Range-bound, recent lower-high after sweep of 159.37.
NY session printed a sweep of the 159.37 session high then flushed 27 pips to 159.10 in two bars before buyers stepped in. Price has since recovered into the middle of the 159.18–159.30 intraday range with RSI(14) flat near 50 — no directional follow-through after the rejection.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.30, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.30 reopens the 159.37 session high
Break of 159.18 flush low exposes 159.10 session low
Headline risk elevated on US-Iran developments — could override intraday structure
20:30 UTC
Ranging after NY spike-and-fade · RSI 50 · price 159.267
Balance between 159.10 and 159.37.
NY session swept higher to 159.376 before a sharp flush to 159.096 wicked back; price has since coiled in a tight 159.22–159.30 range into the late-NY drift. Momentum is neutral with RSI hovering near 50 and price pinned between EMA20 above and EMA50 just overhead.
Support: 159.215, 159.15, 159.096
Resistance: 159.302, 159.355, 159.376
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.302 intraday cap opens path back to 159.355
Loss of 159.215 session low re-exposes 159.150 spike low
Headline risk from US-Iran developments could break the range abruptly
20:15 UTC
Ranging, lost upside momentum · RSI 50 · price 159.261
Range after sweep and rejection at 159.355.
NY session swept the prior high at 159.355 then dumped sharply to 159.096 on Trump's Hormuz blockade headline, with price now ranging 159.18–159.30 into the close. RSI(14) flat near 50, ATR around 4-5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 159.18, 159.096
Resistance: 159.325, 159.355
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.325 reopens the swept high at 159.355
Break below 159.180 confirms a lower-low and exposes 159.096
Further Iran/Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read
USDJPY chopping in a 159.18–159.38 range through London and NY, with a sharp sweep low to 159.096 mid-NY on Trump's Iran headlines before fully reclaiming the range. Price has since stabilised around 159.26 with RSI(14) neutral and ATR cooling — late-NY drift, no directional structure.
Support: 159.18, 159.096
Resistance: 159.325, 159.376
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 reopens the sweep low at 159.096
M15 close above 159.325 targets the London high at 159.376
Headline risk remains elevated on US-Iran developments
19:45 UTC
Intraday range after spike rejection · RSI 49 · price 159.258
Range-bound, 159.10–159.37.
NY session printed a sharp sweep down from 159.35 to 159.10 before reclaiming the 159.20s, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Since the reclaim, USDJPY has consolidated between 159.22 and 159.30 as Iran-related headlines kept tape choppy.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.30, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.30 reopens 159.37 session high
Loss of 159.18 session low exposes 159.10 spike low
Further Iran/Trump headlines could materially shift this read
NY session saw a sharp flush from 159.35 down to 159.10 on Trump's Hormuz blockade headline, then quickly reclaimed mid-range around 159.23. Price now consolidating just below the EMA20/50 cluster with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.35
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.35 reopens the session high test
Loss of 159.18 sweep low exposes 159.10 session low
Further US-Iran headlines remain the dominant driver
NY session swept the 159.355 high then dumped to 159.096 before reclaiming the 159.20 zone — classic false break and rejection. Price now consolidating mid-range around 159.25 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price stuck below both EMAs.
Support: 159.18, 159.096, 159.245
Resistance: 159.355, 159.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.300 range top would reopen the NY high at 159.355
Break below 159.180 NY swing low exposes the 159.096 session low
Iran headline risk could spike volatility outside the current range
NY session pushed to a high at 159.37 before a sharp flush to 159.10, sweeping prior session lows then recovering. Price has since drifted back to mid-range around 159.24 with RSI neutral; intervention chatter circulating in headlines.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 159.10 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Intervention headlines could materially shift this read
18:45 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike-rejection · RSI 47 · price 159.258
Range with sweep of session high then sharp rejection.
NY session pushed to 159.355 then got sharply rejected, sweeping down to 159.096 on a single 17-pip M15 bar before stabilising. Price has since recovered into the 159.25–159.28 mid-range, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 159.18, 159.096
Resistance: 159.30, 159.355
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.300 mid-range would shift the read back toward the session high
Loss of 159.180 session low reopens the 159.096 spike low
Iran-US headline flow remains a live risk for sudden repricing
USDJPY ran to a NY session high near 159.36 before flushing to 159.10 on the Trump Hormuz blockade-lift headline, then recovering back to 159.26. Price is now mid-range between the post-flush low at 159.18 and the session high at 159.36, RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.30, 159.36
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 reopens the NY swing low at 159.10
M15 close above 159.36 session high invalidates the range read
Further US-Iran headlines could drive another impulse outside the range
NY session saw a sharp sweep down to 159.10 on Trump's Hormuz blockade headline before buyers reclaimed 159.18 and pushed back into the prior range. Price now mid-range around 159.28, RSI(14) neutralised near 48 after the flush.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.32 reopens the 159.37 swing high
Loss of 159.18 reactivates the 159.10 spike low
Further Iran-US headlines could re-trigger volatility
Range break lower from 159.35, recovering into mid-range.
NY session pushed to a session high at 159.37 before a sharp flush to 159.10 on Trump's Hormuz blockade headline, leaving a clear rejection on M15. Price has since recovered into the mid-range around 159.24, RSI(14) back near neutral and stalling under the prior pivot at 159.30.
Support: 159.18, 159.10
Resistance: 159.30, 159.37, 159.25
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.30 reopens the session high at 159.37
Loss of 159.18 swing low exposes the 159.10 NY spike low
Further US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read
17:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulled back from highs · RSI 47 · price 159.236
Range developing after NY spike rejection.
NY session pushed to 159.355 before a sharp rejection wick down to 159.096 on heavy volume, leaving price now consolidating around 159.20-159.25. Pair trades muted post-PCE with RSI(14) neutral near 47 after cooling from the highs; range building between the spike low and the micro high.
Support: 159.18, 159.096
Resistance: 159.255, 159.355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.180 reopens the spike low at 159.096
Reclaim of 159.255 micro high puts the NY high back in play
Headline risk from US-Iran developments could break the range
Intraday range break lower from 159.35, recovering.
NY session pushed to 159.376 before a sharp flush down to 159.096, with price now recovering to 159.22 just under prior-range support turned resistance at 159.25. RSI(14) around 42 after the drop, momentum neutralised; PCE data passed without follow-through.
Support: 159.18, 159.096
Resistance: 159.25, 159.355, 159.376
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.250 reopens the 159.355 NY high
M15 close below 159.180 confirms session low break and exposes 159.096 spike low
Headline risk around US-Iran Hormuz developments could spike volatility
Range top sweep then break lower, now consolidating mid-range.
NY session pushed to 159.355 then collapsed nearly 25 pips into 159.096 on the Trump Iran blockade headline, sweeping the prior session highs before rejecting hard. Price has since stabilised around 159.20, holding mid-range as buyers stepped in above 159.15 but unable to reclaim the 159.325 breakdown level.
Support: 159.15, 159.096, 159.18
Resistance: 159.355, 159.325, 159.25
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.325 breakdown lvl would neutralise the rejection read
M15 close below 159.150 session low reopens the 159.096 spike low
Further headlines on US-Iran negotiations could drive directional break
NY session printed a session high at 159.37 then sharp rejection back to 159.10 on Trump headlines around the Iran blockade. Price has since stabilised mid-range near 159.20, RSI(14) cooling but no clean reclaim of the EMAs overhead.
Support: 159.15, 159.10, 159.00
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.32 prior pivot would negate the rejection read
Loss of 159.10 spike low opens 159.00 psych level
Further Iran/US headline flow could drive another impulsive move
NY session pushed to a session high at 159.355 before a sharp rejection drove price down to 159.096, coinciding with Trump's naval blockade announcement. Price has since recovered into 159.20–159.25 but sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling from overbought.
Support: 159.15, 159.096
Resistance: 159.355
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.355 invalidates the rejection read
M15 close below 159.150 reopens the spike low at 159.096
Headline-driven tape: further Iran/Trump comments could override structure
NY session sold off sharply from 159.355 into 159.096 on Trump's naval blockade headline, then bounced and stabilised around 159.24. Price now mid-range between the spike low and the breakdown pivot at 159.325, RSI(14) recovering from oversold to mid-40s.
Support: 159.15, 159.096, 159.20
Resistance: 159.355, 159.325
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.325 breakdown px would neutralise the rejection
loss of 159.150 session low reopens the 159.096 spike low
headline risk remains elevated on Iran/Hormuz developments
16:15 UTC
Uptrend, sharp pullback · RSI 38 · price 159.223
Range broken lower from session high.
NY session printed a sharp rejection from 159.355 with a 20-pip flush to 159.096 before recovering to 159.22. Price now consolidating mid-range; the Trump/Iran headlines around the spike align with the move, RSI cooling to 38.
Support: 159.15, 159.096, 159.00
Resistance: 159.30, 159.355
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.300 negates the rejection read
Break below 159.096 spike low confirms a lower-low
Ongoing Iran/Trump headline flow could re-trigger volatility
16:00 UTC
Intraday uptrend rejected at session high · RSI 38 · price 159.207
Range top swept, sharp rejection back to mid-range.
NY session pushed to 159.355 then collapsed nearly 20 pips on a single bar to 159.096, taking out the prior swing low at 159.150 before reclaiming it. Price is recovering toward the mid-range around 159.21 with RSI(14) bouncing from oversold; the session high is now a clear supply shelf.
Support: 159.15, 159.096, 159.20
Resistance: 159.355, 159.325
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.325 intraday pivot would negate the rejection read
Failure to hold 159.150 session low reopens the 159.096 spike low
Headline risk from ongoing Iran/Trump newsflow could override structure
15:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend rejected at session high · RSI 32 · price 159.173
Range break failed, sharp reversal from 159.35.
NY session pushed to 159.355 then collapsed sharply on the Trump naval blockade headline, taking out the entire day's range and printing a swing low at 159.096. Price now consolidating just above 159.15 with RSI cooling from oversold.
Support: 159.15, 159.096, 159.111
Resistance: 159.355, 159.29
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.290 would negate the rejection from session high
Loss of 159.096 extends the lower-low sequence
Continued headline flow on Iran/Hormuz could re-trigger volatility
NY session pushed to 159.35 then sharply reversed, with one 20-pip bear bar slicing through the 159.28 prior swing and the 159.20 shelf into 159.10. Price now sits at 159.18 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 28 after a clean break of intraday structure.
Support: 159.10, 159.15
Resistance: 159.35, 159.28, 159.20
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.20 broken shelf neutralises the breakdown
Loss of 159.10 session low extends the leg lower
Trump headlines on Hormuz blockade lift can drive further USD-side volatility
NY session pushed to a fresh high at 159.355 before a sharp rejection candle swept down to 159.160, breaking the rising structure in a single bar. Price now sits at the lower end of the 24h range with RSI cooling into the mid-30s.
Support: 159.16, 159.11
Resistance: 159.355
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 159.300 negates the rejection read
Break of 159.160 session low opens path toward 159.110
Headline-driven tape (Trump/Iran flow) can override structure
USDJPY drifting in a tight 159.25–159.37 band through the NY session after a brief push to 159.355 was sold back. Hawkish Bailey and Fed Bowman headlines have produced no directional follow-through; price coiling around the EMAs.
Support: 159.249, 159.198, 159.111
Resistance: 159.355, 159.376
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 would break the 24h high and extend the uptrend
Loss of 159.249 session low opens 159.198 and the 24h low at 159.111
Ongoing Iran/Fed inflation rhetoric a latent volatility risk
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session after defending 159.20 multiple times during the London-NY transition, with the last three bars pushing toward the session high at 159.376. Range is tight — 17-pip session, ATR(14) around 3.6 pips — and RSI(14) at 60 leaves room either way.
Support: 159.23, 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.376
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 NY high extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 159.230 session pivot opens 159.180 session low
Fed speak (Bowman, Paulson) on stalled inflation progress already in the tape — further hawkish headlines could extend the grind
Tight range above 159.20 with shallow higher lows.
USDJPY drifting higher through NY hours after the soft US wholesale inventories and Canada Q1 GDP miss, with price coiling between 159.20 and the session high at 159.376. Buyers stepped in twice at the session low and current bars are pressing back toward the highs with RSI(14) at 60.
Support: 159.245, 159.20
Resistance: 159.376, 159.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 opens a path to the 159.40 round number
Loss of 159.20 session low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Fed Bowman / Paulson hawkish-leaning commentary on inflation still circulating, headline risk elevated
USDJPY is grinding within a tight 159.20–159.37 range through the NY session, with the 159.37 session high rejected twice and dip-buyers active at 159.24. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR around 4.6 pips reflects the compressed, post-data drift; BBH flagged MoF intervention risk capping the pair near 160.00.
Support: 159.24, 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.50, 160.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 opens path toward 159.50 psych level
Break below 159.18 voids the ascending-range read and exposes 159.11
Headline risk around Iran rhetoric could spike JPY haven bid
USDJPY drifting in a tight 159.20–159.38 range through late NY, with price stalled just above EMA50 after a brief push to 159.38 during early NY hours. Soft US wholesale inventories and weak Canada GDP barely moved the pair; BBH flagging MoF intervention risk capping moves toward 160.00.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.38, 159.49, 160.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 reopens the path to 159.49 and the psych/MoF zone at 160.00
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
Headline-driven intervention risk near 160.00 remains a structural cap
Range between 159.18 and 159.38, current bar mid-range.
USDJPY chopping in a tight 159.20–159.38 range through the NY session after a soft US wholesale inventories print and a much softer German CPI did little to drive direction. Price probed the range top at 159.38 then faded back to mid-range; RSI(14) is neutral at ~49 and ATR has compressed to roughly 3.6 pips per bar.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 opens path to the 159.49 24h high
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes the 159.11 prior swing low
BBH flags MoF intervention risk capping price near 160.00 — relevant if range breaks higher
USDJPY is grinding sideways between 159.20 and 159.37 through the London-NY transition, with the early-window sweep down to 159.11 quickly absorbed. RSI(14) is flat around 50 and ATR is compressed near 3-4 pips per bar — no setup in play, intervention talk near 160.00 capping the upside.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 ny high reopens path toward 159.49 prior high
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 asia low
MoF intervention headlines near 160.00 remain a tail risk
USDJPY chopping in a tight 159.18–159.38 band through the NY session, with sellers fading the push toward 159.37 after soft US wholesale inventories and trade data. Price sits mid-range at 159.25, EMAs flat overhead, RSI(14) neutral around 45 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 159.183, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 opens 159.11 prior low
M15 close above 159.38 reopens the 159.49 high
MoF intervention rhetoric near 160 remains a structural cap on upside extensions
Intraday range 159.11–159.49, recovery stalling under 159.32.
USDJPY swept the range high at 159.49 during the Asia-London handover then flushed to 159.11 before stabilising; price has spent NY hours grinding sideways between 159.20 and 159.32. RSI flat near 48 and tight ATR confirm a compression phase, with intervention chatter near 160 capping any upside attempts.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.25
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.32 swing high opens path back to 159.49 range high
Break of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 range low
MoF intervention rhetoric near 160 remains a structural cap on recoveries
USDJPY chopping in a tight 159.20–159.34 band through the NY morning after the Asian session sweep up to 159.49 was rejected hard back to 159.11. RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR around 4 pips — compressed, no setup in play with intervention chatter still capping near 160.
Support: 159.245, 159.198, 159.111
Resistance: 159.337, 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.337 opens the prior swept high at 159.49
Break below 159.198 confirms a lower-low and reopens 159.11
MoF intervention rhetoric remains a top-side risk near 160
Intraday range 159.11–159.49, balanced around 159.27.
USDJPY chopping in a 38-pip range between 159.11 and 159.49 across the Asia and early London sessions, with price now mid-range at 159.26. The Asian range high at 159.49 was rejected sharply yesterday and intervention chatter near 160 continues to cap upside per BBH.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.18
Resistance: 159.32, 159.45, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.32 micro pivot opens retest of 159.45 session high
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 range low
Renewed MoF intervention headlines could materially shift this read
USDJPY spiked to 159.49 in Asia then dumped on intervention-warning headlines, with Japan confirming ¥11.7trn spent over the past month. NY session has churned in a tight 159.20–159.32 band, RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.45, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break above 159.32 range top reopens 159.45 prior high
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 swing low
Further MoF / BoJ intervention rhetoric could break the range abruptly
Range-bound between 159.18 and 159.38 after early drop.
USDJPY dropped sharply from 159.49 during the Asian session, bottoming at 159.11 before recovering into a tight 159.18–159.38 range through London and into NY. Price is mid-range at 159.26, RSI(14) neutral near 48, with intervention warnings from Japanese authorities cited as the catalyst for the earlier flush.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break below 159.18 session low opens path back to 159.11 asia low
Sustained move above 159.38 ny high needed to challenge 159.49 prior high
Further verbal intervention from Japan could re-trigger downside
USDJPY took a sharp leg lower from 159.49 to 159.11 during the Asia-London handover after Japan's MoF disclosed ¥11.7tn of intervention spend, then base-built in a 159.20–159.32 range through London. NY session has been quiet near the upper third of that range with RSI flat around 48 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.32 London high opens a retest of the 159.38 prior swing
Break of 159.20 session low reopens the 159.11 spike low
Further intervention rhetoric from Japanese officials could re-trigger the downside move
USDJPY swept the Asia high at 159.49 then dumped to 159.11 on intervention chatter, with buyers stepping back in to reclaim the 159.20s through the London session. Price has spent NY hours grinding sideways in a 159.20–159.34 range, RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 159.249, 159.198, 159.111
Resistance: 159.337, 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.34 session high opens the path to retest 159.376 asia high
Loss of 159.198 swing low re-exposes the 159.11 sweep low
Further MoF intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
USDJPY dropped sharply from 159.46 to 159.11 during the Asia-London transition after Japanese officials flagged concern over speculative FX moves and confirmed ¥11.7trn in recent intervention. Price has since rebuilt into a tight 159.18–159.38 range through London hours with RSI(14) flat around mid-range, no fresh impulse either way.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.38, 159.46
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 reopens the path back to 159.46 prior high
Break of 159.18 session low exposes the 159.11 range low
Further intervention rhetoric from Tokyo officials could shift this read
Consolidating after morning flush, recovering into NY hours.
USDJPY flushed from 159.49 to 159.11 during the Asia-London transition on intervention chatter, then carved a tight 159.20–159.32 range through the London session. Price sits mid-range at 159.27 ahead of NY, RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.25
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break above 159.32 session high opens path back to 159.37 prior high
Loss of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 swing low
Further intervention rhetoric from Japanese officials could re-introduce downside volatility
Range-bound between 159.18 and 159.37 after early drop.
USDJPY sold off through the Asian session from 159.46 down to 159.11 following Japanese intervention warnings from Kihara, then based and chopped between 159.20 and 159.37 through London. NY session is currently mid-range near 159.27 with RSI(14) neutral; price ticking just below EMA20/50.
Support: 159.198, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.464
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 reopens the path to 159.46 prior high
Break of 159.198 session low risks retest of 159.11 asia low
Further MoF / Kihara intervention rhetoric could trigger a fresh leg lower
USDJPY dropped sharply from 159.49 during the Asian session on Japan intervention warnings and ¥11.7tn intervention reports, bottoming at 159.11 before stabilising. Price has spent the London session balancing in a 159.18-159.32 range with RSI near neutral; no directional structure in play.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 reopens the pre-drop high at 159.49
Loss of 159.18 session low exposes 159.11 swing low
Further Japan MoF / Kihara intervention rhetoric could trigger another leg lower
10:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 47 · price 159.299
Lower highs since session high, holding 159.20 floor.
USDJPY sold off from the 159.49 Asia high after Kihara's intervention warning, printing a session low at 159.11 before basing in a 159.20–159.34 range through London. Price coils near the mid of that range with RSI(14) flat around neutral; no directional impulse in play.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.34, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.34 swing high reopens 159.49 asia high
Break of 159.20 session low exposes 159.11 prior low
Further verbal intervention from Japan officials could re-accelerate JPY bid
10:00 UTC
Range-bound after sharp drop · RSI 47 · price 159.264
Consolidation between 159.18 and 159.38.
Price flushed from 159.49 down to 159.11 on the Asia-London handover after Japanese officials warned on speculative FX moves, then settled into a tight 159.18–159.33 range through London hours. RSI(14) hovering mid-range, EMAs flat overhead — no setup in play.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.33, 159.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.33 opens path back to 159.45
Break below 159.18 exposes the 159.11 swing low
Further verbal intervention from Tokyo could re-trigger JPY bid
09:45 UTC
Ranging after overnight pullback · RSI 44 · price 159.239
Intraday range 159.11–159.49, holding mid-range.
USDJPY is rangebound between 159.20 and 159.37 after the sharp NY-session drop from 159.49 to 159.11 yesterday following Tokyo intervention warnings. London has chopped sideways below the prior NY rejection at 159.37, with EMA20/50 capping price and RSI hovering mid-40s — no directional tone in play.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 reopens the path to the 159.49 swing high
Loss of 159.20 exposes the 159.11 swing low and reactivates intervention-driven downside
Further verbal warnings from Tokyo officials could shift the read intraday
Range-bound around 159.27 after a sharp Asia-session sweep down from 159.49 to 159.11 on Kihara intervention warnings. London session built a tight balance between 159.20 and 159.33, with price now mid-range and RSI neutral.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.18
Resistance: 159.32, 159.49, 159.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.33 reopens the London high test
Break below 159.20 puts the 159.11 swing low back in play
Further verbal intervention from Tokyo could materially shift this read
Range-bound after early NY-session flush, recovering.
USDJPY chopping in a 159.20–159.38 range after the Asian-session flush from 159.49 down to 159.11, with Kihara's verbal intervention warning capping recovery attempts. Price is hovering mid-range at 159.29 with RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 range top opens path back to prior high at 159.49
Break below 159.20 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
Further Japanese MOF/Kihara intervention rhetoric could trigger a sharper leg lower
Range between 159.11 and 159.49 after sharp sell-off.
USDJPY swept 159.49 yesterday and flushed to 159.11 before stabilising; price has since chopped between 159.20 and 159.37 through the Asia and early London hours. Verbal intervention warnings from Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary are capping upside near 159.30, RSI(14) flat around 49.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 intraday high reopens the 159.49 pre-flush high
Break below 159.20 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
Further escalation in Japan MoF intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
USDJPY chopping in a 159.11–159.49 range through Asia and into early London, with a sharp rejection from 159.49 yesterday on Kihara's verbal intervention warning. Current bar at 159.28 sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range — no directional structure in play.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.18
Resistance: 159.34, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.11 confirms range break lower
M15 close above 159.34 session high reopens 159.49 range top
Further MoF/Kihara intervention rhetoric could re-trigger downside
08:30 UTC
Intraday recovery off Asian low, stalling · RSI 45 · price 159.228
Range with failed breakdown, holding mid-zone.
USDJPY sold off through London hours yesterday from 159.49 down to a swing low at 159.11, then carved a slow recovery into the current Asia session, ranging 159.20–159.33. Early European hours just rejected the session high at 159.33 and price is back at mid-range with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.33, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.330 reopens the prior high at 159.490
loss of 159.180 asia low exposes the 159.110 swing low
verbal intervention rhetoric from Tokyo officials remains a tail risk while price sits above 159.00
Pair flushed from 159.49 to 159.11 during yesterday's NY session, then recovered into a 159.20–159.38 range. Current bar at 159.254 sits mid-range with RSI(14) near 45 and price marginally below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 159.198, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 session high reopens the path toward 159.49 prior high
Break below 159.198 session low re-exposes the 159.11 swept low
Tokyo verbal intervention warnings raise headline risk on any push toward 160.00
08:00 UTC
Intraday pullback within range · RSI 41 · price 159.289
Range with lower high forming after rejection.
USDJPY chopping between 159.18 and 159.38 through the Asia–Europe handover, with the session high at 159.376 rejected and price now drifting back toward the session low. Verbal warning shot from Tokyo on speculative FX moves coincided with the latest leg lower, RSI(14) at 41 with no extreme.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 opens path to prior swing at 159.111
Reclaim of 159.376 session high needed to negate the lower-high read
Further verbal intervention rhetoric from Japanese officials could amplify downside
Range between 159.18 and 159.38 after London-NY dump.
USDJPY sold off sharply from 159.49 into 159.11 during the prior NY session, then chopped sideways through Asia inside a 20-pip range. Asia session has drifted back toward the range top at 159.38 before rolling over again into early London, currently sitting mid-range near 159.29.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.38, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 reopens the path to 159.49
Loss of 159.18 confirms continuation toward the 159.11 prior low
Tokyo verbal intervention rhetoric escalating — risk of headline-driven spike lower
Rotating between 159.18 and 159.38 after London-session pullback.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session yesterday from 159.49 down to 159.11, then carved a tight 159.18–159.38 range overnight into Asia. London open just rejected 159.37 and is probing the session low at 159.18 with RSI cooling to 38.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 opens a retest of the 159.11 prior low
Reclaim of 159.38 session high invalidates the lower-high read
Katayama yen-volatility comments leave intervention risk live near round 160
Range between 159.11 and 159.49, rejection from 159.37 retest.
USDJPY ranging 159.11–159.49 through Asia and into early London, with a sharp drop from 159.49 yesterday establishing the cap. Last few bars sold the 159.37 retest and broke back below the 159.28 mid, RSI(14) cooling to 41 as price drifts toward the session low at 159.18.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break below 159.18 opens a retest of 159.11 asia low
M15 close above 159.37 reasserts the upper half of the range
Tokyo CPI undershoot keeps the lower-high structure in play
07:00 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 44 · price 159.252
Range between 159.18 and 159.38 post-drop.
Sharp NY-session drop from 159.49 down to 159.11 yesterday, followed by ~15 hours of consolidation between 159.18 and 159.38. Last bar rejected 159.32 and printed back to the lower half of the range; RSI flat in mid-40s, no momentum either way.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.38 reopens path to 159.49 pre-drop high
Tokyo CPI softness already in price; intervention rhetoric from Katayama a tail risk if yen weakens further
06:45 UTC
Recovery off Asia low, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 159.301
Range between 159.18 and 159.49 after sharp drop.
USDJPY sold off sharply during the London session from 159.49 down to the 159.11 Asia low, then clawed back into a tight 159.28-159.37 range through the European morning. Recovery has stalled below the pre-drop base at 159.45 and RSI(14) is flat around 52, with the session high at 159.37 capping each push.
Support: 159.20, 159.11, 159.28
Resistance: 159.37, 159.45, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 session high reopens 159.45 pre-drop base
Loss of 159.28 intraday pivot exposes 159.20 session low and 159.11 Asia low
Germany state CPI prints later today could inject USD-side volatility
Price coiling in a tight 159.28–159.37 band through the Asia session after yesterday's NY-session flush to 159.11 was bought back. RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 4–5 pips per bar — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 159.28, 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
15m close above 159.37 opens the path back to 159.49 prior high
loss of 159.28 session low exposes the 159.18 swing low
Germany state CPI prints due in European hours could lift volatility
06:15 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, base forming · RSI 52 · price 159.316
Lower high at 159.49 sweep, base 159.18-159.20, slow recovery to 159.32.
London session printed a sharp sweep to 159.49 then dumped to 159.11, with buyers stepping in twice near 159.18 forming a base. Asia has recovered grindingly to 159.32 but capped under the 159.376 asia high; RSI back to neutral.
Support: 159.18, 159.11, 159.28
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49, 159.336
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.376 asia high opens path back to 159.49 sweep high
Loss of 159.18 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
Germany state CPI prints later today could inject EUR/USD-led USD volatility
06:00 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base building · RSI 47 · price 159.289
Range after sharp Tokyo CPI drop, lower high intact.
Pair sold off sharply through London-Asia handover after the soft Tokyo CPI print and Katayama intervention warning, printing a spike low at 159.111 before recovering. NY/Asia hours have since built a tight 159.18–159.37 range with the session high capping twice and price now mid-range at 159.29.
Support: 159.183, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
15m close above 159.376 session high opens path back toward 159.49 pre-drop high
Break of 159.183 session low exposes the 159.111 spike low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
05:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 159.297
Lower-high sequence from 159.57, base forming above 159.18.
Asia session leg lower from 159.57 broke down through 159.30 on heavy volume into 159.11 swing low, then based and ground back to 159.37 before fading. Currently coiling 159.28–159.37 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.45, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 swing high opens room back to 159.49 pre-drop high
Break of 159.18 session low exposes 159.11 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
05:30 UTC
Downtrend stabilising, base forming · RSI 54 · price 159.293
Range above 159.11 swing low after impulsive drop.
Pair sold off sharply from 159.49 to 159.11 during the NY session, then carved a tight base and is grinding back toward the session high at 159.376. Asia is drifting in a 159.18–159.37 range with price now mid-range and RSI(14) near neutral.
Support: 159.183, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
15m close above 159.376 reopens the 159.49 drop origin
Loss of 159.18 Asia low exposes the 159.11 swing low
Tokyo CPI undershoot and Katayama intervention chatter keep JPY headline-sensitive
05:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing into Asia · RSI 48 · price 159.301
Lower-high range after liquidation flush.
USDJPY dropped sharply from 159.49 into 159.11 during NY hours yesterday after Katayama's intervention warning and soft Tokyo CPI, then based through Asia in a tight 159.22-159.37 range. Price is grinding back toward the asia high with RSI neutral around 48; rejection there has capped twice.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 asia high opens room back to 159.49 pre-drop high
Loss of 159.18 flush low reopens 159.11 session low
MoF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
05:00 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 47 · price 159.301
Range after sweep low.
London session sold off sharply from 159.49 into 159.11 on Katayama yen-volatility headlines, then NY recovered into a 159.18–159.38 range. Price is mid-range at 159.30 with RSI flat near 47, no momentum.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 session high opens path back to 159.490 prior high
Break of 159.180 session low exposes 159.110 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 1000 GMT could materially shift this read
London session saw a sharp flush from 159.49 down to a 159.111 spike low, then Asia hours rebuilt steadily back toward 159.37. Current bars are coiling between 159.27 and 159.376 with RSI(14) near 58 — buyers stepping in repeatedly at 159.27 through the Asia session.
Support: 159.27, 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.376 session high opens path to 159.466 prior high
Break below 159.270 session low reopens the 159.180 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
04:30 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 60 · price 159.334
Range after sharp Asia-session drop, grinding back toward mid.
Sharp Asia-session leg down from 159.49 into 159.11 has been retraced about half during the quiet early hours, with price now grinding up to 159.33. RSI(14) at 60 and ATR around 5 pips reflect the post-drop drift; the session high at 159.376 is the immediate cap, drop origin near 159.49 sits above.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.376, 159.49
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.49 drop origin would unwind the Asia-session bearish leg
Loss of 159.18 session low reopens the 159.11 Asia low
MoF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
04:15 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 58 · price 159.347
Post-drop consolidation, higher lows.
NY session sold off sharply from 159.49 into a 159.11 swing low, then base-built through the Asia session with a steady grind of higher lows back to 159.35. Price now sits just under the 159.37 micro range high with RSI(14) mid-50s — drifting, not impulsive.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.37, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.37 opens path back toward the 159.49 pre-drop high
Loss of 159.18 session low reopens the 159.11 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
04:00 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 58 · price 159.347
Lower high carved into 159.15 sweep, now reclaiming mid-range.
Sharp London-NY drop from 159.49 swept the 159.11 low before Asia session ground higher into 159.35. Price now coiling just under the session high with RSI(14) near 58; range between sweep low and drop origin defines the playable structure.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.353, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.353 session high opens path back toward 159.49 drop origin
Failure to hold 159.18 reopens the 159.11 sweep low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
03:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 60 · price 159.335
Lower high at 159.49, base forming near 159.20.
Pair sold off sharply during the NY session on the Katayama intervention warning and soft Tokyo CPI, flushing from 159.49 to 159.11 before basing through the Asian session. Price has since ground back to 159.33, carving a shallow higher-low structure but capped at the recent high of 159.35.
Support: 159.183, 159.111
Resistance: 159.353, 159.49, 159.65
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.49 invalidates the lower-high read and reopens 159.65
Break of 159.18 session low resumes the downside toward 159.11 flush low
Headline risk around US-Iran talks and any MOF intervention follow-through could spike volatility
03:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising into Asia · RSI 56 · price 159.327
Lower-high lower-low sequence, base forming above 159.18.
Sharp NY-session drop from 159.49 into 159.11 left a clean lower-high lower-low sequence, with price now base-building into Asia in a tight 159.22–159.34 range. RSI(14) has reclaimed mid-50s while price holds well above the spike low, a mild bullish divergence, but the prior high at 159.49 caps the recovery.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.34, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.34 Asia high opens path back to 159.49
Loss of 159.18 session low reopens 159.11 spike low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
03:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 52 · price 159.313
Lower high at 159.49, base built around 159.20.
NY session sold off sharply from 159.49 down to 159.11 after Katayama's intervention warning, then base-built through the Asian session around 159.20-159.32. Price has crept back to the recent high at 159.326 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no clean directional break yet.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.326, 159.46, 159.49
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.326 reopens the path to the 159.46-159.49 supply
Loss of 159.18 reopens 159.11 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower low set at 159.11, currently ranging 159.17–159.32.
Pair sold off sharply through London hours from 159.49 to a session low at 159.11, then based and ground back to 159.27 through the Asia session. Now ranging 159.20–159.32 with RSI(14) flat near 50, no directional impulse on the latest bars.
Support: 159.20, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break above range high at 159.32 opens path back toward the 159.49 drop origin
Loss of 159.20 range low exposes the 159.11 session low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read given Katayama's volatility warning
02:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 52 · price 159.30
Lower high at 159.65, range developing 159.18–159.32.
USDJPY sold off sharply through the NY session, dropping from 159.65 down to 159.11 on the Tokyo CPI miss and Katayama intervention rhetoric. Price has since based and is grinding sideways in a 159.18–159.32 range during the Asia session, with RSI back at neutral around 52.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.46, 159.65
What it said to watch
Break above 159.32 range top opens path back to 159.46
Loss of 159.18 session low reopens the 159.11 flush low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could trigger a JPY volatility spike
02:30 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 52 · price 159.297
Range after impulse leg lower.
USDJPY took a sharp leg down through the NY session, printing 159.11 on Katayama's intervention-warning headlines before stabilising. Last 8 hours have been a tight 159.18–159.32 range with RSI back at mid-50s; current bar pinned near range top.
Support: 159.183, 159.111
Resistance: 159.322, 159.464
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.322 reopens 159.464 prior swing
Loss of 159.183 session low reopens 159.111 spike low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could lift volatility
02:15 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 55 · price 159.311
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
Sharp NY-session leg lower from 159.65 into 159.11 on the soft Tokyo CPI / Katayama intervention warning headlines, followed by a tight grind back to 159.31. Price is now coiling in a 159.18–159.32 range with RSI(14) flat near 55; nothing structural in play until that band breaks.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.322, 159.45, 159.65
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.322 asia high opens path back to 159.450
Loss of 159.180 session low exposes 159.110 spike low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike volatility
02:00 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 51 · price 159.288
Lower-high sequence followed by mid-range consolidation.
USDJPY sold off into the Tokyo CPI miss, printing a session low at 159.11 before basing through Asia and reclaiming the 20EMA. Price now consolidating mid-range between the session low and 159.322 session high, with RSI back to neutral at ~51.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.322, 159.466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.322 session high opens a retest of 159.466
Break of 159.180 session low exposes 159.110 swing low
Katayama intervention rhetoric and MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
01:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing after flush · RSI 48 · price 159.275
Lower highs into 159.10 sweep, recovery stalling at 159.32.
Pair sold off sharply through London-NY into a 159.11 flush after Katayama's intervention warning and softer Tokyo CPI, then carved a tight consolidation between 159.18 and 159.32 through Asia. Price now at 159.275 in the upper half of that range with RSI(14) flat near 48, no directional resolution yet.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.32 opens room to 159.45 prior swing
Loss of 159.18 session low re-exposes the 159.11 flush low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Pair flushed from 159.65 to 159.11 during the NY session after the Tokyo CPI miss and Katayama intervention warnings, then stabilised into a tight 159.18-159.32 range through the Asia handover. RSI(14) reset to neutral and price is grinding the range mid; no fresh structure yet.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.45, 159.65
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 reopens 159.11 flush low
M15 close above 159.32 puts 159.45 prior swing back in play
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
01:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 55 · price 159.294
Post-drop consolidation above 159.20.
USDJPY sold off through NY into a 159.11 swing low after Tokyo core CPI miss and intervention-data jitters, then carved a tight 159.18–159.32 range through Asia. Price has drifted back to the top of that range as Tokyo opens, RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.32, 159.45
What it said to watch
Break above 159.32 recent high opens path back to 159.45 pre-drop shelf
Loss of 159.18 session low exposes the 159.11 swing low
MOF intervention data release at 1000 GMT could materially shift this read
01:00 UTC
Downtrend stabilising · RSI 52 · price 159.294
Range after impulsive drop.
Sharp London-session leg down from 159.49 to 159.11 after soft Tokyo CPI failed to lift JPY meaningfully; price has since stabilised in a tight 159.18–159.32 range through Asia. RSI(14) back to neutral around 52, momentum flat.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.322, 159.49
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 159.322 range top opens path back to 159.49
Break of 159.180 session low reopens 159.11 swing low
Thin Asian liquidity — current range may not survive London open
00:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 52 · price 159.276
Lower highs into 159.20 base, now consolidating.
USDJPY sold off through the NY session, with a sharp leg from 159.49 down to 159.11 around the Tokyo CPI miss and intervention-data window. Price has since stabilised in a tight 159.18–159.29 range through the Asia open, RSI back to neutral and volume thinning.
Support: 159.18, 159.111
Resistance: 159.29, 159.43, 159.49
What it said to watch
Break above 159.290 micro high opens path back to 159.430
Loss of 159.180 session low exposes the 159.111 swing low
Tokyo session pickup could expand the current tight range
00:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 52 · price 159.287
Lower high, basing above 159.18 swing low.
Pair sold off sharply through NY hours, printing a 30-pip drop bar to 159.18 on the Tokyo CPI miss reaction window, then based in a tight 159.18–159.29 range through the Asia open. Price is now drifting back toward the 159.31 session high with RSI neutral around 52.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.31, 159.45
What it said to watch
Close above 159.31 session high opens path back to 159.45
Break of 159.18 swing low extends the downtrend toward 159.11
MOF intervention data and lingering Tokyo CPI flow could shift this read
Sharp NY-session drop from 159.65 to 159.11 after the soft Tokyo CPI print, then consolidation between 159.20 and 159.29 through the Asia open. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as price built a base just above the swing low.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.29, 159.45, 159.65
What it said to watch
M15 close below 159.18 swing low reopens 159.11 session low
Reclaim of 159.29 intraday cap shifts the read back toward 159.45
MOF intervention data due later today could materially shift this read
00:00 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 48 · price 159.25
Lower-high sequence, recovering off session low.
USDJPY broke down through 159.45 during NY hours, printing a spike low at 159.11 after the Tokyo CPI release came in softer than April. Price has since coiled in a tight 159.18–159.29 range through Asia, currently 159.25 with RSI flatlining near 47.
Support: 159.18, 159.11
Resistance: 159.29, 159.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 159.29 micro pivot opens path back to 159.45
Loss of 159.18 session low reopens the 159.11 spike low
MOF intervention data due later Friday could materially shift this read