USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.421
Higher lows since the 159.54 flush, week high in sight.
USD/JPY has recovered the entire 159.54 flush and is grinding back toward the 160.48 week high, with the BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1.00% leaving the yen soft. Price holds above EMA20 (~160.35) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s as each NY-session pullback finds higher lows. Demand stepping in around 160.15 has kept the ascending structure intact through the week.
Support: 160.35, 160.15
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.48 week high opens the path to the 160.70 psych pivot / intervention zone
Failure to hold the 160.15 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Japan trade data at 23:50 UTC tonight could shift this read
USD/JPY has ground back up through the week after the midweek flush to 159.54, with price now riding the week high near 160.48 into the NY session. The BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.00% passed with no FX follow-through, leaving the yen soft and the pair tracking a clean line of higher lows above EMA(20). RSI(14) cycling in the upper half on each pullback reflects the steady grind rather than an extended push.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.48 week high opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Failure to hold 160.00 round number would break the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Japan trade data 23:50 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.416
Higher lows since weekend gap, series of higher highs.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher since the weekend gap near 160.12, building higher lows back toward the week high at 160.48 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s and price holding above EMA(20). The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% passed with a muted FX reaction, leaving the yen soft and the pair pinned just under the 160.70 intervention-risk pivot. Pullbacks this week have been shallow and found support near the rising higher-lows line.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.48 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Failure to hold 160.20 breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, near range top · RSI 61 · price 160.416
Higher lows, testing week high.
USD/JPY has ground higher since the recovery off 159.79 early in the window, reclaiming the bulk of the drop that hit the 159.54 swing low. Price now sits just under the week high at 160.48 with RSI(14) holding the upper half, and pullbacks have tracked a rising line of higher lows near 160.15. The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.0% passed with muted reaction, leaving the pair pinned above the 160.00 round number into the FOMC.
Support: 160.15, 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.70 opens the path toward the 161/162 intervention zone
Failure to hold the higher-low line near 160.15 invalidates the recovery read
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into week high · RSI 64 · price 160.458
Higher lows since Monday's gap-down low.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher since the gap-down to 159.73 at Monday's open, posting higher lows and now pressing the 160.479 week high with price holding above both EMAs. The yen stayed soft after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% passed with muted FX reaction, leaving the pair pinned just above 160.00 as it edges toward the 160.70 intervention-risk zone. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, consistent with the persistent but unhurried climb.
Support: 160.20, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.479, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.70 opens the 161/162 intervention-risk zone
Failure to hold 160.20 breaks the rising support and the higher-low sequence
Japan trade data (23:50 UTC) and Wed's US Retail Sales / FOMC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 160.458
Higher highs and higher lows since weekend gap.
USDJPY has ground higher since the weekend gap, posting higher lows through the London and NY sessions to print a fresh week high at 160.48. The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% passed with a muted FX reaction, leaving the pair pinned just above 160.00 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks finding the rising trendline off the 159.73 week low.
Support: 160.20, 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.48, 160.70
What it said to watch
Break above 160.70 opens 161/162, the cited intervention-risk zone
FOMC decision and Warsh presser (18:00 UTC) is the week's defining catalyst
Failure to hold 160.20 breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low sequence
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 160.463
Higher lows since mid-week dip.
USD/JPY has climbed steadily off the mid-week dip to 159.54, reclaiming the prior range and printing higher lows into the NY session with price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.0% passed with muted yen reaction, leaving the pair pressing back toward the week high at 160.59 and the 160.70 intervention pivot. RSI(14) at 64 reflects firm momentum but is approaching stretched territory.
Support: 160.07, 159.54
Resistance: 160.59, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.70 opens the 161/162 intervention-risk zone
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Japan trade data tonight 23:50 UTC a near-term JPY risk
Loss of 160.07 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.463
Higher lows since week-low recovery.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the early-week dip to 159.54, posting higher lows and reclaiming the upper 160s with price holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.00% passed with muted FX reaction, leaving the yen soft and the pair pressing toward the week high at 160.59. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, consistent with the controlled grind rather than an exhaustion extreme.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.59, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.59 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.20 range floor would break the higher-low sequence
Japan trade data 23:50 UTC tonight could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend, momentum slowing near range top · RSI 61 · price 160.424
Higher lows since Monday's dip, grinding toward week high.
USD/JPY bottomed at 159.54 in Monday's session and has carved a steady sequence of higher lows back toward the 160.46 week high, holding above EMA20 through the NY session. Price stayed pinned in a tight band around the priced-in BoJ hike to 1.0%, with the 160.70 intervention zone capping any extension and the 159.40 range floor unchallenged. RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 area on each pullback reflects the grind rather than impulsive momentum.
Support: 160.20, 159.40
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.70 pushes into the intervention zone flagged near 161/162
Failure to hold 160.20 psych opens a retest of the 159.40 range floor
US Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC + dot-plot (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
Higher lows since Tuesday's dip, grinding toward range top.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher since the slide to 159.54 mid-week, posting higher lows back toward 160.46 with price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). The pair stayed pinned after the in-line BoJ hike to 1.0%, with the well-telegraphed move leaving positioning intact; 160.70 remains the pivot and the lower edge of the flagged intervention zone. RSI(14) is cycling in the upper half without reaching overbought.
Support: 160.20, 159.54
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.70 opens the intervention-flagged 161/162 zone
Loss of 160.20 risks a slide back toward the 159.54 week low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot-plot 18:00 UTC Wed are the dominant catalysts
Higher lows since this week's dip, capped near 160.46.
USD/JPY has ground higher since this week's open near 160.12, carving higher lows off the 159.73 dip back toward 160.46. BoJ's 25bp hike to 1.00% yesterday drew minimal yen reaction, keeping price pinned above 160.00. RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s–low 60s; 160.46 has capped the latest push as price holds above EMA(20).
Support: 160.00, 159.73
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.70 enters the flagged intervention zone toward 161/162
Failure to hold 160.00 breaks the higher-low sequence
Higher lows off week low, approaching week-open resistance.
USDJPY has clawed back from the 159.54 week low after the BoJ hike to 1.00% left the yen soft, with a steady series of higher lows lifting price through the NY session to 160.43 and holding above EMA20. Resistance at 160.46-160.57 — the week-open zone — is the immediate cap, with the 160.70 pivot above flagged into the 161/162 intervention area. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, confirming momentum without yet pressing overbought.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.46, 160.57, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.57 exposes the 160.70 breakout pivot
Loss of 160.20 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow are the dominant catalysts and could reset this read
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.402
Higher lows off the week's dip, capped near week high.
USD/JPY has ground higher since recovering from the 159.79 swing low, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The BoJ's expected hike to 1.00% barely moved the yen, leaving the pair clinging just above 160.00 psych support. Two NY-session attempts have stalled at the 160.46 week high; the 160.70 intervention pivot sits just above.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.46 opens the path to the 160.70 intervention pivot
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
Failure to hold 160.00 psych support breaks the run of higher lows
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 160.402
Higher lows since weekend gap-down.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher since the post-weekend gap-down to 159.79, reclaiming and holding above EMA(20) through the London and NY sessions. The BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1.00% left the yen soft, and the recovery has been capped by the 160.46 week high on the latest push. RSI cycling in the high-50s supports the climb without stretching.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.46 opens the 160.70 intervention zone flagged by MoF
FOMC rate decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of the 160.00 round number would negate the recovery off the week low
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 160.388
Higher lows since the post-weekend low, pressing week highs.
USD/JPY has ground steadily higher off the 159.79 post-weekend low, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. The well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% was sold-the-fact, leaving the yen soft and the pair pressing toward the 160.46 day high and the 160.59 week high. The 160.00 round level has been a clean floor through the BoJ aftermath.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.46, 160.59, 160.70
What it said to watch
A close above 160.46 opens the path to the 160.59 week high and the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed (18:00 / 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 160.00 would break the higher-low sequence
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.401
Higher lows since mid-week dip, near week high.
USD/JPY has clawed back the mid-week flush to 159.54 and is grinding along the week high at 160.46, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the high 50s–low 60s on each pullback. The BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.00% was a sell-the-fact for the yen, leaving the pair pinned above the 160.00 round number. Price is pressing the upper edge of this week's higher-low channel into the Fed risk event.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.46, 160.70
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.46 week high opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Loss of 160.00 round number breaks the higher-low channel
FOMC + US Retail Sales Wed could materially shift this read
USD/JPY has recovered the midweek flush to 159.54 and ground back toward the week high at 160.40, holding above EMA(20) through the NY session with RSI(14) in the high-50s. Each pullback this week has found support along rising lows, and the BoJ's well-flagged hike to 1.0% left the yen soft rather than bid. The 160.40 area has capped the latest push — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.40, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.40 opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention-watch zone
Failure to hold the 160.00 round number reopens the 159.54 week low
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 160.384
Higher lows since Thursday's dip, recovering to weekly highs.
USDJPY has clawed back the Thursday flush to 159.54 and is grinding into weekly highs near 160.40, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback. JPY stayed soft after the well-flagged BoJ hike to 1.00% — a sell-the-fact as guidance read accommodative — leaving the pair pinned toward the 160.70 area. The 160.00 round level has acted as a floor through the BoJ aftermath.
Support: 160.00
Resistance: 160.41, 160.55, 160.70
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the main USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 160.55 prior high opens the path toward the 160.70 intervention zone
Loss of 160.00 round number would break the higher-low sequence
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 160.384
Higher lows since Monday's low, near week high.
USD/JPY has carved a steady sequence of higher lows since Monday's 159.73 low, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the high-50s/low-60s on each pullback. The BoJ's priced-in 1.0% hike failed to keep the yen bid, leaving price pressing the 160.41 week high through the NY session. Demand has stepped in repeatedly on dips, but momentum is constructive rather than impulsive into the FOMC.
Support: 160.20
Resistance: 160.41, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.41 opens the path toward the 160.70 pivot
Loss of 160.20 (EMA20) breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC decision + dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the key cross-driver for this read
USDJPY sold off mid-week to the 159.54 week low before carving a rounded bottom and grinding back toward the 160.41 session high. The BoJ's priced 1.0% hike failed to hold the yen bid, and the pair sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper 50s on each pullback. Higher lows have held since the recovery began.
Support: 160.20, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.41, 160.70
What it said to watch
H1 close above 160.41 session high opens the path to the 160.70 psych pivot
Failure to hold 160.20 hourly low risks a return toward 159.79 tue low
US Retail Sales and FOMC Wednesday are the key cross-drivers and could reset this read
USD/JPY has clawed back the Friday flush to 159.54 and is grinding higher, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The BoJ hike to 1% was fully priced and failed to lift the yen, leaving price consolidating in a 160.05–160.39 band this week. The week high at 160.39 has capped the latest push.
Support: 160.05, 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — could materially reset this read
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path back toward 160.59
Loss of the 160.05 higher-lows line exposes the 160.00 round number
USDJPY sold off to 159.54 mid-week then ground steadily back above 160.00, now probing the 160.39 range top after the BoJ's fully-priced hike to 1% failed to lift the yen. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-50s, pullbacks finding support along a rising line of higher lows. The 160.39 cap has held two attempts; this remains a recovery grind into the FOMC event.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dots Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could reshape this read
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 160.00 round number reopens the 159.79 swing low
12:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend, near week high · RSI 58 · price 160.356
Higher lows since weekend gap low, retesting week high.
USDJPY has climbed in a stair-step of higher lows since the weekend gap reopened near 159.79, with price now pressing the week high around 160.39 after the in-line BoJ hike to 1% failed to lift the yen. RSI(14) sits in the high-50s and pullbacks have held above the rising EMA20 near 160.22 through the NY session. The 160.39 cap has rejected the latest push, keeping price pinned just under decade-high territory.
Support: 160.22, 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and the dot plot are the dominant driver for this read
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.70 breakout pivot
Failure to hold the 160.00 handle would break the higher-low sequence
12:01 UTC
Recovery off the dip, momentum modest · RSI 56 · price 160.356
Higher lows since Friday open, capped below 160.40.
USDJPY remains pinned near the 160 multi-decade area after the BoJ delivered its priced 1% hike but failed to lift the Yen. Price recovered from the midweek slide to 159.54 and has built higher lows since Friday's session open, but two attempts at 160.39 have capped the advance with RSI(14) holding the mid-50s. A weekend gap left price opening below Friday's range before grinding back above EMA(20).
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.70
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-driver — the kept-vs-dropped 2026 cut sets the next leg
H1 close above 160.70 opens the path higher; rejection at 160.39 keeps the range intact
Loss of the 160.00 handle reopens the 159.79 / 159.54 lows
USD/JPY remains pinned above the 160.00 handle; the BoJ's in-line hike to 1% triggered only a brief pop before the move was handed back, leaving the pair grinding higher off the week low at 159.54. Price has built a series of higher lows since the recovery and sits just above EMA(20)/EMA(50), with RSI(14) mid-range near 54. Resistance at 160.39 has capped the latest NY-session push, while the week high at 160.59 marks the broader cap.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision/dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary USD/JPY catalyst — could materially shift this read
Failure to break below 160.00 keeps intervention risk elevated; an hourly close below opens 159.79 then the 159.54 week low
Hourly close above 160.39 exposes the 160.59 week high
USD/JPY is grinding back toward the week's range top after the midweek flush to 159.54, holding above the 160.00 handle into the NY session. The BoJ's in-line 25bp hike to 1% barely registered, leaving the pair pinned to multi-decade JPY lows; pullbacks have found higher lows since the recovery began. The 160.39 area has capped the latest push and remains the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.39 opens the path back toward Monday's 160.55 high
Loss of 160.00 reopens the 159.79 swing low
FOMC dot plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst and could materially shift this read
Intervention rhetoric near multi-decade JPY lows could force a sharp reversal
Higher lows since Monday's dip, capped near 160.40.
USDJPY stays pinned around the 160.00 handle after recovering from Monday's dip to 159.54; the BoJ's in-line 25bp hike to 1% today produced only a brief yen pop before record shorts and the wide rate gap reasserted. Price has carved higher lows back toward the 160.39 session high and trades above EMA(20)/EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling in the upper 50s–low 60s. Wednesday's FOMC is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.39 opens the path to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 160.00 psych re-exposes the 159.79 swing low
FOMC Wed (18:00 GMT) dots can materially shift this read
USDJPY snapped back from the 159.54 swing low to retest the 160.39 week high, holding above the 160.00 handle after the priced BoJ hike to 1% was faded. Price has carved higher lows through the NY session, with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s and sitting above both EMAs. The 160.00 pivot remains respected, but Wednesday's FOMC and dot plot is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 160.39 opens the path back toward the 160.55 prior high
Loss of 160.00 psych pivot exposes the 159.79 session low and 159.54 swing low
FOMC decision and dot plot Wed could materially shift this read
USDJPY remains pinned near the 160.00 handle after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced hike to 1% — the yen barely benefited and price has rebuilt off the 159.54 mid-week low. H1 is now ranging 160.10–160.39, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling around the mid-50s. The 160.39–160.59 band has capped attempts higher while demand has stepped in repeatedly above 160.00.
Support: 160.10, 160.00, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 160.00 reopens the path toward 159.54 and revives intervention focus
Close above 160.39 puts the 160.59 week high back in play
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Recovering, range-bound near 160.00 · RSI 61 · price 160.319
Consolidation above week low, building higher lows.
USD/JPY remains pinned near the 160.00 handle after the BoJ hike to 1% landed in line and the yen failed to benefit. Price carved a base around 159.54-159.79 after the mid-week flush and has ground back through EMA20 with RSI(14) holding the mid-50s/low-60s on each pullback. The 160.39 swing high has capped the recovery, leaving a tight consolidation just under it into the Fed.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
A clean break above 160.39 opens the path back to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens 159.79 and the 159.54 week low
FOMC dot plot/SEP Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention risk elevated as price sits near 160.00 multi-decade highs
08:01 UTC
Ranging around 160.00 pivot · RSI 54 · price 160.24
Consolidation, higher-lows since midweek dip.
USDJPY stayed pinned to the 160.00 pivot all week; the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1% barely moved price. A midweek flush to 159.54 was bought back through the NY session and the pair has since carved higher-lows, consolidating just under 160.39. RSI(14) is mid-range and price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC dot-plot today is the dominant driver — capable of resetting this range
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold the 160.00 pivot reopens 159.79 and the 159.54 week low
08:01 UTC
Range-bound around 160.00 pivot · RSI 52 · price 160.24
Consolidation, choppy higher-lows since the week reopen.
USD/JPY stayed pinned to the 160.00 pivot through the fully-priced BoJ hike to 1%, with price grinding sideways above EMA(20) since the week reopened. The 160.39 zone has capped the latest push while dips into 159.79 have been bought, leaving RSI(14) idling near 50. Range structure dominates as the market parks ahead of the FOMC dot-plot.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot today is the dominant driver for this read
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path back toward the 160.59 prior high
Failure to hold 160.00 pivot exposes 159.79 and the 159.54 week low
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated near multi-decade lows above 160
07:01 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 52 · price 160.216
Consolidation around 160 pivot, higher lows off week low.
USDJPY is pinned near the 160.00 pivot after the BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike to 1% with little reaction. Price has carved a sequence of higher lows off Thursday's 159.54 week low and is grinding along EMA(20), with RSI(14) flat near 52. The 160.39 prior high has capped the latest NY-session push; 160.59 marks the broader week high.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.39 opens the path toward the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens 159.79 and the 159.54 week low
USD/JPY is rangebound around the 160 pivot after Friday's flush to the 159.54 week low, with price grinding back to sit on the EMA20. The fully-priced BoJ hike to 1% drew little reaction — yen stayed pinned as risk-on flows dominated — and the week high at 160.39 has capped the recovery with a rejection into NY hours. RSI is mid-range, reflecting the lack of directional conviction into Ueda.
Support: 160.05, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 week high opens the path toward the 160.55 prior high
Failure to hold the 160.05 range low exposes 159.79 monday low and confirms a lower-low
06:01 UTC
Recovering within wide range · RSI 56 · price 160.286
Higher lows off Monday's low, capped under week high.
USD/JPY is pinned near the 160.00 psych pivot after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced 25bp hike to 1%, with little reaction as positioning stayed short. Price has carved a series of higher lows since Monday's 159.79 low and now trades above EMA20/EMA50, but the week high at 160.39 has capped the latest push. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 56, consistent with the grind rather than a clean trend.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference ~06:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Close above 160.39 week high opens the path back toward 160.55 prior high
Loss of 160.00 psych pivot and 159.79 monday low confirms a fresh lower low
06:01 UTC
Recovery off the week low, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 160.286
Rebuild after midweek flush, ranging 159.80–160.40.
USD/JPY held firm around 160 after the BoJ delivered the fully-priced 25bp hike to 1%, with risk-on flows leaving the yen unloved. Price has rounded up off the midweek flush to 159.54, grinding higher through Friday's sessions and now testing the 160.30–160.40 shelf with RSI(14) cycling the mid-50s/60. The 160.00 psych pivot has held on pullbacks and EMA20 is supporting from below.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Ueda BoJ press conference at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 160.39 session high opens the path toward 160.59
Failure to hold 160.00 reopens the 159.79 swing low
05:01 UTC
Sideways, pinned to 160.00 · RSI 53 · price 160.258
Ranging around 160 psych after weekend gap.
USD/JPY remains pinned around the 160.00 pivot, grinding back up after a weekend gap lower and a midweek flush to 159.54. The BoJ hike to 1% landed in line and barely moved price; the pair sits just above its H1 EMA(20) with RSI cycling near 50. Resistance at 160.39 capped the latest push as the market waits on the Ueda press conference.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC is the day's catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens 159.79 and the 159.54 week low
Close above 160.39 exposes the 160.59 week high
05:01 UTC
Range, pinned near 160.00 · RSI 55 · price 160.258
Recovery off Friday's low, ranging under 160.40.
USD/JPY has spent the week pinned around the 160.00 pivot; the slide to 159.54 on Friday's soft US data and the Iran-driven USD pullback was bought back, with price now grinding under 160.40. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, reflecting a market parked ahead of the BoJ. The hike to 1% landed in line and is fully discounted — the chart is waiting on the Ueda presser.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
Ueda press conference at 06:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.79 swing low
H1 close above 160.39 puts 160.59 week high back in play
04:01 UTC
Sideways, pinned at 160 · RSI 49 · price 160.205
Range, holding above 160.00.
USD/JPY remains pinned around the 160.00 psychological pivot after the BoJ delivered its fully-priced hike to 1.00% earlier today. Price snapped sharply to a 159.54 week low mid-window before reclaiming the figure and grinding back into a 160.05–160.39 range; RSI(14) is hovering near 50 with price sitting on EMA20. The dominant weekly drop has been largely retraced, leaving the pair coiled into the Ueda press conference.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC is the day's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens the path toward the 159.79 swing low
Break above 160.39 wk high would extend the recovery toward 160.55
03:01 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower into BoJ · RSI 43 · price 160.135
Consolidation under 160.40 after Wed washout.
USDJPY has held a tight range pinned around the 160.00 pivot all week, with a sharp Wednesday washout to 159.54 fully recovered by the NY session. Price has since rolled over from 160.39, slipping back below EMA20 with RSI(14) easing toward 43 as the tape coils into the BoJ decision. The 160.00 round number remains the line in the sand below recent rotation.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.57
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision (~80 min) and Ueda press conference are the dominant risk — a hawkish lean could trigger a short-squeeze through 159.79
Hourly close below 160.00 confirms a break of the week's range floor toward 159.54
Reclaim of 160.39 reopens the 160.57 week high
03:01 UTC
Rangebound, pulling back from week high · RSI 44 · price 160.134
Consolidation around the 160.00 pivot after a midweek dip and recovery.
USDJPY is pinned around the 160.00 pivot, having recovered the midweek flush to 159.54 before stalling at 160.39 and rolling over into the Asia session. Price now sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) back near 44, reflecting the fade off the week high. The pair held firm despite a risk-on, oil-collapse tape, with wide US-Japan differentials capping any yen recovery ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.74, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision imminent (~1.5h) plus Ueda presser at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 160.39 week high reopens the path toward 160.55
Failure to hold the 160.00 round number exposes 159.74 and the 159.54 week low
USDJPY has churned in a 159.80–160.57 band all week, with the mid-week flush to 159.54 fully recovered before stalling at the 160.39 day high. Price slipped back under EMA(20) into the 160.16 area after a weekend gap, holding the 160.00 pivot. The entire structure is coiled into the imminent BoJ decision — a hike to 1% is fully priced, so the reaction hinges on Ueda's tone.
Support: 160.00, 159.79
Resistance: 160.39, 160.57
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision and Ueda presser within hours will dictate the next H1 leg
Close below 159.79 confirms a lower low and breaks the week's range floor
Close above 160.39 day high reopens the 160.57 week high
02:01 UTC
Range-bound, coiling into BoJ · RSI 45 · price 160.16
Consolidation around the 160.00 pivot.
USD/JPY has chopped sideways around the 160.00 pivot all week, failing to benefit from a risk-on tape and collapsing oil as wide rate differentials and record short positioning capped any yen recovery. Monday's slide tagged 159.74 before buyers reclaimed 160, and the bounce to 160.39 has since faded back to the figure with RSI(14) drifting into the mid-40s. Price now sits just below EMA20 as the market coils into the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.74
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision and Ueda presser in the next 1-2h can materially shift this read
H1 close below 160.00 reopens the 159.74 weekly low
Reclaim of 160.39 day high puts the 160.59 week high back in play
01:01 UTC
Sideways, mild upward drift into BoJ · RSI 49 · price 160.21
USDJPY has churned in a 159.79–160.39 range since the weekend gap, holding the 160.00 psych pivot with a series of higher lows after the dip to the 159.79 swing low. Price climbed to a 160.39 recent high in the prior NY session before easing back to 160.21, RSI cycling around the midline. Yen has stayed pinned near 160 despite the risk-on tape, with wide rate differentials capping any rally.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.55, 161.20
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC and press conference 06:30 UTC could materially reshape this read
Loss of the 160.00 psych pivot would expose the 159.79 swing low and 159.54 week low
An hourly close above 160.39 recent high opens the path toward the 160.55 swing high and 161.20 cap
USD/JPY recovered off the 159.54 week low into a 159.79–160.39 range, oscillating around EMA(20) since the weekend gap with the 160.00 psych pivot reclaimed. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50, reflecting indecision in Asian hours into the BoJ decision; dips have been bought all week as the digest notes, but the leg high at 160.39 capped the latest bounce. Price now trades back toward the middle of the range at 160.21.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC (~2h) and presser 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 160.39 leg high opens the path to the 160.59 week high
Failure to hold the 160.00 psych pivot exposes the 159.79 recent low
USD/JPY has been pinned near the 160.00 pivot all week, with a sharp flush to 159.54 mid-window quickly bought back and price grinding higher-lows since the weekend gap. The recovery topped at 160.39 before the latest pullback to 160.23 on thin late-session volume. Price sits just above EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI near 53 — a balanced read ahead of the BoJ decision.
Support: 160.00, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision at 03:00 UTC (~3h) is the dominant driver — a hawkish surprise risks a short-squeeze, dovish hike keeps dips bought above 160.00
H1 close below 159.79 reopens the 159.54 swing low and breaks the rising higher-lows
Sustained break above 160.59 week high needed to extend the recovery toward 161.20
USDJPY has chopped within a 159.54–160.59 band all week, with the 160.00 pivot repeatedly reclaimed after the Friday flush to 159.54. Price recovered off 159.79 into the 160.39 area before easing back to 160.24, sitting just above EMA20/50 as the tape coils into the BoJ decision. Wide rate differentials and record yen shorts have kept dips supported despite the risk-on, oil-down backdrop.
Support: 160.04, 159.79, 159.54
Resistance: 160.39, 160.59
What it said to watch
BoJ rate decision 03:00 UTC and press conference 06:30 UTC will dominate this read
H1 close above 160.39 reopens the 160.59 range top
Loss of 160.00 and 159.79 swing low exposes the 159.54 week low