XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Consolidation after rally, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 4,057.08

Tight range near session highs.

Asia session is grinding in a tight 4056-4065 band on thin volume after the London-NY rally peaked at 4081 and faded. Price sits at the range low with RSI(14) neutral near 45; no directional development in play.

Support: 4,056.00, 4,048.00

Resistance: 4,065.00, 4,074.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4056 opens the 4048 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4065 puts 4074/4081 session highs back in view
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:47 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat after NY rejection · RSI 49 · price 4,057.08

Consolidation below the 4074-4081 rejection zone.

Gold spiked to 4081 during NY then faded, and is now grinding sideways around 4057 in thin early-Asia trade, holding above the 4051-4047 shelf. Repeated stalls at 4064-4074 cap the rebound while the disinflation-vs-oil standoff keeps price pinned above 4050.

Support: 4,051.00, 4,047.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,064.00, 4,074.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4064 opens the path back to the 4074/4081 leg high
  • Failure to hold 4047 exposes the 4028 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range

23:32 UTC

Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 4,057.97

Pullback holding above prior swing lows, lower highs capping.

Gold ran to 4081 during the US session then faded, and is now consolidating around 4057–4064 in thin Asia-hours trade. Lower highs are capping under 4064.7 while 4048 has held as near-term support; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,064.70, 4,074.30, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4064.7 reopens the 4074–4081 day-high zone
  • Loss of 4048 session low exposes 4033 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

23:32 UTC

Consolidation after spike, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 4,057.97

Range-bound below spike high, gentle lower drift.

NY session spiked to 4081.3 then faded, and price has since coiled in a tight 4057–4064 band through the quiet late/Asia hours on thin volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price hugging EMA20; spike high at 4081 rejected and unretested.

Support: 4,048.00

Resistance: 4,064.70, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4064.7 reopens the 4081 spike high
  • Loss of 4048 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 4034
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break this range decisively

23:17 UTC

Consolidation after NY rejection · RSI 51 · price 4,059.88

Range-bound in low 4060s, prior push to 4081 rejected.

NY session spiked to 4081 then faded — rejection there capped the rebound as elevated oil offset the soft CPI/PPI dollar drag. Thin, early-Asia trade now coiling in a tight 4058-4064 band around EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 51.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 reopens the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4048 confirms a lower-low toward 4033
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst for this pair

23:17 UTC

Consolidation after failed push higher · RSI 53 · price 4,059.88

Range-bound below rejected 4081 high.

Gold spiked to 4081 in the NY session then got rejected, sliding back to 4048 before stabilising near 4060. Late-session drift on thin volume is holding a tight 4048-4066 range above the $4,000 psych level, RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,038.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 reopens the 4081 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4048 exposes 4038 and the 4028 range base
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break the range

23:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,059.92

Rally to session high, now consolidating high.

Gold pushed to a session high at 4081 in the NY session then pulled back to the 4048 swing low before recovering; price now consolidates in a tight 4058-4066 band on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and price holds above EMA20/EMA50, keeping the intraday recovery intact well above the 4028 session low.

Support: 4,051.00, 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 recent high opens a retest of the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4051 swing low exposes the 4028 session low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could break this range

23:03 UTC

Uptrend faded, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 4,059.92

Inside consolidation below session high.

NY session drove gold up to 4081 before fading back into a tight 4056-4064 consolidation through quiet Asia hours, RSI sitting neutral near 48. Price is now hovering at the EMA20 after a small gap-up, with the soft CPI/PPI backdrop keeping the metal pinned in the low-4060s.

Support: 4,051.00, 4,038.36

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Break above 4066 reopens the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4051 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 4038
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

22:47 UTC

Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 4,060.25

Range under session high after rejection at 4081.

Gold spiked to 4081 mid-session then faded and sold back to 4047, and is now ranging in the low-4060s after the daily rollover gap — an inside-day read consistent with the CPI/PPI vs oil tug-of-war. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price hugging EMA20; 4064 caps and 4047 has held twice.

Support: 4,047.95

Resistance: 4,064.73, 4,074.11, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4064.73 reopens 4074/4081
  • Loss of 4047.95 exposes 4040 and the 4000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 GMT) is the week's key catalyst for this range

22:47 UTC

Choppy, two-way after rejection at day high · RSI 55 · price 4,060.25

Consolidating below 4067 after fade from 4081.

Gold spiked to 4081 into the NY session then faded, and is now consolidating in the low 4060s holding the 38.2% retrace of that leg. Two-way trade above 4000 as soft CPI/PPI meets oil-driven inflation risk; RSI(14) neutral near 55.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00, 4,026.90

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4067 session high reopens the 4081 day high
  • Loss of 4048 swing low exposes 4033 and 4026.9 session low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

22:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum stalling · RSI 54 · price 4,061.75

Rally off 4017 low, rejected at 4081, now consolidating.

NY session drove gold to a session high of 4081 before rejection dragged it back to 4047; price now consolidates 4056–4066 in thin late-session hours, RSI cooled to mid-range. The bounce ties to the soft CPI/PPI-driven USD softness, but repeated stalls below 4074 keep the rebound capped.

Support: 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,074.11, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4081 session high resumes the intraday upside
  • Break below 4047 swing low opens the 4033 pivot
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

22:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,061.75

Consolidating below session high.

Gold rallied through the NY session to a 4081.30 high before rejecting, then coiled into a tight 4060–4063 range on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s off the highs; price holds above rising EMA20/EMA50 with the 4047.95 session low as the near pivot.

Support: 4,047.95, 4,028.79, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081.30 opens the path to the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4047.95 exposes 4028.79 then 4017.41 range low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range in either direction

22:17 UTC

Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 55 · price 4,063.27

Consolidation above 4000 psych, capped near session high.

Late NY into Asia, gold is ranging roughly 4048-4081 after a rejection at the 4081 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 55. Buyers stepped in around 4048 during the pullback and price sits mid-range at 4063, holding well above the 4000 psych level.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 session high reopens the upside leg
  • Failure to hold 4048 exposes 4033 swing low and the 4000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

22:17 UTC

Uptrend off lows, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 4,063.27

Recovery to session high, pullback holding.

Gold reclaimed the $4,060s after a rally off the 4017 session low, spiking to a 4081 NY-session high before rejection dragged it back to 4048. Now consolidating in the low-4060s, holding above $4,000 in the inside-day range flagged post soft CPI/PPI.

Support: 4,047.95, 4,033.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4081 session high extends the recovery leg
  • Loss of 4047.95 swing low reopens 4033 and the 4017 session low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range decisively

22:03 UTC

Recovery, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 4,060.48

Rally to session high then pullback, consolidating.

Gold ran up to a session high of 4081 during NY hours before rejection, drifting back to consolidate around 4060 with soft CPI/PPI keeping it recovered above the 4000 psych level. RSI is mid-range near 54 and the 4055-4067 band is holding into the Asia handover.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4067 reopens the 4081 session high
  • Failure to hold 4048 exposes the 4033 swing low
  • US Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 GMT) is the next macro trigger that could break this range

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,060.48

Pullback within intraday uptrend, consolidating near highs.

Gold spiked to a 4081 session high in the NY afternoon then rejected, buyers stepping in at 4048 before recovering to consolidate 4055-4062. RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s off the highs; price holds above both EMAs but has yet to reclaim 4066.

Support: 4,047.95

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4047.95 confirms a lower low and breaks the recovery
  • Reclaim of 4066 reopens the 4081 session high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

21:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 54 · price 4,060.48

Swept lows near 4017, pushed to 4081, fading back into mid-range.

NY session drove gold to 4081 before rejection faded it back to the low-4060s, in line with repeated stalls under the $4,100 area. Price now consolidating 4048–4066 above both EMAs, RSI(14) neutral near 54 with no extreme in play.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,034.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 reopens the push toward the $4,100 zone
  • Loss of 4048 confirms a lower low and reopens 4034/4017
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

21:47 UTC

Choppy, recovering after session-high fade · RSI 55 · price 4,060.48

Consolidation below 4081 rejection.

Gold spiked to a session high of 4081 then faded, and is now grinding back to 4060 on thinning late-NY volume. Two-way inside-day tone holds above 4048; supply capped the rally at 4067-4081 while dip-buyers defended 4048.

Support: 4,048.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4067 puts 4081 session high back in play
  • Loss of 4048 confirms a lower low toward 4033
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could shift this range read

21:32 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,060.48

Consolidating below session high after NY spike.

NY session ripped from the 4020s to a 4081 high before fading, then found a floor at 4048 and is now consolidating in the low-4060s with RSI(14) neutral near 54. Gold's inside-day range trade holds above $4,000 as soft CPI/PPI and Iran-driven oil keep it two-way.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 reopens the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4048 exposes 4033 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

21:32 UTC

Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 56 · price 4,060.48

Consolidation below 4066 after 4081 rejection.

Gold recovered from the 4017 range low through NY, tagged a 4081 session high then faded back into a 4047-4066 consolidation, in line with the inside-day read above $4,000. Price is holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range, no near-term extreme.

Support: 4,038.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4066 reopens the 4074/4081 session high
  • Loss of 4047 session low exposes the 4038 swing low and 4020 area
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this consolidation either way

21:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,060.48

Range within 4040–4081 after NY rally faded.

Gold ran to a session high of 4081 during NY then rejected back to 4048, and is now grinding back to 4060 on thinning late-session volume. Price sits above EMA20/50 but capped inside the 4040–4081 range; RSI(14) mid-range at ~55, no extreme. Two-way tone holds as soft CPI/PPI support meets Iran oil-inflation overhang.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4066 then 4081 session high would extend the recovery
  • Loss of 4048 swing low reopens the 4040 range floor
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

21:17 UTC

Choppy recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 4,060.48

Consolidation after rejection at session high.

Late NY session pushed to a session high of 4081 before rejecting and fading back to consolidate near 4060, holding above the $4,000 psych level in an inside-day. Soft CPI/PPI unwound Fed-hike bets while oil/Iran risk caps the rebound, keeping price hemmed between 4048 and 4081.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 reopens the path toward 4100
  • Loss of 4048 swing low confirms a lower-low back toward 4017 range low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break the range

21:05 UTC

Recovery, momentum stalling below session high · RSI 56 · price 4,060.48

Consolidation after NY rally and rejection at 4081.

NY session drove gold up to 4081 before sellers rejected the move, and price is now consolidating in the 4048–4062 band above rising EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 after cooling off the highs; inside-day two-way tone holds as the soft CPI/PPI tailwind is offset by oil/Iran inflation risk.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,034.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4067 reopens the path to the 4081 session high
  • Failure to hold 4048 confirms a lower low toward 4034
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range decisively

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading late-session · RSI 55 · price 4,060.48

NY rally to 4081 then pullback, holding low-4060s.

NY session drove gold to a 4081 session high before rejection faded it back below 4060; a late-session bounce off 4048 has price holding the low-4060s on thinning volume. Move fits the soft CPI/PPI USD-off tone, but 4074/4081 capped the rebound and RSI has cooled to mid-range.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,034.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 reopens the upside path
  • Failure to hold 4048 confirms a lower low toward 4034
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break the range

20:47 UTC

Recovering off intraday low, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 4,061.46

Pullback from session high, holding above 4050.

NY session drove gold up to 4081 around 18:30 UTC as soft PPI kept the dollar heavy, but the level rejected and price pulled back to 4047 before reclaiming 4060. Holding above the 4050 area with RSI(14) mid-range; two-way and contained ahead of US Retail Sales.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 session high opens the path to the 4100 psych
  • Failure to hold 4047 swing low exposes the 4017 day low and 4000 psych
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could shift this read materially

20:47 UTC

Recovering off pullback, momentum neutral · RSI 54 · price 4,061.46

Mid-range after rejection at 4081.

NY session pushed gold to a 4081 session high before rejection dragged it back to a 4048 session low, and price has since recovered to 4061 — roughly the 38% retrace of that leg, keeping it mid-range. Move fits the inside-day consolidation above $4,000 as soft CPI/PPI is offset by Iran oil-inflation risk; RSI(14) sits neutral near 54.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,038.00

Resistance: 4,067.96, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4067.96 swing high reopens the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4048 session low exposes the 4038 prior low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this range read

20:32 UTC

Two-way, recovered off session lows · RSI 53 · price 4,061.17

Range with rejection at session high.

NY session spiked to 4081 then rejected sharply, dropping back to the low-4040s before buyers reclaimed the low-4060s into the close. Gold stays two-way, caught between the soft CPI/PPI disinflation read and the Iran-oil inflation cap; RSI(14) neutral near 53.

Support: 4,047.95, 4,033.01, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 clears the session high and opens the path higher
  • Loss of 4048 reopens 4033 and the 4017 session low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:32 UTC

Recovering, mid-range chop · RSI 55 · price 4,061.17

Range after failed push to 4081.

NY session pushed to 4081 then faded to 4048 before recovering to 4061, leaving price mid-range as gold holds above 4000 on soft CPI/PPI. RSI(14) neutral near 55; two-way tone persists into Retail Sales.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,034.00, 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 clears the session high and reopens 4100
  • Failure to hold 4048 exposes 4034 then the 4022 base
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling after spike · RSI 52 · price 4,057.92

Recovery off 4017, rejected at 4081, consolidating.

Gold rallied through the NY session to a session high of 4081 before sellers rejected the spike, pulling price back to 4048 and now consolidating near 4058, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. The move retraced roughly a third of the 4017-to-4081 leg; trade stays two-way as soft CPI/PPI support offsets the oil-driven inflation cap ahead of US Retail Sales.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,033.20, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 opens a retest of the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4048 swing low exposes 4033 and the 4017 session low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 4,057.92

Rally to session high, rejected, holding higher low.

NY session drove gold from ~4027 to a session high of 4081, where it was rejected. The pullback held the 61.8% fib near 4048 and price is recovering to 4058, RSI(14) neutral around 53 after cooling from the spike.

Support: 4,047.95, 4,026.91

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 reopens the session high; failure to hold 4048 confirms a lower high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Pullback after NY spike, momentum cooling · RSI 50 · price 4,056.02

Rejected 4081, consolidating above prior lows.

NY session drove gold to 4081 then faded, leaving a rejection wick before price settled back to 4056. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the move stalls; still holding above the 4048 swing low with 4067 capping the rebound.

Support: 4,048.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4067 reopens the path toward 4081
  • Break below 4048 confirms a lower low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum fading after rejection · RSI 50 · price 4,056.02

Pullback from session high, holding above rising support.

Gold rallied through the NY session to a 4081 session high before sellers capped it, now consolidating near 4056 with RSI(14) back to neutral. Dip buyers stepped in at 4048; move sits mid-fib of the 4020-4081 leg with the inside-day range holding above $4,000.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,034.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4066 reopens the 4081 session high
  • Loss of 4048 confirms a lower-low toward 4034
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 49 · price 4,051.34

Consolidating below 4066 above 4047.

NY session ran to a session high of 4081 then got rejected, unwinding back to 4051 and sitting right on the EMA20. Price is consolidating above the 4047 low, two-way trade holding above the 4000 psych level after this week's soft CPI/PPI misses.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4047 opens the 4033 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4066 puts the 4081 session high back in play
  • US Retail Sales Thu could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 4,051.34

Higher highs into 4081, now retracing.

NY session drove gold to a 4081.30 session high then rejected, RSI(14) cooling back toward 50 as price faded to 4051. Move is retracing the 4026.91–4081.30 leg, holding the low-4050s just above the 4047.95 recent low.

Support: 4,047.95, 4,034.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4047.95 opens the 4034 swing low
  • Reclaim of 4066 reopens the 4081.30 session high
  • US Retail Sales tomorrow could reset this range

19:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling after rejection · RSI 56 · price 4,056.49

Higher highs into 4081, pulling back.

NY session drove gold from 4033 up to a session high at 4081 before sellers rejected, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s as price backs off to 4056. Move holds above the 4000 psych level on the soft CPI/PPI tailwind, but the rebound stalled near prior 4066/4081 supply.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,033.00

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4047 pullback low would confirm the rejection and open 4033 swing low
  • M15 close back above 4081 session high resumes the impulse
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:32 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 53 · price 4,056.49

Higher highs into session peak, retracing.

NY session drove gold off the 4017 low up to a session high of 4081 before sellers capped it; price has since faded to 4056, sitting on the 38.2% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) cooled from the low-70s back to the low-50s as the pullback develops.

Support: 4,044.00

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Hold of 4056/4044 keeps the higher-low chain intact; a close below 4044 breaks it
  • Reclaim of 4081 needed to resume the intraday advance
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,060.09

Higher highs into NY, pullback off session high.

NY session drove gold to 4081 before a rejection, RSI cooling from hot; the pullback to 4060 is holding above the 4047 breakout zone. The leg up followed soft CPI/PPI unwinding Fed-hike bets and a softer dollar.

Support: 4,057.30, 4,047.00, 4,027.00

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4047 breakout zone negates the breakout read
  • Retest of 4081 session high — area to watch for rejection or break
  • Failure to hold 4057 pullback low opens the 4027 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:17 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,060.09

Higher highs into 4081, pulling back.

NY session pushed gold from the 4027 low up to 4081 before sellers rejected the high, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the soft CPI/PPI USD backdrop keeps buyers engaged. Price now consolidating near 4060 above EMA20/50, holding the rising intraday structure.

Support: 4,048.00, 4,026.91

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4048 breaks the higher-low chain
  • Close above 4081 opens the 4100 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could break this range

19:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,059.74

Higher highs into NY close, pulling back.

NY session drove gold off the 4026 low up to a 4081 session high before fading back to 4059, RSI(14) cooling from hot. Pullback is holding the 4047 breakout so far; move sits around the 38.2% retrace of the intraday rally.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,035.00

Resistance: 4,067.00, 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4047 breakout puts the 4035 swing low back in play
  • Reclaim of 4067 swing high reopens the 4081 session high
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:03 UTC

Intraday rebound, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,059.74

Recovery off session low, pullback from session high.

Gold ripped through the NY session from the 4020 session low to a 4081 session high before sellers stepped in, dragging price back to 4059 — roughly the midpoint of that impulse. RSI(14) is cooling off the highs; the leg holds above EMA20/50 but the 4081 print has been rejected once.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,067.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4067 prior high keeps the rebound intact; failure below 4044 swing low signals the impulse is unwinding
  • Loss of 4020 session low reopens the 4000 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, intraday recovery · RSI 63 · price 4,068.35

Higher lows off session low, rejection at highs.

NY session rallied off the 4017 low into a 4081 print before sellers capped it, price now easing back to 4068 with RSI(14) mid-60s. The soft CPI/PPI-driven dollar softness underpins the recovery, but repeated stalls near 4100 keep the rebound in check.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,028.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,081.30, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081 opens the path to the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold the 4047 breakout base exposes the 4028 swing low
  • US Retail Sales Thu could materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 4,068.35

Recovery leg off session lows, rejection at highs.

NY session drove a sharp recovery from ~4027 to a 4081.30 session high, but the last bar was rejected there and closed back near 4068. RSI(14) around 65 and cooling after the run; soft CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy while oil/Iran risk caps the upside above $4,080.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,046.00, 4,027.00

Resistance: 4,081.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4081.30 extends the recovery leg toward the next figure
  • Failure to hold 4055 opens a retrace back toward 4046
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 76 · price 4,078.13

Higher highs, breakout above session range.

Gold ripped through the 4062 breakout level into late NY hours, tagging a fresh session high at 4079 with RSI(14) hot near 76. The leg off the 4026.91 swing low has been one-directional; move framed by the soft CPI/PPI USD-negative backdrop, but price is stretched into the session high.

Support: 4,062.00, 4,046.00, 4,026.91

Resistance: 4,079.26, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 4062 on a close negates the breakout and reopens the 4046 intraday low
  • Acceptance above 4079 opens the path toward the 4100 psych level
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

18:32 UTC

Uptrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 75 · price 4,078.13

Chain of higher lows, breaking to session high.

Gold ran the NY afternoon higher, reclaiming 4062 and pressing a fresh session high near 4079 as soft CPI/PPI kept the dollar on the back foot. RSI(14) hot around 74 after the vertical push off the 4027 higher low; move is extended but structure intact.

Support: 4,062.00, 4,026.91

Resistance: 4,079.26, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4079 session high opens the path to the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4062 breaks the higher-low chain and cools the rally
  • US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 66 · price 4,067.63

Higher lows off 4027, pressing session high.

NY session rebounded off 4027 to session highs near 4070 after the soft US PPI miss reinforced the disinflation read. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme; price is now stalling just under the 4070/4074 resistance band.

Resistance: 4,070.41, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 extends the recovery and clears the prior high
  • Loss of 4046 pivot signals a lower high and stalls the recovery
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum firm · RSI 62 · price 4,067.63

Higher lows off 4028, retesting session high.

NY session clawed gold back from the 4028 session low to 4067 as soft US PPI kept the dollar pinned. Price is retesting the 4074 session high set earlier in the day; RSI(14) around 62, not yet stretched.

Support: 4,062.00, 4,047.00

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,110.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 opens the path back toward the 4110 cap
  • Failure to hold 4062 exposes 4047 and the 4028 session low
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could shift this read

18:03 UTC

Recovering, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 4,064.26

Higher low off session low, pushing session high.

Gold rallied sharply off the 4026.91 session low back to the recent high near 4066 into the NY afternoon, soft PPI keeping disinflation bets alive. RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; price sits just under the 4066 rejection zone with the 4074 day high above.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,026.91

Resistance: 4,066.09, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 4066 opens the path to the 4074 day high
  • Loss of 4047 puts the 4034/4027 swing lows back in play
  • Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

18:03 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 4,064.26

V-recovery off session low, retesting recent high.

NY session staged a sharp V-recovery from the 4027 swing low back to 4064 as soft US PPI kept the disinflation read alive. Price is now pressing the recent high at 4066 with the 4074 session high just above; RSI(14) around 62, elevated but not extreme. Buyers stepped in twice near 4017-4027 before this leg.

Support: 4,046.00, 4,027.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4074 session high opens continuation higher
  • Failure to hold 4046 breakout risks retest of 4027 swing low
  • Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) could shift this read

17:47 UTC

Choppy, sharp recovery off session low · RSI 53 · price 4,062.68

V-bounce from 4027 back toward the 4074 spike high.

Gold spiked to 4074 during NY hours on the soft PPI print, then sold back to 4027 before a sharp V-recovery to 4062 into the late session. RSI(14) near 53 confirms momentum has flipped up but is not stretched; the 4066-4074 spike zone caps the rebound.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,027.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.10

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4074 opens continuation toward the prior spike extension
  • Failure to hold 4047 reopens the 4027 session low
  • Fed Beige Book 18:00 UTC could shift this read within the hour

17:47 UTC

Recovery, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 4,062.68

V-recovery back to session highs after data spike.

Gold spiked on the 12:30 UTC US data miss then chopped, before a sharp NY-afternoon recovery lifted price off 4026.90 back to 4062, RSI(14) firm near 67. Buyers stepped in twice around the 4026-4028 swing low; session high at 4074.10 is the cap.

Support: 4,044.00, 4,026.90

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 prior high opens the path back to the 4074.10 session high
  • Loss of 4044 swing re-exposes the 4026.90 swing low
  • Fed Beige Book / Fed speak later could shift this read

17:32 UTC

Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 4,051.13

Range with spike rejection.

Gold spiked to the session high at 4074 during NY hours on the soft PPI misses, then was rejected back to the 4028 swing low before grinding back to 4051. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) hovering near neutral; the 4074 spike high and 4028 swing low frame the intraday range.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4066 spike high reopens the 4074 session high
  • Loss of 4028 swing low exposes the 4017 session low
  • Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) ~1h out could shift this read

17:32 UTC

Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 4,051.13

Wide intraday range, spike-and-fade.

NY session spiked to 4074 around the 12:30 UTC data before fading back through 4027; the soft CPI/PPI relief has kept gold two-way. Price is now clawing back to 4051 off the 4027 low, RSI mid-range, still capped under the 4066 spike base.

Support: 4,027.00, 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Fed Chair Warsh testimony tone could reprice hike odds and shift this read
  • Close above 4066 opens the path back to the 4074 session high
  • Failure to hold 4027 reopens the 4017 session low and 4000 psych

17:17 UTC

Downtrend after spike, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 4,033.58

Rejection at 4074, lower highs into 4027 base.

Gold spiked to a 4074 session high on the PPI miss during NY hours, then rejected and bled lower into a 4027 base with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. Price now consolidating around 4033 below EMA20/50; the earlier upside impulse has fully faded.

Support: 4,027.00, 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4027 confirms a lower low, opening 4017 then the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4050 swing high needed to re-challenge 4066/4074
  • Warsh testimony aftermath and Fed speakers could shift this read

17:17 UTC

Intraday pullback after spike rejection · RSI 41 · price 4,033.58

Lower highs off 4074 session high.

Gold spiked to 4074 on the soft PPI print at the 12:30 UTC release, then faded through the NY session back to 4033 as the highs failed to hold. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 41, printing lower highs; buyers defended 4027 on the last dip.

Support: 4,027.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4027 confirms a lower low, opens 4017.41
  • Reclaim of 4050 needed to re-challenge the 4074 session high
  • Fed Beige Book at 18:00 UTC could shift this read

17:04 UTC

Pullback after spike, short-term down · RSI 43 · price 4,037.71

Lower highs off 4074 spike, bounce off 4026.

Gold spiked to 4074 on the soft PPI miss around midday, then faded through the NY session in a lower-high sequence back to a 4026 session low before a small bounce to 4037. RSI(14) mid-range near 43, price below EMA20 and EMA50 — the intraday tone is corrective after the data pop.

Support: 4,017.40, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,066.00, 4,074.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4026 confirms a lower low, opening 4017 then 4000
  • Reclaim of 4050 negates the lower-high pullback toward 4066/4074

17:04 UTC

Downtrend after failed spike · RSI 43 · price 4,037.71

Lower highs, fading off session high.

Gold spiked to a session high near 4074 around the 14:00 UTC Warsh testimony then faded hard, printing a false break and now trading back below 4040. Rejected at 4050 on the way down, RSI(14) cooling near 43 as price presses the 4027 session low.

Support: 4,027.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4050 swing high reopens the 4066 spike high
  • Failure to hold 4027 session low confirms a lower low toward 4020
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could reprice USD and shift this read

16:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 35 · price 4,029.15

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

Gold spiked to 4074 into the NY session on the soft PPI relief then faded hard, cutting through 4050 and printing a chain of lower highs down to 4028. RSI(14) around 35 as the sell-off extends; two-way risk persists with Warsh testimony already digested and Thu retail sales ahead.

Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4050 swing high negates the current downside pressure
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US retail sales could shift this read

16:47 UTC

Downturn after spike rejection · RSI 35 · price 4,029.15

Faded spike, lower highs into session lows.

NY session spiked to 4074 during the Warsh testimony window then rolled straight back over, giving back the entire leg to trade at 4029 near session lows. RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s as sellers press the 4020 low; 4050 pivot now caps.

Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4050 pivot would negate the fade off 4074
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could shift this read sharply

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, rolling over from session high · RSI 42 · price 4,034.99

Lower highs after failed push to 4074.

Gold spiked to the 4074 session high around the Warsh testimony then reversed, grinding back to 4034 below EMA20 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) at 41 reflects the fade; the 4020 swing low is the next reference into NY hours.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4017 swing low opens the 4000 psych handle
  • reclaim of the 4050 ema20 area negates the lower-high sequence
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could reset this intraday read

16:32 UTC

Downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 39 · price 4,034.99

Lower highs since 4074 rejection.

NY session spiked to 4074 on the post-PPI/Warsh reaction, then rejected just below the prior session high at 4076 and faded to 4035, RSI(14) cooling toward 39. Price now carving lower highs off 4074 and pressing back into the 4029 swing-low pivot.

Support: 4,029.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4050 swing high negates the fade from 4074
  • loss of 4020 session low confirms a lower low
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could reprice this read

16:17 UTC

Pullback after spike, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 4,040.55

Post-spike retracement, lower highs.

PPI miss around 12:30 UTC spiked gold from 4040 to a 4074 spike high, but the move was rejected and hawkish Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC dragged price back. Now fading to 4040 with lower highs stacking; buyers earlier defended the 4020 prior low.

Support: 4,037.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,050.00, 4,066.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4037 session low opens the 4020 prior low
  • Reclaim of 4050 swing pivot needed to re-test the 4066 spike zone
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read

16:17 UTC

Recovery fading, pullback in play · RSI 43 · price 4,040.55

Up-leg off midday low, retracing into NY.

The 12:30 UTC PPI miss spiked gold from 4039 to a 4074 session high, but the move has faded back to 4040 into Warsh testimony, retracing ~62% of the up-leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price is back below the EMA20 near 4051.

Support: 4,037.37, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4037.37 session low opens the 4017 midday low
  • Reclaim of 4055 supply needed to re-challenge the 4074 session high
  • Warsh testimony tone remains the immediate driver for this read

16:03 UTC

Reversal off lows, pullback in progress · RSI 46 · price 4,046.70

Spike to 4074 then fade, holding above session base.

Gold ripped from the 4018 session low to 4074 around the 12:30 UTC US PPI miss, then faded through NY hours back to 4046 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Rejection at 4074 and a hold above 4039 leave price mid-range; the 4062 pivot caps the recovery for now.

Support: 4,039.00, 4,018.00

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4062 reopens the 4074 session high
  • Loss of 4039 swing low exposes 4022/4018 session base
  • Thu 12:30 UTC US Retail Sales could materially shift this read

15:47 UTC

Intraday bounce, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 4,048.38

Rally off 4017 lows, rejected at 4074, pulling back.

NY session ripped from the 4017 low, spiking to 4074 as soft US PPI kept the disinflation trade alive, before rejection there stalled the move. Price has since faded to 4048, back below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the 4039 swing low is holding for now.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 reopens the path toward $4,110
  • Loss of 4039 exposes the 4017 session low and $4,000 handle
  • Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) and Fed speakers could shift this read

15:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 4,048.38

Spike higher then fade back to mid-range.

Gold based near 4017-4020 through the Asian/London hours then broke sharply higher into the US session, tagging a session high at 4074 as soft US PPI kept the disinflation bid alive. Price has since faded to 4048, rejecting the 4062 swing high and holding the 4043 swing low — consolidating mid-recovery with RSI back near neutral.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 reopens continuation higher
  • Loss of 4043 swing low exposes the 4020 session low
  • Fed Beige Book 18:00 UTC could shift the read

15:32 UTC

Up-leg fading, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 4,047.76

Post-breakout pullback off session high.

Gold spiked ~$35 into the NY session after soft June PPI, tagging a session high at 4074 before sellers rejected the extension. Price has since bled back to 4047, slipping under EMA20 while holding above EMA50; RSI(14) cooling to ~46 as the up-leg unwinds.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4066 swing high would revive the up-leg toward 4074 session high
  • Loss of 4039 session low opens the path back toward the 4017 day low
  • Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) and Thu US Retail Sales could reprice this range

15:32 UTC

Recovery off day low, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 4,047.76

Pullback after NY spike to 4074.

Gold spiked ~35 dollars during NY hours to 4074 as soft PPI pared Fed-hike bets, then rejected and pulled back toward 4047. Price is now sitting mid-range between 4074 and the 4039-4043 support cluster, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4039 breaks the rising support and reopens 4017 day low
  • Reclaim of 4066 puts session high 4074 back in play
  • Fed Beige Book (18:00 UTC) and Thu Retail Sales could reprice this range

15:17 UTC

Recovery stalling after spike · RSI 49 · price 4,044.91

Spike to 4074 rejected, ~50% pullback.

Gold spiked from 4039 to a 4074 session high on the Warsh testimony reaction, then got rejected and is now retracing ~50% back to 4044. Price is sitting on the 4043 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range as the impulse cools.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4043 opens the 4020 session low
  • Reclaim of 4066 supply needed to retest the 4074 high
  • Warsh testimony still in play — tone shift can move this fast

15:17 UTC

Up off session low, momentum fading · RSI 48 · price 4,044.91

Spike to 4074 then rejection, pulling back.

Gold spiked from the 4017 range low to 4074 through the NY session around Warsh's testimony, then got rejected and faded back to 4044, sitting near the 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the last two bars sold off from 4062.

Support: 4,043.25, 4,030.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4074 reopens the path toward 4110
  • Failure to hold 4043 exposes 4030 then the 4017 range low
  • Fed speakers / Beige Book (18:00 UTC) could re-price and shift this read

15:03 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 4,061.83

Breakout from range, now consolidating below session high.

Gold based near 4017 through the London hours then broke sharply higher on a single impulse to 4074 as soft US PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price is now consolidating 4055–4065 just under the session high, RSI cooling from the spike.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,039.30, 4,017.40

Resistance: 4,074.10, 4,085.10

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4074 session high opens the path back toward 4085 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4055 swing low puts the 4039 breakout base back in play
  • Warsh testimony tone could materially shift this read in the next bars

15:03 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 4,061.83

Post-breakout consolidation above prior range.

Gold ground down to a session low of 4017 before a sharp bullish candle at the 14:00 UTC Warsh testimony spiked price from 4039 to 4074. It is now consolidating between 4054 and 4074, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse near 57.

Support: 4,054.00, 4,039.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4054 range base reopens 4039 spike base
  • M15 close above 4074 post-spike high extends the recovery
  • Fed speakers/Beige Book later today could shift this read

14:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,055.58

Higher lows into 4074, now consolidating.

Gold spiked off the 4017 day low into the 12:30 UTC PPI miss, breaking the 4040 consolidation and tagging a session high at 4074; RSI(14) near 56 as the move cools. Price now consolidating around 4055 after rejection at 4074, holding above the 4039 breakout base with 4066 the near resistance.

Support: 4,039.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4039 breakout base reopens the 4017 day low
  • M15 close above 4074 session high extends the recovery
  • Warsh testimony aftermath and Thu US retail sales could shift this read

14:47 UTC

Rebound off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 4,055.58

Sharp breakout then consolidation below 4074.

Gold ripped ~35 dollars off the 4039 base into the NY session on the soft US PPI miss, tagging a session high at 4074 before cooling. Now consolidating 4055-4066, RSI(14) backing off from the rally peak; the 4040 breakout base is the near-term floor.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and can materially shift this read
  • Close back below 4040 negates the breakout and reopens 4017
  • Reclaim of 4074 extends the recovery leg

14:32 UTC

Recovery leg, consolidating post-spike · RSI 59 · price 4,059.33

Session low reclaimed, range building 4055-4066.

Gold spiked from the 4017 session low to 4074 into Warsh's 14:00 UTC testimony, backed by across-the-board PPI misses. Price now consolidating 4055-4066 above EMA20/50, RSI cooling from the pop; 4040 spike base is the pivot beneath.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,040.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony live (14:00 UTC) — the immediate driver, can shift this read fast
  • M15 close above 4074 opens the path toward the 4100 psych level
  • Failure to hold 4040 reopens 4017 session low

14:32 UTC

Intraday rebound, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 4,059.33

Sharp rally off session low, consolidating below session high.

Gold ground down to a 4017 session low through European hours, then ripped ~$57 into the NY session on the PPI miss and ahead of Warsh's testimony, tagging 4074 before fading. Price now consolidates in the 4055–4066 band with RSI(14) cooling from the spike; session base at 4055 holding so far.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,039.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the immediate driver — a hawkish tone could unwind this rebound
  • Close below 4055 session base opens 4039 pre-spike level
  • Reclaim of 4074 session high resumes the breakout leg

14:17 UTC

Recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 4,064.23

Breakout from base, holding above 4054.

Gold based twice near 4017 through the NY morning then broke sharply higher into the 4074 session high on the soft PPI miss, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the move consolidates. Buyers stepped in on the retest of 4054; 4074 caps for now with Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) the imminent driver.

Support: 4,054.20, 4,040.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4074 opens the path to 4088
  • Failure to hold 4054 negates the breakout back toward 4040

14:17 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 4,064.23

Breakout from range, consolidating below session high.

Gold spiked from the 4039 base to 4074 on the 12:30 UTC PPI miss as USD softened, reversing the earlier grind toward the 4017 day low. Price is now consolidating 4055–4074, RSI(14) easing from the high-60s as the impulse cools.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,039.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4055 breaks the post-spike range and re-exposes the 4039 breakout base
  • Reclaim of 4074 opens the path back toward 4088
  • Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) underway — a hawkish tone could reverse this recovery leg

14:03 UTC

Up, momentum cooling after spike · RSI 64 · price 4,061.93

Range break higher, now consolidating.

Gold spiked ~35 points during NY hours off the soft US PPI miss, breaking out of the 4020-4040 base and topping at 4074. Price is now consolidating 4055-4066 with RSI(14) easing back from its post-spike high.

Support: 4,055.03, 4,039.32, 4,020.13

Resistance: 4,066.43, 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and could materially shift this read
  • Close back below 4039 breakout base negates the breakout
  • Reclaim of 4074 session high reopens the upside toward the 4110 area

14:03 UTC

Uptrend off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 64 · price 4,061.93

Breakout from base, pullback in progress.

Gold spiked from the 4030-4040 base to a 4074 session high around the Warsh testimony window, then pulled back to 4062 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Buyers defended 4055 on the retrace; 4074 caps for now.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,039.00

Resistance: 4,074.11

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony tone (14:00 UTC) is the immediate driver and could shift this read
  • M15 close above 4074 opens the path toward 4090
  • Failure to hold 4055 exposes the 4039 breakout base

13:47 UTC

Downtrend reversed, momentum up · RSI 60 · price 4,059.36

V-recovery off session low, consolidating below highs.

Gold based twice around 4017-4021 through the NY session then broke sharply higher on the soft CPI/PPI-driven USD unwind, printing a session high at 4074. Price has since pulled back to 4059 and is consolidating below that high, RSI(14) cooling from the spike near 60.

Support: 4,054.20, 4,038.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC is imminent and the single biggest near-term driver — could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4074 session high opens the path to 4090
  • Failure to hold 4054 recent low exposes the 4038 spike base

13:47 UTC

Intraday reversal higher, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 4,059.36

Breakout above 4040 range, pulling back.

Gold spiked at the 14:00 UTC bar on Warsh testimony, breaking the 4040 NY consolidation and tagging 4074 before fading. Price is retesting the 4055 breakout zone with RSI cooling off from the spike; the earlier 4017 session low held as the base of the reversal.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,039.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,088.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 4039 negates the breakout and reopens the 4017 session low
  • Reclaim of 4074 opens the path toward the 4088 prior high
  • Warsh testimony still live — tone shift could sharply move this read

13:32 UTC

Sharp rally off base, pulling back · RSI 58 · price 4,059.80

Breakout above 4020-4040 range, now retesting.

Gold chopped in a 4020-4040 base through the London session before a sharp impulse at 12:30 UTC lifted it to a session high of 4074, tracking the softer CPI/PPI USD sell-off. Price has since offered back to 4055-4060, retesting the breakout base near 4039; RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but holding mid-range.

Support: 4,039.00, 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC is the near-term driver and could shift this read
  • Close back below 4039 negates the breakout and reopens the range
  • Reclaim of 4074 puts the 4100 psych cap in play

13:32 UTC

Downtrend reversing, sharp intraday bounce · RSI 58 · price 4,059.80

Session low held, rally rejected at 4074.

Gold based twice near the 4017 day low through the NY session then spiked to 4074 on the soft PPI-driven USD offer, but the move was rejected and price faded back to 4055-4060. RSI cooled off the spike into the mid-50s; price holds above EMA20/50 after the reversal.

Support: 4,055.00, 4,046.00, 4,017.00

Resistance: 4,074.00, 4,092.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could shift this read
  • Reclaim of the 4074 spike high opens the path toward 4092 prior high and 4100 psych
  • Loss of 4055 recent low exposes 4046 swing low and the 4017 day low

13:17 UTC

Recovery leg, momentum hot · RSI 69 · price 4,063.16

Range break to upside off 4040.

NY session ripped ~35 pips off the 4025-4040 base on the soft US PPI miss, spiking to 4074 before offering back to 4063. RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme; the prior range top at 4040 is now the pivot buyers are defending.

Support: 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,090.00, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Fed Chair Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (~45m out) is the single biggest near-term driver
  • Close back below 4040 negates the breakout and returns price into the 4025-4040 range
  • Break above 4074 session high opens the path to 4090/4100

13:17 UTC

Intraday up, momentum cooling · RSI 65 · price 4,063.16

Breakout from 4030 base, offered off session high.

Gold coiled around 4030 through the London session then broke out on the NY push, tagging a session high at 4074 before being offered back to 4063 — consistent with the soft PPI keeping the USD heavy. RSI cooling from the breakout spike; move stalled well under the repeatedly-rejected 4100 mark.

Support: 4,039.00, 4,020.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,074.11, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (~45m) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
  • M15 close back below 4039 negates the breakout and reopens 4020/4017
  • Reclaim of 4074 puts 4100 psych cap in play

13:04 UTC

Intraday reversal, upside momentum · RSI 69 · price 4,065.49

Base at 4017-40, breakout to session high.

NY session flipped an all-day grind lower into a sharp breakout — gold ripped from the 4020-40 base to a session high 4071 around the 12:30 UTC window on softer PPI and USD weakness, RSI(14) pushing ~69. Pulled back to 4065 with the repeatedly-rejected $4,100 cap still overhead.

Support: 4,040.00

Resistance: 4,071.46

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (~1h out) is the biggest near-term driver and could reprice this move
  • Close above 4071 opens the path toward the $4,100 resistance
  • Loss of 4040 negates the breakout and returns price into the 4020-40 base

13:04 UTC

Downtrend reversing, sharp intraday bounce · RSI 72 · price 4,065.49

Session low reclaimed, fresh higher high.

Gold spiked to 4103 early then bled through London to a 4017 session low, printing a double base around 4018-4020. The last hour ripped back to 4071 as soft US PPI kept the USD offered, RSI(14) now hot near 72; price holding above the 4038 breakout base.

Support: 4,038.00, 4,017.40

Resistance: 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC (under 1h) is the single biggest near-term driver and could reverse this bounce
  • M15 close back below 4038 negates the breakout and re-opens 4017 session low
  • Reclaim of 4071 puts the repeatedly rejected 4100 zone back in play

12:47 UTC

Intraday rebound, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 4,062.32

Range break higher off the base.

Gold based around 4025-4040 through late London before a sharp NY push to 4066, with the last candle spiking +27 and RSI(14) near 71. The move broke the intraday range top; price offered slightly back to 4062 into the close.

Support: 4,038.00

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC (~70 min out) is the key near-term driver of this pair
  • Loss of 4038 breakout base returns price into the 4020-4040 range
  • 4066 session high — area to watch for rejection or a push toward the 4090 prior high

12:47 UTC

Turning up after basing · RSI 72 · price 4,062.32

Range break higher off intraday base.

Gold coiled in a 4017–4040 base through the NY session, then popped to a 4066 session high on the last two bars as softer US PPI knocked the dollar. RSI(14) is hot near 72 into the breakout, with the 4100/4110 shelf still the unbroken cap overhead.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,066.13, 4,100.00

What it said to watch

  • Warsh testimony ~14:00 UTC is the near-term driver and could reset this read
  • Loss of 4040 would put price back inside the prior range
  • Rejection at 4066 keeps the base intact; a close above opens the 4100 resistance

12:32 UTC

Recovering after selloff, momentum turning up · RSI 63 · price 4,049.82

Bounce off session low, higher lows forming.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print, then bled back to a 4017 session low; a double bottom near 4017-4020 held and price has recovered to 4050, roughly the 38.2% fib of that decline. The last bar jumped toward 4051 on the PPI release with RSI(14) near 62.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • PPI reaction and Fed's Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Close above 4062 prior high extends the recovery
  • Loss of 4017 session low resumes the downtrend

12:32 UTC

Recovering off session low, momentum turning up · RSI 65 · price 4,049.82

Base breakout from 4020-4033 range.

Gold spiked to 4051 on the current bar as the 12:30 GMT PPI batch hit, breaking out of the 4020-4033 base built through the NY session. Buyers defended 4017-4020 twice, and price is now testing the 38.2% retrace of the 4103-4017 decline with RSI(14) climbing near 64.

Support: 4,040.00, 4,025.00, 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,085.00, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4062 swing high extends the recovery toward 4085
  • Failure to hold 4040 pulls price back into the 4025 base
  • Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

12:17 UTC

Recovery off session low · RSI 59 · price 4,039.76

Higher lows building off 4017 base.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI then bled back to a 4017 session low before basing; a double-bottom near 4017-4020 has driven a recovery to 4040 with RSI(14) around 59. US PPI at 12:30 UTC lands imminently and is the immediate catalyst for the next leg.

Support: 4,030.00, 4,017.40

Resistance: 4,042.60, 4,054.70

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
  • Close above 4042.6 opens the path to the 4055 swing high
  • Failure to hold 4030 reopens the 4017 session low

12:17 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 59 · price 4,039.76

Range base holding, higher lows building.

Gold based twice near 4017 and is grinding back toward the 4042 session high, RSI(14) mid-range around 59 after yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 4103 fully unwound. Price sits above EMA20/50 with higher lows forming into the London-NY window.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.58, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT (~15m out) can materially shift this read
  • Close above 4042.58 opens the path back to 4062
  • Loss of 4017.41 confirms a lower low and reopens 4000 psych

12:03 UTC

Downtrend easing, base forming · RSI 57 · price 4,039.72

Faded off CPI spike, ranging over a double bottom near 4018.

Gold's ~2% CPI spike to 4103 faded steadily through the session, basing twice near 4018 before recovering to 4040 ahead of PPI. RSI(14) back near 57 as price reclaims EMA20; 4042 is the immediate cap.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT is imminent and could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4042 opens the path back toward 4058
  • Loss of 4018 base confirms a lower-low toward 4000 psych

12:03 UTC

Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 4,039.72

Higher lows from 4017 base.

NY session recovering off the 4017 session low back to 4040 after soft US CPI unwound Fed hike bets. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 4017–4020 and price is climbing a rising support line toward the 4055 swing high, RSI mid-range.

Support: 4,017.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4055 swing high opens path toward 4062 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4017 session low confirms a lower-low

11:47 UTC

Recovering off session lows after prior decline · RSI 57 · price 4,038.45

Consolidation above the 4017 base, micro higher lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then ground steadily lower into a 4017 base. Buyers stepped in around 4017–4020 and price has recovered to 4038 — roughly the 23.6% retrace of the drop — with RSI back to mid-range. Now consolidating between 4017 and the 4060 swing high.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,060.00, 4,080.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) could break the 4017–4060 consolidation
  • Close above 4060 opens the path back toward 4080
  • Loss of 4017 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych level

11:47 UTC

Recovering off session low, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 4,038.45

Ranging 4017-4040 after CPI spike faded, higher lows building.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI then bled back to a session low at 4017, and has since chopped in a 4017-4040 range building higher lows into the NY session. Last bars ground up to 4038 with RSI near 58 — buyers stepping in at 4027 but 4040 round number still capping.

Support: 4,027.00, 4,017.40

Resistance: 4,040.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read into the next bars
  • M15 close above 4040 opens the path back toward the 4062 prior swing
  • Failure to hold 4027 exposes the 4017 session low again

11:32 UTC

Range after spike, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 4,029.51

Consolidation post-CPI spike, holding above 4017.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI then bled back, printing a session low at 4017 before stabilising. Price is now coiling in a tight 4017-4036 range around EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 49 into the PPI print.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) can break the 4017-4036 range either way
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4017 confirms a lower low; close above 4036 opens 4062

11:32 UTC

Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 50 · price 4,029.51

Spiked to 4103, faded to a 4017–4036 range.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print yesterday, then bled steadily back to 4030, unwinding almost the entire move. Last ~8h has coiled in a tight 4017–4036 range with RSI neutral near 50; no directional setup while inside.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 GMT (within the hour) can break this range either way
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT is the key discretionary risk
  • M15 close below 4017 opens the 4000 psych handle
  • M15 close above 4036 reopens 4050

11:17 UTC

Faded post-spike, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 4,029.27

Range after CPI spike, holding 4018-4036.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print, then faded steadily and has retraced almost the entire impulse, now ranging 4018-4036 around 4029. Momentum is flat with RSI near 50; the prior floor at 4062 now caps, session low at 4018 holding.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could break this range
  • M15 close below 4018 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4000
  • M15 close above 4036 reopens the 4062 prior floor

11:17 UTC

Range after post-CPI spike faded · RSI 47 · price 4,029.27

Consolidation, 4017-4040 intraday range.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then bled back through the session, and is now consolidating 4017-4040 with RSI(14) flat near mid-range. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 as the post-CPI fade stalls ahead of PPI.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT can break the 4017-4040 range
  • M15 close below 4017 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim above 4040 session high reopens the 4062 prior high

11:03 UTC

Downtrend faded to consolidation · RSI 47 · price 4,029.84

Range after post-CPI spike fade.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then faded steadily back into the 4020s. The last ~8 hours have consolidated in a 4017–4036 band, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,017.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.50, 4,056.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036.5 opens a retest of 4056
  • Loss of 4017 exposes the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could break the range

11:03 UTC

Downtrend faded to range · RSI 49 · price 4,029.84

Consolidation after CPI spike fade.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print yesterday, then bled lower through the session in a chain of descending highs. Price is now consolidating 4017–4036, sitting on the EMA20 with RSI mid-range; the CPI spike fade has retraced most of the move.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT can materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4036 session high breaks the descending highs and reopens 4062
  • Loss of 4017 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 4000 psych level

10:47 UTC

Range after spike fade · RSI 51 · price 4,030.48

Consolidation between 4018–4036.

Gold is grinding in a 4018–4036 range after the CPI-driven spike to 4103 fully faded through the London session. RSI(14) sits near 51 with price pinned around 4030 just under the 4036 session high; the $4,000 psych level remains the downside pivot flagged by OCBC.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
  • M15 close above 4036 opens the path back toward 4046
  • Failure to hold 4017 confirms a lower-low and exposes 4000

10:47 UTC

Consolidating after CPI spike fade · RSI 52 · price 4,030.48

Range-bound 4018–4036.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI then faded back through the session, and price is now consolidating in a tight 4018–4036 band around the 4000 psych. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 with price pinned between EMA20 above and EMA50 below.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,058.06

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4017 session low opens the 4000 psych level
  • Close above 4036 range top reopens the 4058 swing
  • PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could break this range

10:32 UTC

Downtrend off spike, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 4,028.52

Range 4017–4036 after fade from 4103 high.

Gold is consolidating 4017–4036 after fading from the CPI-driven spike to 4103 earlier in the window, price hugging EMA20 near 4030 and capped by descending highs. Rejection at 4036 in the last hour with RSI(14) neutral near 47; PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,036.09

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 descending resistance reopens 4050
  • Loss of 4017 confirms a lower low
  • PPI 12:30 GMT / Warsh 14:00 GMT could break the range

10:32 UTC

Downtrend fading into range · RSI 47 · price 4,028.52

Consolidation after CPI-spike fade.

Gold vertical-spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled steadily through London to a 4017 session low. Price is now consolidating 4017-4036 around EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 47, with 12:30 UTC PPI the next catalyst.

Support: 4,017.41

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,041.00

What it said to watch

  • Close above 4036 range top opens 4041 prior high
  • Failure to hold 4017 session low confirms a lower-low
  • PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

10:17 UTC

Downtrend from spike, now basing · RSI 51 · price 4,032.63

Consolidation after CPI-spike fade.

Gold faded from yesterday's 4103 CPI-spike high down to a session low at 4017, and is now consolidating roughly 4017–4036 through London hours. RSI(14) neutral near 51, price back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50; PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.01, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 recent high opens the 4050 swing high
  • Loss of 4017 session low exposes the 4000 psych level
  • PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh 14:00 GMT could reprice this range

10:17 UTC

Downtrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 4,032.63

Range base after spike rejection.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled back, and the last six hours have been a tight consolidation between 4017 and 4036. Price is pinned near the 23.6% retrace of that fade with RSI neutral around 51; buyers stepped in twice at 4017 while 4036 keeps capping.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,054.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 range top opens the path to 4054
  • Break below 4017 swing low confirms a lower low toward 4000 psych
  • Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

10:03 UTC

Downtrend off post-CPI spike, now flattening · RSI 47 · price 4,028.80

Range within a broader intraday pullback.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled lower through London, and is now ranging 4018-4036 either side of the EMAs with price at 4028. Grind is corrective rather than impulsive; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47. US PPI at 12:30 UTC lands within the hour and is the pivot for whether this range holds.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4018 confirms a lower low and opens 4000 psych
  • Reclaim and hold above 4036 range top negates the pullback structure

10:03 UTC

Downtrend from CPI spike, now flat · RSI 48 · price 4,028.80

Lower highs off 4103, basing 4017-4035.

Gold spiked ~2% to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print, then faded through a clean lower-high sequence to a session low at 4017. Last few hours have flattened into a 4017-4035 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47 after the bounce off the low.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4035 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4017 session low opens the 4000 round number
  • Core PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could reshape this range

09:47 UTC

Faded off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 47 · price 4,026.61

Consolidation after impulsive spike and fade.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI then bled back steadily; the last several hours have consolidated in a 4017-4036 range. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price pinned just under EMA20/50 — no directional impulse in play.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,009.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 range high reopens the fade zone toward 4053
  • Failure to hold 4017 session low exposes the 4009 range floor
  • US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT can break this range

09:47 UTC

Downtrend off spike high, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 4,026.61

Consolidating near session lows after CPI spike fade.

Yesterday's CPI-miss spike to 4103 has bled off steadily; XAU is now consolidating between the 4017 session low and the 4035 range top, holding just under EMA20/50. Price stalled at 4026 with RSI mid-range — no directional conviction into the US data window.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,035.00, 4,050.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4017 confirms a lower low and opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim above 4035 range top would target 4050 swing high
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend off spike high, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 4,028.08

Range after retracing the CPI spike.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then bled the entire move back, now consolidating 4017–4035 around a flat EMA20. Grind lower has stalled at the 4017 session low with a shallow bounce into current 4028; PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,035.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4017 session low opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4035 swing high needed to challenge the 4062 prior high
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend off spike, now basing · RSI 46 · price 4,028.08

Lower highs since CPI spike, ranging 4017-4036.

Gold spiked to ~4103 on the soft June CPI reaction then faded steadily through the session to a 4017 low; the last several hours have coiled into a 4017-4036 range with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with sellers capping at the descending 4036/4062 highs.

Support: 4,017.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4017 opens a path toward the 4000 psych level
  • Close above 4036 breaks the lower-high chain toward 4062

09:17 UTC

Post-spike drift lower, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,029.80

Consolidation inside 4017-4036 after CPI spike faded.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print then bled steadily lower through the session, and is now consolidating in a 4017-4036 band around 4030. Buyers stepped in near 4017 twice while 4036 has capped the bounces; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) could break this range decisively
  • M15 close below 4017 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4000 psych
  • M15 close above 4036 range top reopens the descending highs from the spike

09:17 UTC

Intraday downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,029.80

Bled off CPI spike, ranging 4018-4035.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then bled steadily through the session to a 4017 low, and is now consolidating 4018-4035 with RSI(14) flat near 49. The rebound off 4018 has stalled under 4035; move is corrective ahead of US PPI.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,035.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • US Core PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4018 confirms a lower low toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4035 opens the path back to 4062
  • Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT tone into NY session

09:04 UTC

Downtrend off spike, basing · RSI 50 · price 4,031.99

Lower highs since CPI spike, bouncing off session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI then ground lower through the session to a 4018 low, where buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 4032 into London hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and price is pinned to the EMA20 but below the EMA50. US PPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read within the next bar
  • M15 close below 4018 session low opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4055 prior range needed to challenge the sequence of lower highs

09:04 UTC

Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 4,031.99

Consolidating after CPI spike unwound.

The CPI print spiked gold to 4103 yesterday, but the entire move has since bled off through the session back to 4032. Price is now consolidating roughly 4018–4036 into the London morning with RSI(14) neutral near 48; the swing high at 4036 caps and 4018 marks the session low.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,009.00

Resistance: 4,056.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and can break this range in either direction
  • M15 close above 4036 swing high reopens the 4056 range top
  • Loss of 4018 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 4009

08:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,028.88

Ranging 4018-4036 after fade from CPI spike.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print then faded steadily back through 4050s, and the last several hours have coiled into a tight 4018-4036 range. Sellers capped the 4036 swing high while demand held twice near 4018; RSI(14) flat mid-range around 45 with price pinned to EMA20.

Support: 4,018.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,055.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4018 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4036 opens the 4050-4055 prior supply
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could break the range either way

08:47 UTC

Downtrend off spike high, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 4,028.88

Lower highs since 4103, basing above 4017.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print then faded steadily through the session to a 4017 low, now consolidating near 4028 below EMA20/50. Recent high at 4036 is capping bounces while buyers stepped in twice around 4017.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 recent high opens the path to 4058 swing high
  • Loss of 4017 session low exposes 4000 psych
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could reset this read

08:32 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 4,027.19

Lower highs, ranging near lows.

Gold's CPI-driven spike to 4103 yesterday has fully unwound, price grinding back through pre-spike levels and now ranging 4017–4036. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.

Support: 4,017.41

What it said to watch

  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT (~1h out) could re-arm or unwind the post-CPI move
  • Close below 4017 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high chain
  • Reclaim of 4036 recent high needed to break the descending sequence

08:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 43 · price 4,027.19

Faded post-CPI spike, consolidating above session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print then bled steadily lower through London, now consolidating around 4020-4036 just above the 4017 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the CPI-driven surge has fully unwound and the tape is range-bound into the PPI release.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,054.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4017 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036 recent high shifts the read back toward 4054 swing high
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, retracing CPI spike · RSI 41 · price 4,021.43

Lower highs, testing session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then bled back through the London-NY sessions and has now fully unwound the pop, printing 4021. Price is grinding lower along descending resistance with RSI(14) mid-range; the 4017 swing low is being tested with 4000 psychological just beneath.

Support: 4,017.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4017 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4036 swing high needed to break the descending sequence
  • Core PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

08:17 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 4,021.43

Lower highs since 4103, grinding into session lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then faded steadily, printing lower highs down into the 4017 session low. Price is now pinned near those lows below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s; 4036 caps the immediate upside.

Support: 4,017.41, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.55, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4017.41 opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036.55 breaks the lower-high chain
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could reset this read

08:03 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session low · RSI 41 · price 4,021.80

Lower highs, retesting recent lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then fully unwound; the last 24h has been a steady grind lower with a clean chain of lower highs. Price now sits on the session low near 4020, RSI(14) subdued around 41.

Support: 4,019.79, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.50

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4019 opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036.5 breaks the lower-high chain
  • PPI batch at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

08:03 UTC

Fading lower after CPI spike · RSI 43 · price 4,021.80

Lower highs, holding a 4020 base.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then bled lower all session, now drifting into 4020 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Last hours have ranged 4020–4036 under a chain of lower highs; session low at 4019.79 the pivot.

Support: 4,019.79, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.09

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4019.79 opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could reset this range

07:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 41 · price 4,022.07

Consolidating near session lows after full spike retrace.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled the entire move back, now grinding along session lows in a 4020-4036 consolidation. RSI(14) near 40 and price below EMA20/50; sellers have set a chain of lower highs since 4062.

Support: 4,020.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 confirms a lower low and opens 4013
  • Reclaim of 4036 needed to break the consolidation higher
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend from CPI spike, now consolidating · RSI 41 · price 4,022.07

Lower highs off 4103, ranging 4020-4036 into current bar.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then bled lower through the session in a chain of lower highs, now pinned near the 4020 session low. Last five hours have compressed into a 4020-4036 range with RSI(14) mid-40s, no clear break either way.

Support: 4,020.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 opens the 4013 prior low
  • reclaim of 4036 recent high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend fading, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 4,023.75

Consolidation near lower edge of intraday range.

Gold has bled lower off yesterday's post-CPI spike to 4103, now grinding the lower edge of a 4020-4036 range with price at 4023.75 and RSI(14) mid-40s. Rejections have capped every push into 4036 through the Asian session; 4020 has held so far.

Support: 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 opens the path to the 4000 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 4036 needed to reopen 4058
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT then Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could break this range

07:32 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 4,023.75

Lower highs since 4103, testing 4020 base.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI then faded the entire move, grinding lower through the session into the 4020 base with RSI(14) mid-40s. A chain of lower highs caps rallies while buyers keep defending 4020 — price now sits at the lower edge of that range.

Support: 4,020.13, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4020 opens the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036 swing high needed to stall the lower-highs sequence
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and could shift this read

07:17 UTC

Pullback lower after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,029.18

Lower highs off 4103, consolidating near session lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled back through London, carving lower highs down to the 4021 session low. Now consolidating 4021–4036 with RSI in the mid-40s and price under both EMAs; no directional setup in play.

Support: 4,021.30

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • Break below 4021 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
  • Close above 4042 breaks the descending lower-high sequence
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,029.18

Consolidation after fade from 4103.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then faded through the session in a stair-step decline (the 'cpi fade'). Last few hours have gone flat, ranging 4022-4041 with price hugging 4029; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum edge.

Support: 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,041.00, 4,054.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4022 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim above 4041 opens the path back toward 4054
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:03 UTC

Fading after CPI spike, range-bound · RSI 45 · price 4,030.78

Range with lower highs off 4103 peak.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI then bled back, and London hours have it ranging roughly 4021-4058 with a chain of lower highs (4062, 4058, 4041). Price sits mid-range at 4030 with RSI(14) neutral near 45; buyers defended 4021 twice this morning while 4041 caps the bounces.

Support: 4,021.30, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,041.00, 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a lower low and opens the 4000 psych zone
  • Reclaim of 4041 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

07:03 UTC

Intraday downtrend, fading the CPI spike · RSI 46 · price 4,030.78

Lower highs since the 4103 spike, basing near 4020.

Gold rocketed to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then bled back through the session to 4030, unwinding most of the spike. Now chopping between 4021 and 4036, RSI(14) mid-range with price under EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,021.30, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.55, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 4036.55 would break the sequence of lower highs
  • Loss of 4021.30 opens the 4000 psych level
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Pullback stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 4,031.67

Consolidation after CPI spike faded.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then bled back through the session and is now ranging 4021-4041, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI neutral near 46. Buyers stepped in twice at 4021 in recent hours; range top around 4041 still capping.

Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,041.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4021 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • M15 close above 4041 reopens the 4060 swing high
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Downtrend off spike, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 4,031.67

Retracement of CPI spike, now consolidating.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft-CPI USD unwind, then bled steadily lower through the day to trade the low 4030s. Price is now consolidating between the 4021 session low and 4036 recent high in the Asian session, RSI(14) mid-range near 45 after cooling from the surge.

Support: 4,021.30

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4036 needed to unwind the fade
  • Core PPI at 12:30 GMT (~6h out) could re-arm USD and materially shift this read

06:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, post-spike fade · RSI 41 · price 4,025.05

Lower highs since CPI spike, pressing session lows.

Yesterday's CPI spike to 4103 has fully faded, with price now drifting to session lows near 4021 and RSI(14) sub-45. A chain of lower highs from 4058 caps the tape as the softer US CPI bounce unwinds; sellers held the 4036 swing high on the last push.

Support: 4,021.30, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00, 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a lower low, opening the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4036 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain

06:32 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 42 · price 4,025.05

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print, then bled back through the session in a chain of lower highs. Asia now ranging 4021–4036 with RSI(14) mid-40s; sellers capped each bounce below 4058 and the session low at 4021 is holding.

Support: 4,021.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4021 confirms a lower-low toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4036 range top eases the downside pressure

06:17 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 4,027.21

Retracement of CPI spike, consolidating.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print then bled steadily back to 4027 overnight, unwinding most of the move. Early London has it consolidating 4022-4036, RSI(14) mid-range and price under both EMAs.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4036 range top would end the fade and reopen 4054
  • Loss of 4022 confirms a lower-low toward 4014 then 4000
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reshape this read

06:17 UTC

Pullback off spike, momentum easing · RSI 44 · price 4,027.21

Lower highs, range 4022-4058.

Gold has bled back after yesterday's post-CPI spike to 4103, printing lower highs and now consolidating 4022-4058 with RSI(14) mid-range. Sellers capped 4058 during the late US session; buyers defended 4022 twice into the Asia-London handover. PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,022.00

What it said to watch

  • PPI at 12:30 GMT (in ~6h) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 4058 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 4022 opens the 4014 session low

06:03 UTC

Downtrend off post-CPI spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 4,033.36

Lower highs since 4103 spike, consolidating near session lows.

Yesterday's soft-CPI spike to 4103 faded steadily through the NY-Asia sessions, price now consolidating 4022-4041 in early London. RSI(14) mid-range near 45 with no momentum; the fade off the spike remains the dominant structure.

Support: 4,022.19

Resistance: 4,041.89

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4041.89 breaks the descending high sequence
  • Loss of 4022.19 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4013
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 42 · price 4,028.14

Lower highs, lower lows since CPI top.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print yesterday, then bled steadily lower through the window in a chain of lower highs, now sitting near the 4022 session low. RSI(14) sub-45 with price under both EMAs; the CPI relief pop has been fully retraced.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4022 confirms continuation toward 4013/4000
  • Reclaim of 4042 would break the lower-high sequence

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 43 · price 4,028.14

Lower highs since spike, coiling near lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then bled back steadily, printing lower highs and now coiling near the session low at 4022. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; buyers stepped in twice around 4022-4025 but 4041 caps the bounce.

Support: 4,022.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,041.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4022 confirms a lower low, exposing 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4041 recent swing would break the lower-high sequence
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 42 · price 4,025.30

Lower highs since 4103 spike, retesting pre-spike base.

Gold spiked ~2% to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then faded through the session and is now back at 4025 — effectively unwinding the whole move. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs; RSI(14) mid-40s with price under EMA20/50, and the small 4028–4036 consolidation just broke lower into Asian hours.

Support: 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 4022 swing low opens the pre-spike base toward 4013
  • Reclaim of 4036 session high negates the lower-high sequence

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 36 · price 4,025.30

Lower highs and lower lows since CPI spike faded.

The CPI-driven spike to 4103 yesterday has fully faded and XAU is back at pre-spike 4025 in the Asian session, carving lower highs and lower lows. RSI(14) near 36 with price under EMA20/50; sellers are pressing the session low at 4022.

Support: 4,022.00

Resistance: 4,036.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4022 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 4036 needed to break the chain of descending highs
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 38 · price 4,026.08

Lower highs, lower lows since spike top.

Gold spiked ~$80 to 4103 on soft US CPI yesterday, then bled steadily lower through the Asia session into London open. Price now presses the 4025 session low with RSI(14) near 37; chain of lower highs intact under a declining 4042/4062 supply zone.

Support: 4,025.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4042 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4025 opens the path toward 4013 and the 4000 psych pivot
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, retracing post-CPI spike · RSI 39 · price 4,026.08

Lower highs, lower lows since 4062.

Gold's post-CPI spike to 4103 has fully faded through Asia hours, price grinding lower in a lower-high/lower-low chain and now pressing the 4025 session low. RSI(14) near 39, sub-40 but not yet stretched; below both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,025.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4025 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing 4013 then 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4042 would break the intraday lower-high sequence
  • US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC can materially shift this read

05:04 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 4,035.99

Lower highs since the spike, now consolidating in a lower range.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then faded steadily through NY, and is now consolidating 4028–4042 in the Asian session with RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. Structure is a chain of lower highs off the spike; the recent 4028 low is capping downside for now.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close below 4028 opens the path toward 4020/4000
  • Reclaim of 4042 would break the recent lower-high chain

05:04 UTC

Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 4,035.99

Lower highs off 4062, basing near 4030.

Gold faded from the post-CPI high near 4062 through the Asia session, printing a swing low at 4028 before basing around 4030-4036. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20 and EMA50; the tape is coiling 4028-4042 ahead of US PPI at 12:30 UTC.

Support: 4,028.11, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.20, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4028 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4042 targets the 4062 swing high
  • US PPI at 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could reset this range

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 43 · price 4,031.11

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

Gold has bled back to the 4030s after yesterday's CPI-driven spike to 4103, printing a chain of lower highs from 4062 through the London-NY handover. Now ranging 4028-4042 into early London hours, RSI(14) mid-40s with momentum flattening.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,017.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 session low opens the path toward 4017 prior low and the 4000 psych mark
  • Reclaim of 4042 swing high challenges the lower-high sequence
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend off CPI spike, fade slowing · RSI 42 · price 4,031.11

Lower highs, consolidating near lows.

Yesterday's CPI-driven spike to $4,103 has steadily faded through the session, printing lower highs down to the 4028 session low. Asia hours are quiet, consolidating 4028–4042 with price under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) mid-range.

Support: 4,028.00

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4042 recent high breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 4028 session low opens the 4013 prior low
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 4,033.94

Lower highs off 4103 spike, ranging near lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft CPI print then bled back, and the Asia session now has price consolidating between 4028 and 4042 after a run of lower highs from 4062. Momentum is flat, RSI(14) mid-40s, price below both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,028.11, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4042 range high opens the path to 4054
  • Loss of 4028 range low exposes the 4000 psych pivot
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

04:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 4,033.94

Lower highs into 4028-4042 consolidation.

The CPI-driven spike to 4103 has bled off all session, gold grinding lower through a chain of lower highs into the Asian hours and printing 4028. Price is now consolidating 4028-4042 with RSI(14) mid-40s; both EMAs sit overhead.

Support: 4,028.11

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Close back above 4042 breaks the descending high sequence
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 43 · price 4,031.10

Lower highs since spike top, basing at session low.

Gold's CPI-driven squeeze to 4103 yesterday has bled back to 4031, printing a steady chain of lower highs through London and NY. Price is now basing on the 4028 session low with RSI(14) mid-40s; the intraday fade has retraced most of the post-print spike.

Support: 4,028.11

Resistance: 4,042.20

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4028 opens the pre-spike 4013 area
  • Reclaim of 4042 breaks the lower-high chain
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could reprice this read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-spike · RSI 44 · price 4,031.10

Lower highs since the CPI spike, consolidating near session lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print, then bled steadily lower and is now consolidating 4028-4042 into early London. RSI(14) mid-range as the fade loses pace; price sits below EMA20/50. US PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.

Support: 4,028.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,056.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a lower-low and opens 4020 then 4000
  • Reclaim above 4042 challenges the 4056 swing high
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend from CPI spike, momentum slowing · RSI 42 · price 4,033.27

Lower highs off 4103, now consolidating 4029-4042.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then bled steadily lower through NY, printing lower highs. Asia session now consolidating a narrow 4029-4042 band with RSI(14) around 41; supply capping every push toward 4042.

Support: 4,029.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,055.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Close above 4042 opens the path to 4055
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend after post-CPI spike faded · RSI 41 · price 4,033.27

Lower highs, lower lows since spike top.

The CPI-driven spike to 4103 has fully unwound; gold ground back down through the Asian session in a lower-high chain and now sits near the session low around 4028. RSI(14) mid-40s, no downside exhaustion yet as price hovers just under the 4042 intraday high.

Support: 4,028.11

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4042 breaks the descending lower-high chain
  • US PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, spike fully retraced · RSI 36 · price 4,030.66

Lower highs, back at pre-spike base.

Gold's CPI-driven spike to 4103 during NY hours has fully faded through the Asia session, back to the 4030 pre-spike base with RSI(14) near 36. Lower highs at 4062 and 4042 cap the decline; price is now retesting the 4028 session low.

Support: 4,028.11

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.00, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4028 opens a leg toward the 4013 prior base
  • Reclaim of 4042 then 4062 would stem the fade
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could re-ignite two-way volatility

03:47 UTC

Pullback lower, lower highs building · RSI 39 · price 4,030.66

Grinding down off the CPI spike, testing session low.

Gold spiked ~2% to 4103 on the soft US CPI print, then bled lower through the NY-Asia handover, printing a lower-high chain from 4062. Price is now pressing the 4029 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s; below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,029.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 confirms a lower-low and opens the path to 4000
  • Reclaim of 4042 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 41 · price 4,030.36

Lower highs into session low.

The CPI miss spiked gold to 4103 around 12:30 GMT, but the entire Asia session has bled that move lower — a chain of lower highs now sitting at the session low near 4029. Rejection at 4042 held and RSI(14) is soft near 41, with the 4000 psych level the next reference below.

Support: 4,029.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,058.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 confirms a fresh lower low toward 4000
  • Reclaim of 4042 would stall the fade and reopen 4058
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, near session low · RSI 37 · price 4,030.36

Lower highs, grinding into swing low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft CPI print then faded steadily through the session, now pressing the 4029 swing low with price below EMA20/50. Lower highs into Asia hours keep the intraday tone offered, RSI(14) around 37 but not yet oversold.

Support: 4,029.20, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 confirms a lower low, opening 4000 psych
  • Reclaim of 4054 session high would break the descending sequence
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT plus Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Downtrend off spike high, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 4,034.00

Lower highs since CPI spike, now basing near lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded steadily through the session and is now consolidating between 4029 and 4042. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; the recent low at 4029 is holding into early Asia hours.

Support: 4,029.20, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,042.00

What it said to watch

  • Close below 4029 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4042 recent high would challenge the lower-high sequence
  • PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-spike · RSI 40 · price 4,034.00

Lower highs off the CPI spike, testing recent low.

Gold ripped to 4103 on the soft US CPI print ~15h ago, then faded steadily through NY into Asia to sit near 4034. Lower-high chain intact and RSI(14) cooling around 40; buyers stepped in at the 4029 swing low but 4042 is capping bounces.

Support: 4,029.20

Resistance: 4,042.00, 4,062.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029.2 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 4062 session high negates the fade
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

03:03 UTC

Downtrend, fading the CPI spike · RSI 41 · price 4,036.16

Lower highs since the 4103 spike, pressing toward $4,000.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss then bled lower through NY and into the Asian session, carving lower highs and now trading ~4036 above the 4029 swing low. RSI(14) near 41 with price under both EMAs; the $4,000 psychological pivot is the next area to watch below.

Support: 4,029.20

Resistance: 4,062.11, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 4029 swing low opens the $4,000 psych pivot
  • Reclaim of 4062 session high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
  • PPI 12:30 GMT / Warsh testimony could reset this read

03:03 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 42 · price 4,036.16

Lower highs off spike top, testing intraday support.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print then bled lower through the NY-Asia handover, printing lower highs and breaking down from 4054. Price is now probing 4029 swing-low support with RSI(14) mid-40s; the move is a relief bounce fade, not a trend turn.

Support: 4,029.20, 4,000.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4054 invalidates the lower-high fade
  • Failure to hold 4029 opens the 4000 psych level
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

02:47 UTC

Post-spike pullback, momentum soft · RSI 38 · price 4,041.05

Lower highs, consolidation broken down.

Yesterday's CPI-miss spike to 4103 faded steadily through the session, and price broke down from the 4047–4062 consolidation into Asian hours, printing a lower low at 4029 before a modest bounce to 4041. RSI(14) near 38 with price under EMA20/50 — pullback still in control, 4055 capping.

Support: 4,029.20, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,062.10

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4055 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4029 swing low opens the 4000 psych level
  • PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially reset this read

02:47 UTC

Downtrend since CPI spike, momentum easing · RSI 40 · price 4,041.05

Lower highs off 4103, testing session lows.

Gold spiked ~2% to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then faded through the session in a chain of lower highs. Price is now probing the 4029-4033 low zone, with a small bounce to 4041; RSI(14) hovering below 40 but not yet oversold.

Support: 4,033.00, 4,029.20

Resistance: 4,062.11, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029.2 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 4062 needed to break the lower-high sequence
  • PPI 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 36 · price 4,035.63

Lower highs off 4060, testing session lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI miss, then faded through the session; price has bled back to ~4036, roughly where it sat before the print. Lower highs off 4060 with RSI(14) near 36 — momentum leaning down into Asia hours, though buyers stepped in at 4029.

Support: 4,029.00, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00, 4,060.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 opens 4020, then the 4000 psych level
  • Reclaim of 4055 needed to stall the fade off 4060
  • PPI (12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read

02:32 UTC

Downtrend, post-spike fade · RSI 37 · price 4,035.63

Lower highs since CPI spike, testing session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI print then bled steadily lower through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs and now probing the session low near 4029. Momentum is heavy with RSI(14) in the mid-30s and price trading below both EMAs; the 4056 swing high capped the last bounce.

Support: 4,029.20

Resistance: 4,056.11, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4029 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of the 4056 swing high needed to stall the fade
  • PPI at 12:30 GMT + Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 31 · price 4,035.59

Range break lower, fresh session low.

Gold spiked to ~4103 on yesterday's soft CPI then bled lower through the Asian session, breaking the 4047-4062 range and printing a fresh low at 4034. RSI(14) near 30 as the last two bars sold off hard; broken range base at ~4054 now caps.

Support: 4,034.05, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,054.00, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 4054 would neutralise the downside range break
  • Loss of 4034 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

02:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum weak post-spike · RSI 33 · price 4,035.59

Lower highs since CPI spike, fresh session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI in the NY session, then bled steadily lower through the Asian session as the relief bid faded. Price has broken the 4048 shelf and printed a fresh session low at 4034, RSI(14) near 32 with the pair trading below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 4,034.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,055.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4055 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break of 4034 opens the path to the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

02:03 UTC

Downtrend, fading post-CPI spike · RSI 33 · price 4,036.40

Lower highs, breaking range low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print then faded through the entire session; the last M15 bar broke the 4046–4062 range lower, sweeping the session low near 4035 with RSI(14) sub-35. Lower highs remain intact from the post-CPI top.

Support: 4,035.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,103.00

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 4062 session high negates the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 4035 opens the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

02:03 UTC

Downtrend since CPI-spike fade · RSI 35 · price 4,036.40

Lower highs, pressing session lows.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print during NY, then bled lower all session; Asia hours are now driving a fresh leg down from 4062 to session lows near 4036 with RSI(14) around 35. Lower highs remain intact and price sits below both EMAs.

Support: 4,035.60, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,062.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4062 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 4035.6 opens the path toward the 4000 psych pivot
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Downtrend off spike, momentum fading · RSI 39 · price 4,039.17

Consolidation broken lower, printing lower low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft US CPI print then faded, consolidating 4045–4062 through the NY session. The Asia session sliced below the range, tagging a session low at 4036.68 with RSI(14) near 39; 4062 caps as descending resistance.

Support: 4,036.68, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,062.11, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4062 invalidates the range-break read
  • Failure to hold 4036.68 opens the path toward the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, post-spike fade · RSI 34 · price 4,039.17

Lower highs, breaking Asian range floor.

Gold spiked to 4103 on yesterday's soft US CPI, then faded through NY and coiled in a 4048-4062 Asian range. Early Asia just broke the range floor with a sharp drop to 4036.68, RSI(14) near 34; sellers are pressing the lower end after repeated rejection at 4062.

Support: 4,036.68, 4,020.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,056.00, 4,062.11

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 4056 invalidates the range-break read
  • Failure to hold 4036.68 opens the 4020 prior range and 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT (high impact) could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Post-spike consolidation, drifting lower · RSI 48 · price 4,052.22

Range-bound below spike high, lower highs.

Gold ripped +~2% on the soft June CPI print (spike bar to 4103) then handed most of it back, now grinding in a 4046–4062 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price coiling under a series of lower highs off 4103.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,062.10

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4062 reopens the 4090 spike zone
  • Break of 4046 confirms a lower low toward 4043
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

01:32 UTC

Faded off spike high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,052.22

Consolidation between 4043 and 4062 after CPI spike.

Yesterday's soft US CPI drove a ~2% vertical spike to 4103, which has since bled off toward the 4043–4062 range through the Asia session. Price is now pinned just under EMA20/50 near 4052, RSI(14) mid-range; recent bounces have capped at 4062 while 4043 has held on dips.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,062.11, 4,076.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4062 opens a retest of the 4076 shelf
  • Failure to hold 4043 confirms a lower low toward the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT later today could re-fire volatility and shift this read

01:17 UTC

Range after post-CPI spike faded · RSI 54 · price 4,055.74

Consolidation, holding above session low.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print around the 12:30 GMT release, then faded and has ranged 4043–4062 through the Asia session on thinning volume. Price sits at 4055, above EMA20 but under EMA50, with buyers defending 4043 twice and supply capping near 4062.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4062 extends the recovery toward the 4090 cpi high
  • Failure to hold 4043 confirms a lower-low and opens the 4030 area
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony later could reset this range

01:17 UTC

Ranging, post-spike consolidation · RSI 54 · price 4,055.74

Range-bound after CPI spike unwind.

Asia session is ranging 4047-4062 after yesterday's soft-CPI spike to 4103 faded back through the session. Price is mid-range at 4055 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; buyers stepped in twice at 4047 while supply capped attempts at 4062.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,043.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,062.00, 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4062 breaks the range top toward 4066
  • Failure to hold 4043 opens the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could break the range either way

01:04 UTC

Recovered on CPI, now consolidating · RSI 56 · price 4,060.79

Range-bound below post-spike high.

Gold ripped from ~4030 to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then bled back and has been consolidating in a 4043-4066 band through the Asia session. Price sits mid-range at 4060, holding above EMA20 but pinned under the 4066 range top; RSI(14) neutral near 56.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,029.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 range top reopens the 4090 post-cpi high
  • Failure to hold the 4043 session low exposes the 4029 pre-cpi zone
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT is a high-impact catalyst that could break this range

01:04 UTC

Post-spike consolidation, flat · RSI 56 · price 4,060.79

Ranging after CPI rally, tightening into Asia.

Gold spiked ~2% to 4103 on yesterday's NY CPI miss, then faded and has spent the Asia session grinding in a 4043-4066 band. Price is creeping back to 4060 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional resolution yet, session high at 4065 still capping.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,065.50, 4,103.04

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 opens the path back toward the 4090 spike high
  • Failure to hold 4043 swing low exposes the 4000 psych pivot
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

00:47 UTC

Faded from CPI spike, now flat · RSI 55 · price 4,055.67

Consolidation after spike rejection.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print during NY hours, then faded steadily back to a swing low at 4043. Price is now ranging 4043–4058 through the Asia session, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the CPI move with RSI(14) neutral around 55.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,058.50, 4,066.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4058.5 range top would resume the push toward 4066
  • Failure to hold 4043 swing low opens the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI later today could re-fire the inflation read and shift this consolidation

00:47 UTC

Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 4,055.67

Consolidating below post-spike high, micro higher lows.

Gold ripped to 4103 on the soft June CPI miss, then faded and has consolidated between 4043 and 4066 through the Asia session, currently 4055 with RSI(14) mid-range. Micro higher lows are building above 4043 but the 4066 range top is capping.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 reopens the 4090 post-spike high
  • Loss of 4043 session low exposes the 4000 psych level
  • US PPI at 12:30 GMT is the next inflation catalyst

00:33 UTC

Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 4,056.54

Consolidation below faded spike high.

The soft June CPI print at 12:30 GMT drove a spike to 4103 that faded through NY back below 4066; price now consolidates 4043–4058 in quiet Asia hours, hovering near the 61.8% retrace of the CPI impulse. RSI(14) neutral around 53, no directional structure in play.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,058.00, 4,066.00, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4058 session high reopens 4066 then post-cpi high 4090
  • Failure to hold 4043 swing low confirms a lower-low
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

00:32 UTC

Range-bound after CPI spike faded · RSI 55 · price 4,056.54

Consolidating between 4043 and 4066.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print then faded through the session, settling into a 4043–4066 range. Price is drifting in the upper half around 4056 during thin late-Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 55; EMA20 reclaimed but EMA50 still overhead.

Support: 4,043.00, 4,000.00

Resistance: 4,066.00, 4,090.00, 4,103.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4066 opens the path back toward 4090
  • Loss of 4043 exposes the 4000 psych pivot
  • US PPI later today (12:30 GMT) could break this range

00:17 UTC

Range after CPI spike faded · RSI 50 · price 4,052.88

Consolidation, mid-range.

Yesterday's soft US CPI spiked gold to ~4103 before a steady fade to 4043; through the Asia session price has coiled in a tight 4046–4057 band, now mid-range at 4053. Momentum flat, RSI(14) near 49 — no directional setup in play.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,056.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4057 range high opens the path to 4066
  • Loss of 4043 swing low resumes the CPI-fade lower
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could break this range

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 4,052.88

Range after post-CPI spike faded.

The soft June CPI spiked gold to 4103 during NY hours before the move fully faded back to the swing low at 4043. Into the Asia session price is consolidating 4047-4056 around a flattening EMA20, RSI neutral near 48 with the range top at 4056 capping.

Support: 4,047.00, 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,056.00, 4,065.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4056 range top opens the swing high at 4065
  • Loss of 4047 session low exposes the 4043 swing low
  • US PPI 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

00:03 UTC

Range after post-CPI fade · RSI 48 · price 4,052.76

Consolidation near 4050 following spike retrace.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the cooler June CPI print then faded steadily, and has spent the Asia session pinned in a tight 4043–4057 range around 4050. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is coiled just under the 4057 recent high with sellers capping repeated attempts.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,056.95

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 4043 session low opens a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 4057 recent high needed to break the range top
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

00:03 UTC

Range after CPI spike · RSI 49 · price 4,052.76

Consolidating below post-CPI high.

Gold spiked to 4103 on the soft June CPI print, then faded and is now ranging 4043–4064 through the Asia session with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price is coiling just under EMA20 after supply capped the 4064 area; the 4000 psychological pivot holds well below.

Support: 4,043.00

Resistance: 4,064.00, 4,090.00

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 4064 opens the path back toward 4090
  • Failure to hold 4043 confirms a lower-low
  • US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read

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