USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 15 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 47 · price 160.274
Consolidating below session high after pullback.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY to peak at 160.39, then faded back to 160.27 as liquidity thinned into late Asia hours ahead of the BoJ. Dips above 160.00 have been bought repeatedly, but the recent rejection at 160.39 and slip under EMA20 has flattened momentum.
Support: 159.99, 159.88
Resistance: 160.39, 160.32
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~3h) — hike to 1% priced; guidance can override this read entirely
M15 close below 159.99 breaks the rising-low sequence
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 160.39 before stalling and drifting back to 160.27 in thin Asia trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback holds above the 160.03 swing low; price sits just under EMA20 with the broader intraday uptrend intact.
Support: 160.27, 160.03, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC then presser 06:30 UTC will dominate the next bars
Loss of 160.00 would break the rising HL structure
Close back above 160.39 reopens the path toward 161.20
Consolidation below session high after NY grind up.
USDJPY ground higher through NY to a session high at 160.393, then drifted back to 160.30 in thin late-Asia trade, RSI cooling toward neutral. Dips have been shallow, holding the 160.28 area while 160.39 caps; price sits just below EMA20.
Support: 160.284, 160.16
Resistance: 160.393
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~3.5h (03:00 UTC) — hike to 1% priced; guidance can materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 reopens the 160.39+ session-high break
Failure to hold 160.28 exposes 160.16 and confirms a lower-low
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USD/JPY ground from the 159.88 session low up to a 160.39 high, now stalling around 160.30 in thin Asia-hours trade with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Dips have been bought all session and the 160.00 pivot holds well below; price is hugging EMA20 after the pullback.
Support: 160.00, 159.88
Resistance: 160.39, 160.31
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~3.5h) — hawkish guidance could trigger a short-squeeze break of 159.88
Reclaim of 160.39 reopens the path higher; loss of 160.00 breaks the rising-low chain
23:15 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 160.323
Rising lows, ranging under session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the London-NY sessions to a 160.39 session high before stalling; price is now consolidating 160.28-160.36 in thin Asia hours. The pair stays pinned near 160 with dips bought, RSI(14) mid-range around 56 — no momentum extreme. BoJ rate decision in roughly 4h is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 160.28, 160.10
Resistance: 160.39, 160.27
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC and Ueda presser could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground up from the Asian low near 159.88 to a session high at 160.39, then stalled into thin late-Asia trade around 160.32, holding above the 160.29 swing low. Momentum has flattened with RSI(14) back near mid-range; price pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.29
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 160.29 breaks the rising intraday support
Stair-step higher highs, now flattening into thin hours.
Grinding uptrend held all session, tagging a high of 160.39 before easing back to 160.32 on thin late-Asia volume. USDJPY remains pinned near 160 with dips bought; price holds above EMA20/50 but RSI(14) near 57 shows momentum cooling.
Support: 160.28
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.28 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 160.39 reopens the path toward 161.20
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 160.39, now flat on thin Asia volume.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 160.39, with the Dollar pinned near 160 into the BoJ despite broad USD softness. Price has since stalled flat around 160.32 on thin Asia-hours volume, RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 160.28, 160.16
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Break above 160.39 session high opens path toward the 161.20 pivot
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the window from 159.88 to a session high of 160.39, with the yen pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ. Price has since stalled into thin Asia-session liquidity, pulling back to 160.32 and holding above the 160.28 swing low.
Support: 160.28, 160.10
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 160.28 breaks the rising support and opens 160.10
Reclaim of 160.39 resumes the higher-high sequence
Steady grind higher through London-NY into the Asia session, peaking at the 160.39 session high before drifting back to 160.32 on thin late-session volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme. USDJPY pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.28
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision/Ueda presser in ~5h could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 extends the uptrend toward the 161.20 pivot
Loss of 160.28 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling near highs · RSI 57 · price 160.335
Higher highs / higher lows, capped at 160.39.
USD/JPY ground higher through London-NY to a 160.39 session high, then stalled in thin Asia trade with volume collapsing into the 160.30s. Pair pinned around 160 as wide US-Japan rate differentials and crowded yen shorts keep dips bought ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.28
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 resumes the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 160.28 breaks the rising-low structure
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback off session high.
USDJPY ground higher through London-NY into a session high at 160.39, then eased back to 160.28 which held; RSI(14) cooling from the highs as Asian volumes thin out. Pair pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ, in line with the wide US-Japan rate-differential backdrop.
Support: 160.28, 160.16
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.39 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 160.28 exposes 160.16 and the rising support line
BoJ rate decision ~03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 160.337
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
Steady NY-into-Asia grind higher, USD/JPY printing a session high at 160.39 before easing to 160.33 on thin Asian volume. Yen pinned near 160 with dips bought ahead of the BoJ; the rising HH/HL chain holds while 160.28 supports.
Support: 160.28
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision ~03:00 UTC (hike to 1% priced) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 160.28 breaks the rising sequence
Reclaim and close above 160.39 reopens the session high
22:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 160.337
Stair-step higher highs, low-volume drift.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session to tag 160.39 before easing to 160.34 on thin late-session volume, holding firmly around the 160 area as wide US-Japan rate differentials keep the yen pinned. Pullbacks have been shallow and bought, but the move into the BoJ decision is low-conviction.
Support: 160.284
Resistance: 160.393, 160.24
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 extends the session uptrend
Loss of 160.284 breaks the rising low chain
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.348
Rising lows, session high tagged at 160.39.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session, tagging a session high at 160.39 before easing to 160.35 on very thin late-session volume. Dips were bought repeatedly around 160.00–160.10; the pair stays pinned near 160 into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.10, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~5h could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 extends the session-high break
Failure to hold 160.10 confirms a lower-low
22:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 160.348
Rising highs and lows, pinned near session high.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through NY into thin Asia hours, tagging a session high at 160.393 before easing to 160.348; volume has thinned sharply on the last few bars. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no exhaustion. Pair pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.284, 160.029, 159.987
Resistance: 160.393, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (hike to 1% priced) plus Ueda presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.393 extends the uptrend toward the 161.20 pivot
Loss of 160.284 then 160.029 breaks the rising-low chain
21:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 160.312
Rising HH/HL chain, pullback off session high.
NY session ground steadily higher into 160.39 then eased back to 160.31 on thinning late-session volume; the rising sequence of higher lows off 160.03 stays intact. Price held above 160 all window as the US-Iran relief bid in risk kept the yen pinned ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.27, 159.99
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 160.27 breaks the rising low structure
Reclaim of 160.39 reopens the path toward the 161.20 supply cap
21:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 160.312
Rising HH/HL chain into session high.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 160.39 before easing to 160.31 on thin late-session volume. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 62 — firm but not stretched — as the pair stays pinned around 160 into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.28, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant risk for the next bars
M15 close above 160.39 extends the session high; loss of 160.28 breaks the rising-low chain
Sustained slip below 160.00 round number negates the uptrend read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 59 · price 160.307
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
Steady grind higher through NY into Asia, printing a session high at 160.39 before easing back to 160.31 on thin late-session volume. Dips bought along a rising support line near 160.25; JPY stays soft into the BoJ decision despite a broadly weaker USD.
Support: 160.25, 160.13
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.13 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 160.39 reopens the path toward the 161.20 pivot
BoJ rate decision/Ueda presser ahead — a hawkish surprise could trigger a sharp reversal in this read
21:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.307
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher toward 160.39 with dips bought near 160.00, yen soft into the BoJ decision despite a hike to 1% being fully priced. Pullback off the 160.39 session high stalled at 160.30, RSI(14) cooling from elevated levels but structure intact.
Support: 159.99
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 161.20 pivot
Loss of 159.99 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision (03:00 UTC) and Ueda presser could materially shift this read
21:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 160.307
Higher highs and higher lows into 160.40.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session in a steady channel of higher lows, tagging a session high at 160.39 before easing to 160.31 on thin late-session volume. Price holds above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 58 — momentum intact but not extended; dips have been bought as the yen stays soft near 160 ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.27, 160.16
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
A close back below 160.16 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 160.39 session high opens room toward 160.50
BoJ rate decision/Ueda presser is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
USDJPY ground higher through the window to a session high at 160.39 before easing back to 160.30, dips bought repeatedly near 160.10-160.13. JPY stayed soft into the BoJ decision despite the priced 1% hike; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 160.13
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.13 would break the higher-low chain
Close above 160.39 extends the session range higher
BoJ rate decision and Ueda presser ahead — hawkish surprise risks a sharp yen short squeeze toward 159
Higher highs into late NY, grinding toward session high.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session along a rising support line, printing a session high at 160.39 before easing to 160.34 as momentum cooled, RSI(14) off its peak near 62. Risk-on flow after the US-Iran ceasefire kept dips bought and price pinned just under 160.40.
Support: 160.27
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 extends the uptrend toward the 161.20 cited pivot
Loss of the 160.27 swing low breaks the rising support line
BoJ decision and FOMC later this week are the dominant catalysts for this pair
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 160.39 high, JPY soft near the 160 handle as the US-Iran relief move keeps risk firm and shorts position for the BoJ. Pullback to 160.34 holds above the rising structure, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme reading.
Support: 160.27, 160.13
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
Close above 160.39 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 160.13 prior range breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) + Ueda presser (06:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 160.336
Rising highs and lows into session high.
NY session ground USD/JPY up to a session high of 160.39 before a shallow pull back to 160.34, RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Dips stayed bought near the 160.00 round level through the day as carry demand held the pair pinned just under 160.40 into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.27, 160.00
Resistance: 160.39, 160.45
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC and presser could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.39 extends the session high run
Failure to hold 160.27 breaks the rising-low sequence
20:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.336
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, posting a session high at 160.393 before easing to 160.34, with price pinned near the 160 handle into the BoJ decision. RSI(14) near 64 and ATR a tight ~5 pips — dips into the rising support have been bought repeatedly, keeping the higher-low structure intact.
Support: 160.281
Resistance: 160.393, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC and press conference 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.281 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Close above 160.393 session high opens the path toward 161.20
Rising higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through NY hours into a session high at 160.39 before easing back to 160.33, dips bought repeatedly as carry demand held near 160. The chain of higher lows is intact with RSI(14) cooling from the highs but still firm.
Support: 160.27, 160.16
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ decision ~03:00 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.27 rising low breaks the higher-low sequence
Close above 160.39 session high extends the move
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.334
Higher highs and higher lows since London lows.
USDJPY pinned near 160.33 after pushing to a fresh session high at 160.39 and pulling back, holding above an ascending series of lows since the 159.79 London base. RSI(14) around 62, no extreme, with dips bought into the 160.27 area on carry demand ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.27, 160.16
Resistance: 160.39
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (hike to 1% priced) plus press conf 06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — guidance can shift this read sharply
Loss of 160.27 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 160.39 session high extends the grind higher
20:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 74 · price 160.388
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.39, RSI(14) hot near 73 but not extreme. Dips into 160.27 were bought as carry demand kept the pair bid near 160 despite a softer USD tape; the rising-low structure remains intact.
Support: 160.27, 160.13
Resistance: 160.39, 160.50
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.13 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision and press conference ahead are the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.50 psych level
20:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 71 · price 160.388
Chain of higher highs/higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.39, holding a clean higher-high/higher-low chain with dips bought into the BoJ. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this grind; carry demand keeping the 160 handle bid.
Support: 160.27
Resistance: 160.39, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~7h) and press conference 06:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Loss of 160.27 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 160.39 extends the breakout toward 161.20
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.304
Higher highs / higher lows, rising channel.
USDJPY ground higher through the session, dips bought near 160.20 and stacking higher lows into a session high at 160.33 with RSI elevated but not extreme. Price remains pinned near 160 as carry demand absorbs sellers ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.33, 160.50
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision + press conference is the dominant catalyst — could override this structure
M15 close below 160.20 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Acceptance above the 160.33 session high opens the path toward the 160.50 round number
20:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.304
Steady higher highs/lows into late NY.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.33, dips bought as USD softness from the safe-haven unwind is offset by carry demand pinning the pair near 160. RSI(14) ~67, hot but consistent with the trend; ATR sits around 4 pips, a tight late-session range.
Support: 160.26
Resistance: 160.33, 160.50
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision ~7h away (03:00 UTC) — dominant catalyst, can reset this read
Close back below 160.26 breaks the rising intraday structure
Acceptance above 160.33 extends the grind toward 160.50
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 66 · price 160.284
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing higher lows and pressing the session high at 160.33 with USD soft after weak Empire State/Industrial Production prints. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; dips into 160.03–160.10 have been bought consistently.
Support: 160.10, 160.03
Resistance: 160.331
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.03 breaks the rising support and prints a lower low
Stall at 160.33 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
BoJ decision and FOMC ahead this week could materially reprice this range
19:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into BoJ · RSI 64 · price 160.284
Rising lows, testing session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, pinned near 160 into the BoJ, with the current bar stalling at the 160.33 session high. RSI is cooling off the high while the rising-low chain from 160.03 stays intact.
Support: 160.16, 160.07, 160.00
Resistance: 160.331
What it said to watch
Close below 160.16 breaks the rising-low chain
Break above 160.33 session high extends the intraday uptrend
BoJ decision ~7h out (03:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for this read
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 160.307
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY session ground steadily higher into a fresh session high at 160.331, RSI(14) hot near 70 but normal in this trend. Dips were bought through the session with USDJPY pinned near 160 ahead of a near-certain BoJ hike; price holds above the 160.16 swing low.
Support: 160.16
Resistance: 160.331, 160.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.16 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Close above 160.331 session high opens the path toward the 160.50 round number
BoJ decision and press conference are the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 68 · price 160.307
HH/HL chain into session high.
NY session ground higher in a tight rising channel, printing a fresh session high at 160.33 with an intact HH/HL chain off the 160.03 low. RSI(14) near 67 — firm but not extreme; USDJPY pinned just above 160 ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.24, 160.16, 160.03
Resistance: 160.33
What it said to watch
Close above 160.33 extends the session high
Loss of 160.24 breaks the HH/HL chain
BoJ decision is the dominant near-term catalyst — tone could materially shift this read
19:15 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 68 · price 160.294
Higher highs/higher lows since the 160.03 low.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY afternoon into a fresh session high at 160.316, pinned near 160 after the priced-in BoJ hike with soft oil and wide rate differentials keeping dips bought. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — as price holds the upper edge of the intraday range.
Support: 160.16
Resistance: 160.316, 160.50
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.16 swing low breaks the rising sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Sustained break above 160.316 session high opens room toward the 160.50 psych level
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, posting a clean chain of higher lows from 160.03 into a fresh session high at 160.316, with USD softness from the oil-driven safe-haven unwind doing little to dent the bid. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not stretched; price now stalling just under 160.32.
Support: 160.20, 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.32, 160.50
What it said to watch
Loss of the 160.20 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 160.32 extends the session high toward 160.50
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves into the close
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 160.273
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 160.307, the dollar firming despite the broader safe-haven unwind; price now stalling just under that high with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme. The advance off the 159.79 low remains an orderly HH/HL chain into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.16, 160.10
Resistance: 160.31, 160.50
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.16 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 160.31 session high extends the move toward 160.50
19:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.273
Higher highs and higher lows since London lows.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session off the 159.79 London low, printing a clean chain of higher lows into a 160.307 session high before easing to 160.27. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not yet stretched; the modest USD relief slide is being offset here as the pair stays pinned near 160 post-BoJ.
Support: 160.16, 160.10, 159.99
Resistance: 160.307, 160.24
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.31 extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 160.16 breaks the rising structure
Loss of 159.99 confirms a lower low
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 71 · price 160.291
Higher highs and higher lows since 160.03.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, posting a chain of higher lows off 160.03 to print a fresh session high at 160.29, RSI(14) running hot near 71. The pair is pinned just under 160 territory into the BoJ decision, with the dollar softer on faded Iran-risk premium.
Support: 160.16, 160.07, 160.03
Resistance: 160.29
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~8h) is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Break and hold above 160.29 extends the session uptrend
Higher highs and higher lows since the 159.79 low.
USD/JPY climbed steadily through the NY session, printing higher lows off 159.79 and pressing the session high at 160.29 as the softer dollar and oil-led risk-on tone kept the pair pinned near 160. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with the last bars making fresh highs on thin range (ATR ~4 pips).
Support: 160.16, 159.79
Resistance: 160.29, 160.30
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 160.30 extends the uptrend
Loss of 160.16 breaks the recent higher-low chain
BoJ rate decision in ~8h (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.262
Rising HH/HL chain into session high.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ as the US-Iran ceasefire softened the dollar. Price is pressing the session high at 160.28 with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched; a clean chain of higher lows holds above 160.16.
Support: 160.16
Resistance: 160.28
What it said to watch
Close above 160.28 extends the rising channel; failure to hold 160.16 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ rate decision (03:00 UTC, f/c 1%) and press conference could materially shift this read
18:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.262
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session, posting a chain of higher lows and stalling at the 160.28 session high with RSI(14) near 67. Move follows a soft-USD backdrop after the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven bid, but price is pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.16, 160.10
Resistance: 160.28, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 16 Jun 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 160.28 extends the session high toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.16 breaks the higher-low chain
18:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 65 · price 160.267
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 160.279, RSI(14) in the mid-60s with the pair pinned near 160 as a US-Iran ceasefire softened the dollar and lifted risk crosses. Buyers held the 160.13 swing low on each pullback; the rising sequence remains intact.
Support: 160.16, 160.13
Resistance: 160.279
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.279 extends the session high
Close below 160.13 breaks the rising swing-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 160.267
Higher highs and higher lows since the 159.73 low.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 160.28 with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along the rising lows from 159.73; dips have been shallow as the dollar steadied near 160 into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.16, 160.10
Resistance: 160.28, 160.24
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (03:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
Loss of 160.16 would break the rising lows sequence
A close above 160.28 extends the session-high run
18:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 160.263
Higher highs into session top.
USD/JPY ground up through the late session to a high at 160.276, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 67. Chain of higher lows from 160.029 intact; pair pinned just under 160.28 as the dollar steadies into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.16, 160.029
Resistance: 160.276
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
M15 close back below 160.160 breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained move above 160.276 extends the rally
18:00 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 68 · price 160.263
Higher highs and higher lows off 160.03.
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through NY hours, posting a session high at 160.276 off the 160.03 low, with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extended. Pair pinned near 160.25 as risk-on flows from the US-Iran ceasefire kept JPY soft into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.16, 160.03
Resistance: 160.28
What it said to watch
Close above 160.28 extends the intraday higher-high chain
Loss of 160.16 then 160.03 breaks the rising-low structure
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~9h) can override this read entirely
17:46 UTC
Micro uptrend pressing range top · RSI 68 · price 160.27
Higher lows into session high, broad range 159.73-160.28.
USD/JPY grinding up to the session high at 160.27, holding the 160 pivot as risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire caps the yen. Micro-structure is a steady chain of higher lows off 160.00 with RSI(14) elevated near 68; price now testing the 160.28 range top.
Support: 160.03, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.28 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the lower half of the range
BoJ decision tomorrow (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the NY session to fresh highs at 160.28, holding the 160 pivot after the BoJ's priced-in hike left record yen shorts comfortable amid the broad risk-on tone. Higher lows intact off 160.03; RSI(14) firm near 67 without stretching to extremes.
Support: 160.16, 160.03, 160.00
Resistance: 160.28
What it said to watch
Break above the 160.28 session high opens room toward the 161.20 area
Loss of the 160.16 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Fed Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:30 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 160.236
Higher highs/higher lows since the 160.03 base.
USDJPY grinding higher into the NY session, pressing the 160.248 session high with risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire keeping JPY soft after the priced-in BoJ hike to 1%. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not extreme; price holds well above EMA20/50.
Support: 160.16, 160.10
Resistance: 160.248
What it said to watch
Failure to clear 160.248 keeps the session capped
Break below 160.160 breaks the higher-low chain
Japan Trade data 23:50 UTC and Wed FOMC could shift this read
17:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 64 · price 160.236
Higher lows since 159.73, pressing range top.
BoJ hiked to 1% as fully priced and the cautious tone left yen shorts comfortable, keeping USD/JPY pinned above the 160 pivot. Price has ground up through NY hours to the session high at 160.248, RSI(14) firm near 64 but not yet stretched.
Support: 160.10
Resistance: 160.248, 161.20
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 160.248 opens the path toward 161.20
Loss of 160.10 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed/Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session off the 160.06 range low, tagging 160.24 before easing to 160.21 with RSI(14) near 60 — pinned to the 160 pivot ahead of the BoJ. Risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire has capped yen demand, leaving price grinding rather than breaking.
Support: 160.16, 160.06, 160.00
Resistance: 160.24
What it said to watch
BoJ decision in ~10h (03:00 UTC) — guidance can break this 160 pivot read
M15 close above 160.24 opens room toward 160.40
Failure to hold 160.16 puts the 160.06 range low back in play
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 63 · price 160.213
Higher highs and higher lows off 160.03.
NY session ground higher off the 160.04 swing low to a fresh session high at 160.24, holding above the 160 pivot. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; BoJ's hike to 1% is already priced and the risk-on tone is keeping the yen capped.
Support: 160.10, 160.04, 160.00
Resistance: 160.24
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.24 extends the session high sequence
Failure to hold 160.10 unwinds the higher-low chain back toward 160.04
FOMC Wed + US Retail Sales could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Micro-uptrend off session low · RSI 60 · price 160.213
Higher lows, pressing session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, tagging a fresh session high at 160.24 before easing back to 160.21 as the 160 pivot holds; risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire is capping JPY into the BoJ event. Higher lows since the 159.79 low keep the intraday structure constructive, RSI mid-range with room.
Support: 160.144, 159.788
Resistance: 160.24, 160.28
What it said to watch
Close above 160.28 extends the breakout toward the 161.20 area
Loss of 160.14 higher low neutralises the micro-uptrend
BoJ decision/press conference is the dominant near-term risk and can override this structure
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 160.213
Higher highs into session high.
Price clawed back to the 160.24 session high through NY hours after basing near 160.03, holding above the 160 pivot. Risk-on tone post-Iran ceasefire and a priced-in BoJ hike keep JPY soft; momentum constructive but RSI(14) at 63 leaves room either way.
Support: 160.03, 160.00
Resistance: 160.24, 160.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.24 opens path toward 160.28
Failure to hold 160.00 round number confirms a lower-low
Japan Trade/Exports at 23:50 UTC could shift this read
NY session grinding back toward the 160.20 session high after building higher lows off 160.03, RSI(14) mid-60s. Pair pinned near 160 into the BoJ decision with dips bought, but 160.20 has rejected price repeatedly.
Support: 160.03
Resistance: 160.20, 160.24
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens path toward the 160.24 prior high
Loss of 160.03 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision ~10h out (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 59 · price 160.19
Higher lows, pressing session high.
USDJPY ground back up to the 160.20 session high during NY hours, holding near 160 into tomorrow's BoJ as dips were bought off 160.04. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows, RSI mid-range with room before overbought.
Support: 160.04
Resistance: 160.20, 160.24
What it said to watch
Close above 160.20 opens the path toward 160.24
Failure to hold 160.04 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ decision (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY clawed back from the 159.79 intraday low to retest the session high at 160.20, where it stalled and pulled back to 160.16, RSI cooling from the low-60s. Dips bought on a chain of higher lows, but the pair is pinned below 160.20 into the BoJ decision with USD soft near 10-day lows.
Support: 160.10, 160.03, 159.79
Resistance: 160.205, 160.24
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.205 session high opens path toward 160.24
Loss of 160.10 minor pivot exposes the 160.03 session low
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 58 · price 160.164
HH/HL recovery off 160.03, consolidating below 160.20.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, building HHs off 160.03 to tag the session high at 160.20 before easing back to 160.16. Pair held near 160 all day as risk-on from the US-Iran deal and lower oil offset the wide rate gap; price now consolidating just under the 160.20 cap.
Support: 160.07, 160.03, 160.00
Resistance: 160.20, 160.24
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 session high opens room toward 160.24
Loss of 160.07 recent low exposes 160.00 round and the 160.03 swing low
BoJ decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) and presser could materially shift this read
NY session has ground higher off the 160.03 dip low, with price now testing the prior swing-high cluster near 160.22 and RSI(14) around 67. The pair stayed pinned near 160 into tomorrow's BoJ, dips bought despite softer oil; rising support off 160.03 is intact.
Support: 160.10, 160.03
Resistance: 160.22, 160.24
What it said to watch
Close above 160.22 opens the path toward the 160.24 swing high
Loss of 160.10 exposes the 160.03 dip low and breaks rising support
BoJ rate decision (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 160.202
Higher lows, testing 160.20 highs.
USDJPY ground back from the 159.73 low to retest the 160.20 session high through NY hours, printing a clean higher-low chain. Dips were bought near 160.03 and 160.10 as the rate-gap kept the pair bid into tomorrow's BoJ; RSI(14) firm but not extreme.
Support: 160.10, 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 16-Jun 03:00 UTC (hike to 1% priced) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.23 opens the path toward 161.20
Failure to hold 160.10 breaks the higher-low chain
16:00 UTC
Sideways, holding near 160.10 · RSI 57 · price 160.176
Range after recovery off 159.73.
USD/JPY recovered off the 159.73 low and is ranging 160.04-160.20 through NY, pinned near 160 as broad risk-on caps the yen. Last bars edged back toward the 160.20 session high but no clean break; RSI mid-range.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 reopens the 160.228 prior high
Loss of 160.04 swing low exposes 159.99 range low
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (1% hike priced) could materially shift this read
16:00 UTC
Rangebound, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 160.176
Range 160.03-160.20, near range top.
USD/JPY chopping in a 160.03-160.20 band, now pressing the range top after a recovery off the 160.03 low, RSI(14) near 61. Pair held bid near 160 as the priced-in BoJ hike and risk-on from the US-Iran deal capped the yen.
Support: 160.03, 160.00, 159.94
Resistance: 160.20, 160.21
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path toward prior highs
Loss of 160.03 confirms a lower low and reopens the gap low at 159.94
JPY Trade Balance at 23:50 UTC could shift the read
15:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging near 160.15 · RSI 56 · price 160.152
Range-bound 160.03–160.20 after bounce from 159.73.
USDJPY bounced from the 159.73 session low and has chopped in a 160.03–160.20 range through the NY session, holding flat near 160 as a US-Iran deal-driven risk-on tone capped the yen. Price sits at the 61.8% retrace of the 160.23→160.03 pullback, with the range top still respected.
Support: 160.03, 159.95, 159.73
Resistance: 160.20, 160.16
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (priced 1% hike) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 160.03 confirms a lower low toward 159.95
USD/JPY is ranging 160.03–160.20 through NY hours, pinned near 160 as risk-on from the US-Iran deal capped yen demand. Price recovered off the 160.03 low into late NY and sits just under the 160.16 session high; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
Close above 160.20 opens the path toward 160.23 swing high
Failure to hold 160.03 confirms a lower low and reopens 159.99
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY is ranging 160.03–160.20 through the NY session, pinned near 160 as risk-on from the US-Iran deal capped the yen while a soft dollar limited upside. Buyers stepped in at the 160.03 swing low and price is grinding back toward the range top, RSI neutral near 54.
Support: 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 range top reopens the 160.228 prior high
Loss of 160.03 swing low exposes the 159.99 range floor
BoJ rate decision (Jun 16 03:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term risk and can break this range
15:31 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 53 · price 160.139
Ranging 160.00–160.20, mid-range.
USDJPY ranging 160.00–160.20 through NY hours, last closes ticking up off the 160.03 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Pair stuck near 160 as risk-on from the US-Iran deal caps the yen while a softer dollar offsets it.
Support: 160.03, 159.93
Resistance: 160.20, 160.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path back toward the 160.28 range high
Failure to hold 160.03 confirms a lower-low toward 159.93
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/JPY opened with a down gap to 159.79 then recovered, now consolidating in a 160.03–160.20 band with the session high capping the last push. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near the 0.5 fib of the 159.79–160.23 swing around 160.03; last bar bounced off that floor back to 160.15. RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 160.03, 159.79
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
Close above 160.23 prior high reopens the upside extension
Loss of 160.03 session low exposes the 159.79 swing low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
USDJPY is ranging 160.03-160.20 around the 160 handle, with the last bar bouncing off the 160.03 swing low back toward the session high at 160.20. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat, RSI mid-range near 53 — no clean intraday direction in play.
Support: 160.029, 159.987
Resistance: 160.203, 160.228
What it said to watch
Close above 160.20 session high opens a retest of the 160.23 prior high
Loss of 160.03 swing low exposes the 159.99 range low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session has USD/JPY pinned in a 160.00–160.20 range, with rejection at the session high near 160.20 and price now easing back toward the lower edge at 160.04. Broad risk-on from the US-Iran deal capped the yen, but the pair lacks the impulse to extend ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.04, 159.95
Resistance: 160.20, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 confirms a range break lower toward 159.95
Reclaim of 160.20 reopens the 160.228 prior high
BoJ rate decision (Jun 16 03:00 UTC) is a hawkish-hold risk that could materially shift this read
15:00 UTC
Ranging, rolled off session high · RSI 43 · price 160.078
Range, lower highs after 160.20 rejection.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.20 session high during NY hours and has drifted back toward 160.03, holding the 160 handle after the priced-in BoJ hike capped any yen squeeze. Price now sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme — range-bound between 159.99 and 160.20.
Support: 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.03 opens a retest of the 159.99 swing low
Reclaim of 160.20 session high reopens the 160.23 prior high
FOMC tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 160.053
Ranging 160.03–160.20, marginal lower highs.
USD/JPY pinned in a tight 160.03–160.20 band through the London-NY session, with price slipping back below EMA20 as the dollar trades near 10-day lows. Last few bars drifted toward the 160.03 floor; RSI(14) soft in the mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 160.03, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.03 opens the 159.99 round level
Reclaim of 160.20 needed to re-engage the session high
BoJ decision (Jun 16 03:00 UTC) and FOMC mid-week will reshape this read
14:45 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 160.053
Lower highs since the 160.20 rejection.
USD/JPY rolled over after a rejection at the 160.20 session high and is grinding out lower highs toward 160.03, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair pinned around 160 as soft USD and risk-on (US-Iran deal, oil slide) offset a wide rate gap into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.03, 159.93
Resistance: 160.16, 160.20
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.03 confirms the next lower-low toward 159.93
Reclaim of 160.16 negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ decision (03:00 UTC) is the dominant risk to this read
14:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 160.056
Intraday range 160.00–160.20, slipping toward lower bound.
USD/JPY is drifting lower off the 160.20 session high with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s, price now testing the 160.00 round number. Pair stays range-bound 160.00–160.20 as a soft USD at 10-day lows offsets the wide rate gap that keeps the yen capped near 160.
Support: 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 confirms a break of the range lower bound
Reclaim of 160.20 session high reopens the upside
BoJ decision/presser tomorrow could materially shift this read
14:30 UTC
Range, mild drift lower · RSI 39 · price 160.056
Rejected at 160.20, holding 160.00.
USDJPY rejected 160.20 in the NY session and is drifting back toward the 160.00 psych level, RSI(14) near 38 with price below both EMAs. Pair has chopped in a 160.00–160.20 band all session, holding near 160 as risk-on from the US-Iran deal caps the yen ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.93
Resistance: 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens the 159.93 session low
Reclaim of 160.20 negates the drift lower
BoJ hike + Ueda presser tomorrow (03:00/06:30 UTC) can materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Rangebound, recent leg down · RSI 43 · price 160.068
Pullback within 160.04-160.20 range.
USD/JPY has been pinned in a 160.04-160.20 band, holding near 160 as risk-on from the US-Iran deal offsets a softer dollar. NY session rejected the 160.20 session high and price has drifted back to 160.07, RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.04 opens a move toward the 160.00 round number
Reclaim of 160.16 swing high needed to retest the 160.20 session high
BoJ decision and US Retail Sales/FOMC midweek could materially shift this read
14:15 UTC
Rolling over off session cap · RSI 40 · price 160.068
Range, drifting toward floor.
USDJPY rejected the 160.20 session high and has drifted lower through the NY afternoon, now testing 160.07 with RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs. Sits in the 160.00–160.20 band noted as capping recent sessions, no clean setup in play.
Support: 160.00, 159.94
Resistance: 160.20, 160.16
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 round number opens 159.94 swing low
Reclaim of 160.20 session high needed to reassert the range top
14:01 UTC
Ranging, capped near 160.20 · RSI 43 · price 160.098
Intraday range, supply at session high.
USD/JPY rejected the 160.20 session high for a second time and is sliding back toward 160.10, holding the 160.04–160.20 range that has capped recent NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme; soft USD into the FOMC and risk-on from the US-Iran deal keep price pinned near 160.
Support: 160.04, 159.93
Resistance: 160.20, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens room toward the 160.228 swing high
USDJPY is ranging 160.04–160.20 with NY hours fading the push into the 160.20 session high, RSI(14) cooling near 44. Price now drifting back toward the lower band at 160.04 after the rejection, keeping the carry-driven hold near 160 intact.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.16
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 breaks the session high and opens room higher
Loss of 160.04 exposes the 159.99 prior low
BoJ-driven JPY squeeze risk remains a backdrop that could shift this range read
Consolidating 160.04–160.20 after bounce from 159.73.
USD/JPY recovered from the 159.73 flush back to 160.20, where the recent session high capped — the 160.10/160.20 zone flagged as a cap. Price now drifting in a tight 160.04–160.20 range with RSI mid-40s, no clean setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.93
Resistance: 160.20, 160.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 reopens the path toward 160.30
Loss of 160.04 exposes 159.93 session low
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 160.114
Consolidation under 160.20 after recovery from 159.79.
USD/JPY ranging 160.04–160.20 after recovering from the 159.79 session low; the 160.10/160.20 area continues to cap, with risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire keeping the yen heavy. RSI(14) flat near 47, descending highs into 160.11 show no momentum either way.
Support: 160.04, 159.79
Resistance: 160.20, 160.21
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 invalidates the range cap
Loss of 160.04 reopens the 159.79 session low
BoJ-driven volatility could break this range sharply
13:31 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 160.12
Ranging under 160.20 cap, holding above 160.10.
USDJPY is ranging 160.10–160.20, with the session cap rejecting the latest push to 160.20 and price now fading to 160.12. Risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire keeps the yen heavy, but the move has stalled into the 160.10/160.20 band flagged in recent sessions.
Support: 160.10, 160.04, 159.95
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 session cap opens the path back to the 160.23 swing high
Failure to hold 160.10 range floor exposes 160.04 and the 159.95 swing low
13:31 UTC
Ranging, mild fade off session high · RSI 45 · price 160.12
Range 160.00–160.20, capped near top.
USD/JPY is ranging 160.00–160.20 through the NY session, drifting back to 160.12 after rejection at the 160.20 cap the JPY digest flags. Risk-on from the US-Iran ceasefire keeps the yen heavy; price holding above the 160.00 round number with no fresh break either side.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path back toward 160.23 prior high
Failure to hold 160.00 exposes the 159.79 swing low
BoJ-related headlines could materially shift this range read
13:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 160.14
Range capped at 160.20, holding above 160.09.
USDJPY ranging 160.09–160.20 through the NY session, rejected twice at 160.20 with RSI flat near 47 — no setup in play. Risk-on from the US-Iran deal keeps the yen heavy after the BoJ hike, holding price pinned just above EMA50.
Support: 160.09, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 invalidates the range-cap read
Failure to hold 160.09 opens the path to 159.99
Fed projections Wed could materially shift this read
USDJPY ranging 160.05–160.20 through the London-NY session after recovering from the 159.73 session low; the 160.20 area capped the latest push and price has eased to 160.14. RSI(14) is flat near 51 with no momentum extreme, consistent with the digest's 160.10/160.20 cap.
Support: 160.05, 159.99
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path toward 160.40
Failure to hold 160.05 exposes the 159.99 session low
US Industrial Production (13:15 UTC) could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range-bound, flat · RSI 49 · price 160.14
Consolidation around 160.10 after recovery off 159.73.
USD/JPY is pinned around 160.10-160.14 through NY hours, holding a tight 160.04-160.20 range after recovering from the 159.73 dip earlier. RSI(14) sits mid-50 with no momentum; the pair is parked near the 160 pivot ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.04, 159.73
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
M15 close above 160.23 breaks the range to the upside
USD/JPY recovered the weekend gap-down to 159.73 and is now grinding sideways between 160.04 and 160.20 through NY hours, pinned near the 160 pivot as a softer USD offsets the wide rate gap. ATR is compressed near 3 pips, no setup in play ahead of tomorrow's BoJ.
Support: 160.04, 159.73
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
M15 close above 160.23 ends the range to the upside
Failure to hold 160.04 reopens the 159.73 day low
12:46 UTC
Ranging, flat near 160 · RSI 52 · price 160.136
Consolidation above reclaimed 160 pivot.
USDJPY is pinned in a tight 160.04–160.20 range, ATR sub-4 pips, after London reclaimed the 160 figure following an early sweep down to 159.73. Price is holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI flat mid-50s — no momentum either way into the BoJ/Fed event window.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.20, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path back to 160.23 prior high
Loss of 160.00 reopens 159.73 session low
US Industrial Production 13:15 UTC and BoJ/FOMC ahead can break this range
12:46 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 51 · price 160.136
Range, capped 160.20.
USDJPY pinned in a 160.00-160.20 range through the London-NY transition, holding flat near 160 as a softer USD and the wide rate gap offset each other ahead of the BoJ. Sellers capped the 160.20 session high and price has slipped back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 160.04, 160.00
Resistance: 160.20, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — will override this range read
M15 close above 160.20 opens the path toward 160.30
Loss of 160.04 exposes the 160.00 psych level
12:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 160.167
Range-bound 160.04–160.21 after V-recovery from 159.73.
USD/JPY recovered off the 159.73 post-weekend low and is now ranging 160.04–160.21 with USD broadly soft on the Iran de-escalation. Last push tagged 160.20 before easing back to 160.17, RSI mid-50s — no extension in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.21, 160.28
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision tomorrow 03:00 UTC plus press conference 06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
M15 close above 160.21 range top opens the path back toward 160.28
Loss of 160.04 swing low exposes 159.93
12:30 UTC
Minor uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 57 · price 160.167
Recovery off 159.73, consolidating below 160.20.
USDJPY clawed back the weekend dip to 159.73 and is grinding higher, stalling just under the 160.20 session high with RSI mid-range. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 160.04, but price is pinned near 160 into a fully-priced BoJ decision tomorrow.
Support: 160.04, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.203, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.228 extends the recovery toward 160.30
Loss of 160.04 swing low reopens 159.99 and below
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read entirely
Consolidating below session high after rebound from session low.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 pivot through the London session, recovering off the session low at 159.79 and now consolidating just below the 160.20 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — price is coiling ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision, the dominant catalyst.
Support: 160.09, 159.99
Resistance: 160.205, 160.228
What it said to watch
Close above 160.23 swing high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 160.09 pullback low resumes the downside
BoJ rate decision tomorrow 03:00 UTC will materially shift this read
USD/JPY recovered the early-session drop to 159.73 and is grinding back toward the session high at 160.228, with NY hours holding a 160.04–160.23 range. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; price sits near the top of the range after demand stepped in twice around 160.00.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
Close above 160.228 opens room to extend the recovery
Loss of the 160.04 swing low exposes the 159.99 range low
BoJ decision ~15h out is the dominant catalyst and will reset this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.184
Higher highs, higher lows off 159.73.
USD/JPY recovered from the 159.73 dip and ground back up through the NY session, now testing 160.20 with RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 160.10 keeping the rising structure intact; the 160.228 session high is the immediate cap to watch. Pair pinned near the 160 pivot ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.10, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.228 opens the path back toward 160.30
Loss of 160.10 then 159.99 breaks the higher-low chain
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, building higher lows off 159.99 and pressing the 160.21 session high with RSI(14) around 61. Pair pinned near 160 with the USD soft on the Iran de-escalation but yen capped ahead of tomorrow's BoJ.
Support: 160.05, 159.99
Resistance: 160.21, 160.28
What it said to watch
Close above 160.21 opens the path toward 160.28
Loss of 160.05 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 159.99
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst and will override this read
USDJPY is grinding sideways near multi-decade highs, holding a tight 160.04–160.16 band after recovering off the 159.99 swing low; the session high at 160.22 caps the upside. Move is choppy with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~3 pips, reflecting pre-BoJ caution.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely overrides current range
M15 close above 160.22 session high opens the path toward 162
Loss of 159.99 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery
Consolidation in upper 160.0s after recovery from 159.73.
USDJPY is consolidating in a tight 160.04–160.16 band near multi-decade highs after recovering from an earlier dip to 159.73; the modest yen firmness came as the US-Iran de-escalation drained haven demand. Price is pressing the range top at 160.16 with RSI(14) neutral around 56, ATR a thin ~4 pips.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
Close above 160.16 range top opens path to 160.22
Loss of 160.04 range floor exposes 159.99 session low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC (1% hike priced) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
11:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 160.136
Tight consolidation near range top.
USDJPY is grinding in a tight 160.04–160.16 band through the European session, ATR compressed to ~4 pips with RSI(14) flat near 54. Price holds above the EMAs but has failed to extend toward the 160.23 swing high, with demand stepping in around 160.04 on each dip ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — a hawkish guidance surprise could break this range sharply
M15 close above 160.16 reopens the path to the 160.23 swing high
Loss of 160.04 swing low exposes 159.99 session low
11:30 UTC
Ranging near multi-decade highs · RSI 49 · price 160.136
Tight consolidation under 160.23.
USDJPY is coiling in a tight 160.04–160.16 band, RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR compressed to under 4 pips. JPY firmed marginally after the US-Iran de-escalation pared the dollar, but price is pinned just under the 160.23 swing high as the market waits on the BoJ.
Support: 160.04, 160.00
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 160.23 reopens the path toward the 162 zone
Loss of 160.00 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
USDJPY is consolidating in a 160.04–160.16 range through the London session, holding just below the session high near multi-decade highs. RSI(14) sits neutral around 52 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; no clear intraday momentum after the earlier recovery off 159.99.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
Close above 160.16 opens the path back to 160.22
Loss of 160.04 exposes the 159.99 session low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant upcoming catalyst for this pair
11:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 160.12
Consolidation under session high.
USD/JPY is chopping in a tight 160.07–160.16 band through the London session, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed around 4 pips. The pair pared back from the 160.16 session high while demand held around 160.04 on the earlier dip.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.16 session high opens a retest of the 160.22 swing high
Loss of 160.04 swing low exposes the 159.99 session low
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
11:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 44 · price 160.098
Consolidation after bounce from 159.73.
USDJPY recovered off the 159.73 dip and is consolidating between 160.04 and 160.16, pinned near 160.10 with USD soft on the US-Iran peace deal. RSI(14) neutral around 44 and ATR ~4 pips — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
Close below 160.04 reopens the 159.93/159.73 lows
Break above 160.16 exposes the 160.23 prior high
US data (Empire State 12:30, Industrial Production 13:15 UTC) could shift this read
11:00 UTC
Ranging, neutral drift · RSI 46 · price 160.098
Balance after post-gap recovery.
USDJPY gapped lower into the session and bottomed at 159.73 before reclaiming the 160 handle; since then price has balanced in a tight 160.04–160.16 range, last bars slipping back under EMA20. RSI(14) is neutral near 46, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.215
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.04 reopens the 159.99 swing low and the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.16 range high needed to challenge the 160.215 prior high
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
10:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 160.119
Consolidation just above 160.00 after post-gap recovery.
USDJPY is coiling in a tight 160.10–160.15 band through London hours, holding above the 160.00 psych level after recovering off the 159.73 post-gap low. ATR has compressed to ~5 pips and RSI sits mid-range — no directional impulse with traders sidelined into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.16 reopens the 160.23 prior high
loss of 160.00 exposes the post-gap low at 159.73
160 psych zone keeps intervention rhetoric live ahead of BoJ
10:46 UTC
Sideways, coiling near 160.12 · RSI 51 · price 160.119
Tight consolidation after recovery off 159.73.
London session has USD/JPY pinned in a tight 160.04–160.16 range after the Asian dip to 159.73 was fully recovered, RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips. Price is glued to the 160 psych zone with traders sidelined ahead of the BoJ decision; no intraday setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.21
What it said to watch
M15 break and hold above 160.21 reopens the upside toward 162
Loss of 160.04 puts 159.93 session low back in focus
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — will override this range read
10:31 UTC
Ranging, flat into BoJ · RSI 55 · price 160.139
Tight range below 160.16, holding above session lows.
USD/JPY pinned near 160.14, coiling in a tight 160.04–160.16 range as traders sit on hands ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision. Buyers reclaimed the 159.73 spike low and price is grinding the range top, RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.16 reopens the path to the 160.23 swing high
Loss of 159.99 reopens the 159.73 swing low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
10:30 UTC
Sideways, pinned near 160 · RSI 55 · price 160.139
Tight consolidation above 160 after intraday recovery.
USD/JPY recovered off the 159.73 dip and is now coiling in a 160.04–160.16 band, holding just above the 160.00 psych line into the BoJ decision. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR around 5 pips — range-bound, no setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 160.00
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
Tue 03:00 UTC BoJ rate decision is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.22 swing high opens the path toward 162
Loss of 160.00 psych exposes the 159.73 area and keeps intervention risk live
10:16 UTC
Sideways, pinned near 160 · RSI 54 · price 160.133
Consolidation just under session high.
USDJPY is grinding sideways between 160.04 and 160.16, holding just above the 160 psych handle after recovering off the 159.73 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 and ATR is a thin ~5 pips — no momentum, the pair is parked ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC dominates the next session — likely to break this range
Close above 160.23 reopens the path toward intraday highs
Loss of 160.04 exposes 159.99 and the 160 handle
10:16 UTC
Sideways, near 160.00 · RSI 54 · price 160.133
Range, coiling under recent highs.
USDJPY pinned just above 160.00, grinding in a tight 160.04–160.16 range with JPY flatlined ahead of the BoJ. Recovery off the 159.73 low has stalled under 160.22; current bars compressed near 160.13, RSI(14) mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.22 reopens the 160.28 highs
Loss of 160.04 exposes the 159.99 swing low
BoJ rate decision later this week is the dominant catalyst for this pair
10:01 UTC
Ranging after post-dip recovery · RSI 55 · price 160.137
Consolidation between 160.04 and 160.16.
USDJPY is ranging 160.04–160.16 in the London session after recovering from the post-gap dip to 159.73. Price grinds just under the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR around 5 pips — no clean directional break in play, pinned near the 160.00 line authorities watch.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.16 opens the path to 160.23
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.73 post-gap low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant upcoming catalyst for this pair
10:00 UTC
Ranging, mild recovery · RSI 56 · price 160.137
Consolidating below 160.20 after recovery off 159.73.
USD/JPY recovered from a 159.73 dip and is grinding sideways between 160.00 and 160.20, pinned near the 160.00 line authorities watch. RSI(14) neutral around 56, ATR sub-6 pips — no momentum, range-bound into the NY session.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.99
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23, 160.34
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.23 reopens the path toward 160.34
Close below 160.00 confirms a lower-low back toward 159.73
FOMC dots Wed could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Recovery off gap low, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 160.134
Range below 160.22 swing high.
After a gap-down to 159.79 USDJPY recovered through London hours and is now grinding sideways in a 160.00–160.16 band, pinned near the 160.00 line that JPY desks flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. Buyers stepped in twice around 159.99, while 160.22 capped the prior push; RSI(14) is neutral mid-range.
Support: 160.00, 159.987, 159.788
Resistance: 160.16, 160.228
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.22 reopens the path toward the session top
Loss of 160.00 / 159.99 confirms a lower-low in the recovery
BoJ rate decision and presser are the dominant near-term risk for this read
09:46 UTC
Sideways, slight up bias · RSI 54 · price 160.134
Consolidating above 160.00 after recovery off 159.73.
USDJPY recovered from a 159.73 dip and is now coiling in a tight 160.04–160.16 band, holding above the 160.00 psych line that authorities treat as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) near 54, no momentum extreme — price is in development ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.93
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) and Ueda-less presser is the key catalyst — can override this range
Close above 160.22 opens room higher toward 162
Loss of 160.00 exposes 159.93 session low
09:30 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 160.118
Balancing above 160.00 after recovering the 159.73 dip.
USDJPY is grinding sideways in London hours, holding 160.04-160.16 after reclaiming the 159.73 post-open dip. RSI(14) neutral near 53; price pinned just above the 160.00 line authorities are watching, with traders sidelined ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.93
Resistance: 160.16, 160.21, 160.34
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
M15 close below 160.00 psych opens the 159.93 session low
Close above 160.21 prior high resumes the drift toward 160.34
09:30 UTC
Ranging near 160.00 · RSI 52 · price 160.118
Balanced range, pinned to the figure.
USD/JPY is pinned to the 160.00 figure, recovering from the 159.73 gap low and now chopping between 160.04 and 160.22 through the London session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with no momentum edge; the 160.00 authorities-watch line continues to act as the pivot.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.22 opens the path back toward the 160.34 prior high
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.73 gap low
BoJ guidance and Wed FOMC dots are the dominant near-term risk to this range read
Grinding higher off the gap low, capped near 160.23.
USD/JPY clawed back from a gap-down low of 159.73 to grind into the 160.13 area during London hours, but supply has capped attempts at the 160.23 session high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55 with price pinned at the 160 intervention zone; tomorrow's BoJ decision is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 160.04, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 160.228 opens room toward the 160.30 prior high
Loss of 160.04 swing low exposes 159.93 and the gap low at 159.73
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially reset this read
09:15 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 160.131
Range after London-session bounce.
USDJPY bounced from the session low at 159.73 and is now consolidating between 160.04 and 160.16, holding the 160 handle markets treat as the intervention line. RSI(14) mid-range near 54 with ATR around 5 pips; no clean setup with BoJ tomorrow capping conviction.
Support: 160.04, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.23 reopens the path toward 160.50
Loss of 160.04 puts the 159.73 session low back in play
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC will override this intraday read
USD/JPY gapped lower on the open and swept 159.73 before grinding back to 160.13, pinned just under the 160 intervention zone into tomorrow's BoJ. Rising lows hold but the 160.16-160.21 band has capped each push higher.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.21
What it said to watch
Close above 160.21 opens the path toward 162
Loss of 160.00 round level reopens 159.73 session low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
USDJPY gapped lower into the new week and swept down to 159.73 during Asia before recovering through London hours back toward the 160.228 session high. Price is now grinding sideways near 160.13, pinned just under the 160.20 psych level with RSI mid-range; structure is constructive but stalling ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.228 reopens the path toward the 160.20 psych zone and beyond
Loss of 159.99 swing low reasserts the downside and threatens 159.73
BoJ rate decision tomorrow (03:00 UTC) is the dominant risk and will override this intraday read
Asia opened with a flush to 159.79 before London bought it back to 160.23, and price now chops in a 160.00–160.16 band right on the intervention-sensitive 160 handle. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with no momentum extreme as the market parks ahead of Tuesday's BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.79
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.23 reopens the path toward 160.70
Loss of 159.99 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 159.79 session low
BoJ decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant risk and could overwrite this range
08:45 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 160.111
Ranging below 160.21 swing high.
USDJPY recovered off the 159.73 post-weekend low and is now ranging 160.04-160.16, pinned just under the 160.21 swing high in intervention territory. RSI neutral near 55, ATR ~6 pips — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.21
What it said to watch
Close above 160.21 reopens the path toward 160.70
Loss of 160.00 round handle exposes 159.73 swing low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) is the dominant risk event for this read
Consolidation just above the 160 handle, higher lows off 159.73.
USDJPY is grinding in a tight band between 160.04 and 160.22, pinned just above the 160 intervention handle as markets park ahead of Tuesday's BoJ. Buyers stepped in at 159.73 earlier and price has built a chain of higher lows back toward the session high; RSI(14) near 56 with no extreme in play.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.34
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk and could break this range either way
M15 close above 160.22 reopens the path to 160.34
Loss of 160.04 / a break below the 160 handle exposes 159.73
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 intervention handle, grinding back from the 159.73 swing low as the US-Iran haven unwind keeps the dollar two-sided. Price coils between 160.04 support and the 160.23 session high; RSI mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 160.04, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.23 opens the path back toward 160.34
Failure to hold 160.00 risks a retest of the 159.73 swing low
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:15 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 54 · price 160.114
Consolidating above 160 after recovery off session low.
USD/JPY pinned near the 160 intervention handle ahead of Tuesday's BoJ. After a post-weekend dip to 159.73, price recovered and is consolidating in a 160.00–160.23 range; RSI(14) neutral around 54, ATR(14) compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23, 160.70
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this read
M15 close above 160.23 swing high opens the path toward 160.70
Loss of the 160.00 psych level reopens the 159.73 session low
USD/JPY pinned just above the 160 handle, recovering from a session low at 159.73 and now ranging 160.00–160.22 with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price is parked in intervention territory ahead of Tuesday's BoJ; ATR(14) of ~5 pips reflects compressed pre-event conditions.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.34
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk; 25bp hike fully priced, guidance tone the swing factor
Close above 160.22 reopens the path to the 160.34 prior high
Loss of the 160.00 psych level exposes 159.73 session low and revives intervention talk
USDJPY is oscillating in a tight 160.00–160.16 band through the London session, glued to the 160.00 intervention line flagged into Tuesday's BoJ decision. Price recovered off the 159.73 post-gap low to 160.22 before fading back to the 160.00 handle; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with ATR around 5 pips. No directional setup in play.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.99 confirms a lower-low and opens the post-gap 159.73 zone
Close above 160.22 breaks the session range to the upside
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC and the 160.00 intervention line dominate the next-bar read
USDJPY is pinned just above the 160.00 intervention line, rotating in a 160.00–160.23 range after recovering off the 159.73 low. Momentum is neutral (RSI ~47) with price coiling on the EMAs into Tuesday's BoJ decision; intraday rallies have stalled at 160.23.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23, 160.34
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 exposes the 159.73 swing low
M15 close above 160.23 reopens 160.34
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could violently break this range
07:46 UTC
Range, drifting after recovery · RSI 47 · price 160.068
Consolidation above the 160.00 psych line.
Price recovered off the 159.73 session low to stall at the 160.22 swing high, then settled into a tight consolidation around 160.00–160.13 through London hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 with no momentum extreme; the 160.00 psych line remains the pivot as intervention chatter lingers.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.13, 160.22
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.22 confirms continuation higher
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk for this read
07:46 UTC
Range-bound, pinned at 160.00 · RSI 49 · price 160.068
Consolidation above the 160.00 line.
USD/JPY is grinding sideways just above the closely-watched 160.00 intervention line after recovering from the 159.73 session low. Price stalled at 160.16-160.22 and has drifted back to the EMA20; RSI(14) is flat near 49, no momentum either way.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
Close above 160.22 breaks the recent range top
Loss of 160.00 / 159.99 reopens 159.73
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation above 160.00 after bounce off 159.73.
USD/JPY is pinned just above the 160.00 psych/intervention line, having recovered off the 159.73 session low and faded the 160.22 swing high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 as price coils into the BoJ event window.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk into this read
160.00 line widely flagged as the intervention trigger
M15 close above 160.22 reopens the upside; loss of 159.95 puts 159.73 back in play
07:30 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 160.09
Consolidating just above 160.00.
USDJPY pinned just above the 160.00 psych line, chopping between 159.73 and the 160.23 session high with RSI(14) flat near 51. The post-gap dip to 159.73 was bought back, but price has since stalled — no setup in play ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
M15 close below 160.00 reopens 159.73 swing low
Reclaim of 160.23 session high needed to extend the recovery
USD/JPY pinned just above the 160.00 psych level during London hours, recovering from the 159.73 session low and grinding higher toward the 160.228 session high. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50 as a chain of higher lows builds.
Support: 160.00, 159.987, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Close above 160.228 opens the path back to 160.30
Loss of 160.00 psych re-exposes 159.73 session low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:15 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 160.136
Consolidating below session highs after V-recovery from 159.73.
USDJPY recovered from a 159.73 dip back above the 160.00 psych level and is now chopping in a 159.99–160.21 range. Price sits on EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no momentum extreme in play ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.21, 160.25
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC — guidance the key swing factor, can override this range read
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention risk live
Break above 160.25 resumes the recovery leg; loss of 159.93 reopens the 159.73 low
USDJPY reclaimed the 160.00 psych level during London hours and is grinding up through a chain of rising lows toward the 160.16 intraday high. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 159.99; momentum is moderate with RSI near 57, ATR a thin ~5 pips on light pre-BoJ flow.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser will dominate this read
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live
USD/JPY pinned just above the 160.00 intervention line, ranging 159.73–160.23 after the weekend gap-open dip bought back during London hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price hugging EMA20 with no momentum extension into Tuesday's BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23, 160.30
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live
M15 close below 159.73 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Break above 160.23 reopens 160.30
BoJ rate decision Tue could materially shift this read
USDJPY swept down to 159.73 then reclaimed the 160.00 intervention level, grinding back to 160.14 with RSI(14) mid-range. Higher lows since the dip, but 160.228 session high still caps; price hovers right at the 160.00 line officials watch ahead of Tuesday's BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.228, 160.34
What it said to watch
Close below 160.00 reopens the 159.79 session low
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live
Break above 160.228 extends the recovery toward 160.34
USD/JPY pinned near 160.00 after recovering from the 159.73 session low, now grinding back toward the 160.23 swing high with RSI(14) neutral around 56. Price is holding above 160.00, the level officials view as the limit of tolerable yen weakness, into tomorrow's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.23 opens the path toward 160.70
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY is ranging through the Asian session between the 160.00 intervention line and the 160.22 swing high, drifting in the lower half after rejection at 160.22. Price is pinned just above 160.00 — the level officials flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness — with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.15
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention risk live
Break above 160.22 swing high resumes the upside
Loss of 160.00 opens the path toward the 159.73 session low
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this read
06:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 53 · price 160.083
Consolidating just above 160.00 psych level.
USD/JPY is consolidating around the 160.00 psych level after recovering from a 159.73 session low and a rejection at the 160.23 session high. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum either way in this early-session chop.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter in play
Close above 160.23 invalidates the range and confirms a higher high
Failure to hold 159.99 reopens the 159.73 session low
BoJ rate decision tomorrow 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:15 UTC
Pullback after intraday rejection · RSI 44 · price 160.047
Fading from 160.22 session high back toward 160.00.
USDJPY rejected the 160.22 session high during the Asian session and has drifted lower in a stair-step of lower highs, now sitting on the 160.00 psych level with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price holds just under EMA20 and EMA50 — momentum has cooled but the wider hold above 159.73 keeps the prior bounce intact.
Support: 160.00, 159.99, 159.73
Resistance: 160.15, 160.22
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 exposes the 159.73 swing low
M15 close back above 160.22 negates the rejection read
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could reset this range; sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live
06:15 UTC
Consolidating, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 46 · price 160.047
Range after rejection at 160.21, holding 160.00.
USDJPY recovered from a 159.73 session-low flush back to 160.21 before sellers capped it, and it is now drifting sideways just above the 160.00 psych level. RSI(14) is neutral near 46, ATR ~7.5 pips — quiet, two-way price action below the 160.21 swing high.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.21, 160.30
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Close above 160.21 swing high reasserts upside toward 160.30
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser can override this range read
Post-gap spike low recovered, now grinding back down.
USDJPY recovered the post-gap spike low at 159.79 up to 160.23 before rolling over on lower highs; price now pressing the 160.00 psych level, the threshold officials cite as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) near 42, ATR a thin ~4 pips, with the tape grinding rather than trending into the BoJ decision.
Reclaim of 160.15 prior high negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC Tue is the dominant near-term driver
06:01 UTC
Drifting lower into 160.00 · RSI 42 · price 160.008
Lower highs since post-gap rally peak.
USDJPY is grinding back toward the 160.00 psych level after a post-gap dip to 159.73 and a recovery that stalled at 160.228. Lower highs have built since, with price now below EMA20 and RSI cooling into the low-40s as it tests the intervention line.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.15
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 trade below 160.00 opens the path to 159.73
Reclaim of 160.15 negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) and Ueda presser could materially shift this read
USD/JPY drifted lower through the NY-to-London handover, carving lower highs off 160.22 and now hugging the 160.00 psych level officials flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. ATR is muted near 7 pips and RSI(14) sits mid-range around 41 — no momentum extreme, price coiling ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens the path back to 159.73 session low
Reclaim above 160.22 negates the lower-high sequence
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC and Ueda presser could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Pullback within session range · RSI 40 · price 160.012
Recovered off 159.73, now drifting back to 160.00.
USDJPY pinned at the 160.00 psych level after rejecting 160.228 during the Asia session; RSI(14) near 40 on a steady drift lower off the high. The pair is hovering exactly at the level officials flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness, with the BoJ decision imminent.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.168
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC and Ueda presser are the dominant near-term drivers
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live
Price rebounded from the 159.73 session low to a 160.22 session high, then faded back to sit on the 160.00 psych level — the threshold officials flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) near 42 with price under EMA20/50 as the bounce stalls.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.16, 160.22
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 trade above 160.00 keeps intervention risk live
Close below 159.73 confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery
Reclaim of 160.22 reopens the session-high test
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
05:30 UTC
Downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 40 · price 160.008
Lower highs after 160.22 rejection.
USDJPY rolled over from the 160.22 session high and is grinding back to the 160.00 psych level, the threshold officials view as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. Lower highs and price below both EMAs keep the short-term tilt soft, RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.30
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 trade back above 160.22 reopens 160.30
Loss of 160.00 exposes the 159.73 swing low
BoJ rate decision/Ueda presser later this week could materially shift this read
Asia session grinding lower off the 160.22 session high into a string of lower highs, now sitting on the 160.00 psych level which coincides with the 38.2% retrace of the 159.79–160.22 leg. RSI(14) near 42 with price below EMA20/50 — momentum is soft but the recovery off 159.79 is still intact.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.22
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 exposes 159.79 and confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 160.22 negates the lower-high sequence
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention chatter live per officials' tolerance line
05:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 160.039
Pullback toward 160.00 after 160.228 rejection.
USDJPY rejected the 160.228 session high during Asia hours and has bled back toward the 160.00 psych level, the line officials view as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) near 43, ATR a thin ~5.5 pips with the market sitting on its hands ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 160.00 opens the path to 159.73
Reclaim of 160.228 puts 160.30 back in play
BoJ decision tomorrow could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Recovery off lows fading · RSI 42 · price 160.039
Pulling back from session high inside 159.73-160.23 range.
USDJPY bounced off the 159.73 session low and climbed to 160.228 before sellers capped it, with price now drifting back toward the 160.00 psych line as RSI(14) cools near 41. Pair stays pinned at intervention-zone weakness inside a 159.73-160.23 range ahead of Tuesday's BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.93, 159.73
Resistance: 160.10, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens the path back toward 159.93 and the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.10 puts the 160.228 session high back in play
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC and presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY is bleeding lower off the 160.228 session high in a clean lower-high chain, now pressing the 160.00 psych line with RSI(14) sub-40. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the Asia tape drifts toward the intervention zone ahead of tomorrow's BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.155, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens the 159.73 swing low
Reclaim above 160.228 negates the lower-high read
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC could reset this read
04:46 UTC
Mild pullback after rejection · RSI 44 · price 160.09
Lower highs off 160.22, holding above 160.00.
Early Asia session, USD/JPY pinned near 160.00 after a rejection at the 160.22 session high faded the rally off 159.73. Price has drifted into a tight 160.05-160.09 hold, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin at ~4 pips.
Support: 160.046, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.228 reopens the path toward the 160.69 spike high
Loss of 160.00 exposes 159.73 swing low
BoJ decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) and press conf are the dominant near-term catalysts for this pair
USDJPY pinned around the 160.00 round number after stalling at the 160.22 session high and rolling over, RSI(14) easing to ~41. Tape is indecisive between 159.73 and 160.22 with no setup in play ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.69
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens a retest of the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.22 session high reopens the path toward 160.69 spike high
BoJ decision and press conference are the binary catalysts that override this range read
Asia session reopened firm and clipped a session high at 160.228 before fading in a chain of lower highs back to 160.08. RSI(14) cooling near 42; the 160.00 psych line, also the cited intervention zone, frames the downside. Two-way, range-bound tape with no clean setup.
Support: 160.046, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 opens the 159.73 swing low
Reclaim of 160.228 session high needed to resume upside
MoF intervention rhetoric around the 160.00 line could shift the tape
04:31 UTC
Range, pulled back from session high · RSI 43 · price 160.078
Recovery off 159.73 stalling under 160.23.
Asian session: pair recovered from the 159.73 low to 160.228 before fading back under 160.10, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s after the rejection. Now drifting around the 160.00 psych line with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 160.046, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.155, 160.228
What it said to watch
M15 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.228 confirms continuation of the recovery
BoJ decision + press conf (Tue) is the dominant catalyst for this read
04:16 UTC
Pulling back after intraday rally · RSI 42 · price 160.053
Retracing recent up-leg, below EMA20.
Early-week tape pushed up to 160.228 then faded back through the figure; price now drifts at 160.05, slipping below EMA20 but holding above EMA50. USD/JPY remains pinned near the 160.00 intervention line, where RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 160.00, 159.73, 159.64
Resistance: 160.15, 160.228
What it said to watch
Close below 159.73 confirms a lower low and opens 159.64
Reclaim of 160.228 reopens the session high
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser could reset this range
Post-weekend tape opened with a gap, dipped to 159.73, then recovered to 160.22 before easing back toward the 160.00 psych line. Pair is rangebound 159.73-160.22 with RSI(14) mid-40s and momentum fading into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.69
What it said to watch
BoJ decision (03:00 UTC) and press conf — binary catalyst that can break this range
Loss of 160.00 psych opens a retest of 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.22 swing high reopens the path toward 160.69 spike high
Asia session drifting lower after rejection at the 160.228 session high; the pair recovered sharply from the 159.73 session low but momentum faded, RSI(14) cooling near 44. The 160.00 psych line is back in focus with BoJ on Tuesday.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.228 resumes the recovery toward 160.30
BoJ decision Tue could materially shift this read
04:00 UTC
Recovery off lows, pullback in progress · RSI 44 · price 160.067
Bounced from 159.73, capped at 160.23, easing toward 160.00.
USDJPY recovered from the 159.73 session low to tag 160.228 before easing back toward the 160.00 psych line as the new session opened. Rejection at 160.23 and a slide under EMA20 has momentum cooling, RSI(14) back near mid-range; pair grinding indecisively just above 160.00.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228
What it said to watch
Close below 160.00 psych line reopens 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.228 session high needed to resume the upside
BoJ decision + press conf this week could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Rangebound, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 160.082
Recovered off gap low, retracing the London-NY bounce.
USD/JPY bounced from the 159.73 gap low through the prior session, tagged 160.22 and was rejected, now drifting back toward the 160.00 psych line. RSI(14) near 44 as the pullback unwinds the bounce; pair sits just under EMA20/50 in the upper half of the 159.73-160.22 range.
Support: 160.00, 159.94, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 psych reopens 159.94 swing low then 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.22 session high resumes the up-leg toward 160.30
BoJ decision (~24h) and 160.00 intervention sensitivity could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 160.082
Rebounded off 159.73, capped under 160.22.
USD/JPY dropped to 159.73 early, then recovered above the 160.00 psych level and stalled at 160.22 before drifting back toward 160.00. Pair is coiling just above the intervention-sensitive 160.00 line ahead of the BoJ decision, RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (03:00 UTC) is the binary driver for the next bars
M15 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.22 puts the 160.30 prior high back in play
USD/JPY rebounded from the 159.73 session low back above 160.00 and tagged 160.228 before fading, with the pair now retesting the 160.00 psych/intervention line as RSI(14) cools toward mid-range. Price holds just above EMA20/50 into the Asia session, sitting on the level Japanese authorities flag as the tolerance ceiling for yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.155
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Reclaim of 160.228 session high extends the recovery
BoJ decision ~24h out; verbal intervention risk live near 160.00
Monday Asia opened with a gap lower and a flush to 159.73 before buyers reclaimed 160.00, rallying to a 160.228 session high. Price has since faded back to the 160.10 area, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral with the round 160.00 ceiling—Japan's intervention reference—just below.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.37
What it said to watch
Close below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 swing low
Reclaim of 160.228 resumes the recovery toward 160.37
BoJ decision (~24h) is the dominant risk to this read
USD/JPY rebounded from the 159.73 swing low and reclaimed the 160.00 psych level, tagging a session high at 160.228 before stalling around 160.14. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the recovery flattens just under resistance.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Close back below 160.00 invalidates the recovery and re-exposes 159.73
Break above 160.228 opens the path to 160.30
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) and intervention risk near 160.00 could materially shift this read
USD/JPY rebounded from the session low at 159.73 back above the psychological 160.00, then stalled at 160.22 where price was rejected, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Pullback to 160.14 is holding above 160.00, the level Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.22, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) plus presser is the binary driver for the next sessions
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.22 reasserts the rebound toward 160.30
Asia session: USD/JPY recovered from the 159.73 low back above the 160.00 psych/intervention level and stalled at 160.228. Price now consolidating in the 160.12–160.23 band with RSI(14) mid-range, momentum cooling after the bounce.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the path back toward the 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.228 extends the recovery toward 160.30
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Higher lows since 159.73, now pulling back from session high.
Asia session rebounded sharply off the 159.73 low, reclaiming the 160.00 round level and tagging a session high at 160.228 before easing back to 160.138. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the pullback develops; 160.00 is the level Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
M15 close above 160.228 puts the 160.30 prior high in play
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC plus intervention risk near 160.00 could materially shift this read
USD/JPY gapped lower into the Asia open, swept to 159.73, then recovered back above the 160.00 psych/intervention line to print a 160.228 session high. Price now eases to 160.16 just under that high, RSI mid-range, with the BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC the immediate swing factor.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.228, 160.69
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~15min) can materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.73 weekend low
Close above 160.228 opens the path to the 160.69 spike high
USD/JPY recovered from the 159.73 Asia low back through the 160.00 psych/intervention level, tagging a 160.23 session high before easing to 160.16. RSI(14) cooling in the mid-50s as the push stalls under 160.23; price now retesting the reclaimed 160.00 handle.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is imminent and will dominate the next bars
Close back below 160.00 negates the recovery and reopens 159.73
Acceptance above 160.23 exposes the 160.30 prior high
02:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 64 · price 160.204
V-recovery, higher lows into session high.
USDJPY swept down to 159.73 then climbed steadily back through the 160.00 psych level, now pressing the 160.23 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. The recovery has carved a chain of higher lows. BoJ rate decision lands in ~30 minutes (03:00 UTC), the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.23, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC + Uchida presser 06:30 UTC will override this structural read
Close above 160.23 opens the path toward the 160.30 prior high
Loss of 160.00 psych level reopens the 159.73 session low
02:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 160.204
Rebound off session low, back above 160.00.
USD/JPY clawed back from the session low at 159.79 and reclaimed the 160.00 psych/intervention level into Asia, RSI(14) firming near 64 without stretching. Price is pressing the session high at 160.23 with the late-April high zone above. BoJ decision at 03:00 UTC is imminent and is the dominant swing factor for the next bars.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.23, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 160.00 reopens the 159.79 session low
Break and hold above 160.23 session high exposes 160.30 prior high
V-shaped bounce off session low, higher lows building.
USD/JPY opened the new session with a flush to 159.73, then recovered cleanly back through the 160.00 psych level to print 160.21, RSI(14) mid-60s. The recovery reclaims the level Japanese authorities flag as the tolerance limit, with the BoJ rate decision now imminent.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.30, 160.69
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~45m) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
A close above 160.30 opens the path toward the 160.69 spike high
USD/JPY recovered from the session low at 159.79 and reclaimed the 160.00 psych level, now pressing the session high near 160.21 with RSI(14) firming into the low-60s. Price sits back inside the area Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness, and the BoJ rate decision lands at 03:00 UTC — roughly 45 minutes out.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.21, 160.37
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC (~45m) plus Uchida presser is the dominant swing factor for the next bars
M15 close above 160.21 session high opens the path toward 160.37 prior high
Loss of 160.00 psych re-exposes the 159.79 swing low
USD/JPY carved a V-recovery off the 159.73 session low, reclaiming the 160.00 psych/intervention level and now testing the 160.21 session high. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 63 — momentum constructive but not stretched into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.208, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~1h out) is the dominant swing factor for the next bars
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Close above 160.21 extends the recovery toward 160.30
02:00 UTC
Rebound, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 160.192
Recovery off session low, reclaimed 160.00.
USD/JPY rallied off the 159.73 session low and reclaimed the 160.00 psych level, printing a session high at 160.208 with RSI(14) firm near 64. Pair is pinned in the intervention zone ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.208, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~1h out) — guidance is the swing factor for this read
Loss of 160.00 reopens 159.73 session low
Close above 160.30 extends toward the late-April high zone
01:46 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 61 · price 160.156
V-recovery after weekend gap, reclaimed 160.00.
Asia session opened with a weekend gap lower and a sweep to 159.73, then a steady V-recovery reclaimed the 160.00 psych level and pressed the session high at 160.21. Price now consolidates at 160.16 with RSI(14) mid-range; BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.21, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 160.00 psych reopens the 159.73 session low
Close above 160.21 session high exposes the 160.30 prior swing
Asia reopened after a weekend gap that dropped USD/JPY to 159.73, but a steady rounded recovery has reclaimed the 160.00 psych/intervention level and tagged the 160.21 session high. Price holds back above 160.00 with RSI(14) firming near 64; 160.00 is the level Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.21, 160.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Close above 160.21 session high extends the recovery toward 160.30
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser could materially shift this read
Post-weekend gap-down swept to 159.73, then a rounded base near 159.90 gave way to a recovery that reclaimed 160.00 and pushed to 160.14. RSI(14) near 62 with room above; pair pressing back into the 160.00 intervention zone authorities flag as the tolerance limit for yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.145, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Acceptance above the 160.145 session high exposes the 160.30 prior swing
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Rounded base, broke consolidation to reclaim 160.00.
Thin early-week Asia trade dropped to 159.79 on the open, then carved a rounded base around 159.93 before breaking higher to reclaim the 160.00 psych level, last 160.12. RSI(14) near 61 after the recovery leg; the 160.00 line is the zone Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.95, 159.79
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.79 session low
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention risk active around 160.00
01:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 160.116
V-shaped recovery back above 160.00 after sweep of 159.73.
USD/JPY swept down to 159.73 in thin early trade then reclaimed the 160.00 psych/intervention zone, the last bar surging to 160.15 before settling at 160.12. Price is back above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 56, no overextension yet.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.15, 160.30
What it said to watch
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 swing low
Close above 160.15 session high exposes 160.30
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
01:01 UTC
Recovering off session low, back above 160.00 · RSI 61 · price 160.116
Drop and reclaim, higher lows into the close.
USD/JPY opened the week soft, sold off to 159.73, then ground higher through a 159.88–159.97 consolidation before the last bar pushed back above the 160.00 psych level to 160.13. RSI(14) near 61, ATR ~7 pips; the pair is pressing the level Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness.
Support: 160.00, 159.88, 159.73
Resistance: 160.13, 160.30
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC plus Uchida presser could materially shift this read
Hold above 160.00 keeps the reclaim intact; loss of 159.88 reopens the session low
Close above 160.13 session high extends toward 160.30
Monday Asia open gapped lower and swept to 159.73 before a sharp recovery reclaimed the 160.00 handle, now at 160.116. Buyers stepped in twice at the session low and the psych level is back in play ahead of Tuesday's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.30, 160.69
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.73 session low
Close above 160.30 opens the path to the 160.69 spike high
00:46 UTC
Recovering after pullback, neutral · RSI 49 · price 159.953
Consolidating below 160.00 after gap-down sell-off.
USDJPY gapped lower at the open and sold off to 159.73 before grinding back to retest the 160.00 psych level. RSI(14) sits near 50 and the pair is now consolidating in the upper 159.80s–159.95 zone; 160.00 is the level Japanese authorities flag as the intervention threshold — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 159.79, 159.73
Resistance: 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
M15 close above 160.00 psych opens the path back to the 160.14 session high
Failure to hold 159.79 session low reopens the 159.73 swing low
BoJ rate decision (Tue 03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, capped at 160.00 · RSI 50 · price 159.953
V-recovery within week-open gap, stalling under round number.
Week opened with a gap lower, USD/JPY sliding to a session low of 159.73 before recovering to stall just under the 160.00 round number in thin Asian-session trade. Price is grinding sideways near the top of the post-gap range with RSI(14) back to neutral around 50.
Support: 159.73
Resistance: 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 160.00 reopens the path toward the 160.14 week-open gap area
Loss of 159.73 confirms a fresh lower low
00:31 UTC
Downtick off 160.15, now consolidating · RSI 44 · price 159.89
Sold to 159.73, recovering into 159.90s.
USD/JPY gapped lower into the new week and sold to a session low of 159.73 before recovering to consolidate around 159.90, capped by the recent high at 159.96 and the 160.00 psych/intervention level. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR near 9 pips; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 159.73
Resistance: 159.96, 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk for the next session
Reclaim of 160.00 psych puts the gap high at 160.14 back in play
USD/JPY gapped lower into the new week and sold to 159.73 before buyers stepped in, leaving the pair coiled in a 159.85–159.96 range under the 160.00 psych/intervention level. RSI(14) is mid-range near 44 and ATR is thin around 9 pips, reflecting pre-BoJ caution.
Support: 159.79, 159.73
Resistance: 159.96, 160.00
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Close above 160.00 reopens the late-April high zone
Loss of 159.73 confirms a lower low and extends the post-gap decline
00:16 UTC
Down-then-recovery, now flat · RSI 48 · price 159.935
Weekend gap down, V-bounce into consolidation.
Thin Monday open gapped lower from 160.20 to 160.14, then sold off to a 159.73 spike low before buyers stepped in; pair now consolidating 159.88–159.97, just below the 160.00 psych level. RSI(14) sits mid-range after the bounce and ATR is ~9 pips on light early-session volume.
Support: 159.88, 159.73
Resistance: 159.97, 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.00 psych puts the gap fill toward 160.14 back in play
Loss of 159.73 spike low opens fresh downside
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend off the open, stabilising · RSI 40 · price 159.935
Post-gap drop, now ranging below 160.00.
USDJPY gapped lower at the open and flushed to 159.73 before buyers absorbed the move, recovering to consolidate 159.90–159.97 just under the 160.00 psych/intervention ceiling. RSI(14) lifting off oversold; price holds below EMA20/50 with the 160.00 line capping any rebound ahead of the BoJ.
Support: 159.73
Resistance: 159.97, 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 160.00 reopens the path toward the 160.14 open high
Loss of 159.73 confirms a fresh lower-low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Recovering off week-open gap low · RSI 47 · price 159.938
Gap-down sweep to 159.73, grinding back up below 160.00.
Week opened with a gap down through 160.00, sweeping to 159.73 before buyers stepped in to lift price back toward 159.95. The 160.00 intervention zone now caps from above while a chain of higher lows holds the recovery; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range. BoJ decision Tuesday is the dominant near-term risk into this structure.
Support: 159.73, 159.88
Resistance: 160.00, 160.146
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 160.00 reopens the gap edge at 160.15
Failure to hold 159.73 confirms a fresh lower low
00:01 UTC
Downtrend off open, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 159.938
Gap-down then recovery, consolidating below 160.00.
Monday Asia open gapped lower and swept down to 159.73 before buyers reclaimed half the move, leaving price consolidating in the high-159.90s just under the 160.00 psych/intervention level. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-40s off the open flush; ATR near 10 pips reflects a tight post-recovery range.
Support: 159.73
Resistance: 160.00, 160.14
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant risk and could reset this read