Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 66 · price 161.283
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDJPY extended its multi-week climb, breaking above the 160.66 prior high and printing a fresh swing high at 161.81 as the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing widened the US-Japan rate gap. Higher-low structure remains intact since the 159.54 sweep, with price now pressing into the 161.95 2024 peak. ATR(14) has expanded with the latest impulse, consistent with a trending leg rather than compression.
Support: 160.66
Resistance: 161.81, 161.95
What it said to watch
- Close above 161.95 opens the 162-163 zone, the flagged intervention line
- Failure to hold 160.66 prior high would mark the first lower-low of the leg
- Tokyo CPI Thu and MoF intervention risk near 162 could sharply shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum extending · RSI 67 · price 161.283
Higher highs and higher lows since early month.
USDJPY broke the multi-day 160.10-160.60 consolidation and ran to 161.81, driven by the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing widening the US-Japan rate gap. ATR(14) has expanded as the impulse extended; price is now consolidating just below the 161.81 session high after retesting the broken ceiling. Higher-low structure remains intact with price holding well above both EMAs.
Support: 160.80, 160.12
Resistance: 161.81, 161.95
What it said to watch
- Close above 161.95 2024 peak opens the 162-163 zone
- 162.00 is the intervention line — MoF flow risk is the key two-way force
- Loss of 160.80 breakout level would signal a failed break back into the prior range
- Tokyo CPI Thu could shift the JPY read