USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 15 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Range-bound around 160, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 160.324
Swept lows, carving higher lows back to range top.
USD/JPY has been pinned around the 160 handle all week, with the mid-week sweep down to 159.54 quickly bought back. Since the post-weekend low at 159.79, H1 has stacked higher lows back to 160.39 and holds above EMA(20), with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The pair now sits just under the week high at 160.55 with the BoJ decision imminent.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~4h could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.55 week high opens the path toward 161.20
Failure to hold 159.79 swing low reopens the 159.54 sweep low
Higher lows since weekend, capped near weekly open.
USDJPY stayed pinned around 160 all week as wide US-Japan rate differentials offset broad USD softness from the US-Iran de-escalation; the mid-week flush to 159.54 was fully retraced into NY hours. Since the weekend gap to 159.79, price has carved a sequence of higher lows back to the 160.39 weekly open, which capped Friday's NY push. RSI(14) sits mid-50s, holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 160.07, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.57
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser 06:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Hourly close above 160.39 weekly open opens the path to 160.57 week high
Loss of 160.07 breaks the run of higher lows back toward 159.79
USD/JPY has stayed pinned around 160 all week as US-Iran de-escalation pressured the dollar but wide rate differentials kept the yen offered into the BoJ. After last week's flush to 159.54, price carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA(20) near 160.18, with this week's open at 159.79 holding as a floor. The 160.59 week high caps the upside while RSI(14) sits mid-50s, short of stretched.
Support: 160.18, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.59, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~5h (03:00 UTC) — a hawkish surprise could squeeze toward 159
H1 close above 160.59 week high opens the path to the 161.20 context cap
Loss of the 159.79 week open reopens the 159.54 week low
USD/JPY has climbed back from Tuesday's flush to 159.54 — a move that swept stops and reversed — and now trades near 160.34 above EMA20, building higher lows through the back half of the week. The pair stayed pinned around 160 through the BoJ hike, with wide US-Japan rate differentials capping yen recovery. The session high at 160.39 caps the latest push, with the 160.57 week high the next overhead reference.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.57
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.57 reopens the path toward 161.20
Failure to hold 159.79 reasserts Tuesday's downside and the 159.54 week low
21:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, range-bound · RSI 61 · price 160.344
Range, reclaiming upper half after dip.
USDJPY has clawed back the mid-week flush to 159.79 and is grinding higher through the NY session, with price holding above EMA20/EMA50 and RSI cycling into the low 60s. The yen stayed soft near 160 around the BoJ hike as wide rate differentials kept dips bought; the week's range between roughly 159.79 and 160.57 still frames the picture. Pullbacks this session have found support near the 160.00 psych and the rising EMA20.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.57
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.57 week high extends the recovery toward 160.70+
Loss of 160.00 psych and 159.79 swing low reopens the lower-low read
FOMC mid-week is the dominant USD catalyst and could shift this range read
USD/JPY recovered off the weekend low at 159.79 and has ground steadily higher through the session, now pressing the 160.39 session high with RSI in the mid-60s and price holding above EMA(20). The yen stayed soft near the 160 handle with speculative shorts at multi-year highs, dips bought ahead of the BoJ decision. The 160.57 week high remains the cap on this leg.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.57
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.57 week high extends the recovery
BoJ decision tomorrow could trigger a yen short squeeze and shift this read
Failure to hold 160.00 psych reopens the 159.79 weekend low
20:01 UTC
Recovering, climbing into BoJ · RSI 63 · price 160.393
Higher lows off week low, nearing range top.
USD/JPY has clawed back almost all of mid-week's slide to 159.54, grinding from the weekend gap low near 159.79 to 160.39 with RSI(14) holding the mid-60s and price above both EMA20 and EMA50. The pair stayed pinned around 160 as a risk-on tape and carry demand offset softer oil; the week high at 160.57 is the immediate cap. Move sits just under the prior 160.57 swing into a heavy BoJ event window.
Support: 160.13, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.57, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision/press conference in coming hours could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.57 week high reopens the path toward 161.20
Loss of 160.13 (ema20) would expose 159.79 swing low
USDJPY gapped lower into the new week near 159.79 then ground back up in a steady series of higher lows, with RSI(14) cycling around 60–64 on each pullback into the NY session. The pair sits back above EMA(20) and is pressing toward the 160.50 prior high and the 160.57 week high that capped the move earlier in the week. The recovery has come despite a softer USD tone after the US-Iran ceasefire, as dips toward 160.00 were absorbed.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.50, 160.57
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 160.57 reopens the path back to the week's range top
Loss of 160.00 round number breaks the higher-low sequence
BoJ decision and FOMC dot plot are the dominant catalysts and could materially shift this read
USDJPY recovered off the 159.54 week low and has ground higher through the NY session, now pressing 160.30 toward the prior high at 160.34 with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The dollar slid earlier in the week as the US-Iran ceasefire drained safe-haven demand, but USDJPY has clawed back via a string of higher lows since the weekend gap. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, confirming the recovery momentum without stretching into overbought.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.56, 161.20
What it said to watch
Close above 160.56 week high reopens the path to 161.20
Failure to hold the 159.79 swing low confirms a lower-low
BoJ and FOMC decisions ahead could materially shift this read
Higher lows off weekend low, capped below week high.
USD/JPY has ground back up from the weekend gap low at 159.79, posting a chain of higher lows and pressing 160.28 with RSI(14) cycling around 58-62. The pair sits above EMA(20) and is pinned near the 160 handle as the BoJ decision dominates the week's tone. Resistance at 160.34 marks the prior swing; the 160.59 week high remains the cap from earlier sessions.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 160.34 opens the path back toward the 160.59 week high
Loss of 160.00 psych would expose 159.79 and reopen the weekend low
18:01 UTC
Rangebound, pinned near 160 · RSI 54 · price 160.224
Consolidation above 160 after a swept low.
USD/JPY stayed pinned near 160 ahead of the BoJ, with an earlier sweep below the figure to the 159.54 week low quickly bought back. Price has since coiled in a tight 160.00–160.34 band, sitting just under recent high 160.24 with RSI(14) mid-range and holding above EMA20. The 160.34 prior high and 160.59 week high cap, while the 160.00 round number and 159.79 swing low frame the floor.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.24, 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.34 reopens the 160.59 week high
Loss of 160.00 round number exposes the 159.54 week low
USD/JPY has clawed back above EMA(20) after sweeping a 159.54 weekly low mid-week, with a softer dollar on the Iran-ceasefire risk-on move offset by wide US-Japan rate differentials keeping the pair pinned near 160. Price is grinding into the 160.30 prior-high zone with RSI(14) cycling around 60 on each push. Holding above the Monday 159.79 low keeps the recovery structure intact.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC + press conference 06:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Acceptance above 160.30 prior high opens the path back toward the 160.55 week high
Loss of 159.79 monday low re-exposes the 159.54 weekly low
17:01 UTC
Recovering after midweek dip · RSI 59 · price 160.224
Higher lows since weekend, holding 160 pivot.
USD/JPY has clawed back from the weekend low at 159.79 to reclaim the 160.00 psych pivot, building a string of higher lows through the latter sessions with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The week's dominant move was the sharp slide from 160.59 to the 159.54 week low as the Iran ceasefire drove risk-on and capped JPY weakness; price has since retraced into 160.20 and stalled below the 160.30 recent high. EMA(20) has flattened and is now offering dynamic support under price.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ decision 03:00 UTC + press conf 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 160.00 psych negates the recovery and reopens 159.54 week low
Break above 160.30 recent high opens the path to 160.59 week high
17:01 UTC
Range-bound around 160 pivot, recovering from dip · RSI 57 · price 160.224
Range, higher lows off week low into Monday.
USD/JPY is pinned to the 160 pivot ahead of tomorrow's BoJ decision. After the sharp mid-window slide to the 159.54 week low, price has carved higher lows and held a 159.79-160.24 band into Monday's session with RSI(14) cycling mid-range. The 160.34 swing high has capped attempts while the 160 pivot continues to attract demand.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.56
What it said to watch
BoJ decision in ~10h (03:00 UTC) plus press conf 06:30 UTC — the main event for this read
H1 close below 159.79 swing low reopens the path to the 159.54 week low
Close above 160.34 swing high challenges the 160.56 week high
16:01 UTC
Ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 160.202
Consolidation under 160.30 after mid-week flush.
USD/JPY gapped lower to start the week near 159.79 then clawed back above 160 to reclaim EMA(20), now consolidating around 160.20. The mid-week spike that swept down to 159.54 has held as the floor, but two attempts have stalled into the 160.30 prior high, keeping price boxed below last week's 160.59. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the balanced tone into event risk.
Support: 159.79
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision/presser (03:00 & 06:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term risk for this read
H1 close above 160.30 reopens the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 159.79 confirms a lower low and breaks the week base
16:01 UTC
Range, holding near 160 · RSI 54 · price 160.202
Consolidation after a sweep below 159.55, recovered into mid-range.
USD/JPY has chopped sideways near the 160 handle all week, with a midweek flush to 159.54 swept and fully recovered into the NY session. Price now sits back at the 160.21 area that capped earlier attempts, holding just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. The pair is coiling into the BoJ decision, where a hawkish-leaning hike could squeeze the soft yen.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.21, 160.57
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read; hawkish guidance pressures toward 155.00
An hourly close above 160.57 reclaims the week high and breaks the range top
Loss of 159.79 reopens the 159.54 swing low and confirms a lower-low
15:01 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 160.143
Mid-range consolidation after mid-week flush and recovery.
USD/JPY chopped between 159.54 and 160.59 this week, with a sharp mid-week flush to the 159.54 week low bought straight back to 160.34 before fading. Price now sits mid-range near 160.14, hugging EMA(20) and capped by the 160.20 range top, with RSI(14) cycling around 50 reflecting directionless trade ahead of a near-certain BoJ decision. The week opened post-gap at 160.12 and has gone nowhere since, settling into a tight 160.05–160.20 band.
Support: 160.05, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision in ~12h (03:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.20 range top reopens the path to 160.34 recovery hi
Loss of the 160.05 range low puts the 159.79 post-gap low back in play
Consolidation between 159.79 and 160.30 after mid-week drop.
USDJPY is pinned to the 160 round number, chopping in a 159.79–160.30 range since the weekend gap-down open. The dominant move of the week was the mid-week slide from 160.57 to the 159.54 week low as the softer USD bled out post US-Iran deal, since retraced back above EMA20. RSI(14) is sitting near 50, reflecting the balance.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.55
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.79 reopens the 159.54 week low
Close above 160.30 puts the 160.55 week high back in play
BoJ hike decision and FOMC midweek are major event risk for this range read
USD/JPY has spent the week pinned in a 159.54–160.55 range, with the 160.20 area capping recovery attempts since the post-BoJ sessions. The dominant move was the mid-week sweep down to 159.54 before buyers reclaimed back toward 160.30; since then price has drifted lower into the 160.07 close, sitting just below EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range near 46. Risk-on from the US-Iran de-escalation has kept the yen heavy, but the recovery is losing momentum into the range middle.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.55
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.20 reopens the path to the 160.55 week high
Failure to hold 159.79 swing low reopens the 159.54 week low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging 160.04–160.20 after sharp midweek drop and recovery.
USDJPY sold off sharply to the 159.54 week low midweek as the geopolitical bid unwound and the dollar slipped to 10-day lows, then recovered to balance in a 160.04–160.20 range. Price sits just above a flattening EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 50; the 160.20 area has capped the last two recovery attempts. A modest weekend gap lower has since been filled, keeping action coiled below resistance.
Support: 160.04, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.34
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.20 reopens 160.34 swing high
Failure to hold 160.04 range floor reopens 159.79 swing low
BoJ decision and FOMC mid-week could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range-bound around 160 pivot · RSI 48 · price 160.139
Consolidation under 160.20, dip into 159.79 bought back.
USD/JPY is pinned in a 159.79–160.20 range either side of the 160 pivot, with the mid-week sweep down to 159.54 bought back and 160.59 standing as the week high. Price reclaimed EMA(20) after the weekend gap open near 160.12 but sits under EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat near 48 — no momentum extension either way. The pair is holding flat near 160 as a fading safe-haven bid and softer USD offset a fully-priced BoJ hike, leaving the range intact ahead of the decision.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
H1 close above 160.20 reopens 160.34 then the 160.59 week high
Loss of 159.79 exposes the 159.54 week low
13:01 UTC
Sideways, capped under EMA50 · RSI 51 · price 160.139
Range around 160 psych, holding above week low.
USDJPY is pinned around the 160 psych level after Thursday's slide to the 159.54 week low, with the weekend gap lower into Monday's 159.79 low quickly bought back. Price is now hugging the EMA20 but stalling beneath the EMA50, and RSI(14) is flat near 50 — classic pre-event compression ahead of the BoJ decision. The 160.30 prior high has capped attempts while demand keeps stepping in near the round number.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda-proxy guidance is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
H1 close above 160.30 prior high reopens the 160.59 week high
Loss of the 160.00 psych and 159.79 monday low confirms a lower-low toward the 159.54 week low
12:01 UTC
Range-bound, pinned near 160 · RSI 49 · price 160.123
Consolidation below 160.34 after recovery off 159.54.
USD/JPY is pinned at the 160 pivot into the BoJ, having rejected the 160.59 week high and flushed to 159.54 on the Friday session drop before recovering. Price has since coiled in a tight 159.79–160.34 band with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and price hugging EMA20, while EMA50 caps just overhead. The Iran de-escalation drained the haven USD bid earlier this week, but the wide US-Japan rate gap has kept the pair underpinned near 160.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC (press conf 06:30) is the dominant catalyst — a hawkish tone risks a sharp squeeze given crowded yen shorts
Hourly close above 160.34 reopens the 160.59 week high
Loss of 159.79 swing low reasserts downside toward the 159.54 spike low
12:01 UTC
Range-bound, pinned near 160 · RSI 50 · price 160.123
Weekly range, mid-band consolidation.
USD/JPY has been pinned around the 160 pivot all week, with a sharp mid-week dip to 159.54 as the US-Iran de-escalation drained haven demand and softened the dollar, then a recovery back into the band. The weekend reopen gapped lower and tagged 159.79 before buyers brought price back to 160.12, now hovering just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50. Lower highs from 160.59 have capped the recovery while 160.00 keeps holding on the downside.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC (statement) and press conference 06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reshape this read
H1 close below 160.00 then 159.79 confirms a lower low
H1 close above 160.30 breaks the range top toward 160.59
11:01 UTC
Consolidation after pullback from highs · RSI 46 · price 160.123
Ranging above a rising sequence of higher lows.
USDJPY is consolidating near 160.12 after recovering from the 159.79 weekend-gap low; the week peaked at 160.59 before sliding to the 159.54 low. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s, while a rising sequence of higher lows since 159.54 keeps a base intact. The BoJ decision sits front-and-centre as the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision could materially shift this read
Close above 160.34 prior high reopens the 160.59 week high
Loss of 159.79 session low exposes the 159.54 week low
11:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 160.123
Consolidating in lower half of week range.
USDJPY peaked at the 160.59 week high before a sharp midweek slide to 159.54 as the softer USD backdrop drained the haven premium; price has since clawed back to consolidate around 160.10, sitting on EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50). A weekend gap left a low at 159.79 that has held, and the last several sessions have coiled in a tight 160.04–160.21 band with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 160.04, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.79 gap low exposes the 159.54 week low
Reclaim of 160.34 prior high needed to re-open the 160.59 week high
BoJ decision and FOMC dots this week are the dominant catalysts that could break this range
10:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 160.133
Choppy range under 160.59, mid-range hold.
USDJPY has chopped sideways all week, pinned near the 160.00 line with a sharp washout to 159.54 mid-week quickly bought back. The week high at 160.59 capped two attempts before the BoJ hike to 1% landed as priced, leaving the pair offered but holding above EMA(20) into the NY session. RSI(14) sits flat near 50, confirming the rangebound read.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC are the week's main movers — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.59 invalidates the range top
Failure to hold 159.54 confirms a lower-low
160.00 is the level Japanese authorities treat as the tolerance line
Recovering off post-gap low, capped under prior highs.
USDJPY opened the week with a gap-down through 160.00 and probed 159.79 before buyers recovered the figure into the current session. Price now coils in the 160.00-160.13 zone, holding above EMA(20) but capped beneath EMA(50) and the 160.34 prior high, with RSI(14) hovering near the midline. The pair remains pinned at the 160.00 line that Japanese authorities treat as the limit of tolerable yen weakness, ahead of Tuesday's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ statement Tue 03:00 UTC and Ueda-less presser could materially shift this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens 159.79 swing low and the 159.54 week low
Reclaim of 160.34 prior high opens the path toward the 160.59 week high
09:02 UTC
Ranging, near intervention level · RSI 52 · price 160.137
Consolidation under 160.55, higher lows holding above week low.
USD/JPY is pinned near the 160.00 psych level after a small weekend gap lower, with price probing the 159.79 swing low Monday before recovering back to hover around EMA(20). The mid-week drop to 159.54 has been retraced into a tight range, with the 160.21 recent high capping and the 160.55 week high untested since; higher lows are holding. RSI(14) sits mid-range, reflecting the indecision into tomorrow's BoJ decision, where a 1% hike is fully priced.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.21, 160.30, 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the pivot for this read
H1 close below 159.79 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 160.30 prior high reopens the path to the 160.55 week high
09:01 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 160.137
Range below EMA50, mid-range.
USDJPY has carved a 159.54–160.59 range since Monday, pinned just under the BoJ-watched 160 region as the Iran-deal haven unwind softened the dollar. Two sharp flushes — to 159.54 mid-week and again toward the recent low at 159.79 — were both bought back, leaving price hovering its EMA(20) with RSI(14) neutral near 50. A small weekend gap left the open below Friday's range, but price has clawed back to 160.13.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Ueda presser is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Hourly close above the 160.30 swing high opens the path back to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold the 159.79 recent low exposes the 159.54 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg
08:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower from week high · RSI 47 · price 160.111
Consolidation under EMA50 after midweek slide.
USDJPY has been range-bound and capped below EMA(20)/EMA(50) since sliding off the 160.59 week high into Thursday's 159.54 low. Recovery stalled at 160.34 and price has chopped around the 160.00–160.20 zone, with a small weekend gap lower into Monday's open. RSI sits near 46; the dominant near-term driver is Tuesday's BoJ decision with the 160.00 line widely cited as the intervention threshold.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk and can break this range either way
H1 close back above 160.34 reopens the path to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 160.00 exposes the 159.79 friday low and 159.54 week low
Range-bound below week high, lower highs since the 160.587 peak.
USDJPY peaked at 160.587 early in the week before a sharp slide to 159.541, and opened the new week with a gap lower toward 159.79. Price has clawed back to the 160.00 line but stalled under 160.21, leaving it pinned just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s. The 160.00 intervention line is the pivot heading into Tuesday's near-certain BoJ hike.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.21, 160.348, 160.587
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
H1 close above 160.21 reopens the path toward the 160.348 prior high
Failure to hold 159.79 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 159.54 week low
160.00 line remains the key intervention-watch level
07:01 UTC
Rangebound, lower highs · RSI 47 · price 160.137
Range 159.80–160.50, lower highs capping bounces.
USD/JPY has held a 159.80–160.50 range all week, pinned near the 160.00 line officials watch ahead of Tuesday's BoJ decision. The week's sharp drop to the 159.54 low was bought back, but lower highs have capped each bounce since the 160.59 week high. The early-week gap-down to 159.79 has been recovered toward 160.14, with price still under EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention risk in play
Close above 160.30 breaks the week's lower-high sequence
07:01 UTC
Range after midweek drop, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 160.137
Rangebound 159.54-160.59, holding above 160.00.
USD/JPY remains pinned around the 160.00 line after a sharp midweek drop from the 160.59 week high to 159.54, with risk demand ebbing and rate-differential support keeping the dollar bid. Price has since clawed back above 160.00 and is tracking the EMA(20), but a series of lower highs has capped the recovery into the 160.34 prior-high area. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50, reflecting the lack of directional follow-through into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC and Ueda presser could materially shift this read
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps intervention risk in play
H1 close below 159.54 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 160.34 prior high opens the path back to 160.59 week high
USDJPY has spent the week pinned around the 160.00 intervention line, ranging 159.54-160.59 as a 25bp BoJ hike is fully priced and the market waits on guidance. A flush mid-week swept below to 159.54 before recovering, but the latest bars have rolled over again from 160.23 and price now sits back at 160.04, below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) near 43 reflects the loss of upside momentum after the recovery stalled at 160.37.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC then Ueda presser 06:30 UTC will set direction for the week
Sustained trade above 160.00 keeps verbal/actual intervention risk live
H1 close below 159.79 confirms a lower low and reopens the 159.54 sweep low
Reclaim of 160.30 would re-engage the week-high band toward 160.59
Range capped by lower highs, holding above week low.
USD/JPY is pinned at the 160.00 handle after the week's high near 160.59 was rejected and the mid-week flush to 159.54 was bought back. Rallies since have stalled at progressively lower highs and price now sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-40s. The pair sits right on the 160.00 line officials view as the limit of tolerable yen weakness, ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision/Ueda presser (Tue 03:00/06:30 UTC) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
Sustained trade below 159.79 confirms a lower-low and opens the 159.54 week low
Reclaim above 160.30 negates the lower-high sequence
05:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower into BoJ · RSI 43 · price 160.039
Range below 160.00 after week-low sweep.
USDJPY has slipped back below the 160.00 psych line after Monday's open, with price ticking down to 160.04 on thin Asia-session volume and sitting under both EMA20 and EMA50. The week saw a sweep to the 159.54 low before recovery, and supply has capped successive attempts under the 160.59 week high, leaving a lower-high tape into the BoJ. Range structure between 159.54 and 160.59 still defines this week's action.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close below 159.54 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week range
Reclaim of 160.20 reopens the path toward the 160.59 week high
USD/JPY has churned the 159.54–160.69 band all week, repeatedly pinned at the 160.00 'tolerable weakness' line as carry dynamics and a firm USD kept the yen soft. The latest session slipped back under EMA(20) toward 160.04 with RSI(14) fading to the low-40s after rejection near 160.20. Price now sits right on the 160.00 psych pivot with no clear directional resolution.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.20, 160.69
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + presser 06:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
H1 close back above 160.20 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 159.79 confirms a lower-low toward the 159.54 week low
Sustained acceptance below 160.00 keeps intervention rhetoric in focus
04:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 160.132
Ranging between 159.54 and 160.59 since Thursday's flush.
USDJPY remains pinned around the 160.00 psych line, holding a 159.54–160.59 range carried over from last week's downside sweep to 159.54. The new week opened soft with a dip to the 159.79 swing low before buyers reclaimed 160.00, pushing price back to the EMA20 with RSI flat near 49. Price sits below the EMA50, leaving the 160.30 prior high and 160.55 week high as the levels capping recovery attempts.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC and press conf 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the binary risk for the USD side
H1 close below 159.54 confirms a lower low and breaks the week's range floor
Close above 160.55 reopens the 160.69 week-high zone
04:01 UTC
Range-bound, near lower-mid · RSI 47 · price 160.052
Rotation inside 159.54–160.59 band.
USDJPY remains pinned around the 160.00 line, churning inside a 159.54–160.59 band carved out this week as carry dynamics keep the yen soft into the BoJ. The mid-week flush to 159.54 was bought back to 160.34, but price has since slipped under EMA20 and EMA50 and is hovering just above the psychological 160.00. RSI is mid-range with no momentum extension in either direction.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ decision Tue 03:00 UTC + press conf 06:30 UTC is the binary catalyst for this read
H1 close below 159.54 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's range
Reclaim of 160.34 reopens the path toward the 160.59 week high
USD/JPY swept down to 159.54 mid-week as US-Iran peace optimism trimmed dollar demand, then recovered back above the 160.00 intervention area where authorities flag the limit of tolerable yen weakness. Into the new week the pair has stabilised just over EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 53, but it sits below EMA(50) and remains capped under the 160.55 week high. Price is pinned in the 159.54–160.55 band that has framed the week.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC plus Uchida presser is the swing factor for this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.79 swing low and 159.54 week low
Break and hold above 160.55 puts the late-April high zone in play
03:01 UTC
Range-bound, two-way into BoJ · RSI 53 · price 160.217
Ranging below 160.55, holding above 160.00.
USDJPY has chopped in a 159.54–160.59 band all week, pinned near the 160.00 zone that Japanese authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. After a weekend gap lower opened at 160.12 and probed the 159.79 swing low, buyers recovered the figure and price now sits back at 160.22, between week-high resistance at 160.55 and the 160.00 psych floor. RSI(14) cycling around 50 reflects the indecision ahead of Tuesday's BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 16 Jun 03:00 UTC and Uchida presser is the swing factor for this read
Sustained break above 160.55 week high opens the late-April spike high near 160.69
Hourly close below 160.00 psych re-exposes the 159.79 swing low
Verbal intervention risk elevated while price holds near 160.00
02:01 UTC
Range, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 46 · price 160.116
Weekly range 159.50–160.60, holding the round number.
USD/JPY has spent the week boxed between 159.50 and 160.60, repeatedly drawn back to the 160.00 round number that authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. A spike low to 159.54 mid-week was bought back quickly, and the weekend gap reopened lower before recovering toward 160.10. Price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near the midline — momentum flat as the BoJ decision approaches.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.34, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC plus Uchida presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance above 160.34 opens the path back to the 160.59 week high
H1 close below 159.79 reopens the 159.54 swing low and the range floor
160.00 — area to watch for MoF/BoJ verbal intervention
02:01 UTC
Range, capped below EMAs · RSI 48 · price 160.116
Ranging 159.54–160.59, holding near 160.00.
USD/JPY has held a 159.54–160.59 band all week with the dollar bid on higher-for-longer US data, but the pair sits just below EMA(20) after a weekend gap lower and a probe to 159.79. The dominant move was Thursday's flush from 160.59 down to 159.54, since retraced toward 160.30 before fading; price is now back at the 160.00 psych line authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) is mid-range near 47, consistent with the lack of directional resolution.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.30, 160.55, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC + Uchida presser could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 159.40 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Reclaim of 160.30 reopens the 160.55–160.59 range top
01:01 UTC
Rolling over, momentum turning down · RSI 38 · price 159.932
Range break lower below 160.00.
USD/JPY gapped lower into Monday's Asia open, slipping below the 160.00 psych level after a week pinned in a 160.0–160.6 range that topped near the 160.59 week high. Price now trades under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-40; the 159.79 Monday low caps the immediate downside ahead of the 159.54 swing low. The yen weakness has been a carry/risk-on story, but the BoJ decision Tuesday and intervention chatter near 160.00 frame the structure.
Support: 159.79, 159.541, 159.40
Resistance: 160.00, 160.593
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 160.00 psych negates the gap-down break
Loss of 159.79 monday low opens 159.54 swing low then the 159.40 range floor
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Range, rolling over below 160 · RSI 43 · price 159.932
Range 159.40-160.59, week opened lower.
USD/JPY capped repeatedly at the 160.59 week high last week before a sharp sweep to 159.54 was bought back, keeping the pair pinned just under the 160.00 psych ceiling that Japanese authorities flag. The new week opened lower below 160.00, and price now trades under EMA20/50 with RSI sub-50, finding a footing around the 159.79 swing low. The BoJ decision is the dominant catalyst into this read.
Support: 159.79, 159.54, 159.40
Resistance: 160.00, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Hourly close back above 160.00 reopens the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 159.40 range low confirms a lower-low
USD/JPY spent most of the week pinned in a 159.5–160.6 range, with the 160.00 round number and intervention zone repeatedly in focus. Into the new week the pair gapped lower and slipped under 160.00, now trading near 159.93 below both EMA20 and EMA50, with a sequence of lower highs from the 160.59 week high. The slide tracks broad JPY softness against a dollar at one-week lows; the late-week selloff carried RSI down toward the high-30s.
Support: 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.00, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 160.00 negates the break-lower read
Failure to hold 159.79 opens the path toward 159.54 week low
USD/JPY spent most of the week pinned in a 159.54–160.59 band above the 160.00 line, but the latest bars gapped lower on the reopen and drove to 159.79, leaving price below both EMAs for the first time this week. Softer US data and US-Iran de-escalation have trimmed the dollar bid, and the move now sits below the 160.00 intervention zone that authorities flag as the limit of tolerable yen weakness. RSI(14) has slid toward the high-30s, confirming downside momentum into the BoJ decision.
Support: 159.79, 159.541
Resistance: 160.00, 160.593
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 160.00 negates the break and restores the week's range
Failure to hold 159.79 opens the 159.54 week low
BoJ rate decision Tue 03:00 UTC could materially shift this read