XAG/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAG/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:48 UTC
Range below 54.00 after NY sweep and rebound · RSI 46 · price 53.921
Lower high at 54.299, compressing in early Asia.
Monday's NY session swept to 53.004, just under the 53.03 YTD low, before a sharp rebound. The recovery capped at the 54.299 ny high, below the 54.393 day high, as pre-Fed caution limited rallies, then faded to a 53.773 swing low. Early Tuesday Asia is compressing in a 53.82–53.98 band (asia low to asia high) just under EMA20, with RSI(14) flat near 46 and the 38.2% rebound fib sitting near 53.80.
Support: 53.818, 53.773, 53.004
Resistance: 53.98, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 53.98 asia high and the lower-highs line puts the 54.299 ny high back in play
Loss of 53.818 asia low and 53.773 swing low breaks the 38.2% rebound fib zone, reopening the 53.004 sweep low
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and the Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this range
23:32 UTC
Flat after V-reversal, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 54 · price 53.95
Tight early-Asia range 53.82–53.99 under 54.00 psych, below the 54.30 NY high.
NY hours swept down to 53.00, the sweep low just above the $53.03 YTD low, then V-reversed to the 54.30 NY high as an oil pullback eased pressure. Since then a lower-highs line has capped price, and early Asia is holding a 53.82–53.99 range just under the 54.00 psych level, with pre-Fed caution limiting extension.
Support: 53.818, 53.773, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above 54.00 psych breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 54.30 NY high, then the 54.39 day high
Loss of the 53.82 session low and the 53.77 NY low exposes the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally near 53.80
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) could break the early-Asia range ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
A return toward the 53.00 sweep low would retest the YTD-low area
Tight 53.77–53.99 box inside a 53.00–54.30 day range, lower highs since 54.30.
The NY-open flush to the 53.00 ytd low was bought back above 54.00. Supply capped the range top near 54.30, and lower highs have since squeezed price into a 53.77–53.99 box through the early Asia session. RSI(14) near 48 with both EMAs overhead; price sits above the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib (~53.80) but has no acceptance above the 54.00 round number.
Support: 53.818, 53.773, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.77 swing low and the session low breaks the post-NY base, exposing the 53.00 ytd low
Acceptance above the 54.00 round number and the lower-highs line reopens the 54.30 range top
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) ahead of Wed FOMC; a firm print could push a retest of 53.00
V-recovery from 53.00 sweep stalled at 54.30; tight Asia range below ema20.
Monday's NY session swept the $53.00 YTD-low area to a 53.004 sweep low before buyers defended it with a V-shaped recovery to the 54.299 NY high. Since then lower highs have pulled price back to the 53.773 NY low. The new Asia session is pinned in a tight 53.87–53.95 range below ema20, with RSI(14) near 42 and about 32% of the recovery retraced.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 53.993, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
Break below the 53.773 ny low exposes the 53.603 asian low, with the 53.004 sweep low below
Close above the 53.993 late high breaks the lower-highs line; the 54.299 ny high and 54.393 asian high cap the window range
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
22:48 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower within a wide intraday range · RSI 41 · price 53.909
Lower highs off 54.299 NY high; tight early-Asia range.
NY swept the 53.00 area with a print at the 53.004 swing low, then rebounded to the 54.299 NY high, with lower highs since pulling price back under 54.00. Price sits near the 38.2% of that rebound fib. Early Asia is holding a narrow 53.87–53.99 band below the 53.993 session high and above the 53.773 NY late low, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR contracting in the thin post-rollover tape.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 53.993, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 53.993 session high and the lower-high trendline would end the post-NY drift
Failure to hold the 53.773 NY late low exposes the 53.603 Asia low
A return to the 53.004 swing low retests the area defended in NY
Reclaim of the 54.299 NY high puts the 54.393 day high back in play
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and 14:00 Consumer Confidence could reset this range ahead of Wednesday's Fed
Lower highs from 54.30 into a tight 53.82–53.99 coil above the 53.77 swing low.
Iran headlines drove an NY flush to the 53.00 flush low, sweeping the YTD low, before a V-shaped rebound to the 54.30 rebound high. Price has since faded on lower highs into a narrow early-Asia coil near the 38.2% fib, with the 54.00 round number capping and the 53.77 swing low holding underneath.
Support: 53.77, 53.60, 53.00
Resistance: 54.00, 54.30, 54.39
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.77 swing low exposes Monday's 53.60 asian low
Reclaim of the 54.00 round number breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 54.30 rebound high, then the 54.39 asian high
A return to the 53.00 flush low retests the YTD-low area
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and Wednesday's FOMC could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Sideways after a failed NY rebound, mild downward drift · RSI 42 · price 53.922
Lower highs from 54.30 since mid-NY, holding above the 53.77 late NY low.
Monday's session high of 54.39 was set in Asia after the gap higher. The NY drop on the Iran headlines swept the asia low and tagged 53.00 just above the ytd low, then reversed back to 54.27. The rebound stalled below the 54.30 ny high and faded into the late ny low at 53.77; the new Asia session is quiet near 53.92, just under psych 54.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above psych 54 and the lower-highs line would put the 54.30 ny high and 54.39 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 53.77 late ny low exposes the 53.60 asia low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, then Wed FOMC, could materially shift this read; a break of the 53.00 ytd low changes the structure
22:05 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since Asia · RSI 51 · price 53.965
Wide intraday range 53.00–54.39; NY V-rebound capped at a lower high, late-session drift 53.77–53.99.
The weekend gap up from 54.25 filled during Asia. The first hour of NY then swept to 53.00 at the ytd low, and the NY rebound stalled at the 54.30 session high, a lower high under the 54.39 Asian high. Late NY is holding a tight 53.77 swing low to 54.00 round number band, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and price straddling flat EMAs.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
A close above the 54.30 session high breaks the lower highs line and puts the 54.39 asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 53.77 swing low exposes the 53.60 asian low and a retest of the 53.00 ytd low
Acceptance above the 54.00 round number is the first sign the NY rebound is extending
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) could materially shift this read ahead of Wednesday's Fed
Range of 53.60–54.39 set in Asia; NY swept 53.00 and reclaimed, then printed a lower high.
NY session swept the $53.03 YTD-low area to 53.004 and rejected sharply. Price recovered to a 54.299 NY high, a lower high back inside the Asian range of 53.603–54.393. The late-NY fade held at the 53.773 swing low, near the 38.2% retrace of the NY rebound, and price now sits at 53.965 in thin post-close trade, just under the 54.00 psych level and flat EMA20/50.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 54.00 psych level opens a retest of the 54.299 NY high, then the 54.393 asia high
A break below the 53.773 swing low puts the 50–61.8% NY rebound fib zone (53.65–53.50) and the 53.603 asia low in play
Loss of the 53.004 NY low would turn the YTD-low sweep into a confirmed lower-low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) is the next scheduled catalyst ahead of Wednesday's Fed
21:33 UTC
Range after NY whipsaw, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 53.965
Lower highs from 54.299; late-session base above 53.773, inside Asian range.
Early NY hours swept to a 53.004 NY low, just under the $53.03 YTD low, before buyers lifted it back to a 54.299 NY high that stalled short of the 54.393 Asian high. The late-session fade held the 53.773 late low, near the 38.2% of the rebound, and price is now basing just under the 54.00 round number with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
Close below the 53.773 late low exposes the 53.603 Asian low and the 50% of the NY rebound
Acceptance above the 54.00 round number reopens the 54.299 NY high, then the 54.393 Asian high
A return to the 53.004 NY low retests the YTD-low area defended today
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and Wed Fed decision could materially shift this read
21:17 UTC
Intraday range after V-recovery, drifting near 54.00 · RSI 42 · price 53.965
False break below YTD low reversed; lower high under Asian high.
The Monday open gapped up to 54.25 and faded. In the first hour of NY, the Iran-headline selloff swept the Asian low and the $53.00 YTD low to 53.004, then reversed in a V-shaped recovery. Late NY is consolidating at the 54.00 psych level after a roughly 38.2% fib pullback held the 53.773 swing low, while the 54.299 lower high sits below the 54.393 Asian high.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.299 lower high breaks the lower highs line and exposes the 54.393 Asian high
Failure to hold the 53.773 swing low opens the 53.603 Asian low
A move back through the 53.004 YTD low would void the false-break read
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) is the first pre-Fed catalyst; the Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision could materially shift this read
21:08 UTC
Two-way after V-rebound, lower high in place · RSI 49 · price 53.965
Lower high at 54.299 under the Asian high; late NY basing between 53.77 and 53.99.
Monday's gap up to 54.25 filled during the Asian session. In NY hours silver swept to a day low of 53.004, just under the 53.03 YTD low, after the Iran-strike headline, then V-rebounded but stalled at a 54.299 lower high below the 54.393 Asian high. Late NY is basing above the 53.773 pullback low, near the 38.2% of the rebound fib, with price pressed under the 54.00 round number.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 acceptance above the 54.00 round number, then the 54.299 lower high, reopens the 54.393 Asian high
Failure to hold the 53.773 pullback low exposes the 53.603 Asian low and a retest of the 53.004 day low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) could shift this read; Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision is the main event risk
20:47 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower in late NY · RSI 36 · price 53.902
Lower high at 54.299 after NY false break of Asian low; compressing above 53.773.
The gap-up open at 54.25 faded. In NY, a headline-driven drop cut through the 53.603 Asian low to a 53.004 session low near the YTD floor, then reversed sharply, but the rebound stalled at the 54.299 NY high, a lower high under the 54.393 Asian high. Late NY has price compressed near 53.90, below 54.00 psych and the lower-high trendline, about 31% into the NY rebound fib, with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 53.773 swing low exposes the 53.603 Asian low and the 50–61.8% zone of the NY rebound fib (53.65–53.50).
Reclaiming 54.00 psych and the lower-high trendline reopens the 54.299 NY high; a break above it would also take out the 54.393 Asian high.
A return to the 53.004 session low retests the YTD floor defended earlier today.
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could break the compression; Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC is the larger risk.
20:32 UTC
Range after sweep, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 53.881
Lower highs from 54.299 NY high, holding above 53.77 swing low.
The Sunday gap-up faded through Asia. The NY flush to 53.004 swept the 53.00/53.03 ytd low area before buyers lifted it back to the NY high at 54.299, where it met rejection. Late NY is printing lower highs back below the 54.00 psych level, with the 53.77 swing low holding near the 38.2% retrace; RSI(14) around 44 is neutral.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
A close below the 53.77 swing low exposes the 50% retrace near 53.65 and the 53.60 asian low
A reclaim of 54.00 psych and a break of the lower-highs line put the 54.299 NY high and the 54.393 asian high back in play
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) ahead of Wed's FOMC could reset this range; a return to the 53.00 ytd low would retest today's sweep
20:18 UTC
Range after NY V-recovery, fading late session · RSI 47 · price 53.858
Lower high at 54.299 under 54.393 Asian high, drifting toward 53.77 swing low.
Silver dropped to a 53.004 NY low just after the NY open, a sweep just above the 53.03 YTD low that V-recovered. Pre-Fed caution capped the rebound at a 54.299 NY high, a lower high below the 54.393 Asian high. Late in the NY session price has slipped back under the 54.00 round number and both EMAs. It now sits near the 38.2% fib of the NY rebound, with the 53.773 swing low the nearest floor; RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 53.773 swing low and the 38.2% fib exposes the 53.603 Asian low
Reclaiming the 54.00 round number and breaking the descending highs line reopens the 54.299 NY high and 54.393 Asian high
A return to the 53.004 NY low retests the YTD-low area swept earlier
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, ahead of Wed's FOMC, could reset the intraday range
20:04 UTC
Intraday lower highs off the NY high, momentum soft · RSI 37 · price 53.862
Lower-high sequence from 54.30 into a tight late-NY base at 53.77–53.94.
Silver gapped up at the Asian open, topped at the 54.39 asian high and faded through London. It then swept to the 53.00 day low early in NY on Iran-related de-escalation headlines before rebounding to the 54.30 ny high. Since then a lower-high line has pressed price back to 53.86, where it holds the 53.77 swing low near the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib late in the session; RSI(14) ~37.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 53.939, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.77 swing low exposes the 50% retrace near 53.65 and the 53.60 asian low
Reclaim of the 53.94 micro high and a break of the lower-high line would neutralise the fade from the 54.30 ny high
Acceptance back above 54.30 brings the 54.39 asian high into play
53.00 day low sits on the YTD-low area; a return there tests the earlier sweep
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
19:48 UTC
Short-term downtrend, fading from NY high · RSI 38 · price 53.902
Lower highs since 54.30, holding 38.2% retrace.
Early NY swept the asian low and flushed to 53.004, the ny low at the YTD-low area, before buyers lifted it to the 54.299 ny high. Silver has since printed lower highs under a falling trendline into late NY, with the 53.773 swing low holding near the 38.2% fib and price capped below the 54.00 round number and both EMAs.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.773 swing low breaks the 38.2% fib and exposes the 53.603 asian low
Reclaiming the 54.00 round number and the falling trendline reopens the 54.299 ny high and 54.393 asian high
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods (f/c 0.6%) could shift this read; Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC is the larger risk
Loss of the 53.004 ny low would confirm a break of the YTD-low area
Wide 53.00–54.39 day range; late NY slipping below 54.00 pivot.
The NY open swept Friday's $53.03 YTD low to 53.00, then snapped back to the 54.30 NY high as oil eased. Late NY has faded back below the 54.00 pivot to the 38.2% fib near 53.80, with the 53.77 swing low the nearest floor. Price sits in the lower half of the 53.00–54.39 day range, and RSI(14) is around 38.
Support: 53.773, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 53.77 swing low exposes the 50% fib and asian low at 53.65–53.60
Reclaiming the 54.00 pivot and the descending highs line puts the 54.30 NY high back in play; the asian high at 54.39 caps the day range
A return to the 53.00 ytd low would test whether the NY sweep holds
Tuesday's Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) is the first pre-FOMC catalyst; Wednesday's Fed decision could materially shift this read
19:17 UTC
Choppy, fading lower late in NY · RSI 34 · price 53.85
Lower highs from 54.30 NY high; 54.02 range floor lost.
NY swept the $53.03 YTD low to 53.00, then recovered above 54.00. Supply capped the rebound at the 54.30 NY high, below the 54.39 Asian high, and the 54.02–54.30 range broke lower late in NY. Price sits at 53.85, near the 38.2% retrace of the recovery and just above the 53.77 session low, with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 53.77, 53.60, 53.00
Resistance: 54.00, 54.30, 54.39
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.77 session low exposes the 50% retrace near 53.65 and the 53.60 Asian low
Reclaim of the 54.00 psych pivot puts price back inside the 54.02–54.30 range
Break of the 54.30 NY high and 54.39 Asian high would invalidate the lower-high read
Return to the 53.00 ytd low would retest the NY sweep low
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods is the next scheduled USD catalyst ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
19:05 UTC
Intraday range, fading back under 54.00 · RSI 37 · price 53.839
Lower high at 54.299 under 54.393 Asia high after sweep of 53.00 area.
Early NY hours swept the $53.00 YTD-low area to a 53.004 ny low and saw a sharp rejection, which the digest ties to easing oil. The rebound stalled at a 54.299 ny high, a lower high under the 54.393 asia high. After London close price has slipped back under the 54.00 round number toward the 53.775 london low, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 53.775, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.00, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.775 london low exposes the 53.603 asia low, near the 50% fib of the sweep rebound
Failure to hold 53.603 puts the 53.004 ny low and the YTD-low sweep back in play
Reclaim of the 54.00 round number and a close above the 54.299 ny high breaks the lower highs line toward the 54.393 asia high
Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at 54.27–54.30 broke the 54.02 neckline, price back under 54.00.
The Middle East gap-up stalled at the 54.39 Asia high and faded. Early in the NY session silver swept the $53.03 ytd low to 53.004, then reclaimed sharply to the 54.30 ny high. A second failure at 54.27–54.30 and a break of the 54.02 neckline leave price under the $54.00 pivot in late NY, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 53.775, 53.50, 53.004
Resistance: 54.02, 54.299, 54.393
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 54.02 neckline completes the double top. The 38.2% retrace of the NY rebound sits at 53.80, near the 53.78 london low
Failure to hold the london low exposes the 61.8% fib near 53.50
An M15 close back above the 54.30 ny high voids the double-top read and reopens the 54.39 asia high
A break of the 53.00 ytd low would turn the NY sweep into a range break lower
Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read. Iran headlines remain an intraday swing factor
18:33 UTC
Range after V-recovery, drifting to range low · RSI 47 · price 54.016
Sweep of 53.00 ytd low reversed; 54.02–54.30 range inside Asian range.
The fade after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes swept the 53.00 ytd low at 53.004 into the NY open. Price then V-recovered above 54.00 as oil eased. Since then it has held a 54.02–54.30 range inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range, and late-NY drift is now pressing the range low near the 23.6% rebound fib.
Support: 54.00, 53.79, 53.004
Resistance: 54.30, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 54.00 range low exposes the 53.79 london low, close to the 38.2% rebound fib
Close above the 54.30 range top reopens the 54.39 asian high
Renewed break of the 53.00 ytd low would cancel the sweep-and-reclaim read
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC can reset this range
18:18 UTC
Sideways after V-shaped NY recovery · RSI 52 · price 54.085
Tight 54.02–54.30 range above swept NY low.
The NY open flush swept the asian low and ran to the ny low at 53.004. That briefly broke the 53.03 YTD low before a sharp reclaim as oil eased. Since 14:30 UTC price has been pinned in a 54.02–54.30 range late in the NY session, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and the ~$54.00 handle still not cleanly accepted.
Support: 54.02, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.30, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.30 range high opens the asian high at 54.393
Failure to hold the 54.02 range low exposes the 23.6% retrace near 53.99, then the 53.60 asian low
A return below the 53.004 ny low would turn the false break into a genuine YTD-low break
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read
17:47 UTC
Sideways after V-shaped rebound from 53.00 · RSI 53 · price 54.112
54.02–54.30 range after false break below Asian low.
Early NY flushed through the Asian low and the 53.78 london low to a 53.004 day low, tagging the YTD-low zone. Price then staged a V-shaped rebound back above 54.00. It has since held a 54.02 range low to 54.30 ny high box below the 54.39 asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 53 as the rebound stalls.
Support: 54.02, 53.78, 53.004
Resistance: 54.30, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 54.02 range low reopens the 53.78 london low and the 38.2% rebound fib near 53.80
Close above the 54.30 ny high exposes the 54.39 asian high
Loss of the 53.004 day low would turn the false break into a YTD-low break
Oil and Iran headlines have driven silver intraday; Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods is the next scheduled USD risk
17:33 UTC
V-recovery from NY flush, now flat · RSI 56 · price 54.156
Post-sweep consolidation 54.02–54.30 inside Asian range.
NY open flushed to 53.00, briefly undercutting the 53.03 YTD low, then reversed in a V back inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range as oil eased. Price has since compressed between the ny range low at 54.02 and the range top near 54.30. RSI(14) is neutral at 56.
Support: 54.02, 53.78, 53.60
Resistance: 54.30, 54.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.30 range top exposes the asian high at 54.39
Loss of the 54.02 ny range low reopens the 53.78 london low, near the 38.2% level of the NY rebound fib
A break under the 53.60 asian low would put the 53.00 sweep low back in focus
Oil and Iran headlines, plus Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods ahead of Wed FOMC, could reset this range
17:18 UTC
V-shaped recovery, now ranging near highs · RSI 60 · price 54.233
Spike low at 53.004, then a tight 54.02–54.30 range through NY hours.
Around the NY open, silver flushed to a 53.004 spike low, briefly under the $53.03 YTD low, then made a V-shaped recovery that reclaimed $54.00 within the hour. Since then price has held a 54.02 range floor and is now pressing the 54.295 ny high, with RSI(14) near 60. A softer oil tape has cushioned dips, and FOMC caution is limiting follow-through.
Support: 54.02, 53.78, 53.004
Resistance: 54.295, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.295 ny high opens a test of the 54.393 asia high
Loss of the 54.02 range floor puts the 53.78 london low and the 38.2% recovery retrace back in focus
A return below the 53.004 spike low would negate the false break and reopen the YTD-low zone
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods, then Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC guidance on a December hike, could materially shift this read
17:06 UTC
Range-bound after V-recovery · RSI 63 · price 54.166
Tight 54.02–54.27 range under the Asian high, after a reversed NY flush.
The gap-up Asia open faded, then a NY-session flush to 53.004 swept the $53 YTD-low zone and was fully reversed in a V-rebound to 54.27. Since 15:00 UTC price has compressed in a 54.02–54.27 range below the 54.39 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR easing off the spike.
Support: 54.02, 53.79, 53.00
Resistance: 54.27, 54.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.27 range top opens a test of the 54.39 Asian high
Loss of the 54.02 range low puts the 53.79 London low back in play
A return below the 53.00 spike low would negate the V-rebound
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the next catalysts for this range
16:48 UTC
Range-bound, steadied after NY flush · RSI 55 · price 54.089
Sweep of YTD low then V-rebound into tight post-London band.
Silver flushed to a 53.00 sweep low in the first hour of NY, briefly breaching the 53.03 YTD low, then V-rebounded to a 54.27 NY high. Since London close it has compressed into a 54.04–54.27 band, still inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and the digest crediting softer oil with cushioning dips.
Support: 54.04, 53.788, 53.004
Resistance: 54.273, 54.393
What it said to watch
Close above the 54.27 NY high, then the 54.39 Asian high, breaks the post-rebound range higher
Loss of the 54.04 range floor reopens the 53.79 London low
A return to the 53.00 sweep low would put the YTD-low zone back under test
Oil/Iran headlines and Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods are the next catalysts. Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC is the main risk to this read
16:33 UTC
V-recovery from 53.00, now flat · RSI 57 · price 54.121
Tight 54.06–54.27 range inside Asian range.
Price was rejected at 54.27 early in the NY session and fell to 53.004. That briefly undercut the 53.03 ytd low, then price fully V-reversed back above 54.00 as the oil pullback cushioned silver. Late in the NY session price is compressing between the 54.06 range low and the 54.27 ny high. It holds the upper part of the ny rebound fib and stays inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range.
Support: 54.06, 53.004
Resistance: 54.273, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.27 ny high opens the 54.39 asian high
Loss of the 54.06 range low exposes the 53.78 london low, near the 38.2% of the ny rebound
A renewed break of the 53.00 ytd low would void the false-break read
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC could materially shift this read; Iran/oil headlines are also live
16:18 UTC
V-recovery after NY flush, now flat · RSI 55 · price 54.094
Sweep of 53.00 reversed, tight consolidation 54.06–54.27.
Silver flushed through the Asian and London lows in the first hour of NY to a 53.004 sweep low at the $53.00 YTD floor, then rejected hard back to 54.273, matching the London session high. It is now compressing in a 54.06–54.27 band just above the 54.00 psych, with RSI(14) near 55 and the Asian high at 54.39 overhead. The digest flags repeated failure to hold above $54 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 54.00, 53.79, 53.00
Resistance: 54.27, 54.39
What it said to watch
M15 close above 54.27 session high opens the 54.39 asian high
Loss of the 54.00 psych puts the 53.79 london low and 38.2% of the NY rally fib back in play
A return to the 53.00 sweep low retests the YTD floor
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Range, V-shaped recovery off NY low · RSI 55 · price 54.128
Sweep of 53.00 then reclaim; back inside Monday's 53.78–54.27 range.
The first hour of NY swept below the 53.78 london low to a 53.004 sweep low at the $53.00 YTD floor, then reversed sharply. Price reclaimed the 54.00 round number and is now stalling just under the 54.27 session high, with the Asian high at 54.39 above. Silver stays pinned near $54 as markets brace for a hawkish Fed.
Support: 54.00, 53.78, 53.004
Resistance: 54.273, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.27 session high exposes the 54.39 asian high
Loss of the 54.00 round number puts the 53.78 london low back in play
Break back below the 53.00 sweep low invalidates the rejection read
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
15:32 UTC
Intraday range, sharp V-recovery after NY flush · RSI 54 · price 54.128
False break below Asian low to 53.00, reclaimed back inside 53.60–54.39 range.
The NY open sold off from the 54.27 area, cut through the 53.60 Asian low and tested the 53.00 YTD low before a sharp V-reversal back above the 54.00 round number. That move retraced most of the NY sell-off fib and leaves the 53.00 probe as a false break. Monday's bullish gap open had already faded on easing Iran risk, and the NY high at 54.27 and Asian high at 54.39 now cap the range.
Support: 54.00, 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 54.273, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.27 ny high, then the 54.39 asian high, would break the session range to the upside
Failure to hold the 54.00 round number returns price toward the 53.60 asian low
Loss of the 53.60 asian low re-exposes the 53.00 ytd low swept in NY hours
Tue durable goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Range, sharp V-recovery off NY low · RSI 56 · price 54.188
NY flush below Asian range low reversed; price back inside range near session high.
Silver's Monday gap open near 54.25 faded after Trump ruled out immediate strikes on Iran, and London held inside the Asian range (53.60–54.39). Around the NY open, price swept below the Asian range and the 53.775 london low to tag the 53.00 ytd low at 53.004, then retraced the entire drop to a 54.273 session high, with RSI(14) back near 56.
Support: 53.775, 53.004
Resistance: 54.273, 54.393
What it said to watch
A close above the 54.393 asian high breaks price out of Monday's range.
Repeated failure below the 54.273 session high keeps the 53.00–54.39 range intact.
Loss of the 53.775 london low puts the 53.00 ytd low back in focus.
Tue Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
False break below Asian range and $53.00 rejected; price back near range top.
Monday's gap-up open at 54.25 faded as haven demand eased on Iran headlines, leaving an Asian range of 53.60–54.39 (asian high 54.393) that London held inside. Early NY flushed through the Asian low to a 53.004 sweep low at the $53.00 YTD-low area and was rejected hard. A ~$1.20 recovery has returned price above the 54.00 psych level and just under the 54.267 NY high, with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 54.00, 53.775, 53.004
Resistance: 54.267, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.267 ny high puts the 54.393 asian high in play and extends the recovery
Slip back below 54.00 psych and the 53.775 london low would undercut the recovery and re-expose the 53.004 sweep low
50% of the 53.00–54.22 recovery fib sits near 53.61, the first pullback marker if 53.775 gives way
Tue US durable goods and consumer confidence, then Wed FOMC, are the next scheduled risks that could shift this read
14:48 UTC
Intraday range, V-shaped recovery after NY flush · RSI 51 · price 53.987
False break below the Asian range, price back inside it.
Monday's bullish opening gap faded as Iran haven demand eased, and London stayed inside the Asian range of 53.603–54.393 (asian low to asian high). The NY open flushed through the asian low to 53.004, a sweep of Friday's low at the 53.00 ytd low. Price then retraced most of the NY drop, reclaimed 54.00 and stalled at the 54.105 ny high, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 51 and price just above the ema20.
Support: 53.84, 53.603, 53.00
Resistance: 54.105, 54.267, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.105 ny high brings the 54.267 london high and the 54.393 asian high back into play
A slip back under the ema20 near 53.84 weakens the false-break reversal and exposes the 53.603 asian low
Acceptance below the 53.00 ytd low would turn the sweep into a breakdown
Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and the FOMC on Wed at 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts that could reset this range
14:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, rebounding off the low · RSI 45 · price 53.683
NY sell-off swept the 53.00 floor, now retracing.
Early in the NY session, silver turned lower from a rejection at 54.267. It sliced through the asian low at 53.603 and swept the 53.00 ytd low (53.004) before snapping back to a bounce high at 53.863, past the 61.8% fib. Price is now near the 50% fib around 53.64, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 45, as a firmer USD caps rallies ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 53.603, 53.004
Resistance: 53.863, 54.00, 54.267
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the asian low at 53.603 turns the reclaim into a failed break and puts the 53.00 ytd low back in play
Acceptance below the 53.00 ytd low would confirm the sweep as a genuine breakdown rather than a false break
A close above the bounce high at 53.863 and the 54.00 psych level reopens the 54.267 rejection high
The FOMC decision on Wed 28 Oct at 18:00 UTC, and its December guidance, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower at NY open, lower high at 54.27, sweep of the YTD low.
The first hour of NY broke the 53.60 Asian low and swept Friday's 53.03 YTD low to a 53.004 session low. The move came as USD firmed ahead of FOMC. Price snapped back to 53.54 off a 53.26 bounce base, near the 38.2–50% retrace of the 54.27 lower high leg. RSI(14) recovered to ~41 from sub-30.
Support: 53.264, 53.004
Resistance: 53.603, 54.267
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above the 53.60 asian low puts price back inside Monday's range; the 53.78 london low and 54.27 lower high sit above that
Loss of the 53.26 bounce base and an M15 close below the 53.00 session low would turn the sweep into a fresh YTD-low break
Rejection at the 53.64 fib 50% keeps the lower-highs trendline intact
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
14:05 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bouncing off a swept low · RSI 34 · price 53.36
Monday's 53.60–54.39 range broken lower into NY open, lower highs since the Asia spike.
The gap-up open faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. Monday's 53.60–54.39 range then broke lower from late London into the NY open. The 13:45 bar swept Friday's YTD low to a 53.00 sweep low before snapping back to 53.36. Price sits under the 53.51 breakdown level and the 53.60 Asian low, with lower highs capping from the 54.39 session high, and RSI(14) has eased back to ~34 after dipping toward oversold.
Support: 53.004
Resistance: 53.51, 53.603, 54.00
What it said to watch
Close back above the 53.60 Asian low would mark the move through 53.00 as a false break
Acceptance below the 53.00 sweep low / YTD low extends the NY breakdown into fresh lows
Recovery through 54.00 round number and the lower highs line invalidates the breakdown read
NY drop fib 38.2–50% (53.49–53.64) overlaps the breakdown and Asian-low area, a zone to watch for rejection or reclaim
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts
13:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs from the Asian peak · RSI 35 · price 53.568
NY-hours break below Asian range low; lower-high chain capped by descending trendline.
Monday's gap-up open faded as the Iran risk premium drained and the USD firmed ahead of FOMC. Silver then printed a lower high at 54.27 under the descending trendline and broke the Asian low at 53.60 in the first hour of NY, setting a session low at 53.50. RSI(14) at 35 is soft, not extreme.
Support: 53.503, 53.016
Resistance: 53.603, 53.788, 54.267
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the asian low at 53.60 would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 53.50 session low exposes the friday low at 53.02, the YTD low area
A close above the london low at 53.79 and the descending trendline near the 54.27 lower high would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts that could reset this structure
13:32 UTC
Intraday down, lower highs since Asia · RSI 38 · price 53.749
Asia range 53.603–54.393 intact; London high rejected, NY open slipped through the London low.
Monday's gap-up faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. The 54.267 London high was rejected into the NY open, and price has slipped below the 53.775 London low to a 53.661 NY low. It is trading under both EMAs and the lower highs line, with RSI(14) at 38 and the asian low 53.603 next below.
Support: 53.661, 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.775, 54.00, 54.267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 53.775 london low negates the break of the session low
Failure to hold 53.603 asian low exposes the 53.016 friday low near the $53.03 YTD low
Reclaiming 54.00 psych and closing above 54.267 london high breaks the lower highs line
Pre-Fed positioning ahead of Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC keeps intraday swings near the 142-pip ATR
Lower highs inside 53.60–54.39 Asian range, London lows broken.
NY open met rejection at 54.267 on the lower-highs line and slid through the 53.775–53.788 London low, RSI(14) near 37. Silver is now in the lower third of the 53.603–54.393 Asian range. The Monday gap-up fade and a firmer pre-Fed USD keep $54 unaccepted.
Support: 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.775, 54.267, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below 53.603 asian low breaks the session range and exposes the 53.016 ytd low
Recovery back above 53.775 london low neutralises the break and returns price to mid-range
Close above the lower-highs line and 54.267 ny high shifts the read; 54.393 asian high caps the range
Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:06 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since Asia · RSI 45 · price 53.965
Compression inside the Asian range, lower highs above a flat London low.
Monday's gap higher faded into a 53.60–54.39 Asian range after easing Iran strike risk cut haven demand. London and early NY have compressed inside it, with the London low near 53.78 holding twice and the latest lower high at 54.27 rejected in the first hour of NY, putting price back near 53.96, just under both EMAs.
Support: 53.78, 53.603
Resistance: 54.267, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.78 london low opens the asian low at 53.60
Close above the 54.27 lower high breaks the descending sequence and exposes the 54.39 asian high
Oil/Iran headlines and pre-Fed USD positioning could shift this read; Durable Goods due Tue 12:30 UTC
12:47 UTC
Sideways, contained inside the Asian range · RSI 52 · price 54.071
London range 53.78–54.27 nested inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range.
Silver gapped higher at the Asian open, then slid to the 53.60 Asian low as Iran de-escalation headlines eased haven demand. It has since swung back inside the Asian range, and London has held twice at the 53.78 london lows. The 12:30 UTC rebound was rejected at the 54.27 intraday cap into the London-NY transition, leaving price near the 38.2% of that rebound with RSI(14) at 52 and price hugging flat EMAs.
Support: 53.78, 53.603
Resistance: 54.267, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.27 intraday cap and the 54.39 asian high breaks the Asian range to the upside
Failure to hold the 53.78 london lows exposes the 53.60 asian low
Oil and Iran headlines are the live intraday driver; no US data is due before Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC
Wednesday's Fed decision could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Two-sided range, pushing into London high · RSI 62 · price 54.22
London range 53.78–54.24 inside Asian range 53.60–54.39.
Silver gapped above Friday's 53.92 close and swung 53.60–54.39 in the Asian range as easing Iran strike risk trimmed the haven bid. London held a tighter band with a double low at 53.78/53.79. Four straight up bars off that base now have price at the 54.24 London high into the NY open, with RSI(14) near 62 and short of overbought.
Support: 54.00, 53.78, 53.60
Resistance: 54.24, 54.39, 54.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.24 London high exposes the 54.39 Asian high, then the 54.50 psych level
Rejection at 54.24 keeps the London range intact; a slip back under the 54.00 round number returns price to mid-range
Break of the 53.78 double low reopens the 53.60 Asian low
Loss of the rally trendline off 53.79 signals the push from the London lows is fading
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Wednesday's Fed decision are the next scheduled risks
12:17 UTC
Intraday range, rebounding off London lows · RSI 56 · price 54.125
London range 53.78–54.24 inside the wider Asian range; price retesting upper half.
Silver gapped above Friday's close at the Asian open, filled the gap to the 53.60 asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, then spiked to a 54.39 asian high. London has held the 53.78 swing low twice. Price has bounced to 54.12 into the London-NY transition, about 75% back through the London fib of the 54.24–53.78 decline.
Support: 53.78, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.24 london high breaks the London lower-high sequence and puts the 54.39 asian high in play
Failure to hold the 53.78 swing low reopens the 53.60 asian low
NY open and Iran/oil headlines can extend the 115-pip ATR swings
Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk for this range
London range 53.78–54.24 inside the Asian range, lower highs since 54.39.
Silver gapped higher at the Asian open and slipped to the 53.60 Asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. It then spiked to the 54.39 Asian high. London has compressed inside 53.78–54.24, with lower highs capped by a falling trendline near 54.12 and the London low defended twice. Price is flat on EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 48 into the NY open, and no setup is in play.
Support: 53.78, 53.60, 53.02
Resistance: 54.12, 54.24, 54.39
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 54.12 trendline and the 54.24 London high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 54.39 Asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 53.78 London low exposes the 53.60 Asian low
Below 53.60, Friday's 53.02 YTD low is the next reference
Oil/Iran headlines during NY hours could break the range ahead of Tuesday's durable goods data and Wednesday's Fed decision
11:47 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower inside Asian range · RSI 42 · price 53.937
Lower highs since 54.393, flat lows near 53.78.
Silver's Sunday gap higher faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, and price is still trapped inside the Asian range (asian low 53.603, asian high 54.393). Mid-London, highs keep stepping lower from the 54.239 london high under a descending trendline now near 54.13. Buyers have held the 53.78 swing low twice; RSI(14) is near 42 and ATR is about 112 pips.
Support: 53.78, 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 54.13, 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.78 swing low exposes the 53.603 asian low
Loss of the asian low brings the 53.016 friday low, near the YTD low, back into view
Close above the descending trendline and the 54.239 london high reopens the 54.393 asian high
NY open could break the Asian range; Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Wednesday's FOMC are the next scheduled catalysts
11:31 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs within London · RSI 40 · price 53.921
London range nested inside the Asian range, lower highs since 54.24.
Monday's gap up to 54.25 has been fully filled after Trump ruled out an immediate Iran strike, which eased haven demand. Price is holding inside the 53.60–54.39 Asian range, sitting near its 61.8% retracement, while London prints lower highs from the 54.24 London high. The London low at 53.78 has been tested twice and held, and price is trading below both EMAs.
Support: 53.78, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.78 london low opens the 53.60 asian low
Break of the lower highs line and a reclaim of the 54.24 london high puts the 54.39 asian high back in play
Iran or oil headlines into the NY open could break the Asian range
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the larger swing factor; Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC first
11:16 UTC
Intraday drift lower, lower highs since London open · RSI 41 · price 53.856
Inside Asian range 53.603–54.393; London lower-high sequence.
Silver gapped up at the Asian open, slid to the 53.603 Asian low as Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, then rebounded to a 54.393 Asian high. London has capped at the 54.239 London high and a 54.125 lower high, and price is drifting toward the 53.775 London low with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.125, 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and the 54.125 lower high breaks the London lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 53.775 London low exposes the 53.603 Asian low
Recapture of the 54.239 London high puts the 54.393 Asian high back in play
No US data today; Iran or oil headlines are the main intraday catalyst, with Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC next on the calendar
The Monday gap-up open faded after Trump's Iran comments eased haven demand. Mid-London, price is still inside the Asian range (53.603–54.393), with highs stepping lower from 54.361 to the 54.125 lower high. Price is sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the Asian rally near 53.905, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s and the london low at 53.775 just beneath.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.125, 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.775 london low exposes the 53.603 asian low
Reclaim of the 54.125 lower high breaks the descending-highs sequence and puts the 54.239 london high back in play
Close above the 54.393 asian high is a range break
Fresh Iran or oil headlines into the NY open could shift this read quickly
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the scheduled risks
Monday's gap-up open at 54.25 was filled during the Asia session, carving a 53.60–54.39 Asian range. Mid-London, price is still inside that range: it has printed lower highs from the 54.24 london high and is sitting near the 53.93 session low, just under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 47. Trump's no-strike remark on Iran has eased haven demand into Wednesday's Fed.
Support: 53.929, 53.603
Resistance: 54.123, 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
Break of the 53.93 session low exposes the 53.78 swing low, the base of the London leg
Loss of the 53.60 asian low would put Friday's 53.02 spike low back in focus
Close above the 54.12 lower high ends the London lower-highs sequence and reopens the 54.24 london high
Asian high at 54.39 caps the range; Iran/oil headlines could jolt silver ahead of Tuesday's durable goods and Wednesday's Fed
10:16 UTC
Sideways, compressing near 54.00 · RSI 53 · price 54.009
Lower highs and higher lows inside the Asian range.
Silver gapped up at the Asia open, then slid to the 53.603 asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. It recovered to the 54.393 asian high. Mid-London, price is still inside that range: the london high at 54.239 sits below the falling highs line, and the rising lows line runs up from the 53.775 london low, so price is compressing around 54.00 just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 53.975, 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.125, 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.125 swing high and the falling highs line exposes the 54.239 london high and the 54.393 asian high
Loss of the 53.975 swing low and the rising lows line reopens the 53.775 london low
Break below the 53.603 asian low puts Friday's 53.02 spike low back in focus
Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods and Wed 18:00 UTC Fed decision could materially shift this read
Fresh Iran or oil headlines could break the compression
10:03 UTC
Sideways, contracting inside Asian range · RSI 53 · price 53.994
Lower highs from 54.393 against a 53.775 higher low.
Silver's gap higher at the Asia open was fully filled in a slide to the 53.603 asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, before a rebound to the 54.393 asian high. London has stayed inside that range, with lower highs at 54.239 (london high) and 54.226 above the 53.775 london low. Price sits at 53.994, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 53.775 london low exposes the 53.603 asian low.
An M15 close above the lower-highs line and the 54.239 london high would put the 54.393 asian high back in play.
No scheduled US data in the next 8h. Iran and oil headlines are the main intraday risk, with Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed (Wed 18:00 UTC) further out.
Lower highs and higher lows inside the Asian range.
Monday's gap faded in Asia as easing Iran safe-haven demand weighed, leaving an Asian range of 53.603–54.393. London open dipped to the 53.775 london low and recovered to the 54.239 london high, staying inside that range. Lower highs from 54.361 and a higher low at 53.977 are now compressing price near 54.10, with price only marginally above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 53.977, 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 54.239 london high breaks the lower-highs line and exposes the 54.393 asian high.
Failure to hold the 53.977 higher low breaks the higher-lows line and reopens the 53.775 london low, then the 53.603 asian low.
No US data today. Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC are the next event risk for this range.
09:32 UTC
Sideways, contracting after gap fade · RSI 49 · price 54.048
Lower highs and higher lows inside the Asian range.
Monday's gap up to 54.277 faded to a 53.603 Asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. Price is now coiling mid-London inside the Asian range, with lower highs (54.393, 54.361, the 54.239 london high) and higher lows (53.603, the 53.775 london low, a 53.977 higher low). It sits flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) at 49.
Support: 53.977, 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.239 london high puts the 54.393 asian high back in play
Loss of the 53.977 higher low, then the 53.775 london low, reopens the 53.603 asian low
Fresh US–Iran or oil headlines could break the coil before Tuesday's US data and Wednesday's FOMC
09:16 UTC
Sideways, range contracting · RSI 44 · price 54.032
Lower highs vs higher lows inside the Asian range.
Monday's opening gap faded in Asia after Trump ruled out immediate strikes on Iran, leaving a 53.60–54.39 Asian range. London has printed a higher low at 53.78 and a lower high at 54.24, and price is now sitting on the 54.00 round number at flat EMAs with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 54.00, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393, 54.50
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 54.00 round number exposes the london low at 53.78 and the rising support line
A break of the falling resistance line and the london high at 54.24 reopens the asian high at 54.39, with the 54.50 half-dollar above
Losing the asian low at 53.60 breaks the higher-low sequence
US–Iran or oil headlines could jolt the range intraday. Wednesday's FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the larger swing risk
09:05 UTC
Sideways, contracting after Monday gap fade · RSI 48 · price 54.084
Asian range 53.603–54.393; London higher low and lower high inside it.
Monday's bullish gap to 54.25 faded as Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, leaving an Asian range of 53.603–54.393. Mid-London, price is still inside that range after a higher low at 53.775 and a lower high at 54.239. It is pinned near 54.08 just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 48, so the range is contracting and no break is in play.
Support: 54.026, 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 54.026 micro low exposes the 53.775 london low
Close above the 54.239 london high and the lower-highs line reopens the 54.393 asian high
Loss of the 53.603 asian low breaks the higher-lows sequence and puts Friday's 53.016 flush low back in view
Iran/oil headlines can jolt the range; Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the scheduled risk
Inside Asian range 53.603–54.393; three lower highs since 03:15 UTC.
Monday's gap up from Friday's 53.92 close faded in Asia as Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes and the haven bid eased. Early London dipped to a 53.775 london low, then bounced to a 54.239 london high, a third lower high below the 54.393 asian high. Price now sits near the 50% of that london leg on flat EMAs, about 100 cents above Friday's 53.016 YTD-low flush.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.239 london high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 54.393 asian high
Failure to hold the 53.775 london low exposes the 53.603 asian low
Iran or oil headlines could reprice the haven and Fed-hike angle during London and NY hours
Wed 18:00 UTC FOMC is the main event risk; Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC falls outside this read
08:32 UTC
Sideways, compressing inside the Asian range · RSI 47 · price 54.054
Lower highs from 54.39 against higher lows from 53.60, mid-range near 54.00.
Monday's gap-up open at 54.25 faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. That left an Asian range of 53.603 (asian low) to 54.393 (asian high). Early London is pivoting around the 54.00 psych level, with lower highs from 54.361 and higher lows from 53.775 compressing price, while RSI(14) stays neutral near 47.
Support: 54.00, 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.239, 54.361, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.24 london high breaks the lower highs line and puts the 54.36–54.39 asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 53.775 london low ends the higher lows sequence and exposes the 53.603 asian low
Repeated M15 closes below the 54.00 psych level shift the London range toward its lower half
No US data in the next 8h; Iran/oil headlines are the main intraday swing risk ahead of Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC
Inside Asian range; lower high at 54.361, London low 53.775 holding.
Monday's gap above Friday's 53.92 close faded to the Asian low at 53.603 as Trump's Iran comments cooled haven demand. Asia rallied to 54.393 before a lower high at 54.361. The London open dip held at 53.775 and price has bounced to the 54.232 London high, sitting near the 61.8% retracement with RSI(14) neutral at 51 and price above both EMAs.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.232, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.232 London high puts the 54.393 Asian high back in play; a break there exits the Asian range to the upside
Rejection at the 61.8% retracement and failure to hold the 53.775 London low would confirm a lower-low sequence toward the 53.603 Asian low
Iran or oil headlines could shift this read quickly; Wednesday's FOMC remains the dominant event risk for USD and silver
Inside Asian range 53.60–54.39, higher low above Asian low.
Monday's gap open near 54.28 faded into an Asian range of 53.60–54.39 as Iran strike risk eased. Price then slid from the 54.36 lower high, and the London-open pullback low at 53.775 is holding at the 78.6% retracement with a higher low. Price sits on flat EMAs near 54.03, RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.066, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.775 pullback low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 53.603 Asian low
Loss of the Asian low reopens Friday's 53.02 YTD low
Close above the 54.066 bounce high puts the 54.393 Asian high back in play
Iran/oil headlines can jolt the Asian range; Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC are the larger event risk
Inside Asian range 53.603–54.393, lower high at 54.361.
Monday's gap open at 54.25 faded to the 53.603 Asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, then rebounded to a 54.393 Asian high before a lower high at 54.361. Early London slipped to a 53.775 london low near the 78.6% retrace and is now back at 54.03, sitting on both EMAs with RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 53.775, 53.603
Resistance: 54.25, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 asian high breaks the Asian range and the lower-high sequence
Rejection at the 54.25 gap open keeps the lower-high read in place
Loss of the 53.775 london low exposes the 53.603 asian low
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed decision (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts for a range break
Asian range 53.60–54.39, lower high at 54.36 into the London open.
Monday opened with a gap up to 54.25 above Friday's close. It faded to the 53.60 Asian low as Trump ruling out immediate Iran strikes drained haven demand, then rebounded to the 54.39 Asian high. A rejection at the 54.36 lower high sent price to a 53.78 swing low, and it now sits near 53.99 ahead of London open, just under both EMAs with RSI(14) around 45.
Support: 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 54.361, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.78 swing low puts the 53.60 Asian low back in play, with Friday's 53.02 ytd low beneath
Close above the 54.36 lower high and the 54.39 Asian high breaks the Asian range to the upside
Renewed DXY/yield upside or fresh US-Iran strike headlines could shift the read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
Double top broke the 54.05 neckline, gap fully filled.
Monday's gap higher has fully filled. A double top at 54.39 (Asian high) and 54.36 broke the 54.05 neckline, and the London open is pressing 53.79, the 78.6% retrace of the Asian rally fib from 53.60. RSI(14) is near 33 and not yet oversold, with the swing low at 53.70 the first test; a softer USD is not lifting silver as Iran-strike risk fades.
Support: 53.70, 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.966, 54.047, 54.393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 53.97 lower high, then the 54.05 neckline, would neutralise the double top read
Break of the 53.60 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward Friday's 53.02 YTD low
Failure to hold the 53.70 swing low completes the double top measured move
US-Iran headlines remain the main intraday swing factor; Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled risks
07:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 36 · price 53.846
Double top at Asian high, neckline broken, price in lower half of Asian range.
The weekend gap to 54.25 filled in early Asia after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, putting the Asian low at 53.603. The rebound stalled in a double top at the 54.393 Asian high and 54.36. The 54.047 neckline then gave way, and price is drifting at 53.85 into London open, just above the 53.808 micro low, with RSI(14) near 36 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 53.808, 53.603
Resistance: 54.047, 54.393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 53.808 micro low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 53.603 Asian low
A break of the 53.603 Asian low brings Friday's 53.016 spike low, near the yearly low, back into view
Reclaim of the 54.047 neckline negates the double top; only above the 54.393 Asian high does the Asian range break higher
Iran headlines have produced only brief spikes so far; the Fed decision on Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major risk
06:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs off session high · RSI 43 · price 53.897
Asian rebound retraced to 61.8%, lower highs 54.393→54.361→54.229.
Monday's gap above Friday's 53.92 close faded to a 53.603 Asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. The rebound to the 54.393 session high has since given way to a lower high at 54.229, and the slide through the 54.04 breakdown point has brought price back to the 61.8% fib near 53.90, sitting on the 53.872 recent low below both EMAs.
Support: 53.872, 53.655, 53.603
Resistance: 54.04, 54.229, 54.393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 53.872 recent low and 61.8% fib exposes the 53.655 higher low and 53.603 Asian low
Recovery back above the 54.04 breakdown point and 54.229 lower high would neutralise the pullback; 54.393 session high is the range top
London open in roughly an hour is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC and Tue US data (Durable Goods 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
06:32 UTC
Intraday pullback inside Asian range · RSI 42 · price 53.928
Lower high at 54.36 under 54.39 asia high, gap filled.
Late in the Asia session, Monday's gap above Friday's 53.92 close is filled. Price sits at the 61.8% retracement of the Asian 53.60–54.39 swing after supply capped a lower high at 54.36 and the 54.07 breakdown gave way as the Iran strike premium faded. RSI(14) near 42, price below both EMAs.
Support: 53.92, 53.603
Resistance: 54.07, 54.393
What it said to watch
Holding the 53.92 gap fill and 61.8% keeps the Asian range intact. A break exposes the 53.65 swing low, then the 53.60 asia low.
An M15 close back above the 54.07 breakdown would neutralise the 54.36 lower high. Above the 54.39 asia high, the 54.50 cap comes into view.
London open at 08:00 UTC arrives with price mid-range. Range expansion either side redefines the session read.
Fresh Iran headlines have produced only brief haven pops; a renewed spike could reverse the gap-fill read.
06:17 UTC
Range after faded gap-up, mid-recovery pullback · RSI 48 · price 54.095
Asian range 53.60–54.39 forming, lower high at 54.36, 54.04 higher low under test.
Monday's gap up to 54.25 on weekend Iran risk faded through Asia to a 53.60 Asia low, filling the 53.92 Fri close, after Trump ruled out immediate strikes. The Asian rally to 54.39 has since put in a lower high at 54.36, and price is now sitting on the 38.2% retracement at 54.09 just above the 54.04 higher low. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 late in the Asia session, ahead of London open.
Support: 54.04, 53.92, 53.60
Resistance: 54.39, 54.56
What it said to watch
Break below the 54.04 higher low exposes the 53.92 fri close, then the 53.60 asia low
M15 close above the 54.39 asia high opens a test of the 54.56 fri high, near the $54.50 cap flagged in the digest
London open activity is likely to resolve the 53.60–54.39 Asian range
Fresh Iran headlines have only produced brief haven pops, and a new one could distort this range
V-rebound from 53.603, higher low at 54.047, lower highs near 54.36–54.39.
Monday's gap above Friday's 53.923 close filled during the Asia session as Iran-strike risk faded, printing an asian low at 53.603. A sharp rebound then tagged the 54.393 session high. Price is now compressing between the 54.047 higher low and lower highs near 54.36 into the late Asian range, with RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR(14) around 168 pips.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.50, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 session high opens the 54.50 round number and the 54.557 friday high
Break of the 54.047 higher low and the rising support puts the 53.923 gap fill and 53.603 asian low back in play
London open is the first test of the 54.05–54.39 compression and the lower highs line
Fresh Iran headlines could quickly shift this read ahead of Tuesday's US data and Wednesday's Fed
05:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling under Asia high · RSI 60 · price 54.185
Higher low at 54.047 after gap-fade low 53.603; lower high 54.361 under 54.393.
Monday's gap open at 54.25 faded to a 53.603 session low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. Price then rallied back through the gap zone and built a higher low at 54.047 off the rising trendline. A second push stalled at 54.361, short of the 54.393 asia high, and price is compressing beneath it late in the Asia session ahead of London open.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 asia high breaks the Asian range and puts the 54.557 prior high (Friday) in view
Loss of the 54.047 higher low breaks the trendline and exposes the 53.923 fri close gap-fill area
Failure under the 53.603 session low resumes the gap-fade leg
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the main scheduled risk; Iran headlines can still produce brief spikes
Higher low at 54.047 inside the Asian range, compressing under a lower high.
Monday's gap above Friday's 53.92 close faded to the 53.603 Asian low after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. Softer USD and yields then lifted silver to the 54.393 Asian high. Late in the Asia session, price is compressing under a lower high at 54.324, with the higher low at 54.047 holding between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the rally and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 54.047, 53.603
Resistance: 54.324, 54.393, 54.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 Asian high breaks the session range and puts the 54.50 round number in play
Loss of the 54.047 higher low and the rising support breaks the recovery structure and reopens the 53.603 Asian low
London open, due in about 2.5h, typically decides which side of the Asian range gives way
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the backdrop risk; December hike guidance could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher low in place · RSI 63 · price 54.257
Gap filled, HH/HL off Asia low, coiling under session high.
The weekend gap from the 53.923 Fri close to 54.25 filled early in the Asia session as Trump's no-immediate-strike comments on Iran faded the haven bid, with the Asia low printing at 53.603. Price has since rebounded to a 54.393 Asia high and printed a higher low at 54.047. It is now grinding back toward the high late in the Asia session, with RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 Asia high extends the HH chain toward the 54.557 Friday high, near the 54.50 rebound cap
Loss of the 54.047 higher low breaks rising support and reopens the 53.923 Fri close and the gap-fill area
Break of the 53.603 Asia low puts Friday's 53.016 spike low and the 53.03 yearly low back in focus
London open in ~2h is likely to set the next range relative to the Asian range
Renewed Iran headlines could produce another brief haven spike; Fed decision Wed Oct 28 is the larger risk
05:05 UTC
Intraday rebound, higher low in place · RSI 60 · price 54.208
Asia range 53.603–54.393, higher low at 54.047, late-Asia drift back toward range top.
Monday's gap up from the 53.923 Friday close filled in early Asia as the Iran risk premium faded, printing an Asia low at 53.603 before a sharp rebound to the 54.393 session high. Price has since set a higher low at 54.047 and is drifting back toward the session high in tight bars late in the Asia session, with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 54.393 session high opens the path to the 54.557 Friday high.
Failure to hold the 54.047 higher low brings the 53.923 Friday close and the 53.603 Asia low back into focus.
London open sets the next session range, and Iran headlines have produced only brief haven pops so far.
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed's Fed decision could materially shift this read.
Late-Asia breakout to session high, shallow pullback holding.
Monday's gap up to 54.25 faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, filling Friday's 53.92 close and printing a 53.603 session low. A late-Asia breakout then ran to a 54.393 session high; the pullback low at 54.047 sits near the 38.2% fib, with rising lows intact and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 54.047, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
A break of the 54.393 session high opens the friday high at 54.557, close to the 54.50 rebound cap
A close below the 54.047 pullback low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 53.603 session low
The London open is the first test of the Asian range (53.603–54.393)
The Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk, with nothing scheduled in the next 8h
Higher low at 53.655, break above 54.21, pullback holding 54.05.
Monday's gap open at 54.25 faded after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes. Price filled below Friday's close at 53.923 to a 53.603 session low, then broke out through 54.21 late in the Asia session to a 54.393 session high. Price is now compressing just under the gap open, with the pullback low at 54.05 holding near the 38.2% fib and RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.25, 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 54.05 pullback low and the 38.2% fib opens a deeper retrace toward Friday's close at 53.923
Acceptance above the 54.25 gap open and the 54.393 session high exposes Friday's high at 54.557, near the 54.50 cap
Loss of the 53.603 session low puts Friday's 53.02 spike low, next to the yearly low, back in focus
London open in ~2.5h; Iran headlines have produced only brief haven pops so far
Higher low at 53.655 after Asian low, pullback from 54.393.
Monday's gap up from the 53.923 Friday close faded and the gap filled inside the first 75 minutes. The slide followed Trump ruling out immediate Iran strikes and bottomed at the 53.603 Asian low. A higher low at 53.655 preceded a 03:00 UTC push to the 54.393 session high, which was rejected. Late in the Asia session, price is holding the 54.047 pullback low near the 38.2% fib of that leg.
Support: 54.047, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.50, 54.557
What it said to watch
Close below the 54.047 pullback low opens the 50–61.8% fib zone (53.998–53.905), where the 53.923 Friday close sits
Clearance of the 54.393 session high brings the 54.50 round number and 54.557 Friday high into play
Loss of the 53.603 Asian low negates the higher-low sequence
London open is the next test of the Asian range; Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
04:04 UTC
Range-bound, rebound from Asia low stalling · RSI 52 · price 54.086
Asian range 53.603–54.393, pullback from session high into mid-range.
The Monday gap up to 54.25 faded through Asia after Trump ruled out immediate Iran strikes, completing the gap fill to Friday's 53.923 close and printing a 53.603 Asia low before a rebound to a 54.393 session high. Rejection there has pulled price back to the 38.2% fib near 54.09, mid-range with RSI(14) neutral at 52 into late Asia session.
Support: 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 session high reopens the 54.557 friday high
Break below the 61.8% fib and gap fill zone around 53.905–53.923 exposes the 53.603 asia low
London open in ~3h is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
Iran headlines have produced brief haven pops that faded, as the opening gap showed
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC remains the dominant catalyst for this read
Higher low at 53.655 then breakout to 54.393; consolidating near highs.
Asia faded the geopolitical gap-up from 54.25 to a 53.603 session low as safe-haven demand eased. A higher low at 53.655 led a breakout through the gap-open area to a 54.393 session high, and price is now holding just below it with RSI(14) neutral near 57. Above the 54.00 psych level sits the 50% retracement of the Asia swing.
Support: 54.00, 53.655, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.393 session high exposes the 54.557 friday high
Loss of 54.00 psych and the higher-low trendline returns focus to the 53.655 higher low and the 53.603 session low
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range breaks or holds; Iran headlines could reprice the safe-haven bid quickly
Weekend gap filled, then breakout above gap open; first pullback testing it.
The Monday gap-up to 54.25 filled back to the 53.92 fri close in early Asia. Higher lows off the 53.60 session low then broke price above the gap open to a 54.39 session high, and the current bar is retesting the gap open with RSI(14) near 58. The bounce runs against a heavy pre-FOMC tone driven by hawkish Fed pricing and high yields, with the 54.50 round number and the 54.557 fri high overhead.
Support: 54.25, 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.393, 54.50, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 54.25 gap open turns the breakout into a false break
Close above the 54.39 session high exposes the 54.50 round number and 54.557 fri high
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 53.92 fri close puts the 53.60 session low back in focus; the 50% fib sits near 54.00
Tue Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The Asia session's Iran/Houthi gap-up to 54.25 faded fully through the gap fill at Friday's 53.92 close to a 53.60 session low as safe-haven demand eased. The 03:00 UTC bar then broke the lower-highs line and printed a new session high at 54.34. RSI(14) is near 61 and not stretched, with Friday's 54.56 prior high the next cap overhead.
Support: 53.923, 53.603
Resistance: 54.344, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 54.34 session high opens the 54.50/54.56 prior high zone
A drop back below the 53.92 gap fill neutralises the breakout read
Loss of the 53.60 session low confirms the gap-fade structure
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
03:04 UTC
Asia session range after gap fade, neutral momentum · RSI 51 · price 53.998
53.60–54.28 Asian range, lower highs from the open, higher low at 53.66.
Monday's geopolitical gap-up open at 54.25 faded through Friday's 53.92 close as safe-haven bids eased, leaving a 53.60–54.28 Asian range with lower highs capping from the open. Late in the Asia session, price is back near 54.00 at the 61.8% retrace of the gap fade, with RSI(14) neutral at 51 and the 53.73 swing low holding above the asian low.
Support: 53.729, 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 54.213, 54.277, 54.557
What it said to watch
A break of the 53.60 asian low resumes the gap fade and exposes the 53.02 friday low, the yearly-low area swept on Friday
An M15 close above the 54.21 lower high and the 54.28 session high clears the lower highs line, with the 54.56 friday high next
Failure at 53.73 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence that has formed since 53.60
London open in about 4h is the first test of the Asian range
FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the main scheduled risk, and December hike guidance could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since the open · RSI 44 · price 53.772
Gap up faded and filled; lower highs and lower lows through Asia.
Monday's Iran-driven gap up to the 54.277 gap high has fully faded through the Friday close at 53.923 as safe-haven demand eased. The Asia session has printed a lower-high sequence down to a 53.603 session low, with RSI(14) near 44 and price below both EMAs. Supply is capping each bounce under the falling trendline; the friday low at 53.016 sits next to the 53.03 yearly reference.
Support: 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.923, 53.995, 54.277
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 53.995 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the session's descending sequence
Recovery back above the fri close at 53.923, near the 50% of the gap fade fib, would neutralise the gap-fill read
Failure to hold the 53.603 session low extends lower lows toward the friday low at 53.016
London open is likely to test the Asian range; Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the main event risk for this read
02:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 43 · price 53.83
Gap-up faded, gap filled, lower-high/lower-low chain into 53.60.
Monday's geopolitical gap-up to the 54.28 open high faded through the Asia session after Trump ruled out immediate strikes on Iran. Price filled the gap to the 53.92 Friday close and printed lower highs and lower lows down to the 53.60 session low. The bounce stalled at the 53.99 swing high, near the 61.8% retrace of the Asia drop, and price is back at 53.83 with RSI(14) around 43.
Support: 53.699, 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.923, 53.995, 54.277
What it said to watch
A break of the 53.60 session low extends the Asia lower-low sequence toward the 53.02 Friday low, which sits at the yearly-low area
Holding above the 53.70 swing low keeps the 53.60–53.99 Asian range intact
An M15 close back above the 53.99 swing high and the 61.8% retrace neutralises the lower-high read; the 54.28 open high caps above
Acceptance back above the Friday close at 53.92 would show the gap-fill selling being absorbed
London open could expand the Asian range; Iran/Houthi headlines remain the main unscheduled catalyst ahead of FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC
Monday gap faded; lower highs and lower lows through the Asia session.
The Monday Asia session opened on a gap up to the 54.277 session high. The gap faded back into Friday's 53.923 close, and a run of lower highs, including the 54.213 lower high, carried price to the 53.603 session low as silver stays pressured into Wednesday's FOMC. The current bounce is testing the 54.00 round number near the 50–61.8% fib of that drop, with RSI(14) neutral at ~46 and price sitting on flat EMAs.
Support: 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 54.00, 54.213, 54.277
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 54.00 round number / 61.8% fib keeps the lower-highs sequence intact
M15 close above the 54.213 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the session lower-high chain
Reclaiming the 54.277 session high would put price back above the gap open
Failure to hold the 53.603 session low extends lower lows toward the 53.016 friday low, just under the 53.03 yearly low
London open could widen the 53.603–54.277 Asian range; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the main scheduled risk
02:05 UTC
Intraday downtrend, gap faded · RSI 42 · price 53.835
Lower lows in Asia, highs capped near 54.21-54.28.
Monday's Asia session gapped up to a 54.277 session high, then faded straight back through Friday's close at 53.923 and printed a 53.603 session low. Lows keep stepping down while the 01:30 UTC bounce was rejected at 54.213 under the session highs line. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 42, consistent with the digest's oversold but heavy tone after Friday's 53.016 yearly low spike.
Support: 53.603, 53.016
Resistance: 53.923, 54.277, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.603 session low extends the lower-low chain, with the 53.016 yearly low the next reference
Recovery above the 53.923 Friday close, near the gap-fade fib midpoint, would neutralise the gap-fade read
M15 close above the 54.277 session high breaks the session highs line and exposes the 54.557 Friday high
No US data in the next 8h; Middle East headlines are the near-term swing risk ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
01:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower lows through Asia · RSI 38 · price 53.668
Monday gap-up faded and filled, price at session low below Friday's close.
The Monday Asia open gapped up to the 54.277 gap high, then faded in a chain of lower lows. That fill took price back through the 53.923 Friday close to a 53.645 session low, with RSI(14) near 38 and price below EMA20/50. Silver is still pressured by yields and hike bets into FOMC. Friday's Asian low at 53.575 is the next reference, then the 53.446 swing low, with the 53.016 yearly low from Friday's NY spike further down.
Support: 53.575, 53.446, 53.016
Resistance: 53.923, 54.213, 54.277
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 53.923 Friday close reopens the 54.213 swing high
Failure at the 53.575 asian low and 53.446 swing low exposes the 53.016 yearly low
Break of the Asia highs cap line and the 54.277 gap high negates the lower-high sequence
London open is the first liquidity test of the Asia session low
Sideways after gap fade, slight downside tilt · RSI 45 · price 53.886
Asian range 53.699–54.277 after a filled Monday gap; price in lower half.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap up to 54.25, which was fully filled back through Friday's 53.92 close. That leaves an Asian range of 53.699–54.277. The latest push to the 54.213 swing high met a rejection below the asian high, with price back under both EMAs and RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 53.699, 53.016
Resistance: 54.213, 54.277
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 53.699 asian low exposes Friday's 53.016 spike low, near the 53.03 yearly low
M15 close above the 54.213 swing high and 54.277 asian high reopens the gap high
Thin Asia liquidity: Iran or Middle East headlines could break the session range before London open
01:16 UTC
Early-Asia rebound off session low, testing the descending trendline · RSI 58 · price 54.163
Weekend gap faded to 53.699, reclaimed Friday close, lower highs being challenged.
Asia session opened on a gap up to 54.277, likely on the weekend Iran headlines. Price then faded through Friday's 53.923 close to a 53.699 session low before a sharp rejection back above 54.00. Price is now pressing the descending session trendline near 54.15 with RSI(14) at about 58 and ATR(14) around 205 pips.
Support: 53.923, 53.699
Resistance: 54.277, 54.557
What it said to watch
Close above the 54.277 session high clears the gap open and exposes the 54.557 swing high
Slip back below the fri close at 53.923 reopens the 53.699 session low
Failure to hold above the session trendline keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the next event risks for this read
01:06 UTC
Flat, faint lower-high drift since the open · RSI 51 · price 53.943
Monday open gap filled; Asian range 53.76–54.28 with lower highs.
Asia session opened Monday with a gap up to the 54.28 open high above Friday's 53.92 close. The gap has since filled, and price is chopping just under its EMAs between the 53.76 Asian low and the 54.17 swing high, with lower highs off the open and RSI(14) neutral near 51. Friday's post-PMI/UoM flush to the 53.02 yearly low was reversed within one bar, and the Friday NY swing low at 53.71 sits just below.
Support: 53.76, 53.71, 53.02
Resistance: 54.17, 54.28, 54.50
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.76 Asian low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 53.71 swing low
Close above the 54.17 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and puts the 54.28 open high back in play
The 54.50 round number is the upper edge of the cap noted in the macro read
London open is the first test of the Asian range, with no US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC
Loss of the 53.02 yearly low would change the read entirely, with Wednesday's FOMC the main event risk
00:46 UTC
Sideways after gap fill, momentum neutral · RSI 55 · price 54.02
Asian range 53.76–54.28 nested inside Friday's post-spike range.
Asia session opened with a gap up to 54.28 (gap open) from the 53.92 Friday close, then faded through the fri close to an Asian low at 53.76 before bouncing to a 54.17 swing high. Price now sits at the 50% retracement of the gap fade near 54.02, flat against EMA20/50. Friday's NY-hours spike to the 53.02 yearly low was reclaimed within one bar, leaving the low intact going into FOMC week.
Support: 53.923, 53.759, 53.016
Resistance: 54.169, 54.277
What it said to watch
Close above the 54.17 swing high and the 54.28 gap open breaks the Asian range to the upside
Loss of the 53.76 asian low reopens the 53.02 yearly low
Repeated closes back below the 53.92 fri close keep the gap-fade read in play
Weekend Middle East headlines carry gap risk; Tue durable goods and Wed FOMC sit outside this window but frame positioning
00:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, inside opening range · RSI 61 · price 54.105
Weekend gap filled, rebound within Asian range.
Asia session opened with a gap up to the 54.28 session high. The gap was fully filled through the 53.92 friday close to a 53.76 session low, where buyers stepped back in. Price at 54.11 has reclaimed the 61.8% of the session fib and is mid-range, with Friday's 53.02 yearly low still the downside reference.
Support: 53.923, 53.759, 53.016
Resistance: 54.277, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close above 54.28 session high breaks the opening range and exposes the 54.56 prior high
Loss of the 53.92 friday close and the 53.76 session low returns focus to the 53.02 yearly low
Rejection back below 54.08 (61.8% of the session fib) reverts the read to range-bound chop
Middle East headlines remain gap/spike risk; Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main scheduled catalyst
Monday gap-up filled; lower highs off 54.277, bounce from 53.759 session low.
Early Asia session: the Monday open gapped up to a 54.277 session high, with weekend Middle East headline risk flagged into the open. Price then faded through the 53.923 friday close to fill the gap at a 53.759 session low, and has bounced to 53.97. It is now pinned on flat EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 50, between the 38.2% fib at 53.957 and the 54.073 lower high.
Support: 53.923, 53.759, 53.016
Resistance: 54.073, 54.277
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.759 session low resumes the post-gap fade and leaves Friday's 53.016 yearly low as the next reference
Close above the 54.073 lower high and the 61.8% fade fib (54.079) reopens the 54.277 session high
Failure to hold the 53.923 friday close puts the session low back in play; London open is likely to reset the thin Asian range
00:04 UTC
Sideways after gap fade, sub-EMA · RSI 48 · price 53.936
Asian range 53.82–54.28 inside Friday's post-spike range.
The Asia session opened with a gap up to 54.25 over Friday's 53.92 close, then faded and filled the gap, setting the Asian low at 53.823. Price now sits mid-range near 53.94, just under the 23.6% fib of Friday's NY rebound from the 53.016 yearly low, a spike that followed the firm US PMI and Michigan beats.
Support: 53.823, 53.712, 53.016
Resistance: 54.25, 54.557
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 53.823 asian low reopens the 53.712 swing low and the 38.2% fib near 53.78
Reclaim of the 54.25 gap open, also Friday's double high, exposes the 54.557 prior high
Loss of the 53.016 yearly low would extend Friday's selloff
Middle East headlines remain a gap and spike risk during thin Asia hours; FOMC Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the main event risk