over the session.
USD/JPY stayed sticky above 160 after the BoJ hike to 1% landed exactly as priced and the yen handed back its knee-jerk pop. M15 is ranging 160.05–160.39; price pulled back from 160.36 to 160.28, sitting mid-range with RSI neutral near 47.
Support: 160.20, 160.05
Resistance: 160.36, 160.39
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 range high opens path higher
Failure to hold 160.20 swing low exposes 160.05 session low
FOMC dots Wed + MoF intervention risk above 160 could shift this read
Ranging near session highs after recovery off 160.05.
USD/JPY consolidating 160.23–160.36 through London hours after the BoJ 1% hike was fully discounted and the yen handed back its pop. Price recovered the 160.05 dip and is pinned near session highs with RSI(14) neutral around 54; supply has capped repeatedly at 160.36.
Support: 160.23, 160.146, 160.047
Resistance: 160.36, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 prior high opens room higher and keeps intervention risk live
Loss of 160.146 session low breaks the rising support read
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst for this pair
USD/JPY is consolidating just under the 160.36 session high after recovering from the 160.15 dip during NY hours; the BoJ hike to 1% was fully priced and barely moved price. RSI(14) mid-range near 54 with the last bars coiling between 160.30 and 160.34.
Support: 160.23, 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.36, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 extends the recovery toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 160.23 reopens the 160.15 swing low
FOMC Wednesday and 160.00 intervention pivot dominate the next sessions
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session and is now consolidating just under the 160.343 cap, with the session high at 160.393. The BoJ's expected 25bp hike to 1% failed to lift the yen, leaving price pinned near 160 and holding above both EMAs as RSI cools from mid-range.
Support: 160.305, 160.146
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 opens path toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 160.305 range floor exposes 160.146
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USD/JPY held its 25bp BoJ hike to 1% but yen gains evaporated, leaving price pinned near 160.30 between 160.146 and the 160.39 session high. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme — choppy consolidation ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 160.146, 160.029, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 session high opens room toward fresh multi-decade highs
Loss of 160.146 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 160.00 round number
Consolidating below session high after recovery off 160.05.
USD/JPY recovered off the 160.05 session low and is grinding sideways between 160.30 and 160.36, just under the 160.39 session high, after the BoJ's in-line 25bp hike to 1% failed to lift the yen. RSI sits in the low-60s with no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 160.232, 160.146, 160.047
Resistance: 160.36, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 extends toward multi-decade highs and raises intervention risk
Loss of 160.232 reopens 160.146 then the 160.05 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
10:16 UTC
Rangebound, edging to range top · RSI 61 · price 160.341
Ranging 160.00-160.39, retesting highs.
USD/JPY pinned near 160 after the BoJ's priced 25bp hike to 1% was sold the fact, leaving the pair grinding in a 160.00-160.39 range. Price recovered off the 160.146 swing low and is retesting the session-high zone near 160.34, RSI(14) firm around 60 but not stretched.
Support: 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 reopens multi-decade-high territory and raises intervention risk
Failure to hold 160.146 reopens the 160.00 handle
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
10:01 UTC
Choppy, grinding back to range top · RSI 61 · price 160.338
Range pinned near 160, recovering toward highs.
BoJ hiked to 1% as expected today but the yen surrendered gains, leaving USDJPY pinned near 160 and grinding back to the session top around 160.34. Price is ranging 160.15-160.39; the last few bars are coiling tight just under the range high with RSI in the mid-60s.
Support: 160.23, 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 range top opens the path higher
Loss of 160.23 swing low reopens 160.15 session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst; intervention risk rises on sustained breaks above 160.00 handle
USDJPY recovered off the 160.146 session low and is consolidating tight near 160.33, just under recent resistance at 160.345. The BoJ's priced 25bp hike to 1% failed to lift the yen as USD/JPY holds near multi-decade highs at the 160.00 handle. RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme in play.
Support: 160.23, 160.146
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.393 opens the path to fresh session highs
Failure to hold 160.23 reopens the 160.146 session low
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst; sustained breaks above 160.00 raise intervention chatter
USD/JPY recovered from the 160.05 NY low and is grinding higher, but stalled twice at 160.345 forming a double top, now holding ~160.32. The BoJ hiked to 1% as expected yet the yen couldn't hold gains, leaving the pair pinned near the 160 handle ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 160.23, 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.345, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.345 opens the path to the 160.39 session high
Failure to hold 160.23 reopens the 160.15 swing low
FOMC Wed (dot plot) is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
09:45 UTC
Range with mild upward drift · RSI 56 · price 160.316
Ranging 160.15-160.39, holding upper half.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 handle after the BoJ delivered the priced 25bp hike to 1% and the yen surrendered its early pop. Price recovered from the 160.146 dip back into the upper half of the 24h range, drifting around 160.32 with RSI mid-band; the 160.343-160.388 zone caps and 160.23 holds as near support.
Support: 160.23, 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.388 opens the path toward fresh multi-decade highs
Failure to hold 160.23 reopens 160.146 swing low
FOMC Wed and the 160.00 handle are the dominant pivots — sustained breaks higher raise intervention chatter
USD/JPY remains pinned around the 160 handle after the BoJ's fully-priced 25bp hike to 1%, ranging 160.03–160.39 for the last 24h. Price recovered off 160.146 and is now pressing the upper third near 160.33; RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 160.222, 160.146, 160.029
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session high and opens higher ground near multi-decade highs
Failure to hold 160.22 reopens the 160.15/160.03 range low
Sustained moves above 160.00 keep MoF/BoJ intervention risk live
FOMC Wed (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst for this range
09:30 UTC
Range, grinding back to top · RSI 61 · price 160.328
24h range, higher lows since London-NY low.
USDJPY pinned near 160.30 after the BoJ hiked 25bp to 1% as expected — the yen surrendered the brief pop and price reclaimed the upper half of a 160.03-160.39 range. Higher lows since the NY-session dip to 160.146; price now retesting the 160.343 recent high with RSI cooling around 60.
Support: 160.206, 160.146, 160.029
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 extends the range break higher
Failure to hold 160.206 reopens the 160.146 swing low
FOMC Wed and 160.00 handle intervention risk could shift this read
USDJPY is pinned near the 160 handle, chopping in a 160.15–160.34 range after the BoJ delivered its in-line hike to 1%. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on higher intraday lows toward 160.15–160.23, but 160.34–160.39 keeps capping; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 160.23, 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens path back toward multi-decade highs
Loss of 160.15 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising-low chain
160.00 handle — MoF intervention risk on any decisive break
FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ranging 160.05–160.39 through the session, pinned just above the 160.00 handle after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced hike to 1% with little yen follow-through. Price has drifted back to the upper third of the range, RSI(14) mid-50s, with the 160.345 session high capping the latest push.
Support: 160.206, 160.047
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.393 swing high opens continuation toward fresh highs
Loss of 160.206 swing low shifts the range read lower toward 160.05
FOMC dot plot Wed is the next material catalyst for this pair
USDJPY pinned in a 160.05–160.39 range after the BoJ hike to 1% landed exactly as priced and failed to move the yen. Price is drifting along higher lows back toward the 160.345 session high; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme. Range top has rejected twice and the 160.00 handle holds below.
Support: 160.146, 160.047
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393, 160.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.393 invalidates the range read and reopens multi-decade highs
Failure to hold 160.146 confirms a lower-low and threatens the 160.00 handle
FOMC dot plot Wed could materially shift this read; 160.00 is a known intervention zone
USD/JPY pinned near 160 after the BoJ hike to 1% landed exactly as priced, leaving price ranging 160.05-160.39 through the session. Buyers stepped in twice off the 160.05 area and price has recovered to 160.32, RSI(14) neutral around 57 with no extreme in play.
Support: 160.232, 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 range high opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 160.232 reopens the 160.146 session low
160.00 handle carries MoF intervention risk near multi-decade yen lows
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY is pinned in a 160.15–160.39 range during London hours; the BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1% gave the yen no lasting lift. Buyers stepped in at 160.146 and price recovered to 160.27, but 160.345 capped the last push.
Support: 160.205, 160.146, 160.047
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.393 opens the path back toward the 161.20 area
Failure to hold 160.146 confirms a lower-low and exposes 160.047
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver
USDJPY is ranging 160.15–160.35, pinned near the 160 handle after the BoJ's in-line hike to 1% offered no lasting yen lift. Price bounced off 160.05 during the prior session and is now mid-range, RSI(14) flat near 52 with no momentum edge.
Support: 160.15, 160.046
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.346 opens the path toward session high 160.393
Failure to hold 160.150 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver — could reset this read
08:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 160.25
Choppy range, mid-band.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 handle, ranging roughly 160.05–160.39 with price mid-band after the BoJ delivered its priced-in 25bp hike to 1%. The recent push to 160.35 was rejected and faded back to 160.25; RSI(14) is neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 160.05
Resistance: 160.35, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 160.05 opens a lower-low
FOMC decision/dot-plot Wed 18:00 GMT is the dominant cross-driver
08:30 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 160.25
Choppy range, swings inside 160.05–160.39.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 handle, chopping between 160.05 and 160.39 with the BoJ's in-line 1% hike offering no lasting yen lift. Last push to 160.34 was sold back to 160.23 before stabilising at 160.25; RSI(14) neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 160.15, 160.05
Resistance: 160.34, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session high and extends the range top
Loss of 160.15 reopens 160.05 session low
US Retail Sales 12:30 GMT and Wed FOMC dot-plot are the dominant cross-drivers and could reset this read
08:15 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 160.243
Consolidation pinned near 160 handle.
USD/JPY is chopping inside a 160.03–160.39 band; the BoJ hike to 1% offered no lasting yen lift, keeping price pinned near the 160 handle. The latest push to 160.346 was rejected, last close 160.243 sitting mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 160.15, 160.03
Resistance: 160.346, 160.388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 session high opens room toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.15 swing low exposes 160.03 session low
US Retail Sales and FOMC dot-plot later this week could break this range
08:15 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 160.243
Choppy range under 160.39, holding 160.00 handle.
USD/JPY chopping in a 160.05–160.39 range through the session, pinned near the 160.00 handle after the in-line BoJ hike to 1% offered no lasting yen lift. Latest spike to 160.343 was rejected and faded back to 160.24; RSI(14) neutral near 48, no setup in play.
Support: 160.146, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold 160.146 reopens the 160.05 session low
US Retail Sales and FOMC dot-plot Wed could materially shift this read
08:00 UTC
Rangebound near 160.00 pivot · RSI 56 · price 160.325
Intraday range, choppy chop around 160.30.
USD/JPY stays pinned to the 160.00 handle through London hours after the BoJ's fully-priced 25bp hike to 1% drew almost no reaction. Price bounced off 160.146 and is grinding back toward the 160.343 session high; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.393
What it said to watch
Close above 160.393 prior high extends the bounce toward 160.40+
Loss of 160.146 swing low reopens the 160.00 psych pivot
FOMC dot-plot Wed is the dominant driver and will likely override this range
08:00 UTC
Ranging, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 56 · price 160.325
Choppy range, recovered off intraday low.
USD/JPY stayed pinned to the 160.00 handle through the session as the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1% drew no reaction; price chopped between 160.15 and 160.39. The dip to 160.146 was bought back to 160.343, leaving the current bar mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot today is the dominant driver for this read
Close above 160.393 opens the path back toward 161.20
Failure to hold the 160.00 pivot exposes 159
Intervention risk elevated if price accelerates above 160-161
07:45 UTC
Ranging around 160.00, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 160.301
Choppy range, 160.15–160.39 band.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160.00 handle after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced 25bp hike, keeping the pair locked in a 160.15–160.39 range over the last 24h. The latest push to 160.343 was rejected back toward 160.28 before steadying at 160.30; RSI hovers mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.34, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 session high opens room higher
Loss of 160.15 session low exposes the 160.00 pivot
FOMC + dot plot and US Retail Sales Wed are the dominant near-term driver for this pair
07:45 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 54 · price 160.301
Sideways range pinned near 160.00 handle.
USD/JPY holding the 160.00 handle after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1% drew little reaction; price has churned in a 160.00–160.39 range all session. Latest bounce off 160.146 carried back to 160.343 before stalling, RSI(14) neutral mid-range.
Support: 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.343, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 session high opens room higher
Failure to hold 160.146 swing low exposes the 160.00 round number
FOMC decision + dot plot (Wed) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
07:31 UTC
Range-bound, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 61 · price 160.333
Ranging 160.05–160.39, recovering off intraday low.
USD/JPY stays pinned near the 160.00 pivot after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced 1% hike; price has ranged 160.05–160.39 all session. Last bar snapped back to 160.33 off the 160.15 swing low, RSI recovering toward 60 as the range top comes back into view.
Support: 160.15, 160.05
Resistance: 160.34, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 160.15 reopens the 160.05 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the dominant drivers
07:31 UTC
Ranging around 160.00, edging up · RSI 61 · price 160.333
Intraday range 160.05–160.39, current push off the lows.
USD/JPY stays pinned near the 160.00 pivot; price rallied off the 160.15 swing low into the London session, last bar spiking to 160.33. The BoJ's fully-priced 1% hike left the pair flat, with the FOMC dot plot now the dominant driver. Session range capped at 160.39, demand holding above 160.00.
Support: 160.146, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.39
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 prior high opens room higher
Loss of 160.146 swing low reopens the 160.00 psych pivot
FOMC + dot plot Wed could materially shift this read; intervention risk near 160–161
USDJPY dipped to 160.146 on the Ueda press conference ~45 min ago before stabilizing near 160.20, holding the 160.00 pivot. Price is pinned in a 160.05–160.39 range with rejection at 160.346 on the last push higher; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 160.146, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.146 confirms a lower low and reopens 160.047
Reclaim of 160.346 needed to revive the upside push toward the session high
Residual Ueda-conference volatility can still whip the range
07:15 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 160.212
Rangebound around 160 pivot.
USD/JPY pinned to the 160 pivot after the in-line BoJ hike, chopping between 160.05 and 160.39 with little net direction through the Ueda press conference. Latest bars faded from 160.34 back to 160.21, sitting on the 50% retrace of the day's up-leg; RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 160.05
Resistance: 160.29, 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference fallout still live and could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session high; close below 160.05 confirms a lower low
07:01 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 160.208
Ranging 160.15–160.39, mid-range retrace after rejection at the highs.
BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike to 1% with USD/JPY pinned around the 160 pivot; price rallied to 160.39 then rejected, and now sits back at the 50% retrace (160.21) of that move. Ranging 160.15–160.39 with the last sharp candle tagging 160.146 before the close at 160.206.
Support: 160.15, 160.05
Resistance: 160.30, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference is the dominant catalyst — a hawkish tone could break 160.15 support toward the range floor
M15 close below 160.150 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 160.300 reopens the 160.39 session high
07:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 160.208
Choppy range, mid-band.
USD/JPY pinned around the 160.00 pivot; the in-line BoJ hike drew no reaction but a high-volume spike down to 160.146 near the Ueda press conference was bought back to 160.21. Price sits at the 50% retrace of the 160.03–160.39 leg, ranging with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 160.146, 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.34, 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.146 swing low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 160.39 session high reopens the upside
Ueda press conference tone still driving — elevated two-way risk
06:46 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction post-BoJ · RSI 48 · price 160.246
Ranging mid-band between session low and high.
BoJ delivered the in-line 25bp hike to 1% and USDJPY held firm around the 160.00 pivot, with little net reaction through Ueda's press conference. Price is chopping mid-range, repeatedly capped near 160.35–160.39 and finding demand into the 160.05–160.10 zone; no directional break in play.
Support: 160.10, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.388 session high opens room higher
Loss of 160.10 swing low exposes 160.047 and the 160.00 psych pivot
Ueda press-conference tone the live catalyst; hawkish signal could break this range
06:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 160.246
Rangebound around the 160.00 pivot.
USDJPY pinned near 160 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1%, with the Ueda press conference (06:30 UTC) the live catalyst. Price recovered the 160.047 dip back toward 160.35 before fading; rangebound 160.05-160.39 with no clean directional break.
Support: 160.187, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference tone is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this 160.05-160.39 range
M15 close above 160.393 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 160.187 reopens the 160.047 session low and the 160.00 psych level
06:30 UTC
Ranging, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 56 · price 160.291
Range 160.10–160.39, mid-range recovery.
USD/JPY held the 160.00 pivot through the BoJ in-line hike and has chopped between 160.10 and 160.39, currently mid-range at 160.29 with RSI(14) neutral near 56. Dips into the 160.10 low were bought back during the session; the 160.39 session high capped twice.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.35, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference live now (06:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close below 160.10 confirms a lower low and exposes the 160.00 pivot
Close above 160.39 breaks the session range top
06:30 UTC
Range, two-way chop · RSI 55 · price 160.291
Ranging 160.05–160.39, current bar mid-range.
USDJPY pinned in a 160.05–160.39 range through the Asia session after the BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike to 1%, with little immediate reaction. Price dipped to 160.05 then recovered to 160.29; RSI(14) neutral near 55 with the session high at 160.39 unchallenged.
Support: 160.187, 160.047
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda BoJ press conference now underway — could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session high
Loss of 160.05 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
06:16 UTC
Rangebound near 160, recovered off lows · RSI 54 · price 160.284
Intraday range 160.05–160.39, mid-range now.
USDJPY pinned around the 160.00 pivot after the in-line BoJ 1% hike drew little reaction; price bounced from the 160.05 intraday low and is grinding mid-range below the 160.35–160.39 session highs. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.35, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~15 min) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Close above 160.39 session high opens room toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.10 swing low exposes the 160.00 pivot
06:16 UTC
Range, mid-range after BoJ · RSI 54 · price 160.284
Intraday range 160.05–160.39, choppy.
BoJ's in-line 1% hike left USD/JPY pinned at the 160 pivot; price has chopped within 160.05–160.39 all session and now grinds at 160.28 after a rebound off the 160.05 day low. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum edge.
Support: 160.19, 160.047
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~15m) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close above 160.393 opens the path back toward 160.50
Loss of 160.190 reopens the 160.047 day low
06:01 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 160.265
Choppy range 160.10–160.39, mid-range.
USD/JPY chopped in a 160.10–160.39 range through the Asian session; the 160.39 session high was swept earlier with a quick rejection back into the body. Price recovered off the 160.05 dip to mid-range as risk-on flows pinned the yen near 160 after the in-line BoJ hike, with traders parked ahead of Ueda.
Support: 160.155, 160.047
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~30 min) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
Close above 160.39 reopens the upside; reclaim of 160.346 swing high needed first
Failure to hold 160.155 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 160.05 intraday low
06:01 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 160.265
Choppy range, mid-band churn near 160.25.
USD/JPY is pinned near 160.25 after the BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike to 1.00% with little reaction; the pair chopped between the 160.047 session low and the 160.393 session high through the window. A morning dip to 160.05 was bought back to the 160.346 recent high before fading, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 160.19, 160.047
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference ~06:30 UTC (~30m) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 160.393 reopens the upside path; close below 160.047 confirms a lower low
05:45 UTC
Ranging, no clear intraday direction · RSI 52 · price 160.244
Balanced range, current bar mid-range.
USD/JPY pinned around 160.25 in the Asian session after the BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike with no immediate reaction. Price has chopped between 160.05 and 160.39 over the last 24h; buyers stepped in at 160.05 and supply capped the 160.39 session high.
Support: 160.15, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~45m) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path back toward the 160.39+ session high break
Failure to hold 160.047 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
05:45 UTC
Ranging around 160 pivot · RSI 49 · price 160.244
Intraday range, recent pullback off session high.
USD/JPY is chopping just above the 160 pivot after the in-line BoJ hike to 1% drew little reaction; price ran to 160.39 then faded to 160.24. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and the move sits mid-range between 160.15 and 160.39.
Support: 160.15, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.30
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference (~82 min) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close below 160.15 confirms a lower low and exposes the 160.00 pivot
Close above 160.39 reopens the session high break
05:30 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 160.268
Intraday range 160.10–160.39, price mid-upper.
USD/JPY held firm near 160 after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced 1% hike, churning a 160.10–160.39 range across the NY-into-Asia window. Buyers stepped back in from 160.10 and price recovered to 160.35 before easing to 160.27; RSI(14) neutral around 54 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.35, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 opens the path toward 161.20
Loss of 160.10 confirms a lower-low and exposes 160.00
05:30 UTC
Rangebound, pinned near 160 · RSI 53 · price 160.268
Choppy range 160.05-160.39, recent bounce off lows.
USD/JPY is glued to the 160 pivot after the BoJ's fully-priced 25bp hike to 1% drew little reaction. Price swept the 160.05 area then bounced to 160.346 before easing to 160.27, holding inside the 160.05-160.39 range.
Support: 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Close above 160.39 opens a fresh session high; loss of 160.05 confirms a lower low
USD/JPY pinned near 160 after the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1%; price rallied off 160.05 to tag the 160.346 session high then eased back to 160.25. RSI(14) is mid-range and the 24h range top at 160.39 remains intact.
Support: 160.15, 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conf ~06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.346 reopens the 160.393 prior high
Failure to hold 160.15 confirms a lower-low back toward 160.047
05:15 UTC
Ranging around 160, choppy · RSI 53 · price 160.258
Rotation between 160.05 and 160.39.
USD/JPY pinned around the 160 pivot, rotating between 160.05 and the 160.39 session high after the in-line BoJ 25bp hike drew little reaction. Price recovered off 160.05 to retest 160.346 then eased to 160.26; no directional break in play.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~75min) is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session high and extends the range
Failure to hold 160.05 opens 160.00 psych level
05:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 160.258
Consolidation between 160.05 and 160.39.
USDJPY is pinned in a 160.05–160.39 range ahead of the BoJ Ueda presser, the in-line 1% hike already discounted. Price bounced from 160.05 to test 160.346 then faded to 160.26; RSI(14) mid-range near 53, no momentum edge.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 breaks the session range
Loss of 160.05 opens the 160.00 psych level
05:01 UTC
Ranging, pinned around 160.00 · RSI 54 · price 160.258
Intraday range, mid-range chop pre-BoJ.
Asia session has USD/JPY chopping in a 160.05–160.39 range after the in-line BoJ hold to 1.00%, price pinned near the 160.00 pivot. A dip to 160.05 was bought back toward 160.35 before fading to 160.25; RSI(14) sits neutral with no momentum extreme. The Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC is the only catalyst that materially shifts this read.
Support: 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.346, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda presser ~06:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.39 opens the path back toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.05 swing low exposes the 160.00 psych level
USD/JPY rebounded sharply off the 160.05 swing low through the thin Asia session and is now pressing the 160.39 session high, RSI(14) near 63. BoJ delivered the in-line hike to 1.00%; price stayed pinned near 160.30 as the move awaits Ueda's tone.
Support: 160.20, 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference ~06:30 UTC (~105 min) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 session high opens room higher; failure to hold 160.20 pullback low re-exposes the 160.05 swing low
Sustained break of 160.00 psych would flip the intraday structure
04:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 160.318
Rangebound 160.05-160.39, bid into BoJ presser.
USD/JPY pinned in a 160.05-160.39 range over the last 24h, with price now rallying hard off the 160.05 session low back toward the highs as the dollar steadies and yen stays capped post-BoJ hike. RSI(14) near 59, no extreme; current bar is a thin late-Asia print into the Ueda presser.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference in ~150min (06:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
Close above 160.39 opens continuation toward 161.20
USD/JPY swept the session low at 160.05 then snapped back 24 pips into mid-range, RSI(14) recovering near 58. Price held a 160.04-160.39 band through the Asia session ahead of the Ueda presser, pinned around the 160.00 pivot.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~150 min) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
M15 close below 160.05 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 160.39 reopens the session-high break
04:30 UTC
Recovering, pinned near 160 round number · RSI 61 · price 160.289
Rebound off 160.05 back toward session highs.
USDJPY held the 160.00 psych pivot, basing twice near 160.05 before snapping back to 160.29 into the BoJ presser. Yen relief stayed shallow after the in-line 1.00% hike; the session high at 160.39 is the level capping the rebound.
Support: 160.05, 160.00, 159.00
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference ~06:30 UTC (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read in seconds
Close above 160.39 reopens the path toward 161.20
Loss of 160.00 confirms a deeper leg and exposes 159.00
USDJPY is pinned mid-range near 160.20 into the Ueda presser, having swept the session low at 160.05 and rebounded sharply to 160.24 before easing back. RSI(14) sits neutral around 55; the 160.00 psych floor and 160.39 session high cap a roughly 35-pip range.
Support: 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.248, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~150min) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 session high extends the recovery toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.00 psych opens a deeper leg lower
04:15 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 160.205
Ranging 160.05-160.39, mid-range.
Thin Asia-session tape ahead of the BoJ presser — the rate hike to 1.00% landed in-line so price stayed pinned near the 160.00 pivot. After a dip to 160.05, buyers stepped in and snapped price back to 160.24; now consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 160.047, 160.00
Resistance: 160.24, 160.393
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC (~135 min) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
M15 close above 160.24 reopens the path to the 160.39 range high
Failure to hold 160.05 confirms a lower-low toward 160.00
04:01 UTC
Ranging, bounced off range low · RSI 59 · price 160.24
Range 160.05–160.39, price mid-range after recovery.
USD/JPY has ranged 160.05–160.39 through the session with the BoJ hold at 1.00% landing in line and price pinned near 160. The last bar snapped up from the 160.05 swing low to 160.24, but the move is into thin pre-Tokyo flow ahead of the Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda presser 06:30 UTC (~150min) is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 160.05 confirms a lower low toward the 160.00 psych level
USDJPY held the 160.05 swing low and snapped back 17 pips to 160.24 on the in-line BoJ hike to 1.00%, pinned in the 160.05–160.39 range. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and the pair sits mid-range ahead of the Ueda presser.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
Ueda BoJ press conference ~06:30 UTC (~150min) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close below 160.05 confirms a lower-low
Close above 160.39 reopens the session-high test
03:46 UTC
Range, snapping higher into BoJ · RSI 54 · price 160.231
Intraday range 160.05–160.39, recent sweep of lows then sharp recovery.
Asia session dipped to 160.05 then snapped back to 160.23 on the final bar ahead of the BoJ decision (~80 min out), erasing the late-session slide. Price is mid-range between the 160.05 session low and the 160.39 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 160.05, 160.00
Resistance: 160.27, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~80 min and Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
M15 close above 160.27 reopens the 160.39 session high
Failure to hold 160.05 confirms a lower-low toward the 160.00 pivot
03:46 UTC
Range, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 53 · price 160.231
Intraday range, swept lows recovered.
USDJPY stayed glued to the 160.00 handle through Asia, ranging 159.99–160.39 with wide rate differentials capping any yen recovery. The last hour swept the 160.05 lows then snapped back to 160.24 on heavy volume, leaving price mid-range into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.05, 159.99
Resistance: 160.28, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~82 min then Ueda presser are the dominant catalysts and can override this read
Close below 160.05 confirms a lower low and re-tests the 159.99 asia low
Close above 160.39 swing high breaks the Asian range top
03:31 UTC
Downtrend off session high, momentum building lower · RSI 38 · price 160.091
Lower highs from 160.39, testing 160.05 base.
USD/JPY rolled over from the session high at 160.393, printing a chain of lower highs into the Asia session and sliding to 160.05 on the last bar with RSI(14) near 37. Price is pinned just above the 160.00 psych level into the BoJ rate decision due in ~80 minutes.
Support: 160.047, 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (~80 min) and Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 160.00 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 160.16 breaks the recent lower-high chain
USDJPY pinned near 160.10 in late Asia, grinding lower off the 160.39 session high in a chain of lower highs; last bar tagged 160.05 before recovering. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 40, all ahead of the BoJ rate decision and Ueda press conference within the next two hours.
Support: 160.05, 159.99
Resistance: 160.19, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ decision (~1.5h) and Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC will override this structure
Close below 160.04 confirms a lower low and opens 159.99
Reclaim of 160.19 breaks the descending sequence of highs
03:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 160.13
Lower highs since 160.39 peak, holding above 160.10.
USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY window to a 160.39 session high then faded back to 160.13 in Asia, with price now sub-EMA20 and RSI(14) cooling near 41. The retreat stalled at the 160.10 session low, holding the lower edge of the recent up-move into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.27, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~80min plus Ueda presser 06:30 UTC can override this read entirely
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower-low and opens 159.99
Reclaim of 160.27 negates the lower-high sequence
03:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 160.13
Lower highs since 160.39, holding 160.10.
USD/JPY rejected 160.39 during the Asia session and has drifted back to 160.13, now sitting on a deep retracement of the prior up-leg with RSI(14) near 42. Price is pinned just above the 160.10 swing low into the BoJ decision due in roughly 80 minutes.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.20, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (~80 min) and Ueda presser are the dominant risk; either can override this structure
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower low and exposes 160.00
Reclaim of 160.20 reopens the path back toward the 160.39 session high
03:01 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 160.147
Rounded top near 160.39, lower highs into 160.10.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.39 session high during NY hours and slid back to retest the 160.10 swing low, RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price now below EMA20. Buyers stepped in at 160.10 on the last few bars but the pair remains capped under the 160.22 EMA20.
Support: 160.10, 159.74
Resistance: 160.22, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~80min, then Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC — could materially shift this read
M15 close below 160.10 opens 159.74 asian low
Reclaim of 160.22 EMA20 neutralises the pullback
02:46 UTC
Pulled back from session highs, near-term down drift · RSI 41 · price 160.144
Lower highs since 160.39, holding above 160.10.
USDJPY rejected the 160.39 session high and slid through thin Asian-session volume to a 160.10 low before stabilising near 160.14. Lower highs are stacking and price sits below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s ahead of the imminent BoJ decision.
Support: 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.28, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision imminent — could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 160.28 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.10 opens the 159.99 round number
02:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.144
Lower highs, retracing the NY advance.
USDJPY rejected the session high at 160.39 and ground back to 160.14, carving lower highs into thin Asian hours. Buyers stepped in at the 160.10 swing low once; pair coiled just under the 160.20 pivot with RSI around 42. BoJ rate decision is imminent and dwarfs the current structure.
Support: 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~80m could fully override this read
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower low toward 159.99
Reclaim of 160.20 pivot reopens the 160.39 session high
02:31 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 160.186
Lower highs after 160.39 rejection.
USDJPY rejected the 160.393 session high and drifted back to retrace half of the prior advance, holding around 160.10–160.19 through the thin Asian hours. RSI(14) near 46, price below EMA20/50 — pullback structure, but the read is dominated by the BoJ decision due in roughly 80 minutes.
Support: 160.101
Resistance: 160.262, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (~80m) and Ueda presser will override this intraday structure
M15 close below 160.10 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Lower highs from 160.39 into 160.10, minor bounce.
Asia session faded off the 160.39 session high in a chain of lower highs into 160.10, where it found a base and bounced back to 160.19. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; BoJ decision in roughly 90 minutes is the dominant risk into this read.
Support: 160.10
Resistance: 160.26, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~1.5h and Ueda press conference will override this structure
Loss of 160.10 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 160.26 neutralises the pullback read
02:16 UTC
Pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 43 · price 160.16
Lower highs off 160.39, consolidating near 160.15.
Asian session pinned around 160 into the BoJ decision; price rejected the 160.39 session high and slid to 160.10 before stabilising near 160.16, RSI(14) mid-range. Lower highs are forming and price sits below both EMAs after the fade.
Support: 160.10, 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.27, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~1h could materially shift this read
Close below 160.10 session low opens the path to the 160.00 round number
Reclaim of 160.27 swing high needed to retarget the 160.39 session high
02:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 160.16
Intraday range, fading off session high.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.39 session high and faded back to 160.16, sitting just above 160.10 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Pinned near the 160.00 pivot into the BoJ decision, with carry shorts capping yen recovery despite a risk-on tape.
Support: 160.10, 160.00, 159.74
Resistance: 160.24, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~80min (f/c 1%) plus Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC will materially shift this read
Loss of 160.10 session low opens 160.00 psych then 159.74 o/n low
Close back above 160.24 swing high re-engages 160.39 session high
02:01 UTC
Intraday pullback after rally · RSI 42 · price 160.142
Session high rejected, retracing into Asia.
USDJPY rallied through the prior session to a high at 160.39, then faded back to the 160.10 area, now pinned near 160.14 — a 61.8% retrace of that up-move. Pair stayed glued to the 160.00 pivot into the BoJ decision, with RSI(14) cooling toward 40.
Support: 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.27, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~82 min (f/c 1%) plus Ueda at 06:30 UTC will override this structural read
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower-low and opens 159.99
Reclaim of 160.27 puts the 160.39 session high back in play
Lower highs into 160 pivot, holding above session low.
USDJPY drifted off the 160.39 session high and is pinned at the 160.00 pivot, RSI(14) sub-40 after a volume-led leg down to 160.10. Price held above 160 in a tight overnight range despite a risk-on, oil-down tape; wide rate differentials and extreme short positioning capped any yen recovery.
Support: 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.24, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~82 min (f/c 1%) plus Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC — fully-priced hike means a hawkish path or a dovish tone could materially shift this read
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower low and opens 159.99
Reclaim of 160.24 negates the downside drift
01:46 UTC
Short-term downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 40 · price 160.119
Lower highs since 160.39, drifting toward 160.10.
Asia session has drifted lower off the 160.39 session high, printing a chain of lower highs and sliding to 160.12 with price below both EMAs. USD/JPY held firm near 160 into the BoJ decision (~80 min out, hike to 1% fully priced); the 25bp hike is a live binary that can override this micro-structure.
Support: 160.10, 160.04
Resistance: 160.20, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + Ueda presser in ~80 min could materially shift this read
Break below 160.10 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 160.04
Reclaim of 160.20 negates the lower-high chain
01:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 38 · price 160.119
Lower highs since 160.39, deep retrace.
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.39 session high through the Asia session, printing lower highs and slipping back toward the 160.10 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 38. Price held the 160.00 pivot through the overnight grind; BoJ rate decision (1% expected) lands within the next ~1.5h and dominates the next bars.
Support: 160.10, 160.00, 159.74
Resistance: 160.24, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ decision and Ueda presser imminent — will override this read
M15 close below 160.00 exposes the 159.74 overnight low
Reclaim of 160.24 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 160.152
Rejected at session high, drifting lower.
NY session drove USDJPY to a 160.39 session high before rejection, then price bled lower through the thin Asia session to 160.15, holding just above 160.00. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the recent leg unwinds, with the BoJ rate decision (03:00 UTC) now imminent.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + statement at 03:00 UTC (~1.5h) can materially shift this read
Loss of 160.10 opens the path to the 160.00 psych level
M15 close back above 160.28 re-engages the 160.39 session high
01:31 UTC
Uptrend faded, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 160.152
Lower highs off 160.39, retracing the NY rally.
USDJPY rallied through London-NY to a session high at 160.39, then faded back to 160.15 through Asia, printing lower highs and slicing below EMA20/50. Price now sits mid-range above the 160.10 floor with RSI(14) near 40 — pinned ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.10, 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.28, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~1.5h) is the dominant risk and can override this structure
M15 close below 160.10 confirms a lower low and opens the 160.00 round number
Reclaim of 160.28 would negate the lower-high sequence
01:15 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 160.207
Lower highs off 160.39, holding above 160.15.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.39 session high and drifted lower to test 160.155 before stabilising at 160.207, RSI(14) cooling near 43 and price slipping below EMA20 around 160.28. BoJ rate decision is due at 03:00 UTC, roughly two hours out — a 25bp hike to 1% is fully priced.
Support: 160.155, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 160.28 (ema20) reopens the 160.39 session high
Break of 160.155 session low exposes the 160.00 round number
01:15 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 160.207
Pullback from session high inside range.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.393 session high during late NY and has drifted to 160.20, now sitting on the 50% retrace of the prior 159.99-160.393 leg in thin Asian trade. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI near 42; BoJ rate decision in ~2h dominates the read.
Support: 160.155, 160.00
Resistance: 160.393, 160.28
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC will override this intraday read
M15 close below 160.155 confirms a lower-low and opens 160.00
Reclaim of 160.28 puts the 160.393 session high back in play
01:01 UTC
Short-term pullback within range · RSI 43 · price 160.207
Lower highs off 160.39, holding above 160.00.
USDJPY rolled over from the NY session high at 160.39 into a string of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling near 43. Dips into 160.155 have been bought back during thin Asia hours, with price now mid-range around 160.20 and the 160.00 psych floor untested.
Support: 160.155, 160.00
Resistance: 160.275, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~2h) plus 06:30 UTC presser will materially shift this read
Loss of 160.155 exposes the 160.00 psych level
Reclaim of 160.275 negates the lower-high sequence
01:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 160.207
Rally to session high then fade, lower highs forming.
Price pushed to a session high at 160.39 through the prior session then faded to 160.20, slipping below both EMAs as RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s. USD/JPY remains pinned near the 160.00 pivot, dips bought, with the pullback respecting the 160.155 swing low so far.
Support: 160.155, 159.99
Resistance: 160.28, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~2h out) — could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 160.28 reopens the 160.39 session high
Failure to hold 160.155 swing low exposes the 159.99 asian low
NY session capped at 160.39 and Asia has drifted lower in thin volume, printing lower highs down to 160.22, with price now sub-EMA20 and RSI(14) easing into the low 40s. USD sits at 10-day lows but JPY remains pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ — dips into 160.22 have been bought so far.
Support: 160.22, 160.00
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Loss of 160.22 swing low opens the path toward the 160.00 psych level
Reclaim of 160.31 lower high would negate the Asia downtrend
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 44 · price 160.231
Rejection off session high, drifting lower on thin volume.
USDJPY rallied through the window to a session high at 160.393 before rejecting and drifting back to 160.23 on thin Asia-hours volume. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral as price slipped below EMA20; the 160.22 swing low is the immediate floor under price into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.22, 160.00, 159.987
Resistance: 160.31, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~2h) is the dominant risk — a hawkish surprise could trigger a sharp move below 159
Loss of 160.22 swing low opens the 160.00 psych level
Close back above 160.31 prior high re-engages the session-high test
USD/JPY drifted off the 160.39 session high and is grinding lower through thin Asian-session volume, pinned just above the 160.00 pivot. Price has carved lower highs since the 160.39 rejection while dips into 160.22 held; the broad range stays intact ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.22, 160.00, 159.94
Resistance: 160.30, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + statement at 03:00 UTC (~2.5h) — base case 1% hike is priced; hawkish guidance is the squeeze risk
Close below 160.00 opens 159.94 range low
Reclaim of 160.30 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
00:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.254
Lower highs into thin Asia, holding above 160.00.
USDJPY rejected the 160.39 session high and faded back to 160.25 through a thin Asia tape, carving lower highs. Price holds the 38.2% retrace of the 159.99–160.39 leg and sits above the 160.00 psych pivot ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.22, 160.00
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~2.5h) will override this intraday read
M15 close above 160.31 swing high reasserts the prior leg
Loss of 160.22 recent low opens 160.00 psych pivot
00:16 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 42 · price 160.235
Lower highs into thin pre-BoJ hours.
USD/JPY rolled over from the session high at 160.393 and is grinding lower through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as price slips under EMA20. Lower highs are stacking toward the 160.22 swing low, with the 160.00 pivot below; dips have been shallow all window.
Support: 160.22, 160.00
Resistance: 160.345, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~3h) plus 06:30 press conference can override this micro read entirely
Sustained break below 160.00 confirms a deeper unwind of the uptrend
M15 close back above 160.345 negates the lower-high sequence
NY hours pushed USDJPY to a 160.393 session high before rejection; Asia has drifted back to the 0.382 retracement near 160.24 on very thin volume. Price holds above 160.00 with dips bought all session ahead of the BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC.
Support: 160.22, 159.99, 160.00
Resistance: 160.30, 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC will override this read — hawkish guidance risks a squeeze through 159.99
M15 close below 160.22 swing low opens 160.00 round number
Reclaim of 160.30 swing high reopens the 160.39 session high
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 160.246
Higher highs into 160.39, now retracing.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY-Asia transition to a 160.39 session high, then faded on thin Asian liquidity back to 160.25 — sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the 159.99-160.39 leg. Price slipped below EMA20 but holds above EMA50; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s.
Support: 160.00, 159.89
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 160.39, then faded into thin Asia trade and now sits at 160.246, slipping below the EMA20. Price held above the 160.00 pivot all session as dips were bought into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.31, 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~3h) — a hawkish signal could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.00 pivot would confirm a deeper pullback
Reclaim of 160.31 swing high reopens the session high at 160.39