XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 12 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 4,076.68
Gapped lower on reopen, carving base near 4068.
Gold gapped lower on the weekly reopen and sold straight into 4068.51 before a shallow bounce back to 4076. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 42 recovering off the lows; the session low is the pivot to hold.
Support: 4,068.51, 4,060.00
Resistance: 4,089.91
What it said to watch
Loss of 4068.51 confirms continuation lower toward the 4060 psych area
A close back above 4089.91 reclaims the reopen gap and negates the downtrend read
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially reshape this read
Lower highs and lower lows, shallow bounce off session low.
Gold reopened with a gap lower and extended the slide from the 4094 session high to a 4068 session low before a shallow bounce back to 4074. The lower-high, lower-low sequence keeps the downtrend intact, RSI(14) cooling near 38 — consistent with the corrective phase around the $4,100 pivot flagged into Tuesday's CPI.
Support: 4,060.00
Resistance: 4,094.33
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4081 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 4068 session low opens 4060 round and the 4021/4000 weekly-low zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend off weekend reopen · RSI 33 · price 4,074.47
Lower highs, fresh session low.
Sunday reopen gapped lower and slid to a 4068.51 session low before a shallow bounce to 4074. Price sits below both EMAs with a chain of lower highs; move fits the corrective, hike-bet tone weighing on bullion into CPI.
Support: 4,068.51, 4,060.00
Resistance: 4,080.92
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4080.92 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 4068.51 session low opens the 4060 round level
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 25 · price 4,069.43
Gap down, successive lower lows.
Session reopened with a gap lower and has trended straight down to 4069, printing successive lower lows with RSI(14) oversold near 25. Price sits well below the pre-gap 4100-4120 cluster and is pressing the session low, consistent with the digest's corrective phase read ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 4,068.51, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,081.42, 4,120.08
What it said to watch
Break below 4068 session low opens the path toward the 4021 weekly-low zone
Reclaim of 4081 prior close would ease the immediate downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating off week-open gap · RSI 31 · price 4,069.43
Lower lows, printing fresh session lows.
Gold gapped down into the week open and extended through the Asia session, now grinding out fresh lows at 4068.51 with RSI(14) into oversold territory. The move fits the broader corrective phase around the $4,100 pivot; sellers have controlled every M15 close since the gap.
Support: 4,068.51, 4,050.00, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,080.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4080 would ease the downside pressure
Sustained break below 4068.51 opens 4050 then the 4021 weekly-low zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could reset this read
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 4,072.90
Gap-down open, chain of lower highs/lows.
Week opened with a gap lower and price has bled through the Asian session, printing successive lower lows into 4072.8 with RSI(14) pinned near 30. No demand response yet; each bounce has stalled below the prior bar's high.
Support: 4,070.00, 4,072.80
Resistance: 4,089.91
What it said to watch
Loss of 4070 round number extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4021/4000 weekly-low zone
Reclaim of 4089.91 gap open would neutralise the intraday downtrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially reset this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, gapped lower · RSI 27 · price 4,078.04
Gap down through prior range, fresh lows.
Gold gapped sharply lower on the session open, from a 4120 close to a 4090 open, and has since ground down to fresh lows at 4078 — a corrective phase in line with the pre-CPI, reviving-hike-bets backdrop. Price sits well below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 27; no bounce off the session low yet.
Support: 4,077.51, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,094.33, 4,120.08
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4094 session high needed to begin filling the gap toward 4120
Break below 4072 prior low opens the path to the 4021 weekly-low zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Weekly reopen gapped down and extended Friday's slide, price probing the session low at 4077.5 with RSI(14) oversold near 25. Sellers control the fresh Asia bars; the 4094 gap high caps and no basing yet.
Support: 4,077.50, 4,072.80
Resistance: 4,094.30
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4072.8 opens the 4050/4021 weekly-low zone
Reclaim of 4094 gap high needed to neutralise the gap-down read
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant risk for the next sessions
22:32 UTC
Downtrend after gap-down open · RSI 34 · price 4,085.19
Weekend gap lower, stabilising above session low.
Gold gapped down at the week open from Friday's 4120 close to ~4090, tagging 4080.68 before basing near 4085. Only three bars into the new session on thin volume, price sits below both EMAs and well under the $4,100 pivot flagged as capping resistance.
Support: 4,080.68
Resistance: 4,100.00, 4,120.08
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4100 pivot needed to fill the weekend gap toward 4120
Loss of 4080.68 session low exposes the 4072 prior low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key event risk for the next sessions
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, weekend gap lower · RSI 31 · price 4,084.76
Gapped below $4,100 pivot, at session lows.
Gold opened the week with a gap lower, slicing through the $4,100 pivot to print 4080.68 before a shallow bounce to 4084.76, RSI(14) near 31. Prior session had already ground down from 4134 into 4100; the gap extends the downtrend with price now pinned at session lows.
Support: 4,080.68, 4,072.81, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,100.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4100 pivot would repair the gap-down read
Failure to hold 4080.68 opens 4072.81 then the 4021 zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially reset this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, gapped lower on new-week open · RSI 37 · price 4,084.76
Gap down below prior range, session early development.
Gold gapped lower into the new-week open, dropping from a ~4120 close to print a session low at 4080.68 as the corrective phase extends. Price is basing near 4084 below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 37; the 4094 session high caps the initial bounce.
Support: 4,080.68, 4,072.81, 4,021.00
Resistance: 4,094.33, 4,100.00, 4,120.08
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4094/4100 opens the gap fill back toward 4120
Break below 4072.81 confirms a lower low toward the 4021 weekly-low zone
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold based around 4100 after the mid-window flush to 4072, then the final bar broke the 4111-4115 shelf to print 4120. RSI(14) into the low-60s with price back above EMA20/50; the bid fits softer USD on oil-relief while rallies stay pinned near the 4100 pivot.
Support: 4,111.00, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,134.80
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4111 breakout reopens the 4100 base
Close above 4127 exposes the 4134.8 session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Warsh 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Gold carved a rounded base at the 4072.81 session low and has recovered steadily to 4120, reclaiming EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 66 — firm but not stretched. Price now presses the 4127 prior-high area after a soft USD backdrop kept bullion supported around the 4100 pivot.
Support: 4,111.00, 4,100.00, 4,072.81
Resistance: 4,127.00
What it said to watch
Close above 4127 opens the path toward the 4134 session high
Failure to hold 4111 stalls the recovery back toward the 4100 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 4,120.08
Rebound off flush low, higher lows.
Gold clawed back from the 4072 flush low to 4120 through NY hours, the last bar breaking above the 4108-4112 consolidation. RSI mid-60s, no extreme; move stalled below the 4127 session high with 4134 prior high the next overhead marker. The 4100 base has held on the way up.
Support: 4,111.00, 4,100.00, 4,085.00
Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,134.00
What it said to watch
Close back below 4111 negates the breakout
Failure to hold the 4100 base reopens the 4085/4072 swing low
Bounce off flush low, breaking near-term resistance.
Gold recovered off the $4,072 flush, stacking higher lows through the NY session and pinning the $4,100 pivot repeatedly. The last bar broke back above $4,111 to tag $4,121 with RSI near 65; $4,127 swing high is the next area to watch for rejection or continuation.
Support: 4,111.00, 4,100.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 4111 negates the breakout and reopens the 4100 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 4072.81, breaking prior consolidation.
Gold recovered through the late NY-into-Asia handover, breaking the tight 4100-4103 consolidation and pushing to 4120 in the final bar, RSI(14) firming near 68. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 4100 pivot after the sweep of the 4072.81 session low; prior high at 4127 and session high 4134.80 sit as the next overhead zones to watch.
Support: 4,100.00, 4,072.81
Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,134.80
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4100 pivot reopens the 4072.81 session low
Close above 4127 targets the 4134.80 session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh 14:00 UTC could reset this read
21:17 UTC
Recovery, momentum up off lows · RSI 64 · price 4,120.08
Higher lows off 4072 session low.
Gold swept the session low at 4072 then based in a rounded bottom, buyers stepping in to grind back above the 4100 pivot and tag 4120. RSI(14) near 63 with the last bar closing on its high; recovery still capped below the 4127 prior-high zone.
Support: 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,127.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4100 pivot reopens the 4072 session low
Close above 4127 prior high extends the recovery toward 4134 swing high
Lower highs into 4072 low, now reclaiming toward 4120.
Gold carved a double bottom near 4072/4085 during the late US session and has since reclaimed the 4102 pivot, breaking to a session high at 4120.98 on the latest bar with RSI(14) at 68. Price now sits above both EMAs after a full session of lower highs; the bounce is relief-driven with CPI the next catalyst.
Support: 4,102.00, 4,091.50
Resistance: 4,120.98, 4,127.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4102 pivot reopens the 4091.50/4072 lows
Acceptance above 4121 opens the path to the 4127 prior high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could override this intraday structure
21:05 UTC
Short-term recovery off lows · RSI 64 · price 4,120.08
Higher lows since window low, breaking intraday range top.
Gold recovered off the 4072.81 window low and the last bar pushed through the 4111-4115 intraday cap into 4120 during late NY hours, retracing roughly 76% of the earlier decline from 4134.80. RSI(14) near 64, room before overbought.
Support: 4,111.00
Resistance: 4,127.00, 4,134.80
What it said to watch
A close above 4127 opens the path toward the 4134.80 session high
Failure to hold 4111 drops price back into the prior 4097-4115 range
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read