XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Friday, 10 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
17:04 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 50 · price 4,111.98
Recovery off 3960 low, ranging below 4130 cap.
Gold sold off from the 4382 peak to a 3960 swing low mid-window, then carved a double-bottom base near 3942/3959 and recovered into a 4000-4130 range, in line with the relief-driven bounce flagged in the macro read. Price now sits mid-range around 4112 with ATR(14) compressing, and the 4130 area has repeatedly capped rallies. Momentum is neutral, RSI hovering near 50 with price pinned to the EMA20.
Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4130 range cap opens path toward the 4180 prior high
loss of 4041 recent low exposes the 4000 psych floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could break the range decisively
17:04 UTC
Recovery off lows, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 4,111.98
Range 4000-4130, higher lows since 3960.
Gold sold off from the 4380 zone to a 3960 low mid-window as the Iran/oil re-escalation revived Fed-tightening fears, then staged a relief recovery that stalled near 4200. Price has since coiled into a 4000-4130 range with higher lows off 3960, and the last dozen bars show ATR compression around the 4100 pivot. A less-hawkish FOMC minutes read and softer USD underpin the base, but the falling 20-day cap near 4130 continues to limit upside.
Support: 4,041.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,130.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4130 range top opens the path toward the 4200 swing high
Loss of 4041 recent low exposes the 4000 cb floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony are the dominant catalysts and could break this range
Consolidation between 4021 and 4200 after the drop off the 4382 peak.
Gold sold off from the 4382 peak to a 3959 low before rebounding and settling into a multi-day range between the 4021 weekly low and the 4195 swing high. Price is pinned to the 4100 pivot with EMA20 flattening just overhead and EMA50 below, leaving momentum neutral. The digest frames the market as consolidating ~4120, caught between hawkish Fed-hike repricing capping rallies and a central-bank/safe-haven floor near 4000.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,195.00
What it said to watch
H4 close below 4021 confirms a lower low and opens the 4000 psych level
Close above 4138 then 4195 would break the range top
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Fed Monetary Policy Report today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:04 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,102.25
Consolidation between 4021 and 4200.
Gold's mid-month slide from 4382 bottomed at the 3959 area and the market has since carved a broad range, with rallies rejected near the 4200 range high and demand appearing around the 4021 weekly low. Price is pinned to the $4100 pivot, EMA20 flattening just overhead and EMA50 below — a balanced, compressing structure after the safe-haven-driven volatility. A reclaim of the 4138 recent high is needed to reopen the 4200 cap.
Support: 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H4 close below 4021 weekly low confirms a lower-low and opens sub-4000
Reclaim of 4138 recent high shifts the range back toward the 4200 cap
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Gold rebuilt above the 4100 pivot after basing off the 4021 weekly low, helped by a softer USD as oil eased, but the recovery is stalling below the 4138 recent high. Price is churning in a 4021-4200 range that follows the sharp June slide from the 4380 area, with EMA20 and EMA50 flattening just beneath spot. ATR remains elevated, so swings inside the range stay wide.
Support: 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,138.08
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4138 opens the path back toward the 4202 swing high
Failure to hold 4021 weekly low exposes the 4000 psych floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the week's key catalyst and could break the range either way
Recovery off 4021 low stalling below 4138 lower highs.
H4 remains in the broader downtrend that carved from the ~4380 peak to the 3960s, but price has been basing above the 4021 weekly low with a series of higher lows and rebuilt above the 4100 pivot on a softer USD as oil eased. The recovery is stalling, however — attempts toward 4138 have been rejected, leaving price pinned mid-range with ATR still elevated near 3500 pips. Rally lacks momentum with a hawkish Fed backdrop capping upside.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,180.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4138 needed to extend the recovery toward 4180 prior high
Failure to hold 4100 pivot re-exposes the 4021 weekly low and 4000 psych floor
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Gold sold off from the 4380 area to a ~3960 low mid-window, then rebased and has been carving higher lows into a $4,040-$4,160 range, with rallies still capped near the prior swing high. ATR(14) has compressed off the volatility spike, consistent with the corrective, two-way tone flagged by the digest as buyers defend the 4000 psych floor. US CPI on Jul 14 is the named pivot for this consolidation.
Support: 4,040.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,160.00, 4,185.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4160 swing high opens the path to the 4185 capped-rally zone
Failure to hold the 4040 range low reopens the 4000 psych floor
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
Gold sold off from the 4382 peak to a 3960 swing low, then stalled into a corrective range with price now pinned near the 38.2% retrace around 4120. The 4021-4040 zone has been repeatedly defended while rallies keep failing below the 4180 recent peak, keeping the metal boxed between the 4000 psych floor and the 4200 cap. Renewed oil/Gulf-driven Fed-hike bets pressure bullion while persistent official-sector buying cushions dips.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00, 3,960.00
Resistance: 4,180.00, 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4180 opens the path to the 4200 cap
Failure to hold 4021 exposes the 4000 psych floor and 3960 swing low
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
01:04 UTC
Corrective downtrend, base building · RSI 52 · price 4,121.02
Range 4021-4200 with higher lows off the low.
Gold sold off from the 4382 peak to a 3959 low, then established a corrective range between the 4021 recent low and the 4200 cap. Since the 4021 print price has carved a series of higher lows and now sits near the 38.2% retracement of the whole decline, holding just above EMA20 and EMA50. ATR remains elevated, reflecting the two-way oil/Fed-hike volatility flagged in the macro read.
Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00
Resistance: 4,200.00
What it said to watch
H4 close above 4200 invalidates the range cap and opens the path toward the prior decline
Loss of the 4021 recent low reopens the 4000 psych floor
US CPI Mon Jul 14 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read