Week-high rejection, lower-high forming after FOMC drop.
Gold climbed steadily from Monday's session into the $4,382 week high before the hawkish FOMC SEP and a hot 0.9% retail sales print sparked a near-110-point collapse to 4219. Price has since broken below the week's rising support and both EMAs, basing around 4265 with RSI(14) reset into the high-30s. The $4,300 pivot, lost on the drop, now caps the bounce.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot needed to repair the broken structure
Loss of 4219 crash low opens the path to 4200 psych level
Jobless claims and Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the post-FOMC move
Week's rally rejected at 4382, impulsive breakdown.
Gold climbed steadily from Monday's 4080 base to a fresh week high at 4382 into the FOMC, then collapsed roughly 160 dollars in three NY-session bars as the hawkish dot-plot revision and a hot 0.9% retail sales print revived Fed-hike risk. Price knifed through EMA20 and EMA50 and now sits at 4257, near the 38.2% retrace of the week's advance with RSI cracking toward 37. The 4382 high stands as a clear rejection; the rebound's structure is broken below the 4300 pivot.
Support: 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would begin to repair the breakdown
Loss of 4200 psych opens the path toward 4024
Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the move
Gold ground higher all week toward 4382 on a soft dollar, then the hawkish FOMC dot-plot revision and a hot 0.9% retail sales print sparked a violent ~160-point reversal, slicing through the 4300-4380 range that held since midweek. Price has recovered off the 4219 low to 4257 but sits well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI back near 38. The 4300 pivot now flips to overhead resistance.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4300 pivot would stabilise the breakdown
Loss of 4219 opens 4200 then lower
Jobless Claims & Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the move
Gold ground higher all week to a 4382 week high before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot and a hot 0.9% retail sales print triggered a violent rejection through the NY session, dumping price ~160 dollars to 4219 before a partial recover to 4257. The move sliced clean through the 4300 pivot, flipping H1 structure to a lower high with RSI(14) rolling toward 38. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4300 pivot needed to repair the break
Loss of 4219 session low and the 4200 psych level opens deeper downside
Thu jobless claims / Philly Fed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high posted, breaking below week's rising support.
Gold ground higher all week toward 4382 before a hawkish FOMC — lifted dots and a hot 0.9% retail sales beat — slammed it back through the 4300 pivot in the NY session, a 160-dollar candle that erased two days of grind. Price now sits at 4243, well below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) flushed toward oversold. The week's rising-low support has been broken, flipping intraday structure lower.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4300 pivot would repair the rebound
Failure to hold 4219 opens 4200 then lower
Jobless claims & Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could extend the move
Gold spiked to 4382 then collapsed over 150 dollars into the FOMC outcome — a hawkish hold with the dot plot lifted and a 0.9% retail sales beat reviving Fed-hike risk and capping the Iran-deal rebound. Price has now sliced through the 4300 pivot that held all week and the 4332 consolidation mid, printing a session low at 4219 before a thin stabilisation near 4243. RSI has crashed toward 32 and price sits well below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week.
Support: 4,219.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,332.00
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4300 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 4219 session low opens 4200 psych then deeper supports
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
Gold trended higher all week off the gap-up open above 4280, tagging a 4382 week high before the hawkish FOMC dot-plot reversed it in a single hour — a ~110-point drop on heavy volume back to the 4300 pivot. RSI(14) rolled from overbought and price has slipped below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time since the gap. The spike low at 4270 marks the immediate floor while the 4300 pivot now caps from above.
Support: 4,270.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,344.00, 4,382.39
What it said to watch
Hold above 4300 keeps the dovish-rebound structure intact; a clean H1 close below 4270 confirms a lower-low and opens 4200
Reclaim of 4344 would neutralise the FOMC give-back
Warsh press conference tone is the live driver into the next bars
US Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could re-rate this read
Gold ground higher all week from Monday's 4078 open up to a 4382 spike before the hawkish FOMC dot plot triggered a sharp $110 reversal, the single down-bar erasing two sessions of gains on heavy volume. Price now sits just under the 4300 pivot, below both EMA20 and EMA50 for the first time this week, with the flush bottoming at 4270. RSI(14) cycled off overbought into the low-40s as the dovish-rebound structure cracked.
Support: 4,270.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,382.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4270 opens 4200 then deeper
Reclaim of 4300 pivot would keep the dovish-rebound intact
Initial Jobless Claims / Philly Fed Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Gold ground higher all week off Monday's 4073 open, gapped up over the weekend and then consolidated 4300–4355 ahead of the Fed, with a hot US Retail Sales print (0.9% vs 0.5%) capping upside earlier. The FOMC bar spiked to 4380 then sharply rejected back to 4351, leaving a clear wick into the prior resistance band. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the 55–65 zone.
Support: 4,337.00, 4,320.00, 4,295.00
Resistance: 4,380.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A clean H1 close above 4400 opens the path toward the 4580 zone
Failure to hold 4337 then 4320 reopens the 4295 gap base
Gold ground higher all week, gapping up over the weekend and holding above EMA(20) since, with a 4320-4365 range dominating the last 24 bars after a hot US Retail Sales beat (0.9% vs 0.5%) reinforced the no-cut narrative. The FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC spiked price to 4382 before rejecting sharply back to 4352, leaving a long upper wick. Range top is being tested but not yet cleared.
Support: 4,337.25, 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,382.39, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference 18:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 4382 opens path to the 4400 psych band
Failure to hold 4337 reopens the 4320 range floor
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 4,358.61
Higher lows since weekly open, capped at 4366.
Gold rebounded off the weekend gap and has built higher lows above the 4300 pivot all week, with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The NY session yesterday drove a push into 4366 — this week's high — and the soft USD backdrop kept bullion supported despite a hot 0.9% Retail Sales print. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s, cycling without divergence as price consolidates just below the 4394 supply shelf.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,366.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~1h) is the binary for this read
Close above 4366 opens the 4394 supply shelf
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens 4200
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, pushing out of consolidation · RSI 64 · price 4,358.61
Higher lows, range top giving way.
Gold built a tight band between roughly 4306 and 4368 for most of the week after the weekend gap higher, then pushed back to the top of that range into the NY session, printing 4366 before stalling near 4358. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling up through the low 60s; the $4,300 pivot has held throughout while the soft-dollar, US-Iran de-escalation backdrop kept bullion supported despite a hot Retail Sales print. The week high at 4368.72 and the 4394 supply shelf cap the rebound.
Support: 4,335.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,368.72, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (within the hour) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4368 opens the path to the 4394 supply shelf
Loss of 4335 returns price into the consolidation; below 4306 reopens the 4300 pivot
Gold gapped higher into this week's open near $4,295 and has consolidated in a $4,300–4,369 band since, holding above EMA(20) on each pullback. The NY session has pushed price back toward the week high at $4,369 with RSI(14) cycling in the 50s–60s, leaving the $4,394–4,400 supply shelf as the next cluster overhead. Demand stepping in above the $4,300 pivot has built a sequence of higher lows off the $4,280 week low.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 week high opens the path to the 4394 supply shelf
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens 4200
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold based above $4,300 through midweek, coiling in a tight $4,320–4,340 band before pushing to fresh week highs near $4,369 into the FOMC. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) firming into the mid-60s after the US-Iran de-escalation drove this week's ~6.5% rebound. The $4,394 resistance shelf flagged above continues to cap the recovery.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 4369 opens the 4394 shelf
FOMC decision + SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of the 4300 pivot negates the squeeze, exposing 4200
Gold has consolidated in a tight 4313–4369 band above the 4300 pivot since the weekend gap higher, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and price holding above EMA20/EMA50. The week's ~6.5% rebound off year lows stalled into the 4369 week high, and a hotter-than-forecast US Retail Sales print (0.9% vs 0.5%) failed to lift the dollar as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC. The 4394 resistance shelf still caps the upside attempts.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above the 4369 week high opens the path to the 4394 res shelf
Loss of the 4300 pivot would break the consolidation and open 4200
Higher highs into a high consolidation above 4300.
Gold rallied ~6.5% off year lows since Monday's open on US-Iran de-escalation, gapped higher over the weekend break, and has since stalled into a tight consolidation above the 4300 pivot. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI cycling mid-range, while the 4369 week high and the 4394 supply shelf have capped the rebound. The hot 0.9% Retail Sales print did little to lift the broader move as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,394.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~3h) is the binary for this read
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens 4285 then 4200
H1 close above 4394 supply shelf would extend the squeeze toward 4400
Gold rallied off the 4053 low into Monday before a weekend gap reopened near 4295, extending the relief move to a 4369 week high. Since then price has coiled in a 4313-4368 band, holding above the 4300 pivot as RSI(14) cycles neutral and pullbacks find EMA(20). The hot US retail sales print (0.9% vs 0.5%) reinforced higher-for-longer but couldn't break the range with traders parked ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC (~4h out) is the dominant catalyst for this range
Hourly close above 4369 week high would extend the move toward the 4394 resist band
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens 4280 and undermines the relief-rally read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 4,337.73
Consolidation under week high after impulse.
Gold has gone sideways in a 4318–4355 band for the last day-and-a-half, holding above the 4300 pivot after this week's ~6% relief rally tied to US-Iran de-escalation. Price sits just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around 50, momentum flat into the FOMC. The 4369 week high and the 4394 resistance band cap the upside; 4318 marks the floor of the range.
Support: 4,318.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor for this read
Loss of the 4300 pivot opens the path toward 4280
H1 close above 4369 reopens the 4394 resistance band
Consolidation under 4355-4369 after week's impulse.
Gold gapped higher off last week's low and ran to 4369 before stalling; since then price has coiled in a tight 4313-4355 band, oscillating around EMA(20) with RSI(14) pinned near 50. The metal is pinned ahead of Warsh's first FOMC, with US-Iran de-escalation keeping the dollar defensive but bulls repeatedly capped under 4355.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser at 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
H1 close above 4355 reopens the 4369 week high and 4400 psych level
Gold rebounded hard off Monday's open and gapped higher into Tuesday on US-Iran de-escalation, tagging the 4369.40 week high before settling into a tight 4313–4355 range as traders sat on hands ahead of the FOMC. Price hugs the H1 EMA(20) near 4330 with RSI(14) cycling around 50, reflecting the pre-decision drift. The 4355 session high has capped repeated attempts while 4313 has contained the downside.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC plus Warsh presser 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
H1 close above 4355 reopens the 4369 week high and 4400 psych level
Loss of 4313 range low exposes the 4300 pivot and gap base near 4285
Gold gapped higher into the week and ran ~6.5% off yearly lows on US-Iran de-escalation, peaking at 4369 before stalling. Since then price has consolidated 4305-4369 with supply capping repeatedly near 4349-4355; current 4323 sits at the 50% retrace of the gap-up impulse and just below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the rally lost steam into the FOMC.
Support: 4,305.00
Resistance: 4,349.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 4355 reopens the 4369 week high
Loss of 4305 confirms a break of the consolidation floor toward the gap area
Gold rallied hard through Monday's session and gapped higher into this week's reopen, tagging a 4368 week high before stalling — the ~6.5% bounce off yearly lows has been capped sub-4400 into Warsh's first FOMC. Price has since drifted into a 4306-4355 consolidation, slipping just below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s. The 4355 session high has rejected the latest push, while demand has held repeatedly around 4306.
Support: 4,306.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,368.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC is the pre-FOMC catalyst
H1 close below 4306 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 4355 and break of 4368 reopens the path toward the 4394 supply band
Gold gapped higher into the week and ran ~6.5% off yearly lows on US-Iran de-escalation, tagging a week high at 4369 before stalling. Since then price has consolidated in a 4317-4355 band, with the recent high at 4355 capping and the swing low at 4317 holding; price now sits flat against EMA20 with RSI cycling near 50. The rebound is struggling sub-4400, leaving the 4394 resistance band untested into the FOMC.
Support: 4,317.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4355 then 4369 opens the path toward the 4394 resist band
Failure to hold 4317 exposes the post-gap low near 4285
11:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 4,331.42
Consolidation below week high.
Gold gapped higher into Tuesday's session and ran to a week high near 4369 on the US-Iran de-escalation and softer dollar, before momentum faded. Price has since coiled in a 4305–4355 range, now pinned just below a flattening EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. The 4355 band has capped repeated attempts while demand has held the 4305 swing low.
Support: 4,305.00, 4,285.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC is a pre-FOMC catalyst for the next bars
H1 close above 4369 reopens the path toward the upper resistance band
Failure to hold 4305 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4285 gap base
10:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 4,329.03
Gold ran ~6.5% off the yearly lows into the 4369 week high before stalling, with the rally capped sub-4400 as traders position for the FOMC. Since the supply band at 4355 rejected attempts twice, price has coiled in a 4313–4355 range with RSI(14) flattening near 46 and price pinned around EMA20/EMA50. The US-Iran de-escalation and soft oil underpin the bid, but momentum has drained ahead of risk events.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4355 opens the path toward the 4369 week high then 4394
Failure to hold 4313 exposes 4300 round and the 4280 swing low
Gold gapped higher into this week after a ~6.5% rebound off the yearly lows on US-Iran de-escalation, peaking at the 4368 week high before stalling. Since the NY session yesterday price has coiled in a 4313-4355 range, holding just under the EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50. The 4355-4368 band has capped attempts and remains the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,355.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC is the pre-FOMC catalyst
Hourly close above 4368 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 4300 opens the gap low at 4280
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 4,323.04
Consolidation below week high after gap-up.
Gold extended its ~6.5% rebound off yearly lows on US-Iran de-escalation, gapping up into this week and tagging 4369 before stalling. Since the 4355 band capped the move it has been ranging 4313-4355, with price now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 and RSI cycling mid-40s. Two-way risk dominates with US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and the FOMC dot-plot/Warsh presser at 18:00 UTC the defining catalysts.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC + SEP at 18:00 UTC could materially reset this range read
H1 close above 4355 reopens 4369 then the 4394 supply band
Failure to hold 4313 opens 4300 psych then the 4280 gap low
Consolidation under weekly high after impulsive rally.
Gold gapped higher into this week and ran to 4369 during the NY session before stalling — the rebound off yearly lows on US-Iran de-escalation and softer oil has been capped sub-4400. Price has since drifted back to consolidate the 4313-4355 range, now sitting just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. The week-high at 4369 has rejected one push, while buyers have repeatedly stepped in near 4313.
Support: 4,313.00
Resistance: 4,348.00, 4,369.40
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 4313 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 4348 range top reopens the 4369 week high
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot-plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into Monday's open near 4296 and ran to a 4369 week high through Tuesday's NY session, riding the US-Iran deal and the oil rout that cooled Fed-hike bets. Momentum stalled in the 4355 zone and price has since coiled in a 4305–4355 range, slipping just below EMA20 with RSI(14) flattened near the mid-line. The 4300 pivot has held all week and remains the floor of the recovery.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4300 pivot opens the path to the 4280 week low
Reclaim of the 4355 stall zone and a close above the 4369 week high would resume the uptrend toward 4394
Consolidating below week high after sharp recovery.
Gold staged a near-6% recovery off Monday's lows on the US-Iran framework deal and softer US data, gapping higher over the weekend and topping out near 4369. Price has since coiled into a 4313–4355 range, drifting back below EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing toward 46 as enthusiasm cools ahead of the FOMC. The 4300 pivot remains the line keeping this week's recovery intact.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC + dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
H1 close below 4300 pivot confirms a lower-low against the weekly recovery
Reclaim of 4355 session high reopens the 4369 week high then 4394
Consolidating below week high after sharp recovery.
Gold staged a ~6% three-day recovery off the week's lows on the US-Iran framework deal and a run of soft US data, then coiled into a tight 4313-4355 range with RSI(14) flattening near 50. Price is pinned around EMA20/EMA50 after 4355 capped advances twice, leaving 4369 as the unbeaten week high. Enthusiasm cooled ahead of the FOMC, with the move consolidating rather than extending.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4355 then 4369 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 4313 swing low exposes the 4300 pivot
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend this week, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 4,331.10
Coiling below week high after gap-up rally.
Gold gapped higher into Monday's open and ran to 4369 mid-week, riding the ~6% recovery off year-lows as the US-Iran framework crushed oil and cooled Fed hike bets. Price has since coiled between 4313 and 4355 with RSI(14) drifting back to neutral, sitting right on EMA(20) and holding above EMA(50). Lower highs since the 4369 peak show momentum stalling into the FOMC decision.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 4355 reopens the path to the 4369 week high
Loss of 4313 exposes the 4300 pivot and 4280 week open
06:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 4,327.20
Rangebound below week high after impulsive rally.
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the 4024 area into early week, then opened higher after the weekend gap and pushed to a 4369 week high before momentum faded. Since then price has gone rangebound between 4307 and 4355, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and price tracking just under EMA(20)/EMA(50). The US-Iran de-escalation safe-haven unwind cooled the move, leaving the 4300 handle as the pivot ahead of the Fed.
Support: 4,307.00, 4,280.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4307 range low opens 4280 post-gap low then 4200
H1 close above 4355 range high reopens 4369 week high then 4394 supply
Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into the week's open and extended a ~6.5% rebound off the $4,024 area to a 4369 high, but momentum has stalled with price coiling around the 50% retrace of that leg and just under EMA(20). Two attempts at the 4350-4369 band have been capped as US-Iran de-escalation euphoria cooled; the $4,300 pivot is holding so far. RSI(14) has drifted back toward midline as the range tightens.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4300 pivot opens 4200, with 4024 the deeper line
Hourly close above 4369 reopens the 4394 resistance
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC then FOMC dot plot 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation above 4300 after impulse, capped below 4369.
Gold rallied ~6.5% off the 4024 area into the week then stalled, leaving a weekend gap and a tight consolidation between 4306 and 4369. Price is hovering on the 50% retracement of that impulse (~4325) with RSI(14) flat near the midline, momentum fading below 4369 resistance as US-Iran risk-on euphoria cooled. The pivot at 4300 is holding the rebound intact ahead of Retail Sales and the FOMC dot plot.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift the pre-FOMC tone
H1 close below 4300 pivot opens 4200 toward the deeper 4024 line
Close above 4369 week high reopens the path to 4394
Higher highs into 4369, now consolidating below the week high.
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the 4024 area and gapped higher into this week's open, peaking at 4369 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a 4306–4355 range, slipping back under EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline as the US-Iran relief bounce cools. FOMC and the dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver into the next sessions.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,355.25, 4,369.40, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4355 reopens the 4369 week high then 4394
Loss of the 4300 pivot exposes the 4280 gap base
FOMC dot plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold gapped higher into this week and ran ~6.5% off the $4,050 base to a $4,369 high before stalling. Price has chopped sideways in a $4,313–$4,355 band since the NY session, sitting on EMA(20) with RSI(14) flattening near 48 — momentum has cooled below the $4,394 resistance flagged into Warsh's first FOMC. The $4,300 pivot remains the floor of the rebound.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,355.00, 4,369.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision/dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4355 then 4369 week high opens the path to 4394
Loss of 4300 pivot exposes the deeper 4280 swing low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could spark pre-FOMC volatility
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% off the 4052 area since Monday's session, gapping higher over the weekend and pressing a week high near 4368 before settling into a 4300–4368 range. Price now chops just under its EMA(20) with RSI(14) flattening near 47, momentum fading below the 4394 resistance as the US-Iran relief bounce cools. The 4300 pivot is holding so far; gap low at 4280 sits just beneath.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,280.00, 4,200.00
Resistance: 4,368.00, 4,394.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision and dot plot at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — could materially shift this read
Close above 4368 week high opens the path to 4394 resistance
Loss of 4300 pivot exposes the 4280 gap low then 4200 support
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could spark pre-FOMC volatility
Gold rebounded ~6.5% off the 4024 base early this week on US-Iran de-escalation softening the USD, gapping higher over the weekend and pushing to a 4369 week high. Momentum has since stalled below the well-flagged 4400 ceiling, with price now coiling around 4330 between the 4369 high and the 4306 swing low. Soft US data (Empire State, housing starts) added a weak-growth undertone, but the read hinges on tonight's FOMC.
Support: 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Hourly close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Gold extended a ~6.5% three-day rebound from the 4024 base, with the strongest leg driven through London into NY on the US-Iran de-escalation and softer US data. Price has since stalled in a tight 4313-4369 range below the week high, RSI cycling around 50 as upside momentum cools into the FOMC. EMA20 around 4313 has caught the latest pullbacks, keeping the structure above both averages.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.40
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4300 breaks the ema20 support and opens 4280
Sustained break above the 4369 week high targets the 4400 ceiling
Consolidating under the week high, rising higher-lows intact.
Gold ran ~6.5% off Monday's 4046 open on US-Iran de-escalation, then gapped higher into this week and printed a week high at 4369 before stalling. Price has since drifted into consolidation around the EMA20 near 4333, holding a sequence of higher-lows up from 4280 while the 4400 area continues to cap rallies. RSI is mid-range and pullbacks keep finding demand, but the move is yet to clear resistance.
Support: 4,333.00, 4,305.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser can materially shift this read
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could firm or soften USD ahead of the decision
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4305 puts the rising higher-low structure at risk
Consolidation below week high after strong impulse.
Gold rallied ~6.5% from the $4,024 base this week on US-Iran de-escalation and softer US data, then stalled below the $4,400 ceiling with the week high at 4369. Since then price has consolidated in a 4320-4369 band, hovering around EMA20 with RSI neutral near 53. The metal is coiling ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 4,320.00
Resistance: 4,369.40
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~16h is the dominant catalyst; dovish dots could pressure the $4,400 ceiling, hawkish hold opens a roll back toward 4200
Hourly close above 4369.4 reopens the path to the $4,400 psych level
Loss of 4320 range low exposes the 4295 weekly open
Gold rallied ~6.5% off the $4,024 base early week and gapped higher into Monday's session, extending to a 4,369 week high before stalling. Price has coiled in a 4,313–4,369 range through the latter half of the week, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline — the de-escalation pop is in price and the 4,400 ceiling caps. Action sits on a rising sequence of higher lows since the post-gap reopen.
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4,369 opens the path to the 4,400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4,300 breaks the higher-low structure toward 4,280
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation below week high after gap-up impulse.
Gold rallied roughly 6.5% this week on US-Iran de-escalation, gapping up into Tuesday's session before pressing a week high at 4369. Price has since coiled in a tight 4306-4369 consolidation, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling near the midline. The ~4400 ceiling that capped prior attempts remains untested overhead while 4306 marks the floor of the range.
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold 4306 swing low opens the gap top near 4285
FOMC at 18:00 UTC and Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gold rebounded ~6.5% from the $4,024 base into this week on US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD, gapping higher into the week open before stalling. The week high at 4369 was rejected and price has since coiled between 4309 and ~4355, now hovering at EMA20 with RSI(14) flattening near 47. The broader ~4400 ceiling that has capped bulls all week remains the structural wall overhead.
Support: 4,309.00, 4,280.37
Resistance: 4,369.40, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 UTC plus Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 4369 reopens the path toward the 4400 ceiling
Loss of 4309 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4280 gap low
Gold ran ~6.5% off the $4,024 base on US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD, with the dominant leg printing through Monday's session and topping at 4369 before stalling. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 4330, slipping just under the EMA20 while holding above the rising sequence of higher lows. RSI(14) has cooled back near 47 as the ~4,400 ceiling caps the advance into the Fed event window.
Support: 4,313.00, 4,300.00, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,369.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4369 opens the path toward the 4400 psych ceiling
Failure to hold the 4313 swing low exposes 4300 round number and 4280 week low
US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC and FOMC 18:00 UTC tomorrow can materially shift this read