USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 29 May 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 159.244
Range under 159.60 after midweek push.
USDJPY pushed from the 158.93 weekly open up to 159.60 into Thursday's NY session, then stalled — two rejections off 159.55–159.60 and a sharp drop to 159.10 on the latest NY session left price ranging beneath EMA(20). RSI(14) printed a bearish divergence into the 159.60 high and now sits mid-40s with price chopping into Friday's Asia hours after the steady US PCE print left the broader uptrend intact but momentum visibly cooling.
Support: 159.10, 158.93
Resistance: 159.60, 159.51
What it said to watch
H1 close above 159.60 reopens the wk high break
Loss of 159.10 wk swing low exposes the 158.93 wk open
Iran/US headline risk could disrupt the range read
19:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling near range top · RSI 40 · price 159.283
Rising channel capped at 159.60, pullbacks holding 159.10.
USDJPY climbed steadily from Monday's 158.90 open into a 159.60 week high during yesterday's NY session, before rejection and a sharp leg lower printed the 159.10 low this morning on the soft US PCE print. Price has since stabilised around 159.28 but sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still under 40. The week's rising structure is intact while 159.10 holds, but the upside momentum that drove the Thursday push has clearly faded.
Support: 159.18, 159.10, 158.91
Resistance: 159.38, 159.51, 159.60
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 159.10 week pivot would break the rising structure and open 158.91 week open
Reclaim of 159.38 EMA20 would signal the pullback is complete and put 159.51 prior high back in play
Ongoing US-Iran headline flow around Hormuz could inject volatility outside structural levels
Higher highs into 159.65, now consolidating below.
USDJPY pushed from the 158.83 week low to 159.65 across Wed–Thu NY hours, but Friday's session has rolled over with price slipping back under EMA(20) and printing a fresh swing low at 159.10. The leg down came alongside the steady US PCE release and headline-driven swings around Trump's Hormuz blockade comments, leaving RSI(14) diverging against the late-week highs. Price now sits mid-range between the 159.10 reaction low and the 159.38 intraday cap.
Support: 159.10, 158.93, 158.83
Resistance: 159.38, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.10 swing low opens path back to the 158.93 week open
Reclaim of 159.38 intraday cap would re-engage the week-high test at 159.65
Further US-Iran headlines remain the dominant short-term driver
17:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 159.223
Rising channel breaking down into range.
Pair has climbed steadily from Monday's 158.83 base into a 159.65 week high during yesterday's NY session, but momentum stalled after Bowman's hawkish-on-inflation remarks and the Trump blockade-lift headline drove a rejection. Today's NY hours have rolled price back under EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the 159.38 intraday cap holding and RSI cycling below 50 — bearish divergence noted against the week high. Range now compressing between 159.10 session low and 159.38.
Support: 159.10, 158.89, 158.83
Resistance: 159.38, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.10 session low opens path to 158.89 week open
Reclaim of 159.38 intraday cap negates the rejection read
Headline risk elevated — fluid US-Iran narrative could override structure
16:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading at range top · RSI 42 · price 159.19
Rising channel capped by 159.65 supply.
Pair climbed steadily from 158.89 at Monday's open to a week high of 159.65 during yesterday's NY session, before stalling. Today's NY hours brought a clean rejection from the 159.35 area down to 159.16, dropping price below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI rolling to 42. Structure still higher-lows on the week, but the failure to retake 159.30 after the drop is the first crack in the uptrend.
Support: 159.16, 158.93, 159.30
Resistance: 159.65, 159.53
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.30 ema20 reasserts the uptrend
Break of 159.16 session low opens path to 158.93 week low
Reclaim of 159.53 prior high needed to retest 159.65 week high
Higher highs into 159.65, now consolidating mid-range.
USDJPY built a steady leg higher from Monday's 158.88 open into the 159.65 week high during yesterday's NY session, then sold off sharply to 159.11 before stabilising. Price is now coiling between 159.20 and 159.38 with RSI(14) flat around 49 and momentum diverging from the prior push. EMA(20) is being respected on dips but EMA(50) sits just overhead, capping the bounce.
Support: 159.18, 159.11, 158.88
Resistance: 159.38, 159.51, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close above 159.38 reopens the path to the 159.51 prior high and 159.65 week high
Loss of 159.18 wed low exposes the 159.11 week pivot and 158.88 week open
Ongoing Fed inflation commentary (Bowman, Paulson) keeps USD headline risk active into next session
14:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading near intervention zone · RSI 43 · price 159.258
Higher highs into 159.65, now rolling over.
USDJPY pushed higher across Tue–Thu sessions, peaking at 159.65 during NY hours yesterday before rejecting sharply on intervention chatter near the 160 line. Price has since slipped back under EMA20 and consolidated 159.18–159.32 through the Asia and London sessions today, with RSI rolling to the low 40s. Range is compressing into Friday's NY hours after BBH flagged MoF intervention capping the topside.
Support: 159.18, 159.11, 158.88
Resistance: 159.45, 159.65, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.45 (ema20) reopens 159.65 week high
Loss of 159.11 thu low exposes 158.88 week open
Renewed intervention headlines near 160.00 would reinforce the cap
Higher highs into 159.65, pulling back to mid-range.
USDJPY trended higher from Monday's 158.88 open through Thursday's NY session, tagging the week high at 159.65 before sellers stepped in around the MoF intervention zone near 160.00. Price has since pulled back to the mid-range, holding the thu low at 159.18 on a sweep into early Friday's Asia session and now consolidating just below the EMA20. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral around 47, taking the steam out of the prior uptrend.
Support: 159.18, 158.88
Resistance: 159.535, 159.65, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.18 thu low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 159.535 thu high reopens the path to 159.65 and the 160.00 psych/MoF zone
Renewed MoF intervention headlines near 160.00 remain the dominant tail risk for this read
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding 159.20.
Steady grind higher since Monday's 158.88 open, peaking at the 159.65 week high during yesterday's NY session before fading on Japan intervention-size headlines (¥11.7tn). Price has since cycled below EMA(20) on H1 with RSI carving a bearish divergence into the highs, and the 159.18 session low is now the pivot for the week's uptrend.
Support: 159.18, 158.88, 159.30
Resistance: 159.65, 159.51, 159.38
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 159.18 session low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 159.38 intraday cap reopens 159.51 prior high and 159.65 week high
Further Japan MoF intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
Steady grind up from Monday's 158.88 open through the NY session yesterday, posting a week high at 159.65 before sellers stepped in around intervention-warning headlines from Tokyo. Price has since carved a lower high and is consolidating below EMA(20) with RSI cycling around 47, suggesting the impulse from earlier in the week has paused. The 159.18 wk swing low is the line holding the broader structure intact.
Support: 159.18, 158.88
Resistance: 159.60, 159.65, 159.45
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.18 wk swing low confirms lower-low and shifts the read
Reclaim of 159.45 prior high needed to reopen the path back to the 159.65 rejection
Further MoF / Kihara intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding above prior breakout.
Price has trended higher since Monday's 158.88 open, peaking at 159.65 during yesterday's NY session before rejecting and flushing to 159.11. The pullback held the 159.18 area and price has since recovered to 159.29, sitting around EMA20 with RSI back at neutral. Intervention warnings from Japan's Kihara during the European session added a fade catalyst at the highs.
Support: 159.18, 159.00, 158.88
Resistance: 159.51, 159.60, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.51 prior high would re-engage the wkly high test
Loss of 159.18 wkly pivot lo opens 159.00 psych and 158.88 wkly open
Further verbal intervention from Japan officials could cap upside
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading near range top · RSI 48 · price 159.259
Higher highs into 159.65, now consolidating below.
Pair has trended higher since Monday's open near 158.90, peaking at 159.65 in yesterday's NY session before rejection back below EMA(20). Price now consolidating in the upper half of the week's range with RSI(14) cycling through the midline, and Tokyo verbal intervention concerns are capping attempts toward the 160.00 psych level. The dominant impulse came during Wednesday's NY hours; since then structure has flattened into a tight 159.18–159.40 band.
Support: 159.18, 159.00, 158.88
Resistance: 159.65, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 159.65 week high reopens path to 160.00 psych
Loss of 159.00 psych exposes 158.88 week low
Escalation of Japan MoF verbal intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
USDJPY trended higher all week from Monday's 158.88 base into a 159.65 swing high during yesterday's NY session, before sellers rejected the move and dragged price back to 159.11. Tokyo's verbal warning on speculative FX moves coincided with the pullback, and price now consolidates mid-range below the EMA20 with RSI at 46. Week structure remains constructive while 158.88 holds, but momentum has clearly cooled.
Support: 159.11, 158.88
Resistance: 159.51, 159.65, 160.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.51 week high reopens 160.00 psych test
Loss of 159.11 yday NY low exposes 158.88 week low
Further MoF verbal intervention rhetoric near 160.00 could cap upside
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding above 159.10.
USDJPY has trended up from Tuesday's 158.83 base to a week high at 159.65 during Thursday's NY session, with each London session extending the prior range. The NY session faded that high, printing a sharp rejection candle back to 159.18 before stabilising into Friday's Asia hours; price now coils around the pivot near 159.30 with RSI flat at 50, showing bearish divergence against the late-Thursday push. EMA20 has rolled over to 159.44 and is now capping intraday rallies.
Support: 159.18, 158.88, 159.30
Resistance: 159.65, 159.44
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.44 ema20 would reopen the week high at 159.65
Loss of 159.18 thu NY low exposes 158.88 week low and breaks the uptrend structure
German states' CPI and US PCE later today could materially shift this read
06:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 159.30
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback to mid-range.
USDJPY trended higher all week from Monday's 158.88 base into a 159.65 week high during NY hours yesterday, before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 159.18 thu low. Tokyo CPI undershoot and Katayama's intervention rhetoric have capped momentum, with price now consolidating near EMA20 and RSI flattening around 50 after a bearish divergence at the high.
Support: 159.18, 158.88
Resistance: 159.65, 159.51
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.51 prior swing reopens the path to 159.65 week high
Loss of 159.18 thu low exposes 158.88 week low and breaks the uptrend structure
MoF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike JPY volatility
Steady grind higher from Monday's 158.84 base into Thursday's 159.65 week high during the NY session, before a sharp rejection dropped price back to 159.18. Now stabilising around 159.35 in early Asia Friday, trading below EMA(20) but holding above EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling in the 40s after a bearish divergence at the highs. Soft Tokyo CPI and intervention chatter from Katayama are keeping yen two-way.
Support: 159.18, 158.84
Resistance: 159.45, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.45 (ema20 area) reopens the path to the 159.65 week high
Loss of 159.18 thu swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 158.84 week low
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire talks remains a yen volatility driver
USDJPY trended steadily higher from Monday's 158.89 open through the NY session yesterday, tagging a week high at 159.65 before sellers stepped in. The sharp NY-hour drop to 159.18 — coinciding with softer-than-expected Tokyo core CPI and Katayama's intervention rhetoric — capped the move and printed a bearish RSI divergence against the prior high. Price has since stabilised back above the EMA20 around 159.29, with the 159.18 thu swing low as the pivot for this-week structure.
Support: 159.18, 158.89, 159.29
Resistance: 159.51, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close below 159.18 thu swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 159.51 prior high reopens the path to the 159.65 week high
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could drive yen volatility
Headlines on US-Iran ceasefire talks remain a dollar risk per MUFG
Higher highs into 159.65 then pullback holding above 159.10.
USDJPY has trended higher all week off the 158.88 base, with the dominant push coming through Thursday's NY session into 159.65. Price has since rejected the highs and slid back through EMA(20), with RSI(14) rolling from overbought to mid-40s — a bearish momentum shift against the broader uptrend. The week's intervention chatter from Katayama and a softer Tokyo CPI print are framing the pullback rather than breaking the structure.
Support: 159.11, 158.88
Resistance: 159.51, 159.65
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 159.51 prior high reasserts the uptrend
Loss of 159.11 swing low confirms a lower-low and shifts structure
MoF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could spike yen volatility
Hold of 158.88 week base keeps the broader uptrend intact
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback holding above 159.10.
USDJPY trended steadily higher since Monday's open, printing a week high at 159.65 during yesterday's NY session before sellers stepped in and dragged price back to 159.18. The pullback has stalled above the prior range near 158.88 and price is now consolidating just under EMA20, with RSI cooling to mid-range after a bearish divergence at the highs. Tokyo CPI miss and MOF intervention chatter from Katayama are sitting in the background but the Yen barely reacted on the data.
Support: 159.18, 158.88, 159.30
Resistance: 159.65, 159.38
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 159.38 reopens the path to the 159.65 week high
Loss of 159.18 session low exposes 158.88 prior range
MOF intervention data release at 10:00 GMT could materially shift this read
01:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 159.265
Higher highs into 159.65, first lower-high forming.
Steady grind higher from Monday's 158.75 base, with each NY session extending the range — Wednesday's NY tagged 159.51, Thursday's pushed to 159.65 before rejection. Soft Tokyo CPI this morning failed to provide a clean yen bid; the pair leaked to 159.11 on the prior NY close then stabilised in early Asia. RSI made a lower high against the 159.65 print, and price is now sitting below EMA20 for the first time this week.
Support: 159.11, 158.90
Resistance: 159.65, 159.51, 160.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 159.51 prior high re-engages the trend
Loss of 159.11 session low opens 158.90 week base
Psych 160.00 likely to draw intervention chatter if approached
00:00 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 159.247
Higher highs into 159.65, pullback in progress.
Steady grind higher from Monday's 158.83 base into a 159.65 week high during the NY session yesterday, with each pullback through Wednesday holding the EMA(20). That changed in late NY as a sharp rejection from 159.49 dropped price to 159.11, breaking the rising structure and cycling RSI down to 42 after divergence built into the high. Tokyo CPI undershoot this morning has kept the bid mild, with price now consolidating below the EMA(20) into Asia close.
Support: 159.18, 158.95, 158.84
Resistance: 159.45, 159.65, 160.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 159.45 ema20 reopens the 159.65 week high
H1 close below 159.18 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 158.95 week open
MOF intervention data due 1900 JST could materially shift this read
160.00 psych remains the dominant overhead reference for intervention risk